Publication Local Plan: Development Management and Allocations Document Sustainability Appraisal

Appendix 3 Details of Baseline Information

APPENDIX 3

Details of Baseline Information

Contents

1. Introduction ...... 2

2 Social ...... 3

2A Population ...... 3 2B Health ...... 7 2C Crime ...... 10 2D Accessibility ...... 11 2E Housing ...... 15 2F Education ...... 21

3. Economic ...... 25

3A Economic health ...... 25 3B Structure of the economy ...... 27 3C Prosperity ...... 31

4. Environmental ...... 34

4A Green Infrastructure ...... 34 4B Recreation ...... 36 4C Biodiversity ...... 38 4D Soil, land and geodiversity ...... 40 4E Water ...... 43 4F Air Quality and climatic factors ...... 46 4G Waste ...... 48 4H Minerals ...... 49 4I Landscapes ...... 50 4J Heritage ...... 51 4K Light and noise ...... 52

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1. Introduction

1.1 This appendix provides details of the baseline information that has informed the sustainability appraisal, and includes a summary of the data collected, comparator data sets, commentary and an indication of how the issue may evolve without intervention.

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2 Social

2A Population

2.1 There has been a very significant loss of population from the city over the last century, falling some 36% from the peak in 1921 to 2001. The population largely stabilised between 2001 and 2004, following which there has been continuing growth. ONS projections suggest continuing growth in the city’s population reaching around 286,800 by 2037.

2.2 Migration data shows that the principal driver of this later population growth has been down to migration into the city from outside of the UK, providing a net increase of 21,946 people over the period 2002 and 2016. Over this same period Salford saw a net loss of 1,896 people to other parts of the UK.

2.3 Salford’s population is made up of a relatively high proportion of people aged 20 – 29, 17.3% compared with only 13.6% of the North West population and 13.7% of that of . Lower proportions than the North West and England averages are seen at all ages over 45.

2.4 Population projections suggest that, like the rest of the country, Salford is likely to see an increase in the proportion of ‘older people’ and a decrease in the proportion of ‘working age’ population. Whilst these changes are relatively small compared with those seen at higher geographic levels, the city will still need to plan for the increasing number of older people residing in the city.

2.5 In terms of the household composition, census data from 2011 indicates that the city has relatively large proportions of one person (36.14% compared with 32.2% for the North West and 30.3% for England) and single-parent households (13.5% compared with 12.0% for the North West and 10.6% for England). The 2016 ONS household projections suggest that the proportion of one person households is likely to remain relatively static and projects that 38% of all households in Salford and 33% of all households in England will be one person households in 2037.

2.6 The proportion of minority ethnic population within Salford (15.6%) is higher than the North West (12.9%) average. The proportion is however significantly below that for England (20.1%). Particular concentrations of minority ethnic population are found in Eccles, Broughton, Irwell Riverside, Langworthy, Kersal, Ordsall and .

2.7 The Local Plan should take account of the above trends, catering for an increasing population and addressing the needs of a changing population, in terms of age, structure, ethnic diversity and household size.

Total population change

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Total Population - Salford 300,000

290,000

280,000

270,000

260,000

250,000

Population 240,000

230,000

220,000

210,000

200,000

Source: Total persons 2001 – 2018 ONS Mid-year estimates and 2019 – 2037 - 2016 based population projections

Proportion of total population by age – 2011 Age Under 15 15 - 19 20 - 29 30 - 44 45 - 59 60 - 74 75+ band Salford 18.1% 6.5% 17.3% 20.9% 17.8% 12.8% 6.7% GM 18.6% 6.6% 15.1% 20.9% 18.7% 13.5% 6.7% NW 17.5% 6.5% 13.6% 19.8% 19.8% 15.1% 7.7% England 17.7% 6.3% 13.7% 20.6% 19.4% 14.6% 7.7% Source: Census 2011

Population projections by age 2019 and 2037 Proportion of Population (%) Age Band Salford GM NW England 2019 0-14 20% 20% 18% 18% 15-64 66% 65% 63% 63% 65 and over 15% 16% 19% 18% 0-14 18% 18% 17% 17% 2037 15-64 64% 62% 59% 60% 65 and over 18% 20% 24% 24% Source: 2016 based sub national population projections

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Year Population Internal UK International Natural Change Other Change Migration (Net) Migration (Net)

Births Deaths 2002-03 1,002 -406 1,536 2,587 -2,652 -63 2003-04 609 -66 859 2,687 -2,659 -212 2004-05 1,615 -228 1,470 2,842 -2,463 -6 2005-06 2,395 268 1,716 2,954 -2,414 -129 2006-07 1,537 -889 1,786 3,051 -2,394 -17 2007-08 3,314 347 2,087 3,278 -2,381 -17 2008-09 2,166 -214 1,527 3,287 -2,443 9 2009-10 2,889 81 1,491 3,524 -2,232 25 2010-11 2,650 -365 1,759 3,714 -2,207 -251 2011-12 2,598 137 1,158 3,555 -2,175 -77 2012-13 1,928 -608 1,093 3,589 -2,222 76 2013-14 3,027 174 1,478 3,516 -2,165 24 2014-15 3,574 337 2,000 3,483 -2,248 2 2015-16 3,112 -464 1,986 3,670 -2,122 42 Total 32,416 -1,896 21,946 45,737 -32,777 -594 Source: ONS Mid Year Estimates ‘Other’ comprises unattributable change, special change and other adjustments for the years 2003-11 and is simply defined as ‘other’ in the ONS tables in the later years.

Proportion of white British and minority ethnic population in Salford 2001 and 2011 Proportion of population (%) Salford NW England White Minority White Minority White Minority British Ethnic British Ethnic British Ethnic 2001 92.6 7.4 92.0 8.0 86.8 13.2 2011 84.4 15.6 87.1 12.9 79.8 20.2 Source: Census 2001 and 2011

Proportion of white British and minority ethnic population by ward - 2011 Proportion of Population (%) White British Minority Ethnic Barton 90.1 10.1 & Ellenbrook 93.1 7.0 Broughton 80.0 20.1 Cadishead 95.2 4.7 Claremont 93.6 6.3 Eccles 87.3 12.8 Irlam 95.8 4.1 Irwell Riverside 81.7 18.3 Kersal 88.1 11.9 Langworthy 85.4 14.6 93.7 6.2 Ordsall 80.2 19.8 92.0 8.0 93.8 6.3 94.2 5.8 Walkden North 94.6 5.4 Walkden South 95.8 4.2

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Weaste 88.3 11.8 Winton 93.8 6.2 95.4 4.6 Source: Census 2011 KS201EW Ethnic group

Household Composition Proportion of total Salford households (%) Household type 2001 2011 2001 2011 2001 2011 One person – aged 65+ 16.8 12.1 15.1 12.8 14.4 12.4 One person – other 19.9 24.3 15.9 19.4 15.7 17.9 Family – all 65+ 7.3 5.7 8.5 7.8 8.9 8.1 Family – couple 14.2 15.4 16.4 16.5 17.8 17.6 Family - couple with children 23.6 21.2 27.4 24.9 27.1 25.4 Family - lone parents 12.5 13.5 11.1 12.0 9.5 10.6 Other - with children 2.0 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.2 2.6 Other - all students 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.6 Other - all pensioners 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.3 Other 3.0 4.7 2.7 3.4 3.7 4.5 Source: Census 2001 and 2011

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2B Health

2.8 Salford’s direct standardised mortality ratio (DSR) is significantly above those for Greater , the North West and England. A particular concentration of high DSRs is found in the wards of Barton, Broughton, Irwell Riverside and Langworthy.

2.9 Life expectancy rates for both men and women in Salford are improving; however they remain below those for and England. The gap between Salford and these other areas appears to be have remained fairly consistent in males although there is some improvement relative to the national average. There also appears to be relative improvements in life expectancy rates for females, with the gap between the Salford and GM average in particular reducing in recent years.

2.10 Data from Sport England’s ‘active lives survey’ suggests that levels of activity in the adult population of Salford are largely comparable with rates seen at higher geographic levels.

2.11 Salford clearly has significant health issues, resulting in relatively high mortality rates and low life expectancies, and there appears to be an over concentration of such issues within some of the city’s most deprived wards. There have been some improvements in life expectancy, with relative gains against higher geographic averages seen in the female population.

