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Table of Session Oral and Poster presentation (red written papers are not available) Session 1 Model Evaluation Session 2 : Air Quality Management ; the EU air quality directive Session 3 Urban Air Quality Modelling Session 4 Model Intercomparison Session 5 Street Canyon Models Session 6 Decision Support System Session 7 Meteorological Pre-Processing CORIA – UMR 6614. CNRS – UNIVERSITE & INSA DE ROUEN – France. Tel: 33 (0)2 32 95 97 82 - Fax: 33 (0)2 32 95 97 80 - E-mail: [email protected] - Http://www.coria.fr Session 1 Model Evaluation CORIA – UMR 6614. CNRS – UNIVERSITE & INSA DE ROUEN – France. Tel: 33 (0)2 32 95 97 82 - Fax: 33 (0)2 32 95 97 80 - E-mail: [email protected] - Http://www.coria.fr Table of contents Session 1 Model Evaluation Oral Presentation. Paper 1 QUALITY ASSURANCE OF URBAN DISPERSION MODELS M. Schatzmann & B. Leitl,Germany Paper 8 INTERCOMPARISON OF THE LAGRANGIAN AND EULERIEAN MODEL PREDICTIONS AT LOCAL SCALE WITH MEASURED CONCENTRATIONS V.Sandu, Romania Paper 13 SIMULATIONS OF ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION IN URBAN STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER E. Ferrero, D. Anfonssi, G Tinarelli, Italy Paper 20 EVALUATION OF A NON-GAUSSIAN PUFF MODEL T. Tirabassi, C. Mangia and U. Rizza, Italy Paper 24 STUDY OF TURBULENCE AND POLLUTANT DISPERSION UNDER NEUTRALLY AND UNSTABLY STRATIFIED ATMOSHERE UNSING A SECOND- ORDER EULERIAN MODEL C.H. Liu and D. Y. C. Leung, China. Paper 31 A LAGRANGIAN-PUFF DISPERSION MODEL: EVALUATION AGAINST TRACER DATA C. Mangia, U. Rizza, Italy Paper 38 EFFECTS OF CONCENTRATION FLUCTUATIONS ON STATISTICAL EVALUATIONS OF CENTERLINE CONCENTRATION ESTIMATES BY ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION MODELS J. S. Irwin, USA. Paper 51 PREDICTING CONCENTRATION FLUCTUATION WITH A PUFF-PARTICLE MODEL, AND ITS EVALUATION USING DRAFT ASTM PRACTICE Z 6849 Z P. De Haan, Germany. CORIA – UMR 6614. CNRS – UNIVERSITE & INSA DE ROUEN – France. Tel: 33 (0)2 32 95 97 82 - Fax: 33 (0)2 32 95 97 80 - E-mail: [email protected] - Http://www.coria.fr Paper 56 TURBULENT FLUCTUATIONS AND THEIR USE IN ESTIMATING COMPLIANCE WITH STANDARDS AND IN MODEL EVALUATION. D.J. Carruthers, C. McHugh, S.J. Dyster, D.J. Thomson, UK. Paper 58 COMPARISON OF MODEL EVALUATION METHODOLOGIES WITH APPLICATION TO ADMS 3 AND US MODELS C.A. McHugh, D.J. Carruthers, H. Higson & S.J. Dyster, UK Paper 63 A MODEL FOR SIMULATING ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION IN A LOW-WIND CONDITION S. Okamoto et al., Japan Paper 76 VALIDATION OF THE DEMOKRITOS DISPERSION MODELLING SYSTEM, BASED ON THE INDIANAPOLIS EXPERIMENT E. Davakis, S. Andronopoulos, J.G. Bartzis and S.G. Nychas, Greece. Paper 77 METHODOLOGY OF MODEL TESTING AND APPLICATION TO DISPERSION SIMULATION ABOVE COMPLEX TERRAIN E. Canepa and P.J.H. Builtjes, Italy and The Netherlands. Paper 80 THE DUTCH GAUSSIAN PUFF MODEL TSTEP 1.0: VALIDATION WITH THE COPENHAGEN AND KINCAID DATA SETS AND MODEL-COMPARISON WITH THE ATSTEP AND REM3 MODEL T. Hantke, H. Eleveld, The Netherlands Paper 98 URBAN AIR QUALITY MODELLING IN ELEVEN EUROPEAN DOMAINS P. Suppan and A. Skouloudis, Italy. Paper 104 A CONSIDERATION OF THE ‘MODEL VALIDATION KIT’ (BOOT) AND THE DRAFT ASTM VALIDATION PROCEDURES. N. S Cooper, U.K. Paper 105 MODEL VALIDATION KIT - RECENT DEVELOPMENTS H.R. Olesen, Denmark. CORIA – UMR 6614. CNRS – UNIVERSITE & INSA DE ROUEN – France. Tel: 33 (0)2 32 95 97 82 - Fax: 33 (0)2 32 95 97 80 - E-mail: [email protected] - Http://www.coria.fr Paper 108 VALIDATION OF THE DISPERSION MODEL CAR-FMI AGAINST MEASUREMENTS NEAR A MAJOR ROAD J. Härkönen, J. Walden, J. Kukkonen, A. Karppinen & K. Lusa, Finland Paper 111 COMPARISON AND EVALUATION OF DISPERSION CODES FOR INDUSTRIAL HAZARD PREDICTION: FINDINGS AND CONCLUSIONS FOR PRACTICAL DECISION MAKING D. Kogelschatz, Germany. Paper 114 DEVELOPMENT AND EVALUATION OF THE ADMS BUILDING EFFECTS MODULE A. Robins, C. McHugh, UK. Paper 117 INTERCOMPARISON BETWEEN K-EPSILON MODEL AND LARGE EDDY SIMULATION RESULTS FOR CONCENTRATION PREDICTION AROUND A CUBIC BUILDING. R. Y. Ikeda, JAPAN Paper 121 ON THE USE OF NON-STEADY-STATE MODELLING FOR REGULATORY APPLICATIONS J. S. Scire, USA. Paper 122 USE OF MONTE CARLO UNCERTAINTY STUDIES TO EVALUATE OZONE MODEL RESIDUALS (DIFFERENCES IN OBSERVED AND PREDICTED CONCENTRATIONS) S. R. Hanna & J. M. Davis, USA. Paper 142 A FRAMEWORK FOR EVALUATING THE PERFORMANCE OF AIR QUALITY MODELS A. Venkatram, USA. Paper 143 UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS OF MODELLING STUDIES INCLUDED IN AIR QUALITY ASSESSMENTS N. Moussiopoulos, P. Sahm, S. Münchow, D. Tonnesen, F. de Leeuw & L. Tarrasón, Greece, The Netherlands & Norway CORIA – UMR 6614. CNRS – UNIVERSITE & INSA DE ROUEN – France. Tel: 33 (0)2 32 95 97 82 - Fax: 33 (0)2 32 95 97 80 - E-mail: [email protected] - Http://www.coria.fr Table of contents Session 1 Model Evaluation Poster Presentation Paper 12 UTILIZATION AND INTEGRATION OF INTERDISCIPLINARY COMPUTER MODELS AS A TOOL FOR ANALYZING OZONE PRODUCTION FROM TRANSPORTATION SOURCES D. O. Ranmar, M. Luria, J. Kalpan, I. Mahrer, Israel Paper 30 PHOTOCHEMICAL SMOG MODELLING IN PRAGUE J.Bednar, J. Brechler & T.Halenka, Czech Republic. Paper 34 DEVELOPMENT AND REGIONAL APPLICATION OF A PHOTOCHEMICAL OXIDANT DISPERSION/REACTIVITY MODEL C.Schadkowski, V.Nollet, C. Devaux and J.C. Dechaux, France Paper 47 COMPARISON BETWEEN DIFFERENT DISPERTION MODELS WITH WIND TUNEL ACALE MEASUREMENTS G. Corti, D.Manfrida, B. Contini, Italy. Paper 60 CONCENTRATION MEASUREMENTS BY PLANAR LASER INDUCTED FLUORESCENCE, APPLICATION TO THE ATMOSPHERIC BOUNDARY LAYER. F. Grazinni, J.George, , France. Paper 64 URAHFREP : UNDERSTANDING THE DISPERSION OF INDUSTRIAL RELEASES OF ANHYDROUS HYDROGEN FLUORIDE AND THE ASSOCIATED RISK TO THE ENVIRONMENT AND PEOPLE. S.R. Porter, A. Tregourès, P. Saint-Donnet, UK & France. Paper 70 FIELD TRACER EXPERIMENTS OVER NUCLEAR SITES FOR THE VALIDATION OF KOREAN REAL-TIME ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION AND DOSE ASSESSMENT SYSTEM : FADAS M.H. Han, E.H. Kim, W.T. Hwang and Y.G. Choi, Korea. CORIA – UMR 6614. CNRS – UNIVERSITE & INSA DE ROUEN – France. Tel: 33 (0)2 32 95 97 82 - Fax: 33 (0)2 32 95 97 80 - E-mail: [email protected] - Http://www.coria.fr Paper 71 PARAMETERS FOR A SIMPLE EMPIRICAL MODEL OF BUILDING- INFLUENCED DISPERSION BASED ON FIELD AND WIND TUNNEL EXPERIMENTS I. Mavroidis, U.K. Paper 75 NEAR SURFACE OZONE CONCENTRATION EVALUATION AND PREDICTION IN BUDAPEST G. Baranka, L. Bozó, Hungary. Paper 79 EXPERIMENTAL AND THEORETICAL STUDY OF LONG-DISTANCE TRANSPORT OF DUST CLOUDS M.l A.Novitsky, V. Smirnov, Russia. Paper 93 COMPARISON OF THE INHERENT DATA ERROR IN PLUME RISE MODELS A. Wellens, R. Aguirre, Mexico. Paper 