UNCLASSIFIED January 24, 2007

D E P A R T Weekly M E N T Status Report O F January 24, 2007

S T Bureau of Near Eastern Affairs A US Department of State T E

1 UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED January 24, 2007

Table of Contents This report provides weekly updates in the eight key areas identified as pillars D of US government policy for victory in Iraq. E SECTION SLIDE P Highlights 3 A 1. Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgents R 5 T 2. Transition Iraq to Security Self-Reliance 7 M 3. Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic 9 E Government N T 4. Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential 11 Services O 5. Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy F 14 6. Help Iraq Strengthen the Rule of Law and Promote Civil Rights 23 S 7. Increase International Support for Iraq 24 T 8. Strengthen Public Understanding of Coalition Efforts and A 26 T Public Isolation of the Insurgents E Sources and Contact Information 27 Notes and Source Citations 28

2 UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED January 24, 2007

Highlights 1. Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgents D Iraqi Security Forces and Coalition Forces (CF) recently concluded a ten-day E combined operation with 5th Iraqi Army Division units supported by Iraqi Police P from the area and with CF enablers, including Air Force and Army A aviation assets, artillery, and security reconnaissance forces. The major combat R operations targeted a group of terrorists, known as The Council, in the Turki T Village, Tuwilla, and 30 Tamuz area south of Balad Ruz. Friendly forces reported M killing over 100 terrorists, capturing an additional 50, and finding over 25 caches of E supplies. N 2. Transition Iraq to Security Self-Reliance T The 2nd Battalion, 1st Brigade, 7th Iraqi Army Division officially took charge of independent operations in west during a ceremony at Camp Ali January O 22. This is the third battalion in the 1st Brigade, 7th Iraqi Army Division to assume F authority over an area of Ramadi in the last five months. 3. Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic Government S Abdul Hadi al-Daraji, a top aide to Muqtada al-Sadr, was arrested in T January 19 in connection with extrajudicial killings, amid growing signs of stepped- A up efforts to quell Sadr and his supporters. T 4. Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential Services E Construction was recently completed on a health clinic in and Qala in Salah ad-Din province. The US Army-funded project enables the delivery of daytime healthcare services to approximately 35,000 people per year. 3 UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED January 24, 2007

Highlights

5. Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy D The Iraq December consumer price index (CPI) inflation was 11.3%; making 2006 E inflation 64.8%, a relative increase from the 51.7% year-on-year rate in November. The P US government estimate of Iraq’s core inflation figure (which excludes fuel, transport, A and rent) was 3.0% in December and 32.5% 2006. The International Monetary Fund R (IMF) core inflation figure (which excludes fuel, transport, but includes rent, and which the IMF uses to judge the efficacy of exchange rate appreciation) was 3.2% in December T and 31.9% in 2006. The sharp rise in December was driven largely by a 37.6% rise in M fuel prices, while other CPI components rose less than 5% or fell slightly. E 6. Help Iraq Strengthen the Rule of Law N More than 100 former members of ’s regime will stand trial this year in T connection with the deaths of tens of thousands of Shiite Muslims during the uprising after the 1991Gulf War, prosecutor Jaafar al-Moussawi said January 18. O 7. Increase International Support for Iraq F Iraqi President , on the first visit to Syria by an Iraqi head of state for 30 years, met President Bashar al-Assad January 14. Syria's leader promised to help ease S tensions in neighboring Iraq, while Talabani seeks to improve US-Syrian relations. T 8. Strengthen Public Understanding of Coalition Efforts and Public Isolation of the A Insurgents T On January 18, the Paris-based advocacy group Reporters Without Borders urged Iraqi E authorities to escalate efforts to protect journalists after, it said, six journalists and media workers were killed in less than a week.

