Salford Revised Draft Local Plan Sustainability Appraisal Appendix 3 Details of Baseline Information

APPENDIX 3

Details of Baseline Information

Contents

1. Introduction ...... 2

2 Social ...... 5

2A Population ...... 5 2B Health ...... 9 2C Crime ...... 11 2E Housing ...... 14 2G Education ...... 20

3. Economic ...... 24

3A Economic health ...... 24 3B Structure of the economy ...... 27 3C Prosperity ...... 31

4. Environmental ...... 33

4A Recreation ...... 33 4B Biodiversity ...... 34 4C Soil and land ...... 35 4D Water ...... 39 4E Air Quality and climatic factors ...... 41 4F Waste ...... 43 4G Minerals ...... 44 4H Landscapes ...... 44 4I Heritage ...... 45

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Salford Revised Draft Local Plan Sustainability Appraisal Appendix 3 Details of Baseline Information

1. Introduction

1.1 This appendix provides details of the baseline information that has informed the sustainability appraisal, and includes a summary of the data collected, comparator data sets, commentary and an indication of how the issue may evolve without intervention.

1.2 Data availability at the local level means that the various data sets can be presented by either old (pre 2003) or new (2003 onwards) ward boundaries. The two plans below show both the old and new ward boundaries for reference.

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Salford Revised Draft Local Plan Sustainability Appraisal Appendix 3 Details of Baseline Information

2 Social

2A Population

2.1 There has been a very significant loss of population from the city over the last century, falling some 36% from the peak in 1921 to 2001. The population largely stabilised between 2001 and 2004, following which there has been continuing growth. Prospects look good for ongoing population increases with the forecasting model suggesting that the population could reach 282,349 by 2036.

2.2 Migration data shows that the principal driver of this later population growth has been down to migration into the city from outside of the UK, providing a net increase of 21,946 people over the period 2002 and 2016. Over this same period Salford saw a net loss of 1,896 people to other parts of the UK.

2.3 Salford’s population is made up of a relatively high proportion of people aged 20 – 29, 17.3% compared with only 13.6% of the North West population and 13.7% of that of . Lower proportions than the North West and England averages are seen at all ages over 45.

2.4 Population projections suggest that, like the rest of the country, Salford is likely to see an increase in the proportion of ‘older people’ and a decrease in the proportion of ‘working age’ population. Whilst these changes are relatively small compared with those seen at higher geographic levels, the city will still need to plan for the increasing number of older people residing in the city.

2.5 In terms of the household composition, census data from 2011 indicates that the city has relatively large proportions of one person (36.14% compared with 32.2% for the North West and 30.3% for England) and single-parent households (13.5% compared with 12.0% for the North West and 10.6% for England). The 2012 DCLG household projections suggest that the proportion of one person households is likely to remain relatively static and projects that 35.9% of all households in Salford and 31.1% of all households in England will be one person households in 2037.

2.6 The proportion of minority ethnic population within Salford (15.6%) is higher than the North West (12.9%) average. The proportion is however significantly below that for England (20.1%). Particular concentrations of minority ethnic population are found in Eccles, Broughton, Irwell Riverside, Langworthy, Kersal, Ordsall and Weaste.

2.7 The Local Plan should take account of the above trends, catering for an increasing population and addressing the needs of a changing population, in terms of age, structure, ethnic diversity and household size.

Total population change

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ONS Mid Year Population Total Annual Estimate persons Change 1921 341,267 - 2001 216,978 - 2002 216,310 -668 2003 217,312 1,002 2004 217,921 609 2005 219,536 1,615 2006 221,931 2,395 2007 223,468 1,537 2008 226,782 3,314 2009 228,948 2,166 2010 231,837 2,889 2011 234,487 2,650 2012 236,946 2,459 2013 238,674 1,728 2014 241,539 2,865 2015 245,614 4,075 2016 248,726 3,112 2026 269,670 2,274 2031 276,694 7,024 2035 282,349 5,655 Source: Total persons 2001 – 2016 ONS Mid year estimates and GMFM Base Forecast 2017

Proportion of total population by age – 2011 Age Under 15 15 - 19 20 - 29 30 - 44 45 - 59 60 - 74 75+ band Salford 18.1% 6.5% 17.3% 20.9% 17.8% 12.8% 6.7% GM 18.6% 6.6% 15.1% 20.9% 18.7% 13.5% 6.7% NW 17.5% 6.5% 13.6% 19.8% 19.8% 15.1% 7.7% England 17.7% 6.3% 13.7% 20.6% 19.4% 14.6% 7.7% Source: Census 2011

Population projections by age 2014 and 2037 Proportion of Population (%) Age Band Salford GM NW England 2014 0-14 18.6% 18.9% 17.7% 17.8% 15-64 66.9% 65.5% 64.4% 64.6% 65 and over 14.6% 15.5% 18.0% 17.6% 0-14 17.7% 17.8% 16.8% 16.8% 2039 15-64 64.3% 61.2% 58.5% 59.2% 65 and over 18.0% 21.0% 24.7% 24.0% Source: 2014 based sub national population projections

Year Population Internal UK International Natural Change Other Change Migration (Net) Migration (Net)

Births Deaths 2002-03 1,002 -406 1,536 2,587 -2,652 -63 2003-04 609 -66 859 2,687 -2,659 -212

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2004-05 1,615 -228 1,470 2,842 -2,463 -6 2005-06 2,395 268 1,716 2,954 -2,414 -129 2006-07 1,537 -889 1,786 3,051 -2,394 -17 2007-08 3,314 347 2,087 3,278 -2,381 -17 2008-09 2,166 -214 1,527 3,287 -2,443 9 2009-10 2,889 81 1,491 3,524 -2,232 25 2010-11 2,650 -365 1,759 3,714 -2,207 -251 2011-12 2,598 137 1,158 3,555 -2,175 -77 2012-13 1,928 -608 1,093 3,589 -2,222 76 2013-14 3,027 174 1,478 3,516 -2,165 24 2014-15 3,574 337 2,000 3,483 -2,248 2 2015-16 3,112 -464 1,986 3,670 -2,122 42 Total 32,416 -1,896 21,946 45,737 -32,777 -594 Source: ONS Mid Year Estimates ‘Other’ comprises unattributable change, special change and other adjustments for the years 2003-11 and is simply defined as ‘other’ in the ONS tables in the later years.

Proportion of white British and minority ethnic population in Salford 2001 and 2011 Proportion of population (%) Salford NW England White Minority White Minority White Minority British Ethnic British Ethnic British Ethnic 2001 92.6 7.4 92.0 8.0 86.8 13.2 2011 84.4 15.6 87.1 12.9 79.8 20.2 Source: Census 2001 and 2011

Proportion of white British and minority ethnic population by ward - 2011 Proportion of Population (%) White British Minority Ethnic Barton 90.1 10.1 Boothstown & Ellenbrook 93.1 7.0 Broughton 80.0 20.1 Cadishead 95.2 4.7 Claremont 93.6 6.3 Eccles 87.3 12.8 Irlam 95.8 4.1 Irwell Riverside 81.7 18.3 Kersal 88.1 11.9 Langworthy 85.4 14.6 Little Hulton 93.7 6.2 Ordsall 80.2 19.8 Pendlebury 92.0 8.0 Swinton North 93.8 6.3 Swinton South 94.2 5.8 Walkden North 94.6 5.4 Walkden South 95.8 4.2 Weaste 88.3 11.8 Winton 93.8 6.2 Worsley 95.4 4.6 Source: Census 2011 KS201EW Ethnic group

Household Composition Proportion of total Salford households (%)

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Household type 2001 2011 2001 2011 2001 2011 One person – aged 65+ 16.8 12.1 15.1 12.8 14.4 12.4 One person – other 19.9 24.3 15.9 19.4 15.7 17.9 Family – all 65+ 7.3 5.7 8.5 7.8 8.9 8.1 Family – couple 14.2 15.4 16.4 16.5 17.8 17.6 Family - couple with children 23.6 21.2 27.4 24.9 27.1 25.4 Family - lone parents 12.5 13.5 11.1 12.0 9.5 10.6 Other - with children 2.0 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.2 2.6 Other - all students 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.6 Other - all pensioners 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.3 Other 3.0 4.7 2.7 3.4 3.7 4.5 Source: Census 2001 and 2011

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2B Health

2.8 Salford’s direct standardised mortality ratio (DSR) is significantly above those for Greater Manchester, the North West and England. A particular concentration of high DSRs is found in the wards of Barton, Broughton, Irwell Riverside and Langworthy.

2.9 Life expectancy rates for both men and women in Salford are improving; however they remain below those for Greater Manchester, the North West and England. The gap between Salford and these other areas appears to be have remained fairly consistent in males, however there has been some improvement in the life expectancy rate for females, with the gap between the Salford and England average reducing in recent years.

