Salt Lake City a B JSM 2007 Table of Contents

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Salt Lake City A B JSM 2007 Table of Contents

General Information Career Placement Service Housing Map and Hotel Listing ...... 2 Floor Plan ...... 23 Convention Center and Hotel Floor Plans ...... 3 Employer Listing ...... 23 Registration Area Floor Plan ...... 5 Committee and Society Tables ...... 5 Exhibitors While at JSM ...... 6 EXPO 2007 Floor Plan ...... 24 Meetings and Sessions ...... 7 Exhibitors by Booth Number ...... 25 Before Leaving JSM ...... 8 Who’s Who in the Exhibit Hall ...... 26 Hours of Operation ...... 9 Keynote Speakers ...... 11 General Program Schedule IMS Special Lectures ...... 12 Thursday, July 26 ...... 33 2007 Program Committee ...... 14 Friday, July 27 ...... 33 Local Area Committee ...... 14 Saturday, July 28...... 35 Advisory Committee on Continuing Education ...... 14 Sunday, July 29 ...... 37 Monday, July 30 ...... 65 Association Ofﬁ cers Tuesday, July 31 ...... 113 ASA ...... 15 Wednesday, August 1 ...... 161 ENAR ...... 16 Thursday, August 2 ...... 209 WNAR ...... 17 SSC ...... 17 IMS ...... 18 Index of Participants ...... 241 Index of Continuing Education Instructors ...... 272 Continuing Education Advertising Index ...... 272 Continuing Education at a Glance ...... 19 Computer Technology Workshops at a Glance ...... 21

Salt Lake City 1 Housing Map and Hotel Listing

1 The Grand America Hotel 555 South Main Street COC/COS, business/committee, and social activities

No Scheduled Activities 2 Little America Hotel 7 Salt Lake City Marriott City Center 500 South Main Street 220 South State Street

3 Radisson Hotel Salt Lake City Downtown 8 Sheraton City Centre Salt Lake City 215 West South Temple 150 West 500 South

4 Salt Lake City Marriott Downtown 9 Red Lion Salt Lake Downtown 75 South West Temple 161 West 600 South

5 Shilo Inn Suites Hotel 10 Best Western Garden Inn 206 South West Temple 154 West 600 South

6 Hilton Salt Lake City Center 255 South West Temple

2 JSM 2007 Convention Center and Hotel Floor Plans The Grand America Hotel (GA) First Level

Key

—Business and Committee Meetings

The Grand America Hotel (GA) Third Level

Salt Lake City 3 Salt Palace Convention Center (CC)

First Level

Key

—Business and Committee Meetings —Technical Sessions —Technical Sessions and Business and Committee Meetings Second Level —Technical Sessions, Business and Committee Meetings and CE Course Rooms —Speaker Workrooms —Opening Mixer and Plenary Sessions —Roundtables with Coffee and Speaker with Lunch —Roundtables with Lunch, Business and Committee Meetings, and Informal Dance Party —Roundtables with Lunch, Business and Committee Third Level Meetings, Informal Dance Party, and Opening Mixer

4 JSM 2007 Committee and Society Tables

1. ASA Career Development Committee 2. ASA Council of Chapters 3. ASA Statistical Education 4. Caucus for Women in Statistics 5. Federal Committee on Statistical Methodology (FCSM) 6. Gay and Lesbian Concerns in Statistics 7 International Chinese Statistical Association Exhibit Hall D Exhibit Hall C (ICSA) 8 International Indian Statistical Association (IISA) 9. Christian Statisticians 10. International Statistical Institute (ISI)

Registration Area

Salt Palace Convention Center First Level

Salt Lake City 5 While At JSM...

Emergency Telephone Messages families that want to share a sitter is $2 more per hour for each family, or $5 more per hour for each family when children in Th e general conference telephone number is . (801) 534-4750 diapers are involved. A $10 transportation fee is added to the Th is will connect you to the JSM Special Assistance Desk and total each time a sitter is called. Fore more information, call should only be used for emergency purposes. Emergency mes- (206) 325-2327 or visit www.guardianangelbaby.com. sages will be posted in the Cyber Center, located in the registration area. All other calls or messages should be left in the Th e Caucus for Women in Statistics will provide a subsidy to- attendee’s guestroom on his/her voice mail. ward four hours of babysitting per family for up to 14 families. If you are interested, contact Tena I. Katsaounis at katsaounis.1@ osu.edu. Convention Hotels Th e main phone numbers for the convention hotels are: Electronic Devices Th e Grand America Hotel (801) 258-6000 All cell phones, pagers, and other electronic devices must be Little America Hotel (801) 596-5700 turned off before attending any JSM session. Th ese devices cause interference with the audiovisual equipment and are a distrac- Radisson Hotel Salt Lake City Downtown (801) 531-7500 tion to the session speaker and attendees. Salt Lake City Marriott Downtown (801) 531-0800 Shilo Inn Hotel (801) 521-9500 Smoking Policy Hilton Salt Lake City Center (801) 328-2000 Smoking is not permitted at any JSM function, unless the event Salt Lake City Marriott City Center (801) 961-8700 is outside. Sheraton City Centre Hotel Salt Lake City (801) 401-2000 Red Lion Salt Lake Downtown (801) 521-7373 Photographs and Videotaping Taking photographs or using video equipment in any session Best Western Garden Inn (801) 521-2930 or at any JSM event is prohibited, and violators will be asked to leave. Only the offi cial JSM photographer will be authorized to Assistance for Those with Disabilities take photographs. If you have a disability that may impede your participation, please contact a staff member at the Special Assistance Desk in Recycling the registration area of the Salt Palace Convention Center. You can help by making use of the paper, plastic, and aluminum trash containers located throughout the Salt Palace Convention Child Care Center. Also, participating in the towel and linen programs at Child care services may be organized through Guardian Angels. area hotels signifi cantly reduces the amount of energy and water Providers will come to your hotel room. Th e rate is $60 for a used. You also can print sparingly and use the paper recycling minimum of four hours of service for the fi rst child, with an containers available at the Cyber Center. additional $1 per hour for each additional child. Th e fee for

6 JSM 2007 Meetings and Sessions

Poster Sessions – New Format This Year! Late-Breaking Sessions Two additional sessions for invited Late-Breaking Sessions were approved to cover important topics emerging close in time to JSM. Th ese are exciting additions to the JSM program, most of which is organized well in advance.

Monday, July 30, 2:00 p.m.–3:50 p.m. CC – Ballroom B Session 171: Statistical Analysis of an Archeological Find

Wednesday, August 1, 2:00 p.m.–3:50 p.m. CC – Ballroom B Session 443: War and Death in Iraq

Business and Committee Meetings All meetings are open unless shown as “closed” or “by invitation only.” Section business meetings provide the opportunity to give suggestions on Section business, and members are urged to attend.

Opening Mixer CC – Ballrooms C–J Don’t miss your chance to get JSM 2007 oﬀ to a great start and enjoy refreshments with your colleagues. Attend the Opening Mixer Sunday, July 29, from 8:00 p.m. to 10:30 p.m.

Student Mixer GA – Venezia Garden Salon Student registrants can enjoy refreshments, meet their peers, CC – Exhibit Hall D and make plans for local events and outings at the Student Designed for the display of graphic materials, rather than the Mixer, Monday, July 30, from 6:00 p.m. to 7:30 p.m. Th e mixer text of a paper, these sessions provide authors an assigned poster is sponsored by the ASA Committee on Membership Retention board that corresponds with the number listed in this program. and Recruitment, and a number of door prizes will be given. Th ough speakers will only be present at their posters during their allotted session time, the posters will be displayed on Mon- day and Tuesday from 8:00 a.m. to 6:00 p.m., allowing attendees Society Business Meetings to view them throughout the day. You are encouraged to attend your society business meetings, if held during JSM. Th is is your chance to give input to oﬃ cers and Introductory Overview Lectures other members of your society. Introductory Overview Lectures make up a series of talks on a American Statistical Association variety of topics. No preregistration is necessary, and they are Sunday, July 29, 6:00 p.m.–7:30 p.m. CC – 251 D open to all registrants. Statistical Society of Canada Reception Sunday, July 29, 4:00 p.m.–5:50 p.m. CC – 255E Monday, July 30, 5:00 p.m.–7:00 p.m. GA – Fontainbleau Session 37: Adaptive Designs and Other Emerging Issues in Clinical Trials IMS Presidential Address Reception Monday, July 30, 9:30 p.m.–11:00 p.m. CC – Ballroom A Monday, July 30, 8:30 a.m.–10:20 a.m. CC – Ballroom B Session 80: Statistical Machine Learning and Its Applications in IMS Business Meeting Bioinformatics Tuesday, July 31, 12:30 p.m.–1:30 p.m. CC – 250 A

Tuesday, July 31, 8:30 a.m.–10:20 a.m. CC – Ballroom B International Biometric Society, ENAR Business Meeting Session 219: Improving Statistical Presentations and Posters Tuesday, July 31, 5:30 p.m.–6:30 p.m. CC – 250 A

Wednesday, August 1, 8:30 a.m.–10:20 a.m. CC – Ballroom B IMS New Member and Student Reception Session 353: How Scientists Can Work Effectively with the Media Tuesday, July 31, 5:30 p.m.–7:00 p.m. GA – Audubon

Salt Lake City 7 Before Leaving JSM...

Recycling Badge Holders Please place JSM badges and badge holders that you will not reuse in a designated bin in the registration area.

2007 JSM Proceedings Instructions for JSM 2007 presenters are available at www. amstat.org/meetings/jsm/2007; click the “Program” tab and select “Proceedings.” Th e submission site will open August 1, 2007.

JSM 2008 Th e 2008 Joint Statistical Meetings will be held in Denver, Colorado, August 3–7, at the Denver Convention Center. Preliminary information about JSM 2008 can be found at Booth #107 in the exhibit hall. Th e complete listing of the 2008 Program Committee and instructions for submitting contributed papers is at www.amstat.org/meetings/jsm/2008.

If You Are Not a Member... Information about the ASA, ENAR, WNAR, IMS, and SSC is available at the society booths located in the registration area and exhibit hall of the Salt Palace Convention Center. Each society provides a variety of publications and activities, and student membership is oﬀ ered at substantially reduced rates. If you are not a member of the ASA, join now and receive a discount on your ﬁ rst year. Join at the ASA Membership Booth in the registration area by Th ursday, August 2, at 10:00 a.m. to receive this special JSM discount. Th e discount is valid for regular membership only. Ask about other memberships for students, postgraduates, retirees, and developing country residents.

8 JSM 2007 Hours of Operation

Registration ASA Continuing Education Courses Everyone attending JSM, including participants in the program, Courses will be held in rooms on Level 1 of the Salt Palace Con- is required to register. Materials for those who registered in ad- vention Center. For room assignments, review the general pro- vance are available at the JSM Registration Desk, located on the gram or visit the Special Assistance Desk in the South Foyer of lower level, South Foyer, of the Salt Palace Convention Center. the Salt Palace Convention Center. To register onsite for a course, At the Registration Desk, you also may add Continuing Educa- visit the JSM Registration Desk, also located in the South Foyer. tion courses, the Career Placement Service, tours, guest badges, Availability may be limited, and text books are not available. luncheons, and roundtables. Hours of operation:

Saturday, July 28 7:00 a.m.–6:00 p.m. Speaker Work Rooms CC – 252 A&B Sunday, July 29 7:00 a.m.–8:30 p.m. Th e speaker work rooms are available for all presenters. Th ere Monday, July 30 7:30 a.m.–6:00 p.m. will be practice equipment available consisting of an overhead projector and screen and a data projector and screen. To ac- Tuesday, July 31 7:30 a.m.–4:30 p.m. commodate more than 3,200 presenters, each speaker will be Wednesday, August 1 7:30 a.m.–4:30 p.m. limited to 10 minutes to test the equipment. Rehearse your Th ursday, August 2 7:30 a.m.–10:30 a.m. verbal presentation in your hotel room to ensure everyone has a chance to test the equipment. JSM registration includes the Program Book and Abstract Book Presenters using laptops are encouraged to report to the speaker or CD-ROM; access to EXPO 2007; and admission to the Sunday work room for training on how to connect to the data projector. night Opening Mixer, the Monday evening Student Mixer (stu- Audiovisual technicians will be available to assist with questions dents only), and the Informal Dance Party on Tuesday evening. or problems. If you did not purchase speaker with lunch or roundtable tickets Hours of operation: with your advance registration, ask at the JSM Registration Desk for availability. Limited seating is still available for some luncheons Saturday, July 28 7:00 a.m.–6:00 p.m. and roundtables. Tickets will be sold until 2 p.m. on the day prior Sunday, July 29 7:00 a.m.–6:00 p.m. to the event. NOTE: No onsite kosher or heart healthy meal tick- Monday, July 30 7:00 a.m.–6:00 p.m. ets are available. Tuesday, July 31 7:00 a.m.–6:00 p.m. Wednesday, August 1 7:00 a.m.–6:00 p.m. Th ursday, August 2 7:00 a.m.–10:30 a.m.

Do You Need a Break?

Have a cup of coffee courtesy of GfK. Coffee will be available outside technical sessions rooms on all convention center levels Monday between 10:15 a.m. and 10:45 a.m. Enjoy a refreshing cup of coffee between your morning sessions. Thank you GfK!

Salt Lake City 9 Career Placement Service CC – Exhibit Hall C ASA Marketplace CC – Level 1, South Foyer Hours of operation: Th e ASA Marketplace is the place for JSM and ASA souvenirs. Purchase your oﬃ cial JSM 2007 T-shirt, new shirt designs, great Saturday, July 28 9:00 a.m.–5:00 p.m. new gifts, and clearance items. Hours of operation: (job posting and résumé submission only) Saturday, July 28 12:00 p.m.–5:00 p.m. Sunday, July 29 1:00 p.m.–6:00 p.m. Sunday, July 29 9:00 a.m.–5:00 p.m. Monday, July 30 8:00 a.m.–6:00 p.m. Monday, July 30 9:00 a.m.–5:00 p.m. Tuesday, July 31 8:00 a.m.–6:00 p.m. Tuesday, July 31 9:00 a.m.–5:00 p.m. Wednesday, August 1 8:00 a.m.–4:30 p.m. (onsite registration closes at noon) Wednesday, August 1 9:00 a.m.–5:00 p.m. Th ursday, August 2 8:00 a.m.–10:30 a.m. EXPO 2007 CC – Exhibit Hall D Visit publishers, software companies, and recruiters, and see ASA Membership/ CC – Level 1, South Foyer state-of-the-art products designed for the statistical community. Special Assistance Desk Also, stop by the ASA Booth, #101, open during the show hours Information about Salt Lake City activities, restaurants, attrac- listed below. tions, and organized tours, as well as a local map, is available at Exhibitor Move In and Out the Special Assistance Desk. Hours of operation: Saturday, July 28 (move in only) 8:00 a.m.–5:00 p.m. Saturday, July 28 7:00 a.m.–6:00 p.m. Sunday, July 29 (move in only) 8:00 a.m.–12:00 p.m. Sunday, July 29 7:00 a.m.–8:30 p.m. Wednesday, August 1 (move out only) 2:00 p.m.–8:00 p.m. Monday, July 30 7:30 a.m.–6:00 p.m. Tuesday, July 31 7:30 a.m.–4:30 p.m. Show Hours Wednesday, August 1 7:30 a.m.–4:30 p.m. Sunday, July 29 1:00 p.m.–6:00 p.m. Th ursday, August 2 7:30 a.m.–10:30 a.m. Monday, July 30 9:00 a.m.–6:00 p.m. Tuesday, July 31 9:00 a.m.–6:00 p.m. Salt Lake City Visitors Information Center CC – Level 1 Wednesday, August 1 9:00 a.m.–2:00 p.m. Th e Salt Lake City Visitors Information Center is operated by the Salt Palace Convention Bureau and provides extensive Cyber Center CC – Level 1, South Foyer information and referrals for restaurants, tours, and sightseeing, along with up-to-date maps and travel information. Th e center Th ere are 20 terminals with internet access and three printers is located in the main lobby area on Level 2 of the convention available in the Cyber Center for registered JSM attendees. Hours center. Hours of operation: of operation: Saturday, July 28 9:00 a.m.–5:00 p.m. Saturday, July 28 7:00 a.m.–7:00 p.m. Sunday, July 29 9:00 a.m.–5:00 p.m. Sunday, July 29 7:00 a.m.–10:30 p.m. Monday, July 30 8:00 a.m.–6:00 p.m. Monday, July 30 7:00 a.m.–11:00 p.m. Tuesday, July 31 8:00 a.m.–6:00 p.m. Tuesday, July 31 7:00 a.m.–11:00 p.m. Wednesday, August 1 8:00 a.m.–6:00 p.m. Wednesday, August 1 7:00 a.m.–9:00 p.m. Th ursday, August 2 8:00 a.m.–6:00 p.m. Th ursday, August 2 7:00 a.m.–10:30 a.m.

Wireless Internet Access Th e Salt Palace Convention Center has wireless internet access throughout the building for $15 per day.

10 JSM 2007 Keynote Speakers

President’s Invited Address Monday, July 30, 4:00 p.m. “Regularization Methods in Statistical Model-Building: Statisticians, Computer Scientists, Classiﬁ cation, and Machine Learning” Grace Wahba is the I. J. Schoenberg-Hilldale Professor of Statistics at the University of Wisconsin-Madison as well as a member of the Computer Sciences Department and Department of Biostatistics and Medical Informatics. She is a member of the National Academy of Sciences and American Academy of Arts and Sciences. She also is a Fellow of the IMS, ASA, and American Association for the Advancement of Science. Since the early 70s, beginning with smoothing splines, she has been interested in regularization methods for nonparametric statistical model building. Her recent research involves analysis of datasets where only noisy, incomplete dissimilarity information is available and looking for important patterns or clusters of interacting variables.

IMS Presidential Address Monday, July 30, 8:00 p.m. “Open Access to Professional Information” Jim Pitman is IMS president and professor of statistics and mathematics at the University of California, Berkeley. He has worked toward improving the quality and quantity of open-access content in the mathematical sciences by promoting and launching open-access journals for expository and survey material and developing open-source bibliographic software to encourage distributed alternatives to centrally controlled indexing systems. Recent projects include launching open-access expository journals Probability Surveys and Statistics Surveys and constructing open systems for navigation of online resources in the mathematical sciences.

Deming Lecture Tuesday, July 31, 4:00 p.m. “A Modern Framework for Enterprise Excellence” Douglas C. Montgomery is professor of industrial and management systems engineering at Arizona State University. He is a Fellow of the American Society for Quality Control, ASA, and Institute of Industrial Engineers. He is a member of the honorary societies Phi Kappa Phi, Sigma Xi, Mu Sigma Rho, and Alpha Pi Mu. Montgomery’s professional interests include design of experiments, time series analysis and forecasting, and applications of linear models. He also is interested in operations research and statistical methods applied to modeling and analyzing manufacturing systems.

Wald Lecture I Tuesday, July 31, 4:00 p.m. “A Review of Some Surprises Encountered in Bayesian Model Selection” Wald Lecture II Wednesday, August 1, 10:30 a.m. “Model Selection: Approximations and Multiplicities” Wald Lecture III Thursday, August 2, 10:30 a.m. “Working with Inexact Models: Th e World of Computer Modeling” Jim Berger earned his PhD from Cornell University in 1974. He has served as president of the IMS, chair of the ASA’s Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, and president of the International Society for Bayesian Analysis. He also was awarded Guggenheim and Sloan Fellowships, the COPSS Presidents’ Award, and the Sigma Xi Research Award. Berger’s research has been in primarily Bayesian statistics, foundations of statistics, statistical decision theory, simulation, and model selection.

Salt Lake City 11 ASA Presidential Address Tuesday, July 31, 8:00 p.m. “Statistics: Harnessing the Power of Information” Mary Ellen Bock is professor and head of the Department of Statistics at Purdue University in West Lafayette, Indiana. She is Fellow and president of the ASA and Fellow of the American Association for the Advancement of Science and IMS. Her areas of statistical research include applications in computational biology, bioinformatics, econometrics, and mathematical statistics.

COPSS Fisher Lecture Wednesday, August 1, 4:00 p.m. “R. A. Fisher, Randomization, and Current Practice in Multicenter Clinical Trials” Marvin Zelen, dubbed “Father of Biostatistics,” is professor of statistical science at Harvard School of Public Health. He is recognized as one of the pioneers of using Kronecker products and orthogonal projection opera- tors in experimental design problems involving factorial and unbalanced designs. He also is known for his “play the winner rule” in randomized clinical trials, and his methods are still used in designing cutting-edge, multicenter clinical trials. Zelen is a Fellow of the ASA, American Association for the Advancement of Science, IMS, and International Statistical Institute and an elected member of the International Statistical Institute and American Academy of Arts and Sciences.

IMS Special Lectures

Medallion Lecture I Sunday, July 29, 2:00 p.m. “Modeling Genes: Statistical Challenges in Modern Genetics” Peter Donnelly is professor of statistical science at the University of Oxford. He is a Fellow of the IMS and Royal Statistical Society, a member of the International Statistical Institute, and an Honorary Fellow of the Institute of Actuaries. He has been awarded the Mitchell Prize of the ASA and International Society for Bayesian Analysis and the Guy Medal in Silver of the Royal Statistical Society. Donnelly’s early work was in applied probability, particu- larly stochastic models in genetics, but, for some years, his research has focused on genetics. He played a major role in the HapMap project, an international collaboration that followed the Human Genome Project in studying genetic diversity in worldwide populations. He currently chairs a collaboration of 25 UK research groups studying 12 common human diseases.

Rietz Lecture Sunday, July 29, 4:00 p.m. “Statistical Problems of Gene Mapping” For the last 10 years, David Siegmund has concentrated on statistical aspects of gene mapping. As a statistician also interested in probability theory, his research concentrates on statistical problems that arise in scientific applications and require novel probability theory for their resolution. Before 1985, his research concentrated on sequential analysis, with a primary focus on the design and analysis of sequential clinical trials.

12 JSM 2007 Medallion Lecture II Monday, July 30, 10:30 a.m. “Understanding Ecological Communities” Claudia Neuhauser is HHMI professor and head of the Department of Ecology, Evolution, and Behavior at the University of Minnesota, Twin Cities. Her work is at the interface of ecology and evolution, as she investigates effects of spatial structure on community dynamics, in particular, the effect of competition on the spatial structure of com- petitors and the effect of symbionts on the spatial distribution of their hosts. In addition, her research in population genetics has resulted in the development of statistical tools for random samples of genes. She is currently director of an NSF-funded grant on nonequilibrium dynamics across space and time, which provides interdisciplinary education and training to graduate students from ecology, geology, civil engineering, and computer science. photo courtesy of Dawn Villelle/AP, ©HHML courtesyphoto of Dawn Villelle/AP,

Medallion Lecture III Tuesday, July 31, 8:30 a.m. “Functional Regression Analysis: Models, Methods, and Applications” Hans-Georg Müller is professor of statistics at the University of California, Davis. Among his current research interests are the theory and methodology of high-dimensional and functional data analysis and applications in biodemography, genomics, and finance. He is a member of the International Statistical Institute and a Fellow of the ASA, IMS, and American Association for the Advancement of Science.

Medallion Lecture IV Wednesday, August 1, 8:30 a.m. “Quantile Regression under Censorship” Xuming He is professor of statistics at the University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign. He is a Fellow of the ASA and IMS. His primary research interests in statistics include robust methods, semi/nonparametric modeling, large-sample theory, quantile regression, dimension reduction, and resampling methods. His interdisciplinary research spans genomics, epidemiology, educational testing, dysphagia research, and atmospheric studies. He is currently the IMS Bulletin editor and serves on the editorial boards of Annals of Statistics and JASA.

Medallion Lecture V Wednesday, August 1, 2:00 p.m. “Joint Modeling of Longitudinal and Survival Data” Jane-Ling Wang is professor of statistics and graduate adviser of the biostatistics program at the University of California, Davis. She has served on various committees for the ASA, International Chinese Statistical Association, IMS, and the Bernoulli Society. She is currently president-elect of the International Chinese Statistical Association. Wang’s research areas include aging and longevity, biodemography, dimension reduction methods, functional and longitudinal data analysis, joint modeling of longitudinal and survival data, and survival analysis. She is a Fellow of the ASA and IMS and an Elected Member of the International Statistical Institute.

Salt Lake City 13 Local Area Committee Scott Grimshaw, Chair 2007 Program Committee Brigham Young University Gretchen Moisen No Photo U.S. Forest Service Available Gil Fellingham Brigham Young University JSM 2007 Program Chair International Biometric Society International Biometric Society Institute of Mathematical Institute of Mathematical Allan Rossman (ENAR) (WNAR) Statistics (Invited) Statistics (Invited) California Polytechnic State Christopher S. Coffey Weng Kee Wong Mark Low Tony Cai Shane Reese University University of Alabama at University of Los Angeles The Wharton School The Wharton School Brigham Young University Birmingham University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania

Advisory Committee on Continuing Education Katherine T. Halvorsen, Chair Institute of Mathematical Statistics Statistical Society of Canada (SSC) Council of Chapters, ASA Committee on Committees, ASA General Methodology, ASA Smith College (Contributed) X. Joan Hu V. A. Samaranayake Patrick J. Cantwell Thomas H. Short Jiashun Jin Simon Fraser University University of Missouri-Rolla U.S. Census Bureau Indiana University of Eileen C. King, Vice Chair Purdue University Pennsylvania Procter & Gamble Gordon J. Johnston SAS Institute, Inc. Nandini Kannan The University of Texas at San Antonio General Methodology, ASA Invited and Contributed Posters Section on Bayesian Statistics, Biometrics Section, ASA Biopharmaceutical Section, ASA Ronald McRoberts Elizabeth H. Slate Dongseok Choi ASA Runze Li Amit Bhattacharyya Medical University of South Oregon Health & Science Merlise A. Clyde The Pennsylvania State University GlaxoSmithKline North Central Research Station Carolina University Duke University Andy Mauromoustakos University of Arkansas Leonard Oppenheimer Johnson & Johnson Pharmaceutical R&D

Xiaoming Sheng Business & Economic Statistics Statistical Computing Section, ASA Section on Statistical Consulting, Section on Statistics in Defense Section on Statistical Education, University of Utah Section, ASA Edward J. Wegman ASA and National Security, ASA ASA David A. Dickey George Mason University Phillip L. Chapman Lara S. Schmidt Patti Collings Charles Yun Tan North Carolina State University Colorado State University RAND Corporation Brigham Young University Merck & Co., Inc. Clyde Tucker Bureau of Labor Statistics

ASA Continuing Education Section on Statistics and the Section on Epidemiology, ASA Section on Government Statistics, Section on Statistical Graphics, Section on Health Policy Statistics, Environment, ASA Jennifer Clark Nelson ASA ASA ASA Rick Peterson Peter Guttorp Group Health Cooperative Roberta L. Sangster Simon Urbanek Bonnie Ghosh-Dastidar University of Washington Bureau of Labor Statistics AT&T Labs - Research RAND Corporation Education Programs Associate

ASA Meetings Elaine L. Powell, CMP Assistant Director of Meetings

Section on Statistics in Marketing, Section on Nonparametric Section on Physical & Engineering Section on Quality & Productivity, Section on Risk Analysis, ASA Kathleen Wert ASA Statistics, ASA Sciences, ASA ASA Duane Steffey Meetings Planner Peter Boatwright Soumendra N. Lahiri Winson Taam William R. Myers Exponent, Inc. Carnegie Mellon University Iowa State University Boeing Procter & Gamble Donna-Renee Arrington Meetings Planner

Kristen Campbell Meetings Coordinator

American Statistical Association 732 North Washington Street Social Statistics Section, ASA Section on Statistics in Sports, Section on Survey Research Section on Teaching Statistics in Allen L. Schirm ASA Methods, ASA the Health Sciences, ASA Alexandria, VA 22314-1943 Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. Mark E. Glickman Steven G. Heeringa Patrick Tarwater Email: [email protected] Edith Nourse Rogers University of Michigan Institute The University of Texas Health Web: www.amstat.org Memorial Hospital for Social Research Science Center at Houston 14 JSM 2007 2007 Association Officers American Statistical Association

President Editor, Current Index to Statistics Mary Ellen Bock Abstracting Editor: George Styan

President-Elect Editor, Journal of Agricultural, Biological, and Peter Lachenbruch Environmental Statistics Byron J. T. Morgan Past-President Sallie Keller-McNulty Editors, Journal of Business & Economic Statistics Serena Ng Vice Presidents Arthur Lewbell Alicia Carriquiry Daniel Kaspryzk Editor, Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics Robert Rodriguez David van Dyk

Secretary Editor, Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics William B. Smith David M. Th issen

Treasurer Editor, STATS: The Magazine for Students of Statistics Sastry G. Pantula Paul J. Fields

Council of Chapters Representatives Editor, Technometrics John E. Boyer Randy Sitter Katherine Monti June Morita Editors, Amstat Online Martha Aliaga Council of Sections Representatives William B. Smith Ronald Fecso Ralph O’Brien Editor, Journal of Statistics Education Th omas J. Santner William Notz

Publications Representative Editor, ASA-SIAM Book Series Edward Wegman Martin T. Wells

International Representative Editor, Statistics in Biopharmaceutical Research Denise Lievesley Joseph Heyse

Editors, Journal of the American Statistical Association Council of Chapters Chair Coordinating and Applications and Case Studies: J. Lynn Palmer David Banks Council of Sections Chair Th eory and Methods: S. Lynne Stokes Stephen Portnoy and Walter Piegorsch Book Reviews: Business Ofﬁ ce Robert Lund William B. Smith, Executive Director American Statistical Association Editor, The American Statistician 732 North Washington Street Peter Westfall Alexandria, VA 22314-1943 Phone: (703) 684-1221 Editor, CHANCE Fax: (703) 684-2037 Michael Lavine Email: [email protected] Web: www.amstat.org

Salt Lake City 15 International Biometric Society—Eastern North American Region January – December 2007

President Programs Lisa LaVange 2007 Joint Statistical Meetings Christopher S. Coﬀ ey Past-President Jane Pendergast 2008 Spring Meeting Avital Cnann President-Elect Biometrics Executive Editor Eric (Rocky) Feuer Marie Davidian

Secretary (2007–2008) Biometric Bulletin Editor José Pinheiro Ranny Dafni

ENAR Correspondent for the Biometric Bulletin Treasurer (2006–2007) Rosalyn Stone Oliver Schabenberger ENAR Executive Director Regional Committee (RECOM) Kathy Hoskins President (Chair): Lisa LaVange International Biometric Society Business Manager Claire Shanley Members elected to three-year terms: Committee of Presidents of Statistical Societies (COPSS) ENAR 2005–2007 2006–2008 2007–2009 Representatives Gregory Campbell John Bailor Karen Bandeen- Roche Lisa LaVange (president), Jane Pendergast (past-president), Naisyin Wang Stacy Linborg F. Dubois Bowman Eric Feuer (president-elect) Tom TenHave Raul Rathouz ENAR Standing/Continuing Committee Chairs Regional Members of the Council of the Nominating 2007: Jane Pendergast International Biometric Society Sponsorship 2007: B. Christine Clark Ron Brookmeyer, Marie Davidian, Susan Ellenberg, Louise American Association for the Advancement of Science (Joint Ryan, Janet Wittes, Roderick Little with WNAR) terms through February 22, 2008 Section E, Geology and Geography Stephen Rathbun Appointed Members of the Regional Advisory Board Section G, Biological Sciences Geof Givens (three-year terms) Section N, Medical Sciences Joan Hilton Chair: Scarlett Bellamy Section O, Agriculture Kenneth Porter Chair-Elect: Amy Herring Section U, Statistics Mary Foulkes

2005–2007 2006–2007 2007–2009 National Institute of Statistical Sciences (ENAR president is also Barbara Bailey Michael Hardin Christopher S. Coff ey an ex-offi cio member) Board of Trustees Member: Lisa LaVange Sudipto Banerjee Eileen King Hormuzd A. Katki Jason Conner Carol Lin Lan Kong Business Offi ce Todd Durham Keith Muller Yi Li Eastern North American Region Kirk Easley Soomin Park Lillian Lin International Biometric Society Abie Ekangaki Shyamal Paddada Laura Meyersen 12100 Sunset Hills Road, Suite 130 Deborah Ingram Melanie Wall Tamara Pinkett Reston, VA 20190 Xuejen Peng Lloyd Edwards Douglas E. Schaubel Phone: (703) 437-4377 James Rosenberger Jeremy Taylor Gene Pennello Fax: (703) 435-4390 Maura Stokes Melanie Wall John Preisser Email: [email protected] Web: www.enar.org

16 JSM 2007 International Biometric Society— Statistical Society of Canada Western North American Region Executive 2007–2008

President President Ken Burnham Christian Genest

President-Elect President-Elect John Neuhaus Román Viveros-Aguilera

Past-President Past-President Christine McLaren Charmaine B. Dean

Secretary Secretary Antje Hoering Paul Cabilo

Treasurer Treasurer Kenneth Kopecky Edward Chen

Program Coordinator Public Relations Oﬃ cer Weng Kee Wong Angelo Canty

Representatives At-Large Business Ofﬁ ce 2006–2008: Jennifer Hoeting and Rhonda Rosychuk Statistical Society of Canada 2005–2007: Todd Alonzo and Barbara Richardson 577 King Edward Avenue 2007–2009: Ying Lu and Kathy Prewitt Ottawa, ON, Canada K1N 6N5 Phone: (613) 562-5320 IBS Council Representatives Fax: (613) 565-6774 2004–2007: Christine McLaren Email: [email protected] 2006–2009: John Neuhaus Web: www.ssc.ca 2006–2009: Elizabeth Th ompson

Business Ofﬁ ce WNAR Membership Services Cancer Research and Biostatistics 1730 Minor Avenue, Suite 1900 Seattle, WA 98101-1468 Email: [email protected] Web: www.wnar.org

Salt Lake City 17 Institute of Mathematical Statistics

Executive Committee Editor, Lecture Notes-Monograph Series President Anthony Davison Jim Pitman Editor, IMS Web Site President-Elect Krzysztof Burdzy Jianqing Fan Managing Editor, Statistics Past-President Paul Shaman Th omas Kurtz Managing Editor, Probability Program Secretary Michael Phelan Nicolas Hengartner

Executive Secretary Council Cindy Christiansen Susan Holmes 2007 Nancy Flournoy 2007 Treasurer Erwin Bolthausen 2007 Jiayang Sun Michael Steele 2007 Xuming He 2007 Maury Bramson 2008 Editors Merlise Clyde 2008 Editor, The Annals of Applied Probability John H. J. Einmahl 2008 Ed Waymire Jun Liu 2008 Daniel Peña 2008 Editor, The Annals of Probability Anthony Davison 2009 Gregory F. Lawler Frank Den Hollander 2009 Iain Johnstone 2009 Editor, The Annals of Applied Statistics Karen Kafadar 2009 Bradley Efron Xiao-Li Meng 2009 Editors, The Annals of Statistics Susan Murphy Business Ofﬁ ce Bernard Silverman Elyse R. Gustafson, Executive Director P.O. Box 22718 Executive Editor, Statistical Science Beachwood, OH 44122 Ed George Phone: (216) 295-2340 Editor, IMS Bulletin Fax: (216) 295-5661 Xuming He Email: [email protected] Web: www.imstat.org

18 JSM 2007 Continuing Education Courses Continuing Education at a Glance TIME COURSE INSTRUCTOR(S) COURSE TITLE Saturday, July 28 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CE_01C David Spiegelhalter Bayesian Modeling in Practice 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CE_02C Garrett Fitzmaurice Applied Longitudinal Analysis % 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CE_03C Dallas E. Johnson Design and Analysis of Crossover Experiments 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CE_04C Paul Biemer Latent Class Analysis of Survey Error 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CE_05C Richard Cook/Jerry Lawless Statistical Methods for the Analysis of Recurrent Events 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CE_06C Kimberly Crimin/Th omas Vidmar Nonclinical Statistics for Drug Discovery 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CE_07C Antony Unwin/Heike Hofmann Graphics of Large Datasets Sunday, July 29 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CE_01C David Spiegelhalter Bayesian Modeling in Practice 8:00 a.m.–12:00 p.m. CE_08C Naitee Ting/James MacDougall Dose-Finding in Drug Development 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CE_09C Oliver Schabenberger Generalized Linear Mixed Models: Th eory and Applications 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CE_10C Margaret S. Pepe/Holly Janes/ Statistical Evaluation of Medical Tests and Biomarkers Todd Alonzo for Classifi cation 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CE_11C Jay Breidt/Jean Opsomer Modeling and Data Analysis for Complex Surveys 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CE_12C Jerome Sacks/William J. Welch A Practical Guide for the Design and Analysis of Virtual (Computer Model) Experiments 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CE_13C Th omas Herzog/Fritz Scheuren/ Data Quality and Record Linkage Techniques William Winkler 1:00 p.m.–5:00 p.m. CE_14C Christopher S. Coff ey/Brenda Adaptive Dose-Response Studies Gaydos/José Pinheiro Monday, July 30 8:00 a.m.–12:00 p.m. CE_15C Charles S. Davis Categorical Data Analysis 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CE_16C Peter H. Westfall Multiple Comparisons and Multiple Tests 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CE_17C Christy Chuang-Stein/Alex Analysis of Clinical Trials: Th eory and Applications Dmitrienko/Geert Molenberghs 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CE_18C Howard S. Burkom/David Banks Temporal Alerting Algorithms for Biosurveillance 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CE_19C Peter F. Th all Practical Bayesian Clinical Trial Design 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CE_20C Wei-Yin Loh Classifi cation and Regression Trees 1:00 p.m.–5:00 p.m. CE_21C Ingram Olkin Meta-analysis: Statistical Methods for Combining the Results of Independent Studies Tuesday, July 31 8:00 a.m.–12:00 p.m. CE_22C Tamraparni Dasu/Simon Urbanek Harnessing Data Streams through Statistical Computing 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CE_23C Michael Proschan Statistical Monitoring of Clinical Trials: a Unifi ed Approach 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CE_24C Michael J. Daniels/Joe Hogan Dropout in Longitudinal Studies: Strategies for Bayesian Modeling and Sensitivity 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CE_25C Kenneth Lange/Janet Sinsheimer/ Statistical Genetics Eric Sobel 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CE_26C Marina Vanucci/Brani Vidakovic Wavelets and Statistical Applications 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CE_27C Danyu Lin Analysis of Censored Data 1:00 p.m.–5:00 p.m. CE_28C Tim Hesterberg Bootstrap Methods and Permutation Tests for Doing and Teaching Statistics % = Excellence in CE course Salt Lake City 19 AAmericanmerican StatisticalStatistical AssociationAssociation Saturday, July 28 noon–5:00 p.m.

MARKET Sunday – Wednesday July 29–August 1 PLACE 9:00 a.m.–5:00 p.m. LOCATED IN THE MAIN Thursday, August 2 REGISTRATION AREA 8:00 a.m.–10:30 a.m.

Mugs, hats, ASA apparel, children’s shirts, JSM shirts, pens, 20 JSM 2007 and more! Computer Technology Workshops

Wednesday, August 1 Fee: $50 each

Computer Technology Workshops at a Glance

TIME COURSE INSTRUCTOR(S) TITLE 8:00 a.m.–9:45 a.m. CE_29T Mikhail Golovnya Introduction to CART: Data Mining with Decision Trees

8:00 a.m.–9:45 a.m. CE_30T Angela Pitts/ New Features for Clustered and Survey Data Analysis in G. Gordon Brown SUDAAN® Release 9.0.3

8:00 a.m.–9:45 a.m. CE_31T Robert Cohen Modern Regression Analysis in SAS Software

8:00 a.m.–9:45 a.m. CE_32T Michael Borenstein/ Power Analysis: a Simple and Eﬀ ective Approach Hannah Rothstein

8:00 a.m.–9:45 a.m. CE_33T Cyrus R. Mehta East® 5: a Comprehensive Package for Adaptive and Group Sequential Design, Interim Monitoring, and Simulation

10:00 a.m.–11:45 a.m. CE_34T Mikhail Golovnya Introduction to MARS: Predictive Modeling with Nonlinear Automated Regression Tools

10:00 a.m.–11:45 a.m. CE_35T Shawn Harahush From Software to Solutions in Statistics and Risk Analysis

10:00 a.m.–11:45 a.m. CE_36T Sharad Prabhu/ Design and Analysis of Split-Plot Experiments Using the SAS José G. Ramírez ADX Interface

10:00 a.m.–11:45 a.m. CE_37T Michael Borenstein/ Meta-analysis: Concepts and Applications Hannah Rothstein

10:00 a.m.–11:45 a.m. CE_38T Weicai Zhong Generalized Linear Modeling in SPSS

1:00 p.m.–2:45 p.m. CE_39T Mikhail Golovnya Advances in Data Mining: Jerome Friedman’s TreeNet/MART and Leo Breiman’s Random Forests

1:00 p.m.–2:45 p.m. CE_40T Colin (Lin) Chen Quantile Regression Using the SAS QUANTREG Procedure

Salt Lake City 21 Seeking a CAREER in

Salt Lake City, UT STATISTICS? July 29–August 1

Are you nearing graduation and wondering about entry-level jobs? Are you an experienced statistics professional interested in career information? Register for the JSM Career Placement Service!

What can the CAREER PLACEMENT SERVICE do for YOU?

Each year, hundreds of companies, universities, recruiters, and government agencies search for applicants using the JSM Career Placement Service. Th e JSM Career Placement Service provides the best opportunity for qualiﬁ ed applicants to meet employers, establish valuable contacts, and learn about organizations employing statisticians.

Career Placement Service BENEFITS

APPLICANT READING AREA—for applicants to review complete job descriptions and contact information for all registered employers. VISIBILITY TO EMPLOYERS—applicants who register by July 12, 2007, will have their information and résumés included in the advance applicant access database, available to employers prior to the meeting. Employers often contact applicants in the database prior to JSM to schedule interviews. COMPUTERIZED MESSAGE CENTER—allows applicants and employers to communicate throughout the meeting. ONLINE ACCESS TO JOB POSTINGS—this year, included with ALL Career Placement Service registrations. Register at the registration desk, and bring your résumé to Hall C! Organizations Represented at Recent JSM Career Placement Services Capital One • FDA • PPD • Mayo Clinic GE Money • Westat • Eli Lilly 22 JSM 2007 Career Placement

Executive Suite Employers Abbott Laboratories Amgen Inc. Battelle Bristol-Myers Squibb Capital One Eli Lilly and Company U.S. Food and Drug Administration, Center for Devices and Radiological Health U.S. Food and Drug Administration, Center for Drug Evaluation and Research GE Money GlaxoSmithKline John Deere Credit Johnson & Johnson Family of Companies Mayo Clinic Merck Research Laboratories National Opinion Research Center (NORC) at the University of Chicago National Security Agency Paciﬁ c Northwest National Laboratory PPD Quintiles sanoﬁ -aventis SAS Institute Inc. Takeda Pharmaceuticals North America Salt Palace Convention Center—Exhibit Hall C

Registered Employers AgentHR IBM T. J. Watson Research Center Statistics of Income Division, IRS Alaska Department of Fish and Game-Sport Fish Instituto Tecnológico Autónomo de México The Cambridge Group Ltd. (ITAM) Boehringer Ingelheim The Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Bucknell University The EMMES Corporation Medical Technology and Practice Patterns Bureau of Labor Statistics The University of Texas Health Science Center-SA, Institute, Inc. Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics Chastain Research Group, Inc. Medical University of South Carolina Thomas Jefferson University Constellation Energy Commodities Group Monsanto Company U.S. Census Bureau Department of Biostatistics, Medical College of Myriad Genetics, Inc. Georgia UCSF Immune Tolerance Network Pﬁ zer Inc. DuPont United States Military Academy Precision Bioassay Elon University Valeant Pharmaceuticals Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Exponent Washington University in St. Louis, School of RTI International Medicine GE Global Research Schering-Plough Research Institute Westat Geisinger Center for Health Research Smith Hanley Associates LLC Yahoo! Inc.

Salt Lake City 23 Exhibitors EXPO 2007 Floor Plan

24 JSM 2007 Exhibitors by Booth Number

Booth Number Exhibitor Name Booth Number Exhibitor Name 100 Institute of Mathematical Statistics 305 Stat-Ease, Inc. 101, 103, 105 American Statistical Association 306, 308 SPSS, Inc. 102 Statistical Society of Canada 307, 309, 406, 408 Springer 104 ASA-SIAM Series 307 Birkhäuser 106 SIAM: Society for Industrial and 314, 316 Cytel, Inc. Applied Mathematics 315, 317, 319 John Wiley & Sons 107 JSM 2008 Denver 318 statistics.com 108 Bureau of Labor Statistics 320 Smith Hanley 109 Bureau of Economic Analysis 321 Blackwell Publishing 113 StatPoint, Inc. 324 SAGE Publications 114, 116 Minitab Inc. 325 Biostat, Inc. 115 The Cambridge Group LTD 326 World Scientific Publishing 117, 119, 121, 216, 218, 220 CRC Press-Taylor & Francis Group Company 118, 120 Duxbury, Thomson 327 Pfizer Global Research and 124 Palisade Corporation Development 125 Kforce Clinical Research Staffing 328 Google 126, 128 StatSoft, Inc. 329 Prosoft Software, Inc. 127, 129 Cambridge University Press 400 Addison Wesley 200, 202 JMP, a business unit of SAS 401, 403 Prentice Hall 201, 203, 205 SAS Application 402 Wolfram Research 204, 206, 208 SAS Publishing 404 GE Money 207, 209 SAS Institute, Education Division 405, 407 REvolution Computing 212 Capital One 409 National Center for Health Statistics 213, 312 RTI International 413 CDC/ATSDR 214 COMSYS 414 USDA, NASS 215, 217 Oxford University Press 415 Internal Revenue Service, Statistics of Income Division 219 MacKichan Software 416 ASG, Inc. 221 Hawkes Learning Systems 417, 419 Johnson & Johnson Family of 224 Salford Systems Companies 225 SYSTAT Software, Inc. 418, 420 Insightful Corporation 226, 228 Elsevier 421 MedFocus LLC 227, 229 XLSolutions Corporation 423 Allergan, Inc. 300, 302 W.H. Freeman & Company 424 Fforde Management 301 NCSS 425, 427 National Security Agency 303 Eli Lilly and Company 426 Space-Time Research 304 U.S. Department of Education/IES 428 INFORMS

Salt Lake City 25 Who’s Who in the Exhibit Hall ●—Pinnacle Partner ★—Gold Partner ■—Silver Partner

ASG, Inc. 416 agement, analytical research, setting standards for statistics, and promoting statistical education. Cary, North Carolina ASG is a global outsourcing and specialty staffing organization. By working with companies in the clinical trial arena, we help Biostat, Inc. 325 provide a better quality of life for individuals dependent on the Englewood, New Jersey health care community. We help improve or save lives by providing cost-effective, functional outsourcing and staffing services to Software for meta-analysis and statistical power analysis. Stop by pharmaceutical, CRO, biotechnology, and medical device sectors our booth for your free evaluation CD and to register for com- in the business of discovering therapies. puter workshops. Visit us online at www.Meta-Analysis.com and www.Power-Analysis.com. ASA-SIAM Series 104 Alexandria, Virginia Birkhäuser 307 New York, New York The ASA-SIAM Series on Statistics and Applied Probability is published jointly by the American Statistical Association and Save 20% on all books at the Birkhäuser booth. Browse Birkhäuser’s the Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics. The series selection of first-rate titles in a variety of statistical areas and consists of a broad spectrum of books on topics in statistics and applied probability. Check out best-selling, new, and forthcoming applied probability and provides inexpensive, quality publications titles, such as P. Good’s Resampling Methods, 3/e, W. Woyczynski’s of interest to the societies’ intersecting membership. A First Course in Statistics for Signal Analysis, T. Ogden’s Essential Wavelets for Data Analysis, and G. Schay’s Introduction to Probability with Statistical Applications. Also on display will be Addison-Wesley 400 books from the Statistics in Industry and Technology Series and Boston, Massachusetts Probability and Its Applications Series. Please visit Addison-Wesley in Booth 400. Stop by, meet our authors, and explore a full display of our statistics titles, includ- Blackwell Publishing 321 ing DeVeaux/Velleman/Bock’s Stats: Data and Models, 2/e, Weiss Introductory Statistics, 8/e, and Triola Essentials of Statistics, 3/e, Hoboken, New Jersey as well as our texts in biostatistics, probability, and time series. Blackwell Publishing is a leading international publisher in all Also, try out some of our new and exciting technology, including areas of statistics, science, technology, and medicine. Please stop MyStatLab and ActivStats. by our booth for complimentary copies of our journals, and visit our web site at www.blackwellpublishing.com for information about all our publications. Allergan, Inc. 423 Irvine, California Bureau of Economic Analysis 109 Allergan, Inc., is a premier, global specialty pharmaceutical and medical device company that discovers, develops, and commer- Baltimore, Maryland cializes innovative products for ophthalmology, neurosciences, The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) promotes a better under- medical dermatology, medical aesthetics, and other specialty mar- standing of the U.S. economy by providing the timeliest, relevant, kets. The company is dedicated to delivering value to its custom- and accurate economic accounts data in an objective and cost- ers, satisfying unmet medical needs, and improving lives. effective manner.

American Statistical Association 101, 103, 105 Bureau of Labor Statistics 108 Alexandria, Virginia Washington, DC Since 1839, the ASA has been the world’s leading professional The Bureau of Labor Statistics is the principal fact-finding agency association for statisticians. The ASA serves as a forum for sharing for the federal government that provides statistical data online at ideas, experiences, innovations, and accomplishments. Members www.bls.gov and in various publications. are involved in medicine, computer applications, quality man-

26 JSM 2007 CDC/ATSDR 413 used at hundreds of biopharmaceutical sites worldwide to design adaptive, group sequential and traditional trials. StatXact®, Atlanta, Georgia LogXact®, and new CrossOver® comprise Cytel’s renowned exact The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is one of the 13 statistics packages. major operating components of the Department of Health and Human Services, which is the principal agency in the United States government for protecting the health and safety of all ■ Duxbury-Thomson 118, 120 Americans and for providing essential human services. Belmont, California Visit Duxbury-Thomson Publishers at booths 118 and 120 to view COMSYS 214 our latest publications and technology innovations. With more than 30 years’ experience publishing in statistics, Duxbury is the Portage, Michigan source of complete solutions for all teaching needs, from intro- COMSYS is the leading provider of SAS, statistics, and clinical ductory to advanced statistics courses. Duxbury: A Tradition of services to companies nationwide. We enable statisticians and Quality and Innovation. programmers to support their customers more efficiently through innovative analytical applications and overflow support. COMSYS is a SAS Alliance Gold Partner with more than 40 offices in the ★ Eli Lilly and Company 303 United States and Canada. Indianapolis, Indiana Eli Lilly is a leading, innovation-driven corporation committed to ★ developing a growing portfolio of best-in-class and first-in-class CRC Press-Taylor & 117, 119, 121, 216, pharmaceutical products that help people live longer, healthier, Francis Group 218, 220 and more active lives. Lilly products treat depression, schizophre- Boca Raton, Florida nia, attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder, diabetes, osteoporo- sis, and many other conditions. We are committed to providing CRC Press, a member of the Taylor & Francis Group, is a premier answers that matter. publisher of scientific and technical books, journals, and electronic databases. Please visit our booth during the show to peruse our titles, pick up a sample journal, and purchase books while taking ■ Elsevier 226, 228 advantage of show discounts. New York, New York Elsevier/Academic Press delivers world-class content to statisti- Cambridge University Press 127, 129 cians and mathematicians, from textbooks to corporate and clinical research references. Come see our new and bestselling books New York, New York in all areas of statistics, from renowned authors Sheldon Ross, Cambridge’s new titles in statistics, biostatistics, econometrics, Robert Riffenbergh, C. R. Rao, and Ronald Forthofer. Conference and mathematical finance are available at a 20% discount. New discounts apply and sample journals are available. books in the Cambridge Series in Statistical and Probabilistic Mathematics include Statistical Mechanics of Disordered Systems, by Anton Bovier, and The Coordinate-Free Approach to Linear Fforde Management 424 Models, by Michael J. Wichura. New York, New York Fforde is a global executive search firm specializing in staffing solu- ● Capital One 212 tions for the pharmaceutical, biotechnology, CRD, and medical devices industries. Fforde has offices located in the United States, Richmond, Virginia Europe, and the UK, making us a truly global staffing solution. Capital One is a Fortune 500 company providing access to credit for tens of millions worldwide. We also provide auto, home, and business loans, plus banking and other services. Statistical exper- GE Money 404 tise is central to our success, which is why we seek superior applied Stamford, Connecticut statisticians at all career stages. GE Money is a leading provider of credit services to consumers, retailers, and auto dealers with more than 300,000 employees, ■ Cytel, Inc. 314, 316 $180 billion in assets, and businesses in 54 countries. We offer flexible work arrangements, a diverse environment, world-class Cambridge, Massachusetts leadership, comprehensive training, and “fast track” leadership Celebrating its 20th year, Cytel, Inc., is a leading provider of clini- programs to help you achieve your career goals. cal trial services and statistical software for biopharmaceutical development and general research applications. Cytel’s East® is

Salt Lake City 27 Google 328 members that publishes 12 journals used extensively in business and engineering schools. Have a membership question? Want a Mountain View, California look at INFORMS’ newest publications? Need advice on market- Google’s innovative search technologies connect millions of peo- ing the profession? Stop by the INFORMS booth to talk with the ple around the world with information every day. Founded in 1998 staff. For details, visit www.informs.org. by Stanford PhD students Larry Page and Sergey Brin, Google is now a top web property in all major global markets. Google’s targeted advertising program provides businesses of all sizes with ■ Insightful Corporation 418, 420 measurable results, while enhancing the overall web experience Seattle, Washington for users. Google is headquartered in Silicon Valley, with offices throughout the Americas, Europe, and Asia. For more informa- Insightful Corporation is a provider of predictive analytics and tion, visit www.google.com. reporting solutions that gives companies the knowledge to act™. Insightful products S-PLUS®, Insightful Miner™, S-PLUS® Server, and InFact® allow customers to perform sophisticated statistical Hawkes Learning Systems 221 data analysis and data mining and create high-quality graphics. For Charleston, South Carolina more information, visit www.insightful.com. Discover the benefits of using interactive software to teach and learn mathematics. Hawkes Learning Systems promotes grade improve- Institute of Mathematical Statistics 100 ment and motivates students to learn by providing tutorials, unlimit- ed practice, helpful feedback from artificial intelligence, and mastery- Beachwood, Ohio based homework. Come see a demonstration of our state-of-the-art The IMS is an international professional and scholarly society test generator, online grade book, and student courseware. devoted to the development, dissemination, and application of statistics and probability. The IMS publishes five journals: Annals of Statistics, Annals of Applied Statistics, Annals of Probability, INFORMS 428 Annals of Applied Probability, and Statistics Science. IMS mem- Hanover, Maryland bership is free to students. The Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences (INFORMS) is a professional association with 10,000

Bringing the ASA to Salt Lake City

Visit the ASA BOOTH, #101, at JSM and learn about the many programs available to you. Within the ASA Booth, you can hear about:

SECTIONS—Get information about 22 Sections that encompass several special interests in statistics

PUBLICATIONS—Flip through the ASA’s journals and magazines or pick up brochures about various ASA programs

MEMBERSHIP—Ask an ASA staff member questions about the Association or member beneﬁ ts

Discover the beneﬁ ts of membership

28 JSM 2007 Internal Revenue Service 415 Research is a leader in hybrid solutions. Our expertise includes clinical trial monitoring and management, drug safety and sur- Washington, DC veillance, clinical data management, biostatistics, data entry, The Statistics of Income (SOI) Division of the IRS produces and clinical application development. income data compiled from tax and information returns filed with the IRS. SOI data include financial information about individuals, business taxpayers, tax-exempt organizations, and more. Data MacKichan Software 219 are available through publications, electronic databases, Tax Stats Poulsbo, Washington (www.irs.gov/taxstats), and SOI’s Statistical Information Services, (202) 874-0410. Scientific WorkPlace 5.5 simplifies writing, sharing, and doing mathematics. A click of a button allows you to typeset in LaTeX. The integrated computer algebra system lets you solve JMP, a business unit of SAS 200, 202 and plot equations; animate 2D and 3D plots; rotate, move, and fly through 3D plots; create 3D implicit plots; and more. Cary, North Carolina JMP, a division of SAS, develops JMP® software, which brings comprehensive data analysis to the desktop, empowering users to MedFocus LLC 421 interactively explore, visualize, and understand their data. Visit us Chicago, Illinois at www.jmp.com. MedFocus offers clinical and scientific research contract outsourcing and staffing to the pharmaceutical, biotechnology, JSM 2008 Denver 107 and medical device industries. MedFocus allows you to main- tain consistency with high-quality consulting while managing Alexandria, Virginia variability in clinical work demand without headcount issues. Denver, Colorado, host of JSM 2008, welcomes you. Please For more information, visit www.medfocus.com. stop by Booth #107 for visitor information and answers to your questions. ★ Minitab Inc. 114, 116 ■ John Wiley & Sons 315, 317, 319 State College, Pennsylvania Minitab 15® is the leading software for statistics education Hoboken, New Jersey worldwide. It is accurate, reliable, and easy to use, with pow- Wiley-Blackwell is a global publisher of print and electronic sta- erful graphics abilities. Minitab integrates into curriculums tistical information, including International Statistical Reviews: seamlessly and affordably and is used at more than 4,000 col- Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A (Statistics in Society), leges and universities. Visit www.minitab.com/minitab for a B (Statistical Methodology), and C (Applied Statistics); Biometrics; free trial version. Statistics in Medicine; Scandinavian Journal of Statistics; Statistics Neerlandica; Biometrical Journal; and Statistical Analysis and Data Mining. Visit us online at www.wiley.com/statistics. NCSS 301 Kaysville, Utah ■ Johnson & Johnson Family 417, 419 We will be displaying our new NCSS 2007 data/statistical analysis software; PASS 2005, our popular power analysis and sample size of Companies software; and GESS 2006, our new microarray analysis software. New Brunswick, New Jersey Stop by and pick up a free trial CD while they last. Johnson & Johnson, through its operating companies, is the world’s most comprehensive and broadly based manufacturer of health-care products and a provider of related services for National Center for Health Statistics 409 the consumer, pharmaceutical, and medical devices and diag- Hyattsville, Maryland nostics markets. The NCHS exhibit will showcase the various NCHS program- matic areas, with an emphasis on statistical research and methodology. The exhibit will allow attendees to view and Kforce Clinical Research Stafﬁ ng 125 acquire a host of publications, electronic products, and other Tampa, Florida promotional products. Kforce Clinical Research provides a full range of outsourcing alternatives and traditional staffing services for the biopharmaceutical industries. Established in 1988, Kforce Clinical

Salt Lake City 29 ■ National Security Agency 425, 427 Prosoft Software, Inc. 329 Ft. Meade, Maryland King of Prussia, Pennsylvania The Information Assurance mission provides the solutions, prod- Prosoft Software, Inc., is a contract research organization with ucts, and services—and conducts defensive information opera- expertise in biostatistics, data management, project management, tions—to achieve information assurance for the information infra- and medical writing. Our experience spans all areas of drug and structures critical to U.S. national security interests. The foreign medical device development, including preclinical and clinical signals intelligence, or SIGINT, mission allows for an effective, phases I–IV in such areas as cardiovascular, dermatology, respira- unified organization and control of all the foreign signals collec- tory, allergy, immunology, CNS, and oncology. tion and processing activities of the United States. REvolution Computing 405, 407 ■ Oxford University Press 215, 217 New Haven, Connecticut New York, New York REvolution Computing is the leading commercial provider of Oxford University Press is a leading international publisher of software and support for the R statistical and business intelligence books and journals in statistics and math. Visit booths 215 and tools (www.revolution-computing.com). REvolution’s solution 217 to see our latest titles, enter our raffle to win $100 worth of for computational statistics is fully supported and easy to use. It books, join our email list, and receive a 20% discount on all titles includes commercial features and automatic parallel processing. on display. The REvolution solution for computational statistics renders R practical for mainstream, commercial, and regulated use. REvolution Computing truly is R Evolved! Palisade Corporation 124 Ithaca, New York ■ RTI International 213, 312 Palisade Corporation has been a leading provider of risk analysis, decision analysis, optimization, and data analysis software since Durham, North Carolina 1984. Recently, Palisade released NeuralTools, a neural networks With a staff of more than 2,600 people, RTI International is add-in for Microsoft Excel, and StatTools, a statistical analysis an independent, nonprofit organization that offers innovative add-in for Microsoft Excel that replaces Excel’s statistics functions research and technical solutions to governments and busi- with a robust and accurate set of statistical analysis procedures nesses worldwide in the areas of health, epidemiology, and and routines. pharmaceuticals; advanced technology; surveys and statistics; education and training; economic and social development; and the environment. Pﬁ zer Global Research and Development 327 New London, Connecticut SAGE Publications 324 Imagine a career that touches the lives of people everywhere. Imagine an opportunity to reach beyond your area of expertise to Thousand Oaks, California impact something greater than the bottom line. Imagine playing a SAGE Publications—an independent international publisher in key role in some of the most critical issues facing health care today. the social sciences, technology, and medicine—provides journals, Relying on our scientific talent, a steady stream of breakthroughs books, and electronic media of the highest caliber. Researchers, ensures the best medicines for man and animals in years to come. students, and professionals have relied on our innovative resourc- This is your career at Pfizer: a career unlike any other. es for more than 40 years. Please stop by our booth or visit us at www.sagepub.com. Prentice Hall 401, 403 ● Upper Saddle River, New Jersey SAS Application 201, 203, 205 Prentice Hall, a premier college textbook publisher, will display Cary, North Carolina statistics textbooks ranging from the introductory level, such SAS will exhibit its analytical software for statistics, data mining, as Agresti/Franklin’s Statistics: The Art and Science of Learning econometrics, and statistical quality control. Please visit the SAS from Data and McClave/Sincich’s Statistics 10/e, to more booth and learn about new directions in statistical graphics, as advanced and specialized course texts, such as Blair/Taylor’s well as new downloadable software for Bayesian analysis. Biostatistics for the Health Sciences and Tanis/Hogg’s A Brief Course in Mathematical Statistics.

30 JSM 2007 ● SAS Institute, Education Division 207, 209 regression, TreeNet® boosted decision trees, and Random Forests®. Salford Systems strives to make the best academic research easily Cary, North Carolina usable by the practicing data analyst and recently won several dis- SAS Education offers a broad curriculum of SAS, JMP, and sta- tinguished international honors. tistical courses to support our users. The division administers the SAS Global Certification Program, where users can earn globally recognized credentials for their knowledge. The Higher Education Smith Hanley 320 Consulting Program supports institutions of higher learning New York, New York incorporate SAS into their curricula. Our two divisions, permanent placement and contract staffing, offer targeted recruitment in statistics, biostatistics, SAS pro- ● SAS Publishing 204, 206, 208 gramming, data management, market research health outcomes, and epidemiology. Since 1980, we’ve provided clients and recruits Cary, North Carolina dedicated service, experience, and insight into industry trends for Visit the SAS Publishing booth to learn more about saving 20% positions at all levels. Visit www.smithhanley.com or www.smith- on orders placed or mailed to us by August 31, new SAS prod- hanley-consulting.com for more information. uct documentation titles, new SAS Press Series titles, and SAS® Learning Edition 4.1. SAS Publishing staff members are available to answer questions and assist you with your orders. Space-Time Research 426 Victoria, Australia SIAM: Society for Industrial and 106 Space-Time Research provides intuitive, easy-to-use business intelligence and statistical solutions. SuperSTAR technology pro- Applied Mathematics vides statistical, analytical, and multiformat visualization; simple Philadelphia, Pennsylvania ad hoc reporting; and geospatial analysis. SuperSTAR uses ser- Visit the SIAM booth to check out the titles in the ASA-SIAM vice-oriented architecture technology to deliver client-based and Series on Statistics and Applied Probability, get recently published true web applications. Data management features individual con- books and information, and see sample issues of SIAM’s renowned fidentially and data security. journals. Membership applications also will be available. Don’t for- get to pick up a copy of SIAM News for the road. ■ Springer 307, 309, 406, 408 New York, New York ● SPSS, Inc. 306, 308 Springer is one of the largest international publishers of scien- Chicago, Illinois tific literature (4,000 new books per year and more than 1,200 SPSS Inc. is a leading global provider of predictive analytics soft- journals). Springer’s statistics book program is world-renowned ware and solutions. More than 250,000 public sector, academic, and has produced many best-selling textbooks, monographs, and and commercial customers rely on SPSS to help increase revenue, reference works. Notable publications include the Springer Series reduce costs, and detect fraud. Founded in 1968, SPSS is head- in Statistics, Statistics for Biology and Health, and Statistics and quartered in Chicago, Illinois. For additional information, please Computing. visit www.spss.com. Stat-Ease, Inc. 305 ■ SYSTAT Software, Inc. 225 Minneapolis, Minnesota San Jose, California Stat-Ease, Inc., produces two easy-to-use Windows programs for SYSTAT is a high-value, integrated desktop statistics and graph- design of experiments (DOE), including Design-Ease® software ics software package for scientists, engineers, and statisticians for finding breakthrough factors and Design-Expert® software for that provides the most extensive selection of reliable statistics optimization. The company also offers computer-intensive DOE and high-quality, interactive graphics, enabling users to analyze workshops, including Experiment Design Made Easy, Response their data, make meaningful discoveries, and present their results Surface Methods for Process Optimization, and Mixture Design attractively and efficiently. for Optimal Formulations.

Salford Systems 224 ■ StatPoint, Inc. 113 San Diego, California Herndon, Virginia Salford Systems develops advanced statistical and data mining StatPoint Inc. develops the STATGRAPHICS® line of statistical software, including the CART® decision tree, MARS® automated analysis software products. Used for 25 years for data analysis

Salt Lake City 31 by Fortune 1000 companies and small enterprises worldwide, environmental, and agricultural surveys and censuses. The agency STATGRAPHICS® Centurion XV.II is available in four lan- also creates a number of remote-sensing and geographic informa- guages. StatPoint products include STATGRAPHICS® Mobile, tion system statistical products and conducts ongoing applied STATBEANS® Java Library, and STATGRAPHICS® MultiLingual© research on statistical methodology and estimation approaches. (coming this summer), providing immediate interchangeability of Plans are under way for the 2007 Census of Agriculture. input and output languages. W.H. Freeman and Company 300, 302 StatSoft, Inc. 126, 128 New York, New York Tulsa, Oklahoma W.H. Freeman and Company, publisher of high-quality textbooks StatSoft, Inc., creator of STATISTICA, is one of the largest devel- and media, highlights current bestsellers, new titles, and the inno- opers worldwide of enterprise-wide and single-user software for vative learning management system, StatsPortal, in booths 300 data analysis, data mining, and quality control. STATISTICA has and 302. Look for introductory best-selling books in the Moore received the highest rating in every comparative review of statis- series, as well as upper-level titles, and see a StatsPortal demo. tics software since its first release (1993)—a record unmatched in Visit www.whfreeman.com/statsportal for more information. the industry. Wolfram Research 402 Statistical Society of Canada 102 Champaign, Illinois Ottawa, Ontario Wolfram Research is the world’s leading developer of compu- The Statistical Society of Canada’s mission is to encourage the tational software for science and technology, offering organiza- development and use of statistics and probability in Canada. It is tion-wide computing solutions. Led by Mathematica, Wolfram’s the Canadian equivalent of the American Statistical Association. flagship product, the company’s software is relied on today by The Statistical Society of Canada also offers two levels of accredi- several million enthusiastic users around the world and has been tation, the Professional Statistician (P.Stat.) and the Associate the recipient of many industry awards. Visit www.wolfram.com Statistician (A.Stat.). for more information.

The Cambridge Group LTD 115 World Scientiﬁ c Publishing Company 326 Westport, Connecticut Hackensack, New Jersey The Cambridge Group LTD focuses on careers in biostatistics, World Scientific is an international, academic publisher with eight clinical data management, clinical systems, and SAS program- offices worldwide. Annually, the company publishes more than ming. Opportunities range from entry level through executive 400 books and 100 journals in various fields, including physics, posts, both permanent and contract, in the pharmaceutical and mathematics, and engineering. biotechnology industries.

U.S. Department of Education/IES 304 XLSolutions Corporation 227, 229 Washington, DC Seattle, Washington IES is the research arm of the U.S. Department of Education. Its XLSolutions Corporation—also known as the creator of R* mission is to provide rigorous evidence on which to ground edu- (R-Star)—provides predictive analytics software and solutions. cation practice and policy. This mission is accomplished through XLSolutions Consulting Group has provided statistical and math- its four centers: National Center for Education Statistics, National ematical modeling for data analysis and data mining since 1999. For Center for Education Research, National Center for Education more information, visit www.xlsolutions-corp.com. R u Ready? Evaluation and Regional Assistance, and National Center for Special Education Research. Information about research and evaluation activities, funding opportunities, and reports may be statistics.com 318 found at ies.ed.gov. Arlington, Virginia Statistics.com is the leading provider of online professional devel- USDA, NASS 414 opment courses in statistics. Statistics.com also distributes the Excel add-ins Resampling Stats (resampling) and XLMiner (data Washington, DC mining, neural nets, decision trees, k-nearest neighbor, logistic The National Agricultural Statistics Service is a world leader in regression, clustering, Bayes classification, association rules, parti- sampling, data collection, and estimation procedures for economic, tioning, and time series).

32 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule

✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

Session Tag Descriptions FRIDAY, JULY 27 We expect both theme and applied sessions to draw a diverse audience.

✪ THEME Committee/Business Meetings Th eme sessions are directly relevant to the 2007 JSM theme, “Statistics: Harnessing the Power of Information.” Th ese sessions & Other Activities highlight presentations and discussions on the role being played by the statistical sciences in the protection and development of 7:30 a.m.–8:30 a.m. GA-Sussex people around the globe. Th eme sessions are designed to expand ASA Board of Directors Breakfast (closed) the frontiers of statistical thought, emphasize new directions, and Chair(s): Mary Ellen Bock, Purdue University promote interdisciplinary collaborations and partnerships.

8:00 a.m.–6:00 p.m. GA-Riviera APPLIED ● Academic Program Representatives Department Chairs Applied sessions have real applications at the heart of their Meeting Day 1 (closed) discussions and presentations. Because these sessions are grounded Chair(s): Dalene Stangl, Duke University in applications across the many areas of science and engineering, they may involve interdisciplinary work and include presentations by nonstatisticians. Applied sessions range from presentations on state- 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. GA-Audubon of-the-art statistical methodology applied to real-world problems to ASA Board of Directors Meeting (closed) tutorials. All statisticians should ﬁ nd these sessions appealing. Chair(s): Mary Ellen Bock, Purdue University

All sessions are open freely to registered attendees, except fee 12:00 p.m.–1:30 p.m. GA-Vienna events or where noted. Academic Program Representatives Department Chairs Lunch (closed) Chair(s): Dalene Stangl, Duke University

THURSDAY, JULY 26 12:30 p.m.–1:30 p.m. GA-Sussex ASA Board of Directors Lunch (closed) Chair(s): Mary Ellen Bock, Purdue University

Committee/Business Meetings & Other 6:00 p.m.–9:00 p.m. GA-Fontainbleau Activities Academic Program Representatives Department Chairs Dinner (closed) 5:00 p.m.–6:30 p.m. GA-Room 2473 Chair(s): Darlene Stangl, Duke University ASA Management Review Committee (closed) Chair(s): Mary Ellen Bock, Purdue University 6:30 p.m.–7:30 p.m. GA-Room 2473 JSM Staff and ASA Board of Directors Reception 7:00 p.m.–9:00 p.m. GA-Room 2473 (closed) ASA Board of Directors Executive Committee Working Chair(s): William B. Smith, American Statistical Association Dinner (closed) Chair(s): Mary Ellen Bock, Purdue University

Salt Lake City 33 TheGeneral 18thProgram Annual Schedule GERTRUDE✪ Themed Session ● Applied COX Session SCHOLARSHIP ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center RACE GA-The Grand America Hotel

The Caucus for Women in Statistics, in conjunction with the ASA, presents the 18th annual Gertrude Cox Scholarship Race at the Joint Statistical Meetings in Salt Lake City, Utah. All proceeds will benefit the Gertrude M. Cox Scholarship in Statistics.

The Race: There will be two races running concurrently—a competitive 5K race and a 2.5K fun run/ walk. When: Tuesday, July 31, at 7:00 a.m. Where: Location and logistical information will be posted at the Caucus table at the Salt Palace Convention Center. How Much: The entry fee is $20.00. Registration: Those interested in participating are encouraged to register early. You may register during JSM at the hospitality table for the Caucus for Women in Statistics at the Salt Palace Convention Center, near the registration area. All participants must sign a registration form and waiver. T-shirts for all preregistered runners will be distributed at the race. If you have questions, please contact Karen Davis at [email protected].

REGISTRATION FORM (each participant must complete and sign form)

______Name ______Address ______City, State/Province ZIP/Postal Code Phone

SEX: ❏ M ❏ F Age ______EVENT: ❏ 5 K Race ❏ 2.5 K Fun Run/Walk T-SHIRT SIZE: ❏ S ❏ M ❏ L ❏ XL

THE FINE PRINT. I understand that running a road race is a potentially hazardous activity. I will not enter and run unless I am medically able and properly trained. I agree to abide by any decision of a race official relative to my ability to complete the run safely. I assume all risks associated with running in this event, including, but not limited to, falls; contact with other participants; and effects of weather, traffic, and course conditions. All such risks are known and appreciated by me. Having read this waiver, knowing these facts, and in consideration of your accepting my entry, I, for myself and anyone entitled to act on my behalf, waive and release the race directors, the race committee, and all sponsors from all claims of liabilities of any kind arising out of my participation in this event, even though such liability may arise as a result of negligence or carelessness on the part of the persons named in this waiver.

______Signature

______Date Parent or guardian (if under 18)

Make check payable to The Gertrude Cox Scholarship Fund. Please return this form along with your check to 34 JSMKaren 2007 Davis, Race Organizer, National Center for Health Statistics, 3311 Toledo Road, Room 3213, Hyattsville, MD 20782. General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

SATURDAY, JULY 28 Thurs-Sun

Tours 9:00 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CC-Exhibit Hall C Career Placement Service (job posting and resume TR01 Salt Lake Bees Baseball Game submission only) 7:05 p.m.–10:30 p.m. Off Property-Franklin Covey Field 11:30 a.m.–12:30 p.m. GA-Vienna TR02 Real Salt Lake Soccer Game Association of GCRC Statisticians Lunch (closed) 7:30 p.m.–10:30 p.m. Off Property-Rice-Eccles Stadium Organizer(s): Robert Oster, Th e University of Alabama at Birmingham

12:00 p.m.–1:00 p.m. GA-Sussex ASA Board of Directors Lunch (closed) Committee/Business Meetings Chair(s): Mary Ellen Bock, Purdue University & Other Activities 12:00 p.m.–1:30 p.m. GA-Fontainbleau 7:00 a.m.–6:00 p.m. CC-South Foyer Academic Program Representatives Department Chairs JSM Main Registration and ASA Membership/Special Lunch (closed) Chair(s): Dalene Stangl, Duke University Assistance Desk 12:00 p.m.–5:00 p.m. CC-South Foyer 7:00 a.m.–6:00 p.m. CC-252 A, CC-252B ASA Marketplace Speaker Work Rooms 12:30 p.m.–5:30 p.m. GA-Milano 7:00 a.m.–7:00 p.m. CC-South Foyer Association of GCRC Statisticians Meeting (closed) Cyber Center Organizer(s): Robert Oster, Th e University of Alabama at Birmingham

7:30 a.m.–8:30 a.m. GA-Sussex 3:00 p.m.–6:00 p.m. GA-Envoy ASA Board of Directors Breakfast (closed) NISS/SAMSI Afﬁ liates Meeting (closed) Chair(s): Mary Ellen Bock, Purdue University Organizer(s): Alan Karr, National Institute of Statistical Sciences

8:00 a.m.–4:00 p.m. GA-Riviera Academic Program Representatives Department Chairs Continuing Education (Fee Events) Meeting Day 2 (closed) Chair(s): Dalene Stangl, Duke University CE_01C Bayesian Modeling in Practice 8:00 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CC-Exhibit Hall D 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CC-151 G Exhibitor Move In and Lounge ASA Instructor(s): David Spiegelhalter, MRC Biostatistics Unit 8:30 a.m.–4:30 p.m. GA-Audubon ASA Board of Directors Meeting (closed) CE_02C% Chair(s): Mary Ellen Bock, Purdue University Applied Longitudinal Analysis 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CC-150 G 9:00 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CC-Main Lobby, Level 2 ASA Salt Lake City Visitors Information Center Instructor(s): Garrett Fitzmaurice, Harvard University

Salt Lake City 35 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

CE_03C CE_06C Design and Analysis of Crossover Experiments Nonclinical Statistics for Drug Discovery 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CC-150 A-C 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CC-151 DE Biopharmaceutical Section, ASA ASA Instructor(s): Dallas Johnson, Kansas State University Instructor(s): Kimberly Crimin, Wyeth; Th omas Vidmar, Pﬁ zer Inc.

CE_04C CE_07C Latent Class Analysis of Survey Error Graphics of Large Datasets 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CC-150 D-F 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CC-151 F Section on Survey Research Methods, ASA Section on Statistical Graphics, ASA Instructor(s): Paul Biemer, RTI International/Th e University of North Instructor(s): Antony Unwin, University of Augsburg; Heike Hofmann, Carolina at Chapel Hill Iowa State University

CE_05C Statistical Methods for the Analysis of Recurrent Events 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CC-151 A-C ASA Instructor(s): Richard J. Cook, University of Waterloo; Jerald F. Lawless, University of Waterloo

36 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

SUNDAY, JULY 29 Thurs-Sun

Tours 8:00 a.m.–12:00 p.m. GA-Tuscany Advisory Committee on Teacher Enhancement Business TR03 Utah Gold & Silver Meeting 9:00 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CC-South Foyer (200 South Street) Chair(s): Mike Adams, Th e University of Alabama

TR04 Crossroads of the West City Tour 8:00 a.m.–12:00 p.m. CC-Exhibit Hall D 1:00 p.m.–4:00 p.m. CC-South Foyer (200 South Street) Exhibitor Move In

8:00 a.m.–1:00 p.m. GA-Grenoble IMS Executive Committee Meeting I (closed) Committee/Business Meetings Organizer(s): Elyse Gustafson, Institute of Mathematical Statistics & Other Activities 9:00 a.m.–12:00 p.m. GA-Ambassador 7:00 a.m.–8:00 a.m. GA-Vienna Council of Sections Governing Board Meeting (closed) Association of GCRC Statisticians Breakfast (closed) Chair(s): S. Lynne Stokes, Southern Methodist University Organizer(s): Robert Oster, Th e University of Alabama at Birmingham 9:00 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CC-South Foyer 7:00 a.m.–12:30 p.m. GA-Provence ASA Marketplace Committee on Publications Meeting (closed) Chair(s): Edward Wegman, George Mason University 9:00 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CC-Main Lobby, Level 2 Salt Lake City Visitors Information Center 7:00 a.m.–6:00 p.m. CC-252 A, CC-252B Speaker Work Rooms 10:00 a.m.–4:00 p.m. GA-Savoy Writing Workshop (closed) 7:00 a.m.–8:30 p.m. CC-South Foyer Chair(s): Nell Sedransk, National Institute of Statistical Sciences; Keith JSM Main Registration and ASA Membership/Special Crank, American Statistical Association Assistance Desk 12:00 p.m.–1:00 p.m. GA-Vienna Association of GCRC Statisticians Lunch (closed) 7:00 a.m.–10:30 p.m. CC-South Foyer Organizer(s): Robert Oster, Th e University of Alabama at Birmingham Cyber Center

7:30 a.m.–9:30 a.m. GA-Embassy 12:00 p.m.–2:00 p.m. GA-Riviera Committee on Women in Statistics Meeting (closed) Statistica Sinica Board Meeting (closed) Organizer(s): Xiao-li Meng, Harvard University Chair(s): Teri Peterson, Idaho State University

8:00 a.m.–12:00 p.m. GA-Milano 12:00 p.m.–2:00 p.m. GA-Embassy Association of GCRC Statisticians Meeting (closed) Journal of Statistics Education Editorial Board Meeting Organizer(s): Robert Oster, Th e University of Alabama at Birmingham (closed) Chair(s): William Notz, Th e Ohio State University

Salt Lake City 37 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

1:00 p.m.–2:30 p.m. GA-Tuscany 5:30 p.m.–7:00 p.m. CC-151 A-C Committee on Committees Meeting (closed) Cancer Center Biostatistics Directors Annual Meeting Chair(s): Susan Devlin, Th e Artemis Group Organizer(s): Terry Hyslop, Th omas Jeﬀ erson University

1:00 p.m.–6:00 p.m. CC-Exhibit Hall D 5:30 p.m.–7:00 p.m. GA-Embassy EXPO 2007 Committee on Scientifi c Freedom and Human Rights Meeting 1:00 p.m.–6:00 p.m. CC-Exhibit Hall D Chair(s): Susan Hinkins, NORC at the University of Chicago ASA Booth #101 6:00 p.m.–7:30 p.m. CC-Ballrooms A-B 1:00 p.m.–6:00 p.m. CC-Exhibit Hall C JSM First-Time Attendee Orientation and Reception (open Career Placement Service (full placement service open) to all fi rst-time attendees, included in registration fee) Chair(s): Tena Katsaounis, Th e Ohio State University 2:00 p.m.–4:30 p.m. GA-Murano Garden Salon Council of Sections Annual Business Meeting (closed) 6:00 p.m.–7:30 p.m. GA-Milano Chair(s): S. Lynne Stokes, Southern Methodist University Section on Quality and Productivity Executive Committee Meeting (closed) 3:00 p.m.–4:30 p.m. GA-Venice Chair(s): William Guthrie, National Institute of Standards and Caucus for Women in Statistics Executive Committee Technology Meeting (closed) Organizer(s): Tena Katsaounis, Th e Ohio State University 6:00 p.m.–7:30 p.m. CC-251 D ASA Open Meeting (all welcome) 4:00 p.m.–5:30 p.m. GA-Versailles Chair(s): Mary Ellen Bock, Purdue University 2007 & 2008 ASA Committee Chairs Meeting (closed) Chair(s): Susan Devlin, Th e Artemis Group 6:00 p.m.–8:00 p.m. GA-Provence Section on Statistics and the Environment Executive 4:00 p.m.–6:00 p.m. GA-Envoy Committee Meeting (closed) Career Development Seminar: You Don’t Need To Perish Chair(s): Mary Christman, University of Florida in Order To Publish (free and open to all attendees) Chair(s): Janice Lent, Energy Information Administration 6:00 p.m.–9:00 p.m. GA-Riviera IMS Council Meeting I (closed) 4:30 p.m.–8:00 p.m. GA-Tuscany Organizer(s): Elyse Gustafson, Institute of Mathematical Statistics ENAR Executive Committee Meeting (closed) Organizer(s): Kathy Hoskins, ENAR 6:00 p.m.–9:00 p.m. GA-Ambassador Biometrics Section Executive Meeting (closed) 5:00 p.m.–6:30 p.m. GA-Audubon Chair(s): Th omas R. Tenhave, University of Pennsylvania Council of Sections New Offi cer Orientation Meeting (closed) 6:30 p.m.–8:30 p.m. Off Property Chair(s): Linda Gage, California Department of Finance Section on Statistical Consulting Executive Committee Meeting (closed) 5:00 p.m.–8:00 p.m. GA-Vienna Chair(s): Stuart Gansky, University of California, San Francisco International Chinese Statistical Association Board Meeting (closed) 7:00 p.m.–8:00 p.m. CC-155 B Organizer(s): Ming-Hui Chen, University of Connecticut Advisory Committee on Continuing Education Presenter Social (closed) Chair(s): Katherine Halvorsen, Smith College

38 JSM 2007 American Statistical Association General Program Schedule OPEN✪ Themed Session ● Applied SessionMEETING ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel Mary Ellen Bock, Thurs-Sun ASA President Sunday, July 29, 2007, 6 p.m. Salt Palace Convention Center, 251 D

FIND OUT WHAT YOUR ASSOCIATION IS DOING!

Come to the Open Meeting, meet your oﬃ cers, hear about the following items, among others, and voice your opinions about the ASA:

➤ 2007 state of the Association – Mary Ellen Bock ➤ Update on ASA ﬁ nances – Sastry G. Pantula ➤ Update from the Committee on Rewriting the ASA Strategic Plan – Robert Rodriquez ➤ Introduction of Ronald Wasserstein, the incoming ASA executive director – William B. Smith ➤ Summary of 2006 Board task forces – Sallie Keller-McNulty ➤ Questions from the ﬂ oor – Executive Committee

Please plan to attend and lend your voice to the discussion of important issues aﬀ ecting the future of theSalt ASA.Lake City 39 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

7:00 p.m.–9:00 p.m. CC-150 G CE_12C Isolated Statisticians Meeting A Practical Guide for the Design and Analysis of Virtual Organizer(s): Ann Cannon, Cornell College (Computer Model) Experiments 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CC-151 A-C 8:00 p.m.–10:30 p.m. CC-Ballrooms C-J Section on Quality and Productivity, ASA Opening Mixer (included in registration fee) Instructor(s): Jerry Sacks, National Institute of Statistical Sciences; William J. Welch, University of British Columbia

CE_13C Continuing Education (Fee Events) Data Quality and Record Linkage Techniques 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CC-155 A CE_01C ASA Bayesian Modeling in Practice Instructor(s): Th omas Herzog, U.S. Department of Housing and Urban 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CC-151 G Development; Fritz Scheuren, NORC at the University of Chicago; William Winkler, U.S. Census Bureau ASA Instructor(s): David Spiegelhalter, MRC Biostatistics Unit CE_14C CE_08C Adaptive Dose-Response Studies Dose Finding in Drug Development 1:00 p.m.–5:00 p.m. CC-151 D-F ASA 8:00 a.m.–12:00 p.m. CC-151 D-F Instructor(s): Christopher S. Coﬀ ey, Th e University of Alabama at Biopharmaceutical Section, ASA Birmingham; Brenda Gaydos, Eli Lilly and Company; Jose Pinheiro, Instructor(s): Naitee Ting, Pﬁ zer Inc.; James MacDougall, Bristol- Novartis Pharmaceuticals Myers Squibb Company

CE_09C Generalized Linear Mixed Models: Theory and Invited Sessions 2:00 p.m.–3:50 p.m. Applications 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CC-150 G ASA 1 CC-251 D ✪ Instructor(s): Oliver Schabenberger, SAS Institute Inc. Bayesian Statistics and Random Matrices— Invited Section on Bayesian Statistical Science CE_10C Organizer(s): Helene M. Massam, York University Statistical Evaluation of Medical Tests and Biomarkers Chair(s): Paul Speckman, University of Missouri-Columbia for Classiﬁ cation 2:05 p.m. Covariance Selection and Bayes Classiﬁ cation 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CC-150 A-C via Modal Shrinkage Estimators—❖Jingqin Luo, Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, ASA Washington University in St. Louis; Merlise A. Instructor(s): Margaret Pepe, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Clyde, Duke University; Edwin Iversen, Duke Center; Holly Janes, Th e Johns Hopkins University; Todd Alonzo, University University of Southern California 2:30 p.m. Discrete Hierarchical Model Search with Conjugate Priors for Log-Linear Parameters—❖Adrian CE_11C Dobra, University of Washington; Helene M. Modeling and Data Analysis for Complex Surveys Massam, York University 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CC-150 D-F 2:55 p.m. Local Graphical Model Search—❖Liang Zhang, Section on Statistics and the Environment, Section on Survey Research Duke University; Adrian Dobra, University of Methods, ASA Washington; Mike West, Duke University Instructor(s): Jay Breidt, Colorado State University; Jean Opsomer, Iowa State University

40 JSM 2007 You are invited to the JSM General Program Schedule First-Time✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter Attendee CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

orientation and reception Thurs-Sun Learn more about Salt Palace Convention Center, Ballrooms A-B how to get the most Sunday, July 29, 6:00 p.m.–7:30 p.m. out of your ﬁ rst JSM experience, meet new people, and Open to All First-Timers network. (Dinner groups will form after the reception.) AGENDA • Introduction: Tena Katsaounis, President, The Caucus for Women in Statistics • Good Advice That I Ignored During My First JSM: Monnie McGee, Southern Methodist University • Reception (light hors d’oeuvres to be served)

Salt Lake City 41 This reception is sponsored by: ASA, ENAR, IMS, SSC, WNAR, The Caucus for Women in Statistics General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

3:20 p.m. Flexible Priors for Covariance Matrices in 4 CC-250 B Gaussian Graphical Models—❖Bala Rajaratnam, ● ✪ Some New Developments in Statistical Statistical and Applied Mathematical Sciences Learning—Invited Institute; Carlos Carvalho, Duke University; Section on Statistical Computing, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Helene M. Massam, York University Section on Teaching Statistics in the Health Sciences, Section on Nonpara- 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion metric Statistics, Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences Organizer(s): Ji Zhu, University of Michigan 2 CC-250 F Chair(s): Sijian Wang, University of Michigan The Special Interest Group on Volunteerism: Two 2:05 p.m. The Adaptive Lasso and Its Oracle Properties— ❖ Years Out—Invited Hui Zou, Th e University of Minnesota ❖ Section on Statistical Education, Committee on Scientiﬁ c Freedom and 2:35 p.m. Robust Support Vector Machines— Yufeng Liu, Human Rights, Section on Government Statistics Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Organizer(s): David Banks, Duke University 3:05 p.m. Bayesian Ensemble Active Learning—❖Hugh Chair(s): Susan Hinkins, NORC at the University of Chicago Chipman, Acadia University; Edward I. George, 2:05 p.m. Update on SIG on Volunteering Efforts—❖Robert University of Pennsylvania; Robert McCulloch, Starbuck, Wyeth Th e University of Chicago Graduate School of Business 2:30 p.m. Developing Graduate Degrees in Statistics at Universities in Vietnam—❖Alicia Carriquiry, 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion Iowa State University 2:55 p.m. Discussion of the Special Interest Group on 5 CC-355 A Statistical Volunteerism—❖Jana Asher, Carnegie ● Time Series Studies of Air Pollution and Health— Mellon University Invited 3:20 p.m. Promoting Quantitative Literacy for School-Age WNAR, ENAR, Section on Health Policy Statistics, Section on Risk Analy- Children—❖Shail J. Butani, Bureau of Labor sis, Biometrics Section, Section on Statistics and the Environment Statistics Organizer(s): Paul Switzer, Stanford University 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion Chair(s): Paul Switzer, Stanford University 2:05 p.m. Estimating the Distributed Lag between Air Pollution and Hospitalization Using a Bayesian 3 CC-255 C ❖ ● ✪ Hierarchical Model— Roger Peng, Th e Johns Fundamental Statistical Questions Underlying Hopkins University; Francesca Dominici, Clinical Trials—Invited Th e Johns Hopkins University; Leah Welty, Biopharmaceutical Section, ENAR, Biometrics Section, WNAR Northwestern University Organizer(s): Alan Dorfman, Bureau of Labor Statistics 2:35 p.m. Reassessing the Relationship Between Ozone and Chair(s): William G. Cumberland, University of California, Los Angeles Short-Term Mortality in U.S. Urban Communities— 2:05 p.m. Beyond Statistical Methods: Quality of Trial ❖Richard L. Smith, Th e University of North Issues—❖Guoxing Soon, U.S. Food and Drug Carolina at Chapel Hill; Baowei Xu, Th e Administration University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; 2:35 p.m. On Criteria for a Measure of Statistical Evidence Allen S. Lefohn, A.S.L. & Associates; Paul in Clinical Trials: What We Want and What We Switzer, Stanford University Don’t—❖Jeﬀ rey D. Blume, Brown University 3:05 p.m. Looking Through the Time Series Study Lens: 3:05 p.m. Disc: Alan Dorfman, Bureau of Labor Statistics Do We See Reality or Fiction?—❖Elizabeth A. 3:25 p.m. Floor Discussion Sheppard, University of Washington 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion

42 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

6 CC-250 C 3:20 p.m. Break Detection for a Class of Nonlinear Time ✪ Threshold Estimation for Functions in Series Models—❖Richard A. Davis, Colorado

Nonparametric and Semiparametric Problems— State University; Th omas C. M. Lee, Th e Thurs-Sun Invited Chinese University of Hong Kong; Gabriel Rodriguez-Yam, Universidad Autonoma Section on Nonparametric Statistics Chapingo Organizer(s): Moulinath Banerjee, University of Michigan 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion Chair(s): Kerby Shedden, University of Michigan 2:05 p.m. Asymptotically Optimal Tests Under Loss of Identifi ability in Semiparametric Models—Rui 9 CC-251 A Song, Th e University of North Carolina at ● Propensity-Score Matching for Observational Chapel Hill; ❖Michael Kosorok, Th e University Studies: Recent Extensions and Refi nements— of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Jason Fine, Invited University of Wisconsin-Madison IMS, Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Section on Health Policy Statis- 2:30 p.m. Trajectories as Predictors of Univariate Responses— tics, Biometrics Section, WNAR ❖Ian McKeague, Columbia University Organizer(s): Ben B. Hansen, University of Michigan 2:55 p.m. Multistage Procedures for Change Point Chair(s): Jonathan Stroud, University of Pennsylvania Estimation—❖George Michailidis, Th e 2:05 p.m. Semiparametric Sequential Estimators for University of Michigan Dynamic Causal Models—❖Michael H. Lechner, 3:20 p.m. Disc: Moulinath Banerjee, University of Michigan University of St. Gallen 3:40 p.m. Floor Discussion 2:30 p.m. Propensity Score–Matching Design in Studies with Repeated Measures—❖Bo Lu, Th e Ohio State University 7 CC-155 E 2:55 p.m. Matching with Propensity and Prognostic Scores— Medallion Lecture I—Invited ❖Ben B. Hansen, University of Michigan IMS, General Methodology, Biometrics Section 3:20 p.m. Disc: Donald B. Rubin, Harvard University Organizer(s): Tony Cai, University of Pennsylvania 3:40 p.m. Floor Discussion Chair(s): Brani Vidakovic, Georgia Institute of Technology 2:05 p.m. Modeling Genes: Statistical Challenges in Modern Genetics—❖Peter Donnelly, University of Oxford 10 CC-260 3:30 p.m. Floor Discussion ● Inference for Multistate Data Under Complex Censoring Structures—Invited ENAR, Biometrics Section, Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences 8 CC-250 E Organizer(s): Somnath Datta, University of Louisville ✪ Nonlinear and Nonstationary Time Series Chair(s): Susmita Datta, University of Louisville Analysis—Invited 2:05 p.m. Statistical Analysis of Multivariate Interval- International Indian Statistical Association Censored Data—❖Jianguo Sun, University of Organizer(s): Soumendra N. Lahiri, Texas A&M University Missouri-Columbia; Manhua Chen, University Chair(s): Soumendra N. Lahiri, Texas A&M University of Missouri-Columbia; Xingwei Tong, Academia 2:05 p.m. Multiple Local Whittle Estimation in Stationary of Science ❖ Systems— Peter M. Robinson, London School 2:30 p.m. Analysis of Longitudinal and Response/Failure of Economics Time Data from an Observational Study with 2:30 p.m. Generalized R-estimators Under Conditional Missing Observations—❖Dianne M. Finkelstein, Heteroscedasticity—❖Kanchan Mukherjee, Th e Harvard/MGH; Natasa Rajicic, Pfi zer Inc.; University of Liverpool David A. Schoenfeld, MGH/Harvard 2:55 p.m. Conditions for the Propagation of Memory 2:55 p.m. Multiply Robust Higher-Order U-Statistics Parameter from Durations to Counts and Realized Estimators for Continuous-Time Multistate Data Volatility—❖Cliff ord M. Hurvich, New York Structures—❖James Robins, Harvard School of University Public Health

Salt Lake City 43 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

3:20 p.m. Disc: Somnath Datta, University of Louisville University of Chicago; Judith Petty, NORC at the 3:40 p.m. Floor Discussion University of Chicago 3:20 p.m. Disc: Cheryl R. Landman, U.S. Census Bureau 11 CC-155 B 3:40 p.m. Floor Discussion ● ✪ Alzheimer’s Disease Research in Utah: Analysis Methods for Early Detection, Epidemiology, and Clinical Trials—Invited ASA, Utah Chapter, Council of Chapters, ENAR, Section on Statistics in Topic-Contributed Sessions Epidemiology, Biometrics Section 2:00 p.m.–3:50 p.m. Organizer(s): Suzanne Hendrix, Myriad Pharmaceuticals Chair(s): C. Shane Reese, Brigham Young University 13 CC-355 B 2:05 p.m. Cognitive Change as a Biomarker in the Early ● 2007 Government Statistics, Social Statistics, Detection of Alzheimer’s Disease—❖Gordon J. and Survey Research Methods Student Paper Chelune, Th e University of Utah Awards Session—Topic-Contributed 2:35 p.m. Analyzing Repeated Neuropsychiatric, Cognitive, Section on Survey Research Methods, Social Statistics Section, Section on and Functional Measures in a Population-Based Government Statistics, SSC Study of Dementia—❖Chris Corcoran, Utah Organizer(s): Roberta Sangster, Bureau of Labor Statistics State University; Carl F. Pieper, Duke University; Chair(s): Steven Heeringa, Institute for Social Research Peter Zandi, Th e Johns Hopkins University 2:05 p.m. Small-Area Estimation in Multivariate Surveys— 3:05 p.m. Responder versus Means Analysis: Illustrated with ❖Hukum Chandra, University of Southampton; Data from a Phase 2 Study of Tarenfl urbil (MPC- Ray Chambers, University of Wollongong 7869) in Alzheimer’s Disease (AD)—❖Kenton 2:25 p.m. Nonparametric Modeling of the Second Order Zavitz, Myriad Pharmaceuticals; Mark Laughlin, Structure of Processes with Time-Varying Myriad Pharmaceuticals; Edward Swabb, Myriad Memory—❖Georg Goerg, Vienna University of Pharmaceuticals Technology; Dana Draghicescu, Hunter College 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion 2:45 p.m. Cosponsorship in the U.S. Senate: A Mixed Effects Approach to Detecting the Subtle Infl uence 12 CC-355 F of Social Relational Factors on Legislative ● ✪ Measuring and Improving Data Quality: Behavior—❖Justin Gross, Carnegie Mellon A Prerequisite to Harnessing the Power of University; Stephen Fienberg, Carnegie Mellon Information—Invited University; Cosma Shalizi, Carnegie Mellon University; David Krackhardt, Carnegie Mellon Social Statistics Section, Section on Government Statistics, Section on Survey Research Methods University Organizer(s): Nancy Gordon, U.S. Census Bureau 3:05 p.m. Imputing Missing Data in the FBI’s Uniform Crime ❖ Chair(s): Nancy Gordon, U.S. Census Bureau Reports— Clint Roberts, Th e Ohio State University; Elizabeth A. Stasny, Th e Ohio State 2:05 p.m. Assessing the Effectiveness of Using Panel University; Michael D. Maltz, Th e Ohio State Respondent Mode Preferences—❖Th omas B. University Hoff er, NORC at the University of Chicago; Karen Grigorian, NORC at the University of 3:25 p.m. Using the Multiple Imputation Technique To Correct Chicago; Ron Fecso, National Science Foundation for Measurement Error and Statistical Disclosure Control in Sensitive Count Data in a National 2:30 p.m. Look and Listen, But Don’t Stop: Interviewers Survey—❖Mandi Yu, University of Michigan and Data Quality in the 2007 SCF—❖Arthur B. Kennickell, Federal Reserve Board 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 2:55 p.m. Survey Quality and Quality Metrics: An Economic Approach—❖Julia Lane, NORC at the University of Chicago; Suzanne Bard, NORC at the

44 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

14 CC-255 D 16 CC-259 ● ✪ Efﬁ cient Designs in Drug Development—Topic- ● Design and Inference in Multinational Trials—

Contributed Topic-Contributed Thurs-Sun Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section, ENAR ENAR, Biometrics Section, Biopharmaceutical Section, WNAR Organizer(s): Michael Smith, Pfi zer Inc. Organizer(s): Yoko Tanaka, Eli Lilly and Company 2:05 p.m. Bayesian Forecasting of Multicenter Enrollment— Chair(s): Ramon Littell, University of Florida ❖Byron Jones, Pfi zer Inc. 2:05 p.m. Design of Multinational Study for Global 2:25 p.m. A Bayesian Design and Analysis for Dose-Response Development—❖Yoshiharu Horie, Nippon Using Informative Prior Information—❖Michael Boehringer Ingelheim Co. Ltd.; Masahiro Smith, Pfi zer Inc.; Scott Marshall, Pfi zer Inc. Takeuchi, Kitasato University 2:45 p.m. Model-Based Trial Design in Depression Using 2:25 p.m. Sample Size Determination of Japanese Patients Bayesian Monitoring and Bootstrap Trial for Multiregional Clinical Trial in Oncology—❖Risa Simulation—❖Roberto Gomeni, GlaxoSmithKline Sekiguchi, Eli Lilly and Company; Sachio 3:05 p.m. Optimizing the Manufacturing of Phase III Material Ogawa, Eli Lilly and Company; Hiroyuki During Phase II Trials—❖Nitin Patel, Cytel Inc.; Uesaka, Eli Lilly and Company Francoise Vandenhende, Eli Lilly and Company 2:45 p.m. Issues in Design of Multiregional Trials—❖Yoichi 3:25 p.m. Accounting for Patient Heterogeneity in Phase II Ii, Pfi zer Japan Inc.; Osamu Komiyama, Pfi zer Clinical Trials—❖J. Kyle Wathen, Th e University Japan Inc.; Kazuhiko Kuribayashi, Pfi zer Japan Inc. of Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer Center; Peter 3:05 p.m. Issues in Conducting Multiregional Trial: F. Th all, Th e University of Texas M. D. Anderson Experience in the PMDA Consultation Meetings— Cancer Center; John D. Cook, Th e University of ❖Yuki Ando, Pharmaceuticals and Medical Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer Center Devices Agency 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 3:25 p.m. Disc: Henry Hsu, U.S. Food and Drug Administration 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 15 CC-255 E ● ✪ Novel Analyses of Time-To-Event Data—Topic- 17 CC-155 C Contributed ✪ Suffi cient Dimension Reduction and High- Biopharmaceutical Section, ENAR, Section on Risk Analysis Dimensional Data—Topic-Contributed Organizer(s): Devan V. Mehrotra, Merck & Co., Inc. IMS, Section on Nonparametric Statistics Chair(s): Donna Kowalski, Astellas Pharma US Organizer(s): Lexin Li, North Carolina State University 2:05 p.m. Extensions of Cure Models for Clustered Time- Chair(s): Wenbin Lu, North Carolina State University to-Event Data—❖Jeremy Taylor, University of 2:05 p.m. Generalized K-Means Inverse Regression Michigan; Yingwei Peng, Queen’s University Estimation—❖Xuerong Wen, University of 2:25 p.m. Constructing Approximate Confi dence Bounds for Missouri-Rolla the True Survival Curve Using the Kaplan-Meier 2:25 p.m. A Novel Moment-Based Suffi cient Dimension Survival Function by Adding an Imaginary Failure Reduction Approach in Multivariate Regression— or Eternal Survivor—❖Craig B. Borkowf, Centers ❖Jae Keun Yoo, University of Louisville for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) 2:45 p.m. Principal Components for Regression: A 2:45 p.m. A Two-Stage Procedure for Comparing Hazard Conditional Point of View—❖Liliana Forzani, Th e Rate Functions—❖Peihua Qiu, Th e University of University of Minnesota Minnesota 3:05 p.m. Dimension Reduction in Time Series—❖Jin-Hong 3:05 p.m. Improved Hazard Ratio Estimation in Small Time- Park, University of Georgia ❖ to-Event Trials— Devan V. Mehrotra, Merck & 3:25 p.m. Model-Free Multivariate Reduced-Rank Model Co., Inc.; Arthur Roth, Pfi zer Inc. Regression with Categorical Predictor—❖Messan 3:25 p.m. Disc: David P. Harrington, Dana-Farber Cancer C. Setodji, RAND Corporation; Lexin Li, North Institute Carolina State University 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion

Salt Lake City 45 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

18 CC-155 F Health System; Michael Daniels, University of ● ✪ Spatial Statistics Applied to Environment— Florida Topic-Contributed 3:05 p.m. Institutionalization at Follow-Up: An Application IMS, Section on Statistical Consulting, Section on Statistics and the of Principal Stratifi cation to the Evaluation Environment of Substance Abuse Treatment—❖Daniel Organizer(s): Tonglin Zhang, Purdue University McCaff rey, RAND Corporation; Beth Ann Chair(s): Michael Levine, Purdue University Griffi n, RAND Corporation 2:05 p.m. Block Bootstrap Procedures for Modeling 3:25 p.m. Latent Class Modeling of Growth and Reproduction ❖ Inhomogeneous Spatial Point Patterns— in Sublethal Toxicity Tests— Michael Pennell, Th e ❖Yongtao Guan, Yale University Ohio State University; David B. Dunson, National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences 2:25 p.m. Assimilation of Current Measurements into a Circulation Model of Lake Michigan—❖Zepu 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion Zhang, Th e University of Chicago; Dmitry Beletsky, University of Michigan; David Schwab, National 20 CC-254 A Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration; Michael ● ✪ Section on Bayesian Statistics Student Paper Stein, Th e University of Chicago Competition—Topic-Contributed 2:45 p.m. Spectrum Estimation for Isotropic Intrinsically Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Stationary Spatial Processes—❖Chunfeng Organizer(s): Merlise A. Clyde, Duke University Huang, Th e Ohio State University; Tailen Hsing, Th e Ohio State University; Noel Cressie, Th e Chair(s): Abel Rodriguez, Duke University Ohio State University 2:05 p.m. Bayesian Classifi cation of Sleep States in ❖ 3:05 p.m. Taxonomy of Spatially Clustered Disease Data: Mice (Student Paper Competition)— Chaitra Capturing and Explaining Spatial Clustering and Nagaraja, University of Pennsylvania; Shane T. Cluster—❖Ge Lin, West Virginia University Jensen, University of Pennsylvania; Abraham Wyner, University of Pennsylvania 3:25 p.m. Space-Time Latent Structure Modeling for Small-Area Health Data—❖ 2:25 p.m. Path Sampling To Compute Bayes Factors: An Andrew B. Lawson, ❖ University of South Carolina Adaptive Approach— Genevieve Lefebvre, McGill University; Russell Steele, McGill 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion University; Alain C. Vandal, McGill University; Sridar Narayanan, McConnell Brain Imaging 19 CC-254 B Centre; Douglas L. Arnold, McConnell Brain ● ✪ Bayesian Modeling of Longitudinal or Event- Imaging Centre Time Data Subject to Nonresponse or Censoring— 2:45 p.m. Multivariate Developmental Trajectory Models Topic-Contributed To Identify Longitudinal Patterns of Disability in ❖ Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, ENAR, Section on Health Policy Statistics Seniors— Jason Connor, Berry Consultants Organizer(s): Susan Paddock, RAND Corporation 3:05 p.m. Analysis of Immunohistochemical Data Using ❖ Chair(s): Jamie Bigelow, Duke University Measurement Error Models— Ronglai Shen, University of Michigan; Debashis Ghosh, 2:05 p.m. Bayesian Variable Selection in Linear Mixed- University of Michigan; Jeremy Taylor, Effects Models for Longitudinal Data with University of Michigan Missing Values—❖Xiaowei Yang, University of California, Davis 3:25 p.m. Floor Discussion 2:25 p.m. Bayesian Variable Selection for Analyzing Longitudinal Substance Abuse Treatment Data Subject to Informative Censoring—❖Susan Paddock, RAND Corporation 2:45 p.m. Approximate Bayesian Model Averaging for Latent Class Pattern Mixture Models with an Unknown Number of Classes—❖Jason Roy, Geisinger

46 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

Topic-Contributed Panels 2:00 p.m.–3:50 p.m. School of Public Health; Haitao Chu, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health

3:35 p.m. Classifi cation with Spectroscopic Data Using Thurs-Sun 21 CC-251 E Bayesian Variable Selection—❖Hongxiao Zhu, Identifying and Overcoming Barriers to Teaching a Rice University; Dennis D. Cox, Rice University Reformed Introductory Course—Topic-Contributed Section on Statistical Education, Section on Teaching Statistics in the Health Sciences 23 CC-255 B ● ✪ Organizer(s): Doug Zahn, Zahn and Associates Recent Advances in Microarray Data Analysis Chair(s): Doug Zahn, Zahn and Associates IV—Contributed Biometrics Section Panelists: ❖Marjorie Bond, Monmouth College Chair(s): Veera Baladandayuthapani, Th e University of Texas M. D. ❖Christine Kohnen, Saint Olaf College Anderson Cancer Center ❖Karen Kinard, Tallahassee Community College 2:05 p.m. A Statistical Method for Selecting Differentially ❖Mary Parker, Austin Community College Expressed Genes—❖Zhao Chen, Florida Gulf 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion Coast University 2:20 p.m. Inferring Genomic Copy Number from CGH Arrays—❖Stephen Erickson, Th e University of Alabama at Birmingham Contributed Sessions 2:00 p.m.–3:50 p.m. 2:35 p.m. A Ridge Penalized Principal-Components Approach Based on Heritability for High-Dimensional Data— ❖Yuanjia Wang, Columbia University; Yixin 22 CC-254 C Fang, Columbia University; Man Jin, Columbia ● ✪ Bayesian Time Series and Binary Data— University Contributed 2:50 p.m. Robustness of Cancer Risk Prediction Using Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Microarrays—❖Chiang-Ching Huang, Chair(s): Stephen B. Cohen, Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality Northwestern University; Irene Helenowski, 2:05 p.m. Mixtures of State Space Models for Time Series Northwestern University with Structural Breaks—❖Ori Rosen, University 3:05 p.m. Incorporating Prior Knowledge of Predictors of Texas at El Paso; Sally Wood, University of into Penalized Classifi ers with Multiple Penalty New South Wales; Robert Kohn, University of Terms—❖Feng Tai, Th e University of Minnesota; New South Wales Wei Pan, Th e University of Minnesota 2:20 p.m. Bayesian Analysis and Applications of a 3:20 p.m. Optimal Microarray Designs for cDNA Microarray Generalized Threshold Autoregressive Model— Experiments—❖Tathagata Bandyopadhyay, ❖Peng Sun, Merck & Co., Inc. Indian Institute of Management Ahmedabad 2:35 p.m. Bayesian Clustering of Time Series with Change 3:35 p.m. An Integrated Approach Using Nonparametric Points—❖Garrick Wallstrom, University of Local Correlation to Identify Critical Pathways in Pittsburgh; William Hogan, University of Pittsburgh Disease—❖Yian Chen, Texas A&M University; 2:50 p.m. Estimating Kappa Coeffi cient and Tetrachoric Marina Vannucci, Texas A&M University Correlation for Clustered Binary Data—❖Xiao Zhang, Th e University of Alabama at 24 CC-255 A Birmingham; Gary Cutter, Th e University of ● ✪ Recent Advances in Longitudinal Data Alabama at Birmingham Analysis—Contributed 3:05 p.m. Selected Bayesian Inference for Correlated Binary Biometrics Section, Biopharmaceutical Section ❖ Data— Patricia Bahnsen, Stephen F. Austin Chair(s): Kai Fun Yu, National Institutes of Health State University 2:05 p.m. Self-Reported Behavior of High-Risk HIV+ ❖ 3:20 p.m. Bayesian Inference in 2 by 2 Tables— Yong Youth: Random Effects Models for Multivariate Chen, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Longitudinal Discrete Data—❖Lily Altstein, Health; Sining Chen, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg University of California, Los Angeles

Salt Lake City 47 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

2:20 p.m. Longitudinal Analysis for Post-Transplant U.S. Food and Drug Administration ❖ Serum Creatinine Data— Zailong Wang, 3:05 p.m. Optimization of Dilution Scheme—❖Andrew Novartis Pharmaceuticals; Luen Lee, Novartis Chen, MedImmune, Inc.; Harry Yang, Pharmaceuticals MedImmune, Inc.; Iksung Cho, MedImmune, Inc. 2:35 p.m. Giving Treatment to Controls: When Is It a Good 3:20 p.m. Statistical Analysis of Measurement Data with ❖ Idea?— Kimberly Walters, Th e Ohio State Values Below Detection Limits—❖Donghui University Zhang, sanofi -aventis; Cun-Hui Zhang, Rutgers 2:50 p.m. Comparing the Correlation Coeffi cients Between University the Random Effects in Multivariate Linear Mixed 3:35 p.m. One-Sided Test for Gene-Gene Association— ❖ Models— Yuxiao Tang, Rush University; Chengjie ❖Chaehyung Ahn, Rho, Inc. Xiong, Washington University in St. Louis 3:05 p.m. Comparison of ICC and CCC for Assessing Agreement for Data Without and with 26 CC-250 A Replications—❖Chia-Cheng Chen, North Generalized Distributions and Testing Methods— Carolina State University Contributed General Methodology, Biopharmaceutical Section, IMS, Section on Physi- 3:20 p.m. A Local Sensitivity Analysis Approach to Longitudinal cal and Engineering Sciences, SSC Binary Data with Nonignorable Dropout—❖Hui Xie, Chair(s): Jing Zhao, Merck & Co., Inc. University of Illinois at Chicago 2:05 p.m. Iterative Modifi ed Likelihood Ratio Test for 3:35 p.m. A Comparison of Mixed Effect Models and Cox Homogeneity—❖Pengfei Li, University of Proportional Hazard Models for Unbalanced Waterloo; Jiahua Chen, University of British Longitudinal Data—❖Wonsuk Yoo, Wayne State Columbia University; Dennis Tsilimingras, Wayne State University; John M. Flack, Wayne State University 2:20 p.m. The Equivalence Between Selecting and Hypothesis Testing—❖Weixing Cai, Syracuse University; Pinyuen Chen, Syracuse University 25 CC-255 F 2:35 p.m. Small Sample Behavior of Resampling Methods— ● ✪ Statistical Issues in Discovery and Nonclinical ❖Dongmei Li, Th e Ohio State University; Jason Development—Contributed C. Hsu, Th e Ohio State University Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section 2:50 p.m. The Skew Generalized Secant Hyperbolic Chair(s): Martha E. Nunn, Boston University Distribution and Its Properties—❖David Vaughan, 2:05 p.m. A New, Convolution-Based Approach to Developing Wilfrid Laurier University ❖ a Level-A In Vitro In Vivo Correlation— Roel 3:05 p.m. Generalized Exponentiated Beta Distribution— Straetemans, Johnson & Johnson PRD; Tom ❖Alfred A. Akinsete, Marshall University Jacobs, University Hasselt; Geert Molenberghs, 3:20 p.m. A Study of Robust Estimation Approach for Hasselt University; Luc Bijnens, Johnson & Analysis of Variance When the Distribution of Error Johnson PRD Terms Is Non-Normal—❖Aysun Çetinyürek, 2:20 p.m. Application of Group Sequential Methodology to a Başkent University; Bridal Senoglue, Ankara ❖ Preclinical Model— Lixin Han, Wyeth; Suzana Universities Marusic, Wyeth 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion 2:35 p.m. Developing Statistical Methods for Setting Specifi cation Limits—❖Michelle Quinlan, University of Nebraska-Lincoln; Erin 27 CC-155 D Blankenship, University of Nebraska-Lincoln; ✪ Multiple Hypothesis Testing and Geomics— Walt Stroup, University of Nebraska-Lincoln; Contributed James Schwenke, Boehringer Ingelheim IMS, Biometrics Section Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Chair(s): John Emerson, Yale University 2:50 p.m. Statistical Consideration in the Evaluation of Red 2:05 p.m. Hierarchical Dependence in Meta-Analysis— Blood Cell Products—❖Jeongsook Kim, U.S. ❖John R. Stevens, Utah State University; Alan Food and Drug Administration; Tie-Hua Ng, M. Taylor, Brigham Young University-Idaho

48 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

2:20 p.m. Sequential Hypothesis Testing in Sensor 2:50 p.m. Multiple Imputation of the Euroqol EQ-5D: Testing Networks—❖Yajun Mei, Georgia Institute of Different Approaches Using IVEWare—❖Robert

