2016 ELECTION 27 August 2016

CONTENTS

Page

Introduction ......

Summary of Legislative Assembly Election ...... 3

Legislative Assembly Results by Electoral Division ...... 6

By-elections 2012-2016 ...... 11

Summary of Two-Party and Tw-Candidate Preferred Results ...... 12

Regional Summaries ...... 16

Elected and Defeated Members ...... 18

Summary of Redistribution ...... 19

List of Candidate ...... 20

Prepared by Antony Green – ABC Election Unit1 Symbols .. Nil or rounded to zero * Sitting MPs .… ‘Ghost’ candidate, where a party contesting the previous election did not nominate for the current election (n.a.) Not available

Party Abbreviations - Non-affiliated candidates 1TP 1 Territory Party ALP Australian Labor Party ASX Australian Sex Party (contested 2012 election) CEC Citizens Electoral Council CLP FNP First Nation's Party (contested 2012 election) IND Independent OTH Others GRN Green SFP Shooters and Fishers Party

Important dates Issue of Writ Monday 8 August 2016 Close of Electoral Roll 8pm Wednesday 10 August 2016 Close of Nominations 12 noon Friday 12 August 2016 Polling Day Saturday 27 August 2016 Declaration of Poll and Return of Writ Monday 12 September 2016 Last Date for Return of Writ Friday 30 September 2016

2016 Northern Territory Election

INTRODUCTION

This paper provides basic details and analysis of the results of the 2016 Northern Territory election. It includes summaries of the results for all Legislative Assembly districts, comparisons with the 2012 election after adjusting for the redistribution, and statistical analysis of results and swings across districts and regions. A summary of by-elections in the 2012-16 parliament is also included.

Format for Legislative Assembly Results For each Legislative Assembly district, details of primary and two-candidate preferred votes, percentages and swings are provided, along with alternative two-party preferred results where appropriate. The format and calculations used for each district are as follows. First Count: The vote shown for each candidate is the total of primary votes received. Percentage votes are calculated as a percentage of the formal vote. Change in vote share is calculated by subtracting the percentage vote received by a candidate or party at the 2012 election from the percentage received at the 2016 election. The 2012 results have been adjusted for the redistribution. Where the parties contesting the district differ from the 2012 election, ‘ghost’ candidates (indicated by "....") have been included representing candidates not contesting the 2016 election. All primary swings add to zero, subject to rounding errors. Final Count: Represents votes for the two final candidates after the distribution of preferences. The total number of votes that exhaust preferences before reaching one of the final two candidates is shown as 'Exhausted'. Two-candidate preferred percentages are calculated by dividing the two-candidate preferred vote for each candidate by the total of votes remaining in the count, that is the formal vote minus the exhausted vote. The exhausted percentage is calculated as a percentage of formal votes. Two-candidate preferred swings are shown compared to the final two candidates from the previous election. Where the party composition of the final two candidates differs from the previous election (e.g. Araluen), ghost candidates are included, and more than two swing figures are shown. Two-Party Preferred: Represents a separate distribution of preferences between candidates of the Labor Party and the Country Liberals. This is included for districts where the formal distribution of preferences did not produce a two-party preferred finish.

Two-Candidate versus Two-Party Preferred Results Two-candidate Preferred: To win an electorate, a candidate must receive more than 50% of the votes remaining in the count after the formal distribution of preferences. The distribution is performed by successively excluding candidates with the lowest primary vote and distributing each candidate’s ballot papers according to the next preferences for a candidate remaining in the count. At the end of the count, the vote for the two final candidates is referred to as the 'two-candidate preferred vote'. Two-Party Preferred: Most Northern Territory elections finish as a contest between candidates representing the Labor Party and the Country Liberals. The final distribution of preferences between Labor and Country Liberal candidates is referred to as the 'two-party preferred count'. If the two- candidate preferred count is not also a two-party preferred count, an alternate distribution of preference is undertaken retaining Labor and Country Liberal candidates through the distribution. The Northern Territory Electoral Commission carried out alternative two-party preferred counts in seven districts. These were in four Labor-Independent contests (Barkly, Blain, Karama, Nhulunbuy) and three Country Liberal-Independent contests (Araluen, Goyder, Nelson). All two-party preferred tables in this publication have been derived from these additional two-party preferred distributions.

Analysis of Two-Candidate Preferred Results and Exhausted Votes The 2016 election was the first conducted after the switch from full to optional preferential voting. A number of tables in this publication include analysis of exhausted preferences. In particular see the table of two-candidate preferred counts on page 13.

Prepared by Antony Green – ABC Election Unit 1 2016 Northern Territory Election

By-elections, Redistributions, Retirements, Changes of Party Status. Three by-elections were conducted between 2012 and 2016, Wanguri in February 2013, Blain April 2014, and Casuarina October 2014. A summary of the results can be found on page 11. Swings shown are compared to the 2012 election. Note that the swings for the 2016 election ignore by-election results. A major redistribution was finalised in 2015. It abolished the seat of Greatorex and created a new Palmerston based seat known as Spillett. A summary of the redistribution can be found on page 19. The summary includes details of retiring members, members changing seats and members that changed party since the 2012 election. Five members retired at the election. These were (Namatajira, IND, ex-CLP), Nathan Barrett (Blain CLP), Matt Conlan (Greatorex CLP), (Port Darwin CLP) and David Tollner (Fong Lim CLP), Conlan's retirement came following the abolition of his seat in the redistribution. Analysis of seats changing party at the 2016 is greatly complicated by five members parting company with their former party and joining the crossbench. The table below summarises these changes in representation.

District Old Party Details Araluen CLP MLA re-contested and was elected as an Independent. Arnhem CLP MLA re-contested but was defeated as an Independent. Goyder CLP MLA re-contested and was elected as an Independent. Karama ALP MLA was denied Labor endorsement and unsuccessfully re-contested the seat as an Independent. Namatjira CLP MLA Alison Anderson did not re-contest.

Details of redistribution, electorate and party membership changes are footnoted underneath the result for each district.

Disclaimer All results are based on details made available by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission. However, responsibility for all calculations, errors and omissions is taken by the author. The author also takes responsibility for the redistribution estimates used as the basis calculating swings.

Antony Green January 2020

2 Antony Green – ABC Election Unit – July 2016 2016 Northern Territory Election

SUMMARY OF LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY RESULT TERRITORY TOTALS

Candi Seats Party dates Won Change Votes % Votes Swing Australian Labor Party 25 18 +10 41,476 42.19 +5.74 Country Liberals 25 2 -14 31,263 31.80 -18.83 Independent 39 5 +4 18,432 18.75 +12.71 1 Territory Party 13 .. .. 3,520 3.58 +3.58 Greens 6 .. .. 2,817 2.87 -0.43 Shooters and Fishers Party 2 .. .. 523 0.53 +0.53 Citizens Electoral Council 4 .. .. 189 0.19 +0.19 No Affiliation 1 .. .. 79 0.08 -0.49 First Nations Party ...... -2.22 Australian Sex party ...... -0.78 Formal 115 .. .. 98,299 98.00 Informal 2,005 2.00 -1.23 Total Votes 100,304 74.02 -2.89 Enrolment 135,506 Note: The change column compares seats won by party at the 2012 and 2016 elections. There were numerous departures to the crossbench during the 2012-16 parliament, and the party composition of members before the election was Country Liberal 12, Labor seven and Independents six. Compared to these numbers, Labor gained a net 11 seats, the CLP lost 10 and there was one fewer Independent. See notes on seat changes below.

