Afghanistan: the West's Unmitigated Disaster?
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Somalian Turvallisuustilanne 28.6.2016
1 (42) MUISTIO MIG-168269 06.03.00 MIGDno-2016-706 28.06.2016 SOMALIAN TURVALLISUUSTILANNE KESÄKUUSSA 2016 Sisällysluettelo 1. Yleiset turvallisuusolosuhteet ...................................................................................... 2 2. Konfliktin vaikutukset siviiliväestöön ............................................................................ 7 3. Turvallisuustilanne alueittain tammi - toukokuussa 2016 ........................................... 10 3.1. Lower Jubba ............................................................................................................. 11 3.2. Gedo ......................................................................................................................... 12 3.3. Bay ............................................................................................................................ 14 3.4. Bakool ....................................................................................................................... 15 3.5. Middle Jubba ............................................................................................................. 15 3.6. Lower Shabelle ......................................................................................................... 15 3.7. Benadir - Mogadishu ................................................................................................. 18 3.8. Middle Shabelle ......................................................................................................... 22 3.9. Hiiraan ..................................................................................................................... -
Somalia: Al-Shabaab – It Will Be a Long War
Policy Briefing Africa Briefing N°99 Nairobi/Brussels, 26 June 2014 Somalia: Al-Shabaab – It Will Be a Long War I. Overview Despite the recent military surge against Somalia’s armed Islamist extremist and self- declared al-Qaeda affiliate, Al-Shabaab, its conclusive “defeat” remains elusive. The most likely scenario – already in evidence – is that its armed units will retreat to small- er, remote and rural enclaves, exploiting entrenched and ever-changing clan-based competition; at the same time, other groups of radicalised and well-trained individ- uals will continue to carry out assassinations and terrorist attacks in urban areas, in- cluding increasingly in neighbouring countries, especially Kenya. The long connec- tion between Al-Shabaab’s current leadership and al-Qaeda is likely to strengthen. A critical breakthrough in the fight against the group cannot, therefore, be achieved by force of arms, even less so when it is foreign militaries, not the Somali National Army (SNA), that are in the lead. A more politically-focused approach is required. Even as its territory is squeezed in the medium term, Al-Shabaab will continue to control both money and minds. It has the advantage of at least three decades of Salafi-Wahhabi proselytisation (daawa) in Somalia; social conservatism is already strongly entrenched – including in Somaliland and among Somali minorities in neigh- bouring states – giving it deep reservoirs of fiscal and ideological support, even with- out the intimidation it routinely employs. An additional factor is the group’s proven ability to adapt, militarily and politically – flexibility that is assisted by its leadership’s freedom from direct accountability to any single constituency. -
Ground: Its History, Complexities, Threats and Implementation
PROTECTION OF CIVILIANS FOR THE PEACEKEEPER ON THE GROUND: ITS HISTORY, COMPLEXITIES, THREATS AND IMPLEMENTATION BY Eric Rudberg A THESIS PRESENTED IN PARTIAL COMPLETION OF THE REQUIREMENTS OF The Certificate of Training in United Nations Peace Support Operations Peace Operations Training Institute® Index Abstract……………………………………………………………………………………1 Background to Protection of Civilians (PoC) in Armed Conflict…………………………2 Why Protect Civilians?........................................................................................................5 Right to Self-Defense…………………………………………………………………….10 Defining a “Civilian”…………………………………………………………………….12 Common Threats to Civilians……………………………………………………………16 o Torture or Other Prohibited Treatment……………………………………..