January, 2016 VITA

T. Clifton Morgan

Department of Political Science MS 24 5104 Aspen Bellaire, TX 77401 PO Box 1892 713 661 3235 Houston, TX 77251 713 348 3373 713 348 5273 Fax

Education

Ph.D. in Government, University of Texas at Austin1986 Fields: International Relations, Formal Theory, Methodology M.A. in Government, University of Texas at Austin1980 B.A. in Political Science, University of Oklahoma 1978

Experience

Positions Held

Albert Thomas Professor of Political Science, Rice University: July 1998 through present Professor of Political Science, Rice University: July 1997 through June 1998 Associate Professor of Political Science, Rice University: July 1991 through June 1997 Assistant Professor of Political Science, Rice University: July 1987 through June 1991 National Fellow, Hoover Institution, Stanford University: September 1989 through June 1990 Assistant Professor of Political Science, Florida State University: August 1985 through June 1987

Administrative Positions

Chair, Department of Political Science, Rice University: July 1999 through June 2004 Director, Center for the Study of Institutions and Values, Rice University: July 1997 through June 1999 Director of Graduate Studies, Department of Political Science, Rice University: July 1991through June 1994 and July 1995 through June 1998

Research

Books

Palmer, Glenn and T. Clifton Morgan (2006) A Theory of Foreign Policy. Princeton, NJ, Princeton University Press.

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Maoz, Zeev, , T. Clifton Morgan, Glenn Palmer and Richard J. Stoll, eds. (2004) Multiple Paths to Knowledge in International Relations: Methodology in the Study of Conflict Management and Conflict Resolution. Lanham, MD, Lexington Books.

Morgan, T. Clifton (1994) Untying the Knot of War: A Theory of Bargaining in International Crises. Ann Arbor, MI, Press.

Journal Articles

Morgan, T. Clifton (2015) “Hearing the Noise: Economic Sanctions Theory and Anomalous Evidence” International Interactions, 41 (4): 744-754.

Morgan, T. Clifton, Navin Bapat and Yoshiharu Kobayashi (2014) “The Threat and Imposition of Economic Sanctions 1945-2005: Updating the TIES Dataset,” Conflict Management and Peace Science, 31(5): 541-558.

Bapat, Navin, Tobias Heinrich, Yoshiharu Kobayashi, and T. Clifton Morgan (2013) “Determinants of Sanctions Effectiveness: Sensitivity Analysis Using New Data,” International Interactions, 39(1): 79-98.

Morgan, T. Clifton (2013) “The Secret Ingredient on Iron Chef—Road Kill!” Conflict Management and Peace Science, 30 (1): 3-10.

Martinez Machain, Carla and T. Clifton Morgan (2013) “The Effect of US Troop Deployment on Host States’ Foreign Policy,” Armed Forces and Society, 39 (10): 102-123.

Martinez Machain, Carla, T. Clifton Morgan, and Patrick M. Regan (2011) “Deterring Rebellion,” Foreign Policy Analysis, 7 (3): 295-316.

Krustev, Valentin and T. Clifton Morgan (2011) “Ending Economic Coercion: Domestic Politics and International Bargaining,” Conflict Management and Peace Science. 28 (4): 351-76.

Bapat, Navin A. and T. Clifton Morgan (2009) “Multilateral vs. Unilateral Sanctions Reconsidered: A Test Using New Data,” International Studies Quarterly, 53(4):1075-1094.

Morgan, T. Clifton, Navin Bapat and Valentin Krustev (2009) “The Threat and Imposition of Economic Sanctions, 1971-2000,” Conflict Management and Peace Science, 26 (1): 95-113.

Palmer, Glenn and T. Clifton Morgan (2007) “Power Transition, The Two-Good Theory, and Neorealism: A Comparison with Comments on Recent U.S. Foreign Policy,” International Interactions, 33 (3): 329-346.

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Mattes, Michaela and T. Clifton Morgan (2004) “When Do They Stop? Modeling the Termination of War,” Conflict Management and Peace Science, Fall, pp. 179-194.

Morgan, T. Clifton and Navin Bapat (2003) “Imposing Sanctions: States, Firms and Economic Coercion,” International Studies Review, December, pp. 65-79. Reprinted in Dissolving Boundaries, edited by Suzanne Werner, David Davis, and , Blackwell Publishers, (2004) pp. 507-521.

Morgan, T. Clifton and Glenn Palmer (2003) “To Protect and to Serve: Alliances and Foreign Policy Portfolios,” Journal of Conflict Resolution, April, pp. 180-203.

Miers, Anne and T. Clifton Morgan (2002) “Multilateral Sanctions and Foreign Policy Success: Can Too Many Cooks Spoil the Broth?” International Interactions, April- June, pp. 117-136.

Palmer, Glenn, Scott B. Wohlander and T. Clifton Morgan (2002) “Give or Take: Foreign Aid and Foreign Policy Substitutability,” Journal of Peace Research, January, pp. 5- 26.

Morgan, T. Clifton and Glenn Palmer (2000) “A Model of Foreign Policy Substitutability,” Journal of Conflict Resolution, February, pp. 11-32.

Morgan, T. Clifton and Christopher J. Anderson (1999) “Domestic Support and Diversionary External Conflict in Great Britain, 1950-1992,” Journal of Politics, August, pp. 799-814.

Morgan, T. Clifton and Glenn Palmer (1999) “Chinese Foreign Policy in the Twenty-First Century: Insights from the Two-Good Theory,” Issues and Studies, May/June, pp. 35- 60.

Morgan, T. Clifton and Valerie L. Schwebach (1997) “Fools Suffer Gladly: The Use of Economic Sanctions in International Crises,” International Studies Quarterly, March, pp. 27-50.

