Comparing the Effectiveness of Six Methods of Misinformation Delivery

Total Page:16

File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb

Comparing the Effectiveness of Six Methods of Misinformation Delivery The medium and the message: Comparing the effectiveness of six methods of misinformation delivery in an eyewitness memory paradigm Ciara M. Greene1*, Richard Bradshaw1, Charlotte Huston2 & Gillian Murphy2 1 School of Psychology, University College Dublin, Ireland 2 School of Applied Psychology, University College Cork, Ireland *Corresponding author. Please send correspondence to [email protected] Data availability: The data and materials associated with this paper may be found at https://osf.io/vgqw4/. This paper is currently in press at the Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied 1 Abstract Studies of eyewitness memory commonly employ variations on a standard misinformation paradigm. Participants are 1) exposed to an event (e.g. a simulated crime), 2) misled about certain details of the event and 3) questioned about their memory of the original event. Misinformation may be provided in the second step via a range of methods. Here, we directly compared the effectiveness of six misinformation delivery methods – leading questions, elaborate leading questions, doctored photographs, simple narratives, scrambled narratives, and missing word narratives. We presented 1182 participants with a video of a simulated robbery and randomly assigned them to receive misinformation about two out of four critical details via one of these methods. In line with the levels of processing account of memory, we report that methods that encourage deeper processing of misinformation result in more memory distortions. Contrary to previous reports, doctored photographs were not a successful method of implanting misinformation. The six delivery methods resulted in minimal differences in confidence and metamemory estimates, but participants were more likely to notice the presence of misinformation in the simple narrative condition. We conclude with suggestions for the selection of an appropriate method of misinformation delivery in future studies. Public Significance Statement Decades of research has shown that providing an eyewitness with inaccurate information about a crime that they witnessed can distort their memory and future testimony. This study compares the effect of six different methods of delivering this misinformation to an eyewitness. The results of this study will benefit researchers in this field, and provide important evidence about how exposure to different kinds of information after witnessing a crime can influence an eyewitness in the real world. Keywords: Misinformation; eyewitness memory; levels of processing; leading questions; doctored photographs 2 3 INTRODUCTION Decades of research have demonstrated that memory for experienced events can be distorted by the provision of post-event misinformation (Frenda et al., 2011). Evidence for this misinformation effect has been demonstrated in a range of experimental paradigms, however a typical study follows a three-part procedure. First, participants are exposed to an initial stimulus – for example, a video or slideshow depicting a crime. Next, misinformation is presented, often in the form of leading questions or a misleading narrative description of the initial event. Finally, the participant is asked to report details of the original event, usually via a questionnaire or interview. Studies employing this paradigm frequently find that participants report elements of the misinformation during the final memory test (Loftus, 2005). The source monitoring framework (Johnson et al., 1993; Mitchell & Johnson, 2000) provides one account of how misinformation influences memory. According to this model, individuals evaluate the perceptual and semantic characteristics of mental experiences in order to infer the source of the experience. For example, if someone has merely imagined an event, there will often be limited temporal, spatial and semantic information associated with the memory, while the opposite is true of lived experiences. In the context of false memories like those created in misinformation studies, this source monitoring process fails; individuals attribute the semantic, perceptual or emotional characteristics arising from one source to another, incorrect source (Lindsay & Johnson, 2000; Zaragoza & Lane, 1994). One important determinant of the likelihood of source monitoring errors is the similarity between different sources. Where there is considerable overlap between sources – for example, between a witnessed event and the post-event description of it – source misattributions may be more likely (Mitchell & Johnson, 2000). If the degree to which individuals experience source confusion depends in part on the nature of the post-event source, it becomes important to consider the means by which misinformation is delivered to participants. 