Technology Gerzoff , Centers for Disease Control and Thurs-Sun 2:35 p.m. Modifi ed Holm’s Critical Values Using Prevention; Th eodore J. Th ompson, Centers for Correlation—❖Zijiang Yang, Temple University; Disease Control and Prevention Sanat Sarkar, Temple University 3:05 p.m. A Choice of Prediction Rules in Logistic Regression ❖ 2:50 p.m. On the Probability of Correct Selection for Large Models— Melvin Ott k Populations with Application to Microarray 3:20 p.m. Nonparametric Confi dence Intervals for the Mean Data—❖Jason Wilson, University of California, of a Right-Skewed Distribution—❖Kenny Shum, Riverside; Xinping Cui, University of California, Th e Johns Hopkins University; Scott Zeger, Th e Riverside Johns Hopkins University 3:05 p.m. Alpha-Investing: A New Multiple Hypothesis 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion Testing Procedure—❖Robert Stine, University of Pennsylvania; Dean Foster, University of Pennsylvania 29 CC-251 C ● ✪ Data Analysis and Modeling—Contributed 3:20 p.m. Statistics on High-Dimensional Data Analysis— Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences, Section on Quality and ❖Yingli Qin, Iowa State University; Song Xi Productivity Chen, Iowa State University Chair(s): Kristofer Jennings, Purdue University 3:35 p.m. Pseudo-ROC: Method Comparisons in the Absence 2:05 p.m. A New Statistical Approach for the Analysis of of a ‘Gold Standard’—❖Richard Bourgon, Uncertain Systems—❖Xinjia Chen, Louisiana European Bioinformatics Institute State University; Kemin Zhou, Louisiana State University; Jorge Aravena, Louisiana State 28 CC-355 D University ● ✪ Health Policy Interventions and Methods— 2:20 p.m. The Effi ciency of Ridge Regression Estimators with Contributed Respect to Zellner’s Balanced Loss Function— Section on Health Policy Statistics, WNAR ❖Marvin Gruber, Rochester Institute of Chair(s): Arvind Jain, RAND Corporation Technology 2:05 p.m. Relationship Between Competitiveness of Colleges 2:35 p.m. Identifi cation of Dispersion Effects in Replicated and Levels of Tobacco Use—❖Joost Bottenbley, Experiments—❖Cheryl Dingus, Battelle; Th e Johns Hopkins University; Yasmin H. Angela Dean, Th e Ohio State University; Bruce Said, George Mason University; Edward Ankenman, Northwestern University Wegman, George Mason University; Samer 2:50 p.m. A Sequential Methodology for Change Point Ellahham, Innovative Medical Institute/Paragon Estimation—❖Yan Lan, University of Michigan; Cardiovascular Foundation; David Anderson Moulinath Banerjee, University of Michigan; 2:20 p.m. Restriction of Trans Fatty Acids in Washington, DC, George Michailidis, Th e University of Michigan Metropolitan Area: Health Benefi ts and Economic 3:05 p.m. Inference for Multipiecewise Regression Using the Impact—Joost Bottenbley, Th e Johns Hopkins Bootstrap—❖Trevor Craney, Sikorsky University; Samer Ellahham, Innovative Medical 3:20 p.m. Generalized Confi dence Intervals for Proportion of Institute/Paragon Cardiovascular Foundation; Conformance—❖Paul Patterson, USDA Forest Yasmin H. Said, George Mason University; Service Edward Wegman, George Mason University; 3:35 p.m. Analysis of Probability of Detection and Probability ❖Malda Bashi, Paragon Cardiovascular of Alarm on Sonic IR Inspection Data Using Foundation the Mixed Effects Model and Bootstrapping— 2:35 p.m. Price Indexes with a Health Insurance ❖Chunwang Gao, Iowa State University; ❖ Component— Ralph Bradley, Bureau of Labor William Meeker, Iowa State University; Donna Statistics Mayton, SAIC

Salt Lake City 49 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

30 CC-251 B Brigham Young University; Mitchell Harris, ● ✪ Statistical Process Control and Other Related Brigham Young University; Michael K. Topics in Quality—Contributed Lauritzen, Brigham Young University; Robert Section on Quality and Productivity Bubb, Brigham Young University; Bruce Brown, Brigham Young University Chair(s): William Guthrie, National Institute of Standards and Technology 3:20 p.m. Determining a Minimum Number of Observations ❖ 2:05 p.m. Multivariate Process Control for Improved in Factor Analytic Studies— Robert Bubb, Detection of Changes in Process Location— Brigham Young University; Bruce Brown, ❖Amitava Mitra, Auburn University Brigham Young University 2:20 p.m. Monitoring the Slopes of Linear Profi les—❖Junjia 3:35 p.m. A Meta-Analysis of the Content and Effectiveness Zhu, Th e Pennsylvania State University of Training Programs for Federal and State Transportation Employees—John Aleong, 2:35 p.m. Monitoring of Hazard Rates for Dynamically University of Vermont; ❖Chandra Aleong, Changing Observations—❖Emmanuel Yashchin, Delaware State University IBM T.J. Watson Research Center 2:50 p.m. Benefi ts of Integrating Operational Profi les with Classical Acceptance Sampling in the 2010 U.S. 32 CC-250 D Census—❖Th omas George, Evolver, Inc. ● Water-Related Issues and Methodology— 3:05 p.m. Sampling Procedures for Extending the Use of the Contributed Fishbone Diagram—❖Frank Matejcik, South Section on Statistics and the Environment, Biometrics Section Dakota School of Mines Chair(s): Annie Chu, University of California, Los Angeles 3:20 p.m. Floor Discussion 2:05 p.m. Functional Linear Models for Daily and Yearly Streamfl ow Measures—❖Mark Greenwood, Montana State University; Johnnie N. Moore, 31 CC-251 F University of Montana; Joel T. Harper, Interesting Statistical Applications—Contributed University of Montana Section on Statistical Education, General Methodology, Section on Teach- 2:20 p.m. Modeling Shark Bycatch: The Zero-Infl ated ing Statistics in the Health Sciences Negative Binomial Regression Model with Chair(s): James Cochran, Louisiana Tech University Smoothing—❖Mihoko Minami, Institute of 2:05 p.m. Regression Through the Origin: Models and Statistical Mathematics ❖ Methods— Patrick Johnston, Children’s 2:35 p.m. A Distance-Based Classifi er with Application to Hospital Boston Microbial Source Tracking—❖Jayson Wilbur, 2:20 p.m. Testing the Score Invariance of State Performance Worcester Polytechnic Institute ❖ Tests Over Time— Jiahe Qian, Educational 2:50 p.m. Grain Size Distributions in Modern and Ancient Testing Service Fluvial Systems—❖Snehalata Huzurbazar, 2:35 p.m. Inference for Normal Mixture Model, Univariate University of Wyoming or Multivariate, in Both Mean, and Variance— 3:05 p.m. Spatial Modeling for Groundwater Arsenic ❖ Xianming Tan, Queens University; Jiahua Levels in North Carolina—❖Dohyeong Kim, Chen, University of British Columbia Duke University; Marie Lynn Miranda, Duke 2:50 p.m. Measurement Error in Factor Analysis: The University; Joshua Tootoo, Duke University; Question of Structural Validity—❖Michael K. Alan E. Gelfand, Duke University Lauritzen, Brigham Young University; Landon 3:20 p.m. Change Point Analysis for Water Pressure Data— Poppleton, Brigham Young University; Mitchell Snehalata Huzurbazar, University of Wyoming; Harris, Brigham Young University; Naomi ❖Arunendu Chatterjee, University of Wyoming Hunsaker, Brigham Young University; Robert ❖ Bubb, Brigham Young University; Bruce Brown, 3:35 p.m. Weibull Prediction Limits with Retesting— Kirk Brigham Young University Cameron, MacStat Consulting, Ltd. 3:05 p.m. The Central Limit Theorem and Structural Validity in Factor Analysis—❖Landon Poppleton,

50 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

33 CC-258 34 CC-257 ● Modeling and Estimation in Environmental and ● Modeling and Estimation of Disease Prevalence,

Occupational Health—Contributed Incidence, and Spread—Contributed Thurs-Sun Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Section on Health Policy Statistics Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Section on Health Policy Statistics, Chair(s): Dirk Moore, University of Medicine and Dentistry of New Section on Teaching Statistics in the Health Sciences Jersey Chair(s): Leann Myers, Tulane University 2:05 p.m. A Comparative Analysis of the Chronic Effects of 2:05 p.m. Informative Allocation To Stabilize MLE in Finite Fine Particulate Matter—❖Sorina Eftim, Th e Mixture Models—❖Nong Shang, Centers for Johns Hopkins University; Holly Janes, Th e Disease Control and Prevention Johns Hopkins University; Aidan McDermott, 2:20 p.m. An Incidence Model for Capture Recapture— Th e Johns Hopkins University; Jonathan Samet, ❖Lawrence Lessner, State University of New Th e Johns Hopkins University; Francesca York at Albany Dominici, Th e Johns Hopkins University 2:35 p.m. Spatial Analysis of Breast Cancer Incidence in 2:20 p.m. The Effect of PM2.5 on Hospital Admissions Rates Rockland County, New York County, and Western ❖ by Season and Region— Keita Ebisu, Yale Queens County—❖Heather Watson, New York University; Michelle Bell, Yale University; Roger University; Mengling Liu, New York University; Peng, Th e Johns Hopkins University; Francesca Judith D. Goldberg, New York University Dominici, Th e Johns Hopkins University 2:50 p.m. Hills, Valleys, and Rivers: The Transmission of 2:35 p.m. Statistical Issues in Health Effects of Air Raccoon Rabies over an Uneven Landscape— ❖ Pollution— Donna Stroup, Klemm Analysis ❖David Wheeler, Emory University; Lance Group, Inc.; Rebecca Klemm, Klemm Analysis Waller, Emory University Group, Inc. 3:05 p.m. A Simulation Model for Testing the Effect of 2:50 p.m. Exposure-Response Assessment of Airborne Interventions During a Pandemic Inﬂ uenza ❖ Indoor Allergen Immunoassay— Juan Liang, Outbreak—❖Xiaoping Jin, Centers for Disease University of Cincinnati; Linda Levin, University Control and Prevention; Hong Zhou, Centers of Cincinnati; Tiina Reponen, University of for Disease Control and Prevention; William Cincinnati; Grace LeMasters, University of W. Th ompson, Centers for Disease Control and Cincinnati; David Bernstein, University of Prevention; Po-Yung Cheng, Centers for Disease Cincinnati; Rolanda Olds, University of Cincinnati; Control and Prevention; David K. Shay, Centers Zana Lummus, University of Cincinnati for Disease Control and Prevention; Michael 3:05 p.m. Correcting for Shared Measurement Error in Haber, Emory University ❖ Complex Dosimetry Systems— Terri K. Johnson, 3:20 p.m. Floor Discussion University of Southern California; Daniel Stram, University of Southern California 3:20 p.m. The Comparison of Fitted Nonlinear Exposure- 35 CC-355 C ● Response Relationships in Cox Models Using Imputation of Missing Data: Applications and Smoothing Methods Through Simulations—❖Usha Methods—Contributed Govindarajulu, Yale University; Betty Malloy, Section on Survey Research Methods, Section on Health Policy Statistics, American University; Bhaswati Ganguli, Biometrics Section University of Calcutta; Donna Spiegelman, Chair(s): Meena Khare, National Center for Health Statistics Harvard School of Public Health; Ellen Eisen, 2:05 p.m. Adjusting the German Labor Force Survey Harvard School of Public Health for Under-Reporting by Means of Calibrated 3:35 p.m. Recovering the Estimated Slope of an Imputation—❖Hans Kiesl, Institute for Unobservable Predictor in a Simple Regression— Employment Research; Susanne Rässler, ❖Wenyaw Chan, Th e University of Texas at Institute for Employment Research Houston; Hung-Wen Yeh, Th e University of Kansas Medical Center; Elaine Symanski, University of Texas at Houston

Salt Lake City 51 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

2:20 p.m. Not Just Another Multiple Imputation: Practical ❖Bryce Johnson, Westat; Jill M. Montaquila, Aspects for Highly Correlated Data—❖Lester Westat; Andrew Heller, Westat Curtin, Centers for Disease Control and 3:20 p.m. Selection of Small and Large Schools in State Prevention; Nathaniel Schenker, National Center and County School Surveys—❖Tonja M. Kyle, for Health Statistics; Jeff rey Hughes, Centers for Macro International; Pedro J. Saavedra, Macro Disease Control and Prevention; Lori Borrund, International; James G. Ross, Macro International Centers for Disease Control and Prevention 3:35 p.m. Reduction of Sample Areas in the Consumer 2:35 p.m. Data Imputation Models for Nontrended Price Price Index and Consumer Expenditure Survey ❖ Data— Kennon Copeland, IMS Health; Boris Designs—❖Lawrence Ernst, Bureau of Labor Brodsky, IMS Health Statistics; William H. Johnson, Bureau of Labor 2:50 p.m. Weight Adjustments for Fractional Regression Statistics; William E. Larson, Bureau of Labor Hot Deck Imputation—❖Min Hui Paik, Iowa State Statistics University; Michael D. Larsen, Iowa State University 3:05 p.m. Robust Sequential Regression Imputation Method—❖Irina Bondarenko, University of Michigan; Trivellore E. Raghunathan, University Special Presentation 4:00 p.m.–5:50 p.m. of Michigan 3:20 p.m. Imputation of Rental Equivalence in the Consumer ❖ 37 CC-255 E Expenditure Interview Survey— Barry Steinberg, Introductory Overview Lecture 1: Adaptive Designs Bureau of Labor Statistics; Eric Keil, Bureau of Labor Statistics; David Swanson, Bureau of Labor and Other Emerging Issues in Clinical Trials—Other Statistics; Shirley Tsai, Bureau of Labor Statistics; ASA, ENAR, WNAR, IMS, SSC, Committee on Applied Statisticians Garner Th esia, Bureau of Labor Statistics Organizer(s): Mani Y. Lakshminarayanan, Pfi zer Inc. 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion Chair(s): Inna Perevozskaya, Merck & Co., Inc. 4:05 p.m. Designing Clinical Trials To Evaluate Dynamic Treatment Regimes—❖Peter F. Th all, Th e 36 CC-355 E University of Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer Center ● Sampling Design: Methods, Adaptation, 4:50 p.m. When Would I Consider Adaptive Design for Late- Redesign—Contributed Stage Development?—❖Keaven M. Anderson, Section on Survey Research Methods Merck & Co., Inc. Chair(s): Vincent G. Iannacchione, RTI International 5:35 p.m. Floor Discussion 2:05 p.m. Multiple Matrix Sampling: A Review—❖Jeff rey Gonzalez, Bureau of Labor Statistics; John L. Eltinge, Bureau of Labor Statistics 2:20 p.m. Estimating Population Proportions Using Link- Invited Sessions 4:00 p.m.–5:50 p.m. Tracing Sampling Designs with Subsampling and Partial Knowledge on Degree Distribution—❖Mike Kwanisai, NORC at the University of Chicago 38 CC-250 E ● ✪ 2:35 p.m. Some Statistical Issues in Adapting Sample Curve Forecasting in Modern Business— Designs for Surveys Requiring Rapid Response— Invited ❖Allison Deal, Th e University of North Carolina Business and Economics Statistics Section at Chapel Hill; William D. Kalsbeek, Th e Organizer(s): Haipeng Shen, Th e University of North Carolina at University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Chapel Hill 2:50 p.m. Optimal 2-Stage Sampling Theory for Business Chair(s): Hui Zhi, GlaxoSmithKline Customer Satisfaction Surveys—❖John Rotondo, 4:05 p.m. Bayesian Forecasting of an Inhomogeneous Poisson AT&T Labs - Research Process with Applications to Call Center Data— ❖ 3:05 p.m. An Automated Procedure for Forming Contiguous Jonathan Stroud, University of Pennsylvania; Sampling Units for Area Probability Samples— Jonathan Weinberg, University of Pennsylvania; Lawrence D. Brown, University of Pennsylvania

52 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

4:30 p.m. Interday Forecasting and Intraday Updating of Call 5:05 p.m. Longitudinal Data in Threshold Regression: Center Arrivals—❖Haipeng Shen, Th e University Implementation and Relation to Cox Regression ❖

of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Jianhua Z. with Time-Varying Covariates— Mei-Ling Thurs-Sun Huang, Texas A&M University Ting Lee, Th e Ohio State University; George A. 4:55 p.m. Bayesian Modeling and Forecasting of Intraday Whitmore, McGill University Electricity Load and Spot Prices—❖Michael S. 5:35 p.m. Floor Discussion Smith, University of Melbourne 5:20 p.m. Disc: J. Stephen Marron, Th e University of 41 CC-255 D North Carolina at Chapel Hill ● The Role of Statistical Standards in Federal 5:45 p.m. Floor Discussion Surveys—Invited Section on Survey Research Methods, Section on Government Statistics, 39 CC-355 B Social Statistics Section ● ✪ Design and Analysis for Genome-Wide Organizer(s): Pamela D. McGovern, U.S. Census Bureau Association Studies—Invited Chair(s): Jennifer Madans, National Center for Health Statistics ENAR, Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Biometrics Section, WNAR 4:05 p.m. Evaluation of Prospective Costs and Beneﬁ ts of Organizer(s): Colin O. Wu, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute Standards for Statistical Programs—❖John L. Chair(s): Jungnam Joo, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute Eltinge, Bureau of Labor Statistics 4:05 p.m. Statistical Issues Arising from Analysis of Genome- 4:30 p.m. Developing and Implementing Data Quality Wide Case-Control Association Studies—❖Gang Standards at the U.S. Census Bureau—Pamela ❖ Zheng, National Heart, Lung, and Blood D. McGovern, U.S. Census Bureau; David C. Institute; Jungnam Joo, National Heart, Lung, Whitford, U.S. Census Bureau; John M. Bushery, and Blood Institute; Colin O. Wu, National Heart, U.S. Census Bureau Lung, and Blood Institute; Nancy L. Geller, 4:55 p.m. Lessons Learned Using Statistical Standards National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute To Improve/Ensure Data Quality—❖Marilyn 4:30 p.m. Multistage Sampling for Genetic Studies— Seastrom, National Center for Education ❖Robert C. Elston, Case Western Reserve Statistics University 5:20 p.m. Disc: Brian Harris-Kojetin, Oﬃ ce of 4:55 p.m. Testing Strategies for Genome-Wide Association Management and Budget Studies: Using the Same Dataset for Screening 5:40 p.m. Floor Discussion and Replication—❖Christoph Lange, Harvard School of Public Health 42 CC-250 F 5:20 p.m. Interactions in Whole-Genome Association ● Collaboration Between Academia, Industry, and Studies—❖ Josephine Hoh, Yale University Government in Statistical Sciences—Invited 5:40 p.m. Floor Discussion SPAIG Committee, Section on Statisticians in Defense and National Secu- rity, ENAR 40 CC-155 F Organizer(s): Morteza Marzjarani, Saginaw Valley State University ● ✪ First Hitting Time Models and Threshold Chair(s): George Williams, Amgen Inc. Regression—Invited 4:05 p.m. The 2007 SPAIG Salary Survey—❖Michael D. SSC, Biometrics Section Larsen, Iowa State University; Dianne Anderson, Organizer(s): George A. Whitmore, McGill University Iowa State University; Janice Larson, Iowa State Chair(s): George A. Whitmore, McGill University University ❖ 4:05 p.m. What Hides Behind the Data?—❖Odd O. Aalen, 4:30 p.m. Student Recruitment Database— Robert G. University of Oslo Wilkinson, Th e Lubrizol Corporation ❖ 4:35 p.m. A Class of Simple Lifetime Regression Models 4:55 p.m. The WPI-NCHS Partnership— Balgobin Resulting from First-Hitting Times—❖Th ierry Nandram, Worcester Polytechnic Institute Duchesne, Laval University

Salt Lake City 53 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

5:20 p.m. How to Compete for the Academe, Industry, and Chair(s): Xu Han, University of Pennsylvania Government (SPAIG) Award?—❖Jai W. Choi, 4:05 p.m. Statistical Issues in Detecting Gamma-Ray National Center for Health Statistics; Robert Pulsars—❖John Rice, University of California, Starbuck, Wyeth Berkeley 5:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 4:35 p.m. Semiparametric Bivariate Density Estimation with Irregularly Truncated Data—❖Chad Schafer, 43 CC-255 B Carnegie Mellon University ❖ Rietz Lecture—Invited 5:05 p.m. Clustering of Absorption Systems— Ji Meng Loh, Columbia University IMS Organizer(s): Tony Cai, University of Pennsylvania 5:35 p.m. Floor Discussion Chair(s): Tze Leung Lai, Stanford University 4:05 p.m. Statistical Problems of Gene Mapping—❖David 46 CC-155 B Siegmund, Stanford University ● ✪ Gerontologic Biostatistics—Invited 5:30 p.m. Floor Discussion Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Biometrics Section, WNAR Organizer(s): Heather G. Allore, Yale University 44 CC-255 C Chair(s): Heather G. Allore, Yale University ● ✪ Challenge Issues on Longitudinal Biomedical 4:05 p.m. Integrating Qualitative and Quantitative Information Data Analysis—Invited in Clinical Epidemiologic Research with Older Populations—❖Peter H. Van Ness, Yale Biometrics Section, ENAR, Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Section University on Health Policy Statistics, WNAR Organizer(s): Annie Qu, Oregon State University 4:25 p.m. Meta-Analysis at the Individual Level: Synthesis of Inferences Across Multiple Gerontological Chair(s): Annie Qu, Oregon State University Databases—❖Karen Bandeen-Roche, Johns 4:05 p.m. Does Mis-speciﬁ cation of the Random Effects Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health Distribution Affect Predictions of Random Multiple Trajectories in Aging Research—❖ Effects?—❖Charles E. McCulloch, University 4:45 p.m. Carl F. of California, San Francisco; John Neuhaus, Pieper, Duke University University of California, San Francisco 5:05 p.m. Disc: Christina Wolfson, McGill University 4:30 p.m. Modeling of Mean-Covariance Structures in 5:25 p.m. Disc: Brenda F. Kurland, Fred Hutchinson Generalized Estimating Equations for Longitudinal Cancer Research Center Data—❖Jianxin Pan, University of Manchester 5:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 4:55 p.m. Finite Sample Bias Corrections to Sandwich Covariance Estimators for Longitudinal and ❖ 47 CC-251 F Clustered Data— John Preisser, Th e University ● ✪ of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Bing Lu, Land Grant University Ethics (LANGURE): The Brown University; Bahjat Qaqish, Th e University Ethical Use of Statistics in Research—Invited of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Section on Statistical Consulting, Section on Statistical Education Organizer(s): Marcia Gumpertz, North Carolina State University 5:20 p.m. Analysis of Clustered Longitudinal Data with Applications to Clinical Dental Research—❖Brian Chair(s): Don Edwards, University of South Carolina G. Leroux, University of Washington 4:05 p.m. The Ethical Use of Statistics in Research— ❖ 5:45 p.m. Floor Discussion George P. McCabe, Purdue University 4:30 p.m. Training University Students in Ethical Use of Statistics as Part of the LANGURE Project— 45 CC-251 A ❖Larry A. Nelson, North Carolina State University Probing the Universe with Nonparametric 4:55 p.m. Land Grant University Ethics (LANGURE): The Methods—Invited Ethical Use of Statistics in Research—❖Michael IMS, Biometrics Section, Section on Nonparametric Statistics Crotty, SAS Institute Inc. Organizer(s): Christopher Genovese, Carnegie Mellon University

54 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

5:20 p.m. Disc: John Gardenier, Retired Invited Panels 4:00 p.m.–5:50 p.m. 5:40 p.m. Floor Discussion

50 CC-251 E Thurs-Sun 48 CC-251 B Issues in Conducting Experiments in Statistical Education—Invited ● Design- and Model-Based Sampling and Section on Statistical Education, Section on Teaching Statistics in the Inference—Invited Health Sciences Section on Statistics and the Environment, Section on Statistics in Epi- Organizer(s): Patti Collings, Brigham Young University demiology, Biometrics Section, General Methodology, Section on Survey Research Methods Chair(s): Patti Collings, Brigham Young University Organizer(s): Ronald E. McRoberts, USDA Forest Service Panelists: ❖ William Harkness, Th e Pennsylvania State Chair(s): Gretchen G. Moisen, USDA Forest Service University ❖ 4:05 p.m. Design-Based, Model-Based, and Model-Assisted G. Bruce Schaalje, Brigham Young University Sampling, and Inference in Natural Resources— ❖ Dennis K. Pearl, Th e Ohio State University ❖Mary Christman, University of Florida ❖ John P. Holcomb, Cleveland State University 4:30 p.m. Optimal Spatial Sampling: Probability-Based or 5:45 p.m. Floor Discussion Model-Based?—❖Don L. Stevens, Jr., Oregon State University 4:55 p.m. Design-Based and Model-Based Issues in Natural Resource Inventories—❖Ronald E. McRoberts, Topic-Contributed Sessions USDA Forest Service 4:00 p.m.–5:50 p.m. 5:20 p.m. Disc: Timothy Gregoire, Yale University 5:40 p.m. Floor Discussion 51 CC-355 E ● ✪ Ethnic Comparisons in Global Health 49 CC-259 Research—Topic-Contributed ● Missing Information in Health-Related Quality- Biopharmaceutical Section, Section on Health Policy Statistics of-Life Data—Invited Organizer(s): Kyoungah See, Eli Lilly and Company Section on Health Policy Statistics, ENAR, Biometrics Section, WNAR Chair(s): Yoko Tanaka, Eli Lilly and Company Organizer(s): Shannon E. Allen, Merck & Co., Inc. 4:05 p.m. Assessment of Similarity in Dose Responses Chair(s): Shannon E. Allen, Merck & Co., Inc. Between Two Ethnic Populations for Drug Development: A Resampling Approach— 4:05 p.m. Bivariate Normal Frailty Models for Multiple QOL ❖Kyoungah See, Eli Lilly and Company Outcomes—❖Andrea B. Troxel, University of Pennsylvania; Denise A. Esserman, Th e 4:25 p.m. The Application of Adaptive Design in R&D in ❖ University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Japan from a Statistical Point of View— Hajime Uno, Kitasato University; Masahiro Takeuchi, 4:35 p.m. The Analysis of Questionnaire Submission Rates in Kitasato University; Fumiaki Takahashi, Kitasato Longitudinal HRQOL Assessment—❖Stephanie R. University Land, University of Pittsburgh; Marcie W. Ritter, University of Pittsburgh; Sarah Haile, University 4:45 p.m. A Bayesian Approach to Evaluation of Bridging ❖ of Pittsburgh Evidence— Hsiao-Hui Tsou, National Health Research Institutes; Chin-Fu Hsiao, National 5:05 p.m. The Value of Ancillary Data in Longitudinal Studies Health Research Institutes; Yu-Yi Hsu, Iowa State of Health-Related Quality of Life with Informative University; Jen-pei Liu, National Taiwan University Dropout—❖Diane Fairclough, University of Colorado at Denver and Health Services Center; 5:05 p.m. Minority Differences in Cancer Survival on ❖ Mark Jaros, University of Colorado at Denver Cooperative Group Clinical Trials— Beow Yong and Health Services Center Yeap, Massachusetts General Hospital/Harvard Medical School; Marvin Zelen, Harvard School 5:35 p.m. Floor Discussion of Public Health 5:25 p.m. Floor Discussion

Salt Lake City 55 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

52 CC-250 C 5:05 p.m. To Recall or Not To Recall? Statistical Assessment ✪ Ranked Set Sampling II—Topic-Contributed of Consumer Product Failure Risk—❖Ke Zhao, Section on Nonparametric Statistics, Section on Survey Research Methods Exponent, Inc.; Duane Steff ey, Exponent, Inc. Organizer(s): Omer Ozturk, Th e Ohio State University 5:25 p.m. Disc: Michael Orkin, Exponent, Inc. Chair(s): Omer Ozturk, Th e Ohio State University 5:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 4:05 p.m. Optimal Sign Test for One Sample Bivariate Location Model Using an Alternative Bivariate ❖ 54 CC-254 B Ranked Set Sample— Hani Samawi, Georgia ● Analyzing Time Series Data with Time-Varying Southern University Frequencies—Topic-Contributed 4:25 p.m. Optimal Allocation for Unbalanced Stratifi ed Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences, Section on Statistics and ❖ Ranked Set Sample— Chris Sroka, Th e Ohio the Environment State University; Elizabeth A. Stasny, Th e Ohio Organizer(s): Wayne Woodward, Southern Methodist University State University; Douglas Wolfe, Th e Ohio State Chair(s): Henry L. Gray, Southern Methodist University University 4:05 p.m. The Application of the Kalman Filter to 4:45 p.m. Order-Restricted Randomized Designs for Linear Nonstationary Time Series Through Time Models Using L1 Norm—❖Shannon Markiewicz, Deformation—❖Zhu Wang, Fred Hutchinson Th e Ohio State University; Omer Ozturk, Th e Cancer Research Center Ohio State University 4:25 p.m. Time-Frequency Analysis: G(lambda)-stationary 5:05 p.m. Optimal Allocation in the Presence of Missing Processes—❖Huiping Jiang, Columbia Data—❖Jessica Kohlschmidt, Th e Ohio State University; Henry L. Gray, Southern Methodist University; Elizabeth A. Stasny, Th e Ohio State University; Wayne Woodward, Southern University; Douglas Wolfe, Th e Ohio State Methodist University University 4:45 p.m. Filtering Analysis for Nonstationary Time Series by 5:25 p.m. Rejective Sampling and Conditional Tests Time Deformation—❖Mengyuan Xu, Southern from Biased Samples for the Equality of Two Methodist University Distributions—❖Qing Kang, North Dakota State University; Paul I. Nelson, Kansas State 5:05 p.m. Generalization and Applications of Linear Chirp ❖ University Stationary Processes— Stephen Robertson, Southern Methodist University 5:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 5:25 p.m. Time Transformation Methods for Analyzing Data with Time-Varying Frequencies, with 53 CC-251 C Applications—❖Wayne Woodward, Southern ● ✪ Consumer Product Risk—Topic-Contributed Methodist University; Henry L. Gray, Southern Section on Risk Analysis Methodist University Organizer(s): Rose Ray, Exponent, Inc. 5:45 p.m. Floor Discussion Chair(s): Rose Ray, Exponent, Inc. 4:05 p.m. Sex Differences: Rare Traffi c Fatalities Support ❖ 55 CC-255 A Nature over Nurture— Leonard Evans, Science ✪ Spatial Statistics: Methods and Applications— Serving Society Topic-Contributed 4:25 p.m. Evaluation of the Effect of ABS in Truck Crashes IMS, Section on Statistical Graphics, Section on Statistics and the Environ- ❖ Using LTCCS Data— Wai Chan, Exponent, ment Inc.; Rose Ray, Exponent, Inc.; Bruce Ketcham, Organizer(s): Zepu Zhang, Th e University of Chicago Exponent, Inc. Chair(s): Li Chen, Th e University of Chicago 4:45 p.m. National Estimates of Nonfatal Consumer 4:05 p.m. Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis Using APLE Product Injuries: Surveillance Data from Hospital Statistics—❖Hongfei Li, Th e Ohio State Emergency Departments, 1980–2005—❖Madhu University; Catherine A. Calder, Th e Ohio Iyer, Exponent, Inc. State University; Noel Cressie, Th e Ohio State University

56 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

4:25 p.m. Statistical Trend Detection of a Global Change 57 CC-254 A Signal in Regional Climate—❖Airong Cai, ✪ Statistical Machine Learning and High-

University of Illinois at Chicago; Katharine Dimensional Inference—Topic-Contributed Thurs-Sun ; Hayhoe, Texas Tech University George Tiao, IMS, Section on Nonparametric Statistics Th e University of Chicago; Donald Wuebbles, Organizer(s): Woncheol Jang, University of Georgia University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign Chair(s): Sayan Mukherjee, Duke University 4:45 p.m. Detection of the Signifi cance of Cool Spot Clusters 4:05 p.m. Nonparametric Density Estimation in High with Application to the Indiana Colorectal Cancer ❖ Study—❖Tonglin Zhang, Purdue University Dimensions Using the Rodeo— Han Liu, Carnegie Mellon University; John Laff erty, 5:05 p.m. Spatial Statistical Analysis of Doctors’ Prescription Carnegie Mellon University; Larry Wasserman, ❖ Amounts by Region— Lei Kang, Th e Ohio Carnegie Mellon University State University; Noel Cressie, Th e Ohio 4:25 p.m. Functional Data Analysis in Lipoprotein Profi le State University; Desheng Liu, Th e Ohio State ❖ University Data— Yehua Li, University of Georgia; Tailen Hsing, Th e Ohio State University 5:25 p.m. Mis-specifi ed Maximum Likelihood Estimates and Spatial Error Models—❖Jiehua Chen, Stanford 4:45 p.m. Variable Selection Procedures for Generalized University; Paul Switzer, Stanford University Linear Mixed Models in Longitudinal Data Analysis—❖Hongmei Yang, North Carolina 5:45 p.m. Floor Discussion State University; Daowen Zhang, North Carolina State University; Hao Zhang, North 56 CC-254 C Carolina State University ✪ Some Recent Advances in High-Dimensional 5:05 p.m. Semiparametric Estimation of Covariance Matrices Data Modeling—Topic-Contributed for Longitudinal Data—❖Yichao Wu, Princeton IMS, Section on Nonparametric Statistics, Section on Physical and Engi- University; Jianqing Fan, Princeton University neering Sciences, WNAR 5:25 p.m. Characterizing the Function Space for Bayesian Organizer(s): Sijian Wang, University of Michigan Kernel Models—❖Natesh Pillai, Duke University Chair(s): Jie Peng, University of California, Davis 5:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 4:05 p.m. Local Multidimensional Scaling for Nonlinear Dimension Reduction, Graph Layout, and ❖ 58 CC-251 D Approximity Analysis— Lisha Chen, Yale ● ✪ University; Andreas Buja, University of Bayesian Hierarchical Modeling and Pennsylvania Computation—Topic-Contributed Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, WNAR 4:25 p.m. Model-Based Protein Summaries and Differential Organizer(s): Lei Qian, University of California, Los Angeles Label-Free Quantitative Proteomics—❖Alan Dabney, Texas A&M University Chair(s): Xiao-li Meng, Harvard University 4:45 p.m. Kernel-Induced Classifi cation Tree and Random 4:05 p.m. Latent Variable Model for Multiple Outcomes with ❖ Forest—❖Guangzhe Fan, University of Waterloo Nonignorable Missing Data— Xiaohong Yan, University of California, Los Angeles; W. John 5:05 p.m. A Statistical Perspective on Nonlinear Boscardin, University of California, Los Angeles Dimensionality Reduction and Manifold Learning— ❖Ann Lee, Carnegie Mellon University 4:25 p.m. Modeling Common Effects of Predictors on Multiple Longitudinal Outcomes—❖Juan Jia, University 5:25 p.m. Some Recent Advances in High-Dimensional Data of California, Los Angeles; Robert E. Weiss, Modeling—❖Wenbin Lu, North Carolina State University of California, Los Angeles University; Hao Zhang, North Carolina State University 4:45 p.m. Using Incompatible Gibbs Samplers To Effi ciently Fit Hierarchical Models—❖Taeyoung Park, 5:45 p.m. Floor Discussion University of Pittsburgh; David van Dyk, University of California, Irvine

Salt Lake City 57 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

5:05 p.m. Bayesian Mixtures for Modeling Correlation—❖Lei 60 CC-250 A Qian, University of California, Los Angeles; ● Statistical Computing and Statistical Graphics Robert E. Weiss, University of California, Los Paper Competition—Topic-Contributed Angeles Section on Statistical Computing, Section on Statistical Graphics 5:25 p.m. Disc: Th omas Belin, University of California, Los Organizer(s): John R. Lockwood, RAND Corporation Angeles Chair(s): John R. Lockwood, RAND Corporation 5:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 4:05 p.m. Improved Centroids Estimation for the Nearest Shrunken Centroid Classiﬁ er—❖Sijian Wang, 59 CC-250 D University of Michigan; Ji Zhu, University of ● ✪ Section on Bayesian Statistics Student Paper Michigan Competition: New Developments in Bioinformatics 4:25 p.m. Exploratory Model Analysis with R and GGobi— and Genetics—Topic-Contributed ❖Hadley Wickham, Iowa State University Section on Bayesian Statistical Science 4:45 p.m. spBayes: An R Package for Univariate and Multivariate Organizer(s): Merlise A. Clyde, Duke University Hierarchical Point-Referenced Spatial Models— ❖ Chair(s): Donatello Telesca, University of Washington Andrew Finley, Th e University of Minnesota; Sudipto Banerjee, Th e University of Minnesota; 4:05 p.m. Hidden Markov Model for Jointly Modeling Probe Brad Carlin, Th e University of Minnesota Sequences and ChIP-Chip Microarray Data— ❖Jonathan Gelfond, Th e University of North 5:05 p.m. A Flexible Variable Selection Algorithm for the Cox ❖ Carolina at Chapel Hill; Mayetri Gupta, Th e Model with High-Dimensional Data— Alexander University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Pearson, University of Rochester; Derick R. Joseph G. Ibrahim, Th e University of North Peterson, University of Rochester Carolina at Chapel Hill 5:25 p.m. Floor Discussion 4:25 p.m. On Detecting Stabilizing or Divergent Selection Using Patterns of Variation at SNP Loci—❖Feng 61 CC-155 D Guo, University of Connecticut; Dipak Dey, Open-Ended Questions in Mail, Web, and University of Connecticut; Kent Holsinger, Telephone Surveys—Topic-Contributed University of Connecticut Section on Survey Research Methods, Section on Government Statistics, 4:45 p.m. A Bayesian Integrated Approach for Learning SSC, WNAR, Social Statistics Section ❖ About Renal Clear— David Gold, Texas A&M Organizer(s): Don Dillman, Washington State University University; Loleta Harris, Th e University of Chair(s): Roberta Sangster, Bureau of Labor Statistics Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer Center; Kevin Coombes, Th e University of Texas M. D. 4:05 p.m. Effects of Answer Space Size on Responses to ❖ Anderson Cancer Center; Bani Mallick, Texas Open-Ended Questions in Mail Surveys— Glenn A&M University Israel, University of Florida 5:05 p.m. Using Evolutionary Relationships to Model 4:25 p.m. Improving the Quality of Open-End Questions ❖ Correlation in Mixed Effects Models—❖Hua Guo, in Mail, Web, and Telephone Surveys— Don University of California, Los Angeles; Robert Dillman, Washington State University; Jolene E. Weiss, University of California, Los Angeles; Smyth, Washington State University; Leah M. Marc A. Suchard, University of California, Los Christian, Th e University of Georgia Angeles 4:45 p.m. Impact of Presentation Format of Open-Ended ❖ 5:25 p.m. Bayesian Multivariate Spatial Models for Survey Questions on Response Quality— Steven Association Mapping in Structured Samples— Swinford, Montana State University ❖Meijuan Li, Th e University of Minnesota; Brad 5:05 p.m. The Inﬂ uence of Color and Space Constraints on Carlin, Th e University of Minnesota; Cavan Responses to Open-Ended Questions in Paper Reilly, Th e University of Minnesota Questionnaires—❖Virginia Lesser, Oregon State 5:45 p.m. Floor Discussion University; Lydia Newton, Oregon State University 5:25 p.m. Disc: Fred Lorenz, Iowa State University 5:45 p.m. Floor Discussion

58 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

62 CC-355 A 4:20 p.m. Estimating Absolute Transcript Concentration for ● ✪ Statistical Methods for Chronic Infl ammatory Microarrays Using Langmuir Adsorption Theory— ❖ Diseases—Topic-Contributed Min Mo, University of Texas at Arlington Thurs-Sun WNAR, ENAR, Section on Health Policy Statistics 4:35 p.m. Positive and Negative Association Rules of Gene ❖ Organizer(s): Grace Park, University of California, Los Angeles Coexpression Patterns— Sandra Rodriguez-Zas, Chair(s): Bin Zhang, Boston University University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign; Bruce Southey, University of Illinois at Urbana- 4:05 p.m. Some Statistical Issues in Rheumatology— ❖ Champaign; Younhee Ko, University of Illinois Charlie Goldsmith, McMaster University at Urbana-Champaign; Chengxiang Zhai, 4:25 p.m. Meta-Analysis of Clinical Trial Safety Data in University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign Rheumatoid Arthritis (RA) and Other Infl ammatory ❖ 4:50 p.m. Model-Based Background Correction for Illumina Disease— Yun Chon, Amgen Inc.; Hong A. Microarray Data—❖Yang Xie, Th e University Xia, Amgen Inc. of Texas Southwestern Medical Center at 4:45 p.m. Predicting Trends of Radiographic Outcomes Dallas; Lianghao Ding, Th e University of Texas Using Baseline Data—❖Grace Park, University Southwestern Medical Center at Dallas; Michael of California, Los Angeles; Weng-Kee Story, Th e University of Texas Southwestern Wong, University of California, Los Angeles; Medical Center at Dallas; Guanghua Xiao, Abdelmonem A. Afi fi , University of California, Th e University of Texas Southwestern Medical Los Angeles; David A. Elashoff , University Center at Dallas of California, Los Angeles; Dinesh Khanna, 5:05 p.m. An Effi cient Mixture Model Approach To University of Cincinnati; John T. Sharp, Characterize Gene Pathways Using Bayesian University of Washington; Richard H. Gold, Networks—❖Younhee Ko, University of Illinois University of California, Los Angeles; Harold E. at Urbana-Champaign; Sandra Rodriguez-Zas, Paulus, University of California, Los Angeles University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign; 5:05 p.m. Estimating the Effect of Treatment on Rates of Chengxiang Zhai, University of Illinois at Unintended Events in Rheumatoid Arthritis: A Case Urbana-Champaign ❖ History with Caveats— Mark Lunt, University of 5:20 p.m. Penalties Paid for Ignoring the Correlation Between Manchester; Daniel H. Solomon, Brigham and Intensity Channels in Gene-Expression Analysis— Women’s Hospital; Deborah ❖Sang-Hoon Cho, University of Wisconsin- P. M. Symmons, University of Manchester; Til Madison; Michael Kosorok, Th e University Stürmer, Brigham and Women’s Hospital of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Richard A. 5:25 p.m. Disc: Marlene Egger, University of Utah Johnson, University of Wisconsin-Madison 5:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 5:35 p.m. ANCOVA-Based Normalization Method for cDNA Microarrays—❖Natalia Tchetcherina, Th e Pennsylvania State University; James L. Rosenberger, Th e Pennsylvania State University Contributed Sessions 4:00 p.m.–5:50 p.m. 64 CC-155 C 63 CC-355 D ● ✪ Longitudinal Data Analysis—Contributed ● ✪ Recent Advances in Microarray Data Analysis Biometrics Section, Biopharmaceutical Section, Section on Health Policy VI—Contributed Statistics Biometrics Section Chair(s): LeAnna G. Stork, Monsanto Company Chair(s): James L. Rosenberger, Th e Pennsylvania State University 4:05 p.m. Inference for Intraclass Correlation Models with ❖ 4:05 p.m. Smoothing Spline Mixed Effects Modeling Missing Responses at Random— Kai Fun of Multifactorial Gene Expression Profi les— Yu, National Institutes of Health; Mixia Wu, ❖Brandon Smith, University of Illinois; Sandra National Institutes of Health; Aiyi Liu, National Rodriguez-Zas, University of Illinois at Urbana- Institutes of Health Champaign; Bruce Southey, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

Salt Lake City 59 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

4:20 p.m. Comparing Approaches for Predicting Prostate 4:35 p.m. Small-Sample Tests for Effi cacy in Fixed-Dose Cancer from Longitudinal Data—❖Christopher Drug Combination Studies—❖Melinda M. Holt, Morrell, Loyola College in Maryland; Larry Sam Houston State University; Jesse Linder, J. Brant, National Institute on Aging; Shan L. Southeastern Louisiana University; Ferry Butar Sheng, National Institute on Aging Butar, Sam Houston State University 4:35 p.m. Improving the Effi ciency of Estimators for 4:50 p.m. Extension of the Rank Sum Test for Clustered Data Treatment Effect in Two-Arm Randomized Trials in Vision Clinical Trials—❖Ratna Ramaswamy, Using Auxiliary Covariates—❖Min Zhang, North Johnson & Johnson PRD; Gary Koch, Th e Carolina State University University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; 4:50 p.m. Moving Block Bootstrap for Analyzing Longitudinal Ram Ganeshan, Statistical Consultant Data—❖Hyunsu Ju, Th e University of Texas 5:05 p.m. Estimation of Diagnostic Accuracy Measures Medical Branch; Suojin Wang, Texas A&M for a Binocular Test—❖Daniel Bonzo, Altus University Pharmaceuticals, Inc.; Alexander R. de Leon, 5:05 p.m. Comparison of Design-Based and Model- University of Calgary Based Methods to Estimate the Cluster Effect 5:20 p.m. Exposure Adjusted Incidence and Event Rates in Using National Population Health Survey Data Safety Analysis—❖Li Chen, Amgen Inc.; Xin (1994–2003)—❖Sunita Ghosh, University of He, University of Missouri-Columbia; Lei Lei, Saskatchewan; Punam Pahwa, University of Amgen Inc.; Hong A. Xia, Amgen Inc. Saskatchewan 5:35 p.m. Conditional Confi dence Intervals for p1-p2 and 5:20 p.m. Highly Effi cient Longitudinal Designs That p1/p2 Using a Generalized Fisher’s Exact Test— Are Robust Against Mis-specifi cation of the Devan V. Mehrotra, Merck & Co., Inc.; ❖Arthur Model—❖Shirley Ortega Azurduy, Maastricht Roth, Pfi zer Inc. University; Frans Tan, Maastricht University; Martijn P. F. Berger, University of Maastricht 66 CC-355 F 5:35 p.m. Solving Structured Maximum Likelihood ● ✪ Use of Bayesian Statistics in Phase-I Clinical Estimating Equations for Nested Marginal Discrete Longitudinal Models—❖Arunava Chakravartty, Studies—Contributed University of California, Riverside Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section Chair(s): Afi si S. Ismaila, McMaster University 4:05 p.m. Maximum Likelihood Methods for Optimal 65 CC-255 F Treatment Schedule-Finding in Clinical Trials— ● ✪ Statistical Issues Related to Categorical Data ❖Changying Liu, University of Michigan; in Clinical Trials—Contributed Th omas M. Braun, University of Michigan Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section 4:20 p.m. Power and Sample Size for Dose Proportionality Chair(s): Richard McNally, Pharmion Corp. Studies—❖Ilsung Chang, Johnson & Johnson 4:05 p.m. Sample Size Determination for Binomial Endpoints PRD; Jaya Natarajan, Johnson & Johnson PRD Based on the Width of the Confi dence Interval 4:35 p.m. Elicitation of Expert Opinion and Bayesian Fitting ❖ in Phase IIA Clinical Trials— Tai-Tsang Chen, of a Logistic Dose-Response Curve—❖Les Bristol-Myers Squibb Company; Vishwanath Huson, GNB Limited; Nelson Kinnersley, Roche Iyer, Novartis Healthcare Pvt. Ltd; Aparna B. Products Limited Anderson, Bristol-Myers Squibb Company 4:50 p.m. A Discussion on Operational Characteristics in 4:20 p.m. Sample Size Estimation for the Phase III Bayesian Clinical Trials—❖Xin Zhao, Merck & Confi rmatory Clinical Trials Considering the Co., Inc. Uncertainty of the Effect Size—❖Zhe Shang, 5:05 p.m. EWOC Online: An Interactive Web Tool for Dose Novartis Pharmaceuticals; Yawei Zhang, Escalation in Cancer Phase I Clinical Trials— University of Pennsylvania ❖Zhiheng Xu, Emory University; Haibin Wang, Emory University; Mourad Tighiouart, Emory University; André Rogatko, Emory University

60 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

5:20 p.m. Semiparametric Mixed Analysis on PK/PD Models 4:05 p.m. WISDOM for µStat: Web-Based Support for Using Differential Equations—❖Yi Wang, the Analysis of Multivariate Hierarchical ❖

University of Nebraska-Lincoln; Kent Eskridge, Data— Knut M. Wittkowski, Th e Rockefeller Thurs-Sun University of Nebraska-Lincoln; Shunpu Zhang, University University of Nebraska-Lincoln 4:20 p.m. Creating Statistical Web Services Using ASP. 5:35 p.m. Floor Discussion NET—❖Neil Polhemus, StatPoint, Inc. 4:35 p.m. Grid Computing—❖Abdullah Alnoshan, George 67 CC-355 C Washington University; Shmuel Rotenstreich, ● Longitudinal Data Analysis—Contributed George Washington University; Yasmin H. Said, George Mason University; Edward Wegman, ENAR, Section on Health Policy Statistics, Biometrics Section George Mason University; Adil Rajput, Chair(s): Nathan Tintle, Hope College BearingPoint 4:05 p.m. Pool-Testing Samples with Random Intercept— 4:50 p.m. Access Control Model for E-Learning System— ❖ Peng Chen, University of South Carolina; ❖Fahad Bin Muhaya, Imam University; Yasmin Joshua M. Tebbs, University of South Carolina H. Said, George Mason University 4:20 p.m. Multiple Parameter Combination of Between- 5:05 p.m. A Web-Based Program for Computing Percentage Cluster and Within-Cluster Regression Coefﬁ cient Points of Pearson Distributions—❖Wei Pan, ❖ Estimates— Julie A. Stoner, University of University of Cincinnati; Haiyan Bai, University Nebraska Medical Center; Brian G. Leroux, of Central Florida; Shengbao Chen, JMW Truss University of Washington & Components 4:35 p.m. Combined Linkage and Association Mapping of 5:20 p.m. minSpline: An R Package for Fitting Splines— Quantitative Trait Loci with Missing Genotype ❖Sundar Dorai-Raj, PDF Solutions, Inc.; Data—Ruzong Fan, Texas A&M University; Spencer Graves, PDF Solutions, Inc. ❖Lian Liu, Texas A&M University; Jeesun Jung, Indiana University; Ming Zhong, Texas A&M 5:35 p.m. Calculating the Interatomic Distance Distribution University from Small-Angle X-Ray Scattering via Curve Averaging—❖Lanqing Hua, Purdue University; 4:50 p.m. Analyzing Correlated Data with Partial and Small Alan Friedman, Purdue University; Chris Bailey- ❖ Clusters— Xianqun Luan, Th e Children’s Kellogg, Dartmouth University; Bruce Craig, Hospital of Philadelphia; Avital Cnaan, Th e Purdue University Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia 5:05 p.m. Using the Power of an F-Test To Compare Designs for Response Surface Models with Random Block 69 CC-155 E Effects—❖Sourish Saha, University of Florida; ● Section on Statistics in Sports Contributed— Andre I. Khuri, University of Florida Contributed 5:20 p.m. Minimum Hellinger Distance Estimation of Finite Section on Statistics in Sports Mixtures of Generalized Linear Models—❖Jing Chair(s): Michael S. Anderson, Battelle Shen, IBM T.J. Watson Research Center; Daniel 4:05 p.m. The Distribution and Simulation of Baseball Hall, University of Georgia; Chenhua Zhang, Winning Percentages—❖Richard Auer, Loyola University of Georgia College in Maryland 5:35 p.m. Design and Analysis of Multiple Control Arm Studies— 4:20 p.m. Assessing Pitcher and Catcher Inﬂ uences on Base ❖Laura Johnson, National Institutes of Health; Stealing in Major League Baseball—❖Th omas M. Catherine M. Stoney, National Institutes of Health Loughin, Simon Fraser University; Jason Bargen, Sprint Nextel 4:35 p.m. Sorting Algorithms and Sport Tournaments— 68 CC-250 B ❖ ● ✪ Hardware, Software, and Algorithms— Hans Block, KTH, Stockholm, Sweden Contributed 4:50 p.m. Batter-Pitcher Matchups in Baseball—❖Hal Stern, Section on Statistical Computing, Section on Statistical Graphics University of California, Irvine; Adam Sugano, University of California, Los Angeles Chair(s): Morteza Marzjarani, Saginaw Valley State University

Salt Lake City 61 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

5:05 p.m. Statistical Analysis in One-Day Cricket— 5:35 p.m. Small-Area Estimation for a Survey of High School ❖Wathurawa A. Bandulasiri, Sam Houston State Students in Iowa—❖Lu Lu, Iowa State University; University; Ferry Butar Butar, Sam Houston Michael D. Larsen, Iowa State University State University 5:20 p.m. A Bayesian Approach to Ranking Women’s ❖ 71 CC-260 College Hockey Teams— Michael Rutter, Th e ● ✪ Ancillary Data in Survey Design and Pennsylvania State University, Erie Estimation—Contributed 5:35 p.m. Bivariate Score Plots—❖Rafe Donahue, Section on Survey Research Methods, Social Statistics Section Vanderbilt University; Tatsuki Koyama, Chair(s): David R. Judkins, Westat Vanderbilt University; Jeﬀ Horner, Vanderbilt University; Cole Beck, Vanderbilt University 4:05 p.m. Handling Imperfect Overlap Identiﬁ cation in a Dual-Frame Survey—❖Jay Clark, Westat; Marianne Winglee, Westat; Benmei Liu, Westat 70 CC-257 4:20 p.m. Using the Statistics of Income Division’s Sample ● ✪ Small Area Estimation: Techniques and Data To Reduce Measurement and Processing Applications—Contributed Errors in Small-Area Estimates Produced from Section on Survey Research Methods, Social Statistics Section Administrative Tax Records—❖Kimberly A. Chair(s): James Knaub, Energy Information Administration Henry, Internal Revenue Service; Robin Fisher, 4:05 p.m. Hierarchical Bayes Small-Area Estimates of U.S. Department of the Treasury; Partha Lahiri, Adult Literacy Using Unmatched Sampling and University of Maryland Linking Models—❖Leyla Mohadjer, Westat; J. 4:35 p.m. An Empirical Evaluation of Various Direct, N. K. Rao, Carleton University; Benmei Liu, Synthetic, and Traditional Composite Small-Area Westat; Th omas Krenzke, Westat; Wendy Estimators—❖William Chen, Internal Revenue VanDeKerckhove, Westat Service; Kimberly A. Henry, Internal Revenue 4:20 p.m. Hierarchical Bayes Modeling of Survey-Weighted, Service; Michael Strudler, Internal Revenue Small-Area Proportions—❖Benmei Liu, Service Westat; Graham Kalton, Westat; Partha Lahiri, 4:50 p.m. Using Administrative Records To Avoid Survey University of Maryland Data Capture Errors—❖Tim Withum, Lockheed 4:35 p.m. A Simple Computational Method for Estimating Martin Corporation Mean Squared Prediction Error in General 5:05 p.m. Optimal Estimators for Two-Phase Sample Small-Area Model—❖Snigdhansu Chatterjee, Designs—❖Stephen Ash, U.S. Census Bureau Th e University of Minnesota; Partha Lahiri, 5:20 p.m. Floor Discussion University of Maryland 4:50 p.m. On Comparison of Different MSE Estimators in Small-Area Estimation—❖En-Tzu Tang, 72 CC-258 University of California, Davis; Jiming Jiang, ● ✪ Advances and Applications in Causal University of California, Davis Inference and Multi-Level Modeling—Contributed 5:05 p.m. The Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF) Social Statistics Section Adjustment Method Applied to Small-Area Chair(s): Donsig Jang, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. Estimates of Serious Psychological Distress 4:05 p.m. Alternative Balance Metrics for Bias Reduction in in the National Survey on Drug Use and Matching Methods for Causal Inference—❖Jasjeet Health (NSDUH)—❖Jeremy Aldworth, RTI Sekhon, University of California, Berkeley International; Neeraja Sathe, RTI International; 4:20 p.m. Causal Inference in Spatial Settings: A Case Study Misty Foster, RTI International of Community Policing Programs in Chicago— 5:20 p.m. Expedient Small-Area Estimation via Proportional ❖Natalya Verbitsky, University of Michigan; Odds Ratio Log-Linear Models—❖Lei Li, RTI Stephen Raudenbush, Th e University of Chicago International; Paul S. Levy, RTI International

62 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel Thurs-Sun

Salt Lake City 63 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

4:35 p.m. Can Results from an Observational Study Be 5:20 p.m. Multilevel Mixture Modeling Applications— Generalized to a Larger Population? A Study of Tihomir Asparouhov, Muthén & Muthén; Bengt Pathways from Divorce to Illness—❖Bridget Muthén, University of California, Los Angeles; Lavelle, Iowa State University; Fred Lorenz, ❖Shaunna Clark, University of California, Los Iowa State University; Jean Opsomer, Iowa State Angeles University 5:35 p.m. Analyzing the Changes in Repeated Measures 4:50 p.m. Students, Teachers, Schools, and ACT Scores— Responses in Financial Literacy Education—❖Xin ❖Stephen Ponisciak, Consortium on Chicago Shi, University of Manchester; Pauline Davis, School Research University of Manchester; Sue Ralph, University 5:05 p.m. How Well Do Postsecondary Enrichment Programs of Manchester; Valerie Farnsworth, University Prepare High School Students for College? A of Manchester; Laura Black, University of Multilevel Models Approach—❖Mack Shelley, Manchester; Afroditi Kalambouka, University of Iowa State University; Florence Hamrick, Iowa Manchester State University; Robyn Johnson, Iowa State University

Sunday, July 29 Opening 8:00 p.m.–10:30 p.m. Mixer Salt Palace Convention Center, Ballrooms C-J

64 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

MONDAY, JULY 30

Tours 7:00 a.m.–8:30 a.m. GA-Milano Survey Review Committee Annual Meeting TR05 Crossroads of the West City Tour Chair(s): Virginia Lesser, Oregon State University Monday 9:00 a.m.–12:00 p.m. CC-South Foyer (200 South Street) 7:00 a.m.–8:30 a.m. GA-Fontainbleau TR06 Kennecott Copper Mine and Great Salt Lake Section on Statistical Graphics Executive Committee 1:00 p.m.–5:00 p.m. CC-South Foyer (200 South Street) (closed) Chair(s): Jeﬀ rey Solka, Naval Surface Warfare Center

7:00 a.m.–8:30 a.m. GA-Venice Committee/Business Meetings ASA-MAA Joint Committee on Undergraduate Statistics & Other Activities Meeting Chair(s): Robin Lock, St. Lawrence University 7:00 a.m.–8:30 a.m. GA-Vienna Technometrics Management Committee (closed) 7:00 a.m.–8:30 a.m. GA-Tuscany Chair(s): Randy R. Sitter, Simon Fraser University Section on Teaching Statistics in the Health Sciences Executive Committee Meeting (closed) 7:00 a.m.–8:30 a.m. GA-Ambassador Chair(s): Marlene Egger, University of Utah SPAIG Committee Meeting (closed) Chair(s): George Williams, Amgen Inc. 7:00 a.m.–9:00 a.m. GA-Versailles ASA/SIAM Book Series Editorial Board Meeting (closed) 7:00 a.m.–8:30 a.m. GA-Bagatelle Chair(s): Sara Murphy, Society for Industrial and Applied Section on Health Policy Statistics Executive Committee Mathematics Meeting (closed) Chair(s): Th erese Stukel, Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences 7:00 a.m.–9:00 a.m. GA-Provence Social Statistics Section Executive Board Meeting 7:00 a.m.–8:30 a.m. CC-Kenneth Knight Board Room (closed) Committee on Membership Retention and Recruitment Chair(s): Jennifer Madans, National Center for Health Statistics Meeting (closed) Chair(s): Dayanand Naik, Old Dominion University 7:00 a.m.–6:00 p.m. CC-252 A, CC-252B Speaker Work Rooms 7:00 a.m.–8:30 a.m. GA-Sussex ASA Science Policy Task Force Business Meeting 7:00 a.m.–11:00 p.m. CC-South Foyer Chair(s): Virginia A. de Wolf, Consultant Cyber Center

7:00 a.m.–8:30 a.m. GA-Embassy 7:30 a.m.–8:30 a.m. GA-Grenoble Section on Government Statistics Executive Committee Council of Chapters International Science and Meeting (closed) Engineering Fair (ISEF) Breakfast Meeting (closed) Chair(s): Steve H. Cohen, National Science Foundation Chair(s): S. Lynne Stokes, Southern Methodist University

Salt Lake City 65 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

7:30 a.m.–8:30 a.m. GA-Belvedere 9:00 a.m.–10:00 a.m. GA-Milano Deming Lectureship Committee Business Meeting (closed) Transportation Statistics Interest Group Meeting Chair(s): William H. Woodall, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State Organizer(s): Promod Chandhok, Bureau of Transportation Statistics University; Nicholas I. Fisher, University of Sydney 9:00 a.m.–10:30 a.m. GA-Sussex 7:30 a.m.–9:00 a.m. GA-Murano Garden Salon JASA Editors Meeting (closed) Carnegie Mellon Alumni and Faculty Breakfast (closed) Chair(s): Lisa Hisel, American Statistical Association Organizer(s): Margie Smykla, Carnegie Mellon University 9:00 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CC-South Foyer 7:30 a.m.–12:00 p.m. GA-Riviera ASA Marketplace Biopharmaceutical Section Executive Committee Meeting (closed) 9:00 a.m.–6:00 p.m. CC-Exhibit Hall D Chair(s): Brian L. Wiens, Gilead Colorado EXPO 2007

7:30 a.m.–6:00 p.m. CC-South Foyer 9:00 a.m.–6:00 p.m. CC-Exhibit Hall D JSM Main Registration and ASA Membership/Special ASA Booth #101 Assistance Desk 9:30 a.m.–2:00 p.m. GA-Provence 8:00 a.m.–9:30 a.m. GA-Audubon Council of Chapters Governing Board Meeting (closed) Committee on Applied Statisticians Annual Business Chair(s): J. Lynn Palmer, Th e University of Texas M. D. Anderson Meeting Cancer Center Chair(s): Mani Y. Lakshminarayanan, Pﬁ zer Inc. 10:00 a.m.–11:30 a.m. GA-Savoy 8:00 a.m.–6:00 p.m. CC-Main Lobby, Level 2 ASA Caucus of Academic Representatives Meeting Salt Lake City Visitors Information Center Chair(s): Kenneth Koehler, Iowa State University

8:00 a.m.–6:00 p.m. CC-Exhibit Hall C 10:15 a.m.–10:45 a.m. CC-Various Locations Career Placement Service JSM Coffee Break Sponsored by GfK

8:00 a.m.–6:00 p.m. CC-Exhibit Hall D 10:30 a.m.–1:45 p.m. GA-Versailles Exhibitor Lounge JSM 2008 Program Committee Meeting Chair(s): Russell Lenth, Th e University of Iowa 8:00 a.m.–9:00 p.m. GA-Envoy Meeting Within a Meeting (closed, separate 12:00 p.m.–2:00 p.m. GA-Vienna registration required) IMS Editors Meeting I (closed) Chair(s): Martha Aliaga, American Statistical Association Organizer(s): Elyse Gustafson, Institute of Mathematical Statistics

8:30 a.m.–9:30 a.m. GA-Grenoble 12:00 p.m.–2:00 p.m. GA-Fontainbleau Council of Chapters Governing Board Planning and IMS Editors Meeting II (closed) Executive Committee Meeting (closed) Organizer(s): Elyse Gustafson, Institute of Mathematical Statistics Chair(s): J. Lynn Palmer, Th e University of Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer Center 12:30 p.m.–2:00 p.m. GA-Belvedere Section on Statistical Computing Executive Committee 8:30 a.m.–9:30 a.m. GA-Grenoble Side Room Meeting (closed) Council of Chapters Chapter Status Meeting (closed) Chair(s): John F. Monahan, North Carolina State University Chair(s): June Morita, University of Washington

66 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

12:30 p.m.–2:00 p.m. GA-Embassy 5:00 p.m.–6:00 p.m. CC-250 C Committee on Gay and Lesbian Concerns in Statistics Medical Devices Statistics Group Annual Meeting Business Meeting Organizer(s): Estelle Russek-Cohen, U.S. Food and Drug Chair(s): Barry Johnson, Internal Revenue Service Administration

12:30 p.m.–2:00 p.m. GA-Sussex 5:00 p.m.–6:30 p.m. CC-Kenneth Knight Board Room Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Executive Section on Risk Analysis Business Meeting Business Meeting (closed) Chair(s): Robert Stine, University of Pennsylvania Chair(s): Dipak Dey, University of Connecticut Monday 5:00 p.m.–6:30 p.m. GA-Milano 12:30 p.m.–2:00 p.m. GA-Tuscany Journal of Quality Technology Editorial Review Board University of Missouri-Columbia Statistics Luncheon Meeting (closed) ($20 fee required at the door) Organizer(s): Enrique del Castillo, Th e Pennsylvania State University Organizer(s): Nancy Flournoy, University of Missouri-Columbia 5:00 p.m.–7:00 p.m. GA-Fontainbleau 12:30 p.m.–2:00 p.m. GA-Audubon Statistical Society of Canada Reception (all are Statistics in Medicine Editorial Board Meeting and welcome) Luncheon (closed) Organizer(s): Christian Genest, Université Laval Organizer(s): Ralph B. D’Agostino, Sr., Boston University 5:00 p.m.–7:00 p.m. GA-Savoy 12:30 p.m.–2:00 p.m. GA-Grenoble NISS/SAMSI Reception Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics Organizer(s): Alan Karr, National Institute of Statistical Sciences Management Committee Meeting (closed) Chair(s): Dianne Cook, Iowa State University 5:00 p.m.–8:00 p.m. GA-Tuscany Texas A&M University Aggie Reunion (closed) 2:30 p.m.–4:00 p.m. CC-Kenneth Knight Board Room Organizer(s): Simon Sheather, Texas A&M University Current Index to Statistics Management Committee Meeting (closed) 5:30 p.m.–7:00 p.m. GA-Audubon Chair(s): Duncan Murdoch, University of Western Ontario Caucus for Women in Statistics Reception Organizer(s): Tena Katsaounis, Th e Ohio State University 3:40 p.m.–4:00 p.m. CC-254 C Presentation of 2007 Roger Herriot Award with 5:30 p.m.–7:00 p.m. Off Property-Squatters Pub Brewery Reception (open) Section on Health Policy Statistics Business Meeting/ Chair(s): Daniel H. Weinberg, U.S. Census Bureau Mixer Chair(s): Th erese Stukel, Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences 4:00 p.m.–6:00 p.m. CC-155 C CAUSE Activists Meeting (closed) 5:30 p.m.–7:00 p.m. GA-Provence Organizer(s): Dennis K. Pearl, Th e Ohio State University Christian Statisticians Informal Discussion Organizer(s): Robert W. Mee, University of Tennessee 4:30 p.m.–6:00 p.m. GA-Belvedere Section on Nonparametric Statistics Executive 5:30 p.m.–7:00 p.m. GA-Embassy Committee Meeting (closed) Section on Statistics in Epidemiology Executive Chair(s): Pranab K. Sen, Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Committee Meeting (closed) Chair(s): Lisa M. Sullivan, Boston University

Salt Lake City 67 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

5:30 p.m.–7:00 p.m. CC-155 B 6:00 p.m.–7:30 p.m. CC-151 A-C Biometrics Section Business Meeting CDC & ATSDR Statisticians Open Meeting Chair(s): Th omas R. Tenhave, University of Pennsylvania Organizer(s): Timothy Green, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

5:30 p.m.–7:00 p.m. CC-Ballroom A 6:00 p.m.–8:00 p.m. GA-Ambassador The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Section on Survey Research Methods Executive Department of Biostatistics Alumni and Current Faculty Committee Meeting (closed) and Student Reception Chair(s): William D. Kalsbeek, Th e University of North Carolina at Organizer(s): Michael Kosorok, Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Chapel Hill 6:00 p.m.–8:00 p.m. CC-151 D-F 5:30 p.m.–7:00 p.m. CC-150 A-C Korean Statisticians Annual Meeting (closed) Section on Statistics in Sports Business Meeting Organizer(s): Sin-Ho Jung, Duke University Chair(s): Scott Evans, Harvard University 6:00 p.m.–8:00 p.m. GA-Sussex 5:30 p.m.–7:00 p.m. GA-Venice Eli Lilly Faculty Reception (closed, by invitation only) Section on Teaching Statistics in the Health Sciences Organizer(s): Todd Sanger, Eli Lilly and Company Business Meeting/Mixer Chair(s): Marlene Egger, University of Utah 6:30 p.m.–7:00 p.m. CC-Kenneth Knight Boardroom Section on Risk Analysis Executive Committee Meeting 5:30 p.m.–7:30 p.m. GA-Riviera Chair(s): Robert Stine, University of Pennsylvania Section on Quality and Productivity Strategic Planning Meeting (closed) 6:30 p.m.–7:30 p.m. GA-Murano Garden Salon Chair(s): William Guthrie, National Institute of Standards and ASA Long-Time Member Reception (closed, by invitation Technology only) Chair(s): Dayanand Naik, Old Dominion University 5:30 p.m.–7:30 p.m. GA-Vienna Social Statistics Section Business Meeting and Social 6:30 p.m.–8:30 p.m. GA-Versailles Chair(s): Jennifer Madans, National Center for Health Statistics University of Washington Alumni Reception Organizer(s): Xiao-Hua (Andrew) Zhou, University of Washington 5:45 p.m.–6:45 p.m. CC-Ballroom D ASA President’s Invited Speaker Reception (closed, by 6:30 p.m.–9:00 p.m. GA-Bagatelle invitation only) Southern Methodist University Alumni Social (closed) Chair(s): Mary Ellen Bock, Purdue University Organizer(s): Wayne Woodward, Southern Methodist University

6:00 p.m.–7:30 p.m. GA-Grand Salon 7:00 p.m.–9:00 p.m. CC-254 B Google Reception Careers at Merck Research Laboratories (closed, by Organizer(s): Kate Macevicz, Google invitation only) Organizer(s): Beverly Jacobsen, Merck & Co., Inc. 6:00 p.m.–7:30 p.m. GA-Venezia Garden Salon JSM Student Mixer (students only, included in 7:30 p.m.–10:00 p.m. CC-Ballroom C registration fee) Joint Sections on Statistical Computing and Graphics Chair(s): Dayanand Naik, Old Dominion University Business Meeting and Mixer Chair(s): John F. Monahan, North Carolina State University; Jeﬀ rey Solka, Naval Surface Warfare Center

68 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

9:30 p.m.–11:00 p.m. CC-Ballroom A CE_21C IMS Presidential Address Reception Meta-Analysis: Statistical Methods for Combining the Organizer(s): Elyse Gustafson, Institute of Mathematical Statistics Results of Independent Studies 1:00 p.m.–5:00 p.m. CC-151 D-F ASA Continuing Education (Fee Events) Instructor(s): Ingram Olkin, Stanford University

CE_15C Categorical Data Analysis Roundtables with Coffee 7:00 a.m.–8:15 a.m. Monday 8:00 a.m.–12:00 p.m. CC-151 D-F ASA 73 CC-Ballroom D Instructor(s): Charles S. Davis, CSD Biostatistics ASA Council of Chapters Roundtable with Coffee (fee event) CE_16C Council of Chapters Multiple Comparisons and Multiple Tests Organizer(s): V. A. Samaranayake, University of Missouri-Rolla 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CC-151 G ML01 Reaching Out to the K–12 Community—❖Jerry ASA Moreno, John Carroll University Instructor(s): Peter Westfall, Texas Tech University

CE_17C 74 CC-Ballroom D Section on Statistical Education Roundtable with Analysis of Clinical Trials: Theory and Applications Coffee (fee event) 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CC-150 G Section on Statistical Education Biopharmaceutical Section, ASA Organizer(s): Jacqueline Miller, Th e Ohio State University Instructor(s): Christy Chuang-Stein, Pﬁ zer Inc.; Alex Dmitrienko, Eli Lilly and Company; Geert Molenberghs, Hasselt University ML02 Successful Group Projects—❖David Zeitler, Grand Valley State University CE_18C Temporal Alerting Algorithms for Biosurveillance 75 CC-Ballroom D 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CC-150 A-C Section on Statistics and the Environment Section on Statisticians in Defense and National Security, Section on Risk Roundtables with Coffee (fee event) Analysis, Section on Quality and Productivity, ASA Section on Statistics and the Environment Instructor(s): Howard S. Burkom, Th e Johns Hopkins University; David Organizer(s): Andrew B. Lawson, University of South Carolina Banks, Duke University ML03 Hierarchical Spatial Models Bridging Ecology and Public Health—❖Lance Waller, Emory University CE_19C ML04 What’s the Future for Point Process Modeling in Practical Bayesian Clinical Trial Design Ecology?—❖Philip Dixon, Iowa State University 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CC-150 D-F Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, ASA Instructor(s): Peter F. Th all, Th e University of Texas M. D. Anderson 76 CC-Ballroom D Cancer Center Section on Statistics in Epidemiology Roundtable with Coffee (fee event) CE_20C Section on Statistics in Epidemiology Classiﬁ cation and Regression Trees Organizer(s): William E. Barlow, Cancer Research and Biostatistics 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CC-151 A-C ML05 Building and Using Disease Prediction Models in the ❖ ASA Real World— Heejung Bang, Cornell University Instructor(s): Wei-Yin Loh, University of Wisconsin-Madison

Salt Lake City 69 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

77 CC-Ballroom D Invited Sessions 8:30 a.m.–10:20 a.m. Section on Statistics in Sports Roundtable with Coffee (fee event) 81 CC-255 B Section on Statistics in Sports ● ✪ Statistical Methods for Gene Regulatory Organizer(s): Michael Schell, Moffi tt Cancer Center Networks—Invited ❖ ML06 Moneyball and the NFL: Can It work?— Keith Biometrics Section, ENAR, Section on Statistics in Epidemiology Schleicher, Capital One Organizer(s): Tian Zheng, Columbia University Chair(s): Ying Wei, Columbia University 78 CC-Ballroom D 8:35 a.m. Bayesian Error Analysis Model for Reconstructing Section on Survey Research Methods Statistics Transcriptional Regulatory Networks—❖Ning Roundtable with Coffee (fee event) Sun, Yale University; Raymond J. Carroll, Texas Section on Survey Research Methods A&M University; Hongyu Zhao, Yale University Organizer(s): David Marker, Westat 9:00 a.m. Studying Coregulation and Inter-regulation ML07 Web Panels: The Future of Survey Research?—❖Karol of Genes via eQTL Mapping—❖Tian Zheng, Krotki, RTI International Columbia University 9:25 a.m. Self-Correcting Maps of Molecular Pathways— ❖Andrey Rzhetsky, Columbia University; Tian 79 CC-Ballroom D Zheng, Columbia University; Chani Weinreb, Section on Teaching Statistics in the Health Columbia University Sciences Roundtable with Coffee (fee event) 9:50 a.m. Using Sequence Information to Predict Gene Section on Teaching Statistics in the Health Sciences Regulation—❖Jun S. Liu, Harvard University; Organizer(s): Jodi Lapidus, Oregon Health & Science University Qing Zhou, University of California, Los ML08 Teaching Community Collaborators To Understand Angeles ❖ Health Research Methods and Results— Katrina 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion Ramsey, Northwest Portland Area Indian Health Board 82 CC-250 D ● ✪ Administrative Records and Data Integration— Invited Special Presentation 8:30 a.m.–10:20 a.m. Section on Government Statistics, Section on Survey Research Methods, Social Statistics Section Organizer(s): Jeremy Wu, U.S. Census Bureau 80 CC-Ballroom B Chair(s): Donald B. Rubin, Harvard University Introductory Overview Lecture 2: Statistical Machine Learning and Its Applications in 8:35 a.m. Maintaining Confi dentiality in Administrative and Integrated Databases—Jerome P. Reiter, Duke Bioinformatics—Other University; ❖Satkartar Kinney, Duke University ASA, IMS, ENAR, WNAR, SSC, Section on Nonparametric Statistics, Sec- tion on Statisticians in Defense and National Security 9:00 a.m. Synthetic Data for Administrative Record Applications at LEHD—❖Jeremy Wu, U.S. Census Organizer(s): Yufeng Liu, Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Bureau; John Abowd, Cornell University Chair(s): Yufeng Liu, Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 9:25 a.m. Synthetic Data Disclosure Control for American Community Survey Group Quarters—❖Rolando 8:35 a.m. Some Recent Advances in Classifi cation: A Rodríguez, U.S. Census Bureau; Robert H. Statistical Perspective—❖Ji Zhu, University of Creecy, U.S. Census Bureau Michigan 9:50 a.m. Disc: Alan R. Tupek, U.S. Census Bureau 9:20 a.m. Applications of Statistical Machine-Learning to Modern Biological Datasets—❖Jon D. McAuliff e, 10:10 a.m. Floor Discussion University of Pennsylvania 10:05 a.m. Floor Discussion

70 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

83 CC-258 8:35 a.m. Multilist Population Estimation with Incomplete Recent Advances in Survival Analysis Beyond Cox and Partial Stratiﬁ cation—❖Jason M. Sutherland, Model—Invited Indiana University Purdue University Indianapolis IMS, ENAR, Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Section on Risk Analy- 9:05 a.m. Bayesian Hierarchical Spatially Correlated sis, Biometrics Section, Biopharmaceutical Section, Section on Physical Functional Data Analysis with Application to Colon and Engineering Sciences, WNAR Carcinogenesis—❖Veera Baladandayuthapani, Organizer(s): Lu Tian, Northwestern University Th e University of Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer Chair(s): Lu Tian, Northwestern University Center; Bani Mallick, Texas A&M University;

; Monday 8:35 a.m. Nonproportional Hazards Models for Censored Raymond J. Carroll, Texas A&M University Mee ; Data—❖Zhezhen Jin, Columbia University Young Hong, University of California, Los Angeles Nancy D. Turner, Texas A&M University; Joanne 9:00 a.m. Semiparametric Accelerated Failure Time Model R. Lupton, Texas A&M University with Missing Data—❖Menggang Yu, Indiana Bayesian Methods for Predicting Interacting University Purdue University Indianapolis 9:35 a.m. Protein Pairs Using Domain Information—Inyoung 9:25 a.m. Rank Regression, Accelerated Failure Time Kim, Yale University; Yin Liu, Yale University; ❖ Model, and Empirical Likelihood— Mai Zhou, ❖Hongyu Zhao, Yale University University of Kentucky 10:05 a.m. Floor Discussion 9:50 a.m. Varying Coefﬁ cient Cox Model with Nonparametric Longitudinal Covariates—❖Jimin Ding, Washington University in St. Louis; Jane-Ling 86 CC-250 EF Wang, University of California, Davis ● ✪ Exploring Models Interactively—Invited 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion Section on Statistical Graphics, Section on Teaching Statistics in the Health Sciences, Section on Statistical Consulting Organizer(s): Antony Unwin, University of Augsburg 84 CC-260 Chair(s): Antony Unwin, University of Augsburg ● ✪ Accreditation of Professional Statisticians— 8:35 a.m. Bayesian Information Analysis—❖Aleks Jakulin, Invited Columbia University; Andrew Gelman, Section on Statistical Consulting, SSC Columbia University Organizer(s): Judith-Anne W. Chapman, Queen’s University 9:00 a.m. Exploratory Model Analysis: Interactive Graphical Chair(s): Ralph G. O’Brien, Th e Cleveland Clinic Methods for Model Selection and Comparison— 8:35 a.m. SSC Accreditation: The Canadian Model— ❖Simon Urbanek, AT&T Labs - Research ❖Judith-Anne W. Chapman, Queen’s University 9:25 a.m. Grammatical Visualization of Statistical Models— 9:00 a.m. Academia and the Professional Statistician Graham Wills, SPSS Inc.; ❖Chunling Zhang, Community—❖Mary E. Th ompson, University of SPSS Inc. Waterloo 9:50 a.m. Exploring Models for Clustering Data—❖Dianne 9:25 a.m. The ASA Consideration of Accreditation—❖Mary Cook, Iowa State University Batcher, Ernst & Young 10:10 a.m. Floor Discussion 9:50 a.m. Disc: Fritz Scheuren, NORC at the University of Chicago 10:10 a.m. Floor Discussion 87 CC-155 E ● ✪ Under the Microscope: Statistical Methods for Molecular Biology—Invited 85 CC-355 E General Methodology, Biometrics Section, Section on Statistics in Epidemi- ● Biometrics Editor Invited Session—Invited ology, Section on Statistical Computing, Biopharmaceutical Section WNAR, ENAR, Biometrics Section Organizer(s): Elizabeth H. Slate, Medical University of South Carolina Organizer(s): Laurance Freedman, Bar Ilan University; Mike Kenward, Chair(s): Elizabeth H. Slate, Medical University of South Carolina London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine; Naisyin Wang, 8:35 a.m. Efﬁ cient Design and Analysis of Genome-Wide Texas A&M University Association Studies—❖Michael Boehnke, Chair(s): Geert Molenberghs, Hasselt University University of Michigan

Salt Lake City 71 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

9:00 a.m. Stochastic Search Gene Suggestion: Bayesians and 9:00 a.m. Optimal Start of Treatment Based on Time- Biology Meet Again!—❖Michael D. Swartz, Th e Dependent Covariates—❖Judith J. Lok, Harvard University of Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer Center School of Public Health; James Robins, Harvard 9:25 a.m. Statistical Models of Global Transcription School of Public Health; Miguel A. Hernan, Regulatory Mechanisms in Cancer—❖Wei Li, Harvard School of Public Health Harvard School of Public Health; ❖Xiaole S. 9:25 a.m. Estimation of the Effect of Dynamic Treatment Regimes Liu, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute Under Flexible Dynamic Visit Regimes—❖Andrea 9:50 a.m. Scale-Based Methods in the Analysis of Proteomic Rotnitzky, Universidad Torcuato Di Tella; Liliana Data—❖Timothy Randolph, Fred Hutchinson Orellana, Universidad de Buenos Aire Cancer Research Center 9:50 a.m. Disc: James Robins, Harvard School of Public Health 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion 10:10 a.m. Floor Discussion

88 CC-155 F 90 CC-251 D ● ✪ Recent Development in Econometric Time The Importance of Statistical Reasoning in Law Series—Invited and Legal Science—Invited Business and Economics Statistics Section Committee on Law and Justice Statistics, Section on Nonparametric Statis- Organizer(s): Sung K. Ahn, Washington State University tics, Section on Statistical Consulting Chair(s): Sung K. Ahn, Washington State University Organizer(s): Joseph L. Gastwirth, George Washington University 8:35 a.m. Cointegration Analysis with Mixed Frequency Chair(s): Weiwen Miao, Macalester College Data—❖Byeongchan Seong, Chung-Ang 8:35 a.m. Doctrine, District Courts, and Docketology— University; Sung K. Ahn, Washington State ❖Alan J. Izenman, Temple University; David University; Peter Zadrozny, Bureau of Labor Hoﬀ man, Temple University Statistics 9:00 a.m. Two Percentiles in Court: The Zuni School 9:00 a.m. Studying Interactions Without Multivariate District Case—❖Joseph L. Gastwirth, George Modeling—❖Alain Hecq, University of Washington University Maastricht; Gianluca Cubadda, University 9:25 a.m. Verdict on Verdicts: Statistical Measurement of the of Tor Vergata; Franz Palm, University of Accuracy of Jury Verdicts—❖Bruce D. Spencer, Maastricht Northwestern University 9:25 a.m. Bayesian Change Point Model for Time Series— 9:50 a.m. The Effect of Serial Correlation on Statistical ❖Sinsup Cho, Seoul National University; Juwon Evidence in Legal Cases—❖Yulia R. Gel, Kim, Seoul National University; Seungmin Nam, University of Waterloo; Weiwen Miao, Samsung Fire & Marine Insurance Co., LTD Macalester College; Joseph L. Gastwirth, George 9:50 a.m. A Unifying Framework for Analyzing Common Washington University Cyclical Features in Cointegrated Time Series— 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion ❖Gianluca Cubadda, University of Tor Vergata 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion Invited Panels 8:30 a.m.–10:20 a.m. 89 CC-255 E Causal Effects of Individualized Treatment Rules— 91 CC-251 E Invited Implementing GAISE in Our Classrooms—Invited IMS, Biometrics Section, WNAR Section on Statistical Education Organizer(s): Mark J. van der Laan, University of California, Berkeley Organizer(s): Patti Collings, Brigham Young University Chair(s): Mark J. van der Laan, University of California, Berkeley Chair(s): Christine Franklin, University of Georgia 8:35 a.m. Causal Inference in Sequentially Randomized Panelists: ❖ Carolyn P. Dobler, Gustavus Adolphus College Trials Based on Realistic Individualized Treatment ❖ Carolyn K. Cuﬀ , Westminster College Rules—❖Oliver Bembom, University of ❖ E. Jacquelin Dietz, Meredith College California, Berkeley

72 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

❖ Gary Kader, Appalachian State University Chair(s): James Colaianne, J&JPRD ❖ Dexter C. Whittinghill, Rowan University 8:35 a.m. Design and Analysis of Analytical Method Transfer 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion Studies—❖James Schwenke, Boehringer Ingelheim Pharmaceuticals, Inc. 8:55 a.m. Design and Analysis of Method Transfer Studies in Topic-Contributed Sessions Nonclinical Pharmaceutical Development—❖Jinglin Zhong, U.S. Food and Drug Administration; Yi 8:30 a.m.–10:20 a.m. Tsong, U.S. Food and Drug Administration

9:15 a.m. Some Useful Experimental Designs in Method Monday 92 CC-251 A Transfer Experiments—❖Jyh-Ming Shoung, ● ✪ Section on Health Policy Statistics Student J&JPRD; Stan Altan, J&JPRD Award Winners—Topic-Contributed 9:35 a.m. Total Error-Based Criterion for Analytical Method Section on Health Policy Statistics Transfer Analyses—❖Eric Rozet, University of Organizer(s): Anirban Basu, Th e University of Chicago Liege; Walthère Dewe, GlaxoSmithKline Chair(s): Bonnie Ghosh-Dastidar, RAND Corporation 9:55 a.m. Approach To Assess the Equivalence Range for 8:35 a.m. Evaluating Bias Correction in Weighted an Analytical Methods Transfer—❖Rene Kubiak, Proportional Hazards Regression—❖Qing Pan, Boehringer Ingelheim University of Michigan; Douglas Schaubel, 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion University of Michigan 8:55 a.m. Analysis of Longitudinal Data To Evaluate a Policy Change—❖Benjamin French, University of 94 CC-155 C Washington; Patrick J. Heagerty, University of ● ✪ Practical Considerations for Adjustment Washington of Baseline Covariate and Center Effects in 9:15 a.m. Testing for Trends in a Two-State Markov Model Multicenter Clinical Trials—Topic-Contributed with Applications in Smoking Cessation Studies— Biopharmaceutical Section, ENAR, WNAR ❖Charles Minard, Th e University of Texas M. D. Organizer(s): Abdul Sankoh, sanofi -aventis Anderson Cancer Center; Wenyaw Chan, Th e Chair(s): Abdul Sankoh, sanofi -aventis University of Texas at Houston; Carol J. Etzel, 8:35 a.m. Exploration of a Treatment-by-Region Interaction Th e University of Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer in a Clinical Trial Setting: Can the Interaction Center; David Wetter, Th e University of Texas Be Explained by Clinical Factors?—❖Cristiana M. D. Anderson Cancer Center Gassmann-Mayer, Johnson & Johnson PRD; 9:35 a.m. Is Newer Always Better? Re-evaluating the Rachel B. Weinstein, Johnson & Johnson PRD; Benefi ts of Newer Pharmaceuticals—❖Michael Jesse A. Berlin, Johnson & Johnson PRD Law, Harvard Medical School/Harvard Pilgrim 8:55 a.m. Modeling Response, Interaction, and Subgroup HealthCare; Karen Grépin, Harvard University Analyses: Some Practical Issues—❖Mohammad 9:55 a.m. Evaluating Predictive Capacity of Continuous Huque, U.S. Food and Drug Administration; Biomarkers—❖Ying Huang, University of Mohamed Alosh, U.S. Food and Drug Washington; Margaret Pepe, Fred Hutchinson Administration Cancer Research Center; Ziding Feng, Fred 9:15 a.m. Adjusting for Center in the Analysis of Multicenter Hutchinson Cancer Research Center Clinical Trials—❖Valerie Durkalski, Medical 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion University of South Carolina 9:35 a.m. A Simulation Study on Covariate Adjusted 93 CC-155 A Models—❖Xiaohong Huang, sanofi -aventis; ● ✪ Design and Analysis of Method Transfer Abdul Sankoh, sanofi -aventis Studies in Nonclinical Pharmaceutical 9:55 a.m. Modeling Longitudinal Count Data with Possibility ❖ Development—Topic-Contributed of Dropouts— Mohamed Alosh, U.S. Food and Drug Administration Biopharmaceutical Section Organizer(s): James Schwenke, Boehringer Ingelheim Pharmaceuticals, Inc. 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion

Salt Lake City 73 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

95 CC-355 C 9:15 a.m. Nonparametric Bayes Local Regression and ● ✪ Analysis of Recurrent Events Data—Topic- Variable Selection—❖Yeonseung Chung, Contributed Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel ENAR, Biometrics Section, Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences, Hill; David B. Dunson, National Institute of Section on Risk Analysis, WNAR, Section on Statistics in Epidemiology Environmental Health Sciences Organizer(s): Lei Liu, University of Virginia 9:35 a.m. A Variable Selection Method for Linear Models ❖ Chair(s): Xuelin Huang, Th e University of Texas M. D. Anderson Using Modiﬁ ed Zellner’s Prior— Arun Krishna, Cancer Center North Carolina State University; Sujit Ghosh, 8:35 a.m. Semiparametric Analysis of Correlated Recurrent North Carolina State University; Howard D. and Terminal Events—❖Yining Ye, Amgen Inc.; Bondell, North Carolina State University John D. Kalbﬂ eisch, University of Michigan; 9:55 a.m. A Decision-Theoretic Approach to the Variable Douglas Schaubel, University of Michigan Selection Problem—❖Dhruv Sharma, North 8:55 a.m. Some Aspects of Recurrent Event Modeling— Carolina State University; Sujit Ghosh, North ❖Edsel A. Pena, University of South Carolina; Carolina State University Akim Adekpedjou, University of South Carolina; 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion Jonathan Quiton, University of South Carolina 9:15 a.m. A Novel Estimation Method in the Joint Frailty 97 CC-254 C Models of Correlated Survival Data with ● ✪ ❖ Section on Bayesian Statistics Student Paper Informative Censoring— Lei Liu, University of Competition: New Developments in Bayesian Virginia; Xuelin Huang, Th e University of Texas Nonparametrics—Topic-Contributed M. D. Anderson Cancer Center Section on Bayesian Statistical Science 9:35 a.m. General Transformation Models for Joint Organizer(s): Merlise A. Clyde, Duke University Analysis of Recurrent Events and Terminal Chair(s): Taeyoung Park, University of Pittsburgh Event—❖Donglin Zeng, Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Danyu Lin, Th e 8:35 a.m. Bayesian Inference for Directional Conditionally ❖ University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Autoregressive Models— Minjung Kyung, North Carolina State University 9:55 a.m. Methods for Modeling the Recurrent Event Mean in the Presence of Time-Varying Covariates and 8:55 a.m. Pattern Search Optimization with a Treed Gaussian ❖ Time-Dependent Effects—❖Douglas Schaubel, Process Oracle— Matthew Taddy, University of University of Michigan California, Santa Cruz; Genetha A. Gray, Sandia National Laboratories; Herbert Lee, University 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion of California, Santa Cruz; Robert Gramacy, University of Cambridge; Monica Martinez- 96 CC-355 F Canales, Sandia National Laboratories ● ✪ Recent Developments in Bayesian Variable 9:15 a.m. Mixtures of Polya Trees for Flexible Spatial Selection Methods—Topic-Contributed Frailty Survival Modeling—❖Luping Zhao, Th e Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, ENAR, WNAR University of Minnesota; Timothy E. Hanson, Organizer(s): Sujit Ghosh, North Carolina State University Th e University of Minnesota; Brad Carlin, Th e Chair(s): Dipak Dey, University of Connecticut University of Minnesota ❖ 8:35 a.m. Bayesian Variable Selection in Gaussian Process 9:35 a.m. The Nested Dirichlet Process— Abel Rodriguez, for Cox Models—❖Naijun Sha, University of Duke University; Alan E. Gelfand, Duke Texas at El Paso; Marina Vannucci, Texas A&M University; David B. Dunson, National Institute University; Mahlet G. Tadesse, University of of Environmental Health Sciences Pennsylvania 9:55 a.m. Weak Consistency of General Bayesian Kernel ❖ 8:55 a.m. Bayesian Variable Selection in Proportional Mixture in Density Estimation— Yuefeng Wu, Hazards Models with Frailties—❖Zhen Chen, North Carolina State University; Subhashis University of Pennsylvania Ghoshal, North Carolina State University 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion

74 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel Monday

Salt Lake City 75 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

98 CC-255 F 9:55 a.m. Disc: John Th ompson, NORC at the University ● ✪ Applications of Machine Learning and Network of Chicago Tomography in Statistics—Topic-Contributed 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences Organizer(s): David Mease, San Jose State University 100 CC-355 D Chair(s): Marvin Gruber, Rochester Institute of Technology ● ✪ Recent Developments in Statistical 8:35 a.m. Making the Best Use of Available Data: The Methodology for Diagnostic Medicine—Topic- Presence-Only Problem in Ecology—❖Gillian Contributed Ward, Stanford University; Trevor Hastie, WNAR, Biometrics Section, ENAR, Section on Health Policy Statistics Stanford University Organizer(s): Jialiang Li, National University of Singapore 8:55 a.m. An Iterative Algorithm for Extending Learners Chair(s): Jialiang Li, National University of Singapore to a Semisupervised Setting—❖Mark Culp, 8:35 a.m. Noniterative, Semiparametric, Least-Squared University of Michigan; George Michailidis, Th e ❖ University of Michigan Method of ROC Curve Estimation— Xiao-Hua (Andrew) Zhou, University of Washington; 9:15 a.m. Evidence Contrary to the Statistical View of Liansheng Tang, University of Washington Boosting—❖David Mease, San Jose State University 8:55 a.m. Statistical Methods for Differential Diagnosis of Second Primary Cancers from Metastases— ❖ 9:35 a.m. Adversarial Classiﬁ cation— Bowei Xi, Purdue ❖Colin B. Begg, Memorial Sloan-Kettering University; Murat Kantarcioglu, Th e University Cancer Center of Texas at Dallas; Christopher Clifton, Purdue University 9:15 a.m. Design of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies for PPV and NPV—❖Jason Fine, University of Wisconsin- 9:55 a.m. A Somewhat General Framework for Active Madison; David Steinberg, Tel-Aviv University; ❖ Network Tomography— Earl Lawrence, Los Richard Chappell, University of Wisconsin-Madison Alamos National Laboratory 9:35 a.m. A Uniﬁ ed Approach to Nonparametric Comparison 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion of Receiver Operating Characteristic Curves for Longitudinal and Clustered Data—Gang Li, 99 CC-250 C University of California, Los Angeles; ❖Kefei ACS Multi-Year Estimates Methodology and Zhou, Amgen Inc. Results—Topic-Contributed 9:55 a.m. Disc: Zhidong Bai, National University of Singapore Section on Survey Research Methods, Section on Government Statistics, 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion Social Statistics Section, SSC Organizer(s): Anthony Tersine, U.S. Census Bureau Chair(s): David C. Whitford, U.S. Census Bureau Topic-Contributed Panels 8:35 a.m. Methodology for the Production of American 8:30 a.m.–10:20 a.m. Community Survey Multiyear Estimates— ❖Anthony Tersine, Jr., U.S. Census Bureau; Mark Asiala, U.S. Census Bureau 101 CC-254 A ● Harnessing the Power of the ASA Archives: 8:55 a.m. Imbedding Model-Assisted Estimation into ACS Estimation—❖Robert Fay, U.S. Census Bureau Preserving and Accessing ASA’s Institutional Documentary Heritage—Topic-Contributed 9:15 a.m. Analysis of Variance Estimates from American Committee on ASA Archives and Historical Materials, Committee on Com- Community Survey Multiyear Estimates— ❖ mittees, Section on Statistical Education, Section on Teaching Statistics in Michael Starsinic, U.S. Census Bureau; the Health Sciences Anthony Tersine, Jr., U.S. Census Bureau Organizer(s): John P. Deley, Energy Information Administration 9:35 a.m. Statistical Issues and Interpretation of the Chair(s): Carol J. Lancaster, Medical University of South Carolina American Community Survey’s One-, Three-, and Panelists: ❖ Frank J. Potter, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. Five-Year Period Estimates—❖Michael Beaghen, ❖ U.S. Census Bureau Melissa Gottwald, Iowa State University

76 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

❖ John P. Deley, Energy Information Administration 8:50 a.m. Sensitivity of Cox Regression to Nonignorable ❖ ❖ Ken Williams, Utah State Archives and Censoring— Tao Liu, Brown University; Daniel Records Service F. Heitjan, University of Pennsylvania 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion 9:05 a.m. Dealing with Tied Observation in Estimating Survival Function—❖Jiantian Wang, Kean University 9:20 a.m. Test of Fit to a Semiparametric Bivariate Family Contributed Sessions 8:30 a.m.–10:20 a.m. with Censored Data—❖Shulamith Gross, Baruch College/CUNY

9:35 a.m. Quantile Regression for Censored Point Monday 102 CC-255 C ❖ ● ✪ Recent Advances in Microarray Data Analysis Processes— Rajeshwari Sundaram, National Institute of Child Health and Human V—Contributed Development; Subhashis Ghoshal, North Biometrics Section Carolina State University Chair(s): Naomi Altman, Th e Pennsylvania State University 9:50 a.m. Multivariate Rank-Order Two-Sample Test for 8:35 a.m. Microarray Gene Expression Analysis of Soybean Censored Data: More Intuitive Expression of ❖ Genome Using R-Bioconductor— Jean Roayaei, the Treatment Effect—❖Edward Mascha, Th e National Institutes of Health Cleveland Clinic 8:50 a.m. Conjugate Hierarchical Modeling of the Error Variance 10:05 a.m. CUSUMs Based on the Cox Model To Monitor ❖ in Tests for Differential Gene Expression— Jason Outcomes at Multicenter Studies—❖Pinaki Obsorne, North Carolina State University Biswas, University of Michigan; John D. 9:05 a.m. False Discovery Rate in Microarray Studies— Kalbfl eisch, University of Michigan ❖Moonsu Kang, Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 104 CC-255 A 9:20 a.m. Sparse Partial Least Squares Regression with an ● ✪ Longitudinal Data and Survival Data Application to the Genome Scale Transcription Modeling—Contributed ❖ Factor Activity Analysis— Hyonho Chun, Biometrics Section, Section on Health Policy Statistics University of Wisconsin-Madison; Sunduz Chair(s): Zonghui Hu, National Institutes of Health Keles, University of Wisconsin-Madison 8:35 a.m. Joint Modeling of Longitudinal and Survival Data 9:35 a.m. Conservatively Optimal Multiple Testing for Using Penalized Corrected Likelihood—❖Bo Hu, ❖ Comparative Microarray Experiments— James Th e Cleveland Clinic; Liang Li, Th e Cleveland Signorovitch, Harvard University Clinic; Tom Greene, Th e Cleveland Clinic ❖ 9:50 a.m. Improved Signifi cance of Microarrays— Shunpu 8:50 a.m. Analysis of Longitudinally Measured Multivariate Zhang, University of Nebraska-Lincoln Biomarkers and Left-Censored Data—❖Ghideon 10:05 a.m. Comparison of Meta-Analytical Approaches for S. Ghebregiorgis, University of Pittsburgh; Lisa Gene Expression Profi ling—❖Heather Adams, Weissfeld, University of Pittsburgh University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign; 9:05 a.m. Modeling Longitudinal Biomarker Data with Sandra Rodriguez-Zas, University of Illinois at Multiple Assays That Have Different Known Urbana-Champaign; Bruce Southey, University Detection Limits—❖Paul Albert, National of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign Cancer Institute 9:20 a.m. Regression Analysis of Multivariate Recurrent 103 CC-155 D Event Data with Time-Varying Covariate Effects— ● ✪ Analysis of Censored Data and Cox’s Model— ❖Liang Zhu, University of Missouri-Columbia Contributed 9:35 a.m. Analysis of Longitudinally Measured, Left- Biometrics Section Censored Biomarkers of Severe Sepsis with Chair(s): Jian-Lun Xu, National Cancer Institute Dropout, and Death—❖M. Abdus Sattar, 8:35 a.m. Minimum Distance Estimation in Two-Sample Scale University of Pittsburgh; Lisa Weissfeld, Problem Under the Partial Koziol-Green Model— University of Pittsburgh ❖Ke Wu, California State University, Fresno

Salt Lake City 77 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

9:50 a.m. Semiparametric Joint Modeling of Longitudinal and 106 CC-355 B Time-to-Event Data Using P-Spline: A Penalized ● Mixed Effect Models and Missing Data— Likelihood Approach—❖Wen Ye, University of Contributed Michigan; Xihong Lin, Harvard School of Public ENAR, Biometrics Section Health; Jeremy Taylor, University of Michigan Chair(s): Matthew Gurka, University of Virginia 10:05 a.m. Joint Analysis of Multiple Longitudinal Outcomes 8:35 a.m. A Pattern Mixture Model To Analyze Longitudinal and a Time-to-Event Using a Nonlinear Latent Quality-of-Life Data with Nonignorable Dropout— Class Approach—❖Cecile Proust-Lima, ❖Qinfang Xiang, Endo Pharmaceuticals; Suna University of Michigan; Helene Jacqmin-Gadda, Barlas, Endo Pharmaceuticals INSERM, U875; Jeremy Taylor, University of Michigan 8:50 a.m. Likelihood Ratio Hypothesis Testing in the Presence of Incomplete Data—❖Sergey Tarima, Medical College of Wisconsin; Albert Vexler, 105 CC-155 B National Institutes of Health ● Statistical Issues in Oncology Trials— 9:05 a.m. Principal Component Analysis for Multivariate Binary Contributed Data—❖Seokho Lee, Texas A&M University Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section 9:20 a.m. Overdispersion in Multilevel Correlated Data— Chair(s): Dennis Cosmatos, Wyeth ❖Trent Lalonde, Arizona State University; 8:35 a.m. Modifi ed Simon’s Two-Stage Design with a Control Jeff rey R. Wilson, Arizona State University Group—❖Sunil K. Dhar, New Jersey Institute of 9:35 a.m. Multiple Imputation Based on Functional Principal Technology; Farid Kianifard, Novartis Pharmaceu- Components Analysis for Sparse Longitudinal ticals; Michael Chen, TCM Groups, Inc. Data—❖Szu-Ching Tseng, University of 8:50 a.m. Censored Data Within Phase III Oncology Studies California, Davis; Xiaowei Yang, University of Using Independent Radiology Review (IRC) California, Davis; Hao Zhang, University of Assessments—❖Pralay Mukhopadhyay, Bristol- California, Davis Myers Squibb Company; Th omas Kelleher, 9:50 a.m. The Inclusion of Covariate Information in a Bristol-Myers Squibb Company Random Effects Agreement Model—❖Kerrie 9:05 a.m. Estimate of Treatment Effect with Adjustment Nelson, University of South Carolina; Don for Post-Discontinuation Treatment Resumption Edwards, University of South Carolina and Crossover and Other Therapies in Oncology 10:05 a.m. Maximum Likelihood Methods for Nonignorable Clinical Trials—❖Shengyan Hong, Eli Lilly Missing Data—❖Yan Zhou, University of Michigan; and Company; Yanping Wang, Eli Lilly and Roderick J. Little, University of Michigan; John D. Company Kalbfl eisch, University of Michigan 9:20 a.m. A Two-Stage Multinomial Randomized Selection ❖ Design in Phase II Oncology Trials— Zhiping 107 CC-255 D Sun, Merck & Co., Inc. ✪ Random Matrix Theory and High-Dimensional 9:35 a.m. An Adaptive Two-Stage Design for Active- Inference—Contributed Controlled Phase II Oncology Trial—❖Xiaoming IMS, Biometrics Section Li, sanofi -aventis Chair(s): Lisha Chen, Yale University 9:50 a.m. Optimal Three-Outcome Designs for Screening 8:35 a.m. Effect of Mean on Variance Function Estimation Trials of New Agents—❖Vandana Mukhi, New in Nonparametric Regression—❖Lie Wang, York University; Yongzhao Shao, New York University of Pennsylvania; Lawrence D. Brown, University University of Pennsylvania; Tony Cai, University of 10:05 a.m. A Hybrid of Traditional Design and Isotonic Pennsylvania; Michael Levine, Purdue University Regression Method To Find MTD in Phase I Cancer 8:50 a.m. The Largest Root Test in Multivariate Analysis: Clinical Trials—❖Robert Bigelow, sanofi -aventis; Nonasymptotic Accuracy of the Tracy-Widom Chunpeng Fan, University of Wisconsin- Approximation—❖Iain Johnstone, Stanford Madison; Richard Wu, sanofi -aventis; Hui University Quan, sanofi -aventis

78 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

9:05 a.m. Statistical Eigen-Inference from Large Wishart 109 CC-254 B Matrices—❖Raj Rao, Massachusetts Institute of ● ✪ Bayesian Case Studies—Contributed Technology Section on Bayesian Statistical Science 9:20 a.m. New Optimality Test for Branch-and-Bound–Based Chair(s): Peng Sun, Merck & Co., Inc. ❖ Comprehensive Subset Search— Xuelei Ni, 8:35 a.m. Bayesian Real-Time Model for Ovulation Kennesaw State University; Xiaoming Huo, Prediction—❖Lemuel Moye, University of Texas Georgia Institute of Technology School of Public Health 9:35 a.m. High-Dimensional Classiﬁ cation Using Features 8:50 a.m. Bayesian Multiple Outcomes Models: Beneﬁ ts and

❖ Monday Annealed Independence Rule— Yingying Fan, Challenges—❖Sally W. Th urston, University of Princeton University; Jianqing Fan, Princeton Rochester; David Ruppert, Cornell University University 9:05 a.m. Analyzing Pressure Ulcer Development of 36 9:50 a.m. On the Minimax Risks for Estimation of a Location Nursing Homes Using Bayesian Hierarchical ❖ Parameter from Sums— Mokshay Madiman, Modeling—❖Jing Zhang, University of Missouri- Yale University; Andrew Barron, Yale University; Columbia; Zhuoqiong (Chong) He, University of Abram Kagan, University of Maryland; Tinghui Missouri-Columbia Yu, University of Maryland 9:20 a.m. Application of Bayesian Analysis in Review of 10:05 a.m. Floor Discussion Adverse Event for Product Quality Issues— ❖Harry Yang, MedImmune, Inc.; Lanju Zhang, 108 CC-259 MedImmune, Inc.; Iksung Cho, MedImmune, Inc. ✪ Nonparametric Statistics and Mixture Models— Contributed IMS, Section on Nonparametric Statistics Chair(s): Zepu Zhang, Th e University of Chicago 8:35 a.m. Set and Set Properties Estimation—❖Bruno Student Pelletier, University Montpellier II; Gerard Biau, University Montpellier II; Benoit Cadre, MMixerixer University Montpellier II Monday, July 30 8:50 a.m. Distribution Theory of Order Statistics of Concomitants Subsets and Applications—❖Ke 6:00 p.m.–7:30 p.m. Wang, Th e Ohio State University; Haikady The Grand America Hotel, Venezia Garden Salon Nagaraja, Th e Ohio State University 9:05 a.m. Differentiated Logdensity Approximants—❖Serge Provost, Th e University of Western Ontario 9:20 a.m. On a Grouping Method for Constructing Mixed Orthogonal Arrays—❖Chung-yi Suen, Cleveland State University 9:35 a.m. Labeling Issue in Finite Mixture Model: A Frequentist View—❖Daeyoung Kim, Th e Pennsylvania State University; Bruce G. Lindsay, Th e Pennsylvania State University 9:50 a.m. Using Copula To Study Dependence in Mixed Distributions—❖Magdalena Niewiadomska- Bugaj, Western Michigan University 10:05 a.m. Floor Discussion

Salt Lake City 79 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

9:35 a.m. Bayesian Analysis of Surveillance Data and 8:35 a.m. Exact Properties of a New Test and Other Tests— Meteorological Data for Detection of Aerosol ❖Jie Peng, University of Louisiana at Lafayette; Releases of B. Anthracis Spores—❖William Kalimuthu Krishnamoorthy, University of Hogan, University of Pittsburgh; Garrick Louisiana at Lafayette Wallstrom, University of Pittsburgh; Gregory 8:50 a.m. On a Moment-Based Test for Normality—❖Yihao F. Cooper, University of Pittsburgh; Michael Deng, Indiana University Purdue University Fort Wagner, University of Pittsburgh; Jean-Marc Wayne; Chand Chauhan, Indiana University Depinay, University of Pittsburgh Purdue University Fort Wayne 9:50 a.m. Hierarchical Bayesian Markov Switching Models 9:05 a.m. Testing of Hypothesis of a Structured Mean Vector with Application to Predicting Spawning Success for Multilevel Multivariate Data with Structured ❖ of Shovelnose Sturgeon— Ginger Davis, Correlations on Repeated Measurements— University of Virginia; Scott Holan, University ❖Anuradha Roy, Th e University of Texas at of Missouri-Columbia; Mark Wildhaber, U.S. San Antonio; Ricardo Leiva, F.C.E. Universidad Geological Survey Nacional de Cuyo 10:05 a.m. Floor Discussion 9:20 a.m. Resampling-Based Multiple Testing Procedure— ❖Nasrine Bendjilali, Lehigh University; Wei- 110 CC-251 F Min Huang, Lehigh University Nonparametric Testing and Model Validation— 9:35 a.m. On an Effi cient Algorithm for Boundary Detection— ❖ Contributed Tsung-Lin Cheng, National Changhua University of Education Section on Nonparametric Statistics Chair(s): Jeff rey Hart, Texas A&M University 9:50 a.m. A Geometric Feasible Direction Algorithm for Large-Scale Optimization with l1 Norm 8:35 a.m. A Generalized Test Statistic for Multinomial Goodness- Constraint—❖Jian Zhang, Purdue University of-Fit—❖Sunil Mathur, University of Mississippi 10:05 a.m. Impact of Censoring on Inference for the Regression 8:50 a.m. Model-Checking in Errors-in-Variables Regression— Coeffi cient in a Bivariate Normal Model—❖Richard ❖Weixing Song, Kansas State University Linder, Ohio Wesleyan University 9:05 a.m. A Lack-of-Fit Test for Partially Linear Models—❖Chin- Shang Li, St. Jude Children’s Research Hospital 9:20 a.m. Robust and Powerful Two-Sample Semiparametric 112 CC-257 Tests—❖Zhong Guan, Indiana University South Spatial Methodology—Contributed Bend; Hongyu Zhao, Yale University Section on Statistics and the Environment 9:35 a.m. A Modifi ed Mood’s Rank Test for Comparing Two Chair(s): Ernst Linder, University of New Hampshire Crossing Distributions—❖Michael P. Anderson, 8:35 a.m. On the Number of Clusters in a Dataset—❖Ahmed Kansas State University Albatineh, Nova Southeastern University 9:50 a.m. Goodness-of-Fit Tests for Multinomial Logistic 8:50 a.m. Assessing Statistical Spatial Performance: An Regression—❖David Hosmer, University of Application in Archaeology—❖Yuemei Wang, Massachusetts Amherst; Morten W. Fagerland, Emory University; Lance Waller, Emory Ullevål University Hospital; Anna M. Bofi n, University; Zev Ross, ZevRoss Spatial Analysis Norwegian University of Science and Technology 9:05 a.m. Mining Semantic Co-Location Patterns with 10:05 a.m. Model Credibility Indices and Information Clustering Techniques—❖Bin Zhang, IBM China Criteria—❖Jiawei Liu, Georgia State University; Research Laboratory; Wen Jun Yin, IBM China Bruce G. Lindsay, Th e Pennsylvania State University Research Laboratory; Jin Dong, IBM China Research Laboratory; Ming Xie, IBM China Research Laboratory 111 CC-251 C Symbolic, Time Series, and Image Analysis I— 9:20 a.m. Spatial Modeling for Large Multivariate Environmental Data: Advancing Methods Contributed and Applications—❖Sudipto Banerjee, Th e Section on Statistical Computing, Section on Statistical Graphics, IMS University of Minnesota; Andrew Finley, Th e Chair(s): Lynne Billard, University of Georgia University of Minnesota

80 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

9:35 a.m. A Multivariate Semiparametric Bayesian Spatial Prevention; David K. Shay, Centers for Disease Modeling Framework for Hurricane Surface Wind Control and Prevention ❖ Fields— Brian Reich, North Carolina State 10:05 a.m. Evaluation of Multiple Imputation in a Vaccine University; Montserrat Fuentes, North Carolina Immunogenicity Trial—❖Elizabeth Zell, Centers State University for Disease Control and Prevention; Michela 9:50 a.m. Maximum Likelihood for Spatially Correlated Baccini, University of Florence; Constantine E. Discrete Data—❖Lisa Madsen, Oregon State Frangakis, Th e Johns Hopkins University; Fan University Li, Harvard Medical School; Fabrizia Mealli,

10:05 a.m. Edge Correction for Exact Tests on Nearest- University of Florence; Brian D. Plikaytis, Monday Neighbor Contingency Tables for Testing Spatial Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Segregation—❖Elvan Ceyhan, Koc University Charles E. Rose, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Donald B. Rubin, Harvard University 113 CC-355 A ● Methods for and Analyses of Disease Surveillance Data—Contributed 114 CC-250 A ● ✪ Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Section on Health Policy Statistics Advances in Latent Class and Multivariate Chair(s): Kiros Berhane, University of Southern California Modeling of Survey Data—Contributed Section on Survey Research Methods, Section on Statistics and Marketing 8:35 a.m. Power Study of a Semiparametric Cluster Chair(s): Keith Rust, Westat Detection Method—❖Shihua Wen, University of Maryland; Benjamin Kedem, University of 8:35 a.m. Structural Equation Models for Item Parceling— ❖ Maryland Joseph Olsen, Brigham Young University 8:50 a.m. The Relationship Between the Recurrence Interval 8:50 a.m. Using Factor Analysis and Cronbach’s Alpha To and Time-to-Signal Properties of Surveillance Ascertain Relationships Between Questions of a ❖ Schemes—❖Shannon Fraker, Virginia Dietary Behavior Questionnaire— Eric Grau, Polytechnic Institute and State University; Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. William H. Woodall, Virginia Polytechnic 9:05 a.m. Randomization-Based Inference About Latent Institute and State University; Shabnam Variables in Classical Test Theory for a Clustered Mousavi, Th e Pennsylvania State University Sample—❖Tiandong Li, Westat; Robert 9:05 a.m. Using Administrative Data To Improve Sample Mislevy, University of Maryland Design and Estimation: Assaults Requiring 9:20 a.m. Hierarchical Linear Modeling for Complex Survey Emergency Department Visits in New York City— Data with Unequal Probability of Selection Using ❖Kevin Konty, New York City Department of HLM 6—❖Frank Jenkins, Westat; Hyunshik Lee, Health and Mental Hygiene; Catherine Stayton, Westat; Pam Broene, Westat New York City Department of Health and 9:35 a.m. A Methodology to Fit Hierarchical Logistic Models Mental Hygiene; Jingsong Lu, New York City for Data from Complex Sampling Designs— Department of Health and Mental Hygiene ❖Prabhu Bhagavatheeswaran, Bristol-Myers 9:20 a.m. Peak-Detection in Online Infl uenza Monitoring— Squibb Company; Ian Harris, Southern ❖Eva Andersson, Göteborg University; Methodist University Marianne Frisén, Göteborg University; David 9:50 a.m. Post-Stratifi cation with Optimized Effective Bock, Astra Zeneca Base: Linear and Nonlinear Ridge Regression 9:35 a.m. Variability of Serfl ing’s Estimator for Excess Approach—❖Stan Lipovetsky, GfK Custom Mortality—❖Al Ozonoff , Boston University; Research North America Xiaopeng Miao, Boston College 10:05 a.m. Robustness of Latent Class Measurement Error 9:50 a.m. A Robust Regression Model for Estimating Models—❖Brian Meekins, Bureau of Labor Infl uenza-Associated Deaths in 122 Cities’ Statistics; Daniell Toth, Bureau of Labor Mortality Data—❖Po-Yung Cheng, Centers for Statistics Disease Control and Prevention; William W. Th ompson, Centers for Disease Control and

Salt Lake City 81 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

115 CC-250 B 9:05 a.m. Life Table Forecasting with the Gompertz ● Nonresponse and Attrition Bias in Survey Data— Distribution—❖Peter Pfl aumer, FH Kempten Contributed 9:20 a.m. Methods of Estimating Internal Migration in the Section on Survey Research Methods Undocumented Immigrant Population of the ❖ Chair(s): Virginia Lesser, Oregon State University United States— Christopher J. Campbell, U.S. Department of Homeland Security; Michael D. 8:35 a.m. An Analysis of Nonresponse Bias Resulting from Hoefer, U.S. Department of Homeland Security; Nonresolution of Telephone Numbers, Eligibility Nancy F. Rytina, U.S. Department of Homeland Screener Nonresponse, and Interview Nonresponse Security for the National Immunization Survey— ❖Benjamin Skalland, NORC at the University 9:35 a.m. An Integrated Approach to Address Immigration of Chicago; Robert Montgomery, NORC at the Data Quality Problems: Sampling and Archival University of Chicago; Phillip Smith, Centers for Research—❖MacReadie Barr, U.S. Department Disease Control and Prevention of Homeland Security 8:50 a.m. Assessing the Effect of Government Frame 9:50 a.m. Status Upgrading: Immigrant Naturalization and Refi nement on Collecting Establishment Data for Occupational Change Revisited—❖Derekh the National Compensation Survey—❖Glenn Cornwell, Offi ce of Immigration Statistics; Springer, Bureau of Labor Statistics Nancy F. Rytina, U.S. Department of Homeland Security; Gary Huang, Offi ce of Immigration 9:05 a.m. A Comparison of Level of Effort and Benchmarking Statistics Approaches for Nonresponse Bias Analysis of an RDD Survey—❖Daifeng Han, Westat; David 10:05 a.m. Internal Migration of Refugee Adjustments of Status: Cantor, Westat An Application of Logistic Modeling—❖Kelly Jeff erys, U.S. Department of Homeland Security 9:20 a.m. The Impact of Refusal Conversion on Survey Response and Error—❖Martin Barron, NORC at the University of Chicago; Karen Wooten, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention 9:35 a.m. Designing Longitudinal Studies of Mobile Populations Such as Military Populations— ❖Shelton Jones, RTI International; Jeniff er Do You Need Iriondo-Perez, RTI International; Cynthia Bland, RTI International; Robert Bray, RTI International; Janice Brown, RTI International; a Break? Michael Pemberton, RTI International 9:50 a.m. Floor Discussion Have a cup of coffee courtesy of GfK. 116 CC-251 B Coffee will be available outside technical ● ✪ Estimating Mortality and Migration— sessions rooms on all convention center Contributed Social Statistics Section levels Monday between 10:15 a.m. and Chair(s): Dawn V. Nelson, U.S. Census Bureau 10:45 a.m. Enjoy a refreshing cup of coffee 8:35 a.m. Scepticism About The Lancet Surveys on Iraqi Mortality—❖David Kane, Kane Capital between your morning sessions. Management 8:50 a.m. Estimating Confl ict-Related Mortality in Timor- Thank you GfK! Leste, 1974-1999: A Comparative Review of Demographic and Statistical Estimation Methods— ❖Romesh Silva, Human Rights Data Analysis Group; Patrick Ball, Th e Benetech Initiative

82 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

Invited Sessions 10:30 a.m.–12:20 p.m. 119 CC-155 B ● ✪ Collection and Assessment of Safety Data in a 117 CC-355 F New Drug Development Program—Invited ● ✪ Biopharmaceutical Section, Committee on Applied Statisticians, ENAR, Sec- Advanced Modeling and Imaging Endpoints in tion on Risk Analysis, Section on Health Policy Statistics, Biometrics Section Applied Oncology Statistics—Invited Organizer(s): Guowen (Gordon) Sun, sanofi -aventis; Hui Quan, sanofi -aventis Committee on Applied Statisticians, ENAR, Section on Statistics in Epide- Chair(s): Guowen (Gordon) Sun, sanofi -aventis miology, Biometrics Section, Biopharmaceutical Section Organizer(s): Kelly H. Zou, Harvard Medical School 10:35 a.m. A Triage Approach to Evaluating Safety Monday Chair(s): Mani Y. Lakshminarayanan, Pfi zer, Inc. Incorporating Frequentist and Bayesian Methods— ❖A. Lawrence Gould, Merck & Co., Inc. 10:35 a.m. Absolute Risk Models: Applications and Validation— ❖Mitchell H. Gail, National Cancer Institute 11:00 a.m. Assessment of Safety Data in a New Drug Development Program: Some Points to Consider— 11:00 a.m. Imaging as Biomarker in Clinical Trials— ❖Weichung J. Shih, University of Medicine and ❖ Constantine Gatsonis, Brown University Dentistry of New Jersey; Hui Quan, sanofi -aventis 11:25 a.m. Some Statistical Issues with DCE-MRI 11:25 a.m. Safety First: Managing Patients’ Safety and ❖ Reproducibility Studies in Oncology— William L. Mitigating Products’ Risks—❖Christy Chuang- Mietlowski, Novartis Pharmaceuticals; Yuhui Ma, Stein, Pfi zer Inc. University of Medicine and Dentistry of New Jersey; Th eodore C. Pellas, Novartis Pharmaceuticals; 11:50 a.m. Disc: Judith D. Goldberg, New York University Ching-Ray Yu, Rutgers University 12:10 p.m. Floor Discussion 11:50 a.m. Disc: Elizabeth B. Claus, Yale University 12:10 p.m. Floor Discussion 120 CC-255 C ● Statistics in Genomics and Proteomics—Invited 118 CC-255 D Biometrics Section, WNAR, Biopharmaceutical Section ● ✪ Recent Advances In Functional Data Analysis Organizer(s): Huixia Wang, North Carolina State University And Nonparametric Estimation —Invited Chair(s): Huixia Wang, North Carolina State University Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences, Biometrics Section, 10:35 a.m. A Method for the Detection of Alternative Splicing Section on Nonparametric Statistics, Section on Statisticians in from Exon Array Data—❖Terence Speed, Defense and National Security University of California, Berkeley Organizer(s): Yuedong Wang, University of California, Santa 11:00 a.m. Statistical Analysis of Histone Acetylation—❖Ping Barbara Ma, University of Illinois Chair(s): Yuedong Wang, University of California, Santa 11:25 a.m. Quantifying Protein: Reverse-Phase Protein Barbara Arrays—❖Keith Baggerly, Th e University of 10:35 a.m. A Multiresolution Approach to Time and Image Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer Center ❖ Warping— Bernard W. Silverman, St. Peter’s 11:50 a.m. Statistical Design of Microarrays and Multiple College Testing of Gene Expression Data—❖Jason C. Hsu, 11:05 a.m. Penalized Splines: Asymptotics with Increasing Th e Ohio State University ❖ Number of Knots and Equivalent Kernels— David 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion Ruppert, Cornell University; Yingxing Li, Cornell University 11:35 a.m. Bayesian Curve-Fitting and Functional Data Analysis in Neurophysiology—❖Robert E. Kass, Carnegie Mellon University 12:05 p.m. Floor Discussion

Salt Lake City 83 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

121 CC-257 124 CC-250 EF Optimal Transformations —Invited Recent Developments in Bayesian Methods in Data IMS, General Methodology Mining/Machine Learning—Invited Organizer(s): Anirban Dasgupta, Purdue University Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Chair(s): Anirban Dasgupta, Purdue University Organizer(s): David Madigan, Rutgers University 10:35 a.m. A Mean-Matching, Variance-Stabilizing Transform Chair(s): David Madigan, Rutgers University Approach to Nonparametric Regression in Exponential 10:35 a.m. Stochastic Block Models of Mixed Membership— Families—❖Tony Cai, University of Pennsylvania ❖Edoardo M. Airoldi, Princeton University; 11:05 a.m. On Optimal Smoothing Parameter Choice in David Blei, Princeton University; Stephen Deconvolution Problems—Peter Hall, Th e Fienberg, Carnegie Mellon University; Eric University of Melbourne; ❖Aurore Delaigle, Xing, Carnegie Mellon University University of Bristol 11:05 a.m. Simultaneous Regression Shrinkage, Variable 11:35 a.m. Disc: Lawrence D. Brown, University of Pennsylvania Selection, and Supervised Clustering—❖Howard 11:55 a.m. Floor Discussion D. Bondell, North Carolina State University 11:35 a.m. The Lasso with Attribute Partition Search— ❖Suhrid Balakrishnan, Rutgers University; 122 CC-255 E David Madigan, Rutgers University Medallion Lecture II—Invited 12:05 p.m. Floor Discussion IMS, General Methodology Organizer(s): Tony Cai, University of Pennsylvania Chair(s): Shane T. Jensen, University of Pennsylvania 125 CC-355 B ● ✪ 10:35 a.m. Understanding Ecological Communities— A Sampling Revolution? List versus Area ❖Claudia Neuhauser, Th e University of Minnesota Frames for Probability Sampling—Invited Section on Survey Research Methods 12:00 p.m. Floor Discussion Organizer(s): Colm O’Muircheartaigh, NORC at the University of Chicago Chair(s): Martin Frankel, Baruch College/CUNY 123 CC-Ballroom B 10:35 a.m. Predicting the Relative Quality of Alternative Remembering Frederick Mosteller: 1916–2006— Sampling Frames—❖Colm O’Muircheartaigh, Invited NORC at the University of Chicago; Edward Memorial, Section on Statistical Education, Section on Teaching Statistics English, NORC at the University of Chicago; in the Health Sciences Stephanie Eckman, NORC at the University of Organizer(s): Stephen Fienberg, Carnegie Mellon University Chicago Chair(s): Stephen Fienberg, Carnegie Mellon University 11:00 a.m. Improving Coverage of Residential Address Lists in 10:35 a.m. Frederick Mosteller: A Statistical Life—❖Stephen Multistage Area Samples—❖Sylvia Dohrmann, Fienberg, Carnegie Mellon University Westat; Daifeng Han, Westat; Leyla Mohadjer, 11:05 a.m. Fred Mosteller as Researcher—❖David C. Westat Hoaglin, Abt Associates, Inc. 11:25 a.m. Comparing the Coverage of a Household Sampling 11:35 a.m. Fred as Educator—❖Judith M. Tanur, SUNY Frame Based on Mailing Addresses to a Frame ❖ Stoney Brook Based on Field Enumeration— Vincent G. Iannacchione, RTI International; Joseph 12:05 p.m. Floor Discussion McMichael, RTI International; James R. Chromy, RTI International; David Cunningham, RTI International; Katherine Morton, RTI International; James Cajka, RTI International; Ross Curry, RTI International 11:50 p.m. Floor Discussion

84 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

126 CC-258 128 CC-355 E ● ✪ Multiplicity Today: Perspectives on Multiple JASA, Theory and Methods Invited Session—Invited Testing—Invited JASA, Theory and Methods, General Methodology General Methodology, Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, WNAR Organizer(s): Stephen Portnoy, University of Illinois; Walter W. Organizer(s): Th omas H. Short, Indiana University of Pennsylvania Piegorsch, Th e University of Arizona Chair(s): Th omas H. Short, Indiana University of Pennsylvania Chair(s): Walter W. Piegorsch, Th e University of Arizona 10:35 a.m. Political Aspects of Multiple Testing: A 10:35 a.m. Implementation of Estimating-Function–Based Controversy—❖S. Stanley Young, National Inference Procedures with MCMC Samplers— Institute of Statistical Sciences ❖Lee-Jen Wei, Harvard University; Lu Tian, Monday Northwestern University; Jun S. Liu, Harvard 11:00 a.m. Empirical Bayes Methods for Multiple Testing— University ❖Debashis Ghosh, University of Michigan 11:20 a.m. Disc: Xuming He, University of Illinois 11:25 a.m. Hochberg’s Step-Up Method: Cutting Corners off Holm’s Step-Down Method—❖Yifan Huang, 11:40 a.m. Disc: John D. Kalbﬂ eisch, University of Michigan University of South Florida; Jason C. Hsu, Th e 12:00 p.m. Rejoiner: Lee-Jen Wei, Harvard University Ohio State University 12:10 p.m. Floor Discussion 11:50 a.m. Multiple Tests of Association with Biological Annotation Metadata—❖Sunduz Keles, University of Wisconsin-Madison; Sandrine Dudoit, University of California, Berkeley; Mark J. van der Laan, University of California, Berkeley 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion 127 CC-260 Longtime Member ● ✪ Spatial Surveillance for Adverse Environmental Health Outcomes—Invited Section on Statistics and the Environment, Section on Bayesian Statistical Reception Science, Section on Statisticians in Defense and National Security, ENAR, Section on Health Policy Statistics, Biometrics Section Organizer(s): Andrew B. Lawson, University of South Carolina by invitation only Chair(s): Andrew B. Lawson, University of South Carolina Monday, July 30, 6:30 to 7:30 p.m. 10:35 a.m. Optimal Methods in Surveillance—❖Marianne Frisén, Göteborg University The Grand America Hotel 11:05 a.m. Bayesian Modeling and Surveillance for Adverse Murano Garden Salon MRDD Outcomes Associated with Soil Chemical Exposures—❖Ji-In Kim, University of South If you joined the ASA 35 or more years ago, Carolina; Andrew B. Lawson, University of the American Statistical Association South Carolina would like to thank you for 11:35 a.m. Assessing Spatial Performance of Surveillance your longtime support. Systems—❖Lance Waller, Emory University; Yuemei Wang, Emory University; Carol Lin, Please join us for a reception in Bristol-Myers Squibb Company your honor. 12:05 p.m. Floor Discussion

Sponsored by the ASA Membership Retention and Recruitment Committee.