95 ANALYSIS AND DISCUSSION OF A MODEL APPLICATION TO AN OZONE EPISODE IN ALPINE FOREST SITES P. Simoni, G. Pirovano, E. Angelino , A. Ballarin Denti, G. Calori, S. Finardi, Italy & USA. Paper 96 HIGH RESOLUTION WIND TUNNEL DATA SETS FOR VALIDATION OF STREET CANYON DISPERSION MODELS E. LeHuuNho, B. Leitl, M. Schatzmann, Germany Paper 102 A DISPERSION STUDY OF THE AEROSOL EMITTED BY FERTILIZER PLANTS IN THE REGION OF SERRA DO MAR SIERRA, CUBATÃO, BRAZIL A. F. Sansigolo Kerr, D. Anfossi, J. da Costa Carvalho, S. Trini Castelli, Brazil Paper 126 VALIDATION OF THE EULERIAN POLLUTANT TRANSPORT MODEL POLTRAN-1-2.5 ON THE MODEL VALIDATION KIT D. Atanassov, Bugaria. Paper 134 EVALUATION OF AIR POLLUTION LEVELS IN KAUNAS (LITHUANIA) USING DANISH GAUSSIAN OML-MULTI MODEL D.Perkauskas, Lithuania. Paper 135 A SIMPLE THEORETICAL DETERMINATION OF THE SET OF EQUATIONS FOR BENT-OVER PLUME RISE R. L. Berger, USA. CORIA – UMR 6614. CNRS – UNIVERSITE & INSA DE ROUEN – France. Tel: 33 (0)2 32 95 97 82 - Fax: 33 (0)2 32 95 97 80 - E-mail: [email protected] - Http://www.coria.fr Session 2 Air Quality Management ; the EU air quality directive CORIA – UMR 6614. CNRS – UNIVERSITE & INSA DE ROUEN – France. Tel: 33 (0)2 32 95 97 82 - Fax: 33 (0)2 32 95 97 80 - E-mail: [email protected] - Http://www.coria.fr Table of contents Session 2 Air Quality Management ; the EU air quality directive Oral Presentation Paper 9 THE APPLICATION OF THE EULERIAN MODELS FOR AIR QUALITY PREDICTION AND THE EVALUATION OF THE EMISSION CONTROL STRATEGIES IN Canada J.A. Pudykiewicz, A.S. Kosio, Canada. Paper 10 A METHOD OF EVALUATING THE TOPOGRAPHICAL EFFECT ON ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION USING A NUMERICAL MODEL. Y. Ichikawa & K. Sada, Japan. Paper 43 PROPOSAL FOR THE CALCULATION OF THE HIGH PERCENTILES OF NO2 CONCENTRATIONS, NECESSARY FOR THE EXECUTION OF EU DIRECTIVE 1999/30/EC G. Clai, R. Berkowicz, I. Düring*, M. Ketzel, A. Lohmeyer, N. Moussiopoulos and S. Papalexiou, Denmark, Germany, Greece. Paper 49 PM10 MAP AND POPULATION EXPOSURE FOR SWITZERLAND J. Heldstab , P. de Haan, P. Fillinger, T. Kunzle, Switzerland. Paper 57 DETERMINATION OF COMPLIANCE WITH UK AND EU AIR QUALITY OBJECTIVE FROM HIGH RESOLUTION POLLUTANT CONCENTRATION MAPS CALCULATED USING ADMS-URBAN D.J. Carruthers, C.A. McHugh, S.G. Nixon, W. Oates, K. Simms & R.J. Singles, UK. Paper 66 MODELLING SIMULATION OF ROAD EMISSION ABATEMENT STRATEGIES ON NORTHERN ITALY. G. Finzi & M. Volta, Italy. CORIA – UMR 6614. CNRS – UNIVERSITE & INSA DE ROUEN – France. Tel: 33 (0)2 32 95 97 82 - Fax: 33 (0)2 32 95 97 80 - E-mail: [email protected] - Http://www.coria.fr Paper 73 ENFORCEMENT OF TRAFIC BANS : THE LESSON OF THE 1ST OCTOBER EXPERIENCE, A FIRST STUDY BASED ON THE AIRPARIF AIR QUALITY MODELLING TOOL F. Mietlicki, D. Gombert, France. Paper 91 URBAN OZONE LEVELS IN EUROPE: SIMULATIONS WITH THE OFIS MODEL P. Sahm, N. Moussiopoulos, Greece. Paper 92 EVALUATION OF A 3D FLOW AND POLLUTANT DISPERSION MODELLING SYSTEM TO ESTIMATE CLIMATOLOGICAL GROUND LEVEL CONCENTRATIONS IN COMPLEX COASTAL SITES S. Finardi, G. Tinarelli, A. Nanni, G. Brusasca, and G. Carboni, Italy. Paper 115 APPLICATION OF THE NEW EU AIR QUALITY DIRECTIVE TO AN ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT ASSESSMENT STUDY S.