2.10 Trends from Sport England’s active people survey have shown the proportion of adults in Salford participating in regular exercise to be below those at higher geographic levels. The ‘active people survey’ has recently been replaced by the ‘active lives survey’ which has new indicators for measuring levels of activity in the adult population. Two full years of data have been published under this new survey and whilst for 2015/16 the data fitted with the previous trend, the update for 2016/17 showed a significant improvement in activity levels on Salford. Whilst potentially positive for the city these latest figures should be treated with a degree of caution until a longer trend develops through further annual updates.

2.11 Salford clearly has significant health issues, resulting in relatively high mortality rates and low life expectancies, and there appears to be an over concentration of such issues within some of the city’s most deprived wards. Whilst there do appear to be some improvements in life expectancy, this is generally below improvements seen across the country.

DSR - 3 year pooled Greater North Period Salford Manchester West England 2011 - 13 481 424 402 342 2012 - 14 471 418 396 337 2013 - 15 467 414 394 335 2014 - 16 456 415 394 334 2015 - 17 455 413 391 332 Data source: www.phoutcomes.info

Under 75 mortality rate from all causes - Persons Directly Standardised Rates (DSRs) per 100,000 population DSR - 5 year pooled Ward 2009- 2010- 2011- 2012- Code Ward name 13 14 15 16 E05000759 Barton 625.45 614.91 597.15 640.81 E05000760 Boothstown and Ellenbrook 311.39 294.48 329.16 299.60 E05000761 Broughton 771.07 765.66 715.15 738.75 E05000762 Cadishead 388.00 375.38 432.24 440.45 E05000763 Claremont 416.58 405.61 380.77 361.66

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E05000764 Eccles 493.64 486.52 453.23 425.87 E05000765 Irlam 422.05 409.73 397.30 381.77 E05000766 Irwell Riverside 621.68 599.57 627.76 632.99 E05000767 Kersal 373.17 400.00 397.61 375.29 E05000768 Langworthy 758.18 683.75 703.71 699.92 E05000769 Little Hulton 653.32 623.04 603.31 562.03 E05000770 Ordsall 676.63 709.10 665.53 592.22 E05000771 Pendlebury 448.63 434.88 420.61 392.57 E05000772 Swinton North 442.92 403.22 405.93 397.07 E05000773 Swinton South 492.49 483.53 458.36 460.73 E05000774 Walkden North 489.94 465.09 439.25 428.50 E05000775 Walkden South 325.16 341.79 347.48 349.25 E05000776 Weaste and Seedley 525.61 520.09 528.93 527.70 E05000777 Winton 571.26 528.69 493.29 473.93 E05000778 Worsley 289.16 265.20 259.68 266.83 Salford 497.68 481.81 473.47 463.80 Data source: PCMD/ONS mid-year ward population estimates

Life expectancy at Birth: Males 2000- 2001- 2002- 2003- 2004- 2005- 2006- 2007- 2008- 2010 2011- 2012- 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 -12 13 14 Salford 73.2 73.2 73.4 73.8 74.2 74.6 74.5 74.7 74.8 76.1 76.6 76.7 GM 74.1 74.3 74.6 74.9 75.3 75.6 75.9 76.1 76.4 NA NA NA NW 74.6 74.8 75.1 75.4 75.8 76.0 76.3 76.6 77.0 77.7 78.0 78.1 England 76.0 76.2 76.5 76.9 77.3 77.7 77.9 78.3 78.6 79.2 79.4 79.5 Gap -2.8 -3.0 -3.1 -3.1 -3.1 -3.1 -3.4 -3.6 -3.78 -3.1 -2.8 -3.4 between Salford and England averages Source: ONS

Life expectancy at Birth: Females 2000- 2001- 2002- 2003- 2004- 2005- 2006- 2007- 2008- 2010- 2011- 2012- 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 12 13 14 Salford 78.1 77.9 78.3 78.4 78.7 79.0 79.0 79.6 79.9 80.5 80.4 80.7 GM 79.1 79.1 79.4 79.5 79.8 80.0 80.2 80.5 80.1 NA NA NA NW 79.4 79.4 79.7 79.9 80.3 80.4 80.6 80.8 81.1 83.0 83.1 83.2 England 80.7 80.7 80.9 81.1 81.6 81.8 82.0 82.3 82.57 81.7 81.8 81.9 Gap -2.6 -2.8 -2.6 -2.7 -2.9 -2.8 -3.0 -2.7 -2.67 -1.2 -1.4 -1.2 between Salford and England averages Source: ONS

Proportion of adults (aged 16+) participating at least 4 sessions of at least moderate intensity for at least 30 minutes in the previous 28 days

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Oct Oct Oct Oct Oct Oct Oct Oct Oct Oct 2005- 2007- 2008- 2009- 2010 - 2011 - 2012 - 2013 - 2014 2015

Oct Oct Oct Oct Oct Oct Oct Oct – Sep – Sep 2006 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Salford 33.0% 35.3% 34.4% 31.5% 36.2% 31.8% 31.4% 37.8% 27.7% 34.4% Greater 33.3% 36.3% 36.2% 35.2% 35.6% 36.0% 36.7% 37.0% 35.5% 34.1% Manchester North West 33.7% 35.7% 36.0% 35.7% 35.2% 36.1% 36.5% 36.3% 35.5% 35.7% England 34.2% 35.8% 35.7% 35.3% 34.8% 36.0% 36.6% 36.1% 35.8% 36.1% Source: Sport England - Active People Survey

Levels of activity in the adult population (proportion of population aged 16+) November 2015 - November 2016 Active Fairly Active Inactive (150+ minutes a week) (30-149 minutes a week) (<30 minutes a week)

Salford 57.5% 11.4% 31.1% GM 59.4% 12.1% 28.5% NW 60.7% 12.1% 27.2% England 62.1% 12.4% 25.6% November 2016 - November 2017 Active Fairly Active Inactive (150+ minutes a week) (30-149 minutes a week) (<30 minutes a week) Salford 63.3% 10.5% 26.3% GM 61.4% 10.9% 27.8% NW 61.4% 12.0% 26.6% England 61.8% 12.5% 25.7% Source: Sport England Active Lives Survey

2C Crime

2.12 Incidents of crime per 1000 head of population have been increasing in Salford and during the last year are comparable with those recorded across Greater Manchester. The highest levels of recorded crime are in the wards of Barton, Broughton, Irwell Riverside, Langworthy, Ordsall, Walkden North and Weaste.

Rates per 1,000 population for all crime by ward in Salford Ward 2013/2014 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018 Barton 77.6 69.9 92.9 94.3 144.6 Boothstown & Ellenbrook 19.3 22.8 31.5 41.6 49.4 Broughton 81.2 89.5 90.9 101.9 145.3 Cadishead 44.2 47.0 49.1 56.2 78.7 Claremont 43.8 39.4 48.5 44.9 67.8 Eccles 62.7 64.5 71.3 92.1 117.7 Irlam 46.2 41.0 36.5 48.5 60.1

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Irwell Riverside 85.2 89.8 90.7 113.8 185.4 Kersal 51.9 49.7 54.7 55.7 82.8 Langworthy 119.1 122.5 129.3 142.5 211.4 Little Hulton 62.1 56.4 66.6 78.2 109.3 Ordsall 97.5 96.3 107.5 118.7 167.8 Pendlebury 51.3 53.7 69.5 85.7 105.9 Swinton North 47.9 53.5 70.0 86.9 98.5 Swinton South 47.3 45.6 61.9 74.3 104.2 Walkden North 69.2 69.9 76.2 100.9 157.8 Walkden South 33.6 40.7 44.3 61.2 89.4 Weaste & Seedley 63.0 75.0 84.7 92.2 133.7 Winton 51.6 57.2 65.0 54.8 106.1 Worsley 29.2 36.3 42.0 60.1 71.2 Total 61.6 63.6 72.2 83.9 119.4

Greater Manchester 67.1 73.1 81.0 95.2 119.6 Source: GMP BI System

2D Accessibility

2.13 Compared with rates across Greater Manchester (66.9%) and the North West (68.7%) Salford has a relatively low proportion of people travelling to work by car or van (63.0%). However the proportion in Salford is slightly above that seen across England at 62%. Public transport usage (metro, train and bus) presents a similar picture, with the proportion of Salford’s working population using such modes (15.2%) slightly above rates for Greater Manchester (14.7%) and the North West (11.7%), but slightly below those across England at 16.9%.

2.14 The lowest levels of car use are seen in Salford’s central wards of Broughton, Irwell Riverside, Langworthy and Ordsall. It is in these areas that the highest proportion of people commuting on foot and public transport is seen, far exceeding the city and national averages. Although there may be some correlation with low levels of car ownership in the city which could affect these areas in particular, partly due to low income levels, it could also be due to the city’s high quality transport connections and suggests that there could be significant potential to encourage further use of sustainable modes as the population within these central areas increases.

