Latin America : Innovative financing schemes for urban transport projects in India
Arnaud Dauphin
Lead Urban Transport specialist
Urban Mobility India
New Delhi, November 2015
1
AFD, the French Development Bank
70 countries
India since 2006
8 billion € commitment /year
300-400 million € /year
1 billion € for transport /year
Bangalore, Kochi, Nagpur metros
2
BRAZIL : Salvador de Bahia
Metro Line 1 and 2
3
Brazil : Salvador de Bahia – Project map
Population : 4,4 M inhab. Length : 33,4 km 19 stations Commissioning: 2015 – 2020 Ridership: 500 000 pax/day -2016
4
Brazil : Salvador de Bahia – Main features
Owner
Federative State of Bahia
Scope
Greenfield - Brownfield project : 2 metro lines, 33,4km, 19 stations and passenger transfer terminals US$ 1 bln (6605 Kr)
Investments cost Public funding
$620 M – 3945 Kr (64%)
Private financing IFI’s Involvement
$380 M - 2660 Kr (36%) No but on going discussion with AFD for LRT rehabilitation
Project structuring Contractor
PPP – DBFOM CCR metro Bahia (Camargo Correa group)
Construction schedule 42 months
Operation 30 years (but operation in 9 months)
5
Brazil : Salvador de Bahia – financial mechanisms
International bidding process Fixed amount of public financing disbursed on milestonebased payment during the construction (8 milestones)
A minimum ridership threshold is guaranteed by the Owner in the tender docs (500 000 px/day)
Bid evaluation based on the level of remuneration requested by the concessionaire to balance the project
Concessionaire able to get concessional loans from BNDES –
Brazil development bank
Tariff adjustment mechanisms (based on consumer and energy index ) and demand risk sharing (+/- 10%, 10-25%, +25%)
6
Brazil : Salvador de Bahia - Financing structure
State of Bahia
Federal Government of Brazil
Other secretaries, municipalities and development partners
Secretary for urban
development (SEDUR)
Civil society Organizations
(NGOs, civil society, transport users and affected people)
State Federal District Participation Fund
(PPP Guarantee)
CTB
(Bahia Urban Transport
Company)
Desenbahia
Technical and financial audit, and evaluation consultants
(Development Agency of State of
Bahia acting as a guarantor)
CCR Metro Bahia
(Private Consortium)
Construction Phase
Overall Project Management Consultant
Detail Engineering, construction Supervision -(EGIS)
Public funding paid at each construction milestones (station completion, tunnel bored, etc.)
Civil works (Andrade Gutierrez, Camargo Corrêa e Soares Penido)
Systems and Equipment (Siemens)
Rolling stock (Rotem)
Annual lumpsum proposed in the bid: 127,6 million reais
Operation and Maintenance Phase
Remuneration : passenger x remuneration tariff proposed in the bid (2,1 reais/pax)
7
PERU : Lima - Calao
Metro line 2
8
Peru : Lima Metro Line 2 – Project map
- Population :
- 10 M inhab.
- Length :
- 35 km and 35 Stations
Commissioning: 2016 – 2020 Ridership: 600 000 pax/day -2020
9
Peru : Lima Metro Line 2 – Main features
Owner
Government of Peru
Scope
Greenfield project : 35 km (Line 2 - 28km, Line 4- 7km), 35 stations and 42 driverless trains
$5,88 bln
Investments cost Public funding
$3,7 bln - (78%)
Private financing
$1,15 bln (22%)
+ $0,85 bln ECA financing for rolling stock World Bank, IADB, CAF, KFW, AFD, EIB
IFI’s Involvement Project structuring Contractor
PPP – DBFOM Consortium Iridium-ACS/FCC – Impregilo - Ansaldo – COSAPI (Spanish-Italian-Peruvian consortium)
Construction schedule 58 months (but operation in 24 months)
Operation 35 years
10
Peru : Lima Metro Line 2– Financing mechanisms
International bidding process 60 deferred payment certificates during 15 years to the
Concessionaire as compensation for the works performed
Concessionaire use its certificate to borrow money from the
Bank and secure the reimbursement by the payment streams
Bid evaluated based on the remuneration requested by the concessionaire to balance the project
Remuneration based on services offered (train.km) with quality of services requirements
11
Peru : Lima Metro Line 2 - Financing structure
GOVERNMENT OF PERU
IFIs: WORLD BANK,
IADB, CAF, KFW, AFD, EIB,
MINISTER OF TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATIONS
MINISTER OF FINANCE
Public Project Bonds
OSITRAN
(Organismo Supervisor de la Inversión en Infraestructura de Transporte de Uso Público)
AATE
PROINVERSION
(Peruvian Agency for private
Investment)
Municipalities of Lima and Calao, other ministries, agencies and development partners
(Autoridad Autonoma de Transporte Electrico)
TECHNICAL AND OPERATION
SUPERVISOR
PROJECT PREPARATION
PROCUREMENT
CONTRACT REGULATOR
Private project Bonds
(Citigroup, Morgan Stanley and Banco Santander) using deferred payment certificates
Metro DE LIMA LINEA 2 SA
(Private Consortium)
Technical and financial audit, and evaluation consultants
Construction Phase
Overall Project Management Consultant
Detail Engineering, construction Supervision
Export Credit Agency Loans back by Italian
SACE
Public funding paid according to milestone-based cash payments (station completion, tunnel bored, etc.)
