2008 ELECTION 9 August 2008

CONTENTS

Page

Introduction ...... 1

Legislative Assembly Results Summary of Legislative Assembly Election ...... 3 Legislative Assembly Results by Electoral Division...... 6 By-elections 2005-2008 ...... 10 Summary of Two-Party Preferred Results ...... 11 Regional Summaries ...... 14 Members Elected ...... 16

Symbols .. Nil or rounded to zero * Sitting MPs .… „Ghost‟ candidate, where a party contesting the previous election did not nominate for the current election

Party Abbreviations (blank) Non-affiliated candidates CLP GRN Green IND Independent LAB Territory Labor OTH Others

Relevant dates Issue of Writ Tuesday 22 July 2008 Close of Electoral Roll 8pm Thursday 24 July 2008 Close of Nominations 12 noon Monday 28 July 2008 Commencement of Mobile and Postal voting Thursday 31 July 2008 Polling Day Saturday 9 August 2008 Close of Receipt for Postal Votes 6pm Friday 15 August 2008 Declaration of Polls 10am Monday 18 August 2008 Return of Writ Monday 18 August 2008

2008 Northern Territory Election

INTRODUCTION

This paper contains a summary of the 2008 Northern Territory election. For each Legislative Assembly electorate, details of the total primary and two-candidate preferred vote are provided. Where appropriate, a two-party preferred count is also included. The format for the results is as follows:

First Count: For each candidate, the total primary vote received is shown. Percentage votes are calculated as a percentage of the formal vote for each electorate. Swing is calculated by subtracting the percentage vote received by a party at the 2005 election from the percentage received at the 2008 election. Where the parties contesting the district differ from the 2005 election, „ghost‟ candidates (indicated by “….”) have been included representing candidates not contesting the current election. As a result, all primary swings add to zero, subject to rounding errors. All votes for the 2005 election have been adjusted to take account of the redistribution.

Final Count: Represents the two-candidate preferred count after the final distribution of preferences in an electorate. Two-candidate preferred percentages are calculated by dividing the two-candidate preferred vote for a candidate by the total formal vote. Two-candidate preferred swings are shown compared to the results of the 2005 election. Where the party composition of the final two candidates differs from the 2005 election, a ghost candidate appears and three swing figures are shown. Separate two-party preferred counts are also included in several electorates. All votes for the 2005 election have been adjusted to take account of the redistribution.

Two-Candidate Preferred versus Two-Party Preferred Results

The two-candidate preferred count for an electorate is defined as the final tally after the exclusion and distribution as preferences of votes from all other candidates. At each stage of the count, the candidate with the least votes is excluded, and his or her votes are distributed to candidates remaining in the count based on the voter's preferences as indicated on the ballot paper. To achieve victory, a candidate must receive more than 50% of the vote remaining in the count.

The two-party preferred count represents a distribution of preferences between candidates representing the Labor Party and the Country Liberal Party. Candidates are again excluded based on lowest progressive vote, though at some point the second lowest candidate is excluded to retain candidates representing Labor and the Country Liberal Party. In most cases, the two-party preferred count will be the same as the two-candidate preferred count.

At the 2008 Northern Territory election, separate two-party preferred counts were conducted in electorates that did not finish as two-party contests. These two-party counts have been used where appropriate throughout this publication. For both the 2005 and 2008 elections, two-party preferred counts have been used for Braitling and Nelson.

Uncontested Electorates

The Labor Party won both Arnhem and Macdonnell uncontested when no other candidate nominated. This means that most total and summary tables in this publication are comparing the results of 23 contested electorates in 2008 with 25 in 2005. Where appropriate, notes have been included comparing only contested electorates.

Antony Green – ABC Election Unit – July 2011 1 2008 Northern Territory Election

Details of the redistribution

The following tables show the notional party status and margin of all seats following the electoral redistribution, based on re-allocating votes from the 2005 election. Note that on the new boundaries, both Drysdale and Goyder switched to become notional CLP seats.

State of Parties Labor Country Liberal Independent Total Result of 2005 Election 19 4 2 25 Estimate on new Boundaries 17 6 2 25

Estimated Changes to Electorate Margins Electorate Old Margin New Margin Arafura LAB 23.6% LAB 23.6% (No change) Araluen CLP 7.3% CLP 7.5% Arnhem LAB 23.9% LAB 21.3% Barkly LAB 23.0% LAB 24.2% Blain CLP 7.2% CLP 5.7% Braitling CLP 8.4% CLP 8.0% Brennan LAB 1.8% LAB 0.6% Casuarina LAB 19.0% LAB 18.3% Daly LAB 14.8% LAB 15.8% Drysdale LAB 1.3% CLP 0.5% Fannie Bay LAB 18.6% LAB 9.8% Fong Lim (formerly Millner) LAB 17.8% LAB 11.5% Goyder LAB 1.6% CLP 0.5% Greatorex CLP 1.4% CLP 0.4% Johnston LAB 15.6% LAB 16.8% Karama LAB 17.0% LAB 16.0% Katherine CLP 2.6% CLP 2.7% MacDonnell LAB 11.8% LAB 16.5% Nelson CLP 9.7% CLP 9.8% Nhulunbuy LAB 26.1% LAB 25.5% Nightcliff LAB 15.5% LAB 15.5% Port Darwin LAB 1.1% LAB 1.9% Sanderson LAB 8.4% LAB 10.0% Stuart LAB 21.0% LAB 18.9% Wanguri LAB 20.8% LAB 20.8%

Acknowledgement and Disclaimer

All results have been taken from the 2008 Legislative Assembly General Election Report and Statistics, published by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission.