DSR - 3 year pooled per 100,000 population Greater North Period Salford Manchester West England 2011 - 13 481 424 402 342 2012 - 14 471 418 396 337 2013 - 15 467 414 394 335 2014 - 16 456 415 394 334 2015 - 17 455 413 391 332 Data source: PCMD/ONS mid-year ward population estimates

Under 75 mortality rate from all causes - Persons Directly Standardised Rates (DSRs) per 100,000 population DSR - 3 year pooled Ward 2011- 2012- 2013- 2014- 2015- Code Ward name 13 14 15 16 17 E05000759 Barton 592 623 629 640 637 E05000760 Boothstown and Ellenbrook 329 303 332 294 287 E05000761 Broughton 721 779 733 693 763 E05000762 Cadishead 397 379 461 470 480 E05000763 Claremont 406 409 373 316 306 E05000764 Eccles 459 445 429 433 441 E05000765 Irlam 433 404 367 365 347 E05000766 Irwell Riverside 639 616 683 630 662 E05000767 Kersal 339 376 432 427 401

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E05000768 Langworthy 717 669 694 692 686 E05000769 Little Hulton 640 591 592 505 544 E05000770 Ordsall 664 668 603 564 495 E05000771 Pendlebury 428 403 389 396 388 E05000772 Swinton North 430 399 379 368 430 E05000773 Swinton South 479 472 459 458 442 E05000774 Walkden North 416 418 436 451 430 E05000775 Walkden South 327 372 347 345 322 E05000776 Weaste and 536 531 511 530 522 E05000777 Winton 540 518 462 420 435 E05000778 Worsley 270 219 245 286 279 Salford 481 471 467 456 455 Data source: PCMD/ONS mid-year ward population estimates

Average Life Expectancy at Birth (Males) 80.0

79.0

78.0

77.0

76.0 Age Age (years) Salford 75.0 Greater Manchester (Met County) 74.0 ENGLAND

73.0

Source: ONS

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Average Life Expectancy at Birth (Females) 84.0

83.0

82.0

81.0

80.0 Age Age (years)

79.0

Salford 78.0

77.0

Source: ONS

Healthy Life Expectancy at Birth (2015 - 2017) Years Male Female Salford 57.9 58.2 Greater Manchester 60.0 60.4 North West 61.2 62.3 England 63.4 63.8 Source: ONS

Levels of activity in the adult population (proportion of population aged 16+) May 2017 – May 2018 Active Fairly Active Inactive (150+ minutes a week) (30-149 minutes a week) (<30 minutes a week) Salford 64.1% 11.8% 24.1% GM 60.6% 12.3% 27.1% NW 61.1% 12.3% 26.5% England 62.3% 12.5% 25.2% May 2018 – May 2019 Active Fairly Active Inactive (150+ minutes a week) (30-149 minutes a week) (<30 minutes a week) Salford 61.1% 14.5% 24.4% GM 61.2% 12.1% 26.7% NW 62.1% 12.1% 25.9% England 63.2% 12.0% 24.8% Source: Sport England Active Lives Survey

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2C Crime

2.12 Incidents of crime per 1000 head of population have been increasing in Salford and during the last two years are comparable with those recorded across Greater Manchester. In the context of rates across Salford, relatively high crime levels are in the wards of Barton, Broughton, Eccles, Irwell Riverside, Langworthy, Ordsall, Walkden North and Weaste.

Rates per 1,000 population for all crime by ward in Salford Ward 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 Barton 76 71 94 95 143 156 Boothstown & Ellenbrook 19 23 32 42 50 45 Broughton 80 92 94 104 146 141 Cadishead 43 48 50 58 81 91 Claremont 43 40 49 45 70 74 Eccles 61 65 72 93 119 132 Irlam 44 41 37 49 61 69 Irwell Riverside 83 91 92 115 185 173 Kersal 52 53 57 58 84 78 Langworthy 116 124 130 144 212 193 Little Hulton 61 57 67 79 110 122 Ordsall 94 97 109 121 161 169 Pendlebury 49 55 71 87 105 110 Swinton North 47 54 71 89 102 115 Swinton South 46 46 62 75 107 106 Walkden North 67 70 77 102 161 149 Walkden South 33 41 44 62 91 79 Weaste & Seedley 61 76 86 91 135 144 Winton 51 58 66 66 106 110 Worsley 27 36 42 61 72 63 Total 60 65 73 85 120 121

Greater 65 74 82 97 120 116 Manchester Source: Raw crime stats from GMP BI System - ONS Population stats for 2013 - 2017 (2017 population used as a proxy for 2018 as unavailable at the time of publication).

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2D Accessibility

2.13 Compared with rates across Greater Manchester (66.9%) and the North West (68.7%) Salford has a relatively low proportion of people travelling to work by car or van (63.0%). However the proportion in Salford is slightly above that seen across England at 62%. Public transport usage (metro, train and bus) presents a similar picture, with the proportion of Salford’s working population using such modes (15.2%) slightly above rates for Greater Manchester (14.7%) and the North West (11.7%), but slightly below those across England at 16.9%. Recent data from TfGM suggests that the proportion of commuting journeys made on foot may be increasing in its modal share.

2.14 The lowest levels of car use are seen in Salford’s central wards of Broughton, Irwell Riverside, Langworthy and Ordsall. It is in these areas that the highest proportion of people commuting on foot and public transport is seen, far exceeding the city and national averages. Although there may be some correlation with low levels of car ownership in the city which could affect these areas in particular, partly due to low income levels, it could also be due to the city’s high quality transport connections and suggests that there could be significant potential to encourage further use of sustainable modes as the population within these central areas increases.

2.15 Whilst the city has good public transport links along radial routes into the city and regional centre, there are not such good connections along orbital routes. These weaker connections make it difficult for some residents to access the large concentration of jobs to the south of the city in Salford Quays and Trafford Park.

2.16 80 people were killed or seriously injured as road casualties in Salford during 2018. The rate fluctuates year on years however the number of causalities reported each year is reducing, falling 19% between 2000 and 2018.

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Method of travel to work Work Other mainly Motorcycle, Public Car or On method at or Taxi scooter or Bicycle transport* van foot of travel from moped to work home England 5.4% 16.9% 0.5% 0.8% 62.0% 3.0% 10.7% 0.6% North West 4.5% 11.7% 0.8% 0.6% 68.7% 2.2% 10.9% 0.6% Greater Manchester 3.9% 14.7% 0.9% 0.6% 66.9% 2.1% 10.5% 0.6% Salford 3.6% 15.2% 1.1% 0.6% 63.0% 2.4% 13.6% 0.6% Barton 2.5% 15.5% 1.3% 0.9% 62.9% 3.2% 13.0% 0.7% Boothstown and Ellenbrook 6.1% 5.6% 0.5% 0.3% 82.9% 0.7% 3.3% 0.5% Broughton 3.4% 26.3% 1.5% 0.3% 43.3% 2.6% 21.6% 0.9% Cadishead 3.2% 10.4% 0.9% 1.1% 70.3% 3.2% 10.5% 0.5% Claremont 3.3% 13.0% 1.3% 0.4% 70.3% 2.3% 9.0% 0.4% Eccles 4.9% 13.5% 0.9% 0.7% 65.5% 2.3% 11.6% 0.5% Irlam 2.3% 10.5% 0.9% 0.7% 74.9% 2.6% 7.7% 0.5% Irwell Riverside 2.8% 25.5% 1.6% 0.3% 37.5% 3.4% 28.3% 0.6% Kersal 7.9% 13.7% 1.0% 0.4% 59.4% 2.2% 14.8% 0.7% Langworthy 2.5% 26.2% 1.9% 0.3% 46.7% 3.5% 18.3% 0.7% Little Hulton 2.6% 14.9% 1.7% 1.0% 67.1% 2.0% 10.1% 0.6% Ordsall 3.1% 22.2% 0.9% 0.3% 38.1% 3.1% 31.6% 0.7% Pendlebury 2.9% 13.2% 1.1% 0.6% 69.0% 1.7% 10.4% 1.0% Swinton North 2.6% 13.5% 1.1% 0.7% 68.9% 1.7% 11.0% 0.4% Swinton South 2.7% 12.6% 1.3% 0.5% 71.0% 1.9% 9.5% 0.5% Walkden North 2.9% 12.9% 1.2% 0.8% 69.6% 1.4% 10.7% 0.4% Walkden South 3.9% 10.0% 1.0% 0.6% 75.4% 1.3% 7.3% 0.4% Weaste and Seedley 2.8% 18.8% 1.1% 0.4% 57.7% 2.7% 15.8% 0.7% Winton 2.3% 14.6% 1.4% 1.0% 68.1% 3.4% 8.7% 0.4% Worsley 7.2% 5.7% 0.4% 0.5% 80.1% 1.5% 4.1% 0.5% * Underground, Metro, light rail, tram, train, bus, minibus, coach. Source: Census 2011