4 UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED January 24, 2007

[1.] Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgency

Conclusion of Combined Operation: D E • Iraqi Security Forces and Coalition Forces (CF) recently concluded a ten-day P combined operation with 5th Iraqi Army (IA) Division units supported by Iraqi Police A from the Balad Ruz area and with CF enablers, including Air Force and Army R aviation assets, artillery, and security reconnaissance forces. The major combat T operations targeted a group of terrorists, known as The Council, in the Turki Village, M Tuwilla, and 30 Tamuz area south of Balad Ruz. Friendly forces reported killing E over 100 terrorists, capturing an additional 50, and finding over 25 caches of N supplies. T US Death Toll Hits 25 in One Day: O F • At least 25 US military personnel were killed in Iraq January 20 in one of the worst days for American forces since the 2003 invasion. According to open-source S reporting, 12 soldiers were killed in a UH-60 Blackhawk helicopter crash northeast T of Baghdad, apparently shot down by a shoulder-fired missile. A T E

5 UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED January 24, 2007

[1.] Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgency

ISF and CF Target JAM and Sunni Rejectionists/Extremists: D E • In the past 45 days, combined Coalition operations included 52 operations primarily P focused on Jaysh al-Mahdi (JAM) and 42 focused on Sunni Rejectionists/ A Extremists. R • These recent Iraqi Security Forces (ISF)/CF focused operations against JAM T have detained 16 high-level JAM militiamen and killed one JAM commander. M Five of the detained individuals are JAM commanders in Sadr City. These E recent detentions are in addition to six other JAM leaders who have been N detained by ISF/CF since the beginning of October. T • There are currently over 600 illegal JAM militia in detention awaiting O prosecution by the Government of Iraq. F • ISF/CF operations have captured 33 Sunni Rejectionist/Extremist cell leaders in Baghdad in the last 45 days. S T High-Profile Bombings in Baghdad Market: A • According to media reports, January 22 was the deadliest day in Iraq so far this T E year. Twin car bombings in a crowded Baghdad market reportedly killed 88 people, bringing the day’s total civilian casualties to over 100.

6 UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED January 24, 2007

[2.] Transition to Security Self-Reliance – Iraqi Security Forces

IA Battalion Assumes Independent Operations in West Ramadi: D E • The 2nd Battalion, 1st Brigade, 7th Iraqi Army (IA) Division officially took charge of P independent operations in west Ramadi during a ceremony at Camp Ali January 22. A This is the third battalion in the 1st Brigade, 7th Iraqi Army Division to assume R authority over an area of Ramadi in the last five months. T M E N T

O F

S T A T E

7 UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED January 24, 2007 [2.] Transition Iraq to Security Self-Reliance – Iraqi Security Forces

D Ministry of Interior Forces Ministry of Defense Forces E TRAINED & COMPONENT P EQUIPPED COMPONENT OPERATIONAL A POLICE ~135,000*** R ARMY ~132,700*** NATIONAL ~ 24,400 T POLICE AIR FORCE ~900 M OTHER MOI NAVY ~1,100 ~28,900 E FORCES TOTAL ~134,700** N TOTAL ~188,300** T Total Trained & Equipped ISF: O F ~323,000**** S * Ministry of Interior Forces: Unauthorized absence personnel are included in these numbers T ** Ministry of Defense Forces: Unauthorized absence personnel are not included in these numbers A *** Army numbers include Special Operations Forces and Support Forces T **** Does not include the approximately 144,000 Facilities Protection Service personnel working in 27 E ministries Data as of January 22, 2007 (updated bi-weekly by DOD)

8 UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED January 24, 2007 [3.] Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic Government– Developments Sadrists End CoR Boycott: D • The political movement of Shia cleric Muqtada al-Sadr ended its two-month boycott E of the Council of Representatives (CoR) January 21. The CoR has had a quorum P since the Sadrists’ return. A Top Sadr Aide Arrested: R • Abdul Hadi al-Daraji, Muqtada al-Sadr's media director in Baghdad, was arrested T January 19, in connection with extrajudicial killings, amid growing signs of stepped- M up efforts to quell Sadr and his supporters. Daraji was arrested at his house in the E neighborhood of Baladiyat, near the Mahdi Army stronghold of Sadr City shortly N after midnight, said Sadr spokesman Abdul Razak al-Nadawi. T • According to a spokesman for Prime Minister Maliki, Maliki was not forewarned about the arrest. It has not been confirmed whether Daraji has been formally O charged. F Sunni Delegation to Meet with Iranian Officials about Sectarian Violence in Iraq: S • On January 22, top Muslim scholars “condemn[ed] the sectarian war between T Sunnis and Shiites unfolding in Iraq, which is conducive to its fragmentation,” A according to a statement issued at the end of a three-day conference on inter- T Islamic dialogue, attended by more than 200 scholars from 44 countries, representing various Islamic sects. E • A leading Qatar-based Sunni cleric, Shaykh Yussef Qaradawi, announced at the end of the conference that a Sunni delegation will meet with Iranian officials in an effort to stem sectarian violence in Iraq. 9 UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED January 24, 2007 [3.] Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic Government - Iraqi National Unity Government

