Modulation of Typhoon-Induced Sea Surface Cooling by Preexisting Eddies in the South China Sea
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P1.24 a Typhoon Loss Estimation Model for China
P1.24 A TYPHOON LOSS ESTIMATION MODEL FOR CHINA Peter J. Sousounis*, H. He, M. L. Healy, V. K. Jain, G. Ljung, Y. Qu, and B. Shen-Tu AIR Worldwide Corporation, Boston, MA 1. INTRODUCTION the two. Because of its wind intensity (135 mph maximum sustained winds), it has been Nowhere 1 else in the world do tropical compared to Hurricane Katrina 2005. But Saomai cyclones (TCs) develop more frequently than in was short lived, and although it made landfall as the Northwest Pacific Basin. Nearly thirty TCs are a strong Category 4 storm and generated heavy spawned each year, 20 of which reach hurricane precipitation, it weakened quickly. Still, economic or typhoon status (cf. Fig. 1). Five of these reach losses were ~12 B RMB (~1.5 B USD). In super typhoon status, with windspeeds over 130 contrast, Bilis, which made landfall a month kts. In contrast, the North Atlantic typically earlier just south of where Saomai hit, was generates only ten TCs, seven of which reach actually only tropical storm strength at landfall hurricane status. with max sustained winds of 70 mph. Bilis weakened further still upon landfall but turned Additionally, there is no other country in the southwest and traveled slowly over a period of world where TCs strike with more frequency than five days across Hunan, Guangdong, Guangxi in China. Nearly ten landfalling TCs occur in a and Yunnan Provinces. It generated copious typical year, with one to two additional by-passing amounts of precipitation, with large areas storms coming close enough to the coast to receiving more than 300 mm. -
Genesis of Twin Tropical Cyclones As Revealed by a Global Mesoscale
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 117, D13114, doi:10.1029/2012JD017450, 2012 Genesis of twin tropical cyclones as revealed by a global mesoscale model: The role of mixed Rossby gravity waves Bo-Wen Shen,1,2 Wei-Kuo Tao,2 Yuh-Lang Lin,3 and Arlene Laing4 Received 12 January 2012; revised 26 April 2012; accepted 29 May 2012; published 12 July 2012. [1] In this study, it is proposed that twin tropical cyclones (TCs), Kesiny and 01A, in May 2002 formed in association with the scale interactions of three gyres that appeared as a convectively coupled mixed Rossby gravity (ccMRG) wave during an active phase of the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO). This is shown by analyzing observational data, including NCEP reanalysis data and METEOSAT 7 IR satellite imagery, and performing numerical simulations using a global mesoscale model. A 10-day control run is initialized at 0000 UTC 1 May 2002 with grid-scale condensation but no sub-grid cumulus parameterizations. The ccMRG wave was identified as encompassing two developing and one non-developing gyres, the first two of which intensified and evolved into the twin TCs. The control run is able to reproduce the evolution of the ccMRG wave and thus the formation of the twin TCs about two and five days in advance as well as their subsequent intensity evolution and movement within an 8–10 day period. Five additional 10-day sensitivity experiments with different model configurations are conducted to help understand the interaction of the three gyres, leading to the formation of the TCs. These experiments -
Characteristics of Satellite-Based Ocean Turbulent Heat Flux Around the Korean Peninsula and Relationship with Changes in Typhoon Intensity
remote sensing Article Characteristics of Satellite-Based Ocean Turbulent Heat Flux around the Korean Peninsula and Relationship with Changes in Typhoon Intensity Jaemin Kim and Yun Gon Lee * Atmospheric Sciences, Department of Astronomy, Space Science, and Geology, Chungnam National University, Daejeon 34134, Korea; [email protected] * Correspondence: [email protected]; Tel.: +82-042-821-7107 Abstract: Ocean-atmosphere energy exchange is an important factor in the maintenance of oceanic and atmospheric circulation and the regulation of meteorological and climate systems. Oceanic sensible and latent heat fluxes around the Korean Peninsula were determined using satellite-based air-sea variables (wind speed, sea surface temperature, and atmospheric specific humidity and temperature) and