Popasna Under Fire
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Russia's Hybrid Warfare
Research Paper Research Division – NATO Defense College, Rome – No. 105 – November 2014 Russia’s Hybrid Warfare Waging War below the Radar of Traditional Collective Defence by H. Reisinger and A. Golts1 “You can’t modernize a large country with a small war” Karl Schlögel The Research Division (RD) of the NATO De- fense College provides NATO’s senior leaders with “Ukraine is not even a state!” Putin reportedly advised former US President sound and timely analyses and recommendations on current issues of particular concern for the Al- George W. Bush during the 2008 NATO Summit in Bucharest. In 2014 this liance. Papers produced by the Research Division perception became reality. Russian behaviour during the current Ukraine convey NATO’s positions to the wider audience of the international strategic community and con- crisis was based on the traditional Russian idea of a “sphere of influence” and tribute to strengthening the Transatlantic Link. a special responsibility or, stated more bluntly, the “right to interfere” with The RD’s civil and military researchers come from countries in its “near abroad”. This perspective is also implied by the equally a variety of disciplines and interests covering a 2 broad spectrum of security-related issues. They misleading term “post-Soviet space.” The successor states of the Soviet conduct research on topics which are of interest to Union are sovereign countries that have developed differently and therefore the political and military decision-making bodies of the Alliance and its member states. no longer have much in common. Some of them are members of the European Union and NATO, while others are desperately trying to achieve The opinions expressed are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of the this goal. -
Survey Situations in Water Supply, Sanitation and Hygiene in Damaged by the Conflict Areas in Eastern Ukraine
SURVEY SITUATIONS IN WATER SUPPLY, SANITATION AND HYGIENE IN DAMAGED BY THE CONFLICT AREAS IN EASTERN UKRAINE Customer: UN Children's Fund(UNICEF) Perfomer: Luhansk Regional charitable organization "Luhansk communities fund"KHORS " Terms of the survey: 15.12.2014-05.01.2015 Date of report: 15.01.2015 Фонд громадВибір Table of contents Name of the Project: ............................................................................................................................ 3 Survey objectives ................................................................................................................................. 3 Place for Survey Implementation ........................................................................................................ 3 Methodology ........................................................................................................................................ 3 Limitations in making the survey ........................................................................................................ 4 Short description of survey results ...................................................................................................... 4 Territories ....................................................................................... Error! Bookmark not defined. Affected population ........................................................................ Error! Bookmark not defined. Temporarily displaced people ........................................................................................................ -
Full Study (In English)
The Long Shadow of Donbas Reintegrating Veterans and Fostering Social Cohesion in Ukraine By JULIA FRIEDRICH and THERESA LÜTKEFEND Almost 400,000 veterans who fought on the Ukrainian side in Donbas have since STUDY returned to communities all over the country. They are one of the most visible May 2021 representations of the societal changes in Ukraine following the violent conflict in the east of the country. Ukrainian society faces the challenge of making room for these former soldiers and their experiences. At the same time, the Ukrainian government should recognize veterans as an important political stakeholder group. Even though Ukraine is simultaneously struggling with internal reforms and Russian destabilization efforts, political actors in Ukraine need to step up their efforts to formulate and implement a coherent policy on veteran