Tropical Cyclone Eye Thermodynamics
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The Art and Science of Forecasting Morning Temperature Inversions by Anthony J
Air Quality Forecasting Excl usive Con tent The Art and Science of Forecasting Morning Temperature Inversions by Anthony J. Sadar Anthony J. Sadar is a Certified Consulting Meteorologist and Air Pollution Administrator with the Allegheny County Health Department, Air Quality Program in Pittsburgh, PA. E-mail: [email protected]. The author provides an overview of the key resources and variables used to produce morning surface air inversion forecasts in Pittsburgh, PA. Although the focus is southwestern Pennsylvania, the forecasting approach can be applied to similar locations across the globe. Air quality in southwestern Pennsylvania, as in most other areas of the Accurate forecasting of the onset of an inversion would benefit areas world, is very much influenced by surface-based temperature inver - prone to strong and/or persistent inversions. Advanced notice of im - sions. An atmospheric temperature inversion occurs when air temper - pending stagnant air conditions would give government regulators, ature increases with increasing height. In the layer of air nearest the industry operators, and the public time to mitigate emissions, and earth’s surface—the troposphere—this situation is the inverse of the hence, pollutant concentrations, as well as reduce exposure to “normal” condition where a warm ground keeps low-lying air warmer elevated pollution levels. than air higher up. Normally then, the warm surface air can rise and the cool air aloft can descend, causing the atmosphere to mix. Detecting Inversions To collect temperature, wind, and other data with height, the National A surface-based (or ground-level) temperature inversion forms Weather Service (NWS) releases a balloon-borne measurement trans - when air close to the ground cools faster than air at a higher altitude. -
Lecture 15 Hurricane Structure
MET 200 Lecture 15 Hurricanes Last Lecture: Atmospheric Optics Structure and Climatology The amazing variety of optical phenomena observed in the atmosphere can be explained by four physical mechanisms. • What is the structure or anatomy of a hurricane? • How to build a hurricane? - hurricane energy • Hurricane climatology - when and where Hurricane Katrina • Scattering • Reflection • Refraction • Diffraction 1 2 Colorado Flood Damage Hurricanes: Useful Websites http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/ http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu http://www.nhc.noaa.gov Hurricane Alberto Hurricanes are much broader than they are tall. 3 4 Hurricane Raymond Hurricane Raymond 5 6 Hurricane Raymond Hurricane Raymond 7 8 Hurricane Raymond: wind shear Typhoon Francisco 9 10 Typhoon Francisco Typhoon Francisco 11 12 Typhoon Francisco Typhoon Francisco 13 14 Typhoon Lekima Typhoon Lekima 15 16 Typhoon Lekima Hurricane Priscilla 17 18 Hurricane Priscilla Hurricanes are Tropical Cyclones Hurricanes are a member of a family of cyclones called Tropical Cyclones. West of the dateline these storms are called Typhoons. In India and Australia they are called simply Cyclones. 19 20 Hurricane Isaac: August 2012 Characteristics of Tropical Cyclones • Low pressure systems that don’t have fronts • Cyclonic winds (counter clockwise in Northern Hemisphere) • Anticyclonic outflow (clockwise in NH) at upper levels • Warm at their center or core • Wind speeds decrease with height • Symmetric structure about clear "eye" • Latent heat from condensation in clouds primary energy source • Form over warm tropical and subtropical oceans NASA VIIRS Day-Night Band 21 22 • Differences between hurricanes and midlatitude storms: Differences between hurricanes and midlatitude storms: – energy source (latent heat vs temperature gradients) - Winter storms have cold and warm fronts (asymmetric). -
Investigation and Prediction of Hurricane Eyewall
