A Public Health Crisis Decades in the Making A Review of 2019 CDC Gun Mortality Data
FEBRUARY 2021 Contents
About this Report ...... 3 Introduction...... 4 Fast Facts: 2019 and 5-Year Averages...... 5 Gun Deaths, 2019...... 5 Gun Deaths Among Children and Teens, 2019...... 5 Average Number of Gun Deaths, 2015-2019...... 6 Average Number of Gun Deaths Among Children and Teens, 2015-2019...... 6 Gun Deaths in the United States ...... 7 2019 and Trends Over Time...... 7 The Lethality and Accessibility of Firearms Drives Up Homicides and Suicides...... 8 Two Decades of Gun Violence...... 10 Gun Violence Trends, 2000-2019...... 10 Firearm Homicide Trends, 2000-2019 ...... 10 Firearm Suicide Trends, 2000-2019...... 11 Disproportionate Impacts...... 13 Gun Violence Overall by Demographics...... 13 Homicide by Demographics...... 14 Suicide by Demographics...... 15 Geographic Variations...... 17 Overall Gun Violence Rates Across the States ...... 19 A Closer Look: Gun Violence by Intent Across Counties and Urbanization Levels. . . . . 20 Geography of Homicide...... 22 Geography of Suicide...... 23 Gun Violence as a Leading Cause of Death...... 24 A Leading Cause of Death Among Young People...... 24 Firearm Fatalities Compared to Other Forms of Fatal Injuries...... 25 Policy Recommendations to Stop Gun Violence...... 27 Glossary...... 29 Appendix 1: United States Gun Deaths by Intent, 2000-2019...... 31 Appendix 2: United States Gun Death Rates by Intent, 2000-2019...... 32 Appendix 3: United States Gun Death Numbers by Demographic Groups, 2019...... 33 Appendix 4: United States Gun Death Rates by Demographic Groups, 2019 ...... 33 Appendix 5: State Variations, 2019...... 34 Appendix 6: Counties with the Highest Firearm Homicide Rates, 2015-2019 ...... 36 Appendix 7: Counties with the Highest Firearm Suicide Rates, 2015-2019...... 37
A PUBLIC HEALTH CRISIS DECADES IN THE MAKING 2 About this Report
About the Educational Fund to Stop Gun Violence
Founded in 1978, the Educational Fund to Stop Gun Violence (EFSGV) seeks to make gun violence rare and abnormal. A 501(c)(3) affiliate organization of the Coalition to Stop Gun Violence, EFSGV uses public health and equity lenses to identify and implement evidence-based policy solutions and programs to reduce gun violence in all its forms . EFSGV is the gun violence prevention movement’s premier research intermediary and founder of the Consortium for Risk-Based Firearm Policy . EFSGV makes communities safer by translating research into policy; it achieves this by engaging in policy development, advocacy, community and stakeholder engagement, and technical assistance .
About the Coalition to Stop Gun Violence
The Coalition to Stop Gun Violence (CSGV) is the nation’s oldest gun violence prevention organization, founded in 1974. Along with its affiliate organization, the Educational undF to Stop Gun Violence, CSGV develops and advocates for evidence-based solutions to reduce gun injury and death in all its forms . CSGV’s guiding principle is simple: We believe gun violence should be rare and abnormal . We pursue this goal through policy development, advocacy, community engagement, and effective training .
Report Contributors
The Coalition to Stop Gun Violence would like to thank Dakota Jablon, Vicka Chaplin, Ari Davis, Lisa Geller, Rachel Perrone, Tom Fazzini, and Lauren Footman for their contributions to the development of this report .
How to Cite this Report
Educational Fund to Stop Gun Violence and Coalition to Stop Gun Violence . (2021) . A Public Health Crisis Decades in the Making: A Review of 2019 CDC Gun Mortality Data . Available: http://efsgv .org/2019CDCdata
Data Source
This report outlines gun death data from 2019, the most recent year of data available, and shows trends over the last two decades . The purpose of the report is to share data in an accessible and user-friendly format . All data were accessed using the Centers for Disease Control’s Underlying Cause of Death database, part of the Wide-ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research (WONDER) database . The Underlying Cause of Death database contains data based on death certificates for United States residents.
