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Université Laval is the official host and sponsor of the 2021 EURING Analytical meeting. Cover photo credits: Snowy Owl (Bubo scandiacus), G. Gauthier Tree Swallow (Tachycineta bicolor), M. Bélisle Greater Snow Goose (Anser caerulescens atlanticus), G. Gauthier Ruby-throated Hummingbird (Archilochus colubris), D. Greene Common Eider (Somateria mollissima), J.-F. Giroux Piping Plover (Charadrius melodus), Creative Commons Bicknell’s Thrush (Catharus bicknelli), P. DeMontminy and J.-F. Rousseau Northern Saw-whet Owl (Aegolius acadicus), J. Gagnon This is the program of the 2021 EURING Analytical Meeting held in Quebec City, Canada. Contents Bienvenue à Québec (Welcome to Quebec city)4 Meeting format . .4 Organizing committee . .4 General information . .5 Timetable 6 Monday 31 May 2021 . .6 Tuesday 1 June 2021 . .7 Thursday 3 June 2021 . .7 Friday 4 June 2021 . .8 Monday 7 June 2021 . .8 Tuesday 8 June 2021 . .9 Thursday 10 June 2021 . 10 Friday 11 June 2021 . 10 List of Abstracts – Talks 12 Session 1. Building on the Eurasian-African Migration Atlas: towards robust quantitative analyses of avian movements . 12 Session 2: Spatially-explicit capture-mark-recapture analysis . 20 Session 3: Integral projection modelling . 25 Session 4: Animal movement . 30 Honored speaker: Pertti Saurola . 36 Session 5: Data integration and population analysis I . 38 Session 6: Population management . 45 Session 7: Survival estimation . 50 Session 8: Data integration and population analysis II . 56 List of Posters 61 Poster Session (Tuesday 8 June 2021) . 61 3 Bienvenue à Québec (Welcome to Quebec city) Meeting format We are looking forward to seeing you at the EURING 2021 meeting hosted by Université Laval in Québec city from May 31st to June 11th. The meeting is completely online. To avoid online strain, we have spread the eight half-day sessions over a 2-week period. We encourage participants to attend the meeting live, although recordings of the sessions will be available on the meeting platform. Organizing committee Committee chairs Marc J. Mazerolle (local chair) Fränzi Korner-Nievergelt and Duane R. Diefenbach (scientific chairs) Maintainer of conference website and mailing list Evan Cooch Local collaborators Clara Casabona i Amat Aurore Fayard Joëlle Spooner Barbara Vuillaume Marc Bélisle Gilles Gauthier Louis-Paul Rivest Heidi Turcot Session chairs Stephen Baillie (Migration) J. Andrew Royle and Richard Chandler (Spatially-explicit capture-mark-recapture analysis) Emily Simmonds, Floriane Plard, and Erik Sandvig (Integral projection modelling) Roland Kays and Frances Buderman (Animal movement) Sarah Converse and Elise Zipkin (Data integration and population analysis) Mike C. Runge and Anna M. Tucker (Population management) Eleni Matechou and Fernando Colchero (Survival estimation) 4 General information All sessions will be held online using Zoom within the EURING 2021 meeting platform on Slack. Each participant will receive an invitation from the EURING2021 Slack site at the email they used to register for the meeting. The Slack website will open one week before the start of the meeting. Participants are encouraged to install Zoom on their computer before the meeting. Zoom can be downloaded freely from https://zoom.us/download for GNU/Linux, Mac, or Windows. Talks will be recorded and available for viewing directly on the Slack site. The poster session will be held on Tuesday 8 June 2021 12:50–14:50 on the meeting platform. Each poster will have a dedicated breakout room where you can interact with each poster presenter. 5 Timetable All times are in Quebec time (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-4:00). If unsure about the conversion to your own time zone, check https://www.thetimezoneconverter.com/. KL: Keynote Lecture, HS: Honored Speaker, CT: Contributed Talk. Monday 31 May 2021 10:00–10:15 Welcome and details on meeting logistics Building on the Eurasian-African Migration Atlas: towards robust quantitative analyses of avian movements Funding analyses of over a century of F. Spina bird ringing data: challenges, strategies 10:15–10:30 KL and potential for the profile and applied use of innovative analytical approaches The Eurasian African bird migration atlas S. Franks and S. Baillie 10:30–11:15 KL – a starting point for a more quantitative understanding of avian movements 11:15–11:25 Break Session chair: S. Baillie Patterns of migratory connectivity in the N. Fattorini European-African migratory system as 11:25–11:45 CT inferred by ring recovery analysis of the EURING database J. Hostetler Estimating migratory connectivity 11:45–12:05 CT strength and pattern across data types 12:05–12:15 Break Disentangling survival, migratory S. Schirmer 12:15–12:35 CT connectivity and observation in continuous space Quantifying individual variation in P. Acker migration