INVESTIGATION AND PREDICTION OF HURRICANE EYEWALL REPLACEMENT CYCLES By Matthew Sitkowski A dissertation submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy (Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences) at the UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN-MADISON 2012 Date of final oral examination: 4/9/12 The dissertation is approved by the following members of the Final Oral Committee: James P. Kossin, Affiliate Professor, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences Daniel J. Vimont, Professor, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences Steven A. Ackerman, Professor, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences Jonathan E. Martin, Professor, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences Gregory J. Tripoli, Professor, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences i Abstract Flight-level aircraft data and microwave imagery are analyzed to investigate hurricane secondary eyewall formation and eyewall replacement cycles (ERCs). This work is motivated to provide forecasters with new guidance for predicting and better understanding the impacts of ERCs. A Bayesian probabilistic model that determines the likelihood of secondary eyewall formation and a subsequent ERC is developed. The model is based on environmental and geostationary satellite features. A climatology of secondary eyewall formation is developed; a 13% chance of secondary eyewall formation exists when a hurricane is located over water, and is also utilized by the model. The model has been installed at the National Hurricane Center and has skill in forecasting secondary eyewall formation out to 48 h. Aircraft reconnaissance data from 24 ERCs are examined to develop a climatology of flight-level structure and intensity changes associated with ERCs. Three phases are identified based on the behavior of the maximum intensity of the hurricane: intensification, weakening and reintensification. -
Extratropical Cyclones and Anticyclones
© Jones & Bartlett Learning, LLC. NOT FOR SALE OR DISTRIBUTION Courtesy of Jeff Schmaltz, the MODIS Rapid Response Team at NASA GSFC/NASA Extratropical Cyclones 10 and Anticyclones CHAPTER OUTLINE INTRODUCTION A TIME AND PLACE OF TRAGEDY A LiFE CYCLE OF GROWTH AND DEATH DAY 1: BIRTH OF AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE ■■ Typical Extratropical Cyclone Paths DaY 2: WiTH THE FI TZ ■■ Portrait of the Cyclone as a Young Adult ■■ Cyclones and Fronts: On the Ground ■■ Cyclones and Fronts: In the Sky ■■ Back with the Fitz: A Fateful Course Correction ■■ Cyclones and Jet Streams 298 9781284027372_CH10_0298.indd 298 8/10/13 5:00 PM © Jones & Bartlett Learning, LLC. NOT FOR SALE OR DISTRIBUTION Introduction 299 DaY 3: THE MaTURE CYCLONE ■■ Bittersweet Badge of Adulthood: The Occlusion Process ■■ Hurricane West Wind ■■ One of the Worst . ■■ “Nosedive” DaY 4 (AND BEYOND): DEATH ■■ The Cyclone ■■ The Fitzgerald ■■ The Sailors THE EXTRATROPICAL ANTICYCLONE HIGH PRESSURE, HiGH HEAT: THE DEADLY EUROPEAN HEAT WaVE OF 2003 PUTTING IT ALL TOGETHER ■■ Summary ■■ Key Terms ■■ Review Questions ■■ Observation Activities AFTER COMPLETING THIS CHAPTER, YOU SHOULD BE ABLE TO: • Describe the different life-cycle stages in the Norwegian model of the extratropical cyclone, identifying the stages when the cyclone possesses cold, warm, and occluded fronts and life-threatening conditions • Explain the relationship between a surface cyclone and winds at the jet-stream level and how the two interact to intensify the cyclone • Differentiate between extratropical cyclones and anticyclones in terms of their birthplaces, life cycles, relationships to air masses and jet-stream winds, threats to life and property, and their appearance on satellite images INTRODUCTION What do you see in the diagram to the right: a vase or two faces? This classic psychology experiment exploits our amazing ability to recognize visual patterns. -
ESSENTIALS of METEOROLOGY (7Th Ed.) GLOSSARY
ESSENTIALS OF METEOROLOGY (7th ed.) GLOSSARY Chapter 1 Aerosols Tiny suspended solid particles (dust, smoke, etc.) or liquid droplets that enter the atmosphere from either natural or human (anthropogenic) sources, such as the burning of fossil fuels. Sulfur-containing fossil fuels, such as coal, produce sulfate aerosols. Air density The ratio of the mass of a substance to the volume occupied by it. Air density is usually expressed as g/cm3 or kg/m3. Also See Density. Air pressure The pressure exerted by the mass of air above a given point, usually expressed in millibars (mb), inches of (atmospheric mercury (Hg) or in hectopascals (hPa). pressure) Atmosphere The envelope of gases that surround a planet and are held to it by the planet's gravitational