4 Misinformation delivery methods Early studies of the misinformation effect typically used leading questions to deliver post-event information (e.g. Dodd & Bradshaw, 1980; Loftus, 1975; Loftus et al., 1978; Loftus & Palmer, 1974). A notable example of this can be found in a study by Loftus et al. (1978) in which participants viewed a slide showing a car stopped at a Yield sign. Having been exposed to the misleading question, “Did another car pass the red Datsun while it was stopped at the Stop sign?”, many participants later affirmed that the initial slide showed a Stop sign. The aim of these studies was often to demonstrate that hints and assumptions embedded in an investigator’s question could influence the responses of eyewitnesses to real-world crimes; see Loftus (2005) for an overview of much of this research. In other studies, misinformation is delivered via a narrative account of the event that contains misleading descriptions of the initial stimulus (e.g. McCloskey & Zaragoza, 1985). Typically, participants in these studies are instructed to respond to subsequent questions with reference to their memory of the initial stimulus, rather than the post-event narrative, and are sometimes explicitly informed that the narrative may be misleading. Participants who subsequently report memories of having experienced stimuli that were in fact only suggested to them can therefore be considered to have experienced source confusion (Zaragoza & Lane, 1994). Narratives are sometimes presented in the form of newspaper accounts of a crime (e.g. Paterson & Kemp, 2006), or are introduced as the testimony of another witness to the event (Gabbert et al., 2004; Meade & Roediger, 2002). In some cases, participants are simply required to read or listen to this misleading narrative (Eakin et al., 2003; Echterhoff et al., 2007; Greene et al., 2020; Stark et al., 2010; Zhu, Chen, Loftus, Lin, He, Chen, Li, Xue, et al., 2010); in others, they are required to engage more deeply with the material, for example by rearranging a scrambled narrative into chronological order (Jaschinski & Wentura, 2002; Luna & Martín‐ Luengo, 2012; Zaragoza & Lane, 1994, Experiment 2). 5 Altered photographs of a witnessed event or scene are another commonly-used form of misinformation. Photographs provide a visual image of the misinformation, and may therefore have considerable perceptual overlap with the memory of the original event. This source similarity might be expected to produce a greater rate of source misattributions (Johnson et al., 1993; Mitchell & Johnson, 2000), and indeed, evidence suggests that the closer misinformation becomes to the qualities of a real memory, the more fluently it will be recalled and accepted (Garry & Gerrie, 2005; Nash et al., 2009; Whittlesea, 1993). Viewing photographs of a scene makes people believe they have been there before when they visit for the first time (Brown & Marsh, 2008), and presenting photographs of an action that participants had only imagined completing resulted in an increase in participants ‘remembering’ having actually completed the action (Henkel & Carbuto, 2008; Nash et al., 2009). Similarly, participants who watched a video of an event and then viewed photographs of the scene that included items that were not present in the original video were more likely to falsely remember having seen those items in the video (Koutstaal et al., 1999; Schacter et al., 1997). Research suggests misinformation is more likely to be accepted if it comes from a credible source (Dodd & Bradshaw, 1980; French et al., 2011; Scoboria et al., 2012). Photos are unique compared to other media in their apparent provision of ‘proof’ that the depicted event actually occurred; despite individuals’ awareness of how easily photographs can be altered, they are often viewed as a particularly credible form of evidence (Nash, 2018). An example of this is seen in the so-called ‘truthiness’ effect, whereby the inclusion of a non-probative photograph increases belief in inaccurate information (Fenn et al., 2013; Newman et al., 2012). Recent advances in digital photographic editing technology have allowed researchers to present participants with doctored photographs from their childhood, showing, for example, the participant taking a ride in a hot-air balloon with a relative. These methods have been found to result in a high rate of false memories for the fabricated event (Strange et al., 2008; Strange et al., 2006; Wade et al., 2002). Similar methods 6 have demonstrated the power of doctored images to produce false memories of public events (Frenda et al., 2013; Nash, 2018; Sacchi et al., 2007). Perhaps surprisingly then, research has suggested that misleading narratives may produce more false memories than doctored photographs. Garry and Wade (2005) exposed participants
Recommended publications
  • How Self-Relevant Imagination Affects Memory for Behaviour
