Liberal Party of Canada Conservative Party of Canada New Democratic Party Green Party of Canada Bloc Québécois People’s Party of Canada Maverick Party Decided and Leaning Unweighted N Another Party led by Justin Trudeau led by Erin OToole led by Jagmeet Singh led by Annamie Paul led by Yves-François Blanchet led by Maxime Bernier led by Jay Hill National 3079 30.3% 28.5% 21.7% 4.8% 7.8% 4.3% 0.7% 1.8% British Columbia 373 26% 29% 30% 9% 4% 2% 1% Lower Mainland 217 32% 26% 30% 6% 4% 1% 0% Rest of BC 156 18% 34% 32% 11% 2% 2% 1% Alberta 343 17% 49% 21% 3% 5% 3% 3% Rural Alberta 218 18% 57% 15% 3% 5% 1% 2% Urban Alberta 125 17% 43% 24% 3% 5% 5% 3% Saskatchewan 96 12% 52% 18% 5% 8% 4% 2% Manitoba 111 23% 40% 26% 1% 6% 2% 1% Ontario 1395 36% 28% 24% 5% 5% 2% Toronto 426 47% 23% 21% 5% 4% 1% GTHA 353 36% 28% 23% 4% 5% 4% SW Ontario 324 28% 28% 31% 5% 6% 3% NE Ontario 292 34% 30% 22% 6% 6% 2% Quebec 537 33% 15% 12% 4% 32% 3% 1% Montreal 239 45% 10% 14% 6% 21% 3% 1% Rive-Sud / Rive-Nord 153 31% 11% 14% 3% 38% 1% 2% Eastern Quebec 145 25% 23% 8% 4% 36% 4% 1% Atlantic 224 32% 29% 29% 4% 3% 3% Liberal Party of Canada Conservative Party of Canada New Democratic Party Green Party of Canada Bloc Québécois People’s Party of Canada Maverick Party Decided and Leaning Unweighted N Another Party led by Justin Trudeau led by Erin OToole led by Jagmeet Singh led by Annamie Paul led by Yves-François Blanchet led by Maxime Bernier led by Jay Hill National 3079 30.3% 28.5% 21.7% 4.8% 7.8% 4.3% 0.7% 1.8% M 18-34 293 30% 25% 24% 6% 4% 8% 1% 3% M 35-54 502 28% 35% 17% 5% 8% 4% 2% 2% M 55+ 512 28% 39% 13% 4% 10% 5% 0% 1% F 18-34 581 31% 14% 36% 6% 5% 4% 0% 4% F 35-54 613 31% 24% 28% 5% 8% 3% 1% 1% F 55+ 578 34% 29% 18% 4% 11% 2% 1% 1% Visible Minority 850 36% 22% 25% 5% 3% 5% 1% 3% Non-Visible Minority 2229 28% 31% 21% 5% 9% 4% 1% 1% Children at Home 853 30% 29% 21% 6% 6% 6% 1% 2% No children at Home 2226 30% 29% 22% 5% 9% 4% 1% 2% Public Sector Union Member 486 31% 19% 24% 7% 10% 5% 2% 2% Private Sector Union Member 245 30% 22% 22% 6% 10% 6% 0% 4% Not a Member of a Union 2348 30% 31% 21% 4% 7% 4% 1% 2% LPC Universe CPC Universe NDP Universe Region Unweighted N LPC Core LPC Soft LPC Swing LPC Unlikely CPC Core CPC Soft CPC Swing CPC Unlikely NDP Core NDP Soft NDP Swing NDP Unlikely National 3499 17.9% 8.8% 12.7% 60.6% 18.9% 6.2% 9.4% 65.4% 9.3% 9.8% 16.5% 64.3% British Columbia 414 14% 9% 16% 61% 21% 5% 8% 66% 15% 12% 17% 56% Lower Mainland 240 19% 11% 16% 55% 20% 4% 8% 68% 17% 11% 17% 55% Rest of BC 174 9% 7% 17% 67% 24% 6% 8% 63% 15% 14% 16% 55% Alberta 393 6% 9% 9% 76% 35% 7% 9% 49% 7% 11% 16% 66% Rural Alberta 245 4% 12% 8% 76% 43% 7% 7% 43% 4% 9% 20% 67% Urban Alberta 148 9% 6% 9% 77% 30% 7% 11% 52% 9% 12% 12% 67% Saskatchewan 114 6% 4% 12% 79% 36% 7% 4% 53% 11% 4% 12% 72% Manitoba 137 13% 6% 16% 65% 21% 11% 12% 57% 12% 9% 14% 66% Ontario 1586 22% 10% 14% 54% 18% 7% 10% 65% 10% 11% 19% 60% Toronto 488 31% 11% 15% 44% 15% 5% 11% 69% 10% 9% 20% 61% GTHA 404 23% 8% 15% 54% 19% 6% 10% 65% 10% 10% 19% 61% SW Ontario 368 17% 7% 12% 64% 17% 7% 11% 65% 12% 15% 17% 57% NE Ontario 326 19% 11% 15% 55% 19% 8% 9% 64% 8% 12% 21% 59% Quebec 601 21% 9% 11% 60% 9% 4% 10% 77% 5% 5% 14% 75% Montreal 263 30% 11% 9% 50% 5% 4% 7% 84% 6% 8% 22% 64% Rive-Sud / Rive-Nord 179 18% 9% 9% 65% 6% 4% 10% 81% 4% 8% 10% 78% Eastern Quebec 159 15% 8% 12% 65% 17% 4% 12% 67% 6% 1% 9% 84% Atlantic 254 19% 8% 14% 59% 14% 10% 11% 65% 10% 15% 15% 60% LPC Universe CPC Universe NDP Universe Demographics Unweighted N LPC Core LPC Soft LPC Swing LPC Unlikely CPC Core CPC Soft CPC Swing CPC Unlikely NDP Core NDP Soft NDP Swing NDP Unlikely National 3499 17.9% 8.8% 12.7% 60.6% 18.9% 6.2% 9.4% 65.4% 9.3% 9.8% 16.5% 64.3% M 18-34 323 18% 8% 18% 56% 16% 6% 10% 68% 11% 11% 15% 63% M 35-54 550 17% 9% 14% 61% 25% 7% 13% 56% 8% 7% 16% 68% M 55+ 570 19% 6% 9% 65% 29% 6% 11% 54% 6% 6% 15% 73% F 18-34 658 15% 12% 19% 54% 7% 6% 8% 79% 14% 18% 15% 54% F 35-54 732 17% 9% 10% 64% 14% 7% 9% 71% 11% 12% 17% 60% F 55+ 666 21% 9% 9% 61% 19% 6% 6% 69% 7% 8% 19% 65% Visible Minority 951 20% 12% 15% 53% 14% 6% 11% 70% 9% 13% 17% 60% Non-Visible Minority 2536 17% 8% 12% 63% 21% 6% 9% 64% 9% 9% 16% 66% Children at Home 943 18% 9% 15% 58% 19% 7% 12% 62% 7% 12% 19% 62% No children at Home 2553 18% 9% 12% 62% 19% 6% 9% 67% 10% 9% 16% 65% Public Sector Union Member 532 21% 8% 17% 55% 14% 4% 11% 71% 12% 9% 18% 61% Private Sector Union Member 258 18% 10% 14% 58% 17% 4% 12% 68% 11% 10% 21% 58% Not a Member of a Union 2698 17% 9% 12% 62% 20% 7% 9% 64% 9% 10% 16% 66%.