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8A.6 AND RFD EVOLUTION IN SIMULATED WITH VARYING PROFILES

Matthew S. Van Den Broeke Jerry M. Straka University of , Norman, Oklahoma

Erik Rasmussen Rasmussen Systems, Mesa,

1. THEORETICAL OVERVIEW AND PURPOSE

Many observational and modeling studies Adlerman and Droegemeier (2005), then the have focused on mesocyclone evolution in liquid-only and ice-inclusive simulations were . Adlerman and Droegemeier (2005) compared. Differences were sought between developed a parameter space of hodograph different hodograph shapes and varying shapes, and tested mesocyclone sensitivity to magnitude of environmental shear. Microphysical these environmental variations. Three differences were examined among the ice- types of mesocyclone evolution were identified: inclusive simulations, in an attempt to link steady (non-cycling), occluding cyclic, and non- environmental shear, the resultant microphysical occluding cyclic. Decreased sensitivity to environment, and consequent effects on the cold hodograph shape and model resolution has been pool, with potential implications for surface vertical documented for supercells in simulations with concentration. strong vertical wind shear (Gilmore et al. 2004a). Most supercell modeling studies have 2. METHODOLOGY historically included liquid-only microphysics. A recent study showed significant differences in With the goal of determining effects of updraft strength, surface outcome, varying shear on microphysical distributions in and cold pool strength in simulations identical supercells, a subset of twelve wind profiles from except for choice of microphysics (Gilmore et al. Adlerman and Droegemeier’s (2005) parameter 2004b). Ice-inclusive microphysics produced space was chosen (Fig. 1). Simulations were stronger updrafts due to greater latent heat selected such that they covered the parameter release. As expected from past studies (e.g. space well, while favoring wind profiles near the Srivastava 1987), cold pool strength was also edge of two mesocyclone cycling types in greater, which may have nontrivial effects on the Adlerman and Droegemeier’s study. This was -outflow balance near the mesocyclone. done to test sensitivity of cycling type to choice of For this study, a subset of twelve microphysics. hodographs from Adlerman and Droegemeier The model used was the three-moment, (2005) were chosen, including three full-circle, non-hydrostatic, three-dimensional, compressible three three-quarter-circle, and six half-circle wind Straka Atmospheric Model (SAM) with a time step profiles. For each hodograph, a simulation was of 1s and horizontal resolution of 250m. Model run using liquid-only microphysics, similar to what output files were generated every 5 min. Vertical was done in Adlerman and Droegemeier’s study, resolution stretched from 155m near the surface to and another simulation was run with ice-inclusive 520m at 20km, with a lowest level 75m above the microphysics. Mesocyclone behavior from the surface. The Weisman and Klemp (1982) liquid-only runs was compared with the results of thermodynamic environment was utilized for all simulations, and a 3K circular warm bubble was used to initiate convection. This thermodynamic profile is more stable than was used in Adlerman * Corresponding author address: Matthew S. Van and Droegemeier (2005), possibly leading to Den Broeke, School of , 120 David L. differences in cycling behavior as discussed later. Boren St., Norman, OK 73072 Microphysics were either liquid-only, as in E-mail: [email protected] Soong and Ogura (1973) and Klemp and Wilhelmson (1978), and identical to the scheme difference was an expansion of the area of used in Adlerman and Droegemeier (2005), or ice- occluding cyclic mesocyclogenesis with the inclusive. The ice scheme used nine species of SAM—one wind profile producing a steady ice-phase hydrometeors, including two mesocyclone in Adlerman and Droegemeier’s categories, four types of ice crystals, study produced an occluding cyclic mesocyclone aggregates, frozen drops, and . It also in the SAM, while several simulations changed contained and three formation processes from non-occluding cyclic to occluding cyclic. for . SAM output files were visualized using Though these results agreed relatively iMRV, an IDL iTool for meteorological visualization well, reasons were briefly sought as to why the created and supported by Erik Rasmussen at SAM model produced a higher number of Rasmussen Systems. occluding cyclic storms. While the wind profile Once graphics were created, cyclic was identical, convective available potential behavior of the mesocyclone was examined for energy (CAPE) was 3777 J kg-1 in Adlerman and each simulation. Graphics were constructed at Droegemeier’s (2005) simulations but only each 5 min interval containing vertical velocity and approximately 2200 J kg-1 in our simulations. vertical vorticity, and changes in updraft and Lower CAPE, all else equal, should lead to lower vorticity distributions were used to determine if the updraft speed, which would reduce total mass mesocyclone was steady, cyclic occluding, or fallout of hydrometeors from the updraft (e.g. cyclic non-occluding. Maximum surface vertical Gilmore et al. 2004b). This may slightly reduce vorticity at each interval was recorded, and at the cold pool strength via less precipitation loading, time of simulation maximum surface vertical and possibly via less evaporation and melting. vorticity, plots were constructed of surface Given the propensity of liquid-only microphysics to potential temperature distribution and the vertical produce unrealistically strong cold pools (e.g. and horizontal wind components. For ice-inclusive compared to observations, as in Markowski et al. simulations, distributions of different types of rain 2002), a slight cold pool warming (via less and hail and other frozen particles were plotted at evaporation) or slightly lesser downward motion in the time of maximum surface vorticity. Various the downdrafts (via less loading) could be wind, vorticity, and microphysical characteristics of expected to produce a different inflow-outflow the simulations were plotted on the wind profile balance. Since this balance between unstable parameter space. -relative inflow and surging cold outflow determines much about mesocyclone behavior, a 3. COMPARISON WITH PAST WORK 40% decrease in environmental CAPE may change mesocyclone behavior to include more Results were compared with past work to cyclic occluding storms. ensure the SAM was producing similar results. Since the wind profiles were taken from Adlerman 4. COMPARISON OF ICE AND LIQUID and Droegemeier (2005), mesocyclone behavior MICROPHYSICS was compared to these simulations. Simulations with liquid-only microphysics were compared, as Ice and liquid microphysics produced very these were most similar to those of Adlerman and different patterns of mesocyclone cyclicality Droegemeier’s study. overall. Steady non-cyclic storms did not occur For liquid-only simulations in the SAM, with ice-inclusive microphysics for this choice of three modes of mesocyclone cyclicality were CAPE (Fig. 4), while non-occluding cyclic storms, observed (Fig. 2). These modes were described which had not previously occurred in this subset of and drawn without looking at the modes as Adlerman and Droegemeier’s parameter space described in Adlerman and Droegemeier (2005), (2005) became the dominant mode of but completely agreed with their results. This mesocyclone behavior. Occluding cyclic storms agreement between model-produced types of occupied two separate regimes, one characterized mesocyclone cyclicality raised confidence in the by low shear with nearly all hodograph shapes, SAM’s ability to produce similar evolution as seen and another at strong shear mostly with in prior modeling studies. hodograph shapes not included in our present Mesocyclone cycling modes are shown on subset. In following subsections, we examine the the parameter space of wind profiles for Adlerman simulations categorized by hodograph shape. and Droegemeier’s study (Fig. 3a) and for the liquid-only simulations in this study (Fig. 3b). These results agreed quite well. The significant different hydrometeor distributions, link will be 4.1 Full-Circle Hodographs sought between varying microphysics and storm behavior. The most striking difference occurred with full-circle hodographs (Figs. 3b, 4). With liquid- 5. COMPARISON OF SELECTED SIMULATION only microphysics, storms were only briefly CHARACTERISTICS supercellular and possessed a steady non-cycling mesocyclone. After a short time as a supercell, A number of variables were plotted on the the cold pool of these storms surged eastward. wind profile parameter space, related to updraft An extensive wall of updraft resulted, with rapid strength and the timing and efficiency of vertical transition to a line. With ice-inclusive vorticity concentration. These fields were microphysics, however, storms were maintained compared for ice and liquid simulations, and some as supercells with a generally continuous, well- brief attempts were made to explain differences. defined mesocyclone. The mesocyclone in these Simulations were examined from 3000s – storms tended to build northward along the rear- 9000s (50 min – 2.5 hrs), so for model output each flank downdraft (RFD) outflow, with a new surface 5 min, twenty-one times were available for each center of vertical vorticity developing northward of simulation. Number of these output steps with its prior location. This was consistent with non- updraft magnitude > 15 ms-1 at 1000m above the occluding cyclic behavior, and occurred given all surface were plotted on the parameter space for amounts of environmental wind shear tested. ice and liquid (Fig. 5). The most notable difference overall was the larger number of steps 4.2 Three-Quarter-Circle Hodographs with strong updraft in the liquid-only simulations. This difference seemed to be caused by the Supercells in environments with three- stronger cold pools in the liquid-only simulations, quarter-circle hodographs consistently contained which caused cold outflow to surge eastward and occluding cyclic with liquid-only strengthen the updrafts into which they moved. In microphysics. While this was also true for low full-circle simulations, storms rapidly evolved into environmental shear given ice-inclusive squall lines, which had strong updraft regions microphysics, a transition to non-occluding cyclic along their leading edges. For other hodograph behavior occurred as shear increased. This shapes, a greater proportion of liquid-only transition appeared to occur with a hodograph simulations had some steps with updraft radius of about 19 m/s. Around this boundary, exceeding 15 m/s. This was apparently also mesocyclones contained distinct periods of time in related to a stronger cold pool leading to a which occluding and non-occluding cyclic behavior markedly stronger westerly component in the RFD were dominant. of those storms. Time of the first strong surface (75m) 4.3 Half-Circle Hodographs vertical vorticity maximum was plotted on the parameter space (Fig. 6a), along with the With liquid-only microphysics, most difference between ice and liquid simulations (Fig. supercells given half-circle hodographs produced 6b). A