    APPLIED COGNITIVE PSYCHOLOGY Appl. Cognit. Psychol. 21: 69–86 (2007) Published online 10 July 2006 in Wiley InterScience (www.interscience.wiley.com). DOI: 10.1002/acp.1270 How Self-Relevant Imagination Affects Memory for Behaviour AYANNA K. THOMAS1*, DEBORAH E. HANNULA2 and ELIZABETH F. LOFTUS3 1Colby College, USA 2University of California, Davis, USA 3University of California, Irvine, USA SUMMARY Research has demonstrated that imagination can be used to affect behaviour and also to distort memory, yet few studies have examined whether the effects of imagination on behavioural estimates and memory are related. In two experiments, the effects of imagination on self-reported behaviour and subsequent memory for that behaviour were investigated. A comparison of behavioural estimates collected before and after imagination demonstrated that reported estimates of behaviour changed after imagination. In addition, memory for the original estimates of behaviour was also affected, suggesting that imagination may impair one’s ability to remember originally reported behaviour. Experiment 2 demonstrated that the observed changes in reported behaviour were accompanied by the largest errors in memory for originally reported behaviour when participants generate images based on self-relevant scenarios. On the other hand, memory distortion was minimized when participants read but did not imagine self-relevant scenarios. These results have direct application to clinicians and researchers who employ imagination techniques as behavioural modifiers, and suggest that techniques that are self-relevant but do not include imagery may be a useful alternative to imagination. Copyright # 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. For decades, researchers have been interested in whether imagination, or mental simulation, can influence how we plan, perform, study and behave.
    [Show full text]
  • 7.1 Memory Systems
    Psychological Science – Chapter 7: Memory 7.1 Memory Systems • Memory is a collection of several systems that store information in different forms for differing amounts of time. • The Atkinson-Shiffrin Model o Memory is a multistage process. Information flows through a brief sensory memory store into short-term memory, where rehearsal encodes it to long-term memory for permanent storage. Memories are retrieved from long-term memory and brought into short-term storage for further processing. o The Atkinson-Shiffrin model includes three memory stores: sensory memory, short-term memory (STM), and long- term memory (LTM). o Stores retain information in memory without using it for any specific purpose. o Control processes shift information from one memory store to another. o Some information in STM goes through encoding, the process of storing information in the LTM system. o Retrieval brings information from LTM back into STM. This happens when you become aware of existing memories, such as what you did last week. • Sensory memory is a memory store that accurately holds perceptual information for a very brief amount of time. o Iconic memory is the visual form of sensory memory and is held for about one-half to one second. o Echoic memory is the auditory form of sensory memory and is held for considerably longer, but still only about five seconds. o Iconic memory can be detected in a memory experiment: the whole report and partial report conditions. In the whole report condition, researchers flash a grid of latters on a screen for a split second and participants attempt to recall as many as possible – the whole screen.
    [Show full text]
  • Crashing Memory 2.0: False Memories in Adults for an Upsetting Childhood Event
    UC Irvine UC Irvine Previously Published Works Title Crashing Memory 2.0: False Memories in Adults for an Upsetting Childhood Event Permalink https://escholarship.org/uc/item/6vx8w81s Journal Applied Cognitive Psychology, 30(1) ISSN 0888-4080 Authors Patihis, L Loftus, EF Publication Date 2015 DOI 10.1002/acp.3165 Peer reviewed eScholarship.org Powered by the California Digital Library University of California Applied Cognitive Psychology, Appl. Cognit. Psychol. 30:41–50 (2016) Published online 15 September 2015 in Wiley Online Library (wileyonlinelibrary.com) DOI: 10.1002/acp.3165 Crashing Memory 2.0: False Memories in Adults for an Upsetting Childhood Event LAWRENCE PATIHIS1* and ELIZABETH F. LOFTUS2 1University of Southern Mississippi, Hattiesburg, USA 2University of California, Irvine, USA Summary: Previous crashing memory studies have shown that adults can be led to believe they witnessed video footage of news events for which no video footage actually exists. The current study is the first to investigate adults’ tendency to report memories of viewing footage that took place when they were children: the plane crash in Pennsylvania on 11 September 2001. We found that in a computer questionnaire, 33% indicated a false memory with at least one false detail. In a more detailed face-to-face interview, only 13% of the group described a detailed false memory. Familiarity with the news story, fantasy proneness, alcohol use, and frequency of negative emotions after 9/11 were all associated with a Persistent False Memory. Participants who had received prior suggestion were more likely to later report false memories in the subsequent interview. We discuss our novel results and the importance of the paradigm.