All calculations of percentages and swing are the responsibility of the author. This includes the re- calculation of the 2005 results to take account of the redistribution.

Antony Green July 2011

2 Antony Green – ABC Election Unit – July 2011 2008 Northern Territory Election

SUMMARY OF LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY RESULTS STATE-WIDE TOTALS

Candi Seats Party dates Won Change Votes % Votes Swing Country Liberal 24 11 +5 36,334 45.40 +9.67 Labor Party 25 13 -4 34,557 43.18 -8.76 Independent 11 1 -1 5,696 7.12 -0.32 Greens 6 .. .. 3,442 4.30 +0.13 Others ...... -0.72 Formal 66 .. .. 80,029 95.92 -0.34 Informal 3,407 4.08 +0.34 Total Votes 83,436 Enrolment / Turnout – Contested Seats (23) 110,289 75.65 -5.70 Enrolment – Uncontested Electorates (2) 9,525 Enrolment / Turnout - Total 119,814 69.64 Notes: Swing calculated compared to 25 contested electorates in 2005. Excluding historic votes for the two uncontested electorates, the swing column would read Country Liberal (+9.05), Labor (-8.08), Independents (-0.61), Greens (+0.41), Others (-0.78).

The change in turnout figure is calculated by comparing the 2008 turnout in 23 contested electorates against turnout in the same electorates in 2005. Changes in electoral boundaries mean this comparison can only be approximate. Overall turnout at the 2005 election was 80.07%, 65.92% in Arnhem and Macdonnell and 81.35% in the reaming 23 electorates.

Total number of candidates for Labor includes the two members elected unopposed. There were no CLP candidates in Arnhem and Macdonnell but two nominated in Arafura.

Country Liberal gains from Labor (4 + 2) Brennan Drysdale (gained in redistribution) Fong Lim Goyder (gained in redistribution) Port Darwin Sanderson

Country Liberal gain from Independent (1) Braitling

Notes on Changes in Party Status The Country Liberal Party gained Braitling on the retirement of Independent MLA , and gained Brennan, Fong Lim (previously Millner), Port Darwin and Sanderson from the Labor Party. The Country Liberals also defeated Labor MPs in Drysdale and Goyder, but both of these seats had both become notional CLP seats following the redistribution.

Antony Green – ABC Election Unit – July 2011 3 2008 Northern Territory Election

LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY: SUMMARY OF FIRST PREFERENCE VOTE BY ELECTORATE Electoral First Preference Votes Informal Total District LAB CLP GRN Other Votes Votes Turnout Arafura 1300 1030 .. 487 179 2996 4924 Araluen 618 2470 526 .. 90 3704 4963 Barkly 1777 801 .. 338 144 3060 4702 Blain 1410 2258 .. .. 198 3866 4825 Braitling 449 2052 526 496 103 3626 4944 Brennan 1807 2009 .. .. 170 3986 4966 Casuarina 2397 1339 .. .. 199 3935 4680 Daly 1541 1212 292 240 162 3447 4662 Drysdale 1262 2020 .. 374 135 3791 4742 Fannie Bay 1878 1800 .. .. 203 3881 4943 Fong Lim 1685 1831 .. .. 191 3707 4885 Goyder 1556 2183 .. .. 169 3908 4699 Greatorex 735 2205 664 .. 89 3693 4823 Johnston 2246 1618 .. .. 205 4069 4931 Karama 2234 1398 .. 348 167 4147 4935 Katherine 1131 1836 .. 638 126 3731 4921 Nelson 292 646 .. 2436 82 3456 4635 Nhulunbuy 1936 674 .. .. 103 2713 4532 Nightcliff 1625 1257 896 .. 119 3897 4945 Port Darwin 1231 1557 538 .. 105 3431 4741 Sanderson 1723 2231 .. .. 247 4201 4852 Stuart 1470 789 .. .. 106 2365 4481 Wanguri 2254 1118 .. 339 115 3826 4558 Contested Electorates 34557 36334 3442 5696 3407 83436 110289

Uncontested Electorates Arnhem ...... 4660 Macdonnell ...... 4865 Territory Enrolment 119814

