2012 ELECTION 25 August 2012

CONTENTS

Page

Introduction ...... 1

Legislative Assembly Results Summary of Legislative Assembly Election ...... 3 Legislative Assembly Results by Electoral Division...... 6 By-elections 2008-2012 ...... 10 Summary of Two-Party Preferred Results ...... 11 Regional Summaries ...... 14

Symbols .. Nil or rounded to zero * Sitting MPs .… ‘Ghost’ candidate, where a party contesting the previous election did not nominate for the current election (n.a.) Not available

Party Abbreviations - Non-affiliated candidates ASXP Australian Sex Party CLP FNP First Nation's Party GRN Green IND Independent LAB Territory Labor OTH Others

Relevant dates Issue of Writ Monday 6 August 2012 Close of Electoral Roll 8pm Wednesday 8 August 2012 Close of Nominations 12 noon Friday 10 August 2012 Polling Day Saturday 25 August 2012 Declaration of Poll and Return of Writ Monday 3 September 2012 Late Date for Return of Writ Friday 28 September 2012

2 Antony Green – ABC Election Unit – July 2016 2012 Northern Territory Election

INTRODUCTION This paper contains a summary of the 2012 Northern Territory election. For each Legislative Assembly electorate, details of the total primary and two-candidate preferred vote are provided. Where appropriate, a two-party preferred count is also included. The format for the results is as follows:

First Count: For each candidate, the total primary vote received is shown. Percentage votes are calculated as a percentage of the formal vote for each electorate. Swing is calculated by subtracting the percentage vote received by a party at the 2008 election from the percentage received at the 2012 election. Where the parties contesting the district differ from the 2008 election, ‘ghost’ candidates (indicated by “….”) have been included representing candidates not contesting the current election. As a result, all primary swings add to zero, subject to rounding errors. All votes for the 2008 election have been adjusted to take account of the redistribution.

Final Count: Represents the two-candidate preferred count after the final distribution of preferences in an electorate. Two-candidate preferred percentages are calculated by dividing the two-candidate preferred vote for a candidate by the total formal vote. Two-candidate preferred swings are shown compared to the results of the 2008 election. Where the party composition of the final two candidates differs from the 2008 election, a ghost candidate appears and three swing figures are shown. Separate two-party preferred counts are also included in several electorates. All votes for the 2008 election have been adjusted to take account of the redistribution.

Two-Candidate Preferred versus Two-Party Preferred Results

The two-candidate preferred count for an electorate is defined as the final tally after the exclusion and distribution as preferences of votes from all other candidates. At each stage of the count, the candidate with the fewest votes is excluded, the excluded candidate's votes then distributed to candidates remaining in the count, based on the voter's preferences as indicated on the ballot paper. To achieve victory, a candidate must receive more than 50% of the vote remaining at the end of the count.

The two-party preferred count represents a distribution of preferences between candidates representing the Labor Party and the Country Liberal Party. Candidates are again excluded based on lowest progressive vote, though at some point the second lowest candidate is excluded to retain candidates representing the Labor and Country Liberal Parties. In most cases, the two-party preferred count will be the same as the two-candidate preferred count.

At the 2008 and 2012 Northern Territory elections, the only seat that required a separate two-party preferred count was nelson, won at both elections by Independent .

Note that this publication uses the final distribution of preferences as the source of two-party preferred counts. These totals have some slight differences from the table of two-party preferred results published as Appendix 'U' of the NT Electoral Commission's General Election Report.

Uncontested Electorates

The Labor Party won both Arnhem and Macdonnell as uncontested electorates at the 2008 election. This means that most total and summary tables in this publication are comparing the results of 23 contested electorates in 2008 with 25 in 2012. Where appropriate, notes have been included comparing only contested electorates.

The uncontested 2008 results mean it has not been possible to calculate change in vote and swing figures for Arnhem and Namatjira at the 2012 election.

Antony Green – ABC Election Unit – July 2016 1 2012 Northern Territory Election

Details of the redistribution

The following tables show the notional party status and margin of all seats following the electoral redistribution. Eleven of the 25 electorates were unchanged, and no electorate changed party status based on the new boundaries.

Estimated Changes to Electorate Margins Electorate Old Margin New Margin Arafura LAB 14.0% LAB 14.0% (Unchanged) Araluen CLP 24.7% CLP 247% (Unchanged) Arnhem LAB (n.a.) LAB (n.a.) (Unchanged) Barkly LAB 15.6% LAB 15.6% (Unchanged) Blain CLP 11.6% CLP 10.6% Braitling CLP 20.3% CLP 20.3% (Unchanged) Brennan CLP 2.7% CLP 2.7% Casuarina LAB 14.3% LAB 14.3% Daly LAB 5.8% LAB 5.8% Drysdale CLP 10.1% CLP 9.3% Fannie Bay LAB 1.1% LAB 0.9% Fong Lim CLP 2.1% CLP 4.3% Goyder CLP 8.4% CLP 8.4% (Unchanged) Greatorex CLP 16.5% CLP 16.5% (Unchanged) Johnston LAB 8.1% LAB 6.9% Karama LAB 10.8% LAB 10.8% Katherine CLP 8.4% CLP 8.4% (Unchanged) Namatjira (formerly Macdonnell) ALP (n.a.) ALP (n.a.) (Unchanged) Nelson IND 28.7% IND 28.7% Nhulunbuy LAB 24.2% LAB 24.2% (Unchanged) Nightcliff LAB 10.7% LAB 10.7% (Unchanged) Port Darwin CLP 2.9% CLP 2.9% Sanderson CLP 6.4% CLP 5.2% Stuart LAB 15.0% LAB 15.0% Wanguri LAB 14.9% LAB 14.7% (n.a.) – No margin available as Arnhem and Macdonnell were uncontested at the 2008 election.

