Natürliche Analoga Im Wirtsgestein Salz

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Natürliche Analoga Im Wirtsgestein Salz Natürliche Analoga im Wirtsgestein Salz Teil 1 Generelle Studie (2011) Teil 2 Detailstudien (2012 – 2013) GRS - 365 Gesellschaft für Anlagen- und Reaktorsicherheit (GRS) gGmbH Natürliche Analoga im Wirtsgestein Salz Teil 1 Generelle Studie (2011) Teil 2 Detailstudien (2012 – 2013) Thomas Brasser Christine Fahrenholz Herbert Kull Artur Meleshyn Heike Mönig Ulrich Noseck Dagmar Schönwiese Jens Wolf Dezember 2014 Anmerkung: Das diesem Bericht zugrunde liegende F&E-Vorhaben wurde im Auftrag des Bundesministe- riums für Wirtschaft und Energie (BMWi) unter dem Kennzeichen FKZ 02E10719 durchgeführt. Die Arbeiten wurden von der Gesellschaft für Anlagen- und Reaktorsicherheit (GRS) gGmbH ausgeführt. Die Verantwortung für den Inhalt dieser Veröffentlichung liegt al- leine bei den Autoren. GRS - 365 ISBN 978-3-944161-46-4 Deskriptoren: Barriere, Endlager, Geochemie, Geologie, Geomechanik, Integrität, mikrobielle Prozesse, Sicherheitsnachweis Vorwort Der vorliegende Bericht stellt die Ergebnisse der Studien zu Natürlichen Analoga im Wirtsgestein Salz zusammen, die im Rahmen des Projektes ISIBEL-II (FKZ: 02E10719) durchgeführt wurden. Diese Arbeiten wurden in zwei Schritten durchge- führt: Im Jahr 2011 erfolgte zunächst eine Zusammenstellung vorhandener Studien und Untersuchungen, die als Natürliche Analoga in einem Sicherheitsnachweis für ein Endlager für wärmeentwickelnde Abfälle Verwendung finden können. Die Bewertung zielte darauf ab, diejenigen Natürlichen Analoga zu identifizieren, die für das in ISIBEL- I (FKZ: 02E10055) entwickelte Sicherheits- und Nachweiskonzept eine Rolle spielen. Erfüllen Natürliche Analoga diese Voraussetzung nicht, ist ihre Verwendung im Sicher- heitsnachweis ohne Bedeutung und kann von den eigentlich zu machenden Aussagen ablenken. Bei dieser Vorgehensweise wurden auch einzelne, bisher hinsichtlich Natür- licher Analoga nicht betrachtete Aspekte identifiziert, für die deren Einsatz jedoch sinn- voll wäre; dies betrifft z. B. die Zerblockung von Anhydrit. Diese Arbeiten wurden 2011 mit einer Bewertung der zusammengestellten Studien hinsichtlich ihrer Verwendungs- möglichkeit als Natürliche Analoga in einem Sicherheitsnachweis abgeschlossen. Die Resultate dieser Arbeiten sind in Teil 1 des vorliegenden Berichtes zusammengefasst und wurden darüber hinaus 2012 auf dem vom Projektträger Karlsruhe (PTKA-WTE) und der Gesellschaft für Anlagen- und Reaktorsicherheit (GRS) veranstalteten interna- tionalen Workshop “Natural Analogues for Safety Cases of Repositories in Rock Salt” präsentiert und diskutiert. Die Diskussionen im Rahmen dieses Workshops haben u. a. dazu geführt, eine Intensivierung von Arbeiten zu Natürlichen Analoga bei einigen si- cherheitsrelevanten Fragestellungen für sinnvoll zu erachten. 2012 waren auch Ergeb- nisse aus der vorläufigen Sicherheitsanalyse Gorleben (VSG) zugänglich, die einen Einfluss auf die Bewertung der 2011 durchgeführten Studie haben. Zu nennen sind hier z. B. neue Ergebnisse hinsichtlich einer Zerblockung von Anhydrit, der Bildung von kaltzeitlichen Rinnen, aber auch einer abweichenden Bewertung der Bedeutung von Erdbeben oder kryogener Klüfte in der VSG gegenüber der Bewertung im ISIBEL- Projekt. Auch die Anforderungen an das Barrierensystem sind in der VSG auf Grund der seit 2010 geltenden „Sicherheitsanforderungen an die Endlagerung wärmeentwi- ckelnder radioaktiver Abfälle“ etwas modifiziert. Beispielsweise müssen Behälter eine Funktionsdauer von 500 Jahren aufweisen, wodurch der Metallkorrosion wieder eine höhere Bedeutung zukommt. Auf dieser Grundlage wurden in den Jahren 2012 und 2013 neun Detailstudien zu sicherheitsrelevanten Themen durchgeführt, deren Ergeb- nisse im Teil 2 des vorliegenden Berichtes dokumentiert sind. Diese Dokumentation ist so konzipiert, dass alle Einzelstudien für sich abgeschlossen dargestellt und für den I Leser nutzbar sind. Aus diesem Grunde können sich auch einzelne Abbildungen und Literaturzitate wiederholen, die entweder bereits im Teil 1 oder einer anderen Detail- studie im Teil 2 aufgeführt worden sind. II Inhaltsverzeichnis Teil 1 Generelle Studie (2011) ........................................................................... 1 1 Einleitung zur generellen Studie ............................................................ 1 2 Natürliche Analoga im Langzeitsicherheitsnachweis ........................... 3 3 Natürliche Analoga im Sicherheits- und Nachweiskonzept für ein HAW-Endlager im Salzgestein ................................................................ 7 4 Natürliche Analoga für den Integritätsnachweis der geologischen Barriere ................................................................................................... 11 4.1 Grundlegende Argumente für die geologische Endlagerung .................... 