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Meteorological Society of New Zealand (Inc.) Meteorological Society of New Zealand Newsletter #136 Mar 2014 - Page 1 ISSN 0111-1736 Meteorological Society Of New Zealand (Inc.) NEWSLETTER 136 MARCH 2014 Meteorological Society of New Zealand Newsletter #136 Mar 2014 - Page 2 Meteorological Society Of New Zealand (Inc.) NEWSLETTER 136 MARCH 2014 PO Box 6523, Marion Square, Wellington 6141, New Zealand Please forward contributions to Bob McDavitt, [email protected] CONTENTS Page Climatic Poetry 3 UV Conference 4 WMO world report (courtesy of Hot Topic) 5 NEMS 6 Around the Regions in Summer 6-8 Summer 2014 (NIWA + Ben Tichborne) 9 -16 Summer 2014 pick of the clips 17—43 Your Committee President Sam Dean Immediate Past President Andrew Tait Auckland VP Jennifer Salmond Wellington VP James Renwick Christchurch VP Simon Parsons(provisional) Dunedin VP Daniel Kingston Secretary Katrina Richards Treasurer Andrew Tait Circulation Manager Sylvia Nichol Journal Editor Brian Giles/Jennifer Salmond Newsletter Editor Bob McDavitt Wedmaster James Sturman HydroSoc Liaison: Charles Pearson General Committee Mike Revell Kim Dirks James Lunny Views and endorsements expressed in this newsletter are those of the contributors and advertisers, and not necessarily those of the Meteorological Society of New Zealand. The mention of specific companies or products does not imply that they are endorsed or recommended by the Society. Meteorological Society of New Zealand Newsletter #136 Mar 2014 - Page 3 No More Dams for Hot Air there’s a great lake where pristine forest meets the shore and water rushes through turbines at the base of the dam that drowned the trees in a rising tide of electricity trees that exhale oxygen no more there’s a fire box that relies on teeth of a chainsaw to feed it’s hungry maw to fire up it’s belly with pieces of carcasses from sacrificial trees that inhale carbon dioxide no more then there’s the town’s folk who stay warm while they snore behind their closed door in their artificial environments away from the trees from nature’s harsh realities converting oxygen into carbon dioxide for evermore Poetry from ‘Scott Thirtyseven’ at http://www.poetrysoup.com/poems_poets/poems_by_poet.aspx?ID=37779 Ode to Autumn by John Keats : Season of mists and mellow fruitfulness! Close bosom -friend of the maturing sun; Meteorological Society of New Zealand Newsletter #136 Mar 2014 - Page 4 WMO 2013 climate summary: Laws of physics not negotiable, extremes to be expected on a warming planet Hot Topic 24 March 2014 ( www. Hot -topic.co.nz The World Meteorological Organisation’s (WMO) state of the climate report for 2013 was released on Sunday, and provides a very useful overview of last year’s weather and climate events. It confirms that 2013 was the 6th warmest year in the long term record (tied with 2007), that 13 of the 14 warmest years in that record have occurred this century 1, and that the litany of extreme weather events that struck the planet is in line with what would be expected on a warming planet. WMO Secretary -General Michel Jarraud said: There is no standstill in global warming. The warming of our oceans has accelerated, and at lower depths. More than 90 percent of the excess energy trapped by greenhouse gases is stored in the oceans. Levels of these greenhouse gases are at record levels, meaning that our atmosphere and oceans will continue to warm for centuries to come. The laws of physics are non -negotiable. On extremes, Jarraud was equally direct: …many of the extreme events of 2013 were consistent with what we would expect as a result of human - induced climate change. We saw heavier precipitation, more intense heat, and more damage from storm surges and coastal flooding as a result of sea level rise – as Typhoon Haiyan so tragically demonstrated in the Philippines. Here’s the full list of the WMO’s key climate events of 2013: Typhoon Haiyan (Yolanda), one of the strongest storms to ever make landfall, devastated parts of the cen- tral Philippines. Surface air temperatures over land in the Southern Hemisphere were very warm, with widespread heat waves; Australia saw record warmth for the year, and Argentina its second warmest year and New Zealand its third warmest. Frigid polar air plummeted into parts of Europe and the southeast United States. Angola, Botswana and Namibia were gripped by severe drought. Heavy monsoon rains led to severe floods on the India -Nepal border. Heavy rains and floods impacted northeast China and the eastern Russian Federation. Heavy rains and floods affected Sudan and Somalia. Major drought affected southern China. Northeastern Brazil experienced its worst drought in the past 50 years. The widest tornado ever observed struck El Reno, Oklahoma in the United States. Extreme precipitation led to severe floods in Europe’s Alpine region and in Austria, Czech Republic, Ger- many, Poland, and Switzerland. Israel, Jordan, and Syria were struck by unprecedented snowfall. Greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere reached record highs. The global oceans reached new record high sea levels. The Antarctic