Acknowledgement and Disclaimer

All results have been taken from the 2012 Legislative Assembly General Election Report and Statistics, published by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission. Note that two-party preferred results have been taken from the results of the distribution of preferences rather than the two-party preferred statistics in Table U of the General Election Report.

All calculations of percentages and swing are the responsibility of the author. This includes the re- calculation of the 2008 results to take account of the redistribution.

Antony Green July 2016

2 Antony Green – ABC Election Unit – July 2016 2012 Northern Territory Election

SUMMARY OF LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY RESULTS TERRITORY TOTALS

Candi Seats Party dates Won Change Votes % Votes Swing Country Liberal 25 16 +5 46,653 50.63 +5.23 Labor Party 25 8 -5 33,594 36.46 -6.72 Independent 10 1 .. 5,566 6.04 -1.08 Greens 10 .. .. 3,039 3.30 -1.00 First Nation's Party 8 .. .. 2,048 2.22 +2.22 Sex Party 5 .. .. 717 0.78 +0.78 Non-affiliated candidates 3 .. .. 526 0.57 +0.57 Formal 86 .. .. 92,143 96.77 +0.86 Informal 3,072 3.23 -0.86 Total Votes / Turnout (see Note) 95,215 76.91 +7.27 Election Enrolment 123,805 Note: There were two uncontested electorates at the 2008 election. The above table compares the 2012 turnout to the 69.64% turnout for the Territory in 2008. Comparing only the 23 electorates contested at both elections, the turnout rose from 75.65% in 2008 to 78.75% in 2012, a rise of +3.10.

Country Liberal gains from Labor (5) Arafura Arnhem Daly Namatjira (see notes) Stuart

Notes on Changes in Party Status was elected unopposed as the Labor MP for Macdonnell in 2008. She later resigned from the Labor Party, becoming an Independent before later joining the Country Liberal Party. She was elected for the Country Liberal Party at the 2012 election, while her electorate of Macdonnell was re-named Namatjira in the redistribution.

Antony Green – ABC Election Unit – July 2016 3 2012 Northern Territory Election

LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY: SUMMARY OF FIRST PREFERENCE VOTE BY ELECTORATE Electoral First Preference Votes Informal Total District CLP ALP GRN FNP OTH Votes Votes Roll Arafura 1308 1104 426 194 .. 148 3180 5477 Araluen 2487 848 .. 285 .. 137 3757 4817 Arnhem 1366 1102 ...... 76 2544 4902 Barkly 1162 1450 .. 467 131 122 3332 5137 Blain 2462 1343 .. 194 .. 142 4141 4980 Braitling 2372 613 321 .. 204 88 3598 4687 Brennan 2683 1493 ...... 99 4275 5061 Casuarina 1724 2512 ...... 89 4325 5031 Daly 1892 1445 187 109 68 214 3915 5329 Drysdale 2336 1142 .. .. 657 137 4272 5178 Fannie Bay 1639 1945 403 .. .. 109 4096 4879 Fong Lim 2050 1348 250 .. 113 116 3877 4883 Goyder 2731 1291 .. .. 369 142 4533 5323 Greatorex 1991 673 338 .. 512 99 3613 4606 Johnston 1552 1799 389 .. 258 160 4158 4879 Karama 1634 2072 229 .. .. 145 4080 4713 Katherine 2729 864 .. .. 537 77 4207 5174 Namatjira 1847 824 .. 253 .. 143 3067 5127 Nelson 1436 255 .. .. 1988 72 3751 4715 Nhulunbuy 641 1554 .. .. 629 136 2960 4719 Nightcliff 1260 1389 263 .. 982 131 4025 4797 Port Darwin 2023 1205 233 .. 185 96 3742 4730 Sanderson 2214 1872 .. 90 176 132 4484 5100 Stuart 1291 1035 .. 456 .. 176 2958 4706 Wanguri 1823 2416 ...... 86 4325 4855 TOTAL 46653 33594 3039 2048 6809 3072 95215 123805

