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Legislative Assembly Results Summary of Legislative Assembly Election

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Legislative Assembly Results Summary of Legislative Assembly Election 2001 NORTHERN TERRITORY ELECTION 18 August 2001 CONTENTS Page Introduction ................................................................................................................ 1 Legislative Assembly Results Summary of Legislative Assembly Election ..................................................... 3 Legislative Assembly Results by Electoral Division ......................................... 6 Summary of Two-Party Preferred Results ..................................................... 11 Regional Summaries ..................................................................................... 12 By-elections 1997-2001 ............................................................................................ 14 Antony Green ABC Election Unit Symbols .. Nil or rounded to zero * Sitting MPs .… „Ghost‟ candidate, where a party contesting the previous election did not nominate for the current election Party Abbreviations (blank) Non-affiliated candidates CLP Country Liberal Party DEM Australian Democrats GRN Green IND Independent LAB Territory Labor ONP One Nation SAP Socialist Alliance Party TAP Territory Alliance Party 2001 Northern Territory Election INTRODUCTION This paper contains a summary of the 2001 Northern Territory election. For each Legislative Assembly electorate, details of the total primary and two-candidate preferred vote are provided. Where appropriate, a two-party preferred count is also included. The format for the results is as follows: First Count: For each candidate, the total primary vote received is shown. Percentage votes are calculated as a percentage of the formal vote for each electorate. Swing is calculated by subtracting the percentage vote received by a party at the 1997 election from the percentage received at the 2001 election. Where the parties contesting the district differ from the 1997 election, „ghost‟ candidates (indicated by “….”) have been included representing candidates not contesting the current election. As a result, all primary swings add to zero, subject to rounding errors. All votes for the 1997 election have been adjusted to take account of the redistribution. Final Count: Represents the two-candidate preferred count after the final distribution of preferences in an electorate. Two-candidate preferred percentages are calculated by dividing the two-candidate preferred vote for a candidate by the total formal vote. Two-candidate preferred swings are shown compared to the results of the 1997 election. Where the party composition of the final two candidates differs from the 1997 election (eg Braitling), a ghost candidate appears, and three swing figures are shown. Separate two-party preferred counts are also included in several electorates. All votes for the 1997 election have been adjusted to take account of the redistribution. Two-Candidate Preferred versus Two-Party Preferred Results The two-candidate preferred count for an electorate is defined as the final tally after the exclusion and distribution as preferences of votes from all other candidates. At each stage of the count, the candidate with the least votes is excluded, and his or her votes are distributed to candidates remaining in the count based on the voter's preferences as filled in on the ballot paper. To achieve victory, a candidate must receive more than 50% of the vote remaining in the count. The two-party preferred count represents a distribution of preferences between candidates representing the Labor Party and the Country Liberal Party. Candidates are again excluded based on lowest progressive vote, though at some point the second lowest candidate is excluded to retain candidates representing Labor and the Coalition. In most cases, the two-party preferred count will be the same as the two-candidate preferred count. The Northern Territory only carries out the formal distribution of preferences described above when no candidate achieves 50% of the primary vote. At the 2001 election, three seats had only two candidates and another 13 seats saw one candidate achieve 50% of the vote on the primary vote tally. Formal preference distributions were required in only nine electorates. A later two-party preferred distribution of preferences was carried out for information purposes in all electorates. This has been used in electorates with no preference count. In Arafura, Braitling and Nelson, the 2-candidate count involving Independents, and the later two-party preferred count, have both been used in analysis. Note that in the electorates with two CLP candidates, Arnhem and MacDonnell, CLP primary votes have been simply added together rather than a preference distribution performed. Labor's vote after preferences would have been slightly higher under a normal distribution of preferences. Indication of Political Party Affiliation Political parties are not registered in the Northern Territory and party affiliation is not shown on the ballot paper. However, the Northern territory Electoral Office collects data on the party affiliation of candidates