reintegration. The societal stakes are too high to leave the issue unaddressed. gppi.net This study was funded by the Konrad Adenauer Foundation in Ukraine. The views expressed therein are solely those of the authors and do not reflect the official position of the Konrad Adenauer Foundation. The authors would like to thank several experts and colleagues who shaped this project and supported us along the way. We are indebted to Kateryna Malofieieva for her invaluable expertise, Ukraine-language research and support during the interviews. The team from Razumkov Centre conducted the focus group interviews that added tremendous value to our work. Further, we would like to thank Tobias Schneider for his guidance and support throughout the process. This project would not exist without him. Mathieu Boulègue, Cristina Gherasimov, Andreas Heinemann-Grüder, and Katharine Quinn-Judge took the time to provide their unique insights and offered helpful suggestions on earlier drafts. -
Hybrid Warfare and the Protection of Civilians in Ukraine
ENTERING THE GREY-ZONE: Hybrid Warfare and the Protection of Civilians in Ukraine civiliansinconflict.org i RECOGNIZE. PREVENT. PROTECT. AMEND. PROTECT. PREVENT. RECOGNIZE. Cover: June 4, 2013, Spartak, Ukraine: June 2021 Unexploded ordnances in Eastern Ukraine continue to cause harm to civilians. T +1 202 558 6958 E [email protected] civiliansinconflict.org ORGANIZATIONAL MISSION AND VISION Center for Civilians in Conflict (CIVIC) is an international organization dedicated to promoting the protection of civilians in conflict. CIVIC envisions a world in which no civilian is harmed in conflict. Our mission is to support communities affected by conflict in their quest for protection and strengthen the resolve and capacity of armed actors to prevent and respond to civilian harm. CIVIC was established in 2003 by Marla Ruzicka, a young humanitarian who advocated on behalf of civilians affected by the war in Iraq and Afghanistan. Honoring Marla’s legacy, CIVIC has kept an unflinching focus on the protection of civilians in conflict. Today, CIVIC has a presence in conflict zones and key capitals throughout the world where it collaborates with civilians to bring their protection concerns directly to those in power, engages with armed actors to reduce the harm they cause to civilian populations, and advises governments and multinational bodies on how to make life-saving and lasting policy changes. CIVIC’s strength is its proven approach and record of improving protection outcomes for civilians by working directly with conflict-affected communities and armed actors. At CIVIC, we believe civilians are not “collateral damage” and civilian harm is not an unavoidable consequence of conflict—civilian harm can and must be prevented. -
The Kremlin's Irregular Army: Ukrainian Separatist Order of Battle
THE KREMLIN’S IRREGULARY ARMY: UKRAINIAN SEPARATIST ORDER OF BATTLE | FRANKLIN HOLCOMB | AUGUST 2017 Franklin Holcomb September 2017 RUSSIA AND UKRAINE SECURITY REPORT 3 THE KREMLIN’S IRREGULAR ARMY: UKRAINIAN SEPARATIST ORDER OF BATTLE WWW.UNDERSTANDINGWAR.ORG 1 Cover: A Pro-Russian separatist sits at his position at Savur-Mohyla, a hill east of the city of Donetsk, August 28, 2014. REUTERS/Maxim Shemetov. Reproduced with permission. All rights reserved. Printed in the United States of America. No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopy, recording, or any information storage or retrieval system, without permission in writing or from the publisher. ©2017 by the Institute for the Study of War. Published in 2017 in the United States of America by the Instittue for the Study of War. 1400 16th Street NW, Suite 515 | Washington, DC 20036 understandingwar.org 2 Franklin Holcomb The Kremlin’s Irregular Army: Ukrainian Separatist Order of Battle ABOUT THE AUTHOR Franklin Holcomb is a Russia and Ukraine Research Analyst at the Institute for the Study of War where he focuses on the war in Ukraine, Ukrainian politics, and Russian foreign policy in Eastern Europe. His current research focuses on studying the development of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the Russian-backed separatist formations operating in Eastern Ukraine, as well as analyzing Russian political and military activity in Moldova, the Baltic, and the Balkans. Mr. Holcomb is the author of “The Order of Battle of the Ukrainian Armed Forces: A Key Component in European Security,” “Moldova Update: Kremlin Will Likely Seek to Realign Chisinau”, “Ukraine Update: Russia’s Aggressive Subversion of Ukraine,” as well as ISW’s other monthly updates on the political and military situation in Ukraine. -