strong maximum, for this purpose, was occluding cyclic mesocyclones except at very low defined as a temporal maximum at least 50% as shear. Half the simulations with ice-inclusive strong as the simulation maximum value. Both microphysics produced the same occluding cyclic sets of simulations showed a trend toward behavior, while the remaining half contained non- increasing time to concentrate vertical vorticity at occluding cyclic mesocyclones. Non-occluding the surface as shear increased; this trend was cyclic behavior was generally dominant for especially evident in the liquid-only simulations. moderate environmental shear. Simulations with This result is consistent with past research, in very low and high shear were able to produce a which slowing of mesocyclone cycling has been better-focused westerly component in the RFD, observed as environmental shear increases (e.g. leading to occlusion. Brooks et al. 1994). The ice-inclusive simulations did not show this trend as clearly, though it was The goal of following sections will be to still present. The difference field between ice and further explore differences between ice and liquid liquid simulations clearly showed less time for ice- simulations, and to explain some of these inclusive simulations to concentrate surface differences by exploring the effects of varying vertical vorticity at high shear, though it took shear on hydrometeor distributions. Given slightly longer at low shear. The mesocyclones of storms in ice-inclusive simulations, especially at 6. DIFFERENCES IN RFD STRENGTH AND higher shear, tended to be conducive to more THE ROLE OF ICE MICROPHYSICS rapid development of strong RFDs, which formed zones of strong vorticity to their north. RFD strength varied significantly between The average time between successive simulations, so some quantitative comparisons are surface vertical vorticity maxima was calculated, made between RFD wind and temperature fields. and the difference field between ice and liquid Microphysical distributions are explored to shed simulations was plotted on the parameter space some light on why storms may evolve differently. (Fig. 7). For all hodograph shapes examined For the purpose of this work, the RFD was defined here, ice microphysics produced storms which as the small-scale region of downdraft closely cycled faster, relative to the liquid-only storms, as associated with the mesocyclone, and typically shear increased. As shear increased, the ice- located on the south or southwest side of the inclusive storms continued to produce well-defined mesocyclone in or near the echo appendage. mesocyclones with periodic strong RFDs at about the same interval. The liquid-only simulations, 6.1 Quantitative Comparisons of RFD Strength however, showed a tendency toward more linear structures, leading to fewer surface vorticity Surface vertical vorticity maxima, in all maxima. simulations but especially in ice-inclusive A difference field of simulation maximum simulations, were associated with a surge of RFD surface vertical vorticity was plotted on the westerlies just south of the surface . This parameter space (Fig. 8). Though there were westerly surge was defined as a small-scale exceptions, a few trends were noted. Magnitude region of storm-relative west-to-east flow generally of maximum vorticity was nearly always larger for in the southwest portion of the mesocyclone. the ice-inclusive simulations—these storms were Magnitude of westerlies in this RFD surge was able to produce a stronger surface vortex for a determined for each simulation and the given environmental shear. Better-developed approximate difference field plotted on the wind mesocyclones on average in the ice-inclusive profile parameter space (Fig. 10). Overall, a simulations, consisting of well-defined updraft and stronger RFD westerly component was present in RFD regions collocated with enhanced vertical the liquid-only simulations, apparently the result of vorticity at midlevels, may be partially responsible those storms having stronger cold pools to the for this trend. Also, the magnitude of this west of the updraft region. The notable exception difference typically increased as environmental was with full-circle hodographs, in which ice- shear increased. This suggests the ice-inclusive inclusive storms typically had a stronger RFD storms may better utilize increasing environmental surge. This seemed a result of the more defined shear to develop and maintain more intense mesocyclone structure in these storms compared surface vortices. to their liquid-only counterparts, with distinct As a measure of a storm’s efficiency at updraft and RFD regions collocated with enhanced repeatably concentrating vertical vorticity at the vertical vorticity. The full-circle hodograph with 25 surface, maximum surface vertical vorticity was ms-1 radius was the exception—the liquid-only summed across all twenty-one model output simulation with this profile produced a powerful times. A difference field of this variable was with exceptional westerly behind plotted on the wind profile parameter space (Fig. the , leading to an RFD westerly 9). Neither ice nor liquid simulations tended to surge of 50 ms-1, the strongest seen in any dominantly contain higher summed surface simulation. vorticity. Readily apparent, however, was a trend Potential temperature gradient across the toward higher relative summed vorticity in the ice- RFD boundary was plotted on the wind profile inclusive simulations for higher shear. This parameter space (Fig. 11). Most strikingly, this reinforces a previous conclusion—ice-inclusive gradient for liquid-only storms averaged twice as storms seem better able to utilize increasing strong. The RFD tended to be uniformly cool for environmental shear in the processes that most liquid-only simulations, with a few warmer generate and maintain surface vortices. cases among half-circle hodographs. Patterns were a little different for ice-inclusive storms—full- circle and half-circle hodographs tended to produce relatively cool RFDs, while three-quarter- circle hodographs produced warmer RFDs, relative to the entire parameter space. 