    [Show full text]
  • Imagination Reduces False Memories for Everyday Action Sentences: Evidence from Pragmatic Inferences
    ORIGINAL RESEARCH published: 20 August 2021 doi: 10.3389/fpsyg.2021.668899 Imagination Reduces False Memories for Everyday Action Sentences: Evidence From Pragmatic Inferences María J. Maraver *, Ana Lapa , Leonel Garcia-Marques , Paula Carneiro and Ana Raposo CICPSI, Faculdade de Psicologia, Universidade de Lisboa, Lisbon, Portugal Human memory can be unreliable, and when reading a sentence with a pragmatic implication, such as “the karate champion hit the cinder block,” people often falsely remember that the karate champion “broke” the cinder block. Yet, research has shown that encoding instructions affect the false memories we form. On the one hand, instructing participants to imagine themselves manipulating the to-be-recalled items increase false Edited by: Rui Paulo, memories (imagination inflation effect). But on the other hand, instructions to imagine Bath Spa University, United Kingdom have reduced false memories in the DRM paradigm (imagination facilitation effect). Here, Reviewed by: we explored the effect of imaginal encoding with pragmatic inferences, a way to study Marie Geurten, false memories for information about everyday actions. Across two experiments, University of Liège, Belgium Marek Nieznan´ski, we manipulated imaginal encoding through the instructions given to participants and the Cardinal Stefan Wyszyn´ski University, after-item filler task (none vs. math operations). In Experiment 1, participants were either Poland Naveen Kashyap, assigned to the encoding condition of imagine + no filler; pay attention + math; or Indian Institute of Technology memorize + math. In Experiment 2, the encoding instructions (imagine vs. memorize) and Guwahati, India the filler task (none vs. math) were compared across four separate conditions. Results *Correspondence: from the two experiments showed that imagination instructions lead to better memory, María J.
    [Show full text]
  • UNIVERSITY of CALIFORNIA, IRVINE Not All False Memories Are
    UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, IRVINE Not All False Memories Are Created Equal DISSERTATION submitted in partial satisfaction of the requirements for the degree of DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY in Psychology and Social Behavior by Rebecca Michelle Nichols Dissertation Committee: Professor Elizabeth F. Loftus, Ph.D., Chair Professor Peter H. Ditto, Ph.D. Professor Linda J. Levine, Ph.D. 2014 © 2014 Rebecca Michelle Nichols TABLE OF CONTENTS Page LIST OF FIGURES v LIST OF TABLES vi ACKNOWLEDGMENTS vii CURRICULUM VITAE viii ABSTRACT OF THE DISSERTATION xiii INTRODUCTION 1 LITERATURE REVIEW 2 The Misinformation Effect 2 The Deese-Roediger-McDermott (DRM) Paradigm 4 Rich False Memories: Imagination Inflation 9 Relatedness of Paradigms 13 AIMS OF THE RESEARCH 17 METHOD 18 Participants 18 Materials: False Memory Paradigms 19 Materials: Individual Difference Measures 23 Procedure 24 RESULTS: False Memory Paradigms 26 The Misinformation Paradigm 27 The Deese-Roediger-McDermott (DRM) Paradigm 28 The Imagination Inflation Paradigm 30 Discussion 34 RESULTS: Relationships Among False Memories in All Three Paradigms 35 The Misinformation and DRM Paradigms 35 The Misinformation and Imagination Inflation Paradigms 36 The DRM and Imagination Inflation Paradigms 37 Confidence 39 Discussion 39 RESULTS: Individual Difference Predictors 43 The Misinformation Paradigm 43 ii The DRM Paradigm 43 The Imagination Inflation Paradigm 45 Discussion 47 GENERAL DISCUSSION 50 Practical Implications 54 Strengths, Limitations, and Future Directions 55 Concluding Remarks 59 REFERENCES
    [Show full text]