4 Antony Green – ABC Election Unit – July 2011 2008 Northern Territory Election

LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY: SUMMARY OF PERCENTAGE VOTE BY ELECTORATE Electoral Percentage of First PreferenceVotes Informal District LAB CLP GRN Other Votes Turnout Arafura 46.1 36.6 .. 17.3 6.0 60.8 Araluen 17.1 68.3 14.6 .. 2.4 74.6 Barkly 60.9 27.5 .. 11.6 4.7 65.1 Blain 38.4 61.6 .. .. 5.1 80.1 Braitling 12.7 58.2 14.9 14.1 2.8 73.3 Brennan 47.4 52.6 .. .. 4.3 80.3 Casuarina 64.2 35.8 .. .. 5.1 84.1 Daly 46.9 36.9 8.9 7.3 4.7 73.9 Drysdale 34.5 55.3 .. 10.2 3.6 79.9 Fannie Bay 51.1 48.9 .. .. 5.2 78.5 Fong Lim 47.9 52.1 .. .. 5.2 75.9 Goyder 41.6 58.4 .. .. 4.3 83.2 Greatorex 20.4 61.2 18.4 .. 2.4 76.6 Johnston 58.1 41.9 .. .. 5.0 82.5 Karama 56.1 35.1 .. 8.7 4.0 84.0 Katherine 31.4 50.9 .. 17.7 3.4 75.8 Nelson 8.7 19.1 .. 72.2 2.4 74.6 Nhulunbuy 74.2 25.8 .. .. 3.8 59.9 Nightcliff 43.0 33.3 23.7 .. 3.1 78.8 Port Darwin 37.0 46.8 16.2 .. 3.1 72.4 Sanderson 43.6 56.4 .. .. 5.9 86.6 Stuart 65.1 34.9 .. .. 4.5 52.8 Wanguri 60.7 30.1 .. 9.1 3.0 83.9 Contested electorates 43.2 45.4 4.3 7.1 4.1 75.7

Uncontested Electorates Arnhem ...... Macdonnell ...... Territory Totals 69.6

Antony Green – ABC Election Unit – July 2011 5 2008 Northern Territory Election

LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY ELECTORATE RESULTS

Arafura Roll 4924 Barkly Roll 4702 Candidate Party Votes % Swing Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count First Count Mungatopi CLP 544 19.3 -3.0 McCarthy LAB 1777 60.9 -10.9 Scrymgour * LAB 1300 46.1 -18.0 Nattrass IND 73 2.5 +2.5 Lotu IND 487 17.3 +17.3 Gould IND 265 9.1 +9.1 Siebert CLP 486 17.3 +17.3 Adams CLP 801 27.5 +3.2 .... OTH 0.0 -13.5 .... GRN 0.0 -1.2 .... OTH 0.0 -2.7 Final Count Mungatopi CLP 1015 36.0 +9.6 Final Count Scrymgour * LAB 1802 64.0 -9.6 McCarthy LAB 1914 65.6 -8.6 Adams CLP 1002 34.4 +8.6 Formal 2817 94.0 -1.1 Informal 179 6.0 +1.1 Formal 2916 95.3 -0.8 Total / Turnout 2996 60.8 Informal 144 4.7 +0.8 Total / Turnout 3060 65.1 Note: Sitting Labor MP Elliot McAdam retired. Araluen Roll 4963

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Blain Roll 4825 First Count Candidate Party Votes % Swing Chellew GRN 526 14.6 +5.4 Carney * CLP 2470 68.3 +14.4 First Count Gaynor LAB 618 17.1 -19.4 Mills * CLP 2258 61.6 +10.7 .... OTH 0.0 -0.4 Vowles LAB 1410 38.4 -1.0 .... GRN 0.0 -6.2 Final Count .... OTH 0.0 -3.5 Carney * CLP 2699 74.7 +17.2 Gaynor LAB 915 25.3 -17.2 Final Count Mills * CLP 2258 61.6 +5.8 Formal 3614 97.6 +0.6 Vowles LAB 1410 38.4 -5.8 Informal 90 2.4 -0.6 Total / Turnout 3704 74.6 Formal 3668 94.9 -1.4 Informal 198 5.1 +1.4 Total / Turnout 3866 80.1