6.2 Effects of Varying Shear on Microphysical environmental shear, likely as increased dynamic Distributions effects added to the updraft strength. A possible further microphysical Microphysical reasons for the noted contributor to mesocyclone organization is the differences in RFD strength and mesocyclone dominance of certain processes leading to rain organization were sought between ice-inclusive formation. In the SAM, rain mixing ratio is storms. For these investigations, mixing ratios of calculated for drops formed via melting of graupel, hail, other frozen particles, and rain from several shedding from hail, and via warm rain processes sources were plotted on the wind profile parameter (collision-coalescence). Rain mixing ratio due to space. A few associations were discovered melting and shedding was quite similar between between RFD strength and hydrometeor most simulations, with values only varying by distributions, and a few significant microphysical 100% - 200%. Warm rain, however, varied by up differences were found between storms forming to four orders of magnitude between the with different wind profiles. simulations. Maximum hail mixing ratios at 1000m Warm rain typically occurred on the averaged 25% to 60% higher for full-circle southwest side of the echo appendage, in an hodographs. Also, hail tended to be confined updraft region on the west side of the more to the storm core in half-circle simulations, mesocyclone (Fig. 13). The energy budget of while it tended to spread southward and wrap warm rain differs fundamentally from that of rain around the west side of the mesocyclone in full- formed by ice processes—most importantly, when circle simulations (Fig. 12). The higher hail warm rain is falling and evaporating, it cools the content coupled with a slightly different spatial hail column less than rain falling with ongoing melting. distribution in the full-circle simulations likely Large differences have been found in resulting contributed to stronger RFD westerly components downdraft strength in an idealized numerical in those simulations, owing to cooling associated downdraft simulation (Srivastava 1987). Thus, it with melting. could be expected that downdrafts formed in a Likewise, maximum graupel mixing ratio warm rain regime would be weaker than was typically at least double for full-circle downdrafts formed from mixed-phase hodographs. Similar to hail, at 1000m the graupel precipitation. distribution in storms with full-circle hodographs In this study, the amount of rain produced was also typically located farther south, closer to via warm rain processes varied significantly across the echo appendage. Larger graupel the wind profile parameter space. Nearly no warm concentrations alone should produce stronger rain was produced with full-circle hodographs, downdrafts (e.g. Srivastava 1987), though the while greater warm rain production occurred with different spatial distribution of smaller frozen increasing environmental shear for all hodograph particles may also contribute to the stronger RFDs shapes (Fig. 14). Both observations may be observed in full-circle simulations. related to the likelihood of seeding. With full-circle Increased hail and graupel mixing ratios in hodographs, particles remain in the updraft some storms may be related to seeding potential. vicinity, so any ice particles present would have a For full-circle hodographs, ice particles would higher chance of providing ice nuclei to younger, remain nearer the updraft and therefore have a warmer segments of the updraft. The level at better chance of seeding new areas with ice which particles freeze would likely be lower in nuclei. Similarly, stronger shear was generally these environments. In the case of stronger found to yield higher mixing ratios of ice-phase shear, ice particles should leave the updraft particles. At first this may not seem likely, as vicinity more readily via advection, so seeding stronger shear would remove particles from the would become less likely and warm rain processes updraft region and reduce seeding potential, but a would be able to dominate a larger, deeper portion few mechanisms exist which may contribute to the of the updraft column, especially its upshear side. observed pattern. Ice particles from nearby Though not yet shown conclusively, it is storms would be more likely to seed a given storm suspected that the dominance of warm rain if shear were increased, assuming more efficient processes on the southwest side of the particle advection. Also, a past study has found mesocyclone may influence RFD temperature increased hydrometeor production with stronger characteristics. If warm rain processes occupy updrafts (Gilmore et al. 2004a). To a point, much of the updraft, the RFD might be warmer, stronger updrafts were noted with increasing given less melting. If warm rain was uncommon or absent, as in full-circle hodographs or at low shear, the RFD might be cooler. These near the updraft may be vitally important to contributions to RFD temperature may be small, downdraft strength in this region. especially in higher-shear regimes, and may not be well-correlated to potential. 8. References

