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INTRODUCTION TO SURGE

Introduction to

National Hurricane Center

Storm Surge Unit

BOLIVAR PENINSULA IN TEXAS AFTER (2008) What is Storm Surge?

Inland Extent Storm surge can penetrate well inland from the coastline. During Hurricane Ike, the surge moved inland nearly 30 miles in some locations in southeastern Texas and southwestern .

Storm surge is an abnormal Storm is the level rise of water generated by a rise during a storm due to storm, over and above the the combination of storm predicted astronomical tide. surge and the astronomical tide. • It’s the change in the water level that is due to the presence of the • Since storm tide is the

storm combination of surge and tide, it • Since storm surge is a difference does require a reference level Vulnerability between water levels, it does not All locations along the U.S. East and Gulf • A 15 ft. storm surge on top of a are vulnerable to storm surge. This figure shows have a reference level high tide that is 2 ft. above mean the areas that could be inundated by water in any level produces a 17 ft. storm given category 4 hurricane. tide. INTRODUCTION TO STORM SURGE 2

What causes Storm Surge?

Storm surge is caused primarily by the strong in a hurricane or tropical storm. The low of the storm has minimal contribution!

The circulation around the of a Once the hurricane reaches shallower hurricane (left above) blows on the near the , the vertical surface and produces a vertical circulation in the ocean becomes In general, storm surge occurs where winds are blowing onshore. The highest circulation in the ocean (right above). In disrupted by the ocean bottom. The surge tends to occur near the “radius of deep water, there is nothing to disturb water can no longer go down, so it has maximum winds,” or where the this circulation and there is very little nowhere else to go but up and inland. indication of storm surge. strongest winds of the hurricane occur.

The Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale: Surge Not Included

, a category 4 hurricane at in ,

produced a storm surge of 6 to 8 ft.

Too many exceptions to fit the • , a category 1 scale: • Hurricane Ike, a category 2 at hurricane at landfall in North landfall in Texas, also produced Carolina, produced extensive • , a catastrophic damage with a 20- damage with an 8 to 11 ft. storm category 3 at landfall in surge. Louisiana, produced ft. storm surge. catastrophic damage with a 28-ft. storm surge.

INTRODUCTION TO STORM SURGE 3

STORM SURGE: BEFORE AND AFTER Hurricane Ike made landfall at Galveston, Texas, but it still produced significant on the north side of near Mandeville, Louisiana. Remarkably, the highest sustained wind reported at the lake was only 43 mph!

Before Hurricane Katrina

Total Water Level

In reality, storm surge only makes up a part back out to sea. The water level therefore of what causes water levels to rise along the rises as a hurricane approaches, especially coast during a hurricane. Here are the since the waves become larger and more others: water is pushed onshore. caused water levels to rise along the Texas coast nearly a before Ike made landfall (below). Water levels rise and fall along the coast every day due to the gravitational pull of the and . This is the tide. In general, areas along the , except After Hurricane Katrina Florida, experience one high and one low tide per day (diurnal tide). Elsewhere along the Images courtesy of David and Kimberly King, U.S. East Coast experience two high and two Waveland, . low tides per day (semi-diurnal tide).

FAST FACTS When the tide is combined with the storm surge, it is called the storm tide. Freshwater Input Unfortunately, we can’t the arrival of a Heavy rainfall ahead of a hurricane can cause storm within the tidal cycle, so it’s safer to levels to rise well inland from the coast. assume high tide when making decisions. Once all this water flows downriver and reaches the coast, local water levels 32% Waves especially near deltas and in bays will rise. Population density increase in coastal counties along the Breaking waves contribute to the water level Gulf of Mexico coastline from 1990 to 2008. rise through wave runup and wave setup. Wave runup occurs when a wave breaks and

the water is propelled onto the , as in 27% the picture below. Percent of major roads in the Gulf region that are at or below 4 ft. elevation.

DID YOU KNOW?

