DOCSLIB.ORG

Social Media in the Constituent Interaction and Mobility (Case Study in the 2017 Jakarta-Indonesia Governor General Election Campaign)

Total Page：16

File Type：pdf, Size：1020Kb

Download full-text PDF Read full-text
Social Media in the Constituent Interaction and Mobility (Case Study in the 2017 Jakarta-Indonesia Governor General Election Campaign) Journal of Theoretical and Applied Information Technology 31st July 2019. Vol.97. No 14 © 2005 – ongoing JATIT & LLS ISSN: 1992-8645 www.jatit.org E-ISSN: 1817-3195 SOCIAL MEDIA IN THE CONSTITUENT INTERACTION AND MOBILITY (CASE STUDY IN THE 2017 JAKARTA-INDONESIA GOVERNOR GENERAL ELECTION CAMPAIGN) 1 YUNILA LARAS ISMAWANI, 2 LA MANI, 3 MUHAMMAD ARAS 1Communication Department, BINUS Graduate Program, Master of Strategic Marketing Communications, Bina Nusantara University Jakarta, Indonesia 11480 2Communication Department, BINUS Graduate Program, Master of Strategic Marketing Communications, Bina Nusantara University Jakarta, Indonesia 11480 3Communication Department, BINUS Graduate Program, Master of Strategic Marketing Communications, Bina Nusantara University Jakarta, Indonesia 11480 E-mail: [email protected], [email protected], [email protected] ABSTRACT The use of social media in general election campaign in Indonesia becomes more common but the relationship between social media existence in political campaign and the final vote result still need to be scrutinized. Therefore this study aims to analyze with a systematic and empirical approach of the social media usage (Including Facebook, Twitter, and Instagram) by DKI Jakarta governor candidates for the 2017-2022 period. Based on the observations, we found that each DKI Jakarta governor candidate has had a popular social media account in Indonesia, namely Facebook, Twitter, and Instagram. Such media were used to in conducting political campaigns and interacting with their constituents. Based on in-depth analysis of the empirical data showed that the presence of social media in the political campaigns in Indonesia had a strong relationship with the final results of DKI Jakarta governor election. Relationship between the results of the general election and the popularity, participation, and activeness of candidates in using social media were shown not only in interaction quantity but also in quality of the political campaign contents. Furthermore social media popularity of the political parties which supported the candidates allegedly had a relationship with 2017 DKI Jakarta governor election results. Keywords: Social Media, Constituents, Iinteraction and Mobility, Political Campaigns, General Election 1. INTRODUCTION vote for a candidate, and judgments about a candidate’s likelihood of garnering the nomination Before the 20th century, when television and (Ross, 1992). Print media, radio, and television internet yet in widespread use as a medium of were able to maintain their existence in long time so information dissemination, print media and radio that their role in political campaign development in had become popular media in conveying the all countries in the world couldnot be minimized. message or information, including a political Entering the digital era in the 21st century, message to the public. At that time, more political internet technology development around the world campaigns were carried out in the direct speeches, had brought about significant changes in all aspects radio channels, print media such as newspapers and of life. Every year the internet usage and users magazines. Nevertheless at the beginning of the become more increasing along with the breadth of 20th century, the development of television had the Internet network infrastructure and convenience shifted slightly the existence of print media for in obtaining digital devices. No exception to political campaign, especially in developed Indonesian itself, the use of internet and social countries. Television then able to provide a large media had become a trend and an inseparable part effect on the mass public’s assessment of a of daily communication. Based on the survey candidate’s attractiveness, people’s willingness to 3833 Journal of Theoretical and Applied Information Technology 31st July 2019. Vol.97. No 14 © 2005 – ongoing JATIT & LLS ISSN: 1992-8645 www.jatit.org E-ISSN: 1817-3195 conducted by the Association of Indonesian Internet technology development and the use of social Service Provider in 2017, the number of internet media has not been widespread use like nowadays. users in Indonesia had reached 143,26 million or The candidate presidents were not in a structured 54,68% of the total population, an increase of way to utilize social media in their political 7,96% from 2016 (Kompas.com, 2018). Indonesia campaigns. Nevertheless along with the rapid use of became the fifth largest internet user in the world. social media in Indonesia, especially in DKI Jakarta According to research conducted by We Are Social as the capital city of Indonesia, had stimulated the and Hootsuite, out of 265,4 million Indonesians, authors to observe the activities and existence of 130 million were active users of social media, with online political communication of DKI Jakarta the top positions dominated by Youtube, Facebook, governor candidate for the 2017-2022 period. This WhatsApp, Instagram, and Line (KompasTekno, study aims to find out whether there is relationship 2018). In the political field, the use of Internet as a between the use of social media in a political new media of political communication and communication strategy and the results of a final campaign became very popular (Aparaschivei, vote that leads one of the candidates as the winner 2011). David Perlmutter (2008) identified that in the general election. This study focuses