Seats Changing Party Status

Labor gains from Country Liberals (11) Arafura Arnhem (CLP turned Independent MLA) Braitling Brennan Drysdale Fong Lim Katherine Namatjira (CLP turned Independent MLA) Port Darwin Sanderson Stuart

Independent gains from Country Liberals (3) Araluen (ex-CLP MLA re-elected as an Independent) Blain Goyder (ex-CLP MLA re-elected as an Independent)

Independent gain from Labor Nhulunbuy

Note: Labor also retained Karama after defeating ex-Labor turned Independent MLA Delia Lawrie.

Prepared by Antony Green – ABC Election Unit 3 2016 Northern Territory Election

LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY: SUMMARY OF FIRST PREFERENCE VOTE BY DISTRICT Electoral First Preference Votes Informal Total District ALP CLP 1TP GRN IND OTH Votes Votes Roll Arafura 1087 903 284 .. 75 .. 34 2383 4848 Araluen 1165 1720 .. .. 1835 .. 106 4826 5850 Arnhem 1565 804 197 .. 328 .. 78 2972 5158 Barkly 1387 595 .. .. 1236 .. 53 3271 5183 Blain 1597 1102 .. .. 1582 .. 121 4402 5576 Braitling 1601 2091 .. 493 704 .. 84 4973 5998 Brennan 1939 1784 314 ...... 122 4159 5204 Casuarina 2688 1694 ...... 117 4499 5457 Daly 1361 1583 246 .. 503 37 94 3824 5386 Drysdale 1593 1341 165 250 536 .. 111 3996 5460 Fannie Bay 2550 1401 351 ...... 95 4397 5613 Fong Lim 1802 1439 356 .. 384 .. 74 4055 5353 Goyder 860 919 .. 188 2496 76 78 4617 5587 Johnston 2019 1234 .. 676 .. .. 77 4006 4983 Karama 1373 923 249 .. 1416 79 93 4133 5228 Katherine 1274 1434 744 .. 343 278 66 4139 5285 Namatjira 1442 1024 .. 484 165 .. 56 3171 5435 Nelson 510 1029 .. .. 2804 292 61 4696 5825 Nhulunbuy 1502 444 .. .. 1439 .. 73 3458 5895 Nightcliff 2485 868 .. 726 .. .. 78 4157 5341 Port Darwin 1496 1412 123 .. 863 .. 82 3976 5281 Sanderson 2323 1573 135 .. 412 .. 63 4506 5546 Spillett 1247 2277 237 .. 270 29 76 4136 5203 Stuart 1937 590 119 .. 228 .. 32 2906 5242 Wanguri 2673 1079 .. .. 813 .. 81 4646 5569 TOTAL 41476 31263 3520 2817 18432 791 2005 100304 135506

4 Antony Green – ABC Election Unit – July 2016 2016 Northern Territory Election

LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY: SUMMARY OF PERCENTAGE VOTE BY DISTRICT Electoral Percentage of First Preference Votes Informal District ALP CLP 1TP GRN IND OTH Votes Turnout Arafura 46.3 38.4 12.1 .. 3.2 .. 1.4 49.2 Araluen 24.7 36.4 .. .. 38.9 .. 2.2 82.5 Arnhem 54.1 27.8 6.8 .. 11.3 .. 2.6 57.6 Barkly 43.1 18.5 .. .. 38.4 .. 1.6 63.1 Blain 37.3 25.7 .. .. 37.0 .. 2.7 78.9 Braitling 32.7 42.8 .. 10.1 14.4 .. 1.7 82.9 Brennan 48.0 44.2 7.8 ...... 2.9 79.9 Casuarina 61.3 38.7 ...... 2.6 82.4 Daly 36.5 42.4 6.6 .. 13.5 1.0 2.5 71.0 Drysdale 41.0 34.5 4.2 6.4 13.8 .. 2.8 73.2 Fannie Bay 59.3 32.6 8.2 ...... 2.2 78.3 Fong Lim 45.3 36.1 8.9 .. 9.6 .. 1.8 75.8 Goyder 18.9 20.2 .. 4.1 55.0 1.7 1.7 82.6 Johnston 51.4 31.4 .. 17.2 .. .. 1.9 80.4 Karama 34.0 22.8 6.2 .. 35.0 2.0 2.3 79.1 Katherine 31.3 35.2 18.3 .. 8.4 6.8 1.6 78.3 Namatjira 46.3 32.9 .. 15.5 5.3 .. 1.8 58.3 Nelson 11.0 22.2 .. .. 60.5 6.3 1.3 80.6 Nhulunbuy 44.4 13.1 .. .. 42.5 .. 2.1 58.7 Nightcliff 60.9 21.3 .. 17.8 .. .. 1.9 77.8 Port Darwin 38.4 36.3 3.2 .. 22.2 .. 2.1 75.3 Sanderson 52.3 35.4 3.0 .. 9.3 .. 1.4 81.2 Spillett 30.7 56.1 5.8 .. 6.7 0.7 1.8 79.5 Stuart 67.4 20.5 4.1 .. 7.9 .. 1.1 55.4 Wanguri 58.6 23.6 .. .. 17.8 .. 1.7 83.4 TOTAL 42.2 31.8 3.6 2.9 18.8 0.8 2.0 74.0

LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY: SUMMARY OF PERCENTAGE PARTY VOTE BY VOTE TYPE Electoral Percentage of First Preference Votes Informal Pct of District ALP CLP 1TP GRN IND OTH Votes Total Static Polling Places 41.7 33.6 3.1 3.2 17.7 0.7 2.2 38.0 Mobiles 52.9 22.2 4.5 2.2 18.0 0.1 1.8 10.5 Early Votes 40.1 31.6 3.6 2.4 21.4 1.0 1.9 36.2 Absent Votes 42.2 33.7 4.2 3.9 14.7 1.4 2.4 10.5 Declaration Votes 37.9 33.2 4.9 2.0 21.5 0.4 1.5 0.5 Postal Votes 38.9 36.8 3.9 3.1 16.6 0.6 1.1 4.3 TOTAL 42.2 31.8 3.6 2.9 18.8 0.8 2.0 100.0

Prepared by Antony Green – ABC Election Unit 5 2016 Northern Territory Election

LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY ELECTORATE RESULTS

Arafura (ALP gain) Roll 4848 Arnhem (ALP gain) Roll 5158 Candidate Party Votes % Swing Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count First Count Kurrupuwu * CLP 903 38.4 -5.5 Uibo ALP 1565 54.1 +9.5 Lotu 1TP 284 12.1 +12.1 Lawrence IND 211 7.3 +7.3 Mungatopi IND 75 3.2 +3.2 Gaykamangu 1TP 197 6.8 +6.8 Costa ALP 1087 46.3 +11.7 Gumbula CLP 804 27.8 -25.9 .... GRN 0.0 -14.8 Lee * IND 117 4.0 +4.0 .... FNP 0.0 -6.6 .... OTH 0.0 -1.7 Final Count Final Count Kurrupuwu * CLP 1020 45.3 -7.2 Uibo ALP 1777 64.3 +18.6 Costa ALP 1234 54.7 +7.2 Gumbula CLP 985 35.7 -18.6 Exhausted 95 4.0 Exhausted 132 4.6 Formal 2349 98.6 +3.1 Formal 2894 97.4 +1.1 Informal 34 1.4 -3.1 Informal 78 2.6 -1.1 Total / Turnout 2383 49.2 Total / Turnout 2972 57.6 Note: Sitting MLA Larisa Lee left the CLP in April 2014 and joined the United Australia Party before becoming Araluen (IND gain) Roll 5850 an Independent in September 2014.