All trips by main mode of travel (average 2016 – 2018) No. trips No. trips Main Mode all trips day % year GM % Walk 134,190 29.1% 48,979,428 27.7% Bicycle 13,025 2.8% 4,754,020 2.1% Motorcycle, scooter, moped 1,329 0.3% 485,169 0.2% Car or van driver 171,802 37.3% 62,707,697 39.0%

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Car or van passenger 84,253 18.3% 30,752,307 18.2% Train 2,733 0.6% 997,452 1.1% Metrolink 4,282 0.9% 1,563,090 1.7% Bus, minibus, coach 31,459 6.8% 11,482,686 7.7% Taxi, minicab 17,298 3.8% 6,313,898 1.9% Other 285 0.1% 103,971 0.4% Total trips 460,657 168,139,717 Source: TfGM

Commuting trips by mode (average 2016 – 2018) No. of Census Census Main Mode commute trips trips % GM % 2011 2001 Walk 19,146 23.9% 14.2% 14.0% 12.2% Bicycle 4,539 5.7% 5.0% 2.5% 2.5% Motorcycle, scooter, moped 987 1.2% 0.6% 0.6% 1.0% Car or van driver 41,295 51.5% 54.7% 58.4% 58.7% Car or van passenger 3,559 4.4% 7.0% 6.7% 8.7% Train 166 0.2% 2.1% 2.0% 1.2% Metrolink 752 0.9% 3.2% 2.2% 1.2% Bus, minibus, coach 8,923 11.1% 11.5% 11.9% 12.7% Taxi, minicab 768 1.0% 1.5% 1.2% 1.6% Other 0 0.0% 0.1% 0.5% 0.4% Total trips 80,133 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% Source: TfGM and ONS (Census data)

People killed or seriously injured road as casualties in Salford 120 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 40

Source: Department for Transport (RAS30)

Accessibility by Public Transport

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Source:Transport for Greater Manchester

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2E Housing

2.17 Over the last four years net residential completions within the city are comparable with the very high levels seen between 2006/07 and 2008/09, with the net change during 2018/19 exceeding those previously recorded.

2.18 Salford has a relatively high proportion of social rented dwellings, with particular concentrations in Broughton, Irwell Riverside, Langworthy Little Hulton. Housing flows data shows a decline in the proportion of social rented dwellings in the city, with an increase in the private rented sector stock.

2.19 The city has a relatively low proportion of detached dwellings and a significantly higher proportion of flats. Whilst the proportion of terraced dwellings in the city is similar to those seen at higher levels, this dwelling type dominates the stock in Barton, Broughton, Irwell Riverside, Langworthy, Little Hulton, Swinton North and Walkden North.

2.20 The number of private dwellings in the city classed as ‘non-decent’ has reduced significantly over recent years. As a proportion of total stock the city compares well with the national average.

2.21 As at 31 March 2019 the pipeline of residential planning permissions totalled 20,512 dwellings, comprising 3,129 houses and 17,383 apartments.

2.22 Vacancy rates in the city have been falling and in 2018 rates in Salford (2.6%) were comparable with those across Greater Manchester (2.6%) and England (2.7%), having previously been significantly higher.

2.23 It is generally believed that 3.0 – 4.0% is an acceptable level of vacancy in a well functioning housing market. Vacancy rates within the city are therefore just below this ‘acceptable’ range.

2.24 Following a peak in 2011 (16,476 households), the numbers of households on Salford’s housing waiting list has fallen by almost 64%.

2.25 Whilst still significantly below the national average (ratio of 7.91), Salford’s median house price to median workplace based earnings ratio (5.85) is now similar to that recorded across the North West (5.86).

Net additional dwellings 2003-19 Monitoring Gross new Gross new Gross Demolitions Net change period build houses build additions and losses apartments through conversion / change of use 2003/04 398 673 94 405 760

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2004/05 513 1,072 37 858 764 2005/06 242 862 58 781 381 2006/07 410 1,754 73 1,039 1,198 2007/08 671 2,095 34 332 2,468 2008/09 247 1,703 62 502 1,510 2009/10 99 600 173 395 477 2010/11 393 290 157 385 455 2011/12 342 171 35 400 148 2012/13 468 278 17 214 549 2013/14 550 289 56 52 843 2014/15 739 569 77 410 975 2015/16 737 347 270 256 1,098 2016/17 849 1,588 213 168 2,482 2017/18 738 759 99 117 1,479 2018/19 562 2,589 193 136 3,208 7,985 15,639 1,648 6,450 18,795 TOTAL

AVERAGE 497 977 103 403 1,175 Source: , Residential Development and Land Supply monitoring

Gross new build completions by dwelling type between 2003 and 2019 3,500 Houses Apartments

3,000

2,500

2,000

Dwellings 1,500

1,000

500

0

Source: Salford City Council, Residential Development and Land Supply monitoring

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Housing stock by type – 2011 Housing Stock by Type (%) Caravan or other Semi- mobile or temporary Detached detached Terraced Flats structure Salford 8.6% 34.3% 28.2% 28.8% 0.1% GM 13.4% 36.9% 30.3% 19.4% 0.1% NW 17.7% 35.7% 30.0% 16.4% 0.3% England 22.3% 30.7% 24.5% 22.1% 0.4% Source: Census 2011

Households by tenure of accommodation – 2011 Proportion of Households by tenure (%) Private Shared Social Social Private Living Ownership Ownership Rented - Rented - Rented Rent Local Other Free Authority

Salford 50.3 0.5 17.8 11 18.8 1.6 GM 60.2 0.5 11.9 10 16.1 1.4 NW 64.5 0.5 7.7 10.6 15.4 1.3 England 63.4 0.8 9.4 8.3 16.8 1.3 Source: Census 2011

Dwellings with extant planning permission by property type as at 31 March 2008 - 2019

21,000

18,000

15,000

12,000

9,000

6,000

3,000

0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Houses Apartments Total dwellings

Source: Salford City Council, Residential Development and Land Supply monitoring

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Vacant dwellings as % of total dwelling stock 7.0%

6.5%

6.0%

5.5%

5.0%

4.5%

4.0%

3.5%

3.0%

2.5%

2.0% 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Salford Greater Manchester England

Sources:  DCLG Live Table 125, dwelling stock estimate by local authority district as of 31 March  DCLG Live table 615, all vacant dwellings by local authority district as of October

Residential Vacancy rates by ward April April April April April April April April April Ward Name 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Barton 2.58% 5.03% 3.64% 3.82% 5.20% 5.27% 4.10% 2.78% 2.54% Boothstown & Ellenbrook 1.06% 2.44% 1.86% 2.00% 2.58% 1.92% 2.56% 2.72% 2.05% Broughton 4.16% 8.54% 4.84% 3.53% 4.11% 3.25% 3.12% 3.05% 2.68% Cadishead 1.62% 3.29% 2.72% 2.65% 2.57% 2.24% 2.39% 2.35% 2.43% Claremont 1.09% 3.06% 2.81% 3.14% 3.12% 2.81% 2.54% 3.12% 2.77% Eccles 2.05% 4.52% 3.76% 3.61% 3.43% 3.02% 3.07% 3.52% 3.27% Irlam 1.61% 2.59% 2.07% 1.98% 1.66% 1.81% 1.76% 1.73% 2.08% Irwell Riverside 2.42% 4.62% 4.12% 2.97% 3.62% 3.51% 3.98% 4.57% 3.44% Kersal 1.84% 5.36% 4.29% 4.57% 4.45% 3.47% 3.49% 4.03% 3.92% Langworthy 3.10% 7.75% 7.81% 9.13% 11.06% 3.02% 3.20% 4.67% 5.34% Little Hulton 1.80% 3.34% 2.29% 2.33% 2.67% 2.46% 1.70% 2.16% 2.06% Ordsall 1.43% 8.07% 5.36% 4.85% 6.31% 5.53% 4.56% 5.46% 6.90% Pendlebury 1.72% 3.21% 2.80% 2.80% 2.44% 1.98% 1.73% 2.37% 2.14% Swinton North 1.94% 4.08% 3.52% 3.13% 2.55% 1.84% 3.00% 3.71% 3.33% Swinton South 1.57% 3.16% 2.82% 2.48% 2.89% 2.82% 2.31% 2.94% 2.49% Walkden North 1.77% 4.26% 3.28% 2.81% 3.19% 2.40% 2.67% 2.38% 2.70% Walkden South 1.51% 3.50% 2.37% 2.48% 2.74% 2.77% 3.06% 2.88% 2.48%

