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Climate Change TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH Number E-C271 May 2021 Critical Issues in Aviation and the Environment 2021 TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH BOARD 2020 EXECUTIVE COMMITTEE OFFICERS Chair: Carlos M. Braceras, Executive Director, Utah Department of Transportation, Salt Lake City Vice Chair: Susan A. Shaheen, Adjunct Professor, Co-Director, Transportation Sustainability Research Center, University of California, Berkeley Division Chair for NRC Oversight: Chris Hendrickson, Hamerschlag University Professor Emeritus, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania Executive Director: Neil J. Pedersen, Transportation Research Board TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH BOARD 2020–2021 TECHNICAL ACTIVITIES COUNCIL Chair: Hyun-A C. Park, President, Spy Pond Partners, LLC, Arlington, Massachusetts Technical Activities Director: Ann M. Brach, Transportation Research Board Richard Bornhorst, Principal, FACTOR, Inc., Silver Spring, Maryland, Freight Systems Group Chair Michael Griffith, Director, Office of Safety Technologies, Federal Highway Administration, Washington, D.C., Safety and Operations Group Chair George Avery Grimes, CEO Advisor, Patriot Rail Company, Denver, Colorado, Rail Group Chair Brendon Hemily, Principal, Hemily and Associates, Toronto, Ontario, Public Transportation Group Chair Nikola Ivanov, Deputy Director, Center for Advanced Transportation Technology Laboratory, University of Maryland, College Park, Young Members Council Chair Pamela Keidel-Adams, Regional Vice President, Kimley-Horn and Associates, Inc., Mesa, Arizona, Aviation Group Chair C. James Kruse, Director, Center for Ports and Waterways, Houston, Texas, Marine Group Chair Jane Lin, Professor, University of Illinois, Chicago, Sustainability and Resilience Group Chair Mark Reno, Principal Engineer, Quincy Engineering, Inc., Rancho Cordova, California, Highway Infrastructure Group Chair Elizabeth Rushley, Lawhon & Associates, Inc., Columbus, Ohio, Data, Planning, and Analysis Group Chair Fred R. Wagner, Partner, Venable, LLP, Washington, D.C., Legal Resources Group Chair Kathryn Zimmerman, Applied Pavement Technology, Inc., Urbana, Illinois, Policy and Organization Group Chair TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH CIRCULAR E-C271 Critical Issues in Aviation and the Environment 2021 Prepared by Transportation Research Board Committee on Environmental Issues in Aviation Submitted March 2021 Transportation Research Board 500 Fifth Street, NW Washington, D.C. www.TRB.org TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH CIRCULAR E-C271 ISSN 0097-8515 The Transportation Research Board is one of seven major programs of the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. The mission of the Transportation Research Board is to provide leadership in transportation improvements and innovation through trusted, timely, impartial, and evidence-based information exchange, research, and advice regarding all modes of transportation. The Transportation Research Board is distributing this E-Circular to make the information contained herein available for use by individual practitioners in state and local transportation agencies, researchers in academic institutions, and other members of the transportation research community. The information in this E-Circular was taken directly from the submission of the authors. This document is not a report of the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. It should be noted that although this E-Circular is titled 2021, much of the research and content development was completed over prior years. While the authors tried to incorporate updates throughout the editing timeframe, at some point the authors and editors needed to conclude the process to accept or add new content. For example, the E-Circular does not discuss the resulting changes from the 2020 covid-19 pandemic or President Biden and his administration’s focus on the environment and climate change. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS The individually authored sections of this report represent the viewpoints of the attributed authors. Members and friends of the Transportation Research Board (TRB) Committee on Environmental Issues in Aviation (AV030) also reviewed and contributed comments to these sections. Special thanks to Barbara Bottiger (Booz Allen Hamilton) for coordinating this report development and Pamela Middleton (Booz Allen Hamilton) for formatting. The TRB Committee on Environmental Issues in Aviation (AV030) welcomes comments on this report. Aviation Group Pamela Keidel-Adams, Chair Environmental Issues in Aviation Committee Arlyn Purcell, Chair (2020-Present) Jennifer Salerno, Chair (2014-2020) Anuja Mahashabde, Secretary Kate Andrus Robyn Kreimborg Gwendolyn Pelletier Richard Billings Michael Lamprecht Katherine Preston Michail Chester Prem Lobo Philip Ralston Elizabeth Delaney Richard Marchi Christopher Roof Chris Dorbian Jennifer Martin Megan Ryerson Mary Ellen Eagan Amber Woodburn McNair Carly Shannon Robert Gross Julia Nagy Arthur Shantz Jim Halley Hazel Peace Deborah Wilson Jim Hileman TRB Staff Christine Gerencher, Senior Program Officer Transportation Research Board 500 Fifth Street, NW Washington, D.C. 20001 www.TRB.org Contents Introduction ....................................................................................................................................1 1 Environmental Impacts of Aviation on Human and Natural Resources .........................3 1.1 Noise .................................................................................................................................4 Royce Bassarab, Natalia Sizov, Mary Ellen Eagan, Chrishanth Fernando, Tyler Spence, and Gary Young 1.1.1 Introduction ..............................................................................................................4 1.1.2 Current State ............................................................................................................8 1.1.3 Research Needs ......................................................................................................10 1.2 Air Quality .....................................................................................................................19 Richard Billings, Mohammed Majeed, and John Pehrson 1.2.1 Introduction ............................................................................................................19 1.2.2 Current State ..........................................................................................................23 1.2.3 Research Needs ......................................................................................................26 1.3 Climate Change .............................................................................................................33 Katherine Preston and John Lengel 1.3.1 Introduction ............................................................................................................33 1.3.2 Current State ..........................................................................................................36 1.3.3 Research Needs ......................................................................................................41 1.4 Water Quality ................................................................................................................45 Dean Mericas, Mary Ellen Tuccillo, Jennifer Burke, Kimberly Engle, and Jeffrey Longsworth 1.4.1 Introduction ............................................................................................................45 1.4.2 Current State ..........................................................................................................46 1.4.3 Research Needs ......................................................................................................59 2 Sustainable Solutions to Address Environmental Challenges ........................................63 2.1 Climate Change Adaptation Planning and Preparedness .........................................64 Carly Shannon and Kate Andrus 2.1.1 Introduction ............................................................................................................64 2.1.2 Current State ..........................................................................................................69 2.1.3 Future Vision .........................................................................................................76 2.1.4 Research Needs ......................................................................................................79 2.2 Carbon Reduction and Management ..........................................................................83 Veronica Bradley, Mary Johnson, Prem Lobo, and Robert M. Peterson iv 2.2.1 Introduction ............................................................................................................83 2.2.2 Current State ..........................................................................................................84 2.2.3 Future Vision .........................................................................................................88 2.2.4 Research Needs ......................................................................................................88 2.3 Aircraft Technology and Operations ..........................................................................92 Chris Dorbian 2.3.1 Introduction ............................................................................................................92 2.3.2 Current State ..........................................................................................................92 2.3.3 Future Vision .........................................................................................................97
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