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Calderdale Council and City of Bradford Metropolitan District Council Calder Valley Line - Making the Most of the Asset Draft Report

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Calderdale Council and City of Bradford Metropolitan District Council Calder Valley Line - Making the Most of the Asset Draft Report Calderdale Council and City of Bradford Metropolitan District Council Calder Valley Line - Making the Most of the Asset Draft Report 121525-49 Final | May 2011 Ove Arup & Partners Ltd This report takes into account the particular Admiral House instructions and requirements of our client. Rose Wharf It is not intended for and should not be relied 78 East Street upon by any third party and no responsibility is Leeds undertaken to any third party. LS9 8EE United Kingdom www.arup.com Job number 121525-49 Calderdale Council and City of Bradford Metropolitan District Council Calder Valley Line - Making the Most of the Asset Draft Report Contents Page 1 Introduction 1 1.1 Background 1 1.2 Strategic Role of the Calder Valley Line 2 1.3 Calder Valley Line Baseline Report 2 1.4 Purpose of this Study 3 2 Developing the Strategic Vision 5 2.1 Introduction 5 2.2 Existing Situation 6 2.3 Network Constraints 8 2.4 Emerging Rail Policy Framework 12 2.5 Main Themes Emerging from the Stakeholder Workshop 16 2.6 Timetable Study 20 2.7 Chapter Conclusions 22 3 Outputs from the Timetabling Study 23 3.1 Main Themes 23 3.2 Methodology 23 3.3 Interim Timetable Option 24 3.4 Proposed Long Term Timetable Specification 25 3.5 Variant Timetable Options 26 3.6 Potential Impact of Timetable Specification 28 3.7 Chapter Conclusions 30 4 Infrastructure Requirements 31 4.1 Introduction 31 4.2 Platform Capacity at Leeds 31 4.3 Signalling Headways 31 4.4 New Stations 32 4.5 Todmorden West Curve 32 4.6 Bradford to Manchester Journey Time Improvements 33 4.7 Bay Platforms 34 4.8 Freight Loops 35 4.9 Capital Costs 35 4.10 Chapter Conclusions 37 5 Rolling Stock Strategy 38 5.1 Introduction 38 5.2 Existing Situation 38 121525-49 | Final | 22 May 2011 N:\CONSULTING\TRANSPORT PLANNING\ADMIN\CALDER VALLEY\CALDER VALLEY LINE ENHANCEMENT STRATEGY_REDACTED (1) AIG.DOCX Calderdale Council and City of Bradford Metropolitan District Council Calder Valley Line - Making the Most of the Asset Draft Report 5.3 Interim Timetable - Rolling Stock Required 38 5.4 Preferred Timetable - Rolling Stock Required 38 5.5 Opportunities for Procurement of Additional Rolling Stock 39 5.6 Enhancing the Quality of Existing Rolling Stock 40 5.7 Longer Term Options to Enhance Rolling Stock 42 5.8 Chapter Conclusions 42 6 Station Facilities and Accessibility 43 6.1 Introduction 43 6.2 Context 43 6.3 Waiting Facilities at Stations 44 6.4 Opportunities to Expand Car Parking 45 6.5 Improved Bus / Rail Integration 48 6.6 Chapter Conclusions 52 7 Demand and Revenue Modelling 53 7.1 Background 53 7.2 Modelling the Impact of Timetable Revisions 54 7.3 Results of the Timetable Changes using MOIRA 55 7.4 New Journey Opportunities From Burnley 58 7.5 New Stations 59 7.6 Summary of the Demand and Revenue Forecasts 62 7.7 Ticketless Travel 62 7.8 Impact of the Interim Timetable Options 63 8 Scheme Appraisal 64 8.1 Introduction 64 8.2 Revenue Benefits 64 8.3 Highway Decongestion, Accident and Environmental Benefits 65 8.4 Journey Time Benefits 66 8.5 Rolling Stock Refurbishment 66 8.6 Wider Economic Impacts 66 8.7 Rail Service Operating Costs 67 8.8 Station Operating Costs 67 8.9 Capital Costs 68 8.10 Financial and Economic Appraisal for Preferred Timetable Specification 68 8.11 Sensitivity Tests 70 9 Conclusions and Recommendations 72 9.1 Introduction 72 9.2 Short Term 72 9.3 Medium to Long Term 73 121525-49 | Final | 22 May 2011 N:\CONSULTING\TRANSPORT PLANNING\ADMIN\CALDER VALLEY\CALDER VALLEY LINE ENHANCEMENT STRATEGY_REDACTED (1) AIG.DOCX Calderdale Council and City of Bradford Metropolitan District Council Calder Valley Line - Making the Most of the Asset Draft Report 9.4 Business Case 74 9.5 Stakeholder Engagement 75 9.6 Managing Risks and Dependencies 75 9.7 Requirements for Further Work 76 121525-49 | Final | 22 May 2011 N:\CONSULTING\TRANSPORT PLANNING\ADMIN\CALDER VALLEY\CALDER VALLEY LINE ENHANCEMENT STRATEGY_REDACTED (1) AIG.DOCX Calderdale Council and City of Bradford Metropolitan District Council Calder Valley Line - Making the Most of the Asset Draft Report 1 Introduction 1.1 Background Arup has been jointly appointed by Calderdale and Bradford Councils in conjunction with West Yorkshire PTE (Metro) to understand how improvements to the Calder Valley Line can support their strategic vision for economic growth. Both Councils, along with the other Districts, Metro and Greater Manchester PTE that are served by the Line, have ambitious plans to deliver sustainable (low carbon) housing and employment growth. Improving rail connectivity between Leeds, Bradford, Halifax, Rochdale and Manchester forms an important component to help deliver their economic strategies. The proposed study corridor is shown in Figure 1.1. Figure 1.1: Calder Valley Line Study Area Source: Arup proposals A Project Steering Group has been established to manage this study and co- ordinate consultation with wider stakeholders. The Project Board includes representation from the following organisations: • Bradford Council; • Calderdale Council; • Burnley Council; 121525-49 | Final | 22 May 2011 N:\CONSULTING\TRANSPORT PLANNING\ADMIN\CALDER VALLEY\CALDER VALLEY LINE ENHANCEMENT STRATEGY_REDACTED (1) AIG.DOCX Page 1 Calderdale Council and City of Bradford Metropolitan District Council Calder Valley Line - Making the Most of the Asset Draft Report • Kirklees Council; • Lancashire County Council; • Rochdale Council; • Transport for Greater Manchester and West Yorkshire Passenger Transport (specifiers of the Northern Rail franchise as co signatories in their role as ITAs); • Network Rail; • Northern Rail; • TransPennine Express; • Open access operators (Grand Central Railways, plus the proposed Alliance Rail). 