Arnhem Roll 4660

Candidate Party Votes % Swing

McCarthy * LAB Elected Unopposed

6 Antony Green – ABC Election Unit – July 2011 2008 Northern Territory Election

Braitling (CLP gain) Roll 4944 Daly Roll 4662 Candidate Party Votes % Swing Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count First Count Dick LAB 449 12.7 -10.0 Pollock GRN 292 8.9 +3.9 Giles CLP 2052 58.2 +12.8 Connop CLP 1212 36.9 +10.5 Melky IND 496 14.1 +14.1 Stevens IND 240 7.3 +7.3 Clark GRN 526 14.9 +14.9 Knight * LAB 1541 46.9 -6.5 .... IND 0.0 -31.8 .... OTH 0.0 -15.2 Final Count Final Count Dick LAB 0 0.0 -42.0 Connop CLP 1458 44.4 +10.2 Giles CLP 2475 70.3 +12.2 Knight * LAB 1827 55.6 -10.2 Clark GRN 1048 29.7 +29.7 Formal 3285 95.3 .. 2-Party Preferred Informal 162 4.7 .. Dick LAB 935 26.5 -15.4 Total / Turnout 3447 73.9 Giles CLP 2588 73.5 +15.4 Formal 3523 97.2 -0.1 Informal 103 2.8 +0.1 Drysdale Roll 4742 Total / Turnout 3626 73.3 Candidate Party Votes % Swing Note: Sitting Independent MP Loraine Braham retired. Above figures based on adjusted 2-party preferred First Count results from 2005. Tutty IND 374 10.2 +10.2 Natt * LAB 1262 34.5 -12.8 Bohlin CLP 2020 55.3 +6.3 Brennan (CLP Gain) Roll 4966 .... GRN 0.0 -0.7 .... OTH 0.0 -3.0 Candidate Party Votes % Swing Final Count First Count Natt * LAB 1457 39.9 -9.7 Burke * LAB 1807 47.4 +3.6 Bohlin CLP 2199 60.1 +9.7 Chandler CLP 2009 52.6 +7.7 Formal 3656 96.4 +0.5 .... GRN 0.0 -1.3 Informal 135 3.6 -0.5 .... OTH 0.0 -10.0 Total / Turnout 3791 79.9 Final Count Note: This seat was represented by Labor MP Chris Burke * LAB 1807 47.4 -3.3 Natt, but the seat had become a notional CLP seat on Chandler CLP 2009 52.6 +3.3 the new electoral boundaries. Formal 3816 95.7 -1.0 Informal 170 4.3 +1.0 Total / Turnout 3986 80.3 Fannie Bay Roll 4943 Candidate Party Votes % Swing

Casuarina Roll 4680 First Count Gunner LAB 1878 51.1 -12.4 Candidate Party Votes % Swing Lambert CLP 1800 48.9 +16.4 .... OTH 0.0 -4.0 First Count Vatskalis * LAB 2397 64.2 -0.2 Final Count Haslett CLP 1339 35.8 +7.7 Gunner LAB 1878 51.1 -14.6 .... GRN 0.0 -1.2 Lambert CLP 1800 48.9 +14.6 .... OTH 0.0 -6.2 Formal 3678 94.8 -2.1 Final Count Informal 203 5.2 +2.1 Vatskalis * LAB 2397 64.2 -4.2 Total / Turnout 3881 78.5 Haslett CLP 1339 35.8 +4.2 Note: Sitting Labor MP and former Chief Minister Formal 3736 94.9 -2.4 retired. Informal 199 5.1 +2.4 Total / Turnout 3935 84.1

Antony Green – ABC Election Unit – July 2011 7 2008 Northern Territory Election

Fong Lim (CLP Gain) Roll 4885 Johnston Roll 4931 Candidate Party Votes % Swing Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count First Count Bonson * LAB 1685 47.9 -5.4 Burns * LAB 2246 58.1 +4.0 Tollner CLP 1831 52.1 +21.4 Sangster CLP 1618 41.9 +18.2 .... IND 0.0 -10.3 .... GRN 0.0 -9.5 .... GRN 0.0 -4.3 .... OTH 0.0 -12.7 .... OTH 0.0 -1.4 Final Count Final Count Burns * LAB 2246 58.1 -8.7 Bonson * LAB 1685 47.9 -13.6 Sangster CLP 1618 41.9 +8.7 Tollner CLP 1831 52.1 +13.6 Formal 3864 95.0 -2.3 Formal 3516 94.8 -1.7 Informal 205 5.0 +2.3 Informal 191 5.2 +1.7 Total / Turnout 4069 82.5 Total / Turnout 3707 75.9 Note: New name for the abolished seat of Millner. Karama Roll 4935

Goyder Roll 4699 Candidate Party Votes % Swing Candidate Party Votes % Swing First Count Lawrie * LAB 2234 56.1 -9.5 First Count Fox IND 156 3.9 +3.9 Warren * LAB 1556 41.6 +10.2 Hunter IND 192 4.8 +4.8 Purick CLP 2183 58.4 +23.7 Bacus CLP 1398 35.1 +1.5 .... GRN 0.0 -5.6 .... OTH 0.0 -0.7 .... OTH 0.0 -28.4 Final Count Final Count Lawrie * LAB 2420 60.8 -5.2 Warren * LAB 1556 41.6 -7.9 Bacus CLP 1560 39.2 +5.2 Purick CLP 2183 58.4 +7.9 Formal 3980 96.0 +1.0 Formal 3739 95.7 -1.0 Informal 167 4.0 -1.0 Informal 169 4.3 +1.0 Total / Turnout 4147 84.0 Total / Turnout 3908 83.2 Note: This seat was represented by Labor MP Ted Warren, but the seat had become a notional CLP seat Katherine Roll 4921 on the new electoral boundaries. Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Greatorex Roll 4823 Coutts IND 638 17.7 +17.7 Candidate Party Votes % Swing Hillen LAB 1131 31.4 -15.8 Westra Van Holth CLP 1836 50.9 -1.7 First Count .... OTH 0.0 -0.2 Aronsten GRN 664 18.4 +8.1 Conlan * CLP 2205 61.2 +13.6 Final Count Nixon LAB 735 20.4 -21.7 Hillen LAB 1499 41.6 -5.7 Westra Van Holth CLP 2106 58.4 +5.7 Final Count Conlan * CLP 2396 66.5 +16.1 Formal 3605 96.6 +0.2 Nixon LAB 1208 33.5 -16.1 Informal 126 3.4 -0.2 Total / Turnout 3731 75.8 Formal 3604 97.6 +0.1 Note: Sitting CLP MP Fay Miller retired. Informal 89 2.4 -0.1 Total / Turnout 3693 76.6

