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Annual Report 5 ft 10 ft 15 ft 20 ft 2016 ANNUAL REPORT 1667 K Street NW | Suite 900 | Washington, DC 20006 | (202) 331-7990 | Fax: (202) 331-8019 www.csbaonline.org STRATEGY | POLICY | BUDGET 5 ft 10 ft 15 ft 20 ft MESSAGE FROM THE CHAIRMAN OF THE BOARD authoritative analyses that the General Counsel for Evercore, informed the decisions of a premier independent investment this country’s senior leaders banking advisory firm in New York in both the executive and City. Ms. Barbara Humpton serves legislative branches. One as the President and Chief Executive example reaffirming CSBA’s Officer of Siemens Government important contributions is Technologies, Inc., a leading inte- that Secretary of Defense grator of Siemens’ innovative prod- Mattis read Preserving the ucts, technologies, and services Balance: A U.S. Eurasia for programs and requirements at Defense Strategy on the federal government agencies and first official trip of his departments. These individuals tenure. We continue to be have such a varied background and involved both at home and a reputation for making signifi- abroad in informing the cant contributions to securing this policy discussion, framing country’s national interests. There alternative policy directions is no doubt that their interests and and providing expert assessments of involvement will help strengthen LAST YEAR PRESENTED A VERY the current situation. This is CSBA’s CSBA’s reputation as a leading dynamic national security environ- core competency, and our growth in center for national security thought. ment. China challenged regional the past year has added depth to our security with their controver- extraordinary team. We hope that you will find CSBA’s sial and illegal expansion into the Annual Report illuminating. Please South China Sea, policy makers We are also blessed with an extraor- give us a call if you want to explore refocused their attention on the dinary Board, and we take great anything in it. costs of modernizing our country’s pleasure in welcoming Randy strategic arsenal and the implica- Forbes, Adam Frankel, and Barbara Humpton to our ranks in 2017. tions of extended strategic deter- Sincerely, rence, the Navy wrestled with the size and scope of its future force, The Honorable Randy Forbes, NELSON M. FORD and a new presidential administra- former U.S. Representative and Board Chair tion searched for a defense grand Chairman of the House Armed strategy to ensure we are prepared Services’ Seapower and Projection for great power competition Forces Subcommittee, is the current and conflict. Naval War College Foundation Senior Distinguished Fellow at the The CSBA team was on the leading U.S. Naval War College in Newport, edge of each of these conversations Rhode Island. Mr. Adam Frankel with timely, thoughtful, and is a Senior Managing Director and 2 Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments | 2016 ANNUAL REPORT MESSAGE FROM THE PRESIDENT AND CEO 2016 WAS AN IMPORTANT YEAR of experts from The American for CSBA, which has long been a Enterprise Institute, The Cato leading voice in the public debate Institute, The Center for a New surrounding strategy, the changing American Security, The Center character of war, and the defense for Strategic and International budget. CSBA provided timely, inde- Studies, and CSBA to explore pendent, and non-partisan analysis to alternative defense strategies for the nation’s senior leaders in both the a post-Budget Control Act world. Executive and Legislative branches in a crucial election year. As always, CSBA did not limit its research the most important ingredient in our to the defense budget. success was the talented and dedi- Preserving the Balance: A cated members of the CSBA team and U.S. Eurasia Defense Strategy their commitment to help inform the offered a fiscally-informed national security debate. defense strategy focused on the long-standing U.S. At a time when few have been interest in preventing the thinking about the main challenges to rise of a hegemonic power on U.S. extended deterrence in Europe, the Eurasian land mass, a develop- aggression, and reassuring allies will East Asia, and the Middle East, ment that would represent a major require changes to the ships, aircraft, CSBA released two thought-pro- threat to U.S. national security. The weapons, sensors, basing, and read- voking monographs on the subject. overarching strategy contained in iness processes of U.S. naval forces, Rethinking Armageddon: Planning that report was supported by three which essentially operated unopposed Scenarios for the Second Nuclear Age regional strategies. U.S. Strategy for since the Berlin Wall fell. Countering examined scenario-based assess- Maintaining a Europe Whole and China’s Adventurism in the South ments of the competitive dynamics Free outlines a number of options the China Sea offered options to the surrounding the evolving nuclear United States has for countering and Trump administration and the closest landscape. Extended Deterrence in limiting Russian political-military U.S. allies for thinking about and the Second Nuclear Age: Geopolitics, moves. Reinforcing the Front Line: dealing