Morgan, T. Clifton and Glenn Palmer (1997) “A Two-Good Theory of Foreign Policy: An Application to Dispute Initiation and Reciprocation,” International Interactions, Vol. 22:3, pp. 225-244.

Morgan, T. Clifton and Patrick J. Moriarty (1995) “State Characteristics and Crisis Outcomes: A Test of the Spatial Model,” Conflict Management and Peace Science, Fall, pp. 197-224.

Morgan, T. Clifton and Valerie L. Schwebach (1995) “Economic Sanctions as an Instrument of Foreign Policy: The Role of Domestic Politics,” International Interactions, Vol. 21:3, pp. 247-263.

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Morgan, T. Clifton (1995) “Clinton’s Chinese Puzzle: Domestic Politics and the Effectiveness of Economic Sanctions,” Issues and Studies, August, pp. 19-45.

Richards, Diana, T. Clifton Morgan, Rick Wilson, Valerie Schwebach and Garry Young (1993) “Good Times, Bad Times and the Diversionary Use of Force: A Tale of Some Not-So-Free Agents,” Journal of Conflict Resolution, September, pp. 504-535.

Morgan, T. Clifton (1993) “Economic Ties, Influence, and Taiwan-Mainland China Relations,” Issues and Studies, March, pp. 1-14.

Morgan, T. Clifton (1993) “Democracy and War: Reflections on the Literature,” International Interactions, Vol. 18:3, pp. 197-203.

Morgan, T. Clifton and Valerie L. Schwebach (1992) “Take Two Democracies and Call Me in the Morning: A Prescription for Peace?” International Interactions, Vol. 17:4, pp. 305-320.

Morgan, T. Clifton and Kenneth N. Bickers (1992) “Domestic Discontent and the External Use of Force,” Journal of Conflict Resolution, March, pp. 25-52.

Morgan, T. Clifton and Sally H. Campbell (1991) “Domestic Structure, Decisional Constraints and War: So Why Kant Democracies Fight?” Journal of Conflict Resolution, June, pp. 187-211.

Morgan, T. Clifton (1990) “The Concept of War: Its Impact on Research and Policy,” Peace and Change, October, pp. 413-441.

Morgan, T. Clifton (1990) “Issue Linkages in International Crisis Bargaining,” American Journal of Political Science, May, pp. 311-333.

Morgan, T. Clifton (1990) “Power, Resolve and Bargaining in International Crises,” International Interactions, Vol. 15:3, 279-302. Reprinted in Modeling International Conflict edited by Frank Zagare, Gordon and Breach, (1990), pp. 83-106.

Levy, Jack S. and T. Clifton Morgan (1986) “The War-Weariness Hypothesis: An Empirical Test,” American Journal of Political Science, February, pp. 26-49. Reprinted in Persistent Patterns and Emergent Structures in a Waning Century edited by Margaret P. Karns, Praeger Publishers, (1986), pp. 126-148.

Morgan, T. Clifton (1984) “A Spatial Model of Crisis Bargaining,” International Studies Quarterly, December, pp. 407-426.

Levy, Jack S. and T. Clifton Morgan (1984) “The Frequency and Seriousness of War: An Inverse Relationship?” Journal of Conflict Resolution, December, pp. 731-749.

Book Chapters

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Morgan, T. Clifton and Glenn Palmer (1998) “Room to Move: Security, Proaction and Institutions in Foreign-Policy Decisionmaking,” in Strategic Politicians, Institutions, and Foreign Policy edited by Randolph Siversion, University of Michigan Press, pp. 193-220.

Morgan, T. Clifton (1993) “Mediators, Allies and Opportunists: Third Parties in International Crises,” in Politics and Rationality edited by William James Booth, Patrick James and Hudson Meadwell, Cambridge University Press, pp. 266-280.

Wayman, Frank W. and T. Clifton Morgan (1990) “Measuring Polarity in the International System,” in Measuring the Correlates of War edited by J. David Singer and Paul Diehl, University of Michigan Press, pp. 139-158.

Morgan, T. Clifton and Jack S. Levy (1990) “Base Stealers versus Power Hitters: A Nation-State Level Analysis of the Frequency and Seriousness of War,” in Prisoners of War edited by Charles Gochman and Alan Sabrosky, Lexington Books, pp. 43-56.

Morgan, T. Clifton and James Lee Ray (1989) “The Impact of Nuclear Weapons on Crisis Bargaining: Implications of a Spatial Model,” in Power and World Politics edited by Richard J. Stoll and Michael D. Ward, Lynne Rienner Publishers, pp. 193-208.

Morgan, T. Clifton and Jack S. Levy (1986) “The Structure of the International System and the Relationship Between the Frequency and Seriousness of War,” in Persistent Patterns and Emergent Structures in a Waning Century edited by Margaret P. Karns, Praeger Publishers, pp. 75-98.

Data Bases

“Threat and Imposition of Sanctions (TIES) updated” at http://www.unc.edu/~bapat/TIES.htm (with Navin Bapat and Yoshiharu Kobayashi)

“Threat and Imposition of Sanctions (TIES)” at http://www.unc.edu/~bapat/TIES.htm (with Navin Bapat and Valentin Krustev)

“Great Power War, 1495-1815” on deposit with Data Development in International Relations, University of Illinois (with Jack S. Levy)

Miscellaneous

“Alliances and Arms: The Quest for Security” in R. Denmark ed., The International Studies Encyclopedia, 2009, vol. 1 pp. 66-81 (with B. Ashley Leeds).

