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The Pacific Conservation Campaign is working to suspend the expansion of on forage stocks until an -based approach can be implemented that conserves the prey base for all . Our work is informed by the conclusions of the Lenfest www.PewEnvironment.org/PacificFish. Forage Fish Task Force.

SCIENCE BEHIND FORAGE FISH MANAGEMENT The Lenfest Forage Fish Task Force is a group of 13 preeminent scientists Its main findings are based on workshops, site visits, review of existing theory who conducted the most comprehensive worldwide analysis of the science and practice, case studies, and quantitative modeling of marine food webs. The and management of forage fish populations to date. The task force set out to group’s findings are excerpted here from its 2012 report, Little Fish, Big Impact. provide practical, science-based advice on sustainable forage fish management. Forage fish are vulnerable Forage fish are valuable as prey They can rebound rapidly in some cases but have biological andecological characteristics that make them vulnerable to . Many predators are highly dependent on forage fish They fluctuate, Forage fish abundance is highly variable, often unpredictable, and sensitive to changes in environmental conditions.

Peruvian anchoveta North/Central stock, in metric tons Chinook Humpback and decline when forage fish decline Modeling by the task force found that the more a predator’s diet relies on forage  fish, the more its population declines when forage fish decline.

Globally, forage fish have greater monetary value as prey The task force compared the global value of the direct catch of forage fish with the value of allowing them to remain in the as prey for other commercially are easily caught, valuable fish. Because they form dense schools—often called “bait balls”—forage fish are easily caught, even when their abundance decreases. Economic importance of forage fish and vulnerable to collapse TOTAL $16.9 BILLION Fishermen are able to scoop up large numbers of forage fish during a natural Direct Value Supportive value population decline, greatly compounding that decline. Indeed, several forage fish of commercial of forage fish to other forage catch commercial catch populations collapsed in the 20th century, and the task force’s analyses suggest conventional management could lead to more collapses. $5.6 $11.3 billion billion Importance to other predators Conventional management is too risky The importance of forage fish to other predators is Task force compared conventional Only precautionary management especially important along the Pacific , where forage and precautionary strategies protects predators and prey fish were estimated to contribute 52 tons per square Conventional management is based on maintaining The task force found that the only strategies kilometer annually to the production of their predators in maximum sustainable yield (MSY). The task force that reliably prevented a decline in dependent predators the northern California Current. analyzed models to compare this strategy to were those that limited fishing to half the conventional

Northern California Current Falkland Islands several more precautionary approaches. For example, rate. The figure below shows that a precautionary Central South Orkneys/South Georgia Western Hecate Strait, Northern British Columbia one of these methods limited fishing to 50 percent of strategy lessened declines in dependent predators and Antarctic Peninsula Northern (La Nina) West Northern Humboldt Current (El Nino) the rate needed to reach MSY (50 percent of FMSY). It reduced the likelihood of forage fish collapses, although Prince William Sound, Alaska (1) Atlantic coast of Morocco Darwin Harbour, Australia Southern Benguela Current also doubled the minimum of forage fish that it also reduced the yield of forage fish. Golfo de Nicoya, Costa Rica Gulf of California Eastern Bering Sea (1) must be left in the ocean, compared to the conventional Eastern Bering Sea (2) Tongoy Bay, Chile North Sea Northeastern Venezuela shelf minimum. (Full results in Chapter 6 of the report.) Guinea-Bissau Chesapeake Bay Gambain continental shelf Northern Gulf of St. Lawrence Cantabrian Sea shelf Prince William Sound, Alaska (2) Sechura Bay, Testing a lower ceilin g and a higher floor on Impacts of two management strategies Senegambia Gulf of Mexico South Brazil Bight on forage fishing forage fish biomass SW Gulf of Mexico Orbetello lagoon, Italy Conventional Precautionary Newfoundland CONVENTIONAL Bay, Ecosystem Great Barrier Reef 100% 100% of Cape Verde Archipelago Kerguelen Archipelago FMSY unfished biomass (B0) Predator declines Probability of Forage yield Eastern Subtropical Pacific Ocean Caete Estuary, Brazil forage collapse Bohai Sea (compared to no (% of MSY) Bay of Mt.St.Michel, France 80 forage fishing) Gulf of Paria Hong Kong 100% MSY NW Mediterranean Barents Sea 1995 0 42% Barents Sea 1990 Guinean continental shelf 60 East China Sea Terengganu, Malaysia PRECAUTIONARY -20 -11% 80 Brunei Darussalam 87% English Channel Northern & Central PRECAUTIONARY -28% of Gulf of Maine 40 -40 60 Tapong Bay, Taiwan Western English Channel MSY Central North Pacific Icelandic shelf -60 40 51% Black Sea CONVENTIONAL Laguna Alvarado, Mexico 20 of Huizachi Caimanero lagoon complex, Mexico 6% West Florida shelf -80 20 Lancaster Sound region, Canada MSY Gulf of Salamanca Central Azores Archipelago Celestun lagoon, Mexico -100 0 Golfo Dulce, Costa Rica Tampamachoco lagoon, Mexico Fishing limit Minimum biomass Results based on stochastic modeling by the task force Banc d’, Mauritanie Terminos lagoon, Mexico

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Pikitch, E., et al., 2012. Little Fish, Big Impact: Managing a Crucial Link in Ocean Food Webs. Lenfest Ocean Program. Washington, DC. 108 pp. Supported production (t/km2/yr)