Unravelling the Ukrainian Revolution: “Dignity,” “Fairness,” “Heterarchy,” and the Challenge to Modernity
Unravelling the Ukrainian Revolution: “Dignity,” “Fairness,” “Heterarchy,” and the Challenge to Modernity Mychailo Wynnyckyj National University of Kyiv Mohyla Academy, Department of Sociology Abstract Ukraine’s “Revolution of Dignity,” spanning both the 2013-2014 protests in Kyiv’s city center and the mass mobilization of grass-roots resistance against Russian aggression in 2014-2015 and thereafter, manifest new interpretations of ideas and philosophical concepts. In the first part of the article we unravel the meaning of the Ukrainian word hidnist (roughly translated as “dignity”)— a moniker of the revolution whose significance remains underestimated. In the second part we situate Ukraine’s revolution within a broader context of “modernity” and suggest its individualist foundation may be replaced by a form of “personalism”— an ethic that echoes that of Ukraine’s revolutionaries. In the third part of the article, we delve into the substance of the revolution’s agenda: its protagonists’ promise to build a non-hierarchical community of “fairness” (spravedlyvist). In the fourth and final section, the main argument of the article is summarized, namely: that the shift from individualism to personalism in social interaction and the transition from hierarchy to heterarchy in power relations, particularly with respect to institutionalizing “fairness,” embodied in the various structures and organizations formed during Ukraine’s Revolution of Dignity, may have been reflective of more comprehensive trends in ideational change affecting European (Western) civilization. KeyWords: Ukraine, Revolution, Euromaidan, personalism, dignity, heterarchy. In late 2013 and early 2014, over multiple weeks in sub-zero temperatures, hundreds of thousands of protesters in Kyiv (and in other cities across Ukraine), displayed amazing levels of civic activism, self-organization, and spontaneous cooperation while demonstrating their individual and collective displeasure with their rulers. -
Donbas, Ukraine: Organizations and Activities
Geneva Centre for Security Sector Governance Civil Society in Donbas, Ukraine: Organizations and Activities Volodymyr Lukichov Tymofiy Nikitiuk Liudmyla Kravchenko Luhansk oblast DONBAS DONBAS Stanytsia Donetsk Luhanska Zolote oblast Mayorske Luhansk Donetsk Maryinka Novotroitske RUSSIA Hnutove Mariupol Sea of Azov About DCAF DCAF - Geneva Centre for Security Sector Governance is dedicated to improving the se- curity of people and the States they live in within a framework of democratic governance, the rule of law, and respect for human rights. DCAF contributes to making peace and de- velopment more sustainable by assisting partner states and international actors supporting them to improve the governance of their security sector through inclusive and participatory reforms. It creates innovative knowledge products, promotes norms and good practices, provides legal and policy advice and supports capacity building of both state- and non-state security sector stakeholders. Active in over 70 countries, DCAF is internationally recognized as one of the world’s leading centres of excellence for security sector governance (SSG) and security sector reform (SSR). DCAF is guided by the principles of neutrality, impartiality, local ownership, inclusive participation, and gender equality. www.dcaf.ch. Publisher DCAF - Geneva Centre for Security Sector Governance P.O.Box 1360 CH-1211 Geneva 1 Switzerland [email protected] +41 (0) 22 730 9400 Authors: Volodymyr Lukichov, Tymofiy Nikitiuk, Liudmyla Kravchenko Copy-editor: dr Grazvydas Jasutis, Richard Steyne -
FOREIGN FIGHTERS in UKRAINE: ASSESSING POTENTIAL RISKS Egle E