4 Antony Green – ABC Election Unit – July 2016 2012 Northern Territory Election

LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY: SUMMARY OF PERCENTAGE VOTE BY ELECTORATE Electoral Percentage of First Preference Votes Informal District CLP ALP GRN FNP OTH Votes Turnout Arafura 43.1 36.4 14.1 6.4 .. 4.7 58.1 Araluen 68.7 23.4 .. 7.9 .. 3.6 78.0 Arnhem 55.3 44.7 ...... 3.0 51.9 Barkly 36.2 45.2 .. 14.5 4.1 3.7 64.9 Blain 61.6 33.6 .. 4.9 .. 3.4 83.2 Braitling 67.6 17.5 9.1 .. 5.8 2.4 76.8 Brennan 64.2 35.8 ...... 2.3 84.5 Casuarina 40.7 59.3 ...... 2.1 86.0 Daly 51.1 39.0 5.1 2.9 1.8 5.5 73.5 Drysdale 56.5 27.6 .. .. 15.9 3.2 82.5 Fannie Bay 41.1 48.8 10.1 .. .. 2.7 84.0 Fong Lim 54.5 35.8 6.6 .. 3.0 3.0 79.4 Goyder 62.2 29.4 .. .. 8.4 3.1 85.2 Greatorex 56.7 19.2 9.6 .. 14.6 2.7 78.4 Johnston 38.8 45.0 9.7 .. 6.5 3.8 85.2 Karama 41.5 52.7 5.8 .. .. 3.6 86.6 Katherine 66.1 20.9 .. .. 13.0 1.8 81.3 Namatjira 63.2 28.2 .. 8.7 .. 4.7 59.8 Nelson 39.0 6.9 .. .. 54.0 1.9 79.6 Nhulunbuy 22.7 55.0 .. .. 22.3 4.6 62.7 Nightcliff 32.4 35.7 6.8 .. 25.2 3.3 83.9 Port Darwin 55.5 33.0 6.4 .. 5.1 2.6 79.1 Sanderson 50.9 43.0 .. 2.1 4.0 2.9 87.9 Stuart 46.4 37.2 .. 16.4 .. 5.9 62.9 Wanguri 43.0 57.0 ...... 2.0 89.1 TOTAL 50.6 36.5 3.3 2.2 7.4 3.2 76.9

Antony Green – ABC Election Unit – July 2016 5 2012 Northern Territory Election

LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY ELECTORATE RESULTS

Arafura (CLP Gain) Roll 5477 Barkly Roll 5137 Candidate Party Votes % Swing Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count First Count Xavier CLP 1308 43.1 +6.6 Willey IND 131 4.1 +4.1 Pascoe GRN 426 14.1 +14.1 Shannon FNP 467 14.5 +14.5 Rioli ALP 1104 36.4 -9.7 McCarthy * ALP 1450 45.2 -15.8 Gadambua FNP 194 6.4 +6.4 Healy CLP 1162 36.2 +8.7 .... IND 0.0 -17.3 .... OTH 0.0 -11.6 Final Count Final Count Xavier CLP 1547 51.0 +15.0 McCarthy * ALP 1849 57.6 -8.0 Rioli ALP 1485 49.0 -15.0 Healy CLP 1361 42.4 +8.0 Formal 3032 95.3 +1.3 Formal 3210 96.3 +1.0 Informal 148 4.7 -1.3 Informal 122 3.7 -1.0 Total / Turnout 3180 58.1 Total / Turnout 3332 64.9 Note: Sitting Labor MP Marion Scrymgour did not contest the election. Blain Roll 4980

Araluen Roll 4817 Candidate Party Votes % Swing Candidate Party Votes % Swing First Count Fejo FNP 194 4.9 +4.9 First Count Bahnert ALP 1343 33.6 -5.8 Baxter FNP 285 7.9 +7.9 Mills * CLP 2462 61.6 +0.9 Lambley * CLP 2487 68.7 +0.4 Findlay ALP 848 23.4 +6.3 Final Count .... GRN 0.0 -14.6 Bahnert ALP 1470 36.8 -2.6 Mills * CLP 2529 63.2 +2.6 Final Count Lambley * CLP 2612 72.2 -2.5 Formal 3999 96.6 +1.7 Findlay ALP 1008 27.8 +2.5 Informal 142 3.4 -1.7 Total / Turnout 4141 83.2 Formal 3620 96.4 -1.2 Informal 137 3.6 +1.2

Total / Turnout 3757 78.0 Braitling Roll 4687

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Arnhem (CLP Gain) Roll 4902 First Count Candidate Party Votes % Swing Furphy IND 204 5.8 +5.8 Rock ALP 613 17.5 +4.7 First Count Giles * CLP 2372 67.6 +9.3 McCarthy * ALP 1102 44.7 (n.a.) Shaw GRN 321 9.1 -5.8 Lee CLP 1366 55.3 (n.a.) .... OTH 0.0 -14.1 Final Count Final Count McCarthy * ALP 1102 44.7 (n.a.) Rock ALP 925 26.4 -0.2 Lee CLP 1366 55.3 (n.a.) Giles * CLP 2585 73.6 +0.2 Formal 2468 97.0 (n.a.) Formal 3510 97.6 +0.4 Informal 76 3.0 (n.a.) Informal 88 2.4 -0.4 Total / Turnout 2544 51.9 Total / Turnout 3598 76.8 Note: Swing details not available as Arnhem was uncontested at the 2008 election.