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Residential Vacancy rates by ward April April April April April April April April April Ward Name 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Weaste & Seedley 1.95% 4.01% 3.12% 3.73% 3.11% 3.29% 3.07% 3.30% 3.15% Winton 1.85% 3.32% 2.55% 2.56% 2.13% 2.16% 1.77% 2.38% 2.22% Worsley 1.95% 3.60% 3.31% 3.73% 3.26% 2.99% 3.23% 3.15% 2.68% Salford 2.01% 4.69% 3.67% 3.60% 3.95% 3.09% 2.97% 3.33% 3.31% Central Salford 2.33% 6.30% 4.84% 4.75% 5.48% 3.75% 3.55% 4.22% 4.44% Salford West 1.80% 3.63% 2.89% 2.84% 2.92% 2.64% 2.58% 2.70% 2.51% Source: Salford City Council, council tax records as at April each year

Number of households on Salford's Housing Waiting List 18,000

16,000

14,000

12,000

10,000

8,000

6,000

4,000

2,000

0

Source: DCLG Live Table 600

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Ratio of House Price to Work Based Earnings 9.00

8.00

7.00

6.00

5.00

4.00

3.00

2.00

Salford North West England

Source: ONS

Non-decent private homes (homes failing at least one of the four Decent Homes criteria*) Year Salford No. % total stock No. % total stock 2011 17,028 22% - - 2014/15 - - - 20% 2016 7,259 9% - - Source: Salford Private House Condition Survey 2016 N.B. Data excludes Ordsall due to limits of sample data. *Decent Homes criteria are a) It meets the current statutory minimum standard for housing, b) It is in a reasonable state of repair, c) It has reasonably modern facilities and services, and d) It provides a reasonable degree of thermal comfort.

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2F Education

1. The grading of GCSEs has been revised from letters A to G to numbers 9-1, where grade 9 is the highest. There are now two key indicators: 9-4 English and Maths (standard pass) and 9-5 English and Maths (strong pass) which show the percentage of pupils achieving grades 4 or 5 in both of these subjects.

2. A further ‘attainment 8’ measure was introduced in 2016. This measures the achievement of a pupil across 8 qualifications including:

 Maths (double weighted)  English (double weighted)  3 further qualifications that count in the English Baccalaureate (English language and literature, maths, the sciences, geography, history and a language)  33 further qualifications that can be GCSE qualifications or any other non-GCSE qualifications on the DfE approved list

3. Given the recent changes to the grading of GCSE’s the latest data is not comparable with longer term trends however the data shows that at a city level attainment in Salford is behind the standards recorded at both the North West and England levels.

4. There are however significant spatial inequalities across the city in terms of levels of school educational attainment with a considerable variation between the attainment 8 scores of the highest performing wards (Boothstown and Ellenbrook - 50.5 and Worsley 50.4) and the lowest (Langworthy – 36.4, Little Hulton – 36.8 and Ordsall – 36.8). The Attainment 8 scores recorded for pupils living in the wards of Boothstown and Ellenbrook, Claremont, Eccles, Walkden South Winton and Worsley are either at or above those set at higher geographic levels.

5. In terms of the reasons underlying this variation, the performance of individual schools is obviously a key factor, however it is also clear that the situation appears to broadly mirror wider socio-economic inequalities with the city’s more deprived areas typically having the lowest levels of educational attainment.

6. There is therefore a need to address the inequalities in educational attainment across the city and ensure that targeted interventions seek to raise attainment levels in those areas of the city which are already most disadvantaged in terms of socio-economic opportunities. Educational attainment in English and maths is frequently used as a standard entry requirement for further and higher education and for professional training, and therefore improving attainment in relation to these subjects will improve opportunities for Salford’s young people to access higher value employment.

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7. Salford has consistently had a lower proportion of 16 and 17 year olds in full time education than both the North West and England averages and the most recent data shows the city falling further behind. It is notable however that the city has a higher proportion of young people engaged in apprenticeships, work based learning, and full time employment with study.

8. The proportion of working age population in Salford with no qualifications has been falling and is now comparable with rates across GM, but is above regional and national averages. The proportion of population with higher rates of qualification (NVQ4+) is similarly improving but also at a slower rate than higher geographies. On these measures Salford would appear to be falling further behind rates over higher geographies.

9. In the context of an increasingly skills based labour market it will be important that steps are taken to improve educational attainment in the city in order that residents are able to effectively for employment opportunities in the city and wider GM area.

Key Stage 4 (GCSE) Attainment 2018 NOR 9-4 (E&M) 9-5 (E&M) Att 8 Salford Schools 2,082 54.9 32.1 41.0 North West Schools 71,555 62.9 41.2 45.7 England Schools 583,617 59.4 40.2 44.5 Source:ONS

Key Stage 4 (GCSE) Attainment (ward analysis) 2016 2017 9-4 9-5 NOR Att 8 NOR (E&M) (E&M) Att 8 Performance of pupils Salford Schools 2083 46.8 2057 54.2% 31.9% 41.7 North West Schools 74,057 49.4 72,289 62.7% 40.3% 45.6 England Schools 600,425 48.5 587,640 59.1% 39.6% 44.6 Performance of pupils at Salford Schools by place of pupil residence Barton 91 46.1 90 50.0% 27.8% 39.9 Boothstown and Ellenbrook 73 55.8 67 76.1% 52.2% 50.5 Broughton 101 43.8 101 43.6% 24.8% 37.1 Cadishead 105 44.9 108 61.1% 32.4% 42.4 Claremont 102 50.0 89 64.0% 38.2% 44.6 Eccles 81 54.6 75 62.7% 41.3% 47.2 Irlam 109 43.6 94 54.3% 34.0% 41.1 Irwell Riverside 73 40.9 77 45.5% 29.9% 40.2 Kersal 54 45.7 69 43.5% 24.6% 37.4 Langworthy 82 44.0 92 42.4% 15.2% 36.4 Little Hulton 161 43.6 163 35.0% 19.0% 36.8 Ordsall 59 38.9 58 39.7% 15.5% 36.8

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Pendlebury 100 48.9 95 54.7% 36.8% 40.5 Swinton North 116 47.4 117 63.2% 35.9% 42.1 Swinton South 111 50.6 97 55.7% 40.2% 42.2 Walkden North 126 42.5 113 41.6% 25.7% 39.8 Walkden South 85 48.4 78 73.1% 42.3% 46.1 Weaste and Seedley 121 47.9 110 49.1% 25.5% 40.2 Winton 150 45.9 160 60.0% 39.4% 45.6 Worsley 64 53.9 66 77.3% 50.0% 50.4 Salford 1964 46.7 1919 53.7% 31.9% 41.6 Outside Salford/Unknown 119 48.6 138 60.9% 31.9% 43.0 Source: ONS and Salford City Council

Percentage of 16 & 17 year olds in education or training (2019)

Proportion of 16 and 17 year olds recorded as participating in: Current Full time Apprenticeship Work Part time Employment Other Total activity education based education combined not and learning with study known training to the LA

England 84.8% 5.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.7% 0.2% 92.5% 2.3% North West 82.2% 6.5% 1.6% 0.0% 0.9% 0.3% 91.5% 2.8% Salford 75.7% 6.7% 3.6% 0.0% 2.1% 0.0% 88.1% 1.7% Source: Department for Education

Proportion of 16 and 17 year olds in education and training

93.0%

92.0%

91.0%

90.0%

89.0%

88.0%

87.0%

86.0%

Proportionofyear 16/17 olds England North West Salford 85.0%

84.0% 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Source: Department for Education

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Qualifications in the working age population 16 - 64 year olds holding an equivalent qualification North 2018 Salford GM England West % with NVQ4+ 31.1 35.6 35.5 39.0 % with NVQ3+ 52.7 54.9 55.1 57.7 % with NVQ2+ 70.4 72.7 74.1 75.0 % with NVQ1+ 82.3 83.5 84.8 85.6

% with other qualifications 8.1 6.7 6.1 6.8

% with no qualifications 9.6 9.8 9.1 7.6 North 2008 Salford GM England West % with NVQ4+ 21.8 24.8 25.3 28.3 % with NVQ3+ 40.2 43.1 43.3 45.6 % with NVQ2+ 59.7 61.7 62.8 63.4 % with NVQ1+ 75.0 75.5 76.7 77.5

% with other qualifications 9.0 8.1 7.4 9.1

% with no qualifications 16.0 16.5 15.9 13.3

Percentage point North Salford GM England change 2008 - 2018 West

With NVQ4+ 9.3 10.8 10.2 10.7 With NVQ3+ 12.5 11.8 11.8 12.1 With NVQ2+ 10.7 11.0 11.3 11.6 With NVQ1+ 7.3 8.0 8.1 8.1

Other qualifications -0.9 -1.4 -1.3 -2.3

No qualifications -6.4 -6.7 -6.8 -5.7

Source: NOMIS

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3. Economic

3A Economic health

3.1 Following a period of high levels of unemployment between 2009 and 2014, unemployment rates are now falling. Salford has seen relatively large reductions in the proportion of unemployed working age population with rates similar to those across GM. However unemployment remains above those recorded across the North West and England.