  • False Memories About Food Can Lead to Food Avoidance
    Social Cognition, Vol. 23, No. 1, 2005, pp. 11-34 BERNSTEINCONSEQUENCES ET AL. OF FALSE FOOD MEMORIES FALSE MEMORIES ABOUT FOOD CAN LEAD TO FOOD AVOIDANCE Daniel M. Bernstein University of Washington Cara Laney, Erin K. Morris, and Elizabeth F. Loftus University of California, Irvine In two experiments, we suggested to 336 participants that as children they had be- come ill after eating either hard–boiled eggs or dill pickles. Eighty–three additional control participants in Experiment 1 received no suggestion. In both experiments, participants’ confidence increased in line with the suggestion. In the second ex- periment, we used a pretest/posttest design and found that enhanced confidence was accompanied by avoidance of the relevant food item. These results demon- strate that adults can be led to believe falsely that eating certain foods as children made them sick and that such false beliefs can have consequences. “Who...cancloythehungryedgeofappetitebybareimaginationof afeast” (from The Tragedy of King Richard the Second, Act I, Scene III). People often misremember their past. Misleading details can be planted into a person’s memory for an event that actually occurred (e.g., Loftus & Palmer, 1974; see Ayers & Reder, 1998, for review). It also is possible to plant entirely false memories, or what we call “rich false memories” (Loftus & Bernstein, 2005). In one of the first studies of rich false memories, participants were led to believe that they had been lost in a shopping mall for an extended period of time before be- ing reunited with their parents (Loftus & Pickrell, 1995). In other work, participants falsely remembered spilling a punch bowl at a wedding This research was supported by the National Institutes of Health (Grant NRSA 1F32 MH64264–01).
    [Show full text]
  • How Advertising Can Change Our Memories of the Past
    MAR WILEJ RIGHT INTERACTIVE Top of text Make My Memory: How Top of CT Advertising Can Change Our Memories of the Past Kathryn A. Braun Harvard Business School Rhiannon Ellis University of Pittsburgh Elizabeth F. Loftus University of Washington ABSTRACT Marketers use autobiographical advertising as a means to create nostalgia for their products. This research explores whether such referencing can cause people to believe that they had experiences as children that are mentioned in the ads. In Experiment 1, participants viewed an ad for Disney that suggested that they shook hands with Mickey Mouse as a child. Relative to controls, the ad increased their confidence that they personally had shaken hands with Mickey as a child at a Disney resort. The increased confidence could be due to a revival of a true memory or the creation of a new, false one. In Experiment 2, participants viewed an ad for Disney that suggested that they shook hands with an impossible character (e.g., Bugs Bunny). Again, relative to controls, the ad increased confidence that they personally had shaken hands with the impossible character as a child at a Disney resort. The increased confidence is consistent with the notion that autobiographical referencing can lead to the creation of false or distorted memory. ᭧ 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Base of text Psychology & Marketing ᭧ 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Vol. 19(1):1–23 (January 2002) 1 Base of DF MAR WILEJ LEFT INTERACTIVE Top of text Advertisers play off consumers’ memories and emotions through the use Base of text of autobiographical referencing. The use of such referencing can cause consumers to focus less on rational product information and more on the feelings evoked by their recollected memories (Sujan, Bettman, & Baumgartner, 1993).
