Characteristics of Satellite-Based Ocean Turbulent Heat Flux Around the Korean Peninsula and Relationship with Changes in Typhoon Intensity
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Forecasting of Storm Surge and Wave Along Taiwan Coast Y
Forecasting of Storm Surge and Wave along Taiwan Coast Y. Peter Sheng1, *, Vladimir A. Paramygin2, Chuen-Teyr Terng 3, and Chi-Hao Chu 3 1Advanced Aqua Dynamics, Inc., Gainesville, Florida, U.S.A. 2 University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, U.S.A. 3 Central Weather Bureau, Taipei, Taiwan, R.O.C. *Corresponding Author: [email protected] Abstract This paper describes the application of a coupled surge-wave modeling system CH3D-SWAN for simulating storm surge and wave along Taiwan coast. The modeling system has been used for simulating storm surge and wave in the U.S., Arabian Gulf, and Taiwan. This paper presents the hindcasting of Typhoon Soudelor in 2015 and the forecasting of the typhoon season in 2016 with Typhoon Meiji as an example. Performance of the forecasting system is assessed and future forecasting effort is discussed. Key words: Storm Surge, Wave, Numerical Simulation, Forecasting, Taiwan 1. Introduction typhoons of Taiwan. In the following section, we first give a brief description of the CH3D-SWAN modeling In Taiwan, typhoons are an annual threat. Typhoons not only bring torrential rain, but often cause storm surge, wave, and coastal inundation that system with all the associated modules of the impact areas near the coast and amplifies the flooding forecasting system and model domains. Model from rainfall. The impact of tropical cyclones on the hindcasting of storm surge and wave during Typhoon coastal regions in Taiwan depend on the Soudelor in 2015 is then described, followed by a characteristics of tropical cyclones and coastal regions. description of the forecasting performance of the 2016 For example, along the southwest coast of Taiwan typhoon season using Typhoon Meji as an example. -
Lecture 15 Hurricane Structure
MET 200 Lecture 15 Hurricanes Last Lecture: Atmospheric Optics Structure and Climatology The amazing variety of optical phenomena observed in the atmosphere can be explained by four physical mechanisms. • What is the structure or anatomy of a hurricane? • How to build a hurricane? - hurricane energy • Hurricane climatology - when and where Hurricane Katrina • Scattering • Reflection • Refraction • Diffraction 1 2 Colorado Flood Damage Hurricanes: Useful Websites http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/ http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu http://www.nhc.noaa.gov Hurricane Alberto Hurricanes are much broader than they are tall. 3 4 Hurricane Raymond Hurricane Raymond 5 6 Hurricane Raymond Hurricane Raymond 7 8 Hurricane Raymond: wind shear Typhoon Francisco 9 10 Typhoon Francisco Typhoon Francisco 11 12 Typhoon Francisco Typhoon Francisco 13 14 Typhoon Lekima Typhoon Lekima 15 16 Typhoon Lekima Hurricane Priscilla 17 18 Hurricane Priscilla Hurricanes are Tropical Cyclones Hurricanes are a member of a family of cyclones called Tropical Cyclones. West of the dateline these storms are called Typhoons. In India and Australia they are called simply Cyclones. 19 20 Hurricane Isaac: August 2012 Characteristics of Tropical Cyclones • Low pressure systems that don’t have fronts • Cyclonic winds (counter clockwise in Northern Hemisphere) • Anticyclonic outflow (clockwise in NH) at upper levels • Warm at their center or core • Wind speeds decrease with height • Symmetric structure about clear "eye" • Latent heat from condensation in clouds primary energy source • Form over warm tropical and subtropical oceans NASA VIIRS Day-Night Band 21 22 • Differences between hurricanes and midlatitude storms: Differences between hurricanes and midlatitude storms: – energy source (latent heat vs temperature gradients) - Winter storms have cold and warm fronts (asymmetric). -
Improved Global Tropical Cyclone Forecasts from NOAA: Lessons Learned and Path Forward
