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A MAGAZINE FOR EXECUTIVES 2011 Issue No. 1

Taking your airline to new heights

SkyTeam: Caring More About You A Conversation With É Leo van Wijk, Chairman, SkyTeam Pg. 10

18 Strategic commercial planning 46 Avianca-TACA merger changed Latin 63 Merchandising through GDS gives increases airline revenues America additional storefront

© 2011 Sabre Inc. All rights reserved. [email protected] Air Traffic Modernization Photos: Shutterstock ASCEND I INDUSTRY

t’s no surprise that programs as complex and impactful as the U.S. Federal A viation Administration’s NextGen air transportation system don’t move quickly or smoothly. Today, we often focus on what is happening Imonth-to-month, day-to-day and minute-to-minute. So it’s no revelation that we lose track of programs that won’ t be fully implemented for 10 years. But these programs are going to impact our industry in a significant manner . Therefore, it’ s important to remain updated and informed on the progress and the issues associated with the programs. Traffic The focus on NextGen during the past year has Air Modernization been on determining which companies would be awarded NextGen contracts and continuing to focus A NextGen Update on the mid-term (2018) implementation plan. Last year, the FA A awarded umbrella contracts totaling more than US$6 billion to demonstrate the While the Next Generation Air Transportation System progresses slowly, big plans are commitment of the U.S. government to the NextGen underway to secure a better ATC environment. initiative. The contracts were awarded under an umbrella portfolio called System Engineering 2020 (SE-2020). SE-2020 has a ceiling of US$6.5 billion covering By Jon Hedblom | Ascend Contributor 10 years, making it the largest set of awards in the FAA’s history. Companies with the best and bright- est aviation and systems engineering experts were awarded the contracts. The NextGen program cannot be accomplished solely by the government. Rather , it needs to be a collaborative effort between government and the aviation industry. This is required to successfully join emerging technologies with new policies and pro- cedures into operational reality . Several companies were awarded SE-2020 contracts.

Boeing Boeing was awarded up to US$1.7 billion. It will focus on: Air traffic management modeling and simu- lation, Integration of ground and airborne technolo- gies, Operations for all vehicle types (commer - cial and military , , unmanned aerial systems, and rotorcraft). Boeing will perform work to demonstrate NextGen procedures in real time on a large scale within the current air traffic system.

General Dynamics General Dynamics was awarded up to US$1.2 billion. It will perform mission-analysis support in areas such as: Air traffic management automation, Airplane design and analysis, systems operations and mainte- nance, Cost-benefit analysis, National System security, Large-scale demonstrations and NAS air- traffic facility certification. The company will provide systems integration, development and operations expertise, modeling and simulation, and ground and air -based informa- tion and communications systems upgrades.

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ITT Corp. ITT Corp. was awarded up to US$1.4 billion. It will conduct leading-edge concept development work across all dimensions of including: Ground systems, Avionics, Aircraft equipage, Air traffic control rules and procedures, Human factors, Safety and security, Environmental, Safety and security standards.

Metron Aviation Metron Aviation was awarded US$1.15 bil- lion. The work performed by Metron A viation will complement the work of Boeing, General Dynamics and ITT under their SE-2020 contracts. The collective organizations will conduct large-scale demonstra- tions to see how NextGen concepts, procedures and technologies integrate into the current system.

Booz Allen Hamilton Booz Allen Hamilton was awarded US$700 million. It will evaluate emerging procedures and technologies and perform systems engineering to ATC Progress The FA A awarded umbrella contracts of more than US$6 billion to show the U.S. govern- determine the best way to deploy NextGen initia- ment’s devotion to the NextGen program. tives on a wide scale. It plans to bring to the program a broad range of: Systems engineering; between aircraft and more optimized and to stress is the concept of “best equipped, best Investment and business-case analysis; take-off paths. served.” Planning; According to experts who gathered at a recent This concept is in place to encourage early Forecasting; global PBN summit, PBN objectives include: adoption of the equipment to support NextGen Business, financial and information manage- A 3 percent to 10 percent increase in by incentivizing those aircraft with priority in the ment support services. capacity, NAS. The best-equipped aircraft will receive priority A 10 percent reduction in delays, routing and handling by FA A air traffic controllers. CSSI 8 percent to 10 percent reduction in fuel How this will work given the mix of equipped and CSSI was awarded US$280 million. CSSI and burn, non-equipped aircraft, especially in the highest traffic Flatirons Solutions will provide similar services as Up to a 30 percent decrease in overall noise areas, is still a work in progress. Booz Allen Hamilton. patterns. How well the incentives are working is question- FAA Administrator Randy Babbitt voiced his These efficiencies should spill over into the able at this point, but the FA A remains steadfast in support of the industry participation in the program. area of airport planning and capacity manage- support of it. The FA A has even recently encour - “Partnership is absolutely critical to our suc- ment, according to Dan Elwell, former assistant aged the airline community to invest through some cess in NextGen,” he said. “With these [contract] FAA administrator and current vice president unique financing methods. awards, we’re partnering with some of the most of for the Aerospace Industries “We are working very hard to come up with qualified companies in the aviation community.” Association. ideas to really speed up the implementation of Work performed under the SE-2020 umbrella “The implementation of more precise NextGen,” said John L. Mica, the new U.S. House of will complement NextGen programs that are operations should reduce the need to continue Representatives aviation subcommittee chairman. already in full deployment such as Automatic to add costly airport capacity,” he said. He said the House is considering “loan guar - Dependent Surveillance Broadcast (ADS-B). However, for that to occur , aircraft operators antees and other ways” to help airlines finance Satellite-based system controllers use ADS-B to must be ready and willing to equip their aircraft equipage in the latest version of FAA reauthorization monitor and separate aircraft in the skies over with the new , certified avionics necessary to legislation under development. In addition, the FA A certain parts of the country . It will be deployed realize the planned benefits. recently announced it would spend US$4.2 million nationwide in 2013. The FAA and operators understand the to equip 35 JetBlue aircraft with certain onboard Companies awarded contracts under SE-2020 importance of having NextGen equipment on equipment. This is part of a program designed to will research emerging procedures and technolo- the aircraft to reap the desired benefits. Herein convince other carriers that day-to-day operational gies and perform systems engineering to determine lies one of the many conundrums that currently savings justify such investments. the best way to deploy the NextGen initiatives on exist within the NextGen implementation plan. Also, an investment group led by ITT Corp. has a wide scale. It is apparent that significant benefits, The FAA maintains that the 2009 governing developed a novel funding mechanism aimed at such as safety, performance and efficiency, can be principles for accelerating NextGen equipage supporting airlines in buying and installing NextGen gained through the implementation of NextGen. remain in effect. avionics beginning next year . The funding mecha- In the area of efficiency , performance-based However, there is no defined direct govern- nism, involving a mix of commercial borrowing navigation (PBN) operations will bring “green” effi- ment assistance coming to the operators, and and private equity in excess of US$1 billion, would ciencies to the overall system. This is achieved by business case development is in its infancy. finance new avionics for up to 5,600 Part 121 permitting more direct routing and closer spacing One of these principles that Babbitt continues aircraft, the majority of the United States fleet.

