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Fall 2017 Campaigning Campaigning The Journal of the Joint Forces Staff College Featured Essays Globally Integrated Countering Threat Operations: Transforming Networks: A Standard Lines the JTF Core of Effort Model U.S. Needs to “Get Smart” Transregional Capstone vs Russia Exercise Trains for Tomorrow’s Fight “That All May Labor As One” Fall 2017 Campaigning Fall 2017 https://jdeis.js.mil/jdeis/index.jsp?pindex=69 http://jfsc.ndu.edu/ Commandant RDML Jeffrey Ruth, USN Dean of Faculty and Academic Programs Dr. Amie Lonas Director, Joint Advanced Director, Joint and Combined Warfighting School Warfighting School CAPT Miguel Peko, USN CAPT Paul Crump, USN Director, Joint Command, Director, Joint Continuing Control and Information and Distance Education Operations School School COL Rolf Watts, USA COL Ernest Parker, USA Editor Dr. Daniel H. McCauley Editorial Board: Assistant Professor William S. Marlowe Dr. Kenneth P. Pisel Dr. Frederick R. Kienle Cover image: JCWS Seminar 14 Students 17-04, 2017. Photo by Daniel McCauley. Campaigning Fall 2017 i In this issue of Campaigning: Editor’s Corner…………………………………………………………………………….iii Dr. Daniel H. McCauley Features Globally Integrated Operations: Transforming the JTF Core…………...………………1 Col Camille Nichols, COL Robert Paddock, LTC (P) Jasper Jeffers, and Lt Col Sean Monteiro Countering Threat Networks: A Standard Lines of Effort Model……………………...13 Col Chris Goodyear, COL Brian Greata, LTC Timothy Payment, and Col Martin Wetterauer U.S. Needs to “Get Smart” vs Russia.……………………………….……………………27 CDR David P. Wolynski, LTC John R. Cuva, Maj Ryan A. Reynolds, and MAJ Anthony P. Newman Transregional Capstone Exercise Trains for Tomorrow’s Fight…….…………………37 LCDR William Buell, Maj Erin Dorrance, and MAJ Bob West Commentary Developing an Operational Approach for the Transition from War to Peace through Stabilization, Reconstruction, and Development: Understanding Critical Aspects of the Environment…………………………..……….46 Associate Professor Tom Snukis Polarity Management in International Relations….……………………………………50 Dr. Daniel H. McCauley and Dr. Sadi Sadiyev The Foresight Factor Strategic Foresight Tools and the Russia National Security Strategy: US Policy Implications………………………………………………………………...……………..57 MAJ Kent E. Justice Author Submission Guidelines…………………….………………………………….…73 Disclaimer: The views expressed in this journal are those of the authors and do not represent the views of the Joint Forces Staff College, National Defense University, or the Department of Defense. Campaigning Fall 2017 ii Editor’s Corner Welcome to the Fall 2017 edition of CDR David Wolynski, LTC John Cuva, Maj Campaigning. One of the desired outcomes Ryan Reynolds, and MAJ Anthony of the Joint Professional Military Education Newman provide our third featured essay, system is to develop Joint officers who can the “U.S. needs to ‘Get Smart’ vs Russia.” think creatively and adapt to change. This In this essay, the authors argue that Russia is edition of Campaigning presents seven re-emerging as a global actor and that their essays from students and faculty who think use of ‘smart power’ differs from the critically and strategically while applying traditional approach used by the U.S. and its joint warfighting principles at all levels of Western partners. The authors suggest that war. an adaptable and responsive integration of all of the U.S. instruments of national power The Features section begins with an essay is needed to successfully counter Russia’s by Col Camille Nichols, COL Robert strategic progress. Paddock, LTC (P) Jasper Jeffers, and Lt Col Sean Monteiro. Their essay, “Globally Our final featured essay is “Transregional Integrated Operations: Transforming the JTF Capstone Exercise Trains for Tomorrow’s Core,” posits that a globally integrated Joint Fight,” by LCDR William Buell, Maj Erin force is necessary to meet today’s global Dorrance, and MAJ Bob West. Building security challenges, but the DoD enterprise upon General Joseph Dunford’s priority of is not operationally optimized to do so. The improving the Joint force’s ability to authors suggest changes to doctrine, integrate joint capabilities in a transregional, organization, training and leadership to multidomain, and multifunctional fight, the create greater synergy for future globally authors propose institutionalizing a integrated operations. Transregional Capstone Exercise Program to do so. The authors support this thesis by The second featured essay, “Countering identifying basic exercise requirements, Threat Networks: A Standard Lines of Effort propose training objectives, and address Model,” by Col Chris Goodyear, COL Brian three potential challenges to exercise Greata, LTC Timothy Payment, and Col implementation. Martin Wetterauer proposes that understanding