Salt Lake City 85 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

Invited Panels 10:30 a.m.–12:20 p.m. 10:55 a.m. Multiyear ACS Results for Multnomah County, Oregon: Preliminary Observations—❖George C. Hough, Portland State University; David A. 129 CC-251 E Swanson, University of Mississippi ● ✪ SAMSI: A Five-Year Retrospective and Five- 11:15 a.m. The Utility of Five-Year Averages from the Year Prospective—Invited American Community Survey for Bronx Statistical and Applied Mathematical Sciences Institute Neighborhoods—❖Joseph Salvo, NYC Organizer(s): James Berger, Duke University Department of City Planning; A. Peter Lobo, Chair(s): James Berger, Duke University NYC Department of City Planning; Adam Panelists: ❖ Peter Bickel, University of California, Berkeley Willett, New York City Department of City Planning ❖ Sallie Keller-McNulty, Rice University 11:35 a.m. Disc: Michael L. Cohen, Committee on National ❖ Alan Karr, National Institute of Statistical Sciences Statistics 12:05 p.m. Floor Discussion 11:55 a.m. Disc: Deborah H. Griﬃ n, U.S. Census Bureau 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion 130 CC-255 B ● Issues and Solutions to Planning and Implementing an Adaptive Design in Practice— 132 CC-251 D ● ✪ Invited Applications of Visualization for Web 2.0— ENAR, Biometrics Section, Biopharmaceutical Section, WNAR Topic-Contributed Organizer(s): Brenda Gaydos, Eli Lilly and Company Section on Statistical Graphics Organizer(s): Daniel Rope, SPSS Inc. Chair(s): Brenda Gaydos, Eli Lilly and Company Chair(s): Simon Urbanek, AT&T Labs - Research Panelists: ❖ Michael Krams, Wyeth 10:35 a.m. An AJAX Web 2.0 Geospatial Visualization ❖ Paul Gallo, Novartis Pharmaceuticals Framework—❖Stephen Eick, University of ❖ Gernot Wassmer, Th e University of Cologne Illinois at Chicago ❖ Jerald S. Schindler, Merck & Co., Inc. 10:55 a.m. Statistical Graphics with Element Control in ❖ Christopher S. Coﬀ ey, Th e University of the Browser—❖Sven Knudsen, Insightful Alabama at Birmingham Corporation; Michael O’Connell, Insightful 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion Corporation 11:15 a.m. Using Web 2.0 for Statistical Software— ❖Webster West, Texas A&M University 11:35 a.m. Statistical Graphics for Collaborative Topic-Contributed Sessions Environments—❖Daniel Rope, SPSS Inc. 10:30 a.m.–12:20 p.m. 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion

131 CC-355 C 133 CC-155 C ● ✪ It’s Only Data, What’s the Big Deal?: The ● ✪ When To Stop a Clinical Trial for Effi cacy?— Signifi cance of Using Multi-Year Estimates Topic-Contributed from the American Community Survey—Topic- Biopharmaceutical Section, ENAR, WNAR Contributed Organizer(s): Vipin Arora, Novartis Pharmaceuticals Social Statistics Section, Section on Survey Research Methods Chair(s): John Connett, Th e University of Minnesota Organizer(s): Cynthia J. Davis, U.S. Census Bureau 10:35 a.m. When To Stop a Clinical Trial for Effi cacy?— Chair(s): Constance F. Citro, National Academy of Sciences ❖Vipin Arora, Novartis Pharmaceuticals 10:35 a.m. Multiple ACS Estimates: Pick a Number, Any 10:55 a.m. Overview of Available Methods for Effi cacy Number!—❖Linda Gage, California Department Monitoring—❖Th omas Cook, University of of Finance Wisconsin-Madison

86 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel Monday

Salt Lake City 87 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

11:15 a.m. Crossing Monitoring Boundaries and Not 10:55 a.m. Propensity Score Analysis with Hierarchical Stopping—❖Janet Wittes, Statistics Collaborative Data—❖Fan Li, Harvard Medical School; Alan 11:35 a.m. Disc: Marian Fisher, University of Wisconsin- M. Zaslavsky, Harvard University; Mary Beth Madison Landrum, Harvard Medical School 11:55 a.m. Disc: Kannan Natarajan, Novartis 11:15 a.m. Bayesian Hidden Markov Models for Alcoholism ❖ Pharmaceuticals Data— Kenneth Shirley, University of Pennsylvania; Dylan Small, University of 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion Pennsylvania; Kevin G. Lynch, University of Pennsylvania 134 CC-155 A 11:35 a.m. Laplace’s Approximation for Relative Risk Frailty ● ✪ Statistical Challenges for Bioassay Data— Models—❖Shibao Feng, Genentech, Inc.; Lei Topic-Contributed Nie, Georgetown University Medical Center; Biopharmaceutical Section, WNAR Robert A. Wolfe, University Renal Research and Organizer(s): Jason Liao, Merck & Co., Inc. Education Association Chair(s): Rong Liu, Merck & Co., Inc. 11:55 a.m. Dental Arch Clustering in Orthodontics Practice— ❖ 10:35 a.m. Prediction-Based Decision for Validation of Johan Lim, Yonsei University; Heon Jin (Bio)Analytical Methods Using Tolerance Park, Inha University; SungIm Lee, DanKook Intervals and Accuracy Profi les—❖Bruno University; Shin-Je Lee, Seoul National Boulanger, Université de Liège; Walthère Dewe, University GlaxoSmithKline; Francois Moonen, Arlenda; 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion Philippe Hubert, University of Liege 10:55 a.m. Statistical Methods for Assessing Long-Term 136 CC-254 A Stability of Compounds in Biological Matrices— ✪ Statistics of Extremes—Topic-Contributed ❖David M. Hoff man, sanofi -aventis; Robert IMS Kringle, sanofi -aventis Organizer(s): Zhengjun Zhang, University of Wisconsin-Madison 11:15 a.m. Bioassay: Decisionmaking in the Face of Chair(s): Richard A. Davis, Colorado State University Uncertainty—❖Timothy Schofi eld, Merck & Co., Inc. 10:35 a.m. Large Deviations for Point Processes Based on Stationary Sequences with Heavy Tails—❖Henrik 11:35 a.m. Reparameterization of the Five-Parameter Logistic Hult, Brown University Dose-Response Curve—❖Jason Liao, Merck & Co., Inc.; Rong Liu, Merck & Co., Inc. 10:55 a.m. Inference of a Heavy-Tailed Distribution— ❖Yongcheng Qi, Th e University of Minnesota 11:55 a.m. Overcoming Practical, Statistical, and Robotic Duluth Challenges in Bioassay—❖David Lansky, Precision Bioassay 11:15 a.m. Maximum Likelihood Estimation for Alpha-Stable Autoregressive Processes—❖Beth Andrews, 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion Northwestern University; Matthew Calder, Colorado State University; Richard A. Davis, 135 CC-251 C Colorado State University ● Innovative Methods for Analyzing Observational 11:35 a.m. On the Estimation of the Heavy-Tail Exponent in Studies and Clinical Studies—Topic-Contributed Time Series Using the Max-Spectrum—❖Stilian IMS, Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, ENAR Stoev, University of Michigan; George Organizer(s): Dylan Small, University of Pennsylvania Michailidis, Th e University of Michigan Chair(s): Dylan Small, University of Pennsylvania 11:55 a.m. Quotient Correlation: A Sample-Based Alternative to Pearson’s Correlation—❖Zhengjun Zhang, 10:35 a.m. Robust Propensity Score Analysis for Causal University of Wisconsin-Madison Inference in Observational Studies—❖Asheber Abebe, Auburn University; Joseph W. McKean, 12:05 p.m. Floor Discussion Western Michigan University; Bradley E. Huitema, Western Michigan University

88 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

137 CC-250 C 11:15 a.m. Expert Opinion, Informative Priors, and Sensitivity ● ✪ Applications of Objective Bayesian Analysis— Analysis for Longitudinal Binary Data with Topic-Contributed Informative Dropout—❖Joo Yeon Lee, U.S. Food Section on Bayesian Statistical Science and Drug Administration; Joseph W. Hogan, Brown University Organizer(s): Jun Lu, American University Chair(s): Jingqin Luo, Washington University in St. Louis 11:35 a.m. A Semiparametric Joint Modeling Approach for Nonignorable Missing Data—❖Liansheng Zhu, 10:35 a.m. Estimate Response Rates and Satisfaction Given Pharmaceutical Product Development, Inc; Sujit Response Jointly Using Hierarchical Bayesian

Ghosh, North Carolina State University Monday Modeling Approach—❖Xiaoming Gao, Missouri Department of Conservation; Dongchu Sun, 11:55 a.m. Floor Discussion University of Missouri-Columbia; Zhuoqiong (Chong) He, University of Missouri-Columbia 139 CC-251 B 10:55 a.m. Objective Priors for Overdisposed Weibull ● ✪ Nonparametric Curve Estimation—Topic- Models for Breast Cancer Incidence and Contributed Survivals—❖Luyan Dai, University of Missouri- Section on Nonparametric Statistics Columbia; Zhuoqiong (Chong) He, University of Missouri-Columbia; Dongchu Sun, University Organizer(s): Sam Efromovich, University of Texas at Dallas of Missouri-Columbia; Mario Schootman, Chair(s): Robert Serﬂ ing, University of Texas at Dallas Washington University in St. Louis 10:35 a.m. A New Bayesian Procedure for Nonparametric 11:15 a.m. Objective Priors for Spatially Adaptive Smoothing Regression Estimation and Pointwise Conﬁ dence ❖ Splines—❖Yu Yue, University of Missouri- Bands— Linda Zhao, University of Columbia Pennsylvania 11:35 a.m. Objective Bayesian Analysis in Memory 10:55 a.m. Consistent Learning Methods Are Approximately Study—❖Xiaoyan Lin, University of Missouri- Local—❖Yaacov Ritov, Th e Hebrew University Columbia; Dongchu Sun, University of of Jerusalem; Alon Zakai, Th e Hebrew Missouri-Columbia University of Jerusalem 11:55 a.m. Disc: Jun Lu, American University 11:15 a.m. Remarks on Bandwidth Selection for ❖ 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion Discrimination— David W. Scott, Rice University 11:35 a.m. Estimating Common Mean Curve in Interlaboratory Studies—❖Andrew Rukhin, University of 138 CC-250 D Maryland ● ✪ Section on Bayesian Statistics Student Paper 11:55 a.m. Conditional Density Estimation—❖Sam Competition: Applications in Biostatistics—Topic- Efromovich, University of Texas at Dallas Contributed 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Organizer(s): Merlise A. Clyde, Duke University Chair(s): Jing Li, Th e University of Michigan 140 CC-254 B 10:35 a.m. Multivariate Spatial-Temporal Modeling and Statistical Literacy 2007—Topic-Contributed Prediction of Speciated Fine Particles— Section on Statistical Education, Section on Teaching Statistics in the ❖Jungsoon Choi, North Carolina State Health Sciences University; Montserrat Fuentes, North Carolina Organizer(s): Milo Schield, Augsburg College State University; Brian Reich, North Carolina Chair(s): Paul Fields, Brigham Young University State University; Jerry Davis, North Carolina 10:35 a.m. Statistics for Innumerate Journalists—❖Stephen State University Doig, Arizona State University 10:55 a.m. Bayesian Variable Selection with Joint Modeling of 10:55 a.m. Quantitative Reasoning: An Activity-Based Course Categorical and Survival Outcomes: An Application with Real Data and Relevant Issues—❖Kay to Individualizing Chemotherapy Treatment in Somers, Moravian College Advanced Colorectal Cancer—❖Wei Chen, Karmanos Cancer Institute

Salt Lake City 89 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

11:15 a.m. Success of Relative Strength Investing Within 10:55 a.m. WGCNA: A Software for Weighted Gene Similar Asset Classes—❖Marshall Schield, Stir Coexpression Network Analysis—❖Lin Wang, Research; Milo Schield, Augsburg College University of California, Los Angeles 11:35 a.m. Grammar of Chance—❖Tom Burnham, Cognitive 11:15 a.m. Network-Based Meta Analysis Methods for Consulting; Milo Schield, Augsburg College Microarray Data—❖Wen Lin, University 11:55 a.m. Media Stories Involving Numbers—❖Milo of California, Los Angeles; Steve Horvath, Schield, Augsburg College University of California, Los Angeles 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion 11:35 a.m. Clustering Procedures for Finding Shared Modules Across Multiple Microarray Datasets—❖Peter Langfelder, University of California, Los 141 CC-254 C Angeles; Steve Horvath, University of California, Statistical Phylogenetics—Topic-Contributed Los Angeles IMS 11:55 a.m. Connectivity, Module-Conformity, and Signiﬁ cance: Organizer(s): Bret Larget, University of Wisconsin-Madison Understanding Weighted Gene Coexpression Chair(s): Bret Larget, University of Wisconsin-Madison Networks—❖Jun Dong, University of California, 10:35 a.m. A Bayesian Model To Infer the Relationship Los Angeles; Steve Horvath, University of Among Several Recombinant Sequences—❖Erik California, Los Angeles; Andy Yip, National Bloomquist, University of California, Los University of Singapore Angeles; Marc A. Suchard, University of 12:15 a.m. Floor Discussion California, Los Angeles 10:55 a.m. Inference About Gorilla Population History Using MCMC Method—❖Joungyoun Kim, University of Wisconsin-Madison Contributed Sessions 10:30 a.m.–12:20 p.m. 11:15 a.m. Bayes Estimation of Hybridization in Species Phylogeny Based on Incongruent Gene ❖ 143 CC-255 F Topologies— Chen Meng, University of New ● ✪ Recent Advances in Microarray Data Analysis Mexico I—Contributed Joint Bayesian Estimation of Phylogeny and 11:35 a.m. Biometrics Section Sequence Alignment—❖Heejung Shim, Chair(s): Baolin Wu, Th e University of Minnesota University of Wisconsin-Madison 10:35 a.m. Exonerating Bonferroni’s Multiple Testing 11:55 a.m. Spatial Location-Dependent Substitution Models Procedure—❖Alexander Gordon, Th e University and Their Application to Phylogenetics— of North Carolina at Charlotte; Galina Glazko, ❖Xueliang Pan, Th e Ohio State University; University of Rochester; Xing Qiu, University of Dennis K. Pearl, Th e Ohio State University; Rochester; Andrei Yakovlev, University of Rochester J. Dennis Pollack, Th e Ohio State University 10:50 a.m. Statistical Framework for Integrative Analysis 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion of Multiple Gene Expression—❖Chien-Cheng Tseng, University of Pittsburgh 142 CC-255 A 11:05 a.m. A Method of Detecting Differential Gene Expression ● ✪ Theory and Applications of Gene Co- for Cross-Species Hybridization Experiments— Expression Network Methods—Topic-Contributed ❖Ying Chen, University of California, Davis; WNAR, ENAR, Biometrics Section Anu Chakicherla, Lawrence Livermore National Organizer(s): Wei Zhao, University of California, Los Angeles Laboratory; David Rocke, University of Chair(s): Christina Ramirez Kitchen, University of California, Los Angeles California, Davis 10:35 a.m. Microarray Gene Coexpression Analysis by a 11:20 a.m. Identifying Differentially Expressed Genes for Time-Course Microarray Data Through Functional Supervised Sequential Clustering Algorithm— ❖ ❖Cheng Cheng, St. Jude Children’s Research Data Analysis— Kun Chen, University of Hospital California, Davis; Jane-Ling Wang, University of California, Davis

90 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

11:35 a.m. RDCurve: A Nonparametric Method To Evaluate 145 CC-155 F the Stability of Selection Procedures—❖Xin Lu, ● ✪ Statistical Issues in Noninferiority and University of California, San Diego Equivalence Trials—Contributed 11:50 a.m. Sample Size Estimation for Factorial Designs in Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section ❖ Microarray Studies— Bruce Th ompson, Clinical Chair(s): Stephanie Dunbar, Merck & Co., Inc. Trials & Surveys Corp.; Clara Chu, Clinical 10:35 a.m. Generalized Mixed Models for Noninferiority Trials & Surveys Corp.; Th omas J. Richards, Trials—❖Robert Abugov, U.S. Food and Drug University of Pittsburgh Medical Center Administration 12:05 p.m. Normalization for Replicated MicroRNA Array 10:50 a.m. Trials and Tribulations in Choosing Noninferiority Monday ❖ Data with Spike-In Controls— Yuhua Su, Yale Margins—❖John Johnson, Cato Research, Ltd. University; Joanne B. Weidhaas, Yale University; 11:05 a.m. A Testing Strategy for Noninferiority and/or Daniel Zelterman, Yale University Superiority Hypotheses on Multiple Endpoints— ❖Xiaohui Luo, Merck & Co., Inc.; Jianjun Li, 144 CC-155 D Merck & Co., Inc. ● ✪ Machine Learning and Related Issues— 11:20 a.m. New Tests for Assessing Noninferiority and Contributed Equivalence from Survival Data—❖Kallappa Koti, Biometrics Section U.S. Food and Drug Administration Chair(s): Hao Zhang, North Carolina State University 11:35 a.m. A Multivariate Test for Population ❖ 10:35 a.m. Integration of Relational and Hierarchical Network Bioequivalence— Inna Chervoneva, Th omas Information: Prediction of Protein Function— Jeff erson University; Terry Hyslop, Th omas ❖Xiaoyu Jiang, Boston University; Eric D. Jeff erson University; Walter W. Hauck, Kimmel Kolaczyk, Boston University; Simon Kasif, Cancer Center at Jeff erson Boston University 11:50 a.m. Estimation of Long-Term Vaccine Effi cacy and 10:50 a.m. Subject-Adaptive, Real-Time Sleep Stage Waning Effects Using Surveillance Interval ❖ Classifi cation Based on Conditional Random Data— Martha Lee, U.S. Food and Drug Field—❖Gang Luo, IBM T.J. Watson Research Administration; Tsai-Lien Lin, U.S. Food and Center; Wanli Min, IBM T.J. Watson Research Drug Administration Center 12:05 p.m. An Equivalence Test Based on the Duration of Treatment Effect as Measured by Median Time- 11:05 a.m. Variable Selection for Optimal Decisionmaking— to-Event—❖Suriani Pokta, Allergan, Inc.; Jihao ❖Lacey Gunter, University of Michigan; Zhou, Allergan, Inc. Susan Murphy, University of Michigan; Ji Zhu, University of Michigan 11:20 a.m. Correlation Analysis Between Two Sets of Brain 146 CC-250 A Images—❖Yeming Ma, State University of New Long Memory and Related Processes—Contributed York at Stony Brook Business and Economics Statistics Section 11:35 a.m. Covariate Effect Estimation with Partial Chair(s): Alicia Carriquiry, Iowa State University Penalization—❖Jiang Gui, Dartmouth Medical 10:35 a.m. Estimation in Long-Time Memory Processes— School; James Sargent, Dartmouth Medical ❖Wen Li, Iowa State University; Alicia Carriquiry, School Iowa State University; Wolfgang Kliemann, Iowa 11:50 a.m. Variable Importance Selection: Random Forest vs. State University; Cindy Yu, Iowa State University Logistic Regression—❖Andrejus Parfi onovas, 10:50 a.m. Unit Root Tests in the Presence of a Simultaneous Utah State University; Adele Cutler, Utah State Break in the Mean and the Innovation Variance— University ❖Amit Sen, Xavier University 12:05 p.m. Inference for Dynamic Treatment Regimes via 11:05 a.m. Long-Memory Parameter Estimation in Time Series Q-Learning—❖Bibhas Chakraborty, University of and Its Connection to fBm—❖Michael Levine, Michigan; Susan Murphy, University of Michigan Purdue University; Frederi Viens, Purdue University; Soledad Torres, Universidad de Valparaiso

Salt Lake City 91 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

11:20 a.m. A Power Study of Seasonal Unit Root Tests for 148 CC-259 Quarterly Data—❖Qianyi Zhang, North Carolina ● ✪ Innovative Bayesian and Frequentist Models State University; David Dickey, North Carolina for Health Using Individual and Ecologic Data— State University; Sastry Pantula, North Carolina Contributed State University Section on Health Policy Statistics, ENAR, Biometrics Section, WNAR 11:35 a.m. Test of Cointegration Using Long Run Canonical Chair(s): Susan L. Stewart, University of California, San Francisco Correlations: Part I—❖Kalidas Jana, University of 10:35 a.m. Truth or Consequences: Estimating Error Due Texas at Brownsville; Alastair R. Hall, University to Inconsistent Self-Report of Adolescent Risk of Manchester Behaviors—❖Janet Rosenbaum, Harvard 11:50 a.m. Contemporaneous Aggregation of Time University Series—❖Georgios Tripodis, University of 10:50 a.m. A Statistical Tool Based on a Model of Personal Massachusetts Amherst; Jeremy Penzer, London and Ecologic Characteristics To Explain Deprivation School of Economics in U.S. Health Care Access—❖Martey Dodoo, 12:05 p.m. Feature Extraction Using Functional Data Th e Robert Graham Center; Robert Phillips, Analysis for Screening Large Numbers of Time Robert Graham Center; Xingyou Zhang, Th e ❖ Series— Ganesh Subramaniam, AT&T Labs Robert Graham Center - Research; Ravi Varadhan, Th e Johns Hopkins 11:05 a.m. Bayesian Hierarchal Modeling of Small-Area University; Ciprian M. Crainiceanu, Th e Johns Suicide Rates: A Geographical and Ecological Hopkins University Evaluation—❖Yi Lin, University of British Columbia; Ying MacNab, University of British 147 CC-250 B Columbia Bayesian Approaches in Machine Learning and 11:20 a.m. Distribution of Cronbach’s Alpha for Ordinal Data: Model Selection—Contributed A Bayesian-Based Approach—❖Byron Gajewski, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Th e University of Kansas Medical Center; Chair(s): Meijuan Li, Th e University of Minnesota Diane K. Boyle, Th e University of Kansas Medical Center; Sarah Th ompson, University of 10:35 a.m. Principal Component Reduction in Linear Mixed Nebraska Medical Center B-Splines—❖Carsten Botts, Williams College; Michael Daniels, University of Florida 11:35 a.m. A Bayesian Two-Part Model for Bounded Non- Negative Data: Estimating Extra Time Spent on 10:50 a.m. Adaptive Dynamic Bayesian Networks—❖Brenda Diabetes Self-Care—❖Betsy C. Gunnels, Centers Ng, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory for Disease Control and Prevention; Th eodore ❖ 11:05 a.m. Testing Equality of Several Functions— Sam J. Th ompson, Centers for Disease Control Behseta, California State University; Robert E. and Prevention; Louise B. Russell, Rutgers Kass, Carnegie Mellon University University; Susan L. Ettner, University of 11:20 a.m. Aspects of Bayesian Lasso Regression— California, Los Angeles; James P. Boyle, Centers ❖Christopher Hans, Th e Ohio State University; for Disease Control and Prevention Steven N. MacEachern, Th e Ohio State University 11:50 a.m. Joint Modeling of Birth Weight and Gestational Age 11:35 a.m. Bayesian Adaptive LASSO for Linear Models— via the Gibbs Sampler—❖Betsy Enstrom, Duke ❖Yi-Liang Tung, National Cheng Kung University University; Alan E. Gelfand, Duke University; 11:50 a.m. Bayesian Kernel Regression with Feature Geeta Swamy, Duke University; Marie Lynn Selection—❖Zhi Ouyang, Duke University; Miranda, Duke University Merlise A. Clyde, Duke University; Robert L. 12:05 p.m. Characterizing Drug Diffusion with Patient-Level Wolpert, Duke University Data—❖Camelia Sima, MSKCC; Katherine 12:05 p.m. Bayesian Model Averaging Using Adaptive Panageas, MSKCC; Glenn Heller, MSKCC; Sampling—❖Joyee Ghosh, Duke University; Deborah Schrag, MSKCC Merlise A. Clyde, Duke University

92 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

149 CC-251 A 11:20 a.m. Temporal Extensions to Spatial Statistical ✪ Semiparametric and Nonparametric Inference— Metrics—❖James Shine, U.S. Army Topographic Contributed Engineering Center; James P. Rogers, U.S. Army Section on Nonparametric Statistics Corps of Engineers; Mete Celik, Th e University of Minnesota; Shashi Shekhar, Th e University of Chair(s): Alan Polansky, Northern Illinois University Minnesota 10:35 a.m. Conﬁ dence Intervals for a Discrete Population 11:35 a.m. Approaches to Time Series Clustering— Median—❖Ronald Randles, University of ❖Hwanseok Choi, Th e University of Alabama; Florida; Denis Larocque, HEC Montreal

J. Michael Hardin, Th e University of Alabama Monday 10:50 a.m. A Family of Kurtosis Orderings for Multivariate 11:50 a.m. An Empirical Spectral Test (EST) for Random Distributions—❖Jin Wang, Northern Arizona Sequences—❖David Zeitler, Grand Valley University State University; Joseph W. McKean, Western 11:05 a.m. Rank-Weighted, Two-Sample U-Statistics with Michigan University; John Kapenga, Western Application to Partial Area Under ROC Curves— Michigan University ❖Chengqing (Alan) Wu, National Institutes of 12:05 p.m. Using Geometrical Tools for Dimension Reduction Health; Aiyi Liu, National Institutes of Health; of Images—❖Evgenia Rubinshtein, University of Kai Fun Yu, National Institutes of Health Central Arkansas; Anuj Srivastata, Florida State 11:20 a.m. When Does the Wilcoxon-Mann-Whitney University Fail?—❖Abu Minhajuddin, Th e University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center at Dallas; Paul Nakonezny, Th e University of Texas 151 CC-155 E Southwestern Medical Center at Dallas ● Reducing Bias in Epidemiological Studies: 11:35 a.m. Smoothed Mann-Whitney Method for Two-Sample Two-Phase Sampling and Missing Data Methods— Location Problem—❖Feridun Tasdan, Western Contributed Illinois University Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Section on Health Policy Statistics 11:50 a.m. Diagnostics for Rank Estimates for a Mixed Chair(s): Mari Palta, University of Wisconsin-Madison Model—❖John Kloke, Pomona College; Joseph 10:35 a.m. A Method To Assess Bias Reduction in W. McKean, Western Michigan University; Observational Studies of Inﬂ uenza Vaccine M. Mushﬁ qur Rashid, U.S. Food and Drug Effectiveness—❖Jennifer Nelson, Group Health Administration Center for Health Studies; Michael Jackson, 12:05 p.m. Clusterwise Regression Using Dirichlet Mixtures— Group Health Center for Health Studies; Noel ❖Subhashis Ghoshal, North Carolina State Weiss, University of Washington; Lisa Jackson, University; Changku Kang, Bank of Korea Group Health Center for Health Studies 10:50 a.m. Multiple Imputation To Control for Unmeasured 150 CC-251 F Confounding Using an Internal Validation Study— ● ✪ Symbolic, Time Series, and Image Analysis ❖Robert Glynn, Brigham and Women’s Hospital; II—Contributed Til Stürmer, Brigham and Women’s Hospital Section on Statistical Computing, Section on Statistical Graphics 11:05 a.m. Estimation of Causal Effects in Studies with Chair(s): Michael Trosset, Indiana University Outcome-Dependent, Two-Phase Sampling— ❖ 10:35 a.m. Symbolic Data Analysis—❖Lynne Billard, Weiwei Wang, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg University of Georgia School of Public Health; Daniel Scharfstein, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public 10:50 a.m. Temporal Statistics for Consequences of Alcohol Health; Zhiqiang Tan, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg Use—❖Peter Mburu, George Mason University; School of Public Health; Ellen MacKenzie, Johns Yasmin H. Said, George Mason University; Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health Edward Wegman, George Mason University 11:20 a.m. Analysis of Epidemiological Studies with an 11:05 a.m. Time-Frequency Analysis of Electroencephalogram Outcome-Dependent Sampling Design—❖Haibo Series—❖Wei Yang, SUNY at Albany; Stephen Zhou, Th e University of North Carolina at Wong, University of Pennsylvania; Igor Chapel Hill Zurbenko, SUNY at Albany

Salt Lake City 93 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

11:35 a.m. Estimates of Causal Effects of a Continuous Damion Francis, University of the West Indies; Exposure Using Multiple Imputation—❖Sundar Shelly McFarlane, University of the West Indies; Natarajan, Veterans Aff airs New York Harbor Jan van den Broeck, University of the West Healthcare System/New York University; Stuart Indies; Georgiana Gordon-Strachan, University R. Lipsitz, Brigham and Women’s Hospital; of the West Indies; Andriene Grant, Ministry Garrett Fitzmaurice, Harvard University; Scott of Health, Jamaica; Deanna Ashley, Ministry of Regenbogen, Harvard School of Public Health Health, Jamaica; Rainford Wilks, University of 11:50 a.m. Nonparametric Regression with Missing Data the West Indies Using Kernel-Estimating Equations—❖Lu Wang, Harvard University; Xihong Lin, Harvard School 153 CC-355 A of Public Health; Andrea Rotnitzky, Universidad ● Survey Weighting and Calibration Methods— Torcuato Di Tella Contributed 12:05 p.m. Semiparametric Effi cient Causal Inference with Section on Survey Research Methods Missing Data—❖Yue Shentu, Merck & Co., Inc.; Chair(s): Stanislav Kolenikov, University of Missouri-Columbia Minge Xie, Rutgers University 10:35 a.m. Comparing Estimate Bias and Variances Using Calibrated Weights with a Different Number of Constraints in a Sample with Oversamples in 152 CC-355 D ❖ ● Survey Measurement and Data Quality— Specifi c Groups— Nuria Diaz-Tena, TNS- Contributed Global; Rob Cole, TNS-Global; Partha Dass, TNS-Global Section on Survey Research Methods, Social Statistics Section Chair(s): Holly Shulman, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention 10:50 a.m. A New Algorithm for High-Dimensional Calibration in Observational Studies—❖Michael E. Jones, 10:35 a.m. Can Study Design Infl uence Substantive Westat; Ismael Flores Cervantes, Westat; David ❖ Survey Results?— Dhuly Chowdhury, RTI R. Judkins, Westat International; Karol Krotki, RTI International; Lily Trofi movich, RTI International 11:05 a.m. Improving the Unit Nonresponse Adjustment in the NLSCY Using Logistic Regression Modeling and 10:50 a.m. SOI Develops Better Survey Questions Through Calibration—❖Mike Tam, Statistics Canada; ❖ Pretesting— Tara Wells, Internal Revenue Marcelle Tremblay, Statistics Canada; Sarah Service; Diane M. Milleville, Internal Revenue Franklin, Statistics Canada; Claude Girard, Service Statistics Canada 11:05 a.m. A New Approach to Measuring Residence Status— 11:20 a.m. Weight-Trimming in the National Immunization ❖ Jennifer Childs, U.S. Census Bureau; Elizabeth Survey (NIS)—❖Sadeq Chowdhury, NORC M. Nichols, U.S. Census Bureau at the University of Chicago; Meena Khare, 11:20 a.m. Evaluating the Computer Audio-Recorded National Center for Health Statistics; Kirk Interviewing (CARI) Household Wellness Study Wolter, NORC at the University of Chicago (HWS) Field Test—Taniecea Arceneaux, U.S. Census 11:35 a.m. Testing for Informative Weights and Weights ❖ Bureau; Sherry E. Th orpe, U.S. Census Bureau Truncation in Multivariate and Multilevel Modeling 11:35 a.m. Patterns of Nonresponse for Key Questions in with Survey Data—❖Tihomir Asparouhov, NSDUH and Implications for Imputation—❖Peter Muthen & Muthen; Bengt Muthen, University of Frechtel, RTI International; Elizabeth Copello, California, Los Angeles RTI International 11:50 a.m. An Application of Alternative Weighting Matrix 11:50 a.m. The Impact on Data Quality of the Transition to Collapsing Approaches for Improving Sample Clean-Burning, On-Highway Diesel—❖Paula Estimates—❖Linda Tompkins, Centers for Weir, Energy Information Administration; Disease Control and Prevention; Jay J. Kim, Pedro J. Saavedra, Macro International; Benita National Center for Health Statistics O’Colmain, Macro International 12:05 p.m. Bayesian Weight-Smoothing Models in Clustered 12:05 p.m. Interviewer Variability and Survey Estimates: or Cross-Classed Sample Designs—❖Xiaobi Quantifying Data Quality—❖Novie Younger, Th e Huang, University of Michigan; Michael R. University of the West Indies at Mona, Jamaica; Elliott, University of Michigan

94 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

Contributed Poster Presentations 09 Testing for Ordered Alternatives in the Analysis of Genetic 10:30 a.m.–12:20 p.m. Association Studies—❖Julia Kozlitina, Southern Methodist University 10 Array Analysis To Assess Effects of RNAi-Based Silencing 154 CC-Exhibit Hall D in Relation to Flavonoid Transport—❖Robert Norton, Contributed Poster Presentations—Contributed California State University, East Bay; Mousumi Rath, Biometrics Section, Biopharmaceutical Section, ENAR, WNAR, Section on California State University, East Bay; Claudia Uhde- Statistical Consulting, Section on Statistical Computing Stone, California State University, East Bay Chair(s): Dongseok Choi, Oregon Health & Science University 11 A Semiparametric Mixture Model for Identifying Cis- Monday Applications and case studies Acting Regulatory Elements—❖Gregory Hather, 01 A Quantitative Assessment of Diagnostic Cutoff Point University of California, Berkeley; Terence Speed, Selection Methods—❖Michael Andrew, Centers for University of California, Berkeley; Mary Wildermuth, Disease Control and Prevention; Shengqiao Li, Centers University of California, Berkeley for Disease Control and Prevention; Harshinder Singh, 12 Reproducibility of Microarray Data: A Further Analysis West Virginia University of Microarray Quality Control Data—❖Chien-Ju Lin, 02 Application of Principal Component Analysis in the National Center for Toxicological Research; James Reduction of a 19-Item Clinical Scale—❖Hong Liu- J. Chen, U.S. Food and Drug Administration; Huey- Seifert, Eli Lilly and Company Miin Hsueh, National Chengchi University; Robert 03 Statistical Applications in High-Throughput siRNA R. Delongchamp, National Center for Toxicological Synthetic Lethality Screens—❖Yue Li, Lilly Singapore Research; Chen-An Tsai, Academia Sinica Center for Drug Discovery; Gopinath Ganji, Lilly 13 An EM Algorithm for Identifying Genotypic Structure Singapore Center for Drug Discovery; Holly Yin, Using Genome-Wide Expression Data—❖Ellen Breazel, Translational Genomics Research Institute; Quick University of Georgia; Paul Schliekelman, University of Que, Translational Genomics Research Institute; Kok Georgia Long Ang, Lilly Singapore Center for Drug Discovery; 14 A Novel Application of Quantile Regression for Libin Ma, Lilly Singapore Center for Drug Discovery; Identiﬁ cation of Cartilage Biomarkers in Equine Song Wu, Lilly Singapore Center for Drug Discovery; Microarray Data—❖Liping Huang, University of Greg Tucker-Kellogg, Lilly Singapore Center for Drug Kentucky; Christopher Saunders, George Mason Discovery University; Wenying Zhu, University of Kentucky; 04 Outlier Detection for a High-Throughput Bioassay— Jamie MacLeod, University of Kentucky; Arnold ❖Shea Watrin, Amgen Inc.; Ye Frank, Amgen Inc. Stromberg, University of Kentucky; Arne Bathke, 05 The Effects of Sampling and Sample Preparation on University of Kentucky Analytical Sensitivity—❖Th ea Eudey, California State 15 A Novel Method of Identifying Differentially Expressed University, East Bay; Richard Lewis, GlaxoSmithKline Genes Based on Probe-Level Data for GeneChip Arrays— ❖ 06 Binary Logistic Regression Modeling of Precursor Zhongxue Chen, Southern Methodist University; Sequence Cleavage—❖Allison Tegge, University of Monnie McGee, Southern Methodist University; Illinois at Urbana-Champaign; Sandra Rodriguez-Zas, Qingzhong Liu, New Mexico Institute of Mining and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign; Bruce Technology; Megan Kong, Th e University of Texas Southey, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign Southwestern Medical Center at Dallas; Richard Scheuermann, Th e University of Texas Southwestern Bayesian statistics, hierarchical models Medical Center at Dallas 07 Frequentist and Bayesian Complement Each Other— ❖ ❖ 16 A Network-Based Gene Screening Approach— Wei Tie-Hua Ng, U.S. Food and Drug Administration Zhao, University of California, Los Angeles; Paul Biometrics, bioinformatics, computational biology Mischel, University of California, Los Angeles; Steve 08 Sample-Size Determination for a Flow Cytometry Assay— Horvath, University of California, Los Angeles ❖Elaine A. McVey, BD Technologies; Perry Haaland, 17 Statistical Methods for Peptide Identiﬁ cation Using BD Technologies; Friedrich Hahn, BD Technologies Tandem Mass Spectrometry Through Sequence Database Searching—❖Qunhua Li, University of Washington; Matthew Stephens, Th e University of Chicago

Salt Lake City 95 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

Clinical trials, drug discovery California, Los Angeles 18 Development and Application of a Multivariate Mantel- Data mining and knowledge discovery, machine learning ❖ Haenszel Mean Scores Test— Rebecca McNeil, 30 Semisupervised Technique and Its Learning Rate in Medical University of South Carolina; Robert Intelligent Systems—❖Morteza Marzjarani, Saginaw Woolson, Medical University of South Carolina; Carol Valley State University Wagner, Medical University of South Carolina 31 The Multinode Topological Overlap Measure for Gene 19 Curtailed Two-Stage Design for Phase II Clinical Neighborhood Analysis—❖Ai Li, University of Trial—Yunchan Chi, National Cheng Kung University; California, Los Angeles; Steve Horvath, University of ❖ Chiamin Chen, National Cheng-Kung University California, Los Angeles 20 Statistical Evaluation of Bone Mineral Density as a Environmetrics, ecology, agriculture, wildlife management Surrogate Endpoint for Fracture with or Without Baseline 32 Modeling Movement and Diving Behavior of Satellite- Consideration—❖Peiqi Chen, Eli Lilly and Company; Tagged Sea Turtles—❖Eric Nordmoe, Kalamazoo Asad Rana, Eli Lilly and Company College; Cheong Hoong Diong, Nanyang 21 A Composite Endpoint for Vulvovaginal Symptoms in Technological University VVA Clinical Trials—❖Moh-Jee Ng, U.S. Food and Drug Administration; Ling Chen, U.S. Food and Drug Experimental design Administration 33 Repeated Classifi cation as a Cost-Effective Sample Design To Test Association When There Are Random 22 Predicting Accrual in Clinical Trials: Bayesian Posterior Misclassifi cation Errors—❖Nathan Tintle, Hope College Predictive Distribution—❖Stephen D. Simon, Children’s Mercy Hospital; Byron Gajewski, Th e University of 34 Multivariate Exploration and Analysis of Crop Yield Kansas Medical Center Components for Optimal Selection in Honeycomb Designs—❖Andy Mauromoustakos, University of 23 Inference in Clinical Trial Using ROC Curve Regression— Arkansas; Vasilia Fasoula, Th e University of Georgia; ❖Lin Zhang, Baylor University; Jack Tubbs, Baylor Kevin Th ompson, University of Arkansas University 24 Semiparametric Smoothing for Scintigraphy Data from a Health policy, epidemiology, public health Three-Period Crossover Design—❖Jo Edmonds, Baylor 35 An Additive Model for a Heavily Right-Skewed Outcome— ❖ University; John W. Seaman, Jr., Baylor University Amanda Allshouse, RTI Health Solutions; Jianmin Wang, RTI Health Solutions; Jasmine Mathias, RTI 25 A Performance Analysis of Distribution-Free Tests for Health Solutions; William Irish, RTI Health Solutions Drug Interaction—❖Yuhong Tang, Sam Houston State University; Melinda M. Holt, Sam Houston State 36 A Study on Bayesian Signaling of a Prespecifi ed University Drug-Adverse Event Association in Post-Marketing Safety Studies—❖Yu-te Wu, U.S. Food and Drug 26 Drug Combination Studies in Preclinical Pharmaceutical Administration; George Rochester, U.S. Food and Research—❖Joseph Haas, Eli Lilly and Company; Drug Administration; Yi Tsong, U.S. Food and Drug Philip Iversen, Eli Lilly and Company Administration 27 Evaluation of Soluble KIT as a Potential Surrogate Marker for Time-to-Tumor Progression in Patients with Advanced Linear models, GLMs, parametric methods GIST by Several Recently Proposed Methods—❖Xin 37 Comparing Exact and Asymptotic Confi dence Intervals ❖ Huang, Pfi zer Inc.; Sam DePrimo, Pfi zer Inc.; Jenny for a Function of Variance Components— Brent Burch, Zhang, Harvard University; Charles Harmon, Pfi zer Northern Arizona University Inc.; John Smeraglia, Pfi zer Inc.; Chuck Baum, Pfi zer 38 Testing for Slope Equivalency of Two Orthogonal Inc.; Randy Allred, Pfi zer Inc. Analytical Methods—❖Richard Burdick, Amgen Inc.; 28 Exact Inference for Nominal and Rating Scale Data with Shea Watrin, Amgen Inc.; Michael Stoner, Amgen Inc. Repeated Measurements in Clinical Trials with Parallel 39 Step-Down Pairwise Comparisons Based on the Group Design—❖James Lee, Daiichi Sankyo Pharma Studentized Range Distribution—❖Scott Richter, Th e Development; John Dar Shong Hwang, B.R.S.I. University of North Carolina at Greensboro; Melinda 29 Identifi cation of Treatment Effects in the Presence of McCann, Oklahoma State University Deviation from Randomized Assignment: Application to a Surgical Setting—❖Corwin Zigler, University of

96 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

Longitudinal data, repeated measurements, and meta- Speaker with Lunch 12:30 p.m.–1:50 p.m. analysis 40 An Iterative Least Squares Process To Obtain Unbiased 155 CC-Ballroom D Variance Estimates at the Second Stage of a Two-Stage Model for Longitudinal Data—❖Mary Bartholomew, Section on Statistics in Sports Speaker with Lunch U.S. Food and Drug Administration; Chris Gennings, (fee event)—Speaker with Lunch Virginia Commonwealth University Section on Statistics in Sports 41 Type I and Type II Error Properties for White’s Robust Organizer(s): Michael Schell, Moﬃ tt Cancer Center

Covariance Matrix Estimator in Longitudinal Designs ML09 Is Tiger a Winner, or Is He Just Better Than Monday with Several Repeats—❖Keith Williams, University of Everyone?—❖Scott Berry, Berry Consultants Arkansas for Medical Sciences; Deborah W. Biddle, University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences 42 Effect of Ignoring Baseline on Transitions from Intact Cognition to Dementia—❖Richard J. Kryscio, University Roundtables with Lunch 12:30 p.m.–1:50 p.m. of Kentucky; Lei Yu, University of Kentucky; David Snowdon, University of Kentucky; Suzanne Tyas, 156 CC-Ballroom A University of Waterloo Biopharmaceutical Section Roundtables with 43 A Simulation Study Comparing Linear Mixed Models Lunch (fee event) and Generalized Estimation Equations for Use in Biopharmaceutical Section Longitudinal Biomarker Study for Exposure to Cigarette Organizer(s): Kaylan Ghosh, Vislation Smoke—❖Qiwei Liang, Philip Morris USA; Huajiang Li, Quintiles Inc.; Hans Roethig, Philip Morris USA ML10 Innovative Design and Analysis of FDA Medical Device Submissions—❖Gary Kamer, U.S. Food and Drug Mathematical statistics, distribution theory, robust Administration statistics ML11 Blocks, Strata, and Covariates: What’s in a Name?— 44 A New Class of Location Parameters and Estimators— ❖Veronica Taylor, U.S. Food and Drug Administration ❖Roy St Laurent, Northern Arizona University; Ian Harris, Southern Methodist University ML12 The Use of Meta-Analysis in Drug Development— ❖Tsushung Hua, Novartis Pharmaceuticals Medical devices ML13 Evaluating Probability of Success for Internal 45 Effect of Sample Aliquot Size on the Sensitivity and Decisionmaking in Early Drug Development— Reproducibility of Clinical Assays—❖Guorong Chen, ❖Narinder Nangia, Abbott Laboratories Digene Corp; Irina Nazarenko, Digene Corp 46 Noninferiority Testing with a Given Percentage of the Control as the Noninferiority Margin—❖Paul Hshieh, 157 CC-Ballroom A U.S. Food and Drug Administration Business and Economics Statistics Section Pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics Roundtable with Lunch (fee event) 47 Using Spline-Enhanced ODEs for PK/PD Model Business and Economics Statistics Section Development—❖Dong Wang, University of Nebraska- Organizer(s): Cliﬀ ord M. Hurvich, New York University Lincoln; Yi Wang, University of Nebraska-Lincoln; ML14 Statistics Teaching: Bayesian, Frequentist, United— Kent Eskridge, University of Nebraska-Lincoln; ❖Emanuel Parzen, Texas A&M University Shunpu Zhang, University of Nebraska-Lincoln Time series/wavelet analysis 158 CC-Ballroom A 48 Wavelet Analysis of Super-Frequent fMRI—❖Zibonele Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Valdez-Jasso, Th e University of Texas at Dallas Roundtable with Lunch (fee event) 49 Statistical Analysis of EEG-Sleep Patterns of Neonates— Section on Bayesian Statistical Science ❖ Alexandra Piryatinska, San Francisco State University Organizer(s): David van Dyk, University of California, Irvine ML15 Dealing with Review Efﬁ ciency: A Practical Bayesian Approach—❖Xiao-li Meng, Harvard University

Salt Lake City 97 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

159 CC-Ballroom A 164 CC-Ballroom C Section on Government Statistics Roundtable with Section on Statistical Consulting Roundtable with Lunch (fee event) Lunch (fee event) Section on Government Statistics Section on Statistical Consulting Organizer(s): Michael Davern, Th e University of Minnesota Organizer(s): James Grady, Th e University of Texas Medical Branch ML16 Design and Use of the IPUMS-International Data ML22 Right Answer, Wrong Question: Characterization and Series—❖MatthewCANCELLED Sobek, Th e University of Minnesota Reduction of the Risk of Type III Error in Statistical Applications—❖John L. Eltinge, Bureau of Labor 160 CC-Ballroom A Statistics Section on Health Policy Statistics Roundtable with Lunch (fee event) 165 CC-Ballroom C Section on Health Policy Statistics Section on Statistical Education Roundtables with Organizer(s): Anirban Basu, Th e University of Chicago Lunch (fee event) ML17 Estimation of Causal Effects in Health Services and Section on Statistical Education Outcome Research Using Observational Data— Organizer(s): Jacqueline Miller, Th e Ohio State University ❖Lirong Zhao, University of Maryland ML23 Spanning the Globe: Using Data To Introduce Students to the Rest of the World—❖Robert Carver, Stonehill 161 CC-Ballroom A College Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences ML24 TA Training for Introductory Statistics Courses— Roundtables with Lunch (fee event) ❖Jessica Utts, University of California, Davis Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences ML25 Learning to Teach Statistics: Challenges and ❖ Organizer(s): Randall Tobias, SAS Institute Inc. Suggestions— Candace Berrett, Th e Ohio State University; Jacqueline Miller, Th e Ohio State University ML18 Sensor-Based Field Reliability Data Analysis: Opportunities and Challenges—❖Necip Doganaksoy, General Electric 166 CC-Ballroom C ML19 Non-Negative Matrix Factorization in Statistics— Section on Statistical Graphics Roundtable with ❖S. Stanley Young, National Institute of Statistical Lunch (fee event) Sciences Section on Statistical Graphics Organizer(s): David Hunter, Th e Pennsylvania State University 162 CC-Ballroom C ML26 Graphical Data Mining of Network Data—❖George Section on Quality and Productivity Roundtable Michailidis, Th e University of Michigan with Lunch (fee event) Section on Quality and Productivity 167 CC-Ballroom C Organizer(s): James Williams, GE Global Research Section on Statisticians in Defense and National ML20 Exposing Students to Six Sigma as Part of Their University Security Roundtable with Lunch (fee event) ❖ Training— Angie Patterson, GE Global Research Section on Statisticians in Defense and National Security Organizer(s): David Marchette, Naval Surface Warfare Center 163 CC-Ballroom C ML27 Increasing Understanding of the Need for Statistics Section on Risk Analysis Roundtable with Lunch in Defense and Security—❖Alyson G. Wilson, Los (fee event) Alamos National Laboratory Section on Risk Analysis Organizer(s): Susan Simmons, Th e University of North Carolina at Wilmington ML21 Harnessing the Power of Information in Quantitative Risk Assessment—❖Walter W. Piegorsch, Th e University of Arizona

98 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

168 CC-Ballroom C Invited Sessions 2:00 p.m.–3:50 p.m. Section on Statistics in Epidemiology Roundtable with Lunch (fee event) 172 CC-255 C Section on Statistics in Epidemiology ● ✪ Statistical Issues in High-Dimensional Omics Organizer(s): William E. Barlow, Cancer Research and Biostatistics Data and Biomarker Discovery—Invited ML28 Gerontologic Biostatistics and the Challenges Biopharmaceutical Section, ENAR, Biometrics Section of Conducting Biomedical Research with Older Organizer(s): Lei Zhu, GlaxoSmithKline Populations—❖Peter H. Van Ness, Yale University; Chair(s): Lei Zhu, GlaxoSmithKline

❖ Monday Heather G. Allore, Yale University 2:05 p.m. Systems-Based Analysis of Metabolic Proﬁ les— ❖Jacqueline M. Hughes-Oliver, North Carolina 169 CC-Ballroom C State University Section on Survey Research Methods Roundtable 2:30 p.m. Toward Superior Classiﬁ cations with ABC Dissimilarities: A Microarray Case Study— with Lunch (fee event) ❖ Section on Survey Research Methods Dhammika Amaratunga, Johnson & Johnson PRD; Javier Cabrera, Rutgers University; Organizer(s): David Marker, Westat Vladimir Kovtun, Rutgers University ML29 What Happened in Florida-13’s Election Last Year, and 2:55 p.m. Sample Size Estimation for Omics Experiments— What Can We Do To Improve Electoral Integrity?— ❖Gregory R. Warnes, University of Rochester; ❖Arlene Ash, Boston University Peng Liu, Iowa State University 3:20 p.m. Disc: Kwan Lee, GlaxoSmithKline 170 CC-Ballroom C 3:40 p.m. Floor Discussion Social Statistics Section Roundtable with Lunch (fee event) Social Statistics Section 173 CC-255 A Organizer(s): Jana Asher, Carnegie Mellon University ● ✪ Methods To Identify and Adjust for Selection ML30 Linking Survey Data and Administrative Data for Policy Bias in Observational Studies—Invited Research—❖Michael Davern, Th e University of Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Section on Health Policy Statistics, Minnesota Section on Risk Analysis, Section on Teaching Statistics in the Health Sci- ences, WNAR Organizer(s): Robert Glynn, Brigham and Women’s Hospital Chair(s): Robert Glynn, Brigham and Women’s Hospital Special Presentation 2:00 p.m.–3:50 p.m. 2:05 p.m. Propensity Score Calibration with Validation Data—❖Til Stürmer, Brigham and Women’s Hospital; Sebastian Schneeweiss, Brigham 171 CC-Ballroom B and Women’s Hospital; Kenneth J. Rothman, Late-Breaking Session 1: Statistical Analysis of an Brigham and Women’s Hospital; Jerry Avorn, Archeological Find—Other Brigham and Women’s Hospital; Robert Glynn, ASA, ENAR, IMS, WNAR, SSC Brigham and Women’s Hospital Organizer(s): Allan Rossman, California Polytechnic State University 2:30 p.m. Bayesian Methods to Acknowledge Confounding Chair(s): Hal Stern, University of California, Irvine and Mismeasurement—❖Paul Gustafson, 2:05 p.m. Statistical Analysis of an Archeological Find— University of British Columbia; Lawrence ❖Andrey Feuerverger, University of Toronto McCandless, University of British Columbia 2:50 p.m. Disc: Aleks Jakulin, Columbia University 2:55 p.m. Instrumental Variables in Pharmacoepidemiology—❖M. Alan Brookhart, 3:05 p.m. Disc: Stephen Fienberg, Carnegie Mellon Brigham and Women’s Hospital University 3:20 p.m. Disc: Sander Greenland, University of 3:20 p.m. Disc: Donald Bentley, Pomona College California, Los Angeles 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion 3:40 p.m. Floor Discussion

Salt Lake City 99 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

174 CC-251 B 2:05 p.m. Sample Size and Power Calculations in Late-Phase ✪ Advances in Contemporary Nonparametric Clinical Trials with a Longitudinal Endpoint—❖Jose Methods—Invited Pinheiro, Novartis Pharmaceuticals Section on Nonparametric Statistics 2:30 p.m. Internal Pilot Designs and Mixed Models— ❖ Organizer(s): Soumendra N. Lahiri, Texas A&M University Matthew Gurka, University of Virginia; Chair(s): Daniel Nordman, Iowa State University Christopher S. Coff ey, Th e University of Alabama at Birmingham; Keith E. Muller, 2:05 p.m. On Least-Squares Fitting for Spatial Point University of Florida Processes—❖Michael Sherman, Texas A&M University; Yongtao Guan, Yale University 2:55 p.m. Assessing the Performance of a Symmetric Divergence Information Criterion for Selecting the A GCV Approach for Bandwidth Selection in PET 2:30 p.m. Best Linear Mixed Model—❖Lloyd J. Edwards, Image Reconstruction—❖Ranjan Maitra, Iowa Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel State University Hill; Anita Abraham, Th e University of North 2:55 p.m. Minimax Estimators of the Coverage Probability of Carolina at Chapel Hill the Impermissible Error for a Location Family— 3:20 p.m. Disc: Oliver Schabenberger, SAS Institute Inc. ❖Miguel A. Arcones, Binghamton University 3:40 p.m. Floor Discussion 3:20 p.m. Higher-Order Properties of Block Bootstrap Confi dence Intervals—❖Soumendra N. Lahiri, Texas A&M University 177 CC-251 D 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion Machine Learning and Optimization—Invited IMS, Section on Nonparametric Statistics, Section on Physical and Engi- neering Sciences 175 CC-257 Organizer(s): Jon D. McAuliff e, University of Pennsylvania ✪ The Transition from Undergraduate to Graduate Chair(s): Jon D. McAuliff e, University of Pennsylvania Study of Statistics—Invited 2:05 p.m. Support Vector Machines for Structured Outputs— Mu Sigma Rho, Section on Statistical Education ❖Th orsten Joachims, Cornell University Organizer(s): Marcia Gumpertz, North Carolina State University Chair(s): Marcia Gumpertz, North Carolina State University 2:35 p.m. Large-Scale Covariance Selection by Chordal Embedding—❖Lieven Vandenberghe, University 2:05 p.m. Inspiring and Challenging Students in the ❖ of California, Los Angeles; Joachim Dahl, Mathematical Sciences— William Y. Velez, Th e Aalborg University University of Arizona ❖ 3:05 p.m. Model Selection for SVMs through Bilevel 2:25 p.m. Undergraduate Preparation— L. Marlin Eby, Optimization—❖Gautam Kunapuli, Rensselaer Messiah College Polytechnic Institute ❖ 2:45 p.m. The First-Year Experience— Matthew Ritter, 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion North Carolina State University 3:05 p.m. The First-Year of Graduate Studies in Statistics— ❖Pam Arroway, North Carolina State University 178 CC-250 D ● ✪ 3:25 p.m. Disc: Julie Legler, St. Olaf College Analyzing Multiple-Response Categorical Data from Complex Survey Designs—Invited 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion Section on Survey Research Methods, SSC Organizer(s): Th omas M. Loughin, Simon Fraser University 176 CC-255 F Chair(s): Th omas M. Loughin, Simon Fraser University ● ✪ State of the Art in Mixed Models Analysis— 2:05 p.m. Simple Practitioner-Oriented Hypothesis Tests for Invited Various Types of Multiple Response Survey Data— ENAR, Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Biometrics Section, Biophar- ❖D. Roland Th omas, Carleton University; Yves maceutical Section, WNAR J. Decady, Statistics Canada Organizer(s): Matthew Gurka, University of Virginia Chair(s): Keith E. Muller, University of Florida

100 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

2:30 p.m. Estimation and Testing for Association with 3:05 p.m. Heterogeneous Autoregressive Realized Volatility Multiple-Response Categorical Variables from Model—❖Yazhen Wang, University of Connecticut ❖ Complex Surveys— Christopher R. Bilder, 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion University of Nebraska-Lincoln; Th omas M. Loughin, Simon Fraser University 2:55 p.m. Bayesian Inference for a Stratiﬁ ed Categorical 181 CC-355 B Variable Allowing All Possible Category Choices— Large-Scale Data Mining—Invited Balgobin Nandram, Worcester Polytechnic Section on Statistical Computing, Section on Statisticians in Defense and ❖ National Security, Section on Quality and Productivity, Section on Nonpara-

Institute; Myron Katzoﬀ , National Center Monday for Health Statistics; Ma Criselda S. Toto, metric Statistics, Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences, Section on Statistical Graphics Worcester Polytechnic Institute Organizer(s): Edward Wegman, George Mason University; Yasmin H. 3:20 p.m. Disc: Robert Fay, U.S. Census Bureau Said, George Mason University 3:40 p.m. Floor Discussion Chair(s): David W. Scott, Rice University 2:05 p.m. A New Family of Link Functions Extending Logistic 179 CC-155 F Regression—❖William DuMouchel, Lincoln ● Fifty Years of the National Health Interview Technologies Survey—Invited 2:35 p.m. Statistics and Search Engines—❖Daryl Pregibon, Section on Health Policy Statistics, Section on Government Statistics, Google Section on Survey Research Methods, Social Statistics Section, Section on 3:05 p.m. A Poor Man’s View of Data Mining—❖William F. Statistics in Epidemiology Szewczyk, National Security Agency Organizer(s): Jane F. Gentleman, National Center for Health Statistics 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion Chair(s): Van Parsons, National Center for Health Statistics 2:05 p.m. The Evolution of Concepts in the National Health Interview Survey—❖Jennifer Madans, National 182 CC-155 B ● ✪ Center for Health Statistics Missing Data in Longitudinal Studies—Invited SSC, ENAR, Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Biometrics Section, 2:30 p.m. Policy Uses of National Health Interview Survey Biopharmaceutical Section, Section on Survey Research Methods, WNAR (NHIS) Data on Health Insurance Coverage— Organizer(s): Lang Wu, University of British Columbia ❖Amy J. Davidoﬀ , University of Maryland Chair(s): Lang Wu, University of British Columbia 2:55 p.m. The National Health Interview Survey in the Present and in the Future—❖Jane F. Gentleman, 2:05 p.m. Mixed Nonhomogeneous Poisson Process Spline National Center for Health Statistics Models for the Analysis of Recurrent Event Panel Data—❖Jason Nielsen, Simon Fraser University; 3:20 p.m. Fifty Years of the National Health Interview Survey— Charmaine Dean, Simon Fraser University ❖Nancy Breen, National Cancer Institute 2:30 p.m. Reducing the Bias of Between- Within-Cluster 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion Covariate Methods When Data Are Missing at Random—❖John Neuhaus, University of 180 CC-355 E California, San Francisco; Charles E. McCulloch, Financial Econometrics—Invited University of California, San Francisco IMS 2:55 p.m. Semiparametric Methods for Clustered Binary ❖ Organizer(s): Jianqing Fan, Princeton University Data— Grace Y. Yi, University of Waterloo; Chair(s): Tony Cai, University of Pennsylvania Wenqing He, University of Western Ontario; Hua Liang, University of Rochester 2:05 p.m. Local Parametric Inference in the Hidden Semimartingale Model—❖Per A. Mykland, Th e 3:20 p.m. Second-Order Least Squares Estimation for ❖ University of Chicago Nonlinear Mixed Effects Models— Liqun Wang, University of Manitoba 2:35 p.m. Parameter Estimation of Diffusion Process with Sequential Monte Carlo—❖Rong Chen, 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion University of Illinois at Chicago

Salt Lake City 101 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

Invited Panels 2:00 p.m.–3:50 p.m. Spatial statistics, spatio-temporal modeling 50 Estimation of Covariogram Models by Minimum Prediction Contrast for Kriging—❖Marc Genton, University of 183 CC-254 A Geneva; Olivier Perrin, University of Toulouse 1 Summer Institutes for Training in Biostatistics (SIBS): 51 Experiments on the Earth: Smoothing and Spatial Addressing the Biostatistician Shortage—Invited Statistics for Geophysical Applications Using Fields— Section on Teaching Statistics in the Health Sciences, ENAR, Biometrics ❖Stephan Sain, National Center for Atmospheric Section, Section on Statistical Education Research; Reinhard Furrer, Colorado School of Mines; Organizer(s): Walter T. Ambrosius, Wake Forest University Douglas Nychka, National Center for Atmospheric Chair(s): Walter T. Ambrosius, Wake Forest University Research ❖ Panelists: Song Yang, National Heart, Lung, and Blood 52 Stochastic Space-Time Regional Rainfall Modeling Institute Adapted to Historical Rain Gauge Data—❖Zepu Zhang, ❖ Ronald E. Gangnon, University of Wisconsin- Th e University of Chicago; Paul Switzer, Stanford Madison University ❖ Lisa M. Sullivan, Boston University 53 Black Diamond Ski Runs and the Fields R Package— ❖ ❖ Kimberly S. Weems, North Carolina State Douglas Nychka, National Center for Atmospheric University Research 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion Environmetrics, ecology, agriculture, wildlife management 54 Reconstruction of NH Average Temperature by Hierarchical Bayesian Models—❖Bo Li, National 184 CC-254 C Center for Atmospheric Research; Douglas Nychka, Rising from the Ashes of the SIPP: Opportunities National Center for Atmospheric Research; Caspar and Challenges of the New Dynamics of Economic Ammann, National Center for Atmospheric Research Well-Being System—Invited 55 Choice of Basis Functions in GAM Models of Air Pollution Social Statistics Section, Section on Government Statistics, Section on and Respiratory Health—❖Chava Zibman, Th e University Survey Research Methods of Chicago; Vanja Dukic, Th e University of Chicago Organizer(s): Daniel Kasprzyk, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. 56 Statistical Approaches to El Niño Forecasting— Chair(s): Daniel Kasprzyk, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. ❖Souparno Ghosh, Texas A&M University; Amanda Panelists: ❖ David Johnson, U.S. Census Bureau S. Hering, Texas A&M University; Salil Mahajan, Texas ❖ Constance F. Citro, National Academy of Sciences A&M University; Marc Genton, University of Geneva; ❖ Howard Iams, Social Security Administration Mikyoung Jun, Texas A&M University; Bani Mallick, Texas A&M University; Ramalingam Saravanan, Texas ❖ Martin David, University of Wisconsin-Madison A&M University ❖ John Czajka, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. 57 An International Comparison of Air Quality Standards— 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion ❖Peter Guttorp, University of Washington; Laura Knudsen, University of Washington 58 Space-Time Bayesian Environmental Modeling of the Chronic Wasting Disease in Deer—❖Hae-Ryoung Song, Invited Poster Presentations University of South Carolina; Andrew B. Lawson, 2:00 p.m.–3:50 p.m. University of South Carolina; Dennis Heisey, U.S. Geological Survey; Damien Joly, Alberta Sustainable Resource Development 185 CC-Exhibit Hall D 59 Source Apportionment and Health Effects of Air Pollution— Invited Poster Presentations—Invited ❖Th omas Lumley, University of Washington Section on Statistics and the Environment, ENAR, IMS, SSC, WNAR, Biometrics Section Applications and case studies Chair(s): Dongseok Choi, Oregon Health & Science University 60 The Exploration of Space-Time Data—❖Li Chen, Th e University of Chicago; Michael Stein, Th e University of Chicago

102 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

Topic-Contributed Sessions 2:00 p.m.–3:50 p.m. Donohue, University of California, San Diego; Ronghui Xu, University of California, San Diego; Anthony Gamst, University of California, San 186 CC-155 D Diego; Florin Vaida, University of California, ● Quantifying and Hedging Operational Risk— San Diego; David P. Harrington, Dana-Farber Topic-Contributed Cancer Institute Section on Risk Analysis 3:25 p.m. Model Selection for Partial Spline Models—❖Hao Organizer(s): Deborah Cernauskas, IBM Zhang, North Carolina State University

Chair(s): Anton Schick, Binghamton University 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion Monday 2:05 p.m. Quantifying Project Management Delay Costs Through Simulation Modeling—❖Andrew Kumiega, Spectrum Global; Deborah 188 CC-251 C Cernauskas, IBM ● ✪ Statistical Challenges in Evolutionary 2:25 p.m. Environmental Risk Mitigation and Corporate Biology—Topic-Contributed Competitiveness—❖Nasrin Khalili, IIT Stuart IMS School of Business Organizer(s): Vladimir N. Minin, University of California, Los Angeles 2:45 p.m. A Methodology for Trading and Investment System Chair(s): Marc A. Suchard, University of California, Los Angeles Development—❖Benjamin Van Vliet, Illinois 2:05 p.m. Analysis of Count Data with Phylogenetic Random Institute of Technology; Andrew Kumiega, Effects—❖Cecile Ane, University of Wisconsin- Spectrum Global Madison 3:05 p.m. Vendor Bid Evaluation Using a Risk-Adjusted Price 2:25 p.m. Coalescent-Based Inference of Population Methodology—❖Deborah Cernauskas, IBM Dynamics with Gaussian Markov Random Field ❖ 3:25 p.m. Project Portfolio Optimization for Operational Risk Temporal Smoothing— Vladimir N. Minin, Management—❖Aberrahim Labbi, IBM/Zurich University of California, Los Angeles; Marc A. Labs Suchard, University of California, Los Angeles 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 2:45 p.m. A Step Toward Bar Coding Life: A New Method To Assign Genes to Pre-existing Species Groups— ❖Zaid Abdo, University of Idaho; Geoﬀ re B. 187 CC-355 F Golding, McMaster University ● ✪ Model Selection and Applications—Topic- 3:05 p.m. Measures of Volatility and Valency for Serially Contributed Sampled Nucleotide Sequences—❖John O’Brien, Biometrics Section, ENAR University of California, Los Angeles Organizer(s): Ronghui Xu, University of California, San Diego 3:25 p.m. Phylogenies Unplugged: Consensus Trees with Chair(s): Ronghui Xu, University of California, San Diego Wandering Taxa—❖Benjamin Redelings, North 2:05 p.m. Adaptive Regressograms—❖Anthony Gamst, Carolina State University University of California, San Diego 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 2:25 p.m. On L1-Norm Multiclass Support Vector Machines: Classiﬁ cation of High-Dimension, Low Sample ❖ 189 CC-251 F Size Data— Lifeng Wang, University of ● ✪ Pennsylvania; Xiaotong Shen, Th e University of Statistics and Machine Learning in High Minnesota Dimension—Topic-Contributed Section on Bayesian Statistical Science 2:45 p.m. Fence Methods for Quantitative Trait Loci Mapping Organizer(s): Samiran Ghosh, Indiana University Purdue University in Humans—❖Th uan Nguyen, University of Indianapolis California, Davis; Jiming Jiang, University of California, Davis; Jie Peng, University of Chair(s): Melanie Wilson, Duke University California, Davis 2:05 p.m. Estimating Rates of Rare Events in Massive Web Applications—❖Deepak Agarwal, Yahoo! 3:05 p.m. Model Selection Under the Proportional Hazards Research Mixed Effects Model (PHMM)—❖Michael

Salt Lake City 103 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

2:25 p.m. Robust Test for Detecting a Signal in a High- 3:25 p.m. Floor Discussion Dimensional Sparse Normal Vector—❖Junyong Park, University of Maryland, Baltimore County; Eitan Greenshtein, Statistical and Applied 191 CC-250 C Mathematical Sciences Institute Synthetic Data and Other Methods for Disclosure 2:45 p.m. Learning Gradients and Feature Selection on Limitation and Confi dentiality Preservation— Manifolds—❖Sayan Mukherjee, Duke University Topic-Contributed Section on Survey Research Methods, Social Statistics Section 3:05 p.m. Feature Extraction for Classifi cation of Functional Data—❖Bin Li, Louisiana State University; Organizer(s): Michael D. Larsen, Iowa State University Qingzhao Yu, Louisiana State University Health Chair(s): Sam Hawala, U.S. Census Bureau Sciences Center 2:05 p.m. Microdata Simulation for Confi dentiality Protection 3:25 p.m. Dimension Augmenting Vector Machine: A New Using Regression Quantiles and Hot Deck— ❖ General Classifi er System for Large p Small n Jennifer Huckett, Iowa State University; Problem—❖Samiran Ghosh, Indiana University Michael D. Larsen, Iowa State University Purdue University Indianapolis; Yazhen 2:25 p.m. Releasing Multiply Imputed, Synthetic Wang, University of Connecticut; Dipak Dey, Data Generated in Two Stages To Protect University of Connecticut Confi dentiality—❖Joerg Drechsler, Institute for 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion Employment Research; Jerome P. Reiter, Duke University 2:45 p.m. Multiple Imputation Alternatives to Top-Coding 190 CC-251 A for Statistical Disclosure Control—❖Di An, ● ✪ Section on Bayesian Statistics Student Paper University of Michigan; Roderick J. Little, Competition: Network Models, Reliability, and University of Michigan Prediction—Topic-Contributed 3:05 p.m. Secure Logistic Regression—❖Yuval Nardi, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Carnegie Mellon University; Stephen Fienberg, Organizer(s): Merlise A. Clyde, Duke University Carnegie Mellon University; Aleksandra Chair(s): Liansheng Zhu, Pharmaceutical Product Development, Inc Slavkovic, Th e Pennsylvania State University 2:05 p.m. A Bayesian Mixed Effects Model for 3:25 p.m. Application of the Truncated Triangular and Longitudinal Social Network Data-Student Paper the Trapezoidal Distributions for Developing Competitions—❖Anton Westveld, Washington Multiplicative Noise—❖Jay J. Kim, National University in St. Louis; Peter D. Hoff , University Center for Health Statistics of Washington 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 2:25 p.m. Bayesian Network-Based Process Monitoring and Diagnosis in Complex Manufacturing Systems— ❖Jing Li, Th e University of Michigan; Jianjun 192 CC-258 ● Shi, Th e University of Michigan; Jionghua Jin, Modeling Longitudinal Data in Epidemiology— Th e University of Michigan Topic-Contributed 2:45 p.m. The Dependent Poisson Race Model and Modeling Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Biometrics Section, ENAR, Section Dependence in Conjoint Choice Experiments on Health Policy Statistics, Section on Teaching Statistics in the Health Sciences (Student Paper Competition)—❖Shiling Organizer(s): Sarah Ratcliff e, University of Pennsylvania; Mary D. Ruan, Th e Ohio State University; Steven N. Sammel, University of Pennsylvania MacEachern, Th e Ohio State University; Th omas Otter, Th e Ohio State University; Chair(s): Th omas R. Tenhave, University of Pennsylvania Angela Dean, Th e Ohio State University 2:05 p.m. Computationally Effi cient Estimation of Multilevel High-Dimensional Latent Variable Models— 3:05 p.m. Probabilistic Weather Forecasting for Winter Road ❖ Maintenance—❖Veronica J. Berrocal, University Bengt Muthén, University of California, of Washington; Adrian E. Raftery, University of Los Angeles; Tihomir Asparouhov, Muthén & Washington; Tilmann Gneiting, University of Muthén Washington

104 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

2:25 p.m. Interval-Censored Regression for Modeling the Topic-Contributed Panels 2:00 p.m.–3:50 p.m. Effect of Labor Progression on Uterine Rupture— ❖Sarah Ratcliff e, University of Pennsylvania; George A. Macones, Washington University in 194 CC-251 E St. Louis ● ✪ What Have We Learned from Results of 2:45 p.m. Longitudinal Latent Variable Models in Primary Prevention Cardiovascular Medical Device Environmental Epidemiology—❖Brisa Sanchez, Mortality Trials?—Topic-Contributed University of Michigan Biopharmaceutical Section, ENAR Organizer(s): Gosford Sawyerr, Purdue Pharma, LP 3:05 p.m. Bayesian Multivariate Growth Curve Latent Class Monday Models for Mixed Outcomes—❖Benjamin E. Chair(s): Dalene Stangl, Duke University Leiby, Th omas Jeff erson University; Mary D. Panelists: ❖ Kerry Lee, Duke University Sammel, University of Pennsylvania; Th omas R. ❖ Laura Th ompson, Food and Drug Administration Tenhave, University of Pennsylvania; Kevin G. ❖ Andrew Mugglin, Th e University of Minnesota Lynch, University of Pennsylvania ❖ David Breiter, Boston Scientifi c Corporation 3:25 p.m. Modeling Longitudinal Steroid Hormone Levels for Predicting Menopausal Symptoms—❖Mary ❖ W. Jackson Hall, University of Rochester D. Sammel, University of Pennsylvania; Jeanne 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion Manson, Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia; Ellen W. Freeman, University of Pennsylvania 195 CC-255 B 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion ● ✪ Career Opportunities for Biostatisticians: Perspectives from Industry, Government, and 193 CC-259 Academics—Topic-Contributed Smoothing Spline Methods and Their Biopharmaceutical Section, ENAR, Section on Statistical Consulting, WNAR Applications—Topic-Contributed Organizer(s): Tammy Massie, U.S. Food and Drug Administration WNAR, Biometrics Section Chair(s): Tristan Massie, U.S. Food and Drug Administration Organizer(s): Li Qin, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center Panelists: ❖ Tammy Massie, Food and Drug Chair(s): Xiaoming Sheng, University of Utah Administration 2:05 p.m. Nonparametric Hazard Estimation for Gap Time ❖ Stacey Cofi eld, Th e University of Alabama at in Recurrent Event Data—❖Pang Du, Virginia Birmingham Polytechnic Institute and State University ❖ Carol Summitt, Wyeth 2:25 p.m. Spectral Density Estimation via State Space ❖ Laura Stets, U.S. Food and Drug Modeling—❖Li Qin, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Administration Research Center; Dongfeng Li, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 2:45 p.m. Pointwise Consistency of Smoothing Spline Estimate—❖Ming Dai, Th e University of North Carolina at Charlotte; Wensheng Guo, University of Pennsylvania Contributed Sessions 2:00 p.m.–3:50 p.m. 3:05 p.m. M-Type Smoothing Spline ANOVA for Correlated Data—❖Anna Liu, University of Massachusetts 196 CC-355 C Amherst; John Staudenmayer, University ● ✪ Recent Advances in Microarray Data Analysis of Massachusetts Amherst; Li Qin, Fred II—Contributed Hutchinson Cancer Research Center Biometrics Section 3:25 p.m. Penalized Functional Principal Components Chair(s): Tian Zheng, Columbia University Analysis Using a Kullback-Leibler Criterion— ❖Robert Krafty, University of Pennsylvania; 2:05 p.m. Model-Based Approach for Cancer Outlier ❖ Wensheng Guo, University of Pennsylvania Differential Gene Expression Detection— Baolin Wu, Th e University of Minnesota 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion

Salt Lake City 105 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

2:20 p.m. Application of Discrimination Method on 3:20 p.m. Mutual Information for the Mixture of Two Combining Gene Expression Data of Kidney Multivariate Distributions—❖Walfredo Javier, Transplant Patients—❖Xiangrong Kong, Virginia Southern University-Baton Rouge; Arjun K. Commonwealth University; Kellie J. Archer, Gupta, Bowling Green State University Virginia Commonwealth University 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion 2:35 p.m. Selection and Validation of Normalization Methods for c-DNA Microarrays Using Within-Array Replications—❖Yue Niu, Princeton University; 198 CC-255 E ● ✪ Jianqing Fan, Princeton University Missing Data in Clinical Trials—Contributed Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section 2:50 p.m. Inverse Regression Estimation for Censored Data—❖Nivedita Nadkarni, University of Chair(s): Xiaodong Li, Merck & Co., Inc. Wisconsin-Madison; Michael Kosorok, Th e 2:05 p.m. Handling Missing Data in Long-Term Clinical University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Trials—❖Wei Deng, Amylin Pharmaceuticals, 3:05 p.m. Microarray Analysis: P-Values, Filtering, and Inc.; Xuesong Guan, Amylin Pharmaceuticals, Multiple Testing Adjustments—❖Ann Hess, Inc.; Chien-Feng Chen, Amylin Colorado State University Pharmaceuticals, Inc. 3:20 p.m. Distribution-Based Classifi cation with Application 2:20 p.m. Something Might Be Missed in Missing Data ❖ to Gene Expression Data Analysis—❖Xuelian Analysis— Xiang Guo, sanofi -aventis; Wei, University of California, Los Angeles; Ker- Guangrui Zhu, Eisai Medical Research Inc. Chau Li, University of California, Los Angeles 2:35 p.m. A Comparison of Imputation Methods in a 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion Randomized Active Comparator Pain Relief Clinical Trial—❖Adam Hamm, Rho, Inc. 2:50 p.m. Some Remarks on Multiple Imputations in 197 CC-355 D Longitudinal Data Context—❖Mohammed K. ● ✪ Mixtures Models and Their Applications— Alam, Kendle International Inc.; Marepalli Contributed B. Rao, University of Cincinnati; Ramesh N. Biometrics Section Amatya, Kendle International Inc.; Claudia Lara, Chair(s): Weixin Yao, Th e Pennsylvania State University Kendle International Inc. 2:05 p.m. Mixture or Homogeneous: Modeling Placebo 3:05 p.m. A Resampling-Based Approach To Test If a Model Response—❖Th addeus Tarpey, Wright State Provides Unbiased Parameter Estimates Under University; Dong Yun, Wright State University; Various Missing Data Assumptions—❖Maria Eva Petkova, New York University M. Sanchez, Merck & Co., Inc.; Edmund Luo, 2:20 p.m. Mis-specifi cation Bias in Poisson Mixture Models: Merck & Co., Inc. Gamma versus Lognormal—❖Woollcott Smith, 3:20 p.m. Properties of Missing Data Imputation Methods: Temple University; Shuo Zheng, Temple Baseline or Worst Observation Carry Forward— University ❖Jun Shao, University of Wisconsin-Madison; 2:35 p.m. On Some Computational Issues in Marginal Latent David Jordan, Abbott Laboratories; Yannis Mixture Analysis—❖Yan Yang, Arizona State Jemiai, Cytel Inc.; Yili Pritchett, Abbott University; Douglas Simpson, University of Laboratories Illinois 3:35 p.m. Partial FEFI for Incomplete Tables with ❖ 2:50 p.m. Parametric Mixture Model for Survival Data— Covariates— Shin-Soo Kang, Iowa State ❖Ying Zhang, Wyeth; Jagbir Singh, Temple University; Kenneth Koehler, Iowa State University; University Michael D. Larsen, Iowa State University 3:05 p.m. Prediction by Trajectory Modeling Approach— ❖Nami Maruyama, Kitasato University; Fumiaki Takahashi, Kitasato University; Hajime Uno, Kitasato University; Masahiro Takeuchi, Kitasato University

106 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

199 CC-255 D Research Laboratory; Jin Dong, IBM China ● ✪ Modeling Time to-Event Data from Clinical Research Laboratory Trials—Contributed 2:35 p.m. Assortment Planning Under Dynamic Customer Biopharmaceutical Section Substitution and Cross-Selling—❖Jin Dong, IBM Chair(s): Joseph G. Pigeon, Villanova University China Research Laboratory; Xinxin Bai, IBM China Research Laboratory; Wen Jun Yin, IBM 2:05 p.m. Controlling for Time-Dependent Confounding China Research Laboratory; Ming Xie, IBM Using Marginal Structural Models in the Case of China Research Laboratory a Continuous Treatment Covariate—❖Ouhong Wang, Amgen Inc.; Trevor McMullan, Validant 2:50 p.m. Statistical Methods for Accounts Receivable Monday Consulting Tracking and Forecasting—❖Alejandro Veen, IBM T.J. Watson Research Center; Yasuo 2:20 p.m. Evaluating Treatment Effect in Randomized Amemiya, IBM T.J. Watson Research Center Trials with Learning Effect: An Application to Contraceptive Device Trials—❖Pai-Lien Chen, 3:05 p.m. The Role of Six Sigma in Achieving Perfection— Family Health International ❖Mohammad Quasem, Howard University; Daniel Owunwanne, Howard University 2:35 p.m. Robust Assessment of Survival Differences Using Multiple Testing Procedures—❖Larry Ma, 3:20 p.m. Estimating Taint in a Population of Insurance Temple University; Devan V. Mehrotra, Merck Claims—❖Andrew Ostarello, Exponent, Inc.; & Co., Inc.; Woollcott Smith, Temple University Duane Steff ey, Exponent, Inc. 2:50 p.m. An Empirical Test for Using a Cox Proportional 3:35 p.m. Independence of Duplicate and Invalid Signatures Hazards Model with Time-Varying Hazard Ratios on a Petition—❖Mary Whiteside, University of in the Analysis of Cardiac Events of Hypertensive Texas at Arlington; Mark Eakin, University of Patients—❖D. Das Purkayastha, Novartis Texas at Arlington Pharmaceuticals; Lynn Ashcraft, Novartis Pharmaceuticals 201 CC-355 A 3:05 p.m. Nonproportional Hazards in Time-to-Event ● Analysis of High-Dimensional Data—Contributed ❖ Analysis— Yanqiong Zhang, Merck & Co., Inc.; ENAR, Section on Nonparametric Statistics, Biometrics Section Amarjot Kaur, Merck & Co., Inc. Chair(s): Hemant Tiwari, Th e University of Alabama at Birmingham 3:20 p.m. The Impact of Proportional Hazards Assumption on 2:05 p.m. Modeling Progression of Cerebrovascular Disease the Late Onset Survival Data—❖Guoguang Ma, with Longitudinal MRI Data—❖Qian Weng, Amgen Inc.; Kathy Harris, Amgen Inc. University of California, Davis 3:35 p.m. On Selection of Survival Models with Random 2:20 p.m. Quantile Rank Score Tests for Longitudinal Data— Effects—❖Yanhua Zhang, University of ❖Huixia Wang, North Carolina State University California, Davis 2:35 p.m. Imaging Biomarkers and Sample Size Estimation— ❖Chunming Li, Pfi zer Inc. 200 CC-250 EF 2:50 p.m. Use of Satterthwaite Degree of Freedom in t- ● ✪ Statistics for Customer Relations— Statistic for Microarray Experiments with Fewer Contributed Replications—❖Yu Ding, Merck & Co., Inc.; Business and Economics Statistics Section Damaraju Raghavarao, Temple University Chair(s): Graciela Gonzalez-Farias, Center for Mathematical Research 3:05 p.m. Wavelet-Based Modeling of Clinical Outcomes 2:05 p.m. Scoring Customer Probability of Runoff for Using Diffusion Tensor Image Data— Retention—❖Huaiyu Ma, GE Global Research; ❖William Prucka, Th e University of Alabama Deniz Senturk-Doganaksoy, GE Global at Birmingham; Christopher S. Coff ey, Th e Research; Kareem Aggour, GE Global Research University of Alabama at Birmingham; Gary 2:20 p.m. Customer Profi ling and Mining with Cutter, Th e University of Alabama at Birmingham; Multidimensional Statistical Analysis: The Case of Daniel S. Reich, Th e Johns Hopkins University Retail Banking Industry—❖Ming Xie, IBM China Research Laboratory; Wen Jun Yin, IBM China

Salt Lake City 107 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

3:20 p.m. Local False Discovery Rate Estimation Based 2:20 p.m. Fuzzy Estimation of Parameters in Statistical on Bootstrap Null Distribution of Control Models—❖Ranee Th iagarajah, Illinois State Group Samples—❖Aixiang Jiang, Vanderbilt University University; Yu Shyr, Vanderbilt University 2:35 p.m. Accelerated Destructive Degradation Test 3:35 p.m. Longitudinal Image Analysis of Change in Planning—❖Ying Shi, Iowa State University; Tumor/Brain Vascular Permeability Induced Luis Escobar, Louisiana State University; by Radiation—❖Xiaoxi Zhang, University of William Meeker, Iowa State University Michigan; Timothy D. Johnson, University of 2:50 p.m. A Comparison of Maximum Likelihood Estimation Michigan; Roderick J. Little, University of Michigan and Median Rank Regression for Weibull Estimation—❖Ulrike Genschel, Iowa State 202 CC-254 B University; William Meeker, Iowa State University ● Bayesian Analysis in Clinical Trials—Contributed 3:05 p.m. Availability and Cost Monitoring in Datacenters ❖ Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Biopharmaceutical Section Using Mean Cumulative Functions— David Chair(s): Yingfu Li, University of Houston-Clear Lake Trindade, Sun Microsystems, Inc.; Swami Nathan, Sun Microsystems, Inc. 2:05 p.m. Assessment of Bayesian Estimates of Biomarker’s ❖ Surrogacy for a Time-to-Event Clinical Endpoint 3:20 p.m. Estimation from Aggregate Data— Marc in a Single Trial—❖Qian Shi, Th e University of Fredette, HEC Montreal Iowa; Mary K. Cowles, Th e University of Iowa 3:35 p.m. Comparison Sequential Testing for Reliability: 2:20 p.m. A Bayesian Model for Sensitivity Analysis on Optimal Truncation of Short Tests—❖Yeﬁ m H. Intent-to-Treat Population—❖Niko Kacirorti, Michlin, Technion; Genady Grabarnik, IBM T.J. University of Michigan Watson Research Center; Elena Leshchenko, 2:35 p.m. Bayesian Subgroup Analysis in Clinical Trials— Technion ❖Claudia Pedroza, Th e University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston 204 CC-155 C 2:50 p.m. A New Latent Cure Rate Marker Model for Design and Analysis of Experiments and Other Survival Data—❖Sung Duk Kim, University Statistical Methods—Contributed of Connecticut; Yingmei Xi, University of Section on Quality and Productivity, Section on Physical and Engineering Connecticut; Ming-Hui Chen, University of Sciences Connecticut Chair(s): William Brenneman, Procter & Gamble 3:05 p.m. Bayesian Analysis of Incomplete Data in Crossover ❖ 2:05 p.m. Design and Analysis of Material Characterization Trials— Sanjib Basu, Northern Illinois University Experiments with Few Runs per Day—❖William 3:20 p.m. Propensity Score Matching for Causal Inference Guthrie, National Institute of Standards and When Multiply Imputing Missing Covariate Technology; Kenneth W. Pratt, National Data—❖Robin Mitra, Duke University; Jerome Institute of Standards and Technology P. Reiter, Duke University 2:20 p.m. Analysis of Optimization Experiments—❖James 3:35 p.m. Flexible Modeling of the Hazard Function for Breast Delaney, Carnegie Mellon University; Roshan Cancer Recurrence—Vanja Dukic, Th e University Joseph, Georgia Institute of Technology of Chicago; ❖James Dignam, Th e University of 2:35 p.m. Using Minimal Dependent Subsets To Evaluate Chicago Supersaturated Designs—❖Arden Miller, University of Auckland 203 CC-155 E 2:50 p.m. Randomization of Factors in Multiphase ● ✪ Topics in Reliability—Contributed Experiments—❖Th eodore Bailey, Iowa State Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences, Section on Quality and University Productivity 3:05 p.m. Change Point Detection Using Nonparametric Chair(s): EunJoo Lee, Advance Micro Device Estimation of Proﬁ les in Small Sample Setting— 2:05 p.m. On Risk Sets and Risk Factors—❖William ❖Kathryn Prewitt, Arizona State University; D. Heavlin, Google; Judith Koslov, Sun Shilpa Gupta, Arizona State University Microsystems, Inc.

