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Issue 1(11), 2018 MYTHS MYTHS NEWS TARGET AUDIENCE GEORGIA IMAGE INFLUENCE ESTONIA NARRATIVES MEDIA DISINFORMATION CRISIS HISTORY INFORMATION PROPAGANDA HISTORY COMMUNICATIONS RUSSIA IMAGE UKRAINE MOLDOVA OPERATIONS NEWS FAKE NEWS EUROPE TURKEY INFLUENCE INFORMATION TV MYTHS UA: Ukraine CRISISAnalytica · 1 (11), 2018 • DISINFORMATION CAMPAIGNS • FAKE NEWS • INFLUENCE OPERATIONS 1 BOARD OF ADVISERS Dr. Dimitar Bechev (Bulgaria, Director of the European Policy Institute) Issue 1 (11), 2018 Dr. Iulian Chifu Analysis and Early Warning Center) (Romania, Director of the Conflict Propaganda Amb., Dr. Sergiy Korsunsky (Ukraine, Director of the Diplomatic Academy under the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Ukraine) Dr. Igor Koval (Ukraine, Rector of Odessa National Editors University by I.I. Mechnikov) Dr. Hanna Shelest Dr. Mykola Kapitonenko Amb., Dr. Sergey Minasyan (Armenia, Ambassador Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary of Armenia to Romania) Publisher: Published by NGO “Promotion of Intercultural Marcel Rothig (Germany, Director of the Cooperation” (Ukraine), Centre of International Representation of the Friedrich Ebert Foundation in Ukraine) of the Representation of the Friedrich Ebert Studies (Ukraine), with the financial support Foundation in Ukraine, and the Black Sea Trust. James Nixey (United Kingdom, Head of the Russia and Eurasia Programme at Chatham House, the UA: Ukraine Analytica Royal Institute of International Affairs) analytical journal in English on International is the first Ukrainian Relations, Politics and Economics. The journal Dr. Róbert Ondrejcsák (Slovakia, State Secretary, is aimed for experts, diplomats, academics, Ministry of Defence) students interested in the international relations and Ukraine in particular. Amb., Dr. Oleg Shamshur (Ukraine, Ambassador Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary of Ukraine Contacts: to France) website: http://ukraine-analytica.org/ e-mail: [email protected] Dr. Stephan De Spiegeleire (The Netherlands, Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/ Director Defence Transformation at The Hague ukraineanalytica Center for Strategic Studies) Twitter: https://twitter.com/UA_Analytica Ivanna Klympush-Tsintsadze (Ukraine, Vice- The views and opinions expressed in Prime Minister on European and Euroatlantic articles are those of the authors and do not Integration of Ukraine) Analytica, its editors, Board of Advisors or Dr. Dimitris Triantaphyllou (Greece, Director necessarily reflect the position of UA: Ukraine donors. of the Center for International and European Studies, Kadir Has University (Turkey)) ISSN 2518-7481 500 copies Dr. Asle Toje (Norway, Research Director at the Norwegian Nobel Institute) UA: Ukraine Analytica · 1 (11), 2018 1 TABLE OF CONTENTS NATO IN THE NEW HYBRID WARFARE ENVIRONMENT 3 Barbora Maronkova FACING THE RUSSIAN SCHOOL OF SOFT POWER 9 Tony Jensen IMAGE OF EUROPE IN RUSSIAN MEDIA: JOURNALISM OR CREATION OF ENEMY IMAGE? 19 Liubov Tsybulska THE KREMLIN’S INFORMATION WARS IN THE 21ST CENTURY: ESTONIA, GEORGIA, UKRAINE 27 Maksym Kyiak RUSSIAN PROPAGANDA IN THE REPUBLIC OF MOLDOVA: A BIG WAR FOR A SMALL AUDIENCE 36 Vladislav Saran STOKING THE FLAMES: RUSSIAN INFORMATION OPERATIONS IN TURKEY 43 Balkan Devlen CARNIVALISATION OF CARNIVAL 50 Volha Damarad COUNTERING RUSSIAN DISINFORMATION: UKRAINIAN NGOS ON THE FRONTLINE 59 Olena Churanova 2 UA: Ukraine Analytica · 1 (11), 2018 NATO IN THE NEW HYBRID WARFARE ENVIRONMENT1 Barbora Maronkova NATO Information and Documentation Centre The new security environment is amongst others experiencing asymmetric security threats that are often referred to as hybrid warfare or deployment of grey-zone tactics. Whilst such tactics were observed to be used by various non-state actors in the past decade, the actions carried out by the Russian Federation in the spring of 2014 against its neighbour Ukraine have brought a new era to the international order. This chapter examines the actions and decisions undertaken by the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) in the aftermath of the illegal and illegitimate annexation of Crimea in 2014 and NATO’s response to the newly changed environment in the Euro-Atlantic area. From strengthening its regular defence posture and beefing up its deterrence to improving the resilience of its individual allies and adopting measures to strengthen its cyber defence capabilities, NATO continues to adapt to the new challenges to Euro-Atlantic security. NATO in the Hybrid Warfare information to mislead the enemy: One of Environment the oldest examples is the Trojan horse offered to the city of Troy by the Greeks. Hybrid warfare is nothing new. The The point of the gift was pure deception military strategist Colin Gray argues that to gain a strategic advantage. In