6 Antony Green – ABC Election Unit – July 2016 2012 Northern Territory Election

Brennan Roll 5061 Drysdale Roll 5178 Candidate Party Votes % Swing Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count First Count Chandler * CLP 2683 64.2 +11.6 Burke ALP 1142 27.6 -8.7 Jeffrey ALP 1493 35.8 -11.6 Bohlin * IND 657 15.9 +15.9 Finocchiaro CLP 2336 56.5 +1.3 Final Count .... OTH 0.0 -8.5 Chandler * CLP 2683 64.2 +11.6 Jeffrey ALP 1493 35.8 -11.6 Final Count Burke ALP 1436 34.7 -6.0 Formal 4176 97.7 +1.9 Finocchiaro CLP 2699 65.3 +6.0 Informal 99 2.3 -1.9 Total / Turnout 4275 84.5 Formal 4135 96.8 +0.8 Informal 137 3.2 -0.8 Total / Turnout 4272 82.5

Casuarina Roll 5031 Note: Sitting MP Ross Bohlin was defeated for Country Liberal pre-selection and re-contested as an Candidate Party Votes % Swing Independent.

First Count Vatskalis * ALP 2512 59.3 -4.8 Fannie Bay Roll 4879 Johnson CLP 1724 40.7 +5.3 .... OTH 0.0 -0.5 Candidate Party Votes % Swing

Final Count First Count Vatskalis * ALP 2512 59.3 -5.0 Gunner * ALP 1945 48.8 -1.3 Johnson CLP 1724 40.7 +5.0 Bird GRN 403 10.1 +8.9 Formal 4236 97.9 +2.9 Clementson CLP 1639 41.1 -7.6 Informal 89 2.1 -2.9 Final Count Total / Turnout 4325 86.0 Gunner * ALP 2263 56.8 +5.9 Clementson CLP 1724 43.2 -5.9

Formal 3987 97.3 +2.5 Daly (CLP Gain) Roll 5329 Informal 109 2.7 -2.5 Candidate Party Votes % Swing Total / Turnout 4096 84.0

First Count Higgins CLP 1892 51.1 +14.2 Fong Lim Roll 4883 Pollock GRN 187 5.1 -3.8 Jenkins - 68 1.8 +1.8 Candidate Party Votes % Swing Knight * ALP 1445 39.0 -7.9 Risk FNP 109 2.9 +2.9 First Count .... OTH 0.0 -7.3 Marsh ALP 1348 35.8 -9.3 Burnheim ASXP 113 3.0 +3.0 Final Count Tollner * CLP 2050 54.5 +0.7 Higgins CLP 2025 54.7 +10.5 Haubrick GRN 250 6.6 +6.6 Knight * ALP 1676 45.3 -10.5 .... OTH 0.0 -1.0 Formal 3701 94.5 -0.7 Final Count Informal 214 5.5 +0.7 Marsh ALP 1607 42.7 -3.0 Total / Turnout 3915 73.5 Tollner * CLP 2154 57.3 +3.0

Formal 3761 97.0 +1.8

Informal 116 3.0 -1.8 Total / Turnout 3877 79.4

Antony Green – ABC Election Unit – July 2016 7 2012 Northern Territory Election

Goyder Roll 5323 Karama Roll 4713 Candidate Party Votes % Swing Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count First Count Purick * CLP 2731 62.2 +3.8 Lawrie * ALP 2072 52.7 -3.5 Kearney - 369 8.4 +8.4 Kelly CLP 1634 41.5 +6.4 Smith ALP 1291 29.4 -12.2 Elcoate GRN 229 5.8 +5.8 .... OTH 0.0 -8.7 Final Count Purick * CLP 2929 66.7 +8.3 Final Count Smith ALP 1462 33.3 -8.3 Lawrie * ALP 2219 56.4 -4.4 Kelly CLP 1716 43.6 +4.4 Formal 4391 96.9 +1.2 Informal 142 3.1 -1.2 Formal 3935 96.4 +0.5 Total / Turnout 4533 85.2 Informal 145 3.6 -0.5 Total / Turnout 4080 86.6

Greatorex Roll 4606 Katherine Roll 5174 Candidate Party Votes % Swing Candidate Party Votes % Swing First Count Foley ALP 673 19.2 -1.2 First Count Roullet GRN 338 9.6 -8.8 King ALP 864 20.9 -10.5 Walcott IND 512 14.6 +14.6 Westra van Holthe * CLP 2729 66.1 +15.1 Conlan * CLP 1991 56.7 -4.5 Cummings IND 537 13.0 +13.0 .... OTH 0.0 -17.7 Final Count Foley ALP 1236 35.2 +1.7 Final Count Conlan * CLP 2278 64.8 -1.7 King ALP 1146 27.7 -13.8 Westra van Holthe * CLP 2984 72.3 +13.8 Formal 3514 97.3 -0.3 Informal 99 2.7 +0.3 Formal 4130 98.2 +1.5 Total / Turnout 3613 78.4 Informal 77 1.8 -1.5 Total / Turnout 4207 81.3