on all online political campaign had been started since online communications related to posts or political 1992 by Bill Clinton who was then followed by campaign, a series of strategies, the characteristics political parties, other candidates, and the electoral of the candidates' social media, and communication success teams. mistakes of the candidates on the Facebook, Twitter, and Instagram platform. Along with the increasingly social media popularity, political parties, political public 2. LITERATURE REVIEW relations, electoral success teams, and politicians themselves had upgraded their campaign strategy Some researches related to the use of from that originally only based offline, such as the social media in election campaign and mass installation of banners, campaign speeches, and the political participation began much done, such as leaflets to the public, evolved into the online basis, research by Aparaschivei (2011) which found that such as through Facebook, Twitter, Instagram, there was no positive relationship between the Youtube, etc. Indonesia with a very diverse and political campaigns of the candidates on social segregated population of islands looked at the media with the final result of presidential election. existence of social media as an effective means of Nonetheless there were interesting findings in the political communication and election campaign. For study in which there is a positive relationship example, we took a case study in the 2017 DKI between the existence of a candidate on certain Jakarta governor election. DKI Jakarta was spread social media platform compared to other candidates into 6 regions, namely North Jakarta, West Jakarta, against the results of the vote. Furthermore, positive Central Jakarta, South Jakarta, East Jakarta, and content or post of a candidate could lead obtaining Kepulauan Seribu. DKI Jakarta governor candidates superior sound result in some areas of general used social media as massive communication elections. The results of the study could not be channel to socialize themself and their programs. summed up in general, given the research of The question arised whether the existence of online Aparaschivei was carried out during the Romanian political communication and campaign through presidential election in 2009 in which the social media from candidates, who took a part in the candidates and the success teams had not used general election, had capability or not to mobilize social media for a structured and massive political their constituents so that they met the expected campaign. votes and victory of the election. Aparaschivei (2011) conducted research related Along with the development of internet to the use of social media in the Romania technology and social media diversification, online presidential campaign in 2009. The results indicated media’s role as an indicator of political behavior of that there were no positive relationship between the the people is very interesting to measure. The real vote result of a president candidates with their research of DiGrazia, et al. (2013) concluded that political communication strategy through social the number of responses to a candidate’s tweet media. This research was conducted at the time of compared to other candidates on social media such the Romania presidential election in 2009 which as Twitter could statistically be used as an indicator was the first year of social media use for election of the vote acquisition in general election. campaigns in Romania. On the other hand, internet Therefore social media could be used as an 3834 Journal of Theoretical and Applied Information Technology 31st July 2019. Vol.97. No 14 © 2005 – ongoing JATIT & LLS ISSN: 1992-8645 www.jatit.org E-ISSN: 1817-3195 alternative means to measure public behavior and political discussions (88% of respondents never attitude in determining their political choice. read or forwarded emails related to political contents). Furthermore, based on this survey it was 2.1 Social Media in Democracy known that the use of blogs, reading online news related to politics, and sending emails with political
Load more

Recommended publications
  • Chapter I Introduction
    CHAPTER I INTRODUCTION 1.1 Background Speech is an action where sounds or marks uttered to share meaning (Searle, 2012). One of the speech act forms is delivering speech in an international conference. The intention to perform the utterance of sound in a public such as conference is to share complete concept or idea, feeling, or story in the speaker’s mind or heart formed shape in different ways depending on the content, the intended audience (Elizabeth, 2003). In a conference, the presenter may select what kind of speech genre that they want to start a from of written or spoken language, for example conversation script, journal, essays, speech, etc. Each speech genre has five characteristic areas: structure, style, content or subject matters, conception of audience, and range of purpose. One of the interesting speech acts presented in a conference is delivered by Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono (in this research then called as AHY). The researcher choose the AHY speech in this study because the figure of AHY was a figure of a young man who had high leadership prospects, his words would have more impact, besides that he also held the control of quite large parties and extraordinary military figures. , then he is also quite fluent in English. in previous research many have been carried out by several researchers, who examined the speeches of President Barac Obama and the inaugural Barac Obama by (Rohmawati, 2016). while for non-english speakers it was done to Xi Jinping's speech by (su, 2016) using Appraisal theory. In this study focus of study AHY speakers.
