MITMIT Overview of Recent Trends in ICATICAT the Airline Industry Prof. R. John Hansman MIT Department of Aeronautics and Astronautics Traffic Source: Sage Analysis courtesy Prof Ian Waitz
[email protected] 617-253-2271 MITMIT World Population Distribution ICATICAT and Air Transportation Activity North America Europe 37% Pax 27% Pax 26% Cargo 28% Cargo ~40 Airlines ~80 Airlines Asia/ ~4100 Airports ~2400 Airports Pacific 26% Pax 36% Cargo Latin America/ ~60 Airlines Middle East Caribbean Africa ~1800 Airports 4% Pax 5% Pax 2% Pax 5% Cargo 3% Cargo 2% Cargo ~12 Airlines ~40 Airlines ~20 Airlines ~230 Airports ~580 Airports ~300 Airports Population Source:http://www.ciesin.org/datasets/gpw/globldem.doc.html Air Transport Source: ICAO, R. Schild/Airbus Passenger and freight traffic represent RPK and FTK share in 2002 MITMIT Conceptual Model ICATICAT Direct / Indirect / Induced employment effects Economy Economic Enabling Effect (Access to people / markets / ideas / capital) Pricing & Schedule Demand Supply NAS Travel/Freight Need Capability Airlines Financial Equity/ Revenue/Profitability Debt Markets Air Transportation System Vehicle Capability MITMIT Correlation Between US GDP and ICATICAT Scheduled Passenger Traffic 30% Sch. RPMs 25% GDP Deregulation 20% Recessions (%) 15% 10% Growth 5% Annual 0% -5% -10% 1965 1968 1971 1974 1977 1980 1983 1986 1989 1992 1995 1998 2001 Source: US BEA and BTS data; Recession data from National Bureau of Economic Research MITMIT Air Cargo and GDP ICATICAT (Mainland China) Relationship between carried air cargo