108 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

3:20 p.m. A Comparison of Model Combining Methods— 206 CC-260 ❖Lihua Chen, Th e University of Toledo; Online Evaluations, Online Discussions, Podcasts, Panayotis Giannakouros, University of Missouri- and Electronic Assessment Systems—Contributed Kansas City Section on Statistical Education, Section on Teaching Statistics in the 3:35 p.m. Within-Sample Prediction of Future Failure Times Health Sciences Based on Type-II Censored Samples from the Chair(s): Liam M. O’Brien, Colby College ❖ Birnbaum-Saunders Distribution— Kevin S. 2:05 p.m. From Paper-and-Ink to Online Evaluation: A New McCarter, Louisiana State University Computer Maple TA–Based—❖Li Wang, Student;

Yulia R. Gel, University of Waterloo; Sean Scott, Monday 205 CC-155 A University of Waterloo Mixture Models and Expectation Maximization— 2:20 p.m. Group Discussions in an Online Statistics Course: Contributed The Role of the Instructor—❖Michelle Everson, Section on Statistical Computing, Business and Economics Statistics Sec- Th e University of Minnesota tion, IMS, Section on Statistical Graphics 2:35 p.m. The Benefi ts of Using a Course Disk To Aid in the Chair(s): David Marchette, Naval Surface Warfare Center Instruction of Statistics Courses—❖Jamis Perrett, 2:05 p.m. Nonparametric Transformation of the Data to University of Northern Colorado Obtain Bias Reduction in Kernel Estimation 2:50 p.m. Electronic Assessment Systems for Introductory of the Distribution Function of Nonstandard Statistics Courses I—❖John McKenzie, Babson Mixtures—❖Ennis McCune, Stephen F. Austin College State University; Sandra L. McCune, Stephen F. 3:05 p.m. Electronic Assessment Systems for Introductory Austin State University Statistics Courses II—❖Patricia Humphrey, 2:20 p.m. Fitting Mixture Distributions Using Generalized Georgia Southern University Lambda Distributions (GLDs): Examples, 3:20 p.m. Electronic Assessment Systems for Introductory Comparisons with Normal Mixtures, and Statistics Courses III—❖William Rybolt, Babson ❖ Computational Considerations— Wei Ning, College Bowling Green State University; E. J. Dudewicz, 3:35 p.m. Use of Podcast Technology in Statistics Education— Syracuse University ❖Joni Nunnery, Louisiana State University 2:35 p.m. Acceleration of the EM Reconstruction Algorithm for PET Images Using Squared Iterative Methods— ❖Constantine E. Frangakis, Th e Johns Hopkins 207 CC-250 B University; Ravi Varadhan, Th e Johns Hopkins Measurement Error in Survey Data Collection— University; Christophe Roland, University of Contributed Science and Technology at Lille Section on Survey Research Methods, Social Statistics Section 2:50 p.m. Improving the Effi ciency of the Monte Carlo EM Chair(s): Mary Ann Guadagno, National Institutes of Health Algorithm Using Squared Iterative Methods— 2:05 p.m. Modeling Rotation Group Bias and Survey Errors in ❖Ravi Varadhan, Th e Johns Hopkins University; the Labor Force Survey of Statistics Netherlands— Brian S. Caff o, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School ❖Jan Van den Brakel, Statistics Netherlands; of Public Health; Wolfgang Jank, University of Sabine Krieg, Statistics Netherlands Maryland 2:20 p.m. Face-to-Face Interviews with Children—❖Marek 3:05 p.m. Generalized t-Copula and Its Application on Fuchs, University of Kassel Biometric—❖Wenmei Huang, Michigan State 2:35 p.m. Survey Design for Studies of Measurement Error in University; Sarat Dass, Michigan State University Physical Activity Assessments—❖Nicholas Beyler, 3:20 p.m. Comparison of the Six Sigma and Lean Sigma Iowa State University; Sarah M. Nusser, Iowa State on the IT Management Processes—❖Genady University; Wayne Fuller, Iowa State University; Grabarnik, IBM T.J. Watson Research Center; Alicia Carriquiry, Iowa State University Larisa Shwartz, IBM T.J. Watson Research Center 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion

Salt Lake City 109 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

2:50 p.m. Evaluating the Assumption of Uncorrelated Error 3:35 p.m. When Standard Regression Techniques Fail: The Terms in a Mixed-Mode Study with Validation Role of Propensity Score Methods—❖Michael Data—❖Courtney Kennedy, University of Posner, Villanova University; Arlene Ash, Michigan; Stanley Presser, University of Maryland Boston University 3:05 p.m. Measurement Error in Calibration: An Application to the National Resources Inventory—❖Emily Berg, Iowa State University; Jean Opsomer, Iowa State University; Wayne Fuller, Iowa State Contributed Poster Presentations University 2:00 p.m.–3:50 p.m. 3:20 p.m. Floor Discussion 209 CC-Exhibit Hall D 208 CC-250 A Contributed Poster Presentations—Contributed ● Web and Telephone Survey Methods— Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Section on Government Statistics, Contributed Section on Health Policy Statistics, Section on Statistics and the Environ- Section on Survey Research Methods, Social Statistics Section ment, Section on Survey Research Methods, Social Statistics Section, Section on Statistical Computing Chair(s): Stephen Ash, U.S. Census Bureau Chair(s): Dongseok Choi, Oregon Health & Science University 2:05 p.m. A Comparison Between a Traditional RDD Survey and a Telephone Survey with Cell-Phone-Only Applications and case studies Populations—❖Sunghee Lee, University of 61 Modeling Tilletia Indica Infection on Wheat Using California, Los Angeles; David Grant, University Nonlinear Mixed Models with a Sharp Turning Point— of California, Los Angeles; J. Michael Brick, ❖Zhongwen Tang, Kansas State University; Shie- Westat; Sherm Edwards, Westat Shien Yang, Kansas State University; Karen Garrett, 2:20 p.m. A New Application of Adaptive Web Sampling Kansas State University; I. Sharma, Punjab Agriculture designs—❖Hong Xu, Th e Pennsylvania University; R. L. Bowden, U.S. Department of Agriculture State University; Steve K. Th ompson, Simon 62 Waiting Time Distributions of Sleep—❖Anna Fraser University; James L. Rosenberger, Th e Mnatsakanova, National Institute for Occupational Pennsylvania State University Safety and Health; James Slaven, National Institute 2:35 p.m. Time Series Analysis of Census Internet for Occupational Safety and Health; John M. Violanti, Response—❖Fred Highland, Lockheed Martin State University of New York at Buff alo; Bryan J. Vila, Corporation Washington State University; Cecil M. Burchfi el, National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health; Michael 2:50 p.m. Assessing the Applicability of Self-Anchoring Andrew, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Scales in Web Surveys—❖Frederik Van Acker, Vrije Universiteit Brussel; Peter Th euns, Vrije Categorical, multivariate analysis Universiteit Brussel 63 A Goodness-of-Fit Test of Logistic Regression Model— ❖ 3:05 p.m. Comparing Web Survey Samples of Schizophrenic Ying Liu, Kansas State University and Bipolar Patients with Concurrent RDD and 64 Categorization of Sleep Patterns with Derived Actigraph In-Person Samples—❖LinChiat Chang, Opinion Variables—❖James Slaven, National Institute for Research Corporation; Channing Stave, Pfi zer Occupational Safety and Health; Michael Andrew, Inc.; Corinne O’Brien, Pfi zer Inc.; Fred Rappard, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; John Pfi zer Inc.; Jill Glathar, Opinion Research M. Violanti, State University of New York at Buff alo; Corporation; Joseph Cronin, Opinion Research Bryan J. Vila, Washington State University; Cecil M. Corporation Burchfi el, National Institute for Occupational Safety 3:20 p.m. Beyond Demographics: Are ‘Webographic’ and Health Questions Useful for Reducing the Selection Data mining and knowledge discovery, machine learning Bias in Web Surveys?—❖Matthias Schonlau, 65 Logistic Regression, Classifi cation Tree, and Boosted RAND Corporation; Arthur VanSoest, RAND Regression: A Comparison of Models in the Prediction Corporation; Arie Kapteyn, RAND Corporation of Pregnancy-Induced Hypertension—❖Paul Kolm, Christiana Care Health System; Deborah Ehrenthal,

110 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

Christiana Care Health System; Claudine Jurkovitz, 75 The Association Between Anticyclic Citrullinated Peptide Christiana Care Health System; Matthew Hoff man, Antibodies and Risk of Rheumatoid Arthritis—❖Lori Christiana Care Health System; James Bowen, B. Chibnik, Brigham and Women’s Hospital; Lisa Christiana Care Health System A. Mandl, Hospital for Special Surgery; Karen H. 66 Use of Data Mining To Determine Variable Signifi cance Costenbader, Brigham and Women’s Hospital; Peter and Inter-relationships in Models—❖William K. Sieber, Schur, Brigham and Women’s Hospital; Elizabeth W. National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health Karlson, Brigham and Women’s Hospital 67 An Empirical Evaluation of the Random Forests Classifi er 76 Monte Carlo Sensitivity Analysis of Smoking as an

Models for Variable Selection in a Large-Scale Lung Unmeasured Confounder in an Investigation of the Monday Cancer Case Control Study—❖Qing Zhang, Th e Association Between Occupation and Lung Cancer ❖ University of Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer Center; Mortality— Jia Li, Constella Group, LLC; Toni Alterman, Christopher I. Amos, Th e University of Texas M. D. National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health Anderson Cancer Center 77 A New Measure of Excess Longevity in Families— ❖ 68 S-PLUS and R Package for Least Angle Regression— Kenneth Boucher, Huntsman Cancer Institute; ❖Tim Hesterberg, Insightful Corporation Richard A. Kerber, Huntsman Cancer Institute Government statistics 78 A Study on the Effect of Preferred Drug Lists in Medicaid on the Overall Medical Expense—❖Joseph Richardson, 69 Model and Survey Performance Measurement by Auburn University; Mark Carpenter, Auburn the RSESP—❖James Knaub, Energy Information University; Victoria Jordan, Auburn University Administration 79 Evaluating SEER-Medicare Linked Database Health policy, epidemiology, public health Completeness for Oral and Pharyngeal Cancer— 70 Mixture Model Analysis of Age-Appropriate and Delayed Jonathan Mahnken, Th e University of Kansas Medical ❖ Vaccination— Andrew Baughman, Centers for Center; ❖John Keighley, Th e University of Kansas Disease Control and Prevention; Charles E. Rose, Medical Center; Matthew Mayo, Th e University of Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Kate M. Kansas Medical Center Shaw, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; 80 Cost-Effectiveness Analysis in Breast Cancer Early Gustavo H. Dayan, Centers for Disease Control and Detection—❖Charlotte H. Ahern, Rice University; Yu Prevention Shen, Th e University of Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer 71 Applying Propensity Score Calibration To Reduce Center Unmeasured Confounding Bias—❖Rachel Bittner, 81 What Do We Know About the Effects of Substance Use University of Washington; Jennifer Nelson, Group on Labor Productivity? A Survey of Results and Related Health Center for Health Studies; Michael Jackson, Methodological Issues—❖Richard Bryant, University Group Health Center for Health Studies; Noel Weiss, of Missouri-Rolla; V. A. Samaranayake, University of University of Washington; Lisa Jackson, Group Health Missouri-Rolla Center for Health Studies 82 School Social Support and Adolescent Depressiveness: 72 A Case Study of Time Scale for Use in Cox’s Proportional Multilevel Analysis of Finnish School Health Promotion Hazard Model—❖Qimei He, Pacifi c Health Research Survey—❖Noora Ellonen, University of Tampere Institute; Bradley Willcox, Pacifi c Health Research Institute; David J. Curb, Pacifi c Health Research Institute Incomplete data analysis, imputation methods 73 Application of the Pattern-Mixture Latent Trajectory Model 83 Bayesian Multiple Imputation and Maximum Likelihood ❖ in an Epidemiological Study—❖Hiroko Dodge, Oregon Methods for Missing Data— Min Sun, Sam Houston State University; Changyu Shen, Indiana University; State University; Ferry Butar Butar, Sam Houston State Mary Ganguli, University of Pittsburgh University 74 Parametric Time Dependent SIR Model—❖Di Shi, 84 Imputation for Missing Physiological Measurement Data: ❖ Riverdale Country School; Peter Gross, Riverdale Simulations and Applications— Matt Jans, University Country School of Michigan; Steven Heeringa, Institute for Social Research

Salt Lake City 111 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

85 A Comparison of Weighting Adjustment and Multiple 93 Relationships Between Students’ Science Achievement, Imputation Methods To Correct for Nonresponse Bias Attitudes Toward Science, and Learning Through in a Longitudinal Group-Randomized Clinical Trial for Inquiry—❖Man Hung, University of Utah ❖ Depression— Lingqi Tang, University of California, 94 Evaluating a Multilevel Item Response Theory Model— Los Angeles; Naihua Duan, University of California, Los ❖Th omas Schmitt, University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee; Angeles; Ruth Klap, University of California, Los Angeles; Cindy M. Walker, University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee Th omas Belin, University of California, Los Angeles 95 Globalization and Chinese City System Restructuring— Linear models, GLMs, parametric methods ❖Xiulian Ma, Th e University of Utah 86 Comparison of Modeling Approaches to Deriving Normative Values of Bone Mineral Density from NHANES III—❖Qing Wu, Tulane University; John Lefante, Tulane University; Jeanette Magnus, Tulane University; Invited Sessions 4:00 p.m.–5:50 p.m. Janet Rice, Tulane University Longitudinal data, repeated measurements, and meta- 210 CC-Ballrooms E-J analysis ASA President’s Invited Address—Invited 87 Assessing the Potential Impact of Missing Data in a ASA, IMS, ENAR, WNAR, SSC Longitudinal Study with a Continuous Outcome—❖Owen Organizer(s): Mary Ellen Bock, Purdue University Devine, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Chair(s): Mary Ellen Bock, Purdue University Jorge Rosenthall, Centers for Disease Control and 4:05 p.m. Regularization Methods in Statistical Model- Prevention; Nyasha Skerrette, Emory University Building: Statisticians, Computer Scientists, 88 Area Under the Curve and Other Summary Indicators Classifi cation, and Machine Learning—❖Grace of Repeated Waking Cortisol Measurements—❖Desta Wahba, University of Wisconsin-Madison Fekedulegn, National Institute for Occupational Safety 5:20 p.m. Floor Discussion and Health; Michael Andrew, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Cecil M. Burchfi el, National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health; John M. Violanti, State University of New York at Buff alo; Tara Invited Sessions 8:00 p.m.–9:30 p.m. A. Hartley, National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health; Luenda E. Charles, National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health; Diane B. Miller, 211 CC-Ballroom B National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health IMS Presidential Address—Invited 89 On the Meta-Analysis of Incomplete Primary Study IMS Data—❖Todd Bodner, Portland State University Organizer(s): Th omas Kurtz, University of Wisconsin-Madison Chair(s): Th omas Kurtz, University of Wisconsin-Madison Social and behavioral science Presentation of Awards 90 Response and Nonresponse Pattern Analysis in Survey 8:00 p.m. Research—❖Chong Ho Yu, Arizona State University; 8:30 p.m. Open Access to Professional Information—❖Jim Samuel DiGangi, Arizona State University; Sandra Pitman, University of California, Berkeley Andrews, Arizona State University; Angel Jannasch- 9:15 p.m. Floor Discussion Pennell, Arizona State University 91 Standard Error Estimation in Latent Variable Model— ❖Yan Wang, Southern Methodist University; S. Lynne Stokes, Southern Methodist University; Andreas Oranje, Educational Testing Service 92 Nonlinear Random Coeffi cients Regression for Estimating an Interaction Term—Reid Landes, University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences; ❖Jeff rey A. Pitcock, University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences

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TUESDAY, JULY 31

Tours 7:00 a.m.–8:30 a.m. GA-Riviera Committee on Individual Accredidation (closed) TR07 Utah Olympic Park, Park City Main Street Chair(s): Mary Batcher, Ernst & Young 8:30 a.m.–12:30 p.m. CC-South Foyer (200 South Street) 7:00 a.m.–8:30 a.m. Off Property TR08 Salt Lake Historic Walking Tour Gertrude Cox Scholarship Race 9:00 a.m.–12:00 p.m. CC-South Foyer (200 South Street) Organizer(s): Tena Katsaounis, Th e Ohio State University Tuesday TR09 Crossroads of the West City Tour 7:00 a.m.–8:30 a.m. GA-Tuscany 1:00 p.m.–4:00 p.m. CC-South Foyer (200 South Street) Scientiﬁ c and Public Affairs Advisory Committee Open Meeting Chair(s): David Marker, Westat

Committee/Business Meetings 7:00 a.m.–8:30 a.m. GA-Embassy & Other Activities Committee on Professional Ethics Meeting Chair(s): Margaret Nemeth, Monsanto Company 7:00 a.m.–8:30 a.m. GA-Venice Committee on Statistics and Disability Annual Meeting 7:00 a.m.–10:00 a.m. GA-Ambassador (closed) Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences Chair(s): Joan Turek, U.S. Department of Health & Human Services Executive Committee Meeting (closed) Chair(s): Jennifer Van Mullekom, Capital One 7:00 a.m.–8:30 a.m. GA-Belvedere Committee on Minorities in Statistics (closed) 7:00 a.m.–10:00 a.m. GA-Murano Garden Salon Chair(s): Nagambal D. Shah, Spelman College Council of Chapters Business Meeting and Breakfast (closed) 7:00 a.m.–8:30 a.m. GA-Grenoble Chair(s): J. Lynn Palmer, Th e University of Texas M. D. Anderson Business and Economics Statistics Section Executive Cancer Center Committee Meeting (closed) Chair(s): Badi H. Baltagi, Syracuse University 7:00 a.m.–6:00 p.m. CC-252 A, CC-252B Speaker Work Rooms 7:00 a.m.–8:30 a.m. GA-Bagatelle JABES Management Committee Meeting (closed) 7:00 a.m.–11:00 p.m. CC-South Foyer Chair(s): Timothy Gregoire, Yale University Cyber Center

7:00 a.m.–8:30 a.m. GA-Audubon 7:30 a.m.–8:30 a.m. GA-Vienna Section on Statisticians in Defense and National Technometrics Editorial Board Meeting (closed) Security Business Meeting Chair(s): Randy R. Sitter, Simon Fraser University Chair(s): Alyson G. Wilson, Los Alamos National Laboratory

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7:30 a.m.–10:00 a.m. GA-Sussex 9:00 a.m.–6:00 p.m. CC-Exhibit Hall D Statistics in Biopharmaceutical Research Journal ASA Booth #101 Editors and Advisory Committee Chair(s): Joseph Heyse, Merck & Co., Inc. 10:30 a.m.–1:00 p.m. GA-Murano Garden Salon ASA New Chapter Ofﬁ cers Meeting with Council of 7:30 a.m.–4:30 p.m. GA-Envoy Chapters Vice Chairs ASA/NCTM Beyond AP Statistics (closed, separate Chair(s): J. Lynn Palmer, Th e University of Texas M. D. Anderson registration fee required) Cancer Center Chair(s): Roxy Peck, California Polytechnic State University 12:00 p.m.–2:00 p.m. GA-Audubon 7:30 a.m.–4:30 p.m. CC-South Foyer Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics JSM Main Registration and ASA Membership/Special Editors Meeting (closed) Assistance Desk Chair(s): David van Dyk, University of California, Irvine

8:00 a.m.–10:00 a.m. CC-Kenneth Knight Board Room 12:30 p.m.–1:30 p.m. CC-250 A Advisory Committee on Continuing Education Business IMS Business Meeting Meeting (closed) Organizer(s): Elyse Gustafson, Institute of Mathematical Statistics Chair(s): Katherine Halvorsen, Smith College 12:30 p.m.–2:00 p.m. GA-Vienna 8:00 a.m.–10:00 a.m. GA-Versailles JASA Editorial Board Luncheon (closed) Addison Wesley Focus Group (closed) Chair(s): David Banks, Duke University Organizer(s): Liliana Molina, Addison Wesley 12:30 p.m.–2:00 p.m. GA-Belvedere 8:00 a.m.–12:00 p.m. GA-Fontainbleau Deming Lectureship Committee Speaker Luncheon Committee of Presidents of Statistical Societies (closed) Committee Meeting (closed) Chair(s): William H. Woodall, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State Organizer(s): Jessica Utts, University of California, Davis University; Nicholas I. Fisher, University of Sydney

8:00 a.m.–6:00 p.m. CC-Main Lobby, Level 2 12:30 p.m.–2:00 p.m. GA-Riviera Salt Lake City Visitors Information Center The American Statistician Luncheon (closed) Chair(s): Peter Westfall, Texas Tech University 8:00 a.m.–6:00 p.m. CC-Exhibit Hall D Exhibitor Lounge 12:30 p.m.–4:30 p.m. GA-Provence ENAR RAB/RECOM Luncheon Meeting (closed, by 8:00 a.m.–6:00 p.m. CC-Exhibit Hall C invitation only) Career Placement Service Organizer(s): Kathy Hoskins, ENAR

9:00 a.m.–10:00 a.m. GA-Embassy 1:30 p.m.–2:30 p.m. CC-Ballrooms E-J Mu Sigma Rho Executive Committee (closed) ASA Presidential Address and Awards Session Organizer(s): Marcia Gumpertz, North Carolina State University Rehearsal (closed) Chair(s): Sallie Keller-McNulty, Rice University 9:00 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CC-South Foyer ASA Marketplace 2:00 p.m.–3:30 p.m. GA-Sussex ASA Finance Committee Meeting (closed) 9:00 a.m.–6:00 p.m. CC-Exhibit Hall D Chair(s): Sastry Pantula, North Carolina State University EXPO 2007

114 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

2:00 p.m.–3:30 p.m. GA-Ambassador 4:30 p.m.–5:30 p.m. CC-250 D Council of Chapters Traveling Course STATCOM: Students Providing Pro Bono Consulting to Chair(s): Stephen Simon, Children’s Mercy Hospital the Community Organizer(s): Cherie Ochsenfeld, Purdue University 4:00 p.m.–5:00 p.m. GA-Embassy JASA Reviews Board Meeting (closed) 4:30 p.m.–6:00 p.m. GA-Venice Chair(s): Robert B. Lund, Clemson University Biometrics Editorial Board (closed) Organizer(s): Ann Hanhart, Th e International Biometric Society 4:00 p.m.–5:00 p.m. GA-Ambassador Statistics Project and Poster Competitions 5:00 p.m.–6:00 p.m. CC-155 E Chair(s): Jerry Moreno, John Carroll University Business and Economics Statistics Section Business Meeting 4:00 p.m.–6:00 p.m. GA-Murano Garden Salon Chair(s): Badi H. Baltagi, Syracuse University

Council of Chapters Workshop and Reception: Tuesday Expanding Our Chapter Universe (closed) 5:00 p.m.–6:30 p.m. GA-Grenoble Chair(s): B. Christine Clark, ICON Clinical Research Centers for AIDS Research Statisticians Organizational Meeting (closed) Organizer(s): Susan S. Ellenberg, University of Pennsylvania

JSM INFORMAL DanceParty Tuesday, July 31, 9:30 p.m.–midnight Salt Palace Convention Center Ballrooms A&C

Salt Lake City 115 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

5:00 p.m.–7:00 p.m. GA-Vienna 5:30 p.m.–7:30 p.m. GA-Venezia Garden Salon North Carolina State University Alumni and Friends Joint Section on Quality & Productivity and Section on Organizer(s): Tom Gerig, North Carolina State University Physical and Engineering Sciences Business Meeting and Mixer 5:00 p.m.–7:00 p.m. GA-Versailles Chair(s): William Guthrie, National Institute of Standards and Rice University Reception Technology; Jennifer Van Mullekom, Capital One Organizer(s): Katherine Ensor, Rice University 5:30 p.m.–7:30 p.m. CC-150 G 5:30 p.m.–6:30 p.m. CC-150 A-C Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Mixer JSM 2009 Program Committee Orientation (closed) Chair(s): Dipak Dey, University of Connecticut Chair(s): Elaine Powell, American Statistical Association 5:30 p.m.–7:30 p.m. GA-Riviera 5:30 p.m.–6:30 p.m. GA-Sussex Section on Statistics in Epidemiology Social Mixer Russian and ex-USSR Statisticians Mixer Chair(s): Lisa M. Sullivan, Boston University Organizer(s): Stanislav Kolenikov, University of Missouri-Columbia 5:30 p.m.–7:30 p.m. GA-Milano 5:30 p.m.–6:30 p.m. CC-250 A University of Michigan Joint Biostatistics and Statistics ENAR Business Meeting (open to all ENAR members) Departments Alumni Reception Organizer(s): Kathy Hoskins, ENAR Organizer(s): Roderick Little, University of Michigan

5:30 p.m.–7:00 p.m. CC-155 C 6:00 p.m.–6:30 p.m. CC-Ballrooms E-J Biopharmaceutical Section Annual Business Meeting 2007 ASA New Fellows Group Picture (closed) and Mixer Chair(s): Robert M. Bell, AT&T Research Labs Chair(s): Brian L. Wiens, Gilead Colorado 6:00 p.m.–7:00 p.m. CC-151 D-F 5:30 p.m.–7:00 p.m. CC-150 D-F STATCOM Network Business Meeting Section on Government Statistics Business Meeting Organizer(s): Gayla R. Olbricht, Purdue University Chair(s): Steve H. Cohen, National Science Foundation 6:00 p.m.–7:00 p.m. CC-250 B 5:30 p.m.–7:00 p.m. GA-Audubon Caucus for Women in Statistics Business Meeting IMS Student and New Member Reception Organizer(s): Tena Katsaounis, Th e Ohio State University Organizer(s): Elyse Gustafson, Institute of Mathematical Statistics 6:00 p.m.–7:30 p.m. GA-Belvedere 5:30 p.m.–7:00 p.m. CC-151 A-C Section on Statistics and the Environment Business Committee on Gay and Lesbian Concerns in Meeting and Social Statistics Social Chair(s): Mary Christman, University of Florida Chair(s): Barry Johnson, Internal Revenue Service 6:00 p.m.–8:00 p.m. CC-151 G 5:30 p.m.–7:00 p.m. CC-155 B Committee on Minorities in Statistics Reception Section on Nonparametric Statistics Business Meeting Chair(s): Nagambal D. Shah, Spelman College Chair(s): Pranab K. Sen, Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 6:00 p.m.–8:00 p.m. GA-Savoy 5:30 p.m.–7:00 p.m. CC-155 D A Reception To Celebrate Marvin Zelen’s 80th Birthday Section on Statistical Consulting Business Meeting and Cytel’s 20th Anniversary Organizer(s): Cyrus Mehta and Nitin Patel, Cytel Inc. Chair(s): Stuart Gansky, University of California, San Francisco

116 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

6:00 p.m.–8:00 p.m. GA-Envoy CE_24C University of Wisconsin-Madison Reception Dropout in Longitudinal Studies: Strategies for Organizer(s): Jun Shao, University of Wisconsin-Madison Bayesian Modeling and Sensitivity Analysis 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CC-150 G 6:00 p.m.–8:00 p.m. CC-Ballroom D Biometrics Section, ASA Pﬁ zer Statistics Reception (closed) Instructor(s): Michael Daniels, University of Florida; Joseph W. Hogan, Organizer(s): Tisha Duggan, Pﬁ zer Inc. Brown University

6:30 p.m.–8:00 p.m. GA-Fontainbleau CE_25C CRC Press Reception (closed) Statistical Genetics Organizer(s): Nadja English, CRC Press 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CC-150 A-C Biometrics Section, ASA 6:30 p.m.–8:00 p.m. GA-Bagatelle Instructor(s): Kenneth Lange, University of California, Los Angeles; Janet Sinsheimer, University of California, Los Angeles; Eric Sobel,

Interface Foundation of North America Board Meeting Tuesday University of California, Los Angeles (closed) Organizer(s): Tim Hesterberg, Insightful Corporation CE_26C Wavelets and Statistical Applications 6:30 p.m.–8:30 p.m. CC-155 A 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CC-150 D-F Joint Section on Statistics and Marketing and Business Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, ASA and Economics Statistics Section Mixer Instructor(s): Brani Vidakovic, Georgia Institute of Technology; Chair(s): John C. Liechty, Th e Pennsylvania State University; Badi H. Marina Vanucci, Texas A&M University Baltagi, Syracuse University

CE_27C 9:30 p.m.–12:00 a.m. CC-Ballrooms A&C Analysis of Censored Data JSM Informal Dance Party (all welcome, included in 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CC-151 A-C registration fee) ASA Instructor(s): Danyu Lin, Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

Continuing Education (Fee Events) CE_28C CE_22C Bootstrap Methods and Permutation Tests for Doing Harnessing Data Streams Through Statistical and Teaching Statistics Computing 1:00 p.m.–5:00 p.m. CC-151 D-F 8:00 a.m.–12:00 p.m. CC-151 D-F Section on Statistical Education, Section on Statistical Computing, ASA Section on Statistical Computing, ASA Instructor(s): Tim Hesterberg, Insightful Corporation Instructor(s): Simon Urbanek, AT&T Labs - Research; Tamraparni Dasu, AT&T Labs - Research

CE_23C Statistical Monitoring of Clinical Trials: A Uniﬁ ed Approach 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CC-151 G Biopharmaceutical Section, ASA Instructor(s): Michael Proschan, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases

Salt Lake City 117 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

Roundtables with Coffee 7:00 a.m.–8:15 a.m. 217 CC-Ballroom D Section on Survey Research Methods Roundtable 212 CC-Ballroom D with Coffee (fee event) ASA Council of Chapters Roundtable with Coffee Section on Survey Research Methods (fee event) Organizer(s): David Marker, Westat Council of Chapters TL06 The Transition from Graduate School to a Career ❖ Organizer(s): V. A. Samaranayake, University of Missouri-Rolla in Statistics— Edward English, NORC at the University of Chicago TL01 AP Statistics and Local Chapters of the ASA— ❖Dongseok Choi, Oregon Health & Science University 218 CC-Ballroom D 213 CC-Ballroom D Section on Teaching Statistics in the Health Sciences Roundtables with Coffee (fee event) Section on Health Policy Statistics Roundtable Section on Teaching Statistics in the Health Sciences with Coffee (fee event) Organizer(s): Jodi Lapidus, Oregon Health & Science University Section on Health Policy Statistics TL07 Ideas for Improving Appreciation and Understanding Organizer(s): Susan Simmons, Th e University of North Carolina at ❖ Wilmington of Cluster Sampling— Winston A. Richards, Th e Pennsylvania State University, Harrisburg TL02 Approaches to Measuring Differences in Health That Are Unaffected by the Prevalence of an Outcome— TL08 Interpreting Statistical Results from Medical Literature ❖ ❖James P. Scanlan, Attorney at Law in the Classroom— Kirk Anderson, Grand Valley State University 214 CC-Ballroom D Section on Statistical Education Roundtable with Coffee (fee event) Special Presentation 8:30 a.m.–10:20 a.m. Section on Statistical Education Organizer(s): Jacqueline Miller, Th e Ohio State University 219 CC-Ballroom B TL03 Coordinating the Large Undergraduate Course— Introductory Overview Lecture 3: Improving ❖Roger Woodard, North Carolina State University Statistical Presentations and Posters—Other ASA, SSC, ENAR, IMS, WNAR 215 CC-Ballroom D Organizer(s): Naomi Robbins, NBR-Graphs Section on Statistical Graphics Roundtable with Chair(s): Naomi Robbins, NBR-Graphs Coffee (fee event) 8:35 a.m. Improving Statistical Presentations—❖Mike Section on Statistical Graphics Colopy, GlaxoSmithKline Organizer(s): David Hunter, Th e Pennsylvania State University 9:20 a.m. Improving Statistical Posters—❖Dianne Cook, TL04 Network Visualization—❖Deborah Swayne, AT&T Iowa State University Labs - Research 10:05 a.m. Floor Discussion

216 CC-Ballroom D Section on Statistics and Marketing Roundtable with Coffee (fee event) Section on Statistics and Marketing Organizer(s): Stan Lipovetsky, GfK Custom Research North America TL05 Statistics in Humor and Art—❖Igor Mandel, Analytic Partners

118 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

Invited Sessions 8:30 a.m.–10:20 a.m. Statistics; Anne E. Polivka, Bureau of Labor Statistics 9:35 a.m. Disability Data and the American Community 220 CC-255 A Survey—❖Sharon Stern, U.S. Census Bureau ● Practical Designs in Early-Phase Cancer Trials— Invited 10:05 a.m. Floor Discussion ENAR, Biopharmaceutical Section, WNAR Organizer(s): Ying-Kuen K. Cheung, Columbia University 222 CC-355 F Chair(s): Ying-Kuen K. Cheung, Columbia University ● ✪ Present-Day Challenges in the Design and 8:35 a.m. Comparing Two-Stage Treatment Strategies Based Analysis of Industrial Experiments—Invited on Sequential Failure Times Subject to Interval Section on Quality and Productivity, Section on Physical and Engineering Censoring—❖Peter F. Th all, Th e University of Sciences Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer Center; Leiko Organizer(s): Timothy J. Robinson, University of Wyoming H. Wooten, Th e University of Texas M. D. Chair(s): Shaun S. Wulﬀ , University of Wyoming

Anderson Cancer Center; Nizar M. Tannir, Th e 8:35 a.m. A Structural Approach to the Design of Experiments Tuesday University of Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer for Robust Parameter Design—❖Raymond H. Center; Randall E. Millikan, Th e University Myers, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State of Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer Center; University Christopher J. Logothetis, Th e University of 9:05 a.m. A Posterior Predictive Approach to Multiple Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer Center Response Surface Optimization—John Peterson, 9:05 a.m. Two-Stage Designs for Dose-Finding Trials with a GlaxoSmithKline; ❖Enrique del Castillo, Th e ❖ Biologic Endpoint Using Stepwise Tests— Mei- Pennsylvania State University Yin C. Polley, Amgen Inc.; Ying-Kuen K. 9:35 a.m. Componentwise Variance Dispersion Graphs for Cheung, Columbia University Mixture Experiments—❖John J. Borkowski, 9:35 a.m. A Strategic Approach to Designing Early Phase Montana State University; Boonorm Chomtee, ❖ Cancer Trials— Tze Leung Lai, Stanford Kasetsart University; Kamolchanok Choochaow, University; Philip Lavori, Stanford University; Silpakorn University Mei-Chiung Shih, Stanford University 10:05 a.m. Floor Discussion 10:05 a.m. Floor Discussion 223 CC-255 E 221 CC-251 E ● ✪ Toxicogenomics: From Concept to Regulatory ● ✪ Valid and Reliable Disability Measurement in Issues—Invited Surveys—Invited Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section Committee on Statistics and Disability, Social Statistics Section, Section on Organizer(s): Nandini Raghavan, Johnson & Johnson PRD Survey Research Methods Chair(s): Dhammika Amaratunga, Johnson & Johnson PRD Organizer(s): David W. Keer, National Institute on Disability and Rehabilitation Research 8:35 a.m. Toxicogenomics for Toxicity Evaluation and ❖ Chair(s): Joan Turek, U.S. Department of Health & Human Services Biomarker Identiﬁ cation— Hisham Hamadeh, Amgen Inc. 8:35 a.m. Identifying the Population with Disabilities: A Comparison of Current Survey Estimates— 9:00 a.m. Systematic Mining of a Large Gene Expression ❖Andrew J. Houtenville, Cornell University; Database and Design of a Multi-Endpoint ❖ S. Antonio Ruiz-Quintanilla, Cornell Diagnostic Device— Georges Natsoulis, University; Robert Weathers, Mathematica Datahooks, Inc. Policy Research, Inc. 9:25 a.m. Gene Signatures for Hepatotoxicants—❖Nandini 9:05 a.m. The Development and Testing of Disability Raghavan, Johnson & Johnson PRD; Dhammika Questions for the Current Population Survey— Amaratunga, Johnson & Johnson PRD; Alex Nie, ❖Terence M. McMenamin, Bureau of Labor Johnson & Johnson PRD; Michael McMillian, Statistics; Stephen M. Miller, Bureau of Labor Johnson & Johnson PRD

Salt Lake City 119 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

9:50 a.m. Preparing the Critical Path to Acceptance of 226 CC-250 D Toxicogenomic Data in Drug Safety Evaluation— Robust Inference and Model Selection—Invited ❖ Alex Nie, Johnson & Johnson PRD IMS, Biometrics Section, Section on Nonparametric Statistics 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion Organizer(s): Tianxi Cai, Harvard University Chair(s): Tianxi Cai, Harvard University 224 CC-355 B 8:35 a.m. Localized Model Selection by Cross-Validation— ● ✪ Resampling Methods in Small-Area ❖Yuhong Yang, Th e University of Minnesota Estimation—Invited 9:00 a.m. Selecting Models Using Incomplete Data— Section on Survey Research Methods, Section on Government Statistics, ❖Gerda Claeskens, K.U. Leuven Section on Nonparametric Statistics 9:25 a.m. Predicting Future Responses Based on Possibly Organizer(s): Ferry Butar Butar, Sam Houston State University Mis-speciﬁ ed Working Models—❖Lu Tian, Chair(s): Robert Fay, U.S. Census Bureau Northwestern University; Tianxi Cai, Harvard 8:35 a.m. Jackknife and Bootstrap Methods for Small- University; Scott Solomon, Brigham and Area Estimation: An Appraisal—❖J. N. K. Rao, Women’s Hospital; Lee-Jen Wei, Harvard Carleton University University 9:05 a.m. On Small-Area Prediction Interval Problems— 9:50 a.m. Disc: Th omas Lumley, University of Washington Snigdhansu Chatterjee, Th e University of 10:10 a.m. Floor Discussion Minnesota; ❖Partha Lahiri, University of Maryland; Huilin Li, University of Maryland 227 CC-155 F 9:35 a.m. Disc: Peter Hall, Th e University of Melbourne ● ✪ Innovative Imputation Methods in Health 9:45 a.m. Disc: Sharon L. Lohr, Arizona State University Research—Invited 9:55 a.m. Floor Discussion Section on Health Policy Statistics, Biometrics Section, Section on Teach- ing Statistics in the Health Sciences, Section on Survey Research Methods, WNAR 225 CC-250 A Organizer(s): Alan M. Zaslavsky, Harvard University; Yulei He, ● ✪ Inference in Simple Dynamic Games with Harvard Medical School Multiple Equilibria—Invited Chair(s): Anirban Basu, Th e University of Chicago JBES-Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 8:35 a.m. Using a Mixture Model for Multiple Imputation in Organizer(s): Serena Ng, University of Michigan the Presence of Outliers—❖Michael R. Elliott, Chair(s): Serena Ng, University of Michigan University of Michigan; Nicolas Stettler, 8:35 a.m. The Identiﬁ cation Power of Equilibrium in Simple Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia ❖ Games— Elie Tamer, Northwestern University 9:00 a.m. Imputing Under-Reported Treatments Using 9:05 a.m. Disc: Victor Aguirregabiria, University of Multiple Sources of Treatment Information in a Toronto Cancer Services Study—❖Alan M. Zaslavsky, 9:15 a.m. Disc: Pat Bajari, Th e University of Minnesota Harvard University; Yulei He, Harvard Medical Twin Cities School 9:25 a.m. Disc: Han Hong, Stanford University 9:25 a.m. Statistics and Lies: Correcting Questionnaire Ordering Effect via Multiple Imputation—❖Xiao- 9:35 a.m. Disc: Allan Collard-Wexler, New York University li Meng, Harvard University; Jingchen Liu, 9:45 a.m. Disc: Shakeeb Khan, Duke University Harvard University; Chih-nan Chen, Boston 9:55 a.m. Disc: Adam Rosen, University College London University; Margarita Alegria, Cambridge 10:05 a.m. Floor Discussion Health Alliance 9:50 a.m. Disc: Nathaniel Schenker, National Center for Health Statistics 10:10 a.m. Floor Discussion

120 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel American Statistical Association Presidential Address & Awards Session

Mary Ellen Bock, ASA President Tuesday, July 31, 8:00 p.m. Salt Palace Convention Center Ballrooms E-J Tuesday

Is your associate, professor, student, colleague, friend, or organization being recognized at the Joint Statistical Meetings in Salt Lake City?

Samuel S. Wilks Edward C. Bryant Gertrude M. Cox Gottfried E. Noether W. J. Youden Award Memorial Award Scholarship Scholarship Awards in Lab Testing

★ Statistics in Chemistry Award ★ ASA Fellows ★ Founders Award ★ Outstanding Statistical Application Award ★ Statistical Partnerships among Academe, Industry, and Government (SPAIG) Award

Plan to attend the ASA Presidential Address and Awards Session for the recognition of the ASA’s most distinguished members.

Salt Lake City 121 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

228 CC-250 EF 9:50 a.m. Disc: George P. McCabe, Purdue University ✪ The Bayesian Frequentist Interface: Is the 10:10 a.m. Floor Discussion Difference One of Methodology or of Other Information?—Invited 231 CC-155 D SSC, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, ENAR, Section on Survey ● ✪ Using Environmental Information for Rational Research Methods Decisionmaking—Invited Organizer(s): Donald A.S. Fraser, University of Toronto Section on Statistics and the Environment, Section on Risk Analysis Chair(s): Nancy Reid, University of Toronto Organizer(s): Barry D. Nussbaum, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency 8:35 a.m. Adaptive MCMC Using Stratiﬁ ed Proposals for Chair(s): Barry D. Nussbaum, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Bayesian and Frequentist Inference—❖Mylène Bédard, University of Warwick; Donald A.S. 8:35 a.m. Virus and Indicator Occurrence in Ground Water ❖ Fraser, University of Toronto; Augustive C.M. Sources of Public Drinking Water— Michael Wong, York University J. Messner, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency; Crystal Rodgers, U.S. Environmental 9:05 a.m. Improved Likelihood Inference for Vector Protection Agency Parameters with Discrete Data—❖Nicola Sartori, University of Venice 9:00 a.m. A Bayesian Approach to EPA’s Data Quality Objectives Process—❖Paul K. Black, Neptune 9:35 a.m. Default Priors for Frequentist and Bayesian ❖ and Company, Inc.; Mark Fitzgerald, Neptune Inference— Donald A. S. Fraser, University of and Company, Inc.; Tom Stockton, Neptune and Toronto Company, Inc. 10:05 a.m. Floor Discussion 9:25 a.m. Strengthening Environmental Decisionmaking Through Data Quality Objectives—❖John Warren, 229 CC-355 E U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Medallion Lecture III—Invited 9:50 a.m. Disc: William F. Hunt, Jr., North Carolina State IMS, General Methodology University Organizer(s): Tony Cai, University of Pennsylvania 10:10 a.m. Floor Discussion Chair(s): Jianqing Fan, Princeton University 8:35 a.m. Functional Regression Analysis: Models, Methods, 232 CC-355 C and Applications—❖Hans-Georg Müller, ● ✪ Multiple Comparisons and Experimental University of California, Davis Replication—Invited 9:30 a.m. Disc: Chunming Zhang, University of Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Wisconsin-Madison Organizer(s): Valen Johnson, Th e University of Texas M. D. Anderson 9:45 a.m. Disc: Fang Yao, University of Toronto Cancer Center 10:00 a.m. Floor Discussion Chair(s): Valen Johnson, Th e University of Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer Center 8:35 a.m. Synthesis of Bayes Factors and Estimation for 230 CC-155 C Large Samples: Adaptive Hypothesis Testing ● ✪ The Future of Pro Bono Statistics—Invited Intervals (AHTI)—❖Luis R. Pericchi, University Section on Statistical Consulting of Puerto Rico, San Juan; Maria E. Perez, Organizer(s): Nilupa S. Gunaratna, Purdue University University of Puerto Rico, San Juan Chair(s): Fritz Scheuren, NORC at the University of Chicago 9:05 a.m. Why There Are So Many Contradicted or Exaggerated 8:35 a.m. Volunteerism in the ASA—❖David Banks, Duke Findings in Highly Cited Clinical Research—❖Ying University Yuan, Th e University of Texas M. D. Anderson 9:00 a.m. A Role for Students in Pro Bono Statistics— Cancer Center; Valen Johnson, Th e University of ❖Gayla R. Olbricht, Purdue University Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer Center 9:25 a.m. Pro Bono Statistics and Public Policy—❖Yasmin 9:35 a.m. Bayesian Decision Theory for Multiplicities— ❖ H. Said, George Mason University Kenneth Rice, University of Washington 10:05 a.m. Floor Discussion

122 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

Topic-Contributed Sessions Receiving Treatment on a Multinomial Outcome— ❖ 8:30 a.m.–10:20 a.m. Jing Cheng, University of Florida 9:15 a.m. Statistical Analysis of Randomized Experiments with Nonignorable Missing Outcomes—❖Kosuke 233 CC-255 D Imai, Princeton University ● ✪ Radiation Epidemiology and Statistical 9:35 a.m. Correcting for Survivor Treatment-Selection Bias Methods—Topic-Contributed with a Structural Failure-Time Model: Survival Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, ENAR in Oscar Award–Winning Performers—❖Xu Organizer(s): N. Phillip Ross, Radiation Eff ects Research Foundation Han, University of Pennsylvania; Dylan Small, Chair(s): N. Phillip Ross, Radiation Eff ects Research Foundation University of Pennsylvania; Vishal Patel, 8:35 a.m. Health Effects of Induced Radiation from the University of Pennsylvania; Dean Foster, Atomic Bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki— University of Pennsylvania ❖Fumiyoshi Kasagi, Radiation Eff ects Research 9:55 a.m. Estimating Surrogate Endpoints Defi ned by Principal Foundation Causal Effects—❖Shiro Tanaka, University of

8:55 a.m. Modeling Effects of Radiation Exposure on Disease Tokyo; Yutaka Matsuyama, University of Tokyo; Tuesday Outcomes with Radiation-Infl uenced Risk Factors Yasuo Ohashi, University of Tokyo (RFs), using Adult Health Study (AHS) Data— 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion ❖Kenneth Kopecky, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center; Lori A. Williams, University of 235 CC-255 F Washington ● ✪ Statistical Analysis of Medical Device 9:15 a.m. Biodosimetry in the A-Bomb Survivors’ Cohort— Studies—Topic-Contributed ❖ Daniel Stram, University of Southern California Biopharmaceutical Section, ENAR, WNAR 9:35 a.m. Uncertainty of Estimated Radiation Doses Among Organizer(s): Steve Boeh, Medtronic Inc. Atomic Bomb Survivors: Using Multiple Sources Chair(s): Cynthia DeSouza, Vertex Pharmaceuticals, Inc. of Information on Errors in the Main Exposure 8:35 a.m. Assessing Poolability of Data for a Clinical Trial: Variable of Health Effects Studies—❖Harry Why the Data Should Be Poolable and Why the Cullings, Radiation Eff ects Research Foundation; Data Should Not Be Poolable—❖David Naftel, Eric J. Grant, Radiation Eff ects Research Th e University of Alabama at Birmingham Foundation; Sachiyo Funamoto, Radiation Eff ects Research Foundation; Sachiko Teranishi, 8:55 a.m. Primary Endpoint Sensitivity Analysis on Missing ❖ Radiation Eff ects Research Foundation Data in Medical Device Trials— Gina Garding, Boston Scientifi c Corporation; Nathan Carter, 9:55 a.m. Descriptive Models for Excess Risks Following ❖ Boston Scientifi c Corporation; Eric Bass, Boston Radiation Exposure— Dale Preston, Hirosoft Scientifi c Corporation; Paul Cernohous, Boston International Scientifi c Corporation 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion 9:15 a.m. Challenges and Issues of Intent-to-Treat Analysis in Cardiac Device Studies—❖Li Ding, Medtronic 234 CC-260 Inc.; Steve Boeh, Medtronic Inc. ● ✪ New Developments in Causal Inference— 9:35 a.m. Assessment of the Success of the Propensity Score Topic-Contributed Estimation and Appropriate Adjustment in a Drug Eluting Stent Post-Marketing Registry—❖Yun Lu, Biometrics Section, ENAR Boston Scientifi c Corporation; Kevin Najarian, Organizer(s): Jing Cheng, University of Florida Boston Scientifi c Corporation; Aijun Song, Chair(s): Kenneth Shirley, University of Pennsylvania Boston Scientifi c Corporation 8:35 a.m. Structural Nested Mean Models for Time-Varying 9:55 a.m. Bayesian Approach to Meta-Analysis in Medical Causal Effect Moderation—❖Daniel Almirall, Device Trials Using Mixed Effects Models— University of Michigan; Th omas R. Tenhave, ❖Lijuan Deng, Boston Scientifi c Corporation; University of Pennsylvania; Susan Murphy, Hong Wang, Boston Scientifi c Corporation; University of Michigan Liang Li, Genzyme Corporation 8:55 a.m. Estimation and Inference for the Causal Effect of 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion

Salt Lake City 123 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

236 CC-250 B 9:35 a.m. Bayesian Semiparametric Estimation of Random ✪ Nonparametric Methods for Complex and Coefﬁ cients Discrete Choice Models Using Difﬁ cult Data—Topic-Contributed Aggregate Data—❖Sylvie Tchumtchoua, IMS, Section on Nonparametric Statistics 9:55 a.m. Disc: Mario Peruggia, Th e Ohio State University Organizer(s): Mu Zhu, University of Waterloo 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion Chair(s): Yulia R. Gel, University of Waterloo 8:35 a.m. Covariance Selection by Sparse Regression—❖Jie 238 CC-254 B Peng, University of California, Davis; Pei Wang, ● ✪ Leonard J. Savage Awards—Topic-Contributed Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center Section on Bayesian Statistical Science ❖ 8:55 a.m. On Single-Index Models— Yan Yu, University of Organizer(s): Peter Mueller, Th e University of Texas M. D. Anderson Cincinnati; Zhou Wu, University of Cincinnati; Cancer Center Haiqun Lin, Yale University Chair(s): Alan E. Gelfand, Duke University 9:15 a.m. CLUES: A Nonparametric Clustering Method Based 8:35 a.m. Semiparametric Models in Bayesian Event History ❖ on Local Shrinking— Xiaogang Wang, York Analysis Using Beta Processes—❖Pierpaolo De University Blasi, University of Turin 9:35 a.m. Longitudinal Modeling When Response and Time- 8:55 a.m. Density Estimation and Dimension Reduction Dependent Covariates Are Measured at Different with Logistic Gaussian Process Priors—❖Surya ❖ Time Points— Joel Dubin, University of Tokdar, Carnegie Mellon University Waterloo; Xiaoqin Xiong, University of Waterloo 9:15 a.m. Structure and Sparsity in High-Dimensional 9:55 a.m. Regularized Autoregressive Approximation: A Multivariate Analysis—❖Carlos Carvalho, Duke Bridge Between Estimation and Model Selection— University ❖Bei Chen, University of Waterloo; Yulia R. Gel, 9:35 a.m. Bayesian Treed Gaussian Process Models— University of Waterloo ❖Robert Gramacy, University of Cambridge 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion 9:55 a.m. Floor Discussion

237 CC-155 E ● ✪ 239 CC-251 F Bayesian Applications in Marketing—Topic- ● ✪ Opportunities and Challenges of Integrated Contributed Datasets To Serve Policy Research: The Medicaid Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Undercount Study—Topic-Contributed Organizer(s): Th omas Otter, Th e Ohio State University Section on Government Statistics, Section on Health Policy Statistics, Chair(s): Th omas Otter, Th e Ohio State University Social Statistics Section 8:35 a.m. A Simultaneous Quantile Regression Model for Organizer(s): Michael Davern, Th e University of Minnesota ❖ Customer Linkage Analysis— Jeﬀ rey Dotson, Chair(s): Linda Gage, California Department of Finance Th e Ohio State University; Joseph J. Retzer, 8:35 a.m. Opportunities and Challenges Facing the Maritz Research; Greg M. Allenby, Th e Ohio Construction of Integrated Datasets To Serve Policy State University Research Purposes—❖Michael Davern, Th e 8:55 a.m. Disentangling Preferences, Inertia, and Learning University of Minnesota in Brand Choice Models—❖Sangwoo Shin, 8:55 a.m. Analysis of Medicaid Enrollment Status in the University of Rochester; Sanjog Misra, Current Population Survey—❖Ming-Yi K. Mah, University of Rochester; Dan Horsky, University U.S. Census Bureau; Dean M. Resnick, U.S. of Rochester Census Bureau 9:15 a.m. A Model of State Dependence Based on Auto- and 9:15 a.m. How Do Surveys Differ in Reporting the Quality Cross-Correlated Exponential Processes with an of Reported Medicaid Enrollment Data: NHIS, Application to Household Panel Data—❖Xiuyun CPS, and State Surveys—❖Kathleen Call, Th e Zhang, Th e Ohio State University; Th omas University of Minnesota Otter, Th e Ohio State University; Mario Peruggia, Th e Ohio State University

124 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

9:35 a.m. Larger Statistical and Policy Implications of Moving 8:55 a.m. Integrating Data Analysis with Parametric Toward Interagency Collaborations and Integrated Inference in Undergraduate Statistics—❖Larry Data—❖Sally Obenski, U.S. Census Bureau Weldon, Simon Fraser University 9:55 a.m. Disc: Todd Rockwood, Th e University of 9:15 a.m. Comparison of a Traditionally Taught Introductory Minnesota Statistics Course to a Completely Online Version of ❖ 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion the Same Course— Gail Tudor, Husson College 9:35 a.m. Team-Based Learning in an Introductory Applied Statistics Course—❖Paul Fields, Brigham Young 240 CC-251 A University Alternative Approaches to the Introductory Applied Statistics Course—Topic-Contributed 9:55 a.m. Active Student Learning Model of Statistics Education—❖Ralph Turner, University of the Section on Statistical Education, Section on Teaching Statistics in the Sciences in Philadelphia Health Sciences Organizer(s): John Gabrosek, Grand Valley State University 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion

Chair(s): Phyllis Curtiss, Grand Valley State University Tuesday 8:35 a.m. Alternate Topic Sequencing in the Introductory Applied Statistics Course—❖John Gabrosek, Grand Valley State University

Salt Lake City 125 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

241 CC-254 C Contributed Sessions 8:30 a.m.–10:20 a.m. ● ✪ Biostatistics and Bioinformatics at the Interface—Topic-Contributed 243 CC-258 WNAR, Biometrics Section, ENAR, Section on Health Policy Statistics ● ✪ Analysis of Censoring/Truncated Data— Organizer(s): Wei Zhu, State University of New York at Stony Brook Contributed Chair(s): Wei Zhu, State University of New York at Stony Brook Biometrics Section 8:35 a.m. How Well Does Structural Equation Modeling Chair(s): Bingshu Chen, National Institutes of Health (SEM) Reveal Weakened Brain Anatomical 8:35 a.m. Nonparametric Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Connections? An fMRI Simulation Study—❖Jieun the Incidence Rate Using Data from a Prevalent Kim, National Institutes of Health; Barry Cohort Study with Follow-Up—❖Vittorio Addona, Horwitz, National Institutes of Health Macalester College; Masoud Asgharian, McGill 8:55 a.m. Correlation Analysis of the Transcriptomic and University; David Wolfson, McGill University Proteomic Data in Platelet—❖Chen Ji, Stony 8:50 a.m. Semiparametric Analysis for Recurrent Event Data Brook University; Wei Zhu, State University of with Time-Dependent Covariates and Informative New York at Stony Brook Censoring—❖Chiung-Yu Huang, National 9:15 a.m. Optimal Designs Accounting for Potentially Institutes of Health; Jing Qin, National Institutes Missing Observation in Quantal Dose Responses— of Health; Mei-Cheng Wang, Th e Johns Hopkins ❖ Inyoung Baek, Novartis Pharmaceuticals University 9:35 a.m. Power and Sample Size in Genetic Association 9:05 a.m. Nonparametric Estimation in a Markov ‘Illness- Studies in Presence of Genotyping Error— Death’ Process from Interval-Censored ❖ Wonkuk Kim, Stony Brook University; Qing Observations with Missing Intermediate Transition Wang, Stony Brook University; Derek Gordon, Status—Halina Frydman, New York University; Rutgers University; Stephen J. Finch, Stony ❖Michael Szarek, Pfi zer Inc. Brook University 9:20 a.m. Inference for Three-State Progressive Disease 9:55 a.m. Locally Optimal Weighting and Classifi er Selection Models with Common Periodic Observations— ❖ in Ensembles— Melissa Fazzari, Stony Brook ❖Beth Ann Griffi n, RAND Corporation; Stephen University; Hongshik Ahn, Stony Brook Lagakos, Harvard School of Public Health University; Wei Zhu, State University of New 9:35 a.m. Semiparametric Estimation with Recurrent Event York at Stony Brook Data Under an Informative Monitoring Period— 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion ❖Akim Adekpedjou, University of South Carolina; Edsel A. Pena, University of South Carolina 9:50 a.m. Comparing in vivo Tumor Growth with Response- Topic-Contributed Panels Dependent Right-Censoring—❖Wenquan Wang, 8:30 a.m.–10:20 a.m. Th e University of Alabama at Birmingham 10:05 a.m. Evaluation of a Binary Response Variable as a Surrogate for Survival: A Gynecologic Oncology 242 CC-255 B ❖ ● ✪ Statistical Graphics for Everyday Use?—Topic- Group Study— Virginia Filiaci, GOG Statistical and Data Center; Randolph L. Carter, University Contributed at Buff alo-SUNY Section on Statistical Graphics, Section on Statistical Consulting Organizer(s): TBD Panelists: ❖ John Emerson, Yale University ❖ Frederick Wicklin, SAS Institute Inc. ❖ Leland Wilkinson, SPSS Inc. 10:05 a.m. Floor Discussion

126 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

244 CC-259 8:50 a.m. Complex Demodulation Applied to bZIP and bHLH- Bayesian Statistical Methodology and Its PAS Protein Domains—❖Charles Smith, North Application to Biometrics—Contributed Carolina State University; Zhi Wang, North Biometrics Section Carolina State University; William R. Atchley, North Carolina State University Chair(s): Meehyung Cho, sanoﬁ -aventis 9:05 a.m. A Probabilistic Approach for Phylogenetic 8:35 a.m. A Bayesian Approach to a Logistic Regression Sequence Selection—❖Michelle Lacey, Tulane Model with Incomplete Information—❖Taeryon University Choi, University of Maryland, Baltimore County; Mark J. Schervish, Carnegie Mellon 9:20 a.m. Variable Selection in Logistic Models for Testing University; Ketra Schmitt, Battelle Memorial SNP-SNP Interactions—❖Huiyi Lin, Th e Institute; Mitchell Small, Carnegie Mellon University of Alabama at Birmingham; Renee University Desmond, Th e University of Alabama at Birmingham; Yung-Hsin Liu, Pharmaceutical 8:50 a.m. A Bayesian Method for the Detection of Epistasis Product Development Inc.; Seng-jaw Soong, Th e in Quantitative Trait Loci—❖Edward Boone,

University of Alabama at Birmingham Tuesday Virginia Commonwealth University 9:35 a.m. Likelihood-Based Procedures for Disease Gene 9:05 a.m. Group Sequential Designs and Analyses for Clinical Localization with General Pedigree Data— Trials Based on a Utility Setting—❖Yi Cheng, ❖Shuyan Wan, Merck & Co., Inc.; Shili Lin, Th e Indiana University South Bend Ohio State University 9:20 a.m. Statistical Model for Detecting Multiple 9:50 a.m. Statistical Methods for Genetic Association Studies eQTLs—❖Wei Zhang, Harvard University; Jun Based on Haplotype Sharing—❖Glen Satten, S. Liu, Harvard University; Jun Zhu, Rosetta Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Inpharmatics, LLC Andrew Allen, Duke University 9:35 a.m. Empirical Bayes Estimators in Stratifi ed Random 10:05 a.m. Constructing Gene Association Network for Sampling/Ranked Set Sampling—❖Tetsuji Rheumatoid Arthritis Using the Backward Ohyama, Kurume University; Jimmy A. Doi, Genotype-Trait Association (BGTA) Algorithm— California Polytechnic State University; Takashi ❖Yuejing Ding, Columbia University; Tian Yanagawa, Kurume University Zheng, Columbia University; Iuliana Ionita- 9:50 a.m. Linear Model Selection Based on Estimation of Laza, Harvard University; Lei Cong, Columbia ❖ Model Bias— Andrew Neath, Southern Illinois University; Shaw-Hwa Lo, Columbia University University Edwardsville; Letitia Downen, Southern Illinois University Edwardsville; Joseph Cavanaugh, Th e University of Iowa 246 CC-255 C 10:05 a.m. Empirical Bayes Methods for Controlling the False ● ✪ Issues with Survival Data in Clinical Trials— Discovery Rate with Dependent Data—❖Weihua Contributed Tang, Bristol-Myers Squibb Company; Cun-Hui Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section Zhang, Rutgers University Chair(s): Larry Th orderson, ICON Clinical Research 8:35 a.m. Comparison of Methods for Handling Early 245 CC-257 Dropouts in Analysis of Event Rates—❖Yuting Sequence Analysis and Genetic Association Zhang, Amgen Inc. Studies—Contributed 8:50 a.m. Conditional Power for Stratifi ed Logrank Tests— ❖ Biometrics Section Chung-Kuei Chang, Cephalon, Inc.; Lothar Tremmel, Cephaloh, Inc. Chair(s): Michele Shaff er, Th e Pennsylvania State University 9:05 a.m. Optimal Cost-Effective Designs of Proof of Concept 8:35 a.m. Mining ChIP Data for Transcription Factor Binding Trials—❖Cong Chen, Merck & Co., Inc. Sites by the Addition of Background Sequences— ❖Yu Liang, National Institute of Environmental 9:20 a.m. Nonparametric Confi dence Intervals for Survival Health Sciences; Leping Li, National Institute of Probabilities—❖Kun Chen, Bristol-Myers Environmental Health Sciences Squibb Company

Salt Lake City 127 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

9:35 a.m. Generalized Estimating Equations for Clustered 248 CC-250 C Survival Data—❖Xiaohong Zhang, Amgen Inc.; ✪ Semiparametric Models and Biostatistics— Kenneth Koehler, Iowa State University; Terr y Contributed M. Th erneau, Mayo Clinic IMS, SSC, Biometrics Section 9:50 a.m. Modeling Multicenter Survival Data: Simulation Chair(s): Jonathan Gelfond, Th e University of North Carolina at Results—❖Daozhi Zhang, Daiichi Sankyo Chapel Hill Pharma Development 8:35 a.m. Maximum Average-Power Tests—❖Chih-Rung 10:05 a.m. A Note on Discrete-Time Survival Model with Chen, National Chiao Tung University ❖ Application to Vertebral Fracture— Hongwei 8:50 a.m. Estimating the Error Distribution Function in Wang, Merck & Co., Inc.; Weili He, Merck & Semiparametric Regression—❖Ursula Mueller- Co., Inc.; Arvind K. Shah, Merck & Co., Inc. Harknett, Texas A&M University 9:05 a.m. Inference for the Cox Regression Models with Time-Dependent Coeffi cients via Empirical 247 CC-155 B ❖ ✪ Volatility and Risk—Contributed Likelihood— Yanqing Sun, Th e University of North Carolina at Charlotte; Rajeshwari Business and Economics Statistics Section Sundaram, National Institute of Child Health Chair(s): Roger Berger, Arizona State University and Human Development; Yichuan Zhao, 8:35 a.m. Optimal House Tenure and Portfolio Choice with Georgia State University ❖ Housing as a Hedging Asset— Yu Zhang, 9:20 a.m. Effects of Rounding of Conditional Frequencies on Columbia Business School Odds Ratio—❖Juyoun Lee, Th e Pennsylvania 8:50 a.m. Comparing Portfolio Credit Risk Methods on State University; Aleksandra Slavkovic, Th e Diversifi cation Effect—❖Ming-Chin Hung, Pennsylvania State University Soochow University; Yi-Ping Chang, Soochow 9:35 a.m. Use of Marginal Structural Models To Estimate University; Huimei Liu, National Chengchi the Effect of Epoetin on Survival of Dialysis University Patients—❖Yi Zhang, Medical Technology 9:05 a.m. Volatility in Output Growth: A Wavelet Analysis— and Practice Patterns Institute; Dennis Cotter, ❖David J. Doorn, Th e University of Minnesota Medical Technology and Practice Patterns Duluth Institute; Mae Th amer, Medical Technology and Practice Patterns Institute; James Kaufman, 9:20 a.m. An Approximation Scheme for Option Pricing for ❖ Veterans Aff airs Boston Healthcare Systems/ Stochastic Volatility Models— Jungyeon Yoon, Boston University School of Medicine; Miguel Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; A. Hernan, Harvard School of Public Health Chuanshu Ji, Th e University of North Carolina 9:50 a.m. Determining the Cutoff Points for a Continuous at Chapel Hill Biomarker When Its Interaction with Study 9:35 a.m. Empirical Analysis of Volatility Dynamics in Treatment Is of Interest with Time-to-Event High-Frequency Returns with a Time-Varying Outcomes—❖Keyue Ding, Queen’s University Component Model—❖Ka Sing Man, Western 10:05 a.m. Robust Methods for Estimation of State Occupancy Illinois University; Chunchi Wu, Singapore Probabilities with Interval-Censored Multistate Management School Data—❖David Tolusso, University of Waterloo; 9:50 a.m. A Multivariate Stochastic Volatility Model and Its Richard J. Cook, University of Waterloo Inference—❖Peng Liu, North Carolina State University; Peter Bloomfi eld, North Carolina State University 249 CC-251 D ✪ 10:05 a.m. High-Dimensional Volatility Models—❖David Nonparametric Methods for Machine Learning S. Matteson, Th e University of Chicago; Ruey and High-Dimensional Data—Contributed S. Tsay, Th e University of Chicago Graduate Section on Nonparametric Statistics School of Business Chair(s): Rebecca Nugent, Carnegie Mellon University 8:35 a.m. A Method for Dimension Reduction in Classifi cation with Functional Data—❖Santiago Velilla, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid

128 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

8:50 a.m. Exact Bagging of k-Nearest-Neighbor Learners— 9:50 a.m. Propagating SLAs Statistics in the IT Service ❖Brian Steele, University of Montana Provider Environment—❖Larisa Shwartz, 9:05 a.m. Consistency of Lasso Selection in High- IBM T.J. Watson Research Center; Genady Dimensional Approximating Models—Florentina Grabarnik, IBM T.J. Watson Research Center Bunea, Florida State University; ❖Shuva Gupta, 10:05 a.m. Estimating Traffi c Volume over a Large Florida State University Transportation Network from Noisy Data— ❖ 9:20 a.m. Statistical Approaches to Mining Multivariate Jaimyoung Kwon, California State University, Datastreams—❖Eric Vance, Duke University East Bay; Karl Petty, Berkeley Transportation Systems, Inc. 9:35 a.m. Modeling Computer Experiments with Multiple Responses—❖Zhe Zhang, Th e Pennsylvania State University; Runze Li, Th e Pennsylvania 251 CC-251 C State University; Agus Sudjianto, Bank of ● Machine Learning—Contributed America Section on Statistical Computing, Section on Statistical Graphics, Section 9:50 a.m. Nonparametric Tests and Finite Approximations on Physical and Engineering Sciences, Section on Quality and Productivity for Balanced and Unbalanced Multivariate Data, Chair(s): Simon Sheather, Texas A&M University Tuesday ❖ with Applications— Arne Bathke, University 8:35 a.m. Semisupervised Learning from Dissimilarity of Kentucky; Solomon W. Harrar, University of Data—❖Michael Trosset, Indiana University; Montana Carey E. Priebe, Th e Johns Hopkins University 10:05 a.m. Methodological Aspect of Interpretation of 8:50 a.m. Algorithms for Support Vector Machines— ❖ Principal Components— Lev Sverdlov ❖Denise Reeves, George Mason University 9:05 a.m. Random Forests for Feature Selection: To Be 250 CC-155 A Handled with Caution—❖Carolin Strobl, LMU ● ✪ Computer Experiments and Network Traffi c Munich Models—Contributed 9:20 a.m. Feature Selection for Large Data—❖Peng Liu, Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences Case Western Reserve University; Jiayang Sun, Chair(s): Tena Katsaounis, Th e Ohio State University Case Western Reserve University 8:35 a.m. Simultaneous Calibration and Tuning of Computer 9:35 a.m. Asymptotic Mean Squared Prediction Error Experiments—❖Gang Han, Th e Ohio State of L2Boosting Estimator Under Mis-specifi ed University; Th omas Santner, Th e Ohio State Models—❖Tzu-Chang Cheng, University of University Illinois at Urbana-Champaign; Ching-Kang Ing, 8:50 a.m. Estimating Percentiles in Computer Experiments— Academia Sinica ❖Soma Roy, Th e Ohio State University; William 9:50 a.m. On Effi cient Supervised Learning of Multivariate Notz, Th e Ohio State University t Mixture Models with Missing Information— ❖ 9:05 a.m. Blind Kriging—❖Roshan Vengazhiyil, Georgia Tsung-I Lin, National Chung Hsing Institute of Technology; Ying Hung, Georgia University; Hsiu-J Ho, National Chung Hsing Institute of Technology; Agus Sudjianto, Bank of University; Pao-S Shen, Tunghai University America 10:05 a.m. Conditional Confi dence Intervals for Classifi cation ❖ 9:20 a.m. Optimal Design of Network Traffi c Measurement Error Rate— Hie-Choon Chung, Gwangju Scheme—❖Harsh Singhal, University of University; Chien-Pai Han, University of Texas Michigan; George Michailidis, Th e University of at Arlington Michigan 9:35 a.m. Sample-Based Estimation of Internet Traffi c Flow Characteristics—❖Lili Yang, Th e University of Michigan; George Michailidis, Th e University of Michigan

Salt Lake City 129 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

252 CC-355 D 9:05 a.m. The Impact of Incentives on Survey Participation ● Variance Estimation–Advanced Applications— and Reports of Intimate Partner and Sexual Contributed Violence—❖Lisa Carley-Baxter, RTI International; Section on Survey Research Methods Michele Lynberg, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Susan Twiddy, RTI International Chair(s): Karen Messer, University of California, San Diego 9:20 a.m. Money Can Buy Me Love: Experiments To Increase 8:35 a.m. Quasi–Monte Carlo Methods for Variance Response Rates Using Monetary Incentives— Estimation—❖Stanislav Kolenikov, University of ❖Andrew Zukerberg, U.S. Census Bureau; Missouri-Columbia Megan Henly, U.S. Census Bureau; David Hall, 8:50 a.m. Estimating the Distribution of Distances for a U.S. Census Bureau Large-Scale Complex Survey—❖Jianqiang Wang, 9:35 a.m. Floor Discussion Iowa State University; Jean Opsomer, Iowa State University 9:05 a.m. Variance Estimation for Calibration with Estimated 254 CC-251 B Control Totals—❖Jill Dever, University of Teaching Statistics in the Health Sciences— Maryland; Richard Valliant, University of Contributed Maryland Section on Teaching Statistics in the Health Sciences, Section on Statistical 9:20 a.m. Variance Estimation After Nearest-Neighbor Education Imputation with Application to 2000 Census Chair(s): Patrick Arbogast, Vanderbilt University Long Form Sample—❖Jae-kwang Kim, Yonsei 8:35 a.m. The Job Outlook for Biostatistics Graduates— University; Wayne Fuller, Iowa State University ❖Stephen W. Looney, Medical College of 9:35 a.m. On Variance Estimation Under Auxiliary Value Georgia; Joseph L. Hagan, Louisiana State Imputation in Sample Surveys—❖David University Health Sciences Center Haziza, University of Montréal; Jean-François 8:50 a.m. Developing a Biostatistical Collaboration Course Beaumont, Statistics Canada; Cynthia Bocci, in a Health Research Methodology Program— Statistics Canada ❖Lehana Th abane, McMaster University; 9:50 a.m. The Effect of Stochastic Population Controls on Stephen Walter, McMaster University; Steven the Precision of Radio Listening Estimates— E. Hanna, McMaster University; Charlie ❖Richard Griﬃ ths, Arbitron Inc. Goldsmith, McMaster University; Eleanor 10:05 a.m. Floor Discussion Pullenayegum, McMaster University 9:05 a.m. The Effect of Effect Size on Teaching, Collaboration, and Publishing—❖Linda S. Hynan, 253 CC-355 A Th e University of Texas Southwestern Medical ● Improved Methods for Survey Contact and Center at Dallas; Alan Elliott, Th e University of Incentives—Contributed Texas Southwestern Medical Center at Dallas Section on Survey Research Methods 9:20 a.m. Use of Interesting Examples from Medicine and Chair(s): Christopher Johnson, Centers for Disease Control and Biology—❖Harry Norton, Carolinas Medical Prevention Center 8:35 a.m. Using Linear Programming Techniques for 9:35 a.m. WMWodds: A Simple and Direct Effect-Size Balancing Automatic Case Assignments in Field Parameter for the Wilcoxon-Mann-Whitney Two- ❖ Surveys— Edward English, NORC at the Sample Test—❖Ralph G. O’Brien, Th e Cleveland University of Chicago; Steven Pedlow, NORC at Clinic; John Castelloe, SAS Institute Inc. the University of Chicago 9:50 a.m. Calibrated Peer Review (CPR) as a Tool To Teach 8:50 a.m. First Impression: An Advance Contact Experiment Interpretation of Linear Regression Coefﬁ cients: to Locate and Engage Potential Respondents— Development of the CPR Module and Examination ❖ Michael E. White, U.S. Census Bureau; Megan of Students’ Results—❖Felicity B. Enders, Henly, U.S. Census Bureau; Amy B. Herron, U.S. Mayo Clinic; Sarah Stoner, Mayo Clinic; Verna Census Bureau; Andrew Zukerberg, U.S. Census Hoverman, Mayo Clinic Bureau

130 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

10:05 a.m. A SAS Macro Implementation of a Multiple Arizona State University; ❖Tanya Sikdar, Comparison Post Hoc Test—❖Alan Elliott, Th e University of Georgia University of Texas Southwestern Medical Game 2—❖Ming-Hung (Jason) Kao, University Center at Dallas; Linda S. Hynan, Th e University of Georgia; ❖Amanda-Sue King, Wright State of Texas Southwestern Medical Center at Dallas University; ❖Peng Liu, Case Western Reserve University; ❖Balaji Raman, University of 255 CC-254 A Connecticut ● ✪ Estimating Social Statistics: Hurricanes, Game 3—❖Sourish Das, University of Connecticut; ❖Yiying (Richard) Fan, Case Murders, and Other Applications—Contributed ❖ Social Statistics Section Western Reserve University; Qin Wang, University of Georgia; ❖Andrejus Parfi onovas, Chair(s): Daniel Cork, Committee on National Statistics Utah State University 8:35 a.m. Assessing Katrina’s Impact: Report of a Study on Game 4—❖Jien Chen, University of Georgia; the Mississippi Gulf Coast—❖David A. Swanson, ❖Xiaosong Li, Case Western Reserve University of Mississippi; Mark Van Boening, University; ❖Sourish Saha, University of Tuesday University of Mississippi; Richard Forgette, Florida; ❖ Erin Tewksbury, Wright State University of Mississippi University 8:50 a.m. Factors That Facilitated and Inhibited Job-Holding Among Female AFDC/TANF Recipients in 1996— ❖Denton Vaughan, Consultant 9:05 a.m. Under-Reporting of Means-Tested Transfer Benefi ts Invited Sessions 10:30 a.m.–12:20 p.m. in the CPS—❖Laura Wheaton, Th e Urban Institute 9:20 a.m. Dial M for Missing Murder Data—❖James A. Fox, Northeastern University; Marc L. Swatt, 257 CC-251 C Northeastern University ✪ Recent Advancements in Nonparametric 9:35 a.m. Measurement and Evaluation of Ancestry: Methods for Regression Model Selection and Differences Between Specifi c and Generalized Model Checking—Invited Responses—❖Frank Hobbs, U.S. Census Bureau; Section on Nonparametric Statistics, Biometrics Section Angela Brittingham, U.S. Census Bureau Organizer(s): Lan Wang, Th e University of Minnesota 9:50 a.m. Measuring Religious Change Among Michigan Chair(s): Arne Bathke, University of Kentucky Southern Baptists—❖William Livingston, Baker 10:35 a.m. Recent Developments in Noise-Addition Methods College for Model Selection—❖Dennis Boos, North 10:05 a.m. Floor Discussion Carolina State University; Leonard A. Stefanski, North Carolina State University 11:00 a.m. Frequentist-Bayes Lack-of-Fit Tests Based on a Laplace Approximation—❖Jeff rey Hart, Texas Special Presentation 10:30 a.m.–12:20 p.m. A&M University 11:25 a.m. A Goodness-of-Fit Test for Parametric and Semiparametric Models in Multiresponse 256 CC-255 B Regression—❖Ingrid Van Keilegom, Université ASA College Stat Bowl I—Other catholique de Louvain; Song Xi Chen, Iowa ASA, IMS, ENAR, WNAR, SSC State University Organizer(s): Stephanie Cano, University of Texas at San Antonio; 11:50 a.m. Robust Tests in Regression Models with Omnibus Michael T. Anderson, University of Texas at San Antonio Alternatives and Bounded Infl uence—❖Lan Chair(s): Michael T. Anderson, University of Texas at San Antonio Wang, Th e University of Minnesota ❖ Game 1— Ellen Breazel, University of Georgia; 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion ❖Ann Lazar, University of Colorado at Denver and Health Sciences Center; ❖Chris Rigdon,

Salt Lake City 131 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

258 CC-255 F Human Development; Susan Viet, Westat; David ● ✪ Nonparametric Bayesian Inference for Marker, Westat; Steven Bodesky, LFR, Inc. Challenging Biomedical Problems—Invited 11:55 a.m. Disc: Roderick J. Little, University of Michigan International Society of Bayesian Analysis, Section on Bayesian Statistical 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion Science, ENAR, Biometrics Section, Section on Nonparametric Statistics Organizer(s): Peter Mueller, Th e University of Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer Center 260 CC-259 Chair(s): Athanasios Kottas, University of California, Santa Cruz ● ✪ Design of Experiment for Categorical Data— 10:35 a.m. Bayesian Semiparametric Factor Modeling in Large Invited P Problems—❖Mike West, Duke University Biometrics Section, ENAR, Biopharmaceutical Section, General Methodol- ogy, Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences, Section on Quality and 11:05 a.m. The Matrix Stick-Breaking Process: Flexible Bayes Productivity, WNAR Meta-Analysis—❖David B. Dunson, National Organizer(s): Min Yang, University of Missouri-Columbia Institute of Environmental Health Sciences Chair(s): Min Yang, University of Missouri-Columbia 11:35 a.m. Bayesian Nonproportional Hazards Survival 10:35 a.m. A Response-Driven Design: The Randomized Analysis—❖Wesley Johnson, University of Reinforcement Urn—❖Nancy Flournoy, California, Irvine University of Missouri-Columbia 12:05 p.m. Floor Discussion 11:00 a.m. Optimal Designs for Dose-Finding Studies— ❖Holger Dette, Ruhr-Universitaet Bochum 259 CC-355 B 11:25 a.m. Multicenter Clinical Trials with Binary Outcomes ● The National Children’s Study: The Challenges and Random Effects for Centers: Sample Size and Promises of a Follow-Up Study of a Randomly Determination—❖Kathryn Chaloner, Th e Selected Cohort of 100,000 Pre- and Post- University of Iowa Conception Women and Their Offspring Through 21 11:50 a.m. Optimal Designs of Clinical Studies for Years of Life—Invited Multivariate Probit Model—❖Valeri V. Fedorov, ENAR, Biometrics Section, Section on Statistics and the Environment, Sec- GlaxoSmithKline tion on Statistics in Epidemiology, Section on Survey Research Methods, 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion Section on Health Policy Statistics, Social Statistics Section, Section on Teaching Statistics in the Health Sciences Organizer(s): Jonas H. Ellenberg, University of Pennsylvania 261 CC-254 B Chair(s): Louise Ryan, Harvard School of Public Health/Dana-Farber ✪ Asymptotic Decision Theory and Its Cancer Institute Applications—Invited 10:35 a.m. The National Children’s Study (NCS): Background, IMS, Section on Nonparametric Statistics Rationale, and Scope—❖Peter C. Scheidt, Organizer(s): Harrison Zhou, Yale University National Institute of Child Health and Human Chair(s): Harrison Zhou, Yale University Development 10:35 a.m. Adaptive Nonparametric Density Estimation 10:55 a.m. Methods for Sampling Households To Identify via the Root-Unroot Transform and Wavelet 100,000 Births—❖Jill M. Montaquila, Westat; J. Block Threshholding—❖Lawrence D. Brown, Michael Brick, Westat; Lester Curtin, Centers University of Pennsylvania for Disease Control and Prevention 11:00 a.m. Asymptotic Equivalence for Nonparametric 11:15 a.m. Adaptive Tuning of Field Performance in the Regression Experiments with Random Design— National Children’s Study: Protection of the ❖Andrew Carter, University of California, Santa Inferential Base—❖Jonas H. Ellenberg, Barbara University of Pennsylvania 11:25 a.m. Estimating Convex Functions—❖Mark Low, 11:35 a.m. Issues in the Measurement and Assessment of University of Pennsylvania Environmental Exposures for a Large Prospective 11:50 a.m. Sufﬁ ciency and the Preservation of Fisher ❖ Cohort Study— James Quackenboss, U.S. Information—❖David Pollard, Yale University Environmental Protection Agency; Warren Galke, National Institute of Child Health and 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion

132 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

262 CC-155 A 264 CC-155 F ● ✪ Seasonal Time Series—Invited ● ✪ Confronting the Realities of Massive Business and Economics Statistics Section Imputation in Complex Surveys—Invited Organizer(s): Stuart Scott, Bureau of Labor Statistics Section on Survey Research Methods, Section on Health Policy Statistics, Chair(s): Ed Melnick, New York University Section on Government Statistics 10:35 a.m. Recasting X11 Seasonal Adjustment Filters into Organizer(s): Alan M. Zaslavsky, Harvard University; Yulei He, Harvard Medical School Smoothers—❖Tucker S. McElroy, U.S. Census Bureau; Agustin Maravall, Bank of Spain Chair(s): Th omas Belin, University of California, Los Angeles 11:00 a.m. New Models for Seasonal Time Series and 10:35 a.m. Preservation of Skip Patterns and Covariance Seasonal Adjustment—❖David Findley, U.S. Structure through Semiparametric Whole- ❖ Census Bureau; Brian Monsell, U.S. Census Questionnaire Imputation— David R. Judkins, Bureau; John Aston, Academia Sinica; Jyh-Ying Westat; Th omas Krenzke, Westat; Zizhong Fan, Peng, Academia Sinica MedImmune, Inc.; Andrea R. Piesse, Westat 11:25 a.m. Quantifying and Measuring Revisions in Time- 11:00 a.m. Imputation in a Multimode Multi-instrument Study ❖ Tuesday Series Estimates—❖Duncan Elliot, Oﬃ ce for of Cancer Care— Yulei He, Harvard Medical National Statistics; Craig H. McLaren, Oﬃ ce School; Alan M. Zaslavsky, Harvard University for National Statistics; Xichaun (Mark) Zhang, 11:25 a.m. Multiple Imputation Analysis of Association Australian Bureau of Statistics Between Cardiovascular Disease Risk Factors ❖ 11:50 a.m. Empirical Evaluation of X-11 and Model-Based and Environmental Exposures— Trivellore E. Seasonal Adjustment Methods—❖Stuart Scott, Raghunathan, University of Michigan; Wei Bureau of Labor Statistics; Richard Tiller, Chen, Karmanos Cancer Institute Bureau of Labor Statistics; Daniel Chow, Bureau 11:50 a.m. Disc: Michael D. Larsen, Iowa State University of Labor Statistics 12:10 p.m. Floor Discussion 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion 265 CC-Ballroom B 263 CC-251 D ● ✪ Causal Inference: Past, Present, and Future— ● ✪ Statistical Analysis and Forecast of Space- Invited Time Wind Power Data—Invited Council of Chapters, Biometrics Section, General Methodology, WNAR IMS, Section on Statistics and the Environment Organizer(s): V. A. Samaranayake, University of Missouri-Rolla Organizer(s): Marc Genton, University of Geneva Chair(s): V. A. Samaranayake, University of Missouri-Rolla Chair(s): Marc Genton, University of Geneva 10:35 a.m. Statistics and Causal Inference: Past and 10:35 a.m. Calibrated Probabilistic Forecasting at the Present—❖Paul Holland, Educational Testing Stateline Wind Energy Center: The Regime- Services Switching Space-Time (RST) Method—❖Kristin 11:00 a.m. The Mathematics of Causal Inference in A. Larson, 3TIER; Tilmann Gneiting, University Statistics—❖Judea Pearl, University of of Washington California, Los Angeles 11:00 a.m. Nonparametric Assessment of Properties of 11:25 a.m. Causal Inference as a Missing Data Problem: Space-Time Covariance Functions Associated with Past, Present, and Future—❖Donald B. Rubin, Wind Speed Data—❖Bo Li, National Center Harvard University for Atmospheric Research; Marc Genton, 11:50 a.m. Disc: Mark J. van der Laan, University of University of Geneva; Michael Sherman, Texas California, Berkeley A&M University 12:10 p.m. Floor Discussion 11:25 a.m. Models for Short-Term Wind Speed Prediction— ❖Amanda S. Hering, Texas A&M University; Marc Genton, University of Geneva 11:50 a.m. Disc: Michael Stein, Th e University of Chicago 12:10 p.m. Floor Discussion

Salt Lake City 133 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

266 CC-255 D Invited Panels 10:30 a.m.–12:20 p.m. ● ✪ Recent Developments of Statistics in Forest, Wildlife, Fisheries, and Ecological Research— 268 CC-254 C Invited ● ✪ Infl uencing State-by-State Curriculum WNAR, ENAR, Biometrics Section, Section on Statistical Consulting, Sec- tion on Statistics and the Environment Standards in Statistics for K–12 Education— Organizer(s): Dongchu Sun, University of Missouri-Columbia Invited ASA NCTM Joint Committee on Curriculum in Stats and Probability, Sec- Chair(s): Steve Sheriff , Missouri Department of Conservation tion on Statistical Education, Section on Teaching Statistics in the Health 10:35 a.m. Searching for Ecological-Environmental Sciences Relationships—Eric P. Smith, Virginia Organizer(s): Jerry Moreno, John Carroll University Polytechnic Institute and State University; Chair(s): Jerry Moreno, John Carroll University ❖Samantha Bates Prins, James Madison Panelists: ❖ Gail Burrill, Michigan State University University ❖ Christine Franklin, University of Georgia 11:00 a.m. Statistical and Nonstatistical Issues in Designing ❖ Large-Scale Monitoring Efforts for the Northern Katherine Halvorsen, Smith College Spotted Owl—❖James A. Baldwin, USDA Forest ❖ Cathy Seeley, University of Texas at Austin Service; Joseph Lint, USDI Bureau of Land 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion Management; Martin G. Raphael, USDA Forest Service; Eric Forsman, USDA Forest Service; John A. Laurence, USDA Forest Service; Robert 269 CC-251 E Anthony, U.S. Geological Survey ● ✪ Overarching Issues in Risk Analysis—Invited 11:25 a.m. Bayesian Spatial Modeling of Vegetation Coverage Section on Risk Analysis, Section on Statisticians in Defense and National Data in the Missouri Ozark Forest Ecosystem Security Project—❖Zhuoqiong (Chong) He, University Organizer(s): Duane Steff ey, Exponent, Inc. of Missouri-Columbia; Xiaoqian Sun, Clemson Chair(s): Alan Karr, National Institute of Statistical Sciences University Panelists: ❖ Duane Steff ey, Exponent, Inc. 11:50 a.m. Capture-Recapture Models: Uses of the Robust ❖ Bruce Craig, Purdue University Design—❖Ken Pollock, North Carolina State ❖ Robert Obenchain, Eli Lilly and Company University ❖ Walter W. Piegorsch, Th e University of 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion Arizona 12:05 p.m. Floor Discussion 267 CC-251 B Computationally Intensive Methods—Invited Section on Statistical Computing, ENAR, Section on Nonparametric Statistics Organizer(s): Yasmin H. Said, George Mason University Topic-Contributed Sessions Chair(s): Edward Wegman, George Mason University 10:30 a.m.–12:20 p.m. 10:35 a.m. Exploratory Statistical Software—❖Antony Unwin, University of Augsburg 270 CC-355 C 11:05 a.m. Reducing the Variability in Least Squares Cross- ● ✪ Phase II/III Clinical Trials: Combine or Not To Validation Bandwidths—Jeff rey Hart, Texas A&M Combine—Topic-Contributed University; ❖Simon Sheather, Texas A&M Biopharmaceutical Section, WNAR, ENAR, Biometrics Section, Section on University Health Policy Statistics ❖ 11:35 a.m. K Models Clustering— James E. Gentle, Organizer(s): James Hung, U.S. Food and Drug Administration George Mason University; Li Li, George Mason Chair(s): James Hung, U.S. Food and Drug Administration University 10:35 a.m. Multiplicity in Adaptive Designs—❖Willi Maurer, 12:05 p.m. Floor Discussion Novartis Pharmaceuticals AG

134 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

10:55 a.m. How Much Evidence Is Enough?—❖Kuang-Kuo 272 CC-255 E Lan, Johnson & Johnson PRD ● ✪ Genome-Wide Studies and Proteomics in 11:15 a.m. Adaptation of Adaptive Design in Japan— Cancer—Topic-Contributed ❖Masahiro Takeuchi, Kitasato University; Biometrics Section, ENAR, WNAR Hajime Uno, Kitasato University; Fumiaki Organizer(s): Terry Hyslop, Th omas Jeff erson University Takahashi, Kitasato University Chair(s): Inna Chervoneva, Th omas Jeff erson University 11:35 a.m. Stagewise Planning for Clinical Trials from Phase 10:35 a.m. Statistical Validation of Breast Cancer Subtypes— ❖ II to Phase III— Sue-Jane Wang, U.S. Food and ❖Amy Kapp, Stanford University; Robert Drug Administration Tibshirani, Stanford University 11:55 a.m. Disc: Ralph B. D’Agostino, Sr., Boston University 10:55 a.m. Analytical Pipeline for 2D Gels—❖Francoise 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion Seillier-Moiseiwitsch, Georgetown University Medical Center 11:15 a.m. Two-Stage Designs for Genome-Wide Association 271 CC-155 B ❖ ● ✪ Using Computer Models for Ecological, Studies in Cancer— Abhijit Dasgupta, Th omas Tuesday Environmental, and Biological Applications: A Jeff erson University SAMSI Program—Topic-Contributed 11:35 a.m. Effect of the Number of Top Genes on Survival Analysis in Microarray Data—❖Dung-Tsa Chen, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, ENAR Moffi tt Cancer Center; Michael Schell, Moffi tt Organizer(s): Susie Bayarri, University of Valencia Cancer Center; Steven Eschrich, Moffi tt Cancer Chair(s): Susie Bayarri, University of Valencia Center; Alan Cantor, Moffi tt Cancer Center; 10:35 a.m. How Far Can a Physicist Travel Along the Bayesian Timothy Yeatman, Moffi tt Cancer Center Way: Probability, Uncertainty, and Adequacy 11:55 a.m. Disc: Sin-Ho Jung, Duke University in Climate-Like Modeling—❖Leonard Smith, London School of Economics 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion 10:55 a.m. Analyzing Input and Structural Uncertainty of a Hydrological Model with Stochastic Time- 273 CC-355 D Dependent Parameters—❖Peter Reichert, ● ✪ Adaptive Medical Device Clinical Trials— Swiss Federal Institute of Aquatic Science and Topic-Contributed Technology; Johanna Mieleitner, Eawag Biopharmaceutical Section, ENAR 11:15 a.m. Analysis of Seasonal Epidemiological Organizer(s): Lilly Yue, U.S. Food and Drug Administration ❖ Parameters— Ariel Cintron-Arias, Statistical Chair(s): Laura Th ompson, U.S. Food and Drug Administration and Applied Mathematical Sciences Institute/ 10:35 a.m. Comparison of Two Adaptive Randomization North Carolina State University; Peter Reichert, Methods in Multicenter Clinical Trials—❖Lei Swiss Federal Institute of Aquatic Science and Peng, Abbott Vascular Technology; Alun Lloyd, North Carolina State University; H. T. Banks, North Carolina State 10:55 a.m. Data Analysis in a Medical Device Trial University When Planned Randomized Enrollment Is Too Slow—❖Yonghong Gao, U.S. Food and Drug 11:35 a.m. Hazard Mapping: Modeling Volcanic Avalanches— Administration; Gerry Gray, U.S. Food and Drug ❖E. Bruce Pitman, University at Buff alo-SUNY Administration 11:55 a.m. Calibration of an Air Quality Model—❖Serge 11:15 a.m. Statistical Analysis for Two-Stage Adaptive Design Guillas, Georgia Institute of Technology; Lew with Different Study Endpoints—❖Shein-Chung Lefton, Georgia Institute of Technology; Yunsoo Chow, Duke University; Siu-Keung Tse, Hong Choi, Georgia Institute of Technology; Yuhang Kong City University Wang, Georgia Institute of Technology 11:35 a.m. One Adaptive Design and Its Application to Medical 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion Device PMA Study—❖Xiaolong Luo, Johnson & Johnson PRD; David Snead, Cordis, a Johnson & Johnson Company; Dennis Donohoe, Cordis, a Johnson & Johnson Company

Salt Lake City 135 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

11:55 a.m. Flexible Designs in Clinical Trials: Case studies— 11:35 a.m. Inference for Vector Processes with Long Memory ❖Ning Li, U.S. Food and Drug Administration via the EM Algorithm—❖Nalini Ravishanker, 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion University of Connecticut; Jeff rey Pai, University of Manitoba 11:55 a.m. Spline-Backfi tted Kernel Smoothing of Additive 274 CC-355 A Models in Time Series—❖Li Wang, Michigan ● ✪ Statistical Issues of a Thorough QT/QTc State University; Lijian Yang, Michigan State Study—Topic-Contributed University Biopharmaceutical Section 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion Organizer(s): Joanne Zhang, U.S. Food and Drug Administration Chair(s): Scott Patterson, GlaxoSmithKline 10:35 a.m. Effect of Baseline Measurement on the Change 276 CC-251 F ✪ from Baseline in QTc Intervals—❖Hong Tian, High-Dimensional Inference and Spatial Johnson & Johnson PRD; Jaya Natarajan, Analysis—Topic-Contributed Johnson & Johnson PRD IMS, Section on Nonparametric Statistics 10:55 a.m. QT Interval Variability and Sample Size Organizer(s): Jinchi Lv, Princeton University Consideration for Thorough QT Studies—❖Lu Chair(s): Yingying Fan, Princeton University Zhang, Eli Lilly and Company; Alex Dmitrienko, 10:35 a.m. Profi le-Kernel Likelihood Inference with Diverging Eli Lilly and Company Number of Parameters—❖Cliff ord Lam, Princeton 11:15 a.m. Examination of Concentration Effect Modeling University; Jianqing Fan, Princeton University of QT Interval from a Statistical Perspective— 10:55 a.m. High-Dimension, Low Sample Size (HDLSS) Data ❖Brian Smith, Amgen Inc. Asymptotics—❖Xuxin Liu, Th e University of 11:35 a.m. Statistical Issues of a Thorough QT/QTc Study— North Carolina at Chapel Hill ❖Joanne Zhang, U.S. Food and Drug Administration 11:15 a.m. Model Selection Using Hellinger Distance: Methods ❖ 11:55 a.m. Disc: Venkat Sethuraman, Novartis and Applications— Xiaofan Cao, Colorado Pharmaceuticals State University; Haonan Wang, Colorado State University; Hariharan Iyer, Colorado State 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion University 11:35 a.m. Mixture of Thresholded, Transformed Gaussian 275 CC-254 A Processes Modeling with Application to Rainfall ✪ Diverse Applications of Modern Time Series— Extremes—❖Jie Zhou, Th e University of North Topic-Contributed Carolina at Chapel Hill; Richard L. Smith, Th e IMS, Business and Economics Statistics Section University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Organizer(s): Michael Levine, Purdue University 11:55 a.m. Sure Independence Screening for Ultra-High Chair(s): Tonglin Zhang, Purdue University Dimensional Feature Space—❖Jinchi Lv, Princeton 10:35 a.m. Local Whittle Estimation of Fractional Integration University; Jianqing Fan, Princeton University for Nonlinear Processes—❖Xiaofeng Shao, 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion University of Illinois; Wei Biao Wu, Th e University of Chicago 10:55 a.m. Minimax Detection of Structural Change Using Large Deviations—❖Chuan Goh, University of Toronto 11:15 a.m. State-Space Discrimination and Clustering of Atmospheric Time Series Data Based on Kullback Information Measures—❖Joseph Cavanaugh, Th e University of Iowa; Th omas Bengtsson, Alcatel- Lucent

136 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

277 CC-155 C 278 CC-250 A When Rubber Meets the Road: Bayesian Clinical ● ✪ Multistate Life Table Methods in Health Policy Trials in Action - MDA Experience—Topic- Research—Topic-Contributed Contributed Section on Health Policy Statistics Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, ENAR Organizer(s): Paula Diehr, University of Washington Organizer(s): J. Jack Lee, Th e University of Texas M. D. Anderson Chair(s): Beth Ann Griffi n, RAND Corporation Cancer Center 10:35 a.m. Evaluation of Using Life Table Methods Combined Chair(s): J. Kyle Wathen, Th e University of Texas M. D. Anderson with Microsimulation To Produce Estimates of Cancer Center Distributions—James Lubitz, National Center 10:35 a.m. Bayesian Clinical Trials Designed and Conducted for Health Statistics; ❖Liming Cai, National at the University of Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer Center for Health Statistics; Nathaniel Schenker, Center (MDACC)—Swati Biswas, University of National Center for Health Statistics; Paula North Texas Health Science Center; ❖Diane Diehr, University of Washington D. Liu, Th e University of Texas M. D. Anderson 10:55 a.m. Age-Specifi c Prevalence and Years of Healthy Life Cancer Center; J. Jack Lee, Th e University in a System with Three Health States—❖Paula Tuesday of Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer Center; Diehr, University of Washington; David Yanez, Donald A. Berry, Th e University of Texas M. D. University of Washington; Ann Derleth, Anderson Cancer Center University of Washington; Anne Newman, 10:55 a.m. Five-Arm Dose Selection Trial with Adaptive University of Pittsburgh ❖ Randomization— Mark F. Munsell, Th e 11:15 a.m. Multistate Life Table Distributions for Highly University of Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer Refi ned Subpopulations from Cross-Sectional Center; Donald A. Berry, Th e University Data: A Bayesian Alternative to Sullivan’s of Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer Center; J. Method—❖Scott Lynch, Princeton University Kyle Wathen, Th e University of Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer Center; Marcos J. de Lima, 11:35 a.m. An Extension of the Cohort-Component Model of Th e University of Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer Population Projection: From Multistate Life Table Center to Multistate Model for Households and Living Arrangement Projections—❖Kenneth Land, 11:15 a.m. An Application of Adaptive Randomization Using Duke University; Yi Zeng, Duke University Hierarchical Bayes Model in a Prospective ❖ 11:55 a.m. Flowgraph Models for Multivariate Survival Biomarker-Based Clinical Trial— Suyu Liu, Th e ❖ University of Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer Data— C. Lillian Yau, Tulane University Center; Edward S. Kim, Th e University of 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer Center; Xian Zhou, Genentech, Inc.; Ignacio Wistuba, Th e 279 CC-250 D University of Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer Center; Roy Herbst, Th e University of Texas Marketing Research Challenging Statistics: M. D. Anderson Cancer Center; Jeff rey Lewis, Problems Solved and Unsolved—Topic-Contributed Th e University of Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer Section on Statistics and Marketing Center; J. Jack Lee, Th e University of Texas M. Organizer(s): Stan Lipovetsky, GfK Custom Research North America D. Anderson Cancer Center Chair(s): Raimund K. Wildner, GfK Group 11:35 a.m. Software and Practical Considerations for 10:35 a.m. Methodology and Challenges in Search Marketing Designing and Conducting Innovative Clinical Trials at Business.com—❖Nathan Janos, Business. at MDACC—❖John D. Cook, Th e University of Com; Tom Anderson, Business.Com; Paul Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer Center Dagum, Business.Com 11:55 a.m. When Rubber Meets the Road: Bayesian Clinical 10:55 a.m. Optimal Designs for Choice Experiments To Trials in Action—MDA Experience—❖J. Jack Lee, measure the Willingness to Pay—❖Bart Th e University of Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer Vermeulen, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven; Center Peter Goos, Universiteit Antwesrpen; Martina 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion Vandebroek, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven

Salt Lake City 137 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

11:15 a.m. Statistical Issues in Optimal Product Design— 10:55 a.m. Assessing the Accuracy of the WMWodds Method ❖James Cochran, Louisiana Tech University for the Wilcoxon-Mann-Whitney Test—❖John 11:35 a.m. A Theory of Attribution—❖Barry Feldman, Prism Castelloe, SAS Institute Inc.; Ralph G. O’Brien, Analytics/Russell Investment Th e Cleveland Clinic 11:55 a.m. Using Cooperative Game Theory as a Foundation 11:15 a.m. Power and Sample Size Estimation for Comparing for Marketing Research—❖Shon Magnan, Two Means: Assessment and a New Tool—❖Ken GfK Custom Research North America; Stan Gerow, University of Wyoming Lipovetsky, GfK Custom Research North 11:35 a.m. Localization versus Holism in the Analysis of America; Ken Powaga, GfK Custom Research Neurological Imaging Data: Power Comparisons of North America Multivariate and Univariate Methods—❖Dawson 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion Hedges, Brigham Young University; Suzanne Hendrix, Myriad Pharmaceuticals; Bruce Brown, Brigham Young University 280 CC-260 ● ✪ 11:55 a.m. Small Sample Properties of Information-Based Optimal Designs: Ideas and Applications— Monitoring—❖David Sawrie, Th e University of Topic-Contributed Alabama at Birmingham; Christopher S. Coﬀ ey, WNAR, ENAR Th e University of Alabama at Birmingham Organizer(s): Weng-Kee Wong, University of California, Los Angeles 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion Chair(s): Kimmie C. Carriere, University of Alberta 10:35 a.m. Optimal Allocation for Sequential Binary Response Experiments—❖William Rosenberger, George Mason University; Yevgen Tymofyeyev, Merck Topic-Contributed Poster Presentations & Co., Inc.; Feifang Hu, University of Virginia 10:30 a.m.–12:20 p.m. 10:55 a.m. Optimal Allocation in Sequential Continuous Response Experiments—❖Feifang Hu, University of Virginia; Hongjian Zhu, University of Virginia 282 CC-Exhibit Hall D 11:15 a.m. D-Optimal Minimax Response Surface Designs— ● ✪ Atypical Experiments in Industry—Topic- ❖Julie Zhou, University of Victoria Contributed 11:35 a.m. Some Results on Two-Level Nonregular Designs Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences Constructed from Quaternary Codes—❖Kin Hing Chair(s): Dongseok Choi, Oregon Health & Science University (Frederick) Phoa, University of California, Los Applications and case studies Angeles; Hongquan Xu, University of California, 01 Consumer Product Optimization Through a Mixture-of- Los Angeles Mixtures Experiment—❖William Brenneman, Procter & 11:55 a.m. Optimal Designs for Dose-Finding Experiments in Gamble Toxicity Studies—❖Weng-Kee Wong, University 02 What Textbook Experiments?—❖Winson Taam, Th e of California, Los Angeles; Holger Dette, Ruhr- Boeing Company Universitaet Bochum; Andrey Preplyshev, St. Petersburg State University 03 Estimating the Probability of Detecting Cracks in Aerospace Structures Using Nondestructive Inspections— 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion ❖Peter Hovey, University of Dayton Experimental design 281 CC-355 E 04 Design on Nonconvex Regions: Optimal Experiments ● ✪ Sample Size and Effect Size Estimation— for Spatial Process Prediction with Applications to Topic-Contributed Industrial Processes—❖Matthew Pratola, Simon Fraser Biopharmaceutical Section, Section on Statistical Consulting, WNAR University Chair(s): Yonggang Zhao, Wyeth 05 Dynamic Structural Health Monitoring Validation— 10:35 a.m. Sample Size for Equivalence Trials: A Case Study ❖David Banaszak, Air Force Research Laboratory ❖ from a Vaccines Lot Consistency Trial— Jitendra 06 Complex Experimental Design and Simple Data Ganju, Amgen Inc. Analysis—❖Joseph G. Pigeon, Villanova University

138 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

07 J-FACT: A Factor-Covering Design Tool for Deriving ❖Xianggui Qu, Oakland University ❖ Software Test Cases— Joseph Morgan, SAS Institute 10:50 a.m. Sampling Design for a Survey of Pregnant Women Inc.; Bradley Jones, SAS Institute Inc. Following a Natural Disaster—❖Jason Hsia, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Marianne E. Zotti, Centers for Disease Control Contributed Sessions 10:30 a.m.–12:20 p.m. and Prevention; Van T. Tong, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention 11:05 a.m. Adaptive Two-Stage Designs for Heterogeneous 283 CC-255 C Patient Populations in Phase II Cancer Trials— ● ✪ Recent Advances in Microarray Data Analysis ❖Karen Messer, University of California, III—Contributed San Diego; Michael Donohue, University of Biometrics Section California, San Diego Chair(s): Ning Sun, Yale University 11:20 a.m. Inverse Probability-Weighted Estimators in 10:35 a.m. ROC Curve of a Generalized Odds-Rate Model— the Stratiﬁ ed Nested Case-Control Sampling

❖Huining Kang, University of New Mexico; Methods—❖Sachiko Tanaka, Tokyo University Tuesday Edward J. Bedrick, University of New Mexico; of Science; Yutaka Matsuyama, University of Susan R. Atlas, University of New Mexico; Tokyo; Shiro Tanaka, University of Tokyo; Cheryl L. Willman, University of New Mexico Seiichiro Yamamoto, National Cancer Center 10:50 a.m. Transformation for the Additive Effect on the 11:35 a.m. Precision of Double Sampling with Error-Prone and Affymetrix Probe Data—❖Fenghai Duan, Error-Free Measures and Optimum Case-Control University of Nebraska Medical Center Study Design—❖Jun-mo Nam, National Cancer 11:05 a.m. Variable Selection in Penalized Model-Based Institute Clustering with Cluster-Dependent Diagonal 11:50 a.m. Early Termination of Two-Stage, Phase II, One- Covariances with Application to Microarray Data— Sample Cancer Clinical Trials—❖William E. ❖Benhuai Xie, Th e University of Minnesota; Barlow, Cancer Research and Biostatistics Wei Pan, Th e University of Minnesota; Xiaotong 12:05 p.m. Design of Long-Term Viral Dynamic Studies in Shen, Th e University of Minnesota Semiparametric Mixed-Effects Models—❖Jeong- 11:20 a.m. FDR Control in Identiﬁ cation of Differentially Gun Park, Harvard School of Public Heath/ Expressed Genes Using Mixed Linear Models Frontier Science & Technology Research When Some Variance Components May Be Zero— Foundation; Yangxin Huang, University of South ❖Cumhur Demirkale, Iowa State University; Florida; Yiliang Zhu, University of South Florida Tapabrata Maiti, Iowa State University; Dan Nettleton, Iowa State University 285 CC-355 F 11:35 a.m. Controlling the Average False Discovery in Large- ● ✪ ❖ The Era of Omics Data: Statistical Issues and Scale Multiple Testing— Meng Du, University Possible Solutions—Contributed of Toronto; Muni S. Srivastava, University of Toronto Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section Chair(s): Jingli Song, Eli Lilly and Company 11:50 a.m. Integrated Clustering of Heterogeneous Genomic Data—❖Jyotsna Kasturi, Johnson & Johnson PRD 10:35 a.m. Proteomic Analysis by 2-D PAGE for Response to Low-Dose Ionizing Radiation and Arsenic 12:05 p.m. Reconstruction of Gene Transcription Regulation Exposure—❖Dan Li, University of California, Network Using a Bayesian Approach—❖Feng Davis; Susanne R. Berglund, University of Hong, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign California, Davis; Alison Santana, University of California, Davis; Zelanna Goldberg, University 284 CC-258 of California, Davis; David Rocke, University of ● ✪ Design and Sampling Methods—Contributed California, Davis Biometrics Section 10:50 a.m. Statistical Differential Analysis of 2-D Gel ❖ Chair(s): Shenghua (Kelly) Fan, California State University, East Bay Images— Feng Li, University of Maryland, Baltimore County; Francoise Seillier-Moiseiwitsch, 10:35 a.m. Optimal Designs in High-Throughput Screening— Georgetown University Medical Center

Salt Lake City 139 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

11:05 a.m. Methods for Classifi cation of NMR Metobololomic 11:50 a.m. Bayesian Analysis of the Effect of Intentional Spectroscopy—❖Yuanxin Xi, University of Weight Loss on Mortality Rate—Nengjun Yi, California, Davis; David Rocke, University of Th e University of Alabama at Birmingham; California, Davis Shouluan Ding, Th e University of Alabama at ❖ 11:20 a.m. Genetic Association Analysis Using the Birmingham; Scott W. Keith, Th e University of Penalized Likelihood Approach—❖Xiwu Alabama at Birmingham; Christopher S. Coff ey, Lin, GlaxoSmithKline; Kijoung Song, Th e University of Alabama at Birmingham; GlaxoSmithKline; Daniel Parks, David B. Allison, Th e University of Alabama at GlaxoSmithKline; Jie Cheng, GlaxoSmithKline; Birmingham Kwan Lee, GlaxoSmithKline 12:05 p.m. Testing Random Effects in the Linear Mixed Model ❖ 11:35 a.m. Microarray Experiments for Pharmacogenomics— Using Bayes Factors— Benjamin Saville, Th e ❖Youlan Rao, Th e Ohio State University; University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Yoonkyung Lee, Th e Ohio State University; Jane Amy H. Herring, Th e University of North Chang, Bowling Green State University; Tao Carolina at Chapel Hill Wang, University of South Florida; Jason C. Hsu, Th e Ohio State University 287 CC-155 E 11:50 a.m. Analyzing Omics Data Using rSVD and NMF—❖Li ● ✪ Bayesian Model Selection, FDR, and HIV Liu, sanofi -aventis; Donghui Zhang, sanofi -aventis Applications—Contributed 12:05 p.m. A New Procedure of Identifying Differentially Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Expressed Genes in Microarray Experiments— Chair(s): Richard Carlson, Medica ❖Chunrong Dong, Case Western Reserve 10:35 a.m. Bayesian Model Selection in High-Dimensional University Genetic Association Studies—❖Melanie Wilson, Duke University 286 CC-255 A 10:50 a.m. A Bayesian Multiple Comparison Procedure for Bayesian Methods—Contributed Unbalanced Mixed Models—❖Junfeng Shang, ENAR, Biometrics Section Bowling Green State University; Farroll T. Chair(s): Wade Davis, University of Missouri-Columbia Wright, University of Missouri-Columbia; 10:35 a.m. Comparing Various Designs of Temporal Joseph Cavanaugh, Th e University of Iowa Microarray Experiments—❖Yijun Yang, Boston 11:05 a.m. Using FDR To Address a Controversy About University; Paola Sebastiani, Boston University the Meaning of P Values—❖Hormuzd Katki, 10:50 a.m. Bayesian Analysis of Cross-Classifi ed Spatial National Institutes of Health Data with Autocorrelation—❖Xiaolei Li, 11:20 a.m. Modeling and Computation for Parametric GlaxoSmithKline; Murray K. Clayton, University Bayesian Multiple Hypothesis Testing—❖James of Wisconsin-Madison Scott, Duke University; James Berger, Duke 11:05 a.m. Bayesian Sample Size Determination Under University Hypothesis Tests—❖Gary Cutter, Th e University 11:35 a.m. Nonparametric Bayesian Estimation of Positive of Alabama at Birmingham; Xiao Zhang, Th e False Discovery Rates—❖Anindya Roy, University of Alabama at Birmingham University of Maryland, Baltimore County; 11:20 a.m. Bayesian SUR Modeling of Multiple Ordinal Traits Subhashis Ghoshal, North Carolina State for Genome-Wide Epistatic QTL Mapping— University; Yongqiang Tang, SUNY Health ❖Samprit Banerjee, Th e University of Alabama Science Center at Birmingham; Nengjun Yi, Th e University of 11:50 a.m. A Hierarchical Bayesian Approach in Viral Dynamic Alabama at Birmingham System-Based Differential Equation Models ❖ 11:35 a.m. Bayesian Inferences for Bivariate Positive Stable with Application to AIDS Studies— Yangxin Frailty—❖Madhuja Mallick, Merck & Co., Inc.; Huang, University of South Florida; Hulin Wu, Nalini Ravishanker, University of Connecticut; University of Rochester Nandini Kannan, University of Texas at San 12:05 p.m. Lipid Analysis for HIV Patients: Does Fasting Bias Antonio Matter?—❖Xiting Yang, Carnegie Mellon University;

140 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

Joseph B. Kadane, Carnegie Mellon University; Heidi 10:50 a.m. The Simultaneous Use of Weighted Logrank and M. Crane, University of Washington Weighted Kaplan-Meier Statistics with Clustered Right-Censored Data—Yunchan Chi, National Cheng Kung University; ❖Pei-Fang Su, National 288 CC-250 B Cheng Kung University ● Sampling Issues and Variance Estimation— 11:05 a.m. Exact, Distribution-Free Conﬁ dence Intervals Contributed for Late Effects in Censored Matched Pairs— Section on Government Statistics, Section on Physical and Engineering ❖Shoshana Daniel, University of Pennsylvania; Sciences, Section on Survey Research Methods Paul Rosenbaum, University of Pennsylvania Chair(s): Michael P. Cohen, Statistical Consultant 11:20 a.m. Use of the Spike-Motif Distance Metric— 10:35 a.m. Effects of Calculating Standard Errors Using ❖Katherine Tranbarger, Amherst College Sampling versus Variance Weights for 2004 ❖ 11:35 a.m. Semiparametric Estimation of Hazard Function National Nursing Home Survey— Rong Cai, ❖ National Center for Health Statistics; Sarah with Failure Indicators MAR— Chunling Gousen, National Center for Health Statistics; Liu, University of Hong Kong; Qihua Wang, Tuesday Iris Shimizu, National Center for Health University of Hong Kong Statistics; Robin Remsburg, National Center for 11:50 a.m. Nonparametric Estimation of Mean Residual Life Health Statistics Function—❖Shufang Liu, North Carolina State 10:50 a.m. Variance Estimations for International Price University; Sujit Ghosh, North Carolina State Program Indexes—❖Te-Ching Chen, Bureau University of Labor Statistics; Patrick Bobbitt, Bureau of 12:05 p.m. Two-Fold Heteroscedastic Nested Models When the Labor Statistics; James A. Himelein Jr., Bureau Number of Subclasses Is Large—❖Shu-min Liao, of Labor Statistics; Steven P. Paben, Bureau of Th e Pennsylvania State University; Michael G. Labor Statistics; Moon Jung Cho, Bureau of Akritas, Th e Pennsylvania State University Labor Statistics; Lawrence Ernst, Bureau of Labor Statistics 290 CC-250 C 11:05 a.m. Applying M-Estimation to Computation of Price Helpful Teaching Techniques —Contributed Indexes—❖Zdenek Patak, Statistics Canada Section on Statistical Education, Section on Teaching Statistics in the 11:20 a.m. Can a Geographic Sort Improve Hot Deck Donor Health Sciences Imputation in the Canadian Census?—❖Darryl Chair(s): Arlene Casiple, James Madison University Janes, Statistics Canada 10:35 a.m. An Experience in Teaching Inferential Statistics 11:35 a.m. Imputation Classes by Size Measure for the Annual with Focus on the Analyses of Simple Survey Survey of Manufacture of Statistics Canada—❖Yi Data—❖Bodapati V.R. Gandhi, University of Li, Statistics Canada Puerto Rico 11:50 a.m. Floor Discussion 10:50 a.m. Teaching Data Mining to Undergraduate Business Students—❖Margaretha Hsu, Shippensburg 289 CC-251 A University ❖ ✪ Nonparametric Methods for Reliability and 11:05 a.m. Students Don’t Do ‘Optional’— Kimberly Denley, Health Sciences Applications—Contributed University of Mississippi Section on Nonparametric Statistics, Section on Health Policy Statistics, 11:20 a.m. Teaching Hypothesis Testing Using a Magic Trick— Section on Teaching Statistics in the Health Sciences ❖Gregory L. Snow, Intermountain Healthcare Chair(s): Anton Westveld, Washington University in St. Louis 11:35 a.m. Pig Data and Bayesian Inference on Multinomial ❖ 10:35 a.m. A Nonparametric Test for Homogeneity of Survival Probabilities— John Kern, Duquesne University Means—❖Mohammad Rahbar, Michigan State 11:50 a.m. Using Humming To Teach Experimental Design in University; Sangchoon Jeon, Michigan State Introduction Statistics—❖Cora Neal, Sonoma University; Joseph C. Gardiner, Michigan State State University University 12:05 p.m. Using Matlab in the First Probability and Statistics Sequence—❖John Turner, U.S. Naval Academy

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291 CC-250 EF Leith, Portland State University; Jong Kim, Environmental Health Effects—Contributed Portland State University; Tom Fielden, Portland Section on Statistics and the Environment, ENAR, Section on Health Policy State University Statistics, Section on Statistical Graphics 12:05 p.m. Floor Discussion Chair(s): Brian Reich, North Carolina State University 10:35 a.m. Targeting Areas at Risk for Childhood Lead ❖ 292 CC-257 Poisoning— Margaret Conomos, U.S. ● Statistical Issues in Case-Control and Combined Environmental Protection Agency; Warren Strauss, Battelle; Tim Pivetz, Battelle; Jyothi Study Designs—Contributed Nagaraja, Battelle; Elizabeth Sloan, Battelle; Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Section on Teaching Statistics in the Health Sciences Rona Boehm, Battelle; Michael Schlatt, Battelle; Darlene Wells, Battelle; Michele Morara, Chair(s): Sanjay Shete, Th e University of Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer Center Battelle; Bruce Buxton, Battelle; Barry D. Nussbaum, U.S. Environmental Protection 10:35 a.m. Sample-Size Calculations in Case-Control Agency; Heather Case, U.S. Environmental Unmatched Studies When Controls Contain ❖ Protection Agency Cases— Xiaolei Liu, University of Cincinnati; Marepalli B. Rao, University of Cincinnati 10:50 a.m. Spatio-Temporal Dynamics of Eastern Equine Encephalitis in Southern New Hampshire—❖Ernst 10:50 a.m. Weighting for Case-Control Studies with Partial ❖ Linder, University of New Hampshire; Carlee Matched Controls— Ronaldo Iachan, Macro Moser, University of New Hampshire; Francois International; Aliza Fink, Macro International Lafl amme, Statistics Canada; Jason Stull, U.S. 11:05 a.m. A Latent Group Approach for Combining Matched Department of Health & Human Services and Unmatched Case-Control Studies— ❖ 11:05 a.m. Exploring the Relation Between Frailty and Mulugeta Gebregziabher, MUSC; Paulo Negative Health Outcomes Associated with Air Guimaraes, MUSC; Wendy Cozen, University of Pollution in an Older Population—❖Sandrah California, Los Angeles; David Conti, University Eckel, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of of Southern California Public Health; Th omas A. Louis, Th e Johns 11:20 a.m. Joint Modeling for Survival and Longitudinal Data Hopkins University; Karen Bandeen-Roche, Under Nested Case-Control Sampling—❖Chi- Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public hong Tseng, New York University; Mengling Health; Linda Fried, Johns Hopkins Medical Liu, New York University Institutions; Helene Margolis, California 11:35 a.m. Statistical Methods for Detecting Microdeletions Department of Health Services in Genetic Markers—❖Chih-Chieh Wu, Th e 11:20 a.m. Analysis of the Effect of Pollutants on Respiratory University of Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer Infection Using Case-Crossover Design and Center; Sanjay Shete, Th e University of Texas Generalized Additive Models—❖Long H. Ngo, M. D. Anderson Cancer Center; Christopher I. BIDMC & Harvard Medical School; Dzung Amos, Th e University of Texas M. D. Anderson V. Do, University of Medicine and Pharmacy; Cancer Center Th uan Q. Th ach, University of Hong Kong; Sumi 11:50 a.m. Estimating the Prevalence of Disease Using Mehta, Health Eff ects Institute; Aaron J. Cohen, Relatives of Case and Control Profanes—❖Kristin Health Eff ects Institute Javaras, Harvard School of Public Health; Nan 11:35 a.m. Demographic and Behavioral Modifi ers of Arsenic Laird, Harvard University; Brian D. Ripley, Exposure Pathways: A Bayesian Hierarchical Oxford University; James I. Hudson, Harvard Analysis of NHEXAS Data—❖Rajib Paul, Th e Medical School Ohio State University; Catherine A. Calder, Th e 12:05 p.m. Alleviating Ecological Bias in Generalized Linear Ohio State University; Peter F. Craigmile, Th e Models with Optimal Subsample Design—❖Adam Ohio State University; Th omas Santner, Th e N. Glynn, Harvard University; Jon Wakefi eld, Ohio State University University of Washington; Mark S. Handcock, 11:50 a.m. A Correlation Analysis of Bivariate Normal Data University of Washington; Th omas Richardson, Subject to Partial Left-Censoring—❖Wendy University of Washington

142 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

293 CC-155 D Applications and case studies ● Survey Response Propensity and Responsive 08 Assessment Meets Institutional Research—❖Julia Design—Contributed Norton, California State University, East Bay Section on Survey Research Methods Bayesian statistics, hierarchical models Chair(s): Matthias Schonlau, RAND Corporation 09 Bayesian Analysis of Correlated Proportions (Matched- 10:35 a.m. Evaluating Response Quality of Nonrespondents Pair Data) in 2 x 2 Tables with Incompletely Classiﬁ ed Using the Imputation Technique—❖Cong Ye, Data: Bayesian Extension of McNemar’s Test to Missing University of Maryland; Ting Yan, University of Data—❖Yan Lin, Th e University of Texas M. D. Michigan; Mandi Yu, University of Michigan Anderson Cancer Center; Stuart R. Lipsitz, Brigham 10:50 a.m. Using Callback Models To Adjust for Nonignorable and Women’s Hospital; Debajyoti Sinha, Medical University of South; Scott Regenbogen, Harvard Nonresponse in Face-to-Face Surveys—❖Paul School of Public Health; Caprice Greenberg, Brigham Biemer, RTI International/Th e University of and Women’s Hospital North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Kevin Wang, RTI International 10 A Bayesian Model for Inversion of Geophysical Seismic and Electromagnetic Data—❖Jinsong Chen, Lawrence Tuesday 11:05 a.m. Assessing Bias in Estimates in a Two-Stage Berkeley National Laboratory; Susan Hubbard, Design from an Early Close Out of the First Stage Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory; Michael Data Collection: An Empirical Investigation Hoversten, Chevron Energy Technology Company; Using NSRCG Sample Data—❖Donsig Jang, Alan Hubbard, University of California, Berkeley Mathematica Policy Research, Inc.; Xiaojing Lin, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. 11 Probabilistic Plan Tracking and Detection for Intelligence Analysis—❖Sinjini Mitra, Th e University of Southern 11:20 a.m. Optimal Survey Design When Nonrespondents ❖ California; Paul Cohen, Th e University of Southern Are Subsampled for Follow-Up— Alistair J. California; Aram Galstyan, Th e University of Southern O’Malley, Harvard Medical School; Alan M. California Zaslavsky, Harvard University 12 Approximations to Continuous Dynamic Processes in 11:35 a.m. Research and Responsive Design Options for Hierarchical Models—❖Amanda R. Cangelosi, Utah Survey Data Collection at Statistics Canada— State University; Mevin Hooten, Utah State University ❖Chris Mohl, Statistics Canada; Francois 13 Bayesian Modeling of Ecosystems in the Permian Mass Laﬂ amme, Statistics Canada Extinction—❖Michael Karcher, Swarthmore College; 11:50 a.m. A Dynamic Approach to Response Propensity— Steve Wang, Swarthmore College; Peter Roopnarine, ❖ Kristen Olson, University of Michigan California Academy of Sciences; Kenneth D. 12:05 p.m. Findings from Methodology Innovations on Angielczyk, California Academy of Sciences Population Health Survey—❖Urban Landreman, 14 A Bayesian Nonparametric Multivariate Model for Hennepin County HSPHD Evaluation of Correlated Diagnostic Tests—❖Adam Branscum, University of Kentucky; Timothy E. Hanson, Th e University of Minnesota; Ian Gardner, University of California, Davis Contributed Poster Presentations 15 Pilot Study on Motivating High School AP Students To 10:30 a.m.–12:20 p.m. Learn Conditional Probability—❖Neale Hirsh, NSH & Associates 294 CC-Exhibit Hall D Clinical trials, drug discovery Contributed Poster Presentations—Contributed 16 Bayesian Screening for Pharmacogenetic Effects in Clinical Trials—❖Mengye Guo, University of Business and Economics Statistics Section, Section on Bayesian Statistical Pennsylvania; Daniel F. Heitjan, University of Pennsylvania Science, Section on Nonparametric Statistics, Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences, Section on Quality and Productivity, Section on Risk 17 Bayesian Statistical Power in Randomized Small Clinical Analysis, Section on Statistical Consulting, Section on Statistical Educa- Trials—❖Yufeng Li, Th e University of Alabama tion, Section on Teaching Statistics in the Health Sciences, IMS, Section on at Birmingham; Shouluan Ding, Th e University Statisticians in Defense and National Security of Alabama at Birmingham; Seng-jaw Soong, Th e Chair(s): Dongseok Choi, Oregon Health & Science University University of Alabama at Birmingham

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Engineering and physical sciences, chemometrics Spatial statistics, spatio-temporal modeling 18 A Stochastic Gravitational Field Simulated by a Monte 30 Spatio-Temporal Modeling Using Stochastic Differential Carlo Method: An Alternate Explanation for the Dynamics Equations—❖Gavino Puggioni, Duke University ❖ of Neutral Dust Grains in Saturn’s Rings— Elizabeth 31 Spatial Statistics for Entrepreneurial Opportunities— Martinez-Gomez, ❖Jerry Platt, University of Redlands ❖ 19 Bivariate Generalized Poisson Regression Model— Felix Statistical consulting Famoye, Central Michigan University 32 A Bayesian Model and Expansion for Predicting 20 The Application of Statistical Process Control to Chemical Undergraduate and Graduate Institutional Re-Enrollment ❖ Solution Stability— Jennifer Herberich, Pratt & Rates and Totals—❖Lindsay Renfro, Baylor University; Whitney Rocketdyne Mark Hamner, Texas Woman’s University Experimental design Statistical education, teaching, and training 21 Aliasing Strings for Some Nonregular Designs with 33 Uses of Packages in R and S-PLUS—❖Stephen Kaluzny, Generalized Minimum Aberration—❖Debra Ingram, Insightful Corporation Arkansas State University; Alison L. Wiley, Arkansas 34 Manipulatives To Improve Learning DOE Concepts— State University ❖James Alloway, EMSQ Associates Incomplete data analysis, imputation methods 35 The Progress of Master of Applied Statistics Program at 22 Semiparametric Maximum Likelihood for Regression Penn State—❖Mosuk Chow, Th e Pennsylvania State Models with Missing Data—❖Suzanne Dubnicka, University Kansas State University 36 Passing On the Passion: Recruiting Students of Linear models, GLMs, parametric methods Statistics—❖Reid Landes, University of Arkansas for 23 Portmanteau Test of Independence for Functional Medical Sciences Observations—❖Robertas Gabrys, Utah State 37 WeBWorK in the Statistics Curriculum—❖Jeff Holt, University; Piort Kokoszka, Utah State University University of Virginia 24 Generalized Inverse Characteristics in Linear 38 Classroom Response Systems and the Development Statistical Modeling—❖Fang Duan, Sam Houston of Students’ Conceptual Understanding: The Value of State University; Cecil Hallum, Sam Houston State Question Ambiguity—❖Robert Terry, University of University Oklahoma; Teri J. Murphy, University of Oklahoma; 25 Testing for Lack of Dependence in a Functional Linear Curtis C. McKnight, University of Oklahoma; Michael Model—❖Inga Maslova, Utah State University; Piort Richman, University of Oklahoma Kokoszka, Utah State University 39 Comparing Two Proportions with the Binomial ❖ 26 A Comparison of Restricted Heteroscedastic Estimators Distribution— James B. Orris, Butler University for Small Samples (n<50)—❖Luis Frank, Universidad 40 Expectations for Statistical Literacy: A Survey of College de Buenos Aires Faculty—❖S. David Kriska, Restat Systems; Mark C. Pattern recognition, computer vision, shape analysis, Fulcomer, Richard Stockton College of New Jersey; Marcia M. Sass, University of Medicine and Dentistry signal processing of New Jersey 27 Methods for Constructing Classifi ers from Sparse 41 Integrating Video Clips into an Introductory Statistics Categorical Data for Forensic Document Analysis— Course—❖Edward Mansfi eld, Th e University of ❖Christopher Saunders, George Mason University; Alabama; Subhabrata Chakraborti, Th e University of Linda J. Davis, George Mason University Alabama Semiparametric and nonparametric methods 42 Classroom Simulation: Distributions of Sales and 28 Testing Equality of Mean Functions for Continuous Time Queue Lengths at a Fast-Food Counter—❖Eric Suess, Stochastic Processes—❖Yolanda Munoz, University of California State University, East Bay; Bruce Trumbo, Texas at Houston California State University, East Bay; David Ahlberg, 29 Analysis of Within-Individual Areas Under the Curve California State University, East Bay Weighted by an Individual Variance—❖Jeff Th ostenson, 43 Using JMP Scripts in Teaching Introductory Statistics— University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences; Reid ❖Amy Froelich, Iowa State University; William M. Landes, University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences Duckworth, Creighton University

144 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

44 The International Statistical Literacy Project (ISLP) of the Roundtables with Lunch International Association for Statistics Education (IASE): 12:30 p.m.–1:50 p.m. How To Use It for Teaching and Learning—❖Juana Sanchez, University of California, Los Angeles 45 Applying Some Computational Simpliﬁ cations for 296 CC-Ballroom A Binomial and Poisson Random Variables to the Teaching Biopharmaceutical Section Roundtables with of Statistical Concepts—❖Mark C. Fulcomer, Richard Lunch (fee event) Stockton College of New Jersey; S. David Kriska, Restat Biopharmaceutical Section Systems; Maritza Jauregui, Th e Richard Stockton College Organizer(s): Kaylan Ghosh, Vislation of New Jersey; Marcia M. Sass, University of Medicine TL10 Joining the Evil Empire: What It’s Like To Move from and Dentistry of New Jersey; Jallah M. Kennedy, Academics to Industry—❖Robert Parker, Amgen Inc. University of Medicine and Dentistry of New Jersey TL11 Statistical Analysis Plans: How, When, Why, and for ❖ 46 A Free Software Live DVD for Statistics— Panayotis Whom Do We Do Them?—❖Bruce Binkowitz, Merck Giannakouros, University of Missouri-Kansas City; & Co., Inc.