11 4.1.1 Beständigkeit von Salzgesteinen ............................................................. 12 4.1.2 Wahrscheinlichkeit neotektonischer Ereignisse ....................................... 16 4.2 Erhalt der Integrität der geologischen Barriere ......................................... 17 4.2.1 Auswirkungen von Subrosion und Diapirismus ........................................ 17 4.2.2 Wegsamkeiten in der geologischen Barriere ............................................ 24 4.2.3 Mechanische Belastbarkeit von Salzgesteinen ........................................ 33 4.2.4 Thermische Belastbarkeit von Salzgesteinen ........................................... 35 5 Natürliche Analoga für den Integritätsnachweis der geotechni- schen Barrieren ..................................................................................... 39 5.1 Hydraulischer Widerstand der einschlusswirksamen Barrieren ................ 40 5.2 Langzeitverhalten von Verschlussmaterialien im salinaren Milieu ............ 42 5.2.1 Langzeitstabilität von Bentonit ................................................................. 43 5.2.2 Langzeitstabilität von zementhaltigen Materialien .................................... 46 5.2.3 Verhalten von organischen Materialien .................................................... 49 5.3 Kompaktionsverhalten des Salzgrusversatzes ......................................... 50 6 Natürliche Analoga für die Bewertung von Freisetzungsszenarien ... 53 6.1 Radionuklid-Rückhaltung im Nahfeld ....................................................... 53 6.1.1 Stabilität der Glasmatrix ........................................................................... 54 III 6.1.2 Stabilität der Uranmatrix .......................................................................... 57 6.1.3 Rückhaltung von Radionukliden ............................................................... 58 6.2 Radionuklid-Rückhaltung im Deckgebirge................................................ 61 7 Zusammenfassung und Bewertung ..................................................... 65 Literatur zu Teil 1 ...................................................................................................... 73 Teil 2 Detail-Studien (2012 - 2013) .................................................................. 93 8 Einleitung zu den Detail-Studien .......................................................... 93 9 Zerblockung von Anhydritschichten in Salzformationen ................... 97 9.1 Bedeutung für den Sicherheitsnachweis .................................................. 98 9.2 Erkenntnisse aus Labor-Experimenten und Modellrechnungen ............... 99 9.3 Natürliche Analoga ................................................................................ 104 9.3.1 Gorleben ................................................................................................ 105 9.3.2 Morsleben .............................................................................................. 107 9.4 Bewertung ............................................................................................. 108 9.4.1 Grenzen der Anwendbarkeit/Zeitskala/Ungewissheiten ......................... 108 9.4.2 Verwendungsmöglichkeit im Sicherheitsnachweis ................................. 109 9.4.3 Bewertung der Möglichkeit der Kommunikation ..................................... 109 9.5 Offene Fragen ....................................................................................... 109 9.6 Literatur zu Kapitel 9 .............................................................................. 110 10 Salzgruskompaktion ............................................................................ 113 10.1 Bedeutung für den Sicherheitsnachweis ................................................ 113 10.2 Erkenntnisse aus Labor- und In-situ-Experimenten und Modellrechnungen ................................................................................. 114 10.3 Natürliche Analoga ................................................................................ 120 10.3.1 Anforderungen an den zu untersuchenden Versatz und einen Analoga- Standort ................................................................................................. 120 10.3.2 Potentielle Analoga-Standorte für Untersuchungen zur Salzgruskompaktion .............................................................................. 121 IV 10.4 Bewertung ............................................................................................. 121 10.4.1 Grenzen der Anwendbarkeit/Zeitskala/Ungewissheiten ......................... 122 10.4.2 Verwendungsmöglichkeit im Sicherheitsnachweis ................................. 123 10.4.3 Bewertung der Möglichkeit der Kommunikation ....................................
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