……17 o Gender Based and Sexual Violence……...……………………………………....18 o Violence Against Children (Six Grave Violation Against Children)………………………..…..…….....21 . Killing & Maiming……………………………………………………....21 . Recruitment and/or Use of Child Soldiers…………………………….....22 . Sexual Violence………………………………………………………….24 . Attacks Against Schools & Hospitals…………………………………....25 . Denial of Humanitarian Access………………………………………….26 . Abduction…………………………………………………………….......27 o Human Trafficking…………………………………………………………….....28 o Forced Displacement………………………………………………………..…...29 o Denial of Humanitarian Assistance……………………………………………...30 o Explosive Weapons………………………………………………………….…...31 o Peacekeepers………………………………………………………………..…....32 Tactics, Techniques and Procedures (TTPs) for Reducing Threats to Civilians…………………………………………………....34 -
Peace in Puntland: Mapping the Progress Democratization, Decentralization, and Security and Rule of Law
Peace in Puntland: Mapping the Progress Democratization, Decentralization, and Security and Rule of Law Pillars of Peace Somali Programme Garowe, November 2015 Acknowledgment This Report was prepared by the Puntland Development Re- search Center (PDRC) and the Interpeace Regional Office for Eastern and Central Africa. Lead Researchers Research Coordinator: Ali Farah Ali Security and Rule of Law Pillar: Ahmed Osman Adan Democratization Pillar: Mohamoud Ali Said, Hassan Aden Mo- hamed Decentralization Pillar: Amina Mohamed Abdulkadir Audio and Video Unit: Muctar Mohamed Hersi Research Advisor Abdirahman Osman Raghe Editorial Support Peter W. Mackenzie, Peter Nordstrom, Jessamy Garver- Affeldt, Jesse Kariuki and Claire Elder Design and Layout David Müller Printer Kul Graphics Ltd Front cover photo: Swearing-in of Galkayo Local Council. Back cover photo: Mother of slain victim reaffirms her com- mittment to peace and rejection of revenge killings at MAVU film forum in Herojalle. ISBN: 978-9966-1665-7-9 Copyright: Puntland Development Research Center (PDRC) Published: November 2015 This report was produced by the Puntland Development Re- search Center (PDRC) with the support of Interpeace and represents exclusively their own views. These views have not been adopted or in any way approved by the contribut- ing donors and should not be relied upon as a statement of the contributing donors or their services. The contributing donors do not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in this report, nor do they accept responsibility for any use -
Christopher Anzalone CONTINUITY and CHANGE the EVOLUTION and TABLE of CONTENTS RESILIENCE of AL-SHABAB’S MEDIA INSURGENCY, 2006-2016 3 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
CONTINUITY AND CHANGE THE EVOLUTION AND RESILIENCE OF AL-SHABAB’S MEDIA INSURGENCY, 2006-2016 Christopher Anzalone CONTINUITY AND CHANGE THE EVOLUTION AND TABLE OF CONTENTS RESILIENCE OF AL-SHABAB’S MEDIA INSURGENCY, 2006-2016 3 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 4 HISTORICAL CONTEXT: SOMALI ISLAMISM, By examining Al-Shabab’s sophisticated media campaign MILITANT ACTIVISM, & THE ISLAMIC COURTS and identifying its intended audiences, we can better understand one of the most successful insurgent 7 THE EMERGENCE & EXPANSION OF AL-SHABAB movements of the 21st century. 8 THE BEGINNINGS OF AL-SHABAB’S MEDIA OPERATIONS: FRAMING ‘JIHAD’ & PITCHING RECRUITMENT, 2006-2009 By Christopher Anzalone 13 MEDIA OPERATIONS & INSURGENT RULE, 2009-2011 21 MASKING SETBACKS: AL-SHABAB’S MEDIA 2 DURING PERIODS OF DECLINE, 2011-2016 24 EAST AFRICAN RECRUITMENT AND AL-SHABAB’S MEDIA 30 EXPLOITING THE MEDIA ENVIRONMENT: AL-SHABAB’S JIHADI «JOURNALISM» FROM WESTGATE TO WOOLWICH & BEYOND 34 COUNTERING INTERNAL DISSENT: AL-SHABAB’S MEDIA & THE CHALLENGE FROM ISLAMIC STATE 37 CONCLUSION CONTINUITY AND CHANGE THE EVOLUTION AND RESILIENCE OF AL-SHABAB’S MEDIA INSURGENCY, 2006-2016 By examining Al-Shabab’s sophisticated media campaign and identifying its intended audiences, we can better understand one of the most successful insurgent movements of the 21st century. By Christopher Anzalone EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The Somali jihadi-insurgent movement Al-Shabab has authority, even if only in the short to medium term, Al- 3 established itself, since emerging in 2007 after the Shabab continues to present a major challenge to the overthrow of the Islamic Courts Union (ICU) umbrella in internationally recognized but weak and corrupt Somali the wake of the December 2006 Ethiopian invasion and Federal Government (SFG), the African Union Mission occupation of parts of Somalia, as one of the relatively in Somalia (AMISOM), and the international community. -