8 Antony Green – ABC Election Unit – July 2011 2008 Northern Territory Election

Macdonnell Roll 4865 Port Darwin (CLP Gain) Roll 4741 Candidate Party Votes % Swing Candidate Party Votes % Swing

Anderson * LAB First Count Elferink CLP 1557 46.8 -0.9 Elected Unopposed Abbott GRN 538 16.2 +16.2 Sacilotto * LAB 1231 37.0 -14.6 .... OTH 0.0 -0.6 Nelson Roll 4635 Final Count Candidate Party Votes % Swing Elferink CLP 1757 52.8 +4.8 Sacilotto * LAB 1569 47.2 -4.8 First Count Formal 3326 96.9 +1.1 Wood * IND 2436 72.2 +15.0 Informal 105 3.1 -1.1 Kohlman CLP 646 19.1 -11.5 Total / Turnout 3431 72.4 Luders-Searle LAB 292 8.7 -3.5

Final Count Wood * IND 2654 78.7 +12.1 Sanderson (CLP Gain) Roll 4852 Kohlman CLP 720 21.3 -12.1 Candidate Party Votes % Swing 2-Party Preferred Kohlman CLP 2313 68.6 +8.7 First Count Luders-Searle LAB 1061 31.4 -8.7 Styles CLP 2231 56.4 +16.8 Formal 3374 97.6 -0.2 Kiely * LAB 1723 43.6 -15.2 Informal 82 2.4 +0.2 .... GRN 0.0 -1.2 Total / Turnout 3456 74.6 .... OTH 0.0 -0.4 Final Count Styles CLP 2231 56.4 +16.4 Nhulunbuy Roll 4532 Kiely * LAB 1723 43.6 -16.4 Candidate Party Votes % Swing Formal 3954 94.1 -2.2 Informal 247 5.9 +2.2 First and Final Count Total / Turnout 4201 86.6 Walker LAB 1936 74.2 -1.3 Marika CLP 674 25.8 +1.3 Formal 2610 96.2 +0.3 Stuart Roll 4481 Informal 103 3.8 -0.3 Candidate Party Votes % Swing Total / Turnout 2713 59.9 Note: Labor MP and former Deputy Chief Minister Syd First Count Stirling retired. Hampton * LAB 1470 65.1 -0.6 Japanangka CLP 789 34.9 +5.6 .... GRN 0.0 -2.7 Nightcliff Roll 4945 .... OTH 0.0 -2.3 Candidate Party Votes % Swing Final Count Hampton * LAB 1470 65.1 -3.9 First Count Japanangka CLP 789 34.9 +3.9 Young GRN 896 23.7 +8.5 Formal 2259 95.5 +0.3 Aagaard * LAB 1625 43.0 -7.0 Informal 106 4.5 -0.3 Manning CLP 1257 33.3 +5.0 Total / Turnout 2365 52.8 .... OTH 0.0 -6.5

Final Count Aagaard * LAB 2293 60.7 -5.0 Manning CLP 1485 39.3 +5.0 Formal 3778 96.9 -0.6 Informal 119 3.1 +0.6 Total / Turnout 3897 78.8

Antony Green – ABC Election Unit – July 2011 9 2008 Northern Territory Election

Wanguri Roll 4558 By-Elections 2005-2008 Candidate Party Votes % Swing Stuart Roll 4434 First Count (23 Sep 2006: Resignation of ) Henderson * LAB 2254 60.7 -10.0 Dean IND 339 9.1 +9.1 Candidate Party Votes % Swing Kyriacou CLP 1118 30.1 +0.9 .... OTH 0.0 -0.1 First Count Spencer-Nelson CLP 186 9.0 +9.0 Final Count de Sousa Machado IND 157 7.6 +7.6 Henderson * LAB 2407 64.9 -5.9 Cartwright IND 287 13.9 +13.9 Kyriacou CLP 1304 35.1 +5.9 Japangka CLP 233 11.3 +11.3 Formal 3711 97.0 +0.3 Hampton LAB 1180 57.1 -13.8 Informal 115 3.0 -0.3 Wilson IND 22 1.1 +1.1 Total / Turnout 3826 83.9 ... CLP .. 0.0 -29.0 Final Count Japanangka CLP 669 32.4 +3.4 Hampton LAB 1396 67.6 -3.4 Formal 2065 86.4 Informal 324 13.6 +9.0 Total / Turnout 2389 53.9