“Economic Sanctions” World Book Encyclopedia, 2003

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Book Reviews

International Relations and Scientific Progress: Structural Realism Reconsidered by Patrick James. The Journal of Politics, May, 2004 pp. 656-657.

Veto Players by George Tsebelis. International Politics, December, 2003: pp. 575-576.

The Institutional Economics of Foreign Aid by Bertin Martens with Uwe Mummert, Peter Murrell and Paul Seabright. International Studies Review, March, 2003: pp. 104-106.

Smart Sanctions by David Cortright and George Lopez, and U.S. Economic Statecraft for Survival, 1933-1991 by Alan P. Dobson. Political Studies Review, September, 2003: pp. 466-467.

The Sanctions Paradox by Daniel W. Drezner. American Political Science Review, September, 2000: pp. 762-763.

Democracy and Diplomacy by Melvin Small. Political Science Quaterly, Summer, 1997: pp. 327-328.

Parity and War ed. by Jacek Kugler and Douglas Lemke. Mershon International Studies Review, May, 1997: pp. 120-122.

Optimal Imperfection? Domestic Uncertainty and Institutions in International Relations by George W. Downs and David M. Rocke. American Political Science Review, September, 1996: pp. 693-694.

Behavior, Culture, and Conflict in World Politics ed. by William Zimmerman and Harold K. Jacobson. American Political Science Review, September, 1995: pp. 815-816.

Grasping the Democratic Peace by . Journal of Interdisciplinary History, Summer, 1995: pp. 162-163.

Political Opposition and Foreign Policy in Comparative Perspective by Joe D. Hagan. Mershon International Studies Review, October, 1994: pp. 341-344.

General MacArthur and President Truman by Richard Rovere and Arthur Schlesinger, Jr. Social Science Quarterly, September, 1993: pp. 692-693.

Crisis and War by Patrick James. Conflict Quarterly, March, 1991.

War and Change in the Global System by William Domke. Social Science Quarterly, September, 1989: pp. 793-794.

Seapower in Global Politics, 1494-1993 by George Modelski and William R. Thompson. American Political Science Review, September, 1989: pp. 1087-1089.

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Dynamic Models of International Conflict ed. by Urs Luterbacher and Michael D. Ward. American Political Science Review, June, 1987: pp. 676-677.

Book Reviews appearing in Choice

The Nixon Administration and the Making of U.S. Nuclear Strategy by Terry Terriff, January 1996

Theory of Moves by Steven Brams, December, 1994

Beyond Machiavelli: Tools for Coping with Conflict by Roger Fisher, Elizabeth Kopelman, and Andrea Kupfer Schneider, June, 1994

Interstate Crisis Behavior, 1816-1980 by Russell J. Leng, January, 1994

Military Intervention in the 1990’s by Richard Connaughton, September, 1993

War and Reason by Bruce Bueno de Mesquita and David Lalman, December, 1992

Territorial Changes and International Conflict by Gary Goertz and Paul Diehl, October, 1992

Timing the De-escalation of International Conflicts ed. By Louis Kriesberg and Stuart J. Thorson, June, 1992

The Diffusion of War: A Study of Opportunity and Willingness by Randolph Siverson and Harvey Starr, February, 1992

Peace and War: Armed Conflicts and International Order by Kalevi J. Holsti, January, 1992

International Crisis and Domestic Politics ed. By James W. Lamare, October, 1991

International Negotiation ed. By Victor Kremenyuk, September, 1991

Organizations and Nation-States ed. by Robert L. Kahn and Mayer Zald, April, 1991

Paradoxes of War by , December, 1990

Power in Contemporary International Politics by Michael P. Sullivan, November, 1990

Crisis, Conflict, and Instability by Michael Brecher and Jonathan Wilkenfeld, July, 1990

War in the World System ed. by Robert K. Schaeffer, March, 1990

Formal Theories in International Relations by Michael Nicholoson, January, 1990

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War in Europe by Hylke Tromp, December, 1989

The Origin and Prevention of Major Wars by Robert Rotberg and Theodore Rabb, November, 1989

New Approaches to International Mediation ed. by C.R. Mitchell and K. Webb, July, 1989

Change and Stability in Foreign Policy, by Kjell Goldmann, March, 1989

Power and Tactics in International Negotiation by William Mark Habeeb, January, 1989

Innovation and the Arms Race by Matthew Evangelista, December, 1988

Convention and Conference Participation

“The Long-term Effect of Sanctions on Political Violence,” at the Southern Political Science Association annual meeting, January 7-9, 2016. San Juan, Puerto Rico. (with Santiago Sosa).

“The Long-term Effect of Sanctions on Political Violence,” at the Peace Science Society annual meeting, November 12-14, 2015. Oxford, Mississippi. (with Santiago Sosa).

“Hearing the Noise: Economic Sanctions Theory and Anomalous Evidence” Jan Tinbergen Peace Science Conference June 22-24, 2015 Coventry, England.

Chair and Discussant, “Dynamic Empirical Models of Conflict Processes,” International Studies Association Annual Meeting, February 18-21, 2015. New Orleans, LA.

“Why Won’t You Do What I Want? Influencing Authoritarian Regimes Through Economic Sanctions,” Jan Tinbergen Peace Science Conference June 23-25, 2014 (with Jessica Weeks). The Hague, Netherlands.

“Why Won’t You Do What I Want? Influencing Authoritarian Regimes Through Economic Sanctions,” International Studies Association annual meeting, March 26- 29, 2014 (with Jessica Weeks).

“Formal Theory, Data Collection and Analysis: Innovations and Lessons for the Study of Economic Sanctions,” International Studies Association annual meeting, March 26-29, 2014.

