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Decided and Leaning Unweighted N Liberal Party of Canada Led By Liberal Party of Canada Conservative Party of Canada New Democratic Party Green Party of Canada Bloc Québécois People’s Party of Canada Maverick Party Decided and Leaning Unweighted N Another Party led by Justin Trudeau led by Erin OToole led by Jagmeet Singh led by Annamie Paul led by Yves-François Blanchet led by Maxime Bernier led by Jay Hill National 3079 30.3% 28.5% 21.7% 4.8% 7.8% 4.3% 0.7% 1.8% British Columbia 373 26% 29% 30% 9% 4% 2% 1% Lower Mainland 217 32% 26% 30% 6% 4% 1% 0% Rest of BC 156 18% 34% 32% 11% 2% 2% 1% Alberta 343 17% 49% 21% 3% 5% 3% 3% Rural Alberta 218 18% 57% 15% 3% 5% 1% 2% Urban Alberta 125 17% 43% 24% 3% 5% 5% 3% Saskatchewan 96 12% 52% 18% 5% 8% 4% 2% Manitoba 111 23% 40% 26% 1% 6% 2% 1% Ontario 1395 36% 28% 24% 5% 5% 2% Toronto 426 47% 23% 21% 5% 4% 1% GTHA 353 36% 28% 23% 4% 5% 4% SW Ontario 324 28% 28% 31% 5% 6% 3% NE Ontario 292 34% 30% 22% 6% 6% 2% Quebec 537 33% 15% 12% 4% 32% 3% 1% Montreal 239 45% 10% 14% 6% 21% 3% 1% Rive-Sud / Rive-Nord 153 31% 11% 14% 3% 38% 1% 2% Eastern Quebec 145 25% 23% 8% 4% 36% 4% 1% Atlantic 224 32% 29% 29% 4% 3% 3% Liberal Party of Canada Conservative Party of Canada New Democratic Party Green Party of Canada Bloc Québécois People’s Party of Canada Maverick Party Decided and Leaning Unweighted N Another Party led by Justin Trudeau led by Erin OToole led by Jagmeet Singh led by Annamie Paul led by Yves-François Blanchet led by Maxime Bernier led by Jay Hill National 3079 30.3% 28.5% 21.7% 4.8% 7.8% 4.3% 0.7% 1.8% M 18-34 293 30% 25% 24% 6% 4% 8% 1% 3% M 35-54 502 28% 35% 17% 5% 8% 4% 2% 2% M 55+ 512 28% 39% 13% 4% 10% 5% 0% 1% F 18-34 581 31% 14% 36% 6% 5% 4% 0% 4% F 35-54 613 31% 24% 28% 5% 8% 3% 1% 1% F 55+ 578 34% 29% 18% 4% 11% 2% 1% 1% Visible Minority 850 36% 22% 25% 5% 3% 5% 1% 3% Non-Visible Minority 2229 28% 31% 21% 5% 9% 4% 1% 1% Children at Home 853 30% 29% 21% 6% 6% 6% 1% 2% No children at Home 2226 30% 29% 22% 5% 9% 4% 1% 2% Public Sector Union Member 486 31% 19% 24% 7% 10% 5% 2% 2% Private Sector Union Member 245 30% 22% 22% 6% 10% 6% 0% 4% Not a Member of a Union 2348 30% 31% 21% 4% 7% 4% 1% 2% LPC Universe CPC Universe NDP Universe Region Unweighted N LPC Core LPC Soft LPC Swing LPC Unlikely CPC Core CPC Soft CPC Swing CPC Unlikely NDP Core NDP Soft NDP Swing NDP Unlikely National 3499 17.9% 8.8% 12.7% 60.6% 18.9% 6.2% 9.4% 65.4% 9.3% 9.8% 16.5% 64.3% British Columbia 414 14% 9% 16% 61% 21% 5% 8% 66% 15% 12% 17% 56% Lower Mainland 240 19% 11% 16% 55% 20% 4% 8% 68% 17% 11% 17% 55% Rest of BC 174 9% 7% 17% 67% 24% 6% 8% 63% 15% 14% 16% 55% Alberta 393 6% 9% 9% 76% 35% 7% 9% 49% 7% 11% 16% 66% Rural Alberta 245 4% 12% 8% 76% 43% 7% 7% 43% 4% 9% 20% 67% Urban Alberta 148 9% 6% 9% 77% 30% 7% 11% 52% 9% 12% 12% 67% Saskatchewan 114 6% 4% 12% 79% 36% 7% 4% 53% 11% 4% 12% 72% Manitoba 137 13% 6% 16% 65% 21% 11% 12% 57% 12% 9% 14% 66% Ontario 1586 22% 10% 14% 54% 18% 7% 10% 65% 10% 11% 19% 60% Toronto 488 31% 11% 15% 44% 15% 5% 11% 69% 10% 9% 20% 61% GTHA 404 23% 8% 15% 54% 19% 6% 10% 65% 10% 10% 19% 61% SW Ontario 368 17% 7% 12% 64% 17% 7% 11% 65% 12% 15% 17% 57% NE Ontario 326 19% 11% 15% 55% 19% 8% 9% 64% 8% 12% 21% 59% Quebec 601 21% 9% 11% 60% 9% 4% 10% 77% 5% 5% 14% 75% Montreal 263 30% 11% 9% 50% 5% 4% 7% 84% 6% 8% 22% 64% Rive-Sud / Rive-Nord 179 18% 9% 9% 65% 6% 4% 10% 81% 4% 8% 10% 78% Eastern Quebec 159 15% 8% 12% 65% 17% 4% 12% 67% 6% 1% 9% 84% Atlantic 254 19% 8% 14% 59% 14% 10% 11% 65% 10% 15% 15% 60% LPC Universe CPC Universe NDP Universe Demographics Unweighted N LPC Core LPC Soft LPC Swing LPC Unlikely CPC Core CPC Soft CPC Swing CPC Unlikely NDP Core NDP Soft NDP Swing NDP Unlikely National 3499 17.9% 8.8% 12.7% 60.6% 18.9% 6.2% 9.4% 65.4% 9.3% 9.8% 16.5% 64.3% M 18-34 323 18% 8% 18% 56% 16% 6% 10% 68% 11% 11% 15% 63% M 35-54 550 17% 9% 14% 61% 25% 7% 13% 56% 8% 7% 16% 68% M 55+ 570 19% 6% 9% 65% 29% 6% 11% 54% 6% 6% 15% 73% F 18-34 658 15% 12% 19% 54% 7% 6% 8% 79% 14% 18% 15% 54% F 35-54 732 17% 9% 10% 64% 14% 7% 9% 71% 11% 12% 17% 60% F 55+ 666 21% 9% 9% 61% 19% 6% 6% 69% 7% 8% 19% 65% Visible Minority 951 20% 12% 15% 53% 14% 6% 11% 70% 9% 13% 17% 60% Non-Visible Minority 2536 17% 8% 12% 63% 21% 6% 9% 64% 9% 9% 16% 66% Children at Home 943 18% 9% 15% 58% 19% 7% 12% 62% 7% 12% 19% 62% No children at Home 2553 18% 9% 12% 62% 19% 6% 9% 67% 10% 9% 16% 65% Public Sector Union Member 532 21% 8% 17% 55% 14% 4% 11% 71% 12% 9% 18% 61% Private Sector Union Member 258 18% 10% 14% 58% 17% 4% 12% 68% 11% 10% 21% 58% Not a Member of a Union 2698 17% 9% 12% 62% 20% 7% 9% 64% 9% 10% 16% 66%.
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