“Like Fish in Poisonous Waters” Attacks on Media Freedom in Somalia WATCH
HUMAN RIGHTS “Like Fish in Poisonous Waters” Attacks on Media Freedom in Somalia WATCH “Like Fish in Poisonous Waters” Attacks on Media Freedom in Somalia Copyright © YEAR Human Rights Watch All rights reserved. Printed in the United States of America ISBN: 978-1-6231-33474 Cover design by Rafael Jimenez Human Rights Watch defends the rights of people worldwide. We scrupulously investigate abuses, expose the facts widely, and pressure those with power to respect rights and secure justice. Human Rights Watch is an independent, international organization that works as part of a vibrant movement to uphold human dignity and advance the cause of human rights for all. Human Rights Watch is an international organization with staff in more than 40 countries, and offices in Amsterdam, Beirut, Berlin, Brussels, Chicago, Geneva, Goma, Johannesburg, London, Los Angeles, Moscow, Nairobi, New York, Paris, San Francisco, Sydney, Tokyo, Toronto, Tunis, Washington DC, and Zurich. For more information, please visit our website: http://www.hrw.org MAY 2016 ISBN: 978-1-6231-33474 “Like Fish in Poisonous Waters” Attacks on Media Freedom in Somalia Map .......................................................................................................... I Glossary ................................................................................................... II Summary ................................................................................................. 1 Recommendations ................................................................................... -
Scramble for the Horn of Africa – Al-Shabaab Vs. Islamic State
DOI: 10.32576/nb.2019.4.3 Nation and Security 2019. Issue 4. | 14–29. Viktor Marsai Scramble for the Horn of Africa – Al-Shabaab vs. Islamic State Over the past three years, the so-called Islamic State (IS) has made significant pro- gress in building an international network of Jihadist groups that pledged allegiance to the organisation. The affiliates of IS are both new-born movements like the Islamic State in Libya, and older groups like Boko Haram in Nigeria. The latter are much more valuable for the ‘Caliphate’ because they have broad experience and capacities that allow them to operate independently of IS. In its global Jihad, therefore, the Islamic State tried to gain the support of the members of former al-Qaeda franchises, shifting their alliances from Ayman al-Zawahiri to Abu Bakr al-Bagdadi. The paper offers an overview of such IS efforts in the Horn of Africa and an evaluation of how successful this quest had been until 2017. Keywords: Somalia, Libya, terrorism, extremism, Africa, Islamic State, al-Shabaab Al-Shabaab in Somalia (full name: Harakat al-Shabaab al-Mujahideen, or ‘Movement of Striving Youth’) is distinct from other Jihadist organisations. Al-Shabaab established and extended territorial control in Somalia over at least 250,000 square kilometres in 2008–2009 – five years prior to IS.1 It created effective administrative and judiciary systems and launched military, political and ideological attacks against the Transitional Federal Government of Somalia and its foreign supporters. In 2011–2012, offensives of the African Union Mission in Somalia (AMISOM) and the Somali National Army (SNA) inflicted serious setbacks on the movement, and it had to vacate the capital, Mogadishu. -
Jonathan Evans, Former Director General, MI5 Raffaello Pantucci EDITORIAL BOARD Colonel Suzanne Nielsen, Ph.D
