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44 Germany’s Security Assistance to Tunisia: A Boost to Tunisia’s Long-Term Stability and Democracy? Anna Stahl, Jana Treffler IEMed. European Institute of the Mediterranean Consortium formed by: Board of Trustees - Business Council: Corporate Sponsors Partner Institutions Papers IE Med. Publication : European Institute of the Mediterranean Editorial Coordinator: Aleksandra Chmielewska Proof-reading: Neil Charlton Layout: Núria Esparza Print ISSN: 2565-2419 Digital ISSN: 2565-2427 Legal deposit: B 27451-2019 November 2019 This series of Papers brings together the result of research projects presented at the EuroMeSCo Annual Conference 2018. On the occasion of the EuroMeSCo Annual Conference “Changing Euro-Mediterranean Lenses”, held in Rabat on 12-13 July 2018, distinguished analysts presented indeed their research proposals related to developments in Europe and their impact on how Southern Mediterranean states perceive the EU and engage in Euro-Mediterranean cooperation mechanisms. More precisely, the papers articulated around three main tracks: how strategies and policies of external actors including the European Union impact on Southern Mediterranean countries, how the EU is perceived by the neighbouring states in the light of new European and Euro-Mediterranean dynamics, and what is the state of play of Euro-Mediterranean relations, how to revitalize Euro-Mediterranean relations and overcome spoilers. This publication has been produced with the assistance of the European Union. The contents of this publication are the sole responsibility -
Analysis Selection for JCC January 2021
Analysis selection for JCC January 2021 Further widespread inauguration-related protests likely in US following Capitol riot, opens door for limited bipartisanship on policymaking 7 Jan 2021 - Country Risk | Headline Analysis During the counting of the electoral college votes on 6 January in the United States, protesters broke into the Capitol, where they stopped the proceedings and ransacked several congressional offices. • Thousands of demonstrators had been encouraged hours earlier by President Donald Trump, who had told them in a morning rally next to the White House to march to the Capitol to voice their displeasure at the certification of president-elect Joe Biden’s victory. After breaking through police barriers, protesters broke a window and forced open doors to enter the building. During the melee, one woman died from gunshot wounds and another three from unspecified ‘separate medical emergencies’. There have been at least 52 arrests, mainly for breaking curfew and weapons charges, according to the police. Media sources have reported that pipe bombs were also found at the committee headquarters of both major political parties. About two hours after the break-in, President Trump released a video message relaying that although he empathised with the demonstrators’ desire to overturn the process, they should go home and refrain from violent activity. Congress restarted the counting hours later, with politicians from both parties condemning the rioting. • It appears that despite warnings, Capitol Hill police were underprepared for potential violence, calling for the Washington (DC) police’s backup only after the situation was out of control. While most Republican politicians denounced the rioters, right-wing media has offered more of a mixed message on the events, with several outlets casting blame on individuals associated with the left-wing Antifa movement. -
The Tunisian Democratic Transition in Comparative Perspective
Multiple but Complementary, Not Conflictual, Leaderships: The Tunisian Democratic Transition in Comparative Perspective Alfred Stepan Downloaded from http://direct.mit.edu/daed/article-pdf/145/3/95/1830770/daed_a_00400.pdf by guest on 30 September 2021 Abstract: Many classic studies of leadership focus on strong leadership in the singular. This essay focuses on effective leaderships in the plural. Some of the greatest failures of democratic transitions (Egypt, Syria, Libya) have multiple but highly conflictual leaderships. However, a key lesson in democratization theory is that successful democratic transitions often involve the formation of a powerful coalition, within the op- position, of one-time enemies. This was accomplished in Chile, Spain, and Indonesia. In greater detail, this essay examines Tunisia, the sole reasonably successful democratic transition of the Arab Spring. In all four cases, religious tensions had once figured prominently, yet were safely transcended by the actions of multiple leaders via mutual ideological and religious accommodations, negotiated socioeconomic pacts, and unprecedented political cooperation. A multiplicity of cooperating leaders, rather than a single “strong leader,” produced effective democratic leadership in Tunisia, Indonesia, Spain, and Chile. ALFRED STEPAN, a Fellow of the American Academy since 1991, is Many of the classic studies of leadership focus on the Wallace Sayre Professor of Gov- strong leadership in the singular.1 In this essay, I focus ernment Emeritus at Columbia instead on effective leaderships in the plural, partic- University. He previously taught at ularly in democratic transitions. Some of the greatest Oxford University and Yale Uni- failures of democratic transitions have multiple but versity. He was elected a Fellow of the British Academy in 1997. -