FOREIGN FIGHTERS IN UKRAINE: ASSESSING POTENTIAL RISKS Egle E. Murauskaite Vilnius institute for policy analysis Vilnius institute for policy analysis © 2020 Vilnius institute for policy analysis www.vilniusinstitute.lt Egle E. Murauskaite is a senior researcher and simulations designer for the ICONS Project with Maryland University. Presently based in Lithuania, she is responsible for high-level political-military crises simulations in Europe, alongside academic research and government consulting projects. Egle has been working with unconventional security threats for the past 9 years – from gray zone warfare to proliferation of nuclear weapons. Egle is also a senior non-resident fellow with the Vilnius Institute for Policy Analysis, where she is currently exploring the issue of foreign fighters in Ukraine. She is a co-author of a monthly podcast “NYLA Update”, where she explores the long-term geopolitical trends and challenges, and also a regular commentator on security issues in national and international media. Egle holds a Master’s degree from Sciences Po Paris (International Security) and a Bachelor’s degree from SSE Riga (Economics and Business Management); her professional experience spans the Netherlands, Australia, Egypt, France, and the U.S. Foreign Fighters in Ukraine: Assessing Potential Risks Abstract This study analyzes the profiles of foreign fighters, who have joined the conflict in Ukraine on either side, and assesses the risks of radicalization as these fighters are increasingly returning home. With considerable attention given to potential terrorism risks posed by foreign fighters of the Islamic bent returning from Syria and Iraq, foreign fighters in Ukraine receive relatively little coverage - and when they do, this faulty analogy at play risks making the potential radicalizing factors worse. -
East Ukraine
UKRAINE - East Ukraine For Humanitarian Purposes Only Pre-Conflict and Current Network for Selling Produce Production date : 10 October 2017 Pre-Conflict LUHANSK GCA Current LUHANSK GCA ² SIEVIERODONETSK ! SIEVIERODONETSK ! ! NOVOAIDAR ! NOVOAIDAR LYSYCHANSK ! LYSYCHANSK! SLOVIANSK EAST LUHANSK SLOVIANSK ! EAST LUHANSK POPASNA ! POPASNA ! ! ! KRAMATORSK ! KRAMATORSK ! ! ! BAKHMUT ! ! ! BAKHMUT ! ! ! STANYTSIA! STANYTSIA! BAKHMUT ! ! LUHANSKA DRUZHKIVKA ! LUHANSKA POPASNA ! BAKHMUT POPASNA PERVOMAISK DRUZHKIVKA ! PERVOMAISK ! ! ! LUHANSK ! LUHANSK ! KOSTIANTYNIVKA ! KOSTIANTYNIVKA ! ! ! ALCHEVSK TORETSK ALCHEVSK TORETSK !! ! ! DONETSK GCA TORETSK ! ! DONETSK GCA TORETSK ! ! ! ! ! HORLIVKA LUHANSK NGCA POKROVSK ! HORLIVKA LUHANSK NGCA POKROVSK AVDIIVKA AVDIIVKA ! ! KHRUSTALNYI KHRUSTALNYI ! AVDIIVKA ! SELYDOVE ! SELYDOVE ANTRATSYT AVDIIVKA ANTRATSYT YASYNUVATA YASYNUVATA SHAKHTARSK SHAKHTARSK ! MAKIIVKA MAKIIVKA KRASNOHORIVKA ! SNIZHNE KURAKHOVE ! !DONETSK ! DONETSK SNIZHNE WEST WEST DONETSK DONETSK ! ! DONETSK NGCA ! DONETSK NGCA ! ! ! ! VOLNOVAKHA ! VOLNOVAKHA ! ! ! ! RUSSIAN RUSSIAN FEDERATION ! FEDERATION SOUTH ! SOUTH DONETSK DONETSK ! !! ! MARIUPOL ! MARIUPOL ! SUMSKA Kms SEA OF AZOV SEA OF AZOV 0 10 20 30 POLTAVSKA KHARKIVSKA Settlements Selling Produce (symbol size Data Sources: LUHANSKA based on number of settlements with citizens Water bodies: © Open Street Map contributors who sold within) Assessed Settlements Administrative boundaries, settlements: OCHA, 2017 ! 1 DNIPROPETROVSKA Selling own agricultural produce connection Service network data: REACH, June 2017 ! ≤ 5 DONETSKA Coordinate System: WGS 1984 UTM Zone 37 N ! ≤ 10 BSU Boundary Contact: [email protected] ZAPORIZKA ! ≤ 15 5km Buffer from INSO Grey Zone RUSSIAN Note: Data, designations and boundaries contained on this map are not warranted to be error-free FEDERATION ≤ 30 and do not imply acceptance by the REACH partners, associated, or donors mentioned on this SEA OF AZOV ! INSO Grey Zone (May 2017) map.. -
INDIVIDUAL PROTECTION ASSISTANCE February 2020
UNHCR UKRAINE Thematic Update | February 2020 INDIVIDUAL PROTECTION ASSISTANCE February 2020 Olena* and little Daryna* had to rebuild their lives from scratch after their family’s house, in the town of Zolote, was damaged by shelling in February 2019. Having witnessed the hardships of war, 3-year-old Daryna became psychologically traumatized and stopped talking. For a while, the family lived with relatives and later moved to social housing provided by the local administration. With support by UNHCR and its NGO partner Proliska, the family was provided with psychosocial assistance and Individual Protection Assistance (IPA) cash. This was used to access medical examination for Daryna as well as to purchase a bed to sleep on, a small oven, a kettle, and warm clothes to protect them from the freezing winter of Ukraine. Thanks to the support the family received, Daryna is now ready to attend the local kindergarten while her father has already found a job as a miner which allows him to provide for his family. Photo