Lihua Chen, Th e University of Toledo Tuesday TL12 JAMA Policy on Independent Analysis and Public Time series/wavelet analysis Trust—❖Hong Liu-Seifert, Eli Lilly and Company 47 A New Type of Portmanteau Test Based on the Discrete TL13 Blinded Sample Size Re-estimation—❖Biao Xing, ❖ Cosine Transform— Sungun Oh, Sookmyung Genentech, Inc. Women’s University; Hyemin Cho, Sookmyung TL14 Estimation of Treatment Effects in Randomized Trials Women’s University; In-Kwon Yeo, Sookmyung with Noncompliance and Crossover: Why ITT Analysis Women’s University May Not Be Our Best Option—❖Aﬁ si S. Ismaila, 48 Prediction Interval Estimation in Transformed ARMA McMaster University; Stephen Walter, McMaster ❖ Models— Hyemin Cho, Sookmyung Women’s University University; Sungun Oh, Sookmyung Women’s University; In-Kwon Yeo, Sookmyung Women’s University 297 CC-Ballroom A Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Roundtable with Lunch (fee event) Speaker with Lunch 12:30 p.m.–1:50 p.m. Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Organizer(s): David van Dyk, University of California, Irvine 295 CC-Ballroom D TL15 Meta-Analysis of Diagnostic Tests—❖Vanja Dukic, Business and Economics Statistics Section Th e University of Chicago Speaker with Lunch (fee event)—Speaker with Lunch 298 CC-Ballroom A Business and Economics Statistics Section Section on Government Statistics Roundtables with Organizer(s): Badi H. Baltagi, Syracuse University Lunch (fee event) TL09 The Use of Birth Panel Data in Economic Research— Section on Government Statistics ❖Jason Abrevaya, Purdue University Organizer(s): Michael Davern, Th e University of Minnesota TL16 Data User Issues with the American Community Survey—❖Patricia Becker, APB Associates/APDU/ SEMCC TL17 Remote Access to Microdata—❖Julia Lane, NORC at the UniversityCANCELLED of Chicago

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299 CC-Ballroom A 303 CC-Ballroom C Section on Health Policy Statistics Roundtables Section on Statistical Education Roundtables with with Lunch (fee event) Lunch (fee event) Section on Health Policy Statistics Section on Statistical Education Organizer(s): Anirban Basu, Th e University of Chicago Organizer(s): Jacqueline Miller, Th e Ohio State University TL18 Recent Methodological Developments on Prediction TL26 My Favorite Case Study—❖Laura Chihara, Carleton of Health-Care Costs—❖Xiao-Hua (Andrew) Zhou, College University of Washington TL27 Group Work and How To Assess It—❖William TL19 Statistical Methods for Measuring Workﬂ ow and Harkness, Th e Pennsylvania State University ❖ Workload in Medical Care Systems— Jimmy Eﬁ rd, TL28 What Is So Great About Service Learning (SL), and John A. Burns School of Medicine How Much Work Is It?—❖Amy Phelps, Duquesne University 300 CC-Ballroom A Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences 304 CC-Ballroom C Roundtables with Lunch (fee event) Section on Statistics in Epidemiology Roundtable Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences with Lunch (fee event) Organizer(s): Randall Tobias, SAS Institute Inc. Section on Statistics in Epidemiology TL20 Challenges in Mixture Experiments—❖Greg Piepel, Organizer(s): William E. Barlow, Cancer Research and Biostatistics Battelle/PNNL TL29 Managing the Biostatistics Consulting Service in TL21 Drug Discovery and Cheminformatics: Advances, an Academic Hospital—❖Dianne M. Finkelstein, Challenges, and Frontiers—Raymond L.H. Lam, Harvard/MGH Centocor, Inc.; ❖Jacqueline M. Hughes-Oliver, North Carolina State University 305 CC-Ballroom C Social Statistics Section Roundtable with Lunch 301 CC-Ballroom C (fee event) Section on Quality and Productivity Roundtables Social Statistics Section with Lunch (fee event) Organizer(s): Jana Asher, Carnegie Mellon University Section on Quality and Productivity TL30 From Soft to Hard Science: Will Survey Research Make Organizer(s): James Williams, GE Global Research the Transition?—❖Robert Fay, U.S. Census Bureau TL22 Tools for Planning and Properly Sizing a Factorial DOE—❖Shari Kraber, Stat-Ease, Inc. TL23 Teaching Experimental Design to Students Planning an Industrial Career—❖John Lawson, Brigham Young Special Presentation 2:00 p.m.–3:50 p.m. University 306 CC-255 B 302 CC-Ballroom C ASA College Stat Bowl II—Other Section on Statistical Consulting Roundtables with ASA, IMS, ENAR, WNAR, SSC Lunch (fee event) Organizer(s): Stephanie Cano, University of Texas at San Antonio; Section on Statistical Consulting Michael T. Anderson, University of Texas at San Antonio Organizer(s): James Grady, Th e University of Texas Medical Branch Chair(s): Michael T. Anderson, University of Texas at San Antonio TL24 Alternative Models for Consulting Services in Academic Round 2—❖Winners from Session 1 Medical Centers—❖Shelley Hurwitz, Harvard Medical School TL25 Statistical Consulting in Medical Devices: Opportunities and Challenges—❖Jianxiong Chu, U.S. Food and Drug Administration

146 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

Invited Sessions 2:00 p.m.–3:50 p.m. 309 CC-355 A ● ✪ Technometrics Invited Session: Topics in 307 CC-258 Information Technology—Invited ✪ Technometrics, Section on Statisticians in Defense and National Security, Functional Data Analysis—Invited Section on Quality and Productivity IMS, Biometrics Section, Section on Nonparametric Statistics Organizer(s): Randy R. Sitter, Simon Fraser University Organizer(s): Bernard W. Silverman, St. Peter’s College Chair(s): Randy R. Sitter, Simon Fraser University Chair(s): Bernard W. Silverman, St. Peter’s College 2:05 p.m. Embracing Statistical Challenges in the Information 2:05 p.m. A Smoothing Spline ANOVA Approach to Fit Technology Age—❖Bin Yu, University of ❖ Functional Linear Models— Yuedong Wang, California, Berkeley University of California, Santa Barbara 2:35 p.m. Statistical Principles in Image Modeling—❖Ying 2:35 p.m. Interpretable Functional Generalized Linear Nian Wu, University of California, Los ❖ Models— Gareth James, University of Southern Angeles; Jinhui Li, University of California, Los California; Peter Radchenko, University of Angeles; Ziqiang Liu, University of California, Southern California Los Angeles; Song-Chun Zhu, University of Tuesday 3:05 p.m. Iterative Functional Principal Component Analysis California, Los Angeles ❖ for Correlation Reduction— Fang Yao, University 3:05 p.m. A Statistical View of the Transient Signals of Toronto; C. M. Lee, Colorado State University That Support a Wireless Call—❖Diane 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion Lambert, Google; David A. James, Novartis Pharmaceuticals; Chuanhai Liu, Purdue University; A. Buvaneswari, Alcatel-Lucent; 308 CC-259 John M. Graybeal, Alcatel-Lucent; W. Michael Bayesian Model Selection—Invited MacDonald, Alcatel-Lucent IMS, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion Organizer(s): Edward I. George, University of Pennsylvania Chair(s): Edward I. George, University of Pennsylvania 2:05 p.m. Bayesian Model Selection and Levy Random Field 310 CC-355 D Priors—❖Merlise A. Clyde, Duke University ● ✪ A Sensible Way To Design a Longitudinal 2:35 p.m. Fully Nonparametric Bayesian Ensemble Study—Invited Modeling—❖Robert McCulloch, Th e University WNAR, Section on Statistical Consulting, Section on Statistics in Epidemi- of Chicago Graduate School of Business; ology, Section on Health Policy Statistics, Biometrics Section, Section on Edward I. George, University of Pennsylvania; Survey Research Methods, ENAR Hugh Chipman, Acadia University Organizer(s): Martijn P.F. Berger, University of Maastricht 3:05 p.m. Multiple Shrinkage Predictive Densities for Linear Chair(s): Mirjam Moerbeek, Utrecht University Regression Models—❖Xinyi Xu, Th e Ohio State 2:05 p.m. Sample Size Determination for Hierarchical University; Edward I. George, University of Longitudinal Designs with Differential Attrition Pennsylvania Rates—Anindya Roy, University of Maryland, Baltimore County; ❖Dulal K. Bhaumik, 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion University of Illinois at Chicago; Subhash Aryal, University of Illinois at Chicago; Robert D. Gibbons, University of Illinois at Chicago 2:30 p.m. A Response Adaptive Repeated Measurement Design for Clinical Trials—❖Kimmie C. Carriere, University of Alberta; Yuanyuan Liang, University of Alberta 2:55 p.m. Optimal Designs for Linear Mixed Effects Models— ❖Martijn P. F. Berger, University of Maastricht 3:20 p.m. Disc: Geert Molenberghs, Hasselt University 3:40 p.m. Floor Discussion

Salt Lake City 147 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

311 CC-355 B 2:30 p.m. A Bayesian Branching Process Model for Loss of ● ✪ Modeling Time-Varying Exposures in Cell Cycle Synchrony—❖Edwin Iversen, Duke Epidemiology—Invited University; David Orlando, Duke University; Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Section on Health Policy Statistics, Allister Bernard, Duke University; Alexander Section on Teaching Statistics in the Health Sciences Hartemink, Duke University Organizer(s): David B. Dunson, National Institute of Environmental 2:55 p.m. Better Stochastic Mapping and Effective Tests for Health Sciences Evolutionary Innovation—❖Marc A. Suchard, Chair(s): David B. Dunson, National Institute of Environmental University of California, Los Angeles; Vladimir Health Sciences N. Minin, University of California, Los Angeles 2:05 p.m. Semiparametric Bayesian Latent Trajectory 3:20 p.m. Associating High-Dimensional Response and Models—❖Amy H. Herring, Th e University of Covariate Data—❖Mahlet G. Tadesse, University North Carolina at Chapel Hill; David B. Dunson, of Pennsylvania; Stefano Monni, University of National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences Pennsylvania 2:35 p.m. Bayesian Semiparametric Clustering of Functional 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion Predictors—❖Jamie Bigelow, Duke University 3:05 p.m. Modeling Time-Varying Exposures in ❖ 314 CC-254 C Epidemiology— Francesca Dominici, Th e Johns ● ✪ Issues in Modeling Product Choices in Hopkins University Marketing—Invited 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion Section on Statistics and Marketing Organizer(s): Peter Boatwright, Carnegie Mellon University 312 CC-155 C Chair(s): Samuel Koslowsky, Harte Hanks Analytics ● ✪ Scagnostics—Invited 2:05 p.m. Market Share Constraints and the Loss Function Section on Statistical Graphics in Choice-Based Conjoint Analysis—❖Timothy Organizer(s): Leland Wilkinson, SPSS Inc. Gilbride, University of Notre Dame; Peter Lenk, Chair(s): Paul Tukey, Telcordia Labs Th e University of Michigan; Jeﬀ Brazell, Th e 2:05 p.m. Scagnostics in R—❖Hadley Wickham, Iowa Modellers, LLC State University; Duncan Temple Lang, 2:35 p.m. Unobserved Change in Conjoint Analysis— University of California, Davis ❖Th omas Otter, Th e Ohio State University; Sylvia 2:35 p.m. Scagnostic-Driven Autovisualization—❖Graham Fruehwirth-Schnatter, Johannes Kepler Universitaet Wills, SPSS Inc. Linz; Regina Tuechler, Vienna University of Economics and Business Administration 3:05 p.m. Scagnostics for Projection Pursuit—❖Heike 3:05 p.m. Deconstructing Each Item’s Category Hofmann, Iowa State University; Dianne Cook, ❖ Iowa State University; Hadley Wickham, Iowa Contribution— Sharad Borle, Rice University; State University Peter Boatwright, Carnegie Mellon University; Kirthi Kalyanam, Santa Clara University 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion 313 CC-155 B ● Bayesian Bioinformatics—Invited 315 CC-257 Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, ENAR, Biometrics Section Investing in Our Youth as Future Users of Statistics Organizer(s): Marina Vannucci, Texas A&M University and Future Respondents—Invited Section on Government Statistics, Section on Statistical Education Chair(s): Jeﬀ rey S. Morris, Th e University of Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer Center Organizer(s): Robert Lussier, Statistics Canada 2:05 p.m. Simultaneous Inference for Multiple Testing Chair(s): Robert Lussier, Statistics Canada and Clustering via a Dirichlet Process Mixture 2:05 p.m. Statistics Canada’s Education Outreach Program: Model—❖David B. Dahl, Texas A&M University; Fostering a Data and Knowledge Culture in Qianxing Mo, Texas A&M University; Marina Canadian Youth—❖Mary Townsend, Statistics Vannucci, Texas A&M University Canada

148 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

2:30 p.m. How to Make the Census Exciting for Educators 2:40 p.m. Challenges Related to Reliability and Statistics and K–12 Students—❖Kimberly Crews, U.S. in Nano Electronics—Way Kuo, University of Census Bureau Tennessee; ❖Tao Yuan, University of Tennessee 2:55 p.m. Web Services as an Aid in Promoting Statistical 3:15 p.m. Disc: David Banks, Duke University Knowledge Within Educational Institutions— 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion ❖Reija Helenius, Statistics Finland 3:20 p.m. Disc: Cynthia Clark, Oﬃ ce for National Statistics 318 CC-155 A 3:40 p.m. Floor Discussion ● ✪ Anomaly Detection Methods for Multivariate, Distributed, and Stratiﬁ ed Data in Biosurveillance 316 CC-260 —Invited ● ✪ Causal Inference in Education Research—Invited Section on Statisticians in Defense and National Security, Section on Sta- Social Statistics Section, Section on Statistical Education, Section on tistics in Epidemiology, Section on Health Policy Statistics, Section on Risk Teaching Statistics in the Health Sciences Analysis, Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences

Organizer(s): Elizabeth A. Stuart, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Organizer(s): Howard S. Burkom, Th e Johns Hopkins University Tuesday Public Health Chair(s): Howard S. Burkom, Th e Johns Hopkins University Chair(s): Elizabeth A. Stuart, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of 2:05 p.m. A Multivariate Bayesian Method for Spatial Public Health Biosurveillance—❖Daniel B. Neill, Carnegie 2:05 p.m. Random Assignment Designs, Issues of Mellon University; Andrew W. Moore, Implementation, and Analytic Challenges Faced in Carnegie Mellon University; Gregory F. Cooper, Education Settings—❖David Myers, American University of Pittsburgh Institutes for Research 2:30 p.m. Multivariate Health Surveillance Using a Network 2:30 p.m. Causal Inference and Accountability in NYC Public of Bayesian Data Fusion Models—❖Zaruhi R. Schools—❖Jennifer Hill, Columbia University Mnatsakanyan, Th e Johns Hopkins University; 2:55 p.m. Regression Discontinuity Analyses of the Effects Howard S. Burkom, Th e Johns Hopkins University of NCLB Accountability Provisions on Student 2:55 p.m. Epidemiological Network Models for Disease Achievement—❖John R. Lockwood, RAND Outbreak Detection—❖Ben Y. Reis, Harvard Corporation; Brian P. Gill, RAND Corporation; Medical School Messan C. Setodji, RAND Corporation; 3:20 p.m. KFC: Anomaly Detection in Multivariate Cross- Francisco Martorell, RAND Corporation Classiﬁ ed Datastreams—❖Colin Goodall, AT&T 3:20 p.m. Disc: Audrey Pendleton, U.S. Department of Labs - Research Education 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 3:40 p.m. Floor Discussion

317 CC-255 F ● ✪ Statistical Methods in Nanotechnology— Invited Panels 2:00 p.m.–3:50 p.m. Invited Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences, Section on Quality and Productivity 319 CC-251 E Organizer(s): Chien-Fu Jeﬀ Wu, Georgia Institute of Technology Integrating Innovative Technology Resources into Chair(s): Robert W. Mee, University of Tennessee Introductory Courses—Invited 2:05 p.m. Experimental Design and Analysis for Robust Section on Statistical Education Synthesis of Nanostructures—❖Chien-Fu Jeﬀ Organizer(s): Kim Robinson Gilbert, Georgia Gwinnett College Wu, Georgia Institute of Technology; Tirthankar Chair(s): Robert Gould, University of California, Los Angeles Dasgupta, Georgia Institute of Technology; Panelists: ❖ Jacqueline Miller, Th e Ohio State University Roshan Vengazhiyil, Georgia Institute of ❖ Kim Robinson Gilbert, Georgia Gwinnett Technology; Zhong Lin Wang, Georgia Institute College of Technology; Christopher Ma, Georgia ❖ Institute of Technology Nicholas Horton, Smith College

Salt Lake City 149 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

❖ Ginger Holmes Rowell, Middle Tennessee Statistical Assoc, Reps. For Young Statisticians State University Organizer(s): Montserrat Fuentes, North Carolina State University ❖ Roxy Peck, California Polytechnic State Chair(s): Bo Li, National Center for Atmospheric Research University 2:05 p.m. Getting What We Need from Wireless Sensor 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion Networks: A Role for Inferential Ecosystem Models— ❖James Clark, Duke University; Pankaj Agarwal, Duke University; David Bell, Duke University; Carla Ellis, Duke University; Paul Flikkema, Northern Topic-Contributed Sessions Arizona University; Alan E. Gelfand, Duke University; Gabriel Katul, Duke University; Kamesh 2:00 p.m.–3:50 p.m. Munagala, Duke University; Gavino Puggioni, Duke University; Adam Silberstein, Duke University; Jun 320 CC-254 B Yang, Duke University ● Real-Time Analysis of Revised Macroeconomic 2:25 p.m. The Uncertain Hockey Stick: A Statistical Data—Topic-Contributed Perspective on the Reconstruction of Past ❖ Business and Economics Statistics Section Temperatures— Douglas Nychka, National Organizer(s): Peter Zadrozny, Bureau of Labor Statistics Center for Atmospheric Research Chair(s): William R. Bell, U.S. Census Bureau 2:45 p.m. Modeling Extremes in Regional Climate Model Simulations—❖Daniel Cooley, Colorado State 2:05 p.m. Real-Time Filtered Estimates of Final Superlative University; Stephan Sain, National Center for CPI Based on an Estimated Monthly VAR Model Atmospheric Research of Initial and Final Superlative CPI—❖Peter Zadrozny, Bureau of Labor Statistics 3:05 p.m. Functional ANOVA Modeling of Regional Climate Model Experiments—❖Cari Kaufman, Statistical 2:25 p.m. Real-Time Estimation of Revised GDP Based on and Applied Mathematical Sciences Institute/ an Estimated Model of Initial and Revised GDP— North Carolina State University; Stephan Sain, ❖Baoline Chen, Bureau of Economic Analysis; National Center for Atmospheric Research Peter Zadrozny, Bureau of Labor Statistics 3:25 p.m. Spatio-Temporal Processing of MISR’s Aerosol 2:45 p.m. VAR Estimation and Forecasting When Data Are Optical Depth Data—❖Tao Shi, Th e Ohio State Subject to Revision—❖Evan Koenig, Federal University; Noel Cressie, Th e Ohio State University Reserve Bank of Dallas; N. Kundan Kishor, Texas Tech University 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 3:05 p.m. Modeling Data Revisions: Measurement Error and Dynamics of ‘True’ Values—❖Jan Jacobs, 322 CC-250 EF University of Groningen; Simon van Norden, ● ✪ Advanced Quantitative Brain MRI—Topic- HEC Montreal Contributed 3:25 p.m. A State Space Approach to the Policymaker’s Biometrics Section ❖ Data Uncertainty Problem— Jana Eklund, Bank Organizer(s): Daniel Rowe, Medical College of Wisconsin of England; Alastair Cunningham, Bank of Chair(s): Daniel Rowe, Medical College of Wisconsin England; George Kapetanios, Bank of England/ 2:05 p.m. The Acquisition and Statistical Analysis of High Queen Mary, University of London; Chris ❖ Jeﬀ ery, Bank of England; Vincent Labhard, Temporal Resolution 3D fMRI Data— Martin European Central Bank Lindquist, Columbia University 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 2:25 p.m. Semiparametric Detection of Signiﬁ cant Activation for Brain fMRI—❖Chunming Zhang, University of Wisconsin-Madison; Tao Yu, University of 321 CC-255 E Wisconsin-Madison ● ✪ The Role of Statistics in Ecological and 2:45 p.m. Brain Asymmetry Analysis via Weighted Spherical Climate Modeling—Topic-Contributed Harmonic Representation—❖Moo K. Chung, Section on Statistics and the Environment, ENAR, International Indian University of Wisconsin-Madison

150 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

324 CC-251 F 3:05 p.m. Estimation of Pre-Post Surgical Changes in the Statistical Issues in HIV/AIDS Research—Topic- fMRI Visual Field Map—❖Raymond Hoﬀ mann, Contributed Medical College of Wisconsin; Edgar A. DeYoe, ENAR, Biometrics Section, Biopharmaceutical Section, Section on Health Th e Medical College of Wisconsin; Mary Jo Policy Statistics, Section on Statistics in Epidemiology Maciejewski, Marquette University; Daniel Organizer(s): Felicia Hardnett, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Rowe, Medical College of Wisconsin Chair(s): Ramses Sadek, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention 3:25 p.m. Statistical Analysis of Diffusion Tensors in 2:05 p.m. Estimates of Intraclass Correlation from the Diffusion-Weighted Magnetic Resonance Image Community Intervention Trial for Youth (CITY): An ❖ Data— Hongtu Zhu, Th e University of North HIV Prevention Intervention for Young Men Who Carolina at Chapel Hill; Heping Zhang, Yale Have Sex with Men—❖Sherri L. Pals, Centers for University; Joseph G. Ibrahim, Th e University Disease Control and Prevention; Lillian S. Lin, of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Bradley G. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Peterson, Columbia University Carolyn Guenther-Grey, Centers for Disease

3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion Control and Prevention; Johnson Wayne, Tuesday Centers for Disease Control and Prevention 2:25 p.m. Effect of Multiple Imputation on the HIV Prevalence 323 CC-355 F Estimate and Analysis of Risk Factors for HIV ● ✪ Challenges in Medical Device Trials: Novel Infection: Guyana 2004—❖Maxine Denniston, Approaches to Design and Analysis—Topic-Contributed Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section, ENAR Nicole Seguy, Centers for Disease Control and Organizer(s): Greg Campbell, U.S. Food and Drug Administration Prevention Chair(s): Gosford Sawyerr, Purdue Pharma, LP 2:45 p.m. On the Bias of Case Counts Adjusted for Reporting 2:05 p.m. Experimental Design for Assessing the Effect of Delay—❖Ruiguang Song, Centers for Disease Bone Density on Mechanical Properties After Control and Prevention Vertebroplasty—❖Chul Ahn, U.S. Food and 3:05 p.m. A Comparison of Various Analytical Methods for Drug Administration U-Shape Distributed Random Variables: A Real- 2:25 p.m. On the Use of Fisher’s Exact Test When World Application from a Behavioral Intervention Randomization Is Sitewise—❖Shanti Gomatam, Trial—❖Terry Wang, Centers for Disease U.S. Food and Drug Administration Control and Prevention; Torrance T. Stephens, Morehouse School of Medicine; Lillian S. Lin, 2:45 p.m. Control of Type I Error and the Correlation of Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Multiple Endpoints in a Medical Device Trial— ❖Kevin Najarian, Boston Scientifi c Corporation; 3:25 p.m. Disc: Ryan Wiegand, Centers for Disease Carola Alfaro, Boston Scientifi c Corporation Control and Prevention 3:05 p.m. A Comparison of Statistical Approaches for Long- 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion Term MACE Rate in a Medical Device Trial—❖Jian Huang, Boston Scientifi c Corporation; Lan Pan, 325 CC-250 A Boston Scientifi c Corporation ● ✪ Statistical Methods for Studying Gene 3:25 p.m. The SYNTAX Score: Development of a Predictive Expression and Transcriptional Regulation—Topic- Scoring Algorithm To Determine Treatment Contributed Assignment in Complex Coronary Patients—❖Eric IMS, ENAR, Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences Bass, Boston Scientifi c Corporation; Peggy Organizer(s): Jun Xie, Purdue University Pereda, Boston Scientifi c Corporation Chair(s): Ping Ma, University of Illinois 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 2:05 p.m. Clustering Time Course Gene Expression Data Using Nonparametric Hypothesis Testing— ❖Haiyan Wang, Kansas State University; James Neill, Kansas State University; Forrest Miller, Kansas State University

Salt Lake City 151 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

2:25 p.m. Studying the Relationship Between Coexpression University of Florida; Bhramar Mukherjee, and Coregulation of Protein Complex Using ChIP- University of Michigan; Li Zhang, Th e Cleveland Chip Data—❖Ching-Ti Liu, Yale University; Ker- Clinic; Malay Ghosh, University of Florida Chau Li, University of California, Los Angeles 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 2:45 p.m. Protein Multiple Alignment Using Primary and Secondary Structure Information—❖Nak-Kyeong Kim, National Institutes of Health; Jun Xie, 327 CC-155 D ● ✪ Purdue University Nonparametric and Robust Methods for 3:05 p.m. Detection of eQTL Modules Mediated by Activity Genetic Data Analysis—Topic-Contributed Levels of Transcription Factors—❖Wei Sun, Section on Nonparametric Statistics, WNAR University of California, Los Angeles; Ker- Organizer(s): Gang Zheng, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute Chau Li, University of California, Los Angeles; Chair(s): Gang Zheng, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute Tianwei Yu, Emory University 2:05 p.m. Empirical Likelihood-Based Inferences in a 3:25 p.m. Variable Selection Using Single Index Models for Complex Genetic Mixture Model—❖Jing Qin, Motif Discovery—❖Wenxuan Zhong, Harvard National Institutes of Health University 2:25 p.m. A Method Toward Mapping of Common Traits— 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion ❖Shaw-Hwa Lo, Columbia University; Tian Zheng, Columbia University 2:45 p.m. Two-Stage Tests for Association on the X 326 CC-254 A Chromosome—❖Jungnam Joo, National Heart, ● ✪ Applications of Bayesian Inference in Wildlife Lung, and Blood Institute Ecology—Topic-Contributed 3:05 p.m. Genetic Model Selection in Two-Stage Analysis for Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, ENAR, Section on Statistics and Case-Control Association Studies—❖Hon Keung the Environment (Tony) Ng, Southern Methodist University; Gang Organizer(s): Robert Dorazio, U.S. Geological Survey/University of Florida Zheng, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute 2:05 p.m. A Hierarchical Bayesian Model for Stochastic 3:25 p.m. A New Hypothesis-Testing Approach When the Metapopulation Viability in the Presence of Nuisance Parameter Is Only Present Under the Translocation—❖Christopher K. Wikle, Alternative Hypothesis—❖Olivier Th as, Ghent University of Missouri-Columbia; Sammuel F. University; Gang Zheng, National Heart, Lung, Bussman, University of Missouri-Columbia; and Blood Institute Robert L. Schooley, University of Illinois 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 2:25 p.m. Discrete Representations of Ecological Process Models in the Presence of Uncertainty and Data—❖Mevin Hooten, Utah State University; 328 CC-251 A Amanda R. Cangelosi, Utah State University Statistical Methods for Graphs and Networks— 2:45 p.m. Continuous-Time Modeling of Marine Mammal Topic-Contributed Telemetry Data—❖Devin Johnson, National Section on Statistical Computing, Section on Statistical Graphics Marine Mammal Laboratory; John Durbin, Organizer(s): Sujay Datta, Texas A&M University National Marine Mammal Laboratory; Chair(s): Sujay Datta, Texas A&M University Mary-Anne Lea, National Marine Mammal 2:05 p.m. Bayesian Self-Modeling Warping Regression— Laboratory; Joshua London, National Marine ❖Donatello Telesca, University of Washington; Mammal Laboratory Lurdes Inoue, University of Washington 3:05 p.m. Estimation of Carcass Recovery Rates for 2:25 p.m. What Is a ‘Random Network’?—❖David Hunter, ❖ Florida Manatees Using MCMC— Christopher Th e Pennsylvania State University Fonnesbeck, Fish & Wildlife Research Institute; 2:45 p.m. Collective Inference for Network-Based Marketing— Carol Sanders-Reed, ❖Shawndra Hill, University of Pennsylvania 3:25 p.m. Modeling Unobserved Sources of Heterogeneity in Animal Abundance Using a Dirichlet Process Prior—❖Robert Dorazio, U.S. Geological Survey/

152 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

3:05 p.m. Transitivity in Weighted Graphs: Effects on the ❖Keith Rust, Westat; Inho Park, Westat; Topology of Knowledge and Social Networks— Marianne Winglee, Westat; Gary Shapiro, ❖Tiago Simas, Indiana University; Bharat Dravid, Westat Indiana University; Luis Rocha, Indiana University 2:25 p.m. A Strategy for Estimating the Number of Minority- 3:25 p.m. Floor Discussion Operated Farms—❖Matthew J. Fetter, USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service; Phillip S. Kott, USDA National Agricultural Statistics 329 CC-355 C Service ● Studies with Multiple Biomarkers —Topic- 2:45 p.m. Linearization Variance Estimators for Dual Frame Contributed Survey Data—❖Abdellatif Demnati, Statistics Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Biometrics Section, ENAR Canada; J. N. K. Rao, Carleton University; Mike Organizer(s): Estelle Russek-Cohen, U.S. Food and Drug A. Hidiroglou, Statistics Canada; Jean-Louis Administration; Ursula Garczarek, Roche Diagnostics GmbH Tambay, Statistics Canada Chair(s): Kyunghee Song, U.S. Food and Drug Administration 3:05 p.m. Designing a Dual-Frame Survey for Breeding Bald

2:05 p.m. Diagnostic and Analytical Accuracies of Qualitative Eagle Pairs in the Lower 48 States—❖Mark C. Tuesday ❖ Multiplex Tests— Marina Kondratovich, U.S. Otto, U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service; John R. Sauer, Food and Drug Administration U.S. Geological Survey ❖ 2:25 p.m. Interpretation of Multimarker Scores— Ursula 3:25 p.m. Disc: Michael Bankier, Statistics Canada Garczarek, Roche Diagnostics GmbH 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 2:45 p.m. Multivariate Assays Reporting a Composite Score—❖Estelle Russek-Cohen, U.S. Food and Drug Administration; Mary Pastel, U.S. Food 331 CC-251 D and Drug Administration; Zivana Tezek, U.S. ✪ Joint Analysis of Longitudinal and Survival Food and Drug Administration Data—Topic-Contributed 3:05 p.m. Principal Component Analysis for Data Reduction WNAR, Biometrics Section, ENAR, Section on Risk Analysis, Section on of Gait Analysis for Knee Prosthesis Research— Statistics in Epidemiology ❖Jeﬀ rey Murphy, DePuy Orthopaedics; Luke Organizer(s): Gang Li, University of California, Los Angeles Aram, DePuy Orthopaedics; Jordan Lee, Chair(s): Gang Li, University of California, Los Angeles DePuy Orthopaedics; Travis Bennett, DePuy 2:05 p.m. Joint Modeling of Recurrent Event and Event Orthopaedics; Catherine Truxillo, SAS Institute Marker—❖Jianwen Cai, Th e University of North Inc.; Paul Rullkoetter, University of Denver Carolina at Chapel Hill; Donglin Zeng, Th e 3:25 p.m. Utilizing Multiple Biomarkers To Assess University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Myocardial Function in a Dose-Finding Study: 2:25 p.m. Robust Inference for Joint Modeling of Longitudinal Determining the Optimal Dose by ‘Scoring’ the Measurements and Competing Risks Failure Time ❖ Outcomes— Cynthia L. Green, Duke Clinical Data—❖Ning Li, University of California, Los Research Institute; Kathleen Trollinger, Duke Angeles; Gang Li, University of California, Clinical Research Institute; Saling Huang, KAI Los Angeles; Robert Elashoﬀ , University of Pharmaceuticals; Matthew Roe, Duke Clinical California, Los Angeles Research Institute 2:45 p.m. Joint Analysis of Longitudinal Measurements and 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion Competing Risks Failure Time Data: A Bayesian Approach—❖Wenhua Hu, University of 330 CC-255 D California, Los Angeles; Gang Li, University of Multiple Frame Survey Design and Inference— California, Los Angeles Topic-Contributed 3:05 p.m. Joint Analysis of Repeated State Transition in Section on Survey Research Methods Activities of Daily Living and Death in Longitudinal Aging Study—❖Haiqun Lin, Yale University; Organizer(s): Marianne Winglee, Westat Zhenchao Guo, Yale University; Peter Peduzzi, Chair(s): Marianne Winglee, Westat Yale University; Th omas Gill, Yale University; 2:05 p.m. A Case Study in Dual-Frame Estimation Methods— Heather G. Allore, Yale University

Salt Lake City 153 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

3:25 p.m. Disc: Xin Huang, University of California, Los 333 CC-250 D Angeles ● ✪ Robust Modeling Strategy—Contributed 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion Biometrics Section, Section on Nonparametric Statistics Chair(s): Honghua Jiang, Eli Lilly and Company 2:05 p.m. Variability Study of a Robust Estimator of Mutation Rate in Fluctuation Analysis—❖Xiaowei Wu, Contributed Sessions 2:00 p.m.–3:50 p.m. Rice University; Erin Strome, Texas Children’s Cancer Center; Sharon Plon, Texas Children’s Cancer Center; Marek Kimmel, Rice University 332 CC-155 F ● ✪ Applications of Bayesian Statistical Method 2:20 p.m. Robust Quantile Regression with Structured Design Space—❖Ying Wei, Columbia University; —Contributed Matías Salibián-Barrera, Th e University of Biometrics Section British Columbia Chair(s): Erning Li, Texas A&M University 2:35 p.m. A Rank Regression Analysis of Hormonal and 2:05 p.m. Estimating the Survivor Average Causal Effect Cytokine Effects on Birth Outcome—❖Alai in Nonrandomized Studies Where Treatment Tan, Th e University of Texas Medical Branch; Assignment Is Missing for Some Patients— Roberta J. Ruiz, Th e University of Texas Medical ❖Abbie Stokes-Riner, University of Rochester; Branch; Daniel H. Freeman, Th e University of Jason Roy, Geisinger Health System; Sally W. Texas Medical Branch Th urston, University of Rochester 2:50 p.m. Sequential Conﬁ dence Limits for the Ratio 2:20 p.m. Bayesian Modeling of Multivariate Binary of Two Binomial Proportions—❖Hokwon Response with a Change-Point for Applications Cho, University of Nevada, Las Vegas; Z. to Adolescent Offender Registry—❖Dipankar Govindarajulu, University of Kentucky Bandyopadhyay, Medical University of South 3:05 p.m. An Index of Local Sensitivity to Nonignorability Carolina; Debajyoti Sinha, Medical University of Under Pseudo-Likelihood—❖Fang Zhu, South; Stuart R. Lipsitz, Brigham and Women’s University of Pittsburgh; Gong Tang, University Hospital; Elizabeth Letourneau, Medical of Pittsburgh University of South Carolina 3:20 p.m. Fiducial Generalized Conﬁ dence Interval for 2:35 p.m. Bayesian Genome-Wide Screening via Pseudo Median Lethal Dose (LD50)—❖Lidong E, Perfect Sampling for Quantitative Trait Loci Colorado State University; Jan Hannig, Colorado Problems—❖Cheongeun Oh, University of State University; Hariharan Iyer, Colorado State Medicine and Dentistry of New Jersey University 2:50 p.m. Ridge Regression To Accommodate LD in 3:35 p.m. Multinomial Logistic Regression Models with WGA Studies—❖Nathalie Malo, University a Stochastic Design Variable—❖Evrim Oral, of California, San Diego; Jennifer Wessel, Middle East Technical University University of California, San Diego; Nicholas J. Schork, University of California, San Diego 3:05 p.m. Small Sample Conditional Inference for the Cox 334 CC-Ballroom B ● ✪ Model—❖Juan Zhang, Rutgers University; John Adaptive Designs in Drug Development— E. Kolassa, Rutgers University Contributed Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section 3:20 p.m. A Bayesian Analysis of Spatially Correlated Binary Data with Applications in Dental Research— Chair(s): Kimberly Crimin, Wyeth ❖Yanwei Zhang, Michigan State University; 2:05 p.m. Findings from Simulation Studies on Treatment David Todem, Michigan State University; R. V. (Trt) Switching in Clinical Trial (CT)—❖Dachuang Ramamoorthi, Michigan State University Cao, Eli Lilly and Company; Hongmei Jiang, 3:35 p.m. Hierarchical Mixed Membership Models for Honey Northwestern University, Bee Genomes—❖Tanzy Love, Carnegie Mellon 2:20 p.m. Adaptive Design with Continuous Responses and University Binary Utility—❖Yuehui Wu, GlaxoSmithKline; Valeri V. Fedorov, GlaxoSmithKline

154 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

2:35 p.m. Midcourse Selection of the Primary Endpoint in Christopher S. Coff ey, Th e University of Clinical Trials—❖Zhilong Yuan, Johnson & Alabama at Birmingham Johnson PRD; Yang Song, Johnson & Johnson 3:20 p.m. Estimation of Correlated Response Rates in PRD; Xiaolong Luo, Johnson & Johnson PRD; Clinical Trials—❖Myron Chang, University of George Chi, Johnson & Johnson PRD Florida 2:50 p.m. On Treatment Selection in Accelerated Drug 3:35 p.m. Test Size for Two-Stage and One-Stage Analyses Development—❖Ying Wan, Temple University; of Cluster Samples of Unequal Size—❖Jacqueline Keaven M. Anderson, Merck & Co., Inc.; Cong Johnson, Th e University of North Carolina at Chen, Merck & Co., Inc.; Boris Iglewicz, Temple Chapel Hill; Diane Catellier, Th e University of University North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Keith E. Muller, 3:05 p.m. Adaptive Treatment Selection in Seamless Phase University of Florida II/III Designs—❖Xiaoling Wu, Bristol-Myers Squibb Company 336 CC-250 B 3:20 p.m. Adaptive Design and Decision Analysis: Companions ✪ MLE and Related Topics—Contributed for Transforming Clinical Development—❖Andreas Tuesday IMS, Section on Nonparametric Statistics Sashegyi, Eli Lilly and Company Chair(s): Jing Qiu, University of Missouri-Columbia 3:35 p.m. Unweighted versus Weighted Adaptive Design and Testing Homogeneity Variances for Non-Normal Its Application in COPD Clinical Trials—❖Peter 2:05 p.m. Models Using Entropy—❖ Zhang, Otsuka Pharmaceutical Development & Solomon W. Harrar, ; Commercialization, Inc. University of Montana Arjun K. Gupta, Bowling Green State University; Leandro Pardo, Complutense University of Madrid 335 CC-355 E 2:20 p.m. Bootstrapping the Grenander Estimator— ● Design Issues for Clinical Trials—Contributed ❖Bodhisattva Sen, University of Michigan ENAR, Biometrics Section 2:35 p.m. Estimation of Tail Probability via the Maximum Chair(s): Jill Goldschneider, Insightful Corporation Lq-Likelihood Method—❖Davide Ferrari, Th e 2:05 p.m. Correcting for Misrandomization in a Peer-Teaching University of Minnesota Intervention Trial—❖Dirk Moore, University of 2:50 p.m. Minimax-Bias L-Estimators of Scale—❖Daniela Medicine and Dentistry of New Jersey; Weichung Szatmari-Voicu, University of Texas at El Paso J. Shih, University of Medicine and Dentistry 3:05 p.m. Asymptotic Properties of MLEs for Extended of New Jersey; Th omas Kearney, University of Generalized Log-Logistic Families of Lifetime Medicine and Dentistry of New Jersey Distributions—❖James U. Gleaton, University 2:20 p.m. Evaluation of Surrogate Biomarker in a of North Florida; M. Mahbubur Rahman, Randomized Clinical Trial—❖Long-Long Gao, University of North Florida GlaxoSmithKline; Marshall Joff e, University of 3:20 p.m. Profi le Likelihood-Based Confi dence Intervals in Pennsylvania; Xiwu Lin, GlaxoSmithKline Repeated Categorical Data—❖Esa I. Uusipaikka, 2:35 p.m. Proportion of Treatment Effect Explained by a University of Turku Continuous Surrogate Marker—❖Jie Huang, 3:35 p.m. Maximum Likelihood Estimation of the Dispersion Novartis Pharmaceuticals; Bin Huang, Parameter of Negative Multinomial Distribution— Cincinnati Children’s Hospital Medical Center ❖Soumi Lahiri, GlaxoSmithKline 2:50 p.m. Inference of Noncentrality Parameter of a Truncated Chi-Squared Distribution, with Application to Flexible Two-Stage Designs— ❖Qizhai Li, National Institutes of Health; Kai Yu, National Institutes of Health 3:05 p.m. An Internal Pilot Study with Interim Analysis for Gaussian Linear Models—❖John Kairalla, Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Keith E. Muller, University of Florida;

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337 CC-155 E 2:20 p.m. Tapered Empirical Likelihood Methods—❖Daniel ● Bayesian Approaches to Sample Size Nordman, Iowa State University Determination and Experimental Design— 2:35 p.m. An Empirical Likelihood-Based Approach To Contributed Estimate Covariance Matrices with Structural ❖ Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Zeroes— Sanjay Chaudhuri, National Chair(s): Rongwei (Rochelle) Fu, Oregon Health & Science University University of Singapore 2:50 p.m. Conditional Empirical Likelihood Inference in 2:05 p.m. Survey of Bayesian Sample Size Calculation— ❖ ❖Susan Alber, Th e University of Texas Presence of Nuisance Parameters— Mi-Ok Kim, M. D. Anderson Cancer Center; J. Jack Lee, Th e Cincinnati Children’s Hospital Medical Center University of Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer Center 3:05 p.m. Strong Approximations for Resample Quantile Processes and Application to ROC Methodology— 2:20 p.m. Bayesian Power and Sample Size Calculations ❖Jiezhun Gu, North Carolina State University; for Multicenter Clinical Trials with Binary Subhashis Ghoshal, North Carolina State Responses—❖Emine O. Bayman, Th e University University of Iowa/Uludag University; Kathryn Chaloner, Th e University of Iowa; Mary K. Cowles, Th e 3:20 p.m. Observed Confi dence Levels for Modes of Smooth ❖ University of Iowa Densities— Alan Polansky, Northern Illinois University 2:35 p.m. Bayesian Sample Size Determination for the Misclassifi ed Binary Response Variable with One 3:35 p.m. Semiparametric Sequential D-Optimal ❖ Error-Free Covariate—❖Dunlei Cheng, Baylor Design— Joseph Warfi eld, Th e Johns Hopkins University; James Stamey, Baylor University University; Anindya Roy, University of Maryland, Baltimore County 2:50 p.m. Bayesian Sample Size Calculation for Counted Data with Excess Zeroes—❖Chunyao Feng, Amgen Inc.; John W. Seaman, Jr., Baylor University; 339 CC-250 C James Stamey, Baylor University Financial Risk Analysis: Theory, Methods, and 3:05 p.m. Bayesian Up and Down: Combining the Best Applications—Contributed of Both Worlds—❖Assaf Oron, University Section on Risk Analysis, Business and Economics Statistics Section of Washington; Peter D. Hoff , University of Chair(s): Wai Chan, Exponent, Inc. Washington 2:05 p.m. Extreme Value Theorem and Its Applications— 3:20 p.m. How Many Images Are Enough? Bayesian and ❖Yan Li, Th e Pennsylvania State University Non-Bayesian Approaches to Sample Size 2:20 p.m. A New Estimator for the Extremal Index Based ❖ Determination— Junheng Ma, Case Western on Scaling and Resampling—❖Kam Hamidieh, Reserve University; Jiayang Sun, Case Western University of Michigan; Stilian Stoev, University Reserve University; Joe Sedransk, Case Western of Michigan; George Michailidis, Th e University Reserve University of Michigan 3:35 p.m. Kullback-Leibler Divergence for Design and Model 2:35 p.m. Tail Expansions for the Distribution of the Maxima ❖ Selection— Chenpin Wang, University of Texas of Random Walks with Negative Drift and Regularly Health Science Center San Antonio Varying Increments—❖Chenhua Zhang, University of Georgia; Philippe Barbe, CNRS, 338 CC-251 C France; William P. McCormick, University of Georgia ✪ Resampling Methods and Confi dence Intervals— Contributed 2:50 p.m. A General Rule To Average a Set of Frequency Statistics—❖Joseph Kahan, FM Global Section on Nonparametric Statistics ❖ Chair(s): Michael Sherman, Texas A&M University 3:05 p.m. Bootstrapping the Expected Shortfall— Shuxia Sun, Wright State University 2:05 p.m. Bootstrap Confi dence Intervals in Nonparametric Regression with Built-In Bias Correction— 3:20 p.m. Using Data Mining Tools and GIS (Geographic Information Systems) in Hot-Spot Detection— ❖McMurry Timothy, DePaul University; Dimitris ❖Wei-hong Wang, Th e College of New Jersey; Politis, University of California, San Diego Ben Liu, William Paterson University

156 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

3:35 p.m. Estimation for Non-negative, Levy-Driven Ornstein- Centers for Disease Control and Prevention ❖ Uhlenbeck Processes— Yu Yang, Colorado 2:35 p.m. Post-Katrina New Orleans Adjustment to Control State University; Peter J. Brockwell, Colorado Totals for the National Immunization Survey— State University; Richard A. Davis, Colorado ❖Steven Pedlow, NORC at the University State University of Chicago; Zhen Zhao, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention 340 CC-251 B 2:50 p.m. Diagnostic Process to Assess the Effects of ● Clustering and Classiﬁ cation—Contributed Weighting BRFSS Data—Henry Roberts, Centers Section on Statistical Computing, Section on Statistical Graphics, IMS for Disease Control and Prevention; Robert Woldman, North Carolina Department of Chair(s): James E. Gentle, George Mason University Health and Human Services; Elizabeth Hughes, 2:05 p.m. Clustering the Short Stories of Edgar Allan Poe Northup Gruman Inc; Ruth Jiles, Centers for ❖ Using Galois Lattices— Roger Bilisoly, Central Disease Control and Prevention Connecticut State University 3:05 p.m. Minimizing Conditional Local Bias for Health

2:20 p.m. Smoothing the Dissimilarities Among Binary Estimates from the Behavioral Risk Factor Tuesday ❖ Data for Cluster Analysis— David Hitchcock, Surveillance System for U.S. Counties Contiguous University of South Carolina; Zhimin Chen, to the United States-Mexico Border—❖Joe Fred University of South Carolina Gonzalez, Jr., Centers for Disease Control and 2:35 p.m. Measuring the Similarity between Spatial Prevention; Machell Town, Centers for Disease Clusters—❖Xinxin Bai, IBM China Research Control and Prevention; Jay H. Kim, National Laboratory; Wen Jun Yin, IBM China Research Center for Health Statistics Laboratory; Jin Dong, IBM China Research 3:20 p.m. Evaluation of the Current Weighting Methodology Laboratory for the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System 2:50 p.m. Uniformity Testing in High Dimensions—❖Adam (BRFSS) and Alternatives for Improvement— Petrie, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute ❖Mansour Fahimi, RTI International; Darryl 3:05 p.m. Presence versus Signiﬁ cance: How Signiﬁ cant Are Creel, RTI International; Paul S. Levy, RTI Your Clusters?—❖Rebecca Nugent, Carnegie International; Michael Link, Centers for Disease Mellon University; Werner Stuetzle, University Control and Prevention of Washington 3:35 p.m. Diagnostic Process to Assess the Effects of 3:20 p.m. Clustering Gene Expressions in the Presence of Truncating Extreme BRFSS Sampling Weights— Scatter—❖Ivan Ramler, Iowa State University; ❖Henry Roberts, Centers for Disease Control Ranjan Maitra, Iowa State University and Prevention; Elizabeth Hughes, Northup 3:35 p.m. A New Clustering Algorithm Based on Self- Gruman Inc; Robert Woldman, North Carolina Updating Process—❖Ting-Li Chen, Academia Department of Health and Human Services; Ruth Sinica; Shang-Ying Shiu, Academia Sinica Jiles, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

341 CC-255 C 342 CC-255 A ● ● Adjustment Methods for Survey Nonresponse and Complex Survey Data Analysis Software GIS— Noncoverage—Contributed Contributed Section on Survey Research Methods, Social Statistics Section Section on Survey Research Methods, Section on Statistical Computing, Section on Statistical Consulting, Section on Statistical Graphics Chair(s): Kenneth Portier, American Cancer Society Chair(s): Ronaldo Iachan, Macro International 2:05 p.m. Nonresponse Adjustment for Multipurpose 2:05 p.m. Identiﬁ cation of Inﬂ uential Observations for Surveys—❖Hee-Choon Shin, NORC at the Regression Using Complex Survey Data— University of Chicago ❖Jianzhu Li, University of Maryland; Richard 2:20 p.m. Comparison of Methods to Adjust Further Valliant, University of Maryland for Nonresponse Due to Missing Lab Data in NHANES—❖Maya Sternberg, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Alula Hadgu,

Salt Lake City 157 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

2:20 p.m. Goodness-of-Fit Tests for Logistic Regression with Biometrics, bioinformatics, computational biology Complex Survey Data—❖Amang S. Sukasih, 54 Predicting Survival from Microarray Data: A Comparative Mathematica Policy Research, Inc.; Donsig Jang, Study—Hege Marie Boevelstad, University of Oslo; Mathematica Policy Research, Inc.; Haixia Xu, ❖Staale Nygaard, University of Oslo Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. Categorical, multivariate analysis 2:35 p.m. Longitudinal Data Analysis Using SUDAAN— 55 Stalactite Plot for Outlier Detection in the Presence of a ❖ Darryl Creel, RTI International Computationally Singular Covariance Matrix—❖Jeremy 2:50 p.m. Comparison of the Five Test Statistics Currently Nadolski, Benedictine University; Pablo Marquez, Available in the SUDAAN Modeling Procedures— Benedictine University; Lee Ann Smith, Benedictine ❖G. Gordon Brown, RTI International University 3:05 p.m. Subpopulation Analysis of Survey Data: Statistical 56 Reckless or Responsible: A Multivariate Statistical Approaches and Software Options—❖Brady Analysis of Consumer Spending—❖Shannon Grant, West, University of Michigan; Steven Heeringa, SUMSRI; Emilola Abayomi, SUMSRI Institute for Social Research; Pat Berglund, Computational statistics, numerical methods, simulation University of Michigan 57 SASweave: Literate Programming Using SAS—❖Russell 3:20 p.m. GIS Data Collection for Longitudinal Surveys— Lenth, Th e University of Iowa; Søren Højsgaard, ❖ Sarah M. Nusser, Iowa State University Aarhus University 3:35 p.m. Economic Evaluation of Road Improvements Using 58 Maximum Likelihood Estimation Using Iterative GIS and Propensity Score Matching: Case Example Importance Sampling—❖Fassil Nebebe, Concordia ❖ from the Republic of Georgia— John Felkner, University; Tak Mak, Concordia University NORC at the University of Chicago; Fritz 59 The Power of Linkage Analysis of a Quantitative Disease Scheuren, NORC at the University of Chicago; ❖ Celeste Tarricone, Millennium Challenge Endophenotype— Zhuying Huang, Stony Brook Corporation; Mamuka Shatirishvili, Millennium University; Nancy Mendell, State University of New Challenge Georgia; Temur Paksashvili, Republic York at Stony Brook of Georgia Data mining and knowledge discovery, machine learning 60 Development of Nearest-Neighbor Classiﬁ ers Identifying Dermal Sensitizers Based on a Local Lymph Node Assay Database—❖Shengqiao Li, Centers for Disease Contributed Poster Presentations Control and Prevention; Adam Fedorowicz, Centers 2:00 p.m.–3:50 p.m. for Disease Control and Prevention 61 Methods for K-Models Clustering—❖Li Li, George Mason University; James E. Gentle, George Mason 343 CC-Exhibit Hall D University Contributed Poster Presentations—Contributed Environmetrics, ecology, agriculture, wildlife management Social Statistics Section, Section on Statistical Computing, Section on Statis- 62 A New Ecological Model for Insect Population Size with tical Graphics, Section on Statistics in Sports, Section on Survey Research ❖ Methods, Section on Quality and Productivity, Section on Risk Analysis, Sec- Local Collapse— James Matis, Texas A&M University; tion on Statistics and the Environment, Section on Statisticians in Defense Th omas Kiﬀ e, Texas A&M University; Timothy Matis, and National Security, Business and Economics Statistics Section Texas Tech University; Gerald Michels, Texas A&M Chair(s): Dongseok Choi, Oregon Health & Science University University Applications and case studies 63 Assessment of Plant Communities Exposed to Fugitive Dust Along a Mine Transportation Corridor in Alaska— 51 Modeling Enrollment Growth at California State University, ❖Melanie Edwards, Exponent, Inc.; Elizabeth Maier, East Bay—❖Barbara Warsavage, CSUEB Exponent, Inc.; Dawn Reeder, Rare Earth Science; Scott 52 Model-Based Clustering Analysis: An Application to Food S. Shock, Exponent, Inc.; Nicholas Gard, Exponent, Inc. and Nutrition Data—❖Jingjing Chen, Student 64 Is There a Weekend Effect in Diurnal Temperature 53 Geospatial Modeling for Water Chemistry in a Stream Range?—❖Madhuri S. Mulekar, University of South ❖ Network— Stephanie Fitchett, Florida Atlantic Alabama; Sytske Kimball, University of South Alabama University

158 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

Experimental design 74 Development of New Capability Indices for Multivariate 65 Choice of Randomized Design in Large-Scale Education Manufacturing Processes—Jen-Nan Pan, National Experiments—❖Brenda Jenney, Arizona State Cheng Kung University; ❖Chun-Yi Lee, National University; Sharon L. Lohr, Arizona State University Cheng Kung University Graphics, visualization Sampling and survey methodology 66 Matrix Plots in Support of Visualization of Matrix 75 Software Alternatives for Variance Estimation in the Characteristics—❖Ferry Butar Butar, Sam Houston Analysis of Complex Sample Surveys: A Comparison of State University; Wathurawa A. Bandulasiri, Sam SAS Survey Procedures, SUDAAN, and AM—❖Bethany Houston State University; Melinda M. Holt, Sam Bell-Ellison, University of South Florida; Jeff rey Houston State University; Cecil Hallum, Sam Houston Kromrey, University of South Florida State University 76 Performance of First-Order Weighted Random Effects Incomplete data analysis, imputation methods Model Estimators Under Complex Sampling Designs— ❖ 67 Statistical Inference in the Presence of Panel Yue Jia, Educational Testing Service; S. Lynne Stokes, Segmentation in Ranking Data—❖Lin Xie, Kansas State Southern Methodist University; Ian Harris, Southern University; Paul I. Nelson, Kansas State University Methodist University Tuesday 68 Generalization of the Paired T-Test for the Missing Values 77 Alternative Methods to Compensate for Provider Case—❖Sophie Desjardins, University of Québec Nonresponse in the National Immunization Survey— ❖ at Montréal; Alain Desgagne, University of Québec Phillip Smith, Centers for Disease Control and at Montréal; Pierre Lafaye de Micheaux, Universite Prevention; Benjamin Skalland, NORC at the Pierre-Mendes France; Benoit Liquet, Universite University of Chicago; Robert Montgomery, NORC at Pierre-Mendes France the University of Chicago; Sadeq Chowdhury, NORC at the University of Chicago Linear models, GLMs, parametric methods 78 Extensions of a Matrix Approach for Comparing Estimate 69 Use of Beta Regression To Model Adherence to HIV Precision of a Population Total Under a Many-to- Medication—❖Che Smith, Th e University of North Many Frame Structure—Martin Levy, University of Carolina at Chapel Hill; Yin Yin, GlaxoSmithKline; ❖ Sharon Murray, GlaxoSmithKline; Steven Kathman, Cincinnati; ZhiYuan Dong, University of Cincinnati GlaxoSmithKline 79 Review of NHIS Public-Design Structures—❖Van 70 A Modifi ed Bonferroni Procedure for Multiple Tests— Parsons, National Center for Health Statistics; Chris ❖Daniel Mundfrom, University of Northern Colorado; Moriarity, National Center for Health Statistics Michelle Roozeboom, University of Northern Colorado; Spatial statistics, spatio-temporal modeling Jamis Perrett, University of Northern Colorado 80 Estimation of Exposure Point Concentrations for Pattern recognition, computer vision, shape analysis, Probabilistic Risk Assessment Using a Three-Dimensional ❖ signal processing Estimation Technique— James Gleason, Trihydro 71 Multivariate Statistical Methods Applied to Digital Photo Corporation; Heidi Bowen-Morris, Trihydro Processing in Support of Object Detection—❖Huixing Corporation He, Sam Houston State University; Cecil Hallum, Sam 81 Spatiotemporal Bayesian Maximum Entropy Modeling of Houston State University Hydrogen Sulfi de Concentrations Using Data Collected Probability, stochastic processes at Different Observation Time Scales Near Swine Operations—❖William Allshouse, Th e University 72 A Method for Estimating Intensity of a Poisson Process— of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Marc Serre, Th e ❖Chih-Hsiang Ho, University of Nevada, Las Vegas; University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Devon Sandhya Gunti, University of Nevada, Las Vegas; Hall, Rural Empowerment Association for Community Heng-Wei Cheng, University of Nevada, Las Vegas Help; Katherine Mills, Th e University of North QC, operation research, risk assessment Carolina at Chapel Hill; Steve Wing, Th e University of 73 Monitoring Variation in a Multivariate Process with North Carolina at Chapel Hill ❖ Sample Size Smaller Than the Dimension— John Sports, art, entertainment Young, McNeese State University; Robert L. Mason, 82 A Critical Evaluation of ‘Moneyball’—❖Mitchell Watnik, Southwest Research Institute; Youn-Min Chou, California State University, East Bay University of Texas at San Antonio

Salt Lake City 159 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

83 Stochastic Modeling of Sports Data—❖Charles N. Lowe, Invited Sessions 4:00 p.m.–5:50 p.m. Marshall University; Alfred A. Akinsete, Marshall University 344 CC-Ballroom B 84 You (Should Be) Out of Here! Off-the-Field Factors Inﬂ uencing National Baseball Hall of Fame Selection— Wald Lecture I—Invited ❖John Rasp, Stetson University; Nathan Crowder, IMS, General Methodology, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Stetson University Organizer(s): Tony Cai, University of Pennsylvania 85 Coors Field: Pitchers Graveyard?—❖Jay Schaﬀ er, Chair(s): Robert L. Wolpert, Duke University University of Northern Colorado; Raj Chandran, 4:05 p.m. A Review of Surprises Encountered in Bayesian University of Northern Colorado Model Selection—❖James Berger, Duke 86 An Analysis of Judges’ Inconsistency in the Athens University 2004 Olympics Artistic Gymnastics Events Using the 5:30 p.m. Floor Discussion Multiplicative Interaction Model—❖Wijith Munasinghe, Kansas State University; Dallas Johnson, Kansas State University 345 CC-Ballrooms E-J Deming Lecture—Invited 87 Assessing Ratings Methods for College Hockey Teams— Deming Lectureship Committee, ASA, IMS, ENAR, SSC, WNAR ❖Robin Lock, St. Lawrence University; Julia Palmateer, Organizer(s): Stephen B. Cohen, Agency for Healthcare Research and St. Lawrence University Quality ❖ 88 Measuring Player Contribution in the NBA— David Chair(s): Stephen B. Cohen, Agency for Healthcare Research and Lewin, Macalester College; Vittorio Addona, Quality Macalester College 4:05 p.m. A Modern Framework for Enterprise Excellence— Statistical consulting ❖Douglas C. Montgomery, Arizona State 89 Statistical Application in Law: Empirical Investigation on University ❖ Suspected Drunk Drivers’ Data in New Jersey— Ayako 5:30 p.m. Floor Discussion Kambara, Statistical education, teaching, and training 90 Education by Nation: A Multivariate Statistical Analysis— ❖Anthony Franklin, SUMSRI; Ashley Brooks, SUMSRI Invited Sessions 8:00 p.m.–9:30 p.m. Time series/wavelet analysis 91 Multiple Signal Extraction in Seismic Array Data— 346 CC-Ballrooms E-J ❖Joshua Kerr, California State University, East Bay; ASA Presidential Address and Awards—Invited Wolfang Polonik, University of California, Davis ASA, ENAR, IMS, SSC, WNAR 92 Smoothed Moments Variance Estimator for X-11 Seasonal Organizer(s): Mary Ellen Bock, Purdue University ❖ Adjustment— Daniell Toth, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Chair(s): Sallie Keller-McNulty, Rice University Stuart Scott, Bureau of Labor Statistics 8:00 p.m. Presentation of Awards—❖Sallie Keller-McNulty, Transportation statistics Rice University 93 A Market Segmentation Analysis of Multivariate Travel 8:30 p.m. Statistics: Harnessing the Power of Information— Survey Data—Shuang Liu, University of California, ❖Mary Ellen Bock, Purdue University Davis; ❖Peng Wu, University of California, Davis 9:00 p.m. Presentation of Founders Awards and New ASA Fellows—❖Sallie Keller-McNulty, Rice University

160 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

WEDNESDAY, AUGUST 1

Tours 7:00 a.m.–6:00 p.m. CC-252 A, CC-252 B Speaker Work Rooms TR10 Antelope Island and the Great Salt Lake 8:00 a.m.–12:00 p.m. CC-South Foyer (200 South Street) 7:00 a.m.–9:00 p.m. CC-South Foyer Cyber Center TR11 Kennecott Copper Mine and Great Salt Lake 8:00 a.m.–12:00 p.m. CC-South Foyer (200 South Street) 7:30 a.m.–4:30 p.m. CC-South Foyer JSM Main Registration and ASA Membership/Special TR12 Utah Olympic Park, Park City Main Street Assistance Desk 1:00 p.m.–5:00 p.m. CC-South Foyer (200 South Street) 8:00 a.m.–9:00 a.m. GA-Sussex Noether Award Committee Business Meeting (closed) Committee/Business Meetings Chair(s): James Higgins, Kansas State University

& Other Activities Wednesday 8:00 a.m.–10:00 a.m. GA-Fontainbleau 7:00 a.m.–8:30 a.m. GA-Vienna Section on Statistical Education Executive Committee Committee of Representatives to AAAS Meeting Meeting (closed) Chair(s): Michael P. Cohen, Statistical Consultant Chair(s): Jessica Utts, University of California, Davis

7:00 a.m.–8:30 a.m. Off Property 8:00 a.m.–2:00 p.m. CC-Exhibit Hall D Friends and Alumni of Brigham Young University Open Exhibitor Lounge House/Breakfast Organizer(s): Del Scott, Brigham Young University 8:00 a.m.–4:30 p.m. CC-Exhibit Hall C Career Placement Service 7:00 a.m.–8:30 a.m. GA-Milano Caucus for Women in Statistics Breakfast Roundtable 8:00 a.m.–6:00 p.m. CC-Main Lobby, Level 2 Discussions Salt Lake City Visitors Information Center Organizer(s): Tena Katsaounis, Th e Ohio State University 8:30 a.m.–10:30 a.m. CC-Kenneth Knight Board Room 7:00 a.m.–8:30 a.m. GA-Ambassador Committee on Outreach Education Meeting (closed) Committee on Career Development Meeting (closed) Chair(s): Wendy Martinez, Oﬃ ce of Naval Research Chair(s): Janice Lent, Energy Information Administration 9:00 a.m.–11:00 a.m. GA-Audubon 7:00 a.m.–8:30 a.m. GA-Bagatelle Council of Sections Publication and Newsletter Editors Committee on Privacy and Conﬁ dentiality Meeting Meeting (closed) Chair(s): Alvan Zarate, National Center for Health Statistics 9:00 a.m.–2:00 p.m. CC-Exhibit Hall D 7:00 a.m.–8:30 a.m. GA-Embassy ASA Booth #101 Committee on Archives and Historic Materials Meeting (closed) 9:00 a.m.–2:00 p.m. CC-Exhibit Hall D Chair(s): Carol J. Lancaster, Medical University of South Carolina EXPO 2007

Salt Lake City 161 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

9:00 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CC-South Foyer 6:00 p.m.–7:00 p.m. CC-155 A ASA Marketplace International Chinese Statistical Association Annual Members Meeting 10:30 a.m.–11:30 a.m. GA-Vienna Organizer(s): Ming-Hui Chen, University of Connecticut ASA Special Interest Group on Volunteerism Meeting (closed) 6:00 p.m.–7:30 p.m. GA-Room 2473 Chair(s): Robert Starbuck, Wyeth JSM Program Committee/ACCE/COM/Local Area Com- mittee Reception (closed, by invitation only) 10:30 a.m.–12:30 p.m. GA-Sussex Chair(s): William B. Smith, American Statistical Association Advisory Committee on Continuing Education Excellence in CE Meeting (closed) 6:00 p.m.–7:30 p.m. CC-151 DE Chair(s): Katherine Halvorsen, Smith College Section on Statistical Education Business Meeting Chair(s): Jessica Utts, University of California, Davis 11:30 a.m.–1:30 p.m. CC-Kenneth Knight Board Room Committee on Meetings (closed) Chair(s): Xiao-li Meng, Harvard University Continuing Education (Fee Events) 12:00 p.m.–2:00 p.m. GA-Ambassador Committee on International Relations in Statistics CE_29T Meeting (closed) Introduction to CART: Data Mining with Decision Trees Chair(s): Demissie Alemayehu, Pﬁ zer Inc. 8:00 a.m.–9:45 a.m. CC-151 AB ASA 12:00 p.m.–2:30 p.m. GA-Embassy Instructor(s): Mikhail Golovnya, Salford Systems ENAR 2008 Spring Meeting Planning Committee Luncheon (closed, by invitation only) CE_30T Organizer(s): Kathy Hoskins, ENAR New Features for Clustered and Survey Data Analysis in SUDAAN Release 9.0.3 12:30 p.m.–2:00 p.m. GA-Bagatelle 8:00 a.m.–9:45 a.m. CC-151 C Noether Award Committee Luncheon (closed) ASA Chair(s): James Higgins, Kansas State University Instructor(s): Angela Pitts, RTI International; G. Gordon Brown, RTI International 12:30 p.m.–2:00 p.m. GA-Fontainbleau Writing Workshop Lunch (closed) CE_31T Chair(s): Nell Sedransk, National Institute of Statistical Sciences; Keith Modern Regression Analysis in SAS Software Crank, American Statistical Association 8:00 a.m.–9:45 a.m. CC-151 G ASA 2:00 p.m.–8:00 p.m. CC-Exhibit Hall D Instructor(s): Robert Cohen, SAS Institute Inc. Exhibitor Move Out CE_32T 5:00 p.m.–6:30 p.m. CC-151 AB Power Analysis: A Simple and Effective Approach Section on Survey Research Methods Business Meeting 8:00 a.m.–9:45 a.m. CC-151 DE Chair(s): William D. Kalsbeek, Th e University of North Carolina at ASA Chapel Hill Instructor(s): Hannah Rothstein,; Michael Borenstein

5:30 p.m.–8:30 p.m. GA-Audubon IMS Council Meeting II (closed) Organizer(s): Elyse Gustafson, Institute of Mathematical Statistics

162 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

CE_33T CE_40T East© 5: A Comprehensive Package for Adaptive and Quantile Regression Using the SAS QUANTREG Group Sequential Design, Interim Monitoring, and Procedure Simulation 1:00 p.m.–2:45 p.m. CC-151 G 8:00 a.m.–9:45 a.m. CC-151 F ASA ASA Instructor(s): Colin Chen, SAS Institute Inc. Instructor(s): Cyrus Mehta, Cytel Inc.

CE_34T Introduction to MARS: Predictive Modeling with Roundtables with Coffee 7:00 a.m.–8:15 a.m. Nonlinear Automated Regression Tools 10:00 a.m.–11:45 a.m. CC-151 AB 347 CC-Ballroom D ASA Section on Risk Analysis Roundtable with Coffee Instructor(s): Mikhail Golovnya, Salford Systems (fee event) Section on Risk Analysis CE_35T Organizer(s): Anirban Basu, Th e University of Chicago From Software to Solutions in Statistics and Risk Analysis WL01 Assessing Risks in the Environment—❖Edward 10:00 a.m.–11:45 a.m. CC-151 C Boone, Virginia Commonwealth University ASA Wednesday Instructor(s): Shawn Harahush, Palisade Corporation 348 CC-Ballroom D CE_36T Section on Statistical Education Roundtable with Design and Analysis of Split-Plot Experiments Using the Coffee (fee event) SAS ADX Interface Section on Statistical Education 10:00 a.m.–11:45 a.m. CC-151 G Organizer(s): Jacqueline Miller, Th e Ohio State University ❖ ASA WL02 Study Design in Statistics Education— Felicity B. Instructor(s): Sharad Prabhu, SAS Institute Inc.; José G. Ramírez, W.L. Enders, Mayo Clinic Gore & Associates, Inc. 349 CC-Ballroom D CE_37T Section on Statistical Graphics Roundtable with Meta-Analysis: Concepts and Applications Coffee (fee event) 10:00 a.m.–11:45 a.m. CC-151 DE Section on Statistical Graphics ASA Organizer(s): David Hunter, Th e Pennsylvania State University Instructor(s): Michael Borenstein; Hannah Rothstein WL03 Introducing Multivariate Statistics Through Graphics and Geometry—❖Daniel Kaplan, Macalester College CE_38T Generalized Linear Modeling in SPSS 10:00 a.m.–11:45 a.m. CC-151 F 350 CC-Ballroom D ASA Section on Statistics and the Environment Instructor(s): Weicai Zhong, SPSS Inc. Roundtables with Coffee (fee event) Section on Statistics and the Environment Organizer(s): Andrew B. Lawson, University of South Carolina CE_39T Advances in Data Mining: Jerome Friedman’s TreeNet/ WL04 Multivariate Environmental Health Surveillance— ❖Andrew B. Lawson, University of South Carolina MART and Leo Breiman’s Random Forests 1:00 p.m.–2:45 p.m. CC-151 AB WL05 Bayesian Disease-Mapping Methods and Applications: Past, Present, and Future—❖Ying MacNab, ASA University of British Columbia Instructor(s): Mikhail Golovnya, Salford Systems

Salt Lake City 163 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

351 CC-Ballroom D 8:35 a.m. Fast Boosting Algorithms for Regularized Linear Section on Statistics in Epidemiology Roundtable Regression and Classiﬁ cation—❖Jerome H. with Coffee (fee event) Friedman, Stanford University Section on Statistics in Epidemiology 9:05 a.m. mboost: A Package for Model-Based ❖ Organizer(s): William E. Barlow, Cancer Research and Biostatistics Boosting— Torsten Hothorn, Institut fuer Medizininformatik WL06 Methods for Missing Data in Survey Response— ❖Xiaoming Sheng, University of Utah 9:35 a.m. Greedy Methods, Weak Learning, and L1 Optimization—❖Tong Zhang, Yahoo! Inc. 10:05 a.m. Floor Discussion 352 CC-Ballroom D Section on Teaching Statistics in the Health Sciences Roundtables with Coffee (fee event) 355 CC-155 D Section on Teaching Statistics in the Health Sciences ● ✪ Robust Statistical Machine Learning—Invited Organizer(s): Jodi Lapidus, Oregon Health & Science University Section on Statisticians in Defense and National Security, Section on Sta- tistical Computing, Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences WL07 Biostatistics Curriculum for National Institutes of Health (NIH) Training Grants: Training, Expectation, and Organizer(s): Yufeng Liu, Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Outcome—❖Madhu Mazumdar, Cornell University Chair(s): Howard D. Bondell, North Carolina State University WL08 Balancing Teaching and Research: Statistics in the Health Sciences—❖Novie Younger, Th e University of 8:35 a.m. SigClust: Statistical Signiﬁ cance of Clustering— ❖J. Stephen Marron, Th e University of North the West Indies at Mona, Jamaica Carolina at Chapel Hill 9:00 a.m. A Robust Hybrid of Lasso and Ridge Regression— ❖Art Owen, Stanford University Special Presentation 8:30 a.m.–10:20 a.m. 9:25 a.m. Consistent Multicategory Support Vector Machines—Yufeng Liu, Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; ❖Ming Yuan, Georgia 353 CC-Ballroom B Institute of Technology Introductory Overview Lecture 4: How Scientists 9:50 a.m. Estimating Spatial Covariance Using Penalized Can Work Effectively with the Media—Other Likelihood with Weighted L1 Penalty— ASA, ENAR, IMS, WNAR, SSC ❖Zhengyuan Zhu, Th e University of North Organizer(s): G. David Williamson, Centers for Disease Control and Carolina at Chapel Hill; Yufeng Liu, Th e Prevention University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Chair(s): Tim Hesterberg, Insightful Corporation 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion 8:35 a.m. How Scientists Can Work Effectively with the Media— ❖ Richard Hayes, Union of Concern Scientists 356 CC-250 EF 10:05 a.m. Floor Discussion ● ✪ Exploratory Centers for Cheminformatics Research from a Statistician’s Point of View— Invited Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences, Section on Quality and Invited Sessions 8:30 a.m.–10:20 a.m. Productivity Organizer(s): Jacqueline M. Hughes-Oliver, North Carolina State 354 CC-355 E University ✪ Boosting and Related Methods for Machine Chair(s): S. Stanley Young, National Institute of Statistical Sciences Learning—Invited 8:35 a.m. Multiple Mechanisms from a High-Throughput ❖ IMS, Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences Screen— Douglas M. Hawkins, Th e University Organizer(s): Peter Bühlmann, ETH Zurich of Minnesota; Lexin Li, North Carolina State University Chair(s): Ji Zhu, University of Michigan

164 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel Wednesday

Salt Lake City 165 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

9:05 a.m. Projects in the Michigan Alliance for 359 CC-255 E Cheminformatic Research—❖Kerby Shedden, ● ✪ Statistical Methodology for the Analysis of University of Michigan Sleep Studies—Invited 9:35 a.m. Effi cient Cross-Validation for Tuning and Ranking Biometrics Section, WNAR ❖ Cheminformatics Models— William J. Welch, Organizer(s): Brian S. Caff o, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public University of British Columbia; Hui Shen, Health University of British Columbia Chair(s): Karen Bandeen-Roche, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of 10:05 a.m. Floor Discussion Public Health 8:35 a.m. Generalized Linear Mixed Model Analysis of Multistate Sleep Transition Data: The Sleep Heart 357 CC-250 C Health Study—❖ ● Brian S. Caff o, Johns Hopkins Application of Hierarchical Models To Study Bloomberg School of Public Health; Bruce Genetic and Epidemiologic Risk Factors—Invited Swihart, Th e Johns Hopkins University; Naresh Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, ENAR, Section on Risk Analysis, Punjabi, Johns Hopkins Bayview Medical Center Biometrics Section, WNAR 9:00 a.m. Methods for Signal Extraction from EEG Time Organizer(s): Marinela Capanu, Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center Series with Application to Large Studies of Sleep— Chair(s): Colin B. Begg, Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center ❖Chongzhi Di, Th e Johns Hopkins University; 8:35 a.m. The Use of Hierarchical Models for Estimating Ciprian M. Crainiceanu, Th e Johns Hopkins Relative Risks of Individual Genetic Variants— University ❖ Marinela Capanu, Memorial Sloan-Kettering 9:25 a.m. Semiparametric Event History Models for Cancer Center; Colin B. Begg, Memorial Sloan- Analyzing Human Sleep Data—❖Th omas Kneib, Kettering Cancer Center Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München; 9:00 a.m. Hierarchical Modeling and Stochastic Variable Ludwig Fahrmeir, University of Munich; Selection in the Analysis of Multiple SNPs in Alexander Yassouridis, Max-Planck-Institute for Genetic Association Studies—❖David Conti, Psychiatry University of Southern California; Juan P. 9:50 a.m. Disc: David Ruppert, Cornell University Lewinger, University of Southern California 10:10 a.m. Floor Discussion 9:25 a.m. Multilevel Approaches to Genotype-Phenotype Association: VUS Classifi cation and SNP Blocking—❖Giovanni Parmigiani, Th e Johns 360 CC-150 A-C Hopkins University; Edwin Iversen, Duke ● Recent Developments in Macroeconometrics— University; Xi Zhou, Cornell University; Invited Daniele Fallin, Th e Johns Hopkins University; Business and Economics Statistics Section Ingo Ruczinski, Th e Johns Hopkins University; Organizer(s): Atsushi Inoue, University of British Columbia Cristian Pattaro, Eurac Chair(s): Atsushi Inoue, University of British Columbia 9:50 a.m. Hierarchical Models for Biases in Observational 8:35 a.m. Not All Oil Price Shocks Are Alike: Disentangling Studies—❖Sander Greenland, University of Demand and Supply Shocks in the Crude Oil California, Los Angeles Market—❖Lutz Kilian, University of Michigan 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion 9:00 a.m. Optimal Impulse Response Function Matching Estimation—❖Barbara Rossi, Duke University; 358 CC-355 B Atsushi Inoue, University of British Columbia; ✪ Medallion Lecture IV—Invited Alastair R. Hall, University of Manchester; IMS, General Methodology James Nason, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Organizer(s): Bernard W. Silverman, St. Peter’s College 9:25 a.m. Structural Vector Autoregressions: Theory and ❖ Chair(s): Mark Low, University of Pennsylvania Application— Dan Waggoner, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta; Tao Zha, Federal Reserve Bank 8:35 a.m. Quantile Regression Under Censorship— of Atlanta ❖Xuming He, University of Illinois 10:00 a.m. Floor Discussion

166 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

9:50 a.m. Projection Minimum Distance: An Estimator for 9:50 a.m. Conditional AIC for Nonlinear Mixed Effects Dynamic Models—❖Oscar Jorda, University of Models—❖Florin Vaida, University of California, Davis California, San Diego 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion

361 CC-255 C ● ✪ Bayesian Modeling of Incomplete Invited Panels 8:30 a.m.–10:20 a.m. Heterogeneous Data—Invited WNAR, ENAR, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Biometrics Section 363 CC-251 E Organizer(s): W. John Boscardin, University of California, Los Angeles ✪ New Policies To Facilitate the Tenure Process for Chair(s): Xiao Zhang, Th e University of Alabama at Birmingham Women in Sciences—Invited 8:35 a.m. Flexible Modeling of the Mean and Covariance Committee on Career Development, Caucus for Women in Statistics Structure for Heterogeneous Incomplete Multiple Organizer(s): Tena Katsaounis, Th e Ohio State University ❖ Longitudinal Markers— W. John Boscardin, Chair(s): Anna Nevius, U.S. Food and Drug Administration University of California, Los Angeles; Hector Panelists: ❖ Rebecca Doerge, Purdue University Lemus, University of California, Los Angeles ❖ Regina Liu, Rutgers University 9:00 a.m. Calculating the Effect of a Randomized Intervention ❖ from Panel Data Subject to Noncompliance— Mari Palta, University of Wisconsin-Madison ❖ ❖ Siddhartha Chib, Washington University in St. Nancy Reid, University of Toronto Wednesday Louis; Liana Jacobi, Th e University of Melbourne 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion 9:25 a.m. Temporal Confi guration Analysis: Hidden Markov Models for Heterogeneous Multivariate Longitudinal Data—❖Steven L. Scott, University 364 CC-254 A ✪ of Southern California Improving the Agriculture Resources 9:50 a.m. Bayesian Modeling of Longitudinal Processes with Management Survey: Dealing with Complexity in Dropout and Noncompliance—❖Michael Daniels, Government Surveys—Invited University of Florida; Xuefeng Liu, Wayne State Section on Survey Research Methods, Section on Government Statistics University Organizer(s): Th omas J. Plewes, National Academy of Sciences 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion Chair(s): Th omas J. Plewes, National Academy of Sciences Panelists: ❖ David Binder, Statistics Canada (Retired) ❖ 362 CC-260 Cynthia Clark, Offi ce for National Statistics ❖ ✪ Variable Selection and Related Statistical Frederick Conrad, University of Michigan Inference—Invited ❖ Carol C. House, National Agricultural Section on Teaching Statistics in the Health Sciences, Biometrics Section, Statistics Service General Methodology 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion Organizer(s): Hua Liang, University of Rochester Chair(s): Steven Wang, York University 365 CC-255 B 8:35 a.m. Variable Selection in Semiparametric Regression ● ❖ Protecting Confi dentiality in Public Use Data by Modeling— Runze Li, Th e Pennsylvania State Releasing Synthetic Datasets: Experiences with University; Hua Liang, University of Rochester Genuine Applications—Invited ❖ 9:00 a.m. Selections— Chih-Ling Tsai, University of Committee on Privacy and Confi dentiality, Section on Bayesian Statistical California, Davis Science, Section on Survey Research Methods 9:25 a.m. Overall AIC Selection Strategy for Linear Mixed-Effects Organizer(s): Jerome P. Reiter, Duke University ❖ Models— Hua Liang, University of Rochester; Chair(s): Trivellore E. Raghunathan, University of Michigan Guohua Zou, Chinese Academy of Sciences Panelists: ❖ Jerome P. Reiter, Duke University ❖ John Abowd, Cornell University

Salt Lake City 167 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

❖ Simon Woodcock, Simon Fraser University for Astrophysics; Vinay L. Kashyap, Harvard- ❖ Sam Hawala, U.S. Census Bureau Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics; Andreas Zezas, Harvard-Smithsonian Center for 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion Astrophysics 9:55 a.m. Coherent Bayesian Inference on Compact Binary 366 CC-254 C Inspirals Using a Network of Interferometric Conﬂ ict of Interest Concerns in Medical Gravitational Wave Detectors—❖Christian Röver, Statistics—Invited Th e University of Auckland; Renate Meyer, Th e Committee on Professional Ethics, ENAR, Biometrics Section, Section on University of Auckland; Nelson Christensen, Teaching Statistics in the Health Sciences Carleton College Organizer(s): Peter B. Imrey, Th e Cleveland Clinic 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion Chair(s): Janet Wittes, Statistics Collaborative Panelists: ❖ Peter B. Imrey, Th e Cleveland Clinic 368 CC-155 C ❖ Saskia le Cessie, Leiden University Medical ● ✪ Keepers of the Fire—Topic-Contributed Centre Social Statistics Section ❖ Stephen Ruberg, Eli Lilly and Company Organizer(s): Olivia Blum, Israeli Central Bureau of Statistics ❖ Lisa LaVange, Th e University of North Chair(s): Virginia A. de Wolf, Consultant Carolina at Chapel Hill 8:35 a.m. Institutional Memory and Information ❖ Susan S. Ellenberg, University of Pennsylvania Management—❖Paul Johanis, Statistics Canada ❖ Niels Keiding, University of Copenhagen 8:55 a.m. Transforming Statistical Knowledge into ❖ 10:05 a.m. Floor Discussion Institutional Memory— Olivia Blum, Israeli Central Bureau of Statistics 9:15 a.m. The Planning Database: Decennial Census Data for Historical, Real-Time, and Prospective Topic-Contributed Sessions Analysis—❖J. Gregory Robinson, U.S. Census Bureau; Carrie L. Johanson, U.S. Census Bureau; 8:30 a.m.–10:20 a.m. Antonio Bruce, U.S. Census Bureau 9:35 a.m. Disc: Fritz Scheuren, NORC at the University of 367 CC-150 G Chicago ● ✪ Bayesian Applications in Astronomy and 9:55 a.m. Floor Discussion Physics—Topic-Contributed Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, ENAR Organizer(s): David van Dyk, University of California, Irvine 369 CC-355 A ● ✪ Chair(s): David van Dyk, University of California, Irvine Application and Issues of Crossover and Matched Design in Clinical Trials—Topic- 8:35 a.m. A Dempster-Shafer Bayesian Solution to the Banff A1 Challenge—❖Paul Edlefsen, Harvard University Contributed Biopharmaceutical Section, ENAR, WNAR 8:55 a.m. An Exploratory Statistical Study of the Measured Organizer(s): Yi Tsong, U.S. Food and Drug Administration Motion of the Guide Star Used in a New Test of Einstein’s Universe—❖Jingchen Liu, Harvard Chair(s): Sharon Murray, GlaxoSmithKline University; Xiao-li Meng, Harvard University; 8:35 a.m. A Study of Bioequivalence Trials with Missing Michael Ratner, Harvard-Smithsonian Center Data—❖Yiyun Zhang, Th e Pennsylvania State for Astrophysics; Irwin Shapiro, Harvard- University Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics 8:55 a.m. Crossover Designs Based on Type I Orthogonal 9:15 a.m. Upper Limits for Source Detection in the Three- Arrays for a Self and Simple Mixed Carryover Poisson Model—❖Paul Baines, Harvard University Effects Model with Correlated Errors—❖Samad 9:35 a.m. A Statistical Approach to Stellar Archaeology— Hedayat, University of Illinois at Chicago; ❖Hyunsook Lee, Harvard-Smithsonian Center Zhiwu Yan, University of Illinois at Chicago

168 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

9:15 a.m. Uniformly Balanced Repeated Measurements 370 CC-355 C Designs in the Presence of Subject Dropout— ● ✪ Experimental Design and Analysis of Drug ❖ Dibyen Majumdar, University of Illinois at Combinations—Topic-Contributed Chicago Biopharmaceutical Section, ENAR, WNAR 9:35 a.m. A Monte Carlo Study for the Methods Used Organizer(s): Ming T. Tan, University of Maryland Greenebaum for Assessing Treatment Differences with Cancer Center Possible Carryover Effect in Crossover Designed Chair(s): J. Jack Lee, Th e University of Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer Center Studies—❖Ling Chen, U.S. Food and Drug 8:35 a.m. A Hierarchical Paradigm for Synergy Assessment Administration; Ferrin D. Harrison, U.S. Food Modeling Approaches—❖William Greco, Roswell and Drug Administration Park Cancer Institute 9:55 a.m. Sample Size Re-estimation for Noninferior Study of 8:55 a.m. Nonlinear Blending: An Alternative to Dosewise Matched Data—❖Yi Tsong, U.S. Food and Drug Additivity, the Interaction Index, and Bliss Administration; Wu Yu-te, U.S. Food and Drug Independence—John Peterson, GlaxoSmithKline; Administration ❖Steven J. Novick, GlaxoSmithKline 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion 9:15 a.m. Experimental Design and Synergy Analysis for Drug Combination Studies Based on Log-Linear Dose Responses—❖Hong-Bin Fang, University of Maryland Greenebaum Cancer Center; Ming T. Tan, University of Maryland Greenebaum Cancer Center Wednesday

Salt Lake City 169 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

9:35 a.m. A Semiparametric Response Surface Model for 8:35 a.m. Collocation Tempering for Differential Equation Assessing Drug Interaction—❖Maiying Kong, Models—❖David A. Campbell, Simon Fraser University of Louisville; J. Jack Lee, Th e University University Surrey of Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer Center 8:55 a.m. Meta-Analysis Based on Summarized Data with 9:55 a.m. Disc: Ming T. Tan, University of Maryland Application to Drug-Drug Interaction—❖Lang Li, Greenebaum Cancer Center Indiana University 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion 9:15 a.m. Detecting Nonlinear Dynamics in a Psychoacoustics Experiment—❖Th eodoro Koulis, JSS Medical Research 371 CC-255 D ❖ ● Current Issues in Risk Prediction Modeling— 9:35 a.m. Testing for Missing Dynamical Variables— Giles Hooker, Cornell University Topic-Contributed 9:55 a.m. Statistical Data Assimilation for Marine Ecological ENAR, Biometrics Section Prediction—❖Michael Dowd, Dalhousie Organizer(s): Nancy Cook, Brigham and Women’s Hospital University Chair(s): Ralph B. D’Agostino, Sr., Boston University 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion 8:35 a.m. Evaluating the Incremental Impact of a Risk Prediction Marker Using Predictiveness Curves—❖Margaret Pepe, Fred Hutchinson 373 CC-155 F Cancer Research Center; Wen Gu, University ● ✪ Bayesian Statistics in Medical Device Clinical of Washington; Ying Huang, University of Trials—Topic-Contributed Washington; Ziding Feng, Fred Hutchinson Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Biopharmaceutical Section, ENAR Cancer Research Center Organizer(s): Telba Irony, U.S. Food and Drug Administration 8:55 a.m. C-Statistics and Reclassifi cation in Risk Prediction Chair(s): Jeff rey D. Blume, Brown University Models—❖Nancy Cook, Brigham and Women’s 8:35 a.m. Weighing Evidence and Loss in Clinical Hospital Decisionmaking—❖Jeng Mah, American 9:15 a.m. Updating Clinical Prediction Models: Simple Medical Systems Methods Give Promising Results—❖Kristel J.M. 8:55 a.m. Constructing Bayesian Trials in a Type I Error– Janssen, Julius Center UMC Utrecht; Karel G. Controlled Regulatory World: The Good, the Bad, Moons, Julius Center UMC Utrecht; Yvonne and the Ugly—❖Scott Berry, Berry Consultants Vergouwe, Julius Center UMC Utrecht; Diederick E. Grobbee, Julius Center UMC Utrecht 9:15 a.m. Bayesian Designs and Therapeutic Medical Device Trials—❖Pablo Bonangelino, U.S. Food and 9:35 a.m. Rehabilitation of the Case-Control Design in Drug Administration Prediction Research—❖Karel G. Moons, Julius Center UMC Utrecht; Cornelis Biesheuvel, 9:35 a.m. Examples from Medical Device Clinical Trials To Julius Center UMC Utrecht; Yvonne Vergouwe, Illustrate Advantages of the Bayesian Approach— ❖ Julius Center UMC Utrecht; Ruud Oudega, Teresa Nelson, Technomics Research, LLC Julius Center UMC Utrecht; Arno W. Hoes, 9:55 a.m. Bayesian Sample Size Calculation with Average Julius Center UMC Utrecht; Diederick E. Length Criterion Using Historical Control Data in Grobbee, Julius Center UMC Utrecht Medical Device Trials—❖Liang Li, Genzyme 9:55 a.m. Disc: Michael J. Pencina, Boston University Corporation; Ming-Hui Chen, University of Connecticut; Hong Wang, Boston Scientifi c 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion Corporation 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion 372 CC-251 A ✪ Statistics for Nonlinear Dynamics— Topic-Contributed IMS, Business and Economics Statistics Section Organizer(s): Giles Hooker, Cornell University Chair(s): Anand Vidyashankar, Cornell University

170 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

374 CC-251 D Jones, University of Western Ontario; Madan ● ✪ Statistical Research in the VA Healthcare Puri, Indiana University; Ricardas Zitikis, System—Topic-Contributed University of Western Ontario Section on Health Policy Statistics, Section on Government Statistics, Sec- 9:15 a.m. Testing Hypotheses About the Equality of Several tion on Statistics in Epidemiology Risk Measure Values with Applications in Organizer(s): Roslyn A. Stone, Veterans Aﬀ airs Pittsburgh Healthcare Insurance—❖Madan Puri, Indiana University System 9:35 a.m. Estimating Conditional Tail Expectations with Chair(s): Xiao-Hua (Andrew) Zhou, University of Washington Actuarial Applications in View—❖Ricardas 8:35 a.m. Determining Sample Sizes for Estimating and Zitikis, University of Western Ontario Comparing Item Parameters from the Rasch 9:55 a.m. Floor Discussion Model—❖Linda Young, University of Florida 8:55 a.m. The Impact of Imbalance in Two-level Logistic Models—❖Huanyu Chen, University of Pittsburgh; Roslyn A. Stone, Veterans Aﬀ airs Contributed Sessions 8:30 a.m.–10:20 a.m. Pittsburgh Healthcare System 9:15 a.m. A Comparison of Methods To Impute Missing 376 CC-255 F Race in VA Administrative Data—❖Maria Mor, CHERP/VA Pittsburgh Healthcare System; Analysis of Binary Data and Directional Data— Chunrong Cheng, University of Pittsburgh; Contributed

Bevanne Bean-Mayberry, Veterans Aff airs Biometrics Section Wednesday Greater Los Angeles; Gong Tang, University of Chair(s): Tammy Massie, U.S. Food and Drug Administration Pittsburgh; Roslyn A. Stone, Veterans Aff airs 8:35 a.m. Some New Models and Procedures for Directional Pittsburgh Healthcare System Data—❖Brett Presnell, University of Florida; 9:35 a.m. Estimating Concordance for a Hazard Scale in Pavlina Rumcheva, C-BASS, LLC the Presence of Time-Varying Data—❖Peter 8:50 a.m. Analysis of Binary and Continuous Outcomes Richardson, Baylor College of Medicine in Neonatal Clinical Trials with Twin Births— 9:55 a.m. Analyzing Health Care Cost Data in the Presence ❖Michele Shaff er, Th e Pennsylvania State of Heterogeneous Patients: Wouldn’t Three Pieces University; Kristi L. Watterberg, University Be Better Than One?—❖James F. Burgess, Jr., of New Mexico; Allen Kunselman, Th e Boston University; ❖Kevin L. Sloan, University Pennsylvania State University of Washington 9:05 a.m. Analysis of Relatively Large Sparse Binary Data— 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion ❖Ko-Kang Wang, Th e Australian National University; Susan Wilson, Th e Australian National University; Alan Welsh, Th e Australian 375 CC-250 B National University; John Maindonald, Th e ● ✪ Risk Measures in Actuarial Science—Topic- Australian National University Contributed 9:20 a.m. Generalized Linear Mixed Models for Binary Section on Nonparametric Statistics, Section on Risk Analysis, Business Outcome Data with a Low Number of Occurrences: and Economics Statistics Section Understanding When Estimation Procedures Fail— Organizer(s): Ricardas Zitikis, University of Western Ontario ❖Marie-Eve Beauchamp, McGill University; Chair(s): Duncan Murdoch, University of Western Ontario Robert W. Platt, McGill University; James A. 8:35 a.m. Risk Measures, Distortion Parameters, and their Hanley, McGill University Empirical Estimation—❖Bruce Jones, University 9:35 a.m. Binary Time Series Modeling with Application of Western Ontario; Ricardas Zitikis, University to Kinetic—❖Ying Hung, Georgia Institute of of Western Ontario Technology; Chien-Fu Jeff Wu, Georgia Institute 8:55 a.m. Nested L-Statistics and Their Use in Comparing the of Technology Riskiness of Portfolios—❖Vytaras Brazauskas, University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee; Bruce

Salt Lake City 171 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

9:50 a.m. Regional Spatial Cluster Detection for Repeated 9:05 a.m. Using the Bayesian Approach for Measured Outcomes—❖Andrea Cook, Group Pharmaceutical Process Optimization— Health Center for Health Studies; Diane R. ❖Aili Cheng, GlaxoSmithKline; John Gold, Channing Laboratory, Brigham and Peterson, GlaxoSmithKline; Younan Chen, Women’s Hospital, and Harvard Medical School; GlaxoSmithKline; Gregory Stockdale, Yi Li, Harvard School of Public Health GlaxoSmithKline 10:05 a.m. Floor Discussion 9:20 a.m. Bayesian Spines To Infer Population Mean and Tolerance Region from Multivariate Longitudinal Data—Qianqiu Li, Wyeth; ❖Yonggang Zhao, Wyeth 377 CC-257 ● ✪ Advances in Some Classic Tests of 9:35 a.m. Bayesian Hierarchical Models for Detecting Safety Signals in Clinical Trials—❖Hong A. Xia, Amgen Hypotheses—Contributed Inc.; Haijun Ma, Amgen Inc. Biometrics Section 9:50 a.m. Controlled Bayesian Optimal Designs for Dose- Organizer(s): Gengsheng Qin, Georgia State University Response Studies—❖Wei Zhu, State University 8:35 a.m. Likelihood Ratio Tests of Correlated Multivariate of New York at Stony Brook; Jiaqiao Hu, State ❖ Samples— Erning Li, Texas A&M University; University of New York at Stony Brook; Weng- Johan Lim, Texas A&M University Kee Wong, University of California, Los Angeles 8:50 a.m. A Comparison of Node-Splitting Rules in Recursive 10:05 a.m. A Bayesian Approach to Utilizing Prior Data in Partitioning Analysis of Multivariate Quantitative New Drug Development—❖Todd Coff ey, Amylin ❖ Structure Activity Data— Yujun Wu, University Pharmaceuticals, Inc.; Larry Z. Shen, Amylin of Medicine and Dentistry of New Jersey; Marc Pharmaceuticals, Inc.; Wei Deng, Amylin Genton, University of Geneva; Leonard A. Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Stefanski, North Carolina State University 9:05 a.m. On Identifying Minimum Effi cacious Doses in Combination Drug Trials—❖Julia Soulakova, 379 CC-355 F University of Nebraska-Lincoln; Allan Sampson, Linear Models in Clinical Trials—Contributed University of Pittsburgh Biopharmaceutical Section 9:20 a.m. Weighted Distance Measures for Metabolomic Chair(s): Th omas J. Uryniak, AstraZeneca Data—❖Philip Dixon, Iowa State University 8:35 a.m. Inverse Prediction: A Clinical Application— ❖ 9:35 a.m. A Combined Test for the Equality of Means— Jayawant Mandrekar, Mayo Clinic ❖Yvonne Zubovic, Indiana University Purdue 8:50 a.m. An Approach to Obtaining Initial Values for the University Fort Wayne; Chand Chauhan, Indiana Covariance Parameters for Repeated Measures University Purdue University Fort Wayne Analysis with Unstructured Covariance Model— ❖ 9:50 a.m. Analysis of One-Way Layout of Overdispersed Kaifeng Lu, Merck & Co., Inc. Count Data—❖Krishna Saha, Central 9:05 a.m. Permutation Test-Based Signifi cance Levels for Connecticut State University Repeated Measures—❖Katie Spencer, Zimmer, 10:05 a.m. Floor Discussion Inc.; Daniel Reyner, Zimmer, Inc 9:20 a.m. A Multiplicative Heteroscedasticity-Based Transformation To Reduce Heteroscedasticity 378 CC-355 D in General Linear Models—❖Mitchell Rosen, ● ✪ Bayesian Approaches in Drug Development— Omnicare Clinical Research Contributed 9:35 a.m. Choosing an Appropriate Variance-Covariance Biopharmaceutical Section Structure for Small Sample Size Data—❖Zhaoling Chair(s): Susan Portugal, Wyeth Meng, sanofi -aventis; Xun Chen, sanofi -aventis; 8:35 a.m. A Revisit to Sample Size Computation— Robert Kringle, sanofi -aventis ❖Ruoyong Yang, Pfi zer Inc. 9:50 a.m. Modeling Covariance Structure in Unbalanced 8:50 a.m. Joint Exploration of Haplotype Information and Longitudinal Data—❖Min Chen, Texas A&M High-Order SNP-Phenotype Associations via Gibbs University; Jianhua Z. Huang, Texas A&M Sampling—❖Jing Zhao, Merck & Co., Inc. University

172 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

10:05 a.m. Permuted Block Randomization and Balance 9:05 a.m. A General Tree-Based Regression Model for in Clinical Trials—❖John (Joong Hee) Han, Multivariate Outcomes—❖Kai Yu, National Centocor, Inc.; Lee-Lian Kim, Centocor, Inc. Institutes of Health; William Wheeler, Information Management Service Inc; Qizhai Li, National Institutes of Health; Jinbo Chen, 380 CC-255 A University of Pennsylvania ● Applications in Statistical Genetics— 9:20 a.m. Using a Hybrid-Modifi ed Genetic Algorithm To Contributed Find Feasible Regions of a Desirability Function— ENAR, Section on Teaching Statistics in the Health Sciences, Biometrics Section ❖Wen Wan, Virginia Polytechnic Institute Chair(s): Jared Lunceford, Merck & Co., Inc. and State University; Jeff rey B. Birch, Virginia 8:35 a.m. Gene-Environment Interaction Test for Polytechnic Institute and State University Dichotomous Traits in Nuclear Families— 9:35 a.m. A Study of Variability in Mass Spectrometry ❖ Th omas Hoff mann, Harvard University; Nan Data—❖Ann L. Oberg, Mayo Clinic; Douglas Laird, Harvard University W. Mahoney, Mayo Clinic; Jeanette E. Eckel- 8:50 a.m. Oracle and Adaptive Compound Decision Rules for Passow, Mayo Clinic; Terry M. Th erneau, False Discovery Rate Control—❖Wenguang Sun, Mayo Clinic; Christopher J. Mason, Mayo University of Pennsylvania; Tony Cai, University Clinic; Kenneth L. Johnson, Mayo Clinic; K. of Pennsylvania Sreekumaran Nair, Mayo Clinic; H. Robert Bergen, Mayo Clinic Wednesday

Salt Lake City 173 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

9:50 a.m. An Approach to Infer Gene Interaction Networks— 8:50 a.m. A Nonparametric Time Reversibility Test Based on ❖Alina Andrei, University of Wisconsin- U-Statistics—❖Nusrat Jahan, James Madison Madison; Christina Kendziorski, University of University; Yuji Tomita, James Madison University Wisconsin-Madison 9:05 a.m. Asymptotic Properties of Discrete Fourier 10:05 a.m. Cluster-Based Phenotype Construction for Linkage Transforms of Spatial Processes—❖Soutir Heterogeneity—❖Cavan Reilly, Th e University of Bandyopadhyay, Texas A&M University; Minnesota Soumendra N. Lahiri, Texas A&M University 9:20 a.m. Adaptive Density Estimation Under Dependence— 381 CC-150 D-F ❖Olivier Wintenberger, SAMOS; Irene Gannaz, ● ✪ Bayesian Methods in the Social Sciences— University Joseph Fourier Contributed 9:35 a.m. Model Selection for Multivariate Smoothing Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Splines with Correlated Random Errors—❖Eren Chair(s): Messan C. Setodji, RAND Corporation Demirhan, North Carolina State University; Hao 8:35 a.m. A Bayesian Method for IRT Model Selection— Zhang, North Carolina State University ❖Sherwin Toribio, University of Wisconsin-La 9:50 a.m. An Entropy-derived Measurement of Dependence Crosse Between Two Groups of Random Variables— 8:50 a.m. A New Bayesian Approach for Misidentiﬁ cation ❖Nan Kong, Educational Testing Services with Applications for Survey Data—Simon 10:05 a.m. One-Sample Location Tests for Multilevel Cheng, University of Connecticut; ❖Yingmei Data—❖Denis Larocque, HEC Montreal; Jaakko Xi, University of Connecticut; Ming-Hui Chen, Nevalainen, University of Tampere; Hannu Oja, University of Connecticut University of Tampere 9:05 a.m. Model-Based Clustering of non-Gaussian Longitudinal Data—❖Miguel Juarez, University of Warwick; Mark F. J. Steel, University of 383 CC-251 F Warwick ● Health Risk and Exposure Assessment— 9:20 a.m. Markov Chain Monte Carlo–Based Mixture Contributed Modeling Applications in Psychometrics— Section on Risk Analysis ❖Dipendra Subedi, Michigan State University Chair(s): Edmund Lau, Exponent, Inc. 9:35 a.m. Bayesian Analysis of Repeated Behaviors Using 8:35 a.m. Bayesian Exposure Assessment for Pesticide Event-Dependent Frailty Models—❖Getachew Intake from Multiple Food Products—❖Ayona Dagne, University of South Florida Chatterjee, University of West Georgia; Graham 9:50 a.m. A Joint Multivariate Ordered Probit and Tobit Horgan, Biomathematics & Statistics of Scotland; Modeling of Households’ Vehicle Choice and Usage— Chris Th eobald, University of Edinburgh ❖ Hao Fang, University of California, Irvine 8:50 a.m. The Application of the Benchmark Approach 10:05 a.m. Fusion, Pro and Con: Model-Based Fusion of to the Study of the Joint Effect of Mixtures of MaxDiff and Ratings Data to Put Respondent Air Pollutants—❖David Svendsgaard, U.S. Choice Parameters on a Common Scale and Environmental Protection Agency Consistency with Random Utility Theory—❖Peter 9:05 a.m. Bayesian Analysis of Physiologically Based Lenk, Th e University of Michigan; Lynd Bacon, Pharmacokinetics Modeling of Perchloroethylene Lynd Bacon Associates in Humans—❖Junshan Qiu, University of Georgia 382 CC-250 A 9:20 a.m. Parametric Modeling of Melanoma Prognoses: ✪ Nonparametric Inference for Correlated Data— An Alternative to the Cox Regression Model— Contributed ❖Shouluan Ding, Th e University of Alabama Section on Nonparametric Statistics at Birmingham; Huiyi Lin, Th e University of Chair(s): Mikyoung Jun, Texas A&M University Alabama at Birmingham; Renee Desmond, 8:35 a.m. Spectral-Based Tests for Periodicities—❖Lai Wei, Th e University of Alabama at Birmingham; Th e Ohio State University; Peter F. Craigmile, Seng-jaw Soong, Th e University of Alabama at Th e Ohio State University Birmingham

174 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

9:35 a.m. A Bayesian Network-Driven Approach for 385 CC-254 B Quantitative Risk Assessment of Foreign Body Creating Cognitive Thinking Opportunities in Injuries in Children—❖Cecilia Scarinzi, Introductory Statistics Classes—Contributed Università degli Studi di Torino; Paola Section on Statistical Education, Section on Teaching Statistics in the Berchialla, University of Torino; Silvia Snidero, Health Sciences S&A S.r.l.; Alexander Stancu, University of Chair(s): Josephine Hamer, Western Connecticut State University Torino; Roberto Corradetti, University of Torino; Dario Gregori, University of Torino 8:35 a.m. Shades of Gray: Ambiguity Tolerance and Inferential Thinking—❖Robert Carver, Stonehill 9:50 a.m. Confi dence Intervals for Quantiles Using College Generalized Lambda Distributions—❖Steve Yu Shuo Su, Th e George Institute for International 8:50 a.m. Using Student-Generated Survey Data To Reinforce Health Basic Concepts of Introductory Statistics— ❖Elizabeth Walters, Loyola College in Maryland 10:05 a.m. Floor Discussion 9:05 a.m. How Much Mathematics Is Appropriate in a Modern Statistics Course?—❖Brian E. Smith, 384 CC-155 A McGill University ● ✪ Graphs and Networks—Contributed 9:20 a.m. Misconceptions in Interpreting Center and Section on Statistical Computing, Section on Government Statistics, Variability in Graphical Representations—❖Linda Section on Statistical Graphics, Section on Statisticians in Defense and Cooper, Towson University; Felice Shore, National Security Towson University Chair(s): Stanley Wasserman, Indiana University Wednesday 9:35 a.m. College Students’ Intuitive Reasoning About 8:35 a.m. Structural Learning of Chain Graphs via Variation of Sample Mean—❖Carl Lee, Central ❖ Decomposition— Zongming Ma, Stanford Michigan University; Maria Meletiou- University; Xianchao Xie, Harvard University; Mavrotheris, Cyprus College Zhi Geng, Peking University 9:50 a.m. Observational Creativity: Statistical Reasoning 8:50 a.m. A Statistical Social Network Approach to Computer and the Dead Sea Scrolls—❖Donald Bentley, ❖ Network Optimization— Hadi Rezazad; Yasmin Pomona College H. Said, George Mason University; Edward 10:05 a.m. Discovering the Underlying Themes of Statistical Wegman, George Mason University Models—❖Steve Wang, Swarthmore College 9:05 a.m. Scale-Free Origin-Destination Flow Statistics Estimation in a High-Speed Network—❖Aiyou Chen, Alcatel-Lucent; Jin Cao, Bell Labs; Tian 386 CC-251 B Bu, Bell Labs Space-Time Modeling—Contributed 9:20 a.m. Style of Author-Coauthorship Social Networks: Section on Statistics and the Environment, General Methodology, Section Statisticians of Prominent U.S. Universities— on Statisticians in Defense and National Security ❖Walid Sharabati, George Mason University; Chair(s): Lisa Madsen, Oregon State University Yasmin H. Said, George Mason University; 8:35 a.m. Characterizing the Dependence Structure of Space- Edward Wegman, George Mason University Time Processes Using Computer-Model Output and 9:35 a.m. Partitioning the Sample Space on Five Taxa for the Sparse Observations—❖Candace Berrett, Th e Neighbor Joining Algorithm—❖Ruriko Yoshida, Ohio State University; Catherine A. Calder, Th e University of Kentucky; Kord Eickmeyer, Ohio State University; Tao Shi, Th e Ohio State Institute fi r Informatik, Humboldt-Universitat University zu Berlin 8:50 a.m. Bayesian Hierarchical Models for Extreme Values 9:50 a.m. Destratifi ed Importance Sampling—❖Joseph Observed over Space and Time—❖Huiyan Sang, Blitzstein, Harvard University Duke University; Alan E. Gelfand, Duke University 10:05 a.m. Process Modeling To Explain Ordinal Categorical Data—❖Simone Gray, Duke University; Alan E. Gelfand, Duke University

Salt Lake City 175 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

9:05 a.m. Semiparametric Zero-Infl ated Poisson Models for University; Shili Lin, Th e Ohio State University ❖ Spatio-Temporal Environmental Processes— Ali 9:35 a.m. Regression Models for Paired Censored Arab, University of Missouri-Columbia; Exponential and Gamma Distributions—❖Michael Christopher K. Wikle, University of Missouri- P. Jones, Macquarie University; Don R. McNeil, Columbia; Scott Holan, University of Missouri- Macquarie University Columbia 9:50 a.m. Modeling a Cross-Sectional Response Variable 9:20 a.m. A Spatial-Temporal Point Process Model for with Longitudinal Predictors: An Example of Pulse ❖ Nowcasting Radar Refl ectivities— Yong Song, Pressure and Pulse Wave Velocity—❖Veena University of Missouri-Columbia; Christopher Shetty, National Institutes of Health; Christopher K. Wikle, University of Missouri-Columbia Morrell, Loyola College in Maryland; Samer S. 9:35 a.m. Identifi cation of Pollution Source Directions via Najjar, National Institutes of Health ❖ MCMC— Basil Williams, Brigham Young 10:05 a.m. ROC Analysis for Longitudinal Disease Diagnostic University; William Christensen, Brigham Data Without a Gold Standard Test—❖Chong Young University Wang, Cornell University; Bruce W. Turnbull, 9:50 a.m. Bias in the Estimation of Self-Exciting Point Cornell University; Yrjö T. Gröhn, Cornell Process Models for Earthquake Occurrences— University; Søren S. Nielsen, Th e Royal ❖Annie Chu, University of California, Los Veterinary and Agricultural University Angeles; Frederic Paik Schoenberg, University of California, Los Angeles; Alejandro Veen, IBM T.J. Watson Research Center 388 CC-155 E ● Topics in Survey and Census Redesigns— 10:05 a.m. An Application of Voronoi Diagrams to Modeling Earthquake Catalogs—❖Christopher Barr, Contributed University of California, Los Angeles; Frederic Section on Survey Research Methods Paik Schoenberg, University of California, Los Chair(s): Ismael Flores Cervantes, Westat Angeles 8:35 a.m. Strategic Directions for the 2011 Canadian Census of Population—❖David Dolson, Statistics Canada; Normand Laniel, Statistics Canada 387 CC-250 D ● 8:50 a.m. Alternative Allocation Designs for a Highly Bayesian Methods and Applications in Stratifi ed Establishment Survey—❖Ernest Epidemiology—Contributed Lawley, Bureau of Labor Statistics Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Section on Teaching Statistics in the Health Sciences, Section on Health Policy Statistics 9:05 a.m. Sampling with Uncertain Frame Counts: Challenges in Sampling Head Start Children Chair(s): Bo Cai, University of South Carolina for the FACES Study—❖Barbara L. Carlson, 8:35 a.m. HIV Dynamics and Natural History Studies: Joint Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. Modeling with Interval-Censored Event Times 9:20 a.m. Sample Design Research for the National Home and Sparse Longitudinal Data—❖Li Su, Brown and Hospice Care Survey—❖Karen Davis, University; Joseph W. Hogan, Brown University National Center for Health Statistics; Iris 8:50 a.m. Covariate-Adjusted Constrained Bayes Predictions Shimizu, National Center for Health Statistics of Random Intercepts and Slopes—❖Robert 9:35 a.m. Sample Design of the Canadian Health Measures Lyles, Emory University; Renee Moore, Survey—❖Sarah M. Dion, Statistics Canada University of Pennsylvania; Amita K. Manatunga, Emory University; Kirk Easley, 9:50 a.m. Sampling and Estimation Issues in the Redesign Emory University of the Canadian Survey of Household Spending— ❖Christian Nadeau, Statistics Canada 9:05 a.m. Family-Based Case-Control Studies—❖Li Zhang, Th e Cleveland Clinic; Bhramar Mukherjee, 10:05 a.m. Sample Redesign for the FDIC’s Asset Valuation University of Michigan Review—❖David W. Chapman, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation 9:20 a.m. Association Test Using Pedigree and Multilocus Data with Missing Genotypes and Population Structure—❖Jie Ding, Th e Ohio State

176 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel Wednesday

Salt Lake City 177 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

389 CC-155 B Bubb, Brigham Young University; Bruce Brown, ● Survey Estimation and Inference—Contributed Brigham Young University Section on Survey Research Methods 9:20 a.m. Comparing Factor Loadings in Exploratory Chair(s): James R. Chromy, RTI International Factor Analysis: Comparison of Asymptotic and ❖ 8:35 a.m. Design Effects of Sampling Frames in Randomization Tests— Holmes Finch, Ball State Establishment Surveys of Small Populations— University; Brian French, Purdue University Monroe Sirken, National Center for Health 9:35 a.m. Extensions to Latent Cluster Models for Social Statistics; ❖Iris Shimizu, National Center for Networks—❖Pavel Krivitsky, University of Health Statistics Washington; Mark S. Handcock, University 8:50 a.m. Variance Estimation for Statistical Matching Using of Washington; Adrian E. Raftery, University Multiple Imputation—❖James Reilly, University of of Washington; Peter D. Hoﬀ , University of Auckland Washington ❖ 9:05 a.m. Using Bootstrap Variance Calculations for a 9:50 a.m. Estimating Personal Network Size— Tyler Survey with a Simple Design: The Case of the H. McCormick, University of Connecticut; 2005 National Survey of the Work and Health of Tian Zheng, Columbia University; Matthew J. Nurses—❖Gildas Kleim, Statistics Canada; Yves Salganik, Columbia University Bélanger, Statistics Canada 10:05 a.m. Floor Discussion 9:20 a.m. Balanced Repeated Replication Variance Estimates from the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey 1996–2003 Household Component—❖Dan Liao, University of Maryland Invited Sessions 10:30 a.m.–12:20 p.m. 9:35 a.m. Application of the Bootstrap Method in the International Price Program—❖Patrick Bobbitt, 391 CC-155 D Bureau of Labor Statistics; Steven P. Paben, ● Statistical Consulting in Games and Sports Bureau of Labor Statistics; Moon Jung Cho, Organizations—Invited Bureau of Labor Statistics; James A. Himelein Section on Statistics in Sports, Section on Statistical Consulting Jr., Bureau of Labor Statistics; Te-Ching Chen, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Lawrence Ernst, Organizer(s): Mark E. Glickman, Boston University Bureau of Labor Statistics Chair(s): Eric T. Bradlow, University of Pennsylvania 9:50 a.m. Floor Discussion 10:35 a.m. Prediction of Hitting Performance in Baseball— ❖Shane T. Jensen, University of Pennsylvania 11:00 a.m. It’s All Fair Game: Consulting for an Online 390 CC-251 C Competitive Entertainment Company—❖Mark E. ● Model Speciﬁ cation, Estimation, and Glickman, Boston University Evaluation—Contributed 11:25 a.m. Academic Sports Radio: Construction of Social Statistics Section Interpretable and Valid Metrics for Sports Chair(s): Frank J. Potter, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. Consulting—❖C. Shane Reese, Brigham Young 8:35 a.m. A New Model for Interaction Effects—❖David University Weakliem, University of Connecticut 11:50 a.m. Disc: David H. Annis, Wachovia Corporation ❖ 8:50 a.m. Linear Information Models: A Prototype— Philip 12:10 p.m. Floor Discussion E. Cheng, Academia Sinica; Jiun W. Liou, Academia Sinica; Michelle Liou, Academia Sinica; John Aston, Academia Sinica 9:05 a.m. How Many Factors? A Strategy for Identifying Latent Structure in Factor Analysis—❖Mitchell Harris, Brigham Young University; Michael K. Lauritzen, Brigham Young University; Landon Poppleton, Brigham Young University; Robert

178 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

392 CC-355 F 394 CC-251 F ● ✪ Analyses and Applications in High-Throughput ● ✪ Understanding and Measurement of Human Screening Assays—Invited Capital—Invited Biopharmaceutical Section, WNAR Social Statistics Section, Section on Survey Research Methods Organizer(s): Xiaohua (Douglas) Zhang, Merck & Co., Inc. Organizer(s): Juanita Tamayo Lott, U.S. Census Bureau Chair(s): Xiaodong (Eric) Wu, Johnson & Johnson PRD Chair(s): Daniel H. Weinberg, U.S. Census Bureau 10:35 a.m. High Throughput Screening (HTS) for Lead and 10:35 a.m. The Whole Is Greater than the Sum of Its Target Identiﬁ cation—❖Marc Ferrer, Merck & Parts: The U.S. Census Bureau Human Capital Co., Inc. Management Information System—❖Juanita 11:00 a.m. Testing for Excess Over Highest Single Agent with Tamayo Lott, U.S. Census Bureau; Tyra D. an Application to High-Throughput Screening— Smith, U.S. Census Bureau; Mark Holdrege, U.S. ❖John Peterson, GlaxoSmithKline Census Bureau 11:25 a.m. Simple Statistical Parameters but Quick Solutions 10:55 a.m. Measuring a Blended 21st-Century Work Force: ❖ in High-Throughput Screening Assays—❖Xiaohua Lessons from NASA— Stephen E. Chesley, (Douglas) Zhang, Merck & Co., Inc. National Aeronautics and Space Administration; Craig Conlin, National Aeronautics and Space 11:50 a.m. Applications of RNAi High-Throughput Screening Administration in Drug Discovery—❖Amy S. Espeseth, Merck & Co., Inc. 11:15 a.m. Accurately Measuring a Creative Economy— ❖Steven W. Pedigo, Greater Washington