3.2 The proportion of working age population claiming Job Seekers Allowance and Universal Credit in Salford is broadly similar to that recorded across GM, but relatively high compared with the North West and England. Relatively high proportions are evident in Barton, Broughton, Irwell Riverside, Langworthy, Little Hulton, Walkden North, Weaste and Seedley and Winton.

3.3 ONS does not provide local level GVA statistics as part of their national statistics package however estimates have been published, consistent with their regional GVA estimates, in response to user demand. There have been considerable increases in GVA in Salford and Trafford in excess of averages across higher geographies. In Salford this is likely to be indicative of the growth associated with the City Centre and Salford Quays and at a headline level may disguise parts of Salford that have not seen such high levels of investment and economic restructuring.

Unemployment Rate 13.0

12.0

11.0

64 - 10.0

9.0

8.0 GM

7.0 Salford North West 6.0 England

5.0 % of % economically active aged 16 4.0

3.0

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Source: Nomis – Annual Population Survey

Salford Greater North England Unemployment Rate Manchester West Jul 2004-Jun 2005 4.3 4.7 4.8 4.8 Jul 2005-Jun 2006 6.6 6.1 5.2 5.3 Jul 2006-Jun 2007 6.3 5.7 5.7 5.4 Jul 2007-Jun 2008 5.2 6.8 5.9 5.3 Jul 2008-Jun 2009 9.4 8.5 7.6 7.0 Jul 2009-Jun 2010 12.0 9.6 8.4 7.9 Jul 2010-Jun 2011 10.9 9.0 8.2 7.9 Jul 2011-Jun 2012 10.4 10.1 8.9 8.2 Jul 2012-Jun 2013 11.9 9.3 8.2 8.0 Jul 2013-Jun 2014 10.7 8.7 8.1 7.0 Jul 2014-Jun 2015 8.3 6.9 6.0 5.7 Jul 2015-Jun 2016 9.6 6.6 5.5 5.2 Jul 2016-Jun 2017 6.1 5.6 4.8 4.7 Jul 2017-Jun 2018 4.9 4.6 4.2 4.3 Jul 2018-Jun 2019 4.9 4.8 4.1 4.1 Source: ONS – Annual Population Survey

Universal Credit Claimants as a proportion of Area residents aged 16-64 as at September 2019 Barton 5.1 Boothstown and Ellenbrook 1.2 Broughton 7.3 Cadishead 2.7 Claremont 1.8 Eccles 3.3 Irlam 3.0 Irwell Riverside 4.7 Kersal 3.6 Langworthy 6.6 Little Hulton 7.3 Ordsall 2.5 Pendlebury 3.5 Swinton North 3.7 Swinton South 2.7 Walkden North 6.0 Walkden South 2.8 Weaste and Seedley 4.3 Winton 4.6 Worsley 0.8 Salford 4.0 Greater Manchester 3.8

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England 2.8 North West 3.5 Source: Nomis

GVA per head of Population @ current prices

32000

27000

22000

England 17000 North West Greater Manchester

GVA GVA perr headpopulation at (£ current prices) Greater Manchester South West Salford Trafford 12000

Area GVA (Income Approach) per head of population at current basic prices (£) 1997 2015 % change England 14,852 26,470 78.2% North West 12,403 22,294 79.7% Greater Manchester 12,403 21,890 76.5% Greater Manchester South West (Salford and Trafford Councils) 14,681 27,842 89.6% Salford 12,427 23,533 89.4% Trafford 17,318 32,638 88.5% Source: ONS – Regional data national statistics, Local authority data as part of ONS flexible geographies project

3B Structure of the economy

3.4 Data on employment is provided through the business register and employment survey (BRES). In 2015, the Office for National Statistics started to include businesses registered for PAYE only which had previously been excluded. The most recent data is therefore not comparable with longer term trends. Employment figures can be quite variable and therefore definitive conclusions should not be drawn from short term trends.

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3.5 Nevertheless, there is a consistent pattern of growth in total employment at all levels, with Salford and Greater Manchester showing larger increases than the North West, but are both exceeded by the rate seen across England. The Greater Manchester Forecasting Model suggests that Salford will see relatively high increases in jobs when compared with Greater Manchester, North West and United Kingdom.

3.6 Salford’s economy is heavily dependent on service sectors including distribution, hotels and restaurants (making up 23% of jobs), banking, finance and insurance (24% of jobs) and public administration, education and health (27% of jobs).

3.7 The proportion of jobs in manufacturing has continued to fall to just 5% of jobs in 2018. 7% of the working population are still employed in manufacturing which is below the national average.

3.8 Forecasts suggest that business services will continue to grow in importance while manufacturing will see a continuing decline. It will be important to ensure local residents have the transferable skills that will enable them to access the widest range of employment opportunities.

3.9 There has been a significant increase in the number of jobs provided in the city in the arts, entertainment and recreation sectors. Some of Salford’s tourism attractions are amongst the most visited in Greater Manchester including (the most visited attraction in 2019), Salford Museum and Art Gallery, and . The opening of RHS Garden Bridgewater in 2020 will significantly increase the number of jobs and visits to Salford.

Total Employment Total 2009 2014 Change 2015 2018 Change Employment 2009 – 2015 – (000’s) 2014 (%) 2018 (%) Salford 118 121 2.5% 121 134 10.7% Greater 1,194 1,223 2.4% 1,254 1,364 8.8% Manchester North West 3,118 3,184 2.1% 3,263 3,431 5.1% England 24,068 25,137 4.5% 25,934 26,842 3.5% Data rounded to nearest 100 Employment is defined as all employees plus working proprietors. Figures for 2015 and 2018 include units registered for PAYE only which were previously excluded Source: BRES

Total 2017 2037 % Change Employment 2016 – 2036 (Forecast)(000’s) Salford 132 155 17.2% Greater 1,443 1,565 8.5% Manchester

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North West 3.682 3,809 3.4% UK 35,075 37,374 6.6% Source: GMFM 2018

Employment and working residents by industry1 Total Employment (Jobs) by industry 2018 Salford GM NW England Industry No. % % % % A:agriculture and fishing 250 0.2 0.2 1.1 1.3 B,D,E:energy and water 1,750 1.3 1.4 1.2 1.2 C:manufacturing 7,000 5.2 7.7 9.3 7.9 F:construction 8,000 6.0 4.5 4.8 4.8 G,I:distribution, hotels and restaurants 31,000 23.1 23.3 24.0 22.9 H,J:transport and communications 14,000 10.5 9.5 8.1 9.2 K-N:banking, finance and insurance 32,000 23.8 25.0 21.5 23.3 O-Q:public admin. education and health 36,000 26.8 24.3 25.6 24.9 R-U:other services 4,500 3.4 4.1 4.4 4.5 Residents in Employment by Industry 2018 Salford GM NW England Industry No. % % % % A:agriculture and fishing ! ! 0.1 0.5 0.8 B,D,E:energy and water 1,800 1.4 1.5 1.9 1.5 C:manufacturing 8,600 6.9 8.6 10.1 9.0 F:construction 10,300 8.3 7.0 6.8 7.2 G,I:distribution, hotels and restaurants 28,000 22.5 19.3 19.2 18.1 H,J:transport and communications 14,300 11.5 9.6 8.5 9.5 K-N:banking, finance and insurance 21,300 17.2 16.6 15.6 17.9 O-Q:public admin. education and health 32,900 26.5 30.8 31.5 29.8 R-U:other services 6,600 5.3 5.8 5.5 5.8 Note: ‘!’ = Restricted data Note: All figures have been rounded to the nearest 100 Note: Total employment (Jobs) includes anyone aged 16+ that an organisation pays from its payroll(s), in return for carrying out a full-time or part-time job or being on a training scheme. It also includes working proprietors, defined as sole traders, sole proprietors, partners and directors. Note: Working residents (%) is those aged 16 to 64 Source: Business Register and Employment Survey/ Annual Population Survey/ SIC2007

% of total employment in Salford by sector (GMFM forecast - baseline) Total Employment % change Sector (000’s) 2017 - 2037 2017 2037 Agriculture, forestry & fishing 0.3 0.2 -21% Mining & quarrying 0.1 0.0 -53% Manufacturing 7.9 5.4 -32% Electricity, gas, steam & air conditioning supply 0.7 0.5 -21% Water supply; sewerage, waste management 1.5 1.3 -16% Construction 9.1 12.3 36%

1 The two datasets used in this table are collected as part of separate surveys, one of households (Annual Population Survey) and one of businesses (Business Register and Employment Survey), their results are not therefore directly comparable.