by Proliska. As part of its wider protection response, UNHCR provides Individual Protection Assistance (IPA) to the most vulnerable among the displaced and other conflict-affected persons in eastern Ukraine. The IPA programme provides a one-time cash or non-cash assistance to persons with specific protection needs in order to prevent their exposure to further risks. Potential beneficiaries are identified, either by UNHCR or NGO partners, during case management or protection monitoring missions to the field. IPA is also used to complement other UNHCR protection activities such as shelter, Peaceful Coexistence projects, Community Support Initiatives, protection counselling, legal assistance and/or advocacy on individual cases/issues at the local level. -
STATE of the SIVERSKYI DONETS BASIN and RELATED RISKS UNDER MILITARY OPERATIONS Technical Report
STATE OF THE SIVERSKYI DONETS BASIN AND RELATED RISKS UNDER MILITARY OPERATIONS Technical report 3 Contents INTRODUCTION ..........................................................................................................................................................................5 BASIN, WATER USE AND CHANGES OVER THE PERIOD OF HOSTILITIES ...................................................................7 ASSESSMENT OF WATER BODIES IN THE NON-GOVERNMENT CONTROLLED AREAS .........................................14 SURFACE WATER STATUS AND ITS CHANGES BASED ON THE MONITORING DATA .............................................20 HAZARD AND PREDICTED CONSEQUENCES OF ACCIDENTS.......................................................................................33 FURTHER STEPS: SURFACE WATERS ................................................................................................................................39 Dedicating the monitoring system to surface water quality ......................................................................................39 Analysis of sources and consequences of human-made accidents and emergency response measures .....42 GROUNDWATER STATUS .......................................................................................................................................................44 COAL MINE FLOODING AND ITS CAUSES ..........................................................................................................................54 FURTHER STEPS: GROUNDWATERS...................................................................................................................................61 -
WASH Cluster Ukraine Alert Bulletin
WASH Cluster Ukraine Alert Bulletin 01 November - 31 December 2017 Issue 12 WASH Cluster Coordinator OVERALL INCIDENTS ANALYSIS FOR 2017: TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS Mark Buttle [email protected] In 2017 the WASH Cluster recorded 1351 separate incidents in total, each of which put at risk the water supply or sanitation to 4.8 million people served by centralized systems in conflict-affected Eastern Ukraine, with almost WASH Cluster IMOs: 60% occurring in the first 6 months. Volodymyr Kalinin Donetsk oblast experienced 116 incidents: 14 in Government Controlled Areas (GCA) and 102 in Non-Government [email protected] Controlled Areas (NGCA). In Luhansk oblast there were only 19 incidents: 17 in GCA areas and only 2 in NGCA areas. This is not to say Luhansk was less affected: a single incident near Popasna, in April, cut water for around Stas Dymkovskyy 180,000 people for 27 consecutive days. The WASH Cluster notes that people were almost always affected on [email protected] both sides of the Line of the Contact for most incidents. In the overview, all months were different, however there were three main periods of increased activity, when there was heavy shelling around critical water infrastructure along the Line of Contact: February and March; May KEY FACTS to July; and December (see below). Ceasefires were effective only for relatively short-time periods. 135 is the total number of WASH Incidents and their effect, 2017 Of the 135 incidents, WASH incidents since the start 25 7,000,000 of 2017. water infrastructure was damaged or 6,000,000 Geographical breakdown of stopped due to explo- incidents by oblast and by gov- 20 sive risk 80 times; and ernment controlled versus non- 5,000,000 electricity cuts due to government controlled areas: shelling affected water 15 Donetsk Luhansk Total 4,000,000 supply another 46 times.