Greatorex Roll 4564 (28 July 2007: Resignation of Richard Lim) Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Nixon LAB 541 16.4 -24.4 Herrick IND 670 20.4 +20.4 Conlan CLP 1764 53.6 +5.1 Clark GRN 316 9.6 -1.1 Final Count Nixon LAB .. 0.0 -48.6 Herrick IND 1392 42.3 +42.3 Conlan CLP 1899 57.7 +6.3 2-Party Preferred Nixon LAB 1141 34.7 -14.0 Conlan CLP 2150 65.3 +14.0 Formal 3291 97.8 Informal 75 2.2 -0.3 Total / Turnout 3366 73.8

10 Antony Green – ABC Election Unit – July 2011 2008 Northern Territory Election

LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY: SUMMARY OF TWO-PARTY RESULTS BY ELECTORATE Electoral 2PP Votes 2PP Percent District Labor CLP Labor CLP Swing Arafura 1802 1015 64.0 36.0 9.6 to CLP Araluen 915 2699 25.3 74.7 17.2 to CLP Arnhem (Uncontested) 0 0 ...... Barkly 1914 1002 65.6 34.4 8.6 to CLP Blain 1410 2258 38.4 61.6 5.8 to CLP Braitling (*) 935 2588 26.5 73.5 15.4 to CLP Brennan 1807 2009 47.4 52.6 3.3 to CLP Casuarina 2397 1339 64.2 35.8 4.2 to CLP Daly 1827 1458 55.6 44.4 10.2 to CLP Drysdale 1457 2199 39.9 60.1 9.7 to CLP Fannie Bay 1878 1800 51.1 48.9 14.6 to CLP Fong Lim 1685 1831 47.9 52.1 13.6 to CLP Goyder 1556 2183 41.6 58.4 7.9 to CLP Greatorex 1208 2396 33.5 66.5 16.1 to CLP Johnston 2246 1618 58.1 41.9 8.7 to CLP Karama 2420 1560 60.8 39.2 5.2 to CLP Katherine 1499 2106 41.6 58.4 5.7 to CLP Macdonnell (Uncontested) 0 0 ...... Nelson (*) 1061 2313 31.4 68.6 8.7 to CLP Nhulunbuy 1936 674 74.2 25.8 1.3 to CLP Nightcliff 2293 1485 60.7 39.3 5.0 to CLP Port Darwin 1569 1757 47.2 52.8 4.8 to CLP Sanderson 1723 2231 43.6 56.4 16.4 to CLP Stuart 1470 789 65.1 34.9 3.9 to CLP Wanguri 2407 1304 64.9 35.1 5.9 to CLP Total 39415 40614 49.3 50.7 9.2 to CLP Note: Swing measured against the 2-party preferred vote in 23 contests at the 2005 election. Applying the measured 9.2% swing to the overall result of the 2005 election, the estimated Northern Territory 2-party preferred percentage including the uncontested seats would be Labor 49.9%, Country Liberal 50.1%.

(*) Actual 2-Candidate Preferred Counts Winning Candidate Defeated Candidate Electorate Party Vote % Party Vote % Braitling CLP 2475 70.3 GRN 1048 29.7 Nelson IND 2654 78.7 CLP 720 21.3

Distribution of 2-Party Preferred Preferences Territory Totals Primary Votes Prefs to Labor Prefs to CLP Electorate Votes % Votes % Votes % First Preference Votes 34557 43.2 36334 45.4 Total Preferences 9138 11.4 4858 53.2 4280 46.8 Two-Party Preferred 39415 49.3 40614 50.7 The total minor party and Independent vote was 20.2% in 13 electorates contested and 11.4% of the Territory formal vote. Labor polled 48.7% of the major party first preference vote and the Country Liberals 51.3%.

Antony Green – ABC Election Unit – July 2011 11 2008 Northern Territory Election

LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY: ELECTORATES RANKED BY NEW MARGINS Electoral Margin Electorate Margin Labor Seats (13) Country Liberal Seats (11) Arnhem Uncontested Araluen 24.7 Macdonnell Uncontested Braitling 23.5 Nhulunbuy 24.2 Greatorex 16.5 Barkly 15.6 Blain 11.6 Stuart 15.1 Drysdale 10.1 Wanguri 14.9 Katherine 8.4 Casuarina 14.2 Goyder 8.4 Arafura 14.0 Sanderson 6.4 Karama 10.8 Port Darwin 2.8 Nightcliff 10.7 Brennan 2.6 Johnston 8.1 Fong Lim 2.1 Daly 5.6 Fannie Bay 1.1 Independent Seats (1) Nelson 18.6

LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY: ELECTORATES RANKED BY TWO-PARTY SWING 2-Party 2-Party Electorate (Won by) Swing Electorate (Won by) Swing Swing to Country Liberal Nelson (IND) 8.7 Nhulunbuy (LAB) 1.3 Arafura (LAB) 9.6 Brennan (CLP) 3.3 Drysdale (CLP) 9.7 Stuart (LAB) 3.9 Daly (LAB) 10.2 Casuarina (LAB) 4.2 Fong Lim (CLP) 13.6 Port Darwin (CLP) 4.8 Fannie Bay (LAB) 14.6 Nightcliff (LAB) 5.0 Braitling (CLP) 15.4 Karama (LAB) 5.2 Greatorex (CLP) 16.1 Katherine (CLP) 5.7 Sanderson (CLP) 16.4 Blain (CLP) 5.8 Araluen (CLP) 17.2 Wanguri (LAB) 5.9 Macdonnell (LAB) Uncontested Goyder (CLP) 7.9 Arnhem (LAB) Uncontested Barkly (LAB) 8.6 Johnston (LAB) 8.7

Underlining indicates electorates that changed party at the 2008 election. See notes on Page 1.

12 Antony Green – ABC Election Unit – July 2011 2008 Northern Territory Election

LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY: ELECTORATES RANKED BY PRE-ELECTION MARGIN 2-Party 2-Party Electorate (Margin) Swing Electorate (Margin) Swing Nhulunbuy (ALP 25.5%) -1.3 Sanderson (ALP 10.0%) -16.4 Barkly (ALP 24.2%) -8.6 Port Darwin (ALP 2.0%) -4.8 Arafura (ALP 23.6%) -9.6 Brennan (ALP 0.6%) -3.3 Arnhem (ALP 21.3%) Uncontested Wanguri (ALP 20.8%) -5.9 Greatorex (CLP 0.4%) -16.1 Stuart (ALP 18.9%) -3.9 Drysdale (CLP 0.5%) -9.7 Casuarina (ALP 18.3%) -4.2 Goyder (CLP 0.5%) -7.9 Johnston (ALP 16.8%) -8.7 Katherine (CLP 2.7%) -5.7 Macdonnell (ALP 16.5%) Uncontested Blain (CLP 5.7%) -5.8 Karama (ALP 16.0%) -5.2 Araluen (CLP 7.5%) -17.2 Daly (ALP 15.8%) -10.2 Braitling (CLP 8.0%) -15.4 Nightcliff (ALP 15.7%) -5.0 Nelson (IND 9.8%) -8.7 Fannie Bay (ALP 15.7%) -14.6 Fong Lim (ALP 11.5%) -13.6

Note: A positive '+' figure indicates a swing to Labor, a minus '-' a swing to the Country Liberals. Swing shown is 2-party preferred in all seats. Underlining indicates electorates that changed party at the 2008 election. See notes on Page 1.

Antony Green – ABC Election Unit – July 2011 13 2008 Northern Territory Election

Regional Summaries

The following tables summarise the results of the election by region. The Territory has been broken into two broad regions representing Greater Darwin and the rest of the Territory. Parts of Darwin have been further divided into Inner Darwin, Northern Suburbs, Palmerston and Darwin Rural. The rest of the Territory is divided into /Katherine and Rural/Outback.

The party that won each seat is shown in parenthesis. Underlining indicates seats that changed party at the election. Both Drysdale and Goyder are shown as CLP gains at the election, though both had become notional CLP seats based on the redistribution.

Greater Darwin Seats(14)

Inner Darwin (3) Fannie Bay (LAB), Fong Lim (CLP), Port Darwin (CLP)

Northern Suburbs (6) Casuarina (LAB), Johnston (LAB), Karama (LAB), Nightcliff (LAB), Sanderson (CLP), Wanguri (LAB)

Palmerston (3) Blain (CLP), Brennan (CLP), Drysdale (CLP)

Darwin Rural (2) Goyder (CLP), Nelson (IND)

Non-Darwin Seats (11)

Rural / Outback (7) Arafura (LAB), Arnhem (LAB), Barkly (LAB), Daly (LAB), Macdonnell (LAB), Nhulunbuy (LAB), Stuart (LAB)

Alice Springs / Katherine (4) Araluen (CLP), Braitling (CLP), Greatorex (CLP), Katherine (CLP)

14 Antony Green – ABC Election Unit – July 2011 2008 Northern Territory Election

Greater Darwin Roll 67337 Palmerston Roll 14533 Party Votes % Swing Party Votes % Swing Labor (6) 23600 45.6 -5.7 Labor 4479 40.2 -3.3 Country Liberal (7) 23265 44.9 +9.4 Country Liberal (3) 6287 56.4 +8.1 Greens 1434 2.8 -0.6 Greens 0 0.0 -2.8 Others (1) 3497 6.8 -3.1 Others 374 3.4 -2.0 Labor 2PP 25909 50.0 -8.5 Labor 2PP 4674 42.0 -6.1 Coalition 2PP 25887 50.0 +8.5 Coalition 2PP 6466 58.0 +6.1 Formal 51796 95.7 -0.9 Formal 11140 95.7 -0.6 Informal 2305 4.3 +0.9 Informal 503 4.3 +0.6 Total / Turnout 54101 80.3 Total / Turnout 11643 80.1