1.2 Strategic Role of the Calder Valley Line The Leeds City Region Connectivity Study1 highlighted a number of constraints affecting the route, compared with other rail corridors. A Baseline Report was then completed in 20102 to highlight the constraints affecting the Calder Valley Line. The Calder Valley Line connects three of the largest cities in the UK, serving a catchment of around two million people, with the population projected to grow by more than 20% between 2010 and 2031 in some authorities. The Calder Valley Line connects the Leeds and Manchester City Regions that employ 2.7 million people, making the city regions fundamental to the economic success of the north of England. The cities of Leeds and Manchester alone generate approximately 420,000 and 310,000 jobs respectively. The lack of spare capacity on the parallel road network to accommodate the future housing and employment aspirations mean it is even more important to address the weaknesses affecting the Line. Improvements to the existing rail services would help to connect people to jobs and local amenities more effectively as part of a wider transport strategy for the corridor. Addressing the current constraints could reduce journey times, enhance service quality and simplify the timetable, helping to bring places closer together via a sustainable, low carbon transport mode. 1.3 Calder Valley Line Baseline Report The Baseline report highlighted some of the current constraints: • [REDACTED]; • [REDACTED]; • [REDACTED]; • [REDACTED]; 1 Leeds City Region Connectivity Study (June 2010). Prepared by Arup for the Leeds City Region Partnership (http://www.leedscityregion.gov.uk/research-and-publications/transport/) 2 Calderdale Line Making the Most of the Asset Baseline Analysis Report (October 2010). Prepared by Arup for Calderdale Council 121525-49 | Final | 22 May 2011 N:\CONSULTING\TRANSPORT PLANNING\ADMIN\CALDER VALLEY\CALDER VALLEY LINE ENHANCEMENT STRATEGY_REDACTED (1) AIG.DOCX Page 2 Calderdale Council and City of Bradford Metropolitan District Council Calder Valley Line - Making the Most of the Asset Draft Report • [REDACTED]; • [REDACTED]; • [REDACTED]; • [REDACTED]; • [REDACTED]; • [REDACTED]. Patronage growth during the last 10 years from most stations on the Calder Valley Line in West Yorkshire is lower compared with other rail corridors. Whilst the Yorkshire and Humber Route Utilisation Strategy and more recently the Northern RUS have partially addressed some of the limitations affecting the route, further work is needed to identify and deliver a package of improvements to transform the Calder Valley Line to help meet the economic aspirations. A response to Network Rail has been prepared by stakeholders regarding the current proposals set out in the Northern RUS. 1.4 Purpose of this Study One of the main objectives of this study is to develop a Strategic Vision for the Calder Valley Line. Improving the rail linkages to the Leeds and Manchester City Regions will help to generate significant economic benefits, as demonstrated by research conducted by the Northern Way3 as well as contributing towards low carbon reduction plans. There are several important milestones that could offer a framework to develop the Line, including • proposed changes to the franchising regime that will affect Northern Rail along with the new franchise from September 2013; • the McNulty Value for Money Rail Review; • the development of the Northern Hub; • the ‘open access’ service proposals for the Line; • electrification proposals that could facilitate rolling stock cascades. A phased timetable of improvements is required that takes account of the above changes and opportunities. Emerging proposals to develop the Calder Valley Line must be linked to a coherent wider set of objectives to demonstrate how they complement and support the delivery of wider policies. The work to develop a Strategic Vision for the Line comprises several components: • development of an initial timetable specification to assess the potential scope to amend the current service patterns; • complete an initial assessment of the incremental change in demand and revenue that could be generated by the above proposals; • examine the implications arising from current station accessibility and any requirements to procure additional rolling stock; 3 "Strengthening Economic Linkages between Leeds and Manchester: Feasibility and Implications" (November 2009).
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