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Barkly Roll 5183 First Count Findlay ALP 1165 24.7 +2.9 Candidate Party Votes % Swing Lambley * IND 1835 38.9 +38.9 Brown CLP 1720 36.4 -28.5 First Count .... IND 0.0 -4.9 McAdam IND 869 27.0 +27.0 .... GRN 0.0 -3.6 Jack CLP 595 18.5 -17.8 .... FNP 0.0 -4.7 Green IND 367 11.4 +11.4 McCarthy * ALP 1387 43.1 -2.1 Final Count .... IND 0.0 -4.1 Findlay ALP 0 0.0 -30.0 .... FNP 0.0 -14.6 Lambley * IND 2604 58.2 +58.2 Brown CLP 1873 41.8 -28.1 Final Count Exhausted 243 5.1 McAdam IND 1260 42.0 +42.0 Jack CLP 0 0.0 -42.4 2-Party Preferred McCarthy * ALP 1739 58.0 +0.4 Findlay ALP 1868 44.7 +14.7 Exhausted 219 6.8 Brown CLP 2308 55.3 -14.7 Exhausted 544 11.5 2-Party Preferred Jack CLP 1132 37.8 -4.7 Formal 4720 97.8 +1.1 McCarthy * ALP 1864 62.2 +4.7 Informal 106 2.2 -1.1 Exhausted 222 6.9 Total / Turnout 4826 82.5 Note: Sitting MLA Robyn Lambley resigned from the Formal 3218 98.4 +2.1 CLP in June 2015 and won re-election in 2016 as an Informal 53 1.6 -2.1 Independent. Total / Turnout 3271 63.1 Note: Independent Elliot McAdam was the former Labor MP for Barkly 2001-08.

6 Antony Green – ABC Election Unit – July 2016 2016 Northern Territory Election

Blain (IND gain) Roll 5576 Brennan (ALP gain) Roll 5204 Candidate Party Votes % Swing Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count First Count Knowles IND 241 5.6 +5.6 Fox 1TP 314 7.8 +7.8 Hale ALP 1597 37.3 +5.3 Sievers ALP 1939 48.0 +12.0 Boothby CLP 1102 25.7 -37.9 Chandler * CLP 1784 44.2 -19.8 Mills IND 1341 31.3 +31.3 .... FNP 0.0 -4.3 Final Count Sievers ALP 2077 52.6 +16.6 Final Count Chandler * CLP 1869 47.4 -16.6 Hale ALP 1849 48.6 +13.8 Exhausted 91 2.3 Boothby CLP 0 0.0 -65.1 Mills IND 1953 51.4 +51.4 Formal 4037 97.1 -0.6 Exhausted 479 11.2 Informal 122 2.9 +0.6 Total / Turnout 4159 79.9 2-Party Preferred Hale ALP 2056 54.8 +20.0

Boothby CLP 1693 45.2 -20.0 Casuarina Roll 5457 Exhausted 532 12.4 Formal 4281 97.3 +0.6 Candidate Party Votes % Swing Informal 121 2.7 -0.6 First and Final Count Total / Turnout 4402 78.9 Webb CLP 1694 38.7 -2.5 Note: As CLP Leader, Terry Mills retained Blain and Moss * ALP 2688 61.3 +2.5 formed government after the 2012 election. He was deposed as Chief Minister in March 2013, resigned Formal 4382 97.4 -0.5 from the Assembly in 2014 and was succeeded at an Informal 117 2.6 +0.5 April 2014 by-election (see page 11) by Nathan Barrett. Total / Turnout 4499 82.4 After a personal scandal, Barrett did not re-contest in Note: succeeded Kon Vatskalis as MP at 2016 and Mills returned to win the seat as an a September 2014 by-election. See page 11. Independent against his former party.

Daly Roll 5386 Braitling (ALP gain) Roll 5998 Candidate Party Votes % Swing Candidate Party Votes % Swing First Count First Count McKay IND 166 4.5 +4.5 Wakefield ALP 1601 32.7 +14.3 Venes ALP 1361 36.5 -2.1 Melky IND 211 4.3 +4.3 Growden 1TP 246 6.6 +6.6 Giles * CLP 2091 42.8 -20.0 Barry CEC 37 1.0 +1.0 Dupuy GRN 493 10.1 +0.8 McCarthy IND 128 3.4 +3.4 Gould IND 36 0.7 +0.7 Lee IND 90 2.4 +2.4 Clark IND 125 2.6 +2.6 Higgins * CLP 1583 42.4 -9.2 Walcott IND 332 6.8 +0.9 Wanganeen IND 119 3.2 +3.2 .... IND 0.0 -3.5 .... GRN 0.0 -4.8 .... OTH 0.0 -5.0 Final Count Wakefield ALP 2314 50.3 +19.9 Final Count Giles * CLP 2287 49.7 -19.9 Venes ALP 1622 47.9 +3.1 Exhausted 288 5.9 Higgins * CLP 1763 52.1 -3.1 Exhausted 345 9.2 Formal 4889 98.3 +0.9 Informal 84 1.7 -0.9 Formal 3730 97.5 +3.1 Total / Turnout 4973 82.9 Informal 94 2.5 -3.1 Note: Chief Minister provided a rare Total / Turnout 3824 71.0 instance of a head of government losing their seat at an election.

Prepared by Antony Green – ABC Election Unit 7 2016 Northern Territory Election

Drysdale (ALP gain) Roll 5460 Goyder (IND gain) Roll 5587 Candidate Party Votes % Swing Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count First Count Mackay IND 395 10.2 +10.2 Purick * IND 2496 55.0 +55.0 Cartwright 1TP 165 4.2 +4.2 Reynolds CLP 919 20.2 -41.4 Bray GRN 250 6.4 +6.4 McGinley GRN 188 4.1 +3.7 Hosking CLP 1341 34.5 -20.3 Taylor ALP 860 18.9 -11.0 Lawler ALP 1593 41.0 +9.1 Flynn CEC 76 1.7 +1.7 Kerle IND 141 3.6 +3.6 .... OTH 0.0 -7.9 .... IND 0.0 -13.3 Final Count Final Count Purick * IND 3109 75.3 +75.3 Hosking CLP 1597 44.8 -16.6 Reynolds CLP 1020 24.7 -41.3 Lawler ALP 1964 55.2 +16.6 Taylor ALP 0 0.0 -34.0 Exhausted 324 8.3 Exhausted 410 9.0 Formal 3885 97.2 +0.5 2-Party Preferred Informal 111 2.8 -0.5 Reynolds CLP 1551 48.0 -18.0 Total / Turnout 3996 73.2 Taylor ALP 1679 52.0 +18.0 Note: Vacant seat due to sitting CLP member Lia Exhausted 1309 28.8 Finocchiaro contesting the new seat of Spillett. Formal 4539 98.3 +1.5 Informal 78 1.7 -1.5 Total / Turnout 4617 82.6 Fannie Bay Roll 5613 Note: Sitting MLA Kezia Purick resigned from the CLP Candidate Party Votes % Swing in July 2015 and was re-elected as an Independent.

First Count Gunner * ALP 2550 59.3 +11.1 Johnston Roll 4983 Strettles 1TP 351 8.2 +8.2 Brown CLP 1401 32.6 -8.2 Candidate Party Votes % Swing .... GRN 0.0 -9.2 .... OTH 0.0 -1.9 First Count Ross GRN 676 17.2 +9.3 Final Count Klose CLP 1234 31.4 -7.6 Gunner * ALP 2688 64.2 +7.8 Vowles * ALP 2019 51.4 +3.6 Brown CLP 1499 35.8 -7.8 .... OTH 0.0 -5.3 Exhausted 115 2.7 Final Count Formal 4302 97.8 +0.7 Klose CLP 1339 35.3 -8.1 Informal 95 2.2 -0.7 Vowles * ALP 2453 64.7 +8.1 Total / Turnout 4397 78.3 Exhausted 137 3.5 Formal 3929 98.1 +1.6 Informal 77 1.9 -1.6 Fong Lim (ALP gain) Roll 5353 Total / Turnout 4006 80.4 Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Collins ALP 1802 45.3 +3.3 Fraser-Adams 1TP 356 8.9 +8.9 Eldridge IND 384 9.6 +9.6 Dixon CLP 1439 36.1 -11.4 .... GRN 0.0 -8.7 .... ASXP 0.0 -1.7 Final Count Collins ALP 2171 57.8 +7.9 Dixon CLP 1588 42.2 -7.9 Exhausted 222 5.6 Formal 3981 98.2 +1.0 Informal 74 1.8 -1.0 Total / Turnout 4055 75.8 Note: CLP MLA David Tollner did not contest the election.

