Version Control • v1 23/11/18

Housing Briefing Pack 23/11/18

Produced by the District Data Analysis Service Bella Image iimage@oxford.gov.uk 1 SUMMARY & KEY FACTS

• HOMELESSNESS – 10 rough sleepers • RENT – 14 applications for housing under the – Social sector rent is £109.29 pw HomelessnessAct, of which 6 were [England: £96.61] accepted – Private sector rent is £895 pcm [England: £675] • HOUSE PRICES

– The median price of houses sold was • £340,000 OTHER – – The median price of houses sold is 37% 55,800 occupied households (2017) higher than a decade ago – 1,016 vacant dwellings – (Affordability:) The median house is 9.7 – 1,615 additional dwellings, mostly times income [England: 7.9] through new builds – (Affordability:) Lower quartile houses – 72% own their home; 13% are social are 10.6 times income [England: 7.3] renters; 15% rent privately

Vale of White Horse Briefing Note: Housing 2018 2 Index (Ctrl + Click) (1) Tenure (3) Private Sector – Private vs. social sectors: 2011 – House prices: 2018 map – House prices: ten-year change map – Private vs. social sectors: to 2017 – Housing affordability: trend graph – Home ownership map – Housing affordability: map – Families – Private sector rent

(2) Social sector (4) Other – Distribution across district (map) – Vacant Dwellings – Occupancy: general (2 slides) – New properties: trend graph – New properties: map – Occupancy: over-crowding – Homelessness: Rough sleeping – Occupancy: under-occupancy – Homelessness: statutory – Social sector rent – Housing types – Management – Quality of housing stock

Vale of White Horse Briefing Note: Housing 2018 3 Tenure

4 Tenure: Private vs Social (2011) • According to the 2011 Census, there were 49,000 households in Vale of White Horse. – Of these, 72% were owned (in full or with a mortgage). – This compares with 63% across England.

• Between 2001 and 2011 the total number of households in Vale WH increased by 3,600 (+8%). – The highest percentage growth was in private rented households.

Vale of White Horse: growth in households by Private Vale of tenure (count and %) from 2001 to 2011 rented White Horse: 15% Tenure Owned +4% 1,231 in 2011 Social rented 13% Growth in all +12% Social rented 700 households = +8% Owned 72% Private rented +29% 1,717

Source: ONS Census 2001 KS18, Census 2011 KS402 Vale of White Horse Briefing Note: Housing 2018 5 Tenure: Private vs Social (2017)

In 2017, there were 55,840 occupied households in Vale of White Horse. – This is an increase of 13% since 2007. – Of these, 10% were public sector and the rest were private sector.

GRAPH: All households Source: MHCLG, Live Table 100, downloaded 20/08/18 60,000 55,840 7,250 50,000

40,000

30,000 48,580 20,000 +7% Public Sector

10,000 Private Sector +37% 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Vale of White Horse Briefing Note: Housing 2018 6 Tenure map: home ownership

According to Census 2011, the lowest rates of ownership were in and around Abingdon (three wards with 57% owned).

The highest rate of ownership was in Abingdon Peachcroft ward (90%)

Definition: ‘Owned’ means either ‘owned outright’ or ‘owned with a mortgage’. MAP: Proportion of households owned (by ward) Source: Census 2011, Table KS402EW

Vale of White Horse Briefing Note: Housing 2018 7 Tenure map: social rented housing

In 2017 there were 2,318 on the list for social housing in Vale WH.

Across Vale WH, 13% (around an eighth) of households are in social rented housing.

However, there are two wards with only 1% of households in social housing: Abingdon Dunmore and Abingdon Peachcroft. This is the lowest in the county.

Conversely, a third (33%) of households are in social housing in Abingdon MAP: Proportion of households in Caldecott ward. social rented housing (by ward) Source: Census 2011, Table KS402EW

Vale of White Horse Briefing Note: Housing 2018 8 Tenure maps: Oxfordshire

Across Oxfordshire as a whole, • home ownership is higher in rural settings (especially in the north and south-east of the county) • social renting is more common in towns

Extreme values • Home owning: highest Abingdon Peachcroft (90%), lowest Holywell (5%) • Social renting: highest Blackbird Leys (52%), lowest Abingdon Peachcroft (1%) Map: Home ownership Map: Social renting

Vale of White Horse Briefing Note: Housing 2018 9 Tenure: Families • Between 2001 and 2011 there was a notable increase in the number of private rented households occupied by families with dependent children in Vale WH: from 1,700 households in 2001 to 2,600 in 2011, a growth of 50%. • This meant the number of families with children in private rented households in Vale WH rose above the number of families in social rented housing.