OBJECTIVE ·· RELEVANT ·· RIGOROUS || JUNE/JULYMARCH 2020 2018 · VOLUME · VOLUME 13, 11,ISSUE ISSUE 3 6 FEATURE ARTICLE A VIEW FROM THE CT FOXHOLE The TheJihadi Hanau Threat LTC(R)Jonathan Bryan Price Terrorist Attack toHow race Indonesia hate and conspiracy theories Evans are fueling global far-right violence Former Director, Former Director General, MI5 Blyth CrawfordKirsten E.and Schulze Florence Keen Combating Terrorism Center FEATURE ARTICLE Editor in Chief 1 The Hanau Terrorist Attack: How Race Hate and Conspiracy Theories Are Fueling Global Far-Right Violence Paul Cruickshank Blyth Crawford and Florence Keen Managing Editor INTERVIEW Kristina Hummel 9 A View from the CT Foxhole: Jonathan Evans, Former Director General, MI5 Raffaello Pantucci EDITORIAL BOARD Colonel Suzanne Nielsen, Ph.D. ANALYSIS Department Head 16 The Pensacola Terrorist Attack: The Enduring Influence of al-Qa`ida and its Dept. of Social Sciences (West Point) Affiliates Colin P. Clarke Brian Dodwell Director, CTC 24 Dollars for Daesh: The Small Financial Footprint of the Islamic State's American Supporters Don Rassler Lorenzo Vidino, Jon Lewis, and Andrew Mines Director of Strategic Initiatives, CTC 30 Addressing the Enemy: Al-Shabaab's PSYOPS Media Warfare Christopher Anzalone CONTACT Combating Terrorism Center Far-right terror is going global, propelled to a significant degree by an on- line ecosystem of extremists posting in English. Since 2018, attackers U.S. Military Academy have targeted synagogues in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania; the towns of Poway, 607 Cullum Road, Lincoln Hall California, and Halle, Germany; mosques in Christchurch, New Zealand; and a Walmart in El Paso, Texas. In this month’s feature article, Blyth Crawford and Florence Keen examine the February 19, West Point, NY 10996 2020, far-right terrorist attack that targeted shisha bar customers in the German town of Hanau and Phone: (845) 938-8495 led to the death of nine victims. -
S 2019 858 E.Pdf
United Nations S/2019/858* Security Council Distr.: General 1 November 2019 Original: English Letter dated 1 November 2019 from the Chair of the Security Council Committee pursuant to resolution 751 (1992) concerning Somalia addressed to the President of the Security Council On behalf of the Security Council Committee pursuant to resolution 751 (1992) concerning Somalia, and in accordance with paragraph 54 of Security Council resolution 2444 (2018), I have the honour to transmit herewith the final report of the Panel of Experts on Somalia. In this connection, the Committee would appreciate it if the present letter and the report were brought to the attention of the members of the Security Council and issued as a document of the Council. (Signed) Marc Pecsteen de Buytswerve Chair Security Council Committee pursuant to resolution 751 (1992) concerning Somalia * Reissued for technical reasons on 14 November 2019. 19-16960* (E) 141119 *1916960* S/2019/858 Letter dated 27 September 2019 from the Panel of Experts on Somalia addressed to the Chair of the Security Council Committee pursuant to resolution 751 (1992) concerning Somalia In accordance with paragraph 54 of Security Council resolution 2444 (2018), we have the honour to transmit herewith the final report of the Panel of Experts on Somalia. (Signed) Jay Bahadur Coordinator Panel of Experts on Somalia (Signed) Mohamed Abdelsalam Babiker Humanitarian expert (Signed) Nazanine Moshiri Armed groups expert (Signed) Brian O’Sullivan Armed groups/natural resources expert (Signed) Matthew Rosbottom Finance expert (Signed) Richard Zabot Arms expert 2/161 19-16960 S/2019/858 Summary During the first reporting period of the Panel of Experts on Somalia, the use by Al-Shabaab of improvised explosive devices reached its greatest extent in Somali history, with a year-on-year increase of approximately one third. -
2020: Human Rights Report
SOMALIA 2020 HUMAN RIGHTS REPORT EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Somalia is a federal parliamentary republic led by President Mohamed Abdullahi Mohamed “Farmaajo,” whom the bicameral parliament elected in 2017. Farmaajo is the country’s second president since the Federal Government of Somalia was founded in 2012. The federal parliament consists of the 275-member House of the People and the 54-member Upper House. The country’s last parliamentary elections took place from October 2016 to January 2017. Caucuses selected House of the People members, with seats distributed according to clan affiliation and a power-sharing formula. State assemblies elected Upper House members. The parliamentary electoral process was widely viewed as marred by corruption, but the two houses of parliament elected President Farmaajo in a process viewed as fair and transparent. The government of the self-declared Republic of Somaliland controlled its jurisdiction. The 2012 provisional federal constitution states federal police, overseen by civilian leadership in the Ministry of Internal Security, have responsibility for law enforcement and maintenance of order within the country. Many parts of the country remained outside government control, with the insurgent Islamist group al- Shabaab contesting government control. The African Union Mission in Somalia, under civilian African Union leadership, and the Somali National Army, under civilian leadership in the Ministry of Defense, are the primary internal security providers. Civilian authorities did not always maintain effective -