8 Antony Green – ABC Election Unit – July 2016 2016 Northern Territory Election

Karama Roll 5228 Namatjira (ALP gain) Roll 5435 Candidate Party Votes % Swing Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count First Count Solo 1TP 249 6.2 +6.2 Forrester GRN 484 15.5 +13.8 Jenkins - 79 2.0 +2.0 Williams CLP 1024 32.9 -33.1 Jebbink IND 56 1.4 +1.4 Keeling IND 165 5.3 +5.3 Ah Kit ALP 1373 34.0 -18.7 Paech ALP 1442 46.3 +21.5 Ilett CLP 923 22.8 -18.7 .... FNP 0.0 -6.5 Lawrie * IND 1316 32.6 +32.6 .... IND 0.0 -0.9 Gimini IND 44 1.1 +1.1 .... GRN 0.0 -5.8 Final Count Williams CLP 1236 41.5 -29.3 Final Count Paech ALP 1742 58.5 +29.3 Ah Kit ALP 1702 50.8 -5.6 Exhausted 137 4.4 Ilett CLP 0 0.0 -43.6 Lawrie * IND 1647 49.2 +49.2 Formal 3115 98.2 +2.7 Exhausted 691 17.1 Informal 56 1.8 -2.7 Total / Turnout 3171 58.3 2-Party Preferred Note: Former Labor, CLP, UAP and Independent MLA Ah Kit ALP 2037 63.0 +6.6 Alison Anderson did not re-contest. Ilett CLP 1196 37.0 -6.6 Exhausted 807 20.0

Formal 4040 97.7 +1.3 Nelson Roll 5825 Informal 93 2.3 -1.3 Total / Turnout 4133 79.1 Candidate Party Votes % Swing Note: Sitting MLA Delia Lawrie became an First Count Independent in October 2015 after being denied Labor McCullough CEC 47 1.0 +1.0 endorsement. Wood * IND 2804 60.5 +11.5 Hunt ALP 510 11.0 +1.9 Reinhold SFP 245 5.3 +5.3 Katherine (ALP gain) Roll 5285 Maley CLP 1029 22.2 -18.7 .... OTH 0.0 -1.0 Candidate Party Votes % Swing Final Count First Count Wood * IND 3209 73.0 +16.5 David IND 285 7.0 +7.0 Maley CLP 1189 27.0 -16.5 Nelson ALP 1274 31.3 +10.4 Exhausted 237 5.1 Westra van Holthe * CLP 1434 35.2 -30.9 Cellier IND 58 1.4 +1.4 2-Party Preferred Earley 1TP 744 18.3 +18.3 Hunt ALP 1360 43.0 +10.1 Righton SFP 278 6.8 +6.8 Maley CLP 1803 57.0 -10.1 .... IND 0.0 -13.0 Exhausted 1472 31.8 Final Count Formal 4635 98.7 +0.7 Nelson ALP 1843 50.5 +22.7 Informal 61 1.3 -0.7 Westra van Holthe * CLP 1810 49.5 -22.7 Total / Turnout 4696 80.6 Exhausted 420 10.3 Formal 4073 98.4 +0.2 Informal 66 1.6 -0.2 Total / Turnout 4139 78.3

Prepared by Antony Green – ABC Election Unit 9 2016 Northern Territory Election

Nhulunbuy (IND gain) Roll 5895 Port Darwin (ALP gain) Roll 5281 Candidate Party Votes % Swing Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count First Count Anni IND 35 1.0 +1.0 Phayer IND 313 8.0 +8.0 Yunupingu CLP 444 13.1 -16.4 Kirby ALP 1496 38.4 +5.4 Walker * ALP 1502 44.4 -7.9 Kelly CLP 1412 36.3 -19.3 Guyula IND 1404 41.5 +41.5 Baker IND 498 12.8 +12.8 .... IND 0.0 -18.2 Cameron 1TP 123 3.2 +3.2 Wu IND 52 1.3 +1.3 Final Count .... GRN 0.0 -6.4 Yunupingu CLP 0 0.0 -36.3 .... ASXP 0.0 -5.0 Walker * ALP 1640 49.9 -13.8 Guyula IND 1648 50.1 +50.1 Final Count Exhausted 97 2.9 Kirby ALP 1875 52.8 +12.5 Kelly CLP 1676 47.2 -12.5 2-Party Preferred Exhausted 343 8.8 Yunupingu CLP 1049 34.1 -2.2 Walker * ALP 2026 65.9 +2.2 Formal 3894 97.9 +0.5 Exhausted 310 9.2 Informal 82 2.1 -0.5 Total / Turnout 3976 75.3 Formal 3385 97.9 +2.3 Informal 73 2.1 -2.3 Note: Sitting CLP MLA John Elferink did not contest the Total / Turnout 3458 58.7 election.

Sanderson (ALP gain) Roll 5546 Nightcliff Roll 5341 Candidate Party Votes % Swing Candidate Party Votes % Swing First Count First Count Worden ALP 2323 52.3 +9.3 Haubrick GRN 726 17.8 +11.0 Arthur IND 331 7.4 +7.4 Fyles * ALP 2485 60.9 +25.3 Andersson 1TP 135 3.0 +3.0 Dunstan CLP 868 21.3 -11.1 Styles * CLP 1573 35.4 -15.5 .... IND 0.0 -25.2 Lynch IND 81 1.8 +1.8 Final Count .... OTH 0.0 -6.1 Fyles * ALP 3049 76.9 +17.8 Final Count Dunstan CLP 918 23.1 -17.8 Worden ALP 2578 60.5 +13.6 Exhausted 112 2.7 Styles * CLP 1680 39.5 -13.6 Formal 4079 98.1 +1.4 Exhausted 185 4.2 Informal 78 1.9 -1.4 Formal 4443 98.6 +1.5 Total / Turnout 4157 77.8 Informal 63 1.4 -1.5 Total / Turnout 4506 81.2

10 Antony Green – ABC Election Unit – July 2016 2016 Northern Territory Election

Spillett Roll 5203 By-Elections 2012-2016 Candidate Party Votes % Swing Wanguri Roll 4984 (16 Feb 2013 - Resignation of Paul Henderson) First Count Norton 1TP 237 5.8 +5.8 Candidate Party Votes % Swing Tilbrook ALP 1247 30.7 +4.0 Finocchiaro * CLP 2277 56.1 -5.6 First Count Campbell CEC 29 0.7 +0.7 Manison ALP 2428 65.2 +8.2 Smith IND 175 4.3 +4.3 Harker CLP 1059 28.4 -14.6 Mackay IND 95 2.3 +2.3 Rudge IND 237 6.4 +6.4 .... GRN 0.0 -2.7 Final Count .... OTH 0.0 -8.9 Manison ALP 2585 69.4 +12.4 Final Count Harker IND 1139 30.6 -12.4 Tilbrook ALP 1428 36.9 +4.9 Formal 3724 Finocchiaro * CLP 2438 63.1 -4.9 Informal 141 3.6 +1.7 Exhausted 194 4.8 Total/Turnout 3865 77.5 -11.5 Formal 4060 98.2 +1.4 Informal 76 1.8 -1.4 Total / Turnout 4136 79.5 Blain Roll 5914 Note: New and notionally CLP seat contested by (12 Apr 2014 – Resignation of Terry Mills) Drysdale MLA . Candidate Party Votes % Swing

