A Country Like a Boat. but Do We Also Have Paddles?
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Moldova's Political Crisis Abates
CRS INSIGHT Moldova's Political Crisis Abates June 20, 2019 (IN11137) | Related Author Cory Welt | Cory Welt, Specialist in European Affairs ([email protected], 7-0530) On June 14, 2019, a political crisis in Moldova ended when leaders of the formerly ruling Democratic Party of Moldova (PDM) agreed to dissolve the outgoing government in favor of a new coalition. The coalition includes a reform- oriented, Western-leaning alliance, ACUM (or "Now"), and the socially conservative, Russian-leaning Party of Socialists, which placed first in Moldova's February 2019 elections. Moldova is one of three post-Soviet states that, together with Ukraine and Georgia, have sought greater integration with the West while coping with separatist territories occupied by Russian forces. Many Members of Congress have long supported Moldova's democratic trajectory and territorial integrity and have called on Russia to respect Moldova's sovereignty and withdraw its military forces. Growing Discontent Moldova's political environment was increasingly contentious before the recent crisis. The PDM gained power in 2016 after the prior government collapsed amid fallout from a bank fraud case involving the alleged loss of some $1 billion, equivalent to more than 12% of Moldova's gross domestic product. ACUM leaders and many observers contend that the PDM, in particular party leader and wealthy businessman Vlad Plahotniuc, effectively "captured" Moldova's state institutions for personal and party gain. In summer 2018, mass protests opposed a court decision to annul a snap mayoral election in Chisinau, Moldova's capital, which had been won by Andrei Nastase, who later became one of ACUM's two co-leaders. -
MONTHLY November 2020 CONTENTS
MONTHLY November 2020 CONTENTS 12 19 30 RUSSIA’S CORONAVIRUS IN THE INTEREST OF U.S.-RUSSIA NAVY INCIDENT VACCINE RACE CONTINUES THE KREMLIN? RUSSIAN IN THE NORTH PACIFIC OLIGARCH CREATES FAR-RIGHT MOVEMENT IN THE INTEREST OF THE KREMLIN? MOLDOVA PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION: RUSSIAN OLIGARCH CREATES FAR-RIGHT 3 RUSSIA HELPS DODON 19 MOVEMENT WEAK ROUBLE, TIGHT BUDGET: NEW LAVROV VISITS MINSK: LOCKDOWN WOULD SMASH RUSSIAN RUSSIA WANTS LUKASHENKO 4 ECONOMY 20 TO IMPLEMENT COMMITMENTS U.S. ELECTION: WHAT SECHIN’S “STEEL” BUSINESS RAISES SERIOUS 6 IS RUSSIA COUNTING ON? 22 DOUBTS RUSSIAN POLICE AND INTELLIGENCE DISAGREE OVER WHAT REALLY HAPPENED MOLDOVA’S SANDU ON WITHDRAWING 7 TO NAVALNY 24 RUSSIAN FORCES FROM TRANSNISTRIA RUSSIA DEPLOYS ITS “PEACEKEEPERS” OPEC+ STUTTERS OVER OIL CUT DEAL, 9 TO NAGORNO-KARABAKH 25 RUSSIA’S SECHIN FORECASTS OIL PRICES RUSSIA LAUNCHES CABINET RESHUFFLE TURMOIL OVER TURKSTREAM LOAN: IS 10 ALSO IN ENERGY MINISTRY 27 SERBIAN LEG OF THE PIPELINE IN DANGER? RUSSIA’S CORONAVIRUS VACCINE RACE RUSSIA POURS MONEY 12 CONTINUES 28 INTO IRAQI OILFIELDS MORE LIBYAN OIL CAUSES HEADACHE MOLDOVA ELECTION: SANDU FOR RUSSIANS MORE LIBYAN OIL CAUSES 14 SMASHES RUSSIA’S CANDIDATE 30 HEADACHE FOR RUSSIANS ROSNEFT AND GAZPROM NEFT LET FOREIGN INVESTORS ENTER ARCTIC U.S.-RUSSIA NAVY INCIDENT 16 PROJECTS 30 IN THE NORTH PACIFIC RUSSIAN INSPECTION: LAVROV, SHOIGU VISIT ARMENIA ROSNEFT PLANS TO SELL SOME DEPOSITS 17 AND AZERBAIJAN 31 AMID COSTLY VOSTOK OIL PROJECT 2 www.warsawinstitute.org SOURCE: KREMLIN.RU 2 November 2020 MOLDOVA PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION: RUSSIA HELPS DODON Pro-Western opposition leader Maia Sandu secured a surprise lead against Moldova’s current president Igor Dodon. -