Civil works Contractors (ACS-FCC-IMPREGILO)
Systems and Equipment (ANSALDO)
Rolling stock (ANSALDO)
IADB Non sovereign loan
Services in operation based lump sum according to AATE requirements (estimated at
$195 M)
Operation and Maintenance Phase
AND OPERTAION
12
MEXICO : Mexico City
Metro improvement and rehabilitation
13
Mexico : Metro improvement – Project Map
Population : 21 M inhab.
- Length :
- 226 km and 195 Stations
- 5,2 M pax/day -2020
- Ridership:
14
Mexico : Metro improvement - Financing structure
SISTEMA DE TRANSPORTE COLECTIVO DE DISTRICTO
FEDERAL (STCDF)
FIMETRO
(Fiduciary Fund set for 50 years signing the loans and issuing bonds)
Increase of tariff in 2013 to feed an investment fund (2 pesos additional on top of 3 pesos // paratransit 6-13 pesos)
100M€ in 2015
Mexico city
Metro Company Project Office
BBVA – Bancomer
(Acting bank on behalf of
FIMETRO)
AFD, ECA, local banks
Project improvement contractors : $1,18 bln – 8256 Kr (7 projects)
PROJECT BONDS
Rolling stock renewal
Signalling improvement
Payment to contractors based on International competitive bidding process
Line 12 extension
Track and alignment modernization
15
Mexico : Metro improvement – Main features
SISTEMA DE TRANSPORTE COLECTIVO DE DISTRICTO FEDERAL (STCDF)
Owner Investments cost Contractor
$1,18 bln – 8256 Kr (7 projects) To be procured on separate basis
Public funding External lending Project structuring
55% from the SPV (Deposit and future Revenues) 45% (ECA, AFD, local banks) Non sovereign financing (Lots or turnkey)
Construction schedule To be defined for each contract
Operation Scope
Works under operation
7 brownfield projects : trains renewal, track and alignment improvement, line extension, signaling modernization AFD
IFI’s Involvement
16
What can we learn ?
PPP for mass transit transport could be feasible and financially sustainable Technical
Private : Technical risks borne by the concessionaire: design optimization, construction, geological, interface management, completion date
Public: Land acquisition and clearance, resettlement, archeological risks Milestone-based payment, incentive for concessionaire to speed up construction
Financing structure
More than 60 % of financing should be public (Investment, Bonds, IFIs,) Public Funds should be committed and secured Milestone-based cash payments to secure private sector financing and allow concessionaire to get its own financing or issue project bonds
IFIs involvement for both public funding but also for the concessionaire
17
What are the key findings for Indian projects ?
Regulatory framework
Stable regulatory environment with long term commitments for both construction and operation
Stakeholders
Need strong players (most of the case civil works companies) able to gather financing and lead construction and operation
Sophisticated and complex structure and arrangements, need good financial advisors for both public and private sides
Contract negotiation should start during the procurement process (need to create a competitive dialog with bidders)
Operation
Ridership and fares risks should be borne by the public side with a minimal ridership threshold and a risk sharing mechanism in case of major demand variation
Remuneration/pax incentive to start operation soonest
18
Thank you for your attention
Arnaud Dauphin
Lead Urban Transport Specialist [email protected]
Sustainable Transport and Energy Division
5 rue Roland Barthes 75012 Paris www.afd.fr