The Assassination of Kim Jong Passing Himself Off As the Son of a Diplomat
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Weekly Geopolitical Report By Bill O’Grady March 6, 2017 for his education. There he lived a low- profile existence learning languages and The Assassination of Kim Jong passing himself off as the son of a diplomat. Nam The young man showed an interest in technology while in Europe. On February 13th, Kim Jong Nam, the older half-brother of Kim Jong Un, the leader of At the age of 18, he was forced to return to the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea North Korea. He became close to his aunt, (DPRK), was assassinated at an airport in Kim Kyong Hui, Kim Jong Il’s sister, and Malaysia. This event offers insights into the uncle, the Dear Leader’s brother-in-law, “Hermit Kingdom” and shows the audacious Jang Song Thaek. Kim Jong Nam was nature of the regime. given government positions monitoring technology; reportedly, he was instrumental In this report, we begin with a biography of in creating North Korea’s intranet. King Jong Nam. Next, we will recap the assassination. The following section will Still, it became apparent that Kim Jong Il discuss the context of the murder, including had become jaded with his oldest son. China’s difficult relations with North Korea Instead, he lavished attention on his and potential rationale behind the youngest mistress, Ko Young Hee, another assassination. As always, we will conclude actress, and his youngest son, Kim Jong Un, with potential market ramifications. the “Young Marshall.” Who was Kim Jong Nam? As the oldest son faded from relevance, he Kim Jong Nam was born in 1971, the began to travel extensively, spending time in grandson of the “Great Leader,” Kim Il China and Southeast Asia. There was a Song, and the son of Kim Jong Il, referred to rather infamous incident in 2001 when Kim as the “Dear Leader.” Kim Jong Nam’s Jong Nam, his wife, son and their au pair mother was an actress, Sung Hye Rim. Kim were detained in Japan. They were trying to Jong Il never married Kim Jong Nam’s enter the country on forged Dominican mother because the Great Leader Republic passports, reportedly to visit disapproved of his son’s relationship with Disneyland. After this embarrassment, Kim the actress. Because of this disapproval, Jong Nam rarely returned to Pyongyang. Kim Jong Nam led a cloistered existence, hidden from his grandfather. Since 2001, Kim Jong Nam lived under the protection of the Chinese government. It At the age of eight, Kim Jong Nam, along appears that he mostly lived in Macau, with his mother, was sent to Moscow for although there are reports he also had a school. By this time, his mother was residence in Beijing. There have also been considered “unstable” and she essentially reports that he had two separate families in abandoned her son. The young man didn’t both cities. Chinese security officials care much for the Soviet Union and dubbed him “Fat Bear”; he was known to be eventually ended up in Geneva, Switzerland a regular at gambling establishments and Weekly Geopolitical Report – March 6, 2017 Page 2 generally lived the life of a playboy. At the agents.1 Nerve agents work by shutting off same time, there are unsubstantiated rumors the process that allows the body’s muscles that he may have participated in money to relax. Instead, they constantly contract laundering for the DPRK. until suffocation occurs. As his health was declining, Kim Jong Il Although it is possible for non-state actors designated his youngest son, Kim Jong Un, to make nerve agents,2 VX is considered as his successor, ignoring the usual dynastic complicated enough that only nation-states succession of elder sons. On December 19, have the capability to make this variant of 2011, Kim Jong Il died of an apparent heart nerve agent. In addition, it appears highly attack. likely that the agent used was the even more sophisticated VX2, which is a binary Overall, Kim Jong Nam was a tragic figure. weapon. A binary chemical weapon comes He was hidden from his grandfather and in two parts, neither of which are lethal treated as an illegitimate son. At a young separately; they only become deadly when age, he was shipped out of the country and combined. Slow release variants have also abandoned by his mother. Although the been made. This characteristic makes the 2001 incident is often cited as the beginning weapon militarily useful because soldiers of Kim Jong Nam’s downfall, in reality, his don’t need to take extreme care in handling father didn’t seem all that fond of his oldest the components until combined. Thus, there son. That fact, more than anything, is virtually no chance that these chemicals probably led to