2.15 Whilst the city has good public transport links along radial routes into the city and regional centre, there are not such good connections along orbital routes. These weaker connections make it difficult for some residents to access the large concentration of jobs to the south of the city in Salford Quays and Trafford Park.

2.16 678 people were killed or seriously injured within Greater Manchester in 2016, with 65 of these being within Salford. There has been a significant reduction in the number of such incidents in Salford, falling 66.7% since 1994 above the rate of decrease in Greater Manchester of 55.7%.

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Method of travel to work Work Other mainly Motorcycle, Public Car or On method at or Taxi scooter or Bicycle transport* van foot of travel from moped to work home England 5.4% 16.9% 0.5% 0.8% 62.0% 3.0% 10.7% 0.6% North West 4.5% 11.7% 0.8% 0.6% 68.7% 2.2% 10.9% 0.6% Greater Manchester 3.9% 14.7% 0.9% 0.6% 66.9% 2.1% 10.5% 0.6% Salford 3.6% 15.2% 1.1% 0.6% 63.0% 2.4% 13.6% 0.6% Barton 2.5% 15.5% 1.3% 0.9% 62.9% 3.2% 13.0% 0.7% Boothstown and Ellenbrook 6.1% 5.6% 0.5% 0.3% 82.9% 0.7% 3.3% 0.5% Broughton 3.4% 26.3% 1.5% 0.3% 43.3% 2.6% 21.6% 0.9% Cadishead 3.2% 10.4% 0.9% 1.1% 70.3% 3.2% 10.5% 0.5% Claremont 3.3% 13.0% 1.3% 0.4% 70.3% 2.3% 9.0% 0.4% Eccles 4.9% 13.5% 0.9% 0.7% 65.5% 2.3% 11.6% 0.5% Irlam 2.3% 10.5% 0.9% 0.7% 74.9% 2.6% 7.7% 0.5% Irwell Riverside 2.8% 25.5% 1.6% 0.3% 37.5% 3.4% 28.3% 0.6% Kersal 7.9% 13.7% 1.0% 0.4% 59.4% 2.2% 14.8% 0.7% Langworthy 2.5% 26.2% 1.9% 0.3% 46.7% 3.5% 18.3% 0.7% Little Hulton 2.6% 14.9% 1.7% 1.0% 67.1% 2.0% 10.1% 0.6% Ordsall 3.1% 22.2% 0.9% 0.3% 38.1% 3.1% 31.6% 0.7% Pendlebury 2.9% 13.2% 1.1% 0.6% 69.0% 1.7% 10.4% 1.0% Swinton North 2.6% 13.5% 1.1% 0.7% 68.9% 1.7% 11.0% 0.4% Swinton South 2.7% 12.6% 1.3% 0.5% 71.0% 1.9% 9.5% 0.5% Walkden North 2.9% 12.9% 1.2% 0.8% 69.6% 1.4% 10.7% 0.4% Walkden South 3.9% 10.0% 1.0% 0.6% 75.4% 1.3% 7.3% 0.4% Weaste and Seedley 2.8% 18.8% 1.1% 0.4% 57.7% 2.7% 15.8% 0.7% Winton 2.3% 14.6% 1.4% 1.0% 68.1% 3.4% 8.7% 0.4% Worsley 7.2% 5.7% 0.4% 0.5% 80.1% 1.5% 4.1% 0.5% * Underground, Metro, light rail, tram, train, bus, minibus, coach. Source: Census 2011

1994 2016 % Change

Salford 128 65 -66.7% Greater Manchester 1,529 678 -55.7%

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Number of people killed or seriously injured road casualties in Salford 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40

Source: Department for Transport (RAS30)

Accessibility by Public Transport

Source:Transport for Greater Manchester

2E Housing

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2.17 Over the last three years net residential completions within the city are comparable with the very high levels seen between 2006/07 and 2008/09.

2.18 Salford has a relatively high proportion of social rented dwellings, with particular concentrations in Broughton, Irwell Riverside, Langworthy Little Hulton. Housing flows data shows a decline in the proportion of social rented dwellings in the city, with an increase in the private rented sector stock.

2.19 The city has a relatively low proportion of detached dwellings and a significantly higher proportion of flats. Whilst the proportion of terraced dwellings in the city is similar to those seen at higher levels, this dwelling type dominates the stock in Barton, Broughton, Irwell Riverside, Langworthy, Little Hulton, Swinton North and Walkden North.

2.20 The pipeline of residential planning permissions is heavily weighted towards apartments.

2.21 Vacancy rates in the city have been falling over the last 13 years and in 2017 rates in Salford were comparable with those across Greater Manchester and England, having previously been significantly higher.

2.22 It is generally believed that 3.0 – 4.0% is an acceptable level of vacancy in a well functioning housing market. Vacancy rates within the city are therefore within this ‘acceptable’ range. Vacancy rates in a number of wards are in excess of this range, with the highest levels seen in Ordsall (5.46%).

2.23 Following a peak in 2011 (16,476 households), the numbers of households on Salford’s housing waiting list has fallen at a faster rate than reductions seen across Greater Manchester and England. Over the longer term however the rate of increase in Salford’s waiting list has far exceeded those for Greater Manchester and England.

2.24 Whilst still significantly below the national average (7.91), Salford’s house price to income ratio (6.03) has now exceeded that recorded across the North West (5.81).

Net additional dwellings 2003-18 Monitoring Gross new Gross new Change of Demolitions Net change period build houses build use and apartments conversion – net change 2003/04 398 673 63 374 760 2004/05 513 1,072 4 825 764 2005/06 242 862 32 755 381 2006/07 410 1,754 53 1,019 1,198 2007/08 671 2,095 13 311 2,468 2008/09 247 1,703 25 465 1,510 2009/10 99 600 46 268 477

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2010/11 393 290 33 261 455 2011/12 342 171 19 384 148 2012/13 468 278 11 208 549 2013/14 550 289 43 39 843 2014/15 739 569 57 390 975 2015/16 737 347 251 237 1,098 2016/17 849 1,588 202 157 2,482 2017/18 738 759 82 100 1,479 7,396 13,050 934 5,793 15,587 TOTAL

AVERAGE 493 870 62 386 1,039 Source: , Residential Development and Land Supply monitoring

Gross new build completions by dwelling type between 2003 and 2018 3000 Houses Apartments

2500

2000

1500 Dwellings

1000

500

0

Source: Salford City Council, Residential Development and Land Supply monitoring

Housing stock by type – 2011 Housing Stock by Type (%) Caravan or other Semi- mobile or temporary Detached detached Terraced Flats structure Salford 8.6% 34.3% 28.2% 28.8% 0.1% GM 13.4% 36.9% 30.3% 19.4% 0.1% NW 17.7% 35.7% 30.0% 16.4% 0.3% England 22.3% 30.7% 24.5% 22.1% 0.4% Source: Census 2011

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Households by tenure of accommodation – 2011 Proportion of Households by tenure (%) Private Shared Social Social Private Living Ownership Ownership Rented - Rented - Rented Rent Local Other Free Authority

Salford 50.3 0.5 17.8 11 18.8 1.6 GM 60.2 0.5 11.9 10 16.1 1.4 NW 64.5 0.5 7.7 10.6 15.4 1.3 England 63.4 0.8 9.4 8.3 16.8 1.3 Source: Census 2011

Dwellings with extant planning permission by property type as at 31 March, 2008-2018 As at 31 March: 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Total 2,087 1,948 1,924 2,582 3,726 3,649 2,990 3,240 3,008 2,248 dwellings 2,463 Houses

% of total 12.1% 15.1% 12.1% 21.8% 29.0% 28.0% 21.8% 18.7% 14.8% 11.0% 24.5% Total 15,163 10,918 13,925 9,239 7,595 9,117 9,386 10,762 14,043 17,340 18,271 Apart- dwellings ments % of total 87.9% 84.9% 87.9% 78.2% 71.0% 72.0% 78.2% 81.3% 85.2% 89.0% 75.5% Total dwellings 17,250 15,849 12,866 11,821 10,058 12,843 13,035 13,752 17,283 20,348 20,519 Source: Salford City Council, Residential Development and Land Supply monitoring

% of total residential stock that is vacant

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Salford 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.0 5.9 6.1 5.8 4.2 3.3 3.0 3.0 3.1 2.4 Greater Manchester 4.4 4.6 4.7 4.8 5.0 4.8 4.4 4.0 3.5 3.2 2.9 2.7 2.5 England 3.3 3.3 3.4 3.4 3.5 3.4 3.2 3.1 3.0 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.5 Sources:  DCLG Live Table 125, dwelling stock estimate by local authority district as of 31 March  DCLG Live table 615, all vacant dwellings by local authority district as of October