the coupled ocean-atmosphere response experiment (COARE) 3.5 bulk algorithm for six years between 2014 and 2019. Seasonal characteristics of the marine heat flux and its short- term fluctuations during summer typhoons were also investigated. Air-sea variables were produced through empirical relationships and verified with observational data from marine buoys around the Korean Peninsula. Satellite-derived wind speed, sea surface temperature, atmospheric specific humidity, and air temperature were strongly correlated with buoy data, with R2 values of 0.80, 0.97, 0.90, and 0.91, respectively. Satellite-based sensible and latent heat fluxes around the peninsula were also validated against fluxes calculated from marine buoy data, and displayed low values in summer and higher values in autumn and winter as the difference between air-sea temperature and specific humidity increased. Through analyses of spatio-temporal fluctuations in the oceanic turbulent heat Citation: Kim, J.; Lee, Y.G. -
HURRICANE KENNETH (EP132017) 18–23 August 2017
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TROPICAL CYCLONE REPORT HURRICANE KENNETH (EP132017) 18–23 August 2017 Robbie Berg National Hurricane Center 26 January 2018 NASA-NOAA SUOMI NPP ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGE OF HURRICANE KENNETH AT 1034 UTC 21 AUGUST 2017 WHILE AT PEAK INTENSITY Kenneth was a category 4 hurricane (on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale) over the eastern North Pacific Ocean that did not affect land. Hurricane Kenneth 2 Hurricane Kenneth 18–23 AUGUST 2017 SYNOPTIC HISTORY Kenneth formed from the interaction of two tropical waves which moved off the west coast of Africa on 29 July and 2 August. The first wave moved across the Atlantic Ocean and northern South America at low latitudes and reached the eastern North Pacific Ocean on 8 August. At that point, the wave became more convectively active, but it moved only slowly westward for the next week due to its position south of Hurricane Franklin over the Bay of Campeche. In the meantime, the second tropical wave spawned Hurricane Gert over the western Atlantic, with the southern portion of the wave reaching the eastern North Pacific waters on 12 August. With the subtropical ridge rebuilding over the Gulf of Mexico, the second wave moved at a faster speed toward the west and reached the first tropical wave on 16 August (Fig. 1). The interaction of the two waves caused the development of a low by 1200 UTC 17 August about 530 n mi southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. Convective banding became more organized and persistent through the day, and the low was designated as a tropical depression by 0600 UTC 18 August about 585 n mi south- southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. -
February 2020 Ajet
AJET News & Events, Arts & Culture, Lifestyle, Community FEBRUARY 2020 Riding the Jiu-Jitsu Wave Working for the Kyoryokutai The Changing Colors of the Red and White Singing Battle Journey Through Magic Embarrassing Adventures of an Expat in Tokyo The Japanese Lifestyle & Culture Magazine Written by the International Community in Japan1 In response to ongoing global news, the team at Connect Magazine would like to acknowledge the devastating impact of the 2019-2020 bushfires in Australia. Our thoughts and support are with those suffering. 2 Since September 2019, the raging fires across the eastern and southeastern Australian coastal regions have burned over 17.9 million acres, destroyed over 2000 homes, and killed least 27 people. A billion animals have been caught in the fires, with some species now pushed to the brink of extinction. Skies are reddened from air heavy with smoke— smoke which can be seen 2,000km away in New Zealand and even from Chile, South America, which is more than 11,000km away. Currently, massive efforts are being taken to tackle the bushfires and protect people, animals, and homes in the vicinity. If you would like to be a part of this effort, here are some resources you can use to help: Country Fire Authority Country Fire Service Foundation In Victoria In South Australia New South Wales Rural The Australian Red Cross Fire Service Fire recovery and relief fund World Wildlife Fund GIVIT Caring for injured wildlife and Donating items requested by habitat restoration those affected The Animal Rescue Collective Craft Guild Making bedding and bandaging for injured animals. -