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    Atmospheric Aerosol Properties and Climate Impacts U.S. Climate Change Science Program Synthesis and Assessment Product 2.3 January 2009 FEDERAL EXECUTIVE TEAM Director, Climate Change Science Program: ................................William J. Brennan Director, Climate Change Science Program Office: .....................Peter A. Schultz Lead Agency Principal Representative to CCSP, Associate Director for Research, Earth Science Division, National Aeronautics and Space Administration: .........................Jack Kaye Lead Agency Point of Contact, Earth Science Division, National Aeronautics and Space Administration: ...........................Hal Maring Product Lead, Laboratory for Atmospheres, Earth Science Division, Goddard Space Flight Center, National Aeronautics and Space Administration: ..........................Mian Chin Chair, Synthesis and Assessment Product Advisory Group Associate Director, National Center for Environmental Assessment, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency: ....................Michael W. Slimak Synthesis and Assessment Product Coordinator, Climate Change Science Program Office: ......................................Fabien J.G. Laurier EDITORIAL AND PRODUCTION TEAM Editors: ..........................................................................................Mian Chin, NASA ..........................................................................................Ralph A. Kahn, NASA ..........................................................................................Stephen E. Schwartz, DOE Graphic Design:
  • Evaluation of ISC3, AERMOD, and ADMS Dispersion Models with Observations from Five Field Sites

    Evaluation of ISC3, AERMOD, and ADMS Dispersion Models with Observations from Five Field Sites

    EVALUATION OF THE ADMS, AERMOD, AND ISC3 DISPERSION MODELS WITH THE OPTEX, DUKE FOREST, KINCAID, INDIANAPOLIS, AND LOVETT FIELD DATA SETS Steven R. Hanna*, Bruce A. Egan**, John Purdum***, and Jen Wagler**** *CSI MS 5C3, George Mason Univ., Fairfax, VA 22030-4444 USA **Egan Environmental, 75 Lothrop St., Beverly, MA 01915 USA ***17 Peters Way, North Attleboro, MA 02760 USA ****URS Greiner Woodward-Clyde, 38 Chauncy St., Boston, MA 02111 USA ABSTRACT The model evaluation exercise addresses the question whether the new models, ADMS and AERMOD, produce improvements over ISC3 when compared with a range of field observations. ADMS and AERMOD have similar state-of-the-art scientific components, whereas ISC3 contains 1960s technology. The five sets of field observations used in the statistical evaluation represent a cross-section of typical scenarios encountered by modelers. The OPTEX data base concerns non-buoyant tracer releases within an oil refinery complex, and the Duke Forest data base involves non-buoyant tracer releases from area and volume sources in an open field. The Kincaid, Indianapolis, and Lovett data bases all deal with buoyant plumes from tall stacks at power plants. However, the settings are quite different, since the Kincaid plant is surrounded by flat farmland, the Indianapolis plant is located in an urban environment, and the Lovett plant is sited in a valley surrounded by complex terrain with monitors at elevations higher than the stack. Analysis of the model performance measures suggest that ISC3 typically overpredicts, has a scatter of about a factor of three, and has about 33% of its predictions within a factor of two of observations.