7. Conclusions Adlerman, E. J., and K. K. Droegemeier, 2005: The dependence of numerically simulated The SAM was found to yield similar mesocyclogenesis upon environmental mesocyclone behavior as seen in a past study vertical wind shear. Mon. Wea. Rev., 133, with liquid-only microphysics, though the 40% 3595 – 3623. decrease in CAPE yielded more cyclic occluding Brooks, H. E., C. A. Doswell, and R. B. storms. Ice-inclusive microphysics yielded quite Wilhelmson, 1994: The role of different results—no non-cyclic storms were noted, midtropospheric winds in the evolution and and non-occluding cyclic storms occupied much of maintenance of low-level mesocyclones. the wind profile parameter space with moderate Mon. Wea. Rev., 122, 126 – 136. environmental shear. Gilmore, M. S., J. M. Straka, and E. N. With ice-inclusive microphysics, full-circle Rasmussen, 2004a: Precipitation and hodographs were found to yield well-organized evolution sensitivity in simulated deep and persistent supercells, with little tendency convective storms: comparisons between toward linear convection as in liquid-only liquid-only and simple ice and liquid phase simulations. Three-quarter-circle hodographs microphysics. Mon. Wea. Rev., 132, 1897 yielded occluding cyclic behavior with weaker – 1916. shear and non-occluding cyclic behavior with Gilmore, M. S., J. M. Straka, and E. N. stronger shear. Half-circle hodographs produced Rasmussen, 2004b: Precipitation variable, but cyclic, mesocyclone behavior. uncertainty due to variations in Cold pools averaged twice as cold in the precipitation particle parameters within a liquid-only simulations, leading to eastward- simple microphysics scheme. Mon. Wea. surging storm-relative surface winds, stronger Rev., 132, 2610 – 2627. updrafts, and a tendency toward linear convective Klemp, J. B., and R. B. Wilhelmson, 1978: The organization. As environmental shear increased, simulation of three-dimensional convective storms took longer to concentrate vertical vorticity storm dynamics. J. Atmos. Sci., 35, 1070 near the surface, though this effect was less with – 1096. ice-inclusive microphysics. Overall, ice-inclusive Markowski, P., J. M. Straka, E. N. Rasmussen, storms were better able to utilize increasing 2002: Direct surface thermodynamic environmental shear in processes producing and observations within the rear-flank maintaining strong surface vortices. Thus, both downdrafts of nontornadic and tornadic magnitude of maximum surface vertical vorticity supercells. Mon. Wea. Rev., 130, 1692- and magnitude of summed surface vertical 1721. vorticity was higher in ice-inclusive simulations at Srivastava, R. C., 1987: A model of intense higher shear. downdrafts driven by the melting and The RFD was marked by a stronger evaporation of precipitation. J. Atmos. potential temperature gradient in the liquid-only Sci., 44, 1752 – 1774. simulations, and contained a stronger westerly Soong, S., and Y. Ogura, 1973: A comparison component on average. Among the ice-inclusive between axisymmetric and slab-symmetric simulations, full-circle hodographs contained cumulus models. J. Atmos. Sci., 30, strong RFD westerly components. Greater hail 879 – 893. and graupel mixing ratios in those simulations, along with an altered spatial distribution of ice- phase particles and decreased warm rain production, appeared to contribute. Overall, strong shear produced higher concentrations of ice-phase particles, possibly owing to stronger updrafts. Warm rain production increased with increasing shear within a given hodograph shape, and was nearly absent from simulations with full- circle hodographs. Thus, seeding by ice particles