Lecture 15 Hurricane Structure
MET 200 Lecture 15 Hurricanes Last Lecture: Atmospheric Optics Structure and Climatology The amazing variety of optical phenomena observed in the atmosphere can be explained by four physical mechanisms. • What is the structure or anatomy of a hurricane? • How to build a hurricane? - hurricane energy • Hurricane climatology - when and where Hurricane Katrina • Scattering • Reflection • Refraction • Diffraction 1 2 Colorado Flood Damage Hurricanes: Useful Websites http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/ http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu http://www.nhc.noaa.gov Hurricane Alberto Hurricanes are much broader than they are tall. 3 4 Hurricane Raymond Hurricane Raymond 5 6 Hurricane Raymond Hurricane Raymond 7 8 Hurricane Raymond: wind shear Typhoon Francisco 9 10 Typhoon Francisco Typhoon Francisco 11 12 Typhoon Francisco Typhoon Francisco 13 14 Typhoon Lekima Typhoon Lekima 15 16 Typhoon Lekima Hurricane Priscilla 17 18 Hurricane Priscilla Hurricanes are Tropical Cyclones Hurricanes are a member of a family of cyclones called Tropical Cyclones. West of the dateline these storms are called Typhoons. In India and Australia they are called simply Cyclones. 19 20 Hurricane Isaac: August 2012 Characteristics of Tropical Cyclones • Low pressure systems that don’t have fronts • Cyclonic winds (counter clockwise in Northern Hemisphere) • Anticyclonic outflow (clockwise in NH) at upper levels • Warm at their center or core • Wind speeds decrease with height • Symmetric structure about clear "eye" • Latent heat from condensation in clouds primary energy source • Form over warm tropical and subtropical oceans NASA VIIRS Day-Night Band 21 22 • Differences between hurricanes and midlatitude storms: Differences between hurricanes and midlatitude storms: – energy source (latent heat vs temperature gradients) - Winter storms have cold and warm fronts (asymmetric). -
Tinamiformes – Falconiformes
LIST OF THE 2,008 BIRD SPECIES (WITH SCIENTIFIC AND ENGLISH NAMES) KNOWN FROM THE A.O.U. CHECK-LIST AREA. Notes: "(A)" = accidental/casualin A.O.U. area; "(H)" -- recordedin A.O.U. area only from Hawaii; "(I)" = introducedinto A.O.U. area; "(N)" = has not bred in A.O.U. area but occursregularly as nonbreedingvisitor; "?" precedingname = extinct. TINAMIFORMES TINAMIDAE Tinamus major Great Tinamou. Nothocercusbonapartei Highland Tinamou. Crypturellus soui Little Tinamou. Crypturelluscinnamomeus Thicket Tinamou. Crypturellusboucardi Slaty-breastedTinamou. Crypturellus kerriae Choco Tinamou. GAVIIFORMES GAVIIDAE Gavia stellata Red-throated Loon. Gavia arctica Arctic Loon. Gavia pacifica Pacific Loon. Gavia immer Common Loon. Gavia adamsii Yellow-billed Loon. PODICIPEDIFORMES PODICIPEDIDAE Tachybaptusdominicus Least Grebe. Podilymbuspodiceps Pied-billed Grebe. ?Podilymbusgigas Atitlan Grebe. Podicepsauritus Horned Grebe. Podicepsgrisegena Red-neckedGrebe. Podicepsnigricollis Eared Grebe. Aechmophorusoccidentalis Western Grebe. Aechmophorusclarkii Clark's Grebe. PROCELLARIIFORMES DIOMEDEIDAE Thalassarchechlororhynchos Yellow-nosed Albatross. (A) Thalassarchecauta Shy Albatross.(A) Thalassarchemelanophris Black-browed Albatross. (A) Phoebetriapalpebrata Light-mantled Albatross. (A) Diomedea exulans WanderingAlbatross. (A) Phoebastriaimmutabilis Laysan Albatross. Phoebastrianigripes Black-lootedAlbatross. Phoebastriaalbatrus Short-tailedAlbatross. (N) PROCELLARIIDAE Fulmarus glacialis Northern Fulmar. Pterodroma neglecta KermadecPetrel. (A) Pterodroma -
Tropical Cyclone Effects on California
/ i' NOAA Technical Memorandum NWS WR-~ 1s-? TROPICAL CYCLONE EFFECTS ON CALIFORNIA Salt Lake City, Utah October 1980 u.s. DEPARTMENT OF I National Oceanic and National Weather COMMERCE Atmospheric Administration I Service NOAA TECHNICAL ME~RANOA National Weather Service, Western R@(Jfon Suhseries The National Weather Service (NWS~ Western Rl!qion (WR) Sub5eries provide! an informal medium for the documentation and nUlck disseminuion of l"'eSUlts not appr-opriate. or nnt yet readY. for formal publication. The series is used to report an work in pronf"'!ss. to rie-tJ:cribe tl!1:hnical procedures and oractice'S, or to relate proqre5 s to a Hmitfd audience. The~J:e Technical ~ranc1i!l will report on investiqations rit'vot~ or'imaroi ly to rl!nionaJ and local orablems of interest mainly to personnel, "'"d • f,. nence wUl not hi! 