How Al-Qaeda Survived Drones, Uprisings,And the Islamic State
How al-Qaeda Survived Drones, Uprisings,and the Islamic State THE NATURE OF THE CURRENT THREAT Aaron Y. Zelin, Editor “Al-Qaeda and its affiliate organizations never stopped being a primary terrorism concern for me, for the U.S. intelligence community, and for the broader counterter- rorism community. Not a day has gone by in my entire tenure at NCTC where our emphasis on al-Qaeda has been anything less than a top priority. That’s the beauty of working on terrorism issues. You get the privilege of having multiple top priorities.” —Nicholas Rasmussen Director, National Counterterrorism Center, comments at The Washington Institute March 1, 2017 How al-Qaeda Survived Drones, Uprisings,and the Islamic State THE NATURE OF THE CURRENT THREAT Aaron Y. Zelin EDITOR THE WASHINGTON INSTITUTE FOR NEAR EAST POLICY www.washingtoninstitute.org The opinions expressed in this Policy Focus are those of the authors and not necessarily those of The Washington Institute, its Board of Trustees, or its Board of Advisors. Policy Focus 153 First publication June 2017 All rights reserved. Printed in the United States of America. No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopy, recording, or any information storage and retrieval system, without permission in writing from the publisher. © 2017 by The Washington Institute for Near East Policy The Washington Institute for Near East Policy 11111 19th Street NW, Suite 500 Washington, DC 20036 www.washingtoninstitute.org Design: 1000colors Contents ACKNOWLEDGMENTS | v ABOUT THE WORKSHOP | vi CONTRIBUTORS | viii KEY AL-QAEDA-RELATED EVENTS, 2009–17 | xii ■ OVERALL THREAT Introduction AARON Y. -
Somalia and Eritrea Addressed to the President of the Security Council
United Nations S/2013/413 Security Council Distr.: General 12 July 2013 Original: English Letter dated 12 July 2013 from the Chair of the Security Council Committee pursuant to resolutions 751 (1992) and 1907 (2009) concerning Somalia and Eritrea addressed to the President of the Security Council On behalf of the Security Council Committee pursuant to resolutions 751 (1992) and 1907 (2009) concerning Somalia and Eritrea, and in accordance with paragraph 13 (m) of Security Council resolution 2060 (2012), I have the honour to transmit herewith the report on Somalia of the Monitoring Group on Somalia and Eritrea. In this connection, the Committee would appreciate it if the present letter, together with its enclosure, were brought to the attention of the members of the Security Council and issued as a document of the Council. (Signed) Kim Sook Chairman Security Council Committee pursuant to resolutions 751 (1992) and 1907 (2009) concerning Somalia and Eritrea 13-36185 (E) 150713 *1336185* S/2013/413 Letter dated 19 June 2013 from the members of the Monitoring Group on Somalia and Eritrea addressed to the Chair of the Security Council Committee pursuant to resolutions 751 (1992) and 1907 (2009) concerning Somalia and Eritrea We have the honour to transmit herewith the report on Somalia of the Monitoring Group on Somalia and Eritrea, in accordance with paragraph 13 (m) of Security Council resolution 2060 (2012). (Signed) Jarat Chopra Coordinator Monitoring Group on Somalia and Eritrea (Signed) Jeanine Lee Brudenell Finance Expert (Signed) Emmanuel Deisser Arms Expert (Signed) Aurélien Llorca Transport Expert (Signed) Dinesh Mahtani Finance Expert (Signed) Jörg Roofthooft Maritime Expert (Signed) Babatunde Taiwo Armed Groups Expert (Signed) Kristèle Younès Humanitarian Expert 2 13-36185 S/2013/413 Report of the Monitoring Group on Somalia and Eritrea pursuant to Security Council resolution 2060 (2012): Somalia Contents Page Abbreviations.................................................................