“Just What Did You Think Would Happen? Modeling the Effects of Foreign Policy Actions,” Jan Tinbergen European Peace Science Conference, June 24-26 2013, Milan, Italy (with Yoshiharu Kobayashi).

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“Just What Did You Think Would Happen? Modeling the Effects of Foreign Policy Actions,” Eurasian Peace Science meeting, May 2013, Istanbul, Turkey (with Yoshiharu Kobayashi).

Chair “Professional Development and Grant Writing Roundtable,” International Studies Association annual meeting, April 3-6, 2013, San Francisco, CA.

Discussant “The Dynamics of Economic Coercion,” ,” International Studies Association annual meeting, April 3-6, 2013, San Francisco, CA.

“The Gentle (?) Art of Persuasion: Sanctions and Iran’s Nuclear Program,” at the Network of European Peace Scientists annual meeting, June 25-27, 2012 Berlin, Germany (with Patrick Regan).

“The Gentle (?) Art of Persuasion: Sanctions and Iran’s Nuclear Program,” at the British International Studies Association annual meeting, June 20-22, 2012 Edinburgh, Scotland. (with Patrick Regan).

Panel chair and discussant, New Directions in Sanctions Research. International Studies Association annual meeting, April 1-4, 2012, San Diego, CA.

“Empirical Test of a Game-Theoretic Model of Economic Sanctions,” at the Eurasian Peace Science Conference, Jan. 13-14, 2012, Istanbul, Turkey (with Yoshiharu Kobayashi).

“The Secret Ingredient on Iron Chef—Road Kill!” Presidential address at the Peace Science Society (International) annual meeting, October, 2011, Los Angeles.

“The Consequences of Coercive Diplomacy,” at the WISC annual meeting, August, 2011, Porto, Portugal (with Glenn Palmer).

“The Consequences of Coercive Diplomacy,” at the Network of European Peace Scientists annual meeting, June, 2011, Amsterdam, Netherlands (with Glenn Palmer).

“The Effect of US Troop Deployment on Host Nations’ Foreign Policy” at the International Studies Association annual meeting, March 16-19, 2011, Montreal, Canada. (with Carla Martinez Machain).

“The Effect of US Troop Deployment on Host Nations’ Foreign Policy” at the Eurasian Peace Science Conference, Jan. 7-8, 2011, Istanbul, Turkey. (with Carla Martinez Machain).

“Are Economic Sanctions a Substitute for the Use of Force?” at the Pan-European International Relations Conference, Sept. 9-11, 2010, Stockholm, Sweden (with Glenn Palmer and Dan Zacarillo).

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“Extending the Two-Good Theory: Explaining the Consequences of Foreign Policy,” at the Network of European Peace Scientists annual meeting, June, 2010, Amsterdam, Netherlands (with Glenn Palmer).

Panel Chair, “Compliance with Human Rights and International Human Rights Tribunals,” at the ISA annual meeting, Feb. 17-21, 2010, New Orleans.

“The Unintended Consequences of Foreign Aid,” at the ABRI-ISA joint international meeting, July 22-24, 2009, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil (with Yoshiharu Kobayashi).

Panel Chair “Rivalry, Disputes and Polarity” at the ABRI-ISA joint international meeting, July 22-24, 2009, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

“The Causes of Sanctions Success,” at the Jan Tinbergen European Peace Science Conference, June 29- July 1, 2009, Amsterdam (with Navin Bapat, Tobias Heinrich, and Yoshiharu Kobayashi).

“Early Findings from the Threat and Imposition of Economic Sanctions Data Set,” at the International Studies Association annual meeting, Feb. 15-18, 2009, New York, NY.

“Wealth and the Use of Economic Sanctions,” at the Peace Science Society annual meeting, Oct. 23-26, 2008, Claremont, CA (with Tobias Heinrich)

“Wealth and the Use of Economic Sanctions,” at the American Political Science Association annual meeting, Aug. 27-31, 2008, Boston, MA (with Tobias Heinrich)

“Deterring Rebellion,” at the Network of European Peace Scientists annual meeting, June 30-July 2, 2008, Amsterdam (with Patrick Regan and Carla Martinez.

Participant, Roundtable on “Approaches to Understanding Crisis Bargaining,” at the International Studies Association annual meeting, March 26-29, San Francisco, CA.

“Economic Coercion and Bargaining: Threats and the Success of Sanctions,” at the ECPR annual meeting, Sept. 6-8, 2007, Pisa, Italy (with William Reed).

“Economic Sanctions and Foreign Policy Substitutability: An Application of the Two Good Theory” at the International Studies Association Annual Meeting, Feb. 28- March 3, 2007, Chicago, IL (with Emre Hatipoglu and Glenn Palmer).

Panel Chair, “Commitments and Reputation in Conflict Behavior,” at the International Studies Association Annual Meeting, Feb. 28-March 3, 2007, Chicago, IL

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“Multilateral Sanctions and Foreign Policy Success: An Empirical Test,” at the Jan Tinbergen Peace Science annual meeting, June 26-28, 2006, Amsterdam, Holland (with Navin Bapat).

“Domestic Political Institutions, Leaders and the Duration of Economic Sanctions,” at the International Studies Association annual meeting, March 22-25, 2006, San Diego, CA (with Valentin Krustev).

Panel Chair “Third Party IGO Conflict Management and Intervention” International Studies Association annual meeting, March 22-25, 2006, San Diego, CA.

“Domestic Political Institutions, Leaders and the Duration of Economic Sanctions,” at the Peace Science Society annual meeting, November 4-6, 2005, Iowa City, Iowa (with Valentin Krustev).

“Threat Effectiveness and Economic Sanctions: An Empirical Assessment,” at the Jan Tinbergen Peace Science annual meeting, June 27-29, 2005, Amsterdam, Holland.

