Ongar Impact Assessment

Basic Need Data

Year of entry model

Positive number or % represents a shortfall of places. Negative number or % represents surplus places.

2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

Number Number Number Number % of % of % of % of of of of of shortfall shortfall shortfall shortfall shortfall shortfall shortfall shortfall

Planning level

-41 -3.9% 3 0.3% 35 3.3% 118 11.1% Y7 only (surplus allowed)

Local schools

Distance Attainment from The (% of pupils that Inspection School School name Ongar Capacity achieved 5A*-C inc. rating and Impact rating type Academy English & Maths) outcome (miles) 2013 2014

MODERATE 1200 places could have Academy moderate impact on the short-term (surplus of 52% 54% Converter financial viability of , 192 Passmores Good which currently has below average 6.1 places) Below LA Below LA Academy Not a Oct 2013 performance. However the lack of average average faith surplus places at the entry point indicates No surplus (61%) (56%) school that this is still a popular choice for local in Y7 residents. (13/14) The Ongar Academy is not likely to affect the long term viability of the school. 900 places MODERATE Voluntary (surplus of Controlle The Ongar Academy could have a 135 65% 43% Epping St d School moderate impact on the short-term places) John's Church Good financial viability of Epping St John’s CoE 6.2 Above LA Below LA of VC Church of Feb 2012 VC School in the short-term although 33 surplus average average some parents will continue to prefer a School England places at (61%) (56%) faith school. faith entry point school (13/14) The Ongar Academy is not likely to affect the long term viability of the school.

Distance Attainment from The (% of pupils that Inspection School School name Ongar Capacity achieved 5A*-C inc. rating and Impact rating type Academy English & Maths) outcome (miles) 2013 2014 MODERATE 1620 places The Ongar Academy could have a (surplus of Academy moderate impact on the short-term 359 56% 57% financial viability of High Converter places) School due to its existing surplus places Shenfield High Good 6.4 Below LA Above LA – however a portion of this impact has School Not a Nov 2014 124 average average already been mitigated by Shenfield faith surplus (61%) (56%) High’s decision to reduce its admission school places at numbers as a response to its large surplus in the current year 7. entry point

(13/14) The Ongar Academy is not likely to affect the long term viability of the school. 1050 places Free MINIMAL School Newly Becket Keys The Ongar Academy is unlikely to impact opened Church of Outstanding on the financial viability of Becket CoE 6.5 Church of school N/A N/A England Free May 2014 due to its outstanding England School Ofsted inspection result in 2014, and the faith No surplus lack of surplus places at the entry point. school places at This indicates that this is still likely to be entry point a popular choice for local residents. (13/14) Attainment Distance (% of pupils that from The achieved 5A*-C inc. Inspection School School name Ongar Capacity English & Maths) rating and Impact rating type Academy outcome (miles) 2013 2014

750 places MODERATE Sponsor (surplus of Led 27% 35% The Ongar Academy could have 99 places) Academy moderate impact on the financial viability Mark Hall No Ofsted 6.6 Below LA Below LA of , given its poor Academy 93 surplus grade Not a average average performance parents have already places at faith (61%) (56%) started to consider alternative schools, entry point school evidenced by the large surplus in the (13/14) current year 7.

Local colleges

Distance from The Inspection College Pupil Average Points Score College name Ongar rating and Impact rating type numbers Academy outcome (miles) 2013 2014 MODERATE

3252 737.8 743.7 The Ongar Academy could have learners moderate impact on the financial

Harlow Tertiary Good viability of College, which is 7.4 Below LA Below LA College College 76% of Nov 2010 currently performing below average average learners average. (840.1) (828.2) are 16-18 Any impact will not be felt until 2017/18 and so could be subject to change. MODERATE

2801 563.0 566.3 The Ongar Academy could have learners moderate impact on the financial Requires Epping Forest Tertiary viability of Epping Forest College, 8.7 Below LA Below LA Improvement College College 75% of which is currently performing average average May 2013 learners significantly below average. (840.1) (828.2) are 16-18 Any impact will not be felt until 2017/18 and so could be subject to change.

Distance from The Average Points Score Inspection College Pupil College name Ongar rating and Impact rating type numbers Academy outcome 2013 2014 (miles)

5592 MINIMAL Havering 537.5 542.0 General learners College of Further Good The Ongar Academy is unlikely to Further and 9.3 Below LA Below LA Education 54% of Feb 2011 impact on the financial viability of Higher average average College learners Havering College of Further and Education (840.1) (828.2) are 16-18 Higher Education due to distance.

3012 MINIMAL 536.4 533.0 Requires General learners Improvement Chelmsford Further The Ongar Academy is unlikely to 9.4 Below LA Below LA May 2014 College Education 71% of impact on the financial viability of average average College learners due to (840.1) (828.2) are 16-18 distance.