    [Show full text]
  • Islamist Buzzers: Message Flooding, Offline Outreach, and Astroturfing Seto, Ario
    www.ssoar.info Islamist Buzzers: Message Flooding, Offline Outreach, and Astroturfing Seto, Ario Veröffentlichungsversion / Published Version Zeitschriftenartikel / journal article Empfohlene Zitierung / Suggested Citation: Seto, A. (2019). Islamist Buzzers: Message Flooding, Offline Outreach, and Astroturfing. ASEAS - Austrian Journal of South-East Asian Studies, 12(2), 187-208. https://doi.org/10.14764/10.ASEAS-0021 Nutzungsbedingungen: Terms of use: Dieser Text wird unter einer CC BY-NC-ND Lizenz This document is made available under a CC BY-NC-ND Licence (Namensnennung-Nicht-kommerziell-Keine Bearbeitung) zur (Attribution-Non Comercial-NoDerivatives). For more Information Verfügung gestellt. Nähere Auskünfte zu den CC-Lizenzen finden see: Sie hier: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/deed.de Aktuelle Südostasienforschung Current Research on Southeast Asia Islamist Buzzers: Message Flooding, Offline Outreach, and Astroturfing Ario Seto ► Seto, A. (2019). Islamist buzzers: Message flooding, offline outreach, and astroturfing.Austrian Journal of South-East Asian Studies, 12(2), 187-208. Based on ethnographic research on Islamist buzzers – social media political operators tasked with making particular online conversation subjects trend – in Indonesia, this article details the process of how the proliferation of insensitive message in both the online and offline realms plays a role in mobilizing those sympathetic to religious fundamental- ism. As this research shows, the interviewed buzzers were one of the driving forces behind the massive success of the fundamentalist Islamic Defenders Front (Front Pembela Islam, FPI) as they mobilized people to participate in the organization’s political rallies between 2016 and 2017. Driven by altruistic volunteerism and sense of community, these actors go beyond their duty as click-farmers.
    [Show full text]
  • Sales and Services February 2017
    ISSN 0970-7247 CONCEPTTHIRD English Monthly Annual Subscription Rs. 200 Vol. 30 No. 360 FEBRUARY 2017 Rs. 20.00 O Jakarta Gubernatorial Elections 2017 O Moldova’s Geopolitical Dilemma O Brazil’s Locomotive Breath O Corruption in Sino-World O Corruption in India O Ancient Temples of Kashmir THIRD CONCEPT, FEBRUARY 2017 1 2 THIRD CONCEPT, FEBRUARY 2017 CONCEPTTHIRD INSIDE Editorial An International Journal Imperiled World! 5 of Ideas B.K. Jakarta Gubernatorial Vol. 30 No. 360 FEBRUARY 2017 Rs. 20. 00 Election 2017 in Perspective 7 Third Concept aims at providing a platform where Igor Dirgantara a meaningful exchange of ideas can take place among the people of the Third World. The attempt will be Geopolitical Significance of Kazakhstan 11 to communicate, debate and disseminate information, Filippo R Omeo ideas and alternatives for the resolution of the common problems facing humankind. We welcome Moldova’s Geopolitical Dilemma 13 contributions from academics, journalists and even from those who may never have published anything Dr. Manabhanjan Meher before. The only requirement is a concern for and Brazil’s Locomotive Breath 16 desire to understand and take the issue of our time. Contributions may be descriptive, analytical or Nicola Bilotta theoretical. They may be in the form of original Combating corruption in the Sino-world 21 articles, reactions to previous contributions, or even a comment on a prevailing situation. All contributions, Ms. Lingbo ZHAO neatly typed in double space, may be addressed to: Popular Culture vs. Cinema in India 27 Editor Consulting Editor Ranjay K. Reddy Babuddin Khan M. L. Sharma Medical Education and Health Managing Editor Art Director Service in India 31 R.
