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Top 10 Real INSIGHTS 2020 Montréal Real Estate Market

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Top 10 Real INSIGHTS 2020 Montréal Real Estate Market Top 10 Real INSIGHTS 2020 Montréal Real Estate Market Powered by ISSUE 45 AltusGroup ISSUE 2020 Montreal Real Estate Market TOP 10 REAL INSIGHTS 45 1 2 3 INSIGHTS FROM MAJOR INFRASTRUCTURE DEMAND FOR OFFICE WAAS IN THETTIME OF INDUSTRY LEADERS INVESTMENT UNDERWAY SPACE SOARED IN 2019 COVID-19 DURING THE CONTENT IN THE GMA FORMATION OF MONTREAL Montréal has been the Absorption of over 3 M sq. Pandemic will likely thin out recipient of billions of dollars ft. of office space the highest a crowded field of flexible REAL ESTATE MARKET in investment to improve rate in almost 20 years. office suppliers. transportation infrastructure. 7 6 5 4 COVID-19 CHANGING MONTRÉAL IS A HUB OF CAPITAL HAS BEEN MONTRÉAL INDUSTRIAL CONSUMER BEHAVIOR DEVELOPMENT FLOODING INTO VACANCY RATE AT RECORD MONTRÉAL LOW LEVELS Disruption to the retail sector Vigorous demand for space Investment volumes were Montréal has become the third continues as the pandemic across sectors has resulted up significantly in 2019 as tightest major industrial market sweeps across the globe. in increased development institutional investors and after Toronto and Vancouver. across the city. REITs chased yield and solid market fundaments. 8 9 10 HOUSING RENTAL 2019 REPRESENTED FIFTH WEST ISLAND for further details VACANCY AT A 15 YEAR CONSECUTIVE RECORD- ATTRACTING MAJOR on these top trends LOW IN THE GMA BREAKING YEAR IN THE GMA NEW DEVELOPMENTS please visit the real HOUSING MARKET estate forums portal at realestateforums.com The apartment sector expected Momentum Continued into New REM stations are resulting to continue to perform well in 2020 – March represented in millions of dollars worth of the face of COVID-19. 61st consecutive month of new commercial and residential sales growth. construction underway in the West Island submarket. Powered by To access the Real Estate Forum portal, please visit: www.realestateforums.com AltusGroup We welcome feedback. Please email: [email protected] Powered by REAL 2020 Montréal HIGHLIGHT DETAILS INSIGHTS Real Estate Market 1. MAJOR INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT UNDERWAY IN THE Conceived, planned and costed by the Province of Québec ’s GMA institutional investor, the Caisse de dépot et placement du Québec (CDPQ), the REM is currently under construction. The first trains Montréal has been the recipient of billions of dollars in will begin running from the South Shore to Bonaventure station in investment to improve transportation infrastructure. 2021, and the entire network is scheduled for completion by 2023. In December, Canada Infrastructure Bank announced that it is Once completed, it is supposed to provide high-frequency, committing up to $300 M in financing to the Port of Montréal’s new intermediate-volume light-rail service on a regional level: container terminal in Contrecoeur. connecting suburbs with the city centre along three axes and linking Montréal’s central business district with its international airport. Construction, which is scheduled to begin in 2021, could cost as much as $1 B and is expected to create as many as 5,000 jobs Last summer, the federal government made an investment of during the construction phase. more than $1.3 B to extend the Montréal Metro’s Blue line. Slated for completion by 2026, the Blue line will include five new stops According to the port authority, the new terminal will add about eastbound, covering an additional 6 km, with the final stop near the 1,200 trucks a day to local traffic and two or three ships a week on corner of Bélanger Street and Boulevard des Galeries d’Anjou. the St. Lawrence River at the outset, and much more if the terminal reaches full capacity. The project will cost an estimated $4.5 B which will also include the construction of two bus terminals, a park-and-ride lot with According to the port authority, freight traffic at Canada’s second- 1,200 spots and a pedestrian tunnel that will connect to the future largest port rose 9% in 2018 to the equivalent of more than 1.6 M bus rapid transit system (BRT) on Pie-IX Boulevard. 20-foot containers for the fifth straight year of record volumes, prompting concerns the docks will be overloaded by 2022. The In Q3 2019, the federal government made an investment of $50 M Contrecoeur terminal would add capacity of 1.15 M containers. to improve air freight and logistics at the International Aerocity of Mirabel (YMX). 9% 1.6 M + Work will include refurbishing and extending the main apron to 20-foot containers a cargo apron, improving road access, increase aircraft parking capacity, and building 215,000 sq. ft. of warehouse space. 2. DEMAND FOR OFFICE SPACE SOARED IN 2019 Absorption of over 3 M sq. ft. of office space the highest rate in almost 20 years. 