Russia, NATO, and Black Sea Security for More Information on This Publication, Visit
Russia, NATO, and Black Sea Security Russia, NATO, C O R P O R A T I O N STEPHEN J. FLANAGAN, ANIKA BINNENDIJK, IRINA A. CHINDEA, KATHERINE COSTELLO, GEOFFREY KIRKWOOD, DARA MASSICOT, CLINT REACH Russia, NATO, and Black Sea Security For more information on this publication, visit www.rand.org/t/RRA357-1 Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data is available for this publication. ISBN: 978-1-9774-0568-5 Published by the RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, Calif. © Copyright 2020 RAND Corporation R® is a registered trademark. Cover: Cover graphic by Dori Walker, adapted from a photo by Petty Officer 3rd Class Weston Jones. Limited Print and Electronic Distribution Rights This document and trademark(s) contained herein are protected by law. This representation of RAND intellectual property is provided for noncommercial use only. Unauthorized posting of this publication online is prohibited. Permission is given to duplicate this document for personal use only, as long as it is unaltered and complete. Permission is required from RAND to reproduce, or reuse in another form, any of its research documents for commercial use. For information on reprint and linking permissions, please visit www.rand.org/pubs/permissions. The RAND Corporation is a research organization that develops solutions to public policy challenges to help make communities throughout the world safer and more secure, healthier and more prosperous. RAND is nonprofit, nonpartisan, and committed to the public interest. RAND’s publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors. Support RAND Make a tax-deductible charitable contribution at www.rand.org/giving/contribute www.rand.org Preface The Black Sea region is a central locus of the competition between Russia and the West for the future of Europe. -
Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Moldova
Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Moldova May-June 2018 Detailed Methodology • The survey was coordinated by Dr. Rasa Alisauskiene from Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization on behalf of the Center for Insights in Survey Research. The field work was carried out by Magenta Consulting. • Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between May 21 and June 18, 2018 through face-to-face interviews in respondents’ homes. • The sample consisted of 1,517 permanent residents of Moldova aged 18 and older and eligible to vote and is representative of the general population by age, gender, region and settlement size. • Sampling frame: Moldova Statistical Databank. Weighting: Data weighted for 11 regional groups, urban/rural, age and gender. • A multistage probability sampling method was used, with the random route and next birthday respondent selection procedures. Stage one: All districts of Moldova were grouped into 11 groups; all regions (with the exception of Transnistria) were surveyed. Stage two: Selection of the settlements (cities and villages). o Settlements were selected at random. o The number of settlements selected in each region was proportional to the share of population living in the particular type of settlement in each region. Stage three: Primary sampling units were described. • The margin of error does not exceed plus or minus 2.5 percent. • The response rate was 63 percent. • Charts and graphs may not add up to 100 percent due to rounding. • The survey was funded by the United States Agency for -
Moldova, a Major European Success for the Eastern Partnership?
