Steam-Valve Theory and Political Efficacy
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The Steam-valve Theory: Terrorism and Political Efficacy by Edith Wu B.A. (Honours), Simon Fraser University, 2012 Thesis Submitted in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree of Master of Arts in the School of Criminology Faculty of Arts and Social Sciences Edith Wu 2017 SIMON FRASER UNIVERSITY Summer 2017 All rights reserved. However, in accordance with the Copyright Act of Canada, this work may be reproduced, without authorization, under the conditions for Fair Dealing. Therefore, limited reproduction of this work for the purposes of private study, research, criticism, review and news reporting is likely to be in accordance with the law, particularly if cited appropriately. Approval Name: Edith Wu Degree: Master of Arts Title of Thesis: The Steam-valve Theory: Terrorism and Political Efficacy Examining Committee: Chair: Martin Andresen Associate Director and Professor Garth Davies Senior Supervisor Associate Professor Martin Bouchard Supervisor Professor André Gerolymatos External Examiner Director and Professor Stavros Niarchos Foundation Centre for Hellenic Studies Simon Fraser University Date Defended /Approved: May 24, 2017 ii Abstract A wealth of literature examines terrorism and its relationship with political participation, often concerning legitimate opportunities to effect political change. Overall, these studies support the notion that a democratic system is an effective bulwark against terrorism. There is, however, a paucity of research that evaluates societal activism from the citizen’s perspective and its effects on political violence. When a disgruntled public lacks proper avenues to be heard and engage meaningfully in the political process, terrorist events may arise. Using data from the Global Terrorism Database, World Values Survey, World Bank, and Freedom House, a multilevel negative binomial analysis is conducted to assess terrorist events in relation to political activism across 18 countries from 1990 to 2012, while considering factors often cited as catalysts for political violence. The findings suggest that terrorism is significantly more likely to occur when frustrated citizens do not perceive peaceful political activism as a viable alternative. Keywords: steam-valve theory; terrorism; political violence; political efficacy; multilevel analysis; negative binomial regression iii Dedications To the big man upstairs, to my parents, bro, Olivia, Courtney, grams (婆 婆 仔), and Aunt Mary (EE), and … in memory of Aunt Joanne. Ephesians 2:8-9 iv Quotation If the prospect of living in a world where trying to respect the basic rights of those around you and valuing each other simply because we exist are such daunting, impossible tasks then what sort of world are we left with? And what sort of world do you want to live in? - Princess Diana of Themyscira (Wonder Woman, Volume 2, Issue 170) v Acknowledgements First and foremost, to my senior supervisor, Dr. Garth Davies. I have had the privilege to discover academia with your support and knowledge since undergrad. Without fail, you challenge me and help me develop the skills necessary to address the questions I yearn to understand. I cannot articulate how much your patience, mentorship, time, and astonishing level of perceptiveness are appreciated. It is an honour to be your 徒弟, 師父; thank you for every opportunity you have given me. Steam-valve is as much mine as it is yours, PC. To Dr. Martin Bouchard (SNA!) and Dr. André Gerolymatos, thank you for your generous comments and insightful criticisms on the theory and thesis; much obliged. They were thoughtful and the questions animate me to delve into my theory even further. I would also like to express my gratitude to Dr. Sheri Fabian and Dr. Gail Anderson for honours (check-in?) and their unwavering support throughout the years. It is a pleasure to have had the opportunity to know and learn from you both. To Dr. Martin Andresen, thank you for your comments, chairing my defence, and fueling my love of maps, which you helped solidify in those upper division courses in environmental criminology. To Dr. Ted Palys, it was your qualitative course that heavily nudged me down the path of terrorism research, for that I am eternally grateful. Unily: Dr. Rebecca Carleton, Steph Dawson, Cristina Pastia, and Christine Neudecker – you ladies are my anchor. Thank you for the sound advice, believing in me, and always having my back; your positivity and nerdiness are absolutely infectious! Your existence is nothing short of a blessing. Rebecca, thank you for your guidance and your faith in me. You were the first to see my potential and afforded me the academic opportunities to achieve more than I ever anticipated (Hi Aish!). My partner-in-crime and travel buddy, Cris (AB):1 I shan’t forget the cave, piranhas-with-legs, or our other numerous near-death experiences. Thank you for tolerating my ridiculousness, recklessness, and all the proof- reading (theses and publications)! I am so eager for all the travelling and adventures that await us; the world is our oyster. Wishful, heart, and Gryffindors rule. 1 The brain to my heart, Willow to my Buffy, hippo to my rhino, frack to my frick, Ms. Me to my Agent Muffet, mini to my little, Holmes to my Watson, and Taystee to my Poussey vi My fellow students, particularly (in no particular order) Shannon Linning (Roxie), Sadaf Hashimi, Aynsley Pescitelli, Sarah Yercich, Heather Brand, Allison Campbell, Andrew Reid, Ryan Scrivens, Julie Mitchell, Ashley Hewitt, Adam Vaughan, and Bryan Monk, your friendly faces consistently put a smile on my face. In addition to the aforesaid academic Drs., I must also acknowledge Dr. Margaret Jackson (selfie?), Dr. Simon Verdun-Jones, Dr. Kim Rossmo, Dr. Chris Giles, and Dr. Bryan Kinney for their encouragement, wisdom, and humour throughout my MA. Your presence in the department and at conferences are always delightful to say the least. To the staff, Vivian Chen, Roxanne Jantzi, and Shaneza Bacchus, I am grateful for your continuous and expeditious assistance behind the scenes. Outside the nerd community, I would like to thank Judy Wang, Yui Takayama, Chantel Chung, Cory Quinlan, and Dr. Kara Wallik (pen of pal). A shout-out to the Byngalings is also in order. I love you ladies and gents. Thank you for your unreserved support and keeping me grounded for over a decade… or two; I am so fortunate to have each one of you in my life. My friends and unily – despite my doubts and stumbles throughout this voyage, you inspire me to be better, stronger, and make my heart feel so full. Finally, I would like to thank my family (see Dedications). In various forms and capacities, your unconditional love allows me to follow my heart. Uncles Evan, Kanny, and Pino, and Aunt Rose: although you are on the other side of the largest oceanic divide (NOAA, 2014), your support in my academic and personal endeavours are still palpable. I appreciate everything all of you have given me throughout the years, as well as putting up with my silliness, curiosity, and animated personality. I hope this thesis makes you proud. In this longer than expected journey, I owe my sanity to Britney Spears, Stars, Ally Hills, Avalon Young, Beyoncé, Chvrches, Drake, Bieber’s last album, Lana del Rey, Metric, Motley Crüe, Rihanna, and Tchaikovsky as well as Buffy the Vampire Slayer, 24, Archer, Bones, Breaking Bad, Cosmos, Dexter, Elementary, Fringe, Game of Thrones, Orange is the New Black, Orphan Black, Star Trek (Voyager), The 100 (3.07), The Walking Dead, Harry Potter books, the Final Fantasy series, Uncharted 4, TLoU, and League of Legends. For those who attended my defence or sent their regrets/well-wishes: a special gratitude is also extended to you. I cherish the sentiments and support you offered so generously. vii Table of Contents Approval ............................................................................................................................... ii Abstract ............................................................................................................................... iii Dedications ......................................................................................................................... iv Quotation.............................................................................................................................. v Acknowledgements ............................................................................................................. vi Table of Contents...............................................................................................................viii List of Tables ........................................................................................................................ x List of Figures....................................................................................................................... x 1. Introduction ...............................................................................................................1 2. Literature Review ......................................................................................................3 2.1. Civil Participation and Political Efficacy ......................................................................3 2.1.1. Conditions for Movements ..............................................................................5 2.1.2. Theoretical Explanations for Political Activism ...............................................8 2.1.3. Violent Campaigns ........................................................................................11