versus residence within and 12:35–12:55 CT among year: a dynamic-finite-mixture multi-state capture-recapture model R. Ambrosini Assessing the timing of migration 12:55–13:15 CT progression based on ring recoveries 13:15–13:25 Break 13:25–14:25 Interaction time 6 Tuesday 1 June 2021 Spatially-explicit capture-mark-recapture analysis Spatial capture-recapture and a general R. Chandler 10:00–11:00 KL framework for individual based models of population dynamics 11:00–11:10 Break Session chairs: J. A. Royle and R. Chandler P. van Dam-Bates A marked Poisson process for latent id 11:10–11:30 CT spatial capture-recapture models H. Gaya Modeling species interactions using 11:30–11:50 CT spatial capture recapture 11:50–12:00 Break Spatial capture-recapture density B. Augustine 12:00–12:20 CT estimation using acoustic recording units without individual identification Secondary forest, secondary role: B. Rodrigues-do-Amaral 12:20–12:40 CT density and home range size variation of understory birds in a forest mosaic 12:40–12:50 Break 12:50–13:50 Interaction time Thursday 3 June 2021 Integral projection modelling E. Simmonds Using IPMs to study the response of 10:00–11:00 KL populations to a changing environment 11:00–11:10 Break Session chairs: E. Simmonds, F. Plard, and E. Sandvig The demographic causes of population A. Allen 11:10–11:30 CT change vary across four decades in a long-lived shorebird Integral projection modeling for Weddell seals: evaluating multi-decadal K. Macdonald 11:30–11:50 CT population dynamics and the importance of individual heterogeneity to population stability 11:50–12:00 Break Y.-L. Fung Process-dependent integral projection 12:00–12:20 CT models 7 Benefits and costs of male and female B. Chamiot-Clerc subordinates on the population 12:20–12:40 CT dynamics of a cooperative breeding species 12:40–12:50 Break 12:50–13:50 Interaction time Friday 4 June 2021 Animal movement R. Kays Big data empowers a new era of 10:00–11:00 KL comparative animal movement analyses 11:00–11:10 Break Session chairs: R. Kays and F. Buderman E. Eisenhauer Modeling yearly patterns in golden eagle 11:10–11:30 CT movement G. Fandos Empirical natal and breeding dispersal 11:30–11:50 CT kernels for European birds 11:50–12:00 Break H. McCaslin Hierarchical computing for hierarchical 12:00–12:20 CT models in ecology F. Buderman Guidance on inferring behavioural states 12:20–12:40 CT from animal location data 12:40–12:50 Break 12:50–13:50 Interaction time Monday 7 June 2021 Honored speaker P. Saurola Life behind the numbers: 55 years 10:00–11:00 HS among the owls. Why? 11:00–11:10 Break Data integration and population analysis I E. Zipkin Using data integration to evaluate 11:10–12:10 KL ecological processes across scales 12:10–12:20 Break Session chairs: S. Converse and E. Zipkin A semi-spatial integrated population L. Petracca 12:20–12:40 CT model to assess population dynamics of a recolonizing species 8 How accurate are integrated population M. Paquet models in estimating the contribution of 12:40–13:00 CT immigration to changes in population growth? 13:00–13:10 Break Using multispecies integrated M. Queroue population model to understand 13:10–13:30 CT interspecific competition: a case study on Great Tits and Blue Tits Beyond bespoke: Standardized C. Nater integrated population models reveal 13:30–13:50 CT drivers of population dynamics of migratory birds across latitudes Integrated population model for J. Sanderlin Ferruginous Hawk and Golden Eagle in 13:50–14:10 CT Wyoming, USA, to assist with a long-term, state-wide monitoring plan 14:10–14:20 Break 14:20–15:20 Interaction time Tuesday 8 June 2021 Population management M. C. Runge and A. M. Tucker A decision analytical framework for 10:00–11:00 KL guiding demographic estimation 11:00–11:10 Break Session chairs: M. C. Runge and A. M. Tucker C. Yackulic Integrating understanding to inform 11:10–11:30 CT management, research and monitoring C. McGowan Data analysis and modeling for 11:30–11:50 CT endangered species listing decisions 11:50–12:00 Break Hierarchical models to link occupancy M. Eaton and habitat dynamics to management 12:00–12:20 CT decisions: Recovering endangered Florida Scrub and Scrub-Jays Integrated simulations of demography, S. Canessa 12:20–12:40 CT monitoring and decisions for conservation of endangered species 12:40–12:50 Break 12:50–14:50 Poster session and interactions with poster presenters 9 Thursday 10 June 2021 Survival estimation E. Matechou Models for survival: from φ to φ and 10:00–11:00 KL ta c everything in between 11:00–11:10 Break Session chairs: E. Matechou and F. Colchero R. King Large data and individual heterogeneity 11:10–11:30 CT models: when worlds collide Laplace approximations for R. Herliansyah 11:30–11:50 CT capture-recapture models in the presence of individual heterogeneity 11:50–12:00 Break Misidentification errors in reencounters E.