    [Show full text]
  • The Journal of Social Sciences Research ISSN(E): 2411-9458, ISSN(P): 2413-6670 Vol
    The Journal of Social Sciences Research ISSN(e): 2411-9458, ISSN(p): 2413-6670 Vol. 4, Issue. 12, pp: 834-840, 2018 Academic Research Publishing URL: https://arpgweb.com/journal/journal/7 Group DOI: https://doi.org/10.32861/jssr.412.834.840 Original Research Open Access The Development of Teun Van Dijk Model: A Discourse Analysis Towards News Report of Jakarta Regional Election on Media Indonesia.com Published from November Until December 2016 Ayub Dwi Anggoro* University Muhammadiyah of Ponorogo Aziz Amin University Sultan Zainal Abidin Abstract The direct regional election of 2017 is one of the democracy parties celebrated by the people of Special Capital Region of Jakarta. As the capital of the country, this regional election brings special meaning for the people, communities, and parties participating in this election to become the highest sovereign of this region. Philosophically, it will be easier to win the next national election when a certain party becomes the sovereign of this Special Capital Region of Jakarta. In this case, news media has a very important role in providing good and useful information to the people and the community. The independence of media is expected to provide balanced, neutral information because it may greatly determine the quality of the ongoing regional election. As the opposite, there is also a possibility in which media is used as a tool to build political power. That is why there is a new phenomenon in which many media owners are involved and even actively participated in politics in Indonesia. The dynamics of the current communication technology development is started to be taken seriously by the media owners.
    [Show full text]
  • Survei-Nasional-Y-Publica-V03.Pdf
    METODOLOGI DAN RESPONDEN • Survei nasional ini menggunakan metode penelitian kuantitatif • Jumlah sampel adalah 1200 responden, dipilih secara acakbertingkat (multistage random sampling), mewakili 120 desa dari 34 provinsi di Indonesia • Pengumpulan data dilakukan dengan wawancara tatap muka kepada responden terpilih menggunakan alat bantu kuisioner • Tenaga pewawancara dalam survei ini adalah mahasiswa yang telah mendapatkan pelatihan • Estimasi margin error adalah 2,98% dengan tingkat kepercayaan 95% • Pengambilan data dilakukan pada 2-12 Mei 2018 KUALITAS UJI SURVEI Pra-Survei • Pelatihan metode survei dan kuesioner kepada tim enumerator oleh ahli survei • Pelatihan teknik wawancara kuesioner kepada tim pewancara yang terdiri dari mahasiswa • Diskusi terbatas tentang pertanyaan-pertanyaan dan target kuisioner Survei: • Spotcheck (pengecekan di lapangan) terhadap 20% responden yang dipilih secara acak • Call-back (20% responden secara acak) oleh tim untuk memastikan penarikan sampel responden dan wawancara dengan responden telah dilakukan dengan benar Pasca-survei • Entry data dan pengolahan data KOMPOSISI RESPONDEN Jenis kelamin Pendidikan Terakhir Suku Bangsa Laki-laki 49.7% Tidak Tamat SD 4.9% Jawa 40.2% Sunda 16.4% Perempuan 50.3% Tamat SD 14.4% Bugis 2.5% Tamat SMP 20.7% Minangkabau 2.7% Usia Tamat SLTA/Sederajat 47.2% Betawi 2.7% Pemilih Pemula (17-21) 7.2% Tamat Diploma (D1, D2, D3) 5.0% Batak 2.6% Pemilih Muda (22-35) 36.4% Tamat Sarjana (S1, S2, S3) 7.8% Melayu 2.5% Pemilih Dewasa (36-50) 31.8% Madura 2.4% Pemilih Matang (51-60)
    [Show full text]
  • Political Parties' Manoeuvring After the Jokowi-Prabowo Rapprochement
    ISSUE: 2021 No. 73 ISSN 2335-6677 RESEARCHERS AT ISEAS – YUSOF ISHAK INSTITUTE ANALYSE CURRENT EVENTS Singapore | 2 June 2021 Political Parties’ Manoeuvring after the Jokowi-Prabowo Rapprochement Max Lane* In this picture, Indonesian President Joko Widodo (Jokowi) (R) shakes hands with Defence Minister Prabowo Subianto (L) during the inauguration ceremony at the State palace in Jakarta on October 23, 2019. The rapprochement of Jokowi and Prabowo has resulted in the unusual absence of a polarising rivalry among the main political parties. Photo: Adek Berry, AFP. * Max Lane is Visiting Senior Fellow at the ISEAS – Yusof Ishak Institute, Lecturer in Southeast Asian Politics and History at Victoria University, and Honorary Associate in Indonesian Studies at the University of Sydney. 1 ISSUE: 2021 No. 73 ISSN 2335-6677 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY • The rapprochement of Jokowi and Prabowo has resulted in the unusual absence of a polarising rivalry among the main political parties. There are also no fundamental differences among parties over major policy questions. • The fractured nature of the Indonesian socio-political elite is instead reflected in the proliferation of small parties. This results in the necessity of multi-party coalitions, thus giving Indonesia’s largest party, the Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle (PDIP), a tactical advantage. • The PDIP has floated the possibility of changing the laws to allow President Joko Widodo to stand again in 2024. Perhaps to sustain its leverage in a post-Widodo government, the PDIP is also advocating the revival of the formal Broad Outlines of State Strategy, which featured during the Soeharto era as overarching policy guidelines for each term of government.