“Threat Effectiveness and Economic Sanctions: An Empirical Assessment,” at the International Studies Association annual meeting, March 1-5, 2005, Honolulu, HI.

“Speak Loudly and Carry a Big Stick: Threat Effectiveness and Economic Sanctions,” at the American Political Science Association annual meeting, September 1-5, 2004, Chicago, IL. (with Sezi Anac)

“When is Enough, Enough? Ending Economic Sanctions,” at the International Studies Association annual meeting, March 17-20, 2004, Montreal, Canada. (with Navin Bapat,Valentin Krustev, and Greg Vonahme)

“Enough is Enough? Ending Economic Sanctions,” at the Peace Science Society annual meeting, November 14-16, 2003, Ann Arbor, MI. (with Navin Bapat,Valentin Krustev, and Greg Vonahme)

“The Threat and Use of Economic Sanctions,” at the American Political Science Association annual meeting, August 28-31, 2003, Philadelphia, PA.

“The Threat and Use of Economic Sanctions,” at the CEEISA/ISA meeting June 26-28, 2003, Budapest, Hungary.

“When Do They Stop? Modeling the Termination of War,” at the Southwestern Social Science Association annual meeting April 16-19, 2003, San Antonio, TX. (with Michaela Mattes).

Chair and Discussant, Panel on “Empirical Evaluation of International Relations Theories,” at the Southwestern Social Science Association annual meeting April 16-19, 2003, San Antonio, TX.

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“When Do They Stop? Modeling the Termination of War,” at the Peace Science Society annual meeting November 1-3, 2002, Tucson, AZ. (with Michaela Mattes)

“Economic Sanctions and Foreign Policy Substitutability,” at the American Political Science Association annual meeting, Aug. 29-Sept. 1, 2002, Boston, MA. (with Michaela Mattes and Glenn Palmer)

“Imposing Sanctions: How States Induce Sub-National Actors to Abide by Sanctions Policies,” at the International Studies Association annual meeting, March, 2002, New Orleans, LA. (with Navin Bapat)

“A Theory of International Bargaining with Sub-State Actors,” at the Peace Science Society annual meeting, October 26-28, 2001, Atlanta, GA. (with Navin Bapat)

“Buying Freedoms: The Use of Economic Sanctions to Further Human Rights,” at the International Studies Association 2001 International Convention, July 24-27, 2001, Hong Kong. (with Anne Miers)

"Economic Sanctions and Foreign Policy Substitutability: An Application of the Two-Good Theory," at the Peace Science Society Annual Meeting, Oct. 27-29, 2000, New Haven, CT (with Anne Miers and Glenn Palmer).

"Economic Sanctions and Foreign Policy Substitutability: An Application of the Two-Good Theory," at the American Political Science Association annual meeting Aug. 31-Sept 3, 2000, Washington, DC. (with Anne Miers and Glenn Palmer)

"Multilateral Sanctions and Foreign Policy Success: Can Too Many Cooks Spoil the Broth" at the International Studies Association annual meeting March 14-19, 2000, Los Angeles, CA. (with Anne Miers)

"Sources of Japanese and Chinese Foreign Policy: An Application of the Two-Good Theory" Program in Asian Security Studies Conference on East Asian Security, Nov. 5-7, 1999, Charleston, SC. (with Glenn Palmer)

"When Threats Succeed: A Formal Model of the Threat and Use of Economic Sanctions" at the Peace Science Society annual meetings, Oct. 8-10, 1999, Ann Arbor, MI. (with Anne Miers)

"When Threats Succeed: A Formal Model of the Threat and Use of Economic Sanctions" at the American Political Science Association annual meetings, Sept. 2-5, 1999, Atlanta, GA. (with Anne Miers)

Chair, Panel on "Policies of Constructive Engagement versus Economic Sanctions: Resolving Conflicts through Economic Statecraft," at the American Political Science Association annual meetings, Sept. 2-5, 1999, Atlanta, GA.

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"Chinese Foreign Policy in the Twenty-First Century: Insights from the Two-Good Theory of Foreign Policy," Program in Asian Security Studies Conference on War and Peace in the Taiwan Straight, Feb. 26-27, 1999, Durham, NC. (with Glenn Palmer)

Chair, Panel on "Decision-Related Approaches to Conflict Management and Conlict Resolution," at the International Studies Association annual meetings, Feb. 16-20, 1999, Washington, DC.

"Domestic Support and Diversionary External Conflict in Great Britain, 1950-1992" at the Pan European International Relations Conference Joint Meeting with the International Studies Association," September 16-19, 1998, Vienna, Austria. (with Chris Anderson)

Discussant, "Rivalry, Territorial Disputes, Intervention," at the Pan European International Relations Conference Joint Meeting with the International Studies Association," September 16-19, 1998, Vienna, Austria.

"Foreign Policy Substitutability with Two Goods: Selecting the Right Tools for the Job" at the American Political Science Association annual meeting, September 3-6, 1998, Boston, MA. (with Glenn Palmer)

Discussant, "Domestic Politics and International Crises" at the American Political Science Association annual meeting, September 3-6, 1998, Boston, MA.

"Give or Take: Foreign Aid, Dispute Initiation and Substitutable Behaviors in the Two-Good Model of Foreign Policy" at the International Studies Association annual meeting March 17- 21, 1998, Minneapolis, MN. (with Scott Wohlander and Glenn Palmer)

Panel Chair, "Expected Utility and Estimation" at the International Studies Association annual meeting March 17-21, 1998, Minneapolis, MN.