12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion Wednesday Initiative 11:35 a.m. Water, Water Everywhere and Not a Drop to 393 CC-355 D Drink: Higher Education Access and Success ● ✪ Statistical Issues and Novel Models for Among America’s Growing Population of Under- Quantifying the Effects of Continuous Traits on Represented Students of Color—❖Walter R. Mortality: Examples from Obesity—Invited Allen, University of California, Los Angeles; Derek Mitchell, Stupski Foundation; Gloria ENAR, Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Section on Health Policy Gonzalez, University of California, Los Angeles Statistics, Biometrics Section, WNAR Organizer(s): Mai A. Elobeid, Th e University of Alabama at 11:55 a.m. Disc: Ivan P. Fellegi, Statistics Canada Birmingham 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion Chair(s): Mark Beasley, Th e University of Alabama at Birmingham 10:35 a.m. Methods for Correcting Regression Dilution 395 CC-355 E and Reverse Causation Biases in Regression- ● ✪ Mighty Nonparametrics—Invited Model Survival Analyses—❖James Greenberg, Noether Award Committee, General Methodology Brooklyn College Organizer(s): James Higgins, Kansas State University 10:55 a.m. Intentional Weight-Loss Effects on Mortality Rate Chair(s): James Higgins, Kansas State University Modeled as a Latent Variable Problem—❖Gary L. Gadbury, University of Missouri-Rolla 10:35 a.m. Nonparametric Modeling for Classiﬁ cation of High-Dimensional Data and Multiple Hypothesis 11:15 a.m. In Search of the Law of Mortality—❖S. Jay Testing—❖Peter Hall, Th e University of Olshansky, University of Illinois at Chicago Melbourne 11:35 a.m. Accounting for Unobserved Confounders via 11:20 a.m. Nonparametric Hierarchical Models—❖Ciprian Data Augmentation—❖David B. Allison, Th e M. Crainiceanu, Th e Johns Hopkins University University of Alabama at Birmingham 12:05 p.m. Floor Discussion 11:55 a.m. Disc: Joseph Cappelleri, Pﬁ zer Inc. 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion

Salt Lake City 179 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

396 CC-150 D-F 398 CC-155 F Statistical Models and Methods for Microarray ✪ New Developments on Quantile Regression— Data—Invited Invited IMS, Biometrics Section, Biopharmaceutical Section, WNAR IMS Organizer(s): Cun-Hui Zhang, Rutgers University Organizer(s): Xuming He, University of Illinois Chair(s): Cun-Hui Zhang, Rutgers University Chair(s): Stephen Portnoy, University of Illinois 10:35 a.m. Inferences on the Proportion of Non-Null Effects in 10:35 a.m. Bayesian Model-Based Approaches to Large-Scale Multiple Comparisons—❖Jiashun Jin, Semiparametric and Nonparametric Quantile Purdue University Regression—❖Athanasios Kottas, University 11:05 a.m. Epigenomics: Some Statistical Applications— of California, Santa Cruz; Milovan Krnjajic, ❖Rafael Irizarry, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory; School of Public Health Matthew Taddy, University of California, Santa Cruz 11:35 a.m. Simultaneous Subset Selection via Rate-Distortion Theory with Applications to Clustering and 11:00 a.m. Some Recent Advances in Computing Regularized ❖ Signiﬁ cance Analysis of Gene Expression Data— Quantile Regression Models— Ji Zhu, University ❖Rebecka Jornsten, Rutgers University of Michigan 12:05 p.m. Floor Discussion 11:25 a.m. Learnability and Robustness of Nonparametric Quantile Regression—❖Andreas Christmann, Free University of Brussels VUB; Ingo Steinwart, 397 CC-155 A Los Alamos National Laboratory ● ✪ Causal Methods: Advances and Applications in 11:50 a.m. Conditional Quantile Estimation for GARCH Health—Invited Models—❖Zhijie Xiao, Boston College Section on Health Policy Statistics, Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion Section on Teaching Statistics in the Health Sciences, WNAR Organizer(s): Amelia Haviland, RAND Corporation Chair(s): Jason Connor, Berry Consultants 399 CC-Ballroom B 10:35 a.m. Gangs and Teen Violence: A Matched Analysis Wald Lecture II—Invited Using Trajectory Groups and Propensity Scores— IMS, General Methodology, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science ❖Amelia Haviland, RAND Corporation; Organizer(s): Tony Cai, University of Pennsylvania Daniel Nagin, Carnegie Mellon University; Paul Chair(s): Luis R. Pericchi, University of Puerto Rico, San Juan Rosenbaum, University of Pennsylvania 10:35 a.m. Model Selection: Multiplicities and 11:00 a.m. Causal Inference of Nonrandomized Treatment Approximations—❖James Berger, Duke Effects—❖Heejung Bang, Cornell University; University Yolanda Barrón, Cornell University 11:40 a.m. Disc: Susie Bayarri, University of Valencia 11:25 a.m. Dealing with Control Group Drop-Out: Using 12:00 p.m. Floor Discussion Historical Patient Information to Supplement a Randomized Trial—❖Elizabeth A. Stuart, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health; 400 CC-355 B Donald B. Rubin, Harvard University; Samantha ● Frailty Models for Survival Analysis—Invited Cook, Google Biometrics Section, ENAR, Section on Risk Analysis 11:50 a.m. Propensity Scores and Multiple Treatments: An Organizer(s): Xuelin Huang, Th e University of Texas M. D. Anderson Application to Beneﬁ ciary Evaluations from the Cancer Center Medicare CAHPS Surveys—❖Marc N. Elliott, Chair(s): Lei Liu, University of Virginia RAND Corporation; Amelia Haviland, RAND 10:35 a.m. Semiparametric Approaches for the Analysis of Corporation Multilevel Failure Time Data—❖Joanna H. Shih, 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion National Cancer Institute; Shou-En Lu, University of Medicine and Dentistry of New Jersey

180 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

11:00 a.m. Frailty Models for Survival Data with Informative 11:35 a.m. Assessing Interventions Related to HIV Incidents Censoring—❖Xuelin Huang, Th e University Under the Infl uence of Ethanol—Yasmin H. Said, of Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer Center; George Mason University; ❖Edward Wegman, Robert Wolfe, University of Michigan; Lei Liu, George Mason University University of Virginia 12:05 p.m. Floor Discussion 11:25 a.m. Goodness-of-Fit for Frailty Models—❖John Klein, Medical College of Wisconsin 403 CC-255 E 11:50 a.m. Disc: Michael Kosorok, Th e University of North ● ✪ Advances in Statistical Quality Improvement— Carolina at Chapel Hill Invited 12:10 p.m. Floor Discussion Section on Quality and Productivity, Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences 401 CC-150 G Organizer(s): Joe Sullivan, Mississippi State University ● ✪ Remote Sensing in Environmental Statistics— Chair(s): Joe Sullivan, Mississippi State University Invited 10:35 a.m. Bayesian Modeling of Accelerated Life Tests with Section on Statistics and the Environment, Section on Statisticians in Random Effects—Ramon V. Leon, University Defense and National Security of Tennessee; ❖Avery J. Ashby, BlueCross Organizer(s): Tao Shi, Th e Ohio State University BlueShield of Tennessee Chair(s): Tao Shi, Th e Ohio State University 11:00 a.m. A Control Chart for the Coeffi cient of Variation— ❖ 10:35 a.m. Markov Random Fields, Remote Sensing, and Chang W. Kang, Hanyang University; Man S. Wednesday Predicting Crop Yields—❖Stephan Sain, National Lee, LG Philips LCD; Young J. Seong, Gyenggi Center for Atmospheric Research Research Institute; Douglas M. Hawkins, Th e University of Minnesota 10:55 a.m. Nonstationary Covariance Models for TOMS Ozone Data—❖Mikyoung Jun, Texas A&M University 11:25 a.m. An Optimal Filter Design Approach to Statistical Process Control—❖Daniel W. Apley, 11:15 a.m. Understanding Large-Scale Structure in Massive Northwestern University; Chang-Ho Chin, Remote-Sensing Datasets—❖Amy Braverman, Kyung Hee University Jet Propulsion Laboratory 11:50 a.m. The Rate of False Signals in X-bar Control Charts 11:35 a.m. Space-Time Modeling of Biomass Burning and with Estimated Limits—❖Diane P. Bischak, Regional Aerosols in Southeast Asia—❖Catherine University of Calgary; Dan Trietsch, American A. Calder, Th e Ohio State University; Tao Shi, University of Armenia Th e Ohio State University 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion 11:55 a.m. Disc: Eric D. Kolaczyk, Boston University 12:05 p.m. Disc: Bin Yu, University of California, Berkeley 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion 404 CC-150 A-C 2007 ASA Educational Ambassadorship—Invited Committee on International Relations in Statistics 402 CC-251 A Organizer(s): Demissie Alemayehu, Pfi zer Inc. Applications in Computational Biostatistics— Chair(s): Martha Aliaga, American Statistical Association Invited 10:35 a.m. Challenges with Statistical Education in Developing Section on Statistical Computing, ENAR Countries: A Case Study—❖Eshetu Wencheko, Organizer(s): Yasmin H. Said, George Mason University Alpha University College Chair(s): Yasmin H. Said, George Mason University 12:00 p.m. Floor Discussion 10:35 a.m. Application of the State-Space Modeling Paradigm in Neuroscience Data Analysis—Emery N. Brown, Massachusetts General Hospital; ❖Uri Eden, Boston University 11:05 a.m. The Use of Distances in Surveillance—❖Marcello Pagano, Harvard University

Salt Lake City 181 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

Invited Panels 10:30 a.m.–12:20 p.m. 10:55 a.m. A Local Goodness-of-Fit Diagnostic Based on the Log Determinant of the Sample Covariance Matrix—Tucker S. McElroy, U.S. Census Bureau; 405 CC-255 B ❖Scott Holan, University of Missouri-Columbia ● ✪ Estimating Nonresponse Bias in Light of the 11:15 a.m. Are Volatility Estimators Robust with Respect to New OMB Standards and Guidelines for Statistical Modeling Assumptions?—❖Yingying Li, Th e Surveys—Invited University of Chicago; Per A. Mykland, Th e Section on Government Statistics, Section on Survey Research Methods, University of Chicago Social Statistics Section 11:35 a.m. Covariance Estimation for Nonsynchronous Organizer(s): Roberta Sangster, Bureau of Labor Statistics High-Frequency Data with Microstructure Noise— Chair(s): Michael P. Battaglia, Abt Associates, Inc. ❖Qiuyan Xu, University of California, Davis; Panelists: ❖ J. Michael Brick, Westat Rituparna Sen, University of California, Davis ❖ Robert M. Groves, University of Michigan 11:55 a.m. On Diagnostic Checking for Mixture Autoregressive ❖ Brian Harris-Kojetin, Offi ce of Management Time Series—❖Qin Shao, University of Toledo and Budget 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion 408 CC-255 A 406 CC-251 E ● ✪ Interacting with the FDA in Medical Device The 20/20 of Statistical Education-Where We’ve Pre-Market Applications: From Pre-IDE to PMA Been and Where We’re Going—Invited Submission—Topic-Contributed Section on Statistical Education, Section on Teaching Statistics in the Biopharmaceutical Section, WNAR Health Sciences Organizer(s): Lilly Yue, U.S. Food and Drug Administration Organizer(s): Patti Collings, Brigham Young University Chair(s): Yao Huang, U.S. Food and Drug Administration Chair(s): Brad Hartlaub, Kenyon College 10:35 a.m. Challenges in Trial Design for the Next Generation Panelists: ❖ Jeff Witmer, Oberlin College Drug-Eluting Stents—❖Zheng Zhou, Boston ❖ Allan Rossman, California Polytechnic State Scientifi c Corporation; Peter Lam, Boston University Scientifi c Corporation ❖ Jessica Utts, University of California, Davis 10:55 a.m. Pre-PMA Meetings with the FDA in Medical Device ❖ George Cobb, Mount Holyoke College Submissions—Greg Campbell, U.S. Food and Drug Administration; Gerry Gray, U.S. Food and 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion Drug Administration; ❖Lilly Yue, U.S. Food and Drug Administration 11:15 a.m. Some Thoughts on the Variables in Topic-Contributed Sessions Communications on Medical Device Studies 10:30 a.m.–12:20 p.m. Between the Sponsor and the FDA from the View of the Statistical Consultant—❖Dennis King, STATKING Consulting, Inc. 407 CC-250 A 11:35 a.m. One Statistician’s Thoughts on Nonstatistical ● Seasonality and Statistics in Finance—Topic- Issues That Affect Statistical Considerations in Contributed Medical Device Studies—❖Alicia Toledano, Business and Economics Statistics Section Biostatistics Consulting, LLC Organizer(s): Tucker S. McElroy, U.S. Census Bureau; Rituparna Sen, 11:55 a.m. Disc: Greg Campbell, U.S. Food and Drug University of California, Davis Administration Chair(s): Tucker S. McElroy, U.S. Census Bureau 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion 10:35 a.m. Seasonal Heteroscedasticity in Time Series: Modeling, Estimation, and Testing—❖William R. Bell, U.S. Census Bureau; Th omas M. Trimbur, Federal Reserve Board

182 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

409 CC-255 C State University; Mary Putt, University of ● Topics in Crossover Trial Design and Analysis— Pennsylvania Topic-Contributed 11:55 a.m. Disc: Vernon Chinchilli, Th e Pennsylvania State Biopharmaceutical Section, WNAR, Section on Statistical Consulting, ENAR University Organizer(s): Mary Putt, University of Pennsylvania 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion Chair(s): Mary Putt, University of Pennsylvania 10:35 a.m. Carryover Effects in Crossover Designs—❖John 410 CC-250 EF Stufken, University of Georgia ● ✪ Bayesian Applications Using Structured 10:55 a.m. Optimal and Efﬁ cient Crossover Designs for Stochastic Models—Topic-Contributed Comparing Test Treatments to a Control Treatment Section on Bayesian Statistical Science ❖ Under Various Models— Min Yang, University Organizer(s): Marco Ferreira, University of Missouri-Columbia of Missouri-Columbia; John Stufken, University Chair(s): Ana Rappold, Duke University of Georgia 10:35 a.m. Evolutionary Markov Chain Monte Carlo Algorithms 11:15 a.m. Optimal Crossover Designs: Investigating the Role for Expected Utility Maximization—❖Marco of Baseline Measurements—❖Yuanyuan Liang, Ferreira, University of Missouri-Columbia; University of Alberta; Kimmie C. Carriere, Ramiro Ruiz, Universidade Federal do Rio de University of Alberta Janeiro; Alexandra Schmidt, Universidade 11:35 a.m. A Robust Bayesian Analysis of a Crossover Trial Federal do Rio de Janeiro in Smoking Cessation—❖Pulak Ghosh, Georgia Wednesday

Salt Lake City 183 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

10:55 a.m. Bayesian Analysis of Inverse Gaussian Models for 412 CC-251 B Response Time—❖Paul Speckman, University ● ✪ Applications of Nonparametric Smoothing to of Missouri-Columbia; Yue Yu, University of Spatial and Temporal Data—Topic-Contributed Missouri-Columbia; Jeff rey Rouder, University Section on Nonparametric Statistics, ENAR of Missouri-Columbia Organizer(s): Lijian Yang, Michigan State University 11:15 a.m. High-Resolution Space-Time Ozone Modeling for Chair(s): Lijian Yang, Michigan State University Assessing Trends—❖Sujit Sahu, University of 10:35 a.m. Generalized Semiparametric Linear Mixed Effects Southampton Models—❖Tatiyana Apanasovich, Cornell University 11:35 a.m. Bayesian Model Selection by Smoothly Clipped Nonparametric Transfer Function Models: A Continuous Priors—❖Sounak Chakraborty, 10:55 a.m. Polynomial Spline Approach—❖Jun Liu, Georgia University of Missouri-Columbia Southern University; Jing Wang, University of ❖ 11:55 a.m. A Reference Prior for AR(2) Models— Shawn Ni, Illinois at Chicago University of Missouri-Columbia; Dongchu Sun, Kernel Estimation of Multivariate Cumulative University of Missouri-Columbia 11:15 a.m. Distribution Function—❖Rong Liu, Michigan State 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion University; Lijian Yang, Michigan State University 11:35 a.m. Disc: Jane Harvill, Baylor University 411 CC-250 C 11:55 a.m. Floor Discussion ● ✪ Image Analysis in Solar and Astrophysics— Topic-Contributed Section on Bayesian Statistical Science 413 CC-254 B ● Organizer(s): David van Dyk, University of California, Irvine; Th omas The Statistician’s Contribution to Fact-Finding in C.M. Lee, Th e Chinese University of Hong Kong; Yaming Yu, University Law—Topic-Contributed of California, Irvine Section on Statistical Consulting Chair(s): Yaming Yu, University of California, Irvine Organizer(s): William B. Fairley, Analysis and Inference, Inc. 10:35 a.m. Astronomical Imaging Using the GLAST Large-Area Chair(s): Alan J. Izenman, Temple University Telescope—❖James Chiang, Stanford University 10:35 a.m. Proof of Changepoints in Securities Prices 10:55 a.m. Fully Bayesian Analysis of Low-Count Astronomical Litigation: Use and Misuse of Event History ❖ Images—❖David van Dyk, University of California, Analysis— Kenneth Swartz, Analysis and Irvine; Alanna Connors, Eurika Scientifi c Inference, Inc.; Yulia R. Gel, University of Waterloo; R. Alan Miller, Philadelphia 11:15 a.m. Multiscale Solar Image Processing—❖C. Investment Bank; William B. Fairley, Analysis Alex Young, National Aeronautics and Space and Inference, Inc. Administration; Jack Ireland, ADNET Systems, Inc.; R. T. James McAteer, Catholic University 10:55 a.m. Bagging and Propensity Scores in Statistical of America; Peter T. Gallagher, Trinity College Learning to Assign Ownership of Unclaimed ❖ Dublin Property— Marc Sobel, Temple University/ Analysis and Inference, Inc.; Kenneth Swartz, 11:35 a.m. Automatic Detection and Classifi cation of Sunspot Analysis and Inference, Inc. Images—❖Th omas C.M. Lee, Th e Chinese University of Hong Kong; C. Alex Young, 11:15 a.m. Resolving a Multimillion Dollar Contract Dispute ❖ National Aeronautics and Space Administration with a Latin Square Design— Steven Crunk, San Jose State University; William B. Fairley, 11:55 a.m. How to Find Loops in the Solar Corona—❖Vinay Analysis and Inference, Inc.; Marian Hofer, L. Kashyap, Harvard-Smithsonian Center for California State University, East Bay; Peter J. Astrophysics; Julia Sandell, Barnard College; Kempthorne, Kempthorne Analytics, Inc. Th omas C.M. Lee, Th e Chinese University of Hong Kong 11:35 a.m. Statistical Assessment of the Fairness of a Firm’s Allocation of Shares in Initial Public Offerings— 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion ❖Efstathia Bura, George Washington University 11:55 a.m. Disc: William B. Fairley, Analysis and Inference, Inc. 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion

184 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel Wednesday

Salt Lake City 185 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

414 CC-155 B 10:55 a.m. A Multiscale Model of HIV Dynamics Linking Use of Measures Related to the Survey Variables in In-Host Processes with Virus Spread in Human Post-Survey Adjustment for Nonresponse—Topic- Populations—❖Lilit Yeghiazarian, University Contributed of California, Los Angeles; William G. Cumberland, University of California, Los Section on Survey Research Methods, Social Statistics Section Angeles; Otto Yang, University of California, Organizer(s): Andy Peytchev, RTI International Los Angeles Chair(s): Kristen Olson, University of Michigan 11:15 a.m. A Stochastic Model of HIV Escape from the 10:35 a.m. Preliminary Assessment of the Impact of Health Cytotoxic T Lymphocyte Response—❖Elissa Variables on Nonresponse Adjustment in the Schwartz, Washington State University; Lisette Medical Expenditure Panel Survey (MEPS)— G. De Pillis, Harvey Mudd College; William ❖ Trena Ezzati-Rice, Agency for Healthcare G. Cumberland, University of California, Los Research and Quality; Lap-Ming Wun, Agency Angeles; Otto Yang, University of California, for Healthcare Research and Quality Los Angeles 10:55 a.m. Using Interviewer Observations To Improve 11:35 a.m. Application of a Model with Two Types of CTL ❖ Nonresponse Adjustments: NES 2004— Andy Regulation to Shiv Vaccination Trials—❖Igor Peytchev, RTI International; Kristen Olson, Rouzine, Tufts University University of Michigan 11:55 a.m. Two-Way Hierarchical Phylogenetic Models: An 11:15 a.m. Use of Interviewer Judgments About Attributes of Application to HIV-1 Evolution During Fusion Selected Respondents in Post-Survey Adjustment Inhibitor Therapy—❖Christina Ramirez Kitchen, for Unit Nonresponse: An Illustration with the University of California, Los Angeles; Marc A. National Survey of Family Growth—Robert M. Suchard, University of California, Los Angeles Groves, University of Michigan; James Wagner, 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion University of Michigan; ❖Emilia Peytcheva, University of Michigan 11:35 a.m. Using Proxy Measures of Survey Outcomes in Post-Survey Adjustments: Examples from the Consumer Expenditure Survey (CES) and the Contributed Sessions 10:30 a.m.–12:20 p.m. Los Angeles Neighborhood Observations Study (LA FANS)—❖Frauke Kreuter, University of 416 CC-260 Maryland; Carolina Casas-Cordero, University ● ✪ Gene Expression and Genomics—Contributed of Maryland Biometrics Section 11:55 a.m. Using Proxy Measures of the Survey Variables Chair(s): Brian S. Caﬀ o, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health in Post-Survey Adjustments in a Transportation 10:35 a.m. Genome Phylogeny Accommodating Lateral Gene Survey—❖Ting Yan, University of Michigan; Transfer—❖Hongmei Zhang, University of West Trivellore E. Raghunathan, University of Florida; Rohan Hemasinha, University of West Michigan Florida; Xun Gu, Iowa State University 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion 10:50 a.m. A Simulation Study of the Operating Characteristics of Statistical Analysis Plans for Genome-Wide 415 CC-254 A Association Studies—❖John Barnard, Th e ● ✪ Computationally Intensive Methods in AIDS Cleveland Clinic Research I—Topic-Contributed 11:05 a.m. Analyzing Data from Gene Expression in Neuronal WNAR, Biometrics Section, ENAR, Section on Health Policy Statistics, Sec- Activity—❖Xiaofeng Wang, Th e Cleveland Clinic tion on Statistics in Epidemiology 11:20 a.m. Mutation Detection in Exon Grouping Analysis— Organizer(s): Lilit Yeghiazarian, University of California, Los Angeles ❖Yuan Yuan, Harvard University; Xin Lu, Chair(s): Mark S. Handcock, University of Washington University of California, San Diego; Jun S. Liu, 10:35 a.m. Mathematical Modeling and Statistical Methods Harvard University; James D. Iglehart, Dana- for AIDS Translational Research from Benchside to Farber Cancer Institute; Alexander Miron, Bedside—❖Hulin Wu, University of Rochester Dana-Farber Cancer Institute

186 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

11:35 a.m. Gene-Gene and Gene-Environment Interactions 418 CC-355 C for Complex Traits—❖Qinyi Cheng, New York ● ✪ Adaptive Group Sequential Designs in Drug University; Mengling Liu, New York University; and Vaccine Development—Contributed Yongzhao Shao, New York University Biopharmaceutical Section 11:50 a.m. Characterization of Transcriptomes by Application Chair(s): Naitee Ting, Pfi zer Inc. of Reliability Analysis in Structural Genomics— ❖ 10:35 a.m. A Hybridized Two-Stage Design in an Ulcerative Fisseha Abebe, Clark Atlanta University; Colitis Pivotal Trial—❖Guohui Liu, Millennium William Seff ens, Clark Atlanta University Pharmaceuticals, Inc.; Mingxiu Hu, Millennium 12:05 p.m. Floor Discussion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. 10:50 a.m. Multiplicity Adjustment for Testing of Multiple Endpoints in Group Sequential Study Design— 417 CC-257 ❖ ● ✪ Jianming Wang, Amgen Inc.; Xiang Zhang, Applications of Semiparametric and Amgen Inc.; Chunlei Ke, Amgen Inc. Nonparametric Modeling Techniques—Contributed 11:05 a.m. Self-Designing Multiple Dose Study via Adaptive Biometrics Section, Section on Nonparametric Statistics Randomization—❖Lin Wang, sanofi -aventis; Lu Chair(s): Chunming Zhang, University of Wisconsin-Madison Cui, Eisai Medical Research Inc. 10:35 a.m. Weighted Fourier Series Analysis of Anatomical 11:20 a.m. Estimation Following an Adaptive Group Sequential ❖ Brain Structures— Shubing Wang, University of Test—❖Cyrus Mehta, Cytel Inc. Wisconsin-Madison 11:35 a.m. A Supremum Log-Rank Test for Adaptive Two-

10:50 a.m. A Semiparametric Empirical Likelihood Method for Stage Treatment Strategies and Corresponding Wednesday ROC Curve Regression of Ordinal Diagnostic Test Sample Size Formula—❖Wentao Feng, in the Presence of Veriﬁ cation Bias—❖Xiaofei University of Pittsburgh; Abdus S. Wahed, Wang, Duke University; Haibo Zhou, Th e University of Pittsburgh University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 11:50 a.m. Sample Size Re-estimation for Adaptive Sequential 11:05 a.m. A Novel Wavelet Approach for Denoising Mass Design in Clinical Trials—❖Ping Gao, Th e Spectrometry Data—❖Jaesik Jeong, Texas A&M Medicines Company; James H. Ware, Harvard University University 11:20 a.m. Nonparametric Quantiﬁ cation of Protein Lysate 12:05 p.m. On Group Sequential Adaptations in Vaccine Arrays—❖Jianhua Hu, Th e University of Texas Development—❖William Wang, Merck & Co., M. D. Anderson Cancer Center Inc.; Ivan Chan, Merck & Co., Inc.; Joseph 11:35 a.m. Semiparametric Two-Sample Changepoint Heyse, Merck & Co., Inc. Model—❖Zonghui Hu, National Institutes of Health; Jing Qin, National Institutes of Health; 419 CC-255 D Dean Follmann, National Institute of Allergy ● ✪ General Statistical Issues and the Role of and Infectious Diseases Statisticians in Medical Research—Contributed 11:50 a.m. Double Nonparametric Estimation for Relating Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section Dose Distributions to Scalar Outcomes— Chair(s): Xiaolei Li, GlaxoSmithKline ❖Matthew Schipper, University of Michigan; Jeremy Taylor, University of Michigan 10:35 a.m. The Role of the Statistician in Biomedical Research: Scientist, Shoe Clerk, or Hired Gun— 12:05 p.m. Asymptotic Theories in Multiple-Sample ❖Anthony Segreti, RTI Health Solutions Semiparametric Density Ratio Models— ❖ 10:50 a.m. Comparison of Predictive Values of Two Diagnostic Guanhua Lu, University of Maryland; ❖ Benjamin Kedem, University of Maryland Tests Using Conditional Model— Yoonjin Cho, North Carolina State University; Andrzej S. Kosinski, Duke University 11:05 a.m. Statistical Performance of Cladistic Strategies for Haplotype Grouping in Pharmacogenetics— ❖Jared Lunceford, Merck & Co., Inc.; Nancy Liu, Merck & Co., Inc.

Salt Lake City 187 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

11:20 a.m. Statistics in Translational Medicine—❖Dennis Health; Michael Schneider, Johns Hopkins Cosmatos, Wyeth; Shein-Chung Chow, Duke Bloomberg School of Public Health; Alvaro University Munoz, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of 11:35 a.m. Working for a Medical Device Company versus Public Health a Pharmaceutical Firm—❖Yanping Chang, Medtronic Inc. 421 CC-250 B 11:50 a.m. Assessment of the Placebo Effect in Quality-of- ● ✪ Bayesian Applications in Genomics— ❖ Life Evaluations— Jens Eickhoff , University of Contributed Wisconsin-Madison Section on Bayesian Statistical Science ❖ 12:05 p.m. On Errors in Stratifi cations— Chunlei Ke, Chair(s): Faming Liang, Texas A&M University Amgen Inc.; Jianming Wang, Amgen Inc.; Xiang 10:35 a.m. Bayesian Pathway Annotation Analysis of Zhang, Amgen Inc.; Qi Jiang, Amgen Inc.; Alan Genomewide Expression Profi les—❖Haige Shen, Rong, Amgen Inc.; Steven Snapinn, Amgen Inc. Duke University; Mike West, Duke University 10:50 a.m. A Bayesian Approach to Pool Multiple Datasets 420 CC-355 A for Periodically Expressed Genes Detection— ● ✪ Methods for Survival Analysis—Contributed ❖Xiaodan Fan, Harvard University; Jun S. Liu, ENAR, Section on Risk Analysis Harvard University Chair(s): Barbara Bailey, San Diego State University 11:05 a.m. Bayesian Nonparametric Clustering of Amino 10:35 a.m. Application of Survival Models to Vaccine Effi cacy Acid Usage Profi les—❖Daniel Merl, Cornell Evaluation—❖Barbara Krasnicka, U.S. Food and University Drug Administration; Sang Ahnn, U.S. Food and 11:20 a.m. A Fast Bayesian Method for eQTL Linkage Analysis Drug Administration in Experimental Crosses—❖Jinze Liu, Th e 10:50 a.m. An Adjusted Cumulative Incidence Function University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Estimator for Unbalanced Groups—❖Yongyun Fred Wright, Th e University of North Carolina Zhao, University of Pittsburgh; Chung-Chou H. at Chapel Hill; Fei Zou, Th e University of North Chang, University of Pittsburgh Carolina at Chapel Hill; Yu-Ling Chang, Th e 11:05 a.m. Robust Estimation in the Presence of Extreme University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Censoring—❖Ruta Bajorunaite, Marquette 11:35 a.m. Bayesian Variogram Modeling in a Metric Space— University; Vytaras Brazauskas, University of ❖Yan Zheng, sanofi -aventis; Cavan Reilly, Th e Wisconsin-Milwaukee University of Minnesota 11:20 a.m. Methods for Cox Regression with Nonclassical 11:50 a.m. A Bayesian Model for Genetic Association with Measurement Error in the Covariates with an Phenotype Defi ned in a Limited Range—❖Ling Application to Nutritional Epidemiology—❖Pamela Wang, Boston University; Vikki Nolan, Boston A. Shaw, National Institutes of Health; Ross L. University; Clinton Baldwin, Boston University; Prentice, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Martin Steinberg, Boston University; Paola Center Sebastiani, Boston University 11:35 a.m. Modeling Associations via Incidence Functions 12:05 p.m. Two-Way Clustering of DNA Microarray Data Using with Bivariate Competing Risks Data—❖Yu the Bayesian Plaid Model—❖Jiajun Gu, Harvard Cheng, University of Pittsburgh; Jason Fine, University; Jun Gu, Harvard University University of Wisconsin-Madison 11:50 a.m. A Generalized Bivariate Gamma Distribution and Its Characterization—❖Norou Diawara, Old Dominion University; Mark Carpenter, Auburn University 12:05 p.m. A Taxonomy of Hazards for the Generalized Gamma Distribution—❖Christopher Cox, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health; Haitao Chu, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public

188 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

422 CC-255 F 11:35 a.m. A Stationary Stochastic Approximation Algorithm ● ✪ Design and Analysis of Experiments— for Estimation in Generalized Linear Mixed Contributed Models—❖Sheng-Mao Chang, North Carolina Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences, Section on Quality and State University; John F. Monahan, North Productivity Carolina State University Chair(s): Charmaine Dean, Simon Fraser University 11:50 a.m. Generalized Estimating Equations for Nonlinear ❖ 10:35 a.m. Nested Space-Filling Designs for Experiments with Mixed Effect Model— Lawrence Lee, University Multiple Levels of Accuracy—❖Zhiguang Qian, of California, Davis; Jiming Jiang, University of University of Wisconsin-Madison California, Davis 10:50 a.m. Mixed Effects Models for Prediction of Tool Wear— 12:05 p.m. Floor Discussion ❖Arzu Onar, St. Jude Children’s Research Hospital 11:05 a.m. Geometric Equivalence of Symmetric Factorial 424 CC-251 D Designs—❖Tena Katsaounis, Th e Ohio State ● Surveillance, Identity, and Other Issues in University; Angela Dean, Th e Ohio State Defense Statistics—Contributed University; Cheryl Dingus, Battelle Section on Statisticians in Defense and National Security 11:20 a.m. Comparison of Slack Variable and Mixture Chair(s): Pranab Banerjee, Space Dynamics Laboratory ❖ Approaches for Mixture Experiments— Greg 10:35 a.m. Military Requirements Forecasting: A Reliability- Piepel, Battelle/PNNL Based Approach—❖Dennis Mathaisel, Babson 11:35 a.m. Optimal Foldovers of Minimum Aberration Even College ❖ Wednesday Designs— Robert W. Mee, University of 10:50 a.m. An Optimization Approach for Identity Matching Tennessee; Jihua Xiao, University of Tennessee in the Federal Sector—❖David Lloyd, MITRE 11:50 a.m. A Class of Optimal Three-Level Response Surface Corporation; Keith Miller, MITRE Corporation ❖ Designs— William Li, Th e University of 11:05 a.m. Addressing the Problem of Data Scarceness Minnesota; Xuan Lu, Tsinghua University in Risk Analysis with Hierarchical Coordinated 12:05 p.m. Projection Properties of Hadamard Designs and Bayesian Models—❖Zhenyu Yan, University of Their Application—❖Yingfu Li, University of Virginia; Yacov Y. Haimes, University of Virginia Houston-Clear Lake 11:20 a.m. An Environmental Sampling Model for Combining Judgment and Randomly Placed 423 CC-251 C Samples—❖Landon Sego, Pacifi c Northwest Estimation—Contributed National Laboratory; Anderson Kevin, Pacifi c Northwest National Laboratory; Brett Matzke, IMS, Section on Statistical Computing Pacifi c Northwest National Laboratory; Chair(s): Daryl Pregibon, Google Brent Pulsipher, Pacifi c Northwest National 10:35 a.m. A Generalized P-Value Approach to Inference on Laboratory; William K. Sieber, National ❖ Common Mean— Pranab K. Mitra, Bristol- Institute for Occupational Safety and Health; Myers Squibb Company Stanley Shulman, National Institute for 10:50 a.m. Implementation of an Extended Familial Correlation Occupational Safety and Health; Matt Gillen, Structure with Quasi-Least Squares—❖Jichun National Institute for Occupational Safety and Xie, University of Pennsylvania; Justine Shults, Health; James Bennett, National Institute for University of Pennsylvania Occupational Safety and Health; Wilson John, 11:05 a.m. On the Asymptotic Properties of the Signed Pacifi c Northwest National Laboratory; Richard Composite Likelihood Ratio Statistic—❖Zi Jin, Gilbert, Pacifi c Northwest National Laboratory University of Toronto; Nancy Reid, University of 11:35 a.m. Unveiling Signifi cant Patterns in High-Speed Toronto Networks—❖Jin Cao, Bell Labs; Tian Bu, Bell 11:20 a.m. Preferred Distribution Function for Estimating Labs; Aiyou Chen, Alcatel-Lucent; Patrick Lee, P(Y< X)—❖Mohammed A. Shayib, Prairie View Columbia University A&M University; Aliakbar Haghighi, Prairie 11:50 a.m. Floor Discussion View A&M University

Salt Lake City 189 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

425 CC-250 D Zhou, RTI International; Beth Sherrill, RTI Modeling and Evaluating Customer Behavior— International; Jianmin Wang, RTI Health Contributed Solutions Section on Statistics and Marketing 11:05 a.m. Systolic Blood Pressure in Childhood Predicts Chair(s): Peter Boatwright, Carnegie Mellon University Hypertension and Metabolic Syndrome Later in Life—❖Shumei Sun, Wright State University; 10:35 a.m. A Bayesian Approach for the Multidimensional Ruohong Liang, Wright State University Scaling of Ordered Preference Data—❖Duncan K.H. Fong, Th e Pennsylvania State University 11:20 a.m. Modeling Correlated Longitudinal Processes with Some Processes Partially Observed—❖Qilu Yu, 10:50 a.m. Quantifying the Indirect Effects of a Marketing Th e Johns Hopkins University; Laurel Beckett, Contact—❖Dingxi Qiu, Northwestern University; University of California, Davis; David Bennett, Edward C. Malthouse, Northwestern University; Rush University; Robert Wilson, Rush University Ajit Tamhane, Northwestern University 11:35 a.m. Assessing Trend in Longitudinal Data— 11:05 a.m. Development of Personal Proposals from Financial ❖Shailendra Banerjee, Centers for Disease Institutes During Interactive Real-Time Browsing of Control and Prevention Potential Clients—❖Hye-Kyoung Kim, Intellidyn Corp.; Dmitri Kuznetsov, Intellidyn Corp.; Peter 11:50 a.m. Regression Analysis of Multivariate Panel E. Harvey, Intellidyn Corp. Count Data—❖Xin He, University of Missouri- Columbia; Xingwei Tong, Beijing Normal 11:20 a.m. Channel Partner Runoff Detection for Retention— University; Jianguo Sun, University of Missouri- ❖Wei Chai, GE Global Research; Deniz Columbia; Richard J. Cook, University of Waterloo Senturk-Doganaksoy, GE Global Research; Kareem Aggour, GE Global Research; James 12:05 p.m. Analysis of Recurrent Event Data in Case- Williams, GE Global Research Crossover Studies—❖Xianghua Luo, Th e University of Minnesota; Chiung-Yu Huang, 11:35 a.m. Dynamics of Opinion Spreading in Marketing— National Institutes of Health; Gary S. Sorock, ❖Dmitri Kuznetsov, Intellidyn Corp. Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health 11:50 a.m. On Models for Identifying Likely Lapsers— ❖Enping Mai, Syracuse University; Raja Velu, Syracuse University 427 CC-155 C 12:05 p.m. Evaluating Database Marketing Models: More ● Topics in Confi dence Intervals and Inference— Than Meets the Eye—❖Samuel Koslowsky, Harte Contributed Hanks Analytics Section on Survey Research Methods Chair(s): Jill Dever, University of Maryland 10:35 a.m. Parametric Bootstrap Confi dence Interval in 426 CC-254 C ❖ ● Correlated Data Methods and Analyses in a Small-Area Estimation Problem— Huilin Li, University of Maryland; Partha Lahiri, Epidemiology—Contributed University of Maryland Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Section on Teaching Statistics in the Health Sciences, Section on Health Policy Statistics 10:50 a.m. Setting Precision Requirements for Estimating ❖ Chair(s): Alula Hadgu, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Proportions— James R. Chromy, RTI International 10:35 a.m. Analysis of Smoking Cessation Patterns Using a Stochastic Mixed Effects Model with a Latent 11:05 a.m. Confi dence Intervals for Statistics for Categorical ❖ Cured State—❖Sheng Luo, Th e Johns Hopkins Variables from Complex Samples— Valerie Hsu, University; Ciprian M. Crainiceanu, Th e Johns Westat; Keith Rust, Westat Hopkins University; Th omas A. Louis, Th e 11:20 a.m. One-Sided Coverage Intervals for the Extreme Johns Hopkins University; Nilanjan Chatterjee, Binomial Proportion Under Complex Sample National Cancer Institute Design—❖Yan Liu, Internal Revenue Service; 10:50 a.m. Assessing Baseline and Post-Baseline Effects in Phillip S. Kott, USDA National Agricultural Repeated Measures Data Analyses: An Example Statistics Service Using Smoking Cessation Data—❖Xiaolei

190 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel Wednesday

Salt Lake City 191 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

11:35 a.m. Investigation of Empirical Bayesian Conﬁ dence Speaker with Lunch 12:30 p.m.–1:50 p.m. Intervals for Expenditure Data in the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey—❖Robert Baskin, Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality; 429 CC-Ballroom D Malay Ghosh, University of Florida Section on Health Policy Statistics Speaker with 11:50 a.m. Tailoring Survey Data Products and Reliability Lunch (fee event)—Speaker with Lunch Criteria To Best Match Customers’ Revenue Section on Health Policy Statistics Needs—❖Mandy Webb, Arbitron Inc.; Alan R. Organizer(s): Anirban Basu, Th e University of Chicago Tupek, Arbitron, Inc. WL09 Importance of Using Cost-Effectiveness Analysis To 12:05 p.m. Properties of the Combined Ratio Estimator and Inform Health Policy in the United States—❖David a Best Linear Unbiased Estimator When Design Meltzer, Th e University of Chicago Control Is Problematic—❖Stephen Woodruﬀ , Retired

428 CC-155 E Roundtables with Lunch Analysis and Disclosure of Survey Data— 12:30 p.m.–1:50 p.m. Contributed Section on Survey Research Methods 430 CC-Ballroom A Chair(s): Karol Krotki, RTI International Biopharmaceutical Section Roundtables with 10:35 a.m. Multiyear Estimation for a Single Stratum from Lunch (fee event) the Continuous National Health and Nutrition Biopharmaceutical Section Examination Survey (NHANES)—❖R. Lee Organizer(s): Kaylan Ghosh, Vislation Harding, Westat; Jay Clark, Westat; Jill M. WL10 Incomplete Data in Longitudinal Studies—❖Geert Montaquila, Westat Molenberghs, Hasselt University 10:50 a.m. The Effectiveness of Stepwise Discriminate WL11 Clinical Trial Simulation: Beyond Statistics—❖Bret Analysis as a Post Hoc Procedure to a Signiﬁ cant Musser, Merck & Co., Inc. Manova—❖Erik Heiny, Western Carolina WL12 Statistical Concerns and Methodology Regarding University Radiographic Data in Rheumatoid Arthritis—❖Lifen 11:05 a.m. Researcher Access to Microdata: Measuring the Zhou, Amgen Inc. Impact of Different Access Protocols on Data WL13 Design-Based Multiplicity Adjusting Strategies in Late- Utility—❖Stephanie Shipp, National Institute of Phase Clinical Trials—❖Jianjun Li, Merck & Co., Inc. Standards and Technology; Julia Lane, NORC at the University of Chicago 11:20 a.m. Measuring Privacy Loss Due to Data Release: A 431 CC-Ballroom A New Perspective—❖Lei Liu, Yale University; Business and Economics Statistics Section Heping Zhang, Yale University Roundtables with Lunch (fee event) 11:35 a.m. The Use of Propensity Score Matching Methods Business and Economics Statistics Section in Mixed Mode Studies—❖John Bremer, Harris Organizer(s): Cliﬀ ord M. Hurvich, New York University Interactive; Kerri Miller, Harris Interactive WL14 Model Selection—❖David Findley, U.S. Census 11:50 a.m. Practical Considerations in Applying the pq-Rule Bureau ❖ for Primary Disclosure Suppressions— Meghan WL15 Statistical Analysis of Large Panels of Economic O’Malley, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Lawrence Data—❖Serena Ng, University of Michigan Ernst, Bureau of Labor Statistics 12:05 p.m. Floor Discussion

192 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

432 CC-Ballroom A WL23 Statistics and Research Design: Oil and Vinegar?— Section on Bayesian Statistical Science ❖Seth Hirshorn, University of Michigan-Dearborn Roundtable with Lunch (fee event) WL24 Academic Integrity in a High-Tech Classroom—❖John Section on Bayesian Statistical Science McKenzie, Babson College Organizer(s): David van Dyk, University of California, Irvine WL16 The Quasi-Bayesian Approach to Risk Management 437 CC-Ballroom C at the Department of Homeland Security—❖David Section on Statistical Graphics Roundtable with Banks, Duke University Lunch (fee event) Section on Statistical Graphics 433 CC-Ballroom A Organizer(s): David Hunter, Th e Pennsylvania State University Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences WL25 Visualizing Model and Parameter Uncertainty— Roundtables with Lunch (fee event) ❖David W. Scott, Rice University Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences Organizer(s): Randall Tobias, SAS Institute Inc. 438 CC-Ballroom C WL17 Verifying Computer Experiments with Physical Section on Statisticians in Defense and National ❖ Experiments— William Notz, Th e Ohio State Security Roundtable with Lunch (fee event) University Section on Statisticians in Defense and National Security WL18 Publishing an Industrial Case Study: Advice for Would- Organizer(s): David Marchette, Naval Surface Warfare Center Be Authors—❖Robert Rodriguez, SAS Institute Inc. Wednesday WL26 Text Data Mining for Defense Applications—❖Jeﬀ rey Solka, Naval Surface Warfare Center 434 CC-Ballroom A Section on Quality and Productivity Roundtables 439 CC-Ballroom C with Lunch (fee event) Section on Statistics in Epidemiology Roundtable Section on Quality and Productivity with Lunch (fee event) Organizer(s): James Williams, GE Global Research Section on Statistics in Epidemiology ❖ WL19 Communicating with Nonstatisticians— Mark Bailey, Organizer(s): William E. Barlow, Cancer Research and Biostatistics SAS Institute Inc. WL27 Longitudinal Causal Modeling—❖James Robins, WL20 Risk-Adjusted Charts in Health-Care Monitoring— Harvard School of Public Health ❖Landon Sego, Paciﬁ c Northwest National Laboratory 440 CC-Ballroom C 435 CC-Ballroom C Section on Survey Research Methods Roundtable Section on Statistical Consulting Roundtable with with Lunch (fee event) Lunch (fee event) Section on Survey Research Methods Section on Statistical Consulting Organizer(s): David Marker, Westat Organizer(s): James Grady, Th e University of Texas Medical Branch WL28 Auditing Election Results—❖Wendy Rotz, Ernst & Young WL21 Recognizing and Resolving Breakdowns in Your Consulting Practice—❖Doug Zahn, Zahn and Associates 441 CC-Ballroom C Social Statistics Section Roundtable with Lunch 436 CC-Ballroom C (fee event) Section on Statistical Education Roundtables with Social Statistics Section Lunch (fee event) Organizer(s): Jana Asher, Carnegie Mellon University Section on Statistical Education WL29 Media Coverage Regarding Data on Mortality in Iraq— Organizer(s): Jacqueline Miller, Th e Ohio State University ❖Leslie Roberts, Columbia Mailman School of Public ❖ WL22 User-Friendly Jargon for Statistics— Larry Weldon, Health; Gilbert Burnham, Th e Johns Hopkins University; Simon Fraser University Shannon Doocy, Th e Johns Hopkins University

Salt Lake City 193 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

442 CC-Ballroom C ❖Shakeeb Khan, Duke University Statistical Society of Canada Roundtable with 3:05 p.m. Causal Comparisons in Randomized Trials of Two Lunch (fee event) Active Treatments—Jason Roy, Geisinger Health SSC System; ❖Joseph W. Hogan, Brown University Organizer(s): X. Joan Hu, Simon Fraser University 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion WL30 Fifty Years of Empirical Bayes/Shrinkage Inference: ❖ Past, Present, and Future Outlook— S. Ejaz Ahmed, 445 CC-355 B University of Windsor ● ✪ Twenty-Five Years of Noninferiority Trials— Invited Biopharmaceutical Section, ENAR, Biometrics Section, WNAR Special Presentation 2:00 p.m.–3:50 p.m. Organizer(s): Brian L. Wiens, Gilead Colorado Chair(s): Brian L. Wiens, Gilead Colorado 2:05 p.m. Early Developments in Clinical Equivalence and 443 CC-Ballroom B ❖ ● Late-Breaking Session 2: War and Death in Similarity Trials— William C. Blackwelder, University of Maryland, Baltimore County Iraq—Other ASA, ENAR, SSC, WNAR, IMS, Section on Survey Research Methods, 2:30 p.m. The Establishment of Effi cacy on the Basis of Section on Statisticians in Defense and National Security, Social Statistics Noninferiority Trials: Updating Our Approach— ❖ Section Steven Snapinn, Amgen Inc. Organizer(s): Mathew R. Marler, University of California, Irvine 2:55 p.m. Bayesian Perspectives on the Issue of Chair(s): Stephen Fienberg, Carnegie Mellon University Noninferiority—❖Andrew P. Grieve, King’s 2:05 p.m. Results of a Survey Estimating Mortality Before College and After the 2003 Invasion of Iraq—❖Leslie 3:20 p.m. Disc: Susan S. Ellenberg, University of Roberts, Columbia Mailman School of Public Pennsylvania Health 3:40 p.m. Floor Discussion 2:55 p.m. Disc: Jana Asher, Carnegie Mellon University 3:15 p.m. Disc: Fritz Scheuren, NORC at the University of 446 CC-155 E Chicago ● ✪ Recent Advances in Statistical Learning: 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion Modern Regularization Methods and Semisupervised Learning—Invited Section on Statistical Computing, Section on Nonparametric Statistics Invited Sessions 2:00 p.m.–3:50 p.m. Organizer(s): Hui Zou, Th e University of Minnesota Chair(s): Jinchi Lv, Princeton University 2:05 p.m. Effi cient Large-Margin Semisupervised Learning— 444 CC-251 A Junhui Wang, Columbia University; ❖Xiaotong ● ✪ Recent Advances in Causal Modeling—Invited Shen, Th e University of Minnesota ENAR, Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Section on Health Policy 2:35 p.m. Infi nite Dimensional Lasso—❖Nathan Srebro, Statistics, Biometrics Section, Section on Teaching Statistics in the Health Toyota Technological Institute at Chicago; Sciences, WNAR Saharon Rosset, IBM T.J. Watson Research Organizer(s): Jason Roy, Geisinger Health System Center; Ji Zhu, University of Michigan; Grzegorz Chair(s): Jason Roy, Geisinger Health System Swirszcz, IBM T.J. Watson Research Center 2:05 p.m. Mediation Analysis Using Random Assignment 3:05 p.m. Grouped and Hierarchical Model Selection through Interacted with Baseline Covariates as Composite Absolute Penalties—Peng Zhao, ❖ Instrumental Variables— Dylan Small, University of California, Berkeley; ❖Guilherme University of Pennsylvania V. Rocha, University of California, Berkeley; Bin 2:35 p.m. Inference in Randomly Censored Regression Yu, University of California, Berkeley Models Using Conditional Moment Inequalities— 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion

194 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel Wednesday

Salt Lake City 195 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

447 CC-150 D-F University of Montréal ● Risk Analysis in National Defense—Invited 2:35 p.m. Network Kriging—❖Eric D. Kolaczyk, Boston Section on Risk Analysis, Section on Statisticians in Defense and National University; David Chua, Boston University; Security, Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences Mark Crovella, Boston University Organizer(s): David Banks, Duke University 3:05 p.m. Bayes and Empirical Bayes Approaches to Chair(s): David Banks, Duke University Controlling the FDR—❖Cun-Hui Zhang, Rutgers 2:05 p.m. Risk Estimation and National Security: Introduction University; Weihua Tang, Rutgers University and Overview—❖A. John Bailer, Miami University 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion 2:30 p.m. Biosurveillance and the BioSense Program— ❖ Henry Rolka, Centers for Disease Control and 450 CC-155 B Prevention ● ✪ JASA, Applications and Case Studies Invited 2:55 p.m. Risk Analysis at Los Alamos National Laboratory— Session—Invited ❖Alyson G. Wilson, Los Alamos National JASA, Applications and Case Studies, General Methodology Laboratory Organizer(s): David Banks, Duke University 3:20 p.m. Disc: Ed Melnick, New York University Chair(s): Robert B. Lund, Clemson University 3:40 p.m. Floor Discussion 2:05 p.m. Subjective Likelihood for the Assessment of Trends in the Ocean’s Mixed-Layer Depth—❖Michael 448 CC-150 A-C Lavine, Duke University; Ana Rappold, Duke ● ✪ Preventing, Correcting, and Measuring University; Susan Lozier, Duke University Overcoverage in Censuses—Invited 3:10 p.m. Disc: C. Shane Reese, Brigham Young University SSC 3:30 p.m. Floor Discussion Organizer(s): David Dolson, Statistics Canada Chair(s): David Dolson, Statistics Canada 451 CC-155 C 2:05 p.m. Preventing and Correcting Coverage Errors in ✪ Increasing Statistical Literacy in Nonstatistical ❖ the United States Decennial Census— David Professions—Invited Sheppard, U.S. Census Bureau Committee on Outreach Education, Section on Statisticians in Defense and 2:30 p.m. Unduplication in the 2010 United States Decennial National Security ❖ Census— Robin A. Pennington, U.S. Census Organizer(s): Anna Nevius, U.S. Food and Drug Administration Bureau Chair(s): Owen Devine, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention 2:55 p.m. Measuring Person Duplication: The 2006 Canadian 2:05 p.m. Teaching Medical Statistics—❖Mary A. Foulkes, ❖ Census Overcoverage Study— Heather Farr, George Washington University Statistics Canada; José Morel, Statistics Canada 2:30 p.m. Lessons Learned in Teaching a Statistics ❖ 3:20 p.m. Overcoverage in the 2011 UK Census— Owen Workshop—❖Jeff rey Solka, Naval Surface Abbott, Offi ce for National Statistics; James Warfare Center; Daniel Carr, George Mason Brown, University of Southampton University 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 2:55 p.m. Statistics in a Legal Context—❖Mary W. Gray, American University 449 CC-254 B 3:20 p.m. Disc: Wendy Martinez, Offi ce of Naval Research ● ✪ Sparse Inference and Large-Scale Multiple 3:40 p.m. Floor Discussion Comparisons—Invited IMS, Section on Nonparametric Statistics Organizer(s): Jiashun Jin, Purdue University Chair(s): Bruce Craig, Purdue University 2:05 p.m. Maxima of Discretely Sampled Random Fields, with an Application to ‘Bubbles’—❖Keith J. Worsley, McGill University; Jonathan E. Taylor,

196 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

452 CC-255 E 3:25 p.m. Recent Advances in Monte Carlo Methods— Adaptive Monte Carlo Methods—Invited ❖Christophe Andrieu, University of Bristol Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, ENAR 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion Organizer(s): Antonietta Mira, University of Insubria Chair(s): Antonietta Mira, University of Insubria 453 CC-355 E 2:05 p.m. Adaptive Independent Metropolis-Hastings Using Medallion Lecture V—Invited ❖ Normal Mixtures— Robert Kohn, University IMS, General Methodology, Biometrics Section of New South Wales; Paolo Giordani, Bank of Organizer(s): Tony Cai, University of Pennsylvania Sweden Chair(s): Xihong Lin, Harvard School of Public Health 2:25 p.m. Combining Adaptation with MCMC Sampling 2:10 p.m. Joint Modeling of Longitudinal and Survival Data— Methods—❖Heikki Haario, Lappeenranta ❖Jane-Ling Wang, University of California, University of Technology; Antti Solonen, Davis Lappeenranta University of Technology 3:00 p.m. Disc: Jeremy Taylor, University of Michigan 2:45 p.m. Adaptive MCMC, Intractable Likelihood Functions, and Phylogenetic Inference—❖Yves F. Atchade, 3:20 p.m. Disc: Robin Henderson, Newcastle University University of Michigan 3:40 p.m. Floor Discussion 3:05 p.m. Adaptive Population Monte Carlo—❖Christian P. Robert, Universite Paris Dauphine Wednesday

Salt Lake City 197 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

454 CC-150 G Topic-Contributed Sessions ● ✪ Multicriteria Prioritization and Ranking 2:00 p.m.–3:50 p.m. with Partial Order Without Compositing Multiple Indicators into an Index in Social, Environmental, 456 CC-155 A and Infrastructure Work—Invited ● Environmental and Ecological Statistics, Section on Statistics and the Statistical Graphics for Analysis of Drug Safety Environment and Effi cacy—Topic-Contributed Organizer(s): Ganapati P. Patil, Th e Pennsylvania State University Section on Statistical Graphics, Section on Risk Analysis, WNAR Chair(s): Ganapati P. Patil, Th e Pennsylvania State University Organizer(s): Michael O’Connell, Insightful Corporation Chair(s): Stephen Kaluzny, Insightful Corporation 2:05 p.m. Multicriteria Prioritization, Partial Order, and Hasse Diagrams in Environmental Sciences and 2:05 p.m. Statistical and Graphical Analysis of Adverse Event Chemistry—❖Rainer Bruggemann, Leibniz Counts in Clinical Trials—❖Michael O’Connell, Institute of Freshwater Ecology and Inland Insightful Corporation Fisheries 2:30 p.m. Using Graphics To Discover and Explore—❖Julia 2:30 p.m. Exploring Partial Order of European Countries— Wang, Johnson & Johnson PRD ❖Paola Annoni, University of Milan; Rainer 2:45 p.m. Statistical Graphics for the Analysis of Safety and Bruggemann, Leibniz Institute of Freshwater Effi cacy Data from Clinical Trials—❖Ohad Amit, Ecology and Inland Fisheries GlaxoSmithKline 2:55 p.m. Unmasking Weight Camoufl age of a Composite 3:05 p.m. Graphical Analyses of Clinical Trial Safety Data— Index Based on Multiple Indicators—❖K. Sham Kefei Zhou, Amgen Inc.; ❖Haijun Ma, Amgen Bhat, Th e Pennsylvania State University; Ganapati Inc.; Hong A. Xia, Amgen Inc.; Matthew Austin, P. Patil, Th e Pennsylvania State University Amgen Inc.; George Li, Amgen Inc.; Michael 3:20 p.m. Disc: N. Phillip Ross, Radiation Eff ects Research O’Connell, Insightful Corporation Foundation 3:25 p.m. Design of Statistical Graphics for Clinical Data— 3:40 p.m. Floor Discussion ❖Richard M. Heiberger, Temple University 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 455 CC-250 A ● ✪ Web Panel Surveys: A Solution to Declining 457 CC-355 D Response Rates?—Invited ● ✪ Phase I Trials in Cancer—Topic-Contributed Section on Survey Research Methods Biometrics Section, WNAR, Biopharmaceutical Section, ENAR Organizer(s): Karol Krotki, RTI International Organizer(s): Terry Hyslop, Th omas Jeff erson University Chair(s): Mansour Fahimi, RTI International Chair(s): Terry Hyslop, Th omas Jeff erson University 2:05 p.m. Nonresponse Bias in Two Methods of Panel 2:05 p.m. New Phase I Trial Designs for Combinations of Recruitment—❖Charles DiSogra, Knowledge Two Agents—Shenghua (Kelly) Fan, California Networks, Inc.; Daniel Slotwiner, Knowledge State University, East Bay; Alan P. Venook, Networks, Inc.; Sarah Clinton, Knowledge University of California, San Francisco; ❖Ying Networks, Inc.; Elisa Chan, Knowledge Lu, University of California, San Francisco Networks, Inc.; Erlina Hendarwan, Knowledge 2:25 p.m. An Application of the Time-to-Event Continual Networks, Inc. Reassessment Method: Dose Escalation in Patients 2:30 p.m. Combining RDD and Web Panel Surveys—❖Karol with Lymphoma Undergoing Chemotherapy over Krotki, RTI International an Extended Period—❖Ken Cheung, Columbia 2:55 p.m. Sample Matching for Web Surveys: Theory University and Application—❖Douglas Rivers, Stanford 2:45 p.m. A Hierarchical Bayesian Design for Phase I Trials University of Novel Drug Combinations—❖Th omas M. 3:20 p.m. Disc: Robert Santos, Th e Urban Institute Braun, University of Michigan 3:30 p.m. Disc: John Bremer, Harris Interactive 3:40 p.m. Floor Discussion

198 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

3:05 p.m. An Adaptive Bayesian Approach to Incorporating 459 CC-254 C PG Information in Phase I Trials—❖Meihua Shrinkage Theory and Its Applications—Topic- Wang, University of Pittsburgh; Roger Day, Contributed University of Pittsburgh IMS, Section on Nonparametric Statistics 3:25 p.m. Toward a Benchmark for Sequential Phase I Organizer(s): Jing Qiu, University of Missouri-Columbia ❖ Cancer Trial Designs— Jay Bartroff , University Chair(s): Chong Wang, Cornell University of Southern California; Tze Leung Lai, Stanford 2:05 p.m. Accounting for Selection Bias in the Estimation University of Fold Change in Microarray Experiments— 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion ❖George Wright, National Institutes of Health 2:25 p.m. Objective Bayesian Analysis for Estimating the 458 CC-250 D KL Divergence Between Two Normal Populations ● ✪ Noninferiority Trial Designs in Medical with Common Covariance Matrix—❖Zhonggai Devices—Topic-Contributed Li, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section, WNAR, ENAR University; Dongchu Sun, University of Organizer(s): David Snead, Cordis, a Johnson & Johnson Company Missouri-Columbia Chair(s): Dennis King, STATKING Consulting, Inc. 2:45 p.m. Optimal Tests Shrinking Both Means and Variances Applicable to Microarray Data Analysis—❖Peng 2:05 p.m. Statistics and Clinical, and Regulatory Liu, Iowa State University; Gene J. T. Hwang, Considerations in the Selection of an Offset for ❖ Cornell University Noninferiority Designs— Philip Lavin, Averion Wednesday International Corp. 3:05 p.m. Hard and Soft Parameter Shrinkage in Microarray Data Analysis—❖Gordon Smyth, Walter & Eliza 2:25 p.m. Considerations for the Development of a Set of Hall Institute Noninferiority Trials for a Second-Generation Drug Eluting Stent—❖Joe Bero, Boston Scientifi c 3:25 p.m. Double Shrinkage Empirical Bayesian Confi dence Corporation Intervals for Multiple Parameters When the Variances Are Unequal and Unknown—❖Jing 2:45 p.m. A Noninferiority Trial Utilizing a Closed Qiu, University of Missouri-Columbia; Gene Hierarchical Testing Procedure—❖Peggy Pereda, J. T. Hwang, Cornell University; Zhigen Zhao, Boston Scientifi c Corporation; Eric Bass, Boston Cornell University Scientifi c Corporation; Peter Lam, Boston Scientifi c Corporation 4:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 3:05 p.m. Bayesian NonInferiority Trial Design Using Hierarchical Models—❖Yongyi Yu, Boston 460 CC-355 F Scientifi c Corporation.; Frank Zhou, Boston Monte Carlo Methods and Their Applications— Scientifi c Corporation; Scott Wehrenberg, Topic-Contributed Boston Scientifi c Corporation; Ming-Hui Chen, IMS, General Methodology University of Connecticut Organizer(s): Yuguo Chen, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign 3:25 p.m. Comparison Between Hierarchical Model and Chair(s): Yuguo Chen, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign Power Prior Approach in a Bayesian Noninferiority Improving SAMC Using Smoothing Methods: Trial Design—❖Peter Lam, Boston Scientifi c 2:05 p.m. Theory and Applications—❖ Corporation; Alan Yu, Boston Scientifi c Faming Liang, Texas Corporation; Ming-Hui Chen, University of A&M University Connecticut 2:25 p.m. Sampling Issues for Largish Tables—❖Ian Dinwoodie, Duke University; Yuguo Chen, 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign 2:45 p.m. Ensemble Sampling—❖Hedibert Lopes, Th e University of Chicago Graduate School of Business; Nicholas Polson, Th e University of Chicago Graduate School of Business

Salt Lake City 199 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

3:05 p.m. Interweaving Data Augmentation Schemes for Links—❖Ramesh Dandekar, Energy Information Faster MCMC—❖Yaming Yu, University of Administration California, Irvine 2:25 p.m. Implementing a Portfolio Approach to the 3:25 p.m. The Evolutionary Forest—❖Leman Scotland, Protection of Confi dential Data—❖Tim Mulcahy, Duke University NORC at the University of Chicago; Julia Lane, 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion NORC at the University of Chicago 2:45 p.m. Matching NCES Data to External Databases To Assess Disclosure Risk—Elizabeth Steiner, 461 CC-257 Carnegie Mellon University; ❖J. Neil Russell, ● ✪ The Current Trend of Bayesian Model National Center for Education Statistics; Comparison and Variable Selection—Topic- Marilyn Seastrom, National Center for Contributed Education Statistics Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, ENAR 3:05 p.m. Analytically Valid Microdata Files and Organizer(s): Ming-Hui Chen, University of Connecticut Reidentifi cation—❖William Winkler, U.S. Chair(s): Carlos Carvalho, Duke University Census Bureau 2:05 p.m. Objective Bayesian Model Selection for a Linear 3:25 p.m. Measuring Disclosure Risk and an Examination Mixed Model—❖Dongchu Sun, University of of the Possibilities of Using Synthetic Data in the Missouri-Columbia Individual Income Tax Return Public Use File— 2:25 p.m. An Extended BIC for Model Selection—❖Surajit ❖Michael Weber, Internal Revenue Service; Ray, Boston University; James Berger, Duke John Czajka, Mathematica Policy Research, University; Susie Bayarri, University of Valencia; Inc.; Sonya Vartivarian, Mathematica Policy Woncheol Jang, University of Georgia; Luis R. Research, Inc. Pericchi, University of Puerto Rico, San Juan 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 2:45 p.m. Random Effects Selection with Nonparametric ❖ Settings— Bo Cai, University of South 463 CC-251 F Carolina; David B. Dunson, National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences Nonparametric and Semiparametric Methods in Brain Imaging Studies—Topic-Contributed 3:05 p.m. Objective Bayesian Variable Selection for Logistic ❖ Section on Nonparametric Statistics, International Indian Statistical As- Regression Models with Jeffreys’ Prior— Ming- sociation Hui Chen, University of Connecticut; Joseph Organizer(s): R. Todd Ogden, Columbia University G. Ibrahim, Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Sung Duk Kim, University of Chair(s): Ranjan Maitra, Iowa State University Connecticut 2:05 p.m. Multisubject Independent Component Analysis ❖ 3:25 p.m. Disc: Dipak Dey, University of Connecticut Using a Maximum Likelihood Approach— Ying Guo, Emory University 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 2:25 p.m. Detecting Activations in fMRI Experiments with Maximum Cross-Correlation Statistics— 462 CC-251 D ❖Kinfemichael Gedif, Southern Methodist ✪ Reducing Disclosure Risk Through Statistical University; William R. Schucany, Southern Methods and Administrative Procedures—Topic- Methodist University; Richard Gunst, Southern Contributed Methodist University; Wayne Woodward, Section on Government Statistics, Section on Health Policy Statistics, Southern Methodist University; Jeff rey Social Statistics Section Spence, Th e University of Texas Southwestern Organizer(s): Alvan Zarate, National Center for Health Statistics Medical Center at Dallas; Patrick Carmack, Th e University of Texas Southwestern Medical Chair(s): Alvan Zarate, National Center for Health Statistics Center at Dallas; Qihua Lin, Th e University of 2:05 p.m. Comparative Evaluation of Four Sensitive Tabular Texas Southwestern Medical Center at Dallas Data Protection Methods Using a Real-Life Table Structure of Complex Hierarchies and

200 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

2:45 p.m. Thresholding Methods Applied on fMRI Data— Amber Anderson, GlaxoSmithKline ❖ Martina Pavlicova, Columbia University 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 3:05 p.m. A Bootstrap Resampling Approach: Tests of Signifi cance on Brain Imaging Data—❖Chung Chang, Columbia University; R. Todd Ogden, 465 CC-255 F Columbia University Innovative Ideas for Teaching Statistics—Topic- 3:25 p.m. Bayesian Hierarchical Spatiotemporal Models for Contributed fMRI Data—❖Qihua Lin, Th e University of Texas Section on Statistical Education, ENAR, Section on Teaching Statistics in the Health Sciences Southwestern Medical Center at Dallas; Richard Gunst, Southern Methodist University; Jeff rey Organizer(s): Patti Collings, Brigham Young University Spence, Th e University of Texas Southwestern Chair(s): Kirk Anderson, Grand Valley State University Medical Center at Dallas; Patrick Carmack, 2:05 p.m. Teaching Introductory Statistics with a Blended Th e University of Texas Southwestern Medical Method Approach—❖Leonard Gaines, Empire Center at Dallas; William R. Schucany, Southern State Development Methodist University 2:25 p.m. Teaching Introductory Statistics with Constraints 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion and High Expectations—❖William Seaver, University of Tennessee 2:45 p.m. To Service Learn (SL) or Not To Service Learn?— 464 CC-155 F ❖ ● ✪ Dimension Reduction That Informs Science— Amy Phelps, Duquesne University Topic-Contributed 3:05 p.m. Engaging Students in Elementary Statistics— Wednesday ❖ Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences Greg Knofczynski, Armstrong Atlantic State University; Paul Hadavas, Armstrong Atlantic Organizer(s): Jacqueline M. Hughes-Oliver, North Carolina State University State University; Lorrie Hoff man, Armstrong Atlantic State University Chair(s): Jacqueline M. Hughes-Oliver, North Carolina State University 3:25 p.m. Enhancing the Teaching of Statistics with Technology Using the Statistics Online 2:05 p.m. Model Selection and Estimation for ❖ Semiparametric Stochastic Mixed Models for Computational Resource (SOCR)— Nicolas Longitudinal Data—❖Xiao Ni, North Carolina Christou, University of California, Los Angeles; State University; Daowen Zhang, North Ivo D. Dinov, University of California, Los Carolina State University; Hao Zhang, North Angeles; Juana Sanchez, University of California, Carolina State University Los Angeles 2:25 p.m. Shrinkage Inverse Regression for Model-Free 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion Variable Selection—❖Lexin Li, North Carolina State University; Howard D. Bondell, North 466 CC-251 B Carolina State University ● ✪ Computationally Intensive Methods in AIDS 2:45 p.m. Gene Expression Data Analysis Using the Gene Research II—Topic-Contributed ❖ Ontology— Jiajun Liu, North Carolina State WNAR, ENAR, Section on Health Policy Statistics, Section on Nonparamet- University; Jacqueline M. Hughes-Oliver, North ric Statistics Carolina State University; J. Alan Menius, Organizer(s): William G. Cumberland, University of California, Los Angeles GlaxoSmithKline Chair(s): Florin Vaida, University of California, San Diego 3:05 p.m. Recent Directions in Predictor Selection— 2:05 p.m. Nonparametric Tests with Application to RNA ❖ Jessica Kraker, University of Wisconsin-Eau Viral Load Decline—❖Susanne May, University Claire; Douglas M. Hawkins, Th e University of of California, San Diego; Victor De Gruttola, Minnesota Harvard University 3:25 p.m. Dimension Reduction in Systems Biology— 2:25 p.m. Non- and Semiparametric Subset and Model ❖ Lei Zhu, GlaxoSmithKline; Kwan Lee, Selection for Multiple Categorical Predictors and GlaxoSmithKline; Amit Bhattacharyya, Several Outcomes—❖A. G. DiRienzo, Harvard GlaxoSmithKline; Edit Kurali, GlaxoSmithKline; School of Public Health

Salt Lake City 201 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

2:45 p.m. Survey of Recombination in the HIV Genome: Contributed Sessions 2:00 p.m.–3:50 p.m. Hot Spots and Cold Spots—❖Karin Dorman, Iowa State University; Misha L. Rajaram, Iowa State University; Marc A. Suchard, University 468 CC-355 A of California, Los Angeles; Vladimir N. Minin, ● ✪ Recent Advance in Analysis of Incomplete University of California, Los Angeles Data—Contributed 3:05 p.m. Numeric EM for Linear and Nonlinear Mixed Biometrics Section Effects Models with Censored Responses—❖Lin Chair(s): Xiaofei Wang, Duke University Liu, University of California, San Diego; Florin 2:05 p.m. Examining Benefi ts and Drawbacks of Multiple Vaida, University of California, San Diego Imputation for Disease Rate and Demographic 3:25 p.m. Disc: William G. Cumberland, University of Data—❖Irene Helenowski, Northwestern California, Los Angeles University; Hakan Demirtas, University of ; 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion Illinois at Chicago Chiang-Ching Huang, Northwestern University 2:20 p.m. Imputation Based on Propensity Score: A 467 CC-255 A Comparative Study of the Penalized Spline ● Bayesian Approaches to Clinical Trials—Topic- Propensity Prediction Method with Alternative Contributed Double Robust Estimators—❖Guangyu Zhang, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Biopharmaceutical Section University of Michigan; Roderick J. Little, Organizer(s): Pulak Ghosh, Georgia State University University of Michigan Chair(s): Peter F. Th all, Th e University of Texas M. D. Anderson 2:35 p.m. Variable Selection with Missing Data in Survival Cancer Center Analysis—❖Kun Liang, Iowa State University; 2:05 p.m. Monitoring Late Onset Toxicities in Phase I Trials Michael D. Larsen, Iowa State University; Terr y Using Predicted Risks—❖Benjamin N. Bekele, M. Th erneau, Mayo Clinic Th e University of Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer 2:50 p.m. Which Missing Value Imputation Method To Use in Center Expression Profi les: A Comparative Study and Two 2:25 p.m. Decision Analysis in Support of Clinical Trial Selection Schemes—❖Guy Brock, University of Protocol Decisions—❖Joseph Kahn, Novartis Louisville; John Shaff er, University of Pittsburgh; Pharmaceuticals Richard Blakesley, University of Pittsburgh; ; 2:45 p.m. Could Bayesians and Frequentists Agree When Meredith Lotz, University of Pittsburgh George Designing Clinical Trials?—❖Lurdes Inoue, C. Tseng, University of Pittsburgh University of Washington 3:05 p.m. Interval Estimation for the Difference in Median Survival Times Based on Multiple Imputation— 3:05 p.m. Bayesian Optimal Design in Phase II Studies— ❖ ❖Gary Rosner, Th e University of Texas M. D. Maria Kocherginsky, Th e University of ; Anderson Cancer Center; Peter Mueller, Th e Chicago Th eodore G. Karrison, Th e University University of Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer of Chicago Center; Meichun Ding, Amgen Inc. 3:20 p.m. Analysis of Longitudinal Data with Informative Dropout—❖ 3:25 p.m. Incorporating Patient’s Characteristics in Cancer Li Chen, Th e University of North Phase I Clinical Trials Using Escalation with Carolina at Chapel Hill; Danyu Lin, Th e ; Overdose Control—❖Mourad Tighiouart, Emory University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill University; André Rogatko, Emory University; Donglin Zeng, Th e University of North Carolina Zhiheng Xu, Emory University at Chapel Hill Semiparametric Marginalized Model for 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 3:35 p.m. Longitudinal Data with a Terminating Event— ❖Mengling Liu, New York University; Wenbin Lu, North Carolina State University

202 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

469 CC-251 C 2:35 p.m. A Mathematical Comparison of a Randomized Survival Data Analysis I—Contributed Withdrawal Clinical Trial Design and a Parallel Biometrics Section Groups Design To Demonstrate Disease ❖ Chair(s): Joanna H. Shih, National Cancer Institute Modifi cation— Suzanne Hendrix, Myriad Pharmaceuticals; Scott Horton, Myriad 2:05 p.m. Correlating Large-Scale Biological Data with ❖ Pharmaceuticals; Alexander Gutin, Myriad Censored Survival Data— Karthik Devarajan, Pharmaceuticals Fox Chase Cancer Center 2:50 p.m. Futility Assessment with Two Correlated 2:20 p.m. Empirical Likelihood-Based Inference for the Endpoints—❖Meehyung Cho, sanofi -aventis; Bill Calibration Regression Model with Medical Stager, sanofi -aventis Cost—❖Yichuan Zhao, Georgia State University 3:05 p.m. Reporting Quality-of-Life Results Using Percent 2:35 p.m. Martingale Residuals for Nested Case-Control ❖ ❖ Change from Baseline Analysis— Jen-Fue Maa, Data— Ornulf Borgan, University of Oslo; Bristol-Myers Squibb Company; Kao-Tai Tsai, Bryan Langholz, University of Southern Bristol-Myers Squibb Company; Daniel Seekins, California Bristol-Myers Squibb Company; Rozina Khanna, 2:50 p.m. Power of Nonparametric Logrank and Wilcoxon Bristol-Myers Squibb Company Tests with Adjustment for Covariates: A Simulation ❖ 3:20 p.m. Distributional Approach for Measure of Study— Honghua Jiang, Eli Lilly and Company; Agreement—❖Weishi Yuan, U.S. Food and Drug James Symanowski, Nevada Cancer Institute; Administration; Tie-Hua Ng, U.S. Food and Sofi a Paul, Novartis Pharmaceuticals; Yongming

Drug Administration Wednesday Qu, Eli Lilly and Company; Anothy Zagar, Eli Lilly and Company; Shengyan Hong, Eli Lilly 3:35 p.m. Test Homogeneity of Risk Difference Across ❖ and Company Subgroups in Clinical Trials— Lanju Zhang, MedImmune, Inc.; Harry Yang, MedImmune, Inc. 3:05 p.m. The Cost of Checking Proportional Hazards— ❖Bryan Shepherd, Vanderbilt University 3:20 p.m. Nonparametric Estimation of State Occupation, 471 CC-250 EF Entry, and Exit Times with Current Status Data— ● ✪ Application of Innovative Analysis in Clinical ❖Ling Lan, University of Louisville; Somnath Trials—Contributed Datta, University of Louisville Biopharmaceutical Section 3:35 p.m. Assessing Fit in Cure-Mixture Models—❖E. Paul Chair(s): Mandy Bergquist, GlaxoSmithKline Wileyto, University of Pennsylvania; Daniel F. 2:05 p.m. Using Latent Sleepiness To Evaluate an Important Heitjan, University of Pennsylvania Side Effect of Promethazine—❖Alan Feiveson, National Aeronautics and Space Administration; Matthew Hayat, National Aeronautics and Space 470 CC-355 C Administration; Zalman Vaksman, Wyeth; ● ✪ Statistical Issues in Analyzing Clinical Trials Lakshmi Putcha, National Aeronautics and Data—Contributed Space Administration; Jason L. Boyd, National Biopharmaceutical Section Aeronautics and Space Administration Chair(s): Yuehui Wu, GlaxoSmithKline 2:20 p.m. The Entropy Correlation Coefﬁ cient and Its 2:05 p.m. Analysis of Cumulative Distribution of Responders Application to Clinical Data Analysis—❖Ronald in Clinical Trials—❖Manuela Buzoianu, Johnson Pearson, ProSanos Corporation; Jaakko Astola, & Johnson PRD; Akiko Okamoto, Johnson Tampere University of Technology & Johnson PRD; Surya Mohanty, Johnson & 2:35 p.m. Propensity Score Application in Historically Johnson PRD; Yi-Wen Ma, Johnson & Johnson Controlled Clinical Trials—❖Daniel Reyner, PRD Zimmer, Inc 2:20 p.m. Binary Clinical Trials Data Analysis Using ❖ ❖ 2:50 p.m. Improving the Delta Method— Paul Duty, Pairwise Likelihood— Juanmei Liu, University Montgomery College; Nancy Flournoy, of California, Los Angeles; Peter M. Bentler, University of Missouri-Columbia University of California, Los Angeles

Salt Lake City 203 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

3:05 p.m. The Range Disparity Distribution and Its South Carolina; Arjun Chatrath, University of Applications—❖Lawrence Marinucci, Acorda Portland Th erapeutics Inc; Tailiang Xie, Brightech 2:20 p.m. Time-Varying Coeffi cient Model for Corporate Bond International Credit Spread—❖Yuejiao Ma, Th e Pennsylvania 3:20 p.m. Preference-Based Analysis for Estimating State University Treatment Effi cacy Among Compliant Patients 2:35 p.m. Trading American Stock Options Amidst Market/ ❖ in a Randomized Clinical Trial— Afi si S. Model Disparity—❖Scott Nickleach, University Ismaila, McMaster University; Stephen Walter, of Pittsburgh McMaster University 2:50 p.m. Testing the Informational Effi ciency of Municipal 3:35 p.m. Bootstrap Test for Assessing the Effi cacy of Drug Bond Market—❖Lei Zhang, Syracuse University; ❖ Combinations— Liwen Xi, Johnson & Johnson Chunchi Wu, Syracuse University; Raja Velu, PRD; Guoyong Jiang, Cephalon, Inc.; Jianjun Li, Syracuse University Merck & Co., Inc. 3:05 p.m. Principal Analysis and Price Dynamics for Sparse Auction Data—❖Bitao Liu, University 472 CC-260 of California, Davis; Hans-Georg Müller, Copulas, Covariances, and Risk—Contributed University of California, Davis Business and Economics Statistics Section 3:20 p.m. Empirically Confronting Stochastic Singularity: Chair(s): Douglas Noe, Miami University An Application to the Cox, Ingersoll, and Ross ❖ 2:05 p.m. Effi cient Estimation of Elliptical Copula Models— Model— Kenneth Roskelley, Th e University ❖Mei-Mei Zen, National Cheng-Kung University of Arizona; Christopher Lamoureux, Th e University of Arizona 2:20 p.m. Bayesian Wavelet Estimation of Copulas for Dependence Modeling—❖Leming Qu, Boise 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion State University 2:35 p.m. Statistical Analysis for Financial Ultra-High 474 CC-255 C Frequency Data: A Filtering Approach—❖Yong ● ✪ Regression and Forecasting—Contributed Zeng, University of Missouri-Kansas City Business and Economics Statistics Section 2:50 p.m. The Economic Value of Intelligently Subsampled Chair(s): Kimberly S. Weems, North Carolina State University Realized Covariance Estimation of Asynchronous 2:05 p.m. Testing the Equivalence of Regressions for the ❖ and Noisy High-Frequency Data— Lada Kyj, Rice Capital Asset Pricing Models—❖Hubert J. Chen, University; Katherine Ensor, Rice University; National Cheng Kung University; Jevons Lee, Barbara Ostdiek, Rice University Zhejiang University; Li-Wei You, National 3:05 p.m. Optimal Investment in a Defaultable Bond— Cheng Kung University ❖ Weijian Liang, New York University; Peter 2:20 p.m. Inferences in Regression with Correlated Lakner, New York University Residuals—❖Yue Fang, University of Oregon 3:20 p.m. Portfolio-Tracking Performance When Optimized 2:35 p.m. Performance Comparison of Simple Forecasting ❖ with Estimation Error— Andrew Siegel, Methods for Macroeconomic Indicators— University of Washington ❖Bogong T. Li, Bank of America 3:35 p.m. Biased Bootstrap Methods for Semiparametric 2:50 p.m. A Statistical Model of a Firm’s Expenditure— ❖ Models— Mihal Giurcanu, University of Florida ❖Jonathan Hosking, IBM T. J. Watson Research Center; Bibhas Chakraborty, University of 473 CC-255 B Michigan ✪ Investing Optimally —Contributed 3:05 p.m. A Comparison of Inference Procedures for the Business and Economics Statistics Section Simple Linear Errors-in-Variables Regression Model—❖Stephen M. Miller, Bureau of Labor Chair(s): Amit Sen, Xavier University Statistics 2:05 p.m. Competitive Inventory Management in Treasury Markets—❖Rohan Christie-David, University of Louisville; William T. Moore, University of

204 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

3:20 p.m. Multiple Imputation of Right-Censored Wages in 3:05 p.m. Bayesian Modeling of Semicontinuous Spatial the German IAB-Employment Register Considering Data—❖Virginia Recta, U.S. Food and Drug Heteroscedasticity—❖Th omas Buettner, Administration; James L. Rosenberger, Th e Institute for Employment Research; Susanne Pennsylvania State University; Murali Haran, Raessler, Institute for Employment Research Th e Pennsylvania State University 3:35 p.m. Measuring Liquidity Costs in Agricultural Futures 3:20 p.m. Sparsity and Smoothness for Disease Rate Markets: Conventional and Bayesian Approaches— Mapping via Spatial Bayesian LASSO—❖Haoda ❖Julieta Frank, University of Illinois at Urbana- Fu, University of Wisconsin-Madison Champaign; Philip Garcia, University of Illinois 3:35 p.m. Modeling Wind Fields Using Process at Urbana-Champaign Convolutions—❖Margaret Short, University of Alaska Fairbanks 475 CC-254 A ✪ MCMC and Gibbs Sampling—Contributed 477 CC-251 E IMS ● ✪ Methods for Administrative and National Chair(s): Scotland Leman, Duke University Survey Data—Contributed 2:05 p.m. Using Subsampling in Markov Chain Monte Carlo— Section on Health Policy Statistics ❖James Flegal, Th e University of Minnesota Chair(s): Byron Gajewski, Th e University of Kansas Medical Center 2:20 p.m. Gibbs Sampling for Bayesian Models—❖Alicia 2:05 p.m. Evaluation of Consumer Panel Survey Data for Johnson, Th e University of Minnesota Public Health Communication Planning: An Wednesday 2:35 p.m. Markovian Dynamics in a RAM with Applications to Analysis of Annual Survey Data from 1995–2006— Classifi cation—❖Zach Dietz, Tulane University ❖William Pollard, Centers for Disease Control 2:50 p.m. Goodness-of-Fit Tests for Generalized Linear and Prevention Models When Some Covariates Are Missing— 2:20 p.m. Statistical Modeling of Longitudinal Mental ❖Lei Jin, Texas A&M University; Suojin Wang, Distress Among Rural Seniors Who Participated Texas A&M University in the National Population Health Survey— ❖ 3:05 p.m. Floor Discussion Chandima Karunanayake, University of Saskatchewan; Punam Pahwa, University of Saskatchewan 476 CC-255 D 2:35 p.m. Statistical Methods for Constructing Canadian ● New Developments in Spatial Modeling— Growth Curves—❖Stephane Tremblay, Statistics Contributed Canada Section on Bayesian Statistical Science 2:50 p.m. Evaluation of New Programs in State Medicaid Chair(s): Luyan Dai, University of Missouri-Columbia Agencies—❖Mark Carpenter, Auburn University 2:05 p.m. Point Estimates for Variance-Structure Parameters 3:05 p.m. Classifi cation Models for Identifying Chronic in Bayesian Analysis of Hierarchical Models—❖Yi Disease Cases and Noncases in Administrative He, sanofi -aventis; James S. Hodges, Th e Claims Data—❖Lisa M. Lix, University of University of Minnesota Manitoba; William D. Leslie, University of 2:20 p.m. Smoothed ANOVA with Spatial Effects as a Manitoba; Marina Yogendran, Manitoba Competitor to MCAR—❖Yufen Zhang, Th e Centre for Health Policy; Richard Baumgartner, University of Minnesota; Hodges S. James, Th e National Research Council Canada; Christopher University of Minnesota Bowman, National Research Council Canada; 2:35 p.m. Bayesian Spatial Models with Repeated Souradet Shaw, University of Manitoba Measurements—❖Xiaoqian Sun, Clemson 3:20 p.m. The Minimum Level of Sensitivity and Predictive University Value Positive in the Evaluation of Health ❖ 2:50 p.m. Loglinear Modeling for Point-Referenced Spatial Outcomes with Administrative Data— Yong-Fang Data—❖Eric Tassone, Duke University; Marie Kuo, Th e University of Texas Medical Branch; Lynn Miranda, Duke University; Alan E. Tracy Nguyen-Oghalai, Th e University of Texas Gelfand, Duke University Medical Branch

Salt Lake City 205 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

3:35 p.m. The Impact of Deidentifi cation on Statistical 2:05 p.m. An Assessment of the Effect of Misreporting of Information in Limited Access Datasets—❖April Phone Line Information on Key Weighted Estimates Slee, Axio Research; Paula Diehr, University from Four National RDD Surveys—❖Ashley of Washington; Kenneth Rice, University of Bowers, University of Michigan; Jeff rey Washington Gonzalez, Bureau of Labor Statistics 2:20 p.m. Improvements in Coverage and Sample Weighting 478 CC-155 D for Telephia’s 2007 Attitude and Behavior Survey ● ✪ Financial Data Mining and Risk—Contributed (TABS) of U.S. Cellular Phone Subscribers— ❖Vicki Pineau, Telephia Inc.; Jim Baer, Telephia Section on Statistical Computing, Business and Economics Statistics Sec- Inc.; Christianne Pang, Telephia Inc.; Glenn tion, Society for Risk Analysis, Section on Statistical Graphics, Section on ; Nonparametric Statistics Atias, Telephia Inc. Elisa Chan, Knowledge Networks, Inc. Chair(s): Nozer D. Singpurwalla, Th e George Washington University 2:35 p.m. Nonresponse in Surveys of the College Educated 2:05 p.m. Statistical Methods for Detecting Financial Crimes: Revisited—❖Patrick Flanagan, U.S. Census Applications and Challenges—❖Agus Sudjianto, Bureau; Nancy Dexter, U.S. Census Bureau Bank of America; Sheela Nair, University of California, Los Angeles 2:50 p.m. Nonresponse in the Survey of Industrial Research and Development—❖Perez Adriana, Th e 2:20 p.m. An Effi cient Sequential Design Method for University of Texas at Houston Health Science Detecting Money Laundering—❖Xinwei Deng, Center Georgia Institute of Technology; Roshan Joseph, Georgia Institute of Technology; Agus 3:05 p.m. Adjusting for Missing Covariates Using the EM Sudjianto, Bank of America; Chien-Fu Jeff Wu, Algorithm for Logistic Regression Models: A Study Georgia Institute of Technology of the Effect of Childhood Overweight on the Age of Onset of Menses—❖Yi Liu, Th e Ohio State 2:35 p.m. Unsupervised Quantile Learning To Identify University; Elizabeth A. Stasny, Th e Ohio State Principal Direction of Anomaly—❖Aijun Zhang, University; Pamela Salsberry, Th e Ohio State University of Michigan; Agus Sudjianto, Bank University; Patricia Reagan, Th e Ohio State of America; Ming Yuan, Georgia Institute of University Technology 3:20 p.m. An Evaluation of Basic Calibration Estimators in 2:50 p.m. Rule and Rule Ensemble-Based Methods for Presence of Nonresponse—❖Yves Th ibaudeau, Financial Crime Detection—❖Fernando Cela U.S. Census Bureau; Jun Shao, University of Diaz, Bank of America; Agus Sudjianto, Bank of Wisconsin-Madison; Jeri Mulrow, National America Science Foundation 3:05 p.m. Feature Extraction and Classifi cation to Identify 3:35 p.m. The Nonparametric Regression with Missing Suspicious Activities—❖Alireza Darvish, Th e Responses and Its Applications to the U.S. University of North Carolina at Charlotte; Census—❖Cheng Yong Tang, Iowa State Kayvan Najarian, Th e University of North University; Song Xi Chen, Iowa State University Carolina at Charlotte 3:20 p.m. Simulating Goodness-of-Fit: Ensuring Fair Online Auctions—Andrew Ostarello, Exponent, Inc.; 480 CC-250 C ❖Michael Orkin, Exponent, Inc. ● Methods and Analysis of Failure Time Data in 3:35 p.m. The Netfl ix Challenge for Statisticians—❖J. Brian Epidemiological Studies—Contributed Gray, Th e University of Alabama Section on Statistics in Epidemiology Chair(s): Jayawant Mandrekar, Mayo Clinic 2:05 p.m. Regression Analysis of a Disease Onset 479 CC-250 B ❖ ● Compensating for Survey Nonresponse and Distribution Using Diagnosis Data— Jessica G. Young, University of California, Berkeley; Nonsampling Error—Contributed Nicholas P. Jewell, University of California, Section on Survey Research Methods Berkeley; Steven J. Samuels, University at Chair(s): Vicki Burt, National Center for Health Statistics Albany-SUNY

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2:20 p.m. Semiparametric Methods for Estimating Data with Application to Reproductive Study— Cumulative Treatment Effects—❖Guanghui Wei, ❖Huichao Chen, Emory University; Limin Peng, University of Michigan; Douglas Schaubel, Emory University; Amita K. Manatunga, Emory University of Michigan University; Michele Marcus, Emory University 2:35 p.m. Impact of Duration of Follow-Up Time on Predictors of Cardiovascular Disease in Survival Models—❖Lei Zhu, Boston University; Michael J. Pencina, Boston University; Ralph B. Invited Sessions 4:00 p.m.–5:50 p.m. D’Agostino, Sr., Boston University 2:50 p.m. Semiparametric Regression with Time-Dependent 481 CC-Ballrooms E-J Coefﬁ cient for Failure Time Data Analysis— COPSS Awards and Fisher Lecture—Invited ❖ Zhangsheng Yu, Th e Ohio State University; ASA, Committee of Presidents of Statistics Societies, IMS, ENAR, WNAR, Xihong Lin, Harvard School of Public Health SSC 3:05 p.m. The Exclusion of Prevalent Cases from Incident Organizer(s): Madhuri S. Mulekar, University of South Alabama Dementia Risk Factor Studies Sacriﬁ ces Lots of Chair(s): Jessica Utts, University of California, Davis ❖ Information— Daniel Tancredi, University of 4:00 p.m. Presentation of Awards—❖Madhuri S. Mulekar, California, Davis University of South Alabama 3:20 p.m. Comparison of Adjusted Survival Curves with 4:20 p.m. R. A. Fisher, Randomization, and Current Practice ❖ Different Reference Populations— Xu Zhang, in Multicenter Clinical Trials—❖Marvin Zelen, Georgia State University Harvard School of Public Health Wednesday 3:35 p.m. Proportional Odds Modeling of Discrete Survival 5:30 p.m. Floor Discussion

Salt Lake City 207 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

208 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

THURSDAY, AUGUST 2

Tours Invited Sessions 8:30 a.m.–10:20 a.m.

TR13 Utah Gold & Silver 482 CC-257 9:00 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CC-South Foyer (200 South Street) ✪ The Role of the ASA in MS Statistician Careers— Invited Committee on Membership Retention and Recruitment, ENAR, WNAR, Sec- tion on Survey Research Methods Committee/Business Meetings Organizer(s): David Banks, Duke University & Other Activities Chair(s): Mingxiu Hu, Millennium Pharmaceuticals, Inc. 8:35 a.m. The Evolution of an Engineer—❖Matthew 7:00 a.m.–10:30 a.m. CC-252 A, CC-252 B Pocernich, National Center for Atmospheric Speaker Work Rooms Research 9:05 a.m. Opportunities Offered by the ASA for a Statistician 7:00 a.m.–10:30 a.m. CC-South Foyer in a Management Role in the Pharmaceutical Cyber Center Industry—❖Jane B. Porter, Millennium Pharmaceuticals, Inc. 7:30 a.m.–10:30 a.m. CC-South Foyer 9:35 a.m. Transitioning into a Career as an MS Statistician: JSM Main Registration and ASA Membership/Special How the ASA Can Help—❖Monica Johnston, University of California, San Francisco

Assistance Desk Thursday 10:05 a.m. Floor Discussion 8:00 a.m.–10:00 a.m. CC-254 C Council of Sections Governing Board JSM Meeting, Part 483 CC-251 C 1 (closed) Advances in System Reliability—Invited Chair(s): S. Lynne Stokes, Southern Methodist University Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences, Section on Statisticians in Defense and National Security, Section on Risk Analysis, Section on Quality 8:00 a.m.–10:30 a.m. CC-South Foyer and Productivity ASA Marketplace Organizer(s): Alyson G. Wilson, Los Alamos National Laboratory Chair(s): Alyson G. Wilson, Los Alamos National Laboratory 8:00 a.m.–6:00 p.m. CC-Main Lobby, Level 2 8:35 a.m. Parametric and Nonparametric Flowgraph Models Salt Lake City Visitors Information Center with Application to Bayesian Multistate Systems Reliability—❖Aparna V. Huzurbazar, University 10:00 a.m.–11:30 a.m. CC-254 C of New Mexico; Brian J. Williams, Los Alamos Council of Sections Governing Board JSM Meeting, Part National Laboratory; David Collins, University 2 (closed) of New Mexico Chair(s): S. Lynne Stokes, Southern Methodist University 9:05 a.m. Integrating System Engineering Methods into Reliability Estimates—❖Andrew Koehler, Los Alamos National Laboratory 9:35 a.m. Resource Allocation Strategies for Reliability of Complex Systems—❖Christine Anderson-Cook, Los Alamos National Laboratory 10:05 a.m. Floor Discussion

Salt Lake City 209 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

210 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel Thursday

Salt Lake City 211 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

484 CC-355 F 486 CC-151 G ● ✪ Statistical Validation of Surrogate ● ✪ Practical Bayesian Nonparametric Methods— Endpoints—Invited Invited Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section, Committee on Applied Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Section on Nonparametric Statistics Statisticians, WNAR Organizer(s): David Draper, University of California, Santa Cruz Organizer(s): Peiqi Chen, Eli Lilly and Company Chair(s): Herbert Lee, University of California, Santa Cruz Chair(s): Stacy Lindborg, Eli Lilly and Company 8:35 a.m. Bayesian Nonparametric Modeling for 8:35 a.m. Uniﬁ ed Approaches for Surrogate Marker Well-Calibrated Location and Scale Inference with Evaluation from Multiple Randomized Clinical Skewed and Heavy-Tailed Data—❖David Draper, Trials—❖Geert Molenberghs, Hasselt University University of California, Santa Cruz 9:00 a.m. Evaluating and Using Surrogate Endpoints in 9:00 a.m. Nonparametric Modeling for Spatial Functional Clinical Trials: A Bayesian Approach—❖Mary K. Data Analysis—❖Alan E. Gelfand, Duke Cowles, Th e University of Iowa; Qian Shi, Th e University University of Iowa 9:25 a.m. Bayesian Semiparametric Modeling Based on 9:25 a.m. Surrogate Endpoint Validation: Statistical Elegance Mixtures of Polya Trees—❖Timothy E. Hanson, versus Clinical Relevance—❖Daniel J. Sargent, Th e University of Minnesota Mayo Clinic 9:50 a.m. Modeling with Inﬁ nitely Divisible Moving 9:50 a.m. Disc: Sue-Jane Wang, U.S. Food and Drug Averages—❖Robert L. Wolpert, Duke Administration University 10:10 a.m. Floor Discussion 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion

485 CC-255 E 487 CC-255 B ● ✪ Statistics and Finance—Invited ● ✪ Profi le Monitoring—Invited IMS Section on Quality and Productivity, Section on Physical and Engineering Organizer(s): Per A. Mykland, Th e University of Chicago Sciences Chair(s): Per A. Mykland, Th e University of Chicago Organizer(s): Willis Jensen, W.L. Gore & Associates, Inc. 8:35 a.m. Large Dimensional Covariance Matrix Estimation Chair(s): William H. Woodall, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State for Asset Pricing and Risk Management Using University a Factor Model—❖Jianqing Fan, Princeton 8:35 a.m. Profi les: Monitoring the Variance Components— University; Yingying Fan, Princeton University; ❖Shilpa Gupta, Arizona State University; Jinchi Lv, Princeton University Douglas C. Montgomery, Arizona State 9:05 a.m. Do Jumps Matter?—❖Lan Zhang, University of University Illinois at Chicago 9:05 a.m. Monitoring Correlation Within Nonlinear Profi les ❖ 9:35 a.m. Testing for Jumps in a Discretely Observed Using Mixed Models— Willis Jensen, W.L. Gore Process—❖Yacine Ait-Sahalia, Princeton & Associates, Inc.; Jeff rey B. Birch, Virginia University; Jean Jacod, Universite Pierre and Polytechnic Institute and State University Marie Curie 9:35 a.m. A General Framework for Monitoring of Dynamic ❖ 10:05 a.m. Floor Discussion Systems— Kwok-Leung Tsui, Georgia Institute of Technology; Wei Jiang, Stevens Institute of Technology; Tom Au, AT&T Labs - Research 10:05 a.m. Floor Discussion

212 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

488 CC-255 A 490 CC-255 F ● ✪ Innovative Designs and Analysis in Clinical ✪ Advances in Statistical Aggregation —Invited Trials: Fully Harnessing Patient Information IMS, International Indian Statistical Association Accrued During a Trial—Invited Organizer(s): Florentina Bunea, Florida State University Section on Government Statistics, ENAR, Biometrics Section, Biopharma- Chair(s): Florentina Bunea, Florida State University ceutical Section, WNAR 8:35 a.m. Aggregation Using Empirical Risk—❖Sara A. van Organizer(s): Yi Cheng, Indiana University South Bend de Geer, ETH Zurich Chair(s): Yi Cheng, Indiana University South Bend 9:00 a.m. Sparsity Bounds in Empirical Risk Minimization— 8:35 a.m. Adaptive Dose-Finding Designs for Single and Dual ❖Vladimir Koltchinskii, Georgia Institute of Agent Combinations Using Accumulated Data from Technology ❖ All Patients— Sumithra J. Mandrekar, Mayo 9:25 a.m. Aggregating Algorithms for Individual Clinic; Daniel J. Sargent, Mayo Clinic Sequences—❖Nicolò Cesa-Bianchi, Università 9:05 a.m. Adaptive Design and Analysis of Clinical Trials— degli Studi di Milano ❖ Yu Shen, Th e University of Texas 9:50 a.m. Sparsity Oracle Inequalities for the Lasso— M. D. Anderson Cancer Center; Yi Cheng, ❖Marten Wegkamp, Florida State University; Indiana University South Bend Alexandre Tsybakov, Paris VI; Florentina Bunea, 9:35 a.m. Progress in Using Adaptive Designs for Clinical Florida State University ❖ Trials— Donald A. Berry, Th e University of 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer Center 10:05 a.m. Floor Discussion 491 CC-255 C ● ✪ 489 CC-255 D Statistical Methods and Applications in Genomics—Invited ● ✪ Medication Compliance: New Methods and IMS, Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Section on Health Policy Statis- Applications—Invited tics, Biometrics Section, Biopharmaceutical Section, WNAR

ENAR, WNAR, Section on Health Policy Statistics, Biometrics Section Organizer(s): Heping Zhang, Yale University Thursday Organizer(s): Junfeng Sun, University of Nebraska Medical Center; Chair(s): Hongtu Zhu, Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Honghu Liu, University of California, Los Angeles Chair(s): Junfeng Sun, University of Nebraska Medical Center 8:35 a.m. PfCluster: A New Proﬁ le Cluster Analysis Procedure—❖Jiayang Sun, Case Western 8:35 a.m. Noncompliance with Drug-Dosing Regimens: An Reserve University; Yaomin Xu, Th e Cleveland Underestimated Bias in Drug Trials and Clinical Clinic Practice—❖Bernard Vrijens, Pharmionic Systems Ltd. 9:05 a.m. A Simple and Improved Correction for Population Stratiﬁ cation in Genetic Association Studies— 9:05 a.m. Dose-Timing Intervals of Antiretroviral Medications ❖Michael Epstein, Emory University and Virologic Responses—❖Honghu Liu, University of California, Los Angeles; Loren G. 9:35 a.m. Prior Elicitation and Variable Selection in Miller, University of California, Los Angeles; Regression Models with High-Dimensional ❖ Ron D. Hayes, University of California, Los Data— Joseph G. Ibrahim, Th e University of Angeles; Carol E. Golin, Th e University of North North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Mayetri Gupta, Carolina at Chapel Hill; Junfeng Sun, University Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill of Nebraska Medical Center; Tongtong Wu, 10:05 a.m. Floor Discussion University of California, Los Angeles; Neil S. Wenger, University of California, Los Angeles 9:35 a.m. Analyzing the Effects of Compliance Measured with Error in Randomized Trials—❖Els Goetghebeur, Gent University; Stijn Vansteelandt, Ghent University; Manoochehr Babanezhad, Ghent University 10:05 a.m. Floor Discussion

Salt Lake City 213 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

492 CC-250 C 494 CC-355 B Network Science—Invited ● ✪ Modeling Data from Brain Imaging Studies— Section on Statistical Computing, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Topic-Contributed Organizer(s): Edward Wegman, George Mason University; Yasmin H. Biometrics Section, WNAR Said, George Mason University Organizer(s): R. Todd Ogden, Columbia University Chair(s): William F. Szewczyk, National Security Agency Chair(s): Martina Pavlicova, Columbia University 8:35 a.m. Bayesian Inference for a Longitudinal Social 8:35 a.m. Dynamic Positron Emission Tomography Data- Network Model—❖Mark S. Handcock, University Driven Analysis Using Sparse Bayesian Learning— of Washington ❖John Aston, Academia Sinica; Jyh-Ying Peng, 9:05 a.m. Network Survivability—❖Nozer D. Singpurwalla, Academia Sinica Th e George Washington University 8:55 a.m. FMRI Statistical Brain Activation from k-Space 9:35 a.m. A Review of Statistical Models for Networks with Data—❖Daniel Rowe, Medical College of a Focus on Imputation—❖Stanley Wasserman, Wisconsin Indiana University; Douglas Steinley, University 9:15 a.m. State-Space Models for Optical Imaging—❖Kary of Missouri-Columbia; Garry Robins, University Myers, Los Alamos National Laboratory; Anthony of Melbourne E. Brockwell, Carnegie Mellon University; William 10:05 p.m. Floor Discussion F. Eddy, Carnegie Mellon University 9:35 a.m. Assessing Homogeneity in Brain Regions Using Imaging Data—❖R. Todd Ogden, Columbia University; Huiping Jiang, Columbia University Topic-Contributed Sessions 9:55 a.m. The Use of Multiscale Methods To Characterize 8:30 a.m.–10:20 a.m. Resting fMRI Data—❖Nicole Lazar, University of Georgia 493 CC-150 G 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion ● ✪ Consulting from a Distance: Web-Based Analytics for Statistical Consulting—Topic- 495 CC-355 D Contributed ● ✪ Repeated Measures and Recurrent Events in Section on Statistical Consulting, WNAR Medical Device Studies—Topic-Contributed Organizer(s): Samaradasa Weerahandi, Time Warner; Edward D. Biopharmaceutical Section, WNAR Rothman, University of Michigan Organizer(s): Zheng Zhou, Boston Scientifi c Corporation Chair(s): Brady West, University of Michigan Chair(s): Jeng Mah, American Medical Systems 8:35 a.m. Web-Based Analytics in Marketing— 8:35 a.m. Group-Sequential Analysis of Correlated Binary ❖Samaradasa Weerahandi, Time Warner Data on Repeated Venous Accessions—❖John 8:55 a.m. Use of Remote Consulting in a University Evans, Boston Scientifi c Corporation; Brian P. Environment—❖Edward D. Rothman, University Johnson, Boston Scientifi c Corporation; So Jung of Michigan Imm, Boston Scientifi c Corporation 9:15 a.m. Remote Consulting on Linear Mixed Models at a 8:55 a.m. Longitudinal Data Analysis in Medical Device University Consulting Center—❖Kathleen Welch, Clinical Studies—❖Chang S. Lao, U.S. Food and University of Michigan; Brady West, University Drug Administration; Harry F. Bushar, U.S. Food of Michigan and Drug Administration 9:35 a.m. How to Move from Desktop to Web Analytics— 9:15 a.m. Comparison of Methods for Analyzing Recurrence ❖Dilip Patel, Time Warner Cardiac Arrhythmia Data—❖Shelby Li, 9:55 a.m. Disc: Diane K. Michelson, International Medtronic Inc. SEMATECH Manufacturing Initiative 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion

214 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

9:35 a.m. Assessing Correlation Between Repeated Binghamton University; Ursula Mueller, Texas Measurements of Secondary Endpoints in a A&M University; Wolfgang Wefelmeyer, Medical Device Trial—❖Lan Pan, Boston Univeristaet zu Koeln Scientifi c Corporation; Bryan Randall, Boston 8:55 a.m. 2-D Wavelet-Based Spectra with Applications Scientifi c Corporation; Alex Shih, Boston in Analysis of Geophysical Images—❖Brani Scientifi c Corporation Vidakovic, Georgia Institute of Technology; 9:55 a.m. Analysis of Recurrent Events Data in Medical Orietta Nicolis, University of Bergamo; Claudio Device Clinical Trials—❖Sarah J. H. Kogut, Garutti, University of Padova Beckman Coulter, Inc. 9:15 a.m. A Data-Driven Block Thresholding Approach to ❖ 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion Wavelet Estimation— Harrison Zhou, Yale University; Tony Cai, University of Pennsylvania 9:35 a.m. Bayesian Nonparametric Modeling for Spatial Data 496 CC-251 E Using Dirichlet Processes—❖Michele Guindani, ✪ Nonparametric Approaches to Regression and Th e University of Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer Spatial Modeling—Topic-Contributed Center IMS, Section on Nonparametric Statistics, Section on Statistics and the Environment 9:55 a.m. On Block Thresholding in Wavelet Regression with Organizer(s): Fang Li, Indiana University Purdue University Indianapolis Long Memory Correlated Noise—❖Linyuan Li, Chair(s): Weixing Song, Kansas State University University of New Hampshire 8:35 a.m. Estimating the Innovation Distribution in 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion Nonparametric Autoregression—❖Anton Schick, Thursday

Salt Lake City 215 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

497 CC-151 A-C 9:15 a.m. Bayesian Estimation of Scram Rate Trends in ● ✪ Bayesian Modeling of High-Dimensional Nuclear Power Plants—❖Kaushal Mishra, North Genomic Data—Topic-Contributed Carolina State University; Sujit Ghosh, North Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, ENAR, Biometrics Section Carolina State University Organizer(s): Dipak Dey, University of Connecticut 9:35 a.m. The Use of Bayesian Tolerance Intervals ❖ Chair(s): Th omas Santner, Th e Ohio State University for Batch-Release Testing— Richard Lewis, GlaxoSmithKline; Steven J. Novick, 8:35 a.m. Using Genomic Scans of Fst To Identify the GlaxoSmithKline Footprints of Selection—❖Kent Holsinger, University of Connecticut 9:55 a.m. A Joint Modeling Approach for Analyzing Nonignorable Missing Data—❖Sujit Ghosh, Bayesian Semiparametric Testing and Estimation 8:55 a.m. North Carolina State University; Liansheng Zhu, for High-Dimensional Genetic Data—❖Richard Pharmaceutical Product Development, Inc MacLehose, National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences; David B. Dunson, National 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion Institute of Environmental Health Sciences 9:15 a.m. Bayesian Pathways Studies Using Microarray 499 CC-250 E Data—❖Lynn Kuo, University of Connecticut; ✪ Ranked Set Sampling I—Topic-Contributed Wangang Xie, University of Connecticut; Dong- Section on Nonparametric Statistics, Section on Survey Research Methods Guk Shin, University of Connecticut; Fang Organizer(s): Omer Ozturk, Th e Ohio State University Yu, University of Connecticut; Yifang Zhao, Chair(s): S. Lynne Stokes, Southern Methodist University University of Connecticut; Ming-Hui Chen, University of Connecticut 8:35 a.m. Estimating the Distribution Function Using k-tuple Ranked Set Samples—❖Kaushik Ghosh, New 9:35 a.m. Bayesian Graph Cutting—❖Bani Mallick, Texas Jersey Institute of Technology; Ram C. Tiwari, A&M University National Cancer Institute 9:55 a.m. Log-Linear Models for Gene and Network 8:55 a.m. Distribution-Free Statistical Intervals via Ranked- Interactions—❖Valen Johnson, Th e University of Set Sampling—❖Jesse Frey, Villanova University Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer Center; Jianhua Hu, Th e University of Texas M. D. Anderson 9:15 a.m. A Nonparametric Mean Estimator for Judgment ❖ Cancer Center Post-Stratiﬁ ed Data— Xinlei Wang, Southern Methodist University; Johan Lim, Yonsei 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion University; S. Lynne Stokes, Southern Methodist University 498 CC-151 D-F 9:35 a.m. Optimal Ranked Set Sampling Estimation Based ● ✪ Bayesian Methods in Industrial Applications— on Medians from Multiple Set Sizes—❖Nader Topic-Contributed Gemayel, Th e Ohio State University; Elizabeth Section on Bayesian Statistical Science A. Stasny, Th e Ohio State University; Douglas Organizer(s): Sujit Ghosh, North Carolina State University Wolfe, Th e Ohio State University Chair(s): Gentry White, North Carolina State University 9:55 a.m. Minimum Distance Estimator of Judgment-Ranking Probabilities in a Ranked-Set Sample—❖Omer 8:35 a.m. A Bayesian Approach to Assessing the Risk of QT Ozturk, Th e Ohio State University Prolongation—❖Suraj Anand, North Carolina State University; Sujit Ghosh, North Carolina 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion State University 8:55 a.m. Bayesian Nonparametric Random Effects Selection Using the Centered Dirichlet Process—❖Mingan Yang, National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences; David B. Dunson, National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences

216 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel Thursday

Salt Lake City 217 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

500 CC-250 A Raghunathan, University of Michigan Creating Materials for an Online Course—Topic- 9:55 a.m. Floor Discussion Contributed Section on Statistical Education, Section on Teaching Statistics in the Health Sciences, WNAR 502 CC-251 A ● ✪ Organizer(s): F. Michael Speed, Texas A&M University Methods for Inference About Population Chair(s): Benjamin H. Eichhorn, Rider University Structure and Inheritance from Genetic Data— Topic-Contributed 8:35 a.m. Developing and Using Video Instruction in an Online WNAR, Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Biometrics Section Course—❖Sue Schou, Idaho State University Organizer(s): Geof Givens, Colorado State University 8:55 a.m. Creating Materials for an Online Course— Chair(s): Ann Lee, Carnegie Mellon University ❖Suzanne Perumean-Chaney, Th e University of Alabama at Birmingham; Mischelle T. Stone, 8:35 a.m. A Likelihood Method of Estimating Ancestry from ❖ Th e University of Alabama at Birmingham Pedigrees— Janet Sinsheimer, University of California, Los Angeles; Christopher Plaisier, 9:15 a.m. Creating Materials for Online Students—❖Patti University of California, Los Angeles; Adriana Collings, Brigham Young University Huertas-Vazquez, University of California, 9:35 a.m. Creating Materials for an Online/Distance Los Angeles; Carlos Aguilar-Salinas, Instituto Course—❖F. Michael Speed, Texas A&M Nacional de Ciencias Médicas y Nutrición University; Kim Ritchie, Texas A&M University Salvador Zubirán Mexico City; Teresa Tusie- 9:55 a.m. Creating Materials for an Online Course—❖Joan Luna, National Autonomous University Weinstein, Harvard Extension School of Mexico; Paivi Pajukanta, University of 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion California, Los Angeles; Kenneth Lange, University of California, Los Angeles 8:55 a.m. Cluster Analysis and PCA for Detection of Genetic 501 CC-254 B Variants and Population Structure—❖Diana Luca, Bayesian Methods in Sample Surveys—Topic- Carnegie Mellon University; Kathryn Roeder, Contributed Carnegie Mellon University; Bernie Devlin, Section on Survey Research Methods University of Pittsburgh Medical Center Organizer(s): Roderick J. Little, University of Michigan 9:15 a.m. Evaluating Individual Admixture Estimation Chair(s): Michael R. Elliott, University of Michigan Through Plasmodes—❖Laura K. Vaughan, 8:35 a.m. Parametric and Semiparametric Model-Based Th e University of Alabama at Birmingham; Estimates of the Finite Population Mean for Two- Jasmin Divers, Th e University of Alabama at Stage Cluster Samples with Item Nonresponse— Birmingham; Miguel Padilla, Th e University ❖Roderick J. Little, University of Michigan; Ying of Alabama at Birmingham; David T. Redden, Yuan, Th e University of Texas M. D. Anderson Th e University of Alabama at Birmingham; Cancer Center Hemant Tiwari, Th e University of Alabama at 8:55 a.m. Bayesian Penalized Spline Model-Based Estimation Birmingham; Daniel Pomp, Th e University of of the Finite Population Distribution Function for North Carolina at Chapel Hill; David B. Allison, Unequal Probability Samples—❖Qixuan Chen, Th e University of Alabama at Birmingham University of Michigan; Michael R. Elliott, 9:35 a.m. Population Structure and Covariate Analysis University of Michigan; Roderick J. Little, Based on Pairwise Microsatellite Allele Matching University of Michigan Frequencies—❖Geof Givens, Colorado State 9:15 a.m. Simultaneous Credible Intervals for Small-Area University; Isin Ozaksoy, Colorado State Estimation Problems—❖Nadarjasund Ganesh, University University of Maryland 9:55 a.m. Uncertainty in Inheritance: P-Values and ❖ 9:35 a.m. Bayesian Approaches to Sequential Selection Conﬁ dence Levels— Elizabeth Th ompson, of Survey Design Protocols—❖James Wagner, University of Washington University of Michigan; Trivellore E. 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion

218 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

Contributed Sessions 8:30 a.m.–10:20 a.m. 504 CC-355 A ● ✪ ROC Estimation and Diagnostic Tests— 503 CC-355 C Contributed ● ✪ Survival Data Analysis II—Contributed Biometrics Section Chair(s): Jianrong Wu, St. Jude Children’s Research Hospital Biometrics Section Chair(s): Jun-mo Nam, National Cancer Institute 8:35 a.m. Statistical Evaluation of Diagnostic Accuracy in Multiple Diagnostic Markers—❖Mi-Chia Ma, 8:35 a.m. Modeling Bivariate Survival Times by Frank National Cheng Kung University; Kun-Cheng Copula—❖Rui Qin, Mayo Clinic; Michael P. Lin, National Cheng Kung University Jones, Th e University of Iowa 8:50 a.m. Additional Diagnostic Utility of a Variable After 8:50 a.m. Nonparametric Inference for Clustered Competing the Adjustment of Other Variables—❖Caixia Li, Risks Data—❖Bingshu Chen, National Institutes University of California, San Francisco; Ying Lu, of Health; Philip S. Rosenberg, National University of California, San Francisco Institutes of Health; Joan L. Kramer, National Institutes of Health; Mark H. Greene, National 9:05 a.m. Adjusting for Covariate Effects on Classifi cation Institutes of Health Accuracy Using the Covariate-Adjusted ROC Curve—❖Holly Janes, Th e Johns Hopkins 9:05 a.m. Pseudospline-Based Flexible Modeling of Survival University; Margaret Pepe, Fred Hutchinson Data—❖Zekarias Berhane, Drexel University; Cancer Research Center Lisa Weissfeld, University of Pittsburgh; Chung- Chou H. Chang, University of Pittsburgh 9:20 a.m. Modeling of Prostate Cancer Detection Probability with Applications—❖Robert Serfl ing, University 9:20 a.m. Accommodating Deaths in Longitudinal Self- of Texas at Dallas Rated Health for Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplant Recipients—❖Brenda F. Kurland, 9:35 a.m. Empirical Likelihood-Based Inference for the ❖ Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center; Paul Partial Area Under the ROC Curve— Gengsheng J. Martin, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Qin, Georgia State University; Xiaoping Jin, Center; Stephanie J. Lee, Fred Hutchinson Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Cancer Research Center Xiao-Hua (Andrew) Zhou, University of Thursday Washington 9:35 a.m. Variable Importance in Highly Predictive Models— ❖Kyle Rudser, University of Washington; 9:50 a.m. An ROC Confi dence Region Based on Radial Sweep ❖ Michael LeBlanc, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Methods— Michael Schuckers, St. Lawrence Research Center; Scott Emerson, University of University; Yordan Minev, St. Lawrence Washington University 9:50 a.m. Low-Structure Discrete Hazard Estimation by 10:05 a.m. Floor Discussion Cross-Validated Modifi ed Likelihood—❖Steven Mongin, Th e University of Minnesota; Timothy 505 CC-260 R. Church, Th e University of Minnesota Twin Inferences for Stochastic Process and Time-to- Cities Event Data Analysis—Contributed 10:05 a.m. Development of a Stochastic Model of Salmon Biometrics Section Migration Using Random Effects Models of Chair(s): Zhigang Zhang, Oklahoma State University Recapture Data from Tagged Individuals— ❖Steven G. Smith, NOAA Fisheries; James R. 8:35 a.m. Hierarchical Spatiotemporal Models for Preterm ❖ Faulkner, National Marine Fisheries Service; Birth— Jonathan Norton, Florida State Richard W. Zabel, NOAA Fisheries University 8:50 a.m. Coalescent Theory for a Monoecious Random Mating Population with a Varying Size—❖Edward Pollak, Iowa State University 9:05 a.m. Real-Time Modeling of Infectious Disease Outbreaks—❖Laura White, Boston University; Marcello Pagano, Harvard University

Salt Lake City 219 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

9:20 a.m. Estimation Methods for Successive Times-to-Event 9:20 a.m. An Improved Classifi cation Procedure for High- Adjusted by Multiple Health-Related Quality-of-Life Dimension and Highly Noisy Data Using Data Scores—❖Adin-Cristian Andrei, University of Defi ned Distance and Comparison Test—❖Shuang Wisconsin-Madison Liu, University of California, Davis; David 9:35 a.m. Parameter Calibration in an Agent-Based Model of Rocke, University of California, Davis Leishmania Major Infection—❖Garrett Dancik, 9:35 a.m. The Trade-Off of Bias and Variability in the Analysis Iowa State University; Karin Dorman, Iowa State of Affymetrix GeneChip Probe Data—❖Shibing University Deng, Pfi zer Inc. 9:50 a.m. A Color Image Grand Tour for Exploring Medical 9:50 a.m. A Comprehensive Mixed-Model Approach for the Images—❖Juergen Symanzik, Utah State Analysis of Microarray Gene Expression Data— University; Bradley Wallet, Automated ❖Jane Chang, Bowling Green State University; Decisions, LLC; William Shannon, Washington Jason C. Hsu, Th e Ohio State University University in St. Louis 10:05 a.m. Basal Gene Expression for Affymetrix Microarray 10:05 a.m. Least Squares Estimation in Linear Regression and Its Application in Cancer Microarray Data with Doubly Truncated Data—❖Xiaodong Luo, Mining—❖Hui-Rong Qian, Eli Lilly and Mount Sinai School of Medicine; Wei-Yann Tsai, Company Columbia University 507 CC-150 A-C 506 CC-355 E ● ✪ Business Statistics and Forecasting— ● ✪ Statistical Issues in Microarray Data in Contributed Medicine Discovery—Contributed Business and Economics Statistics Section Biopharmaceutical Section Chair(s): David Dickey, North Carolina State University Chair(s): Yue Wang, Merck & Co., Inc. 8:35 a.m. Mining Spatial Patterns of Best-Performing 8:35 a.m. Using Information Theory for the Classifi cation Branches in Banking Branch Marketing Analysis— of Trends in Dose-Response Microarray ❖Wen Jun Yin, IBM China Research Laboratory; Experiments—❖Luc Bijnens, Johnson & Johnson Ming Xie, IBM China Research Laboratory; Jin PRD; Dan Lin, Hasselt University; Ziv Shkedy, Dong, IBM China Research Laboratory; Bin Hasselt University; An De Bondt, Janssen Zhang, IBM China Research Laboratory Pharmaceutica - JJPRD; Ilse Van Den Wyngaert, 8:50 a.m. Comparing Methods Used for Handling Negative Janssen Pharmaceutica - JJPRD; Tamara Geerts, Values in Statistical Samples of Business Janssen Pharmaceutica - JJPRD; Timothy Records—❖Eric Falk, Ernst & Young Perera, Janssen Pharmaceutica - JJPRD; Hinrich 9:05 a.m. Dynamic Business Model Analysis for Internet- Goehlmann, Johnson & Johnson PRD Delivered Business Services—❖Bonnie Ray, IBM 8:50 a.m. Using Biological Information To Increase the Research Sensitivity of Tests for Differential Expression in 9:20 a.m. Evaluating Forecasts—❖Wanli Min, IBM T.J. Low-Dose Ionizing Radiation Studies—❖Ruixiao Watson Research Center; Chaitra Nagaraja, Lu, University of California, Davis; Susanne R. University of Pennsylvania Berglund, University of California, Davis; Alison Santana, University of California, Davis; Zelanna 9:35 a.m. A Mixture of Binary Logistic Regression Analysis Goldberg, University of California, Davis; David on Labor Supply of Mothers with Disabled ❖ Rocke, University of California, Davis Children— Zeng-Hua Lu, University of South Australia 9:05 a.m. Gene Selection: Filtering Microarray Probe Sets Based on Probe Level Consistency—❖Willem 9:50 a.m. A Semiparametric Approach To Estimate the Talloen, Johnson & Johnson PRD; Hinrich Disagreement Prices Between the Hospitals and ❖ Goehlmann, Johnson & Johnson PRD; Insurers— Sreenivas Konda, Temple University Dhammika Amaratunga, Johnson & Johnson 10:05 a.m. Refl ection on Teaching Business Statistics— PRD; Luc Bijnens, Johnson & Johnson PRD ❖Mammo Woldie, Texas Southern University

220 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

508 CC-251 D 9:05 a.m. Empirical Bayes Models of Poisson Clinical ✪ Stochastic Processes and Related Topics— Trials—❖Boris Zaslavsky, U.S. Food and Drug Contributed Administration IMS 9:20 a.m. A New Approach to the Inverse Bayes Formula of ❖ Chair(s): Catherine M. Crespi, University of California, Los Angeles Compatible Conditional Distributions— Kun-Lin Kuo, National Chengchi University; Chwan- 8:35 a.m. An Extension of Fisher’s Discriminant Analysis for Chin Song, National Chengchi University; Stochastic Processes—❖Hyejin Shin, Auburn Th omas J. Jiang, National Chengchi University University 9:35 a.m. Bayes Sequential Estimation for a Subclass 8:50 a.m. Uniform Central Limit Theorems for Density of Exponential Family of Distributions Under Estimators—❖Richard Nickl, University of LINEX Loss—❖Alicja Jokiel-Rokita, Wroclaw Connecticut University of Technology 9:05 a.m. Detection of Two-Sided Alternatives in a Brownian 9:50 a.m. Estimation Procedures in the Case of Randomly Motion Model—❖Olympia Hadjiliadis, Princeton Forthcoming Data—❖Ryszard Magiera, Wroclaw University/Drexel University; Vincent Poor, University of Technology; Alicja Jokiel-Rokita, Princeton University Wroclaw University of Technology 9:20 a.m. Spectral Approaches for Clustering Time Series 10:05 a.m. Bayesian Analysis of Progressively Type-II with Long Memory and Short Memory—❖Jaydip Censored Sample from Burr Type-XII Distribution— Mukhopadhyay, University of Connecticut; ❖Younshik Chung, Pusan National University; Nalini Ravishanker, University of Connecticut; Seongho Song, University of Cincinnati; Cyr E. M’lan, University of Connecticut; Chansoo Kim, Kongju National University; Jonathan Hosking, IBM T. J. Watson Research Junghoon Jang, Korea Food and Drug Center Association 9:35 a.m. Estimation of Age of a Galton Watson Process— ❖Satrajit Roychoudhury, Schering Plough Research Institute; Pranab K. Sen, Th e 510 CC-250 D University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Modeling and Simulation—Contributed Thursday Manish C. Bhattacharjee, New Jersey Institute of Section on Statistical Computing, Section on Statistical Graphics Technology Chair(s): Heike Hofmann, Iowa State University 9:50 a.m. Stability of Empirical Minimizers Through Gaussian 8:35 a.m. Confi rmatory Factor Analysis and Measurement Approximation—❖Philippe Berthet, Th e Error: A Monte Carlo Simulation—❖Bruce University of Rennes 1 Brown, Brigham Young University; Tyson T. 10:05 a.m. Floor Discussion Phalp, Myriad Genetics; Petr Blahus, Charles University 509 CC-150 D-F 8:50 a.m. Maximum Likelihood–Based Confi dence Intervals for Complementary Poisson Rate Parameters with Bayesian Methods—Contributed Data Subject to Misclassifi cation—❖Kent Riggs, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Stephen F. Austin State University Chair(s): Fei Liu, Duke University 9:05 a.m. Fitting Curves to Nested Confi dence Intervals— 8:35 a.m. Bayesian Inference Resistant to Outliers ❖Bob Blodgett, U.S. Food and Drug Using Super Heavy-Tailed Distributions for the Administration Calculation of Premiums—❖Alain Desgagne, 9:20 a.m. The Semiparametric Exchangeable Model— University of Québec at Montréal; Jean-François ❖Stephine Keeton, U.S. Food and Drug Angers, University of Montréal Administration 8:50 a.m. Redefi ning Degrees of Freedom for General Hierarchical Linear Models—❖Yue Cui, Th e University of Minnesota; James S. Hodges, Th e University of Minnesota

Salt Lake City 221 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

9:35 a.m. A Parametric Bootstrap Approach for ANOVA with 512 CC-251 B Unequal Variances: Fixed and Random Models— Topics in Environmetrics—Contributed ❖ Fei Lu, University of Louisiana at Lafayette; Section on Statistics and the Environment, WNAR Kalimuthu Krishnamoorthy, University of Chair(s): Veronica J. Berrocal, University of Washington Louisiana at Lafayette; Th omas Mathew, University of Maryland, Baltimore County 8:35 a.m. Nonlinear Forecasts of the Gulf of Maine Ecosystem—❖Barbara Bailey, San Diego State 9:50 a.m. Some Binary and Nonbinary Construction Plans University; Andrew Pershing, University of for Diallel Cross Designs in Incomplete Blocks— Maine ❖Jeff rey Shaff er, Tulane University; Sudesh Srivastav, Tulane University 8:50 a.m. Nonparametric Smoothing of Irregularly-Spaced Palaeo Records: Trend Estimation with Application 10:05 a.m. A Continuing Study on a New Resampling Method to Climate Change—❖Patricia Menendez, Swiss To Reduce Small-Sample Bias: An Extension to Federal Institute for Forest Snow and Landscape ❖ Multivariate Data— Haiyan Bai, University Research WSL; Sucharita Ghosh, Swiss Federal of Central Florida; Wei Pan, University of Institute for Forest Snow and Landscape Cincinnati; Stephen Sivo, University of Central Research WSL Florida 9:05 a.m. A Test of Equality of Spectra of Short Memory Independent Gaussian Time Series—❖Ravi 511 CC-250 B Siddani, University of Maryland, Baltimore Useful Advice in Teaching Statistics—Contributed County Section on Statistical Education, Section on Teaching Statistics in the 9:20 a.m. Temporally Correlated Dirichlet Processes in Health Sciences Pollution Receptor Modeling—❖Matthew Chair(s): Jane Harvill, Baylor University Heaton, Brigham Young University 8:35 a.m. Teaching Introductory Statistics to Prospective 9:35 a.m. Estimation of Sea Depth by Data Assimilation Elementary School Teachers: The Habitat with Tsunami Simulation Model—❖Kazuyuki Experience at ETSU—❖Edith Seier, East Nakamura, Th e Graduate University for Tennessee State University; Susan Hosler, East Advanced Studies; Tomoyuki Higuchi, Th e Tennessee State University Institute of Statistical Mathematics; Naoki 8:50 a.m. Differences in Students’ Performance Due to a Hirose, Kyushu University Statistics Lab Component—❖Jose H. Guardiola, 9:50 a.m. Bias of Cormack-Jolly-Seber (CJS) Survival Texas A&M University, Corpus Christi; Duran- Estimators in Release Recapture Studies with Low Hutchings Nadina, Texas A&M University, Sampling Effort—❖James R. Faulkner, National Corpus Christi; Joseph Champine, Texas A&M Marine Fisheries Service; Steven G. Smith, University, Corpus Christi NOAA Fisheries 9:05 a.m. Undergraduate Consulting as an Introductory 10:05 a.m. Climate Change Impacts and Models—❖John Course—❖Jim Bentley, University of Redlands Aleong, University of Vermont 9:20 a.m. Mentoring an Undergraduate Research 10:05 a.m. Floor Discussion Project—❖Debra Hydorn, University of Mary Washington 513 CC-251 F 9:35 a.m. Teaching a ‘History of Statistics’ Discussion ● Course—❖Phyllis Curtiss, Grand Valley State Optimal Sample Design—Contributed University; Kirk Anderson, Grand Valley State Section on Survey Research Methods University Chair(s): Brenda Cox, Battelle 9:50 a.m. Writing Assignments in Elementary Statistics 8:35 a.m. Survey Designs To Optimize Effi ciency and Classes—❖Ananda Jayawardhana, Pittsburg Precision for Multiple Objectives: Methods and ❖ State University Applications— Stephen Williams, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc.; Frank J. Potter, 10:05 a.m. A Random Walk Through ANOVA—❖Daniel Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. Kaplan, Macalester College

222 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

8:50 a.m. Optimization of Nonproportional Samples— 9:50 a.m. A Method for Bias-Reduction of Sample-Based ❖Raimund K. Wildner, GfK Group MLE of the Autologistic Function—❖Steen 9:05 a.m. Sampling Design and Inference for Social Network Magnussen, Canadian Forest Service; Robert Data: Estimating Epidemic Potential with Contact Reeves, Queensland University of Technology Tracing Data—❖Krista Gile, University of 10:05 a.m. Floor Discussion Washington; Mark S. Handcock, University of Washington 515 CC-250 F 9:20 a.m. Sample Allocation Under a Population Model and ● Applications in Public Health and Maternal and Stratifi ed Inclusion Probability Proportional to Size Sampling—Steven Heeringa, Institute for Child Health—Contributed Social Research; ❖SunWoong Kim, Dongguk Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Section on Health Policy Statistics University; Peter Solenberger, Institute for Chair(s): Sarah Ratcliff e, University of Pennsylvania Social Research 8:35 a.m. Ranking Children Vaccination Coverage Curves 9:35 a.m. Comparison of Sample Set Curtailment with the National Immunization Survey (NIS)— ❖ Procedures—❖Jason Legg, Iowa State University Zhen Zhao, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Philip J. Smith, Centers for Disease 9:50 a.m. A Model-Assisted Design Based on Adaptive Control and Prevention Sampling—❖Ismaila Adeleke, University of Lagos; Raymond Okafor, University of Lagos; 8:50 a.m. Bayesian Hierarchical Models to Evaluate Ebenezer Esan, University of Lagos; Athanasius Translational Research: Connecticut Collaboration ❖ Opara, University of Lagos for Fall Prevention— Terrence Murphy, Yale University; Heather G. Allore, Yale University; 10:05 a.m. Floor Discussion Mary Tinetti, Yale University 9:05 a.m. Disparity of Mortality from Leading Causes by 514 CC-254 A Socioeconomic Status and Their Geographic ● Multivariate and Longitudinal Analysis of Survey Distribution: U.S. Residents, 2000-2004—❖Jay H. Data—Contributed Kim, National Center for Health Statistics Thursday Section on Survey Research Methods 9:20 a.m. Alternative Models of Calculating Risk of Heat Chair(s): J. Neil Russell, National Center for Education Statistics Death Among Individuals Making Covert Border ❖ 8:35 a.m. Random Forests with Survey Data—❖Guillermo Crossings from Mexico to Arizona— Mary Mendez, Arizona State University; Sharon L. Mays, Arizona State University; Samuel M. Lohr, Arizona State University Keim, Arizona State University; Kendall Allred, Arizona State University; Jan Jirsak, Arizona 8:50 a.m. Multivariate Analysis Techniques on Model-Based State University Sampling—Chang Tai Chao, National Cheng Kung University; ❖Feng Min Lin, National 9:35 a.m. A Strategy To Evaluate Noncoverage in a Cheng Kung University Binational, Population-Based Maternal and Child Health Survey on the U.S.-Mexico Border— 9:05 a.m. A Multivariate Time Series Model for Small Areas ❖Ruben Smith, Centers for Disease Control and in the Dutch Labor Force Survey—❖Sabine Krieg, Prevention; Jill McDonald, Centers for Disease Statistics Netherlands; Jan Van den Brakel, Control and Prevention; Christopher Johnson, Statistics Netherlands Centers for Disease Control and Prevention 9:20 a.m. Longitudinal Estimation in Dual-Frame Surveys— 9:50 a.m. Latent Variable Models for Development and ❖Yan Lu, Arizona State University; Sharon L. Validation of an Infant Morbidity Index— Lohr, Arizona State University ❖Xuefeng Liu, Wayne State University; Jeff rey 9:35 a.m. Joint Modeling of Longitudinal Binary Outcome and Roth Time to Drop-Out: An Application Using Complex 10:05 a.m. Birth Weight Distribution: Thinking Outside the Survey Data—❖Punam Pahwa, University Curve—❖Richard Charnigo, University of of Saskatchewan; Chandima Karunanayake, Kentucky; Lorie W. Chesnut, Th e University University of Saskatchewan of Alabama at Birmingham; Tony LoBianco, University of Kentucky

Salt Lake City 223 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

Invited Sessions 10:30 a.m.–12:20 p.m. 518 CC-255 E Wald Lecture III—Invited 516 CC-151 A-C IMS, General Methodology, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science ● Biometrics: A Gold Standard? How Can Statistics Organizer(s): Tony Cai, University of Pennsylvania as a Field Contribute Toward Finding an Answer?— Chair(s): Dongchu Sun, University of Missouri-Columbia Invited 10:35 a.m. Working with Inexact Models: The World of ❖ Section on Statisticians in Defense and National Security, ENAR, Biomet- Computer Modeling— James Berger, Duke rics Section, Section on Health Policy Statistics University Organizer(s): Sinjini Mitra, Th e University of Southern California 11:40 a.m. Disc: L. Mark Berliner, Th e Ohio State Chair(s): Michael Schuckers, St. Lawrence University University 10:35 a.m. Biometric Recognition: Applications, Performance, 12:00 p.m. Floor Discussion and Challenges—❖Anil K. Jain, Michigan State University 519 CC-255 B 11:00 a.m. Statistical Models for Fingerprint Individuality— ● ✪ Recent Advances in Group Randomization ❖ Sarat Dass, Michigan State University; Trials—Invited Yongfang Zhu, Michigan State University; Anil WNAR, ENAR, Section on Health Policy Statistics, Biometrics Section K. Jain, Michigan State University Organizer(s): Catherine M. Crespi, University of California, Los 11:25 a.m. Information Fusion in Biometrics—❖Arun Ross, Angeles West Virginia University Chair(s): Weng-Kee Wong, University of California, Los Angeles 11:50 a.m. Statistical Issues in Biometric Authentication— 10:35 a.m. Modeling Heterogeneity in Intraclass Correlation— ❖ Stephen Fienberg, Carnegie Mellon University ❖Catherine M. Crespi, University of California, 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion Los Angeles; Weng-Kee Wong, University of California, Los Angeles 10:55 a.m. Breaking the Matches in Community Intervention 517 CC-257 ❖ ● New Development in the Analysis of Medical Trials— Allan Donner, University of Western Data with Complex Structures—Invited Ontario Biometrics Section, SSC, ENAR 11:15 a.m. Contamination and Group Randomized Trials— ❖Ziding Feng, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Organizer(s): Jianguo Sun, University of Missouri-Columbia Research Center Chair(s): Do-Hwan Park, University of Nevada, Reno 11:35 a.m. Design and Analysis of Pseudo-Cluster 10:35 a.m. Multivariate Interval-Censored Survival Data: Randomized Trials—❖Mirjam Moerbeek, Parametric, Semiparametric, and Nonparametric Utrecht University Models—❖Philip Hougaard, Lundbeck 11:55 a.m. Group Randomized Trials in Ethnic Populations— 11:00 a.m. Robust Estimation of State Occupancy Probabilities ❖Susan L. Stewart, University of California, San with Interval-Censored Multistate Data— Francisco ❖Richard J. Cook, University of Waterloo; David Tolusso, University of Waterloo 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion 11:25 a.m. A Class of Linear Transformation Models Under Interval Censoring—❖Zhigang Zhang, Oklahoma State University 11:50 a.m. Inference After Model Selection Using Restricted Permutation Methods—❖Rui Wang, Harvard School of Public Health; Stephen Lagakos, Harvard School of Public Health 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion

224 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel Thursday

Salt Lake City 225 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

520 CC-151 G 522 CC-250 F ● Topics on Sample Survey Design and Inference in National Science Foundation Funded Projects in Honor of JNK Rao’s 70th Birthday and 50 Years of Undergraduate Education—Invited Contributions—Invited Section on Statistical Education, Section on Teaching Statistics in the Section on Survey Research Methods Health Sciences Organizer(s): Paul S. Levy, RTI International Organizer(s): Shonda Kuiper, Grinnell College Chair(s): Partha Lahiri, University of Maryland Chair(s): Ann Cannon, Cornell College 10:35 a.m. Recent Developments in Multiple-Frame 10:35 a.m. The SUM Project: A Statistics Undergraduate ❖ Surveys—❖Sharon L. Lohr, Arizona State Mentoring (SUM) Program— Julie Legler, St. University Olaf College 11:00 a.m. Rao-Scott Corrections and Beyond—❖Alastair J. 11:00 a.m. Content-Rich Statistical Projects for Undergraduate ❖ Scott, University of Auckland Economics Students— Linda Collins, Th e University of Chicago 11:25 a.m. Small-Area Estimation: Theory and Practice— ❖Mike A. Hidiroglou, Statistics Canada 11:25 a.m. Computing in Statistics: Model Courses and Curricula—❖Deborah Nolan, University of 11:50 a.m. Disc: Wayne Fuller, Iowa State University California, Berkeley; Mark Hansen, University of 12:10 p.m. Floor Discussion California, Los Angeles; Duncan Temple Lang, University of California, Davis 521 CC-355 F 11:50 a.m. Interdisciplinary Labs Created for a First or Second ● Some Practical Considerations for Statisticians Course in Statistics—❖Shonda Kuiper, Grinnell Designing Clinical Trials—Invited College Statisticians in the Pharmaceutical Industry, ENAR, Biometrics Section, 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion Biopharmaceutical Section Organizer(s): John W. Stevens, AstraZeneca; Sara H. Hughes, 523 CC-250 E GlaxoSmithKline ● ✪ Dimension Reduction and Information Chair(s): Sue-Jane Wang, U.S. Food and Drug Administration Visualization—Invited 10:35 a.m. Statistical Considerations in Planning Drug Clinical IMS, Section on Nonparametric Statistics, Section on Statistical Graphics Trials—❖H. M. James Hung, U.S. Food and Organizer(s): Ker-Chau Li, University of California, Los Angeles Drug Administration Chair(s): Ker-Chau Li, University of California, Los Angeles 11:00 a.m. Performance of Multiple Testing Procedures To Compare Three Doses of a Test Drug and 10:35 a.m. An RKHS Formulation of the Inverse Regression ❖ Placebo—❖Lan Kong, University of Pittsburgh; Dimension Problem— Tailen Hsing, Th e Ohio Gary Koch, Th e University of North Carolina State University; Haobo Ren, Alcatel-Lucent at Chapel Hill; Th omas Liu, Amgen Inc.; Huei 11:05 a.m. Iterative Robust Sliced Inverse Regression for Gene Wang, Amgen Inc. Clustering in Microarray Gene Expression Data ❖ 11:25 a.m. Choice of the Primary Analysis in Longitudinal Analysis— Han-Ming Wu, Academia Sinica Clinical Trials—❖Craig Mallinckrodt, Eli Lilly 11:35 a.m. Matrix Visualization for High-Dimensional and Company Categorical Data Structure with a Cartography ❖ 11:50 a.m. Bioequivalence and the Pharmaceutical Industry— Link— Chun-houh Chen, Academia Sinica; ❖Scott Patterson, GlaxoSmithKline; Byron Sheng Li Tzeng, Academia Sinica; Chiun-How Jones, Pﬁ zer Inc. Kao, Academia Sinica 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion 12:05 p.m. Floor Discussion

226 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

524 CC-251 C 526 CC-255 A Recent Advances in Nonstationary Time Series— Recent Advances in Statistical Learning and Data Invited Mining—Invited Business and Economics Statistics Section, IMS ASA Interest Group on Statistical Learning and Data Mining, Section on Organizer(s): Hernando C. Ombao, University of Illinois Nonparametric Statistics, Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences Chair(s): Xiaofeng Shao, University of Illinois Organizer(s): Xiaotong Shen, Th e University of Minnesota 10:35 a.m. Local Adaptive Estimation for Nonstationary Time Chair(s): Hui Zou, Th e University of Minnesota Series—❖Sebastien Van Bellegem, Universite 10:35 a.m. Probability Estimation for Large Margin catholique de Louvain Classifi ers—❖Junhui Wang, Columbia 11:05 a.m. Discrimination of Nonstationary Signals Using University; Xiaotong Shen, Th e University of Localized Higher-Order Spectra—❖Hernando C. Minnesota; Yufeng Liu, Th e University of North Ombao, University of Illinois Carolina at Chapel Hill ❖ 11:35 a.m. Time-Dependent Spectral Analysis with 11:05 a.m. Screening for Monotone Association— Joseph S. Applications to Epileptic EEG Data—❖Wensheng Verducci, Th e Ohio State University Guo, University of Pennsylvania 11:35 a.m. Lasso Regression: Some Recent Developments— ❖ 12:05 p.m. Floor Discussion David Madigan, Rutgers University 12:05 p.m. Floor Discussion 525 CC-151 D-F ● ✪ Risk Estimation Challenges—Invited 527 CC-355 E Section on Risk Analysis Recent Outreach from the American Statistical Organizer(s): Michael E. Tarter, University of California, Berkeley Association to the General Public—Invited Chair(s): Duane Steff ey, Exponent, Inc. The American Statistician, Section on Statistical Education 10:35 a.m. Risk and Regulatory Policy Assessment Based Organizer(s): Peter Westfall, Texas Tech University on Complex Data Sources—❖Michael E. Tarter, 10:35 a.m. Garnering Student Interest: Finding Homer University of California, Berkeley; Joseph P. Simpson in Homework Assignments—❖Leonard Thursday Brown, State of California, Air Toxicology, and A. Stefanski, North Carolina State University Risk Assessment Unit; Andrew G. Salmon, 11:00 a.m. Attracting Sports Enthusiasts: Is an .833 Hitter State of California, Air Toxicology and Risk Better Than a .338 Hitter?—❖Jesse Frey, Assessment Unit Villanova University 11:00 a.m. Estimating Cancer Risks from Exposure to Low 11:25 a.m. Recent Public Relations Outreach of the ASA: Levels of Ionizing Radiation—❖Ethel Gilbert, Actions and Results—❖Peter Westfall, Texas National Cancer Institute Tech University; Rosanne Desmone, American 11:25 a.m. Risk and the Early Detection of Disease—Marvin Statistical Association Zelen, Harvard School of Public Health; 11:50 a.m. Disc: Eugene Komaroff , Kessler Medical ❖Sandra Lee, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute Rehabilitation Research and Education Center 11:50 a.m. Disc: Gretchen G. Moisen, USDA Forest Service 12:00 p.m. Disc: Th omas Love, Case Western Reserve University 12:10 p.m. Floor Discussion 12:10 p.m. Floor Discussion

Salt Lake City 227 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

Topic-Contributed Sessions Institute and State University; Stephen Prisley, 10:30 a.m.–12:20 p.m. Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University; Keying Ye, University of Texas at San Antonio 528 CC-250 A 11:15 a.m. Using the Linearity of Map Features in Statistical ● Statistical Issues in Diagnostic and Prognostic Modeling of Map Positional Error—❖Jarrett Assays—Topic-Contributed Barber, University of Wyoming Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, WNAR 11:35 a.m. Modeling the Probability Distribution of Positional Organizer(s): Estelle Russek-Cohen, U.S. Food and Drug Errors Incurred by Residential Address Geocoding Administration for a Rural Health Study—❖Dale Zimmerman, Chair(s): Lakshmi Vishnuvajjala, U.S. Food and Drug Administration Th e University of Iowa 10:35 a.m. Time-Dependent Receiver Operating 11:55 a.m. Disc: Carol Gotway-Crawford, National Center Characteristic Curves for Early Markers of Event for Environmental Health ❖ Time Outcomes— Yuying Jin, University of 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion Washington; Margaret Pepe, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center; Yingye Zheng, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center 530 CC-355 B 10:55 a.m. Time Dependence of a Gene-Expression ● ✪ Survival Analysis in Medical Device Studies— Prognosticator from Modeling Breast Cancer Topic-Contributed Survival Data—❖Kit Fun Lau, Celera; John Biopharmaceutical Section, WNAR, ENAR, Biometrics Section Sninsky, Celera; Trevor Hastie, Stanford Organizer(s): Peggy Pereda, Boston Scientifi c Corporation University Chair(s): John Evans, Boston Scientifi c Corporation 11:15 a.m. On Design Issues of Clinical Studies for in vitro 10:35 a.m. Propensity Score–Adjusted Survival Analysis— ❖ Diagnostics— Christoph Berding, Roche ❖Nathan Carter, Boston Scientifi c Corporation; Diagnostics GmbH Ed McMullen, Boston Scientifi c Corporation; 11:35 a.m. Assessment of Impact of Protocol Changes on Jennifer Mischke, Boston Scientifi c Corporation ❖ Classifi cation Accuracy— Wei-min Liu, Roche 10:55 a.m. Time-to-Event Analysis Considerations in the Molecular Systems, Inc.; Wei Wen, Roche Medical Device Industry—❖Helen Chmiel, Molecular Systems, Inc.; Barbara Brady, Roche Boston Scientifi c Corporation Molecular Systems, Inc.; Sung Lee, Roche 11:15 a.m. An Application of Propensity Score Analysis in Molecular Systems, Inc. Medical Device Clinical Studies—❖Wenji Pu, 11:50 a.m. Disc: Harry F. Bushar, U.S. Food and Drug Medtronic Inc. Administration 11:35 a.m. Assessment of Goodness-of-Fit of Cox Model 12:10 p.m. Floor Discussion with Multiple Predictors in Drug Eluting Stent Trial Effi cacy Evaluation—Frank Zhou, Boston Scientifi c Corporation; Yukiko Imai, Boston 529 CC-255 D ❖ ● GIS, Map Accuracy, and Statistics—Topic- Scientifi c Corporation; Hong Wang, Boston Scientifi c Corporation Contributed 11:55 a.m. Disc: Heng Li, U.S. Food and Drug Section on Statistics and the Environment Administration Organizer(s): Jarrett Barber, University of Wyoming 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion Chair(s): Linda Young, University of Florida 10:35 a.m. GIS, Map Accuracy, and Statistics—❖Michael Goodchild, University of California, Santa Barbara 10:55 a.m. Error Models in Geographic Information Systems Vector Data Using Bayesian Methods—❖Kimberly Love, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University; Eric P. Smith, Virginia Polytechnic

228 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel Thursday

Salt Lake City 229 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

531 CC-255 C 11:15 a.m. Bayesian Kalman Filter for Emulation of Complex ✪ Application of Causal Inference in Health Computer Models—❖Gentry White, North Sciences—Topic-Contributed Carolina State University; Peter Reichert, ENAR, Biometrics Section, WNAR, Section on Health Policy Statistics, Swiss Federal Institute of Aquatic Science and Section on Statistics in Epidemiology Technology Organizer(s): Sati Mazumdar, University of Pittsburgh 11:35 a.m. Determining the Pareto Frontier for Multiobjective Chair(s): Sati Mazumdar, University of Pittsburgh Optimization of Black Box Functions—Dianne Bautista, Th e Ohio State University; ❖Th omas 10:35 a.m. A Structural Equation Model for fMRI Data with Santner, Th e Ohio State University Mixed Functional and Discrete Responses— ❖Wesley Th ompson, University of Pittsburgh 11:55 a.m. Aleatory and Epistemic Uncertainty Quantiﬁ cation for Engineering Applications—❖Laura Swiler, 10:55 a.m. Causal Approaches to Mediation Analyses— Sandia National Laboratories; Anthony Giunta, ❖Th omas R. Tenhave, University of Sandia National Laboratories Pennsylvania; Jennifer Faerber, University of Pennsylvania; Marshall Joﬀ e, University of 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion Pennsylvania 11:15 a.m. Confounders in Assessment of Haplotypes for 533 CC-251 F Lung Cancer Risk—❖Roger Day, University of ● Nonparametric and Semiparametric Methods for Pittsburgh Data with Measurement Errors—Topic-Contributed 11:35 a.m. A Longitudinal Mediational Model To Assess the Section on Nonparametric Statistics, Section on Statistics in Epidemiology Indirect Effect of Adolescent-Physical Activity in Organizer(s): Xiaofeng Wang, Th e Cleveland Clinic Young Adult-Physical Activity Between Males and Chair(s): Xiaofeng Wang, Th e Cleveland Clinic Females—❖Kang Sun, University of Pittsburgh; Vincent C. Arena, University of Pittsburgh 10:35 a.m. Bandwidth Selection for Weighted Kernel Density Estimation—❖Bin Wang, University of South 11:55 a.m. Disc: Pranab K. Sen, Th e University of North Alabama Carolina at Chapel Hill 10:55 a.m. Multivariate Failure Time Data Modeling with 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion Instrumental Variables—❖Zhaozhi Fan, Memorial University of Newfoundland; 532 CC-251 B Xiaofeng Wang, Th e Cleveland Clinic ● ✪ Methodological Issues in Engineering 11:15 a.m. Estimating the Distribution Function with Applications of Computer Models: A SAMSI Measurement Error in a Complicated Survey— Program—Topic-Contributed ❖Liang Li, Th e Cleveland Clinic; Tom Greene, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Th e Cleveland Clinic Organizer(s): Th omas Santner, Th e Ohio State University 11:35 a.m. A New Approach for Measurement Errors in Linear ❖ Chair(s): Sujit Ghosh, North Carolina State University Models— Guan Xing, Bristol-Myers Squibb Company 10:35 a.m. Resampling for Inverse Problems Involving High- Dimensional Computer Simulators—❖Herbert 11:55 a.m. Floor Discussion Lee, University of California, Santa Cruz; Matthew Taddy, University of California, Santa Cruz; Bruno Sanso, University of California, Santa Cruz 10:55 a.m. A Bayesian Analysis of the Thermal Challenge Problem—❖Fei Liu, Duke University; Susie Bayarri, University of Valencia; James Berger, Duke University; Rui Paulo, ISEG-Technical University of Lisbon; Jerry Sacks, National Institute of Statistical Sciences

230 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

534 CC-250 D and Prevalence of Active Treatment from ● Statistical Analysis of Neuronal Data—Topic- Pharmacoepidemiologic Claims Data—❖Henrik Contributed Stovring, University of Southern Denmark IMS 11:15 a.m. Mixed Treatment Comparison of Migraine Organizer(s): Zhiyi Chi, University of Connecticut Headache Treatment: Indirect Comparison and ❖ Chair(s): W. John Boscardin, University of California, Los Angeles Evidence Consistency— Rongwei (Rochelle) Fu, Oregon Health & Science University; Kimberly 10:35 a.m. Using Point Process Models To Describe Peterson, Oregon Health & Science University Oscillatory Spiking in the Subthalamic Nucleus of Parkinson’s Patients—Uri Eden, Boston 11:35 a.m. Effect of Intravenous Insulin Infusion on Coronary University; Emery N. Brown, Massachusetts Artery Disease—Samer Ellahham, Innovative General Hospital; Emad Eskandar, Medical Institute/Paragon Cardiovascular Massachusetts General Hospital; ❖Sridevi V. Foundation; Yasmin H. Said, George Mason Sarma, Massachusetts Institute of Technology University; Edward Wegman, George Mason University; ❖Rima Allaham, Paragon Modeling and Decoding Multineuronal Responses 10:55 a.m. Cardiovascular Foundation in the Primate Retina—❖Liam Paninski, Columbia University 11:55 a.m. Update on Cardiometabolic Risk Reduction: Role of the Endocannabinoid System—❖Samer 11:15 a.m. Real-Time Decoding of Nonstationary Motor Cortical Ellahham, Innovative Medical Institute/Paragon Activity—❖Wei Wu, Florida State University Cardiovascular Foundation; Yasmin H. Said, 11:35 a.m. Jitter Methods for Investigating the Time Scale George Mason University; Edward Wegman, of Dependencies in Neuronal Firing Patterns— George Mason University ❖Matthew Harrison, Carnegie Mellon 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion University; Asohan Amarasingham, Rutgers University; Stuart Geman, Brown University 11:55 a.m. Variable Selection and Classiﬁ cation Using Computed Tomography (CT) Medical Image Data—❖Hyun Kim, University of California, Contributed Sessions 10:30 a.m.–12:20 p.m. Thursday Los Angeles; Gang Li, University of California, Los Angeles; David W. Gertson, University of 536 CC-260 California, Los Angeles; Robert Ochs, University ● ✪ Issues Related to Power and Sample Size of California, Los Angeles; Matthew S. Brown, Calculation—Contributed University of California, Los Angeles; Jonathan Biometrics Section, Section on Teaching Statistics in the Health Sciences Goldin, University of California, Los Angeles Chair(s): Hulin Wu, University of Rochester 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion 10:35 a.m. Power and Sample Size Estimation for the Wilcoxon Rank Sum Test—❖Bernard Rosner, 535 CC-150 G Harvard Medical School; Robert Glynn, ● ✪ Estimating the Incidence, Effect, and Cost Brigham and Women’s Hospital of New Treatments for Health Outcomes—Topic- 10:50 a.m. Sample Size Calculations in Simple Linear Contributed Regression: A New Approach—❖Marepalli B. Section on Health Policy Statistics, ENAR, Biometrics Section, WNAR Rao, University of Cincinnati; Mohammed K. Alam, Kendle International Inc.; Subramanyam Organizer(s): Bonnie Ghosh-Dastidar, RAND Corporation Kasala, Th e University of North Carolina at Chair(s): Yulei He, Harvard Medical School Wilmington; Th omas Bradstreet, Merck & Co., 10:35 a.m. How Do You Argue Against the Use of a High- Inc. Cost Medical Treatment When a ‘Quality-of-Life’ 11:05 a.m. Why Family-Based Association Makes Sense in Measure Is Not Available?—❖Andrea McAllister, a Genome-Wide World: A Comparison of Study Highmark Inc. Power—❖David Fardo, Harvard University; 10:55 a.m. Estimation of Incidence of First-Time-Ever Christoph Lange, Harvard School of Public Health Treatment, Prevalence of Paused Treatment,

Salt Lake City 231 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

11:20 a.m. Sample Size Calculations for Clinical Trials of Arkansas for Medical Sciences; Songjoon with Rate of Decline on a Quantitative Trait as Baek, U.S. Food and Drug Administration; the Endpoint—❖Steven Edland, University of Chien-Ju Lin, National Center for Toxicological California, San Diego Research; James J. Chen, U.S. Food and Drug 11:35 a.m. Mixed-Effects Logistic Model for Association Administration Analysis—❖Sanjay Shete, Th e University of 12:05 p.m. Recursive Estimation Method for Predicting Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer Center Residual Bladder Urine Volumes to Improve ❖ 11:50 a.m. Covariate-Modulated False Discovery Rates— Accuracy of Timed Urine Collections— David ❖Egil Ferkingstad, University of Oslo; Afshartous, University of Miami; Richard Arnoldo Frigessi, University of Oslo; Gudmar Preston, University of Miami Th orleifsson, deCODE genetics; Augustine Kong, deCODE genetics 538 CC-355 D 12:05 p.m. Regression-Based Association Approach Using ● ✪ Regression Approaches To Analyze Discreet Genetic Similarity for Genomewide Association Data in Clinical Trials—Contributed Scans—❖Jung-Ying Tzeng, North Carolina State Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section University; Sheng-Mao Chang, North Carolina Chair(s): Christine Clark, ICON Clinical Research State University; Duncan C. Th omas, University of Southern California; Marie Davidian, North 10:35 a.m. Application of the Zero-Infl ated Negative Binomial ❖ Carolina State University Distribution— Arlene Swern, Merck & Co., Inc.; Hongwei Wang, Merck & Co., Inc.; Qian Dong, Merck & Co., Inc.; Eric C. Kleerup, David 537 CC-355 C Geff en School of Medicine at UCLA ● ✪ Issues Related to Clinical Trials—Contributed 10:50 a.m. Evaluation of Risk-Benefi t in New Drug Biometrics Section, Biopharmaceutical Section Development Using a Global Event Intensity Chair(s): Yichuan Zhao, Georgia State University Index—❖Jingli Song, Eli Lilly and Company; 10:35 a.m. Data Monitoring in Clinical Trials Using Andreas Sashegyi, Eli Lilly and Company; Steve Prediction—❖Scott Evans, Harvard University; Zheng, Eli Lilly and Company Lingling Li, Harvard School of Public Health; 11:05 a.m. Regression Models for Multinomial Responses Lee-Jen Wei, Harvard University with an Example from PCPT—❖Kenneth Liu, 10:50 a.m. Specifi cations Based on Pharmacokinetic Merck & Co., Inc.; Alexandra Carides, Merck & Evaluation—❖Jose Casas-Finet, MedImmune, Co., Inc. Inc.; Harry Yang, MedImmune, Inc.; Iksung 11:20 a.m. Mixing Negative Binomial Distribution with Cho, MedImmune, Inc.; Mark Schenerman, Completely Monotonic Functions and Their MedImmune, Inc. Applications in Modeling Over-Dispersion Data— 11:05 a.m. The Exact Distribution of the Heterogeneity ❖Xiaodong Wang, sanofi -aventis; Hanxiang Statistic in Meta-Analysis—❖Brad Biggerstaff , Peng, Th e University of Mississippi; Ji Zhang, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; sanofi -aventis Dan Jackson, University of Salford 11:35 a.m. Maximum Likelihood Estimation of the Difference 11:20 a.m. A Model-Based Assessment of Antitumor Activity between Correlated Poisson Cough Counts—❖Xin for Solid Tumor Xenograft Studies—❖Jianrong Yan, University of Missouri-Kansas City; Wu, St. Jude Children’s Research Hospital Th omas Bradstreet, Merck & Co., Inc. 11:35 a.m. Subgroup Weighted Association Testing— 11:50 a.m. Negative Binomial Analysis of Hypoglycemia Rates ❖Michael LeBlanc, Fred Hutchinson Cancer in Diabetic Patients—❖Cory Heilmann, Eli Lilly Research Center and Company 11:50 a.m. Ensemble Methods for Classifi cation of Patients 12:05 p.m. Multivariate Dose-Response Analysis of Ordinal for Personalized Medicine Using High-Dimensional Response Data—❖Kao-Tai Tsai, Bristol-Myers Biomarkers—❖Hojin Moon, U.S. Food and Squibb Company; Karl Peace, George Southern Drug Administration; Hongshik Ahn, Stony University Brook University; Ralph L. Kodell, University

232 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel Thursday

Salt Lake City 233 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

234 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

539 CC-355 A 11:05 a.m. Simulation Study Comparing Inverse Probability of ● ✪ Multiplicity Issues and Possible Solutions in Treatment Weighted (IPTW) Estimator and Multiple Clinical Trials—Contributed Regression Model—❖Jianmin Wang, RTI Health Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section Solutions; William Irish, RTI Health Solutions Chair(s): Stephen Gulyas, Eli Lilly and Company 11:20 a.m. Likelihood Ratio Test of Crossover Design Having Unequal Variances—❖Yoon-Sung Jung, Kansas 10:35 a.m. Gate-Keeping Testing Without Tears—❖Jianjun Li, State University; Dallas Johnson, Kansas State Merck & Co., Inc.; Devan V. Mehrotra, Merck & University Co., Inc. 11:35 a.m. Design Based on Interclass Correlation 10:50 a.m. Generalized Gate-Keeping Procedure—❖Ariful Coeffi cients—❖Gheorghe Doros, Boston Haque, Novartis Pharmaceuticals; Sanat Sarkar, University Temple University 11:50 a.m. A Locally Weighted Regression Approach to 11:05 a.m. Multistage Gate-Keeping Procedures with Clinical Evaluating the Effects of Smoking Reduction Trial Applications—❖Alex Dmitrienko, Eli Lilly on Birth Weight—❖Jeff M. Szychowski, Th e and Company; Ajit Tamhane, Northwestern University of Alabama at Birmingham; University J. Michael Hardin, Th e University of Alabama; 11:20 a.m. Compatible Simultaneous Confi dence Intervals Michael D. Conerly, Th e University of Alabama; for the Holm Procedure and Other Closed Lesa L. Woody, Th e University of Alabama at Bonferroni-Based Tests for One-Sided Multiple Birmingham; Wendy S. Horn, Th e University of ❖ Comparison Problems— Frank Bretz, Novartis Alabama at Birmingham Pharmaceuticals; Klaus Strassburger, Deutsches 12:05 p.m. Modeling Lateral Position and Control in Driving Diabetes-Zentrum DDZ Studies of Elderly Populations—❖Jeff rey Dawson, 11:35 a.m. A Mixture Model Approach for Estimating the Th e University of Iowa; Joseph Cavanaugh, Th e Proportion of True Null Hypotheses and Adaptive University of Iowa; K. D. Zamba, Th e University ❖ Control of FDR— Ajit Tamhane, Northwestern of Iowa; Matthew Rizzo, Th e University of Iowa University; Jiaxiao Shi, Northwestern University 11:50 a.m. Evaluating Subgroup Risks in Trials with Many Thursday Subgroups: Issues and Potential Solutions— 541 CC-251 A ❖Xiaojiang Zhan, Merck & Co., Inc.; Amarjot ● Bayesian Nonparametric Modeling and Kaur, Merck & Co., Inc. Applications—Contributed 12:05 p.m. Statistical Challenges in Proof-of-Concept Studies Section on Bayesian Statistical Science in Photosensitive Epileptics—❖Norman Bohidar, Chair(s): Yeonseung Chung, Th e University of North Carolina at Johnson & Johnson PRD; Geoff Edwards, Chapel Hill Johnson & Johnson PRD; Liwen Xi, Johnson 10:35 a.m. Comparing Fits in Nonparametric Bayes Item & Johnson PRD; Surya Mohanty, Johnson & Response Models—❖Kristin Duncan, San Diego Johnson PRD State University 10:50 a.m. A Semiparametric Bayesian Approach to the ❖ 540 CC-250 C Generalized Linear Mixed Effects Model— Jing Wang, Louisiana State University ● General Issues in Regression—Contributed ENAR 11:05 a.m. Bayesian Inference for a Distribution-Valued Stochastic Process—❖Zhen Wang, Th e Ohio Chair(s): Yuting Zhang, Amgen Inc. State University; Steven N. MacEachern, Th e 10:35 a.m. The Theil-Sen Estimators in Modern Regression— Ohio State University ❖Hanxiang Peng, Th e University of Mississippi; 11:20 a.m. Nonparametric Hierarchical Bayes Analysis of Xin Dang, University of Mississippi Binomial Data Using Berstein Polynomials— 10:50 a.m. Effi cient Estimation of Population Quantiles in ❖Tingting Zhang, Harvard University; Jun S. General Semiparametric Regression Models— Liu, Harvard University ❖Arnab Maity, Texas A&M University

Salt Lake City 235 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

11:35 a.m. Distribution of Random Functional of a Ferguson- 11:05 a.m. Local-Moment Polynomial-Smoothed Histograms Dirichlet Process on the Unit Ball—❖Th omas J. with Application to Massive and Pre-Binned Jiang, National Chengchi University; Kun-Lin Datasets—❖Galen Papkov, Rice University; Kuo, National Chengchi University David W. Scott, Rice University 11:50 a.m. Floor Discussion 11:20 a.m. Bayesian Isotonic Density Regression— ❖Lianming Wang, National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences; David B. 542 CC-150 D-F Dunson, National Institute of Environmental ● Measurement Issues in Surveys—Contributed Health Sciences Section on Government Statistics, Section on Survey Research Methods, 11:35 a.m. Spline Conﬁ dence Band with Mixing Error in Fixed Social Statistics Section Design—❖Jing Wang, University of Illinois at Chair(s): Steve H. Cohen, National Science Foundation Chicago 10:35 a.m. Comparison of the Income Items from the CPS and 11:50 a.m. Some New Normality Tests Using Kernel Density ACS—❖Bruce Webster, Jr., U.S. Census Bureau Estimators—❖Yishi Wang, Western Carolina 10:50 a.m. The Impact of Converted Refusals upon Survey University Estimates: National Health and Nutrition 12:05 p.m. Floor Discussion Examination Survey, 1999-2004—❖Margaret Carroll, National Center for Health Statistics; Yinong Chong, National Center for Health 544 CC-254 B Statistics ● Data Analysis and Variable Selection— 11:05 a.m. Precanvass Survey for the 2007 Commodity Contributed Flow Survey—❖Promod Chandhok, Bureau of Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences, Section on Statistics and Transportation Statistics Marketing, Section on Teaching Statistics in the Health Sciences, Section 11:20 a.m. An Appraisal of the Conduct and Provisional on Quality and Productivity Figures of the Nigerian Population and Housing Chair(s): Dachuang Cao, Eli Lilly and Company Census of 2006—❖Raymond Okafor, University 10:35 a.m. Variable Selection for LDA When n < p— of Lagos ❖Matthew Mitchell, Metabolon 11:35 a.m. Measuring the Quality of Service to Taxpayers in 10:50 a.m. Detecting Multiple Outliers and/or Mean Vector Volunteer Sites—❖Kevin Cecco, Internal Revenue Shifts in Large Samples of Individual Multivariate Service; Ronald Walsh, Internal Revenue Service; Observations—❖Joe Sullivan, Mississippi State Rachael Hooker, Internal Revenue Service University 11:50 a.m. Statistical ‘Pre- and Post-Processing’ as Integrated 11:05 a.m. Bayesian Wavelet-Based Despeckling of into Computer Simulations—❖Turkan Gardenier, Ultrasound Medical Images Using the Gauss- Pragmatica Corp. Hermite Expansion—❖S. M. Mahbubur 12:05 p.m. Floor Discussion Rahman, Concordia University; M. Omair Ahmad, Concordia University; M. N. S. Swamy, Concordia University 543 CC-254 A 11:20 a.m. Using an Adaptive Control Filter To Predict the Nonparametric Inference for Functional Data— Synchronization of Time Series—❖Morris Contributed Morgan, Hampton University; Carolyn Morgan, Section on Nonparametric Statistics, ASA Hampton University Chair(s): Sanjay Chaudhuri, National University of Singapore 11:35 a.m. Statistical Aspects of Marketing Mix Models— 10:35 a.m. Functional Density Warping—❖Zhen Zhang, ❖Igor Mandel, Analytic Partners University of California, Davis; Hans-Georg 11:50 a.m. Evaluation and Selection of Models for Out-of- Müller, University of California, Davis Sample Prediction When the Sample Size Is Small 10:50 a.m. Asymptotic Theory of Bivariate Penalized Relative to the Complexity of the Data-Generating Splines—❖Yingxing Li, Cornell University; Process—❖Hannes Leeb, Yale University David Ruppert, Cornell University 12:05 p.m. Floor Discussion

236 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel Thursday

Salt Lake City 237 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

545 CC-251 E 11:05 a.m. Characterizing Multivariate Data with High- ● Regression—Contributed Resolution Human Faces—❖Dean Nelson, Section on Statistical Computing, Section on Statistical Graphics, IMS University of Pittsburgh at Greensburg; Joe Chair(s): James Shine, U.S. Army Topographic Engineering Center Szurek, University of Pittsburgh at Greensburg 10:35 a.m. Simple Techniques for Estimation of Additive 11:20 a.m. Graphs in Social Science Texts: We Can and ❖ Rate Regression Models—❖M. Brent McHenry, Should Do Better— Naomi Robbins, NBR- Bristol-Myers Squibb Company; Stuart R. Graphs; Joyce Robbins, Touro College Lipsitz, Brigham and Women’s Hospital; 11:35 a.m. Longitudinal Multivariate Graphics in the Analysis Debajyoti Sinha, Medical University of South of Time Management Data—❖Jessica M. Scott, 10:50 a.m. Alternative Penalty Functions for Principal Brigham Young University; Steven A. Wygant, Components—❖Trevor Park, University of Brigham Young University; Bruce Brown, Florida Brigham Young University 11:05 a.m. A New Robust Partial Least Squares Regression 11:50 a.m. Generating Data with Identical Statistics but Method (RoPLS) and Its Robustness—❖Asuman Dissimilar Graphics: A Follow-Up to the Anscombe ❖ Turkmen, Auburn University; Nedret Billor, Dataset— Sangit Chatterjee, Northeastern Auburn University University; Firat Aikut, Northeastern University 11:20 a.m. Variable Selection in Factor Analysis Regression 12:05 p.m. A Note on the Barnett-Cohen Censored ❖ and Its Application—❖Zenaida F. Mateo, Histogram— Jong Kim, Portland State University of Manitoba University; Bryan G. Schar, U.S. Census Bureau 11:35 a.m. Purposeful Selection of Variables in Logistic Regression: Macro and Simulation Results— 547 CC-150 A-C ❖Zoran Bursac, University of Arkansas for ● Estimation, Forecasting, and Hypothesis Medical Sciences; C. Heath Gauss, University Testing—Contributed of Arkansas for Medical Sciences; D. Keith Social Statistics Section Williams, University of Arkansas for Medical Chair(s): Nancy Clusen, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. Sciences; David Hosmer, University of 10:35 a.m. Examination of Two Issues Regarding Electronic Massachusetts Amherst Essay Scoring—❖Sandip Sinharay, Educational 11:50 a.m. A Realization of the Functionalized General Testing Service; Shelby Haberman, Educational ❖ Trichotomy in Logistic Regression— Ligong Testing Service; Jiahe Qian, Educational Testing Chen, Center for Prostate Disease Research; Service Yongmei Chen, Center for Prostate Disease 10:50 a.m. Statistical Tests for Differential Functioning in Research; Jennifer Cullen, Center for Prostate Parametric Item Response Theory: A Monte Carlo Disease Research Evaluation of Conventional DFIT Methods and 12:05 p.m. Floor Discussion a Bootstrap Alternative—❖Gregory Petroski, University of Missouri-Columbia; Steven J. 546 CC-251 D Osterlind, University of Missouri-Columbia ● Statistical Graphics: Methods and 11:05 a.m. Simulation Results of Bias Estimates for ❖ Applications—Contributed Compositional Data— Don R. Warren, University of Texas at San Antonio Section on Statistical Graphics Chair(s): Deborah Swayne, AT&T Labs - Research 11:20 a.m. Navigating the Multiplicity of Hypotheses in Evaluating Juror Selections—❖Bruce Barrett, 10:35 a.m. Visualizing Cluster-Compressed Multivariable and Th e University of Alabama Multialtitude Atmospheric Data—❖Daniel Carr, George Mason University; Amy Braverman, Jet 11:35 a.m. Hypothesis Testing with Lot Quality Assurance Propulsion Laboratory Sampling (LQAS) Using the Normal Approximation of the Binomial—❖David Fitch, Universidad 10:50 a.m. An Exploratory Stroll Along the Beach— del Valle de Guatemala; Roberto Molina Cruz, ❖Charlotte Wickham, University of California, Universidad Del Valle de Guatemala Berkeley 11:50 a.m. Floor Discussion

238 JSM 2007 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

548 CC-250 B 549 CC-255 F ● Statistical Methods and Applications in Statistical Methods in Health Science Research— Epidemiology—Contributed Contributed Section on Statistics in Epidemiology Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Section on Teaching Statistics in the Chair(s): Daniel Reyner, Zimmer, Inc Health Sciences 10:35 a.m. Application of Johnson System of Distribution in Chair(s): Peter H. Van Ness, Yale University Gene Selection—❖Florence George, University 10:35 a.m. Overview of the Odds Ratio and Relative Risk: of South Florida; Kandethody Ramachandran, Inequality, Conversion, Efﬁ ciency, and Power University of South Florida of Testing—❖Peng Liu, U.S. Food and Drug 10:50 a.m. A Computational Approach to Variable Selection Administration; Debra A. Street, U.S. Food and in Canonical Discriminant Analysis—❖Man Jin, Drug Administration Columbia University 10:50 a.m. A Graphical Method for Assessing Mediating 11:05 a.m. Using Surrogate Outcomes for Improving Power Variables Using Brunswik’s Lens Model— ❖ To Detect Gene-Environment Interactions— Matthew P. Spackman, Brigham Young ❖Tamanna Howlader, Concordia University; University; Dawson Hedges, Brigham Young Michal Abrahamowicz, McGill University; University; Bruce Brown, Brigham Young Yogendra P. Chaubey, Concordia University University 11:20 a.m. Extension of the Cohort Analysis for Genetic 11:05 a.m. Determining Graft Survival After Clinical Islet Epidemiology Program To Assess Excess Risk of Transplantation: Superior Performance of Extended ❖ Cancer—❖Mei Liu, Th e University of Texas M. Cox-Based Models— Abdul Salam, University D. Anderson Cancer Center; Carol J. Etzel, Th e of Alberta; Peter Senior, University of Alberta; University of Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer Abdulkadir Hussein, University of Windsor; Center; Michael Scheurer, Th e University of Patricia M. Campbell, University of Alberta; Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer Center; Melissa Kathleen LaBranche, University of Alberta; Bondy, Th e University of Texas M. D. Anderson James A.M. Shapiro, University of Alberta ❖ Cancer Center; Sara Strom, Th e University 11:20 a.m. BMI, Alcohol, and Colorectal Cancer— Negasi Thursday of Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer Center; Beyene, Centers for Disease Control and Christopher I. Amos, Th e University of Texas Prevention M. D. Anderson Cancer Center 11:35 a.m. Improving Inference on Diagnostic Tests Without 11:35 a.m. Length-Biased Sampling in Cancer Screening Gold Standard When Auxiliary Information with Variable Test Sensitivity—❖Sonya Heltshe, Is Available—❖Gong Tang, University of University of Colorado at Denver and Health Pittsburgh Services Center; Karen Kafadar, University of 11:50 a.m. Comparisons of Statistical Methods in Analyzing Colorado at Denver and Health Services Center Clinical Data Through Empirical Simulations— 11:50 a.m. Comparison of Adaptive Gaussian Quadrature, ❖Yongming Qu, Eli Lilly and Company; Lei Xu, PQL, and Laplace 6 Estimates of Hierarchical University of Wisconsin-Madison; Pandurang Logistic Models When Comparing Small Incident M. Kulkarni, Eli Lilly and Company Rates in Cluster-Randomized Trials—❖Rafael 12:05 p.m. Identifying Patterns of Longitudinal Data Set Diaz, California State University, Sacramento with Meaningful Inﬂ ated Missing Values: A Case 12:05 p.m. Sequential McNemar Tests with Exact Methods— Study Combining Data Mining and Statistical ❖Jiang Hu, Glotech Inc.; Aiyi Liu, National Techniques—❖Hua Fang, University of Institutes of Health; Chengqing (Alan) Wu, Nebraska-Lincoln; Kimberly A. Espy, University National Institutes of Health of Nebraska-Lincoln; Maria L. Rizzo, Bowling Green State University; Honggang Wang, University of Nebraska-Lincoln

Salt Lake City 239 General Program Schedule ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Salt Palace Convention Center GA-The Grand America Hotel

240 JSM 2007 Index of Participants Name Session Name Session Name Session

Aalen, Odd O...... 40 Aliaga, Martha ...... 404 Andrews, Sandra ...... 209 Abayomi, Emilola ...... 343 Allaham, Rima ...... 535 Andrieu, Christophe ...... 452 Abbott, Owen ...... 448 Allen, Andrew ...... 245 Ane, Cecile ...... 188 Abdo, Zaid ...... 188 Allen, Shannon E...... 49 Ang, Kok Long ...... 154 Abebe, Asheber ...... 135 Allen, Walter R...... 394 Angers, Jean-François ...... 509 Abebe, Fisseha ...... 416 Allenby, Greg M...... 237 Angielczyk, Kenneth D...... 294 Abowd, John ...... 82, 365 Allison, David B...... 286, 393, 502 Ankenman, Bruce ...... 29 Abraham, Anita ...... 176 Allore, Heather G...... 46, 168, 331, 515 Annis, David H...... 391 Abrahamowicz, Michal ...... 548 Alloway, James ...... 294 Annoni, Paola ...... 454 Abrevaya, Jason ...... 295 Allred, Kendall ...... 515 Anthony, Robert ...... 266 Abugov, Robert ...... 145 Allred, Randy ...... 154 Apanasovich, Tatiyana ...... 412 Adams, Heather ...... 102 Allshouse, Amanda ...... 154 Apley, Daniel W...... 403 Addona, Vittorio ...... 243, 343 Allshouse, William...... 343 Arab, Ali ...... 386 Adekpedjou, Akim ...... 95, 243 Almirall, Daniel...... 234 Aram, Luke ...... 329 Adeleke, Ismaila ...... 513 Alnoshan, Abdullah ...... 68 Aravena, Jorge ...... 29 Adriana, Perez ...... 479 Alosh, Mohamed ...... 94 Arceneaux, Taniecea ...... 152 Afifi, Abdelmonem A...... 62 Altan, Stan ...... 93 Archer, Kellie J...... 196 Afshartous, David ...... 537 Alterman, Toni ...... 209 Arcones, Miguel A...... 174 Agarwal, Deepak ...... 189 Altman, Naomi ...... 102 Arena, Vincent C...... 531 Agarwal, Pankaj ...... 321 Altstein, Lily ...... 24 Arnold, Douglas L...... 20 Aggour, Kareem ...... 200, 425 Amarasingham, Asohan ...... 534 Arora, Vipin ...... 133 Aguilar-Salinas, Carlos ...... 502 Amaratunga, Dhammika ...... 172, 223, 506 Arroway, Pam ...... 175 Aguirregabiria, Victor ...... 225 Amatya, Ramesh N...... 198 Aryal, Subhash ...... 310 Ahern, Charlotte H...... 209 Ambrosius, Walter T...... 183 Asgharian, Masoud ...... 243 Ahlberg, David ...... 294 Amemiya, Yasuo ...... 200 Ash, Arlene ...... 169, 208 Ahmad, M. Omair ...... 544 Amit, Ohad ...... 456 Ash, Stephen ...... 71, 208 Ahmed, S. Ejaz ...... 442 Ammann, Caspar ...... 185 Ashby, Avery J...... 403 Ahn, Chaehyung ...... 25 Amos, Christopher I...... 209, 292, 548 Ashcraft, Lynn ...... 199 Ahn, Chul ...... 323 An, Di...... 191 Asher, Jana ...... 2, 170, 305, 441, 443 Ahn, Hongshik ...... 241, 537 Anand, Suraj ...... 498 Ashley, Deanna ...... 152 Ahn, Sung K...... 88 Anderson, Amber ...... 464 Asiala, Mark ...... 99 Ahnn, Sang ...... 420 Anderson, Aparna B...... 65 Asparouhov, Tihomir ...... 72, 153, 192 Aikut, Firat ...... 546 Anderson, David ...... 28 Astola, Jaakko ...... 471 Airoldi, Edoardo M...... 124 Anderson, Dianne ...... 42 Aston, John ...... 262, 390, 494 Ait-Sahalia, Yacine ...... 485 Anderson, Keaven M...... 37, 334 Atchade, Yves F...... 452 Akinsete, Alfred A...... 26, 343 Anderson, Kirk ...... 218, 465, 511 Atchley, William R...... 245 Akritas, Michael G...... 289 Anderson, Michael P...... 110 Atias, Glenn ...... 479 Alam, Mohammed K...... 198, 536 Anderson, Michael S...... 69 Atlas, Susan R...... 283 Albatineh, Ahmed ...... 112 Anderson, Michael T...... 256, 306 Au, Tom ...... 487 Alber, Susan ...... 337 Anderson, Tom ...... 279 Auer, Richard ...... 69 Albert, Paul ...... 104 Anderson-Cook, Christine ...... 483 Austin, Matthew ...... 456 Aldworth, Jeremy ...... 70 Andersson, Eva ...... 113 Avorn, Jerry ...... 173 Alegria, Margarita...... 227 Ando, Yuki ...... 16 Babanezhad, Manoochehr ...... 489 Alemayehu, Demissie ...... 404 Andrei, Adin-Cristian ...... 505 Baccini, Michela ...... 113 Aleong, Chandra ...... 31 Andrei, Alina ...... 380 Bacon, Lynd ...... 381 Aleong, John ...... 31, 512 Andrew, Michael ...... 154, 209 Baek, Inyoung ...... 241 Alfaro, Carola ...... 323 Andrews, Beth ...... 136 Baek, Songjoon ...... 537

Salt Lake City 241 Index of Participants Name Session Name Session Name Session Baer, Jim ...... 479 Barron, Andrew ...... 107 Bentley, Donald ...... 171, 385 Baggerly, Keith ...... 120 Barron, Martin ...... 115 Bentley, Jim ...... 511 Bahnsen, Patricia ...... 22 Barrón, Yolanda ...... 397 Berchialla, Paola ...... 383 Bai, Haiyan ...... 68, 510 Bartholomew, Mary ...... 154 Berding, Christoph ...... 528 Bai, Xinxin ...... 200, 340 Bartroff, Jay ...... 457 Berg, Emily ...... 207 Bai, Zhidong ...... 100 Bashi, Malda ...... 28 Bergen, H. Robert ...... 380 Bailer, A. John ...... 447 Baskin, Robert ...... 427 Berger, James ...... 129, 287, 344, 399, 461, Bailey, Barbara...... 420, 512 Bass, Eric ...... 235, 323, 458 518, 532 Bailey, Mark ...... 434 Basu, Anirban ...... 92, 160, 299, 347, 429 Berger, Martijn P.F...... 64, 310 Bailey, Theodore ...... 204 Basu, Sanjib ...... 202 Berger, Roger ...... 247 Bailey-Kellogg, Chris ...... 68 Batcher, Mary ...... 84 Berglund, Pat ...... 342 Baines, Paul ...... 367 Bates Prins, Samantha ...... 266 Berglund, Susanne R...... 285, 506 Bajari, Pat ...... 225 Bathke, Arne ...... 154, 249, 257 Bergquist, Mandy ...... 471 Bajorunaite, Ruta ...... 420 Battaglia, Michael P...... 405 Berhane, Kiros...... 113 Baladandayuthapani, Veera ...... 23, 85 Baughman, Andrew ...... 209 Berhane, Zekarias ...... 503 Balakrishnan, Suhrid ...... 124 Baum, Chuck ...... 154 Berlin, Jesse A...... 94 Baldwin, Clinton ...... 421 Baumgartner, Richard...... 477 Berliner, L. Mark ...... 518 Baldwin, James A...... 266 Bautista, Dianne ...... 532 Bernard, Allister ...... 313 Ball, Patrick ...... 116 Bayarri, Susie ...... 271, 399, 461, 532 Bernstein, David ...... 33 Baltagi, Badi H...... 295 Bayman, Emine O...... 337 Bero, Joe ...... 458 Banaszak, David ...... 282 Beaghen, Michael ...... 99 Berrett, Candace ...... 165, 386 Bandeen-Roche, Karen ...... 46, 291, 359 Bean-Mayberry, Bevanne ...... 374 Berrocal, Veronica J...... 190, 512 Bandulasiri, Wathurawa A...... 69, 343 Beasley, Mark ...... 393 Berry, Donald A...... 277, 488 Bandyopadhyay, Dipankar ...... 332 Beauchamp, Marie-Eve ...... 376 Berry, Scott ...... 155, 373 Bandyopadhyay, Soutir...... 382 Beaumont, Jean-François ...... 252 Berthet, Philippe...... 508 Bandyopadhyay, Tathagata ...... 23 Beck, Cole ...... 69 Beyene, Negasi ...... 549 Banerjee, Moulinath ...... 6, 29 Becker, Patricia ...... 298 Beyler, Nicholas ...... 207 Banerjee, Pranab ...... 424 Beckett, Laurel ...... 426 Bhagavatheeswaran, Prabhu ...... 114 Banerjee, Samprit ...... 286 Bèdard, Myléne ...... 228 Bhat, K. Sham ...... 454 Banerjee, Shailendra...... 426 Bedrick, Edward J...... 283 Bhattacharjee, Manish C...... 508 Banerjee, Sudipto ...... 60, 112 Begg, Colin B...... 100, 357 Bhattacharyya, Amit ...... 464 Bang, Heejung ...... 76, 397 Behseta, Sam ...... 147 Bhaumik, Dulal K...... 310 Bankier, Michael ...... 330 Bekele, Benjamin N...... 467 Biau, Gerard ...... 108 Banks, David ...... 2, 230, 317, 432, 447, Bélanger, Yves ...... 389 Bickel, Peter ...... 129 450, 482 Beletsky, Dmitry ...... 18 Biddle, Deborah W...... 154 Banks, H. T...... 271 Belin, Thomas ...... 58, 209, 264 Biemer, Paul ...... 293 Barbe, Philippe ...... 339 Bell, David ...... 321 Biesheuvel, Cornelis ...... 371 Barber, Jarrett ...... 529 Bell, Michelle ...... 33 Bigelow, Jamie ...... 19, 311 Bard, Suzanne ...... 12 Bell, William R...... 320, 407 Bigelow, Robert ...... 105 Bargen, Jason ...... 69 Bell-Ellison, Bethany ...... 343 Biggerstaff, Brad ...... 537 Barlas, Suna ...... 106 Bembom, Oliver ...... 89 Bijnens, Luc ...... 25, 506 Barlow, William E...... 76, 168, 284, 304, Bendjilali, Nasrine ...... 111 Bilder, Christopher R...... 178 351, 439 Bengtsson, Thomas ...... 275 Bilisoly, Roger ...... 340 Barnard, John ...... 416 Bennett, David ...... 426 Billard, Lynne ...... 111, 150 Barr, Christopher ...... 386 Bennett, James ...... 424 Billor, Nedret ...... 545 Barr, MacReadie ...... 116 Bennett, Travis ...... 329 Bin Muhaya, Fahad ...... 68 Barrett, Bruce ...... 547 Bentler, Peter M...... 470 Binder, David ...... 364

242 JSM 2007 Index of Participants Name Session Name Session Name Session Bingham, Derek ...... 9 Borrund, Lori ...... 35 Brown, Lawrence D...... 38, 107, 121, 261 Binkowitz, Bruce ...... 296 Boscardin, W. John ...... 58, 361, 534 Brown, Matthew S...... 534 Birch, Jeffrey B...... 380, 487 Bottenbley, Joost ...... 28 Bruce, Antonio...... 368 Bischak, Diane P...... 403 Botts, Carsten ...... 147 Bruggemann, Rainer ...... 454 Biswas, Pinaki ...... 103 Boucher, Kenneth ...... 209 Bryant, Richard ...... 209 Biswas, Swati ...... 277 Boulanger, Bruno ...... 134 Bu, Tian ...... 384, 424 Bittner, Rachel ...... 209 Bourgon, Richard ...... 27 Bubb, Robert ...... 31, 390 Black, Laura ...... 72 Bowden, R. L...... 209 Buettner, Thomas ...... 474 Black, Paul K...... 231 Bowen, James ...... 209 Bühlmann, Peter ...... 354 Blackwelder, William C...... 445 Bowen-Morris, Heidi ...... 343 Buja, Andreas ...... 56 Blahus, Petr ...... 510 Bowers, Ashley ...... 479 Bunea, Florentina ...... 249, 490 Blakesley, Richard ...... 468 Bowman, Christopher ...... 477 Bura, Efstathia ...... 413 Bland, Cynthia...... 115 Boyd, Jason L...... 471 Burch, Brent ...... 154 Blankenship, Erin ...... 25 Boyle, Diane K...... 148 Burchfiel, Cecil M...... 209 Blei, David ...... 124 Boyle, James P...... 148 Burdick, Richard ...... 154 Blitzstein, Joseph ...... 384 Bradley, Ralph ...... 28 Burgess, Jr., James F...... 374 Block, Hans ...... 69 Bradlow, Eric T...... 391 Burkom, Howard S...... 318 Blodgett, Bob ...... 510 Bradstreet, Thomas ...... 536, 538 Burnham, Gilbert ...... 441 Bloomfield, Peter ...... 247 Brady, Barbara ...... 528 Burnham, Tom ...... 140 Bloomquist, Erik...... 141 Branscum, Adam ...... 294 Burrill, Gail ...... 268 Blum, Olivia ...... 368 Brant, Larry J...... 64 Bursac, Zoran ...... 545 Blume, Jeffrey D...... 3, 373 Braun, Thomas M...... 66, 457 Burt, Vicki ...... 479 Boatwright, Peter ...... 314, 425 Braverman, Amy ...... 401, 546 Bushar, Harry F...... 495, 528 Bobbitt, Patrick ...... 288, 389 Bray, Robert ...... 115 Bushery, John M...... 41 Bocci, Cynthia ...... 252 Brazauskas, Vytaras ...... 375, 420 Bussman, Sammuel F...... 326 Bock, David ...... 113 Brazell, Jeff ...... 314 Butani, Shail J...... 2 Bock, Mary Ellen ...... 210, 346 Breazel, Ellen ...... 154 Butar Butar, Ferry ...... 65, 69, 209, 224, 343 Bodesky, Steven ...... 259 Breen, Nancy ...... 179 Buvaneswari, A...... 309 Bodner, Todd ...... 209 Breiter, David ...... 194 Buxton, Bruce ...... 291 Boeh, Steve ...... 235 Bremer, John ...... 428, 455 Buzoianu, Manuela...... 470 Boehm, Rona ...... 291 Brenneman, William ...... 204, 282 Cabrera, Javier ...... 172 Boehnke, Michael ...... 87 Bretz, Frank ...... 539 Cadre, Benoit...... 108 Boevelstad, Hege Marie ...... 343 Brick, J. Michael ...... 208, 259, 405 Caffo, Brian S...... 205, 359, 416 Bofin, Anna M...... 110 Brittingham, Angela ...... 255 Cai, Airong ...... 55 Bohidar, Norman ...... 539 Brock, Guy ...... 468 Cai, Bo ...... 387, 461 Bonangelino, Pablo ...... 373 Brockwell, Anthony E...... 494 Cai, Jianwen ...... 331 Bond, Marjorie ...... 21 Brockwell, Peter J...... 339 Cai, Liming ...... 278 Bondarenko, Irina ...... 35 Brodsky, Boris ...... 35 Cai, Rong ...... 288 Bondell, Howard D...... 96, 124, 355, 464 Broene, Pam ...... 114 Cai, Tianxi ...... 226 Bondy, Melissa ...... 548 Brookhart, M. Alan ...... 173 Cai, Tony ...... 7, 43, 107, 121, 122, 180, 229, Bonzo, Daniel ...... 65 Brooks, Ashley ...... 343 344, 380, 399, 453, 496, 518 Boone, Edward ...... 244, 347 Brown, Bruce .....31, 281, 390, 510, 546, 549 Cai, Weixing ...... 26 Boos, Dennis ...... 257 Brown, Emery N...... 402, 534 Cajka, James ...... 125 Borgan, Ornulf ...... 469 Brown, G. Gordon ...... 342 Calder, Catherine A...... 55, 291, 386, 401 Borkowf, Craig B...... 15 Brown, James ...... 448 Calder, Matthew ...... 136 Borkowski, John J...... 222 Brown, Janice ...... 115 Call, Kathleen ...... 239 Borle, Sharad ...... 314 Brown, Joseph P...... 525 Cameron, Kirk ...... 32

Salt Lake City 243 Index of Participants Name Session Name Session Name Session

Campbell, Christopher J...... 116 Chakicherla, Anu ...... 143 Chen, Bingshu ...... 243, 503 Campbell, David A...... 372 Chakraborti, Subhabrata ...... 294 Chen, Chia-Cheng ...... 24 Campbell, Greg ...... 323, 408 Chakraborty, Bibhas ...... 144, 474 Chen, Chiamin ...... 154 Campbell, Patricia M...... 549 Chakraborty, Sounak ...... 410 Chen, Chien-Feng ...... 198 Cangelosi, Amanda R...... 294, 326 Chakravartty, Arunava ...... 64 Chen, Chih-nan ...... 227 Cannon, Ann ...... 522 Chaloner, Kathryn ...... 260, 337 Chen, Chih-Rung ...... 248 Cano, Stephanie ...... 256, 306 Chambers, Ray ...... 13 Chen, Chun-houh...... 523 Cantor, Alan...... 272 Champ, Charles ...... 30 Chen, Cong ...... 246, 334 Cantor, David ...... 115 Champine, Joseph ...... 511 Chen, Dung-Tsa ...... 272 Cao, Dachuang ...... 334, 544 Chan, Elisa ...... 455, 479 Chen, Guorong ...... 154 Cao, Jin ...... 384, 424 Chan, Ivan ...... 418 Chen, Huanyu ...... 374 Cao, Xiaofan ...... 276 Chan, Wai ...... 53, 339 Chen, Hubert J...... 474 Capanu, Marinela ...... 357 Chan, Wenyaw ...... 33, 92 Chen, Huichao ...... 480 Cappelleri, Joseph ...... 393 Chandhok, Promod ...... 542 Chen, James J...... 154, 537 Carides, Alexandra ...... 538 Chandra, Hukum ...... 13 Chen, Jiahua ...... 26, 31 Carley-Baxter, Lisa...... 253 Chandran, Raj ...... 343 Chen, Jiehua ...... 55 Carlin, Brad ...... 59, 60, 97 Chang, Chung ...... 463 Chen, Jinbo ...... 380 Carlson, Barbara L...... 388 Chang, Chung-Chou H...... 420, 503 Chen, Jingjing ...... 343 Carlson, Richard ...... 287 Chang, Chung-Kuei ...... 246 Chen, Jinsong ...... 294 Carmack, Patrick ...... 463 Chang, Ilsung ...... 66 Chen, Kun ...... 143 Carpenter, Mark ...... 209, 420, 477 Chang, Jane ...... 285, 506 Chen, Kun ...... 246 Carr, Daniel ...... 451, 546 Chang, LinChiat ...... 208 Chen, Li ...... 468 Carriere, Kimmie C...... 280, 310, 409 Chang, Myron ...... 335 Chen, Li ...... 55, 185 Carriquiry, Alicia ...... 2, 146, 207 Chang, Sheng-Mao ...... 423, 536 Chen, Li ...... 65 Carroll, Margaret ...... 542 Chang, Yanping ...... 419 Chen, Ligong ...... 545 Carroll, Raymond J...... 81, 85 Chang, Yi-Ping ...... 247 Chen, Lihua ...... 204, 294 Carter, Andrew ...... 261 Chang, Yu-Ling ...... 421 Chen, Ling ...... 154, 369 Carter, Nathan ...... 235, 530 Chao, Chang Tai ...... 514 Chen, Lisha ...... 56, 107 Carter, Randolph L...... 243 Chapman, David W...... 388 Chen, Manhua ...... 10 Carvalho, Carlos...... 1, 238, 461 Chapman, Judith-Anne W...... 84 Chen, Michael ...... 105 Carver, Robert ...... 165, 385 Chappell, Richard ...... 100 Chen, Min ...... 379 Casas-Cordero, Carolina ...... 414 Charles, Luenda E...... 209 Chen, Ming-Hui .....202, 373, 381, 458, 461, Casas-Finet, Jose ...... 537 Charnigo, Richard ...... 515 497 Case, Heather ...... 291 Chatrath, Arjun ...... 473 Chen, Pai-Lien ...... 199 Casiple, Arlene ...... 290 Chatterjee, Arunendu ...... 32 Chen, Peiqi ...... 154, 484 Castelloe, John ...... 254, 281 Chatterjee, Ayona ...... 383 Chen, Peng ...... 67 Catellier, Diane ...... 335 Chatterjee, Nilanjan ...... 426 Chen, Pinyuen ...... 26 Cavanaugh, Joseph ...... 244, 275, 287, 540 Chatterjee, Sangit ...... 546 Chen, Qixuan ...... 501 Cecco, Kevin ...... 542 Chatterjee, Snigdhansu ...... 70, 224 Chen, Rong ...... 180 Cela Diaz, Fernando ...... 478 Chaubey, Yogendra P...... 548 Chen, Shengbao ...... 68 Celik, Mete ...... 150 Chaudhuri, Sanjay ...... 338, 543 Chen, Sining ...... 22 Cernauskas, Deborah ...... 186 Chauhan, Chand ...... 111, 377 Chen, Song Xi ...... 27, 257, 479 Cernohous, Paul ...... 235 Chelune, Gordon J...... 11 Chen, Tai-Tsang ...... 65 Cesa-Bianchi, Nicolò ...... 490 Chen, Aiyou ...... 384, 424 Chen, Te-Ching ...... 288, 389 Çetinyürek, Aysun ...... 26 Chen, Andrew ...... 25 Chen, Ting-Li ...... 340 Ceyhan, Elvan ...... 112 Chen, Baoline ...... 320 Chen, Wei ...... 138, 264 Chai, Wei ...... 425 Chen, Bei ...... 236 Chen, William ...... 71

244 JSM 2007 Index of Participants Name Session Name Session Name Session

Chen, Xinjia ...... 29 Cho, Hyemin ...... 294 Clark, Christine ...... 538 Chen, Xun ...... 379 Cho, Iksung ...... 25, 109, 537 Clark, Cynthia ...... 315, 364 Chen, Yian ...... 23 Cho, Meehyung ...... 244, 470 Clark, James ...... 321 Chen, Ying ...... 143 Cho, Moon Jung ...... 288, 389 Clark, Jay ...... 71, 428 Chen, Yong ...... 22 Cho, Sang-Hoon ...... 63 Clark, Shaunna ...... 72 Chen, Yongmei ...... 545 Cho, Sinsup ...... 88 Claus, Elizabeth B...... 117 Chen, Younan ...... 378 Cho, Yoonjin ...... 419 Clayton, Murray K...... 286 Chen, Yuguo ...... 460 Choi, Dongseok ...... 154, 185, 209, 212, 282, Clifton, Christopher ...... 98 Chen, Zhao ...... 23 294, 343 Clinton, Sarah ...... 455 Chen, Zhen ...... 96 Choi, Hwanseok ...... 150 Clusen, Nancy ...... 547 Chen, Zhimin ...... 340 Choi, Jai W...... 42 Clyde, Merlise A...... 1, 20, 59, 97, 138, Chen, Zhongxue ...... 154 Choi, Jungsoon ...... 138 147, 190, 308 Cheng, Aili ...... 378 Choi, Taeryon...... 244 Cnaan, Avital ...... 67 Cheng, Cheng ...... 142 Choi, Yunsoo ...... 271 Cobb, George ...... 406 Cheng, Chunrong ...... 374 Chomtee, Boonorm ...... 222 Cochran, James ...... 31, 279 Cheng, Dunlei ...... 337 Chon, Yun ...... 62 Coffey, Christopher S...... 130, 176, 201, Cheng, Heng-Wei ...... 343 Chong, Yinong ...... 542 281, 286, 335 Cheng, Jie ...... 285 Choochaow, Kamolchanok ...... 222 Coffey, Todd ...... 378 Cheng, Jing ...... 234 Chou, Youn-Min ...... 343 Cofield, Stacey ...... 195 Cheng, Philip E...... 390 Chow, Daniel ...... 262 Cohen, Aaron J...... 291 Cheng, Po-Yung ...... 34, 113 Chow, Mosuk ...... 294 Cohen, Michael L...... 131 Cheng, Qinyi ...... 416 Chow, Shein-Chung ...... 273, 419 Cohen, Michael P...... 288 Cheng, Simon ...... 381 Chowdhury, Dhuly ...... 152 Cohen, Paul ...... 294 Cheng, Tsung-Lin ...... 111 Chowdhury, Sadeq ...... 153, 343 Cohen, Stephen B...... 22, 345 Cheng, Tzu-Chang ...... 251 Christensen, Nelson ...... 367 Cohen, Steve H...... 542 Cheng, Yi ...... 244, 488 Christensen, William ...... 386 Colaianne, James ...... 93 Cheng, Yu ...... 420 Christian, Leah M...... 61 Cole, Rob ...... 153 Chervoneva, Inna ...... 145, 272 Christie-David, Rohan ...... 473 Coleman, Mark ...... 294 Chesley, Stephen E...... 394 Christman, Mary ...... 48 Collard-Wexler, Allan ...... 225 Chesnut, Lorie W...... 515 Christmann, Andreas ...... 398 Collings, Patti ...... 50, 91, 406, 465, 500 Chesnut, Thomas ...... 207 Christou, Nicolas ...... 465 Collins, David ...... 483 Cheung, Ken ...... 457 Chromy, James R...... 125, 389, 427 Collins, Linda ...... 522 Cheung, Ying-Kuen K...... 220 Chu, Annie ...... 32, 386 Colopy, Mike ...... 219 Chi, George ...... 334 Chu, Clara ...... 143 Conerly, Michael D...... 540 Chi, Yueh-Yun ...... 343 Chu, Haitao ...... 22, 420 Cong, Lei ...... 245 Chi, Yunchan ...... 154, 289 Chu, Jianxiong ...... 302 Conlin, Craig ...... 394 Chi, Zhiyi ...... 534 Chua, David ...... 449 Connett, John ...... 133 Chiang, James...... 411 Chuang-Stein, Christy ...... 119 Connor, Jason ...... 20, 397 Chib, Siddhartha ...... 361 Chun, Hyonho ...... 102 Connors, Alanna ...... 411 Chibnik, Lori B...... 209 Chung, Hie-Choon ...... 251 Conomos, Margaret ...... 291 Chihara, Laura ...... 303 Chung, Moo K...... 322 Conrad, Frederick ...... 364 Childs, Jennifer ...... 152 Chung, Yeonseung ...... 96, 541 Conti, David ...... 292, 357 Chin, Chang-Ho ...... 403 Chung, Younshik ...... 509 Cook, Andrea ...... 376 Chinchilli, Vernon ...... 409 Church, Timothy R...... 503 Cook, Dianne ...... 86, 219, 312 Chipman, Hugh ...... 4, 308 Cintron-Arias, Ariel ...... 271 Cook, John D...... 14, 277 Chmiel, Helen ...... 530 Citro, Constance F...... 131, 184 Cook, Nancy...... 371 Cho, Hokwon ...... 333 Claeskens, Gerda...... 226 Cook, Richard J...... 248, 426, 517

Salt Lake City 245 Index of Participants Name Session Name Session Name Session Cook, Samantha ...... 397 Curb, David J...... 209 De Gruttola, Victor ...... 466 Cook, Thomas ...... 133 Curry, Ross ...... 125 de Leon, Alexander R...... 65 Cooley, Daniel ...... 321 Curtin, Lester ...... 35, 259 de Lima, Marcos J...... 277 Coombes, Kevin ...... 59 Curtiss, Phyllis ...... 240, 511 De Pillis, Lisette G...... 415 Cooper, Gregory F...... 109, 318 Cutler, Adele ...... 144 de Wolf, Virginia A...... 368 Cooper, Linda ...... 385 Cutter, Gary ...... 22, 201, 286 Deal, Allison ...... 36 Copeland, Kennon ...... 35 Czajka, John ...... 184, 462 Dean, Angela ...... 29, 190, 422 Copello, Elizabeth ...... 152 Dabney, Alan ...... 56 Dean, Charmaine ...... 182, 422 Corcoran, Chris ...... 11 Dagne, Getachew ...... 381 Decady, Yves J...... 178 Cork, Daniel...... 255 D’Agostino, Sr., Ralph B...... 270, 371, 480 Dehkordi-Vakil, Farideh...... 541 Cornwell, Derekh ...... 116 Dagum, Paul ...... 279 del Castillo, Enrique ...... 222 Corradetti, Roberto ...... 383 Dahl, David B...... 313 Delaigle, Aurore ...... 121 Cosmatos, Dennis ...... 105, 419 Dahl, Joachim ...... 177 Delaney, James ...... 204 Costenbader, Karen H...... 209 Dai, Luyan ...... 137, 476 Deley, John P...... 101 Cotter, Dennis ...... 248 Dai, Ming ...... 193 Delongchamp, Robert R...... 154 Cowles, Mary K...... 202, 337, 484 Dancik, Garrett ...... 505 Demirhan, Eren ...... 382 Cox, Brenda ...... 513 Dandekar, Ramesh ...... 462 Demirkale, Cumhur ...... 283 Cox, Christopher ...... 420 Dang, Xin ...... 540 Demirtas, Hakan ...... 468 Cox, Dennis D...... 22 Daniel, Shoshana ...... 289 Demnati, Abdellatif ...... 330 Cozen, Wendy ...... 292 Daniels, Michael ...... 19, 147, 361 Deng, Lijuan ...... 235 Craig, Bruce ...... 68, 269, 449 Darvish, Alireza ...... 478 Deng, Shibing ...... 506 Craigmile, Peter F...... 291, 382 Dasgupta, Abhijit ...... 272 Deng, Wei ...... 198, 378 Crainiceanu, Ciprian M. 146, 359, 395, 426 Dasgupta, Anirban ...... 121 Deng, Xinwei ...... 478 Crane, Heidi M...... 287 Dasgupta, Tirthankar...... 317 Deng, Yihao...... 111 Craney, Trevor ...... 29 Dass, Partha ...... 153 Denley, Kimberly...... 290 Creecy, Robert H...... 82 Dass, Sarat ...... 205, 516 Denniston, Maxine ...... 324 Creel, Darryl ...... 341, 342 Datta, Somnath ...... 10, 469 Depinay, Jean-Marc ...... 109 Crespi, Catherine M...... 508, 519 Datta, Sujay ...... 328 DePrimo, Sam ...... 154 Cressie, Noel ...... 18, 55, 321 Datta, Susmita ...... 10 Derleth, Ann ...... 278 Crews, Kimberly ...... 315 Davern, Michael ...... 159, 170, 239, 298 Desgagne, Alain ...... 343, 509 Crimin, Kimberly ...... 334 David, Martin ...... 184 Desjardins, Sophie ...... 343 Cronin, Joseph ...... 208 Davidian, Marie ...... 536 Desmond, Renee ...... 245, 383 Crotty, Michael ...... 47 Davidoff, Amy J...... 179 Desmone, Rosanne ...... 527 Crovella, Mark ...... 449 Davis, Cynthia J...... 131 DeSouza, Cynthia ...... 235 Crowder, Nathan ...... 343 Davis, Ginger ...... 109 Dette, Holger ...... 260, 280 Crunk, Steven ...... 413 Davis, Jerry ...... 138 Devarajan, Karthik ...... 469 Cubadda, Gianluca ...... 88 Davis, Karen...... 388 Dever, Jill ...... 252, 427 Cuff, Carolyn K...... 91 Davis, Linda J...... 294 Devine, Owen ...... 209, 451 Cui, Lu ...... 418 Davis, Pauline ...... 72 Devlin, Bernie ...... 502 Cui, Xinping...... 27 Davis, Richard A...... 8, 136, 339 Dewe, Walthère ...... 93, 134 Cui, Yue ...... 509 Davis, Wade ...... 286 Dexter, Nancy ...... 479 Cullen, Jennifer ...... 545 Dawson, Jeffrey ...... 540 Dey, Dipak ...... 59, 96, 189, 461, 497 Cullings, Harry ...... 233 Day, Charles ...... 114 DeYoe, Edgar A...... 322 Culp, Mark ...... 98 Day, Roger ...... 457, 531 Dhar, Sunil K...... 105 Cumberland, William G...... 3, 415, 466 Dayan, Gustavo H...... 209 Di, Chongzhi ...... 359 Cunningham, Alastair ...... 320 De Blasi, Pierpaolo ...... 238 Diawara, Norou ...... 420 Cunningham, David ...... 125 De Bondt, An ...... 506 Diaz, Rafael ...... 548

246 JSM 2007 Index of Participants Name Session Name Session Name Session

Diaz-Tena, Nuria ...... 153 Donohoe, Dennis ...... 273 Edlefsen, Paul ...... 367 Dickey, David ...... 146, 507 Donohue, Michael ...... 187, 284 Edmonds, Jo ...... 154 Diehr, Paula ...... 278, 477 Doocy, Shannon ...... 441 Edwards, Don ...... 47, 106 Dietz, E. Jacquelin ...... 91 Doorn, David J...... 247 Edwards, Geoff ...... 539 Dietz, Zach ...... 475 Dorai-Raj, Sundar ...... 68 Edwards, Lloyd J...... 176 DiGangi, Samuel ...... 209 Dorazio, Robert ...... 326 Edwards, Melanie ...... 343 Dignam, James ...... 202 Dorfman, Alan ...... 3 Edwards, Sherm ...... 208 Dillman, Don ...... 61 Dorman, Karin ...... 466, 505 Efird, Jimmy ...... 299 Ding, Jie ...... 387 Doros, Gheorghe ...... 540 Efromovich, Sam ...... 139 Ding, Jimin ...... 83 Dotson, Jeffrey ...... 237 Eftim, Sorina ...... 33 Ding, Keyue ...... 248 Dowd, Michael ...... 372 Egger, Marlene ...... 62 Ding, Li ...... 235 Downen, Letitia ...... 244 Ehrenthal, Deborah ...... 209 Ding, Lianghao ...... 63 Draghicescu, Dana ...... 13 Eichhorn, Benjamin H...... 500 Ding, Meichun ...... 467 Draper, David ...... 486 Eick, Stephen ...... 132 Ding, Shouluan ...... 286, 294, 383 Dravid, Bharat ...... 328 Eickhoff, Jens ...... 419 Ding, Yu ...... 201 Drechsler, Joerg ...... 191 Eickmeyer, Kord ...... 384 Ding, Yuejing ...... 245 Du, Meng ...... 283 Eisen, Ellen ...... 33 Dingus, Cheryl ...... 29, 422 Du, Pang ...... 193 Eklund, Jana ...... 320 Dinov, Ivo D...... 465 Duan, Fang ...... 294 Elashoff, David A...... 62 Dinwoodie, Ian ...... 460 Duan, Fenghai ...... 283 Elashoff, Robert ...... 331 Dion, Sarah M...... 388 Duan, Naihua ...... 209 Ellahham, Samer ...... 28, 535 Diong, Cheong Hoong ...... 154 Dubin, Joel ...... 236 Ellenberg, Jonas H...... 259 DiRienzo, A. G...... 466 Dubnicka, Suzanne ...... 294 Ellenberg, Susan S...... 366, 445 DiSogra, Charles ...... 455 Duchesne, Thierry ...... 40 Elliot, Duncan ...... 262 Divers, Jasmin ...... 502 Duckworth, William M...... 294 Elliott, Alan ...... 254 Dixon, Philip ...... 75, 377 Dudewicz, E. J...... 205 Elliott, Marc N...... 397 Dmitrienko, Alex ...... 274, 539 Dudoit, Sandrine ...... 126 Elliott, Michael R...... 153, 227, 501 Do, Dzung V...... 291 Dukic, Vanja ...... 185, 202, 297 Ellis, Carla ...... 321 Dobler, Carolyn P...... 91 DuMouchel, William ...... 181 Ellonen, Noora ...... 209 Dobra, Adrian ...... 1 Dunbar, Stephanie ...... 145 Elobeid, Mai A...... 393 Dodge, Hiroko ...... 209 Duncan, Kristin ...... 541 Elston, Robert C...... 39 Dodoo, Martey ...... 148 Dunson, David B...... 19, 96, 97, 258, 311, Eltinge, John L...... 36, 41, 164 Doerge, Rebecca ...... 363 461, 497, 498, 543 Emerson, John ...... 27, 242 Doganaksoy, Necip ...... 161 Durbin, John ...... 326 Emerson, Scott ...... 503 Dohrmann, Sylvia ...... 125 Durkalski, Valerie ...... 94 Enders, Felicity B...... 254, 348 Doi, Jimmy A...... 244 Duty, Paul ...... 471 English, Edward ...... 125, 217, 253 Doig, Stephen ...... 140 E, Lidong ...... 333 Ensor, Katherine ...... 472 Dolson, David ...... 388, 448 Eakin, Mark...... 200 Enstrom, Betsy ...... 148 Dominici, Francesca ...... 5, 33, 311 Easley, Kirk ...... 387 Epstein, Michael ...... 491 Donahue, Rafe ...... 69 Ebisu, Keita ...... 33 Erickson, Stephen ...... 23 Dong, Chunrong ...... 285 Eby, L. Marlin ...... 175 Ericson, Leah ...... 207 Dong, Jin ...... 112, 200, 340, 507 Eckel, Sandrah ...... 291 Ernst, Lawrence ...... 36, 288, 389, 428 Dong, Jun ...... 142 Eckel-Passow, Jeanette E...... 380 Esan, Ebenezer ...... 513 Dong, Qian ...... 538 Eckman, Stephanie ...... 125 Eschrich, Steven ...... 272 Dong, ZhiYuan ...... 343 Eddy, William F...... 494 Escobar, Luis ...... 203 Donnelly, Peter ...... 7 Eden, Uri ...... 534 Eskandar, Emad ...... 534 Donner, Allan ...... 519 Edland, Steven ...... 536 Eskridge, Kent ...... 66, 154

Salt Lake City 247 Index of Participants Name Session Name Session Name Session Espeseth, Amy S...... 392 Feldman, Barry ...... 279 Fraker, Shannon ...... 113 Espy, Kimberly A...... 549 Felkner, John ...... 342 Francis, Damion ...... 152 Esserman, Denise A...... 49 Fellegi, Ivan P...... 394 Frangakis, Constantine E...... 113, 205 Ettner, Susan L...... 148 Feng, Chunyao ...... 337 Frank, Julieta ...... 474 Etzel, Carol J...... 92, 548 Feng, Shibao...... 135 Frank, Luis ...... 294 Eudey, Thea ...... 154 Feng, Wentao ...... 418 Frank, Ye ...... 154 Evans, John ...... 495, 530 Feng, Ziding ...... 92, 371, 519 Frankel, Martin ...... 125 Evans, Leonard ...... 53 Ferkingstad, Egil ...... 536 Franklin, Anthony ...... 343 Evans, Scott ...... 537 Ferrari, Davide ...... 336 Franklin, Christine ...... 91, 268 Everson, Michelle ...... 206 Ferreira, Marco ...... 410 Franklin, Sarah ...... 153 Ezzati-Rice, Trena ...... 414 Ferrer, Marc ...... 392 Fraser, Donald A.S...... 228 Faerber, Jennifer ...... 531 Fetter, Matthew J...... 330 Frechtel, Peter...... 152 Fagerland, Morten W...... 110 Feuerverger, Andrey ...... 171 Fredette, Marc ...... 203 Fahimi, Mansour ...... 341, 455 Fielden, Tom ...... 291 Freedman, Laurance ...... 85 Fahrmeir, Ludwig ...... 359 Fields, Paul ...... 140, 240 Freeman, Daniel H...... 333 Fairclough, Diane ...... 49 Fienberg, Stephen ...... 13, 123, 124, 171, Freeman, Ellen W...... 192 Fairley, William B...... 413 191, 443, 516 French, Benjamin ...... 92 Falk, Eric ...... 507 Filiaci, Virginia ...... 243 French, Brian ...... 390 Fallin, Daniele ...... 357 Finch, Holmes ...... 390 Frey, Jesse ...... 499, 527 Famoye, Felix ...... 294 Finch, Stephen J...... 241 Fried, Linda ...... 291 Fan, Chunpeng ...... 105 Findley, David ...... 262, 431 Friedman, Alan ...... 68 Fan, Guangzhe ...... 56 Fine, Jason ...... 6, 100, 420 Friedman, Jerome H...... 354 Fan, Jianqing ...... 57, 107, 180, 196, 229, Fink, Aliza ...... 292 Frigessi, Arnoldo ...... 536 276, 485 Finkelstein, Dianne M...... 10, 304 Frisén, Marianne ...... 113, 127 Fan, Ruzong ...... 67 Finley, Andrew ...... 60, 112 Froelich, Amy ...... 294 Fan, Shenghua (Kelly) ...... 284, 457 Fisher, Marian ...... 133 Fruehwirth-Schnatter, Sylvia ...... 314 Fan, Xiaodan ...... 421 Fisher, Robin ...... 71 Frydman, Halina ...... 243 Fan, Yingying ...... 107, 276, 485 Fitch, David ...... 547 Fu, Haoda ...... 476 Fan, Zhaozhi ...... 533 Fitchett, Stephanie ...... 343 Fu, Rongwei (Rochelle) ...... 337, 535 Fan, Zizhong ...... 264 Fitzgerald, Mark ...... 231 Fuchs, Marek ...... 207 Fang, Hao ...... 381 Fitzmaurice, Garrett ...... 151 Fuentes, Montserrat ...... 112, 138, 321 Fang, Hong-Bin ...... 370 Flack, John M...... 24 Fulcomer, Mark C...... 294 Fang, Hua ...... 549 Flanagan, Patrick ...... 479 Fuller, Wayne ...... 207, 252, 520 Fang, Yixin ...... 23 Flegal, James ...... 475 Funamoto, Sachiyo ...... 233 Fang, Yue ...... 474 Flikkema, Paul ...... 321 Furman, Edward ...... 375 Fardo, David ...... 536 Flores Cervantes, Ismael ...... 153, 388 Furrer, Reinhard ...... 185 Farnsworth, Valerie ...... 72 Flournoy, Nancy ...... 260, 471 Gabrosek, John ...... 240 Farr, Heather ...... 448 Follmann, Dean ...... 417 Gabrys, Robertas ...... 294 Fasoula, Vasilia ...... 154 Fong, Duncan K.H...... 425 Gadbury, Gary L...... 393 Faulkner, James R...... 503, 512 Fonnesbeck, Christopher ...... 326 Gage, Linda ...... 131, 239 Fay, Robert...... 99, 178, 224, 305 Forgette, Richard ...... 255 Gail, Mitchell H...... 117 Fazzari, Melissa ...... 241 Forsman, Eric ...... 266 Gaines, Leonard ...... 465 Fecso, Ron ...... 12 Forzani, Liliana ...... 17 Gajewski, Byron...... 148, 154, 477 Fedorov, Valeri V...... 260, 334 Foster, Dean ...... 27, 234 Galke, Warren ...... 259 Fedorowicz, Adam ...... 343 Foster, Misty ...... 70 Gallagher, Peter T...... 411 Feiveson, Alan ...... 471 Foulkes, Mary A...... 451 Gallo, Paul ...... 130 Fekedulegn, Desta ...... 209 Fox, James A...... 255 Galstyan, Aram ...... 294

248 JSM 2007 Index of Participants Name Session Name Session Name Session

Gamst, Anthony ...... 187 Genton, Marc ...... 185, 263, 377 Gold, David ...... 59 Gandhi, Bodapati V.R...... 290 George, Edward I...... 4, 308 Gold, Diane R...... 376 Ganesh, Nadarjasund ...... 501 George, Florence ...... 548 Gold, Richard H...... 62 Ganeshan, Ram ...... 65 George, Thomas ...... 30 Goldberg, Judith D...... 34, 119 Gangnon, Ronald E...... 183 Gerow, Ken ...... 281 Goldberg, Zelanna ...... 285, 506 Ganguli, Bhaswati ...... 33 Gertson, David W...... 534 Goldin, Jonathan ...... 534 Ganguli, Mary ...... 209 Gerzoff, Robert ...... 28 Golding, Geoffre B...... 188 Ganji, Gopinath ...... 154 Ghebregiorgis, Ghideon S...... 104 Goldschneider, Jill ...... 335 Ganju, Jitendra ...... 281 Ghosh, Debashis ...... 20, 126 Goldsmith, Charlie ...... 62, 254 Gannaz, Irene ...... 382 Ghosh, Joyee ...... 147 Golin, Carol E...... 489 Gao, Chunwang...... 29 Ghosh, Kaushik ...... 499 Gomatam, Shanti ...... 323 Gao, Long-Long ...... 335 Ghosh, Kaylan ...... 156, 296, 430 Gomeni, Roberto ...... 14 Gao, Ping ...... 418 Ghosh, Malay ...... 326, 427 Gonzalez, Gloria ...... 394 Gao, Xiaoming ...... 137 Ghosh, Pulak ...... 409, 467 Gonzalez, Jeffrey ...... 36, 479 Gao, Yonghong ...... 273 Ghosh, Samiran ...... 189 Gonzalez, Jr., Joe Fred ...... 341 Garcia, Philip ...... 474 Ghosh, Souparno ...... 185 Gonzalez-Farias, Graciela ...... 200 Garczarek, Ursula ...... 329 Ghosh, Sucharita ...... 512 Goodall, Colin ...... 318 Gard, Nicholas ...... 343 Ghosh, Sujit ...... 96, 138, 289, 498, 532 Goodchild, Michael...... 529 Gardenier, John ...... 47 Ghosh, Sunita ...... 64 Goos, Peter ...... 279 Gardenier, Turkan ...... 542 Ghoshal, Subhashis ..97, 103, 149, 287, 338 Gordon, Alexander...... 143 Gardiner, Joseph C...... 289 Ghosh-Dastidar, Bonnie ...... 92, 535 Gordon, Derek ...... 241 Garding, Gina ...... 235 Giannakouros, Panayotis ...... 204, 294 Gordon, Nancy ...... 12 Gardner, Ian ...... 294 Gibbons, Robert D...... 310 Gordon-Strachan, Georgiana ...... 152 Garrett, Karen ...... 209 Gilbert, Ethel ...... 525 Gottwald, Melissa ...... 101 Garutti, Claudio ...... 496 Gilbert, Richard ...... 424 Gotway-Crawford, Carol ...... 529 Gassmann-Mayer, Cristiana ...... 94 Gilbride, Timothy ...... 314 Gould, A. Lawrence ...... 119 Gastwirth, Joseph L...... 90 Gile, Krista...... 513 Gould, Robert ...... 319 Gatsonis, Constantine ...... 117 Gill, Brian P...... 316 Gousen, Sarah ...... 288 Gauss, C. Heath ...... 545 Gill, Thomas ...... 331 Govindarajulu, Usha ...... 33 Gaydos, Brenda ...... 130 Gillen, Matt ...... 424 Govindarajulu, Z...... 333 Gebregziabher, Mulugeta ...... 292 Giordani, Paolo ...... 452 Grabarnik, Genady ...... 203, 205, 250 Gedif, Kinfemichael ...... 463 Girard, Claude...... 153 Grady, James ...... 164, 302, 435 Geerts, Tamara ...... 506 Giunta, Anthony ...... 532 Gramacy, Robert ...... 97, 238 Gel, Yulia R...... 90, 206, 236, 413 Giurcanu, Mihal ...... 472 Grant, Andriene ...... 152 Gelfand, Alan E...... 32, 97, 148, 238, 321, Givens, Geof ...... 502 Grant, David ...... 208 384, 386, 476, 486 Glathar, Jill ...... 208 Grant, Eric J...... 233 Gelfond, Jonathan ...... 59, 248 Glazko, Galina ...... 143 Grant, Shannon ...... 343 Geller, Nancy L...... 39 Gleason, James ...... 343 Grau, Eric ...... 114 Gelman, Andrew ...... 86 Gleaton, James U...... 336 Graves, Spencer ...... 68 Geman, Stuart ...... 534 Glickman, Mark E...... 391 Gray, Genetha A...... 97 Gemayel, Nader ...... 499 Glynn, Adam N...... 292 Gray, Gerry ...... 273, 408 Geng, Zhi...... 384 Glynn, Robert ...... 151, 173, 536 Gray, Henry L...... 54 Gennings, Chris ...... 154 Gneiting, Tilmann ...... 190, 263 Gray, J. Brian ...... 478 Genovese, Christopher ...... 45 Goehlmann, Hinrich ...... 506 Gray, Mary W...... 451 Genschel, Ulrike ...... 203 Goerg, Georg ...... 13 Gray, Simone ...... 384 Gentle, James E...... 267, 340, 343 Goetghebeur, Els ...... 489 Graybeal, John M...... 309 Gentleman, Jane F...... 179 Goh, Chuan ...... 275 Greco, William ...... 370

Salt Lake City 249 Index of Participants Name Session Name Session Name Session Green, Cynthia L...... 329 Guo, Hua ...... 59 Han, Lixin ...... 25 Greenberg, Caprice ...... 294 Guo, Mengye ...... 294 Han, Xu ...... 45, 234 Greenberg, James ...... 393 Guo, Wensheng ...... 193, 524 Handcock, Mark S. .292, 390, 415, 492, 513 Greene, Mark H...... 503 Guo, Xiang ...... 198 Hanley, James A...... 376 Greene, Tom ...... 104, 533 Guo, Ying ...... 463 Hanna, Steven E...... 254 Greenland, Sander ...... 173, 357 Guo, Zhenchao ...... 331 Hannig, Jan...... 333 Greenshtein, Eitan ...... 189 Gupta, Arjun K...... 197, 336 Hans, Christopher ...... 147 Greenwood, Mark ...... 32 Gupta, Mayetri ...... 59, 491 Hansen, Ben B...... 9 Gregoire, Timothy ...... 48 Gupta, Shilpa ...... 204, 487 Hansen, Mark...... 522 Gregori, Dario ...... 383 Gupta, Shuva ...... 249 Hanson, Timothy E...... 97, 294, 486 Grépin, Karen ...... 92 Gurka, Matthew ...... 106, 176 Haque, Ariful ...... 539 Grieve, Andrew P...... 445 Gustafson, Paul ...... 173 Haran, Murali ...... 476 Griffin, Beth Ann ...... 19, 243, 278 Guthrie, William ...... 30, 204 Hardin, J. Michael ...... 150, 540 Griffin, Deborah H...... 131 Gutin, Alexander ...... 470 Harding, R. Lee ...... 428 Griffiths, Richard ...... 252 Guttorp, Peter ...... 185 Hardnett, Felicia ...... 324 Grigorian, Karen ...... 12 Haaland, Perry ...... 154 Harkness, William ...... 50, 303 Grobbee, Diederick E...... 371 Haario, Heikki ...... 452 Harmon, Charles ...... 154 Gröhn, Yrjö T...... 387 Haas, Joseph ...... 154 Harper, Joel T...... 32 Gross, Justin ...... 13 Haber, Michael ...... 34 Harrar, Solomon W...... 249, 336 Gross, Peter ...... 209 Haberman, Shelby ...... 547 Harrington, David P...... 15, 187 Gross, Shulamith ...... 103 Hadavas, Paul ...... 465 Harris, Ian...... 114, 154, 343 Groves, Robert M...... 405, 414 Hadgu, Alula ...... 341, 426 Harris, Kathy ...... 199 Gruber, Marvin...... 29, 98 Hadjiliadis, Olympia ...... 508 Harris, Loleta ...... 59 Gu, Jiajun ...... 421 Hagan, Joseph L...... 254 Harris, Mitchell ...... 31, 390 Gu, Jiezhun ...... 338 Haghighi, Aliakbar ...... 423 Harris-Kojetin, Brian ...... 41, 405 Gu, Jun ...... 421 Hahn, Friedrich ...... 154 Harrison, Ferrin D...... 369 Gu, Wen ...... 371 Haile, Sarah ...... 49 Harrison, Matthew ...... 534 Gu, Xun ...... 416 Haimes, Yacov Y...... 424 Hart, Jeffrey ...... 110, 257, 267 Guadagno, Mary Ann ...... 207 Haines, Dawn E...... 71 Hartemink, Alexander ...... 313 Guan, Xuesong ...... 198 Hall, Alastair R...... 146, 360 Hartlaub, Brad ...... 406 Guan, Yongtao ...... 18, 174 Hall, Daniel ...... 67 Hartley, Tara A...... 209 Guan, Zhong ...... 110 Hall, David ...... 253 Harvey, Peter E...... 425 Guardiola, Jose H...... 511 Hall, Devon ...... 343 Harvill, Jane ...... 412, 511 Guenther-Grey, Carolyn ...... 324 Hall, Peter ...... 121, 224, 395 Hastie, Trevor ...... 98, 528 Gui, Jiang ...... 144 Hall, W. Jackson...... 194 Hather, Gregory ...... 154 Guillas, Serge ...... 271 Hallum, Cecil...... 294, 343 Hauck, Walter W...... 145 Guimaraes, Paulo ...... 292 Halvorsen, Katherine ...... 268 Haviland, Amelia ...... 397 Guindani, Michele ...... 496 Hamadeh, Hisham ...... 223 Hawala, Sam ...... 191, 365 Gullans, Carl ...... 343 Hamer, Josephine ...... 385 Hawkins, Douglas M...... 356, 403, 464 Gulyas, Stephen ...... 539 Hamidieh, Kam ...... 339 Hayat, Matthew ...... 471 Gumpertz, Marcia ...... 47, 175 Hamm, Adam ...... 198 Hayes, Richard ...... 353 Gunaratna, Nilupa S...... 230 Hamner, Mark...... 294 Hayes, Ron D...... 489 Gunnels, Betsy C...... 148 Hamrick, Florence ...... 72 Hayhoe, Katharine ...... 55 Gunst, Richard ...... 463 Han, Chien-Pai ...... 251 Haziza, David ...... 252 Gunter, Lacey ...... 144 Han, Daifeng ...... 115, 125 He, Huixing ...... 343 Gunti, Sandhya ...... 343 Han, Gang ...... 250 He, Qimei ...... 209 Guo, Feng ...... 59 Han, John (Joong Hee) ...... 379 He, Weili ...... 246