    [Show full text]
  • Islamist Buzzers: Message Flooding, Offline Outreach, and Astroturfing
    Aktuelle Südostasienforschung Current Research on Southeast Asia Islamist Buzzers: Message Flooding, Offline Outreach, and Astroturfing Ario Seto ► Seto, A. (2019). Islamist buzzers: Message flooding, offline outreach, and astroturfing.Austrian Journal of South-East Asian Studies, 12(2), 187-208. Based on ethnographic research on Islamist buzzers – social media political operators tasked with making particular online conversation subjects trend – in Indonesia, this article details the process of how the proliferation of insensitive message in both the online and offline realms plays a role in mobilizing those sympathetic to religious fundamental- ism. As this research shows, the interviewed buzzers were one of the driving forces behind the massive success of the fundamentalist Islamic Defenders Front (Front Pembela Islam, FPI) as they mobilized people to participate in the organization’s political rallies between 2016 and 2017. Driven by altruistic volunteerism and sense of community, these actors go beyond their duty as click-farmers. They maintain regular contact with sympathizers and convincing them to revive broken weblinks, hang banners on streets as part of astroturfing campaigns and gather masses to attend offline events. Detailing the activity and spatiality of buzzers in crafting new online and offline spaces as part of their innovative bottom-up propaganda management, this research concludes that right-wing political mobilization and radicalization are not simply the product of ideology but are catalyzed by technically and
    [Show full text]
  • Type Document Title Here
    Indonesia elections: three observations on Jokowi’s victory Blog post by Senior Associate Brigitta Kinadi, 16 May 2019 Although official results of the Indonesian presidential and parliamentary elections have not been released, quick count results suggest that incumbent president, Joko Widodo (Jokowi), has secured a second term. The latest projections show that Jokowi won with around 56% of the votes, while his opponent, Prabowo Subianto, received 44%. As Indonesia awaits official results and prepares for the inauguration of the next president in October, here are three thoughts on Jokowi’s victory and implications for his second and final term. First, Prabowo’s apparent refusal to accept the result may signal a period of volatility and uncertainty. Although Jokowi appears to have won the presidential election with a 12% margin, he did not achieve the 60% level that would have marked an overwhelming victory. Prabowo performed better than expected, which has emboldened him to claim – somewhat bafflingly – that he collected 62% of the votes and is the rightful winner of the election. Prabowo’s criticism of the General Election Commission (KPU) suggests that, just as he did in the last presidential election in 2014, he will likely contest the electoral results at the Constitutional Court. The court rejected his petition in 2014. Yet his persistent refusal to concede could destabilise the post- election period as a whole – to the point of mobilising his hard-line Islamist support base to protest in Jakarta and cause disruptions in the capital. Prabowo may have taken this route to simply extend his political relevance in Indonesia; but more worrying is how mass demonstrations in Jakarta would likely lead to further divisions in a country already grappling with increasing polarisation.