Households with dependent children in social rented Households with dependent children in private rented accommodation, 2001 to 2011 accommodation, 2001 to 2011

+16% +50%

Source: ONS, Census 2001 table T08 and Census 2011 table LC4412 Vale of White Horse Briefing Note: Housing 2018 10 Social rented housing

11 Social rented housing: Occupancy 1 Vale WH: Occupancy, social

rented housing, by bedrooms In social rented housing, the 100% 2% 3% largest number of 10% 16% households have only 1 5 people in 90% 17% household person (37% of all SR 80% 40% 18% households). 22% 4 people in 70% • A further 26% of all SR household households have 2 60% people. 3 people in 50% 37% 21% 19% household 40% 81% 1-person households 2 people in 15% comprise: household 30% 24%

• 81% of 1 bed properties 20% 16% 31% • 31% of 2 bed 1 person in household 10% 17% • 17% of 3 bed 10% 0% • 10% of 4 bed or more 1 bedroom 2 bedrooms 3 bedrooms 4+ bedrooms

Source: ONS Census 2011, table DC4405 Vale of White Horse Briefing Note: Housing 2018 12 Social rented housing: Occupancy 2

100% 1% The “occupancy rating” 6% 3% CHART: Vale 11% calculates how many of White

bedrooms each household Horse 80% 33% needs, compared to what occupancy 30% each household has. ratings 51% (bedrooms), 60% 2011 E.g. the graph shows 58% of 38% “owned” properties have 2 40% or more bedrooms in excess of what they need. 58% 30% -1 or less 20% Social-rented properties are 0 26% 14% +1 more likely to have too few 0% bedrooms (6%). +2 or more Owned or shared Social rented Private rented or ownership living rent free

Source: ONS Census 2011, table DC4105 Vale of White Horse Briefing Note: Housing 2018 13 Social rented housing: Over-crowding • According to Census 2011, there were 6,600 households in social rented accommodation in Vale WH. • 3,900 of these social rented households had one or two bedrooms of which 211 (7.8%) were occupied by four or more people. • On this measure of over-crowding, Vale WH was below the national average.

Overcrowding: Percentage of social rented households with ONE OR TWO bedrooms that were occupied by four or more people (2011)

Source: ONS Census 2011, table DC4405 Vale of White Horse Briefing Note: Housing 2018 14 Social rented housing: Under-occupancy

• 5,000 social rented households in Vale of White Horse had 2 or more bedrooms; of these 1,200 (23%) were occupied by one person.

• This is below the national average, but still the second-highest of Oxfordshire’s districts.

Under-occupancy: Percentage of social rented homes with TWO OR MORE bedrooms that were occupied by one person (2011)

Source: ONS Census 2011, table DC4405 Vale of White Horse Briefing Note: Housing 2018 15 Social rented housing: Management

9,000 In 2017, there were 7,250

8,000 public sector households in Vale WH. 20 7,000 • Almost all of these were

6,000 housing association.

5,000

4,000 7,230 3,000

2,000 Other public sector GRAPH: Social Rented 1,000 Local Authority Housing association Housing Stock Source: MHCLG, Live Table 100, 0 +37% downloaded 20/08/18 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Vale of White Horse Briefing Note: Housing 2018 16 Social rented housing: Rents GRAPH: Social Rents (Private More than 99% of Vale WH public sector Registered Providers) housing is provided by Private Registered Source: MCHLG, Live table 704, downloaded 02/10/18 Providers. Currently these charge an average of £109.29 rent. £120.00 £109.29 • Across England, the average Vale of £100.00 White Horse comparable rent is £96.61. £96.61 £80.00 England Rents have increased faster than prices. £69.05 • The average Vale WH rent has £60.00 England -- if rents had increased by increased by 40% over the last ten inflation (CPI00) years. £40.00 since 1997 • If the rates had increased with inflation £20.00 over the last 20 years, then the average rent would be around £69. £0.00 • However, there was a slight dip in rents over the past year.

Vale of White Horse Briefing Note: Housing 2018 17 Private Sector

18 House prices: median

MAP: Median House Prices (by MSOA, Mar-18) The median house price Source: ONS House Prices for Small Areas (Table 2) in Vale WH for the year to Mar-18 was £340,000.