their this modern warfare is not new and that encyclopaedia of the history of propaganda mankind has always used asymmetric and persuasion, leading authors in approaches to exploit the enemy’s public diplomacy provide dozens of case weakness. New technologies, such as cyber- studies, from the 1500s up until today, attacks, are in fact not changing the nature with illustrative examples of the use of of asymmetry and warfare. They just add a propaganda, disinformation, and deception new dimension.2 during the Reformation period in Europe, the French Revolution, the First and Second World Wars, and the infamous Nazi and many examples of deliberate twisting of Soviet propaganda tactics.3 In the history of humanity, we can find 1 Disclaimer: The opinions expressed by the author of this article are her own. They do not necessarily reflect 2 D. Van Puyvelde, Hybrid War – Does It Even Exist?, “NATO Review”, 2015, [www.nato.int/docu/review/2015/Also- in-2015/hybrid-modern-future-warfare-russia-ukraine/EN/NATO’s official policy. access: 08 March 2018]. 3 N. J. Cull, D. Culbert, D. Welch, Propaganda and Mass Persuasion: A Historical Encyclopedia: 1500 to the Present, ABC-CLIO: 2003. UA: Ukraine Analytica · 1 (11), 2018 3 Diego Ruiz Palmer from NATO writes in his Grey zone success depends on patience article for NATO Defence College: and an ability to blend together all the instruments of state power in ways that While the fog of war is inherent to warfare, hostilities in this new age of asymmetry to achieve.7 have exhibited, nearly universally, complex pluralistic, democratic societies find harder combinations of actors, narratives, tactics The proliferation of terminology to and technologies – as well as ambiguous respond to the current asymmetric warfare interaction between the local, regional environment suggests the seriousness and international contexts in which they of the issue, necessity of further expert take place.4 research as well as appropriate adoption of policies and strategies by state actors and institutions such as NATO. actors of asymmetric warfare resort to the use of so- New Awakening «called grey-zone tactics A new moment in the hybrid warfare era emerged when a state actor engaged in a well planned and executed hybrid warfare And whilst aspects of asymmetric warfare in the winter and spring of 2014 towards were used already by the Taliban in its neighbour, Ukraine. From the moment Afghanistan, Hezbollah in Lebanon, and of the illegal annexation of Crimea by the ISIL in Iraq and Syria5, these were carried “little green men”, experts and military out by non-state actors, using asymmetric strategists have all agreed that the new tactics to make up for their weakness vis-a- hybrid warfare has arrived and is here to vis a greater military power. new form of warfare arises. Some experts argue that actors of stay for an indefinite period of time until a asymmetric warfare resort to the use of The tactics used by the Russian Federation so-called grey-zone tactics. Grey-zone were intrusion of the “little green men” (i.e. Russian troops without insignia) leave targets unaware of how to respond, into the Crimean peninsula, a bogus writestactics theare Economistto be sufficiently in its special ambiguous edition to referendum on the annexation of Crimea The Next War6. Hal Brands from Foreign to Russia combined with wide-spread Policy Research Institute in Philadelphia propaganda and disinformation about states that grey-zone tactics are frequently attacks of Ukrainian nationalists on shrouded in misinformation and deception Russian-speaking citizens in both Crimea and are often conducted in a way that is and Donbas, a bogus distortion of modern meant to make proper attribution of the history, and cyber-attacks combined with energy blackmail. responsible party difficult to nail down. 4 D. Ruiz Palmer, Back to the Future – Russia’s Hybrid Warfare, Revolutions in Military Affairs and Cold War Comparisons, “NATO Defence College Research Paper”, No. 120, October 2015. 5 F. G. Hoffman, Hybrid Warfare and Challenges, “JFQ” 6 Shades of Grey, “The Economist”, 27 January 2018. , Issue 52, first quarter, 2009. 7 Shades of Grey, “The Economist”, 27 January 2018. 8 Gen. V. Gerasimov, “Military-Industrial Kurier”, 27 February 2013. 4 UA: Ukraine Analytica · 1 (11), 2018 As early as February 2013, the Russian Chief architecture, and seeks to divide Europe of the General Staff, General Gerasimov had and weaken trans-Atlantic structures. The proclaimed that the role of non-military Lithuanian President Dalia Grybauskaite means of achieving political and strategic has long been vocal about her country’s goals has grown and that new methods vulnerability to its neighbour: “Lithuania is ‘already under attack’ from Kremlin economic, informational, humanitarian, propaganda
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