'l!lidely distributed. Pacer<; I to Z5 are in the fanner series, ESSA Technical Hetooranda, Western Reqion Technical ~-··•nda (WRTMI· naoors 24 tn 59 are i·n the fanner series, ESSA Technical ~-rando, W.othel" Bureou Technical ~-randa (WSTMI. aeqinniM with "n. the oaoers are oa"t of the series. ltOAA Technical >4emoranda NWS. Out·of·print .....,rond1 are not listed. PanfiM ( tn 22, except for 5 {revised erlitinn), ar'l! availabll! froM tt'lt Nationm1 Weattuu• Service Wesurn Ret1inn. )cientific ~•,.,irr• Division, P.O. Box lllAA, Federal RuildiM, 125 South State Street, Salt La~• City, Utah R4147. Pacer 5 (revised •rlitinnl. and all nthei"S beqinninq ~ith 25 are available from the National rechnical Information Sel'"lice. II.S. -
Appendix 8: Damages Caused by Natural Disasters
Building Disaster and Climate Resilient Cities in ASEAN Draft Finnal Report APPENDIX 8: DAMAGES CAUSED BY NATURAL DISASTERS A8.1 Flood & Typhoon Table A8.1.1 Record of Flood & Typhoon (Cambodia) Place Date Damage Cambodia Flood Aug 1999 The flash floods, triggered by torrential rains during the first week of August, caused significant damage in the provinces of Sihanoukville, Koh Kong and Kam Pot. As of 10 August, four people were killed, some 8,000 people were left homeless, and 200 meters of railroads were washed away. More than 12,000 hectares of rice paddies were flooded in Kam Pot province alone. Floods Nov 1999 Continued torrential rains during October and early November caused flash floods and affected five southern provinces: Takeo, Kandal, Kampong Speu, Phnom Penh Municipality and Pursat. The report indicates that the floods affected 21,334 families and around 9,900 ha of rice field. IFRC's situation report dated 9 November stated that 3,561 houses are damaged/destroyed. So far, there has been no report of casualties. Flood Aug 2000 The second floods has caused serious damages on provinces in the North, the East and the South, especially in Takeo Province. Three provinces along Mekong River (Stung Treng, Kratie and Kompong Cham) and Municipality of Phnom Penh have declared the state of emergency. 121,000 families have been affected, more than 170 people were killed, and some $10 million in rice crops has been destroyed. Immediate needs include food, shelter, and the repair or replacement of homes, household items, and sanitation facilities as water levels in the Delta continue to fall. -
Member Report (Malaysia)
MEMBER REPORT (MALAYSIA) ESCAP/WMO Typhoon Committee 15th Integrated Workshop Video Conference 1-2 December 2020 Organised by Viet Nam Table of Contents I. Overview of tropical cyclones which have affected/impacted Malaysia in 2020 1. Meteorological Assessment (highlighting forecasting issues/impacts) 2. Hydrological Assessment (highlighting water-related issues/impact) (a) Flash flood in Kajang & Kuala Lumpur in July and September 2020 (b) Enhancement of Hydrological Data Management for DID Malaysia (c) Hydrological Instrumentation Updates for Malaysia (d) Drought Monitoring Updates 3. Socio-Economic Assessment (highlighting socio-economic and DRR issues/impacts) 4. Regional Cooperation Assessment (highlighting regional cooperation successes and challenges) II. Summary of progress in Priorities supporting Key Result Areas 1. Annual Operating Plan (AOP) for Working Group of Meteorology [AOP4: Radar Integrated Nowcasting System (RaINS)] 2. Annual Operating Plan (AOP) for Working Group of Hydrology (AOP2, AOP4, AOP5, AOP6) 3. The Government of Malaysia’s Commitment Towards Supporting the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction I. Overview of tropical cyclones which have affected/impacted Malaysia in 2020 1. Meteorological Assessment (highlighting forecasting issues/impacts) During the period of 1 November 2019 to 31 October 2020, 27 tropical cyclones (TCs) formed over the Western Pacific Ocean, the Philippines waters as well as the South China Sea. Eight of the TCs entered the area of responsibility of the Malaysian Meteorological Department (MET Malaysia) as shown in Figure 1. The TCs, which consisted of seven typhoons and a tropical storm that required the issuance of strong winds and rough seas warnings over the marine regions under the responsibility of MET Malaysia, are listed in Table 1. -