    [Show full text]
  • Diksi Dalam Retorika Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono
    IRFARIATI: DIKSI DALAM RETORIKA AGUS ... DIKSI DALAM RETORIKA AGUS HARIMURTI YUDHOYONO SEBAGAI CALON GUBERNUR DKI JAKARTA (DICTION IN AGUS HARIMURTI YUDHOYONO’S RHETORIC AS THE GOVERNOR CANDIDATE OF SPECIAL CAPITAL REGION OF JAKARTA) Irfariati Balai Bahasa Provinsi Riau Jalan Binawidya, Kompleks Universitas Riau, Panam, Pekanbaru 28293 Telepon: (0711) 316006 Pos-el: [email protected] Tanggal naskah masuk: 16 Desember 2016 Tanggal revisi akhir: 17 Mei 2017 Abstract AS a former TNI soldier then decided to participate in political battles for the election of Governor of DKI, Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono is clever at using rhetoric and having extensive vocabulary. Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono has a high ability to choose precisely which word is the most harmonious to represent his intentions or ideas, he is also able to use the word firmly, effectively, politely, and meaningful connotation. The purpose of this study is to describe the use of diction of Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono rhetoric when delivered a speech in the exposure of the vision, mission, and his outstanding programs as a candidate for Governor of Jakarta. This research used qualitative descriptive method by applying discourse analysis technique. This study showed that exposure speeches of vision, mission, and flagship programs of Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono as a candidate for Governor of Jakarta used connotation diction, denotation diction, scientific diction, popular diction, special diction, general diction, abstract diction, concrete diction, and jargon diction. Keywords: diction, rhetoric, Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono’s speech Abstrak SEBAGAI seorang mantan prajurit TNI yang memutuskan untuk ikut dalam pertarungan politik pemilihan Gubernur DKI ternyata Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono pandai beretorika dan luas kosakatanya.
    [Show full text]
  • Popularitas, Akseptabilitas, & Elektabilitas Kandidat Calon Presiden
    www.poltracking.com TEMUAN SURVEI NASIONAL PERSEPSI DAN PERILAKU PEMILIH MENJELANG PILPRES & PILEG SERENTAK 2019 “PETA ELEKTORAL & SKENARIO POROS KOALISI PILPRES 2019” TEMUAN SURVEI NASIONAL: 27 JANUARI – 3 FEBRUARI 2018 LATAR BELAKANG 2 Secara umum, pencalonan kandidat (candidacy) atau candidate nomination dalam banyak kasus dan kajian akademis telah menjadi residual function alias fungsi yang tersisa dari banyak fungsi partai politik seperti agregasi, representasi, dan sosialidasi politik. Diluar fungsi kandidasi, fungsi-fungsi partai politik sudah banyak pudar dan digantikan oleh institusi-institusi demokrasi lainnya seperti NGO, Ormas, dan Media. Parahnya, tendensi ini terjadi di banyak negara (Norris, 2008), termasuk Indonesia. Tetapi, pencalonan kandidat presiden di Indonesia mempunyai konsekuensi serius pada tiga isu elektoral sekaligus: partai politik, incumbency (pemerintahan/partai yang berkuasa) dan pemilih itu sendiri. Konsekuensi pertama, pencalonan presiden berimplikasi serius pada relasi antarpartai (interparty politics). Hak kandidasi presiden tetap berada dan dipegang oleh partai politik sebagai satu-satunya lembaga yang diakui konstitusi (UUD pasal 6A), namun partai ‘terpaksa’ harus saling merapat/menjauh karena prasyarat ambang batas pencalonan 20% yang baru saja diputus Mahkamah Konstitusi. Apalagi sistem kepartaian multipartai ekstrem di Indonesia—dimana tidak ada partai dominan bahkan partai yang melebihi 20% kursi—menyebabkan pencalonan presiden di Indonesia menggiring partai-partai untuk saling berkompromi baik secara ideologis maupun pragmatis. TEMUAN SURVEI NASIONAL 1200 RESPONDEN Temuan Surnas: 27 Januari – 3 Februari 2018 LATAR BELAKANG 3 Konsekuensi kedua, tingkat kepuasan publik terhadap kinerja inkamben (Job Approval Rating) merupakan pintu masuk penting untuk membaca trend dukungan terhadap inkamben baik presiden, wakil presiden, maupun para pembantu presiden (menteri). Tingkat kepuasan ini berkorelasi kuat pada trend dukungan dalam kontestasi politik elektoral.