The highest was the rural area around Kingston Bagpuize, £431k

The lowest was Wantage, £257k

Note: Data can be volatile since small samples of sold houses can be skewed by housing type.

Vale of White Horse Briefing Note: Housing 2018 19 House prices: 10-year increase

The median price of houses sold in the year to Mar-18 is up to 62% higher than ten years previously.

- The highest 10-year increase was in Grove (162%).

- The lowest ten-year increase was was in the MSOA containing Kingston Bagpuize (117%) – maybe because the prices are already high there (see previous slide).

As in the previous slide, data is volatile. MAP: Ten-year increase in median House Prices (by MSOA, Mar-18) Source: ONS House Prices for Small Areas (Table 2)

Vale of White Horse Briefing Note: Housing 2018 20 MAP: Ten-year increase in median house prices House prices: county pattern (by MSOA, Mar-18)

Across Oxfordshire in 2018, [brown map] • the highest median house price sales are in South Oxfordshire and Oxford City. • Towns have the lowest prices, probably due to the mix available.

In terms of change in housing prices, [green map] MAP: Median house prices (by MSOA, Mar-18) • Vale of White Horse has not seen high changes Source / Legend: see previous slides compared to other Oxfordshire districts.

Vale of White Horse Briefing Note: Housing 2018 21 Housing affordability (trend)

In 2017, market housing in Vale of 12.0

White Horse cost around Vale of 10.6 9.7 times 10.0 the income of workers. White Horse 9.7

• This is higher than the national 8.0 7.9 average (7.9), and is increasing. 7.3 6.0

England For those in the lowest quartile the 4.0 situation was worse with housing Median housing 2.0 costing 10.6 times the cheapest Lower quartile housing housing. 0.0 • This compares with 7.3 nationally.

CHART: Ratio* of house With Cherwell (9.6), Vale of White *EXAMPLE: Assume an average prices to income house costs £200,000 and average earnings are £25,000. Horse is one of the more affordable Then the affordability ratio = Source: Live tables on housing market districts of Oxfordshire. house price divided by earnings and house prices, MHCLG, extracted = 8.0 17/08/16

Vale of White Horse Briefing Note: Housing 2018 22 Housing affordability (map)

Oxfordshire’s county towns are circled blue. • These are more affordable than their rural hinterlands, largely due to the housing mix available.

Areas coloured red are at least as unaffordable as the Oxford average. • Many rural areas are as unaffordable as Oxford.

For cautions regarding methodology, follow the source link below.

MAP: Housing affordability (ratio of house prices to income) Source: District Data Service analysis (here)

Vale of White Horse Briefing Note: Housing 2018 23 Private rents

£2,000 Vale of White Horse GRAPH: Private Rents

England (medians), 2017/18

Source: Valuation Office Agency £1,495

£1,500

£1,300

£1,050

£1,000 £895

£850

£750

£725

£675

£650 £650

£600 £550 £500

£0 Studio 1 bedroom 2 bedrooms 3 bedrooms 4+ bedrooms Overall median

Across Vale WH, the median private For those in the lower In other words, the rent in the year to Mar-18 was £895 (or quartile, the average lower quartile rent in mean £1,011). rent is £750 in Vale Vale WH (£750) is • This is higher than the median WH compared to £520 higher than the median England rent of £675 (mean £829). nationally. across all England rents (£675).

Vale of White Horse Briefing Note: Housing 2018 24 Other housing statistics

25 Vacant dwellings In Vale of White Horse in 2017, there were 1,016 vacant dwellings. • 33% of these were long-term vacants (compared to 34% nationally). • 0% of these were LA owned (ie. all LA-owned properties are filled).

The districts do not quite follow the England pattern, which saw a rise in vacancies up to 2008; a fall until 2016; and a slight rise in 2017.

2,000 GRAPH: Vacancies 1,800 Source: MHCLG, Live Table 615 1,600 downloaded 04/09/18

1,400 1,274 1,259 1,200 1,218 1,000 1,016 997 800 Cherwell 600 Oxford 400 South Oxfordshire Vale of White Horse 200 West Oxfordshire 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Vale of White Horse Briefing Note: Housing 2018 26 Net additional dwellings • There were 1,615 net additional dwellings in Vale WH in 2016/17 (more than in any other district) • 95% of these were achieved through new builds.

