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Global Security in Crisis T H E U R G E N T N E E D for Strategies That Work

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Global Security in Crisis T H E U R G E N T N E E D for Strategies That Work Global Security in Crisis t h e u r g e n t n e e d for strategies that work French Defense Minister Hervé Morin Workshop Patron Dr. Roger Weissinger-Baylon Chairman Anne D. Baylon Editor front cover Dome of the Hôtel National des Invalides and arcades surrounding the Cour d’Honneur. inside title page Galleries in the Cour d’Honneur of the Hôtel National des Invalides. back cover Detail of the Dome church, Hôtel National des Invalides. © Center for Strategic Decision Research International Standard Book Number: --- Printed in the United States of America by House of Printing, Mountain View, California Photography by Mika Shiozawa and Jean Lee Center for Strategic Decision Research and Strategic Decisions Press Sharon Oaks Drive, Menlo Park, California USA Telephone: /- Fax: /- Email: [email protected] with appreciation His Excellency Hervé Morin Minister of Defense of France Patron of the 24th International Workshop on Global Security principal sponsors French Ministry of Defense EADS (European Aeronautic Defense and Space Company) Microsoft Northrop Grumman Corporation U.S. Department of Defense: · Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology, and Logistics · Assistant Secretary of Defense (Networks and Information Integration) · Defense Threat Reduction Agency · Net Assessment additional sponsors Alenia Aeronautica S.p.A. MBDA Missile Systems The Boeing Company MITRE Corporation Lockheed-Martin Thales acknowledgements Czech Republic Republic of Poland of past host Kingdom of Denmark Republic of Portugal and sponsoring Federal Republic of Germany Ministry of Defense of Austria governments Republic of Greece Ministry of Defense of France Republic of Hungary Ministry of Defense of Italy Kingdom of the Netherlands Canadian Armed Forces Kingdom of Norway Russian Ministry of Industry, Science, and Technology Table of Con tents Spon sors iv Work shop pho to graphs vi Con tri bu tors xxxv Wel com ing Remarks xxxix Ing. Général Robert Ranquet Pref ace xli Dr. Roger Weissinger-Baylon, Workshop Chair man Over view xlix Dr. Roger Weissinger-Baylon, Workshop Chair man Din ner Debate lix Gen eral George Joulwan, Mod er a tor Part One Chapter 1. Discours d'Ouverture: Vers la Complexification de la Gestion des Cri ses 3 Général Henri Bentégeat DE PLUS EN PLUS D'ACTEURS DANS LE JEU IN TER NATIONAL ................................................................................4 L'ACTION MILITAIRE TROUVE SES LIMITES.......................................................................................................................5 LA CONDUITE DES OP ERATIONS MILITAIRES EST DE PLUS EN PLUS DIFFICILE...............................................6 CON CLU SION.....................................................................................................................................................................................7 Chapter 2. Open ing Address: Towards the Complexification of Cri sis Management 9 Général Henri Bentégeat AN IN CREAS ING NUM BER OF IN TER NA TIONAL AC TORS.........................................................................................10 MILITARY AC TION HAS REACHED ITS LIM ITS .................................................................................................................11 PRO GRES SIVELY MORE DIF FI CULT MIL I TARY OP ER A TIONS ....................................................................................12 CON CLUD ING RE MARKS............................................................................................................................................................12 xxvi Table of Contents Chapter 3. Key Address 13 General Jean-Louis Georgelin (Ad dress pre sented by Lieu ten ant Gen eral Chris tian-Charles Falzone) THE THREATS WE FACE.............................................................................................................................................................13 HOW WE DEAL WITH THREATS..............................................................................................................................................14 THE CONSEQUENCES OF OUR AC TION...............................................................................................................................15 CON CLUD ING RE MARKS............................................................................................................................................................16 Chapter 4. Forecasting and Influencing the Future—It Is Not Always What We Seek 17 Mr. Jean de Ponton d'Amécourt OPEN ING RE MARKS .....................................................................................................................................................................17 FORE CASTED FU TURE TRENDS.............................................................................................................................................18 THE DANGERS OF BREAKING WITH THE PAST.................................................................................................................18 CON CLUD ING RE MARKS............................................................................................................................................................20 Chapter 5. Expand ing Secu rity Chal lenges—An Oper a tional View 21 General Rainer Schuwirth OP ER A TIONS ...................................................................................................................................................................................21 BAL KANS...........................................................................................................................................................................................22 TRANS FOR MA TION AND CAPABILITIES.............................................................................................................................23 CON CLUD ING RE MARKS............................................................................................................................................................23 Chap ter 6. NATO’s Inter na tional Secu rity Assistance Force (ISAF) in Afghan istan 25 General Egon Ramms THE NATO COM MAND STRUCTURE AND THE ISAF MISSION....................................................................................25 THE NEED FOR AC TION .............................................................................................................................................................26 BURDEN SHARING AND BURDEN SHIFTING....................................................................................................................27 SUC CESSES IN AF GHAN I STAN................................................................................................................................................27 EM PLOY INGTHE COM PRE HEN SIVE AP PROACH............................................................................................................28 U.N. RE SPON SI BIL ITY ...................................................................................................................................................................29 THE AFGHAN MODEL.................................................................................................................................................................29 THE WAY FOR WARD .....................................................................................................................................................................30 Part Two Chapter 7. Energy as a Secu rity Imper ative 33 General James L. Jones OPEN ING RE MARKS .....................................................................................................................................................................33 THE CHAR AC TER IS TICS AND CHAL LENGES OF A MUL TI PO LAR WORLD..........................................................33 Table of Contents xxvii THE NEED FOR PROACTIVE IN TER NA TIONAL OR GA NI ZA TIONS .........................................................................34 ENERGY AS AN INTERNATIONAL, NATIONAL, AND FAMILY IS SUE.....................................................................35 ED U CAT ING THE PUB LIC ..........................................................................................................................................................35 CON CLUD ING RE MARKS............................................................................................................................................................36 Chapter 8. The Pro liferation of Weapons of Mass Destruction—The Chem ical Threat 37 Am bas sa dor Rogelio Pfirter OPEN ING RE MARKS .....................................................................................................................................................................37 THE HISTORY OF THE CWC AND THE OPCW......................................................................................................................37 CURRENT CHEM ICAL THREATS AND DANGERS ...........................................................................................................38 CHEM I CAL WEAP ONS DE STRUC TION PROG RESS ANDGOALS ................................................................................38 ENSURING THE NONPROLIFERATION OF CHEM ICAL WEAP ONS ..........................................................................39 STRENGTH EN ING CA PAC ITY FOR HAN DLING TOXIC CHEM I CAL MIS USE........................................................40 THE CONTRIBUTION OF THE
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