1 Power Asymmetries and the Origin of Constitutions: Latin America, 1987-2009 Javier Corrales Amherst College
[email protected] June 2009 12,200 words 2 Abstract This article explores the origins of constitutions, and within them, levels of power concentration in the Executive branch. By looking at the 10 cases of constitutional rewrite in Latin America and several cases of aborted change since the 1980s, I develop a theory of constitutional change based on the notion of power asymmetries, defined as the power differential between incumbents and opposition forces at the negotiations. Under conditions of reduced power asymmetry, i.e., when both incumbents and opposition forces enjoy comparable levels of power, constituent assemblies are more likely yield constitutions that curtail presidential powers relative to the status quo. When the opposition is weak, assemblies will instead expand presidential powers. When the incumbent is weak, he or she will abort the process of constitutional rewrite. I conclude with a brief discussion of how this finding challenges some structuralist prescriptions for democratic renewal. 3 This article addresses two questions that are central to comparativists in general and Latin Americanists in particular. First, what are the origins of institutions, and specifically, constitutions? Significant research exists on the effects of different types of institutions, even constitutions,1 but less is known about their origins. 2 Second, what are the origins of different forms of presidential powers in new constitutions? Research has shown that democratic constitutions vary according to how much power they grant to the executive branch.3 But less is known about the conditions that give rise to such variation.