First Count Stuart (ALP gain) Roll 5242 Flynn CEC 56 1.4 +1.4 Candidate Party Votes % Swing Bahnert ALP 1448 37.3 +3.7 Barrett CLP 1768 45.5 -16.0 First Count Cranitch IND 336 8.7 +8.7 Bracey 1TP 119 4.1 +4.1 McKinnon GRN 275 7.1 +7.1 McConnell ALP 1937 67.4 +32.2 .... OTH 0.0 -4.9 Price * CLP 590 20.5 -26.2 Final Count Ryan IND 228 7.9 +7.9 Bahnert ALP 1816 46.8 +10.0 .... FNP 0.0 -18.1 Barrett IND 2067 53.2 -10.0 Final Count Formal 3883 McConnell ALP 2114 75.4 +30.9 Informal 184 4.5 +1.1 Price * CLP 690 24.6 -30.9 Total/Turnout 4067 68.8 -14.4 Exhausted 70 2.4

Formal 2874 98.9 +4.3 Informal 32 1.1 -4.3 Casuarina Roll 5481 Total / Turnout 2906 55.4 (18 Oct 2014 – Resignation of Kon Vatskalis)

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Wanguri Roll 5569 First Count Candidate Party Votes % Swing Mamouzellos - 99 2.6 +2.6 Jenkins - 78 2.1 +2.1 First Count Henderson IND 36 1.0 +1.0 Doherty CLP 1079 23.6 -19.5 Campbell CEC 25 0.7 +0.7 Mounsey IND 684 15.0 +15.0 Moss ALP 1579 42.1 -17.2 Pile IND 129 2.8 +2.8 Kypreos CLP 1525 40.6 -0.1 Manison * ALP 2673 58.6 +1.7 Connard GRN 412 11.0 +11.0 Final Count Final Count Doherty CLP 1302 30.1 -13.1 Moss ALP 2072 55.2 -4.1 Manison * ALP 3026 69.9 +13.1 Kypreos CLP 1682 44.8 +4.1 Exhausted 237 5.2 Formal 3754 Formal 4565 98.3 +0.3 Informal 133 3.4 +1.4 Informal 81 1.7 -0.3 Total/Turnout 3887 70.9 -15.0 Total / Turnout 4646 83.4 Note: succeeded former Chief Minister Paul Henderson at a by-election in February 2013. See by-elections next column.

Prepared by Antony Green – ABC Election Unit 11 2016 Northern Territory Election

LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY: SUMMARY OF TWO-PARTY RESULTS BY DISTRICT Electoral 2PP Votes 2PP Percent District Labor CLP Labor CLP Swing Arafura 1234 1020 54.7 45.3 7.2 to Labor Araluen (*) 1868 2308 44.7 55.3 14.7 to Labor Arnhem 1777 985 64.3 35.7 18.6 to Labor Barkly (*) 1864 1132 62.2 37.8 4.7 to Labor Blain (*) 2056 1693 54.8 45.2 20.0 to Labor Braitling 2314 2287 50.3 49.7 19.9 to Labor Brennan 2077 1869 52.6 47.4 16.6 to Labor Casuarina 2688 1694 61.3 38.7 2.5 to Labor Daly 1622 1763 47.9 52.1 3.2 to Labor Drysdale 1964 1597 55.2 44.8 16.6 to Labor Fannie Bay 2688 1499 64.2 35.8 7.8 to Labor Fong Lim 2171 1588 57.8 42.2 7.9 to Labor Goyder (*) 1679 1551 52.0 48.0 18.0 to Labor Johnston 2453 1339 64.7 35.3 8.1 to Labor Karama (*) 2037 1196 63.0 37.0 6.6 to Labor Katherine 1843 1810 50.5 49.5 22.7 to Labor Namatjira 1742 1236 58.5 41.5 29.2 to Labor Nelson (*) 1360 1803 43.0 57.0 10.1 to Labor Nhulunbuy (*) 2026 1049 65.9 34.1 2.2 to Labor Nightcliff 3049 918 76.9 23.1 17.8 to Labor Port Darwin 1875 1676 52.8 47.2 12.5 to Labor Sanderson 2578 1680 60.5 39.5 13.6 to Labor Spillett 1428 2438 36.9 63.1 4.9 to Labor Stuart 2114 690 75.4 24.6 30.9 to Labor Wanguri 3026 1302 69.9 30.1 13.1 to Labor Total 51533 38123 57.5 42.5 13.3 to Labor Note: (*) based on alternative two-party preferred count undertaken after the election by the NT Electoral Commission. See two-candidate preferred counts below and on the next page.

Actual Two-Candidate Preferred Counts Winning Candidate Defeated Candidate Electorate Party Vote % Party Vote % Araluen IND 2604 58.2 CLP 1873 41.8 Barkly ALP 1739 58.0 IND 1260 42.0 Blain IND 1953 51.4 ALP 1849 48.6 Goyder IND 3109 75.3 CLP 1020 24.7 Karama ALP 1702 50.8 IND 1647 49.2 Nelson IND 3209 73.0 CLP 1189 27.0 Nhulunbuy IND 1648 50.1 ALP 1640 49.9

Comparing Territory-Wide Two-Candidate Preferred Vote 2012-2016 Votes Pcts including exhausted Pcts excluding exhausted Party 2012 2016 2012 2016 Change 2012 2016 Change 2-Candidate Preferred Labor 39506 48782 42.9 49.6 +6.8 42.9 52.8 +9.9 Country Liberal 50460 31473 54.8 32.0 -22.7 54.8 34.0 -20.7 Independents 2177 12221 2.4 12.4 +10.1 2.4 13.2 +10.9 Exhausted .. 5823 0.0 5.9 +5.9

2-Party Preferred Labor 40709 51533 44.2 52.4 +8.2 44.2 57.2 +13.3 Country Liberal 51435 38123 55.8 38.8 -17.0 55.8 42.5 -13.3 Exhausted .. 8643 0.0 8.8 +8.8

12 Antony Green – ABC Election Unit – July 2016 2016 Northern Territory Election

LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY: FINAL TWO-CANDIDATE COUNT PERCENTAGES AND RESULT BASIS District Final Pct after Preferences Won (Other party) ALP CLP IND Exhst By Result basis Arafura 52.5 43.4 .. 4.0 ALP Majority Araluen .. 39.7 55.2 5.1 IND Majority Arnhem 61.4 34.0 .. 4.6 ALP First preferences Barkly 54.0 .. 39.2 6.8 ALP Majority Blain 43.2 .. 45.6 11.2 IND Plurality from 2nd Braitling 47.3 46.8 .. 5.9 ALP Plurality from 2nd Brennan 51.4 46.3 .. 2.3 ALP Majority Casuarina 61.3 38.7 .. .. ALP First preferences Daly 43.5 47.3 .. 9.2 CLP Plurality Drysdale 50.6 41.1 .. 8.3 ALP Majority Fannie Bay 62.5 34.8 .. 2.7 ALP First preferences Fong Lim 54.5 39.9 .. 5.6 ALP Majority Goyder .. 22.5 68.5 9.0 IND First preferences Johnston 62.4 34.1 .. 3.5 ALP First preferences Karama 42.1 .. 40.8 17.1 ALP Plurality Katherine 45.2 44.4 .. 10.3 ALP Plurality from 2nd Namatjira 55.9 39.7 .. 4.4 ALP Majority Nelson .. 25.7 69.2 5.1 IND First preferences Nhulunbuy 48.4 .. 48.7 2.9 IND Plurality from 2nd Nightcliff 74.7 22.5 .. 2.7 ALP First preferences Port Darwin 48.2 43.0 .. 8.8 ALP Plurality Sanderson 58.0 37.8 .. 4.2 ALP First preferences Spillett 35.2 60.0 .. 4.8 CLP First preferences Stuart 73.6 24.0 .. 2.4 ALP First preferences Wanguri 66.3 28.5 .. 5.2 ALP First preferences Territory 2CP 49.6 32.0 12.4 5.9 Territory 2PP 52.4 38.8 .. 8.8 Underlining indicates winning party percentage in plurality contests. Elsewhere in this publication, two-candidate preferred percentages are calculated as a percentage of the votes remaining in the count. In this table, they are calculated as a percentage of the formal vote, so the sum of the two-candidate preferred percentages and the exhausted percentage will round to 100

Summary of Seats Won

Of the 25 Legislative Assembly districts, 11 were won by candidates with a majority on first preferences (eight Labor, two Independents, one Country Liberal) and another seven by candidates with an absolute majority of the formal vote after the distribution of preferences (six Labor, one Independent).