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Wholesale & retail trade 18.2 21.6 19% Transportation & storage 3.8 3.9 1% Accommodation & food service activities 8.4 10.6 26% Information & communication 9.8 11.2 15% Financial & insurance activities 5.6 5.5 -2% Real estate activities 2.6 3.0 16% Professional, scientific & technical activities 10.9 16.3 49% Administrative & support service activities 12.0 16.8 40% Public administration & defence 7.7 7.4 -3% Education 11.9 12.8 8% Human health & social work activities 17.3 20.5 18% Arts, entertainment & recreation 2.0 2.6 35% Other service activities 2.7 3.1 14% Total 132.2 154.9 17% Source: GMFM 2018

Most visited Attraction in Greater Manchester 2018 Rank Attraction District Annual Total Admittance 1 The Lowry Salford 829,161 Free 2 Science & Industry Manchester 704,732 Free Museum 3 Manchester Art Gallery Manchester 655,490 Free 4 Home Manchester 650,731 Free 5 National Football Manchester 523,366 Free Museum 17 Salford Museum and Art Salford 108,417 Free Gallery 21 Ordsall Hall Salford 30,760 Free 23 BBC & CBBC Tours Salford 27,753 Paid entry MediaCityUK Source: Marketing Manchester

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3C Prosperity

3.10 The rate of increase of businesses in Salford has significantly exceeded that for the NW and England.

3.11 The median annual pay of Salford residents are lower than those achieved at higher geographic levels, with increases in pay rising at similar levels. Work places in Salford pay on average more than identified for GM and the North West. However the rate of increase since 2002 has been greater across the North West and England. Wages paid by jobs located within the city are higher than those earned by the city’s residents, however the gap has closed considerably since 2002.

3.12 The city wide figures are likely to mask significant localised differences in resident and workplace pay scales. The growing concentration of media related uses at Salford Quays, adding to the office and residential premises already established there, is likely to have had, and will continue to have, a significant impact on the growth rates in average rates of pay.

Number of businesses Greater Year Salford North West England Manchester 2010 7,690 91,600 255,705 2,183,840 2011 7,575 90,345 251,420 2,161,190 2012 7,930 92,975 255,825 2,218,205 2013 8,285 93,575 256,150 2,234,320 2014 8,770 97,520 265,975 2,322,375 2015 9,400 105,235 285,460 2,489,825 2016 9,630 109,840 294,205 2,584,465 2017 10,515 118,720 309,060 2,696,340 2018 11,875 123,720 317,200 2,697,200 2019 12,835 122,340 315,525 2,738,545 % Change 66.9% 33.6% 23.4% 25.4% Source: ONS UK Business Counts: Local Business Units

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Median Annual Pay - Resident Population (Full Time Workers)

31,500

29,500

27,500

25,500

23,500 Salford

21,500 Greater Manchester

MedianAnnual Gross) (£ Pay England 19,500 North West 17,500

Median Annual Pay - Local Jobs (Full Time Workers)

31,000

29,000

27,000

25,000

Salford 23,000

Greater Manchester MedianAnnual Gross) (£ Pay 21,000 North West England 19,000

Median Weekly Pay (£) Salford Greater Manchester

Place of Place % diff Place of Place % diff residence of residence of Work Work 2002 18,407 20,877 13.4% - - - 2019 26,910 28,822 7.1% 27,633 27,962 1.2%

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% change 46.2% 38.1% NA - - NA 2002 - 2019 North West England Place of Place % diff Place of Place % diff residence of residence of Work Work 2002 19,281 19,234 -0.2% 20,739 20.706 -0.2% 2019 28,487 28,137 -1.2% 30,661 30,667 0.0%

% change 47.7% 46.3% NA 47.8% 48.1% NA 2002 - 2019 Source: ONS Annual survey of hours and earnings

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4. Environmental

4A Green Infrastructure

4.1 Salford has an extensive green infrastructure network illustrated, at a broad level, on the plan below. The network ranges from extensive areas of Green Belt down to individual street trees. In addition to the wide variety of environmental functions it performs, including in respect of supporting ecological networks and biodiversity, the network also has a positive role from a social and economic perspective.

4.2 Elements of the city’s network of green infrastructure have been recognised for their strategic significance, including Chat Moss and the which have a sub-regional role, and the West Salford Greenway, which has a strategic role at the city level.

4.3 Areas of green infrastructure typically perform a number of roles, and this needs to be considered on a case by case basis, however priority functions have been identified for certain parts of the city reflecting local priorities.

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4B Recreation

4.4 An audit of formal open space is undertaken at least bi-annually and compared to Salford’s local greenspace standards which are set out within Salford greenspace strategy supplementary planning document (SPD), 2006, now replaced by an updated version, 2019. Between 2005/06 and 2017/18 there has been some fluctuation in the citywide performance but there has been an overall increase in the areas of provision and proportion of households within walking distance of the majority of the local recreation standards. The citywide performance for access to district parks now exceeds the original target set by the SPD and there has also been an increase for public amenity space, local equipped areas of play (LEAP), neighbourhood equipped areas of play (NEAP), local natural greenspace and neighbourhood parks.

4.5 There has however been a slight reduction in the proportion of households within walking distance of a strategic natural greenspace although this trend has begun to improve. The area of outdoor sports facilities per 1,000 residents and the number of allotments per 1,000 households has decreased slightly as the population of the city has grown.

4.6 The local standard for sports pitches is no longer monitored based on the targets set by the Greenspace SPD. Salford Playing Pitch Assessment 2018 was completed based on revised guidance from Sport England. Salford Playing Pitch Strategy and Action Plan 2018 identify prioritised site by site recommendations to improve the quality and capacity of sports pitches rather than assessing the total area.

Local standard Citywide performance

2005-2006 2016-20172 2017-20183

Area of publicly accessible amenity 1.01ha 0.86ha (192.0%) Not available space per 1,000 residents (224.8%) Area of other outdoor sports 0.10ha 0.09ha Not available facilities per 1,000 residents (25.1%) (22.5%) Area of Local Nature Reserve per 145.4ha 145.4ha Not monitored 1,000 residents (62.1%) (62.1%) (standards Number of allotments per 1,000 5.4 proposed 2016) 5.5 (27.5%) households (27%) Proportion of households within 33.1% 44.9% 44.8%4 500m walking distance of a LEAP Proportion of households within 63.3% 61.7% 89.9% 1000m walking distance of a NEAP

2 Based on 2016-2017 performance compared to the number of households at 1 April 2017. 3 Based on 2017-2018 performance compared to the number of households at 1 April 2018. 4 The walking distance to a LEAP increased from 400 metres to 500 metres in 2017/18

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Proportion of households within 1200m walking distance of a 69.0% 76.0% 76.2% neighbourhood park Proportion of households within 3200m walking distance of a district 21.0% 95.8% 96.1% park Proportion of households within 500m walking distance of a local 47.3% 52.6% 53.0% natural greenspace Proportion of households within 2000m walking distance of a 50.8% 45.1% 48.0% strategic natural greenspace Proportion of households within Not monitored 4,000 metres walking distance of a (standards 61.9% 61.4% publicly accessible woodland of at proposed 2016) least 20 hectares in size Source: Salford City Council

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4C Biodiversity

4.7 The area of sites of biological importance (SBIs) in the city has increased between 2005/06 and 2017/18, rising from 486ha to 516ha. However there was a slight drop in the area between 2016/17 (516ha reported in that year) and 2017/18 due to the loss of Kersal High School grounds SBI and a slight loss in the area at the Ponds near New Manchester SBI

4.8 The 2008 habitat survey identified that the city contained a total of 299.1 hectares of UK priority habitats, which suggests a net gain of approximately 20ha since 20065. However differences in the survey methodologies mean that they are not directly comparable.

4.9 UK priority habitats within Salford - 2008

 Wet woodland – 5.2ha  Eutrophic standing waters – 18.9ha  Lowland dry acid grassland/ lowland heath – 20.3ha  Lowland raised bog – 14.2ha  Lowland raised bog (readily restorable) – 240.5ha  Total – 299.1 (of which 63.2ha are within SBIs)

4.10 Local nature reserves are declared by local authorities under the National Parks and Access to Countryside Act 1949. They are habitats of local significance, which give the public an opportunity to see, learn about and enjoy wildlife. In 2014, Natural England approved a new site at Three Sisters increasing the number of local nature reserves in Salford to six6:

 Blackleach Country Park (WLH/001) – 27.9ha  Kersal Dale (ESA/001) – 29.2ha  Worsley Woods (WBO/001) – 28.0ha  Clifton Country Park (SWI/001) – 48.0ha  (ESA/002) – 7.9ha  Three Sisters (ECC/001) – 4.4ha

4.11 The Publication Local Plan proposes three new Local Nature Reserves:

 Castle Irwell Wetland Area (ESA/003) – 14.1ha  Clifton Moss (SWI/002) – 16.2 ha  Little Woolden Moss (IRC/001) – 99.9ha

5 ECUS (2006) Partial Phase 1 Habitat Survey 6 The land areas of five of the local nature reserves have been revised compared to those identified in previous versions of the sustainability appraisal. The site boundaries that are designated as a local nature reserve remain the same but these are smaller in area than the other land use allocations for these sites.

