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Tsos' Common Grid Model Alignment Methodology in Accordance with Article 24(3)(C) of the Common Grid Model Methodology

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Tsos' Common Grid Model Alignment Methodology in Accordance with Article 24(3)(C) of the Common Grid Model Methodology All TSOs' Common Grid Model Alignment Methodology in accordance with Article 24(3)(c) of the Common Grid Model Methodology 29 November 2017 1 2 ENTSO-E AISBL • Avenue de Cortenbergh 100 • 1000 Brussels • Belgium • Tel + 32 2 741 09 50 • Fax + 32 2 741 09 51 • [email protected] • www. entsoe.eu All TSOs' Common Grid Model Alignment Methodology in accordance with Article 24(3)(c) of the Common Grid Model Methodology 3 Table of Contents 4 5 1 Introduction ...................................................................................................................... 6 6 7 2 Legal background ............................................................................................................. 9 8 2.1 Regulation 2015/1222 ................................................................................................... 9 9 2.2 Other European legislation .......................................................................................... 10 10 2.3 Common Grid Model Methodology ("CGMM") ........................................................ 11 11 12 3 CGMA Algorithm .......................................................................................................... 18 13 3.1 The three phases of the CGMA process ...................................................................... 18 14 3.2 Requirements with respect to the PPD ........................................................................ 21 15 3.3 Processing phase: the CGMA algorithm ..................................................................... 26 16 3.4 Post-processing phase ................................................................................................. 41 17 18 4 Business processes ......................................................................................................... 42 19 4.1 CGMA business processes overview .......................................................................... 42 20 4.2 Summary of the three phases ...................................................................................... 42 21 4.3 Pre-processing phase process steps ............................................................................. 46 22 4.4 Processing phase process steps ................................................................................... 48 23 4.5 Post-processing phase process steps............................................................................ 67 24 4.6 Deadlines for all process steps and all time frames ..................................................... 69 25 26 5 Reporting ........................................................................................................................ 71 27 28 6 IT implementation .......................................................................................................... 72 29 6.1 CGMA IT platform within the overall IT architecture ................................................ 72 30 6.2 The CGMA IT specification ....................................................................................... 74 31 6.3 Summary of CGMA Data Exchanges Implementation Guide .................................... 80 32 33 34 2 ENTSO-E AISBL • Avenue de Cortenbergh 100 • 1000 Brussels • Belgium • Tel + 32 2 741 09 50 • Fax + 32 2 741 09 51 • [email protected] • www. entsoe.eu All TSOs' Common Grid Model Alignment Methodology in accordance with Article 24(3)(c) of the Common Grid Model Methodology 35 36 37 Table of Contents for Annexes 38 39 I. ANNEX - Test Results ...................................................................................................... 82 40 41 II. ANNEX - Coordinated Pre-processing Approaches ......................................................... 83 42 II (i) Pre-processing approach of CORESO ........................................................................... 84 43 II (ii) Pre-processing approach of Nordic RSC ...................................................................... 89 44 II (iii) Pre-processing approach of Baltic RSC .................................................................... 108 45 II (iv) Pre-processing approach of SCC ............................................................................... 110 46 47 III. ANNEX - Summary of parameters used ......................................................................... 118 48 49 IV. ANNEX - Data Formats .................................................................................................. 120 50 51 V. ANNEX - Glossary ........................................................................................................ 123 52 53 VI. ANNEX - CGM area in terms of coverage of bidding zones (as of 2017-07) 54 as well as DC lines .......................................................................................................... 125 55 56 VII. ANNEX - CGM area in terms of coverage of CGMA algorithm optimisation areas 57 (as of 2017-07) as well as DC lines ................................................................................ 132 58 3 ENTSO-E AISBL • Avenue de Cortenbergh 100 • 1000 Brussels • Belgium • Tel + 32 2 741 09 50 • Fax + 32 2 741 09 51 • [email protected] • www. entsoe.eu All TSOs' Common Grid Model Alignment Methodology in accordance with Article 24(3)(c) of the Common Grid Model Methodology 59 60 List of figures 61 62 Figure 1: Phases of CGMA process .......................................................................................... 20 63 Figure 2: Unbalanced preliminary AC-only net positions and preliminary DC flows 64 at the start of the processing phase ............................................................................ 26 65 Figure 3: Balanced AC-only net positions and balanced DC flows at the end of 66 the processing phase .................................................................................................. 28 67 Figure 4: Absolute minimum and maximum net positions ....................................................... 45 68 Figure 5: Substitution matrix .................................................................................................... 55 69 Figure 6: Operational Planning Data Environment (stylised representation) ........................... 73 70 Figure 7: Operational Planning Data Environment (stylised architecture) .............................. 73 71 Figure 8: CGMA IT platform architecture ............................................................................... 74 72 Figure 9: CGMA external data exchanges (D-2) excluding DC PSLC sub-process ................ 76 73 Figure 10: Retraining frequency (illustration) ............................................................................ 86 74 Figure 11: Principle of the Support Vector Machine (SVM) algorithm ..................................... 88 75 Figure 12: Example of estimated (brown) and market (blue) flows and the 76 minimum and maximum net positions for SE1. ........................................................ 97 77 Figure 13: Lowest and highest maximum positions in 2015 and physical maximum. ............... 98 78 Figure 14: Bidding zone with transfer flow ................................................................................ 99 79 Figure 15: Correlations between German renewable generation and Nordic net positions ...... 100 80 Figure 16: Effect of including German net demand in the calculation of the sum of 81 squared net demands ............................................................................................... 101 82 Figure 17: Preliminary distribution functions of the flow errors .............................................. 102 83 Figure 18: Supply and demand curves for one area, original (to the left) and modified 84 (to the right) ............................................................................................................. 103 85 Figure 19: Supply and demand curves German/Austria (source: EPEX) ................................. 104 86 Figure 20: Comparison of MAEs for three approaches ............................................................ 106 87 Figure 21: Overview of pre-processing approach envisaged in Baltic region .......................... 108 88 Figure 22: Dispersion of deviation between forecasted net position and realized 89 net positions for EMS, for test period of one year .................................................. 116 90 Figure 23: Absolute forecast errors for all test hours ................................................................ 117 91 Figure 24: Stylised topology of CGMA optimisation areas ...................................................... 142 92 4 ENTSO-E AISBL • Avenue de Cortenbergh 100 • 1000 Brussels • Belgium • Tel + 32 2 741 09 50 • Fax + 32 2 741 09 51 • [email protected] • www. entsoe.eu All TSOs' Common Grid Model Alignment Methodology in accordance with Article 24(3)(c) of the Common Grid Model Methodology 93 94 List of tables 95 96 Table 1: Instantaneous peak load 2016 ................................................................................... 24 97 Table 2: Test case results, bidding zones ................................................................................ 94 98 Table 3: Test case results, countries ........................................................................................ 94 99 Table 4: Test case results, HVDC flows ................................................................................. 96 100 Table 5: Mean Average Error per bidding zone in MW for the Euphemia based 101 approach, compared with alternatives ....................................................................
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