with China’s expansion in the Proliferation, and the Future of U.S. U.S. Defense Strategy and the Rise of South China Sea. Security Commitments furthered this China discusses an enduring strategy conversation by describing the main of global leadership and engagement, 2017 looks to be an equally important challenges to extended nuclear deter- but also recognizes the new challenges year as CSBA explores how the United rence in Europe, East Asia, and the posed by China’s growing military States needs to think about great Middle East and sketching out what power. Contain, Degrade, and Defeat: power competition and conflict. updated extended nuclear deterrence A Defense Strategy for a Troubled Thank you for your continued interest postures might look like across all Middle East looked at the histories, in and support of our research three regions. cultures, and foreign policies that have agenda, without which we would not brought the United States to its current be able to do the quality research The presidential election and the juncture in the Middle East. resulting change in administra- and analysis that policy makers have tion offered CSBA a unique oppor- CSBA also continued its long-standing come to expect from us. tunity to stimulate a debate over work on future capabilities and oper- the strategic choices that will shape ational concepts. Restoring American defense strategy in the Trump Seapower: A New Fleet Architecture Sincerely, Administration. With How Much for the United States Navy recog- is Enough? Alternative Defense nized that gaining an advantage in THOMAS G. MAHNKEN Strategies CSBA convened groups great power competitions, deterring President and Chief Executive Officer 2016 ANNUAL REPORT | www.csbaonline.org 3 I found the discussion with your [CSBA] team extremely interesting, and“ this helped provide me with a better understanding not only of your perception of the challenges that we face but also of the action necessary to strengthen our collective security.” – General Sir Chris Deverell, Commander, Joint Forces Command, UK 4 Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments | 2016 ANNUAL REPORT U.S. Air Force photo by Staff Sgt. Corey Hook ABOUT CSBA THE FUTURE OF NATIONAL SECURITY Robert Work, and Todd Harrison, CSBA experts have worked to analyze U.S. The Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments (CSBA) is an independent, defense strategy, force structure and non-partisan, non-profit public policy research institute established to promote planning, and defense budgets in the innovative thinking and debate about national security strategy, defense planning, effort to reconcile these interrelated and military investment options for the 21st century. subjects, contributing extensively to the Revolution in Military Affairs debate, The Center for Strategic and Budgetary the development of an AirSea battle Assessments began its analytic work concept, and discussions on the stra- in 1983 as the Defense Budget Project tegic choices necessary for the transfor- at the Center on Budget and Policy mation and modernization of the U.S. Priorities. Founded and directed by military in the face of sequestration. respected national security and budget CSBA remains instrumental in guiding expert Gordon Adams, its mission was the nation’s most critical defense policy to fulfill an urgent need for research debates as a small but powerful group and information on defense policy comprising experts with extensive and budget issues during the defense experience in the field of national secu- buildup of the Reagan Administration. rity—many of them military veterans Within a decade it was recognized and former senior level policy makers as a leading authority on the anal- from the Department of Defense, ysis of defense policies and budgets. State Department, and the National The shrinking defense budgets and Security Council—supported by a dedi- resources of the early 1990s only cated staff of accomplished executives increased the importance of exploring and scholars. long-term investments and strate- gies. Former Army Lieutenant Colonel CSBA’s mission today is to promote Dr. Andrew F. Krepinevich became innovative thinking and debate about president in 1993, and in May 1995 he national security strategy, defense plan- incorporated the research group as ning, and military investments, as well the Center for Strategic and Budgetary as to provide timely, impartial, and Assessments. For nearly two decades, insightful analyses to senior members CSBA has provided consistent, high- of the executive and legislative quality, and innovative research on branches, the media, and the broader defense strategy, budgets, and the national security establishment to make security environment. With notable informed decisions regarding strategy, alumni including Michael Vickers, security policy, and resource allocation. 2016 ANNUAL REPORT | www.csbaonline.org 5 ABOUT CSBA CSBA STRENGTHS • CSBA analyses derive value from an integrated strategic Research Themes and budgetary approach. Strategy & Policy research • CSBA’s mature scenario planning and wargaming informs the formation of U.S.
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