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4D Soil, land and geodiversity

4.12 Between 2003 and 2019 there were 23,134 gross dwelling completions. Of this total 92 % were on previously developed land and 8% on greenfield land.

4.13 The city has a significant area of grade 1 agricultural land, and still supports farming enterprises.

4.14 Salford has one site (3.23ha) identified as meriting designation for its geological interest, located within Clifton Country Park. Other than the extensive peat soils of Chat Moss, features of geological value are scarce within the city. The most well-known asset is the former quarry at Worsley Delph which is also a site of very significant heritage interest. Parts of the valley are also of potential geological significance.

Development on previously developed land (PDL) Gross completions (new build and changes % of new dwellings Monitoring of use / conversions) period Not on On PDL Not on PDL On PDL PDL 2003/04 1,152 13 98.9% 1.1% 2004/05 1,530 92 94.3% 5.7% 2005/06 1,020 142 87.8% 12.2% 2006/07 2,037 200 91.1% 8.9% 2007/08 2,548 252 91% 9% 2008/09 1,840 172 91.5% 8.5% 2009/10 849 23 97.4% 2.6% 2010/11 727 113 86.5% 13.5% 2011/12 534 14 97.4% 2.6% 2012/13 674 89 88.3% 11.7% 2013/14 862 33 96.3% 3.7% 2014/15 1309 76 94.5% 5.5% 2015/16 1,190 164 87.9% 12.1% 2016/17 2,406 244 90.8% 9.2% 2017/18 1,369 227 86% 14% 2018/19 3,087 257 92% 8% TOTAL 23,134 2,111 92% 8% Source: Salford City Council, residential development and land supply monitoring

Appendix 3 - Page 40

Appendix 3 - Page 41

Agricultural land classifications – Greater Manchester, Warrington, North West England and England*

Agricultural land classifications District Grade 1 Grade 2 Grade 3 Grade 4 Grade 5 Total (grade 1-5) ha % of ha % of ha % of GM ha % of ha % of ha % of GM GM GM GM GM Bolton 0 0 3,086.06 11.9 3817.0 15.0 971.40 7.5 7874.46 11.4 Bury 0 0 1,513.62 5.8 4611.34 18.1 486.29 3.8 6611.25 9.5 Manchester 0 0 798.19 3.1 93.83 0.37 0 892.02 1.3 Oldham 0 0 6.38 0.02 5618.46 22.1 4481.33 34.7 10,106.17 14.6 Rochdale 0 0 1,788.19 6.9 5021.93 19.7 4717.54 36.6 11,527.66 16.6 Salford 1,579.87 83.4 220.16 7.2 1,556.05 6.0 203.25 0.80 385.88 3.0 3945.21 5.7 Stockport 0 0 3,252.70 12.5 2511.16 9.9 132.97 1.0 5896.83 8.5 Tameside 0 114.33 3.7 790.50 3.0 2926.81 11.5 1528.23 11.8 5359.87 7.7 Trafford 0 2,342.29 76.7 1,703.99 6.6 204.89 0.80 0 4251.17 6.1 Wigan 314.66 16.6 379.03 12.4 11,476.92 44.2 421.0 1.65 192.43 1.5 12,784.04 18.5

GM total 1,894.53 3,055.81 25,972.70 25,429.64 12,896.07 69,248.75

Warrington 420.86 4893.29 8014.45 18.22 234.13 13,581

Grade 1 Grade 2 Grade 3 Grade 4 Grade 5 Total (grade 1-5) ha % ha % ha % ha % ha % ha % of England NW England 29,108.9 5.0 63,222.1 10.9 283,971.3 48.8 123,656.8 21.2 81,965.6 14.1 581,924.6 5.1

England* 354,644.1 3.1 1,849,257.7 16.2 6,291,711.2 55.0 1,840,315 16.1 1,100,783.8 9.6 11,436,711 Sources: www.magic.defra.gov.uk and Ordnance Survey * excludes the Isle of Man and the Channel Isles

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4E Water

4.15 The European Water Framework Directive has changed the way in which the Environment Agency reports water quality. From 2009 onwards, watercourses have been classed as “high”, “good”, “moderate”, “poor” or “bad”. The criteria for qualifying as “good” under the new system are more stringent than under the previous system. A classification is produced based on a ‘one out, all out’ principle. This uses the poorest individual element result to set the overall classification.

4.16 The monitored watercourses in Salford are primarily assessed as moderate, with the exception of the River Glaze and some of its tributaries, which are assessed as poor.7 These are shown in the table below.

Water Body Name Ecological Status Folly Brook and Salteye Brook. Moderate Astley Brook (Mersey) Moderate Glaze Poor Irwell (Croal to Irk) Moderate Irwell / Manchester Ship Canal (Irk to confluence with Upper Mersey) Moderate Mersey/ Manchester Ship Canal (Irwell/Manchester Ship Canal to Bollin) Moderate Shaw Brook Poor Moderate

4.17 The map below shows the key fluvial flood risk issues in Salford, together with existing and planned flood defences. Approximately 176008 residential properties across Salford are subject to a medium or high risk of fluvial flooding. Flood defences including the new flood basin at Castle Irwell have raised the level of protection for the River Irwell to 1:100 year standard. However, a more extreme flood could still cause significant damage. For example, a 1:1,000 year event could result in floodwaters up to 4 metres deep in some areas9. Such an extreme event is very unlikely, having only a 1 in 1000 chance of occurring in any one year.

4.18 Ongoing regeneration proposals are seeking to secure the regeneration of neighbourhoods in central Salford affected by flooding, which would increase the number of properties in those areas but decrease the number that would be significantly affected by a flood event, with careful design and siting of new development.

7 Source: http://environment.data.gov.uk/catchment-planning (accessed July 2019) 8 Source: Council tax records October 2019 and Environment Agency flood map July 2019 9 Source: Strategic flood risk assessment March 2011 and more recent unpublished modelling

Appendix 3 - Page 43

Source: Salford Infrastructure Delivery Plan

4.19 Surface water flooding has risen in prominence as an issue following the 2007 floods, which in some parts of the country were largely caused by surface water flooding. Surface water flooding tends to be caused by extremely heavy rainfall over a short period of time which exceeds the capacity of the drainage system to remove the water. The latest surface water modelling does show some areas of Salford as at risk of surface water flooding. This issue is not as serious a concern in Salford as fluvial flooding, but it does need to be considered. The risk is in small pockets across the city, as shown on the map below.

Appendix 3 - Page 44

Source: Salford Local Flood Risk Management Strategy May 2015; flooding data taken from Environment Agency updated Flood Map for Surface Water

4.20 The table below shows the area and number of properties at risk of surface water flooding to any depth. In the majority of cases, the depth would be less than 0.3m and therefore may not cause flooding of habitable rooms.

Risk of surface water flooding (0.3m or greater)10 Properties 1 in 30 year 86 1 in 100 year 301 1 in 1000 year 2,060

10 Source: Data from the updated Flood Map for Surface Water, Council Tax and LLPG as used in the Salford Local Flood Risk Management Strategy. Figures represent the total number of properties that the model suggests would be flooded to a depth of greater than 0.3m

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4F Air Quality and climatic factors

4.21 The AQMA is based on the monitoring of the seven air pollutants given in the Air Quality Regulations 2000: benzene; 1,3-butadiene; carbon monoxide; lead; nitrogen dioxide; particles (PM10); sulphur dioxide.

4.22 The air quality management area in Salford is focused around the city’s main highways. In 2016 a revised AQMA was defined which reduced the area in Salford from 3171ha (33% of the city) to 742ha (8% of the city). This has therefore had a significant impact on the extent to which it affects sites adjacent to relevant highways.

4.23 Per capita Co2 emissions in Salford are lower than those estimated across the North West and England. Per capita emissions are falling at a similar rate across all three geographies. A larger proportion of emissions in Salford result from transport than at higher geographies, which could be a result of the city’s position at the heart of the conurbation and with key transport routes to the centre running through it.

4.24 Whilst the level of installed renewable energy capacity in Salford has been increasing, the city’s capacity is the third lowest in Greater Manchester.

