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Heat in Australia in December 2012 / January 2013 Dr. Susanne Haeseler, Christiana Lefebvre; updated: 02. February 2013

Introduction

In December 2012 and January 2013, large parts of Australia (Fig. 1) suffered from an extreme heat wave breaking several temperature records. This summery heat was accompanied by drought conditions. During the first half of January, there was widespread no or only slight rainfall of less than 10 millimetres. Bush fires, being difficult to keep under control due to partly strong , burned, amongst others, in the states of , , and on Tasmania. New South Wales alone counted more than 90. Numerous buildings and livestock fell victim to the fires.

Fig. 1: Map of Australia with some stations mentioned below.

In the course of the month, the Bureau of , the Australian , issued several Special Climate Statements about the heat wave. Meanwhile, a final report is released on the web page http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/current/statements/ titled "Extreme January heat". In the following, some results of this special report are quoted, supplemented with further information of the Bureau of Meteorology and other institutions.

Weather evolution and temperatures

Large parts of central and southern Australia suffered from a long-lived heat wave from end- December 2012 to mid-January 2013, commencing in the southwest of the state of Western Australia, as a high in the Great Australian Bight and a surface trough near the west coast of the continent directed hot air masses from eastern directions across the area (Fig. 2).

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Fig. 2: Surface analysis for the area of Australia on 25 December 2012. [Source: Bureau of Meteorology]

By the eastward shift of the high, more and more parts of southern Australia were affected by the heat. On 4 January 2013, the hottest day of the heat wave in Tasmania and coastal areas of and Victoria, the high pressure system was located off the east coast of the continent across the Tasman Sea (Fig. 3 and 4). On its western flank, very hot air masses from northern directions were then directed to south-eastern Australia. These caused extremely high temperatures across the east of the state of South Australia and the northern half of New South Wales till the 8th.

Fig. 3: Surface analysis for the area of Australia on 4 January 2013. [Source: Bureau of Meteorology]

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Fig. 4: Maximum temperatures in °C on 4 January 2013. [Source: Bureau of Meteorology]

Figure 5 shows the maximum temperature anomaly from the 1961-1990 average for 1 to 7 January 2013.

Fig. 5: Maximum temperature anomaly from the 1961-1990 average for 1 to 7 January 2013. Units are °C. [Source: Bureau of Meteorology]

While the high across the Tasman Sea moved eastward and lost influence, a further high, moving from southwest to the Great Australian Bight, caused an anew wave in Western Australia from 8 to 10 January with widespread more than 45 °C and new temperature records (Fig. 6).

3 Fig. 6: Maximum temperatures in °C on 8 January (left) and on 10 January 2013 (right). [Source: Bureau of Meteorology]

Then, weak low pressure influence provided for temporarily somewhat cooler conditions in southern Australia with widespread no (compare Fig. 12). Afterwards, the intense heat from the interior of the continent extended again and caused further heat records, particularly on 12 and 13 January. Temperatures exceeded 48 °C at numerous weather stations in the northwest of New South Wales, in the northeast of South Australia and in the west of Queensland (Fig. 7). At Moomba in South Australia, e.g., 49.6 °C was recorded on 12 January and at Birdsville in Queensland 49.0 °C on 13 January. Also the night-time minimum temperatures in the mentioned areas were widespread well above average with values of more than 24 °C (Fig. 7), e.g. at Moomba Airport, where a minimum temperature of 27.0 °C was recorded on 12 January and 29.5 °C on 13 January.

Fig. 7: Maximum temperatures in °C on 13 January 2013 (top left) and their anomaly from the long-term average (top right), as well as minimum temperatures on 13 January 2013 (bottom left) and their anomaly from the long-term average (bottom right). [Source: Bureau of Meteorology]

4 North-westerly winds brought again very warm air masses to the southeast and the south of the continent, leading to temperatures of more than 40 °C up to the 18th, especially in the states of South Australia, New South Wales and Victoria.

The main part of the heat wave ended for most of the affected areas on 19 January, as southerly winds cooled the southern states and late developing monsoonal moderated conditions further north. It was the first day since 31 December 2012 with temperatures not reaching 45 °C somewhere in Australia.