POLICY PAPER European Issue n°186 th 22 november 2010 Moldova, a Major European Success from Florent Parmentier for the Eastern Partnership? PhD, is lecturer in EU enlargement politics at Sciences Po. He contributes to the websites www.euro-power.eu and SUMMARY Moldova is about to hold general elections again after those of April and July 2009. www.moldavie.fr. He has recently The political system entered into political crisis as it was unable to elect a president over the published When Empire Meets past year. However, Moldovan authorities have not missed the opportunity to launch a large set Nationalism. Power Politics in the US and of political and economic reforms. Moldova is now experiencing dynamics which a priori appear Russia, Farnham, Ashgate, 2009 (with positive but which have to be confirmed in the long run. Despite its rather turbulent political Didier Chaudet and Benoît Pélopidas) and landscape, the Moldovan regime now seems to be relatively pluralist and progress has been Moldavie. Les atouts de la francophonie, made notably with regard to the freedom of information. Moreover, relations with the European Paris, Non Lieu, 2010 (Moldova. Union have strengthened to the point that Moldova has seemingly become a test country for The Advantages of Belonging to the the Eastern Partnership. The negotiation of an Association Agreement is now on-going. Finally, French Speaking Community) the Transnistrian conflict, which has remained for many years in stalemate, meets a rising in- terest on the part of Europeans. A changing international landscape, such as an in-the-making rapprochement INTRODUCTION Moldova, a tiny country sandwi- according to three main objectives: stability, pros- ched between Romanian and Ukraine, was neglected perity and security. -
Nations in Transit Brief
Nations in Transit brief December 2016 Stagnation on the Road to Europe: Moldova after the Presidential Election Victoria Bucataru Program Director, Foreign Policy Association (APE), Chisinau Source: Flickr • In November’s presidential elections, a pro-Russian candidate, Igor Dodon, defeated Maia Sandu, who ran on a platform of reform in line with the European path. While Dodon is unlikely to officially reverse Moldova’s Association Agreement with the EU, his victory will have real domestic and geopolitical implications. • In the campaign, both Dodon and Sandu prioritized the fight against embedded corruption and the oligarchic system over geopolitical factors, but Dodon’s pro-Rus- sian stance and the Russian Orthodox Church’s aggressive support for him ensured that the East-West divide was pertinent for voters. Political polarization will likely deepen under Dodon. • The ambiguous position of the country’s most powerful man, Vladimir Plahotniuc, who officially supported Sandu but whose influential television channels promoted Dodon, cast doubt on his support and whether he preferred Dodon to act as an implicit threat to Moldova’s EU partners. • Moldova’s president has a limited mandate, with predominantly supervisory respon- sibilities, but the office’s representative role abroad and its capacity to shape do- mestic public opinion is significant. Mixed messages coming from the government and a lack of genuine will to tackle the problem of state capture could further en- danger rule of law in Moldova and deepen the distrust of its Euro-Atlantic partners. Introduction After more than seven years of orientation towards Europe in both rhetoric and action, on November 13 Moldova elected a president who is looking to strengthen ties with the East. -
Ficha Del País. Moldavia
OFICINA DE INFORMACIÓN DIPLOMÁTICA FICHA PAÍS Moldavia República de Moldavia La Oficina de Información Diplomática del Ministerio de Asuntos Exteriores, Unión Europea y Cooperación pone a disposición de los profesionales de los medios de comunicación y del público en general la presente ficha país. La información contenida en esta ficha país es pública y se ha extraído de diversos medios, no defendiendo posición política alguna ni de este Ministerio ni del Gobierno de España respecto del país sobre el que versa. ABRIL 2021 a la República Socialista de Moldavia durante la II Guerra Mundial por la Moldavia URSS. Cuando se creó la República Socialista de Moldavia, ésta perdió im- portantes territorios de la antigua provincia de Besarabia que fueron cedidos a la República Socialista de Ucrania: parte de Bucovina, al norte, y Budjak, que es toda la franja costera del Mar Negro desde la desembocadura del Dniester hasta la frontera de Rumania. Población: 2,640,438, habitantes residentes (2020) 4,038,544 en total Briceny Soroca Capital: Chisinau (832.900 habitantes) Otras ciudades importantes: Balti (151.800 hab.), Tiraspol (150.000 hab.), Balti Tighi- na, también llamada Bender (97.000 hab.). Grupos étnicos: Moldavo: 73,7%, rumanos: 6,9%, ucranianos: 6,5%, rusos: 4%, gagauzos 4,5%, búlgaros 1,8%, gitanos 0,3%, judíos 0,1%. Falesti UCRANIA Idioma: El idioma oficial del país es la “lengua moldava”, que es rumano escrito en grafía latina, pero reconoce el uso del ruso y “otros idiomas” que Orhei se hablan en territorio moldavo” en referencia al gagauzo, un idioma de Calarasi origen túrquico. -