and it includes affiliation in results. All affiliations shown are those used by the Electoral Office. Antony Green – ABC Election Unit 1 2001 Northern Territory Election Sitting Member Indicators An asterisk "*" is used to indicate any candidate who is currently a sitting member of the Legislative Assembly. In the case of John Elferink in MacDonnell and Paul Henderson in Wanguri, both are shown as sitting members despite the notional party status of their electorates changing because of the redistribution. In Braitling, Loraine Braham is shown as the sitting MP. However, her historical vote has been allocated to the Country Liberal Party candidate. Details of the redistribution The following table shows the notional party status and margin of all seats following the electoral redistribution, based on re-allocating votes from the 1997 election. Estimated Changes to Electorate Margins Electorate Old Margin New Margin Arafura LAB 9.0% LAB 9.0% Araluen CLP 19.2% CLP 19.1% Arnhem LAB 7.7% LAB 7.7% Barkly LAB 8.0% LAB 8.0% Blain CLP 23.8% CLP 24.1% Braitling CLP 16.4% CLP 15.0% Brennan CLP 24.3% CLP 25.0% Casuarina CLP 7.9% CLP 5.6% Daly (formerly Victoria River) CLP 16.1% CLP 14.3% Drysdale CLP 13.3% CLP 21.8% Fannie Bay LAB 3.0% LAB 1.9% Goyder CLP 11.7% CLP 13.7% Greatorex CLP 10.5% CLP 11.3% Johnston (formerly Jingili) CLP 6.7% CLP 6.3% Karama CLP 1.7% CLP 2.6% Katherine CLP 24.5% CLP 24.3% MacDonnell (*) CLP 2.8% LAB 1.6% Millner CLP 8.7% CLP 8.7% Nelson CLP 14.8% CLP 14.7% Nhulunbuy LAB 22.1% LAB 22.1% Nightcliff CLP 4.6% CLP 4.6% Port Darwin CLP 17.0% CLP 17.2% Sanderson CLP 9.3% CLP 9.9% Stuart LAB 1.5% LAB 0.8% Wanguri (*) LAB 2.0% CLP 3.8% (*) – indicates seats that have changed notional party status based on new electoral boundaries. Acknowledgement and Disclaimer All results have been taken from the Northern Terrirory Electoral Office‟s web site. (http://notes.nt.gov.au/nteo/Electorl.nsf/). All calculations of percentages and swing are the responsibility of the author. 2 Antony Green – ABC Election Unit 2001 Northern Territory Election LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY STATE-WIDE TOTALS ROLL 105 506 Candi- Seats Party dates Won Change Votes % Vote Swing Country Liberal Party 27 10 -8 36 926 45.38 -9.29 Territory Labor 25 13 +6 33 038 40.60 +2.12 Independents 20 2 +2 8 583 10.55 +5.10 One Nation 5 .. .. 1 074 1.32 +1.32 Democrats 3 .. .. 692 0.85 +0.22 Territory Alliance 5 .. .. 622 0.76 +0.76 Socialist Alliance 3 .. .. 432 0.53 +0.53 Others .. .. .. .. .. -0.77 Formal 88 25 .. 81367 95.73 +0.90 Informal 3627 4.27 -0.90 Total Votes 84994 80.56 +1.57 Note: Two CLP candidates contested Arnhem and MacDonnell. Labor gains from CLP (6) Casuarina Johnston Karama Millner Nightcliff Sanderson Independent gains from CLP (2) Braitling Nelson Changes due to Redistribution (2) MacDonnell (notional CLP gain from LAB) Wanguri (notional LAB gain from CLP) Note: The sitting CLP MP for Braitling, Lorraine Braham, had resigned from the Country Liberal Party after being defeated for party pre-selection. She re-contested and won her seat at the 2001 election as an Independent. The sitting Labor MP for Wanguri retained his seat made notionally CLP held by the redistribution. The sitting CLP MP for MacDonnell retained his seat made notionally Labor held by the redistribution. Changes in Assembly Membership Electorate Departing MP (Party) Reason New MP (Party) Arafura Maurice Rioli (LAB) Retired Marion Scrymgour (LAB) Araluen Eric Poole (CLP) Retired Jodeen Carney (CLP) Barkly Maggie Hickey (LAB) Retired Elliott McAdam (LAB) Casuarina Peter Adamson (CLP) Defeated Kon Vatskalis (LAB) Goyder Terry McCarthy (CLP) Retired Peter Maley (CLP) Johnston Steve Balch (CLP) Defeated Chris Burns (LAB) Karama Mick Palmer (CLP) Defeated Delia Lawrie (LAB) Millner Phil Mitchell (CLP) Defeated Mathew Bonson (LAB) Nelson Chris Lugg (CLP) Defeated Gerry Wood (IND) Nightcliff Steve Hatton (CLP) Retired Jane Aagaard (LAB) Sanderson Daryl Manzie (CLP) Retired Len Kiely (LAB) Note: Seats in bold indicates electorates that changed party status. Antony Green – ABC Election Unit 3 2001 Northern Territory Election LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY : SUMMARY OF FIRST PREFERENCE VOTES BY ELECTORATE Electoral First Preference Votes Informal Total District LAB CLP ONP DEM Other Votes Votes Roll Arafura 1176 618 .. .. 785 246 2825 4209 Araluen 1094 1386 .. .. 894 154 3528 4395 Arnhem 1372 (*) 813 .. .. 270 274 2729 4291 Barkly 1635 720 .. .. 543 106 3004 3834 Blain 1072 2342 .. .. 248 146 3808 4353 Braitling 797 1422 .. .. 1369 127 3715 4324 Brennan 887 2369 .. .. 501 154 3911 4817 Casuarina 1723 1510 .. 251 66 112 3662 4142 Daly 866 1489 154 94 .. 201 2804 3761 Drysdale 1199 2265 .. .. .. 213 3677 4438 Fannie Bay 2021 1286 .. .. 154 110 3571 4209 Goyder 986 2092 273 .. 272 122 3745 4358 Greatorex 1210 1801 .. .. 512 106 3629 4481 Johnston 1625 1542 .. 347 .. 113 3627 4321 Karama 1990 1713 .. .. .. 161 3864 4283 Katherine 794 1596 299 .. 367 100 3156 3811 MacDonnell 1006 (*) 1418 .. .. .. 149 2573 4182 Millner 1571 1633 .. .. 348 202 3754 4496 Nelson 343 1535 186 .. 1461 99 3624 4049 Nhulunbuy 1471 690 162 .. 354 151 2828 4262 Nightcliff 1898 1485 .
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