Guide to Material at the LBJ Library Pertaining to Africa
LYNDON BAINES JOHNSON L I B R A R Y & M U S E U M www.lbjlibrary.org Revised December 2009 MATERIAL AT THE JOHNSON LIBRARY PERTAINING TO AFRICA [Note: The following related guides are also available: the Middle East; and Foreign Aid, Food for Peace and Third World Economic Development -- Asia, Africa, and Latin America. The United Arab Republic is not included in this guide. Anyone interested in the U.A.R. should consult the guide on the Middle East.] INTRODUCTION This guide lists the principal files at the Johnson Library that contain material on Africa, but it is not exhaustive. While most of the collections listed in the guide have been processed and are available for research, some files may not yet be available. Researchers should consult the Library’s finding aids to locate additional material and to determine whether specific files are available for research. Some of the finding aids are on the Library’s web site, www.lbjlib.utexas.edu, and others can be sent by mail or electronically. Researchers interested in Africa should also consult the Foreign Relations of the United States. This multi-volume series published by the Office of the Historian of the Department of State presents the official documentary historical record of major foreign policy decisions and diplomatic activity of the United States government. The volumes are available online at the Department of State web site which may be accessed at the “Related Links” button, under the “Research” button on the Johnson Library web site, www.lbjlib.utexas.edu. NATIONAL SECURITY FILE This file was the working file of President Johnson's special assistants for national security affairs, McGeorge Bundy and Walt W. -
Priorities for Government Policy in Yemen
No: 10 Date: February 5, 2019 PRIORITIES FOR GOVERNMENT POLICY IN YEMEN EXECUTIVE SUMMARY This policy brief outlines recommendations for the immediate priorities of the Government of Yemen, both to achieve quick wins and to prepare the ground for medium and long-term suc- cess. These recommendations are the outcomes of in-depth discussions held during the fourth Development Champions Forum convened on December 8-11, 2018, in Amman, Jordan. They are designed to offer Prime Minister Maeen Abdulmalik Saeed and his cabinet a set of practical measures to help the government build on the momentum and increased visibility it achieved in the final quarter of 2018. The immediate priorities recommended by the Development Champions include steps to sup- port the stabilization of the local currency. an area in which tangible progress has already been made. The Champions also urge the government to regularize the payment of public sector sal- aries and pensions. Another immediate priority for the government should be to take steps to stabilize and transform Aden, the Champions suggest, based on the shared consensus that the southern coastal city could become a model for the rest of Yemen. The Champions emphasized that developing Aden would depend on improving the level of security across the governorate. While recognizing that the government faces immediate challenges that demand attention in Aden and across the country, the Development Champions urge the government to plan and im- plement procedures to prepare for the country’s medium and long-term future. These strategies should address the root causes of Yemen’s socio-economic instability, and not just its symptoms. -
MENA-OECD Ministerial Conference Key Participants & Speakers
Republic of Tunisia MENA-OECD Ministerial Conference Key Participants & Speakers – Biographies Hosts Mr. Beji Caïd Essebsi - President of the Republic - Tunisia Mr. Essebsi is the President of Tunisia since 2014. Previously, Mr. Essebsi held the position of Prime Minister for a brief period – March to October 2011. During his career, the President has held various high level positions, including Head of the Administration of National Security (1963), Minister of Interior from (1965-1969), Minister of Foreign Affairs (1981-1986) and President of the Chamber of Deputies (1990-1991). The President was also ambassador of Tunisia to West Germany and France. Mr. Youssef Chahed - Prime Minister - Tunisia Mr. Chahed was appointed Tunisian Prime Minister in August 2016. Before taking office, Mr. Chahed was Minister of Local Affairs in the previous government and previously held the position of Secretary of State for Fisheries. The Prime Minister is also an international expert in agriculture and agricultural policies for the United States Department of Agriculture, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations and the European Commission. Mr. Angel Gurría - Secretary-General - OECD Mr. Gurría is the OECD Secretary-General since 2006. The Secretary-General has held two ministerial posts in Mexico before joining the OECD - Minister of Foreign Affairs (1994-1998) and Minister of Finance and Public Credit (1998- 2000). Mr. Gurría chaired the International Task Force on Financing Water for All and is a member of several international initiatives, including the United Nations Secretary General Advisory Board, World Economic Forum’s Global Agenda Council on Water Security, International Advisory Board of Governors of the Centre for International Governance Innovation, among others. -
YEMEN Risk Overview 15 April 2021 Outlook for December 2020–May 2021 (March Update)