    [Show full text]
  • CALON WAKIL PRESIDEN PENILAIAN ELITE, OPINION LEADER, DAN MASSA PEMILIH NASIONAL Temuan Survei Mei 2018
    CALON WAKIL PRESIDEN PENILAIAN ELITE, OPINION LEADER, DAN MASSA PEMILIH NASIONAL Temuan Survei Mei 2018 Jl. Kusumaatmaja No. 59, Menteng, Jakarta Pusat 10340 [email protected] | www.saifulmujani.com LATAR BELAKANG } Berbagai studi dan pengalaman pemilihan presiden selama ini menunjukan pentingnya persepsi pemilih tentang tokoh yang bersaing dalam Pilpres dan juga pemilihan kepala daerah. Persepsi ini sangat menentukan hasil akhir Pilpres atau Pilkada. } Persepsi tentang tokoh terutama berkaitan dengan persepsi atau opini atas “kualitas personal” tokoh-tokoh tersebut. } Opini yang reliable seseorang tentang tokoh-tokoh tak bisa dipisahkan dengan informasi yang dimilikinya tentang tokoh-tokoh tersebut. Survey Mei 2018 2 ... lanjutan } Untuk mendapatkan opini yang reliable tentang kualitas tokoh yang akan menjadi kontestan dalam politik dibutuhkan informan yang kompeten juga. } Di samping itu, sopistikasi pengertian kualitas tokoh juga menentukan informan macam apa yang dibutuhkan untuk mendapatkan opini yang reliable. } Pengertian kualitas tokoh menyangkut banyak dimensi: Kapabilitas/kompetensi termasuk menjaga kontinuitas program yang dinilai positif, integritas, empati, dan akseptabilitas. Survey Mei 2018 3 …lanjutan } Kapabilitas/kompetensi/kemampuan: memahami masalah, tahu yang terbaik dan harus dilakukan, mampu memimpin. } Integritas/track-record: bisa dipercaya, amanah, bersih dari cacat hukum, dari perbuatan tercela (moral). } Empati: bisa memahami kondisi dan bersimpati pada rakyat yang kurang beruntung. } Akseptabilitas:
    [Show full text]
  • Masalah Calon Presiden Populer
    DINAMIKA ELEKTORAL JELANG PILPRES DAN PILEG SERENTAK 2019 Temuan Survei: Nasional, 25-31 Maret 2018 Pengantar • Pemilihan Presiden (Pilpres) dan Pemilihan Legislatif (Pileg) akan dilakukan serentak pada 17 April 2019 yang akan datang. Rangkaian tahapan untuk itu sudah dilakukan sejak sekarang, dimana pendaftaran calon presiden (Capres) dan calon wakil presiden (Cawapres) akan dilaksanakan pada 4–10 Agustus 2018. • Karenanya, ada dua hal yang perlu diamati dari hal tersebut: • (1) Bagaimana peta besar kekuatan politik: peta kekuatan partai-partai, poros capres yang akan terbentuk dan peluang para capres? • (2) Bagaimana peta pemilih dalam Pilpres dan Pileg tersebut? • Survei nasional (surnas) Indikator Politik Indonesia (Indikator) Maret 2018 menemukan temuan menarik soal tersebut. Data surnas ini juga dilengkapi dengan temuan surnas sebelumnya (Februari 2018) dan survei opini publik yang dilakukan di Provinsi Jawa Barat pada 5-13 Maret 2018 dan Provinsi Jawa Tengah, 12-21 Maret 2018. Survei Nasional, Maret 2018 | 2 Metodologi • Populasi survei ini adalah seluruh warga negara Indonesia yang yang punya hak pilih dalam pemilihan umum, yakni mereka yang sudah berumur 17 tahun atau lebih, atau sudah menikah ketika survei dilakukan. • Dari populasi itu dipilih secara random menggunakan metode multistage random sampling. • Responden terpilih diwawancarai lewat tatap muka oleh pewawancara yang telah dilatih. • Quality control terhadap hasil wawancara dilakukan secara random sebesar 20% dari total sampel oleh supervisor dengan kembali mendatangi responden terpilih (spot check). Dalam quality control tidak ditemukan kesalahan berarti. • Jumlah sampel untuk survei nasional Maret 2018 sebanyak 1200 responden. Margin of error sekitar +/- 2.9% pada tingkat kepercayaan 95% (dengan asumsi simple random sampling). Jumlah sampel surnas Februari 2018 sebanyak 2020 responden.
    [Show full text]