On average, a major hurricane makes landfall in the Gulf Coast region once every 2 years. Total Water Level =

Galveston, TX: every 18 years Storm Surge + , LA: every 19 years Mobile, AL: every 23 years Tides +

Tampa, FL: every 23 years Waves + Wave setup occurs when waves continually break onshore and the water from the runup Freshwater Input piles up along the coast because it can’t get INTRODUCTION TO STORM SURGE 4

The Many Factors that Influence Storm Surge

There are several factors that contribute to Storm Forward Speed Width and Slope of the On the open coast, a faster storm will the amount of surge a given storm produces Ocean Bottom at a given location: produce a higher surge. However, a higher surge is produced in bays, sounds, and Higher storm surge occurs with wide, other enclosed bodies of water with a gently sloping continental shelves, while slower storm. The two images below show lower storm surge occurs with narrow, Central Pressure the surge generated by two hypothetical steeply sloping shelves. Areas along the Lower pressure will produce a higher surge. hurricanes hitting the — Gulf Coast, especially Louisiana and However, as was shown on page 2, the one moving 5 mph and the other 25 mph. Mississippi, are particularly vulnerable to central pressure is a minimal contributor storm surge because the ocean floor compared to the other factors. gradually deepens offshore. Conversely, areas such as the east coast of Florida have a steeper shelf, and storm surge is not as high. Storm Intensity Stronger winds will produce a higher surge. The two images below show how much storm surge is produced by two different , the second one having maximum winds that are 15 mph stronger than the first. All other variable are equal.

Local Features Storm surge is highly dependent on local Angle of Approach to Coast features and barriers that will affect the flow The angle at which a storm approaches a of water. A good example is the coast of coastline can affect how much surge is , which has the complexities of generated. A storm that moves onshore such features as barrier , , perpendicular to the coast is more likely to sounds, bays, and . produce a higher storm surge than a storm that moves parallel to the coast or moves inland at an oblique angle.

Shape of the Coastline Size Storm surge will be higher when a hurricane A larger storm will produce higher surge. makes landfall on a concave coastline There are two reasons for this. First, the (curved inward, such as Apalachee Bay in winds in a larger storm are pushing on a Florida) as opposed to a convex coastline larger area of the ocean. Second, the strong (curved outward, such as the of winds in a larger storm will tend to affect an North Carolina). area longer than a smaller storm. Size is a key difference between the surge generated by storms like Katrina and Charley.

INTRODUCTION TO STORM SURGE 5

Observing and Measuring Storm Surge Tide Stations ISSUES WITH STORM SURGE DATA Tide stations measure the variation in water level along the coast. Since tidal cycles are • Instruments often fail during an event predictable, storm surge can be calculated by • subtracting what the water level would have Data is often tied to different reference levels, and the conversions been in the absence of the storm from the are complicated measured water level. NOAA’s National • Each method has different or even unknown error characteristics Ocean Service (NOS) maintains a network of • Data may be measuring different things (stillwater vs. wave runup) approximately 175 tide stations throughout the , which serve as the foundation for NOAA’s tide prediction products. They are generally located in areas High Water Marks Pressure Sensors that are sheltered from waves. This enables High water marks are lines found on trees Pressure sensors from the United States a measurement of the “stillwater” height, or and structures marking the highest elevation Geological Survey are temporary barometric the height of the water when it is not of the water surface for a event, pressure sensors that provide information disturbed by waves. created by foam, seeds, or other debris. about storm surge duration, of arrival Survey crews are deployed after a storm to and retreat, and maximum depths. The locate and record reliable high water marks, sensors are installed around posts and other usually through GPS methods. structures before the arrival of a hurricane.

Pros: • Available in real time • Generally located in areas sheltered from waves and are able to measure “stillwater” • Traditionally the most reliable way of measuring surge Cons: • Limited number of stations along the

coast, so there is often no real-time validation of storm surge in the most Pros: vulnerable areas Pros: • Are able to provide timing information • Often fail at the height of an event due • Traditionally the best method for that cannot be obtained from high to loss of electrical power or damage capturing the highest surge from an water marks event NOS data can be obtained from: • Can be deployed ahead of a storm at the http://tidesonline.noaa.gov Cons: locations of the highest expected surge http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov • Are not available in real time Cons: • Are perishable, so surveys need to be • Information from the sensors is not conducted as soon as possible after a available in real time storm • Can include the effects of waves, which • Can be subjective will provide an overestimation of the • Generally include the effects of wave storm surge height runup and setup, and only a small • May be difficult to recover the percentage represent “stillwater” instruments after a storm