President

D Deputy President Jalal Talabani Deputy President

E Tariq al-Hashimi ‘Adil ‘Abd al-Mahdi P Prime Minister

A Deputy Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki Deputy Prime Minister (F) = Female R Barham Salih Salam al-Zawba’i

T Minister of Displacement Minister of Minister of Minister of Minister of Culture Minister of Defense M Agriculture Communications & Migration Electricity As’ad Kamal Abdul Qadir Muhammed Abd al-Samad Rahman Muhammad Tawfiq Karim Wahid Ya'rub Nathim Muhammad Abdallah al- Jasim Sultan E Allawi Hashimi Minister of Minister of Minister of Higher N Minister of Finance Minister of Foreign Minister of Health Education Environment Affairs Education TKhudayyir al-Khuza’i Narmin ‘Uthman (F) Bayan Jabr Hoshyar Zebari Ali al-Shammari Abd Dhiyab al-Ajili

Minister of Human Minister of Industry Minister of Minister of Housing & Minister of Labor & Minister of Justice O Rights & Minerals Interior Construction Social Affairs Mahmud Muhammad Wijdan Mikha’il (F) F Fawzi al-Hariri Jawad al-Bulani Hashim al-Shibli Bayan Daza’I (F) Jawad al-Radi

Minister of Minister of Science & Minister of Municipalities Minister of Minister of Oil Minister of Trade S Planning Technology & Public Works Transportation Husayn al- Abd al-Falah al- Ali Baban Ra’id Fahmi Jahid Riyad Ghurayyib Karim Mahdi Salih T Shahristani Sudani

A Minister of Water Minister of Youth & Minister of State for Minister of State for Minister of State for National T Resources Sports Civil Society National Dialogue Affairs Security Affairs E ‘Abd al-Latif Rashid Jasim Muhammad Ja’far Adil al-Asadi Akram al-Hakim Shirwan al-Waili Minister of State for Minister of State for Minister of State for Minister of State for Minister of State for Foreign Affairs Governorates Affairs Tourism and Antiquities Women’s Affairs CoR Affairs Fatin Abd al-Rahman Safa al-Safi Rafi Hiyad al-Isawi Sa’d Tahir Abd Khalaf Liwa Sumaysim al-Hashimi 10 Mahmud (F) UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED January 24, 2007 [4.] Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential Services – Financials from Iraq Relief and Reconstruction Fund (IRRF) 1 and IRRF 2 (Millions of USD) Apportioned Committed Obligated Disbursed D Sector Apportion Last Week Current Change Last Week Current Change Last Week Current Change E Security and Law Enforcement $5,002.59 $4,988.59 $4,988.66 $0.07 $4,986.12 $4,986.19 $0.07 $4,712.49 $4,715.92 $3.42 P Electricity Sector $4,239.51 $4,224.59 $4,222.70 ($1.89) $4,080.55 $4,079.16 ($1.39) $2,991.69 $3,016.61 $24.93 A Oil Infrastructure $1,724.70 $1,723.90 $1,678.03 ($45.87) $1,625.04 $1,584.47 ($40.57) $1,306.76 $1,318.17 $11.41 Justice, Public Safety and Civil $1,304.15 $1,304.00 $1,303.93 ($0.06) $1,297.60 $1,297.72 $0.12 $980.06 $981.13 $1.07 R Society T Democracy $1,001.85 $1,001.71 $1,001.71 $0.00 $1,001.71 $1,001.71 $0.00 $896.79 $893.05 ($3.74) Education, Refugees, Human $401.50 $401.18 $401.33 $0.15 $401.18 $401.33 $0.15 $339.15 $343.90 $4.76 M Rights, Governance