The Next Crimea? Getting Russia's Transnistria Policy Right
Adrian Rogstad The next Crimea? getting Russia’s Transnistria policy right Article (Accepted version) (Refereed) Original citation: Rogstad, Adrian (2016) The next Crimea? getting Russia’s Transnistria policy right. Problems of Post-Communism . ISSN 1075-8216 DOI: 10.1080/10758216.2016.1237855 © 2016 Taylor & Francis Group, LLC This version available at: http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/68611/ Available in LSE Research Online: December 2016 LSE has developed LSE Research Online so that users may access research output of the School. Copyright © and Moral Rights for the papers on this site are retained by the individual authors and/or other copyright owners. Users may download and/or print one copy of any article(s) in LSE Research Online to facilitate their private study or for non-commercial research. You may not engage in further distribution of the material or use it for any profit-making activities or any commercial gain. You may freely distribute the URL ( http://eprints.lse.ac.uk ) of the LSE Research Online website. This document is the author’s final accepted version of the journal article. There may be differences between this version and the published version. You are advised to consult the publisher’s version if you wish to cite from it. Title Page The next Crimea? Getting Russia’s Transnistria policy right Author: Adrian Rogstad, PhD Candidate, Department of International Relations, London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE), Houghton Street, London WC2A 2AE, United Kingdom. E-mail: [email protected] 1 Abstract Russia’s annexation of Ukraine’s Crimea in March 2014 sparked so far unrealised international fears that the pro-Russian separatist republic of Transnistria in Moldova might be the next object of Russian territorial revisionism. -
MOLDOVA Vibrant Information Barometer 2021 Vibrant Information Barometer MOLDOVA
MOLDOVA Vibrant Information Barometer 2021 Vibrant Information Barometer MOLDOVA In 2020, the Republic of Moldova was rocked by the COVID-19 to saturate the country’s information space. Although Dodon Highly Vibrant Highly pandemic and chronic political instability, with inevitable was defeated in the November voting, his Socialist Party holds a repercussions for the media. A fragile parliamentary majority, a plurality in parliament. These lawmakers and their For Moldova bitter campaign season, and the authorities’ inability to manage allies quickly passed several controversial laws, including a repeal the pandemic all fueled the sense of crisis. After the first cases of of provisions curbing television broadcasts from Russia. the coronavirus were registered in Moldova, the new governing In 2020, the VIBE panelists observed that professional and coalition of the Socialist Party of the Republic of Moldova OVERALL nonprofessional content creators, such as bloggers, social-media (SPRM) and the Democratic Party declared a constitutional SCORE users, and influencers, produced information of rather poor state of emergency. The coalition gave broad new powers to the quality overall. Moreover, the straitened circumstances of many Commission for Emergency Situations (CSE) and other executive media organizations have left them vulnerable to takeover or agencies to fight the pandemic. The ambiguity of these new influence by deep-pocketed partisan figures, which in turn has 23 emergency powers threatened the right of access to information. narrowed the views and news in Moldova’s media landscape. In addition, officials’ persistent refusal to provide complete Somewhat Vibrant Somewhat and timely information resulted in an inaccessible and opaque The events of 2020 led to unprecedented constraints on the government. -
Electionssanctionslega Nord
Issue 3 (17), 2019 COALITION NEW FACES MOLDOVA EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT NEIGHBOURHOOD PROGRESSIVE ALLIANCE GOLOS EUROPEAN PEOPLE’S PARTY OPPORTUNITIESCOOPERATION ELECTIONS IDENTITY AND DEMOCRACY CHALLENGES SANCTIONS ALDE RENEW EUROPE LEGA NORD ADVOCACY EURONEST UKRAINE UA: UkraineGREENS Analytica · 3 (17), 2019 CONSERVATIVES • NEW EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT • NEW UKRAINIAN POLITICIANS • NEW MOLDOVAN COALITION 1 BOARD OF ADVISERS Dr. Dimitar Bechev (Bulgaria, Director of the European Policy Institute) Issue 3 (17), 2019 Dr. Iulian Chifu Analysis and Early Warning Center) (Romania, Director of the Conflict Elections Amb., Dr. Sergiy Korsunsky (Ukraine, Director of the Diplomatic Academy under the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Ukraine) Editors Dr. Igor Koval (Ukraine, Rector of Odessa National Dr. Hanna Shelest University by I.I. Mechnikov) Dr. Mykola Kapitonenko Amb., Dr. Sergey Minasyan (Armenia, Ambassador Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary of Armenia to Romania) Publisher: Published by NGO “Promotion of Intercultural (Germany, Director of the Cooperation” (Ukraine), Centre of International Marcel Röthig Representation of the Friedrich Ebert Foundation in Ukraine) of the Representation of the Friedrich Ebert Studies (Ukraine), with the financial support Foundation in Ukraine, the Black Sea Trust. James Nixey (United Kingdom, Head of the Russia and Eurasia Programme at Chatham House, the UA: Ukraine Analytica Royal Institute of International Affairs) analytical journal in English on International is the first Ukrainian Relations, Politics and Economics. The journal Dr. Róbert Ondrejcsák (Slovakia, State Secretary, is aimed for experts, diplomats, academics, Ministry of Defence) students interested in the international relations and Ukraine in particular. Amb., Dr. Oleg Shamshur (Ukraine, Ambassador Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary of Ukraine Contacts: to France) website: http://ukraine-analytica.org/ e-mail: [email protected] Dr. -
Moldova: Freedom in the World 2021 Country Report | Freedom
FREEDOM IN THE WORLD 2021 Moldova 61 PARTLY FREE /100 Political Rights 26 /40 Civil Liberties 35 /60 LAST YEAR'S SCORE & STATUS 60 /100 Partly Free Global freedom statuses are calculated on a weighted scale. See the methodology. TOP Note The numerical scores and status listed above do not reflect conditions in Transnistria, which is examined in a separate report. Freedom in the World reports assess the level of political rights and civil liberties in a given geographical area, regardless of whether they are affected by the state, nonstate actors, or foreign powers. Disputed territories are sometimes assessed separately if they meet certain criteria, including boundaries that are sufficiently stable to allow year-on-year comparisons. For more information, see the report methodology and FAQ. Overview Moldova has a competitive electoral environment, and freedoms of assembly, speech, and religion are mostly protected. Nonetheless, pervasive corruption in the government sector, links between major political figures and powerful economic interests, as well as critical deficiencies in the justice sector and the rule of law continue to hamper democratic governance. Key Developments in 2020 • Former premier Maia Sandu of the Action and Solidarity Party (PAS) became Moldova’s first female president, defeating incumbent Igor Dodon in a free and fair two-round November election. • While authorities instituted largely proportional COVID-19-related restrictions, some businesses and individuals received arbitrary fines and the media regulator unsuccessfully attempted to limit journalists’ ability to quote unofficial sources. Nearly 144,000 COVID-19 cases and 3,000 deaths were recorded by year’s end. • Oligarch Vladimir Plahotniuc, who fled Moldova in 2019, was charged by TOP prosecutors for his alleged involvement in a banking scandal in May. -
Radical Right Challenges for Women's Rights and Counteraction Ratification
Radical right challenges for women’s rights and counteraction ratification of the Istanbul Convention in Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Moldova and Ukraine This publication was produced with the financial support of the European Union. Its contents are the sole responsibility of Non-Governmental Centre “Women’s Perspectives” and do not necessarily reflect the views of the European Union This report was developed in the frame of the project “Promotion of women's and feminist initiatives for ratification the Istanbul Convention and counteraction anti-gender initiatives in the region”, supported by The Secretariat of the Steering Committee of the Eastern Partnership Civil Society Forum and implemented by the Women's NGOs Network GenNeP in Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Moldova and Ukraine. The purpose of the research was to study the situation regarding right radical challenges for women's rights and counteraction ratification Istanbul Convention in EaP countries in order to develop the strategy for addressing religious and radical rights anti-gender initiatives focused against women's rights and ratification Istanbul Convention in EaP countries - in Azerbaijan, Armenia, Belarus, Georgia, Moldova and Ukraine. Focused further on developing a joint outreach plan for the Eastern Partnership Civil Society Forum and the Eastern Partnership National Civil Society Platforms to promote the implementation / ratification of the Istanbul Convention in the Eastern Partnership region. General overview of the situation in the region The women’s rights and feminist movement in Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Moldova and Ukraine has grown significantly in the last 10 years. Feminist organizations and initiatives are increasing in strength and influence; street marches are abundant; and, women's rights are being institutionalized.