Hampton University Center for Public Policy A Survey of 804 Likely Voters Virginia Statewide September, 2013 ------Good evening. I am calling on behalf of ... We are not selling anything or promoting any products or services. We are only interviewing registered voters tonight on some important topics.
Q1. Are you 18 years or older and registered to vote in state of Virginia?
CONTINUE………………..Yes…………………………………..……………… ...... 100
TERMINATE……………….No…………………………………………………… ...... 0
Q2. On November 5th of this year, there will be a general election for Governor, Lieutenant Governor, Attorney General and other offices. What are the chances of your voting in the November 5th General Election? Are you almost certain to vote or will you probably vote or in the November 5th general election?
IF YES: CONTINUE ...... 100
IF NO: TERMINATE ...... 0 IF (Don't know/Not Sure) TERMINATE ...... 0
Q3. Respondent's gender (CODE: DO NOT ASK)
Male ...... 47 Female ...... 53
Q4. To begin with, do you think things in Virginia are generally going in the right direction or are they pretty seriously off on the wrong track?
Right Direction...... 50 Wrong Track ...... 33 (Don't know/Not Sure) ...... 17
Q5. And how about the region you live in? Do you think things in your region are generally going in the right direction or are they pretty seriously off on the wrong track?
Right Direction...... 62 Wrong Track ...... 29 (Don't know/Not Sure) ...... 9
Q6. Now I am going to read you a list of issues. Please tell me which one of these issues should be the top priority of the next Governor, no matter who it is
Improving public education ...... 24 Fixing the roads...... 2 Working to improve the economy and create jobs ...... 37 Providing more affordable housing ...... 2 Improving traffic flow and lessening congestion ...... 5 Reducing crime and making the streets safer ...... 3 Reducing taxes ...... 4 Government spending ...... 2 Healthcare/Obamacare ...... 10 Reducing the flow of drugs in our neighborhoods...... 1 Eliminating corruption in government ...... 7 (Don't know/Not sure) ...... 3
Now here is a list of people. Please tell me whether, in general, you have a very favorable, favorable, unfavorable or very unfavorable opinion of each one. If you have no opinion or have never heard of someone, please say so.
Very Very Famil Nvr Fav Fav Unfav Unfav DK No Op Hrd
Q7. Barack Obama ...... 19 31 23 23 1 3 0
Q8. Bob McDonnell ...... 6 37 24 8 8 12 4
Q9. Terry McAuliffe ...... 5 26 25 12 11 13 8
Q10. Ken Cuccinelli...... 10 23 26 21 7 10 5
Q11. E.W. Jackson ...... 3 14 11 7 21 16 30
Q12. Ralph Northam ...... 3 11 5 1 26 19 36
Q13. Mark Obenshain ...... 4 16 8 1 20 20 31
Q14. Mark Herring...... 2 12 5 1 25 18 38
Q15. Bill Bolling ...... 4 24 7 1 16 22 26
Now let’s change the subject.
Q16. Suppose the November 2013 general election for Governor were held today and the candidates were: (ROTATE) Republican Ken Cuccinelli and Democrat Terry McAuliffe, for whom would you vote? (IF UNDECIDED) Well if you had to decide right now, to whom would you lean toward supporting: (ROTATE IN SAME ORDER) Democrat Terry McAuliffe or Republican Ken Cuccinelli?
Cuccinelli ...... 35 Lean Cuccinelli ...... 5 McAuliffe ...... 40 Lean McAuliffe ...... 4 (Don't know/Not sure) ...... 16
Q17. Suppose the November 2013 general election for Governor were held today and the candidates were: (ROTATE) Republican Ken Cuccinelli, Democrat Terry McAuliffe and Libertarian Robert Sarvis, for whom would you vote? (IF UNDECIDED) Well if you had to decide right now, to whom would you lean toward supporting: (ROTATE IN SAME ORDER) Democrat Terry McAuliffe, Republican Ken Cuccinelli or Libertarian Robert Sarvis?
Cuccinelli ...... 34 Lean Cuccinelli ...... 3 McAuliffe ...... 40 Lean McAuliffe ...... 2 Sarvis...... 7 Lean Sarvis...... 1 (Don't know/Not sure) ...... 12
Q18. Suppose the November 2013 general election for Lieutenant Governor were held today and the candidates were: (ROTATE) Republican E.W. Jackson and Democrat Ralph Northam, for whom would you vote? (IF UNDECIDED) Well if you had to decide right now, to whom would you lean toward supporting: (ROTATE IN SAME ORDER) Republican E.W. Jackson or Democrat Ralph Northam?
Jackson ...... 34 Lean Jackson ...... 5 Northam ...... 35 Lean Northam ...... 3 (Don't know/Not sure) ...... 23
Q19. Suppose the November 2013 general election for Attorney General were held today and the candidates were: (ROTATE) Democrat Mark Herring and Republican Mark Obenshain, for whom would you vote? (IF UNDECIDED) Well if you had to decide right now, to whom would you lean toward supporting: (ROTATE IN SAME ORDER) Mark Herring or Republican Mark Obenshain?
Herring ...... 33 Lean Herring ...... 4 Obenshain ...... 37 Lean Obenshain ...... 4 (Don't know/Not sure) ...... 23
Now let’s change the subject.