Improved global tropical cyclone forecasts from NOAA: Lessons learned and path forward Dr. Vijay Tallapragada Chief, Global Climate and Weather Modeling Branch & HFIP Development Manager Typhoon Seminar, JMA, Tokyo, Japan. NOAA National Weather Service/NCEP/EMC, USA January 6, 2016 Typhoon Seminar JMA, January 6, 2016 1/90 Rapid Progress in Hurricane Forecast Improvements Key to Success: Community Engagement & Accelerated Research to Operations Effective and accelerated path for transitioning advanced research into operations Typhoon Seminar JMA, January 6, 2016 2/90 Significant improvements in Atlantic Track & Intensity Forecasts HWRF in 2012 HWRF in 2012 HWRF in 2015 HWRF HWRF in 2015 in 2014 Improvements of the order of 10-15% each year since 2012 What it takes to improve the models and reduce forecast errors??? • Resolution •• ResolutionPhysics •• DataResolution Assimilation Targeted research and development in all areas of hurricane modeling Typhoon Seminar JMA, January 6, 2016 3/90 Lives Saved Only 36 casualties compared to >10000 deaths due to a similar storm in 1999 Advanced modelling and forecast products given to India Meteorological Department in real-time through the life of Tropical Cyclone Phailin Typhoon Seminar JMA, January 6, 2016 4/90 2014 DOC Gold Medal - HWRF Team A reflection on Collaborative Efforts between NWS and OAR and international collaborations for accomplishing rapid advancements in hurricane forecast improvements NWS: Vijay Tallapragada; Qingfu Liu; William Lapenta; Richard Pasch; James Franklin; Simon Tao-Long -
Tinamiformes – Falconiformes
LIST OF THE 2,008 BIRD SPECIES (WITH SCIENTIFIC AND ENGLISH NAMES) KNOWN FROM THE A.O.U. CHECK-LIST AREA. Notes: "(A)" = accidental/casualin A.O.U. area; "(H)" -- recordedin A.O.U. area only from Hawaii; "(I)" = introducedinto A.O.U. area; "(N)" = has not bred in A.O.U. area but occursregularly as nonbreedingvisitor; "?" precedingname = extinct. TINAMIFORMES TINAMIDAE Tinamus major Great Tinamou. Nothocercusbonapartei Highland Tinamou. Crypturellus soui Little Tinamou. Crypturelluscinnamomeus Thicket Tinamou. Crypturellusboucardi Slaty-breastedTinamou. Crypturellus kerriae Choco Tinamou. GAVIIFORMES GAVIIDAE Gavia stellata Red-throated Loon. Gavia arctica Arctic Loon. Gavia pacifica Pacific Loon. Gavia immer Common Loon. Gavia adamsii Yellow-billed Loon. PODICIPEDIFORMES PODICIPEDIDAE Tachybaptusdominicus Least Grebe. Podilymbuspodiceps Pied-billed Grebe. ?Podilymbusgigas Atitlan Grebe. Podicepsauritus Horned Grebe. Podicepsgrisegena Red-neckedGrebe. Podicepsnigricollis Eared Grebe. Aechmophorusoccidentalis Western Grebe. Aechmophorusclarkii Clark's Grebe. PROCELLARIIFORMES DIOMEDEIDAE Thalassarchechlororhynchos Yellow-nosed Albatross. (A) Thalassarchecauta Shy Albatross.(A) Thalassarchemelanophris Black-browed Albatross. (A) Phoebetriapalpebrata Light-mantled Albatross. (A) Diomedea exulans WanderingAlbatross. (A) Phoebastriaimmutabilis Laysan Albatross. Phoebastrianigripes Black-lootedAlbatross. Phoebastriaalbatrus Short-tailedAlbatross. (N) PROCELLARIIDAE Fulmarus glacialis Northern Fulmar. Pterodroma neglecta KermadecPetrel. (A) Pterodroma -
FEMA Daily Situation Report
The Disaster Center is dedicated to the idea that disaster mitigation is cost effective and individuals pursuing their own interest are the greatest potential force for disaster reduction. Please consider making a small donation to the Disaster Center When disaster mitigation is cost effective, we are on the road to bringing disasters to an end. •Daily Operations Briefing Friday, October 18, 2013 8:30 a.m. EDT 1 Significant Activity: Oct 17 – 18 Significant Events: None Tropical Activity: • Atlantic – Tropical cyclone activity is not expected during the next 48 hours • Eastern Pacific – Area 1 (20%) • Central Pacific – Area 1 (10%) • Western Pacific – Typhoon Francisco (26W) Significant Weather: • Slight risk of severe thunderstorms – west central Texas • Heavy rainfall – Gulf Coast • Critical Fire Weather Areas / Red Flag Warnings: None • Space Weather: Past 24 hours: Minor/R1 radio blackouts observed; 24 hours: None predicted Earthquake Activity: No significant activity Declaration Activity: • Amendment No. 3 to FEMA-4129-DR-NY • Major Disaster Declaration requests for California, Arizona and the Santa Clara Pueblo 2 Atlantic – Tropical Outlook Updates at 2:00 am/pm and 8:00 am/pm EDT 3 Eastern Pacific – Tropical Outlook http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_epac.shtml This product is updated at approximately 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and 11 PM PDT from May 15 to November 30. Special outlooks may be issued as conditions warrant. 4 Eastern - Area 1 As of 8:00 a.m. EDT • Located 425 miles south of Gulf of Tehuantepec • Producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms • Conducive for slow development during next several days • Probability of tropical cyclone development: • Next 48 hours: Low ( 20%) • Next 5 days: Medium ( 40%) 5 Central Pacific – Tropical Outlook http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/cphc/ This product is updated at approximately 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and 11 PM PDT from May 15 to November 30. -