networked adversaries and This edition’s Commentary section presents countering threat networks is becoming an two essays for your consideration. The first increasingly challenging problem for Joint essay, “Developing an Operational force commanders. The authors identify Approach for the Transition from War to generally accepted means to understand Peace through Stabilization, Reconstruction, these threats along with the lines of effort and Development: Understanding Critical necessary to combat these challenges Aspects of the Environment,” by Tom successfully. Snukis, is the third in a series of four essays. This essay focuses on the challenges of Campaigning Fall 2017 iii failed and failing states and the affect they Finally, in this edition’s Foresight Factor have on the U.S.’s ability to provide essay, MAJ Kent Justice applies foresight stabilization and reconstruction after armed tools in an assessment of Russia’s National intervention. Professor Snukis provides the Security Strategy. In this essay, “Strategic reader with a keen understanding of the Foresight Tools and the Russia National problem of failed and failing states and an Security Strategy: U.S. Policy Implication,” understanding of the forces within the he argues that using foresight tools can environment that must be understood and provide policy makers with a different managed. perspective with which to develop a national policy to counter Russian security interests Our final Commentary essay is by Dr. that run contrary to U.S. interests. After a Daniel H. McCauley and Dr. Sadi Sadyev detailed analysis, MAJ Kent provides the who apply the concept of polarity reader with a policy recommendation. management to the current international relations environment. Using historical and We hope you enjoy this edition of current examples of natural counter-poles, Campaigning. You can let me know what the authors identify the inherent dangers in a you think by emailing me at uni-polar environment. Given the lack of a [email protected]. natural counter-pole to the U.S. in the current strategic environment, the authors Daniel H. McCauley argue that the U.S. must act as if there is a Editor counter-pole to minimize the natural oppositional reaction to an unopposed hegemon. Campaigning Fall 2017 iv Globally Integrated Operations: regional commands, operate as asymmetrical Transforming the JTF Core actors, and compete in multiple domains threatening to overwhelm US military war by fighting plans and resourcing. Chairman Col Camille Nichols, COL Robert Paddock, LTC (P) Dunford’s approach to managing such cross- Jasper Jeffers, and Lt Col Sean Monteiro cutting threats better “is improving the ability of the Defense Secretary to work with the wide swath of functional and regional “I personally don’t believe the current commanders, from Strategic and Cyber planning and organizational construct or Commands to Central and Northern and command and control are optimized for the Pacific Commands.”2 current fight,…What really is required is Chairman Dunford has identified global integration.” Gen Joseph Dunford, planning, organizational construct, and Chairman Joint Chiefs of Staff 1 command and control as three areas in which the Joint Force is currently not optimized to 3 As Chairman Dunford asserts, the perform GIO. While application of GIO is a United States needs a Joint Force organized, Department of Defense undertaking that trained, equipped, and ready to execute affects departments, services, and combatant globally integrated operations (GIO) to meet commands, the scope of the discussion will the complex challenges of today and the focus on the joint task force (JTF). Focusing future. The ability of the globally postured on the JTF is key because this is the Joint Force to purposefully combine quickly organizational structure upon which the Joint with mission partners to integrate capabilities Force will aggregate to employ the range of fluidly across domains, echelons, geographic military operations across and within boundaries, and organizational affiliations geographic combatant commands (GCCs). currently is not operationally optimized. Dr. Daniel McCauley has pointed out Rapidly emerging, destabilizing phenomena that the current organizational structures of such as the effective rise of transregional the Joint Force are basically anachronisms of 4 violent extremists (for example, the Islamic the Cold War. The Joint Force is built to State in the Levant (ISIL)), regional deliberately mass forces and effects in order pandemics, and aggression by near peer to dominate the enemy. This construct carries actors are the “new normal.” Events like service expertise and inclinations. While the these will require the Joint Force to expertise strengthens the joint approach, effectively
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