Some new daily maximum temperature records at Australian weather stations are listed in Table 1.

Abbreviations for the Australian states are: NSW = New South Wales SA = South Australia TAS = Tasmania WA = Western Australia station state new record previous record years of record Cape Naturaliste WA 37.7 °C on 30.12.2012 37.6 °C on 26.12.2007 104 Eucla WA 48.2 °C on 03.01.2013 47.9 °C on 03.01.1979 97 TAS 41.8 °C on 04.01.2013 40.8 °C on 04.01.1976 120 Bushy Park TAS 40.3 °C on 04.01.2013 39.5 °C on 20.01.1973 53 Larapuna TAS 36.5 °C on 04.01.2013 36.1 °C on 16.01.1960 104 SA 44.1 °C on 04.01.2013 44.0 °C on 28.01.2009 58 Hay (Miller St) NSW 47.7 °C on 05.01.2013 46.0 °C on 23.01.2001 56 WA 47.1 °C on 08.01.2013 45.7 °C on 05.01.2008 63 Wiluna WA 48.0 °C on 08.01.2013 46.9 °C on 01.01.1990 56 Leonora WA 49.0 °C on 09.01.2013 47.8 °C on 17.01.1958 57 Tibooburra Post Off. NSW 47.9 °C on 12.01.2013 47.6 °C on 03.01.1973 103 Nyngan Airport NSW 47.0 °C on 12.01.2013 46.8 °C on 15.01.1939 93 Katoomba NSW 36.4 °C on 12.01.2013 36.2 °C on 14.01.2005 51 Giles MO WA 45.7 °C on 16.01.2013 44.8 °C on 28.01.2011 57 Newcastle NSW 42.5 °C on 18.01.2013 41.4 °C on 01.01.2006 56 Williamstown NSW 44.8 °C on 18.01.2013 44.4 °C on 01.01.2006 63 Airport NSW 46.4 °C on 18.01.2013 45.2 °C on 01.01.2006 74 Richmond NSW 46.4 °C on 18.01.2013 44.9 °C on 15.01.2001 67 Tab. 1: New daily maximum temperature records. [Source: Bureau of Meteorology]

Figure 9 shows the daily maximum and minimum temperatures at six stations mentioned in Table 1 in December 2012 and January 2013. The locations of the stations are mapped in Figure 1.

5 LEONORA (Western Australia)

50 40 30 20 10

temperature (°C) 0 13579111315171921232527293124681012141618202224262830 December 2012 January 2013

ADELAIDE (South Australia)

50 40 30 20 10

temperature (°C) 0 13579111315171921232527293124681012141618202224262830 December 2012 January 2013

HAY (New South Wales)

50 40 30 20 10

temperature (°C) 0 13579111315171921232527293124681012141618202224262830 December 2012 January 2013

NYNGAN (New South Wales)

50 40 30 20 10

temperature (°C) 0 13579111315171921232527293124681012141618202224262830 December 2012 January 2013

SYDNEY (New South Wales)

50 40 30 20 10

temperature (°C) 0 13579111315171921232527293124681012141618202224262830 December 2012 January 2013

HOBART (Tasmania)

50 40 30 20 10

temperature (°C) 0 13579111315171921232527293124681012141618202224262830 December 2012 January 2013

6 Fig. 9 (previous page): Maximum temperatures (in °C, in red) and minimum temperatures (in °C, in blue) at 6 Australian stations from 1 December 2012 to 31 January 2013. The lines denote the respective means for December and January (light orange for maximum temperature, pale blue for minimum temperature). [Data source: Bureau of Meteorology]

Intense heat with temperatures of more than 40 °C was mainly recorded since the last decade of 2012. The highest temperatures were partly more than 10 °C above the 1961- 1990 averages. The minimum temperatures during the heat wave were, especially in Hay, temporarily well above average.

The effect of the heat wave on the monthly mean temperatures is shown in Figure 10 by the maximum temperature anomalies in December 2012 and January 2013.