Residential Vacancy rates by ward April April April April April April April April Ward Name 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Barton 2.58% 5.03% 3.64% 3.82% 5.20% 5.27% 4.10% 2.78% Boothstown & Ellenbrook 1.06% 2.44% 1.86% 2.00% 2.58% 1.92% 2.56% 2.72% Broughton 4.16% 8.54% 4.84% 3.53% 4.11% 3.25% 3.12% 3.05% Cadishead 1.62% 3.29% 2.72% 2.65% 2.57% 2.24% 2.39% 2.35% Claremont 1.09% 3.06% 2.81% 3.14% 3.12% 2.81% 2.54% 3.12% Eccles 2.05% 4.52% 3.76% 3.61% 3.43% 3.02% 3.07% 3.52% Irlam 1.61% 2.59% 2.07% 1.98% 1.66% 1.81% 1.76% 1.73% Irwell Riverside 2.42% 4.62% 4.12% 2.97% 3.62% 3.51% 3.98% 4.57% Kersal 1.84% 5.36% 4.29% 4.57% 4.45% 3.47% 3.49% 4.03% Langworthy 3.10% 7.75% 7.81% 9.13% 11.06% 3.02% 3.20% 4.67% Little Hulton 1.80% 3.34% 2.29% 2.33% 2.67% 2.46% 1.70% 2.16%

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Residential Vacancy rates by ward April April April April April April April April Ward Name 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Ordsall 1.43% 8.07% 5.36% 4.85% 6.31% 5.53% 4.56% 5.46% Pendlebury 1.72% 3.21% 2.80% 2.80% 2.44% 1.98% 1.73% 2.37% Swinton North 1.94% 4.08% 3.52% 3.13% 2.55% 1.84% 3.00% 3.71% Swinton South 1.57% 3.16% 2.82% 2.48% 2.89% 2.82% 2.31% 2.94% Walkden North 1.77% 4.26% 3.28% 2.81% 3.19% 2.40% 2.67% 2.38% Walkden South 1.51% 3.50% 2.37% 2.48% 2.74% 2.77% 3.06% 2.88% Weaste & Seedley 1.95% 4.01% 3.12% 3.73% 3.11% 3.29% 3.07% 3.30% Winton 1.85% 3.32% 2.55% 2.56% 2.13% 2.16% 1.77% 2.38% Worsley 1.95% 3.60% 3.31% 3.73% 3.26% 2.99% 3.23% 3.15% Salford 2.01% 4.69% 3.67% 3.60% 3.95% 3.09% 2.97% 3.33% Central Salford 2.33% 6.30% 4.84% 4.75% 5.48% 3.75% 3.55% 4.22% Salford West 1.80% 3.63% 2.89% 2.84% 2.92% 2.64% 2.58% 2.70% Source: Salford City Council, council tax records as at April 2016

Number of households on housing waiting list % increase 2002 - 2007 - 2012- 2002 2007 2012 2017 2017 2017 2017 Salford 3,668 9,269 12,222 6,826 86.1% -26.4% -44.1% Greater Manchester 52,733 87,565 102,025 85,639 62.4% -2.2% -16.1% England 1,093,342 1,674,421 1,851,426 1,155,285 5.7% -31.0% -37.6% Source: DCLG Live Table 600

Number of households on Salford's Housing Waiting List 18,000

16,000

14,000

12,000

10,000

8,000

6,000

4,000

2,000

Source: DCLG Live Table 600

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Salford Revised Draft Local Plan Sustainability Appraisal Appendix 3 Details of Baseline Information

Average House Price to Household Income Ratio 8.00

7.00

6.00

5.00 Ratio

4.00 Salford 3.00 North West England 2.00

Source: ONS

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2G Education

1. The grading of GCSEs has been revised from letters A to G to numbers 9-1, where grade 9 is the highest. There are now two key indicators: 9-4 English and Maths (standard pass) and 9-5 English and Maths (strong pass) which show the percentage of pupils achieving grades 4 or 5 in both of these subjects.

2. A further ‘attainment 8’ measure was introduced in 2016. This measures the achievement of a pupil across 8 qualifications including:

 Maths (double weighted)  English (double weighted)  3 further qualifications that count in the English Baccalaureate (English language and literature, maths, the sciences, geography, history and a language)  33 further qualifications that can be GCSE qualifications or any other non-GCSE qualifications on the DfE approved list

3. Given the recent changes to the grading of GCSE’s the latest data is not comparable with longer term trends however the data shows that at a city level attainment in Salford is behind the standards recorded at both the North West and England levels.

4. There are however significant spatial inequalities across the city in terms of levels of school educational attainment with a considerable variation between the attainment 8 scores of the highest performing wards (Boothstown and Ellenbrook - 50.5 and Worsley 50.4) and the lowest (Langworthy – 36.4, Little Hulton – 36.8 and Ordsall – 36.8). The Attainment 8 scores recorded for pupils living in the wards of Boothstown and Ellenbrook, Claremont, Eccles, Walkden South Winton and Worsley are either at or above those set at higher geographic levels.

5. In terms of the reasons underlying this variation, the performance of individual schools is obviously a key factor, however it is also clear that the situation appears to broadly mirror wider socio-economic inequalities with the city’s more deprived areas typically having the lowest levels of educational attainment.

6. There is therefore a need to address the inequalities in educational attainment across the city and ensure that targeted interventions seek to raise attainment levels in those areas of the city which are already most disadvantaged in terms of socio-economic opportunities. Educational attainment in English and maths is frequently used as a standard entry requirement for further and higher education and for professional training, and therefore improving attainment in relation to these subjects will improve opportunities for Salford’s young people to access higher value employment.

7. Salford has consistently had a lower proportion of 16 and 17 year olds in full time education than both the North West and England averages and the most

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recent data shows the city falling further behind. It is notable however that the city has a higher proportion of young people engaged in apprenticeships, work based learning, and full time employment with study.

8. The proportion of residents in Salford with no qualification has been falling and is now comparable with rates across the North West but remains above the national average which has been falling at a faster rate. The proportion of population with higher rates of qualification (NVQ4+) is below that seen across the North West and England. Whilst the gap between Salford and the North West is closing improvements at a national level mean that the city is falling further behind the national average.

9. In the context of an increasingly skills based labour market it will be important that steps are taken to improve educational attainment in the city in order that residents are able to effectively for employment opportunities in the city and wider GM area.

Key Stage 4 (GCSE) Attainment 2016 2017 9-4 9-5 NOR Att 8 NOR (E&M) (E&M) Att 8 Performance of pupils Salford Schools 2083 46.8 2057 54.2% 31.9% 41.7 North West Schools 74,057 49.4 72,289 62.7% 40.3% 45.6 England Schools 600,425 48.5 587,640 59.1% 39.6% 44.6 Performance of pupils at Salford Schools by place of pupil residence Barton 91 46.1 90 50.0% 27.8% 39.9 Boothstown and Ellenbrook 73 55.8 67 76.1% 52.2% 50.5 Broughton 101 43.8 101 43.6% 24.8% 37.1 Cadishead 105 44.9 108 61.1% 32.4% 42.4 Claremont 102 50.0 89 64.0% 38.2% 44.6 Eccles 81 54.6 75 62.7% 41.3% 47.2 Irlam 109 43.6 94 54.3% 34.0% 41.1 Irwell Riverside 73 40.9 77 45.5% 29.9% 40.2 Kersal 54 45.7 69 43.5% 24.6% 37.4 Langworthy 82 44.0 92 42.4% 15.2% 36.4 Little Hulton 161 43.6 163 35.0% 19.0% 36.8 Ordsall 59 38.9 58 39.7% 15.5% 36.8 Pendlebury 100 48.9 95 54.7% 36.8% 40.5 Swinton North 116 47.4 117 63.2% 35.9% 42.1 Swinton South 111 50.6 97 55.7% 40.2% 42.2 Walkden North 126 42.5 113 41.6% 25.7% 39.8 Walkden South 85 48.4 78 73.1% 42.3% 46.1 Weaste and Seedley 121 47.9 110 49.1% 25.5% 40.2 Winton 150 45.9 160 60.0% 39.4% 45.6 Worsley 64 53.9 66 77.3% 50.0% 50.4 Salford 1964 46.7 1919 53.7% 31.9% 41.6

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Outside Salford/Unknown 119 48.6 138 60.9% 31.9% 43.0 Source: ONS and Salford City Council

Percentage of 16 & 17 year olds in education or training

Proportion of 16 and 17 year olds recorded as participating in: Current activity not Full time known education Work Employment to the and based Part time combined LA training Apprenticeship learning education with study Other Total England 82.5% 6.7% 1.0% 0.1% 0.8% 0.2% 91.4% 3.2% North West 80.6% 7.3% 1.4% 0.1% 1.0% 0.2% 90.6% 3.2% Salford 75.6% 8.4% 2.5% 0.0% 2.7% 0.0% 89.2% 1.3% Source: Department for Education

