DOI: 10.1111/imr.12695 INVITED REVIEW Modifying clonal selection theory with a probabilistic cell Philip D. Hodgkin1,2 1Immunology Division, The Walter & Eliza Hall Institute of Medical Research, Parkville, Summary Vic., Australia Problem- solving strategies in immunology currently utilize a series of ad hoc, qualita- 2 Department of Medical Biology, The tive variations on a foundation of Burnet’s formulation of clonal selection theory. University of Melbourne, Parkville, Vic., Australia These modifications, including versions of two- signal theory, describe how signals regulate lymphocytes to make important decisions governing self- tolerance and Correspondence: Philip D. Hodgkin, Immunology Division, The Walter & Eliza changes to their effector and memory states. These theories are useful but are prov- Hall Institute of Medical Research, 1G Royal ing inadequate to explain the observable genesis and control of heterogeneity in cell Parade, Parkville, VIC 3050, Australia (
[email protected]). types, the nonlinear passage of cell fate trajectories and how the input from multiple environmental signals can be integrated at different times and strengths. Here, I Funding information National Health and Medical Research argue for a paradigm change to place immune theory on a firmer philosophical and Council (NH&MRC), Grant/Award quantitative foundation to resolve these difficulties. This change rejects the notion Number: 1054925; NH&MRC Research Fellowship, 1079136; Victorian State of identical cell subsets and substitutes the concept of a cell as comprised of autono- Government Operational Infrastructure mous functional mechanical components subject to stochastic variations in construc- Support; Australian Government NH&MRC Independent Research Institutes tion and operation. The theory aims to explain immunity in terms of cell population Infrastructure Support Scheme, Grant/ dynamics, dictated by the operation of cell machinery, such as randomizing elements, Award Number: 361646 division counters, and fate timers.