Fig. 10: Maximum temperature anomaly (in °C) from the 1961-1990 average for December 2012 (left) and January 2013 (right). [Source: Bureau of Meteorology]

In the east of Australia, the maximum temperatures in January were widespread more than 2 °C above the long-term average, in New South Wales regionally up to 6 °C. For entire Australia, January 2013 was the so far hottest month since record began in 1911. Averaged nationally, the maximum temperature of 36.9 °C exceeded the average of 1961-1990 by 2.3 °C.

Dryness

In parts of Australia, especially in the central south and in the southeast, too dry conditions existed since several months. Figure 11 gives a review of the dryness across swaths of eastern Australia in December 2012.

Fig. 11: Precipitation totals for Australia of December 2012. Left: in millimetre. Right: in percentage of the long-term averages (1961-1990). [Source: Bureau of Meteorology]

7 During the first half of January 2013, it was widespread rainless or rainfall amounts were below 10 mm (Fig. 12, left). Except for the southwest of the continent, mostly less than 20 % of the mean precipitation total of this period was recorded (Fig 12, right).

Fig. 12: Precipitation totals for Australia from 1 to 15 January 2013. Left: in millimetre. Right: in percentage of the long-term averages (1961-1990). [Source: Bureau of Meteorology]

The widespread drought lasted partly till the end of the month (Fig. 13). But during the 4th week of January, the former OSWALD triggered heavy rains along the Australian east coast leading to regionally devastating floods. (To this, see reports of the Bureau of Meteorology and DWD.)

Fig. 13: Precipitation totals for Australia of January 2013. Left: in millimetre. Right: in percentage of the long-term average (1961-1990). [Source: Bureau of Meteorology]

Bush fires

High temperatures, dryness and partly strong winds accounted to the spreading of bush fires. On 8 January, large areas of New South Wales were given the highest level of fire danger rating of ‚catastrophic’ (The Guardian). To avert the outbreak of further fires, the states of South Australia, New South Wales (including the Australian Capital Territory) and Victoria, among others, declared "Total Fire Bans".

In New South Wales alone, more than 90 wildfires were already reported on 10 January, some of them being out of control (NWS Rural Fire Service). The satellite image of Figure 14 shows bush fires in the region of on 9 January 2013 (NASA, Earth Observatory).

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Fig. 14: Satellite image acquired on 9 January 2013, showing the area of Canberra in New South Wales. Red outlines indicate regions with unusually warm surface temperatures associated with bush fires. [Source: NASA, Earth Observatory]

According to a report in The Guardian released on 12 January 2013, around 350 000 hectares of land has been destroyed and thousands of livestock have been lost in New South Wales alone.

Sources

. Australian Government, Bureau of Meteorology: Climate Data Online. http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/data/ . Australian Government, Bureau of Meteorology: Maps – Recent & Past Conditions. http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/maps/ . Australian Government, Bureau of Meteorology: Rainfall Deficiencies. http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/drought/ . Australian Government, Bureau of Meteorology: Extreme January heat. Special Climate Statement 43 – Interim. http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/current/statements/scs43a.pdf (Last update 8 January, 2013) http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/current/statements/scs43b.pdf (Last update 9 January, 2013) http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/current/statements/scs43c.pdf (Last update 14 January, 2013) . Australian Government, Bureau of Meteorology: Special Climate Statement 43 - extreme heat in January 2013. http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/current/statements/scs43d.pdf (Updated 25 January 2013) http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/current/statements/scs43e.pdf (Updated 01 February 2013) . Australian Government, Bureau of Meteorology: Special Climate Statement 44 – extreme rainfall and flooding in coastal Queensland and New South Wales. http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/current/statements/scs44.pdf (5 February 2013) . (DWD): Rekordhitze in Australien. Thema des Tages vom 07.01.2013 . Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD): Floods at the Australian east coast in January 2013. . NASA, Earth Observatory: Wildfires in New South Wales. http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/NaturalHazards/view.php?id=80127

9 . New South Wales (NWS) Rural Fire Service: http://www.rfs.nsw.gov.au/ . South Australian Country Fire Service: http://www.cfs.sa.gov.au/site/home.jsp . The Guardian: As Australia heatwave hits new high, warning that bushfires will continue. (12 January 2013) http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2013/jan/12/australia-bushfires-heatwave-new-high

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