attraction. The earth's atmosphere is mainly nitrogen and oxygen. Carbon dioxide (CO2) A colorless, odorless gas whose concentration is about 0.039 percent (390 ppm) in a volume of air near sea level. It is a selective absorber of infrared radiation and, consequently, it is important in the earth's atmospheric greenhouse effect. Solid CO2 is called dry ice. Climate The accumulation of daily and seasonal weather events over a long period of time. Front The transition zone between two distinct air masses. Hurricane A tropical cyclone having winds in excess of 64 knots (74 mi/hr). Ionosphere An electrified region of the upper atmosphere where fairly large concentrations of ions and free electrons exist. Lapse rate The rate at which an atmospheric variable (usually temperature) decreases with height. (See Environmental lapse rate.) Mesosphere The atmospheric layer between the stratosphere and the thermosphere. -
Anticyclones
Anticyclones Background Information for Teachers “High and Dry” A high pressure system, also known as an anticyclone, occurs when the weather is dominated by stable conditions. Under an anticyclone air is descending, maybe linked to the large scale pattern of ascent and descent associated with the Global Atmospheric Circulation, or because of a more localized pattern of ascent and descent. As shown in the diagram below, when air is sinking, more air is drawn in at the top of the troposphere to take its place and the sinking air diverges at the surface. The diverging air is slowed down by friction, but the air converging at the top isn’t – so the total amount of air in the area increases and the pressure rises. More for Teachers – Anticyclones Sinking air gets warmer as it sinks, the rate of evaporation increases and cloud formation is inhibited, so the weather is usually clear with only small amounts of cloud cover. In winter the clear, settled conditions and light winds associated with anticyclones can lead to frost. The clear skies allow heat to be lost from the surface of the Earth by radiation, allowing temperatures to fall steadily overnight, leading to air or ground frosts. In 2013, persistent High pressure led to cold temperatures which caused particular problems for hill sheep farmers, with sheep lambing into snow. In summer the clear settled conditions associated with anticyclones can bring long sunny days and warm temperatures. The weather is normally dry, although occasionally, localized patches of very hot ground temperatures can trigger thunderstorms. An anticyclone situated over the UK or near continent usually brings warm, fine weather. -
Synoptic Meteorology
Lecture Notes on Synoptic Meteorology For Integrated Meteorological Training Course By Dr. Prakash Khare Scientist E India Meteorological Department Meteorological Training Institute Pashan,Pune-8 186 IMTC SYLLABUS OF SYNOPTIC METEOROLOGY (FOR DIRECT RECRUITED S.A’S OF IMD) Theory (25 Periods) ❖ Scales of weather systems; Network of Observatories; Surface, upper air; special observations (satellite, radar, aircraft etc.); analysis of fields of meteorological elements on synoptic charts; Vertical time / cross sections and their analysis. ❖ Wind and pressure analysis: Isobars on level surface and contours on constant pressure surface. Isotherms, thickness field; examples of geostrophic, gradient and thermal winds: slope of pressure system, streamline and Isotachs analysis. ❖ Western disturbance and its structure and associated weather, Waves in mid-latitude westerlies. ❖ Thunderstorm and severe local storm, synoptic conditions favourable for thunderstorm, concepts of triggering mechanism, conditional instability; Norwesters, dust storm, hail storm. Squall, tornado, microburst/cloudburst, landslide. ❖ Indian summer monsoon; S.W. Monsoon onset: semi permanent systems, Active and break monsoon, Monsoon depressions: MTC; Offshore troughs/vortices. Influence of extra tropical troughs and typhoons in northwest Pacific; withdrawal of S.W. Monsoon, Northeast monsoon, ❖ Tropical Cyclone: Life cycle, vertical and horizontal structure of TC, Its movement and intensification. Weather associated with TC. Easterly wave and its structure and associated weather. ❖ Jet Streams – WMO definition of Jet stream, different jet streams around the globe, Jet streams and weather ❖ Meso-scale meteorology, sea and land breezes, mountain/valley winds, mountain wave. ❖ Short range weather forecasting (Elementary ideas only); persistence, climatology and steering methods, movement and development of synoptic scale systems; Analogue techniques- prediction of individual weather elements, visibility, surface and upper level winds, convective phenomena. -