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The equipment would be leased to air carriers. Provide data access for modeling and analysis. begin to see detailed development and implementa- Repayments would be based on the FA A reaching The FA A Office of Inspector General noted in tion plans from the companies and the FA A during agreed milestones for supporting ground infrastruc- a report late last year that F AA’s policy challenges the next few months. ture. The commercial financing solution, in the include adopting the best-equipped, best-served This activity is critical to the goal of keeping the works for more than a year, comes as other options policy. The FA A currently requires aircraft to be overall mid-term implementation plan on track for are being discussed to fund NextGen equipage, cleared for landing on a first-come, first-served basis the benefits expected by 2018. Key providers and mainly involving federal dollars. regardless of equipage. officials continue to worry that the programs will The Aerospace Industries Association has pro- The best-equipped, best-served policy would bog down due to a lack of integration among the posed a “Cash for Carbon” program that would see give priority to users equipped with new systems, programs and the FA A leadership. government grants or government-backed loans which would encourage airspace users to equip their All of this activity is further clouded by the fact issued in exchange for a commitment by airlines to aircraft with advanced avionics and thereby advance that the leadership in the U.S. Congress has been achieve carbon-neutral growth from 2020 onward. NextGen. Extensive analyses will determine if passed from long-time committee chairman Jim The business-case generation will not be straight- the policy can be safely implemented. This would Oberstar to John Mica. forward. It will initially require several assumptions to include addressing concerns about mixed equipage Finding a clear path forward for the operators be made as well as having the systems engineering as aircraft transition to the NextGen system. and their solutions providers remains a difficult but component firm up requirements. Simulations and In addition, solution providers need to work in necessary task to support the future generation of human-in-the-loop experiments will be necessary tandem with airlines and the NextGen program global air traffic systems and to realize the savings to build sufficient business cases for operators to to ensure legacy applications are in dollars, air quality and time that NextGen offers. a invest in the necessary upgrades. updated with new parameters and algorithms. Once In addition, solutions providers will need to mod- the aircraft completes the optimized flight profile, the ify their current flight planning applications to take airport and ground handling support must be linked into account new parameters. Solution providers, into the ground-based communications systems to such as Sabre Airline Solutions ®, with an extensive complete the full cycle of efficiency. solutions portfolio and knowledge of the industry Full benefits of optimizing flight profiles cannot can benefit airline operators by using a combination be achieved if the same efficiencies are not planned of current solutions along with new algorithms for and implemented in the cockpit and airline associated with NextGen to: operations control centers. The most efficient, best- Estimate optimal flight plans by user class planned AT C system will not achieve the stated (major airline, regional airline, business gen- objectives if the system breaks down once the eral aviation), aircraft lands and cannot get to the and offload Compute optimal flight plans for new best- efficiently. equipped, best-served scenarios (such as A holistic approach will require that airline opera- unconstrained flight plans), tions centers are upgraded. Solutions providers will Jon Hedblom is partner for government Visualize best-equipped, best-served ben- need to be involved in the planning and implementa- sales and business development for efits mechanisms using Sabre® AirCentre™ tion of the NextGen program. With the awarding of Sabre Airline Solutions. He can be Flight Explorer, the umbrella contracts in 2010, the industry should contacted at [email protected].

+count it up

43,300+ 1,200 tons 0.2 The approximate combined number The amount of roses Cargo The percentage of cancelled of daily departures by , transported for delivery on Feb. 14, in 2010 by U.S. carrier Hawaiian SkyTeam and members. equivalent to 34 million roses or 14 Airlines. The carrier held the lowest Members for the three global fully booked MD-11Fs. percentage of canceled flights for the alliances carry approximately 1.4 year, followed by Frontier Airlines billion passengers a year. with 0.6 percent and Alaska Airlines with 0.8 percent, according to the U.S. Department of Transportation’s Bureau of Transportation Statistics.

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