Roads, Bridges and E $333.60 $332.41 $331.94 ($0.47) $326.31 $325.84 ($0.47) $209.54 $209.56 $0.02 N Construction Health Care $818.90 $817.47 $817.57 $0.10 $801.41 $801.69 $0.27 $612.34 $614.47 $2.13 T Transportation and $464.12 $464.11 $464.11 $0.00 $458.23 $458.23 $0.000 $339.50 $339.70 $0.20 Communications Water Resources and $2,131.08 $2,121.20 $2,121.16 ($0.04) $2,048.89 $2,049.75 $0.86 $1,431.28 $1,436.47 $5.19 O Sanitation F Private Sector Development $813.95 $813.91 $813.91 $0.00 $813.91 $813.91 $0.00 $761.58 $764.90 $3.32 Admin Expense (USAID, $213.00 $212.45 $212.45 $0.00 $212.45 $212.45 $0.00 $155.77 $164.05 $8.28 STATE) S Total $18,448.95 $18,405.53 $18,357.52 ($48.01) $18,053.42 $18,012.46 ($40.96) $14,736.94 $14,797.93 $60.99 T IRRF II Construction $10,575.48 $10,573.40 ($2.08) $10,245.13 $10,250.09 $4.97 $7,989.33 $8,027.37 $38.04 IRRF II Non-Construction $6,828.34 $6,782.41 ($45.93) $6,806.58 $6,760.65 ($45.93) $5,850.81 $5,877.51 $26.70 A IRRF II Democracy $1,001.71 $1,001.71 $0.00 $1,001.71 $1,001.71 $0.00 $896.79 $893.05 ($3.74)

T IRRF I Total $2,473.30 $2,473.30 $2,473.30 $0.00 $2,232.3 $2,232.3 $0.00 $2,139.00 $2,139.0 $0.00

E Grand Total IRRF I & II $20,922.25 $20,878.83 $20,830.82 ($48.01) $20,285.72 $20,244.76 ($40.96) $16,875.94 $16,936.93 $60.99

As of January 23, 2007 11 UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED January 24, 2007 [4.] Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential Services – Electricity Overview

D Daily Electricity Supplied and Estimated Demand in Iraq Since January 2004 E P Actual 7-day Average Estimated Demand A 200,000

R 180,000

T 160,000

M 140,000 E 120,000 N 100,000 T 80,000 60,000 Daily Load Served (MWh) Load Served Daily O 40,000 20,000 F 0 1/1/04 1/31/04 3/1/04 3/31/04 4/30/04 5/30/04 6/29/04 7/29/04 8/28/04 9/27/04 10/27/04 11/26/04 12/26/04 1/25/05 2/24/05 3/26/05 4/25/05 5/25/05 6/24/05 7/24/05 8/23/05 9/22/05 10/22/05 11/21/05 12/21/05 1/20/06 2/19/06 3/21/06 4/20/06 5/20/06 6/19/06 7/19/06 8/18/06 9/17/06 10/17/06 11/16/06 12/16/06

S Date T A T • During the week of January 18-24 electricity availability averaged 4.5 hours per day in Baghdad E and 7.5 hours nationwide. Electricity output for the week was 7% below the same period in 2005.

12 UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED January 24, 2007 [4.] Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential Services – Transportation and Health Transportation: D E • Construction was recently completed on the Shalal bridge in province. P The US Army-funded project provides an all-weather access artery for villagers and farmers in the community. A R T Health: M • Construction was recently completed on a health clinic in Samarra and Qala in E Salah ad-Din province. The US Army-funded project enables the delivery of N daytime healthcare services to approximately 35,000 people per year. T • Built by local construction companies with quality assurance managed by the O US Army Corps of Engineers, this $3.35 million facility provides routine and F initial emergency care to patients including X-ray, laboratories and dentistry. Medical supplies and laboratory equipment were included in the S contract to make this facility complete and operational. T A T E

13 UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED January 24, 2007 [5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Oil Update and Job Creation Oil Update: D • Crude oil price averages in world markets for the week ending January 19 closed with the E following prices: P – Basrah Light at $45.13/barrel – Dated Brent at $52.18/barrel A – WTI Cushing at $51.48/barrel – Oman/Dubai at $49.56/barrel R T M Employment Update: E

N Iraqi Employment Per Organization Iraqis Last Iraqis This % T ` Week Week change Gulf Region District (GRD) 23,658 21,059 -10.99% O F US Agency for International Development (USAID) 33,868 34,066 0.58% Commander's Emergency Response Program (CERP)2 885 885 0.00% S Multi-National Security Transition Command-Iraq (MNSTC-I) 7,994 10,506 31.42% T Iraq Reconstruction Relief Fund (IRRF) Non-Construction 6,415 6,415 A 0.00% T E GRAND TOTAL 72,820 72,931 0.15%

CERP employment numbers are representative of Baghdad only.