Airborne Radar Observations of Eye Configuration Changes, Bright
UDC 661.616.22:661.M)9.61: 661.601.81 Airborne Radar Observations of Eye Configuration Changes, Bright Band Distribution, and Precipitation Tilt During the 1969 Multiple Seeding Experiments in Hurricane Debbie' PETER G. BLACK-National Hurricane Research Laboratory, Environmental Research Laboratories, NOAA, Miami, Fla. HARRY V. SENN and CHARLES L. COURTRIGHT-Radar Meteorology Laboratory, Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences, University of Miami, Coral Gables, Fla. ABSTRACT-Project Stormfury radar precipitation data radius of maximum winds follow closely the changes in gathered before, during, and after the multiple seedings of eyewall radius. It is suggested that the different results on the eyewall region of hurricane Debbie on Aug. 18 and 20, the 2 days might be attributable to seeding beyond the 1969, are used to study changes in the eye configuration, radius of maximum winds on the 18th and inside the the characteristics of the radar bright band, and the outer radius of maximum winds on the 20th. precipitation tilt. Increases in the echo-free area within The bright band is found in all quadrants of the storm the eye followed each of the five seedings on the 18th, within 100 n.mi. of the eye, sloping slightly upward near but followed only one seeding on the 20th. Changes in the eyewall. The inferred shears are directed outward and major axis orientation followed only one seeding on the slightly down band with height in both layers studied. 18th, but followed each seeding on the 20th. Similar The hurricane Debbie bright band and precipitation tilt studies conducted recently on unmodified storms suggest data compared favorably with those gathered in Betsy of that such changes do not occur naturally. -
Thermal Inversion and Particulate Matter Concentration in Wrocław in Winter Season
atmosphere Article Thermal Inversion and Particulate Matter Concentration in Wrocław in Winter Season Jadwiga Nidzgorska-Lencewicz * and Małgorzata Czarnecka Department of Environmental Management, West Pomeranian University of Technology in Szczecin, ul. Papie˙zaPawła VI, 71-459 Szczecin, Poland; [email protected] * Correspondence: [email protected] Received: 15 October 2020; Accepted: 7 December 2020; Published: 12 December 2020 Abstract: Studies on air quality frequently adopt clustering, in particular the k-means technique, owing to its simplicity, ease of implementation and efficiency. The aim of the present paper was the assessment of air quality in a winter season (December–February) in the conditions of temperature inversion using the k-means method, representing a non-hierarchical algorithm of cluster analysis. The air quality was assessed on the basis of the concentrations of particulate matter (PM10, PM2.5). The studies were conducted in four winter seasons (2015/16, 2016/17, 2017/18, 2019/20) in Wrocław (Poland). As a result of the application of the v-fold cross test, six clusters for each fraction of PM were identified. Even though the analysis covers only four winter seasons, the applied method has unequivocally revealed that the characteristics of surface-based (SBI) and elevated inversions (ELI) affect the concentration level of both fractions of particulate matter. In the case of PM10, the average lowest daily concentration (15.5 µg m 3) was recorded in the conditions of approx. 205 m in thickness, · − 0.5 ◦C intensity of the SBI and at the height of the base of the ELI at approx. 1700 m a.g.l., a thickness of 148 m and an intensity of 1.2 C. -
Temperature Inversions.Pdf