    [Show full text]
  • Mechanics of Memory – a Review
    INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL FOR INNOVATIVE RESEARCH IN MULTIDISCIPLINARY FIELD ISSN – 2455-0620 Volume - 2, Issue - 9, Sept - 2016 MECHANICS OF MEMORY – A REVIEW Pampori, Z. A. and Malla, W. A Division of Veterinary Physiology, SKUAST-Kashmir, Alusteng, Srinagar, Kashmir, J&K State, India. Email - [email protected] Abstract: The interaction of living organisms between themselves and with the environment is essential for survival. The communication among different living species involves the integrity of central nervous system which generates brain activity such as arousal, attention, learning and memory. Moreover, face perception and recognition of faces are fundamental brain processes for human relationship. The ability to hold objects in memory is essential to intelligent behavior, but its neural basis still remains poorly understood. Advances in neuroscience research for past two decades have contributed to clarify the intricate puzzle about brain recognizing objects. Key words: Biology of memory, Construction of memory, Neurophysiology of memory, Types of memory. INTRODUCTION: Memory provides an organism the competence to learn and adapt from previous experiences as well as build relationships. Memories make you feel comfortable with familiar people and surroundings, tie your past with your present, and provide a framework for the future. Most people talk about memory as if it is a thing or part of a body, like bad eyes or a good head of hair. But it does not exist as a "thing" that you can touch. It is a concept that refers to the process of remembering. The most difficult problem in discussing memory and one of the mysteries of the brain is neural basis of memory.
    [Show full text]
  • Visual Imagery on False Memories
    Running head: VISUAL IMAGERY ON FALSE MEMORIES ___________________________________________________________________________ This is an Author’s Original Manuscript. This article has been accepted for publication (19 Feb 2021) in Memory published by Taylor & Francis. The final version of the article is available online: https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/09658211.2021.1895221. 50 free online copies of the final version of the article are available at https://www.tandfonline.com/eprint/GZSWHQ5IAKF7SCZCTYMJ/full?target=10.108 ____________________________________________________________________0/09658211.2021.1895221 _______ Effect of visual imagery on false memories in DRM and Misinformation paradigms Frédérique Robin1 Emmanuelle Ménétrier2 Brice Beffara Bret1 1 Laboratoire de Psychologie des Pays de la Loire (LPPL-EA4638), Université de Nantes, Nantes 44000, France 2 Laboratoire de Psychologie des Pays de la Loire (LPPL-EA4638), Université d’Angers, Angers 49045, France Correspondence concerning this manuscript should be adressed to: Frédérique ROBIN, Faculté de Psychologie, LPPL – Laboratoire de Psychologie des Pays de la Loire, Université de Nantes, Chemin de la Censive du Tertre, BP 81227, 44312 Nantes Cedex 3, France. E- Mail: [email protected] 1 Abstract This study is an extension of recent research, which examined the possibility that false memories in the Deese-Roediger-McDermott (DRM) paradigm predict the occurrence of false memories in misinformation paradigm. The purpose was to determine in which extent an imaging instruction reduces false memories in DRM and Misinformation paradigms. A sample of young adults was assigned to the DRM or the misinformation tasks, either in control conditions or in conditions including an imaging instruction. Findings confirm that an imaging instruction decreases false memories in DRM whereas it is not possible to conclude about such a reduction in the misinformation task.