Proportion of 16 and 17 year olds in education and training 92.0%

91.0%

90.0%

89.0%

88.0%

87.0%

86.0% England North West Salford Proportionofyear 16/17 olds 85.0%

84.0% 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Source: Department for Education

Qualifications in the working age population 16 - 64 year olds holding an equivalent qualification 2017 Salford North West England % with NVQ4+ 30.9 34.5 38.3 % with NVQ3+ 51.1 54.2 57.1 % with NVQ2+ 68.4 74.0 74.6 % with NVQ1+ 80.8 85.2 85.5 % with other qualifications 8.8 5.8 6.9 % with no qualifications 10.4 9.0 7.6 2012 Salford North West England % with NVQ4+ 27.6 30.2 34.1

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% with NVQ3+ 48.0 49.8 53.1 % with NVQ2+ 67.5 69.8 71.7 % with NVQ1+ 80.9 83.1 84.1 % with other qualifications 7.0 5.8 6.4 % with no qualifications 12.1 11.2 9.5 2007 Salford North West England % with NVQ4+ 22.5 28.3 25.4 % with NVQ3+ 41.5 45.8 43.9 % with NVQ2+ 59.5 63.8 63.7 % with NVQ1+ 75.3 77.8 78.0 % with other qualifications 8.6 9.1 6.8 % with no qualifications 16.2 13.1 15.2 % change in number of population 2007 - 2017 Salford North West England % with NVQ4+ 37.3% 21.9% 50.8% % with NVQ3+ 23.1% 18.3% 30.1% % with NVQ2+ 15.0% 16.0% 17.1% % with NVQ1+ 7.3% 9.5% 9.6% % with other qualifications 2.3% -36.3% 1.5% % with no qualifications -35.8% -31.3% -50.0% Source: NOMIS

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3. Economic

3A Economic health

3.1 Following a period of high levels of unemployment between 2009 and 2014, unemployment rates are now falling. Salford has seen relatively large reductions in the proportion of unemployed working age population but rates remains above those seen across Greater Manchester, the North West and England.

3.2 There is no official measure of unemployment at the ward level, however indicative data is available based on Job Seekers Allowance. These rates are clearly lower than the official measure of unemployment, but suggest that there are particularly high levels of unemployment in Barton, Broughton, Irwell Riverside, Langworthy, Little Hulton, Walkden North, Weaste and Seedley and Winton.

3.3 Under Universal Credit a broader span of claimants are required to look for work than under Jobseeker's Allowance. Experimental statistics are published by NOMIS which provide counts of the number of people claiming Jobseeker's Allowance plus those who claim Universal Credit and are required to seek work and be available for work. This measure replaces the number of people claiming Jobseeker's Allowance as the headline indicator of the number of people claiming benefits principally for the reason of being unemployed. Nomis provides an informative that as Universal Credit Full Service is rolled out in particular areas, the number of people recorded as being on the Claimant Count is likely to rise. The proportion of working age population in Salford claiming Universal Credit is similar to that seen across Greater Manchester and the North West, but is behind those recorded at the national level.

3.4 ONS does not provide local level GVA statistics as part of their national statistics package. The lowest level applicable to Salford is Greater Manchester South West which comprises Salford and Trafford. The area has seen huge increases in GVA since 1999, reaching £29,338 per head in 2016, exceeding that identified for GM, the NW and England. At this level, it is difficult to draw too many conclusions about what this means for Salford, however these GVA increases are likely to be indicative of the growth associated with the City Centre and Salford Quays and may disguise parts of Salford that have not seen such high levels of investment and economic restructuring.

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Unemployment rate - aged 16-64 13.0 Salford 12.0 Greater Manchester North West England 11.0

10.0

9.0 64 64 yearolds - 8.0

7.0 % of % 16

6.0

5.0

4.0

Salford Greater North England Manchester West Jul 2004-Jun 2005 4.3 4.7 4.8 4.8 Jul 2005-Jun 2006 6.6 6.1 5.2 5.3 Jul 2006-Jun 2007 6.3 5.7 5.7 5.4 Jul 2007-Jun 2008 5.2 6.8 5.9 5.3 Jul 2008-Jun 2009 9.4 8.5 7.6 7.0 Jul 2009-Jun 2010 12.0 9.6 8.4 7.9 Jul 2010-Jun 2011 10.9 9.0 8.2 7.9 Jul 2011-Jun 2012 10.4 10.1 8.9 8.2 Jul 2012-Jun 2013 11.9 9.3 8.2 8.0 Jul 2013-Jun 2014 10.7 8.7 8.1 7.0 Jul 2014-Jun 2015 8.3 6.9 6.0 5.7 Jul 2015-Jun 2016 9.6 6.6 5.5 5.2 Jul 2016-Jun 2017 6.1 5.6 4.8 4.7 Source: ONS – Annual Population Survey

Proportion of working age population (16-64) claiming job seekers allowance

April 2015 April 2016 April 2017 April 2018 Wards

Barton 2.2 1.7 1,8 2.5 Boothstown & Ellenbrook 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.6 Broughton 4.7 4.3 4.4 5.0 Cadishead 1.3 1.1 0.8 1.1 Claremont 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.7 Eccles 1.6 1.4 1.3 1.6

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Irlam 1.2 1.0 0.9 1.1 Irwell Riverside 2.3 2.2 2.1 2.2 Kersal 1.6 1.4 1.5 1.7 Langworthy 3.4 2.7 3.4 3.7 Little Hulton 3.5 2.6 2.2 2.7 Ordsall 1.5 1.1 1.1 1.2 Pendlebury 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.4 Swinton North 1.8 1.7 1.4 1.6 Swinton South 1.4 1.2 1.1 1.3 Walkden North 2.6 2.3 1.9 2.1 Walkden South 1.1 1.0 0.8 1.1 Weaste & Seedley 2.0 2.1 1.6 2.0 Winton 1.9 2.1 1.8 2.4 Worsley 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.3 Salford 2.0 1.7 1.7 1.9 North West 1.7 1.3 1.1 1.1 England 1.8 1.4 1.2 1.1 Source: Nomis

Proportion of working age population (16-64) claiming universal credit

April April April April April April Wards 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Barton 7.2 4.4 3.1 3.0 3.5 3.8 Boothstown & 1.7 1.4 0.7 0.8 1.0 0.9 Ellenbrook Broughton 8.7 6.7 5.4 5.6 5.7 6.2 Cadishead 4.1 2.5 1.8 2.2 1.8 2.0 Claremont 2.7 1.9 1.2 1.5 1.4 1.2 Eccles 4.8 3.0 2.4 2.1 2.2 2.4 Irlam 4.3 2.4 1.9 2.1 2.0 1.9 Irwell Riverside 5.9 4.4 2.8 3.5 3.5 3.3 Kersal 4.5 3.0 1.9 2.1 2.3 2.4 Langworthy 8.5 5.4 3.8 4.1 5.0 5.1 Little Hulton 9.9 6.8 5.1 5.4 5.5 5.7 Ordsall 4.0 2.4 1.9 1.8 1.9 1.9 Pendlebury 4.0 2.5 2.0 2.3 2.7 2.5 Swinton North 5.6 3.8 2.5 2.8 2.7 2.4 Swinton South 3.8 2.6 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.3 Walkden North 7.4 5.2 3.8 4.4 4.3 4.2 Walkden South 3.4 2.1 1.8 2.1 1.9 1.9 Weaste & 5.3 3.6 2.6 3.3 2.7 2.9 Seedley Winton 6.9 4.4 2.9 3.4 2.9 3.5 Worsley 1.4 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.6

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Salford 5.4 3.6 2.6 2.9 2.9 3.0 Greater 4.8 3.5 2.6 2.7 2.7 3.0 Manchester North West 4.3 3.2 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.8 England 3.7 2.7 1.9 1.8 1.9 2.2 Source: Nomis

GVA (income approach) per head of population at current basic prices

33,000 Manchester

GM South West 28,000 England

North West 23,000 GM

GM South East £ per £ head 18,000 GM North East GM North West

13,000

8,000

Area GVA (Income Approach) per head of population at current basic prices (£) 1997 2016 % change Manchester (city) 16,976 33,063 94.8% GM South West (Salford and Trafford) 15,467 29,338 89.7% GM South East (Stockport and Tameside) 11,683 18,936 62.1% GM North West (Bolton and Wigan) 9,778 16,311 66.8% GM North East (Bury, Oldham and Rochdale) 10,206 17,483 71.3% GM 12,439 22,587 81.6% North West 12,417 22,899 84.4% England 14,842 27,060 82.3% Source: ONS

3B Structure of the economy

3.5 Data on employment is provided through the business register and employment survey (BRES). In 2015, the Office for National Statistics started to include businesses registered for PAYE only which had previously been excluded. The most recent data is therefore not comparable with longer term trends. Employment figures can be quite variable and therefore definitive conclusions should not be drawn from short term trends.