Non-Darwin Seats Roll 42952 Darwin Rural Roll 9334 Party Votes % Swing Party Votes % Swing Labor (7) 10957 38.8 -12.5 Labor 1848 26.0 +3.8 Country Liberal (4) 13069 46.3 +8.5 Country Liberal (1) 2829 39.8 +7.1 Greens 2008 7.1 +3.6 Greens 0 0.0 -2.9 Others 2199 7.8 +0.3 Others (1) 2436 34.2 -7.9 Labor 2PP 13506 47.8 -10.4 Labor 2PP 2617 36.8 -8.3 Coalition 2PP 14727 52.2 +10.4 Coalition 2PP 4496 63.2 +8.3 Formal 28233 96.2 .. Formal 7113 96.6 -0.6 Informal 1102 3.8 .. Informal 251 3.4 +0.6 Total / Turnout 29335 68.3 Total / Turnout 7364 78.9 (Arnhem and Macdonnell uncontested)

Inner Darwin Roll 14569 Rural/Outback Roll 23301 Party Votes % Swing Party Votes % Swing Labor (1) 4794 45.6 -11.2 Labor (7) 8024 57.8 -7.8 Country Liberal (2) 5188 49.3 +13.0 Country Liberal 4506 32.4 +7.1 Greens 538 5.1 +3.7 Greens 292 2.1 +0.2 Others 0 0.0 -5.5 Others 1065 7.7 +0.5 Labor 2PP 5132 48.8 -11.6 Labor 2PP 8949 64.4 -7.0 Coalition 2PP 5388 51.2 +11.6 Coalition 2PP 4938 35.6 +7.0 Formal 10520 95.5 -1.0 Formal 13887 95.2 -0.3 Informal 499 4.5 +1.0 Informal 694 4.8 +0.3 Total / Turnout 11019 75.6 Total / Turnout 14581 62.6 (Arnhem and Macdonnell uncontested)

Northern Suburbs Roll 28901 Alice/Katherine Roll 19651 Party Votes % Swing Party Votes % Swing Labor (5) 12479 54.2 -6.3 Labor 2933 20.4 -16.9 Country Liberal (1) 8961 38.9 +8.5 Country Liberal (4) 8563 59.7 +9.7 Greens 896 3.9 -0.7 Greens 1716 12.0 +7.0 Others 687 3.0 -1.5 Others 1134 7.9 +0.2 Labor 2PP 13486 58.6 -7.6 Labor 2PP 4557 31.8 -13.7 Coalition 2PP 9537 41.4 +7.6 Coalition 2PP 9789 68.2 +13.7 Formal 23023 95.6 -1.0 Formal 14346 97.2 +0.2 Informal 1052 4.4 +1.0 Informal 408 2.8 -0.2 Total / Turnout 24075 83.3 Total / Turnout 14754 75.1

Antony Green – ABC Election Unit – July 2011 15 2008 Northern Territory Election

Members Elected

Of the 25 members in the retiring Legislative Assembly, 14 were re-elected, 10 Labor, three Country Liberal, one Independent. Four members retired and were replaced by representatives of the same party, three Labor and one Country Liberal. Independent Lorraine Braham retired and was succeeded by a Country Liberal MLA. Six Labor MLAs were defeated and replaced by Country Liberal members, though in Drysdale and Goyder the Labor members were defending seats that had become notionally Country Liberal held in the redistribution. Bold indicates electorates where the party of the sitting member changed.

Electorate Departing MLA Cause New MLA Arafura (LAB) Re-elected Araluen (CLP) Re-elected Arnhem Malarndirri McCarthy (LAB) Re-elected Barkly Elliot McAdam (LAB) Retired Gerry McCarthy (LAB) Blain Terry Mills (CLP) Re-elected Braitling Loraine Braham (IND) Retired (CLP) Brennan James Burke (LAB) Defeated Peter Chandler (CLP) Casuarina (LAB) Re-elected Daly Robert Knight (LAB) Re-elected Drysdale Chris Natt (LAB) Defeated Ross Bohlin (CLP) Fannie Bay Clare Martin (LAB) Retired (LAB) Fong Lim Matthew Bonson (LAB) Defeated (CLP) Goyder Ted Warren (LAB) Defeated (CLP) Greatorex Matt Conlan (CLP) Re-elected Johnston Chris Burns (LAB) Re-elected Karama (LAB) Re-elected Katherine Fay Miller (CLP) Retired (CLP) Macdonnell (LAB) Re-elected Nelson (IND) Re-elected Nhulunbuy Syd Stirling (LAB) Retired Lynne Walker (LAB) Nightcliff (LAB) Re-elected Port Darwin Kerry Sacilotto (LAB) Defeated (CLP) Sanderson Len Kiely (LAB) Defeated Peter Styles (CLP) Stuart Karl Hampton (LAB) Re-elected Wanguri Paul Henderson (LAB) Re-elected

16 Antony Green – ABC Election Unit – July 2011