MID-ATLANTIC dronesKnowledge Elevated TEMPERATURE WHAT DOES IT MEAN FOR THE UAV PILOT? HOW DOES IT AFFECT THE WEATHER? INVERSION midatlanticdrones.com #TEMPERATUREINVERSION Temperature inversion: a layer of cool air at the surface is overlain by a layer of warmer air NORMAL CONDITIONS TEMPERATURE INVERSION COLD AIR COLD AIR COLD AIR COLD AIR WARMER AIR WARMER AIR COOLER AIR COOLER AIR WARMER AIR WARMER AIR COOLER AIR COOLER AIR On the left, arrows show normal conditions: Warm air rises and normal convective patterns persist. During temperature inversion, shown on the right, the warm air acts like a cap, shutting down convection and trapping smog over the city. #TEMPERATUREINVERSION warm air on top of cold air Expect fog and haze temp/dew point spread is low little convection – A temperature inversion means some warm air on top of some cold air. – The cold air underneath on the ground, along with a high relative humidity, means you are expecting fog in the cooler area. – If you check the METARS for the airports in the area as you will most likely have a temperature/dewpoint spread that is low. – The air will be smooth because there is little convection. #TEMPERATUREINVERSION 3 what does this mean for you, the drone pilot? Temperature inversions can represent an important element of air pollution, especially in places that are inhabitted, and in valleys. The warmer air layer acts as a natural lid that keeps pollution and dirt trapped. This trapped layer of dirty air stays in there unable to escape. The main issue for UAVs is visibility. -
Glossary of Severe Weather Terms
Glossary of Severe Weather Terms -A- Anvil The flat, spreading top of a cloud, often shaped like an anvil. Thunderstorm anvils may spread hundreds of miles downwind from the thunderstorm itself, and sometimes may spread upwind. Anvil Dome A large overshooting top or penetrating top. -B- Back-building Thunderstorm A thunderstorm in which new development takes place on the upwind side (usually the west or southwest side), such that the storm seems to remain stationary or propagate in a backward direction. Back-sheared Anvil [Slang], a thunderstorm anvil which spreads upwind, against the flow aloft. A back-sheared anvil often implies a very strong updraft and a high severe weather potential. Beaver ('s) Tail [Slang], a particular type of inflow band with a relatively broad, flat appearance suggestive of a beaver's tail. It is attached to a supercell's general updraft and is oriented roughly parallel to the pseudo-warm front, i.e., usually east to west or southeast to northwest. As with any inflow band, cloud elements move toward the updraft, i.e., toward the west or northwest. Its size and shape change as the strength of the inflow changes. Spotters should note the distinction between a beaver tail and a tail cloud. A "true" tail cloud typically is attached to the wall cloud and has a cloud base at about the same level as the wall cloud itself. A beaver tail, on the other hand, is not attached to the wall cloud and has a cloud base at about the same height as the updraft base (which by definition is higher than the wall cloud). -
What Is Storm Surge?
INTRODUCTION TO STORM SURGE Introduction to Storm Surge National Hurricane Center Storm Surge Unit BOLIVAR PENINSULA IN TEXAS AFTER HURRICANE IKE (2008) What is Storm Surge? Inland Extent Storm surge can penetrate well inland from the coastline. During Hurricane Ike, the surge moved inland nearly 30 miles in some locations in southeastern Texas and southwestern Louisiana. Storm surge is an abnormal Storm tide is the water level rise of water generated by a rise during a storm due to storm, over and above the the combination of storm predicted astronomical tide. surge and the astronomical tide. • It’s the change in the water level that is due to the presence of the • Since storm tide is the storm combination of surge and tide, it • Since storm surge is a difference does require a reference level Vulnerability between water levels, it does not All locations along the U.S. East and Gulf coasts • A 15 ft. storm surge on top of a are vulnerable to storm surge. This figure shows have a reference level high tide that is 2 ft. above mean the areas that could be inundated by water in any sea level produces a 17 ft. storm given category 4 hurricane. tide. INTRODUCTION TO STORM SURGE 2 What causes Storm Surge? Storm surge is caused primarily by the strong winds in a hurricane or tropical storm. The low pressure of the storm has minimal contribution! The wind circulation around the eye of a Once the hurricane reaches shallower hurricane (left above) blows on the waters near the coast, the vertical ocean surface and produces a vertical circulation in the ocean becomes In general, storm surge occurs where winds are blowing onshore.