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3.6 Nevertheless, there is a consistent pattern of growth in total employment at all levels, with Salford and Greater Manchester showing larger increases than the North West, but are both exceeded by the rate seen across England. The Greater Manchester Forecasting Model suggests that Salford will see relatively high increases in jobs when compared with Greater Manchester, North West and .

3.7 Salford’s economy is heavily dependent on service sectors including distribution, hotels and restaurants (making up 21% of jobs), banking, finance and insurance (23.6% of jobs) and public administration, education and health (28.1% of jobs).

3.8 The proportion of jobs in manufacturing has continued to fall to just 6.6% of jobs in 2016. 8.0% of the working population are still employed in manufacturing which is below the national average.

3.9 Forecasts suggest that business services will continue to grow in importance while manufacturing will see a continuing decline. It will be important to ensure local residents have the transferable skills that will enable them to access the widest range of employment opportunities.

Total Employment Total 2009 2014 Change 2015 2016 Change Employment 2009 – 2015 – (000’s) 2014 (%) 2016 (%) Salford 118 121 2.5% 121 121 0.0% Greater 1,194 1,223 2.4% 1,252 1,293 3.3% Manchester North West 3,118 3,184 2.1% 3,263 3,338 2.3% England 24,068 25,137 4.5% 25,934 26,385 1.7% Data rounded to nearest 100 Employment is defined as all employees plus working proprietors. Figures for 2015 and 2016 include units registered for PAYE only which were previously excluded Source: BRES

Total 2016 2036 % Change Employment 2016 – 2036 (Forecast)(000’s) Salford 132 157 18.9% Greater 1,397 1,522 8.9% Manchester North West 3.609 3,808 5.5% UK 34,422 37,029 7.6% Source: GMFM 2017

Employment and working residents by industry1

1 The two datasets used in this table are collected as part of separate surveys, one of households (Annual Population Survey) and one of businesses (Business Register and Employment Survey), their results are not therefore directly comparable.

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Total Employment (Jobs) by industry 2016 Salford GM NW England Industry No. % % % % A:agriculture and fishing 175 0.1 0.1 1.1 1.3 B,D,E:energy and water 2,250 1.9 1.3 1.3 1.1 C:manufacturing 8,000 6.6 8.3 9.7 7.9 F:construction 6,000 5 3.9 4.1 4.6 G,I:distribution, hotels and restaurants 25,500 21 22.5 23.2 22.6 H,J:transport and communications 12,000 9.9 8.9 8.2 9.2 K-N:banking, finance and insurance 28,500 23.6 25.3 21.5 23.5 O-Q:public admin. education and health 34,000 28.1 25.8 27.1 25.1 R-U:other services 3,000 2.5 3.6 3.8 4.6 Residents in Employment by Industry 2016 Salford GM NW England Industry No. % % % % A:agriculture and fishing ! ! 0.3 0.7 0.9 B,D,E:energy and water 1,400 1.2 1.3 1.9 1.5 C:manufacturing 9,200 8 9.3 10.9 9.3 F:construction 8,300 7.3 6.8 6.6 7 G,I:distribution, hotels and restaurants 28,900 25.3 19.8 19.8 18.4 H,J:transport and communications 11,800 10.3 9.7 8.1 9.5 K-N:banking, finance and insurance 18,600 16.3 16.7 15.1 17.6 O-Q:public admin. education and health 30,100 26.4 30.4 31.1 29.5 R-U:other services 5,200 4.6 5.3 5.3 5.9 Note: ‘!’ = Restricted data Note: All figures have been rounded to the nearest 100 Note: Total employment (Jobs) includes anyone aged 16+ that an organisation pays from its payroll(s), in return for carrying out a full-time or part-time job or being on a training scheme. It also includes working proprietors, defined as sole traders, sole proprietors, partners and directors. Note: Working residents (%) is those aged 16 to 64 Source: Business Register and Employment Survey/ Annual Population Survey/ SIC2007

% of total employment in Salford by sector (GMFM forecast) Total Employment % change Sector (000’s) 2016 - 2036 2016 2036 Agriculture, forestry & fishing 0.3 0.3 -22.7% Mining & quarrying 0.1 0.0 -53.1% Manufacturing 6.9 4.8 -30.1% Electricity, gas, steam & air conditioning supply 0.6 0.5 -28.3% Water supply; sewerage, waste management 1.3 1.1 -11.4% Construction 8.8 12.4 40.9% Wholesale & retail trade 20.0 24.3 21.3% Transportation & storage 3.6 3.8 5.9% Accommodation & food service activities 8.0 10.0 24.5% Information & communication 10.0 12.2 22.2% Financial & insurance activities 5.0 5.1 0.3% Real estate activities 2.3 2.8 22.5%

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Professional, scientific & technical activities 11.2 16.5 47.6% Administrative & support service activities 15.3 21.1 37.9% Public administration & defence 7.1 6.9 -4.1% Education 10.9 11.5 5.3% Human health & social work activities 15.3 17.7 15.5% Arts, entertainment & recreation 2.2 2.6 22.0% Other service activities 3.0 3.3 9.4% Total 132.1 156.9 18.8% Source: GMFM 2017

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3C Prosperity

3.10 The rate of increase of active enterprises in Salford has exceeded that for the NW and England.

3.11 The mean annual earnings of Salford residents are lower than those achieved at higher geographic levels. Whilst the rate of increase within the city since 2006 is higher, the trend over this period is not consistent at the city level. Work places in Salford pay on average more than identified for GM, the North West and England and the rate of increase is significantly greater in Salford. Wages paid by jobs located within the city are significantly greater than those earned by the city’s residents.

3.12 The city wide figures are likely to mask significant localised differences in resident and workplace pay scales. The growing concentration of media related uses at Salford Quays, adding to the office and residential premises already established there, is likely to have had, and will continue to have, a significant impact on the growth rates in average rates of pay.

Number of active enterprises All active enterprises Salford NW England 2009 7,255 236,095 2,040,150 2010 7,330 233,735 2,046,310 2011 7,370 231,345 2,040,980 2012 7,640 232,400 2,070,400 2013 7,995 240,075 2,140,985 2014 8,440 249,465 2,235,345 2015 8,930 259,740 2,348,065 2016 9,570 276,520 2,499,060 % change 30.6% 18.3% 22.1% 2009 - 2014 Source: ONS

Mean annual pay (£) Salford Greater Manchester

Place of Place % diff Place of Place % diff residence of residence of Work Work 2006 20,597 24,027 16.7% 21,822 23,045 5.6% 2007 21,042 22,679 7.8% 22,746 24,072 5.8% 2008 21,843 21,949 0.5% 23,221 24,209 4.3% 2009 25,085 25,876 3.2% 23,952 24,729 3.2% 2010 23,102 25,966 12.4% 24,044 24,771 3.0% 2011 22,080 25,145 13.9% 23,248 23,953 3.0% 2012 23,460 26,202 11.7% 23,750 24,484 3.1% 2013 23,416 27,625 18.0% 24,258 25,146 3.7% 2014 24,360 27,826 14.2% 24,310 25,181 3.6% 2015 22,897 28,834 25.9% 24,786 25,652 3.5% 2016 24,278 28,562 17.6% 25,278 26,490 4.8%

Appendix 3 - Page 31

2017 24,719 30,070 21.6% 25,604 26,998 5.4% (provisional) % change 20.0% 25.2% NA 17.3% 17.2% NA 2006 - 2017 North West England Place of Place % diff Place of Place % diff residence of residence of Work Work 2006 22,022 22,145 0.6% 24822 24,773 -0.2% 2007 22,839 23,021 0.8% 25,663 25,621 -0.2% 2008 23,522 23,527 0.0% 26,864 26,829 -0.1% 2009 23,908 23,848 -0.3% 27,128 27,095 -0.1% 2010 24,074 23,900 -0.7% 27,246 27,204 -0.2% 2011 23,632 23,542 -0.4% 27,306 27,303 0.0% 2012 23,922 23,889 -0.1% 27,404 27,382 -0.1% 2013 24,529 24,389 -0.6% 27,702 27,692 0.0% 2014 24,625 24,588 -0.2% 27,919 27,904 -0.1% 2015 25,087 25,098 0.0% 28,028 28,031 0.0% 2016 25,744 25,757 0.1% 28,799 28,802 0.0% 2017 26,136 26,256 0.5% 29,578 29,576 0.0% (provisional) % change 18.7% 18.6% NA 19.2% 19.4% NA 2006 - 2017 Source: Annual survey of hours and earnings - The annual survey of hours and earnings (ASHE) is based on a 1 per cent sample of employee jobs. This is drawn from HM Revenue and Customs pay as you earn (PAYE) records.