Johnston Roll 4879 Namatjira (CLP Gain) Roll 5127 Candidate Party Votes % Swing Candidate Party Votes % Swing First Count Bussa - 89 2.2 +2.2 First Count Metcalf ASXP 169 4.2 +4.2 Rogers ALP 824 28.2 (n.a.) Parrott-Jolly GRN 389 9.7 +9.7 Anderson * CLP 1847 63.2 (n.a.) Sangster CLP 1552 38.8 -4.3 Williams FNP 253 8.7 (n.a.) Vowles ALP 1799 45.0 -11.9 Final Count Final Count Rogers ALP 918 31.4 (n.a.) Sangster CLP 1773 44.3 +1.3 Anderson * CLP 2006 68.6 (n.a.) Vowles ALP 2225 55.7 -1.3 Formal 2924 95.3 (n.a.) Formal 3998 96.2 +1.2 Informal 143 4.7 (n.a.) Informal 160 3.8 -1.2 Total / Turnout 3067 59.8 Total / Turnout 4158 85.2 Note: New name for the former electorate of Note: Sitting Labor MP Chris Burns did not contest Macdonnell. The seat was uncontested at the 2008 the election. election which means swing figures are not available. Anderson was elected as a Labor MP at the 2008, election. She later became and Independent before joining the Country Liberal Party and being elected for the party in 2012. Shown as a CLP gain due to Anderson's change in party membership.

8 Antony Green – ABC Election Unit – July 2016 2012 Northern Territory Election

Nelson Roll 4715 Port Darwin Roll 4730 Candidate Party Votes % Swing Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count First Count McAlear ALP 255 6.9 -1.8 Leunig ASXP 185 5.1 +5.1 Wood * IND 1988 54.0 -17.9 Elferink * CLP 2023 55.5 +8.6 Cole CLP 1436 39.0 +19.8 Andrews GRN 233 6.4 -9.6 James ALP 1205 33.0 -4.0 Final Count Wood * IND 2177 59.2 -19.3 Final Count Cole CLP 1502 40.8 +19.3 Elferink * CLP 2173 59.6 +6.7 James ALP 1473 40.4 -6.7 Two-Party Preferred McAlear ALP 1203 32.7 +1.2 Formal 3646 97.4 +0.5 Cole CLP 2477 67.3 -1.2 Informal 96 2.6 -0.5 Total / Turnout 3742 79.1 Formal 3679 98.1 +0.5 Informal 72 1.9 -0.5 Total / Turnout 3751 79.6 Sanderson Roll 5100 Candidate Party Votes % Swing Nhulunbuy Roll 4719 First Count Candidate Party Votes % Swing Green ALP 1872 43.0 -1.8 Styles * CLP 2214 50.9 -4.3 First Count Magriplis FNP 90 2.1 +2.1 Fanning CLP 641 22.7 -3.1 Briggs ASXP 176 4.0 +4.0 Trudgen IND 629 22.3 +22.3 Walker * ALP 1554 55.0 -19.1 Final Count Green ALP 2040 46.9 +2.0 Final Count Styles * CLP 2312 53.1 -2.0 Fanning CLP 876 31.0 +5.2 Walker * ALP 1948 69.0 -5.2 Formal 4352 97.1 +2.8 Informal 132 2.9 -2.8 Formal 2824 95.4 -0.8 Total / Turnout 4484 87.9 Informal 136 4.6 +0.8 Total / Turnout 2960 62.7

Stuart (CLP Gain) Roll 4706

Nightcliff Roll 4797 Candidate Party Votes % Swing

Candidate Party Votes % Swing First Count Price CLP 1291 46.4 +11.5 First Count Hampton * ALP 1035 37.2 -27.8 Fyles ALP 1389 35.7 -7.3 Ryan FNP 456 16.4 +16.4 Gale GRN 263 6.8 -17.0 .... OTH 0.0 -0.1 Blanch IND 722 18.5 +18.5 Arthur IND 16 0.4 +0.4 Final Count Wardle ASXP 74 1.9 +1.9 Price CLP 1489 53.5 +18.5 Rudge IND 170 4.4 +4.4 Hampton * ALP 1293 46.5 -18.5 Loveday CLP 1260 32.4 -0.9 Formal 2782 94.1 -1.5 Final Count Informal 176 5.9 +1.5 Fyles ALP 2304 59.2 -1.5 Total / Turnout 2958 62.9 Loveday CLP 1590 40.8 +1.5 Formal 3894 96.7 -0.2 Informal 131 3.3 +0.2 Total / Turnout 4025 83.9 Note: Sitting Labor MP Jane Aagaard did not contest the election.

Antony Green – ABC Election Unit – July 2016 9 2012 Northern Territory Election

Wanguri Roll 4855 By-Elections 2008-2012 Candidate Party Votes % Swing Araluen Roll 5024 First Count (9 Oct 2010: Resignation of ) Henderson * ALP 2416 57.0 -3.6 Harker CLP 1823 43.0 +12.7 Candidate Party Votes % Swing .... OTH 0.0 -9.1 First Count Final Count Lambley CLP 1935 68.0 -0.3 Henderson * ALP 2416 57.0 -7.7 Findlay LAB 909 32.0 +14.9 Harker CLP 1823 43.0 +7.7 ... GRN 0.0 -14.6 Formal 4239 98.0 +1.0 Final Count Informal 86 2.0 -1.0 Lambley CLP 1935 68.0 -6.7 Total / Turnout 4325 89.1 Findlay LAB 909 32.0 +6.7 Formal 2844 95.6 Informal 131 4.4 +2.0 Total / Turnout 2975 59.2