his eventual exile. came from outside a government laboratory. The Assassination It only takes 10 milligrams (0.00035 ounces) On February 13th, Kim Jong Nam was of VX on the skin to be lethal; inhaled, it loitering in the low-cost carrier terminal at takes 25-30 milligrams. Thus, it is quite the Kuala Lumpur International Airport deadly. There is an antidote, atropine, when two young women accosted him. which allows muscles to relax.3 Doan Thi Huong, a 28-year-old Vietnamese national, came up from behind him and The two young women involved in the smeared his face with an oily substance. attack claim they were duped by North Almost immediately after, Siti Aisyah, a 25- Korean agents who told them they were year-old Indonesian national, wiped Kim involved in a reality TV show prank. Jong Nam’s face with a cloth. Kim began to However, Malaysian officials dispute this stumble and went to airport officials for assertion. They note that both women help. His condition rapidly deteriorated and rushed to wash their hands after the attack he died shortly thereafter. which is the proper protocol. In addition, Malaysian officials claim they have Malaysian officials quickly took control of the situation by taking the fallen North 1 The other three nerve agents are tabun (GA), sarin Korean’s body to a morgue and starting an (GB) and soman (GD). 2 investigation. It was determined that Kim The Japanese doomsday cult Aum Shinrikyo was died from a specific nerve agent, VX. This able to make sarin gas and used it in subways in Japan on March 20, 1995. is one of four types of nerve agents and is 3 Soldiers who face the potential for chemical considered the deadliest of the nerve weapons attacks carry injectable atropine as part of their kit. Weekly Geopolitical Report – March 6, 2017 Page 3 evidence that the women practiced the attack an autopsy was conducted, but Malaysia is at shopping malls in Malaysia. It should be requiring a family member to either claim noted that Aisyah vomited while in custody, the body or send DNA from a family which is a common symptom of nerve gas member to prove Kim’s identity. Malaysia poisoning. The fact that Aisyah, who was did conduct the autopsy and determined he the second assailant, became ill does suggest was killed by VX, while North Korea has a binary agent was used. It isn’t known if disputed this finding, saying Kim died of a the two women had atropine in their heart attack. systems, although there has been some speculation that they may have because Why was Kim Jong Nam assassinated? neither died in the attack. Probably the best way to think about North Korea is that it is like a medieval kingdom. The fact that they survived is another factor Kim Jong Un has been eliminating potential that argues these women were not innocent rivals since taking control of North Korea. stooges. If they had been mere pawns, it We note that the Young Marshall has had a would have been just as easy to see them standing execution order on his half-brother perish along with Kim Jong Nam. Although since taking power in 2011. In addition, he it is rather easy to isolate these attackers has executed over 500 officials, including at from the broader conspiracy, they still least 140 senior officials. Notable is that he would have met with some of the executed his uncle, Jang Song Thaek, who assassination plotters and thus could identify was considered by some North Korean them to security personnel. It is more likely watchers as the second most powerful man that the two women did have some in the country. understanding of what they were doing, but it is also possible they didn’t know It should also be noted that the Young everything about the attack. Reports Marshall has reportedly used brutal methods indicate Malaysian prosecutors may seek the for execution. There have been rumors that death penalty for the two assailants. “enemies of the state” have met their demise by flame throwers and anti-aircraft guns.4 Malaysian officials were also looking for Using VX will likely terrify dissidents living four North Korean nationals whom they outside the Hermit Kingdom. These brutal suspected as part of the attack. However, methods are seen as a warning to opponents these men apparently left the country shortly of Kim Jong Un that a horrid fate may await after the incident and are presumably back if one falls out of favor with the regime. in North Korea. Thus, Kim Jong Nam’s assassination is part This assassination was a strong act in one of of a young leader’s plan to remove any the few nations friendly to North Korea. threats to his position. Kim Jong Nam had Prior to this event, Malaysia allowed North made some critical comments about his Koreans to visit without visas.