    [Show full text]
  • False Memories in Highly Superior Autobiographical Memory Individuals
    False memories in highly superior autobiographical memory individuals Lawrence Patihisa,1, Steven J. Frendaa, Aurora K. R. LePortb,c, Nicole Petersenb,c, Rebecca M. Nicholsa, Craig E. L. Starkb,c, James L. McGaughb,c, and Elizabeth F. Loftusa aDepartment of Psychology and Social Behavior, bDepartment of Neurobiology and Behavior, and cCenter for the Neurobiology of Learning and Memory, University of California, Irvine, CA 92697 Edited by George Sperling, University of California, Irvine, CA, and approved October 22, 2013 (received for review July 29, 2013) The recent identification of highly superior autobiographical memory and the cellist Jacqueline du Pré died that day.” HSAM indi- (HSAM) raised the possibility that there may be individuals who viduals can remember what happened on a day a decade ago are immune to memory distortions. We measured HSAM partic- better than most people can remember a day a month ago. In ipants’ and age- and sex-matched controls’ susceptibility to false some ways, these abilities seem to be at odds with what we know memories using several research paradigms. HSAM participants about the reconstructive, unreliable, and malleable processes and controls were both susceptible to false recognition of non- underlying memory in people with typical memory. presented critical lure words in an associative word-list task. In a HSAM abilities are distinct from previously described superior- misinformation task, HSAM participants showed higher overall memory individuals (22–25) who typically rely upon practiced false memory compared with that of controls for details in a pho- mnemonics to remember unusually long lists of domain-specific tographic slideshow. HSAM participants were equally as likely as data, yet remain average in their ability to retrieve autobio- controls to mistakenly report they had seen nonexistent footage graphical information.
    [Show full text]
  • Imagination Inflation: a Statistical Artifact of Regression Toward the Mean
    Memory & Cognition 2001, 29 (5), 707-718 Imagination inflation: A statistical artifact of regression toward the mean KATHY PEZDEK and REBECCA M. EDDY Claremont Graduate University, Claremont, California In the imagination inflation procedure of Garry, Manning, Loftus, and Sherman (1996), subjects rated a list of events in terms of how likely each was to have occurred in their childhood. Two weeks later, some of the events were imagined; control events were not. The subjects then rated the likelihood of occurrence for each event a second time. Garry et al. (1996) reported that the act of imagining the tar- get events led to increased ratings of likelihood. This finding has been interpreted as indicating that false events can be suggestivelyplanted in memory by simply having people imagine them. The present study tests and confirms the hypothesis that the results that have been attributed to imagination infla- tion are simply a statisticalartifactof regressiontoward the mean. The experiment of Garry et al. (1996) was reproduced (with some procedural changes), using younger and older adults. The results of Garry et al. (1996) were replicated; likelihood ratings for events initially rated low in likelihood did increase from Time 1 to Time 2. However, ratings for events initially rated high in likelihood decreased under the same conditions, and these results were consistent with the imagined target events, the target events not imagined, and the nontarget events. Regression toward the mean is an artifact that as easily events and asked them to “think real hard about each” fools statistical experts as lay people. The universal phe- event and “try to remember if it really happened.” In the nomenon of regression toward the mean is just as univer- initial session, 44% of the children 3–4 years of age and sally misunderstood.Regressiontoward the mean is a very 25% of the children 5–6 years of age remembered at least subtlephenomenonand easy to miss.
    [Show full text]
  • Durham Research Online
    Durham Research Online Deposited in DRO: 05 February 2019 Version of attached le: Published Version Peer-review status of attached le: Peer-reviewed Citation for published item: Puddifoot, Katherine and Bortolotti, Lisa (2019) 'Epistemic innocence and the production of false memory beliefs.', Philosophical studies., 176 (3). pp. 755-780. Further information on publisher's website: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11098-018-1038-2 Publisher's copyright statement: c The Author(s) 2018 Open Access This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. Additional information: Use policy The full-text may be used and/or reproduced, and given to third parties in any format or medium, without prior permission or charge, for personal research or study, educational, or not-for-prot purposes provided that: • a full bibliographic reference is made to the original source • a link is made to the metadata record in DRO • the full-text is not changed in any way The full-text must not be sold in any format or medium without the formal permission of the copyright holders. Please consult the full DRO policy for further details. Durham University Library, Stockton Road, Durham DH1 3LY, United Kingdom Tel : +44 (0)191 334 3042 | Fax : +44 (0)191 334 2971 https://dro.dur.ac.uk Philos Stud (2019) 176:755–780 https://doi.org/10.1007/s11098-018-1038-2 Epistemic innocence and the production of false memory beliefs 1 1 Katherine Puddifoot • Lisa Bortolotti Published online: 19 January 2018 Ó The Author(s) 2018.
    [Show full text]