10 Antony Green – ABC Election Unit – July 2016 2012 Northern Territory Election

LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY: SUMMARY OF TWO-PARTY RESULTS BY ELECTORATE Electoral 2PP Votes 2PP Percent District Labor CLP Labor CLP Swing Arafura 1485 1547 49.0 51.0 15.0 to CLP Araluen 1008 2612 27.8 72.2 2.5 to Labor Arnhem 1102 1366 44.7 55.3 (n.a.) Barkly 1849 1361 57.6 42.4 8.0 to CLP Blain 1470 2529 36.8 63.2 2.6 to CLP Braitling 925 2585 26.4 73.6 0.2 to CLP Brennan 1493 2683 35.8 64.2 11.6 to CLP Casuarina 2512 1724 59.3 40.7 5.0 to CLP Daly 1676 2025 45.3 54.7 10.5 to CLP Drysdale 1436 2699 34.7 65.3 6.0 to CLP Fannie Bay 2263 1724 56.8 43.2 5.9 to Labor Fong Lim 1607 2154 42.7 57.3 3.0 to CLP Goyder 1462 2929 33.3 66.7 8.3 to CLP Greatorex 1236 2278 35.2 64.8 1.7 to Labor Johnston 2225 1773 55.7 44.3 1.3 to CLP Karama 2219 1716 56.4 43.6 4.4 to CLP Katherine 1146 2984 27.7 72.3 13.8 to CLP Namatjira 918 2006 31.4 68.6 (n.a.) Nelson (*) 1203 2477 32.7 67.3 1.2 to Labor Nhulunbuy 1948 876 69.0 31.0 5.2 to CLP Nightcliff 2304 1590 59.2 40.8 1.5 to CLP Port Darwin 1473 2173 40.4 59.6 6.7 to CLP Sanderson 2040 2312 46.9 53.1 2.0 to Labor Stuart 1293 1489 46.5 53.5 18.5 to CLP Wanguri 2416 1823 57.0 43.0 7.7 to CLP Total 40709 51435 44.2 55.8 5.1 to CLP Note: (n.a.) swing not available in seats that were uncontested at the 2008 election. Note that these totals are taken from the distribution of preferences in each seat, resulting in minor differences from the two-party preferred results in Table 'U' of the NTEC's General Election Report.

(*) Actual 2-Candidate Preferred Counts Winning Candidate Defeated Candidate Electorate Party Vote % Party Vote % Nelson IND 2177 59.2 CLP 1502 40.8

Distribution of 2-Party Preferred Preferences Territory Totals Primary Votes Prefs to Labor Prefs to CLP Electorate Votes % Votes % Votes % First Preference Votes 33594 36.5 46653 50.6 Total Preferences 11897 12.9 7115 59.8 4782 40.2 Two-Party Preferred 40709 44.2 51435 55.8 Note: Labor polled 41.9% of the major party first preference vote and the Country Liberals 58.1%.

Antony Green – ABC Election Unit – July 2016 11 2012 Northern Territory Election

LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY: ELECTORATES RANKED BY NEW MARGINS Electoral Margin Electorate Margin Country Liberals (16) Labor (8) Braitling 23.6 Nhulunbuy 19.0 Katherine 22.3 Casuarina 9.3 Araluen 22.2 Nightcliff 9.2 Namatjira 18.6 Barkly 7.6 Goyder 16.7 Wanguri 7.0 Drysdale 15.3 Fannie Bay 6.8 Greatorex 14.8 Karama 6.4 Brennan 14.2 Johnston 5.7 Blain 13.2 Port Darwin 9.6 Independents (1) Fong Lim 7.3 Nelson (IND v CLP) 17.3 Arnhem 5.3 Daly 4.7 Stuart 3.5 Sanderson 3.1 Arafura 1.0

Underline indicates seats that changed party status at the 2012 election.

LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY: ELECTORATES RANKED BY TWO-PARTY SWING 2-Party 2-Party Electorate Swing Electorate Swing Swing to Country Liberal Swing to Labor Stuart 18.5 Nelson 1.2 Arafura 15.0 Greatorex 1.7 Katherine 13.8 Sanderson 2.0 Brennan 11.6 Araluen 2.5 Daly 10.5 Fannie Bay 5.9 Goyder 8.3 Barkly 8.0 2008 Uncontested Seats Wanguri 7.7 Namatjira (n.a.) Port Darwin 6.7 Arnhem (n.a.) Drysdale 6.0 Nhulunbuy 5.2 Casuarina 5.0 Karama 4.4 Fong Lim 3.0 Blain 2.6 Nightcliff 1.5 Johnston 1.3 Braitling 0.2

Note: (n.a.) swing not available in seats that were uncontested at the 2008 election. Underline indicates seats that changed party status at the 2012 election.