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Canadian Pacific has announced a new multi-modal transload Total office space absorption reached 3.1 M sq. ft. in 2019, JLL terminal to be built at their Cote St. Luc railyard. reported. This was the highest absorption rate since 2000 with nearly 3.5 times more leasing momentum than the ten-year The new CP terminal will enable transportation and distribution historical average. services to East Coast urban centers not directly served by rail. According to Altus Group, office vacancy in Greater Montréal has The terminal will be built by Canadian Pacific in multiple phases decreased from 11.5% in Q1 2019 down to 9.4% in Q1 2020., and operated by TYT, a Québec -based freight transportation the lowest it has been since 2013. There were no completions in service provider. The first phase is the construction, by CP, of a the first quarter, however 2019 had a total of almost 960,000 sq. new 118,000 sq. ft. rail-served facility that is designed to assist in ft. completed. For new supply coming to market, the first quarter the receiving, unloading, carrying and delivery of rail traffic. Phase had about 3.9 M sq. ft. under construction at an availability rate of 1 is currently scheduled to be completed in June 2020. 45.7% with almost 2.1 M sq. ft. preleased. The downtown market, alone had 1.5 M sq. ft. under construction with an availability rate John Brooks, CP Executive Vice-President and Chief Marketing of 30.3%. Officer stated: “….this project enhances our footprint in the Montréal area by building capacity and expanding our ability to Montréal has increasingly become an international tech hub with provide customers with value beyond rail, through trucking and tech firms, especially gaming companies, increasing their presence transload services.” in the city. The Réseau Express Métropolitain (REM) is the 67-kilometre, $6.3 Montréal has more than 140 studios, making it the most significant B light rail project is the single largest transit project in Montréal in video game production hub in Canada and one of the largest in half a century. the world. Informa Canada has not made any independent investigation, verification or audit of any of the information contained in this document. Neither Informa Canada nor any third parties make any representations or warranties, express or implied, regarding the accuracy, timeliness, completeness or suitability of the information contained in this document. Your use of such information is entirely at your own risk, for which neither Informa Canada nor any third party is liable. Powered by REAL 2020 Montréal HIGHLIGHT DETAILS INSIGHTS Real Estate Market At the end of 2019, Colliers reported that the technology industry In 2019, WeWork announced plans to expand its footprint in occupied 7.9% of office space in the GMA. Montréal. Its first new location located at 1010 Rue Sainte- Catherine Ouest, will house approximately 2,000 desks across four In Q4 2019, Ubisoft renewed its lease for about 500,000 sq. ft. at floors. The second location, which WeWork has targeted to open 5505 Saint-Laurent Boulevard. Google expanded its space by over during the second half of 2020, will be located at the Humaniti 42,938 sq. ft. at 425 Viger Avenue. building. WeWork said the two new locations add over 3,000 members in Montréal, doubling its membership base in the city. Take Two Interactive and Momentum Games have each leased entire floors at Kevric’s 1100 Atwater Avenue development in As of the beginning of 2020, WeWork’s expansion plans were still Westmount. on track despite their failed IPO and the exit of the company’s co- founder and CEO Adam Neumann. However, in April, the Japanese Chicago-based, cyber security firm OneSpan has plans to invest tech firm SoftBank abandoned its US$3 B bailout of the company. $9 M to expand its Montréal office which will make it its largest office and R&D centre. COVID-19 may also spell further trouble for WeWork. The company has at least US$47 B in lease liabilities worldwide. CBRE’s Québec Managing Director Avi Krispine said, “Strong WeWork stopped paying rent in April on some of its United States office demand is being driven by an evolving tech sector, which is locations to try to cut costs and hired JLL and Newmark Knight pushing average downtown Class A net rents to an all-time high of Frank to renegotiate its leases, the Wall Street Journal reported on $24.57 per sq. ft.” April 8. Speaking in CBRE’s Canadian market outlook webinar on April In a post virus environment, people will be less likely to share 14, OMERS President & Chief Pension Officer Blake Hutcheson space the way they had been prior to the onset of COVID-19. stated that he is bullish on office, though he sees change coming to the sector.
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