Simulating Storm Surge and Inundation Along the Taiwan Coast During Typhoons Fanapi in 2010 and Soulik in 2013
Terr. Atmos. Ocean. Sci., Vol. 27, No. 6, 965-979, December 2016 doi: 10.3319/TAO.2016.06.13.01(Oc) Simulating Storm Surge and Inundation Along the Taiwan Coast During Typhoons Fanapi in 2010 and Soulik in 2013 Y. Peter Sheng1, *, Vladimir A. Paramygin1, Chuen-Teyr Terng 2, and Chi-Hao Chu 2 1 University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, U.S.A. 2 Central Weather Bureau, Taipei City, Taiwan, R.O.C. Received 10 January 2016, revised 9 June 2016, accepted 13 June 2016 ABSTRACT Taiwan is subjected to significant storm surges, waves, and coastal inundation during frequent tropical cyclones. Along the west coast, with gentler bathymetric slopes, storm surges often cause significant coastal inundation. Along the east coast with steep bathymetric slopes, waves can contribute significantly to the storm surge in the form of wave setup. To examine the importance of waves in storm surges and quantify the significance of coastal inundation, this paper presents numerical simulations of storm surge and coastal inundation during two major typhoons, Fanapi in 2010 and Soulik in 2013, which impacted the southwest and northeast coasts of Taiwan, respectively. The simulations were conducted with an integrated surge-wave modeling system using a large coastal model domain wrapped around the island of Taiwan, with a grid resolution of 50 - 300 m. During Fanapi, the simulated storm surge and coastal inundation near Kaohsiung are not as accurate as those obtained using a smaller coastal domain with finer resolution (40 - 150 m). During Soulik, the model simulations show that wave setup contributed significantly (up to 20%) to the peak storm surge along the northeast coast of Taiwan. -
Using Adjacent Buoy Information to Predict Wave Heights of Typhoons Offshore of Northeastern Taiwan
water Article Using Adjacent Buoy Information to Predict Wave Heights of Typhoons Offshore of Northeastern Taiwan Chih-Chiang Wei * and Chia-Jung Hsieh Department of Marine Environmental Informatics & Center of Excellence for Ocean Engineering, National Taiwan Ocean University, Keelung 20224, Taiwan; [email protected] * Correspondence: [email protected] Received: 2 November 2018; Accepted: 6 December 2018; Published: 7 December 2018 Abstract: In the northeastern sea area of Taiwan, typhoon-induced long waves often cause rogue waves that endanger human lives. Therefore, having the ability to predict wave height during the typhoon period is critical. The Central Weather Bureau maintains the Longdong and Guishandao buoys in the northeastern sea area of Taiwan to conduct long-term monitoring and collect oceanographic data. However, records have often become lost and the buoys have suffered other malfunctions, causing a lack of complete information concerning wind-generated waves. The goal of the present study was to determine the feasibility of using information collected from the adjacent buoy to predict waves. In addition, the effects of various factors such as the path of a typhoon on the prediction accuracy of data from both buoys are discussed herein. This study established a prediction model, and two scenarios were used to assess the performance: Scenario 1 included information from the adjacent buoy and Scenario 2 did not. An artificial neural network was used to establish the wave height prediction model. The research results demonstrated that (1) Scenario 1 achieved superior performance with respect to absolute errors, relative errors, and efficiency coefficient (CE) compared with Scenario 2; (2) the CE of Longdong (0.802) was higher than that of Guishandao (0.565); and (3) various types of typhoon paths were observed by examining each typhoon. -
A Climatology of Tropical Cyclone Size in the Western North Pacific Using an Alternative Metric Thomas B