Data as of January 23 14 UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED January 24, 2007

[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy - Banking Sector Central Bank’s US Dollar (USD) Currency Auction: D • The$90.0 following table shows volume sold and exchange rates for USD in the Iraqi currency auction since April. Since September, the Central Bank has begun slowly appreciating the dinar, as suggested by1,490 the E IMF, to tackle rampant inflation over the past year. This welcome increase in the dinar's value against the $80.0 P dollar is reflected in the figure below. A Central Bank of Iraq $70.0 USD Currency Auction: April 2, 2006 – January 22, 2006 R 1,440 T $60.0 M

E $50.0 N 1,390

T $40.0 e

O $30.0 NID ExchangeRat F (Millions) Sold USD 1,340 $20.0 S T $10.0 A $0.0 1,290 T 2 7 3 0 6 2 0 5 9 7 2 9 5 2 9 5 2 0 8 9 7 4 8 1 2 8 6 6 2 8 6 0 - 6 1 3 - 2 3 p 1 2 t 1 2 v 1 2 c 1 1 - 9 - 2 - y 2 1 1 - - 20 0 2 3 - 2 p v - e 16 a 9 - 2 3 Jul 2 - - 2 5 2 Se e Oc Oct - No 15 Jan 1 E April 2 ril ril 26 M y ay Jun 6 - 12 1 2 g 0 - - Sep S - No v - Dec M May 24 - n Jul 9 - 13 - Aug 8 - 1 Au 3 6 - 26 - 1 - Oct No 6 - Dec Ap April 1 Ap Ma Ju Aug 11 - g p 21 1 v 29 - D c 13 April 12 - 1 May 31 - Jun Jul 16 l 23 g Se Sep Oct 3 - Oct 1 ct 19 - Nov 4Nov 8 No De c Jan 8 - Jun 25 - 2 Ju Au Au Sep 13 -Sep Sep 1 Oct O De Dec 20 - Dec 2 Jan 17 - Jan 2 Jul 26 - 30 - l 31 US $ Sold (Weekly Avg) The New IraqiJu Dinar (NID) exchange rate line is calculated as a weekly weighted average (NID/USD)

15 UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED January 24, 2007

[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Securities Markets

Trading of Iraqi Bonds on the International Secondary Bond Market: • The following table shows the daily bond resale price and yield on Iraqi bonds issued January 20. The bonds were originally issued to about D two-thirds of Iraq’s commercial creditors as part of a debt exchange arrangement at Paris Club terms. Iraq’s commercial debt was approximately $22 billion before the debt-swap arrangement. The bonds, which are not yet rated, will mature in 2028. The bonds’ current E yield$70.00 of 9.6 percent remains one of the highest in the world for sovereign debt instruments. 10.00% P Iraqi Commercial Bond Sales $69.00 June 1, 2006 - January 19, 2007 A 9.80% R T $68.00 M 9.60% E $67.00 N 9.40% T $66.00

9.20% O $65.00

F Yield Percentage 9.00% $64.00 S USD in Price Bond 8.80% T $63.00 A

T $62.00 8.60% E 6-Jul 5-Oct 4-Jan 1-Jun 8-Jun 2-Nov 9-Nov 7-Sep 3-Aug 7-Dec 13-Jul 20-Jul 27-Jul 12-Oct 19-Oct 26-Oct 11-Jan 18-Jan 15-Jun 22-Jun 29-Jun 16-Nov 23-Nov 30-Nov 14-Sep 21-Sep 28-Sep 10-Aug 17-Aug 24-Aug 31-Aug 14-Dec 21-Dec 28-Dec Trading High = $73.98 (January 24)

Trading Low = $64.66 (August 30) 16 UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED January 24, 2007

[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy –Economic Events December Inflation Figures Released: D • The Iraq December consumer price index (CPI) inflation was 11.3%; making 2006 E inflation 64.8%, a relative increase from the 51.7% year-on-year rate in November. P The US government estimate of Iraq’s core inflation figure (which excludes fuel, A transport, and rent) was 3.0% in December and 32.5% for 2006. The International R Monetary Fund (IMF) estimate of Iraq’s core inflation figure (which excludes fuel, T transport, but includes rent, and which the IMF uses to judge the efficacy of M exchange rate appreciation) was 3.2% in December, and 31.9% in 2006. The E sharp rise in December was driven largely by a 37.6% rise in fuel prices, while other N CPI components rose less that 5% or fell slightly. T