A PUBLIC HEALTH CRISIS DECADES IN THE MAKING 3 Introduction
Gun violence is an American public health crisis decades in the making . The latest Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) data show that 39,707 people, 86% of whom were male, lost their lives to gun violence in 2019 . It was the third consecutive year of nearly 40,000 gun deaths, and part of a three- year cluster with a higher gun death rate than any other time in the last two decades . Further, almost one in ten (3,390) gun deaths in 2019 were children and teens, the second-highest number of annual child and teen gun deaths in twenty years. In 2019, firearms were the leading cause of death for American children, teens, and young adults ages 1 to 24 .
After years of a gradual but fairly consistent decline, the U.S. firearm homicide rate began climbing in 2015, leading to more than 14,000 deaths in three of the four following years, including in 2019, when a third of gun deaths were homicides (36%), 14,414 in total . A closer look reveals a painful story of the effects of racism and inequity: 37% of gun homicide victims were Black males between the ages of 15 and 34 – although they made up only 2% of the U .S . population . Their gun homicide rate was more than 20 times higher than White males of the same age group .
The majority -- 60% -- of gun deaths in 2019 were suicides, 23,941 in total . Firearm suicide risk was highest among White men age 75 and older, though for men of every other racial and ethnic identity, firearm suicide risk peaked between the ages of 20 and 34. While 2019 showed a slight reprieve with 491 fewer firearm suicides reported than in 2018, the firearm suicideate r has been steadily growing over the last decade . Suicide (by any method) continues to be the 10th leading cause of death in the country, and firearms continue to account for half of all suicides.
The fact is, gun violence in the U .S . remains persistently high, and lives will continue to be lost needlessly without meaningful national leadership . To stem this tide, we need to adopt a comprehensive public health approach to gun violence prevention, applied with an equity lens, that includes robust legislation, funding across all levels of government, and executive action from the new presidential administration . More comprehensive recommendations are included later in this report .
Further, we must improve how firearms data are collected. The CDC’s 2019 fatality data only became available in December 2020 -- an unacceptable delay that hampers potential responses . We cannot solve a problem we cannot quantify, and without timely data, we lack the information we need to make the best possible decisions . For example, there are indications that homicides have risen dramatically in 2020, and emerging data suggest there may be a disproportionate rise in suicides among Black people, but because the U .S . lacks a standard and timely system for collecting and reporting gun deaths, we won’t know the full scale of the problem for many months to come . Data collection and reporting must be improved .
Despite the limitations, gun death data are the most reliable type of gun violence data currently available -- but gun deaths are only the tip of the iceberg of gun violence . Many more people are shot and survive their injuries, are shot at but not hit, or witness gun violence . Many experience gun violence in other ways, by living in impacted communities, losing loved ones to gun violence, or being threatened with a gun . With this report, it is our mission to share the most accurate and up-to-date data related to gun deaths while we advocate for more and better data related to gun violence in all its forms . Ultimately, we strive to apply these data to create and implement life-saving policies and programs that will end the gun violence epidemic .
In 2019, 109 Americans died from gun violence daily . But it doesn’t have to be this way . Gun violence is preventable . By applying the public health approach and implementing stronger, evidence-based gun laws and programs, we can create a more peaceful future, free from gun violence in all its forms .
A PUBLIC HEALTH CRISIS DECADES IN THE MAKING 4 Fast Facts: 2019 and 5-Year Averages
Gun Deaths, 2019
In 2019, nearly 40,000 Americans were killed by gun violence, including over 14,400 by homicide and nearly 24,000 by suicide . Gun violence killed nearly 109 Americans daily, including 39 by homicide and 66 by suicide . This is a horrifying reality for our country -- one we must change .
Gun deaths total, Average daily gun Gun death rate, 2019 deaths, 2019 2019
Homicide 14,414 39 4 59.
Suicide 23,941 66 6 84.
Unintentional 486 1 0 16.
**Legal Intervention 520 1 0 17.
Undetermined Intent 346 1 0 09.