Due to optional preferential voting, the other seven districts were won by candidates with only a plurality of the vote, that is without an absolute majority of the formal vote. Optional preferential voting allows votes to exhaust their preferences, so the winning candidate may win with a majority of the votes remaining in the count but representing only a plurality of the formal vote.

Of the seven plurality districts, four were won by Labor, including two from second place (Braitling, Katherine), one by the Country Liberals, and two by independents, including Nhulunbuy won from second place on preferences.

Details of the basis on which each seat was won are shown in the final column of the above table.

Prepared by Antony Green – ABC Election Unit 13 2016 Northern Territory Election

LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY: DISTRICTS RANKED BY NEW MARGINS Electoral Margin Electorate Margin Labor Party (18) Country Liberal (2) Nightcliff 26.9 Spillett 13.1 Stuart 25.4 Nelson (IND HELD) 7.0 Wanguri 19.9 Araluen (IND HELD) 5.3 Nhulunbuy (IND HELD) 15.9 Daly 2.1 Johnston 14.7 Arnhem 14.3 Independents (5) Fannie Bay 14.2 Goyder (v CLP) 25.3 Karama (0.8 v IND) 13.0 Nelson (v CLP) 23.0 Barkly (8.0 v IND) 12.2 Araluen (v CLP) 8.2 Casuarina 11.3 Blain (v CLP) 1.4 Sanderson 10.5 Nhulunbuy (v ALP) 0.1 Namatjira 8.5 Fong Lim 7.8 Drysdale 5.2 Blain (IND HELD) 4.8 Arafura 4.7 Port Darwin 2.8 Brennan 2.6 Goyder (IND HELD) 2.0 Katherine 0.5 Braitling 0.3

All 25 districts are listed in order of descending Labor, Country Liberal or Independent margin. The five Independent held districts have also been displayed in bold in the major party columns listed by two- party preferred margin. Alternative two-candidate preferred margins for Labor versus Independents are also shown in two districts. Underlining indicates districts that changed party status at the 2016 election. (See notes on seats changing party page 3.)

LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY: DISTRICTS RANKED BY TWO-PARTY SWING 2-Party 2-Party Electorate Swing Electorate Swing Swing to Labor Port Darwin 12.5 Stuart 30.9 Nelson 1 10.1 Namatjira 29.2 Johnston 8.1 Katherine 22.7 Fong Lim 7.9 Blain 1 20.0 Fannie Bay 7.8 Braitling 19.9 Arafura 7.2 Arnhem 18.6 Karama 1 6.6 Goyder 1 18.0 Spillett 4.9 Nightcliff 17.8 Barkly 1 4.7 Drysdale 16.6 Daly 3.2 Brennan 16.6 Casuarina 2.5 Araluen 1 14.7 Nhulunbuy 1 2.2 Sanderson 13.6 Wanguri 13.1

Underlining indicates seats that changed party status at the 2016 election. All seats recorded a swing to Labor. See notes on seats changing party page 3. 1 – indicates districts that were not two-party preferred contests at the 2016 election.

14 Antony Green – ABC Election Unit – July 2016 2016 Northern Territory Election

LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY: ELECTORATES RANKED BY PRE-ELECTION MARGIN 2-Party 2-Party Electorate (Margin) Swing Electorate (Margin) Swing Nhulunbuy (ALP 13.7%) +2.2 Stuart (CLP 5.5%) +30.9 Nightcliff (ALP 9.1%) +17.8 Port Darwin (CLP 9.7%) +12.5 Casuarina (ALP 8.9%) +2.5 Drysdale (CLP 11.5%) +16.6 Barkly (ALP 7.6%) +4.7 Brennan (CLP 14.0%) +16.6 Wanguri (ALP 6.9%) +13.1 Blain (CLP 15.1%) +20.0 Johnston (ALP 6.6%) +8.1 Goyder (CLP 16.0% IND held) +18.0 Karama (IND 6.4%) +6.6 Nelson (IND 17.1%) +10.1 Fannie Bay (ALP 6.4%) +7.8 Spillett (CLP 17.9%) +4.9 Braitling (CLP 19.6%) +19.9 Fong Lim (CLP 0.2%) +7.9 Araluen (CLP 20.0% IND held) +14.7 Arafura (CLP 2.4%) +7.2 Namatjira (CLP 20.8% IND held) +29.2 Sanderson (CLP 3.1%) +13.6 Katherine (CLP 22.3%) +22.7 Arnhem (CLP 4.3% IND held)) +18.6 Daly (CLP 5.2%) +3.2

All districts are listed in pre-election two-party preferred electoral pendulum order from safe Labor to safe LNP. Independent held seats are indicated. Underlining indicates seats that changed party status at the 2016 election. '+' indicates two-party preferred swing towards Labor, '-' a swing to the . (See notes on seats changing party page 3.)

LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY: ELECTORATES RANKED BY PRE-ELECTION MARGIN Electoral 2PP Votes 2PP Percent District Labor CLP Labor CLP Swing Safe Labor (6) 15768 7884 66.7 33.3 9.1 to Labor Very Safe Labor (1) 2026 1049 65.9 34.1 2.2 to Labor Labor (7) 17794 8933 66.6 33.4 8.2 to Labor

Marginal Country Liberal (5) 9719 6741 59.0 41.0 12.3 to Labor Safe Country Liberal (2) 3839 3273 54.0 46.0 14.6 to Labor Very Safe Country Liberal (5) 9718 10097 49.0 51.0 17.1 to Labor Country Liberal (12) 23276 20111 53.6 46.4 14.6 to Labor

Marginal Others (1) 1777 985 64.3 35.7 18.6 to Labor Safe Others (2) 3397 2999 53.1 46.9 8.6 to Labor Very Safe Others (3) 5289 5095 50.9 49.1 19.6 to Labor Others (6) 10463 9079 53.5 46.5 15.8 to Labor

Districts have been classified by the party of the sitting member, so four CLP seats and one Labor seat have been classified as Independent held. Margins and swings are based on the redistribution. All swings are two-party preferred swings between Labor and CLP. Districts with margins under 6% are classed as Marginal, from 6% to 12% as Safe, while wards with margins above 12% are classified as Very Safe.

Prepared by Antony Green – ABC Election Unit 15 2016 Northern Territory Election

Regional Summaries

The following tables summarise the results of the election by region. The Territory has been broken into two broad regions representing Greater Darwin and the rest of the Territory. Parts of Darwin have been further divided into Inner Darwin, Northern Suburbs, Palmerston and Darwin Rural. The rest of the Territory is divided into Alice Springs/Katherine and Pastoral/Remote.

The party that won each seat is shown in parenthesis. Underlining indicates seats that changed party at the election.