FEMA Daily Situation Report
The Disaster Center is dedicated to the idea that disaster mitigation is cost effective and individuals pursuing their own interest are the greatest potential force for disaster reduction. Please consider making a small donation to the Disaster Center When disaster mitigation is cost effective, we are on the road to bringing disasters to an end. •Daily Operations Briefing Friday, October 18, 2013 8:30 a.m. EDT 1 Significant Activity: Oct 17 – 18 Significant Events: None Tropical Activity: • Atlantic – Tropical cyclone activity is not expected during the next 48 hours • Eastern Pacific – Area 1 (20%) • Central Pacific – Area 1 (10%) • Western Pacific – Typhoon Francisco (26W) Significant Weather: • Slight risk of severe thunderstorms – west central Texas • Heavy rainfall – Gulf Coast • Critical Fire Weather Areas / Red Flag Warnings: None • Space Weather: Past 24 hours: Minor/R1 radio blackouts observed; 24 hours: None predicted Earthquake Activity: No significant activity Declaration Activity: • Amendment No. 3 to FEMA-4129-DR-NY • Major Disaster Declaration requests for California, Arizona and the Santa Clara Pueblo 2 Atlantic – Tropical Outlook Updates at 2:00 am/pm and 8:00 am/pm EDT 3 Eastern Pacific – Tropical Outlook http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_epac.shtml This product is updated at approximately 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and 11 PM PDT from May 15 to November 30. Special outlooks may be issued as conditions warrant. 4 Eastern - Area 1 As of 8:00 a.m. EDT • Located 425 miles south of Gulf of Tehuantepec • Producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms • Conducive for slow development during next several days • Probability of tropical cyclone development: • Next 48 hours: Low ( 20%) • Next 5 days: Medium ( 40%) 5 Central Pacific – Tropical Outlook http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/cphc/ This product is updated at approximately 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and 11 PM PDT from May 15 to November 30. -
Extension of the Systematic Approach to Tropical Cyclone Track Forecasting in the Eastern and Central North Pacific
NPS ARCHIVE 1997.12 BOOTHE, M. NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL Monterey, California THESIS EXTENSION OF THE SYTEMATIC APPROACH TO TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACK FORECASTING IN THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC by Mark A. Boothe December, 1997 Thesis Co-Advisors: Russell L.Elsberry Lester E. Carr III Thesis B71245 Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited. DUDLEY KNOX LIBRARY NAVAl OSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA 93943-5101 REPORT DOCUMENTATION PAGE Form Approved OMB No. 0704-0188 Public reporting burden for this collection of information is estimated to average 1 hour per response, including the time for reviewing instruction, searching casting data sources, gathering and maintaining the data needed, and completing and reviewing the collection of information. Send comments regarding this burden estimate or any other aspect of this collection of information, including suggestions for reducing this burden, to Washington Headquarters Services, Directorate for Information Operations and Reports, 1215 Jefferson Davis Highway, Suite 1204, Arlington, VA 22202-4302, and to the Office of Management and Budget, I'aperwork Reduction Project (0704-0188) Washington DC 20503. 1 . AGENCY USE ONLY (Leave blank) 2. REPORT DATE 3. REPORT TYPE AND DATES COVERED December 1997. Master's Thesis TITLE AND SUBTITLE EXTENSION OF THE SYSTEMATIC 5. FUNDING NUMBERS APPROACH TO TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACK FORECASTING IN THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC 6. AUTHOR(S) Mark A. Boothe 7. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME(S) AND ADDR£SS(ES) PERFORMING Naval Postgraduate School ORGANIZATION Monterey CA 93943-5000 REPORT NUMBER 9. SPONSORING/MONITORING AGENCY NAME(S) AND ADDRESSEES) 10. SPONSORING/MONTTORIN G AGENCY REPORT NUMBER 11. SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES The views expressed in this thesis are those of the author and do not reflect the official policy or position of the Department of Defense or the U.S.