O Iraqi Business Matchmaking Event in Dubai: F • The US Agency for International Development’s (USAID) Izdihar project and the US military co-hosted an Iraqi Business Matchmaking Event in Dubai January 9-11. S The purpose of the event was to show Iraqi business leaders examples of T commercial and developmental success in countries with similar background and A resources, such as the United Arab Emirates. Participants took advantage of the T opportunity by networking and conducting actual business exchanges. They also E toured various business facilities in Dubai.

17 UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED January 24, 2007

[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy –Economic Events USIP Hosts Seminar on Iraq's Hydrocarbon Law: D • On January 19, the United States Institute of Peace (USIP) hosted a seminar on E Iraq's hydrocarbon law. The two speakers were one of the original drafters of the P central government's version, and the legal advisor to the Kurdish Minister of A Natural Resources and former adviser on the constitution to the USIP. R T • The Iraqi participant in drafting the law said the parties were still ironing out final M wording on approval of contracts, after which the framework law will be submitted to E the Council of Ministers. He said there would be an appropriate return to the N investor so that Iraq could develop a long-term relationship with the international oil T community.

O • The Iraqi participant said that once an agreement is reached between the various F parties, the oil articles in the constitution should be amended to reflect the political agreement contained in the law. S • The Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) legal advisor claimed that the KRG will T have a separate petroleum regime and that it is not subject to the Iraq National Oil A Company, the Oil Ministry in Baghdad, or other Baghdad-based offices. He T disagreed with the central government spokesman that a constitutional agreement E was necessary, and doubted it would occur.

18 UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED January 24, 2007

[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Crude Oil Production 2.80

D 2007 Iraqi Oil Ministry Goal: 2.1 MBPD E 2.40 2.23 2.20 2.21 2.18 P 2.14 2.17 2.05 A 1.99 2.00 R T 1.72 M 1.60 E 1.21 N 1.20 T Day Per of Barrels Millions

O 0.80 F

0.40 S T A 0.00 November November November December December December December January 1- January 8- January T 13-19 20-26 27- 4-10 11-17 Production18-24 25-31Target 7 14 15-21 E December • Weekly Average (January3 15-21) of 1.21 Million Barrels Per Day (MBPD) • Production and exports was low this week because of the installation of meters on the oil terminal. 19 UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED January 24, 2007

[5.]2.40 Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Crude Oil Export $4.00

Revenue (US$B) Projected Exports (MBPD) D $3.50 E

P 1.80 $3.00 A

R 1.68 1.68 1.67 $2.50 1.60 1.62 T 1.55 1.51 M 1.47 1.44 1.45 1.32 E 1.20 $2.00 N 1.08 T $3.41 $3.44 $1.50 USD (Billions) USD $3.02 $2.92 $3.03 O $2.73 $2.46 $0.60

Millions Day per of Barrels $2.45 0.60 $1.00 F $2.16 $2.25 $2.19

S $0.50 T $0.95 A T 0.00 $0.00 E Feb-06 Mar-06 Apr-06 May-06 Jun-06 Jul-06 Aug-06 Sep-06 Oct-06 Nov-06 Dec-06 Jan-07 • 2006 Revenue Estimate: $31.3 Billion • 2007 Revenue Estimate: $1.0 Billion (Year to Date) 20 UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED January 24, 2007 [5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Total Critical Refined Product Supplies100% Domestic Production Import D 19%

E 35% 80% 40% P 44% A R T M 60% E upplies N T 40% 81%

O 65% 60% F 56% Percentage ofShare of Fuel Weekly S

20% S T A

T 0% Note: This is a daily average for the week of January 15 – 21 E Diesel Kerosene Gasoline LPG • Diesel: 11.3 ML supply of 21.0 ML target • Gasoline: 11.4 ML supply of 22.5 ML target • Kerosene: 3.7 ML supply of 16.8 ML target • LPG: 1,276 tons supply of 5,630 tons target 21 UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED January 24, 2007

