Assessment of Potential Risk for Kola’s Population from Radiological Impact of Accident on Spent Nuclear Fuel Facilities Andrey Naumov Sergey Morozov Pavel Amossov Alexander Mahura Mining Institute, Vsevolod Koshkin Kola Science Centre Yuri Federenko Alexander Baklanov Institute of Northern Ecology (Scientific Advisor) Problems, Kola Science Centre Danish Metrological Institute Northern Studies Working Paper cerum, Centre for Regional Science No. 21:2001 se-90187 Umeå Sweden Umeå University cerum, Centre for Regional Science Assessment of Potential Risk for Kola’s Population from Radiological Impact of Accident on Spent Nuclear Fuel Facilities Andrey Naumov Sergey Morozov Pavel Amossov Alexander Mahura Mining Institute, Vsevolod Koshkin Kola Science Centre Yuri Federenko Institute of Northern Ecology Alexander Baklanov Problems, Kola Science Centre (Scientific Advisor), Danish Meterological Institute cerum Northern Studies Working Paper no. 21 isbn 91-7305-105-5 issn 1400-1969 Address: Cerum, Umeå University, se-901 87 Umeå, Sweden Telephone: +46-90-786.6079, Fax: +46-90-786.5121 www.umu.se/cerum
[email protected] 4 Modelling and Visualizing a Nuclear Accident’s Short Term Impact on Transportation Flows Table of Contents Table of Contents, 5 List of Abbreviations, 7 List of Figures, 9 List of Tables, 11 The Project “Nuclear Problems, Risk Perceptions of, and Societal Responses to, Nuclear Waste in the Barents Region” - an Acknowledgement, 13 Executive Summary, 14 Introduction, 17 1Modern Approaches to the Risk Analysis, 21 1.1. Base of risk analysis, 21 1.2. Methods of realization of the risk analysis, 24 1.3. Main parameters of risk, 25 1.4. The methods of quantitative analysis of risk, 26 1.5.