Investor Presentation FIRST QUARTER 2021 | AECON GROUP INC
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Investor Presentation FIRST QUARTER 2021 | AECON GROUP INC. (TSX: ARE) 1 Forward-Looking Non-GAAP and Supplementary Information Financial Measures The information in this presentation includes certain forward-looking statements. Although these The presentation contains certain non-GAAP and supplementary financial measures, as well as non- forward-looking statements are based on currently available competitive, financial and economic data GAAP ratios to assist readers in understanding the Company’s performance (GAAP refers to Canadian and operating plans, they are subject to risks and uncertainties. In addition to events beyond Aecon’s Generally Accepted Accounting Principles). These measures do not have any standardized meaning control, there are factors which could cause actual or future results, performance or achievements to and therefore are unlikely to be comparable to similar measures presented by other issuers and differ materially from those expressed or inferred herein including risks associated with an investment should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for measures of performance prepared in in the common shares of Aecon and the risks related to Aecon's business. Such factors include but are accordance with GAAP. not limited to: the timing of projects, unanticipated costs and expenses, the ability to recognize and adequately respond to climate change concerns or public and governmental expectations on climate Management uses these non-GAAP and supplementary financial measures, as well as certain non- matters, Aecon’s assessment of the risks and opportunities related to its industry’s transition to a GAAP ratios to analyze and evaluate operating performance. Aecon also believes the financial lower-carbon economy, Aecon’s expectations regarding legal proceedings to which Aecon is a party, measures defined below are commonly used by the investment community for valuation purposes, general market and industry conditions and operational and reputational risks, including large project and are useful complementary measures of profitability, and provide metrics useful in the construction risk and contractual factors and risks relating to the COVID 19 pandemic. industry. Risk factors are discussed in greater detail in Section 13 – “Risk Factors” in the 2020 Annual MD&A Throughout this presentation, the following terms are used, which are not found in the Chartered dated February 25, 2021 and in the Annual Information Form filed on February 26, 2021, both of Professional Accountants of Canada Handbook and do not have a standardized meaning under GAAP: which are available on the System for Electronic Document Analysis and Retrieval (“SEDAR”) at “Adjusted EBITDA”, “Equity Project EBITDA”, “Backlog”, “Adjusted EBITDA margin”, “Gross Profit www.sedar.com. Other important factors, in addition to those discussed in this document, could affect Margin”. the future results of Aecon and could cause its results to differ materially from those expressed in any Refer to Section 4 “Non-GAAP and Supplementary Financial Measures” in the Company’s Q1 2021 forward-looking statements. Management’s Discussion and Analysis (“MD&A”) available through SEDAR at www.sedar.com for the Forward-looking statements may include, without limitation, statements regarding the operations, definitions of non-GAAP and supplementary financial measures as well as non-GAAP ratios used in this business, financial condition, expected financial results, performance, prospects, ongoing objectives, presentation. strategies and outlook for Aecon. Forward-looking statements may in some cases be identified by Refer to Section 9 “Quarterly Financial Data” in the Company’s Q1 2021 MD&A for a quantitative words such as “will”, “plans”, “believes”, “expects”, “anticipates”, “estimates”, “projects”, “intends”, reconciliation of the above-mentioned measures to the most comparable financial measures “should” or the negative of these terms, or similar expressions. Except as required by applicable presented in the primary financial statements of the Company. securities laws, forward-looking statements speak only as of the date on which they are made and Aecon undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by applicable law. 2 Why Invest in Aecon? THE #1 CANADIAN INFRASTRUCTURE COMPANY Unprecedented Diversified & Resilient Sustainable Demand Business Model Shareholder Value Creation $5.9B $40B+ $3.7B $267M $37M 13% 23% 25% BACKLOG@ ACTIVE BID TOTAL CONSTRUCTION CONCESSIONS 10 YEAR 5 YEAR 5 YEAR TOTAL PIPELINE REVENUE* EBITDA*+@ EBITDA*+@ DIVIDEND EPS CAGR# SHAREHOLDER CAGR^ RETURN& • Record level of infrastructure investment underway • Diversified by geography, sector, contract size and type • Disciplined, balanced and diverse capital allocation across Aecon’s focus areas in Construction segment program and strategy • Government investment in infrastructure is a key source • Over 900 discrete projects typically underway with • History of consistent dividend increases of economic stimulus as part of COVID-19 recovery plans average project size <$25 million • Growth in Concessions portfolio provides future value creation options • Strong private sector, multi-year capital programs • Valuable and growing Concessions portfolio • Focused on sustainability with a 30% GHG reduction • Positive population and immigration dynamics driving • Solid recurring revenue base adds further stability and target by 2030 and a net zero target by 2050 long-term, sustainable demand growth opportunity to business mix • Over 50% of 2020 revenue tied to sustainability projects~ • Partner of choice for international and domestic players • ~36% of TTM revenue from unit price/cost plus contracts • Current valuation multiple provides attractive upside • Strong track record of growth and margin improvement • Well positioned in growth markets linked to sustainability potential • Financial position, liquidity and capital resources remain strong to support growth and reduce risk * Q1 2021 Trailing Twelve Months (“TTM”) + Before corporate costs and eliminations ^ Compound Annual Growth Rate (“CAGR”) of annual dividend from 2012 to 2021 # CAGR of full year Diluted EPS from 2015 to 2020 & December 31, 2015 to December 31, 2020 @ This is a non-GAAP financial measure. Refer to Section 4 “Non-GAAP And Supplementary Financial Measures” in the Company’s Q1 2021 MD&A. ~ Sustainability projects help to preserve and protect the environment, but also help to preserve the ability of society to sustain itself. Including but not limited to, projects that: 3 reduce emissions, support the transition to a net-zero economy, support clean water use and conservation and reduce/recycle waste. Diverse & Resilient Business Model Q1 2021 TTM Revenue $3,623 M + Q1 2020 TTM Revenue $82 M + Construction Q1 2021 TTM EBITDA $267 M +@ Concessions Q1 2021 TTM EBITDA $37 M +@ Roads and Highways 16%* BERMUDA 100%^ Heavy Civil Utilities AIRPORT 14%* 17%* FINCH ^ WEST LRT 33% EGLINTON ^ LRT 25% GORDIE HOWE ^ INTERNATIONAL BRIDGE 20% Urban Transportation Systems 18%* Industrial * WATERLOO ^ 24% LRT 10% Nuclear Power 11%* + Before corporate costs and eliminations * % of Q1 2021 TTM Revenue ^ % of Aecon equity ownership in the concessionaire @ This is a non-GAAP financial measure. Refer to Section 4 “Non-GAAP And Supplementary Financial Measures” in the Company’s Q1 2021 MD&A. 4 Strong Backlog & Recurring Revenue Profile Total Backlog*@ ($M) As at March 31 Backlog Duration* ($M) As at March 31 Recurring Revenue*^ ($M) $6,749 $6,954 $5,913 $6,749 $6,954 $5,913 $607 $505 $530 $41 $59 $75 $75 $2,692 $28 $2,711 $1,638 $77 $1,747 $1,546 $6,895 $1,693 $6,708 $532 $5,838 $502 $428 $2,729 $2,345 $2,515 2019 2020 2021 2019 2020 2021 Q1 2019 TTM Q1 2020 TTM Q1 2021 TTM Construction Concessions 12 Months 13-24 Months Beyond 24 Months Construction Concessions 66% Fixed Price 34% Cost Plus/Unit Price 64% Fixed Price 36% Cost Plus/Unit Price Backlog Contract Type As at March 31, 2021 2021 Q1 TTM Revenue+ * Recurring revenue is not included in backlog and is, therefore, revenue over and above work to be performed from contracts in backlog + TTM Revenue contract mix reflects inclusion of recurring revenue (Cost Plus/Unit Price) and timing of backlog work off @ This is a non-GAAP financial measure. Refer to Section 4 “Non-GAAP And Supplementary Financial Measures” in the Company’s Q1 2021 MD&A. 5 Major Projects & Concessions Provide Stability P3 Concessions* Other Major Projects* Project Timeline (Starting from 2021) Bermuda Airport Darlington Nuclear Refurbishment US$274 million; construction $2.75 billion; 10 year project started 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 started 2017 and completed 2016 2020; 100% equity stake and 30 Bermuda Airport 2047 year concession began in 2017 Pattullo Bridge Replacement $968 million; 5 year project started Waterloo LRT 2049 Waterloo LRT 2020 $583 million; construction Eglinton LRT 2051 started 2014 and completed REM LRT Montreal 2019; 10% equity stake and 30 $6.5 billion; 5 year project started year concession began in 2019 2018 Finch West LRT 2053 Eglinton LRT Gordie Howe Bridge 2054 Site C Generating Station & Spillways $5.3 billion; construction started Hydro Project 2015 and target completion $1.6 billion; 5 year project started Darlington Refurbishment under discussion; 25% equity 2018 stake and 30 year concession Pattullo Bridge post construction HWY 401 Expansion $640