250 JSM 2007 Index of Participants Name Session Name Session Name Session

He, Wenqing...... 182 Hirose, Naoki ...... 512 Horwitz, Barry ...... 241 He, Xin ...... 65, 426 Hirsh, Neale ...... 294 Hosking, Jonathan ...... 474, 508 He, Xuming...... 128, 358, 398 Hirshorn, Seth ...... 436 Hosler, Susan ...... 511 He, Yi ...... 476 Hitchcock, David ...... 340 Hosmer, David ...... 110, 545 He, Yulei ...... 227, 264, 535 Ho, Chih-Hsiang ...... 343 Hothorn, Torsten ...... 354 He, Zhuoqiong (Chong) ...... 109, 137, 266 Ho, Hsiu-J ...... 251 Hougaard, Philip ...... 517 Heagerty, Patrick J...... 92 Hoaglin, David C...... 123 Hough, George C...... 131 Heaton, Matthew ...... 512 Hobbs, Frank ...... 255 House, Carol C...... 364 Heavlin, William D...... 203 Hodges, James S...... 476, 509 Houtenville, Andrew J...... 221 Hecq, Alain ...... 88 Hoefer, Michael D...... 116 Hoverman, Verna ...... 254 Hedayat, Samad ...... 369 Hoes, Arno W...... 371 Hoversten, Michael ...... 294 Hedges, Dawson ...... 281, 549 Hofer, Marian ...... 413 Hovey, Peter ...... 282 Heeringa, Steven ...... 13, 209, 342, 513 Hoff, Peter D...... 190, 337, 390 Howlader, Tamanna ...... 548 Heiberger, Richard M...... 456 Hoffer, Thomas B...... 12 Hshieh, Paul ...... 154 Heilmann, Cory ...... 538 Hoffman, David ...... 90 Hsia, Jason ...... 284 Heiny, Erik ...... 428 Hoffman, David M...... 134 Hsiao, Chin-Fu ...... 51 Heisey, Dennis ...... 185 Hoffman, Lorrie ...... 465 Hsing, Tailen ...... 18, 57, 523 Heitjan, Daniel F...... 103, 294, 469 Hoffman, Matthew ...... 209 Hsu, Henry ...... 16 Helenius, Reija ...... 315 Hoffmann, Raymond ...... 322 Hsu, Jason C...... 26, 120, 126, 285, 506 Helenowski, Irene ...... 23, 468 Hoffmann, Thomas ...... 380 Hsu, Margaretha ...... 290 Heller, Andrew ...... 36 Hofmann, Heike ...... 312, 510 Hsu, Valerie ...... 427 Heller, Glenn...... 148 Hogan, Joseph W...... 138, 387, 444 Hsu, Yu-Yi ...... 51 Heltshe, Sonya ...... 548 Hogan, William ...... 22, 109 Hsueh, Huey-Miin ...... 154 Hemasinha, Rohan ...... 416 Hoh, Josephine ...... 39 Hu, Bo ...... 104 Hendarwan, Erlina ...... 455 Højsgaard, Søren ...... 343 Hu, Feifang ...... 280 Henderson, Robin ...... 453 Holan, Scott ...... 109, 386, 407 Hu, Jiang ...... 548 Hendrix, Suzanne ...... 11, 281, 470 Holcomb, John P...... 50 Hu, Jianhua ...... 417, 497 Henly, Megan ...... 253 Holdrege, Mark ...... 394 Hu, Jiaqiao ...... 378 Henry, Kimberly A...... 71 Holland, Paul ...... 265 Hu, Mingxiu ...... 418, 482 Herberich, Jennifer ...... 294 Holsinger, Kent ...... 59, 497 Hu, Wenhua...... 331 Herbst, Roy ...... 277 Holt, Jeff ...... 294 Hu, X. Joan ...... 442 Hering, Amanda S...... 185, 263 Holt, Melinda M...... 65, 154, 343 Hu, Zonghui ...... 104, 417 Hernan, Miguel A...... 89, 248 Hong, Feng ...... 283 Hua, Lanqing ...... 68 Herring, Amy H...... 286, 311 Hong, Han ...... 225 Hua, Tsushung ...... 156 Herron, Amy B...... 253 Hong, Mee Young...... 85 Huang, Bin ...... 335 Hess, Ann ...... 196 Hong, Shengyan ...... 105, 469 Huang, Chiang-Ching ...... 23, 468 Hesterberg, Tim ...... 209, 353 Hooker, Giles ...... 372 Huang, Chiung-Yu ...... 243, 426 Heyse, Joseph ...... 418 Hooker, Rachael ...... 542 Huang, Chunfeng...... 18 Hicks, Wendy ...... 207 Hooten, Mevin ...... 294, 326 Huang, Gary ...... 116 Hidiroglou, Mike A...... 330, 520 Horgan, Graham ...... 383 Huang, Jian ...... 323 Higgins, James ...... 395 Horie, Yoshiharu ...... 16 Huang, Jianhua Z...... 38, 379 Highland, Fred ...... 208 Horn, Wendy S...... 540 Huang, Jie ...... 335 Higuchi, Tomoyuki...... 512 Horner, Jeff ...... 69 Huang, Liping ...... 154 Hill, Jennifer ...... 316 Horsky, Dan ...... 237 Huang, Saling ...... 329 Hill, Shawndra ...... 328 Horton, Nicholas ...... 319 Huang, Wei-Min ...... 111 Himelein Jr., James A...... 288, 389 Horton, Scott ...... 470 Huang, Wenmei ...... 205 Hinkins, Susan ...... 2 Horvath, Steve ...... 142, 154 Huang, Xiaobi ...... 153

Salt Lake City 251 Index of Participants Name Session Name Session Name Session Huang, Xiaohong ...... 94 Ibrahim, Joseph G...... 59, 322, 461, 491 Jank, Wolfgang ...... 205 Huang, Xin ...... 154 Iglehart, James D...... 416 Jannasch-Pennell, Angel ...... 209 Huang, Xin ...... 331 Iglewicz, Boris ...... 334 Janos, Nathan ...... 279 Huang, Xuelin ...... 95, 400 Ii, Yoichi ...... 16 Jans, Matt ...... 209 Huang, Yangxin ...... 284, 287 Imai, Kosuke ...... 234 Janssen, Kristel J.M...... 371 Huang, Yao ...... 408 Imai, Yukiko ...... 530 Jaros, Mark ...... 49 Huang, Yifan ...... 126 Imm, So Jung ...... 495 Jauregui, Maritza ...... 294 Huang, Ying ...... 92, 371 Imrey, Peter B...... 366 Javaras, Kristin ...... 292 Huang, Zhuying ...... 343 Ing, Ching-Kang ...... 251 Javier, Walfredo ...... 197 Hubbard, Alan ...... 294 Ingram, Debra ...... 294 Jayawardhana, Ananda ...... 511 Hubbard, Susan ...... 294 Inoue, Atsushi ...... 360 Jeffery, Chris ...... 320 Hubert, Philippe ...... 134 Inoue, Lurdes...... 328, 467 Jefferys, Kelly ...... 116 Huckett, Jennifer ...... 191 Ionita-Laza, Iuliana ...... 245 Jemiai, Yannis ...... 198 Hudson, James I...... 292 Ireland, Jack ...... 411 Jenkins, Frank ...... 114 Huertas-Vazquez, Adriana ...... 502 Iriondo-Perez, Jeniffer ...... 115 Jenney, Brenda ...... 343 Hughes, Elizabeth ...... 341 Irish, William ...... 154, 540 Jennings, Kristofer ...... 29 Hughes, Jeffrey ...... 35 Irizarry, Rafael ...... 396 Jensen, Shane T...... 20, 122, 391 Hughes, Sara H...... 521 Irony, Telba ...... 373 Jensen, Willis ...... 487 Hughes-Oliver, Jacqueline M...... 172, 300, Ismaila, Afisi S...... 66, 296, 471 Jeon, Sangchoon ...... 289 356, 464 Israel, Glenn ...... 61 Jeong, Jaesik ...... 417 Huitema, Bradley E...... 135 Iversen, Edwin ...... 1, 313, 357 Jewell, Nicholas P...... 480 Hult, Henrik ...... 136 Iversen, Philip ...... 154 Ji, Chen ...... 241 Humphrey, Patricia ...... 206 Iyer, Hariharan ...... 276, 333 Ji, Chuanshu ...... 247 Hung, H.M. James ...... 521 Iyer, Madhu ...... 53 Jia, Juan ...... 58 Hung, James ...... 270 Iyer, Vishwanath ...... 65 Jia, Yue ...... 343 Hung, Man ...... 209 Izenman, Alan J...... 90, 413 Jiang, Aixiang ...... 201 Hung, Ming-Chin ...... 247 Jackson, Dan ...... 537 Jiang, Guoyong ...... 471 Hung, Ying ...... 250, 376 Jackson, Lisa...... 151, 209 Jiang, Honghua ...... 333, 469 Hunsaker, Naomi ...... 31 Jackson, Michael...... 151, 209 Jiang, Hongmei ...... 334 Hunt, Jr., William F...... 231 Jacobi, Liana ...... 361 Jiang, Huiping ...... 54, 494 Hunter, David ...... 166, 215, 328, 349, 437 Jacobs, Jan ...... 320 Jiang, Jiming ...... 70, 187, 423 Huo, Xiaoming ...... 107 Jacobs, Tom ...... 25 Jiang, Qi ...... 419 Huque, Mohammad ...... 94 Jacod, Jean ...... 485 Jiang, Thomas J...... 509, 541 Hurvich, Clifford M...... 8, 157, 431 Jacqmin-Gadda, Helene ...... 104 Jiang, Wei ...... 487 Hurwitz, Shelley ...... 302 Jahan, Nusrat ...... 382 Jiang, Xiaoyu ...... 144 Huson, Les...... 66 Jain, Anil K...... 516 Jiles, Ruth ...... 341 Hussein, Abdulkadir ...... 549 Jain, Arvind ...... 28 Jin, Jiashun ...... 396, 449 Huzurbazar, Aparna V...... 483 Jakulin, Aleks ...... 86, 171 Jin, Jionghua ...... 190 Huzurbazar, Snehalata ...... 32 James, David A...... 309 Jin, Lei ...... 475 Hwang, Gene J.T...... 459 James, Gareth ...... 307 Jin, Man ...... 23, 548 Hwang, John Dar Shong ...... 154 James, Hodges S...... 476 Jin, Xiaoping ...... 34, 504 Hydorn, Debra ...... 511 Jana, Kalidas ...... 146 Jin, Yuying ...... 528 Hynan, Linda S...... 254 Janes, Darryl ...... 288 Jin, Zhezhen ...... 83 Hyslop, Terry ...... 145, 272, 457 Janes, Holly ...... 33, 504 Jin, Zi ...... 423 Iachan, Ronaldo ...... 292, 342 Jang, Donsig ...... 72, 293, 342 Jirsak, Jan ...... 515 Iams, Howard ...... 184 Jang, Junghoon ...... 509 Joachims, Thorsten ...... 177 Iannacchione, Vincent G...... 36, 125 Jang, Woncheol ...... 57, 461 Joffe, Marshall ...... 335, 531

252 JSM 2007 Index of Participants Name Session Name Session Name Session

Johanis, Paul ...... 368 Jung, Yoon-Sung ...... 540 Katki, Hormuzd ...... 287 Johanson, Carrie L...... 368 Jurkovitz, Claudine ...... 209 Katsaounis, Tena ...... 250, 363, 422 John, Wilson ...... 424 Kacirorti, Niko ...... 202 Katul, Gabriel ...... 321 Johnson, Alicia ...... 475 Kadane, Joseph B...... 287 Katzoff, Myron ...... 178 Johnson, Brian P...... 495 Kader, Gary ...... 91 Kaufman, Cari ...... 321 Johnson, Bryce ...... 36 Kafadar, Karen...... 548 Kaufman, James ...... 248 Johnson, Christopher ...... 253, 515 Kagan, Abram ...... 107 Kaur, Amarjot ...... 199, 539 Johnson, Dallas ...... 343, 540 Kahan, Joseph...... 339 Ke, Chunlei ...... 418, 419 Johnson, David ...... 184 Kahn, Joseph ...... 467 Kearney, Thomas ...... 335 Johnson, Devin ...... 326 Kairalla, John ...... 335 Kedem, Benjamin ...... 113, 417 Johnson, Jacqueline ...... 335 Kalambouka, Afroditi ...... 72 Keer, David W...... 221 Johnson, John ...... 145 Kalbfleisch, John D...... 95, 103, 106, 128 Keeton, Stephine ...... 510 Johnson, Kenneth L...... 380 Kalsbeek, William D...... 36 Keiding, Niels ...... 366 Johnson, Laura ...... 67 Kalton, Graham ...... 70 Keighley, John...... 209 Johnson, Richard A...... 63 Kaluzny, Stephen ...... 294 Keil, Eric ...... 35 Johnson, Robyn ...... 72 Kalyanam, Kirthi ...... 314 Keim, Samuel M...... 515 Johnson, Terri K...... 33 Kambara, Ayako ...... 343 Keith, Scott W...... 286 Johnson, Timothy D...... 201 Kamer, Gary ...... 156 Keles, Sunduz ...... 102, 126 Johnson, Valen ...... 232, 497 Kane, David ...... 116 Kelleher, Thomas ...... 105 Johnson, Wesley ...... 258 Kang, Chang W...... 403 Keller-McNulty, Sallie ...... 129, 346 Johnson, William H...... 36 Kang, Changku ...... 149 Kelly, Logan ...... 547 Johnston, Monica ...... 482 Kang, Huining ...... 283 Kempthorne, Peter J...... 413 Johnston, Patrick ...... 31 Kang, Lei ...... 55 Kendziorski, Christina ...... 380 Johnstone, Iain ...... 107 Kang, Moonsu ...... 102 Kennedy, Courtney ...... 207 Jokiel-Rokita, Alicja ...... 509 Kang, Qing ...... 52 Kennedy, Jallah M...... 294 Joly, Damien ...... 185 Kang, Shin-Soo ...... 198 Kennickell, Arthur B...... 12 Jones, Bradley ...... 282 Kannan, Nandini ...... 286 Kenward, Mike ...... 85 Jones, Bruce ...... 375 Kantarcioglu, Murat ...... 98 Kerber, Richard A...... 209 Jones, Byron ...... 14, 521 Kao, Chiun-How ...... 523 Kern, John ...... 290 Jones, Michael E...... 153 Kapenga, John ...... 150 Kerr, Joshua ...... 343 Jones, Michael P...... 387 Kapetanios, George ...... 320 Ketcham, Bruce ...... 53 Jones, Michael P...... 503 Kaplan, Daniel ...... 349, 511 Kevin, Anderson ...... 424 Jones, Shelton ...... 115 Kapp, Amy ...... 272 Khalili, Nasrin ...... 186 Jones-Farmer, Allison ...... 30 Kapteyn, Arie ...... 208 Khan, Shakeeb...... 225, 444 Joo, Jungnam ...... 39, 327 Karcher, Michael ...... 294 Khanna, Dinesh ...... 62 Joost Bottenblehy, Joost ...... 28 Karlson, Elizabeth W...... 209 Khanna, Rozina ...... 470 Jorda, Oscar ...... 360 Karr, Alan ...... 129, 269 Khare, Meena ...... 35, 153 Jordan, David ...... 198 Karrison, Theodore G...... 468 Khuri, Andre I...... 67 Jordan, Victoria ...... 30, 209 Karunanayake, Chandima ...... 477, 514 Kianifard, Farid ...... 105 Jornsten, Rebecka...... 396 Kasagi, Fumiyoshi ...... 233 Kiesl, Hans...... 35 Joseph, Roshan ...... 204, 478 Kasala, Subramanyam ...... 536 Kiffe, Thomas ...... 343 Ju, Hyunsu ...... 64 Kashyap, Vinay L...... 367, 411 Kilian, Lutz ...... 360 Juarez, Miguel ...... 381 Kasif, Simon ...... 144 Kim, Chansoo ...... 509 Judkins, David R...... 71, 153, 264 Kasprzyk, Daniel ...... 184 Kim, Daeyoung ...... 108 Jun, Mikyoung...... 185, 382, 401 Kass, Robert E...... 118, 147 Kim, Dohyeong ...... 32 Jung, Jeesun ...... 67 Kasturi, Jyotsna ...... 283 Kim, Edward S...... 277 Jung, Sin-Ho ...... 272 Kathman, Steven ...... 343 Kim, Hye-Kyoung ...... 425

Salt Lake City 253 Index of Participants Name Session Name Session Name Session Kim, Hyun ...... 534 Kohnen, Christine ...... 21 Kromrey, Jeffrey...... 343 Kim, Inyoung ...... 85 Kokoszka, Piort ...... 294 Krotki, Karol ...... 78, 152, 428, 455 Kim, Jae-kwang ...... 252 Kolaczyk, Eric D...... 144, 401, 449 Kryscio, Richard J...... 154 Kim, Jay H...... 341, 515 Kolassa, John E...... 332 Kubiak, Rene ...... 93 Kim, Jay J...... 153, 191 Kolenikov, Stanislav ...... 153, 252 Kuiper, Shonda...... 522 Kim, Jeongsook ...... 25 Kolm, Paul ...... 209 Kulkarni, Pandurang M...... 549 Kim, Jieun ...... 241 Koltchinskii, Vladimir ...... 490 Kumiega, Andrew ...... 186 Kim, Ji-In ...... 127 Komaroff, Eugene ...... 527 Kunapuli, Gautam ...... 177 Kim, Jong ...... 291, 546 Komiyama, Osamu ...... 16 Kunselman, Allen ...... 376 Kim, Joungyoun...... 141 Konda, Sreenivas ...... 507 Kuo, Kun-Lin...... 509, 541 Kim, Juwon ...... 88 Kondratovich, Marina ...... 329 Kuo, Lynn ...... 497 Kim, Lee-Lian ...... 379 Kong, Augustine ...... 536 Kuo, Way ...... 317 Kim, Mi-Ok ...... 338 Kong, Lan ...... 521 Kuo, Yong-Fang ...... 477 Kim, Nak-Kyeong ...... 325 Kong, Maiying ...... 370 Kurali, Edit ...... 464 Kim, Sung Duk ...... 202, 461 Kong, Megan ...... 154 Kuribayashi, Kazuhiko ...... 16 Kim, SunWoong ...... 513 Kong, Nan ...... 382 Kurland, Brenda F...... 46, 503 Kim, Wonkuk ...... 241 Kong, Xiangrong ...... 196 Kurtz, Thomas ...... 211 Kimball, Sytske ...... 343 Konty, Kevin ...... 113 Kuznetsov, Dmitri ...... 425 Kimmel, Marek ...... 333 Kopecky, Kenneth ...... 233 Kwanisai, Mike ...... 36 Kinard, Karen ...... 21 Kosinski, Andrzej S...... 419 Kwon, Jaimyoung ...... 250 King, Dennis ...... 408, 458 Koslov, Judith...... 203 Kyj, Lada ...... 472 Kinnersley, Nelson ...... 66 Koslowsky, Samuel ...... 314, 425 Kyle, Tonja M...... 36 Kinney, Satkartar ...... 82 Kosorok, Michael ...... 6, 63, 196, 400 Kyung, Minjung ...... 97 Kishor, N. Kundan ...... 320 Koti, Kallappa ...... 145 Labbi, Aberrahim ...... 186 Kitchen, Christina Ramirez ...... 142, 415 Kott, Phillip S...... 330, 427 Labhard, Vincent ...... 320 Klap, Ruth ...... 209 Kottas, Athanasios ...... 258, 398 LaBranche, Kathleen ...... 549 Kleerup, Eric C...... 538 Koulis, Theodoro ...... 372 Lacey, Michelle ...... 245 Kleim, Gildas ...... 389 Kovtun, Vladimir ...... 172 Lafaye de Micheaux, Pierre ...... 343 Klein, John ...... 400 Kowalski, Donna ...... 15 Lafferty, John ...... 57 Klemm, Rebecca ...... 33 Koyama, Tatsuki ...... 69 Laflamme, Francois ...... 291, 293 Kliemann, Wolfgang ...... 146 Kozlitina, Julia ...... 154 Lagakos, Stephen ...... 243, 517 Kloke, John ...... 149 Kraber, Shari ...... 301 Lahiri, Partha ...... 70, 71, 224, 427, 520 Knaub, James ...... 70, 209 Krackhardt, David...... 13 Lahiri, Soumendra N...... 8, 174, 382 Kneib, Thomas ...... 359 Krafty, Robert ...... 193 Lahiri, Soumi ...... 336 Knofczynski, Greg ...... 465 Kraker, Jessica ...... 464 Lai, Tze Leung...... 43, 220, 457 Knudsen, Laura ...... 185 Kramer, Joan L...... 503 Laird, Nan ...... 292, 380 Knudsen, Sven ...... 132 Krams, Michael ...... 130 Lakner, Peter ...... 472 Ko, Younhee ...... 63 Krasnicka, Barbara ...... 420 Lakshminarayanan, Mani Y...... 37 Koch, Gary ...... 65, 521 Krenzke, Thomas ...... 70, 264 Lalonde, Trent ...... 106 Kocherginsky, Maria ...... 468 Kreuter, Frauke ...... 414 Lam, Clifford ...... 276 Kodell, Ralph L...... 537 Krieg, Sabine ...... 207, 514 Lam, Peter ...... 408, 458 Koehler, Andrew ...... 483 Kringle, Robert ...... 134, 379 Lam, Raymond L.H...... 300 Koehler, Kenneth ...... 198, 246 Krishna, Arun ...... 96 Lambert, Diane ...... 309 Koenig, Evan ...... 320 Krishnamoorthy, Kalimuthu ...... 111, 510 Lamoureux, Christopher ...... 473 Kogut, Sarah J.H...... 495 Kriska, S. David ...... 294 Lan, Kuang-Kuo ...... 270 Kohlschmidt, Jessica ...... 52 Krivitsky, Pavel ...... 390 Lan, Ling ...... 469 Kohn, Robert ...... 22, 452 Krnjajic, Milovan ...... 398 Lan, Yan ...... 29

254 JSM 2007 Index of Participants Name Session Name Session Name Session

Lancaster, Carol J...... 101 Lee, Chun-Yi ...... 343 Leshchenko, Elena ...... 203 Land, Kenneth ...... 278 Lee, EunJoo ...... 203 Leslie, William D...... 477 Land, Stephanie R...... 49 Lee, Herbert ...... 97, 486, 532 Lesser, Virginia ...... 61, 115 Landes, Reid ...... 209, 294 Lee, Hyunshik ...... 114 Lessner, Lawrence ...... 34 Landman, Cheryl R...... 12 Lee, Hyunsook ...... 367 Letourneau, Elizabeth ...... 332 Landreman, Urban ...... 293 Lee, J. Jack ...... 277, 337, 370 Levin, Linda ...... 33 Landrum, Mary Beth ...... 135 Lee, James ...... 154 Levine, Michael ...... 18, 107, 146, 275 Lane, Julia ...... 12, 298, 428, 462 Lee, Jevons...... 474 Levy, Martin ...... 343 Lange, Christoph...... 39, 536 Lee, Joo Yeon ...... 138 Levy, Paul S...... 70, 341, 520 Lange, Kenneth ...... 502 Lee, Jordan ...... 329 Lewin, David ...... 343 Langfelder, Peter ...... 142 Lee, Juyoun...... 248 Lewinger, Juan P...... 357 Langholz, Bryan ...... 469 Lee, Kerry ...... 194 Lewis, Jeffrey ...... 277 Laniel, Normand ...... 388 Lee, Kwan ...... 172, 285, 464 Lewis, Richard...... 154, 498 Lansky, David ...... 134 Lee, Lawrence ...... 423 Li, Ai ...... 154 Lao, Chang S...... 495 Lee, Luen ...... 24 Li, Bin ...... 189 Lapidus, Jodi ...... 79, 218, 352 Lee, Man S...... 403 Li, Bo ...... 185, 263, 321 Lara, Claudia ...... 198 Lee, Martha ...... 145 Li, Bogong T...... 474 Larget, Bret ...... 141 Lee, Mei-Ling Ting ...... 40 Li, Caixia ...... 504 Larocque, Denis...... 149, 382 Lee, Patrick ...... 424 Li, Chin-Shang ...... 110 Larsen, Michael D...... 35, 42, 70, 191, Lee, Sandra ...... 525 Li, Chunming ...... 201 198, 264, 468 Lee, Seokho ...... 106 Li, Dan ...... 285 Larson, Janice ...... 42 Lee, Shin-Je ...... 135 Li, Dongfeng ...... 193 Larson, Kristin A...... 263 Lee, Stephanie J...... 503 Li, Dongmei ...... 26 Larson, William E...... 36 Lee, Sung ...... 528 Li, Erning ...... 332, 377 Lau, Edmund ...... 383 Lee, Sunghee...... 208 Li, Fan ...... 113, 135 Lau, Kit Fun ...... 528 Lee, SungIm ...... 135 Li, Fang ...... 496 Laughlin, Mark ...... 11 Lee, Thomas C.M...... 8, 411 Li, Feng ...... 285 Laurence, John A...... 266 Lee, Yoonkyung ...... 285 Li, Gang ...... 100, 331, 534 Lauritzen, Michael K...... 31, 390 Leeb, Hannes ...... 544 Li, George ...... 456 LaVange, Lisa ...... 366 Lefante, John ...... 209 Li, Heng ...... 530 Lavelle, Bridget ...... 72 Lefebvre, Genevieve ...... 20 Li, Hongfei ...... 55 Lavin, Philip ...... 458 Lefohn, Allen S...... 5 Li, Huajiang ...... 154 Lavine, Michael ...... 450 Lefton, Lew ...... 271 Li, Huilin ...... 224, 427 Lavori, Philip ...... 220 Legg, Jason ...... 513 Li, Jia ...... 209 Law, Michael...... 92 Legler, Julie ...... 175, 522 Li, Jialiang ...... 100 Lawley, Ernest ...... 388 Lei, Lei ...... 65 Li, Jianjun ...... 145, 430, 471, 539 Lawrence, Earl...... 98 Leiby, Benjamin E...... 192 Li, Jianzhu ...... 342 Lawson, Andrew B. ....18, 75, 127, 185, 350 Leith, Wendy ...... 291 Li, Jing ...... 138, 190 Lawson, John ...... 301 Leiva, Ricardo ...... 111 Li, Jinhui ...... 309 Lazar, Nicole ...... 494 Leman, Scotland ...... 475 Li, Ker-Chau ...... 196, 325, 523 le Cessie, Saskia ...... 366 LeMasters, Grace ...... 33 Li, Lang ...... 372 Lea, Mary-Anne ...... 326 Lemus, Hector ...... 361 Li, Lei ...... 70 LeBlanc, Michael ...... 503, 537 Lenk, Peter ...... 314, 381 Li, Leping ...... 245 Lechner, Michael H...... 9 Lenth, Russell ...... 343 Li, Lexin ...... 17, 356, 464 Lee, Ann ...... 56, 502 Leon, Ramon V...... 403 Li, Li...... 267, 343 Lee, C. M...... 307 Lepkowski, James M...... 125 Li, Liang ...... 104, 533 Lee, Carl ...... 385 Leroux, Brian G...... 44, 67 Li, Liang ...... 235, 373

Salt Lake City 255 Index of Participants Name Session Name Session Name Session Li, Lingling ...... 537 Lin, Feng Min ...... 514 Liu, Honghu ...... 489 Li, Linyuan ...... 496 Lin, Ge ...... 18 Liu, Huimei ...... 247 Li, Meijuan ...... 59, 147 Lin, Haiqun ...... 236, 331 Liu, Jen-pei ...... 51 Li, Ning ...... 273 Lin, Huiyi ...... 245, 383 Liu, Jiajun ...... 464 Li, Ning ...... 331 Lin, Kun-Cheng ...... 504 Liu, Jiawei...... 110 Li, Pengfei ...... 26 Lin, Lillian S...... 324 Liu, Jingchen ...... 227, 367 Li, Qianqiu ...... 378 Lin, Qihua...... 463 Liu, Jinze ...... 421 Li, Qizhai ...... 335, 380 Lin, Shili ...... 245, 387 Liu, Juanmei ...... 470 Li, Qunhua ...... 154 Lin, Tsai-Lien ...... 145 Liu, Jun ...... 412 Li, Runze ...... 249, 362 Lin, Tsung-I ...... 251 Liu, Jun S...... 81, 128, 244, 416, 421, 541 Li, Shelby...... 495 Lin, Wen ...... 142 Liu, Kenneth ...... 538 Li, Shengqiao ...... 154, 343 Lin, Xiaojing ...... 293 Liu, Lei ...... 428 Li, Tiandong ...... 114 Lin, Xiaoyan ...... 137 Liu, Lei ...... 95, 400 Li, Wei...... 87 Lin, Xihong ...... 104, 151, 453, 480 Liu, Li ...... 285 Li, Wen ...... 146 Lin, Xiwu ...... 285, 335 Liu, Lian ...... 67 Li, William ...... 422 Lin, Yan ...... 294 Liu, Lin ...... 466 Li, Xiaodong ...... 198 Lin, Yi ...... 148 Liu, Mei ...... 548 Li, Xiaolei ...... 286, 419 Lindborg, Stacy ...... 484 Liu, Mengling ...... 34, 292, 416, 468 Li, Xiaoming ...... 105 Linder, Ernst ...... 112, 291 Liu, Nancy ...... 419 Li, Yan ...... 339 Linder, Jesse ...... 65 Liu, Peng ...... 172, 459 Li, Yehua...... 57 Linder, Richard ...... 111 Liu, Peng ...... 247 Li, Yi ...... 288 Lindquist, Martin ...... 322 Liu, Peng ...... 251 Li, Yi ...... 376 Lindsay, Bruce G...... 108, 110 Liu, Peng ...... 549 Li, Yingfu ...... 202, 422 Link, Michael ...... 341 Liu, Qingzhong ...... 154 Li, Yingxing ...... 118, 543 Lint, Joseph ...... 266 Liu, Regina ...... 363 Li, Yingying ...... 407 Liou, Jiun W...... 390 Liu, Rong...... 134 Li, Yue ...... 154 Liou, Michelle ...... 390 Liu, Rong...... 412 Li, Yufeng ...... 294 Lipovetsky, Stan ...... 114, 216, 279 Liu, Shuang ...... 343, 506 Li, Zhonggai ...... 459 Lipsitz, Stuart R...... 151, 294, 332, 545 Liu, Shufang ...... 289 Liang, Faming ...... 421, 460 Liquet, Benoit ...... 343 Liu, Suyu ...... 277 Liang, Hua ...... 182, 362 Littell, Ramon ...... 16 Liu, Tao...... 103 Liang, Juan ...... 33 Little, Roderick J...... 106, 191, 201, 259, Liu, Thomas ...... 521 Liang, Kun ...... 468 468, 501 Liu, Wei-min ...... 528 Liang, Qiwei...... 154 Liu, Aiyi ...... 64, 149, 548 Liu, Xiaole S...... 87 Liang, Ruohong ...... 426 Liu, Anna ...... 193 Liu, Xiaolei ...... 292 Liang, Weijian ...... 472 Liu, Ben ...... 339 Liu, Xuefeng...... 361, 515 Liang, Yu ...... 245 Liu, Benmei ...... 70, 71 Liu, Xuxin ...... 276 Liang, Yuanyuan ...... 310, 409 Liu, Bitao ...... 473 Liu, Yan ...... 427 Liao, Dan...... 389 Liu, Changying ...... 66 Liu, Yi ...... 479 Liao, Jason ...... 134 Liu, Ching-Ti ...... 325 Liu, Yin ...... 85 Liao, Shu-min ...... 289 Liu, Chuanhai ...... 309 Liu, Ying ...... 209 Lim, Johan ...... 135, 499 Liu, Chunling...... 289 Liu, Yufeng ...... 4, 80, 355, 526 Lim, Johan ...... 377 Liu, Desheng ...... 55 Liu, Yung-Hsin ...... 245 Lin, Carol ...... 127 Liu, Diane D...... 277 Liu, Ziqiang ...... 309 Lin, Chien-Ju ...... 154, 537 Liu, Fei ...... 509, 532 Liu-Seifert, Hong ...... 154, 296 Lin, Dan ...... 506 Liu, Guohui ...... 418 Livingston, William ...... 255 Lin, Danyu ...... 95, 468 Liu, Han ...... 57 Lix, Lisa M...... 477

256 JSM 2007 Index of Participants Name Session Name Session Name Session

Lloyd, Alun...... 271 Lummus, Zana...... 33 Magiera, Ryszard ...... 509 Lloyd, David ...... 424 Lunceford, Jared ...... 380, 419 Magnan, Shon ...... 216, 279 Lo, Shaw-Hwa ...... 245, 327 Lund, Robert B...... 450 Magnus, Jeanette ...... 209 LoBianco, Tony ...... 515 Lunt, Mark ...... 62 Magnussen, Steen ...... 514 Lobo, A. Peter ...... 131 Luo, Edmund ...... 198 Mah, Jeng ...... 373, 495 Lock, Robin ...... 343 Luo, Gang ...... 144 Mah, Ming-Yi K...... 239 Lockwood, John R...... 60, 316 Luo, Jingqin ...... 1, 137 Mahajan, Salil ...... 185 Logothetis, Christopher J...... 220 Luo, Sheng ...... 426 Mahnken, Jonathan ...... 209 Loh, Ji Meng ...... 45 Luo, Xianghua ...... 426 Mahoney, Douglas W...... 380 Lohr, Sharon L...... 224, 343, 514, 520 Luo, Xiaodong ...... 505 Mai, Enping ...... 425 Lok, Judith J...... 89 Luo, Xiaohui ...... 145 Maier, Elizabeth ...... 343 London, Joshua ...... 326 Luo, Xiaolong ...... 273, 334 Maindonald, John ...... 376 Looney, Stephen W...... 254 Lupton, Joanne R...... 85 Maiti, Tapabrata ...... 283 Lopes, Hedibert ...... 460 Lussier, Robert ...... 315 Maitra, Ranjan ...... 174, 340, 463 Lorenz, Fred...... 61, 72 Lv, Jinchi ...... 276, 446, 485 Maity, Arnab ...... 540 Lott, Juanita Tamayo ...... 394 Lyles, Robert ...... 387 Majumdar, Dibyen ...... 369 Lotz, Meredith ...... 468 Lynberg, Michele ...... 253 Mak, Tak ...... 343 Loughin, Thomas M...... 69, 178 Lynch, Kevin G...... 135, 192 Mallick, Bani ...... 59, 85, 185, 497 Louis, Thomas A...... 291, 426 Lynch, Scott ...... 278 Mallick, Madhuja ...... 286 Love, Kimberly ...... 529 Ma, Christopher ...... 317 Mallinckrodt, Craig ...... 521 Love, Tanzy ...... 332 Ma, Guoguang ...... 199 Malloy, Betty ...... 33 Love, Thomas ...... 527 Ma, Haijun ...... 378, 456 Malo, Nathalie ...... 332 Low, Mark ...... 261, 358 Ma, Huaiyu ...... 200 Malthouse, Edward C...... 425 Lowe, Charles N...... 343 Ma, Junheng ...... 337 Maltz, Michael D...... 13 Lozier, Susan ...... 450 Ma, Larry ...... 199 Man, Ka Sing ...... 247 Lu, Bing ...... 44 Ma, Libin ...... 154 Manatunga, Amita K...... 387, 480 Lu, Bo ...... 9 Ma, Mi-Chia ...... 504 Mandel, Igor ...... 544 Lu, Fei ...... 510 Ma, Ping ...... 120, 325 Mandl, Lisa A...... 209 Lu, Guanhua ...... 417 Ma, Xiulian ...... 209 Mandrekar, Jayawant ...... 379, 480 Lu, Jingsong ...... 113 Ma, Yeming ...... 144 Mandrekar, Sumithra J...... 488 Lu, Jun ...... 137 Ma, Yi-Wen ...... 470 Mansfield, Edward ...... 294 Lu, Kaifeng ...... 379 Ma, Yuejiao ...... 473 Manson, Jeanne ...... 192 Lu, Lu ...... 70 Ma, Yuhui ...... 117 Maravall, Agustin ...... 262 Lu, Ruixiao ...... 506 Ma, Zongming ...... 384 Marchette, David ...... 167, 205, 438 Lu, Shou-En ...... 400 Maa, Jen-Fue ...... 470 Marcus, Michele ...... 480 Lu, Tao ...... 138 MacDonald, W. Michael ...... 309 Margolis, Helene ...... 291 Lu, Wenbin ...... 17, 56, 468 MacEachern, Steven N...... 147, 190, 541 Marinucci, Lawrence ...... 471 Lu, Xin ...... 143, 416 Maciejewski, Mary Jo ...... 322 Marker, David ...... 78, 169, 217, 259, 440 Lu, Xuan...... 422 MacKenzie, Ellen ...... 151 Markiewicz, Shannon...... 52 Lu, Yan ...... 514 MacLehose, Richard ...... 497 Marler, Mathew R...... 443 Lu, Ying ...... 457, 504 MacLeod, Jamie ...... 154 Marquez, Pablo ...... 343 Lu, Yun ...... 235 MacNab, Ying ...... 148, 350 Marron, J. Stephen ...... 38, 355 Lu, Zeng-Hua ...... 507 Macones, George A...... 192 Marshall, Scott ...... 14 Luan, Xianqun ...... 67 Madans, Jennifer ...... 41, 179 Martin, Paul J...... 503 Lubitz, James ...... 278 Madigan, David ...... 124, 526 Martinez, Wendy ...... 451 Luca, Diana ...... 502 Madiman, Mokshay ...... 107 Martinez-Canales, Monica ...... 97 Lumley, Thomas ...... 185, 226 Madsen, Lisa ...... 112, 386 Martinez-Gomez, Elizabeth ...... 294

Salt Lake City 257 Index of Participants Name Session Name Session Name Session Martorell, Francisco ...... 316 McElroy, Tucker S...... 262, 407 Michels, Gerald ...... 343 Marusic, Suzana ...... 25 McFarlane, Shelly ...... 152 Michelson, Diane K...... 493 Maruyama, Nami...... 197 McGee, Monnie ...... 154 Michlin, Yefim H...... 203 Marzjarani, Morteza ...... 42, 68, 154 McGovern, Pamela D...... 41 Mieleitner, Johanna ...... 271 Mascha, Edward ...... 103 McHenry, M. Brent ...... 545 Mietlowski, William L...... 117 Maslova, Inga ...... 294 McKeague, Ian ...... 6 Miller, Arden ...... 204 Mason, Christopher J...... 380 McKean, Joseph W...... 135, 149, 150 Miller, Diane B...... 209 Mason, Robert L...... 343 McKenzie, John ...... 206, 436 Miller, Forrest ...... 325 Massam, Helene M...... 1 McKnight, Curtis C...... 294 Miller, Jacqueline ...... 74, 165, 214, 303, Massie, Tammy ...... 195, 376 McLaren, Craig H...... 262 319, 348, 436 Massie, Tristan ...... 195 McMenamin, Terence M...... 221 Miller, Keith ...... 424 Matejcik, Frank ...... 30 McMichael, Joseph ...... 125 Miller, Kerri ...... 428 Mateo, Zenaida F...... 545 McMillian, Michael ...... 223 Miller, Loren G...... 489 Mathaisel, Dennis ...... 424 McMullan, Trevor ...... 199 Miller, R. Alan ...... 413 Mathew, Thomas ...... 510 McMullen, Ed ...... 530 Miller, Stephen M...... 221, 474 Mathias, Jasmine ...... 154 McNally, Richard ...... 65 Milleville, Diane M...... 152 Mathur, Sunil ...... 110 McNeil, Don R...... 387 Millikan, Randall E...... 220 Matis, James...... 343 McNeil, Rebecca ...... 154 Mills, Katherine ...... 343 Matis, Timothy ...... 343 McRoberts, Ronald E...... 48 Min, Wanli ...... 144, 507 Matsuyama, Yutaka ...... 234, 284 McVey, Elaine A...... 154 Minami, Mihoko ...... 32 Matteson, David S...... 247 Mealli, Fabrizia ...... 113 Minard, Charles ...... 92 Matzke, Brett ...... 424 Mease, David ...... 98 Minev, Yordan ...... 504 Maurer, Willi ...... 270 Mee, Robert W...... 317, 422 Minhajuddin, Abu ...... 149 Mauromoustakos, Andy ...... 154 Meeker, William ...... 29, 203 Minin, Vladimir N...... 188, 313, 466 May, Susanne...... 466 Meekins, Brian ...... 114 Mira, Antonietta ...... 452 Mayo, Matthew ...... 209 Mehrotra, Devan V...... 15, 65, 199, 539 Miranda, Marie Lynn ...... 32, 148, 476 Mays, Mary ...... 515 Mehta, Cyrus ...... 418 Miron, Alexander...... 416 Mayton, Donna ...... 29 Mehta, Sumi ...... 291 Mischel, Paul ...... 154 Mazumdar, Madhu ...... 352 Mei, Yajun ...... 27 Mischke, Jennifer ...... 530 Mazumdar, Sati ...... 531 Meletiou-Mavrotheris, Maria ...... 385 Mishra, Kaushal ...... 498 Mburu, Peter ...... 150 Melnick, Ed ...... 262, 447 Mislevy, Robert ...... 114 McAllister, Andrea ...... 535 Meltzer, David ...... 429 Misra, Sanjog ...... 237 McAteer, R.T. James ...... 411 Mendell, Nancy ...... 343 Mitchell, Derek ...... 394 McAuliffe, Jon D...... 80, 177 Mendez, Guillermo ...... 514 Mitchell, Matthew ...... 544 McCabe, George P...... 47, 230 Menendez, Patricia ...... 512 Mitra, Amitava ...... 30 McCaffrey, Daniel ...... 19 Meng, Chen ...... 141 Mitra, Pranab K...... 423 McCandless, Lawrence ...... 173 Meng, Xiao-li ...... 58, 158, 227, 367 Mitra, Robin ...... 202 McCann, Melinda ...... 154 Meng, Zhaoling ...... 379 Mitra, Sinjini ...... 294, 516 McCarter, Kevin S...... 204 Menius, J. Alan ...... 464 M’lan, Cyr E...... 508 McCormick, Tyler H...... 390 Merl, Daniel ...... 421 Mnatsakanova, Anna ...... 209 McCormick, William P...... 339 Messer, Karen ...... 252, 284 Mnatsakanyan, Zaruhi R...... 318 McCulloch, Charles E...... 44, 182 Messner, Michael J...... 231 Mo, Min ...... 63 McCulloch, Robert ...... 4, 308 Meyer, Renate ...... 367 Mo, Qianxing ...... 313 McCune, Ennis ...... 205 Miao, Weiwen ...... 90 Moerbeek, Mirjam ...... 310, 519 McCune, Sandra L...... 205 Miao, Xiaopeng ...... 113 Mohadjer, Leyla ...... 70, 125 McDermott, Aidan ...... 33 Michailidis, George ...... 6, 29, 98, 136, Mohanty, Surya ...... 470, 539 McDonald, Jill ...... 515 166, 250, 339 Mohl, Chris ...... 293

258 JSM 2007 Index of Participants Name Session Name Session Name Session

Moisen, Gretchen G...... 48, 525 Mulrow, Jeri ...... 479 Nathan, Swami ...... 203 Molenberghs, Geert ...25, 85, 310, 430, 484 Mun, Jungwon ...... 377 Natsoulis, Georges ...... 223 Molina Cruz, Roberto ...... 547 Munagala, Kamesh ...... 321 Nazarenko, Irina ...... 154 Monahan, John F...... 423 Munasinghe, Wijith ...... 343 Neal, Cora ...... 290 Mongin, Steven ...... 503 Mundfrom, Daniel ...... 343 Neath, Andrew ...... 244 Monni, Stefano ...... 313 Munoz, Alvaro ...... 420 Nebebe, Fassil ...... 343 Monsell, Brian ...... 262 Munoz, Yolanda ...... 294 Neill, Daniel B...... 318 Montaquila, Jill M...... 36, 259, 428 Munsell, Mark F...... 277 Neill, James ...... 325 Montgomery, Douglas C...... 345, 487 Murdoch, Duncan ...... 375 Nelson, Dawn V...... 116 Montgomery, Robert ...... 115, 343 Murphy, Jeffrey ...... 329 Nelson, Dean ...... 546 Moon, Hojin ...... 537 Murphy, Susan ...... 144, 234 Nelson, Jennifer ...... 151, 209 Moonen, Francois ...... 134 Murphy, Teri J...... 294 Nelson, Kerrie ...... 106 Moons, Karel G...... 371 Murphy, Terrence ...... 515 Nelson, Larry A...... 47 Moore, Andrew W...... 318 Murray, Sharon ...... 343, 369 Nelson, Paul I...... 52, 343 Moore, Dirk ...... 33, 335 Musser, Bret ...... 430 Nelson, Teresa ...... 373 Moore, Johnnie N...... 32 Muthen, Bengt ...... 72, 153, 192 Nettleton, Dan ...... 283 Moore, Renee ...... 387 Myers, David ...... 316 Neuhaus, John...... 44, 182 Moore, William T...... 473 Myers, Kary ...... 494 Neuhauser, Claudia ...... 122 Mor, Maria ...... 374 Myers, Leann ...... 34 Nevalainen, Jaakko ...... 382 Morara, Michele ...... 291 Myers, Raymond H...... 222 Nevius, Anna ...... 363, 451 Morel, José ...... 448 Mykland, Per A...... 180, 407, 485 Newman, Anne ...... 278 Moreno, Jerry ...... 73, 268 Nadeau, Christian ...... 388 Newton, Lydia ...... 61 Morgan, Carolyn ...... 544 Nadina, Duran-Hutchings ...... 511 Ng, Brenda ...... 147 Morgan, Joseph ...... 282 Nadkarni, Nivedita ...... 196 Ng, Hon Keung (Tony) ...... 327 Morgan, Morris ...... 544 Nadolski, Jeremy ...... 343 Ng, Moh-Jee ...... 154 Moriarity, Chris ...... 343 Naftel, David ...... 235 Ng, Serena ...... 225, 431 Morrell, Christopher ...... 64, 387 Nagaraja, Chaitra ...... 20, 507 Ng, Tie-Hua ...... 25, 154, 470 Morris, Jeffrey S...... 313 Nagaraja, Haikady ...... 108 Ngo, Long H...... 291 Morton, Katherine ...... 125 Nagaraja, Jyothi...... 291 Nguyen, Thuan ...... 187 Moser, Carlee ...... 291 Nagin, Daniel ...... 397 Nguyen-Oghalai, Tracy ...... 477 Moura, Fernando ...... 501 Nair, K. Sreekumaran ...... 380 Ni, Shawn ...... 410 Mousavi, Shabnam ...... 113 Nair, Sheela ...... 478 Ni, Xiao ...... 464 Moye, Lemuel ...... 109 Najarian, Kayvan ...... 478 Ni, Xuelei ...... 107 Mueller, Peter ...... 238, 258, 467 Najarian, Kevin ...... 235, 323 Nichols, Elizabeth M...... 152 Mueller, Ursula ...... 496 Najjar, Samer S...... 387 Nickl, Richard...... 508 Mueller-Harknett, Ursula ...... 248 Nakamura, Kazuyuki ...... 512 Nickleach, Scott ...... 473 Mugglin, Andrew ...... 194 Nakonezny, Paul ...... 149 Nicolis, Orietta ...... 496 Mukherjee, Bhramar...... 326, 387 Nam, Jun-mo ...... 284, 503 Nie, Alex ...... 223 Mukherjee, Kanchan ...... 8 Nam, Seungmin ...... 88 Nie, Lei ...... 135 Mukherjee, Sayan ...... 57, 189 Nandram, Balgobin ...... 42, 178 Nielsen, Jason ...... 182 Mukhi, Vandana ...... 105 Nangia, Narinder ...... 156 Nielsen, Søren S...... 387 Mukhopadhyay, Jaydip ...... 508 Narayanan, Sridar ...... 20 Niewiadomska-Bugaj, Magdalena ...... 108 Mukhopadhyay, Pralay ...... 105 Nardi, Yuval ...... 191 Ning, Wei ...... 205 Mulcahy, Tim ...... 462 Nason, James ...... 360 Niu, Yue ...... 196 Mulekar, Madhuri S...... 343, 481 Natarajan, Jaya ...... 66, 274 Noe, Douglas ...... 472 Müller, Hans-Georg ...... 229, 473, 543 Natarajan, Kannan ...... 133 Nolan, Deborah ...... 522 Muller, Keith E...... 176, 335 Natarajan, Sundar ...... 151 Nolan, Vikki ...... 421

Salt Lake City 259 Index of Participants Name Session Name Session Name Session Nordman, Daniel ...... 174, 338 Oral, Evrim ...... 333 Papkov, Galen ...... 543 Nordmoe, Eric ...... 154 Oranje, Andreas ...... 209 Pardo, Leandro ...... 336 Norton, Harry ...... 254 Orellana, Liliana ...... 89 Parfionovas, Andrejus ...... 144 Norton, Jonathan ...... 505 Orkin, Michael ...... 53, 478 Park, Do-Hwan ...... 517 Norton, Julia ...... 294 Orlando, David ...... 313 Park, Grace ...... 62 Norton, Robert ...... 154 Oron, Assaf ...... 337 Park, Heon Jin ...... 135 Notz, William ...... 250, 433 Orris, James B...... 294 Park, Inho ...... 330 Novick, Steven J...... 370, 498 Ortega Azurduy, Shirley ...... 64 Park, Jeong-Gun ...... 284 Nugent, Rebecca ...... 249, 340 Ostarello, Andrew ...... 200, 478 Park, Jin-Hong ...... 17 Nunn, Martha E...... 25 Ostdiek, Barbara ...... 472 Park, Junyong ...... 189 Nunnery, Joni ...... 206 Osterlind, Steven J...... 547 Park, Taeyoung ...... 58, 97 Nussbaum, Barry D...... 231, 291 Ott, Melvin...... 28 Park, Trevor ...... 545 Nusser, Sarah M...... 207, 342 Otter, Thomas ...... 190, 237, 314 Parker, Mary ...... 21 Nychka, Douglas ...... 185, 321 Otto, Mark C...... 330 Parker, Robert...... 296 Nygaard, Staale ...... 343 Oudega, Ruud ...... 371 Parks, Daniel ...... 285 Obenchain, Robert ...... 269 Ouyang, Zhi ...... 147 Parmigiani, Giovanni ...... 357 Obenski, Sally ...... 239 OuYoung, Chih-Wen ...... 343 Parsons, Van ...... 179, 343 Oberg, Ann L...... 380 Owen, Art ...... 355 Parzen, Emanuel ...... 157 O’Brien, Corinne ...... 208 Owunwanne, Daniel ...... 200 Pastel, Mary ...... 329 O’Brien, John ...... 188 Ozaksoy, Isin ...... 502 Patak, Zdenek ...... 288 O’Brien, Liam M...... 206 Ozonoff, Al ...... 113 Patel, Dilip ...... 493 O’Brien, Ralph G...... 84, 254, 281 Ozturk, Omer ...... 52, 499 Patel, Nitin ...... 14 Obsorne, Jason ...... 102 Paben, Steven P...... 288, 389 Patel, Vishal ...... 234 Ochs, Robert ...... 534 Paddock, Susan ...... 19 Patil, Ganapati P...... 454 O’Colmain, Benita ...... 152 Padilla, Miguel ...... 502 Pattaro, Cristian ...... 357 O’Connell, Michael ...... 132, 456 Pagano, Marcello ...... 402, 505 Patterson, Angie ...... 162 Ogawa, Sachio...... 16 Pahwa, Punam ...... 64, 477, 514 Patterson, Paul ...... 29 Ogden, R. Todd ...... 463, 494 Pai, Jeffrey ...... 275 Patterson, Scott ...... 274, 521 Oh, Cheongeun ...... 332 Paik Schoenberg, Frederic ...... 386 Paul, Rajib ...... 291 Oh, Sungun ...... 294 Paik, Min Hui ...... 35 Paul, Sofia ...... 469 Ohashi, Yasuo ...... 234 Pajukanta, Paivi ...... 502 Paulo, Rui ...... 532 Ohyama, Tetsuji ...... 244 Paksashvili, Temur ...... 342 Paulus, Harold E...... 62 Oja, Hannu...... 382 Palm, Franz ...... 88 Pavlicova, Martina ...... 463, 494 Okafor, Raymond ...... 513, 542 Palmateer, Julia ...... 343 Peace, Karl ...... 538 Okamoto, Akiko ...... 470 Pals, Sherri L...... 324 Pearl, Dennis K...... 50, 141 Olbricht, Gayla R...... 230 Palta, Mari ...... 151, 363 Pearl, Judea ...... 265 Olds, Rolanda ...... 33 Pan, Jen-Nan...... 343 Pearson, Alexander ...... 60 Olsen, Joseph ...... 114 Pan, Jianxin ...... 44 Pearson, Ronald ...... 471 Olshansky, S. Jay ...... 393 Pan, Lan ...... 323, 495 Peck, Roxy ...... 319 Olson, Kristen ...... 293, 414 Pan, Qing ...... 92 Pedigo, Steven W...... 394 O’Malley, Alistair J...... 293 Pan, Wei ...... 23, 283 Pedlow, Steven ...... 253, 341 O’Malley, Meghan ...... 428 Pan, Wei ...... 68, 510 Pedroza, Claudia...... 202 Ombao, Hernando C...... 524 Pan, Xueliang ...... 141 Peduzzi, Peter ...... 331 O’Muircheartaigh, Colm ...... 125 Panageas, Katherine ...... 148 Pellas, Theodore C...... 117 Onar, Arzu ...... 422 Pang, Christianne ...... 479 Pelletier, Bruno ...... 108 Opara, Athanasius ...... 513 Paninski, Liam ...... 534 Pemberton, Michael ...... 115 Opsomer, Jean ...... 72, 207, 252 Pantula, Sastry...... 146 Pena, Edsel A...... 95, 243

260 JSM 2007 Index of Participants Name Session Name Session Name Session

Pencina, Michael J...... 371, 480 Pillai, Natesh ...... 57 Preston, Dale ...... 233 Pendleton, Audrey ...... 316 Pineau, Vicki ...... 479 Preston, Richard ...... 537 Peng, Hanxiang ...... 538, 540 Pinheiro, Jose ...... 176 Prewitt, Kathryn ...... 204 Peng, Jie ...... 111 Piryatinska, Alexandra ...... 154 Priebe, Carey E...... 251 Peng, Jie ...... 56, 187, 236 Pitcock, Jeffrey A...... 209 Prisley, Stephen ...... 529 Peng, Jyh-Ying ...... 262, 494 Pitman, E. Bruce ...... 271 Pritchett, Yili ...... 198 Peng, Lei ...... 273 Pitman, Jim...... 211 Proust-Lima, Cecile ...... 104 Peng, Limin ...... 480 Pivetz, Tim ...... 291 Provost, Serge ...... 108 Peng, Roger ...... 5, 33 Plaisier, Christopher ...... 502 Prucka, William ...... 201 Peng, Yingwei ...... 15 Platt, Jerry ...... 294 Pu, Wenji ...... 530 Pennell, Michael ...... 19 Platt, Robert W...... 376 Puggioni, Gavino ...... 294, 321 Pennington, Robin A...... 448 Plewes, Thomas J...... 364 Pullenayegum, Eleanor ...... 254 Penzer, Jeremy ...... 146 Plikaytis, Brian D...... 113 Pulsipher, Brent ...... 424 Pepe, Margaret ...... 92, 371, 504, 528 Plon, Sharon ...... 333 Punjabi, Naresh ...... 359 Pereda, Peggy...... 323, 458, 530 Pocernich, Matthew ...... 482 Puri, Madan ...... 375 Perera, Timothy ...... 506 Pokta, Suriani ...... 145 Purkayastha, D. Das ...... 199 Perevozskaya, Inna ...... 37 Polansky, Alan ...... 149, 338 Putcha, Lakshmi ...... 471 Perez, Maria E...... 232 Polhemus, Neil ...... 68 Putt, Mary ...... 409 Pericchi, Luis R...... 232, 399, 461 Politis, Dimitris ...... 338 Qaqish, Bahjat ...... 44 Perrett, Jamis ...... 206, 343 Polivka, Anne E...... 221 Qi, Yongcheng ...... 136 Perrin, Olivier ...... 185 Pollack, J. Dennis ...... 141 Qian, Hui-Rong ...... 506 Pershing, Andrew ...... 512 Pollak, Edward ...... 505 Qian, Jiahe ...... 31, 547 Peruggia, Mario ...... 237 Pollard, David ...... 261 Qian, Lei...... 58 Perumean-Chaney, Suzanne ...... 500 Pollard, William ...... 477 Qian, Zhiguang ...... 422 Peterson, Alan ...... 207 Polley, Mei-Yin C...... 220 Qin, Gengsheng ...... 377, 504 Peterson, Bradley G...... 322 Pollock, Ken ...... 266 Qin, Jing ...... 243, 327, 417 Peterson, Derick R...... 60 Polonik, Wolfang ...... 343 Qin, Li ...... 193 Peterson, John ...... 222, 370, 378, 392 Polson, Nicholas ...... 460 Qin, Rui ...... 503 Peterson, Kimberly ...... 535 Pomp, Daniel ...... 502 Qin, Yingli ...... 27 Petkova, Eva ...... 197 Ponisciak, Stephen ...... 72 Qiu, Dingxi...... 425 Petrie, Adam ...... 340 Poor, Vincent ...... 508 Qiu, Jing ...... 336, 459 Petroski, Gregory ...... 547 Poppleton, Landon ...... 31, 390 Qiu, Junshan ...... 383 Petty, Judith ...... 12 Porter, Jane B...... 482 Qiu, Peihua ...... 15 Petty, Karl...... 250 Portier, Kenneth ...... 341 Qiu, Xing ...... 143 Peytchev, Andy ...... 414 Portnoy, Stephen ...... 128, 398 Qu, Annie ...... 44 Peytcheva, Emilia ...... 414 Portugal, Susan ...... 378 Qu, Leming ...... 472 Pfeffermann, Danny ...... 501 Posner, Michael ...... 208 Qu, Xianggui ...... 284 Pflaumer, Peter ...... 116 Potter, Frank J...... 101, 390, 513 Qu, Yongming ...... 469, 549 Phalp, Tyson T...... 510 Powaga, Ken ...... 279 Quackenboss, James ...... 259 Phelps, Amy ...... 303, 465 Pratola, Matthew ...... 282 Quan, Hui ...... 105, 119 Phillips, Robert ...... 148 Pratt, Kenneth W...... 204 Quasem, Mohammad ...... 200 Phoa, Kin Hing (Frederick) ...... 280 Pregibon, Daryl ...... 181, 423 Que, Quick ...... 154 Piegorsch, Walter W...... 128, 163 Preisser, John ...... 44 Quinlan, Michelle ...... 25 Piepel, Greg ...... 300, 422 Prentice, Ross L...... 420 Quiton, Jonathan ...... 95 Pieper, Carl F...... 11, 46 Preplyshev, Andrey ...... 280 Radchenko, Peter ...... 307 Piesse, Andrea R...... 264 Presnell, Brett ...... 376 Raessler, Susanne ...... 474 Pigeon, Joseph G...... 199, 282 Presser, Stanley ...... 207 Raftery, Adrian E...... 190, 390

Salt Lake City 261 Index of Participants Name Session Name Session Name Session Raghavan , Nandini ...... 223 Reeves, Robert ...... 514 Robinson Gilbert, Kim ...... 319 Raghavarao, Damaraju ...... 201 Regenbogen, Scott ...... 151, 294 Robinson, J. Gregory ...... 368 Raghunathan, Trivellore E...... 35, 264, Reich, Brian ...... 112, 138, 291 Robinson, Peter M...... 8 365, 414, 501 Reich, Daniel S...... 201 Robinson, Timothy J...... 222 Raglin, David ...... 207 Reichert, Peter ...... 271, 532 Rocha, Guilherme V...... 446 Rahbar, Mohammad ...... 289 Reid, Nancy ...... 228, 363, 423 Rocha, Luis ...... 328 Rahman, M. Mahbubur ...... 336 Reilly, Cavan ...... 59, 380, 421 Rochester, George ...... 154 Rahman, S. M. Mahbubur ...... 544 Reilly, James ...... 389 Rocke, David ...... 143, 285, 506 Rajaram, Misha L...... 466 Reis, Ben Y...... 318 Rockwood, Todd ...... 239 Rajaratnam, Bala ...... 1 Reiter, Jerome P...... 82, 191, 202, 365 Rodgers, Crystal ...... 231 Rajicic, Natasa ...... 10 Remsburg, Robin...... 288 Rodriguez, Abel ...... 20, 97 Rajput, Adil ...... 68 Ren, Haobo ...... 523 Rodriguez, Robert ...... 433 Ralph, Sue ...... 72 Renfro, Lindsay ...... 294 Rodríguez, Rolando ...... 82 Ramachandran, Kandethody ...... 548 Reponen, Tiina ...... 33 Rodriguez-Yam, Gabriel ...... 8 Ramamoorthi, R. V...... 332 Resnick, Dean M...... 239 Rodriguez-Zas, Sandra ...... 63, 102, 154 Ramaswamy, Ratna ...... 65 Retzer, Joseph J...... 237 Roe, Matthew ...... 329 Ramler, Ivan ...... 340 Reyner, Daniel ...... 379, 471, 548 Roeder, Kathryn ...... 502 Ramsey, Katrina ...... 79 Rezazad, Hadi ...... 384 Roethig, Hans ...... 154 Rana, Asad ...... 154 Rice, Janet ...... 209 Rogatko, André ...... 66, 467 Randall, Bryan ...... 495 Rice, John ...... 45 Rogers, James P...... 150 Randles, Ronald ...... 149 Rice, Kenneth ...... 232, 477 Roland, Christophe ...... 205 Randolph, Timothy ...... 87 Richards, Thomas J...... 143 Rolka, Henry ...... 447 Rao, J. N. K...... 70, 224, 330 Richards, Winston A...... 218 Rong, Alan...... 419 Rao, Marepalli B...... 198, 292, 536 Richardson, Joseph ...... 209 Roopnarine, Peter ...... 294 Rao, Raj ...... 107 Richardson, Peter ...... 374 Roozeboom, Michelle ...... 343 Rao, Youlan ...... 285 Richardson, Thomas ...... 292 Rope, Daniel ...... 132 Raphael, Martin G...... 266 Richman, Michael ...... 294 Rose, Charles E...... 113, 209 Rappard, Fred ...... 208 Richter, Scott ...... 154 Rosen, Adam ...... 225 Rappold, Ana ...... 410, 450 Riggs, Kent ...... 510 Rosen, Mitchell ...... 379 Rashid, M. Mushfiqur ...... 149 Ripley, Brian D...... 292 Rosen, Ori ...... 22 Rasp, John ...... 343 Ritchie, Kim ...... 500 Rosenbaum, Janet ...... 148 Rässler, Susanne ...... 35 Ritov, Yaacov ...... 139 Rosenbaum, Paul ...... 289, 397 Ratcliffe, Sarah ...... 192, 515 Ritter, Marcie W...... 49 Rosenberg, Philip S...... 503 Rath, Mousumi ...... 154 Ritter, Matthew ...... 175 Rosenberger, James L...... 63, 208, 476 Ratner, Michael ...... 367 Rivers, Douglas ...... 455 Rosenberger, William ...... 280 Raudenbush, Stephen ...... 72 Rizzo, Maria L...... 549 Rosenthall, Jorge ...... 209 Ravishanker, Nalini ...... 275, 286, 508 Rizzo, Matthew ...... 540 Roskelley, Kenneth ...... 473 Ray, Bonnie ...... 507 Roayaei, Jean ...... 102 Rosner, Bernard ...... 536 Ray, Rose ...... 53 Robbins, Joyce ...... 546 Rosner, Gary ...... 467 Ray, Surajit ...... 461 Robbins, Naomi ...... 219, 546 Ross, Arun ...... 516 Reagan, Patricia ...... 479 Robert, Christian P...... 452 Ross, James G...... 36 Recta, Virginia ...... 476 Roberts, Clint ...... 13 Ross, N. Phillip ...... 233, 454 Redden, David T...... 502 Roberts, Henry ...... 341 Ross, Zev ...... 112 Redelings, Benjamin...... 188 Roberts, Leslie ...... 441, 443 Rosset, Saharon ...... 446 Reeder, Dawn ...... 343 Robertson, Stephen ...... 54 Rossi, Barbara ...... 360 Reese, C. Shane ...... 11, 391, 450 Robins, Garry ...... 492 Rossman, Allan ...... 171, 406 Reeves, Denise ...... 251 Robins, James ...... 10, 89, 439 Rotenstreich, Shmuel ...... 68

262 JSM 2007 Index of Participants Name Session Name Session Name Session

Roth, Arthur ...... 15, 65 Said, Yasmin H...... 28, 68, 150, 181, 230, Schaffer, Jay ...... 343 Roth, Jeffrey ...... 515 267, 384, 402, 492, 535 Schar, Bryan G...... 546 Rothman, Edward D...... 493 Sain, Stephan ...... 185, 321, 401 Scharfstein, Daniel ...... 151 Rothman, Kenneth J...... 173 Salam, Abdul ...... 549 Schaubel, Douglas ...... 92, 95, 480 Rotnitzky, Andrea ...... 89, 151 Salganik, Matthew J...... 390 Scheidt, Peter C...... 259 Rotondo, John ...... 36 Salibián-Barrera, Matías ...... 333 Schell, Michael ...... 77, 155, 272 Rotz, Wendy ...... 440 Salmon, Andrew G...... 525 Schenerman, Mark ...... 537 Rouder, Jeffrey ...... 410 Salsberry, Pamela ...... 479 Schenker, Nathaniel ...... 35, 227, 278 Rouzine, Igor ...... 415 Salvo, Joseph ...... 131 Schervish, Mark J...... 244 Röver, Christian ...... 367 Samaranayake, V. A...... 73, 209, 212, 265 Scheuermann, Richard ...... 154 Rowe, Daniel ...... 322, 494 Samawi, Hani ...... 52 Scheuren, Fritz ...... 84, 230, 342, 368, 443 Rowell, Ginger Holmes ...... 319 Samet, Jonathan ...... 33 Scheurer, Michael ...... 548 Roy, Anindya ...... 287, 310, 338 Sammel, Mary D...... 192 Schick, Anton ...... 186, 496 Roy, Anuradha ...... 111 Sampson, Allan ...... 377 Schield, Marshall ...... 140 Roy, Jason...... 19, 332, 444 Samuels, Steven J...... 480 Schield, Milo ...... 140 Roy, Soma ...... 250 Sanchez, Brisa ...... 192 Schindler, Jerald S...... 130 Roychoudhury, Satrajit ...... 508 Sanchez, Juana ...... 294, 465 Schipper, Matthew ...... 417 Rozet, Eric ...... 93 Sanchez, Maria M...... 198 Schlatt, Michael ...... 291 Ruan, Shiling ...... 190 Sandell, Julia ...... 411 Schleicher, Keith ...... 77 Ruberg, Stephen ...... 366 Sanders-Reed, Carol ...... 326 Schliekelman, Paul ...... 154 Rubin, Donald B...... 9, 82, 113, 265, 397 Sang, Huiyan ...... 386 Schmidt, Alexandra...... 410 Rubinshtein, Evgenia ...... 150 Sangster, Roberta ...... 13, 61, 405 Schmitt, Ketra ...... 244 Ruczinski, Ingo...... 357 Sankoh, Abdul...... 94 Schmitt, Thomas...... 209 Rudser, Kyle ...... 503 Sanso, Bruno ...... 532 Schneeweiss, Sebastian ...... 173 Ruiz, Ramiro ...... 410 Santana, Alison ...... 285, 506 Schneider, Michael ...... 420 Ruiz, Roberta J...... 333 Santner, Thomas ...... 250, 291, 497, 532 Schoenfeld, David A...... 10 Ruiz-Quintanilla, S. Antonio...... 221 Santos, Robert ...... 455 Schofield, Timothy ...... 134 Rukhin, Andrew ...... 139 Saravanan, Ramalingam ...... 185 Schonlau, Matthias ...... 208, 293 Rullkoetter, Paul ...... 329 Sargent, Daniel J...... 484, 488 Schooley, Robert L...... 326 Rumcheva, Pavlina ...... 376 Sargent, James ...... 144 Schootman, Mario ...... 137 Ruppert, David ...... 109, 118, 359, 543 Sarkar, Sanat ...... 27, 539 Schork, Nicholas J...... 332 Russek-Cohen, Estelle...... 329, 528 Sartori, Nicola ...... 228 Schou, Sue ...... 500 Russell, J. Neil ...... 462, 514 Sashegyi, Andreas ...... 334, 538 Schrag, Deborah ...... 148 Russell, Louise B...... 148 Sass, Marcia M...... 294 Schucany, William R...... 463 Rust, Keith ...... 330, 427 Sathe, Neeraja ...... 70 Schuckers, Michael...... 504, 516 Rutter, Michael ...... 69 Sattar, M. Abdus ...... 104 Schur, Peter ...... 209 Ryan, Louise ...... 259 Satten, Glen ...... 245 Schwab, David ...... 18 Rybolt, William ...... 206 Sauer, John R...... 330 Schwartz, Elissa ...... 415 Rytina, Nancy F...... 116 Saunders, Christopher ...... 154, 294 Schwenke, James ...... 25, 93 Rzhetsky, Andrey ...... 81 Saville, Benjamin ...... 286 Scotland, Leman ...... 460 Saavedra, Pedro J...... 36, 152 Sawrie, David ...... 281 Scott, Alastair J...... 520 Sacks, Jerry ...... 532 Sawyerr, Gosford ...... 194, 323 Scott, David W...... 139, 181, 437, 543 Sadek, Ramses ...... 324 Scanlan, James P...... 213 Scott, James ...... 287 Saha, Krishna...... 377 Scarinzi, Cecilia ...... 383 Scott, Jessica M...... 546 Saha, Sourish ...... 67 Schaalje, G. Bruce ...... 50 Scott, Sean ...... 206 Sahu, Sujit ...... 410 Schabenberger, Oliver ...... 176 Scott, Steven L...... 361 Schafer, Chad ...... 45 Scott, Stuart ...... 262, 343

Salt Lake City 263 Index of Participants Name Session Name Session Name Session Seaman, Jr., John W...... 154, 337 Sharma, Dhruv ...... 96 Shin, Dong-Guk ...... 497 Seastrom, Marilyn ...... 41, 462 Sharma, I...... 209 Shin, Hee-Choon ...... 341 Seaver, William ...... 465 Sharp, John T...... 62 Shin, Hyejin ...... 508 Sebastiani, Paola ...... 286, 421 Shatirishvili, Mamuka ...... 342 Shin, Sangwoo ...... 237 Sedransk, Joe ...... 337 Shaw, Kate M...... 209 Shine, James ...... 150, 545 See, Kyoungah ...... 51 Shaw, Pamela A...... 420 Shipp, Stephanie ...... 428 Seekins, Daniel ...... 470 Shaw, Souradet ...... 477 Shirley, Kenneth ...... 135, 234 Seeley, Cathy ...... 268 Shay, David K...... 34, 113 Shiu, Shang-Ying ...... 340 Seffens, William ...... 416 Shayib, Mohammed A...... 423 Shkedy, Ziv ...... 506 Sego, Landon ...... 424, 434 Sheather, Simon ...... 251, 267 Shock, Scott S...... 343 Segreti, Anthony ...... 419 Shedden, Kerby ...... 6, 356 Shore, Felice ...... 385 Seguy, Nicole ...... 324 Shekhar, Shashi ...... 150 Short, Margaret ...... 476 Seier, Edith...... 511 Shelley, Mack ...... 72 Short, Thomas H...... 126 Seillier-Moiseiwitsch, Francoise .....272, 285 Shen, Changyu ...... 209 Shoung, Jyh-Ming ...... 93 Sekhon, Jasjeet ...... 72 Shen, Haige ...... 421 Shulman, Holly ...... 152 Sekiguchi, Risa ...... 16 Shen, Haipeng ...... 38 Shulman, Stanley ...... 424 Sen, Amit ...... 146, 473 Shen, Hui ...... 356 Shults, Justine ...... 423 Sen, Bodhisattva ...... 336 Shen, Jing ...... 67 Shum, Kenny ...... 28 Sen, Pranab K...... 508, 531 Shen, Larry Z...... 378 Shwartz, Larisa ...... 205, 250 Sen, Rituparna ...... 407 Shen, Pao-S ...... 251 Shyr, Yu ...... 201 Senior, Peter ...... 549 Shen, Ronglai ...... 20 Siddani, Ravi ...... 512 Senoglue, Bridal ...... 26 Shen, Xiaotong...... 187, 283, 446, 526 Sieber, William K...... 209, 424 Senturk-Doganaksoy, Deniz ...... 200, 425 Shen, Yu ...... 209, 488 Siegel, Andrew ...... 472 Seong, Byeongchan ...... 88 Sheng, Shan L...... 64 Siegmund, David ...... 43 Seong, Young J...... 403 Sheng, Xiaoming ...... 193, 351 Signorovitch, James ...... 102 Serfling, Robert ...... 139, 504 Shentu, Yue ...... 151 Silberstein, Adam ...... 321 Serre, Marc...... 343 Shepherd, Bryan ...... 469 Silva, Romesh ...... 116 Sethuraman, Venkat ...... 274 Sheppard, David ...... 448 Silverman, Bernard W...... 118, 307, 358 Setodji, Messan C...... 17, 316, 381 Sheppard, Elizabeth A...... 5 Sima, Camelia ...... 148 Sha, Naijun ...... 96 Sheriff, Steve ...... 266 Simas, Tiago ...... 328 Shaffer, Jeffrey...... 510 Sherman, Michael ...... 174, 263, 338 Simmons, Susan ...... 163, 213 Shaffer, John ...... 468 Sherrill, Beth ...... 426 Simon, Stephen D...... 154 Shaffer, Michele ...... 245, 376 Shete, Sanjay ...... 292, 536 Simpson, Douglas ...... 197 Shah, Arvind K...... 246 Shetty, Veena ...... 387 Singh, Harshinder ...... 154 Shalizi, Cosma ...... 13 Shi, Di ...... 209 Singh, Jagbir ...... 197 Shang, Junfeng ...... 287 Shi, Jianjun ...... 190 Singhal, Harsh ...... 250 Shang, Nong ...... 34 Shi, Jiaxiao ...... 539 Singpurwalla, Nozer D...... 478, 492 Shang, Zhe ...... 65 Shi, Qian ...... 202, 484 Sinha, Debajyoti ...... 294, 332, 545 Shannon, William ...... 505 Shi, Tao ...... 321, 386, 401 Sinharay, Sandip ...... 547 Shao, Jun ...... 198, 479 Shi, Xin ...... 72 Sinsheimer, Janet ...... 502 Shao, Qin ...... 407 Shi, Ying ...... 203 Sirken, Monroe ...... 389 Shao, Xiaofeng ...... 275, 524 Shih, Alex...... 495 Sitter, Randy R...... 309 Shao, Yongzhao ...... 105, 416 Shih, Joanna H...... 400, 469 Sivo, Stephen ...... 510 Shapiro, Gary ...... 330 Shih, Mei-Chiung ...... 220 Skalland, Benjamin ...... 115, 343 Shapiro, Irwin...... 367 Shih, Weichung J...... 119, 335 Skerrette, Nyasha ...... 209 Shapiro, James A.M...... 549 Shim, Heejung ...... 141 Slate, Elizabeth H...... 87 Sharabati, Walid ...... 384 Shimizu, Iris ...... 288, 388, 389 Slaven, James ...... 209

264 JSM 2007 Index of Participants Name Session Name Session Name Session

Slavkovic, Aleksandra ...... 191, 248 Song, Rui ...... 6 Steinwart, Ingo ...... 398 Slee, April ...... 477 Song, Ruiguang ...... 324 Stephens, Matthew ...... 154 Sloan, Elizabeth ...... 291 Song, Seongho ...... 509 Stephens, Torrance T...... 324 Sloan, Kevin L...... 374 Song, Weixing ...... 110, 496 Stern, Hal ...... 69, 171 Slotwiner, Daniel ...... 455 Song, Yang ...... 334 Stern, Sharon ...... 221 Small, Dylan ...... 135, 234, 444 Song, Yong ...... 386 Sternberg, Maya ...... 341 Small, Mitchell ...... 244 Soon, Guoxing ...... 3 Stets, Laura ...... 195 Smeraglia, John ...... 154 Soong, Seng-jaw ...... 245, 294, 383 Stettler, Nicolas ...... 227 Smith, Brandon...... 63 Sorock, Gary S...... 426 Stevens, John R...... 27 Smith, Brian ...... 274 Soulakova, Julia ...... 377 Stevens, John W...... 521 Smith, Brian E...... 385 Southey, Bruce ...... 63, 102, 154 Stevens, Jr., Don L...... 48 Smith, Charles ...... 245 Spackman, Matthew P...... 549 Stewart, Susan L...... 148, 519 Smith, Che...... 343 Speckman, Paul ...... 1, 410 Stine, Robert ...... 27 Smith, Eric P...... 266, 529 Speed, F. Michael ...... 500 Stockdale, Gregory ...... 378 Smith, Lee Ann ...... 343 Speed, Terence ...... 120, 154 Stockton, Tom ...... 231 Smith, Leonard ...... 271 Spence, Jeffrey ...... 463 Stoev, Stilian...... 136, 339 Smith, Michael ...... 14 Spencer, Bruce D...... 90 Stokes, S. Lynne ...... 209, 343, 499 Smith, Michael S...... 38 Spencer, Katie ...... 379 Stokes-Riner, Abbie ...... 332 Smith, Philip J...... 515 Spiegelman, Donna ...... 33 Stone, Mischelle T...... 500 Smith, Phillip ...... 115, 343 Springer, Glenn ...... 115 Stone, Roslyn A...... 374 Smith, Richard L...... 5, 276 Srebro, Nathan ...... 446 Stoner, Julie A...... 67 Smith, Ruben ...... 515 Srivastata, Anuj ...... 150 Stoner, Michael ...... 154 Smith, Steven G...... 503, 512 Srivastav, Sudesh ...... 510 Stoner, Sarah ...... 254 Smith, Tyra D...... 394 Srivastava, Muni S...... 283 Stoney, Catherine M...... 67 Smith, Woollcott ...... 197, 199 Sroka, Chris ...... 52 Stork, LeAnna G...... 64 Smyth, Gordon ...... 459 St Laurent, Roy ...... 154 Story, Michael ...... 63 Smyth, Jolene ...... 61 Stager, Bill ...... 470 Stovring, Henrik ...... 535 Snapinn, Steven ...... 419, 445 Stamey, James ...... 337 Straetemans, Roel ...... 25 Snead, David ...... 273, 458 Stancu, Alexander ...... 383 Stram, Daniel ...... 33, 233 Snidero, Silvia ...... 383 Stangl, Dalene ...... 194 Strassburger, Klaus...... 539 Sninsky, John ...... 528 Starbuck, Robert ...... 2, 42 Strauss, Warren ...... 291 Snow, Gregory L...... 290 Starsinic, Michael ...... 99 Street, Debra A...... 549 Snowdon, David ...... 154 Stasny, Elizabeth A...... 13, 52, 479, 499 Strobl, Carolin ...... 251 Sobek, Matthew ...... 159 Staudenmayer, John ...... 193 Strom, Sara ...... 548 Sobel, Marc ...... 413 Stave, Channing ...... 208 Stromberg, Arnold ...... 154 Solenberger, Peter ...... 513 Stayton, Catherine ...... 113 Strome, Erin ...... 333 Solka, Jeffrey ...... 438, 451 Steel, Mark F.J...... 381 Stroud, Jonathan ...... 38 Solomon, Daniel H...... 62 Steele, Brian ...... 249 Stroup, Donna ...... 33 Solomon, Scott...... 226 Steele, Russell ...... 20 Stroup, Walt ...... 25 Solonen, Antti ...... 452 Stefanski, Leonard A...... 257, 377, 527 Strudler, Michael ...... 71 Somers, Kay ...... 140 Steffey, Duane ...... 53, 200, 269, 525 Stuart, Elizabeth A...... 316, 397 Song, Aijun ...... 235 Stein, Michael ...... 18, 185, 263 Stuetzle, Werner ...... 340 Song, Chwan-Chin ...... 509 Steinberg, Barry ...... 35 Stufken, John ...... 409 Song, Hae-Ryoung ...... 185 Steinberg, David ...... 100 Stull, Jason ...... 291 Song, Jingli...... 285, 538 Steinberg, Martin ...... 421 Stürmer, Til ...... 62, 151, 173 Song, Kijoung ...... 285 Steiner, Elizabeth ...... 462 Su, Li ...... 387 Song, Kyunghee ...... 329 Steinley, Douglas ...... 492 Su, Pei-Fang ...... 289

Salt Lake City 265 Index of Participants Name Session Name Session Name Session Su, Steve Yu Shuo ...... 383 Swinford, Steven...... 61 Tarpey, Thaddeus ...... 197 Su, Yuhua ...... 143 Swirszcz, Grzegorz ...... 446 Tarricone, Celeste ...... 342 Subedi, Dipendra ...... 381 Switzer, Paul ...... 5, 55, 185 Tarter, Michael E...... 525 Subramaniam, Ganesh ...... 146 Symanowski, James ...... 469 Tarwater, Patrick ...... 254 Suchard, Marc A...... 59, 141, 188, 313, Symanski, Elaine ...... 33 Tasdan, Feridun ...... 149 415, 466 Symanzik, Juergen ...... 505 Tassone, Eric ...... 476 Sudjianto, Agus ...... 249, 250, 478 Symmons, Deborah P.M...... 62 Taylor, Alan M...... 27 Suen, Chung-yi ...... 108 Szarek, Michael ...... 243 Taylor, Jeremy ...... 15, 20, 104, 417, 453 Suess, Eric ...... 294 Szatmari-Voicu, Daniela ...... 336 Taylor, Jonathan E...... 449 Sugano, Adam ...... 69 Szewczyk, William F...... 181, 492 Taylor, Veronica ...... 156 Sukasih, Amang S...... 342 Szurek, Joe ...... 546 Tchetcherina, Natalia...... 63 Sullivan, Joe ...... 403, 544 Szychowski, Jeff M...... 540 Tchumtchoua, Sylvie ...... 237 Sullivan, Lisa M...... 183 Taam, Winson ...... 282 Tebbs, Joshua M...... 67 Summitt, Carol ...... 195 Taddy, Matthew ...... 97, 398, 532 Tegge, Allison ...... 154 Sun, Dongchu 137, 266, 410, 459, 461, 518 Tadesse, Mahlet G...... 96, 313 Telesca, Donatello ...... 59, 328 Sun, Guowen (Gordon) ...... 119 Tai, Feng ...... 23 Temple Lang, Duncan ...... 312, 522 Sun, Jianguo ...... 10, 426, 517 Takahashi, Fumiaki ...... 51, 197, 270 Tenhave, Thomas R...... 192, 234, 531 Sun, Jiayang ...... 251, 337, 491 Takeuchi, Masahiro ...... 16, 51, 197, 270 Teranishi, Sachiko ...... 233 Sun, Junfeng ...... 489 Talih, Makram...... 328 Terry, Robert ...... 294 Sun, Kang ...... 531 Talloen, Willem ...... 506 Terryn, Benedicte ...... 501 Sun, Min ...... 209 Tam, Mike ...... 153 Tersine, Anthony ...... 99 Sun, Ning ...... 81, 283 Tambay, Jean-Louis ...... 330 Tersine, Jr., Anthony ...... 99 Sun, Peng ...... 22, 109 Tamer, Elie ...... 225 Tezek, Zivana ...... 329 Sun, Shumei ...... 426 Tamhane, Ajit ...... 425, 539 Thabane, Lehana ...... 254 Sun, Shuxia...... 339 Tan, Alai ...... 333 Thach, Thuan Q...... 291 Sun, Wei ...... 325 Tan, Frans ...... 64 Thall, Peter F...... 14, 37, 220, 467 Sun, Wenguang ...... 380 Tan, Ming T...... 370 Thamer, Mae ...... 248 Sun, Xiaoqian ...... 266, 476 Tan, Xianming ...... 31 Thas, Olivier ...... 327 Sun, Yanqing ...... 248 Tan, Zhiqiang ...... 151 Theobald, Chris ...... 383 Sun, Zhiping ...... 105 Tanaka, Sachiko ...... 284 Therneau, Terry M...... 246, 380, 468 Sundaram, Rajeshwari ...... 103, 248 Tanaka, Shiro ...... 234, 284 Thesia, Garner ...... 35 Sutherland, Jason M...... 85 Tanaka, Yoko ...... 16, 51 Theuns, Peter ...... 208 Svendsgaard, David ...... 383 Tancredi, Daniel ...... 480 Theus, Martin ...... 242 Sverdlov, Lev ...... 249 Tang, Cheng Yong ...... 479 Thiagarajah, Ranee ...... 203 Sverdlov, Serge ...... 294 Tang, En-Tzu ...... 70 Thibaudeau, Yves ...... 479 Swabb, Edward ...... 11 Tang, Gong ...... 333, 374, 549 Thomas, D. Roland ...... 178 Swamy, Geeta ...... 148 Tang, Liansheng ...... 100 Thomas, Duncan C...... 536 Swamy, M. N. S...... 544 Tang, Lingqi ...... 209 Thompson, Bruce ...... 143 Swanson, David ...... 35 Tang, Weihua ...... 244 Thompson, Elizabeth ...... 502 Swanson, David A...... 131, 255 Tang, Weihua ...... 449 Thompson, John ...... 99 Swartz, Kenneth ...... 413 Tang, Yongqiang ...... 287 Thompson, Kevin ...... 154 Swartz, Michael D...... 87 Tang, Yuhong ...... 154 Thompson, Laura ...... 194, 273 Swatt, Marc L...... 255 Tang, Yuxiao ...... 24 Thompson, Mary E...... 84 Swayne, Deborah ...... 215, 546 Tang, Zhongwen ...... 209 Thompson, Sarah ...... 148 Swern, Arlene ...... 538 Tannir, Nizar M...... 220 Thompson, Steve K...... 208 Swihart, Bruce ...... 359 Tanur, Judith M...... 123 Thompson, Theodore J...... 28, 148 Swiler, Laura ...... 532 Tarima, Sergey ...... 106 Thompson, Wesley ...... 531

266 JSM 2007 Index of Participants Name Session Name Session Name Session

Thompson, William W...... 34, 113 Truxillo, Catherine ...... 329 Valdez-Jasso, Zibonele ...... 154 Thorderson, Larry ...... 246 Tsai, Chen-An ...... 154 Valliant, Richard ...... 252, 342 Thorleifsson, Gudmar ...... 536 Tsai, Chih-Ling ...... 362 Van Acker, Frederik ...... 208 Thostenson, Jeff ...... 294 Tsai, Kao-Tai ...... 470, 538 Van Bellegem, Sebastien ...... 524 Thurston, Sally W...... 109, 332 Tsai, Shirley ...... 35 Van Boening, Mark ...... 255 Tian, Hong ...... 274 Tsai, Wei-Yann ...... 505 van de Geer, Sara A...... 490 Tian, Lu ...... 83, 128, 226 Tsay, Ruey S...... 247 Van den Brakel, Jan ...... 207, 514 Tiao, George ...... 55 Tse, Siu-Keung ...... 273 van den Broeck, Jan ...... 152 Tibshirani, Robert ...... 272 Tseng, Chien-Cheng ...... 143 Van Den Wyngaert, Ilse ...... 506 Tighiouart, Mourad ...... 66, 467 Tseng, Chi-hong ...... 292 van der Laan, Mark J...... 89, 126, 265 Tiller, Richard ...... 262 Tseng, George C...... 468 van Dyk, David .58, 158, 297, 367, 411, 432 Timothy, McMurry ...... 338 Tseng, Szu-Ching ...... 106 Van Keilegom, Ingrid ...... 257 Tinetti, Mary ...... 515 Tsilimingras, Dennis ...... 24 Van Ness, Peter H...... 46, 168, 549 Ting, Naitee ...... 418 Tsong, Yi ...... 93, 154, 369 van Norden, Simon ...... 320 Tintle, Nathan ...... 67, 154 Tsou, Hsiao-Hui ...... 51 Van Vliet, Benjamin ...... 186 Tiwari, Hemant ...... 201, 502 Tsui, Kwok-Leung ...... 487 Vance, Eric...... 249 Tiwari, Ram C...... 499 Tsybakov, Alexandre ...... 490 Vandal, Alain C...... 20 Tobias, Randall ...... 161, 300, 433 Tubbs, Jack ...... 154 Vandebroek, Martina...... 279 Todem, David ...... 332 Tucker-Kellogg, Greg ...... 154 VanDeKerckhove, Wendy ...... 70 Tokdar, Surya...... 238 Tudor, Gail...... 240 Vandenberghe, Lieven ...... 177 Toledano, Alicia ...... 408 Tuechler, Regina ...... 314 Vandenhende, Francoise ...... 14 Tolusso, David ...... 248, 517 Tukey, Paul ...... 312 Vannucci, Marina ...... 23, 96, 313 Tomita, Yuji ...... 382 Tung, Yi-Liang...... 147 VanSoest, Arthur ...... 208 Tompkins, Linda ...... 153 Tupek, Alan R...... 82, 427 Vansteelandt, Stijn ...... 489 Tong, Van T...... 284 Turek, Joan ...... 221 Varadhan, Ravi ...... 146, 205 Tong, Xingwei ...... 10 Turkmen, Asuman ...... 545 Vartivarian, Sonya ...... 462 Tong, Xingwei ...... 426 Turnbull, Bruce W...... 387 Vaughan, David ...... 26 Tootoo, Joshua ...... 32 Turner, John ...... 290 Vaughan, Denton ...... 255 Toribio, Sherwin ...... 381 Turner, Nancy D...... 85 Vaughan, Laura K...... 502 Torres, Soledad ...... 146 Turner, Ralph ...... 240 Veen, Alejandro ...... 200, 386 Toth, Daniell ...... 114, 343 Tusie-Luna, Teresa ...... 502 Velez, William Y...... 175 Toto, Ma Criselda S...... 178 Twiddy, Susan ...... 253 Velilla, Santiago ...... 249 Town, Machell ...... 341 Tyas, Suzanne ...... 154 Velu, Raja ...... 425, 473 Townsend, Mary ...... 315 Tymofyeyev, Yevgen ...... 280 Vengazhiyil, Roshan ...... 250, 317 Tranbarger, Katherine ...... 289 Tzeng, Jung-Ying ...... 536 Venook, Alan P...... 457 Tremblay, Marcelle ...... 153 Tzeng, Sheng Li ...... 523 Verbitsky, Natalya ...... 72 Tremblay, Stephane ...... 477 Uesaka, Hiroyuki ...... 16 Verducci, Joseph S...... 526 Tremmel, Lothar ...... 246 Uhde-Stone, Claudia ...... 154 Vergouwe, Yvonne ...... 371 Trietsch, Dan ...... 403 Uno, Hajime ...... 51, 197, 270 Vermeulen, Bart ...... 279 Trimbur, Thomas M...... 407 Unwin, Antony ...... 86, 267 Vexler, Albert ...... 106 Trindade, David ...... 203 Urbanek, Simon ...... 86, 132, 456 Vidakovic, Brani ...... 7, 496 Tripodis, Georgios ...... 146 Uryniak, Thomas J...... 379 Vidyashankar, Anand ...... 372 Trofimovich, Lily ...... 152 Utts, Jessica ...... 165, 406, 481 Viens, Frederi ...... 146 Trollinger, Kathleen ...... 329 Uusipaikka, Esa I...... 336 Viet, Susan ...... 259 Trosset, Michael ...... 150, 251 Vaida, Florin ...... 187, 362, 466 Vila, Bryan J...... 209 Troxel, Andrea B...... 49 Vakil, Nader ...... 541 Violanti, John M...... 209 Trumbo, Bruce ...... 294 Vaksman, Zalman ...... 471 Vishnuvajjala, Lakshmi ...... 528

Salt Lake City 267 Index of Participants Name Session Name Session Name Session

Vrijens, Bernard ...... 489 Wang, Lianming ...... 543 Wang, Zhu ...... 54 Waggoner, Dan ...... 360 Wang, Lie ...... 107 Ward, Gillian ...... 98 Wagner, Carol ...... 154 Wang, Lifeng ...... 187 Ware, James H...... 418 Wagner, James ...... 414, 501 Wang, Lin ...... 142 Warfield, Joseph ...... 338 Wagner, Michael ...... 109 Wang, Lin ...... 418 Warnes, Gregory R...... 172 Wahba, Grace...... 210 Wang, Ling ...... 421 Warren, Don R...... 547 Wahed, Abdus S...... 418 Wang, Liqun ...... 182 Warren, John ...... 231 Wakefield, Jon ...... 292 Wang, Lu ...... 151 Warsavage, Barbara ...... 343 Walker, Cindy M...... 209 Wang, Mei-Cheng ...... 243 Wasserman, Larry ...... 57 Waller, Lance ...... 34, 75, 112, 127 Wang, Meihua ...... 457 Wasserman, Stanley ...... 384, 492 Wallet, Bradley ...... 505 Wang, Naisyin ...... 85 Wassmer, Gernot ...... 130 Wallstrom, Garrick ...... 22, 109 Wang, Ouhong ...... 199 Wathen, J. Kyle ...... 14, 277 Walsh, Ronald ...... 542 Wang, Pei ...... 236 Watnik, Mitchell ...... 343 Walter, Stephen ...... 254, 296, 471 Wang, Qihua ...... 289 Watrin, Shea ...... 154 Walters, Elizabeth ...... 385 Wang, Qing ...... 241 Watson, Heather ...... 34 Walters, Kimberly ...... 24 Wang, Rui ...... 517 Watterberg, Kristi L...... 376 Wan, Shuyan ...... 245 Wang, Shubing ...... 417 Wayne, Johnson...... 324 Wan, Wen ...... 380 Wang, Sijian ...... 4, 56, 60 Weakliem, David ...... 390 Wan, Ying ...... 334 Wang, Steve ...... 294, 385 Weathers, Robert ...... 221 Wang, Bin ...... 533 Wang, Steven ...... 362 Webb, Mandy ...... 427 Wang, Chenpin ...... 337 Wang, Sue-Jane ...... 270, 484, 521 Weber, Michael ...... 462 Wang, Chong ...... 387, 459 Wang, Suojin ...... 64, 475 Webster, Jr., Bruce ...... 542 Wang, Dong ...... 154 Wang, Tao ...... 285 Weems, Kimberly S...... 183, 474 Wang, Haibin ...... 66 Wang, Terry ...... 324 Weerahandi, Samaradasa ...... 493 Wang, Haiyan...... 325 Wang, Wei-hong ...... 339 Wefelmeyer, Wolfgang ...... 496 Wang, Haonan ...... 276 Wang, Weiwei ...... 151 Wegkamp, Marten ...... 490 Wang, Hong ...... 235, 373, 530 Wang, Wenquan ...... 243 Wegman, Edward ...... 28, 68, 150, 181, 267, Wang, Honggang ...... 549 Wang, William ...... 418 384, 402, 492, 535 Wang, Hongwei ...... 246, 538 Wang, Xiaodong ...... 538 Wehrenberg, Scott ...... 458 Wang, Huei ...... 521 Wang, Xiaofei ...... 417, 468 Wei, Guanghui ...... 480 Wang, Huixia ...... 120, 201 Wang, Xiaofeng ...... 416, 533 Wei, Lai ...... 382 Wang, Jane-Ling ...... 83, 143, 453 Wang, Xiaogang ...... 236 Wei, Lee-Jen ...... 128, 226, 537 Wang, Jianmin ...... 154, 426, 540 Wang, Xinlei ...... 499 Wei, Xuelian ...... 196 Wang, Jianming ...... 418, 419 Wang, Yan ...... 209 Wei, Ying ...... 81, 333 Wang, Jianqiang ...... 252 Wang, Yanping ...... 105 Weidhaas, Joanne B...... 143 Wang, Jiantian ...... 103 Wang, Yazhen ...... 180, 189 Weinberg, Daniel H...... 394 Wang, Jin ...... 149 Wang, Yi ...... 66, 154 Weinberg, Jonathan ...... 38 Wang, Jing ...... 412, 543 Wang, Yishi ...... 543 Weinreb, Chani ...... 81 Wang, Jing ...... 541 Wang, Yuanjia ...... 23 Weinstein, Joan ...... 500 Wang, Julia ...... 456 Wang, Yue ...... 506 Weinstein, Rachel B...... 94 Wang, Junhui ...... 446, 526 Wang, Yuedong ...... 118, 307 Weir, Paula ...... 152 Wang, Ke ...... 108 Wang, Yuemei ...... 112, 127 Weiss, Noel ...... 151, 209 Wang, Kevin ...... 293 Wang, Yuhang ...... 271 Weiss, Robert E...... 58, 59 Wang, Ko-Kang ...... 376 Wang, Zailong...... 24 Weissfeld, Lisa ...... 104, 503 Wang, Lan ...... 257 Wang, Zhen ...... 541 Welch, Kathleen ...... 493 Wang, Li ...... 206 Wang, Zhi ...... 245 Welch, William J...... 356 Wang, Li ...... 275 Wang, Zhong Lin ...... 317 Weldon, Larry ...... 240, 436

268 JSM 2007 Index of Participants Name Session Name Session Name Session

Wells, Darlene ...... 291 Williams, George ...... 42 Worsley, Keith J...... 449 Wells, Tara ...... 152 Williams, James ...... 162, 301, 425, 434 Wright, Farroll T...... 287 Welsh, Alan ...... 376 Williams, Keith ...... 154 Wright, Fred ...... 421 Welty, Leah ...... 5 Williams, Ken ...... 101 Wright, George ...... 459 Wen, Shihua ...... 113 Williams, Lori A...... 233 Wu, Baolin ...... 143, 196 Wen, Wei ...... 528 Williams, Stephen ...... 513 Wu, Chengqing (Alan) ...... 149, 548 Wen, Xuerong ...... 17 Williams, Todd R...... 71 Wu, Chien-Fu Jeff ...... 317, 376, 478 Wencheko, Eshetu ...... 404 Williamson, G. David ...... 353 Wu, Chih-Chieh ...... 292 Weng, Qian ...... 201 Willman, Cheryl L...... 283 Wu, Chunchi ...... 247 Wenger, Neil S...... 489 Wills, Graham ...... 86, 312 Wu, Chunchi ...... 473 Wessel, Jennifer ...... 332 Wilson, Alyson G...... 167, 447, 483 Wu, Colin O...... 39 West, Brady ...... 342, 493 Wilson, Jason ...... 27 Wu, Han-Ming ...... 523 West, Mike ...... 1, 258, 421 Wilson, Jeffrey R...... 106 Wu, Hulin ...... 287, 415, 536 West, Webster ...... 132 Wilson, Melanie ...... 189, 287 Wu, Jeremy...... 82 Westfall, Peter ...... 527 Wilson, Robert ...... 426 Wu, Jianrong ...... 504, 537 Westveld, Anton ...... 190, 289 Wilson, Susan ...... 376 Wu, Ke ...... 103 Wetter, David ...... 92 Wing, Steve ...... 343 Wu, Lang ...... 182 Wheaton, Laura...... 255 Winglee, Marianne ...... 71, 330 Wu, Mixia ...... 64 Wheeler, David ...... 34 Winkler, William ...... 462 Wu, Peng...... 343 Wheeler, William ...... 380 Wintenberger, Olivier ...... 382 Wu, Qing ...... 209 White, Gentry ...... 498, 532 Wistuba, Ignacio ...... 277 Wu, Richard ...... 105 White, Laura ...... 505 Withum, Tim...... 71 Wu, Song ...... 154 White, Michael E...... 253 Witmer, Jeff ...... 406 Wu, Tongtong ...... 489 Whiteside, Mary ...... 200 Wittes, Janet...... 133, 366 Wu, Wei ...... 534 Whitford, David C...... 41, 99 Wittkowski, Knut M...... 68 Wu, Wei Biao ...... 275 Whitmore, George A...... 40 Woldie, Mammo ...... 507 Wu, Xiaodong (Eric) ...... 392 Whittinghill, Dexter C...... 91 Woldman, Robert ...... 341 Wu, Xiaoling ...... 334 Wickham, Charlotte ...... 546 Wolfe, Douglas ...... 52, 499 Wu, Xiaowei ...... 333 Wickham, Hadley ...... 60, 312 Wolfe, Robert ...... 400 Wu, Yichao ...... 57 Wicklin, Frederick ...... 242 Wolfe, Robert A...... 135 Wu, Ying Nian ...... 309 Wiegand, Ryan ...... 324 Wolfson, Christina...... 46 Wu, Yuefeng ...... 97 Wiens, Brian L...... 445 Wolfson, David ...... 243 Wu, Yuehui ...... 334, 470 Wikle, Christopher K...... 326, 386 Wolpert, Robert L...... 147, 344, 486 Wu, Yujun ...... 377 Wilbur, Jayson ...... 32 Wolter, Kirk ...... 153 Wu, Yu-te ...... 154 Wildermuth, Mary ...... 154 Wong, Augustive C.M...... 228 Wu, Zhou ...... 236 Wildhaber, Mark ...... 109 Wong, Stephen ...... 150 Wuebbles, Donald ...... 55 Wildner, Raimund K...... 279, 513 Wong, Weng-Kee ...... 62, 280, 378, 519 Wulff, Shaun S...... 222 Wiley, Alison L...... 294 Wood, Sally ...... 22 Wun, Lap-Ming ...... 414 Wileyto, E. Paul ...... 469 Woodall, William H...... 113, 487 Wygant, Steven A...... 546 Wilkinson, Leland ...... 242, 312 Woodard, Roger ...... 214 Wyner, Abraham ...... 20 Wilkinson, Robert G...... 42 Woodcock, Simon ...... 365 Xi, Bowei ...... 98 Wilks, Rainford ...... 152 Woodruff, Stephen ...... 427 Xi, Liwen ...... 471, 539 Willcox, Bradley ...... 209 Woodward, Wayne...... 54, 463 Xi, Yingmei ...... 202, 381 Willett, Adam ...... 131 Woody, Lesa L...... 540 Xi, Yuanxin ...... 285 Williams, Basil...... 386 Woolson, Robert ...... 154 Xia, Hong A...... 62, 65, 378, 456 Williams, Brian J...... 483 Wooten, Karen ...... 115 Xiang, Qinfang...... 106 Williams, D. Keith ...... 545 Wooten, Leiko H...... 220 Xiao, Guanghua ...... 63

Salt Lake City 269 Index of Participants Name Session Name Session Name Session

Xiao, Jihua ...... 422 Yang, Otto ...... 415 Yu, Chong Ho ...... 209 Xiao, Zhijie ...... 398 Yang, Ruoyong ...... 378 Yu, Cindy ...... 146 Xie, Benhuai ...... 283 Yang, Shie-Shien ...... 209 Yu, Fang ...... 497 Xie, Hui ...... 24 Yang, Song ...... 183 Yu, Kai ...... 335, 380 Xie, Jichun ...... 423 Yang, Wei ...... 150 Yu, Kai Fun ...... 24, 64, 149 Xie, Jun ...... 325 Yang, Xiaowei ...... 19, 106 Yu, Lei ...... 154 Xie, Lin ...... 343 Yang, Xiting ...... 287 Yu, Mandi ...... 13, 293 Xie, Ming ...... 112, 200, 507 Yang, Yan ...... 197 Yu, Menggang ...... 83 Xie, Minge ...... 151 Yang, Yijun ...... 286 Yu, Qilu ...... 426 Xie, Tailiang ...... 471 Yang, Yu ...... 339 Yu, Qingzhao ...... 189 Xie, Wangang ...... 497 Yang, Yuhong ...... 226 Yu, Tao ...... 322 Xie, Xianchao ...... 384 Yang, Zijiang ...... 27 Yu, Tianwei...... 325 Xie, Yang ...... 63 Yao, Fang ...... 229, 307 Yu, Tinghui ...... 107 Xing, Biao ...... 296 Yao, Weixin ...... 197 Yu, Yaming ...... 411, 460 Xing, Eric ...... 124 Yashchin, Emmanuel ...... 30 Yu, Yan ...... 236 Xing, Guan ...... 533 Yassouridis, Alexander ...... 359 Yu, Yongyi ...... 458 Xiong, Chengjie ...... 24 Yau, C. Lillian ...... 278 Yu, Yue ...... 410 Xiong, Xiaoqin ...... 236 Ye, Cong ...... 293 Yu, Zhangsheng ...... 480 Xu, Baowei ...... 5 Ye, Keying ...... 529 Yuan, Ming ...... 355, 478 Xu, Haixia ...... 342 Ye, Wen ...... 104 Yuan, Tao ...... 317 Xu, Hong ...... 208 Ye, Yining ...... 95 Yuan, Weishi ...... 470 Xu, Hongquan ...... 280 Yeap, Beow Yong ...... 51 Yuan, Ying ...... 232, 501 Xu, Jian-Lun ...... 103 Yeatman, Timothy ...... 272 Yuan, Yuan ...... 416 Xu, Lei ...... 549 Yeghiazarian, Lilit ...... 415 Yuan, Zhilong ...... 334 Xu, Mengyuan ...... 54 Yeh, Hung-Wen ...... 33 Yucel, Recai ...... 227 Xu, Qiuyan ...... 407 Yeo, In-Kwon ...... 294 Yue, Lilly ...... 273, 408 Xu, Ronghui ...... 187 Yi, Grace Y...... 182 Yue, Yu ...... 137 Xu, Xinyi ...... 308 Yi, Nengjun ...... 286 Yun, Dong ...... 197 Xu, Yaomin ...... 491 Yin, Holly ...... 154 Yu-te, Wu ...... 369 Xu, Zhiheng ...... 66, 467 Yin, Wen Jun ...... 112, 200, 340, 507 Zabel, Richard W...... 503 Xue, Lan ...... 412 Yin, Yin ...... 343 Zadrozny, Peter ...... 88, 320 Yakovlev, Andrei ...... 143 Yip, Andy ...... 142 Zagar, Anothy...... 469 Yamamoto, Seiichiro ...... 284 Yogendran, Marina ...... 477 Zahn, Doug ...... 21, 435 Yan, Ting ...... 293, 414 Yoo, Jae Keun ...... 17 Zakai, Alon ...... 139 Yan, Xiaohong ...... 58 Yoo, Wonsuk ...... 24 Zamba, K. D...... 540 Yan, Xin ...... 538 Yoon, Jungyeon ...... 247 Zandi, Peter ...... 11 Yan, Zhenyu ...... 424 Yoshida, Ruriko ...... 384 Zarate, Alvan ...... 462 Yan, Zhiwu ...... 369 You, Li-Wei ...... 474 Zaslavsky, Alan M...... 135, 227, 264, 293 Yanagawa, Takashi ...... 244 Young, C. Alex ...... 411 Zaslavsky, Boris ...... 509 Yanez, David ...... 278 Young, Jessica G...... 480 Zavitz, Kenton ...... 11 Yang, Harry ...... 25, 109, 470, 537 Young, John...... 343 Zeger, Scott ...... 28 Yang, Hongmei ...... 57 Young, Linda ...... 374, 529 Zeitler, David ...... 74, 150 Yang, Jun ...... 321 Young, S. Stanley ...... 126, 161, 356 Zelen, Marvin ...... 51, 481, 525 Yang, Lijian ...... 275, 412 Younger, Novie...... 152, 352 Zell, Elizabeth ...... 113 Yang, Lili ...... 250 Yu, Alan ...... 458 Zelterman, Daniel ...... 143 Yang, Min ...... 260, 409 Yu, Bin ...... 309, 401, 446 Zen, Mei-Mei ...... 472 Yang, Mingan ...... 498 Yu, Ching-Ray ...... 117 Zeng, Donglin ...... 95, 331, 468

270 JSM 2007 Index of Participants Name Session Name Session Name Session

Zeng, Yi ...... 278 Zhang, Xiaoxi ...... 201 Zhou, Harrison ...... 261, 496 Zeng, Yong ...... 472 Zhang, Xichaun (Mark) ...... 262 Zhou, Hong ...... 34 Zezas, Andreas ...... 367 Zhang, Xingyou ...... 148 Zhou, Jie ...... 276 Zha, Tao ...... 360 Zhang, Xiuyun ...... 237 Zhou, Jihao ...... 145 Zhai, Chengxiang ...... 63 Zhang, Xu ...... 480 Zhou, Julie ...... 280 Zhan, Xiaojiang ...... 539 Zhang, Yanhua ...... 199 Zhou, Kefei ...... 100, 456 Zhang, Aijun...... 478 Zhang, Yanqiong ...... 199 Zhou, Kemin ...... 29 Zhang, Bin ...... 112, 507 Zhang, Yanwei ...... 332 Zhou, Lifen...... 430 Zhang, Bin ...... 62 Zhang, Yawei ...... 65 Zhou, Mai ...... 83 Zhang, Chenhua ...... 67, 339 Zhang, Yi ...... 248 Zhou, Qing ...... 81 Zhang, Chunling ...... 86 Zhang, Ying ...... 197 Zhou, Xi ...... 357 Zhang, Chunming ...... 229, 322, 417 Zhang, Yiyun ...... 369 Zhou, Xian ...... 277 Zhang, Cun-Hui ...... 25, 244, 396, 449 Zhang, Yu ...... 247 Zhou, Xiao-Hua (Andrew) ...100, 299, 374, Zhang, Daowen ...... 57, 464 Zhang, Yufen ...... 476 504 Zhang, Daozhi ...... 246 Zhang, Yuting ...... 246, 540 Zhou, Xiaolei ...... 426 Zhang, Donghui ...... 25, 285 Zhang, Zepu ...... 18, 55, 108, 185 Zhou, Yan ...... 106 Zhou, Zheng ...... 408, 495 Zhang, Guangyu ...... 468 Zhang, Zhe ...... 249 Zhu, Fang ...... 333 Zhang, Hao ...... 106 Zhang, Zhen ...... 543 Zhu, Guangrui ...... 198 Zhang, Hao ...... 56, 57, 144, 187, 382, 464 Zhang, Zhengjun ...... 136 Zhu, Hongjian ...... 280 Zhang, Heping ...... 322, 428, 491 Zhang, Zhigang ...... 505, 517 Zhu, Hongtu ...... 322, 491 Zhang, Hongmei ...... 416 Zhao, Hongyu ...... 81, 85, 110 Zhu, Hongxiao ...... 22 Zhang, Jenny...... 154 Zhao, Jing...... 26, 378 Zhu, Ji...... 4, 60, 80, 144, 354, 398, 446 Zhang, Ji ...... 538 Zhao, Ke ...... 53 Zhu, Jun...... 244 Zhang, Jian ...... 111 Zhao, Linda ...... 139 Zhu, Junjia ...... 30 Zhang, Jing ...... 109 Zhao, Lirong ...... 160 Zhu, Lei ...... 172, 464 Zhang, Joanne ...... 274 Zhao, Luping ...... 97 Zhu, Lei ...... 480 Zhang, Juan ...... 332 Zhao, Peng ...... 446 Zhu, Liang ...... 104 Zhang, Lan ...... 485 Zhao, Wei ...... 142, 154 Zhu, Liansheng ...... 138, 190, 498 Zhang, Lanju ...... 109, 470 Zhao, Xin ...... 66 Zhu, Mu ...... 236 Zhang, Lei ...... 473 Zhao, Yichuan ...... 248, 469, 537 Zhu, Song-Chun ...... 309 Zhang, Li...... 326, 387 Zhao, Yifang ...... 497 Zhu, Wei ...... 241, 378 Zhang, Liang ...... 1 Zhao, Yonggang ...... 281, 378 Zhu, Wenying ...... 154 Zhang, Lin ...... 154 Zhao, Yongyun...... 420 Zhu, Yiliang ...... 284 Zhang, Lu ...... 274 Zhao, Zhen ...... 341, 515 Zhu, Yongfang ...... 516 Zhang, Min ...... 64 Zhao, Zhigen ...... 459 Zhu, Zhengyuan ...... 355 Zhang, Peter ...... 334 Zheng, Gang ...... 39, 327 Zibman, Chava ...... 185 Zhang, Qianyi ...... 146 Zheng, Shuo ...... 197 Zigler, Corwin ...... 154 Zhang, Qing...... 209 Zheng, Steve ...... 538 Zimmerman, Dale ...... 529 Zhang, Shunpu ...... 66, 102, 154 Zheng, Tian ...... 81, 196, 245, 327, 390 Zitikis, Ricardas ...... 375 Zhang, Tingting ...... 541 Zheng, Yan ...... 421 Zotti, Marianne E...... 284 Zhang, Tong ...... 354 Zheng, Yingye ...... 528 Zou, Fei ...... 421 Zhang, Tonglin ...... 18, 55, 275 Zhi, Hui ...... 38 Zou, Guohua ...... 362 Zhang, Wei...... 244 Zhong, Jinglin ...... 93 Zou, Hui ...... 4, 446, 526 Zhang, Xiang ...... 418, 419 Zhong, Ming ...... 67 Zou, Kelly H...... 117 Zhang, Xiao ...... 22, 286, 361 Zhong, Wenxuan ...... 325 Zubovic, Yvonne ...... 377 Zhang, Xiaohong ...... 246 Zhou, Frank ...... 458, 530 Zukerberg, Andrew ...... 253 Zhang, Xiaohua (Douglas) ...... 392 Zhou, Haibo ...... 151, 417 Zurbenko, Igor ...... 150

Salt Lake City 271 Index of CE Instructors Name Session Name Session Name Session

Alonzo, Todd ...... CE_10C Harahush, Shawn ...... CE_35T Proschan, Michael ...... CE_23C Banks, David ...... CE_18C Herzog, Thomas ...... CE_13C Ramírez, José G...... CE_36T Biemer, Paul ...... CE_04C Hesterberg, Tim ...... CE_28C Rothstein, Hannah ...... CE_32T, CE_37T Borenstein, Michael ...... CE_32T, CE_37T Hofmann, Heike ...... CE_07C Sacks, Jerry ...... CE_12C Breidt, Jay ...... CE_11C Hogan, Joseph W...... CE_24C Schabenberger, Oliver ...... CE_09C Brown, G. Gordon ...... CE_30T Janes, Holly ...... CE_10C Scheuren, Fritz ...... CE_13C Burkom, Howard S...... CE_18C Johnson, Dallas ...... CE_03C Sinsheimer, Janet ...... CE_25C Chen, Colin ...... CE_40T Lange, Kenneth ...... CE_25C Sobel, Eric ...... CE_25C Chuang-Stein, Christy ...... CE_17C Lawless, Jerald F...... CE_05C Spiegelhalter, David ...... CE_01C, CE_01C Coffey, Christopher S...... CE_14C Lin, Danyu ...... CE_27C Thall, Peter F...... CE_19C Cohen, Robert ...... CE_31T Loh, Wei-Yin ...... CE_20C Ting, Naitee ...... CE_08C Cook, Richard J...... CE_05C MacDougall, James ...... CE_08C Unwin, Antony ...... CE_07C Crimin, Kimberly ...... CE_06C Mehta, Cyrus ...... CE_33T Urbanek, Simon ...... CE_22C Daniels, Michael ...... CE_24C Molenberghs, Geert ...... CE_17C Vanucci, Marina ...... CE_26C Dasu, Tamraparni ...... CE_22C Olkin, Ingram ...... CE_21C Vidakovic, Brani ...... CE_26C Davis, Charles S...... CE_15C Opsomer, Jean ...... CE_11C Vidmar, Thomas ...... CE_06C Dmitrienko, Alex ...... CE_17C Pepe, Margaret ...... CE_10C Welch, William J...... CE_12C Fitzmaurice, Garrett ...... CE_02C Pinheiro, Jose ...... CE_14C Westfall, Peter ...... CE_16C Gaydos, Brenda ...... CE_14C Pitts, Angela ...... CE_30T Winkler, William ...... CE_13C Golovnya, Mikhail ...... CE_29T, CE_34T, Prabhu, Sharad ...... CE_36T Zhong, Weicai ...... CE_38T CE_39T

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Addison-Wesley ...... 165 Google ...... 225 SAS ...... 233 Agent HR ...... 215 Insightful Corporation ...... 177 SIAM ...... 195 Allergan ...... 63 IRS ...... 36 Springer ...... 210, 211 Cambridge University Press ...... 217 John Wiley & Sons ...... 237 Takeda Pharmaceuticals ...... 173 Capital One ...... 169 Mayo Clinic ...... cover 3 Thomson Duxbury ...... 185 CRC Press ...... 229 MedFocus ...... 207 University of Utah ...... 125 Cytel ...... cover 2 Oxford University Press ...... 208 W.H. Freeman Publishers ...... 240 Elsevier ...... 191 RTI International ...... cover 4 World Scientific Publishing ...... 183

272 JSM 2007 JM JSM 2007