Florida State University Libraries Electronic Theses, Treatises and Dissertations The Graduate School 2017 A Climatology of Tropical Cyclone Size in the Western North Pacific Using an Alternative Metric Thomas B. (Thomas Brian) McKenzie III Follow this and additional works at the DigiNole: FSU's Digital Repository. For more information, please contact [email protected] FLORIDA STATE UNIVERSITY COLLEGE OF ARTS AND SCIENCES A CLIMATOLOGY OF TROPICAL CYCLONE SIZE IN THE WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC USING AN ALTERNATIVE METRIC By THOMAS B. MCKENZIE III A Thesis submitted to the Department of Earth, Ocean and Atmospheric Science in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Science 2017 Copyright © 2017 Thomas B. McKenzie III. All Rights Reserved. Thomas B. McKenzie III defended this thesis on March 23, 2017. The members of the supervisory committee were: Robert E. Hart Professor Directing Thesis Vasubandhu Misra Committee Member Jeffrey M. Chagnon Committee Member The Graduate School has verified and approved the above-named committee members, and certifies that the thesis has been approved in accordance with university requirements. ii To Mom and Dad, for all that you’ve done for me. iii ACKNOWLEDGMENTS I extend my sincere appreciation to Dr. Robert E. Hart for his mentorship and guidance as my graduate advisor, as well as for initially enlisting me as his graduate student. It was a true honor working under his supervision. I would also like to thank my committee members, Dr. Vasubandhu Misra and Dr. Jeffrey L. Chagnon, for their collaboration and as representatives of the thesis process. Additionally, I thank the Civilian Institution Programs at the Air Force Institute of Technology for the opportunity to earn my Master of Science degree at Florida State University, and to the USAF’s 17th Operational Weather Squadron at Joint Base Pearl Harbor-Hickam, HI for sponsoring my graduate program and providing helpful feedback on the research. -
Lion Magjanfeb 142583 Lion Magnovdec 15-01-23 11:22 AM Page 1 LION M.D
143111 Lion MagJanFeb_142583 Lion MagNovDec 15-01-23 11:22 AM Page 1 LION M.D. “A” Edition January/February 2015 www.lionsclubs.org WeWe ServeServe MD'A' Convention May 22-25, 2015 Kingston, Ontario “Sparkling Waters” 143111 Lion MagJanFeb_142583 Lion MagNovDec 15-01-23 11:23 AM Page 2 PGP PRICE GROUP PROGRAMS LTD. Group and Commercial Insurance Specialists To: All Lions Club Presidents We are pleased to be able to offer the Lions Club of Ontario a comprehensive insurance plan at a very competitive price. At PGP, we understand and appreciate the valuable community service work you do. This protection plan will allow you to pursue this good work under the umbrella of an annual policy covering all eligible events you stage. New for 2014 — 2015 • Reduced premiums by 10% • Commercial General, and Directors and Officers liability can be purchased separately Key Coverages Include • Commercial General Liability limits up to $5,000,000 including Host Liquor Liability Coverage • Directors and Officers Liability coverage up to $5,000,000 including defence costs • Crime and Contents coverage • Annual policy – no need to arrange individual event coverage as they come up • Package premiums start as low as $1200 Annual Simply call me at 416-805-1477 or 1-844-805-1477 or visit www.pricegp.com and download the application form to receive at quotation. Thank you for allowing PGP the opportunity to service your insurance needs. Should you have any questions or concerns please do not hesitate to contact our office. Sincerely, Don Price, FLMI, FCIP, RIBO President Lions Members Home and Car Program Remember to tell your members about our new Group Home and Car program with discounted rates for Lions Club Members. -
Towards an Integrated Storm Surge and Wave Forecasting System for Taiwan Coast
Volume 26 Issue 1 Article 12 TOWARDS AN INTEGRATED STORM SURGE AND WAVE FORECASTING SYSTEM FOR TAIWAN COAST Yeayi Peter Sheng University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, U.S.A, [email protected] Vladimir Alexander Paramygin University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, U.S.A. Chuen-Teyr Terng Central Weather Bureau, Taipei, Taiwan, R.O.C. Chi-Hao Chu Central Weather Bureau, Taipei, Taiwan, R.O.C. Follow this and additional works at: https://jmstt.ntou.edu.tw/journal Part of the Marine Biology Commons Recommended Citation Sheng, Yeayi Peter; Paramygin, Vladimir Alexander; Terng, Chuen-Teyr; and Chu, Chi-Hao (2018) "TOWARDS AN INTEGRATED STORM SURGE AND WAVE FORECASTING SYSTEM FOR TAIWAN COAST," Journal of Marine