Appendix 3 - Page 32

4. Environmental

4A Recreation

4.1 An audit of formal open space is undertaken at least bi-annually and compared to Salford’s local greenspace standards which are set out within Salford greenspace strategy supplementary planning document (SPD), 2006, not replaced by an updated version, 2018. Between 2005/06 and 2017/18 there has been some fluctuation in the citywide performance but there has been an overall increase in the proportion of households within walking distance of the majority of the local recreation standards. The citywide performance for access to district parks now exceeds the original target set by the SPD and there has also been an increase for local equipped areas of play (LEAP), neighbourhood equipped areas of play (LEAP, local natural greenspace and neighbourhood parks.

4.2 There has however been a slight reduction in the proportion of households within walking distance of a strategic natural greenspace although this trend has begun to improve.

4.3 The local standard for sports pitches is no longer monitored based on the targets set by the Greenspace SPD. Salford Playing Pitch Assessment 2018 was completed based on revised guidance from Sport England. Salford Playing Pitch Strategy and Action Plan 2018 identify prioritised site by site recommendations to improve the quality and capacity of sports pitches rather than assessing the total area.

Local standard Citywide performance

2010- 2017- 2005-2006 2015-20163 20112 20184 % of households within 500m walking 47.3% 45.7% 52.7% 53.0% distance of a local natural greenspace % of households within 2000m walking distance of a strategic natural 50.8% 49.6% 45.2% 48.0% greenspace % of households within 400m walking 33.1% 36.8% 35.4% 44.8%5 distance of a LEAP % of households within 1000m walking 63.3% 57.4% 61.8% 89.9% distance of a NEAP % of households within 1200m walking 69.0% 80.6% 76.2% 76.2% distance of a neighbourhood park % of households within 3200m walking 21.0% 90.8% 96.0% 96.1% distance of a district park Source: Salford City Council

2 Based on 2010-2011 performance compared to the number of households at 1 April 2011. 3 Based on 2015-2016 performance compared to the number of households at 1 April 2016. 4 Based on 2017-2018 performance compared to the number of households at 1 April 2018. 5 The walking distance to a LEAP increased to 500 metres in 2017/18

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4B Biodiversity

4.4 The area of sites of biological importance (SBIs) in the city has increased between 2005/06 and 2016/17, rising from 486ha to 516ha.

4.5 The 2008 habitat survey identified that the city contained a total of 299.1 hectares of UK priority habitats, which suggests a net gain of approximately 20ha since 20066. However differences in the survey methodologies mean that they are not directly comparable.

4.6 UK priority habitats within Salford - 2008

 Wet woodland – 5.2ha  Eutrophic standing waters – 18.9ha  Lowland dry acid grassland/ lowland heath – 20.3ha  Lowland raised bog – 14.2ha  Lowland raised bog (readily restorable) – 240.5ha  Total – 299.1 (of which 63.2ha are within SBIs)

4.7 Local nature reserves are declared by local authorities under the National Parks and Access to Countryside Act 1949. They are habitats of local significance, which give the public an opportunity to see, learn about and enjoy wildlife. In 2014, Natural England approved a new site at Three Sisters increasing the number of local nature reserves in Salford to six7:

 Blackleach country park (WLH/001) – 27.9ha  Kersal Dale (ESA/001) – 29.2ha  Worsley Woods (WBO/001) – 28.0ha  Clifton Country Park (SWI/001) – 48.0ha  Kersal Moor (ESA/002) – 7.9ha  Three Sisters (ECC/001) – 4.4ha

4.8 The Revised Draft Local Plan proposes three new Local Nature Reserves:

 Castle Irwell Wetland Area – 14.1ha  Clifton Moss – 16.2 ha  Little Woolden Moss – 99.9ha

6 ECUS (2006) Partial Phase 1 Habitat Survey 7 The land areas of five of the local nature reserves have been revised compared to those identified in previous versions of the sustainability appraisal. The site boundaries that are designated as a local nature reserve remain the same but these are smaller in area than the other land use allocations for these sites.

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4C Soil and land

4.9 Between 2003 and 2018 there were 21,901 gross dwelling completions. Of this total 91.5% were on previously developed land and 8.5% on greenfield land.

4.10 The city has a significant area of grade 1 agricultural land, and still supports farm enterprises.

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Development on previously developed land (PDL) Gross completions Monitoring (new build and changes % of new dwellings period of use / conversions) On PDL Not on PDL On PDL Not on PDL 2003/04 1,152 13 98.9% 1.1% 2004/05 1,530 92 94.3% 5.7% 2005/06 1,020 142 87.8% 12.2% 2006/07 2,037 200 91.1% 8.9% 2007/08 2,548 252 91% 9% 2008/09 1,840 172 91.5% 8.5% 2009/10 849 23 97.4% 2.6% 2010/11 727 113 86.5% 13.5% 2011/12 534 14 97.4% 2.6% 2012/13 674 89 88.3% 11.7% 2013/14 862 33 96.3% 3.7% 2014/15 1309 76 94.5% 5.5% 2015/16 1,190 164 87.9% 12.1% 2016/17 2,406 244 90.8% 9.2% 2017/18 1,369 227 86% 14% TOTAL 20,047 1,854 91.5% 8.5% Source: Salford City Council, residential development and land supply monitoring

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Agricultural land classifications – Greater Manchester, Warrington, North West England and England*

Agricultural land classifications District Grade 1 Grade 2 Grade 3 Grade 4 Grade 5 Total (grade 1-5) ha % of ha % of ha % of GM ha % of ha % of ha % of GM GM GM GM GM Bolton 0 0 3,086.06 11.9 3817.0 15.0 971.40 7.5 7874.46 11.4 Bury 0 0 1,513.62 5.8 4611.34 18.1 486.29 3.8 6611.25 9.5 Manchester 0 0 798.19 3.1 93.83 0.37 0 892.02 1.3 Oldham 0 0 6.38 0.02 5618.46 22.1 4481.33 34.7 10,106.17 14.6 Rochdale 0 0 1,788.19 6.9 5021.93 19.7 4717.54 36.6 11,527.66 16.6 Salford 1,579.87 83.4 220.16 7.2 1,556.05 6.0 203.25 0.80 385.88 3.0 3945.21 5.7 Stockport 0 0 3,252.70 12.5 2511.16 9.9 132.97 1.0 5896.83 8.5 Tameside 0 114.33 3.7 790.50 3.0 2926.81 11.5 1528.23 11.8 5359.87 7.7 Trafford 0 2,342.29 76.7 1,703.99 6.6 204.89 0.80 0 4251.17 6.1 Wigan 314.66 16.6 379.03 12.4 11,476.92 44.2 421.0 1.65 192.43 1.5 12,784.04 18.5

GM total 1,894.53 3,055.81 25,972.70 25,429.64 12,896.07 69,248.75

Warrington 420.86 4893.29 8014.45 18.22 234.13 13,581

Grade 1 Grade 2 Grade 3 Grade 4 Grade 5 Total (grade 1-5) ha % ha % ha % ha % ha % ha % of England NW England 29,108.9 5.0 63,222.1 10.9 283,971.3 48.8 123,656.8 21.2 81,965.6 14.1 581,924.6 5.1

England* 354,644.1 3.1 1,849,257.7 16.2 6,291,711.2 55.0 1,840,315 16.1 1,100,783.8 9.6 11,436,711 Sources: www.magic.defra.gov.uk and Ordnance Survey * excludes the Isle of Man and the Channel Isles

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4D Water

4.11 The European Water Framework Directive has changed the way in which the Environment Agency reports water quality. From 2009 onwards, watercourses have been classed as “high”, “good”, “moderate”, “poor” or “bad”. The criteria for qualifying as “good” under the new system are more stringent than under the previous system. A classification is produced based on a ‘one out, all out’ principle. This uses the poorest individual element result to set the overall classification.

4.12 The monitored watercourses in Salford are primarily assessed as moderate, with the exception of the River Glaze and some of its tributaries, which are assessed as poor.8

4.13 The map below shows the key fluvial flood risk issues in Salford, together with existing and planned flood defences. Approximately 175009 residential properties across Salford are subject to a medium or high risk of fluvial flooding. Flood defences including the new flood basin at Castle Irwell have raised the level of protection for the to 1:100 year standard. However, a more extreme flood could still cause significant damage. For example, a 1:1,000 year event could result in floodwaters over 3 metres deep in some areas10. Such an extreme event is very unlikely, having only a 1 in 1000 chance of occurring in any one year.

4.14 Ongoing regeneration proposals are seeking to secure the regeneration of neighbourhoods in central Salford affected by flooding, which would increase the number of properties in those areas but decrease the number that would be significantly affected by a flood event, with careful design and siting of new development.