Risk update YEMEN risk overview 15 April 2021 Outlook for December 2020–May 2021 (March update) This is an update of the Yemen risk overview published in December 2020. Although food imports will continue, food prices are expected to follow the exchange rate and are therefore likely to increase and diverge among different geographic areas of control. Price inflation remains the most commonly reported constraint when accessing food and WASH items, fuel, and water trucking services (REACH 06/04/2021). The increase in food prices has Risk 1 led the Yemeni people to adopt negative coping strategies, such as reducing the number and/ or size of meals, borrowing food or requesting help from friends and relatives, and relying Depletion of foreign currency reserves drives inflation up; eroded purchasing on less expensive food (IRC 26/03/2021). In the long term, these behaviours are likely to have power and high food prices result in increased levels of food insecurity. a detrimental effect on people’s health, making them more vulnerable to food insecurity, malnutrition, waterborne diseases, and other disease outbreaks. Sources of foreign currency inflow in Yemen – especially oil exports, humanitarian funding, and bilateral financial support – remain constrained. The average exchange rate for the new Yemeni rial (YER) banknotes under the Internationally Recognized Government (IRG) was higher in March than in February. Remittances also remain below pre-COVID-19 levels, although they Risk 2 are likely to increase during Ramadan. IRG revenues from oil exports are expected to remain limited because of global crude oil prices decreasing again at the end of March, along with Reduced capacity to deliver assistance – because of further cuts in limited exports from Yemen. -
The Executive Survey General Information and Guidelines
The Executive Survey General Information and Guidelines Dear Country Expert, In this section, we distinguish between the head of state (HOS) and the head of government (HOG). • The Head of State (HOS) is an individual or collective body that serves as the chief public representative of the country; his or her function could be purely ceremonial. • The Head of Government (HOG) is the chief officer(s) of the executive branch of government; the HOG may also be HOS, in which case the executive survey only pertains to the HOS. • The executive survey applies to the person who effectively holds these positions in practice. • The HOS/HOG pair will always include the effective ruler of the country, even if for a period this is the commander of foreign occupying forces. • The HOS and/or HOG must rule over a significant part of the country’s territory. • The HOS and/or HOG must be a resident of the country — governments in exile are not listed. • By implication, if you are considering a semi-sovereign territory, such as a colony or an annexed territory, the HOS and/or HOG will be a person located in the territory in question, not in the capital of the colonizing/annexing country. • Only HOSs and/or HOGs who stay in power for 100 consecutive days or more will be included in the surveys. • A country may go without a HOG but there will be no period listed with only a HOG and no HOS. • If a HOG also becomes HOS (interim or full), s/he is moved to the HOS list and removed from the HOG list for the duration of their tenure. -
General - Visits by Foreign Leaders” of the Betty Ford White House Papers, 1973-1977 at the Gerald R
The original documents are located in Box 48, folder “General - Visits by Foreign Leaders” of the Betty Ford White House Papers, 1973-1977 at the Gerald R. Ford Presidential Library. Copyright Notice The copyright law of the United States (Title 17, United States Code) governs the making of photocopies or other reproductions of copyrighted material. Betty Ford donated to the United States of America her copyrights in all of her unpublished writings in National Archives collections. Works prepared by U.S. Government employees as part of their official duties are in the public domain. The copyrights to materials written by other individuals or organizations are presumed to remain with them. If you think any of the information displayed in the PDF is subject to a valid copyright claim, please contact the Gerald R. Ford Presidential Library. RECOMMENDED VISITS OF CHIEFS OF STATE AND HEADS OF GOVERNMENT FOR 1975 Country Visitors Name and Title Proposed Date Nigeria General Yakuba Gowon* Exploring mutually agreeable time Commissioner for Defense after first four months of 1975, as requested by White House 0 Brazil Ernesto Geiseli' Anytime from May to December , President of Brazil except September , would be acceptable to GOB. Japan Hirohitoi( Date not suggested. GOJ has not J1.d ,? Emperor of Japan replied to long-standing invitation. Singapore Kuan Yew Lee-;'( Proposed date is April 19-22. Prime Minister USSR Leonid Brezhnev* Likely period is between May and June 0 General Secretary of the Ip 2. .-,t.. ..;....._ Communist Party of the r~- r .. Soviet Uniono United Kingdom Harold Wilsoni' Proposed- date is January 29 - February 1 0 Prime Minister Germany Walter Scheel Scheel has requested mid-May to mid-June. -
Saudi Financial Support to Government of Yemen