"Substitution Effects with Two Goods in Foreign Policy" at the Peace Science Society annual meeting, November, 20-23, 1997, Indianapolis, IN. (with Glenn Palmer)

Panel Chair, "Formal Models of Escalation and Deterrence" at the American Political Science Association annual meeting, August 28-31, 1997, Washington, D.C.

"A Two-Good Theory of Dramatic Shifts in Foreign Policy: The United States, Brest-Litovsk and New Zealand," at the International Studies Association annual meeting, March 18-22,1997, Toronto, Canada. (with Glenn Palmer)

Panel Chair and Discussant, "Liberalism and International Conflict" at the International Studies Association annual meeting, March 18-22, 1997, Toronto, Canada.

"Alliance Portfolios, Defense Spending, and Foreign Policy: A Reconsideration of Substitutability," at the annual meeting of the Peace Science Society (International), October 25-27, Houston, TX.

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"Alliance Formation and Foreign-Policy Portfolios: To Protect and Serve," at the American Political Science Association annual meeting, August 29-September 1, 1996, San Francisco, CA. (with Glenn Palmer)

"For Love or Money: Domestic Politics and Alliances" at the International Studies Association annual meeting, April 16-20, 1996, San Diego, CA. (with Glenn Palmer)

Panel Chair, "Strategic Interaction in International Relations" at the International Studies Association annual meeting, April 16-20, 1996, San Diego, CA.

"For Love or Money: Domestic Politics and Alliances" at the Public Choice Society annual meeting, April 12-14, 1996, Houston, TX. (with Glenn Palmer)

"Alliance Formation and Membership: The Pursuit of Happiness and Security" at the Peace Science Society annual meeting, October 13-15, 1995, Columbus, Ohio. (with Glenn Palmer)

"Foreign Policy Goals and Alliances: Making the World Safe for Things you Like" at the American Political Science Association annual meeting, August 30-Sept 3, 1995, Chicago IL. (with Glenn Palmer)

"Clinton's Chinese Puzzle: Domestic Politics and Economic Sanctions to Promote Human Rights," at the American Political Science Association annual meeting, August 30-Sept 3, 1995, Chicago, IL.

"Room to Move: Security, Proaction and Institutions in Foreign-Policy Decisionmaking," at University of California, Davis conference on Strategic Politicians, Institutions, and Foreign Policy. Davis, CA, April 28-29, 1995. (with Glenn Palmer)

"State Characteristics and Crisis Outcomes: A Test of the Spatial Model" at the Southwest Social Sciences Association annual meeting, March 23-25, 1995, Dallas, TX. (with Patrick Moriarty)

Discussant, "Democracies and War," at the International Studies Association annual meeting, February 22-25, 1995, Chicago IL.

"State Characteristics and Crisis Outcomes: A Test of the Spatial Model" at the International Studies Association annual meeting, February 22-25, 1995, Chicago IL. (with Patrick Moriarty)

"Security and Proaction: Who Has the Goods and Who Has the Power," at the Peace Science Society (International) annual meeting, November 4-6, 1994. (with Glenn Palmer)

Discussant, "Taiwan's Security in the New World Order" at the American Political Science Association annual meeting, September 1-4, 1994, New York, NY.

"Dueling Vectors: A Dynamic Spatial Model of Conflict Escalation" presented at the American Political Science Association annual meeting, September 1-4, 1994, New York, NY.

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Chair and Discussant, "War and International Conflict," at the Public Choice Society annual meeting, April, 1994, Austin, TX.

"Economic Sanctions as an Instrument of Foreign Policy: The Role of Domestic Politics" presented at the Peace Science Society International annual meeting, November, 1993, Syracuse, NY. (with Valerie Schwebach)

"Economic Sanctions as an Instrument of Foreign Policy," presented at the American Political Science Association annual meeting, September, 1993, Washington, D.C. (with Valerie Schwebach)

Discussant, "Problems of International Cooperation" at the American Political Science Association annual meeting, September, 1993, Washington, D.C.

"Fools Suffer Gladly: Economic Sanctions and Bargaining in International Crises," presented at the Shambaugh-MCISS conference on "Formal Models of Bargaining in International Relations" April 30-May 2, 1993, The University of Iowa. (with Valerie L. Schwebach)

"Bargaining Tough: Commitment Strategy in International Conflict" presented at the Public Choice Society annual meeting, March, 1993, New Orleans, LA. (with Peter Dawson)

Discussant, "Issues in International Public Choice," at the Public Choice Society annual meeting, March, 1993, New Orleans, LA .

Panel Chair, "International Politics" at the Public Choice Society annual meeting, March, 1993, New Orleans, LA .

"Fools Suffer Gladly: Economic Sanctions and Bargaining in International Crises," presented at the Peace Science Society (International) annual meeting, November, 1992, Pittsburgh, PA. (with Valerie L. Schwebach)

Panel Chair, "Game Theoretic Perspectives" at the Peace Science Society (International) annual meeting, November, 1992, Pittsburgh, PA.

"Fools Suffer Gladly: Economic Sanctions and Bargaining in International Crises," presented at the American Political Science Association annual meeting, September, 1992, Chicago IL. (with Valerie L. Schwebach)

"Economic Ties, Influence and Taiwan-Mainland China Relations," presented at the American Political Science Association annual meeting, September, 1992, Chicago IL.

Discussant, panel on "Rational Choice and Collective Security," American Political Science Association annual meeting, September, 1992, Chicago IL.

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Discussant, "Sources and Political Consequences of Public Opinion Responses to Crisis and War in the Persian Gulf" by Richard Brody and Douglas Rivers at the UC Davis conference on Linkage Politics and International Relations, May, 1992.