12 Antony Green – ABC Election Unit – July 2016 2012 Northern Territory Election

LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY: ELECTORATES RANKED BY PRE-ELECTION MARGIN 2-Party 2-Party Electorate (Margin) Swing Electorate (Margin) Swing Nhulunbuy (ALP 24.2%) -5.2 Fong Lim (CLP 4.3%) -3.0 Barkly (ALP 15.6%) -8.0 Sanderson (CLP 5.2%) +2.0 Stuart (ALP 15.0%) -18.5 Goyder (CLP 8.4%) -8.3 Wanguri (ALP 14.7%) -7.7 Katherine (CLP 8.4%) -13.8 Casuarina (ALP 14.3%) -5.0 Drysdale (CLP 9.3%) -6.0 Arafura (ALP 14.0%) -15.0 Blain (CLP 10.6%) -2.6 Karama (ALP 10.8%) -4.4 Greatorex (CLP 16.5%) +1.7 Nightcliff (ALP 10.7%) -1.5 Nelson (IND 18.5%) +1.2 Johnston (ALP 6.9%) -1.3 Braitling (CLP 23.5%) -0.2 Daly (ALP 5.8%) -10.5 Araluen (CLP 24.7%) +2.5 Fannie Bay (ALP 0.9%) +5.9 Namatjira (n.a.) (n.a.) Brennan (CLP 2.7%) -11.6 Arnhem (n.a.) (n.a.) Port Darwin (CLP 2.9%) -6.7

Note: (n.a.) swing not available in seats that were uncontested at the 2008 election. Underline indicates seats that changed party status at the 2012 election.

LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY: ELECTORATES RANKED BY PRE-ELECTION MARGIN Electoral 2PP Votes 2PP Percent District Labor CLP Labor CLP Swing Marginal Country Liberal (4) 6613 9322 41.5 58.5 4.6 to CLP Safe Country Liberal (4) 5514 11141 33.1 66.9 7.7 to CLP Very Safe Country Liberal (3) 3169 7475 29.8 70.2 1.3 to Labor Country Liberal (11) 15296 27938 35.4 64.6 4.0 to CLP

Marginal Labor (2) 3939 3749 51.2 48.8 1.9 to CLP Safe Labor (3) 6748 5079 57.1 42.9 2.4 to CLP Very Safe Labor (6) 11503 8820 56.6 43.4 9.5 to CLP Labor (11) 22190 17648 55.7 44.3 5.8 to CLP

Very Safe Other (1) 1203 2477 32.7 67.3 1.2 to Labor Other (1) 1203 2477 32.7 67.3 1.2 to Labor

Note: Table excludes Arnhem and Namatjira, both of which were uncontested at the 2008 election.

Antony Green – ABC Election Unit – July 2016 13 2012 Northern Territory Election

Regional Summaries

The following tables summarise the results of the election by region. The Territory has been broken into two broad regions representing Greater Darwin and the rest of the Territory. Parts of Darwin have been further divided into Inner Darwin, Northern Suburbs, Palmerston and Darwin Rural. The rest of the Territory is divided into /Katherine and Pastoral/Remote.

The party that won each seat is shown in parenthesis. Underlining indicates seats that changed party at the election.

Greater Darwin Seats(14)

Inner Darwin (3) Fannie Bay (LAB), Fong Lim (CLP), Port Darwin (CLP)

Northern Suburbs (6) Casuarina (LAB), Johnston (LAB), Karama (LAB), Nightcliff (LAB), Sanderson (CLP), Wanguri (LAB)

Palmerston (3) Blain (CLP), Brennan (CLP), Drysdale (CLP)

Darwin Rural (2) Goyder (CLP), Nelson (IND)

Non-Darwin Seats (11)

Pastoral / Remote (7) Arafura (CLP), Arnhem (CLP), Barkly (LAB), Daly (CLP), Namatjira (CLP), Nhulunbuy (LAB), Stuart (CLP)

Alice Springs / Katherine (4) Araluen (CLP), Braitling (CLP), Greatorex (CLP), Katherine (CLP)

Greater Darwin Roll 69124 Non-Darwin Roll 54681 Party Votes % Swing Party Votes % Swing Country Liberals (7) 27567 48.9 +3.9 Country Liberals (9) 19086 53.4 +7.1 Labor Party (6) 22082 39.1 -6.4 Labor Party (2) 11512 32.2 -6.6 Greens 1767 3.1 +0.4 Greens 1272 3.6 -3.5 First Nations Party 284 0.5 +0.5 First Nations Party 1764 4.9 +4.9 Sex Party 717 1.3 +1.3 Others 2081 5.8 -2.0 Others (1) 4011 7.1 +0.4 Labor 2PP 14586 40.8 -7.0 Labor 2PP 26123 46.3 -3.7 CLP 2PP 21129 59.2 +7.0 CLP 2PP 30306 53.7 +3.7 Formal 35715 96.2 -0.1 Formal 56428 97.1 +1.4 Informal 1416 3.8 +0.1 Informal 1656 2.9 -1.4 Total / Turnout 37131 67.9 Total / Turnout 58084 84.0