sea ice extent reached a record daily maximum. The WMO has published a very nifty interactive map of the year’s notable events Clicking on individual events brings up a pop -up with details of what happened. Well worth exploring. Meanwhile, the prospects for 2014 and 2015 are becoming more “interesng” with each passing week. The chances of the tropical Pacific slipping into El Niño mode are increasing according the Bureau of Me- teorology in Australia and NOAA in the US. El Niño years are generally associated with a spike in global temperature and increased extreme weather events. The 15 warmest years have all happened since 1998 -=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=- Meteorological Society of New Zealand Newsletter #136 Mar 2014 - Page 6 Notice from NIWA re NEMS - New Zealand Data Exchange Standard for Meteorology and Hydrology Hi all This is to inform you on current ongoing activities to develop a “New Zealand Data Exchange Standard for Meteorology and Hydrology” 1 We (a number of CRIs and Regional Councils) organized a workshop “On -line data exchange and analy- sis for Meteorology and Hydrology, 18th November 2013, Palmerston North” as part of the 2013 HydSoc/ MetSoc annual conference. (see https://docs.google.com/file/d/0B7kD6EAUIN1RR0p3d1U0T1NVZ3c/ edit?usp=sha...) Major outcome from the workshop was the need for a cross -sector, national standard for the exchange of hydrological and meteorological time series data. 2 We got endorsement from the National Environmental Monitoring Standards (NEMS) steering commit- tee for the development of such a standard as a NEMS standard. The standard will be developed to be con- sistent with existing international standards and activities. 3 We have formed a workgroup (Regional Councils, CRIs, Energy companies) with the aim to develop a draft standard and had a first meeting this January in Taupo. As result from this meeting we have draft standard documents which we circulate with relevant stakeholders for first comments. https://teamwork.niwa.co.nz/display/NZEIIF/Expert+workshop+on+developing... 4 Further plans: - Discuss the draft standard at the upcoming hydrosoc workshop in New Plymouth. - Distribute the draft standard to the wider community for feedback. - Second workgroup meeting with a focus on building test implementations. - Final NEMS draft by September. - Workshop at next HydSoc Annual Conference with launching the standard and demonstrating use cases. For any questions feel free to contact me. Jochen Schmidt, Chief Scientist Environmental Information, NIWA, [email protected], +64 -(0) 27 298 5886 (on behalf of the workgroup and NEMS Steering committee) Dr Jochen Schmidt Chief Scien- tist - Environmental Information +64 -3-343 -8058 | +64 -27 -298 -5886 | 10 Kyle Street, Riccarton, Christ- church | www.niwa.co.nz -=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-= AROUND THE REGIONS ( Seminars offered to members in the past few months) Wellington 13 MARCH: 13 March (cancelled) Climate change 101: fakes from facts & what climate change means for Wellington A Chalkle class with Jerome Cameron at Enspiral Space, Level 2, 22 Allen Street from 5.30pm This spot had to be cancelled due to teacher illness. 13 March: Seminar - Climate Change and Potential Economic Impacts in Ireland: The Case for Adaptation Speaker: Dr Stephen Flood, Post -Doctoral Fellow, Climate Change Research Institute, Victoria University of Wellington This seminar presented the highlights of Stephen’s PhD thesis, completed in the National University of Ire- land Maynooth in 2012 under Professor John Sweeney. The works explores a number of key economic impacts associated with climate change in Ireland. It begins by examining the idea of climate change as a so called “wicked problem”, and in turn investigates uncertainty, the importance of ethics in economic val- uation, and the complexities associated with creating economic assessments, formulating policy and carry- ing out appropriate action. Drawing on sustainability science the terms resilience, vulnerability and adap- tive capacity are also discussed, defined and engaged with. Key results, associated with both potential climate impact and adaptation costs, were presented from global and regional integrated assessment models and in turn vulnerable Irish sectors are uncovered. The following bottom -up approach explores key vulnerabilities in Ireland in the areas of coastal exposure, wetland vulnerability and inland flooding. Digital Terrain Modelling is used in conjunction with a range of datasets to examine vulnerabilities relating to coastal land, commercial and residential property addresses, insurance claim costs, as well as wetland and species vulnerability. It should be noted that the results pre- sented are cognisant of the limitations of monetary evaluation alone as a measure of potential climate im- Meteorological Society of New Zealand Newsletter #136 Mar 2014 - Page 7 pacts. Finally, the implications of these results for decision -making in relation to adaptation planning were dis- cussed, along with avenues for potential future work.
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