8 Source: mappinggm.org.uk (accessed January 2019) 9 Source: Council tax records December 2018 and Environment Agency flood map November 2018 10 Source: Strategic flood risk assessment March 2011 and more recent unpublished modelling

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Source: adapted from Salford Local Flood Risk Management Strategy May 2015 to show updated flood defences and Flood Zones

4.15 Surface water flooding has risen in prominence as an issue following the 2007 floods, which in some parts of the country were largely caused by surface water flooding. Surface water flooding tends to be caused by extremely heavy rainfall over a short period of time which exceeds the capacity of the drainage system to remove the water. The latest surface water modelling does show some areas of Salford as at risk of surface water flooding. This issue is not as serious a concern in Salford as fluvial flooding, but it does need to be considered. The risk is in small pockets across the city, as shown on the map below.

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Source: Salford Local Flood Risk Management Strategy May 2015; flooding data taken from Environment Agency updated Flood Map for Surface Water

4.16 The table below shows the area and number of properties at risk of surface water flooding.

Risk of surface water flooding (0.3m or greater)11 Properties 1 in 30 year 11 1 in 100 year 63 1 in 1000 year 627

4E Air Quality and climatic factors

4.17 The AQMA is based on the monitoring of the seven air pollutants given in the Air Quality Regulations 2000: benzene; 1,3-butadiene; carbon monoxide; lead; nitrogen dioxide; particles (PM10); sulphur dioxide.

11 Source: Data from the updated Flood Map for Surface Water, Council Tax and LLPG as used in the Salford Local Flood Risk Management Strategy. Figures represent the total number of properties that the model suggests would be flooded to a depth of greater than 0.3m

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4.18 The air quality management area in Salford is focused around the city’s main highways. The 2016 revision has considerably reduced the air quality management area which has had a significant impact on the extent to which it covers sites adjacent to relevant highways.

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Per capita CO2 emission estimates (t CO2)

Tonnes of CO2 per capita Industry and commercial Year Domestic Road transport Total

Salford 2005 2.7 8.2 2010 2.2 2.2 2.5 7.1 2015 1.3 1.5 2.2 5.2 % Change 2005-15 -53.9% -38.1% -21.2% -37.3% North 2005 3.9 2.6 2.2 8.6 West 2010 3.3 2.3 2.0 7.5 2015 2.2 1.7 1.9 5.7 % Change 2005-15 -44.5% -34.1% -13.8% -34.3% England 2005 3.8 2.5 2.3 8.5 2010 3.0 2.3 2.0 7.2 2015 2.2 1.6 1.9 5.6 % Change 2005-15 -41.7% -35.8% -15.7% -33.8% Source: Department for Energy and Climate Change (June 2017)

4F Waste

4.19 Household waste arisings within Salford are managed by Greater Manchester Waste Disposal Authority, who manages household waste arisings across nine of the ten Greater Manchester districts12.

4.20 Household waste generation per head of population is significantly below that seen across the Greater Manchester Waste Disposal Authority area, however the proportion of waste being sent for reuse, recycling or composting is below rates seen at that level.

4.21 There could be a number of underlying factors why the city is not achieving rates seen across the wider conurbation, including the socio-economic status of the district (where areas of deprivation typically have lower levels of participation in recycling and materials sorting), the nature of the housing stock (where households in terraced houses and apartments generally have lower levels of participation in recycling due to facilities for storage and separation of materials being more limited), and the population turnover (where areas with higher levels of population turnover typically have lower levels of participation in recycling).

4.22 Notwithstanding these underlying factors, it is clear that there is scope for further improvement in relation to Salford’s recycling and composting

12 The Greater Manchester Waste Disposal Authority is comprised of the districts of Bolton, Bury, Manchester, Oldham, Rochdale, Salford, Stockport, Tameside and Trafford. Wigan is the only Greater Manchester district that does not form part of the WCA, and has its own independent waste management authority – Wigan Waste Disposal Authority.

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performance. There is a role for the planning system to support this, through ensuring that there is suitable provision for materials sorting and recycling within all new housing development, particularly in terms of apartments and higher density schemes.

Household waste 2014 - 2016 Year Total Total waste % Population Total household sent for householder household waste reuse, waste sent waste per collected recycling or for reuse, head of (tonnes) composting recycling or population (tonnes) composting (kg) Salford 2014/15 85,105 35,536 41.8% 242,040 35.2 2015/16 78,394 33,072 42.2% 245,614 31.9 Greater 2014/15 982,291 442,989 45.1% 2,411,879 40.7 Manchester 2015/16 1,007,903 446,261 44.3% 2,434,140 41.4 Source: Wastedataflow.org

4G Minerals

4.23 Restoration of lowland raised bog and associated habitats is now progressing at the three main former peat extraction sites in the Chat Moss area. Peat extraction ceased entirely in Salford in 2017 as outlined below bringing an end to many years of this damaging activity.

4.24 Restoration has taken place at the former Twelve Yards Road peat extraction site. This follows a Secretary of State decision to dismiss an appeal against the refusal of planning permission for further extraction in 2012. (Need to check area in Salford). Peat extraction ceased at Astley Moss East in 2015 and the former peat extraction site is now undergoing restoration, with the exception of the areas which lie within the quarry boundary. The sand and gravel extraction in the south of the site has permission until 2022.

4.25 Restoration is now being carried out on by Lancashire Wildlife Trust on 65ha of former peat extraction on Little Woolden Moss. This follows the purchase of the whole site by the Trust in 2011. The Trust has now begun restoring the remaining 35 hectares of the site, having negotiated an early end to the extraction with the site operator. The Trust are also restoring the adjacent 8 hectare Cadishead Moss former peat extraction site which they also now own.

4.26 There are currently sand and gravel reserves under Chat Moss. Demand for such reserves is identified to increase but exploitation would have serious environmental consequences, not least recognising the Moss’ role as a carbon sink.

4.27 The former open cast coal site at Cutacre is now being restored as a country park which extends into Bolton. This is part of a major business park scheme in Bolton and Salford.

4H Landscapes

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4.28 34.69% of the city’s land area is currently designated Green Belt. The Green Belt has only been subject to minor modification since it was originally designated as part of the Greater Manchester Green Belt in 1984. The potential for new development allocations within the Green Belt are however being considered through the Greater Manchester Spatial Framework.

4.29 There are no nationally designated landscapes in the city.

4I Heritage

Grade Listed building entries Grade I 6 Grade II* 13 Grade II 216 Total 235

4.30 A review of how the city council assesses heritage assets has been undertaken, the figures quoted above are reflective of the number of statutory listed building entries on the national heritage list for England as compiled by English Heritage.

4.31 In addition to statutory listed buildings, the City Council compiles a Local Plan of heritage assets. Local listing is a means for a local community to decide what it is in their area that makes a contribution to its character and historical legacy and as such what they would like recognised as a 'local heritage asset'. Whilst local heritage assets do not enjoy the protection of statutory listing, which is the responsibility of Historic England, they are given some degree of protection through the planning system. Salford’s Local List contains 278 individual heritage assets, comprising approximately 628 individual buildings or structures.

4.32 Salford also has 16 conservation areas, 3 scheduled ancient monuments (one addition proposed) and 2 registered parks and gardens, as well as a broad range of other heritage assets including archaeology, dating back to the city’s beginnings and features dating back to Salford’s key role in the industrial revolution such as the Bridgewater Canal. Areas of peat land in the west of the city could have potential for further archaeological finds. This heritage is a key contributor to the city’s positive local identity and character, as well as being an irreplaceable record of the past. Its retention and enhancement will therefore be an important component of Salford’s future success.

4.33 In 2018, there were 11 listed buildings and 4 conservation areas identified as being ‘at risk’ on Historic England’s at risk register13.

4J Light and noise

13 Heritage at risk register 2018 - Historic England, August 2018

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4.34 There has been a generally increasing trend of noise complaints since 2000 which could relate to the high levels of development taking place within the city. Over recent years a more active role has been played by some of the city’s housing providers and anti-social behaviour team in respect of dealing with noise complaints and therefore issues that can be addressed by these agencies may not always be registered with the city council’s environmental protection team and will not therefore be picked up in the trend shown.

4.35 Complaints received relating to light are of a significantly lower order than those relating to noise, nevertheless, there have been a generally increasing trend since 2000. The peak in 2006 (29 complaints) coincides with light being designated as a statutory nuisance and therefore may be a result of the increased level of publicity at this time, although similar levels were recorded in 2012, 2016 and 2017.

Number of complaints received relating to noise

1200 1150 1100 1050 1000 950 900 850

800 Numberofcomplaints 750 700

Number of complaints received relating to light

35

30

25

20

15

10

Numberofcomplaints 5

0

Source: Salford City Council

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