14 Antony Green – ABC Election Unit – July 2016 2012 Northern Territory Election

Inner Darwin Roll 14492 Alice Springs / Katherine Roll 19284 Party Votes % Swing Party Votes % Swing Country Liberals (2) 5712 50.1 +0.2 Country Liberals (4) 9579 64.8 +5.1 Labor Party (1) 4498 39.5 -5.1 Labor Party 2998 20.3 -0.2 Greens 886 7.8 +2.6 Greens 659 4.5 -7.5 Sex Party 298 2.6 +2.6 First Nations Party 285 1.9 +1.9 Others 0 0.0 -0.3 Others 1253 8.5 +0.6 Labor 2PP 5343 46.9 -1.1 Labor 2PP 4315 29.2 -2.6 CLP 2PP 6051 53.1 +1.1 CLP 2PP 10459 70.8 +2.6 Formal 11394 97.3 +1.7 Formal 14774 97.4 +0.1 Informal 321 2.7 -1.7 Informal 401 2.6 -0.1 Total / Turnout 11715 80.8 Total / Turnout 15175 78.7

Northern Suburbs Roll 29375 Pastoral / Remote Roll 35397 Party Votes % Swing Party Votes % Swing Country Liberals (1) 10207 41.4 +2.2 Country Liberals (5) 9507 45.4 +13.0 Labor Party (5) 12060 48.9 -5.2 Labor Party (2) 8514 40.7 -17.1 Greens 881 3.6 -0.2 Greens 613 2.9 +0.8 First Nations Party 90 0.4 +0.4 First Nations Party 1479 7.1 +7.1 Sex Party 419 1.7 +1.7 Others 828 4.0 -3.7 Others 997 4.0 +1.1 Labor 2PP 10271 49.0 -15.4 Labor 2PP 13716 55.6 -2.7 CLP 2PP 10670 51.0 +15.4 CLP 2PP 10938 44.4 +2.7 Formal 20941 95.4 +0.1 Formal 24654 97.1 +1.5 Informal 1015 4.6 -0.1 Informal 743 2.9 -1.5 Total / Turnout 21956 62.0 Total / Turnout 25397 86.5

Palmerston Roll 15219 Party Votes % Swing Country Liberals (3) 7481 60.8 +4.7 Labor Party 3978 32.3 -8.5 First Nations Party 194 1.6 +1.6 Others 657 5.3 +2.2 Labor 2PP 4399 35.7 -6.7 CLP 2PP 7911 64.3 +6.7 Formal 12310 97.0 +1.4 Informal 378 3.0 -1.4 Total / Turnout 12688 83.4

Darwin Rural Roll 10038 Party Votes % Swing Country Liberals (1) 4167 51.6 +11.8 Labor Party 1546 19.2 -6.9 Others (1) 2357 29.2 -5.0 Labor 2PP 2665 33.0 -3.8 CLP 2PP 5406 67.0 +3.8 Formal 8070 97.4 +0.8 Informal 214 2.6 -0.8 Total / Turnout 8284 82.5

Antony Green – ABC Election Unit – July 2016 15 2012 Northern Territory Election

Members Elected

 Of the 25 members in the retiring Legislative Assembly, 18 were re-elected, 6 Labor, 10 Country Liberal, one Independent, plus Alison Anderson re-elected having switched from Labor to the Country Liberals since the 2008 election.  Three members retired, all Labor, and two were succeeded by new Labor MLAs in Johnston and Nightcliff, while Arafura was won by the Country Liberals.  Four members were defeated, three Labor as well as the Independent (ex-CLP) member for Drysdale Ross Bohlin.  There were seven new members, two Labor members replacing retiring MLAs, four Country Liberal MLAs winning Labor seats, and one being a replacement for a ex-CLP member.  The five seats gained by the Country Liberals represented the defeat of three Labor MLAs, the gain of a seat following the retirement of a Labor MLA, plus the switch of party by Alison Anderson.

Changes of Legsilative Assembly Membership 2008-2012 Electorate Departing MLA Cause New MLA Arafura Marion Scrymgour (LAB) Retired Francis Xavier (CLP) Araluen (CLP) Re-elected Arnhem Malarndirri McCarthy (LAB) Defeated Larisa Lee (CLP) Barkly Gerry McCarthy (LAB) Re-elected Blain Terry Mills (CLP) Re-elected Braitling (CLP) Re-elected Brennan Peter Chandler (CLP) Re-elected Casuarina (LAB) Re-elected Daly Robert Knight (LAB) Defeated (CLP) Drysdale Ross Bohlin (CLP/IND) Defeated (CLP) Fannie Bay (LAB) Re-elected Fong Lim (CLP) Re-elected Goyder (CLP) Re-elected Greatorex Matt Conlan (CLP) Re-elected Johnston Chris Burns (LAB) Retired Ken Vowles (LAB) Karama Delia Lawrie (LAB) Re-elected Katherine (CLP) Re-elected Namatjira Alison Anderson (LAB/IND) Re-elected Alison Anderson (CLP) Nelson Gerry Wood (IND) Re-elected Nhulunbuy Lynne Walker (LAB) Re-elected Nightcliff Jane Aagaard (LAB) Retired (LAB) Port Darwin (CLP) Re-elected Sanderson Peter Styles (CLP) Re-elected Stuart Karl Hampton (LAB) Defeated Bess Price (CLP) Wanguri Paul Henderson (LAB) Re-elected Bold indicates seats that changed party status at the 2012 election.

16 Antony Green – ABC Election Unit – July 2016