1,800 GRAPH: Net Additional Dwellings 1,600 Cherwell Source: MHCLG, Live Tables 122 & 123, 1,615 Oxford downloaded 20/08/18 1,400 South Oxfordshire Vale of White Horse 1,200 West Oxfordshire 1,102 1,000

800 722 600 518 400 320 200

0 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17

Vale of White Horse Briefing Note: Housing 2018 27 MAP: New properties by LSOA New Properties over the last 10 years (2008 on)

Legend:

Number of new properties

Source: District Council Tax Registers • Since 2008, some 6,700 • The greatest area of • Vale has more high- properties have come growth has been around growth areas than onto the Council Tax Great Western Park Oxford, West Register for Vale WH. (Didcot). Oxfordshire or South Oxfordshire.

Vale of White Horse Briefing Note: Housing 2018 28 Homelessness: Rough sleeping

In England as a whole, rough sleeping has gone up by In Vale WH in Oct to Nov-17, 268% between 2010 and 2017. there were estimated to be 10 rough sleepers. • This is equivalent to a 70

rate of 0.19 per 1,000 60 61 households. 50 • (England has a rate of 0.20 rough sleepers per 40 1,000 households). 30

20 Cherwell Of these 10 individuals: Oxford 10 10 Vale WH South Ox 9 West Ox 7 • 1 (10%) was under 25 2 0 • 1 (10%) was a woman 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 • All were UK nationals. GRAPH: Rough sleepers, Oct/Nov 2017 Source: MHCLG, homelessness statistics (link)

Vale of White Horse Briefing Note: Housing 2018 29 Homelessness: Statutory homelessness

Applications GRAPH: Applications for housing under During the first quarter of 2018 (Jan- Mar), 14 households applied to be homelessness legislation, Source: MHCLG, homelessness dealt with under the homelessness Q1 2018 statistics (link) provisions of the 1996 Housing Act. • Of these, 6 were considered to be 70 in priority need. A further 5 were Applications rejected 60 eligible but not homeless. Applications accepted

50 29

30 Acceptances 40

Of applications in the first quarter of 30 2018, 6 were accepted. Of these, 16 20 • 5 (83%) were aged between 24 34 27 and 55 10 18 8 6 • 5 (83%) had dependent children. 6 7 0 Cherwell Oxford Vale South West

Vale of White Horse Briefing Note: Housing 2018 30 House types

Compared with the England average, Vale of White Horse has a greater proportion of detached dwellings and a lower proportion of flats.

Percentage of households by accommodation type (2011)

36% Vale of White Horse England 30% 31% 24% 22% 23% 19%+3% 14%

+12% Detached Semi-Detached Terraced Flats Source: ONS Census 2011 KS402 Vale of White Horse Briefing Note: Housing 2018 31 Housing stock

25% Cherwell (2013) South & Vale have not recently held a Oxford (2014) stock condition survey. However, the West Oxfordshire (2013) 20% other Oxfordshire districts are shown in Black bars show the England level (English the graph. Housing Survey 2009) 15% Energy rating may be measured by

10% “Simple SAP”. 100 represents zero energy costs, but lower numbers mean higher running costs. 5% • The latest figures suggest that Vale WH has a SAP rating of 67, 17% 17% 20% 10% 5% 12% 7% 11% 8% 4% 8% 5% 0% compared to an England value of 65. All hazards Excess Cold Falls Disrepair

The graph shows the proportion of dwellings with a HHSRS Category 1 hazard needing action to make the property safe. GRAPH: Condition of housing stock Source: Collated by Oxfordshire County Council for JSNA (HHSRS = Housing Health & Safety Rating System).

Vale of White Horse Briefing Note: Housing 2018 32 Sources

33 Sources

• Census https://www.nomisweb.co.uk/census/2011 • MCHLG live tables – Housing affordability: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releases/housingaffordabilityinenglandandwales1997to2017 – House prices: HPSSA table 9 (local authority), table 2 (MSOA)

– Homelessness : https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/homelessness-statistics#live-tables • Rents, lettings and tenancies – https://www.gov.uk/government/statistical-data-sets/live-tables-on-rents-lettings-and-tenancies – https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/private-rental-market-summary-statistics-april-2017-to-march-2018 • Local data – New builds estimated via council tax register for each district – Condition of housing stock survey

– District data service on local housing affordability: DDAS website

Vale of White Horse Briefing Note: Housing 2018 34