Total 39,707 109 11 .86
Note: Rates listed are age-adjusted to allow for accurate comparisons between populations with different age distributions. **A cautionary note about “legal intervention” data: Strong evidence shows that the government’s data (including the CDC data presented here) provide a substantial under-count of police-involved injuries and deaths.1 To address this gap, several media sources have tracked police-involved shootings in recent years, most notably the Washington Post’s Fatal Force database, finding more than double the number of police-involved fatal shootings than are reported in FBI and CDC databases. The Fatal Force database reported that 999 and 1,000 Americans were shot and killed by police in 2019 and 2020 respectively, nearly double the number that the CDC reported. Ultimately, better data on police-involved injuries and deaths are sorely needed. Compulsory and comprehensive data collection at the local level, reporting to the federal government, and transparency in the public dissemination of data will be critical for understanding this unique kind of gun violence and developing evidence-based solutions to minimize police-involved shootings.
Gun Deaths Among Children and Teens, 2019
Tragically, more than 3,300 children and teens (ages 0-19) were killed by gun violence in 2019, including over 2,000 by homicide and 1,100 by suicide . An average of nine children and teens were killed by gun violence daily in 2019, including six by homicide and three by suicide .
Child and teen gun Average daily child and Child and teen gun deaths total, 2019 teen gun deaths, 2019 death rate, 2019
Homicide 2,023 6 2 48.
Suicide 1,167 3 1 43.
Unintentional 117 <1 0 14.
Legal Intervention 19 <1 Unreliable
Undetermined Intent 64 <1 0 08.
Total 3,390 9 4 .15
1 Barber, C., Azrael, D., Cohen, A., Miller, M., Thymes, D., Wang, D. E., & Hemenway, D. (2016). Homicides by police: comparing counts from the national violent death reporting system, vital statistics, and supplementary homicide reports. American Journal of Public Health. 106(5), 922-927.
A PUBLIC HEALTH CRISIS DECADES IN THE MAKING 5 The following averages are based on the most recent five years of CDC data, 2015-2019.
Average Number of Gun Deaths, 2015-2019
Every year from 2015 through 2019, an average of nearly 40,000 Americans were killed by guns, including over 14,000 by homicide and 23,000 by suicide . This totals more than 100 gun deaths every single day .
Average annual gun Average daily gun Average gun death deaths, 2015-2019 deaths, 2015-2019 rate, 2015-2019
Homicide 14,062 39 4 51.
Suicide 23,437 64 6 80.
Unintentional 483 1 0 15.
Legal Intervention 521 1 0 17.
Undetermined Intent 324 <1 0 09.
Total 38,826 106 11 .73
Note: Rates listed are age-adjusted to allow for accurate comparisons between populations with different age distributions.
Average Number of Gun Deaths Among Children and Teens, 2015-2019
On average, over 3,200 children and teens (ages 0-19) were killed by guns annually from 2015- 2019, including over 1,800 by homicide, 1,100 by suicide, and 115 unintentionally . Nine children and teens died from gun violence every day .
Average annual Average daily Average child and child and teen gun child and teen gun teen gun death deaths, 2015-2019 deaths, 2015-2019 rate, 2015-2019
Homicide 1,855 5 2 26.
Suicide 1,176 3 1 43.
Unintentional 115 <1 0 14.
Legal Intervention 26 <1 0 03.
Undetermined Intent 59 <1 0 07.
Total 3,231 9 3 94.
A PUBLIC HEALTH CRISIS DECADES IN THE MAKING 6 Gun Deaths in the United States: 2019 and Trends Over Time
Gun violence was a leading cause of death in 2019 . FIGURE 1 On average, 109 individuals died from gun violence Number of Gun Deaths by Intent, 2019 every day in 2019 . For the year in total:
• 39,707 people died from gun violence in the U .S ., a small decrease of 33 gun deaths from 2018 . 2,112 more Americans died by gun violence (39,707) than by car crashes (37,595) .
• It was the third consecutive year of nearly 40,000 gun deaths, capping a decade during which the overall gun death rate increased 17% (10 .1 to 11 .86 deaths per 100,000, age-adjusted, 2010-2019) .