[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – National Stock Levels 25

Nov-06 Dec-06 Jan-07 Goal D E P 20 A R T M 15 E N

T Days 10

O F

5 4 4 S 3 333333 T 2 A 1 1

T 0 E • The goalDiesel is to have on hand Kerosene 15 days supply of Gasoline all refined products, LPG calculated on the basis of maximum consumption over the year and not adjusted for seasonal variation. The numbers given above are monthly averages. 22 UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED January 24, 2007 [6.] Help Iraq Strengthen the Rule of Law and Promote Civil Rights– Iraqi Judicial System Former Saddam Regime Officials To Be Tried: D • More than 100 former members of Saddam Hussein’s regime will stand trial this E year in connection with the deaths of tens of thousands of Shiite Muslims during an P uprising after the 1991 Gulf War, prosecutor Jaafar al-Moussawi said January 18. A R • This case will mark the third trial of former regime officials after the Dujail case, in T which Saddam was sentenced to death and hanged last month, and the ongoing M trial of those accused of killing more than 100,000 during the so-called Anfal E campaign of the 1980s. N • According to Moussawi, among those expected to stand trial are Saddam's half T brothers Watban, Ibrahim and Sabawi, as well as the former president's secretary, Abed Hmoud, and former Deputy Prime Minister Tariq Aziz. Some will be tried in O absentia, including Saddam's former deputy Izzat Ibrahim and former senior Baath F party official Mohammed Younis al-Ahmed. They have been on the run since the fall of Saddam's regime in April 2003. S T A T E

23 UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED January 24, 2007

[7.] Increase International Support for Iraq – Developments

Iraq Receives Copy of New Turkish Ambassador's Credentials: D • Iraqi Minister of Foreign Affairs Hoshyar Zebari received the credentials of the E newly-appointed Ambassador of Turkey to Iraq, Derya Kambay. P A Japan Offers Training Courses on Consular and Diplomatic Affairs: R • The Ambassador of Japan to Iraq, Hisau Yamaguchi, met with Iraqi Minister of T Foreign Affairs Hoshyar Zebari, where several issues were discussed, including M the exchange of visits by top officials from both countries, the developments of the E political and security situations in Iraq, the future of the Baghdad security plan, and N the International Compact with Iraq. Japan also offered to train members of the T Iraqi Foreign Ministry staff members in two special courses for consular and diplomacy affairs. O F President Talabani Visits Syria: • Iraqi President Jalal Talabani, on the first visit to Syria by an Iraqi head of state for S 30 years, met President Bashar al-Assad January 14. Syria's leader promised to T help ease tensions in neighboring Iraq, while Talabani seeks to improve US-Syrian A relations. T E

24 UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED January 24, 2007 [7.] Increase International Support for Iraq – Contributors to Iraqi Stability Operations Data as of January 17, 2007 D 25 Countries with forces in Iraq (in addition to US) E P A Albania Denmark Lithuania Slovakia R Armenia El Salvador Macedonia South Korea T Australia Estonia Moldova Ukraine M Azerbaijan Georgia Mongolia UK E Bosnia-Herzegovina Japan Poland N Bulgaria Kazakhstan Romania T Czech Republic Latvia Singapore

O

F TOTAL ~ 14,650 Forces *Note: Fiji participating as a part of the UN mission in Iraq. S T A 34 Countries and NATO* T (including US) E Support Iraqi Stability Operations

*34 includes the 25 countries listed above, the US, Fiji, and seven NATO, non-MNF-I countries: Hungary, Iceland, Italy, Netherlands, Portugal, Slovenia, Turkey 25 UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED January 24, 2007 [8.] Strengthen Public Understanding of Coalition Efforts and Public Isolation of the Insurgents – Developments Protection for Journalists Urged by Advocacy Group: D E • On January 18, the Paris-based advocacy group Reporters Without Borders P urged Iraqi authorities to escalate efforts to protect journalists after, it said, six A journalists and media workers were killed in less than a week. The group R issued a statement calling on the Iraqi government to bring the killers to justice, T and noted that the recent string of slayings came less than a month after the M UN Security Council adopted a resolution on the protection of journalists. E N Children Die During Imitation Hangings: T • A security source said January 20 that an Egyptian teenager had hung himself in his home in Alexandria in an apparent imitation of last month’s execution of O F Saddam Hussein. • Eight other children have died around the world after attempt to reenact S Saddam’s execution, which was broadcast by a string of satellite channels T globally. A T E