THE END OF SAUDI FINANCIAL SUPPORT TO YEMEN: SCENARIOS Possible impact on the economy and humanitarian outcomes in Yemen due to the end of Saudi financial support June 2020 Scenarios Scenario 3 Sustained Saudi/external financial support; exchange rate stability Scenario 1 Cessation of Saudi/external financial support: sharp devaluation of Yemeni Riyal A renewed commitment to the Riyadh Agreement results in Saudi Arabia, or another donor, providing timely, robust, coordinated, sustained, and wide-ranging support to CBY An increase in conflict throughout Yemen, domestic troubles at home, and a failure in any – Aden. Such support enhances the ability of CBY – Aden to contain any further meaningful implementation of the Riyadh Agreement results in the cessation of financial depreciation of the Yemeni riyal and boosts its capacity to intervene in the market to aid from Saudi Arabia with no one else stepping in to fill the gap. The Letter of Credit (LC) respond to any signs of currency speculation or depreciation. system, which supports imports of essential food (wheat, rice, sugar, milk, cooking oil) Prices of essential items stabilise and fuel supply is largely uninterrupted. Poverty rates ceases, forcing importers to turn to commercial lenders for finance, increasing costs. stabilise and increased support is provided to healthcare services to cope with the COVID- Unprecedented rapid depreciation of the Yemeni riyal increases food, fuel, and other 19 caseload. essential commodity prices – disrupting electricity services to schools, water networks and health facilities. Rapid inflation sees the value of state salaries decrease and local taxes rise. Corruption Introduction and criminality increases. Overall poverty rates rise significantly as households spend an Saudi financial support to Yemen’s economy, worth over $2.2 billion since March 2018, increased proportion of income on food forcing the adoption of additional negative has been crucial in helping Yemen to escape economic collapse. -
Post-Revolution Constitutionalism: the Impact of Drafting Processes on the Constitutional Documents in Tunisia and Egypt by Ahmed El-Sayed
Vol. 2 (2014) Post-Revolution Constitutionalism: The Impact of Drafting Processes on the Constitutional Documents in Tunisia and Egypt by Ahmed El-Sayed Vol. 2 (2014) Editor-in-Chief Prof. Dr. Andrea Büchler, University of Zurich, Switzerland Editorial Board Prof. Dr. Bettina Dennerlein, University of Zurich, Switzerland Prof. Dr. Gianluca Parolin, American University in Cairo, Egypt Prof. Dr. Mathias Rohe, Friedrich-Alexander-Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg, Germany Dr. Eveline Schneider Kayasseh, University of Zurich, Switzerland Dr. Prakash A. Shah, Queen Mary, University of London, UK Dr. Nadjma Yassari, Max Planck Institute for Comparative and International Private Law, Hamburg, Germany Vol. 2 (2014) Published by The Center for Islamic and Middle Eastern Legal Studies (CIMELS), University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland Suggested citation style Electronic Journal of Islamic and Middle Eastern Law (EJIMEL), Vol. 2 (2014), pages, http://www.ejimel.uzh.ch ISSN 1664-5707 This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-No Derivative Works 3.0 Unported License (http://creativecommons.org/ licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/). Cover photo: © PRILL Mediendesign/Fotolia.com Post-Revolution Constitutionalism | by Ahmed El-Sayed Post-Revolution Constitutionalism: The Impact of Drafting Processes on the Constitutional Documents in Tunisia and Egypt* by Ahmed El-Sayed** Abstract This paper seeks to address the constitutional paths that followed the Arab awakening in both Tunisia and Egypt. The Tunisian constitutional process, despite some tensions, was largely peaceful and consensual. On the other hand, the process in Egypt of establishing a new constitutional arrangement had been tumultuous with repercussions that are likely to linger on for a protracted period of time. -
What Does Mohammed Morsi's Death Mean for Egypt?
THE BROOKINGS INSTITUTION THE CURRENT: What does Mohammed Morsi’s death mean for Egypt? June 18, 2019 PARTICIPANTS: Host: Adrianna Pita, Office of Communications, Brookings Guest: Shadi Hamid, Senior Fellow, Center for Middle East Policy, Brookings (MUSIC) PITA: You're listening to “The Current,” part of the Brookings Podcast Network. With us today is Shadi Hamid, a senior fellow in our Center for Middle East Policy at Brookings. On Monday, former Egyptian President Mohammed Morsi, imprisoned since the mass protests and military coup that ousted him from office in 2013, died in Cairo. Shadi, what do we know so far about what happened? HAMID: Yes, so, Morsi died in court, obviously unexpectedly. He was there for an espionage trial. He's been charged with any number of things and he's been in and out of court since the coup in 2013. There have been concerns, repeated concerns from the international community about lack of adequate health care. He's had various health problems, and Egyptian prisons aren't exactly the best place to be if you have health problems, so that had been a concern for a long time. And I think international organizations are calling for investigations into what happened. What was the extent of his health care, or lack thereof? But, he died in court, which is a striking image. PITA: What has international reaction been so far from regional leaders and such? HAMID: So, at this point, there have been some interesting reactions from Erdoğan. So, Erdoğan called Mohammed Morsi a martyr. And Erdoğan is of the Justice and Development Party, the AK Party, in Turkey, which shares some similarities with the Muslim Brotherhood.