Greater Darwin Seats(14)

Inner Darwin (3) Fannie Bay (ALP), Fong Lim (ALP), Port Darwin (ALP)

Northern Suburbs (6) Casuarina (ALP), Johnston (ALP), Karama (ALP), Nightcliff (ALP), Sanderson (ALP), Wanguri (ALP)

Palmerston (3) Blain (ALP), Brennan (ALP), Drysdale (ALP), Spillett (CLP)

Darwin Rural (2) Goyder (IND), Nelson (IND)

Non-Darwin Seats (11)

Pastoral / Remote (7) Arafura (ALP), Arnhem (ALP), Barkly (ALP), Daly (CLP), Namatjira (ALP), Nhulunbuy (IND), Stuart (ALP)

Alice Springs / Katherine (4) Araluen (IND), Braitling (ALP), Katherine (ALP)

Greater Darwin Roll 81226 Regional/Remote Roll 54280 Party Votes % Swing Party Votes % Swing Labor (11) 27155 43.1 +3.9 Labor (7) 14321 40.6 +8.5 Country Liberals (1) 20075 31.8 -17.0 Country Liberals (1) 11188 31.7 -21.7 1 Territory 1930 3.1 +3.1 1 Territory 1590 4.5 +4.5 Greens 1840 2.9 -0.2 Greens 977 2.8 -0.8 Independents (3) 11576 18.4 +12.3 Independents (2) 6856 19.5 +13.8 Others 476 0.8 -2.0 Others 315 0.9 -4.3 Labor 2PP 33129 58.1 +11.9 Labor 2PP 18404 56.3 +15.5 CLP 2PP 23843 41.9 -11.9 CLP 2PP 14280 43.7 -15.5 Formal 63052 97.9 +0.8 Formal 35247 98.1 +1.9 Informal 1329 2.1 -0.8 Informal 676 1.9 -1.9 Total / Turnout 64381 79.3 Total / Turnout 35923 66.2

16 Antony Green – ABC Election Unit – July 2016 2016 Northern Territory Election

Northern Darwin Roll 32124 Alice/Katherine Roll 17133 Party Votes % Swing Party Votes % Swing Labor (6) 13561 53.3 +4.3 Labor (2) 4040 29.5 +9.2 Country Liberals 7371 29.0 -12.5 Country Liberals 5245 38.3 -26.2 1 Territory 384 1.5 +1.5 1 Territory 744 5.4 +5.4 Greens 1402 5.5 +2.2 Greens 493 3.6 -1.0 Independents 2641 10.4 +6.3 Independents (1) 2882 21.1 +12.0 Others 79 0.3 -1.7 Others 278 2.0 +0.5 Labor 2PP 15831 66.1 +10.5 Labor 2PP 6025 48.5 +19.0 CLP 2PP 8129 33.9 -10.5 CLP 2PP 6405 51.5 -19.0 Formal 25438 98.0 +0.9 Formal 13682 98.2 +0.7 Informal 509 2.0 -0.9 Informal 256 1.8 -0.7 Total / Turnout 25947 80.8 Total / Turnout 13938 81.4

Palmerston Roll 21443 Pastoral/Remote Roll 37147 Party Votes % Swing Party Votes % Swing Labor (2) 6376 39.2 +7.3 Labor (5) 10281 47.7 +8.1 Country Liberals (1) 6504 40.0 -20.9 Country Liberals (1) 5943 27.6 -19.0 1 Territory 716 4.4 +4.4 1 Territory 846 3.9 +3.9 Greens 250 1.5 +1.0 Greens 484 2.2 -0.6 Independents (1) 2388 14.7 +11.0 Independents (1) 3974 18.4 +14.8 Others 29 0.2 -2.7 Others 37 0.2 -7.3 Labor 2PP 7525 49.8 +14.2 Labor 2PP 12379 61.1 +13.3 CLP 2PP 7597 50.2 -14.2 CLP 2PP 7875 38.9 -13.3 Formal 16263 97.4 +0.4 Formal 21565 98.1 +2.7 Informal 430 2.6 -0.4 Informal 420 1.9 -2.7 Total / Turnout 16693 77.8 Total / Turnout 21985 59.2

Darwin Rural Roll 11412 Party Votes % Swing Labor 1370 14.9 -5.0 Country Liberals 1948 21.2 -30.4 Greens 188 2.0 +1.8 Independents (2) 5300 57.8 +34.2 Others 368 4.0 -0.6 Labor 2PP 3039 47.5 +14.1 CLP 2PP 3354 52.5 -14.1 Formal 9174 98.5 +1.2 Informal 139 1.5 -1.2 Total / Turnout 9313 81.6

Prepared by Antony Green – ABC Election Unit 17 2016 Northern Territory Election

Members Elected

• Of the 25 members in the retiring Legislative Assembly, only 11 were re-elected, six Labor, three Independent (including two ex-CLP MLAs) and two Country Liberal. Country Liberal MLA Lia Finocchiaro was re-elected for a different seat. • Five members retired, four CLP (including Matt Conlan whose seat was abolished) and one Independent. The seats of the retiring members all fell to other parties. • Nine members were defeated, six CLP, two Independent (two ex-CLP and one ex-Labor) and one Labor MLA. • There 14 new members, 12 Labor members and two Independents, including the return of Terry Mills as an Independent, having previously represented his seat of Blain as an Independent.

Changes of Legsilative Assembly Membership 2008-2012 Electorate Departing MLA Cause New MLA Arafura Francis Kurrupuwu (CLP) Defeated (ALP) Araluen Robyn Lambley (IND) Re-elected Ex-CLP, first election as Independent Arnhem Larissa Lee (IND, ex-CLP) Defeated (ALP) Barkley Gerry McCarthy Re-elected Blain Nathan Barrett (CLP) Did not contest Terry Mills (IND) Braitling Adam Giles (CLP) Defeated Dale Wakefield (ALP) Brennan Peter Chandler (CLP) Defeated Tony Sievers (ALP) Casuarina Lauren Moss (ALP) Re-elected Daly (CLP) Re-elected Drysdale Lia Finocchiaro (CLP) Changed seat (ALP) Fannie Bay (ALP) Re-elected Fong Lim David Tollner (CLP) Did not contest Jeff Collins (ALP) Goyder Kezia Purick (IND) Re-elected Ex-CLP, first election as Independent Greatorex Matt Conlan (CLP) Seat abolished Johnston Ken Vowles (ALP) Re-elected Karama Delia Lawrie (IND, ex-ALP) Defeated (ALP) Katherine W Westra van Holthe (CLP) Defeated Sandra Nelson (ALP) Namatjira Alison Anderson (IND) Did not contest (ALP) Nelson Gerry Wood (IND) Re-elected Gerry Wood (IND) Nhulunbuy Lynne Walker (ALP) Defeated (IND) Nightcliff (ALP) Re-elected Port Darwin John Elferink (CL) Did not contest (ALP) Sanderson Peter Styles (CLP) Defeated (ALP) Spillett New Seat New seat Lia Finocchiaro (moved seat) Stuart Bess Price (CLP) Defeated Scott McConnell (ALP) Wanguri Nicole Manison (ALP) Re-elected Bold indicates seats that changed party status at the 2012 election.

