The Plurinational State of Bolivia Country Program Evaluation, FY05–13

The Plurinational State of Bolivia Country Program Evaluation, FY05–13 An Independent Evaluation © 2015 International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank 1818 H Street NW Washington DC 20433 Telephone: 202-473-1000 Internet: www.worldbank.org This work is a product of the staff of The World Bank with external contributions. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this work do not necessarily reflect the views of The World Bank, its Board of Executive Directors, or the governments they represent. The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in this work. The boundaries, colors, denominations, and other information shown on any map in this work do not imply any judgment on the part of The World Bank concerning the legal status of any territory or the endorsement or acceptance of such boundaries. Rights and Permissions The material in this work is subject to copyright. Because The World Bank encourages dissemination of its knowledge, this work may be reproduced, in whole or in part, for noncommercial purposes as long as full attribution to this work is given. Any queries on rights and licenses, including subsidiary rights, should be addressed to World Bank Publications, The World Bank Group, 1818 H Street NW, Washington, DC 20433, USA; fax: 202-522-2625; e- mail: [email protected]. ii Contents ABBREVIATIONS .................................................................................................................................. V ACKNOWLEDGMENTS ....................................................................................................................... VII OVERVIEW ............................................................................................................................................ IX 1. COUNTRY CONTEXT AND PURPOSE OF THE EVALUATION .............................................. 1 World Bank Group Support Prior to 2005 ................................................................................................................. 2 Evaluation Objectives and Report Structure ............................................................................................................. 3 References ................................................................................................................................................................ 4 2. WORLD BANK GROUP ASSISTANCE TO BOLIVIA, FY05–13 .............................................. 5 World Bank Group Instruments and Performance .................................................................................................... 7 Coordination with Development Partners .................................................................................................................. 9 References .............................................................................................................................................................. 10 3. MACROECONOMIC AND FISCAL STABILITY ...................................................................... 12 World Bank Group Strategy and Support Program ................................................................................................. 14 Assessment and Lessons ....................................................................................................................................... 15 References .............................................................................................................................................................. 15 4. GOVERNANCE AND INSTITUTIONS FOR EFFECTIVE USE OF RESOURCES .................. 17 World Bank Group Strategy .................................................................................................................................... 18 World Bank Group Program .................................................................................................................................... 19 Assessment and Lessons ....................................................................................................................................... 22 References .............................................................................................................................................................. 24 5. ECONOMIC DIVERSIFICATION AND JOB CREATION ......................................................... 25 World Bank Group Strategy .................................................................................................................................... 27 World Bank Group Program .................................................................................................................................... 28 Assessment and Lessons ....................................................................................................................................... 38 References .............................................................................................................................................................. 43 6. HUMAN CAPITAL DEVELOPMENT ....................................................................................... 46 World Bank Group Strategy .................................................................................................................................... 47 World Bank Group Program .................................................................................................................................... 48 Assessment and Lessons ....................................................................................................................................... 51 References .............................................................................................................................................................. 53 7. CROSS-CUTTING ISSUES ..................................................................................................... 54 Environment ............................................................................................................................................................ 54 iii CONTENTS Gender .................................................................................................................................................................... 57 References .............................................................................................................................................................. 60 8. CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS ........................................................................ 62 Outcomes of World Bank Group Support ................................................................................................................ 62 Recommendations .................................................................................................................................................. 64 BOXES Box 3.1. Regime for Hydrocarbon Extraction and Taxation ...................................................................13 Box 5.1. IFC Support for Business Regulation Reforms in Bolivia .........................................................34 Box 5.2. Inter-American Investment Corporation: SME Investment in Bolivia........................................41 FIGURES Figure 2. 1 World Bank Project Approvals, FY96–13 .............................................................................. 8 Figure 5.1. Foreign Direct Investment Inflows, Percentage of GDP .......................................................27 Figure 6. 1. Progress toward Achieving Millennium Development Goals ...............................................47 TABLES Table 2.1. Summary of the Pillars, Themes, and Bank Group Objectives .............................................. 6 Table 4.1. Summary Rating for Governance and Institutions for Effective Use of Resources ...............23 Table 5.1 Summary Rating for Economic Diversification and Job Creation ...........................................41 Table 6.1 Summary Rating for Human Capital Development ................................................................52 APPENDIXES APPENDIX A. COUNTRY PROGRAM EVALUATION RATINGS TABLE ........................................... 69 APPENDIX B. REFERENCE TABLES ................................................................................................. 72 APPENDIX C. LIST OF PROJECTS AND ECONOMIC SECTOR WORK, FY04–13 ........................... 76 APPENDIX D. GUIDE TO COUNTRY PROGRAM EVALUATION METHODOLOGY .......................... 80 APPENDIX E. PEOPLE INTERVIEWED ............................................................................................... 85 The Management Response, Management Action Record, and Chairperson’s Summary from the discussion of the Committee on Development Effectiveness for all four country program evaluations that are part of the clustered country program evaluation for resource-rich developing countries are found in the synthesis report. iv Abbreviations AAA analytic and advisory activities ABC National Road Administration APL Adaptable Program Loan CAE country assistance evaluation CAF Andean Development Corporation CAS country assistance strategy CCT conditional cash transfers CEM Country Economic Memorandum CFAA Country Financial and Accountability Assessment CPE Country Program Evaluation CPS country partnership strategy FAO Food and Agriculture Organization FES Social Enterprise Fund FY fiscal year GBI Grassroots Business Initiative GDP gross domestic product GEF Global Environment

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