• Males were disproportionately impacted across all forms of gun violence and accounted for 86% of gun death victims . Black males were at especially 60.3% Suicide high risk, with the highest rate of gun death among 5936.3% Homicide +3621D demographic groups (43 .09 deaths per 100,000) . 1.2% Unintentional Gun violence comes in many forms and that was true in .09% Undetermined 2019: 1.3% Legal Intervention • The proportion of homicides upticked slightly as compared to the previous year, representing 36% of all gun deaths . More than 14,400 individuals were firearm homicide victims in 2019, including 2,023 children and teens (ages 0-19). This equated to an average of 39 firearm homicides every day.
• Suicides continued to make up 60% of all gun deaths. Nearly 24,000 individuals died by firearm suicide, including 1,167 children and teens (ages 0-19) . This equated to an average of 66 lives lost every day .
• While the majority of gun deaths are homicides and suicides (combined 96%), people died by other forms of gun violence too, including unintentional,2 legal intervention,3 and undetermined intent 4.
2 “Unintentional” is the description used for a death that was not caused purposely. In gun violence, examples include fatal injuries that occur when a weapon misfires or is mishandled by a child and results in the victim being shot (in contrast with homicide and suicide, both of which involve an intent to pull the trigger and cause harm). Unintentional injuries and deaths are often called “accidents,” which can imply that nothing could be done to stop them from happening; we do not use “accident” ter- minology because gun violence is preventable. Easy access to firearms, particularly unsecured firearms and the presence of firearms in risky situations, increases risk of unintentional injury and death by firearm. Mitigating access with safer storage practices and through evidence-based policy prevents unintentional gun violence. 3 “Legal intervention” is the description used by the CDC for injuries inflicted by the police or other law enforcement agents, including military on duty, in the course of arresting or attempting to arrest lawbreakers, suppressing disturbances, maintaining order, and other legal actions. Cases in which a police or other law enforcement officer discharges a firearm are also known as police-involved or officer-involved shootings. 4 While the intentionality of the injury that caused a person’s death is most often known or determined in the course of death investigations, there are some cases wherein the available information is insufficient to enable the medical or legal authority to make a distinction between an unintentional injury, self-harm (suicide), or assault (homicide). These cases are described as having an “undetermined” intent.
A PUBLIC HEALTH CRISIS DECADES IN THE MAKING 7 The Lethality and Accessibility of Firearms Drives Up Homicides and Suicides
Due to their high lethality and ease of accessibility, firearms are often the method of choice for both homicides and suicides .
FIGURE 2 Homicide and Suicide by Injury Method (Firearm v . Non-Firearm), 2019
75.3% Firearm 50.4% Firearm Number of Number of Homicides by 24.7% Other Suicides by 49.6% Other Method injury Method injury 75+25D method 50+50D method In 2019, 75% of all homicides were committed by firearm:
• While only 22% of attempted homicides with a gun are lethal, guns are still an incredibly lethal means that may also result in nonfatal but very serious injuries 5.
• Guns are used in homicides nearly nine times more than the second most common method of homicide (cutting/piercing) and more than 30 times more than suffocation .
In 2019, 50% of all suicides involved firearms:
• While poisoning is the most commonly used suicide attempt method (used in approximately 60% of all suicidal acts), firearms, which account for less than 10% of all suicidal acts,6 account for half of all suicide deaths .
• While poisoning is lethal less than 3% of the time, 90% of suicide attempts involving firearms are lethal 7.
• The second most lethal suicide attempt method is drowning (56% of suicidal acts by drowning result in death), yet it is far less likely to happen 8. There were nearly 46 times more firearm suicide deaths than deaths by drowning in 2019 .
5 Cook PJ, Rivera-Aguirre AE, Cerdá M, & Wintemute G. (2017). Constant lethality of gunshot injuries from firearm assault: United States, 2003-2012. American Journal of Public Health. 6 Conner A, Azrael D, & Miller M. (2019). Suicide case-fatality rates in the United States, 2007 to 2014. A nationwide population-based study. Annals of Internal Medicine. 7 Ibid. 8 Ibid.
A PUBLIC HEALTH CRISIS DECADES IN THE MAKING 8 FIGURE 3 Homicide Rates, by Method, 2019
Firearm
Cut/Pierce
Unspecified Injury Specified (not elsewhere classified) Injury
Suffocation
Other specified, classifiable Injury
Struck by or against
Poisoning
Fire/Flame
Drowning
Other land transport
0 1 2 4
Age adjusted rate per 100,000