"Good Times, Bad Times and the Diversionary Use of Force: A Tale of Some Not-So-Free Agents" presented at the International Studies Association annual meeting, April, 1992, Atlanta, GA. (with Diana Richards, et. al.)

"Democracy and War: Reflections on the Literature" presented at the International Studies Association annual meeting, April, 1992, Atlanta, GA.

"Take Two Democracies and Call Me In The Morning: A Prescription for Peace?" presented at the American Political Science Association annual meeting, August, 1991, Washington, D.C. (with Valerie L. Schwebach)

"Domestic Opposition and the Use of Force: Questions for Research" presented at the American Political Science Association annual meeting, August, 1991, Washington, D.C.

"Domestic Structure and War" presented at Southwestern Social Science Association annual meeting March, 1991, San Antonio, TX. (with Valerie L. Schwebach)

"Domestic Structure and War" presented at International Studies Association annual meeting March, 1991, Vancouver, BC. (with Valerie L. Schwebach)

"Bargaining Tough: Committment Strategy in International Conflict" presented at American Political Science Association annual meeting August, 1990, San Francisco, CA. (with Peter Dawson)

"The Spatial Model of Crisis Bargaining: An Experimental Test" presented at the International Society of Political Psychology Meeting July, 1990, Washington, D.C. (with Rick Wilson)

"Domestic Structure, Decisional Constraints and War: So Why Kant Democracies Fight?" presented at the University of California at Davis Conference on Democracy and Foreign Policy. Davis, California, May 1990. (with Sally Campbell)

"Domestic Structure, Decisional Constraints and War: So Why Kant Democracies Fight?" presented at the International Studies Association Annual Meeting April, 1990, Washington, D.C. (with Sally Campbell)

"New Directions in the Formal Theory of Deterrence" presented at Western Political Science Association annual meeting March, 1990, Newport Beach, CA.

"Domestic Politics and Aggressive Foreign Policy: A Causal Link?" presented at American Political Science Association annual meeting August, 1989, Atlanta, GA. (with Ken Bickers)

"The Spatial Model of Crisis Bargaining: An Experimental Test" presented at the International Studies Association Meeting April, 1989, London. (with Rick Wilson)

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"A Spatial Theory of Deterrence" presented at American Political Science Association annual meeting August, 1988, Washington, D.C.

Panel Chair: panel on "Rational Choice and International Relations" American Political Science Association annual meeting August, 1988, Washington, D.C.

"The Concept of War: Its Impact on Research and Policy" presented at the International Studies Association Annual Meeting April, 1988, St. Louis, MO.

Discussant and Chair: panel on "Arms Control and International Security" Southwestern Social Science Association meeting, March, 1988, Houston, TX.

"The Impact of Third Parties in International Crises: A Spatial Theory" presented at the American Political Science Association annual meeting August, 1987, Chicago, IL.

"Base Stealers vs Power Hitters: A Nation-State Level Analysis of the Frequency and Seriousness of War" presented at the International Studies Association Annual Meeting April, 1987, Washington, D.C. (with Jack S. Levy)

Discussant and Chair: panel on "Analysis of International Cooperation" International Studies Association Annual Meeting April, 1987, Washington, D.C.

"Spatial Models of Issue Bargaining in International Crises" Merriam Seminar on Cooperative Processes, December, 1986, Champaign, IL.

"Bargaining Agendas in International Crises" presented at the American Political Science Association annual meeting August, 1986, Washington, D.C.

"The Impact of Nuclear Weapons on Crisis Bargaining: Implications of a Spatial Model" presented at the American Political Science Association annual meeting August, 1986, Washington, D.C. (with James L. Ray)

"Issue Linkages in International Crisis Bargaining" presented at the International Studies Association annual meeting March, 1986, Anaheim, CA.

Discussant: panel on "Rational Choice Models of International Relations" International Studies Association annual meeting March, 1986, Anaheim, CA.

"The Structure of the International System and the Relationship between the Frequency and Seriousness of War" presented at the International Studies Association annual meeting March, 1985, Washington, D.C. (with Jack S. Levy)

"The War-Weariness Hypothesis: An Empirical Test" presented at the International Studies Association meeting March, 1985, Washington, D.C. (with Jack S. Levy)

18

"Power Differentials, Resolve and Bargaining in International Crises: A Spatial Model" presented at the American Political Science Association annual meeting August, 1984, Washington, D.C.

"A Spatial Model of Crisis Bargaining" presented at the International Studies Association annual meeting March, 1984, Atlanta, GA.

Discussant, panel on "Defense Policy: Past and Present" Southwestern Social Science Association annual meeting, March, 1983, Houston, TX.

"The Effects of War on the Economic Productivity of Nations in the Twentieth Century" presented at the International Studies Association annual meeting, March, 1982, Cincinnati, Ohio.

Teaching

Courses Taught

Introduction to International Relations (undergraduate and graduate) Foreign Policy Analysis (undergraduate and graduate) International Conflict (undergraduate and graduate) Bargaining Theory (graduate) Strategic Interaction in International Relations (undergraduate) Theories of Collective Social Choice (graduate) International Political Economy (graduate) Game Theory (graduate) Domestic Politics and International Relations (undergraduate)

Theses Supervised

Tobias Heinrich, Ph. D. 2013 Yoshiharu Kobayashi, Ph. D. 2013 Valentin Krustev, Ph. D. 2007 Navin Bapat, Ph. D. 2004 Scott Wohlander, Ph. D. 2001 Patrick Moriarty, Ph. D. 1999 Dina Alsowayal, Ph.D. 1999 Paula Losey, M.A., 1999 Xiaoling Ji, M.A., 1999 Ursula Salinger, M.A., 1996 Valerie Schwebach, Ph.D. 1995 Lisa Carlson, Ph.D. 1994