Which of the main candidates for Governor would be better at: (READ)
Cuccinelli McAuliffe Both Don’t know
Q20. Having the right kind of experience in state Government to be Governor ...... 42 35 4 19
Q21. Looking out for middle and working class families ...... 36 42 2 19
Q22. Cutting taxes ...... 47 26 2 26
Q23. Protecting Virginias finances and maintaining the budget surplus ...... 41 34 3 21
Q24. Creating jobs and strengthening the business Climate ...... 38 40 2 20
Now let me ask you something different.
Q25. Overall, do you approve or do you disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as the President of the United States?
Approve...... 47 Disapprove ...... 50 (Don't know/Not Sure) ...... 3
Q26. Do you generally approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing in handling the economy?
Approve...... 45 Disapprove ...... 51 (Don't know/Not Sure) ...... 4
Q27. Do you generally approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing in handling foreign policy?
Approve...... 44 Disapprove ...... 50 (Don't know/Not Sure) ...... 6
Q28. Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the job Bob McDonnell is doing as Governor?
Approve...... 55 Disapprove ...... 30 (Don't know/Not Sure) ...... 15
Q29. Generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the job the General Assembly in Richmond is doing?
Approve...... 47 Disapprove ...... 32 (Don't know/Not Sure) ...... 20
Q30. Generally speaking should members of the General Assembly in Richmond have term limits?
Yes ...... 80 No ...... 13 Don’t know ...... 7
IF YES… ASK? IF NO: SKIP
Q31. How many terms would that be? (READ CATEGORIES)
One two year term ...... 11 Two year terms ...... 47 Three two year terms ...... 23 Four two year terms ...... 16 Don't know ...... 2
Now let’s change the subject.
Q32. In general do you think race relations in Virginia have improved, stayed about the same or gotten worse during the past five years?
Improved ...... 28 Stayed about the same ...... 46 Gotten worse ...... 18 Don't know ...... 8
Q33. Virginia has consistently been among the fastest growing states in the nation. Loudoun County in Northern Virginia has experienced an 84 percent increase since and was recently the single fastest growing county in the nation. Do you think Virginia is growing too fast, just about right or not fast enough to provide a good quality of life?
Too fast ...... 27 Just about right ...... 55 Not fast enough ...... 11 Don't know ...... 7
Now I'm going to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes.
Q34. Which of the following categories best describes your age?
18-24 ...... 9 25-29 ...... 5 30-34 ...... 4 35-39 ...... 5 40-44 ...... 5 45-49 ...... 9 50-59 ...... 21 60 or older ...... 40 (Don't know/Not sure/Refused) ...... 1
Q35. What is the last grade in school you completed?
Grade school ...... 1 Some high school ...... 3 High school graduate ...... 21 Some college ...... 22 College graduate ...... 31 Graduate school ...... 19 Technical school ...... 2 (Don't know/Not sure/Refused) ...... 1
Q36. What is your current marital status - are you married, single, living together or engaged, widowed, or divorced?
Married ...... 56 Single ...... 26 (SINGLE INCLUDES LIVING TOGETHER OR ENGAGED) Widowed ...... 9 Divorced ...... 7 (Don't know/Not sure/Refused) ...... 1
Q37. For statistical purposes only, we need to know your total household income for 2012. Will you please tell me which of the following categories best represents your total family income?
Less than $20,000 ...... 9 $20,000-$30,000 ...... 9 $30,000-$40,000 ...... 8 $40,000-$50,000 ...... 7 $50,000-$75,000 ...... 14 $75,000-$100,000 ...... 10 Over $100,000 ...... 25 (Don't know/Not sure/Refused) ...... 18
Q38. What type of work do you do?
High level professional ...... 12 Middle level professional ...... 12 Executive, Manager ...... 5 Sales, Proprietor ...... 3 White collar worker ...... 4 Skilled laborer ...... 6 Semi-and unskilled laborer ...... 1 Homemaker ...... 6 Student ...... 5 Unemployed ...... 3 Retired ...... 33 Other ...... 9 (Don't know/Not sure/Refused) ...... 1
Q39. Do you consider yourself a Democrat, a Republican, or an Independent? Would that be a strong democrat, moderate democrat, weak democrat, Independent, strong Republican, moderate Republican or weak Republican?
Strong Democrat ...... 21 Moderate Democrat ...... 13 Weak Democrat ...... 1 Independent ...... 29 Strong Republican ...... 16 Moderate Republican ...... 15 Weak Republican ...... 2 (Don't know/Not sure) ...... 3
Q40. Are you or is anyone in your household a member of the Tea Party or a friend or supporter of the Tea party? Member ...... 2 Supporter/Friend/ ...... 12 Not a Member ...... 83 (Don't know/Not sure) ...... 3
Q41. Are you or is any member of your household a current member of the military on active duty, a member on non-active duty, a member of the national guard or reserves or a veteran?
Yes (CONTINUE) ...... 30 No (SKIP NEXT QUESTION) ...... 69 (Don't know/Not sure) ...... 1
IF YES: ASK: What would that be? IF NO: SKIP
READ: Someone on active duty ...... 14 Non active ...... 6 National guard/reserves ...... 5 Veteran ...... 74 (Don't know/Not sure) ...... 1
Q42. Please tell me your race? Total African-American/ Black ...... 16 Caucasian/ White ...... 77 Hispanic/Latino ...... 1 Asian-American ...... 1 (Other/Refused) ...... 5
Q44. Code county: ______