Figure 1: The chosen subset of wind profiles from Adlerman and Droegemeier (2005), consisting of full- circle, three-quarter-circle, and half-circle hodographs. Stars represent individual wind profiles, for which both liquid-only and ice-inclusive simulations were completed. The number above each star represents wind profile radius in ms-1 for all simulations in the chosen subset, and tail length in ms-1 for most of the other wind profiles.

Figure 2: Schematics of three cycling modes observed in simulated storms in the SAM, corresponding to the three modes observed by Adlerman and Droegemeier (2005). Color shading represents 1000-m reflectivity factor in dBZ, light green contour represents 1000-m updraft of 3 ms-1, dark green line represents 1000-m updraft of 10 ms-1, and black contours represent 1000-m vertical vorticity of 0.005. For step two of the non-occluding cyclic process, black contour is 1000-m vertical vorticity of 0.01. In all schematics, blue arrows show the location of a surge of enhanced westerlies associated with the RFD.

Figure 3: Mesocyclone cycling modes observed in a) the study of Adlerman and Droegemeier (2005), and b) this study, with liquid-only microphysics. Simulations are labeled on the parameter space as described in Fig. 1. Lines denote approximate boundaries of observed cycling types, schematics of which are presented in Fig. 2.

Figure 4: Mesocyclone cycling modes observed in this study with ice-inclusive microphysics. Simulations are labeled on the parameter space as described in Fig. 1. Lines denote approximate boundaries of cycling types, schematics of which are presented in Fig. 2.

Figure 5: Number of model output steps which had maximum updraft at 1000m of at least 15 ms-1 for a) the liquid-only simulations, and b) the ice-inclusive simulations. Simulations are denoted as described in Fig. 1, and number of steps is shown by the blue number below each star. If no number is present, no steps contained an updraft this strong at 1000m.

Figure 6: Time of the first surface vertical vorticity maximum with magnitude at least 50% of the simulation maximum. a) is for the liquid-only simulations, b) is for the ice-inclusive simulations, and c) shows the difference field (ice minus liquid) for this variable. Times, denoted in blue, are number of seconds since model initialization divided by 100 (e.g. 5400s = 54). The -1800s contour is highlighted in (c).

Figure 7: Average difference in time between successive surface vertical vorticity maxima, calculated as ice minus liquid values. The blue number below each simulation represents this difference in minutes.

Figure 8: Difference in maximum surface vertical vorticity between ice and liquid simulations, represented by the blue number below each simulation. This number represents the difference multiplied by 1000 (e.g. 37 = 0.037).

Figure 9: Difference between ice and liquid simulations of maximum surface vertical vorticity summed across all twenty-one model output steps. Blue numbers represent this difference in units of s-1.

Figure 10: Approximate difference (to the nearest 5 ms-1) between ice and liquid simulations of the strongest westerly component in the RFD at the time of maximum surface vertical vorticity. Blue number represents this difference in ms-1.

Figure 11: Temperature difference across the RFD boundary, calculated as environmental temperature minus minimum RFD temperature just behind the RFD boundary. (a) is for liquid-only simulations, while (b) is for the ice-inclusive simulations. Blue numbers represent this difference in Kelvin.

Figure 12: Mixing ratio of hail from graupel (purple contours) and hail from frozen drops (orange contours) for a) a simulation with a full-circle hodograph (I6), and b) a half-circle hodograph (I10). Hail mixing ratio is overlaid on color-filled contours of model-derived reflectivity factor every 10 dBZ beginning with a minimum of 20 dBZ (green contour).

Figure 13: As in Fig. 12, except dark green contours are rain from melting, blue contours are rain from shedding, and black contours are rain formed via warm rain processes.

Figure 14: Maximum warm rain mixing ratio at 1000m for the time of maximum surface vertical vorticity in each ice-inclusive simulation. Blue numbers denote this value multiplied by 105 for scaling.