Science and Technology: Vol. 26 : Iss. 1 , Article 12. DOI: 10.6119/JMST.2018.02_(1).0011 Available at: https://jmstt.ntou.edu.tw/journal/vol26/iss1/12 This Research Article is brought to you for free and open access by Journal of Marine Science and Technology. It has been accepted for inclusion in Journal of Marine Science and Technology by an authorized editor of Journal of Marine Science and Technology. TOWARDS AN INTEGRATED STORM SURGE AND WAVE FORECASTING SYSTEM FOR TAIWAN COAST Acknowledgements Central Weather Bureau provided the field data used for model erificationv in this paper. We appreciate the comments of two anonymous reviewers. This research article is available in Journal of Marine Science and Technology: https://jmstt.ntou.edu.tw/journal/ vol26/iss1/12 Journal of Marine Science and Technology, Vol. 26, No. 1, pp. 117-127 (2018) 117 DOI: 10.6119/JMST.2018.02_(1).0011 TOWARDS AN INTEGRATED STORM SURGE AND WAVE FORECASTING SYSTEM FOR TAIWAN COAST Yeayi Peter Sheng1, Vladimir Alexander Paramygin1, Chuen-Teyr Terng2, and Chi-Hao Chu2 Key words: storm surge, wave, numerical simulation, forecasting, I. -
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ASIA PACIFIC REGION 22 - 28 October, 2013 Weekly Regional Humanitarian Snapshot from the OCHA Regional Office in Asia and the Pacific 1 PHILIPPINES Probability of Above/Below As of 21 Oct, the 7.2M earthquake in Bohol had killed 186 people, affected some 3 Normal Precipitation r" million, and left nearly 381,000 people displaced of whom 70% or 271,000 were staying (Nov 2013 - Jan 2014) outside of established evacuation centers. These people were in urgent need of shelter Above normal rainfall and WASH support. Psycho-social support was identified as an urgent need for children traumatized by the earthquake, which has produced well over 2,000 aftershocks so far. Recently repaired bridges and roads have opened greater access to affected locations M O N G O L I A normal in Bohol. The Government has welcomed international assistance. Source: OCHA Sitrep No. 4 DPR KOREA Below normal rainfall 2 CAMBODIA 5 Floods across Cambodia have claimed 168 lives, displaced almost 145,000 and 5 RO KOREA JAPAN r" p" u" affected more than 1.7 million. Waters have begun to recede across the country with the worst affected provinces being Battambang and Banteay Meanchey, where many parts C H I N A LEKIMA KOBE remain flooded. Communities are in urgent need of clean water, basic sanitation and BHUTAN emergency shelter. NEPAL p" 5 Source: HRF Sitrep No. 4 KATHMANDU 3 INDIA PA C I F I C Heavy rainfall has been affecting the states of Andhra Pradesh and Odisha, SE India, in BANGLADESH FRANCISCO I N D I A u" the last few days. -
A Study of the Interaction Between Typhoon Francisco (2013) and a Cold-Core Eddy. Part II: Boundary Layer Structures
AUGUST 2020 M A E T A L . 2865 A Study of the Interaction between Typhoon Francisco (2013) and a Cold-Core Eddy. Part II: Boundary Layer Structures ZHANHONG MA,JIANFANG FEI,XIAOGANG HUANG,XIAOPING CHENG, AND LEI LIU College of Meteorology and Oceanography, National University of Defense Technology, Nanjing, China (Manuscript received 11 December 2019, in final form 12 June 2020) ABSTRACT In Part II of this study, the influence of an oceanic cold-core eddy on the atmospheric boundary layer structures of Typhoon Francisco (2013) is investigated, as well as a comparison with the cold wake effect. Results show that the eddy induces shallower mixed-layer depth and forms stable boundary layer above and near it. The changes of these features shift from northwest to southeast across the storm eye, following the translation of Francisco over the eddy. Nonetheless, the decrease in mixed-layer depth and formation of stable boundary layer caused by the cold wake are located at right rear of the storm. The sensible heat fluxes at the lowest atmospheric model level are mostly downward over the sea surface cooling region. Due to their different relative locations with Francisco, the diabatic heating in the northwest quadrant of the storm can be more effectively inhibited by the cold-core eddy than by the cold wake. The asymmetric characteristics of surface tangential wind are less sensitive to sea surface cooling than those of surface radial wind, implying a change in surface inflow angle. Different from previous studies, the surface inflow angle is found to be reduced especially above the cold-core eddy and cold wake region.