18 Antony Green – ABC Election Unit – July 2016 2016 Northern Territory Election

Summary of the Redistribution

Old New District Notes Margin Margin Arafura CLP 1.0 CLP 2.4 Araluen CLP 22.2 CLP 20.0 MLA Robyn Lambley resigned from the CLP in June 2015 and re-contested as an Independent. Arnhem CLP 5.3 CLP 4.3 MLA Larisa Lee resigned from the CLP and re- contested as an Independent. Barkly ALP 7.6 ALP 7.6 Minor changes only. Blain CLP 13.2 CLP 15.1 MLA Nathan Barrett did not re-contest. Former MLA and Chief Minister Terry Mills contested as an Independent. Braitling CLP 23.6 CLP 19.6 Brennan CLP 14.2 CLP 14.0 Casuarina ALP 9.3 ALP 8.9 Daly CLP 4.7 CLP 5.2 Drysdale CLP 15.3 CLP 11.5 Vacant seat. CLP MLA Lia Finocchiaro contested the new seat of Spillett. Fannie Bay ALP 6.8 ALP 6.4 Fong Lim CLP 7.3 CLP 0.2 CLP MLA David Tollner did not re-contest. Goyder CLP 16.7 CLP 16.0 MLA Kezia Purick resigned from the CLP in July 2015 and re-contested as an Independent. Greatorex CLP 14.8 (Abolished) CLP MLA Matt Conlan did not contest the election. Johnston ALP 5.7 ALP 6.6 Karama ALP 6.4 ALP 6.4 Unchanged. Labor MLA Delia Lawrie resigned from the Labor Party in October 2015 and re-contested as an Independent. Katherine CLP 22.3 CLP 22.3 Unchanged Namatjira CLP 18.6 CLP 20.8 CLP MLA Alison Anderson left the CLP in 2014 and did not not contest the 2016 election. Nelson IND 9.2 IND 9.2 Nhulunbuy ALP 19.0 ALP 13.7 Nightcliffe ALP 9.2 ALP 9.2 Unchanged Port Darwin CLP 9.6 CLP 9.6 CLP MLA John Elferink did not re-contest. Sanderson CLP 3.1 CLP 3.1 Unchanged Spillett (New seat) CLP 17.9 Contested by Drysdale CLP MLA Lia Finocchiaro. Stuart CLP 3.5 CLP 5.5 Wanguri ALP 7.0 ALP 6.9 (*) Estimated two-party preferred margins. Two-candidate contests in 2012.

Prepared by Antony Green – ABC Election Unit 19 2016 Northern Territory Election

2016 Northern Territory Election - List of Candidates Candidate Party District A Ah Kit, Ngaree Jane ALP Karama Anderson, Alison (Retiring MP) IND Namatjira Andersson, Trudi 1TP Sanderson Anni, Jackson IND Nhulunbuy Arthur, Andrew John IND Sanderson B Bahnert, Geoff ALP Blain by-election Baker, Matthew IND Port Darwin Barrett, Nathan (Retiring MP) IND Blain, Blain by-election Barry, Ian Robert CEC Daly Boothby, Marie-Clare CLP Blain Bracey, Andi 1TP Stuart Bray, Hayden GRN Drysdale Brown, Karen CLP Fannie Bay Brown, Stephen CLP Araluen C Cameron, David 1TP Port Darwin Campbell, Trudy CEC Spillett, Blain by-election Cartwright, David 1TP Drysdale Cellier, Leon IND Katherine Chandler, Peter (Sitting MP) CLP Brennan Clark, Jane IND Braitling Collins, Jeff ALP Fong Lim Conlan, Matt (Retiring MP) CLP Braitling Connard, Michael GRN Casuarina by-election Costa, Lawrence ALP Arafura Cranitch, Matthew IND Blain by-election D David, Dean Maxwell IND Katherine Dixon, Tim CLP Fong Lim Doherty, Steven CLP Wanguri Dunstan, Ted CLP Nightcliff Dupuy, Dalton GRN Braitling E Earley, Braedon 1TP Katherine Eldridge, Ilana IND Fong Lim Elferink, John (Retiring MP) CLP Port Darwin F Findlay, Adam ALP Araluen Finocchiaro, Lia (Sitting MP) CLP Spillett Flynn, Peter CEC Goyder, Blain by-election Forrester, Vincent GRN Namatjira Fox, Dorothy 1TP Brennan Fraser-Adams, Sue 1TP Fong Lim Fyles, Natasha (Sitting MP) ALP Nightcliff G Gaykamangu, James 1TP Arnhem Giles, Adam (Sitting MP) CLP Braitling Gimini, Jimmy IND Karama Gould, Alfred IND Braitling

20 Antony Green – ABC Election Unit – July 2016 2016 Northern Territory Election

Candidate Party District Green, Jack IND Barkly Growden, Joan 1TP Daly Gumbula, Ian CLP Arnhem Gunner, Michael (Sitting MP) ALP Fannie Bay Guyula, Yingiya Mark IND Nhulunbuy H Hale, Damian ALP Blain Harker, Rhianna CLP Wanguri by-election Haubrick, Matt GRN Nightcliff Henderson, Jack Childers IND Casuarina by-election Higgins, Gary (Sitting MP) CLP Daly Hosking, Ben CLP Drysdale Hunt, Kirsty ALP Nelson I Ilett, Jarred CLP Karama J Jack, Tony CLP Barkly Jebbink, Sonja IND Karama Jenkins, Trevor - Karama, Blain by-election K Keeling, Alan IND Namatjira Kelly, Rohan CLP Port Darwin Kerle, Margy IND Drysdale Kirby, Paul ALP Port Darwin Klose, Steven CLP Johnston Knowles, Gregory John IND Blain Kurrupuwu, Francis Xavier (Sitting MP) CLP Arafura Kypreos, Harry CLP Casuarina by-election L Lambley, Robyn (Sitting MP) IND Araluen Lawler, Eva ALP Drysdale Lawrence, Lance IND Arnhem Lawrie, Delia (Sitting MP) IND Karama Lee, Larisa (Sitting MP) IND Arnhem Lee, Thong Sum IND Daly Lotu, Jon 1TP Arafura Lynch, Thomas IND Sanderson M Mackay, Lyle IND Drysdale Mackay, Sonia IND Spillett Maley, Gerard CLP Nelson Mamouzellos, George - Casuarina by-election Manison, Nicole (Sitting MP) ALP Wanguri, Wanguri by-election McAdam, Elliot IND Barkly McCarthy, Gerry (Sitting MP) ALP Barkly McCarthy, Regina IND Daly McConnell, Scott ALP Stuart McCullough, Brigid CEC Nelson McGinley, Billee GRN Goyder McKay, Allan Arthur IND Daly McKinnon, Sue GRN Blain by-election

Prepared by Antony Green – ABC Election Unit 21 2016 Northern Territory Election

Candidate Party District Melky, Eli IND Braitling Mills, Terry IND Blain Moss, Lauren (Sitting MP) ALP Casuarina, Casuarina by-election Mounsey, Shauna IND Wanguri Mungatopi, Tristan IND Arafura N Nelson, Sandra ALP Katherine Norton, Jeff 1TP Spillett P Paech, Chansey ALP Namatjira Phayer, Carol IND Port Darwin Pile, Jan IND Wanguri Price, Bess Nungarrayi (Sitting MP) CLP Stuart Purick, Kezia (Sitting MP) IND Goyder R Reinhold, Marty SFP Nelson Reynolds, Carolyn CLP Goyder Righton, Chris SFP Katherine Ross, Melanie GRN Johnston Rudge, Peter IND Wanguri by-election Ryan, Maurie Japarta IND Stuart S Sievers, Tony ALP Brennan Smith, Richard IND Spillett Solo, Edward D 1TP Karama Strettles, Greg 1TP Fannie Bay Styles, Peter (Sitting MP) CLP Sanderson T Taylor, Mick ALP Goyder Tilbrook, Phil ALP Spillett Tollner, David (Retiring MP) CLP Fong Lim U Uibo, Selena ALP Arnhem V Venes, Anthony ALP Daly Vowles, Ken (Sitting MP) ALP Johnston W Wakefield, Dale ALP Braitling Walcott, Phil IND Braitling Walker, Lynne (Sitting MP) ALP Nhulunbuy Wanganeen, Kevin IND Daly Webb, Giovanna CLP Casuarina Westra van Holthe, Willem (Sitting MP) CLP Katherine Williams, Heidi CLP Namatjira Wood, Gerry (Sitting MP) IND Nelson Worden, Kate ALP Sanderson Wu, Kenneth IND Port Darwin Y Yunupingu, Charlie CLP Nhulunbuy

22 Antony Green – ABC Election Unit – July 2016