26 UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED January 24, 2007

Iraq Weekly Status – General Information

D E • This brief draws from multiple sources. References are cited on the P A following pages. R T M • Please forward all questions and/or comments to: E N [email protected] T

O F

S T A T E

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Notes and Source Citations (1 of 3)

Slide 5: – MNF-I Press Release – 23 January 2007 (http://www.mnf-iraq.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=9383&Itemid=128) D – Yahoo News – 22 January 2007 (http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20070122/ts_nm/iraq_helicopter_dc) and Bloomberg News – 22 January 2007 E (http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601091&sid=aWaeYU0wuB6c&refer=india) Slide 6: P – MNF-I Press Release – 22 January 2007 – Release 20070122-11 (http://www.mnf-iraq.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=9359&Itemid=21) A – Yahoo News – 22 January 2007 (http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20070122/ts_nm/iraq_helicopter_dc) Slide 7: R – MNF-I Press Release – 22 January 2007 – Release 20070122-13 (http://www.mnf-iraq.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=9361&Itemid=21) T – MNF-I Press Release – 10 January 2007 – Release 20070110- 08 (http://www.mnf-iraq.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=8966&Itemid=21) M Slide 8: – DoD Input to Iraq Weekly Status Report January 24, 2007 E Slide 9: N – “Al-Sadr's Group Ends Iraqi Parliament Boycott.” Radio Free Europe / Radio Liberty. January 21, 2007. http://www.rferl.org/featuresarticle/2007/1/9316BC67- 4116-424D-A127-CFC3D0416B74.html T – Londono, Ernesto. “Key Aide to Sadr Arrested in Baghdad.” The Washington Post. January 20, 2007. http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp- dyn/content/article/2007/01/20/AR2007012000382.html – Gamel, Kim. “Main Aide of Muqtada al-Sadr Arrested.” AP. January 19, 2007. http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20070119/ap_on_re_mi_ea/iraq O – Baatout, Faisal. “Sunni-Shiite meet condemns sectarian war in Iraq. Middle East Online.” January 22, 2007. http://195.224.230.11/english/iraq/?id=19255 Slide 10: F – NEA Political Section, [email protected] Slide 11: S – IRMO Weekly Report, January 23, 2007 Slide 12: T – POC Bob Means (202) 647-9815 – The chart shows average daily power production in megawatt hours (MWh). 120,000 MWh goal equates to 20 hours at 6000 MW average supplied load or 24 A hours at 5000 MW average supply load. Currently supplies are not much improved over last year when judged by hours of power, but this is due in part to an T influx of new appliances. This has dramatically altered demand and diluted the effect of increased generation capacity on actual results. E

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Notes and Source Citations (2 of 3)

Slide 13: Transportation: – USACE Daily Report - 18 January 07 D Health: E – USACE Daily Report - 23 January 07 and GRD website (http://www.grd.usace.army.mil/news/releases/NR07-01-16.html) Slide 14: P – Oil Prices are sourced from Bloomberg A Employment Update: – Information regarding the Employment Update was sourced from the IRMO Weekly Report – January 23, 2007. R – CERP has not reported figures for some time. Until they report accurate data, the number will remain at 0. T – PCO will be reporting on a bi-weekly basis. Slide 15: M – Information regarding the NID auction was gathered from the Central Bank of Iraq’s website: http://www.cbiraq.org E Slide 16: N – Iraqi Bond Prices are sourced from Bloomberg Slide 17: T – DoS IIC – January 19 – unclassified – DoS IIC – January 22 - unclassified

Slide 18: O – DoS Unclassified O/I – Jan 19 F Slide 19: – Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885

Slide 20: S – Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885 T Slide 21: A – Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885 Slide 22: T – Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885 E Slide 23: – Mroue, Bassem, AP Report, http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20070118/ap_on_re_mi_ea/iraq_trial

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Notes and Source Citations (3 of 3)

Slide 24: – http://www.un.org D Slide 25: E – DOD Input to Weekly Status Report, updated bi-weekly P Slide 26: – Associated Press, http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20070119/ap_on_re_mi_ea/iraq_journalists_killed A – AFP, Egypt boy dies in latest Saddam gallows reenactment tragedy, January 20 R T M E N T

O F

S T A T E

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