Service

Editorial Boards

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Conflict Management and Peace Science, 2003-present Journal of Politics, 2001-2004, 2006-2008 Political Research Quarterly, 2000-2005 International Studies Quarterly, 1995-1998 and 2003-2013 International Interactions, 1993-1999

Reviewer For

American Journal of Political Science, American Political Science Review, American Politics Quarterly, British Journal of Political Science, Canadian Journal of Political Science, Comparative Political Studies, Conflict Management and Peace Science, Defense and Peace Economics, Electoral Studies, Ethics and International Affairs, European Journal of International Relations, Foreign Policy Analysis, International Interactions, International Organization, International Politics, International Relations, International Security, International Studies Perspectives, International Studies Quarterly, International Studies Review, Journal of Cold War Studies, Journal of Conflict Resolution, Journal of International Relations and Development, Journal of Peace Research, Journal of Politics, Journal of Theoretical Politics, Political Research Quarterly, Political Studies, Polity, Presidential Studies Quarterly, Security Studies, The Social Science Journal, Social Science Quarterly, Western Political Quarterly, World Politics

National Science Foundation, Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council of Canada, Israel Science Foundation, GACR--Czech Science Foundation, FWO- Vlaanderen--Research Foundation Flanders, NWO—Netherlands Organisation for Scientific Research

Cambridge University Press, Congressional Quarterly Press, University of Michigan Press, Ohio State University Press, Princeton University Press, Palgrave-Macmillan

University of Louisville Gramayer Award

Service to Professional Associations

Chair, Bremer Award Committee, Peace Science Society (International) 2015 Chair, Palmer Award Committee, Peace Science Society (International) 2015 Treasurer, International Studies Association, 2014-2017 President, Peace Science Society, 2010-2011 Treasurer, Peace Science Society, 2005-2010 National Science Foundation Human and Social Dynamics advisory panel, 2004, 2005, 2007, 2008 Political Research Quarterly best paper award committee, 2002 National Science Foundation Political Science advisory panel, 1998-2000 Nominating Committee, International Studies Association, 1996, 1998, 2004-2007, Chair, 2005-2006 Isard Dissertation Award Committee, Peace Science Society, 1998, 2000

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Member, Executive Council, Peace Science Society, 1997-2001 Book Award Committee, Conflict Processes Section, American Political Science Association, 1996-2000, 2003-2004; Chair, 1996-1998, 2003-2004 Local Arrangements Coordinator, Peace Science Society 1996 annual meeting, Houston, TX Chair, Scientific Study of International Processes Section, International Studies Association, 1995-1997 Member, Executive Council, Conflict Processes Section, American Political Science Association, 1994-1997 Member, Executive Council, Southwest Political Science Association, 1994-1996 Program Committee, 1996 Southern Political Science Association meeting, International Relations section Program Committee, 1996 International Studies Association meeting, Scientific Studies of International Processes section Program Committee, 1994 American Political Science Association meeting, Conflict Processes section Program Committee, 1992 Southwest Political Science Association meeting, International Relations section

Department and University Service

Rice University Benefits Committee, 2012-present. Acting Chair, Spring 2016. University Council, 2011-2012 Athletics Committee, 2007-2012, Chair, 2008-2011 Dean Search Committee, 2005-2006 Department Performance Evaluation Committee, 2005-2006, 2008-present Department Graduate Grievance Committee, 2005-2006 Chair, Social Sciences Building Committee, 2004-2005 Faculty Sponsor, College Libertarians at Rice, 2003-2011 Director, Center for the Scientific Study of International Conflict and Cooperation, 2003- 2012 Department Chair, 1999-2004 Organizer, 1999 Undergraduate Research Conference Director, Center for the Study of Institutions and Values, 1997-1999 Co-chair, Departmental Internal Review Committee, 1997-1998 Department Graduate Studies committee, 1991-2001; Chair, 1991-1994, 1995-1998, 2015-present ROTC committee, 1988-1989, 1990-1994, 1997-2000, 2003-2007; Chair, 1993-1994, 2005-2007 Associate, Sid Richardson College, 1988-1992; 2005-present; Divisional Advisor, Fall 1990 Gardner Award Committee, 1990-1991 Undergraduate Teaching Committee, 1988-1989 Department of Political Science Speaker Committee, 1987-1989 Social Sciences Calendar committee, 1987-1988

Major Fellowships, Grants, and Awards

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2009-2012 NSF grant, “The Threat and Imposition of Economic Sanctions” 2002-2005 NSF grant, “When Threats Succeed: A Formal Model of the Threat and Use of Economic Sanctions” Conflict Processes section of the American Political Science Association award for the best book on conflict processes and peace studies published in 1993 or 1994. For: Untying the Knot of War. 1995-1997 NSF grant, “Beyond the Water’s Edge: Individual Preferences, Domestic Institutions, System Structure and Foreign Policy,” 1994 Karl Deutsch Award, by the International Studies Association 1989-1990 Hoover Institution National Peace Fellow 1987-1989 DDIR grant (funded by NSF) “Great Power War, 1495-1815” (with Jack S. Levy) 1983 Carl Beck Prize awarded by the International Studies Association for the best graduate student paper delivered at the 1982 annual convention

Miscellaneous

Instructor, Texas A&M Winter Institute, 2005 Instructor, Hoover Institute Summer Program on International Politics, 1992-1996 Senior Master, Merriam Lab Junior Master’s Class, University of Illinois, May, 1995 Associate of the Martin Institute for Peace Studies and Conflict Resolution, University of Idaho, 1995-1998