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Per Capita Emissions (t)

9.0 Salford 8.5 North West 8.0 England 7.5

7.0

6.5

6.0

Per capita Per Emissions (t) 5.5

5.0

4.5

Source: Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy (June 2019)

Proportion of total CO2 emissions by source Salford North West England Industry Domestic Transport Industry Domestic Transport Industry Domestic Transport and Total Total and Total Total and Total Total Commercial Commercial Commercial Total Total Total

2007 37.3% 36.5% 34.4% 44.3% 29.5% 26.4% 44.3% 29.2% 27.4% 2008 39.2% 37.6% 32.9% 44.4% 30.0% 25.9% 44.1% 30.0% 26.9% 2009 36.4% 37.8% 35.9% 42.3% 30.1% 27.9% 42.0% 30.2% 28.9% 2010 38.9% 38.6% 34.6% 43.1% 30.7% 26.5% 42.2% 31.3% 27.7% 2011 35.9% 37.1% 37.7% 42.3% 29.4% 28.6% 41.6% 29.9% 29.7% 2012 38.6% 37.7% 35.3% 43.6% 29.9% 26.7% 42.7% 30.5% 27.9% 2013 37.7% 38.0% 35.2% 42.3% 30.4% 27.6% 42.3% 30.6% 28.4% 2014 33.9% 35.8% 38.6% 40.8% 28.5% 31.2% 41.0% 28.6% 31.9% 2015 33.3% 35.4% 40.1% 39.5% 28.3% 32.6% 39.6% 28.5% 33.5% 2016 31.7% 35.4% 42.6% 37.7% 28.4% 34.4% 36.5% 29.0% 36.2% 2017 30.1% 35.4% 43.2% 37.8% 27.9% 34.9% 35.8% 28.4% 37.6% Source: Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy (June 2019)

Local Authority Renewable Energy Installed Capacity Installed Capacity (MW) (at year end) 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Change %Change Bolton 20.0 22.5 33.9 34.2 34.4 14.4 72.1% Bury 12.4 13.6 14.6 14.8 15.0 2.6 21.1% Manchester 14.7 28.6 30.5 30.8 31.1 16.3 110.8% Oldham 17.9 20.6 21.1 21.5 21.6 3.7 20.6% Rochdale 7.6 10.4 12.9 13.6 13.7 6.2 81.8%

Appendix 3 - Page 47

Salford 9.8 13.9 14.8 15.0 15.2 5.3 54.1% Stockport 14.6 16.6 18.1 18.5 20.0 5.4 37.1% Tameside 9.9 14.3 18.5 19.2 19.4 9.5 95.1% Trafford 18.3 19.5 24.7 24.8 25.9 7.6 41.8% Wigan 18.5 22.0 28.5 28.7 29.1 10.6 57.4% Source: Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy (September 2019)

4G Waste

4.25 Household waste arisings within Salford are managed by Greater Manchester Waste Disposal Authority, who manages household waste arisings across nine of the ten Greater Manchester districts11.

4.26 Household waste per head of population is significantly below that seen across the Greater Manchester Waste Disposal Authority area. The proportion of household waste in Salford being sent for reuse, recycling or composting has been increasing and is now comparable with rates across Greater Manchester

4.27 It will be important that the planning system continues to support these positive trends including ensuring that there is suitable provision for materials sorting and recycling within new housing developments, particularly in terms of apartments and higher density schemes where waste management can be more difficult.

Household waste 2014 - 2018 Year Total Total % householder Population Total (April to household household waste sent for household March) waste waste sent reuse, waste per collected for reuse, recycling or head of (tonnes) recycling or composting population composting (tonnes) (tonnes) 2014/15 983,743 442,989 0.45 2,399,410 0.41 Greater 2015/16 1,009,070 446,261 0.44 2,399,410 0.42 Manchester 2016/17 1,040,483 486,022 0.47 2,440,375 0.43 2017/18 1,014,003 477,531 0.47 2,462,848 0.41 2014/15 81,129 33,395 0.41 239,770 0.34 2015/16 82,897 34,396 0.41 242,040 0.34 Salford 2016/17 79,961 35,878 0.45 246,392 0.32 2017/18 80,660 36,763 0.46 249,378 0.32 Source: Wastedataflow.org

11 The Greater Manchester Waste Disposal Authority is comprised of the districts of Bolton, Bury, Manchester, Oldham, Rochdale, Salford, Stockport, Tameside and Trafford. Wigan is the only Greater Manchester district that does not form part of the WCA, and has its own independent waste management authority – Wigan Waste Disposal Authority.

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4H Minerals

4.28 Restoration of lowland raised bog and associated habitats is now progressing at the three main former peat extraction sites in the Chat Moss area. Peat extraction ceased entirely in Salford in 2017 as outlined below bringing an end to many years of this damaging activity.

4.29 Restoration has taken place at the former Twelve Yards Road peat extraction site. This follows a Secretary of State decision to dismiss an appeal against the refusal of planning permission for further extraction in 2012. 63 hectares of the former peat extraction site within Salford are now being restored, whilst a further 12 hectares is neither being extracted nor restored as the planning status of that part of the site is disputed. Peat extraction ceased at Astley Moss East in 2015 and the former peat extraction site is now undergoing restoration, with the exception of the areas which lie within the quarry boundary. The sand and gravel extraction in the south of the site has permission until 2022.

4.30 Restoration is now being carried out on by Wildlife Trust on 65ha of former peat extraction on Little Woolden Moss. This follows the purchase of the whole site by the Trust in 2011. The Trust has now begun restoring the remaining 35 hectares of the site, having negotiated an early end to the extraction with the site operator. The Trust are also restoring the adjacent 8 hectare Cadishead Moss former peat extraction site which they also now own.

4.31 There are currently sand and gravel reserves under Chat Moss. Demand for such reserves is identified to increase but exploitation would have serious environmental consequences, not least recognising the Moss’ role as a carbon sink.

4.32 The former open cast coal site at Cutacre is now being restored as a country park which extends into Bolton. This is part of a major business park scheme in Bolton and Salford.

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4I Landscapes

4.33 34.69% of the city’s land area is currently designated Green Belt. The Green Belt has only been subject to minor modification since it was originally designated as part of the Greater Manchester Green Belt in 1984. The potential for new development allocations within the Green Belt are however being considered through the Greater Manchester Spatial Framework.

4.34 There are no nationally designated landscapes in the city.

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4J Heritage

4.35 Salford has 135 statutorily listed buildings on the National Heritage List for England as compiled by Historic England.

4.36 In addition to statutory listed buildings, the city council compiles a local list of heritage assets. Local listing is a means for a local community to decide what it is in their area that makes a contribution to its character and historical legacy and as such what they would like recognised as a 'local heritage asset'. Whilst local heritage assets do not enjoy the protection of statutory listing, which is the responsibility of Historic England, they are given some degree of protection through the planning system. Salford’s Local List contains 278 individual heritage assets, comprising approximately 628 individual buildings or structures.

4.37 Salford also has 16 conservation areas, 3 scheduled ancient monuments (one addition proposed) and 2 registered parks and gardens, as well as a broad range of other heritage assets including archaeology, dating back to the city’s beginnings and features dating back to Salford’s key role in the industrial revolution such as the Bridgewater Canal. Areas of peat land in the west of the city could have potential for further archaeological finds. This heritage is a key contributor to the city’s positive local identity and character, as well as being an irreplaceable record of the past. Its retention and enhancement will therefore be an important component of Salford’s future success.

4.38 In 2019, there were 10 listed buildings and 4 conservation areas identified as being ‘at risk’ in Salford on Historic England’s Heritage at Risk North West Register12.

Grade Listed building entries Grade I 6 Grade II* 13 Grade II 216 Total 235

12 Heritage at risk register 2018 - Historic England, August 2018

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4K Light and noise

4.39 There has been a generally increasing trend of noise complaints since 2000 which could relate to the high levels of development taking place within the city. Over recent years a more active role has been played by some of the city’s housing providers and anti-social behaviour team in respect of dealing with noise complaints and therefore issues that can be addressed by these agencies may not always be registered with the city council’s environmental protection team and will not therefore be picked up in the trend shown.

4.40 Complaints received relating to light are of a significantly lower order than those relating to noise, nevertheless, there have been a generally increasing trend since 2000. The peak in 2006 (29 complaints) coincides with light being designated as a statutory nuisance and therefore may be a result of the increased level of publicity at this time, similar levels have however been reached in the last three years.

Number of complaints received relating to noise

1200

1150

1100

1050

1000

950

900

850 NumberofComplaints 800

750

700

Appendix 3 - Page 52

Number of complaints received relating to light

35

30

25

20

15

10 Numberofcomplaints

5

0

Source: Salford City Council

Appendix 3 - Page 53